welcome everyone to fantasy foresight.
The podcast where your host and co founders of fantasy foresight dot com coming to you from the Rambo Fix your company studios.
I'm Ben, and I'm Jay.
You ready to get rolling, J? You know it.
Let's do this. All right, let's go.
And everyone it is.
Tuesday, October 6th.
We've got our guy Steve at f f Underscore Encyclopedia with us.
We've got your Week four Wrap up your week five waiver waiver targets And once again, fantasy foresight.
The podcast is live.
How you doing tonight, Jay? Yeah.
Week for good riddance to you, my friend.
What is going on in fantasy this year? We knew it was gonna be crazy, but yeah, I'm ready to move on.
Brighter days ahead, like you always say, Ben? Steve, how are you doing tonight, my friend? I'm doing pretty well, guys.
Week four was a little more kind to me. Fantasy wise.
But, you know, I have to say, that's like, the one week this entire season.
So, like you said, I hope there's a lot better days ahead for all of us.
And hey, are brownies Air three and one and that's really, What matters the most? And then he goes one.
The Eagles beat the Niners.
Whoever would have thought that was gonna happen.
You said it right there.
I mean, who would have thought that we would be licking our wounds at this point in the fantasy season and leaning on the glory of the Cleveland Browns to make us feel better? It sure is 2020 ain't it, fellas? You know what? Before we dive in, I'm just gonna I am.
You and I both I know Ben and Steve we were talking about before the podcast.
It is so frustrating to pour so much time and energy into the website.
The statistics, the podcast, the preparation, all of it, and then to go out and manage these teams and, you know, pore over all of the data.
All of the numbers to try toe have some success.
And you have all of these injuries and all of these unpredictable things creeping up that just wreak havoc on your fantasy team.
So, you know, we expect to always be successful and pick up wins every week, and we hope our listeners do.
But boy It has been tough sledding so far this year, and it's just Oh, man, it's been a grind and we're only four weeks into that grind.
I mean, you're absolutely right.
And the thing about it is, is we came on in week three and said we were gonna have a marquee accuracy week and we deliver 10 and four and you know what we did? We went back to the lab.
We went and uncovered a bunch of new and improved statistics to help supplement the research that we already do.
And man spoiler alert.
It was a bad week on this podcast for everybody but friend to show Trav and, you know, shout out to him.
He's doing great Number three overall, and Scott Fish Ball gave us a shout out for helping him get there.
We appreciate that because he's also taking us to school in these buys and sells.
I'm just gonna get the bad news out of the way first.
All in all, we all went four and 10 this week.
I went three and 11 and travel went eight and six.
It was a rough, rough week.
With these buys and sells, we're still going to go through them.
We're still gonna take our lumps.
We're still going to come back bigger and better and stronger next week.
Jay is going to tell you about some injuries, and Steve is going toe help you start that journey with us back to redemption and weak five and go over those week five waiver wire targets.
So first up, guys, I'm literally I've said this before, but I've never met it more than I mean it right now.
I'm flying through these, So definitely stop me if you have anything to add.
I have a feeling angry.
J may creep up from time to time as we go through these, but I'll try to keep it contained as best I can.
It would make me feel so much better to hear somebody else be angry about this.
All right? First thing I do have to say really quick.
And then there is ba*****t Steve, whose already low as it is being down in the ba*****t, you can only get lower.
It's gotta get darkest before the dawn.
Right, fellas? So first up, one of the lone bright spots of the week where everybody got it right started off.
Wanna know looking great First quarterback by the week, Ryan fits magic.
We knew we could smash a Q B 26 aggregate projection and he finished up his q B 10.
We need you in weeks like this.
Hey threw for 315 yards.
No touchdowns, two interceptions.
However, he added 47 rush yards in a rushing touchdown, which will really help propelled him up to that Q B 10 status.
So we appreciate your fits.
Magic. I'm glad we got that one right.
Doesn't happen to many more other times in this podcast episode.
Uh, next up, we've got Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow were buying him verse in aggregate projection of Cuba Q B 15.
Well, he finished just a touch behind that.
A Q B 20 still threw for 300 yards.
One touchdown, one interception added 11 rush yards.
Um, but you know, that brings us all the one and one after that one on then, Man, this is one of the first ones that's really just so annoying.
All this guy has done L A Rams running back to roll.
Henderson has been a top 10 top 11 running back each of the past two weeks.
So, of course, we we're gonna make sure that Malcolm Brown out touches him and is the guy this week, right? Sean McVeigh.
We were apparently foolish to buy him verse in aggregate.
Projection of our B 23 ended up his RB 46 on Lee had eight carries for 22 yards, one catch on one target for 16 yards through the air.
They got Why just one grams offense looked anemic this weekend and this guy had been RB 10 and RB 14 the past two weeks.
And apparently the Rams just hate him.
That's all it is.
That's fine. Whatever.
You know, it's the first time I finally trot the guy out there after being gun shy the last two weeks.
And of course it burns me.
I should have known better.
I mean, there, there were so many couldn't metrics on their side to I mean, we're not gonna rehash everything we covered in the last episode, but we had good reason to buy this guy.
Travis was the only one who somehow saw this coming and sold them.
Kind of makes me hate you a little bit trapped, but I still love you Before we move on.
Joe Burrow had 300 passing yards and a score.
He had a great Bach blocking day.
Uh, and he doesn't finish in the top 15 at the position, like Come on, man.
Just, uh, absolutely Next up, one of the ones that I am proud of this week, not a lot of people were staking their claim on this guy.
With Tampa Bay Buccaneers running back Ronald Jones.
We were buying him verse in aggregate projection of our B 24.
Guy ended up with over 100 rushing yards and finishing his R B 14 without a touchdown.
Now he did get supported a little bit by six additional PPR points when he got six receptions off nine targets for just 17 yards and no touchdowns.
But still, anytime a guy rushes for over 100 yards, we're taking that credit all day.
You know, we had, um we had, um we had him is by and he made us right.
And at this point, the episode man.
And it's not too bad We're all too.
And to Steve's one and three, you can still come back.
Traps three and one.
But you know, it just gets worse.
And this one again doesn't make a lot of sense to me.
Carolina Panthers wide receiver D. J.
Apparently, he's the number two wide receiver on that team, and Robby Anderson is the number one.
It's taken us to four weeks to see that, but the truth is the truth, and it is what it is.
Total Force. I got this one wrong.
Buying him at an aggregate projection of wide receiver 31.
He ended up his wide receiver 49.
Had four catches on six targets for 49 yards and no touchdowns.
Just like not the volume we're expecting.
Not the explosion that we're expecting.
Definitely not getting the touchdowns that we're expecting.
Uh, you know, And so we're all sitting in two and three traps and three and two Steves at one and four, and then we move on to my guy.
Well, I'm sorry.
I'm sorry to interrupt you Hold that thought for just a minute.
I have a lesson for the listeners.
All of the intricate statistics that we put together a fantasy foresight that we encapsulate into total foresight in that metric, just throw that out the window.
What I'm going to do from now on is I'm gonna post my fantasy roster and you just stay away from those players. D.
Moore is one of my guys, and of course, he crapped the bed.
It makes sense because he's on my fantasy team, and for some reason this season, the fantasy gods have forsaken me.
So just that's gonna do.
From now on, I'm gonna post my rosters.
Everybody, just use that as a guide of people to stay away from.
You know, the same philosophy that applies to J.
Moore applies to me also regarding our next guy.
Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver A. J.
I've never been in a J.
Green guy before.
This year followed the money.
I followed the nice, cheap price tag.
I followed all the crazy targets the man got in the first couple weeks of the season, and I think it's just time for me to kind of let it go, you know, channel my inner frozen and just let it go uh, you know, he was.
He was aggregate projection wide projected wide receiver 33.
The man finished Guiza's wide receiver.
Hey, Caught one pass.
Good job on five targets for three yards.
Apparently, he's the most expensive decoy in the NFL.
So you do that job very well.
Tyler Boyd. Tee Higgins.
You know, whatever tight ends playing that week, they all appreciate it.
Joe Mixon certainly appreciated it.
I'm playing him for the first time this season.
He showed a pulse and got all the fantasy points he was supposed to get the first three weeks of the season all in week for because he was playing me.
You know what? That's a great point, then.
Also, what I will do is post the rosters that I'm playing against.
And those are the Those are the bythe buys are rosters of the cells were going to be 100% act from now.
We don't even research every week.
This is amazing.
Why didn't we think of this sooner? And you know what? I'm done with you, Randall Cobb.
Every time we have you as a buy on this podcast.
You let us down and every week you're not on the podcast.
You would have made us, right, So I'm sick of it.
You're making a fool out of us and we're not messing with you anymore.
All you had to do was be wide Receiver 54 you couldn't even do that.
Wide receiver 78 2 catches, five targets, 36 yards.
You're probably half the reason that they pulled the trigger on Bill O Brien, man. Come on now.
I mean, trap once again, No stra dominance over here is the only one that got this one, right? The rest of us got it wrong in our record is not good this week, fellas.
And you know, I'm just The frustration has been building, and it's coming out.
And it said, You know, man, Randall Cobb just had to be wide receiver 54.
He had the sixth.
The ninth best wide receiver Devi matchup in the league like individual matchup.
Not like ah, unit.
The guy that was going to be covered, man.
Uh, you know, we we take a lot of pride and a lot of effort.
We do not flippantly go through and pick these buys and sells y'all.
We put a lot of hours into it.
We do put a lot of effort into it.
We try to bring you the most accurate Bunches possible way.
Didn't get it done this week.
You know, maybe I was making excuses for him about how, you know, he had only had a couple practices entering week one, and he was still finding his sea legs and weak too.
But this is Week four.
Man in your quarterback.
Your young quarterback threw for 300 yards and you had three of them.
Like, what are we doing? What are we doing? Like I said, the best, most expensive decoy in the NFL. Congratulations.
You know what I see? I I can't even say anything about this guy.
Because now that O J.
Howard got hurt, he might actually do some.
But you know what? Tampa Bay Buccaneers tight end Rob Gronkowski Forget what I just said about that O J. Howard.
Unfortunately, get well soon, brother.
Hey, had a thorn Achilles.
He's out for the year.
Um, but you know what that means? It's camera break time.
Not that it's Rob Gronkowski.
time I'm not getting hooked by this guy ever again.
He had the number one overall at pro Football Focus.
The best tight end matchup grade in the NFL in the entire NFL.
And what did he dio? He just had to be tight end 13.
That wasn't hard to beat this week.
The tight ends had a down weekend.
Gronk was a part of that one catch on three targets for 29 yards and no touchdowns.
And, of course, O.
Howard, before getting hurt, finished his tight end.
Like we joked about on this podcast on Sunday, Uh, you know it If, of course, we call out for Gronk all the metrics so there for Gronk.
Howard's the guy, but now you know, keep Cameron braid on your radar, man, because I'm still not trusting Gronk because he can't even be a top 20 tight end half the time, let alone a tight end one.
And I'll tell you what, heading into ourselves right now if you want to know how upside down of a week this waas, historically total foresight has extremely high accuracy, I want to say down like the final six weeks of last season, we were above 90% accuracy in ourselves.
And there was a stretch where we had, like, three straight weeks of perfection this week.
One correct one one in five out of six cells this week.
I mean, that's how bonkers it waas just I forgot we got one, right.
I was like, Wait, who? Oh, okay, Yeah, that's right.
That guy way did get one.
Yeah, eso the first cell man once again for this one.
This one doesn't make me as mad.
This one kind of makes a little bit more sense.
First two weeks of the new season in a new offense.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Tom Brady did not play that well, however, over the last two weeks, he's starting to put it together.
He finished his Q B two overall last week.
We were selling an aggregate projection of Q B 10 and he absolutely smashed us with 369 pass yards, five touchdowns and one interception.
I mean, it was supposed to be the thank you Weather channel app.
90% of rain with possible heavy rainfall.
My, it's a family show and you know I was expecting crappy weather.
I was expecting a lot of running.
I mean, we did get rodeo, right? He ran for over 100 yards.
But, man, I did not see 370 past yards and five pass touchdowns coming.
I'm gonna be honest with you.
I'll tell you what you know, this is the type of game that with the talent he has on the offensive side of the ball that we all kind of hoped for and, you know, but it was still hard to fathom him actually putting up this kind of production, so we'll see if he could do it consistently.
But boy, Q B two is just five touchdowns.
I really didn't know if he had this in him.
So good to see that he does.
You guys, I have to say with a quick this was one that, you know, Sunday I see him throw the pick six.
Thinking like like, yeah, you know, this e thought I thought we had this one, uh, peg pretty well.
You know, I could remember just kind of looking back to see how it Rojo was doing and being, like, what? Tom Brady.
Just through 1/4 touchdown and, of course, later on 1/5.
And it was just kind of stunning. I know L.
A was, you know, it's quite a long way to travel, but that's still it's still a very solid defense.
And you know, we well, this one for me, it was particularly frustrating.
So yeah, eso was the next guy.
Man, where have you been all season? Atlanta Falcons running back Todd Gurley before we sell you his aggregate projection Running back 15 he ended up his running back 12.
Yeah, I believe that 16 attempts on 57 yards equates the like just over 3.
5 yards per carry.
Hey, you just got to got in the end zone.
You got in the end zone twice.
You can't take anything away from him, Got those two touchdowns.
But you know, one of the reasons we cited wanting to not go with Todd Gurley this week is because we did not expect him once again to be very involved in the past game.
And we did get that aspect of it, right, because he just had one reception on one target for six yards, but and once again, Travis the only one that's buying this guy straight weeks of 16 touches out of the backfield.
So mixing Brian Hill still mixing in that in that rushing attack? Yep, for sure.
But you know, girlie just keeps finding a way now, like I'm gonna pull up our little consistency metrics here real quick just because I was surprised to see where Gurley Waas and where are you, Todd Gurley Bear with us on this live podcast here.
He's running back 20 inconsistencies in the most concern.
He's the 20th most consistent running back in football right now.
I mean, he's he's been inside of the top 23 of the four weeks this season.
Doesn't feel that way because it doesn't really feel that way to me.
But running back 20 and weak to he was running back 51.
Then he was running back 18 in this past week.
Is running back 12 You know, like Jay said it was not very pretty, but he did get in the end zone twice.
He is attached to that offense with a terrible defense.
So it's just really interesting to kind of look at Todd Gurley going forward and to see, you know, really what? This Oh, and four Falcons team is going to do with themselves Who Leo's heard again.
Calvin Ridley got blanked.
You know, Russell Gauge did barely anything hating her still isn't making a really big impact.
And Todd Gurley is not even making that big of an impact so far.
So, you know, obviously we knew that defense was gonna be trouble, but we expected that offense to be able to compensate for it.
And it gets, um, Winds here and there.
I mean, if they're special teams knew how to recover an onside kick, maybe they would have won.
But e, I don't know if you guys would agree with me on this or not.
But Todd Gurley this season, it almost feels like last season.
But we weren't really expecting that, given the change of scenery, the more explosive offense.
We thought he'd be using the passing game, but he just seems like, you know, again, he's gonna end up under 1000 yards, But he seems straight headed for over double digit touchdowns once again, and it just kind of feel like it's almost a repeat.
Yeah, Yeah, I agree, Steve, and it's like they're just they're managing is it Seems like they're managing his touches, not giving them the full workload, you know, keeping some tread on those tires as the season goes along and he'll put together a nice little season playoff for the playoffs.
Is that what you're saving them for? The playoffs, guys, you might want to try and get a win before we start thinking about that.
I know they're letting seven teams in per conference this season, but you gotta get a couple wins to getting attorneys.
Got a plan for the stretch run, you know? Yeah, man, I'll tell you what.
This next guy is somebody that I mean, I don't mind being wrong about it all.
It was really exciting.
This is somebody that we were hyped on coming into the season, and we're talking about the Washington football teams running back Antonio Gibson.
We were selling him verse in aggregate projection of our B 20 primarily because Baltimore was a 14 point favorite that they have that vaunted defense, you know? So we just didn't expect the guy to really have a big day.
And, boy, were we wrong he ended up his RB five.
Hey! Had 13 carries for 46 yards and a touchdown on the ground.
And then he added through the air four more receptions on five targets for 82 yards.
So in total, he had 100 and 28 yards and a touchdown.
So big day for that.
Divers, that defense.
And now all of a sudden, it looks like the sky's the limit for Antonio Gibson.
Yeah, this is one time where I don't mind being wrong, because we've always been Antonio Gibson fans.
So I'm excited to see him prove us wrong and, like you said against a great Baltimore defense and, you know, in college the guy caught more passes than he had rushing attempts, so you know he can excel in that space.
So to see him put up 82 yards on just four catches, the running production I almost seen as icing on the cake compared to his passing production because he's such a dynamic guy, so very excited to see him just do it against such a good defense.
So we'll be rooting for him the rest of the way, for sure, and I do want.
I do want to say when it comes to Gibson Guys, you said it best, Ben.
We we primarily we're selling him because of you know, the game script, and we've seen Washington on the negative side of that plenty of this season and I'm sorry.
I should just call them the football team.
But anyways, the football team has been in a negative game script, plenty throughout the season, and they really hadn't been utilizing him a whole lot in the passing game.
And, you know, that was kind of head scratching.
I think for a lot of us, So it was definitely encouraging to see him in a negative game script, get some passing work and, you know, obviously make the most of it with over 20 yards of reception.
So, like you said, we're all working for that guy.
He's definitely one of our guys on this podcast.
Another guy that, you know, I've I've picked on here and there throughout the early parts of this season is Baltimore Ravens tight end Mark Andrews.
We were selling him as an aggregate projected tight end three overall this week and we got this one wrong because that's exactly where he finished, however.
Three catches on three targets for 57 yards but two touchdowns touches life at the tight end position.
I mean, I I can't complain about that too much.
All of us sold this.
I mean, we're now at I'm sorry, everybody.
This is the worst accuracy week we've had this season.
Total foresight is now three and 10 Onley Person above 500.
This week was travel at seven and six so far.
And now let me just get through this last guy real quick.
This one is one where we technically got it wrong.
But conceptually, I feel like we kind of got this one right.
We knew he would be involved.
We knew he would get some targets more so than he's gotten two of the past three games.
Six targets, four catches, 51 yards.
We were selling him versus aggregate projection.
Too tight and 10 he ended up finishing his tight end 12.
So you know that actually, total force I got that right.
I'm I got it wrong.
Me and Jay got that wrong.
Travis, Steve and total foresight all got that right.
I just feel like I don't know. I feel like Hayden.
Her season has been really a far cry from what we all expected.
Like Austin, Hooper is a great route runner, a solid blocker.
He's not the athlete that Hayden Hurst was, and when he played last year, he was absolute beast at the tight end position, like top three and points per game, I believe.
And now we expected Hayden Hurst to come right in.
Step right into that role.
Matty Isis, Second year in an offense with that new offensive coordinator, all the signs were there.
And now, even with Julio hampered and out, they don't lean on the man and it doesn't make sense.
So it really doesn't.
Yeah, so hopefully better days are ahead for that offense because Matty Ice remains my quarterback.
I will say in spite of this dismal week, total foresight on the season is still 31 29 overall.
Travis, you're beating us all.
We're not even talking about your record.
Your never welcome on this podcast again.
Just kidding, buddy.
Eso You know, it's it was a tough week.
We will come back bigger and stronger next week.
But we are still over 500.
Like you always say J Vegas only operates on a 5% margin.
So as long as we're on the right side of 500 we are still doing it right.
But, man, we really need another bounce back week, like we had in Week three, coming up in week five.
So we're gonna put our heads together and be back with that.
But in the meantime, J.
How healthy or how not healthy did we end up after week for? Well, you shouldn't be surprised at this point.
We're going to have major injuries.
It seems every single week of this season.
So I hope your benches are loaded with guys who can step in and step up for your fantasy teams.
We're gonna kick this one off with tight end Noah Fant.
Denver Broncos sprained his ankle out for at least the foreseeable future.
We have I'm gonna I'm gonna get to the bucks in a second cause they play on Thursday night.
But we have Austin, eh? Killer who had a Grade two hamstring strain, couldn't put any weight on it.
I'm sure likely to be placed on IR if he hasn't been already.
But he's gonna be out for several weeks, I'm sure.
Maybe appearing on Steve's waiver wire target list.
Here we have Jordan Aitken's Houston tight end.
He's, uh, he's gonna go through the concussion protocol, so he's likely out.
We have some if he injuries, but then you know one to keep an eye on Kenyan Drake.
I know he's been hampered with poor play this week, but he seemed to pick up a little bit of something and Chase Edmunds actually finished the game with the bulk of the carries.
So there's, you know, Cliff Kingsbury hasn't hasn't come out and said that there's anything going on with Kenyan Drake, but he was notably absent from the end of that game, although maybe it's just last year of what we saw in Arizona.
Cliff Kingsbury just kind of falls out of favor with his number one RB and leans on the backup guy for whatever reason, and that guy becomes the fantasy stuff.
Who knows what it is? I don't even care.
I don't like the Cardinals.
Moving on All right, O J.
Howard like you said, ruptured Achilles.
He's done for the season.
But Cam Newton you know, it's an interesting one.
It's not an injury, but with co vid just the timetable and what has to occur in order to be cleared to come back is just an interesting thing to keep.
To keep an eye on, you have to be symptom free for, I believe, 72 hours on Gwen.
That is the case.
You then have toe have 33 negative tests, so it does take some time to be cleared.
If they find that he has a fever, then you have to be symptom free for, uh for so many days and then have three consecutive negative test.
So it's a little bit up in the air for any of these players that test positive for co vid Um eso Just keep an eye on him heading into Week five.
Some quick updates.
He's been placed on short term ir um Drew Lock.
Possibly two, away from returning to the Denver Broncos quarterback position. Jimmy G.
Similar situation a week or two away where he Mostert sounds like he could be on track to return this week, but it's just gonna be a situation where you're gonna have to watch practice reports and see if he's gonna be ready to go.
And if he is, there he is there gonna plug him right back into a starting spot.
Sterling Shepard is on.
I are still So he's a couple weeks away.
2 to 4 weeks away.
Cam makers running back of the L. A. Rams.
He's supposedly gonna be back this week to just further muck up the running back position for the Rams in that three headed monster they have.
So good luck guessing on who's gonna be the guy week to week in that backfield.
Um, Deontay Johnson has a concussion, but since our game was postponed, he should be good to G 04 week five.
So you should be good there, Zack Moss.
But again, I'm not sure how fantasy relevant that is at this point, uh, for Mr Moss, because mostly because of poor play.
But let's get to the Bucks because that's an interesting situation.
Uh, they play against Chicago on Thursday night, so we're only two days away from that game and today's injury.
Listen to this list.
Chris Godwin did not practice.
Mike Evans did not practice.
Scotty Miller did not practice.
Justin Watson did not practice.
Leonard Fournette did not practice.
LaShawn McCoy did not practice.
O J Howard on IR Kenyan Barner If you want to take notes suspended so you know that's a That's gonna be an interesting situation to keep a nigh on for the Bucks, who are on short turnaround playing on Thursday night.
But that's what I have for you.
It's a crap show.
Yeah, it Z 2020 that's for sure.
Steve, we're done with Week four.
Brother were moving it on the Week five and start telling us how we can claw our way back into the Win column with these Week five waiver wire targets.
You will have Thio given the waiver wire landscape and, uh hey, to your point JJ about and you've been talking about all these injuries just going over some of the names this week.
I mean, my goodness, that the running back position so far we have probably I feel like it's five big name running backs, probably the you know we're in the 1st 12 backs that came off the board this season have either already missed the game, are currently missing time and will miss more, or they're going to miss time moving forward.
So, um, it's pretty dirty out there and I will segue then, right into who I i personally.
I'm gonna go ahead and say I have these in order by running back, receiver, quarterback, tight end and I just kind of order them how I personally favor them.
And and again when I mentioned, like what I would do with the fact yeah, with a fab bid.
Um, that's based off of just keeping it.
Simple math here, a $100 budget.
So if I say 20% that be $20 now, I understand that some people may only have 10 bucks left.
So again, if I say 20% don't think Onley $2 of your 10 bucks left.
That means, but everything you have and you're probably not going to get the guy.
So with that, said the guy I have, it's and it's not maybe in a homer, but the earnest Johnson running back of the Cleveland Browns Onley 1% rostered, meaning he's certainly available out there if you want to take your shot on him.
So, you know, I've definitely heard folks say that, you know, this Sunday, the Browns.
Hey, we were We had a big lead.
Um, you know, Kareem Hunt was already nursing a groin injury.
It kind of made sense to give this kid some run, and I'm not going to say that That's not not true.
However, this Brown's team were averaging 204 yards a game on the ground, which is 25 more than the second highest team in the entire NFL.
And, you know, I just have to say we're going to keep running the football, and, you know, this is a game that, you know, I watched pretty intently, and I could tell you Johnson looked sensational.
Yeah, on 13 carries on.
And okay, so let's say Kareem Hunt is healthy and doesn't miss any of the time.
He otherwise would have missed until Nick Chubb gets back.
That means there is still a very valuable running back role vacant in this Browns offense.
Secondly, growing injuries don't just go away, so there is a chance.
There is a chance that they scale back Karim a little bit to know that they can't lose.
They can afford to lose both Chub and Hunt at the same time and give Johnson more looks.
Or if he misses time altogether.
And they are both out.
Johnson's now all of a sudden, the RB one in a very all of a sudden, potent rushing attack.
So, yeah, I don't think it all, Steve, you're being a Homer.
I do understand the cir***stances, but just imagine what Nick Chubb would have been doing to that Dallas defense if he hadn't been hurt.
And I'll tell you what.
I don't know the name of your offensive line coach, but he has done one heck of a job because that rushing attack Callahan baby, that's right, The run blocking.
You could almost put anybody back there, and they're going to be successful, and they pretty much have.
They've used everybody on the roster and everybody's averaging over five yards per carry.
So I mean, esto line coaching football.
Yes, and so you're right, Steve Dennis Johnson into Ben's point.
If Kareem Hunt already nursing a little something, the guy looked phenomenal last week, so, yeah, I mean, I'm all I'm all in.
Yeah, and I completely agree, guys, that they cream hunt can't They're not going to rely on him to carry the load, especially on a run first team that wants to run the ball, you know, 55 60% of their offensive plays.
You simply can't do that with anybody.
Really? So there's definitely gonna be a role there, And, you know, for anyone that watched the game, you know, the kid had great patients, let his own blocks develop.
Um, he had a little bit of shape getting up through, you know, creases had some nice cutbacks and finished runs nicely.
I mean, there's a lot of there.
There was a lot of really like to see out of him.
So, um, you know, I don't know if he's gonna offer anything in the passing game, and of course, in PPR that's, you know, a little bit of a downside.
But he's going to get touches each and every week, and we'll see if he could produce.
But there's a lot of teams out there right now that really need running back help in fantasy football.
So you know when it comes down to it, you know, that's my top guy.
I am willing to probably go 25 to 30% of my fab budget to acquire him, Just given the chance that there's some upside and that rushing offense and should something happen to Kareem Hunt because, you know, I didn't say it yet, but it sounds like Nick Chubb is gonna be out Probably about six weeks or so.
It could be a little shorter, could be a little longer.
But you know that this guy, he's going to get an opportunity, and it's not just gonna last one or two weeks.
He's not a short term rental in that regard.
Now, moving on to I would say, Justin Jackson, for me is probably the second guy.
Joshua Kelly is still out there in leagues because he's only roster and 54% of them.
I'd say he'd probably be my top guy period of the week, but 54% yeah, my man.
But anyways, 54% he's not that available.
Justin Jackson, on the other hand, 5% rostered.
He's highly available, and you know the latest I've heard on Austin Meckler is that the Chargers are hopeful he'll return this season, and that seems pretty pessimistic when you put it that way.
Um, that means his injury might be serious, depending on how bad the team is by the time he's healthy enough to return.
Maybe they shelve them the rest of the season.
That's just speculating, but we know that it's not.
It's not gonna be just Justin Kelly.
It's not gonna be just Justin Jackson in this offense.
They're both going to get used.
But even if even if Justin Jackson finds himself in more of a third down roll because he certainly is the better pass catcher between the two running backs, that's still gonna be valuable.
If he could get 10 to 12 touches every week.
And he has some of that PPR upside.
And, of course, if you know Justin Kelly, I'm sorry.
Joshua Kelly continues to be inefficient, like he has been the last couple of weeks.
He's coughed up the ball the last two weeks.
Um, maybe Justin Jackson slides into the more dominant role out of those two, so you know there's opportunity for that as well And I think you know, between the two, if they're both available in your league, you're gonna be able to get Justin Jackson far cheaper than you would Joshua Kelly now, Joshua Kelly, On the other hand, he will probably have the first shot to be the one and two down back, and he will get the goal line work between those two guys.
So you know, that's the more valuable role between the two.
And you know, it's gonna be up in the air.
Just just see how everything gets divvied up between these two guys.
So, you know, those would definitely be like the next to ads for me.
And, you know, as Faras Fab would be concerned if Kelly's out there anywhere from 25 to 35% Jackson more like 15 to 20%.
And again, I'm I'm kind of going on like a little bit of the upper number there just because there's so many teams that if you're listening to this, your decimated on your roster and you need running back help, I don't think there's many rosters out there in any league.
That's just like, No, I'm all set it running back right now, So you should always be trying to add depth ad guys that, you know, you even think that you could flex maybe at some point in time and running back, because at the rate we're going, everyone's gonna lose an R B one or two at some point throughout this season.
Moving on to chase Edmunds would be the next guy that I would want to add.
And this is, you know, it's a little bit more of an upside play.
I don't know if you wanna march him out there even as a flex this upcoming week.
So you know, that's the downside to this particular add, However, like you alluded to J, he was banged up at the you know, end of that Carolina game, and he has not played well.
He has not performed, and we've seen it in the past.
If if they need to move on and put somebody else in that future role, they'll do, it s oh, so you know, to me, he's somebody that you know.
Maybe you put 15% fab down.
If he's available, he's only currently 34% roster league.
So in more leads than not he is available and you just kind of hope that you're going to cash in.
You know, a nice lottery ticket on that because obviously, if he gets his chance in that offense, that is somebody who could possibly be a league winner.
But that's, you know, a lot of speculation involved with that one.
It's well, what's not a lot of speculation is what our eyeballs have seen with Kenyan Drake like, I don't think any of us would ever thought with the year he had last year, once he got to Arizona.
Second year in that offense, healthy coming into the season.
I mean, I'm just shocked that Kenyan Drake is not more like the guy that he was last year.
So maybe unbeknownst to everyone, he is dealing with some sort of injury behind the scenes.
And, you know, just like you said Chase, Edmunds is a really interesting guy and, you know, I almost would feel comfortable flexing this week.
I just got a weird feeling that there's something more going on with Kenyan Drake than we know about well and that's the thing that's great about, you know, when you put you kind of get to call your shot when it comes to the wave or why it's like you could put your money where your mouth is and go get guys, you know.
And you know, that's what kind of what makes it fun each and every week.
Um and so I only have one other running back to touch on.
And I'm not that excited about him, which is why I have him last even further down than a guy that has, you know, like I said, a little bit more of a speculative kind of add.
But that's Damian Harris running back in the New England Patriots, you know, last night he got 17 carries, cashed in for 100 yards, you know, didn't get in the end zone.
And you know, when it comes to PPR, unless you have any kind of a bonus involved for hitting 100 yards scoring, that's still only 10 PPR points.
Because he is was not targeted in the past game.
He will not be targeted in the passing game.
He was clearly in there, you know, 17 times he got carries.
That's his role.
He was pretty much just like a better than usual Sony Michelle.
So that said that you know, the Chiefs.
That's definitely a defense You can run the ball on.
So in New England is definitely make a concerted effort to run the ball to keep the ball away from the Kansas City Chiefs.
So he's somebody that you know, especially in PPR formats.
I'm not necessarily too excited about, because I think last night it might be more of a ceiling out of him.
But then again, a lot of teams need running back.
So he seems to be the guy right now in New England.
And, you know, for me, I would put up 10 to 15% of my fat budget and, you know, march them out there in your flexor.
Lord knows I'm in a couple of leagues or he'd probably be my RB two because it's just it's desperate.
Well, that's and that's it, Steve.
I mean, guys air dropping like flies and running back especially.
I mean, you know, these guys are they're cutting hard.
They're you know, they're they're running straight into impact, so I mean, you know it's gonna happen.
The war of attrition is is worse than normal this year.
So you've got a stockpile.
As many as much potential as you possibly can.
No, that's that's what I mean.
You're You're absolutely right.
So and, hey, even if you're a team that's healthier running back if you have the fat budget and you have the the availability on your bench like you, it's not a bad idea to add people, because look around your league.
You don't wanna be half of the other teams in your league right now.
That air just suffering at the position.
So we'll move on the wide receiver.
And, um, I have Levesque additional junior wide receiver, the Jacksonville Jaguars currently still still only 24% rostered, um, the one.
The one caveat to this one is he did leave Sunday's contest late with a bit of a hamstring.
I was checking for stuff this, I'd say around dinner time, couldn't find anything online as far as an update on him was concerned.
So if you can, before putting in any bids tonight, um, certainly try to find some more information because obviously, if he's dealing with a hamstring, he's not gonna be available for you in a feast matchup with Houston this week.
You you know my temper, your expectations and therefore my recommendation of going as high as 15 to 20% of your fat budget.
You might not want to do that for a guy who could be shelved this week.
Um, so I definitely wanted to point that out.
And kind of the same goes for adding Alshon Jeffery Ah, guy that still surprisingly available and a lot of leagues.
And we know that he if he's healthy, when he does finally take the field, even with some tough matchups coming up, he's somebody that's still he's gonna get targets and he usually can produce with Carson Wentz.
And there's, you know, there's definitely some value to be had there.
But there's also a ton of question marks, and, you know, that's why you know, for me personally, I'm not really high on that situation.
But if you're needy, a wide receiver on he does come back healthy.
He could step right in and be a producer.
So Onda again, I put him probably in the same price range as far as what you want to do with the fab budget.
Probably 15 20% tops and again that the top range being that if you really need help at wide receiver and ah, guy, that was Ah spec stash last week.
And you know Tee Higgins, wide receiver Cincinnati Bengals.
He's up to being rostered 33% so he no longer could be a speck stash.
He's over that 30% threshold, But you know, he was somebody who the previous week had had nine targets, got in the end zone twice, and it was like, Well, you know, you got to see it, too.
You know, you got to see it more than just one week before you'd actually want to put him in the lineup.
But we saw it again this week.
You know, he had four catches for 77 yards.
Uh, barely missed on catching a couple of touchdowns.
The last couple of weeks.
He's out targeted a J.
Green, 16 to 11.
And, like you said Ben A.
Green, the most expensive decoy in the NFL.
And you see a rookie like Tee Higgins, um, and Tyler Boyd both benefiting greatly from that, and you have to like the maturity employees out of Joe Burrow that he's not worried about feeding the potential future Hall of Fame veteran in a J.
Green that he's like, I'm gonna I'm gonna throw the ball to the open receiver.
So we've seen that enough out of borough that that does make me feel comfortable about wanting to add a tee Higgins.
And you know, at this point he's somebody that if you add him, you probably need receiver help and you're willing to flex him or put him in your wide receiver. Three.
And you should feel reasonably confident about doing so.
And I put him again, kind of like with the rest of these guys in that 15 20% range.
Scotty Miller, wide receiver for Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
He's only 16% rostered.
Like you said, though Jay, he's been dealing with something for the last couple of weeks Now, Um, he managed to put together five grabs for 83 yards and a touchdown this past Sunday, and with all of the, you know, pass catching injuries that they have, one would think that if he's healthy, Tom Brady will try to rely on him.
But the you know, the question is how healthy is he and it's a short week.
So, you know, this is one that even though I looked at him, is like a one week Reynolds.
He's a risky one week rental, so I mean, I wouldn't necessarily wanna put more than even, like, 5% of my fab into getting him because he could disappoint.
And then you're gonna turn around, drop him anyways.
So, you know, take that for what it is in the last last wide receiver that I wanna mention is Tim Patrick, wide receiver of the Denver Broncos.
Only 2% roster currently.
And you know Courtland Sutton's out.
KJ handler, uh, looked like he had a pretty bad hamstring injury last Thursday night because he didn't participate in anything with the team today.
And, you know, I just don't think that puts him on a very good trajectory to actually play this upcoming Sunday.
And I know a fan will be out this Sunday and you know, three guys had 10 grabs on 11 targets for a buck 56 a score in each of the last two games.
And you know, the match up in New England is not ideal, but we know that Jerry Judy will be the one who draws Stephon Gilmore and will be the focus in the passing game of the New England defense.
And that will allow Tim Patrick that just, you know it's not gonna be pretty.
It'll be ugly, but you could see in in a PPR league.
You could see him coming out, you know, with 56 grab 60 70 yards.
And if he happens to hit pay dirt, then you're really happy that you picked them up again.
There's a potential like I'm looking at him is a one week rental that you spend 5% of your Fab on and they do travel back home and get Miami.
You know, a home in Denver the next week.
So should there still be guys that air out like a fan continues to be out.
If Handler can't get back from that hammy, that's an even more favorable, favorable matchup for Patrick.
Plus, he might have drew lock back by them, too.
So there was one other wide receiver I had that we're just going to skip because I just don't I can't recommend him to anybody.
But that was Trey Kwan Smith.
The only way that you would want to add him.
E Well, the reason being If if, by tonight you knew for certain anyone who's gonna spend anything to add him if you knew that Michael Thomas would be out, most certainly, But to go out and get a guy who could very well just be phased right out of the offense, or at least be extremely unreliable with Michael Thomas is return.
You just wouldn't want to spend anything on him Now.
There is certainly there, certainly the scenario where with their bye week looming in Week six that they're like, You know what? Empty.
You've come a long way.
But just take one more week because at this point, you have a by next week like That's not even push things.
And then if we just knew what they were going to do with any cer*****y, I'd be way more aggressive on him is like the best one week rental type wide receiver.
Hey, this is this isn't this is an easy solution.
Where we have this is an easy situation.
Then what do you think about track Juan Smith? At this point, I honestly I'm sitting here thinking I would roll the dice, that the organization is going to rest Michael Thomas and let him take the extra week off and go into the buy and that you should go and rent Track one.
So here to stay away.
Stay away from him.
Just can't be right, right run from him.
Put your $5 elsewhere.
Yeah, that makes just too much sense.
Yes, that they would want their All Star franchise wide receiver one to be super healthy.
And given that one more week, that would equate to because that makes so much sense.
It's not gonna bank on Michael to empty starting this week and just just avoid every wide receiver target on that team, which will be like seven, because Drew Brees hates throwing it past five yards down the field.
Alright, so, fellas, there's a couple of quarterbacks that will just breeze through really quick Teddy Bridgewater quarterback.
The Carolina Panthers.
Only 38% roster.
You know, you look great this past Sunday and I'm just gonna leave it at this.
They play Atlanta, All right? So moving on to Kirk Cousins, quarterback of the Minnesota Vikings, only 29% roster.
The thing that I like about picking up Kirk cousins, especially if you're the quarterback streaming type, not even necessarily just is like an Aaron Rodgers fill in for this week.
They play Seattle Granite.
It's at Seattle, but we that that defense just is hemorrhaging production to opposing passing offenses.
I believe they've been giving up on average 50 pass attempts against them per contest.
So a t end of the day and we know that Ross is gonna cook against that terrible Minnesota defense.
So whether it comes in a shootout, whether it comes in just like that fourth quarter garbage stuff, Kirk Cousins probably going to be a top 12 quarterback next week just because of the matchup alone.
And then you look forward to the next week they play the Atlanta Falcons.
You know, too trashy defense's.
Hopefully, Atlanta's a little healthier on offense, and again, that just projects is it's gonna, you know, gross game when it comes to like the quality of those two football teams.
But for fantasy purposes, you know there's gonna be pieces that come out of that.
Quarterbacks included that look good and, you know, Kirk cousins.
I couldn't run faster from him, Probably for the rest of the season, but hey.
So you know, if you need Thio, I mean, for me, it's like 125% tops for, like, just renting these guys for a week or two.
But those of the quarterbacks and then, man, uh, tight end Robert Tanyon is Italian tannin.
Yeah, Onley 30 30% rostered.
You know, he had already caught a couple of touchdowns the last couple of weeks from Aaron Rodgers.
And then, you know, last night caught all six targets.
Yeah, for 98 yards and three scores.
So, you know, we have three consecutive weeks with him being a red zone target.
And, you know, you know, obviously Davante Adams will command ah lot of target share once he does return.
But, you know, I think there's definitely a connection there.
And real quick, Steve to that point, each of the for each of the first four weeks of the season, this guy guy has made market improvements.
Week one finishes tight end, 59 week too tight and 17 week three tight and four.
And last week, tight end to yeah, so yeah, that's what I mean.
He's being relied on.
And the thing is, I don't know, Zardes like done.
So they're they're still gonna be lacking someone that is consistent, reliable, because I mean it, Z, if it was ever gonna be, it was gonna be verse Atlanta this week would have helped a lot more if Mr Adams would have played.
But I'll leave it alone.
Eso eso I mean, if you need a tight end.
I mean, I think he's instantly on the tight end.
One weekly radio radar, like from here on out, the only thing that stinks about this guy's Obviously he's on a by next week, by the way, so don't go spending a lot of fab thinking.
Oh, I got myself a tight end one starter for next week because you don't.
But that said, if you need a tight end, 15 to 20% of your fat budgets probably totally worth it, because it's tough to get a guy that you think is gonna be good, reliable, and I'd say I put the next guy on this list in a very similar fab kind of spending situation.
And that's Dalton Schultz, tight end of the Dallas Cowboys because he's still on Lee, 52% rostered, which is a little surprising.
Um, it's got 17 grabs, 208 yards and two touchdowns.
Uh, in three games since Blake Darwin's gone down.
And, uh, you know I know, you know, I hear well, Dak Prescott.
It's not going to throw 45 50 times a week.
All season long.
They'll try to establish Zika Little Mawr, and I don't know.
The defense is terrible.
The defense there Dallas is Defense is horrendous this season, and they have all that talented wide receiver.
And that seems to be the kind of game that they wanna call on how they wanna play.
So, you know, even if even if he's targeted a little less, the type of numbers he's putting up right now would have him, you know, right up there is one of the top five in the league.
So right and one of the reasons that we were all so excited about Blake Jar Jar went on top of the vacated targets from Jason Witten and Randall Cobb was the fact that Dac likes to throw to his tight end a ton And we talked about that.
Steve, you talked about that? Um, you know, as we were making the transition from Jar Window Schultz that DAC really favors targeting his tight end.
And we have seen nothing but that I am shocked, Steve, shocked to hear you say he is currently only 52% roster. That's crazy.
Yeah, especially since the, you know, the couple of games leading up to this one.
He'd been highly productive at the position.
So the one thing I do wanna mention and again it's if you confined any news, I think I think he's probably just perfectly fine.
He took a pretty hard hit late in the game late in the fourth quarter Sunday.
Uh, and you know, he seemed a limp off, but it didn't seem like it was anything serious, but, you know, just do a little more.
I couldn't find anything so again around dinner time, I was just trying to scrap up any kind of news.
I was like, Okay, you know, just hits football, you know, you take some hits and some looks during games that just kind of shake it off.
And I think that's all that that Waas.
And you know this one is more of a flyer, and it really seems like it shouldn't be.
But Mohali Cox, if desperate for a tight end, still, only 33% roster, and he still might be a little bit more of a stash tight end on Lee.
Got to targets his.
You know, he's not been targeted a lot, but he gets in the end zone again. So he's had over.
He's either hit 100 yards or been in the end zone the last three games.
You know, of course, they're concerned for Cox.
Is there the cold air playing great defense and they're running the football and they're not letting Philip Rivers threw the ball whole lot.
Trey Burton's also back from Steve.
Noah's well as I do, brother, that are Cleveland Browns Defense is not where it ought to be.
And I would expect Mohali Cox, who plays are Brown's this week, uh, Thio to see maybe more than two targets.
Unfortunately, his nice trend of either yards or touchdowns is what you're saying or both.
Maybe yeah, yeah, it's because I feel that way because it makes sense.
Stay away from Mohali Cox sometime is what that means.
Well, and you know, to that point, though, in Week one we saw Mark Andrews have a sensational game in Week two.
If you combine your mama, yeah, if you combine their numbers, that's like a top five tight end.
You know, we held Logan Thomas and check with the Redskins, but Dwayne has held Logan Thomas and check.
Let's be honest, exactly.
Most teams dio and then and then you know Schultz had a really nice day against us, too.
So you know Malala COX You figure when there are some games, because who do they have to throw the ball to? Michael Pittman Junior done for the foreseeable future.
Who knows if he plays this season? You got Zach Paschal in a bunch of tight ends off which Mo Alley Cox is the most talented Y Hilton.
They have t y Hilton, I think.
Notice how I didn't even name him, which, by the way, but now I'm starting to get animated before we get off this podcast.
Ben, I don't think you even mentioned that I just thought the same thing as soon as you said I was like Oh, I t y Hilton.
We got that one right, baby.
Everybody But Trev sold him.
He was a wide receiver.
26 aggregate projection.
Only finished his wide receiver that knew we knew it.
Take that goddess.
We got a full quarter of the season of T y Hilton just being seemingly done.
So? So I didn't even name him when I was thinking of receivers because he hasn't been productive this year.
Zack Paschal. At least a little bit.
So yeah. Mohali Cox.
It might develop more later, but if you wanna put a 1 to 5% of your fab budget and just get him on your bench anyways, I couldn't fall ****.
So, man, it seems like a lot.
But man, there's just so many injuries.
You guys at this point this season, Steve, I feel like I'm almost better off just going out there, rolling the dice on a lot of these gambles, streaming these guys week to week, then loading my roster with big name quality, talented players because they just aren't producing with any consistency.
So we're gonna hurt.
It's just funny how it's now.
We're heading in from week for a week five at the start of season and draft season and all that were such snobs and have such high and lofty expectations for what our rosters are.
Whereas now we call heading into Week five.
We're just, like, so thirsty for these dump Dumpster dive like s***my bargains.
It's just, Oh, how the mighty have fallen and how how humbled we have become by the attrition of this 2020 season.
Things has been a good therapy session, guys.
I feel a lot better now than I did before we got on the podcast.
I'll be honest with me.
They're always good to know that you're not alone.
Yes, that's true. That's true.
Yes, and it's like and it's good to come on here and talk to people to get it.
And to know that, like, Okay, there was good reason for us to be wrong on this like this, and not all wrong answers are created equal.
Some were like, This is stupid.
Somewhere like Oh, Antonio Gibson were happy to see this.
We call for that.
We just didn't expect that this week type of deal.
So you know it's it's a fun process And at the end of the day, it's It's a lot better having football than not.
So even if it is going going a little rougher than we would like.
We're still happy to be here and happy to help how people like Travis go do great.
And Scott Fish Bowl and do great on this podcast for us.
So you guys got anything else before we get out of here? No.
All right, rebound.
And maybe not crazy injuries or covert issues.
You know what? The last time in week three it started on that podcast where I called for.
We are going to redeem ourselves.
Four in 10 is not nearly good enough, you know? Right after 10 and four.
Come on, come on.
Listen, everybody, this is gonna be our worst week of accuracy on record.
Jay's calling it terrible.
Terrible over 14 or 12 or whatever, and that's the beauty of this.
You get to tune in and find out you can come in and listen these buys and sells and think great.
I'm gonna put those in my line up for like, these guys don't know what they're talking about.
Either way, it's gonna be a good time.
You should tune in and find out.
We will be back with you at 10 a.
Sunday morning to give you a whole new list a week, five buys and sells and Steve Speculative Stashes can't wait, and that wraps up this episode of fantasy foresight.
Thank you for joining us.
Be sure to visit us as always.
At fantasy foresight dot com.
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