SportsCastr • Talking about QB's & RB's for week 4 DFS!
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00:00:02
Yeah.
00:00:03
What's going on? Everybody? Welcome to the stream.
00:00:10
My name is Kyle.
00:00:12
On today we're gonna be talking about some D EFS quarterbacks and running backs.
00:00:17
Usually I get in opportunity.
00:00:19
Thio, you know, go day by day and share my favorite positions.
00:00:24
But it's been a very, very busy week for me.
00:00:26
With work stuff.
00:00:27
I take a lot of call hospital.
00:00:29
I work in the surgery, so didn't have a ton of opportunity.
00:00:32
Thio create content, push out content throughout the week.
00:00:36
What I normally do, but yeah, So we're gonna have a lot of fun today.
00:00:42
A lot of stuff to cover, See? Just shared out to my Twitter and we will get started.
00:00:51
Really excited.
00:00:52
I have to support the Broncos today.
00:00:56
Um, good win last night.
00:00:58
I'll take what I can get these days.
00:01:05
You know, Brett Ribbon.
00:01:06
He didn't look too bad.
00:01:07
Honestly, for the most part of the game, you know, kind of fell apart there in the end of the fourth quarter.
00:01:11
Had that weird pick.
00:01:12
I think it was in the second quarter before halftime where he tried to, like, throw it away, and he, like, threw an interception.
00:01:18
I don't really know what that was about.
00:01:19
But for the most part, you know, I think he looks fine.
00:01:22
You know, Definitely.
00:01:24
You know, better than Jeff dressed school.
00:01:25
So yeah, I'll take it.
00:01:28
Hopefully a lot comes back here in a couple weeks and we can get started.
00:01:33
So this is your first time joining me? Thanks so much.
00:01:38
My name is Kyle.
00:01:39
You can follow me at Fantasy Reserve on Twitter.
00:01:42
You're free to DME about any fantasy your DFS questions.
00:01:46
You could tag me in any polls, and I'll retweet them for you and interact, Mark, I see needed.
00:01:51
Um you know, like everybody else.
00:01:53
I enjoy fantasy and I love talking about it.
00:01:54
So let's go ahead and get started.
00:01:56
Uh, so last week we did okay.
00:02:00
I think we bought in for $60.
00:02:02
We did $3 buy ins on the draft.
00:02:04
Kings 100 K 2 first.
00:02:06
Usually like this week, it's the $1.
00:02:07
6 million play Action 100.
00:02:09
1st match.
00:02:10
20 entries.
00:02:11
That's what I usually like to dio like to get up multiple fields in little playoffs, um, lineups and and see what I could do.
00:02:17
We did find put in 60 cashed out with, like, 85.
00:02:20
So we're making bigger profit.
00:02:21
You know, Week one, we put in 120 cashed out 120 we to put in 60 cash out 66 6 week we put in 60 cashed out 84 85 whatever it was.
00:02:32
So, you know, we're making a profit.
00:02:34
Been close, man.
00:02:35
Been really close.
00:02:36
One or two lineups that were, like, right there on the on the brink.
00:02:40
And, you know, you just you switch out one guy and it makes a huge difference.
00:02:43
You know, you go from cashing $15 toe, you know, 55.
00:02:47
So, um, this week we're gonna be doing the same thing.
00:02:51
The $3.
00:02:52
1.
00:02:53
6 play action 100.
00:02:54
1st, there's 12 games instead of the 14 that we would normally get because of the whole covitz situation.
00:03:00
You know, the Steelers and Titans game.
00:03:03
So we're taking out some players short down the field a little bit.
00:03:06
So let's go ahead and look at some quarterbacks there.
00:03:09
A lot of good quarterbacks this week, A lot of good matchups.
00:03:12
I'll kind of go through, you know, just kind of the the good place to safe place.
00:03:17
And then I usually pick three of my favorites that I'm like, I'm a locked these guys into 50% of my line up.
00:03:22
They're gonna be in.
00:03:23
You know, these three guys, we're gonna cover about 10 or 11 of my lineups altogether.
00:03:27
You know, Lamar Jackson vs Washington has a very good matchup.
00:03:29
Of course you need to keep playing.
00:03:31
Russell Wilson put Russell Wilson in whenever you can.
00:03:34
Same with Josh Allen.
00:03:35
You write out those hot hands of those two guys saying with that Prescott versus Cleveland, you just ride them out until and so they don't produce.
00:03:43
I mean, they're just playing fantastic ball right now, especially the way that their defense is Are you know, especially in Seattle, in Dallas, you know, you just keeping those guys in because they're gonna put up points to win.
00:03:53
I like Kyler Murray a little bit of Carolina, but we're gonna talk about Ken and great care a little bit.
00:03:57
You know, Jared, golf versus the Rams.
00:03:59
That's another decent one.
00:04:01
Um, it's killing on the Mormon.
00:04:04
Yeah, doing like I said, works killing me this week.
00:04:07
I take a lot of calm actually on call now, so hopefully I don't get a phone call while on the stream.
00:04:11
That would be a real buzzkill, but let's go and start with my number one guy to Shawn Watson, 6600 versus the Minnesota Vikings.
00:04:21
I think this is the true like breakout game for DeShaun Watson.
00:04:24
It was a lot of reasons why people were trying to fade him, maybe to begin the year he started off versus Kansas City, Baltimore, Pittsburgh his first three weeks.
00:04:31
He's like the inverse Josh Allen, right where Josh Allen had a fantastic starting schedule to start the year.
00:04:37
You know, Miami Andan, the Jets and everything.
00:04:40
So you know, you look at this point week 1 21.
00:04:43
8 week to 15.
00:04:45
7 week 3 18.1.
00:04:47
He's crisis 6600.
00:04:48
So you know, if you did that, the three you know, 4 4.
00:04:52
5, you know x of what you're buying this.
00:04:54
He's getting pretty close to being in that value range.
00:04:57
You know what, 60 18 24.
00:05:00
You know, he's getting really close right there about that 26 27 point range where I think he could provide some value.
00:05:04
If you look at some of the stats from this year, he's had at least 250 passing yards in all three games against Kansas City, Baltimore, Pittsburgh.
00:05:12
That is very good.
00:05:13
And he's had two games.
00:05:15
It was week, one week to where he had five and six rush attempts.
00:05:17
And I think this is where you're going to see.
00:05:19
It is in the Russian tips against Minnesota.
00:05:21
You know, you look at last year in 2019 he had nine games of 30 plus rushing yards in seven games of three plus rushing or passing touchdowns.
00:05:29
And this year he's only had, you know, the two games of two passing touchdown.
00:05:33
So I think, you know, versus a week Minnesota defense.
00:05:37
You know, this is a very, you know, good David Johnson week as well, but I think David Johnson can see his opportunity through the air, and I think we're going to see, um, Shawn Watson uses legs a little bit more.
00:05:48
Minnesota.
00:05:49
Hopefully they have a decent pass rush.
00:05:50
You know, that's that's definitely not the weakness of their team is definitely That's secondary.
00:05:55
Uh, which is really weird because they have two great safeties and like Harrison Smith and, uh, I'm blanking out on the other guy, Anthony Harris.
00:06:03
You know, they actually have some good, you know, safeties.
00:06:05
It's just, you know, the corners and those coverage linebackers or just not what they used to be.
00:06:09
But let's look at what you know.
00:06:11
Minnesota has allowed Week one.
00:06:12
Obviously, Aaron Rodgers had a fantastic into the year.
00:06:15
364 yards.
00:06:16
Philip Rivers, Week two at 214.
00:06:19
But they didn't really need to do anything that was that.
00:06:20
Kurt Cousins Week, where in some fantasy scoring systems like mine? Or, if you have, like me and Scott Fish Bowl, where he scored you, like negative 19 points.
00:06:29
That hurt a lot.
00:06:30
And so they just didn't need to throw the ball.
00:06:32
And then last week and Ryan Tannehill, he didn't have any passing touchdowns.
00:06:36
Channel had one interception but had 321 passing yards.
00:06:39
So you can put up the volume here.
00:06:40
It's really going to be.
00:06:41
Is David Johnson going to get all the work within the you know, the 5 to 10 yard line and you know it's really hard to predict touchdowns, but I think this is a week where you could see the Shawn Watson use his legs a little bit in the red zone.
00:06:52
And that's really what you need.
00:06:53
If he hits, if he hits three touchdowns this week, you know it's easy to say that.
00:06:57
But if he hits three touchdowns to Shawn Watson is going to be a top five.
00:07:01
You know, fantasy quarterback in this Sunday slight game of the 12 games, that's all there is to it because he's gonna put up the yards.
00:07:07
I firmly believe that.
00:07:10
So let's look at my second quarterback that I like. This week.
00:07:13
It's Matthew Stafford against New Orleans.
00:07:15
News came out this morning.
00:07:16
The Marshal Lattimore engineers. Jenkins.
00:07:19
They're gonna miss the game.
00:07:20
You have.
00:07:21
You know, neither one of those guys.
00:07:22
Kenny Golladay the back.
00:07:24
I thought, you know Matthew Stafford was gonna have a pretty good game last week.
00:07:27
I thought that was gonna be kind of his breakout, but maybe it's this week, but he's been very consistent.
00:07:31
A week one vs Chicago, 17.
00:07:32
2, Week two versus Green based 17.
00:07:34
2 week three vs Arizona, 18.
00:07:37
5 So there's your floor, and you know he hasn't really provided any sort of sealing games.
00:07:44
You know, I'm pulling up a stats right here.
00:07:46
Appeal 2 to 97 week 1 to 44 week, 2 to 70 week, 312 and two passing touchdowns.
00:07:54
He doesn't ever do anything on the ground except week 1 23 rushing yards.
00:07:57
So he's given you a very good floor.
00:07:59
You're just waiting for those ceiling games, and I think that's where we can see it right here is, you know, versus New Orleans, where it's a 54.
00:08:05
5 over under.
00:08:06
I'm actually gonna take the under on that, especially with no Michael Thomas.
00:08:09
But I still think, you know, we see an opportunity for Detroit toe win the game, for sure, I think this is a very a very winnable game for them and his price to 5900.
00:08:19
So it's a very friendly prices price less than two.
00:08:21
Shawn Watson is gonna be, you know, price lesson.
00:08:23
These guys that can do it in a Kyler Murray who are gonna have tough matchups.
00:08:28
Um, so you know, I like it.
00:08:30
You look at what he's, you know what they have done.
00:08:32
New Orleans passing wise, they have allowed to 39 to 84 to 83.
00:08:36
That's right in his, you know, right in his realm of possibilities are right where he's been about all season.
00:08:42
But you know the possibilities of him, you know, having those three touchdown games, four touchdown games.
00:08:45
What kind of holiday? I think that's right there for you.
00:08:47
And if you know him and Marvin Jones haven't been able to connect with Kenny Golladay back.
00:08:51
Marvin Jones always plays better with Koenig Holiday on the field.
00:08:54
So I say I like this a lot assed faras the rushing.
00:08:59
This is where I think it's gonna be the big deals where they're gonna have to throw.
00:09:02
Adrian Peterson is the starter.
00:09:04
I think you know the DeAndre.
00:09:05
Swift only had one target last last week.
00:09:09
He only had one catch. He is non existent.
00:09:11
Carry on is not the same as it used to be his full time, full time knee brace.
00:09:15
So they've only allowed 66 71 69 rushing yards allowed.
00:09:19
You know that they played, um, played the Buccaneers.
00:09:22
Weak one they share.
00:09:23
Ronald Jones.
00:09:24
Sound pretty good, Josh Jacobs week to he didn't play very well against them, even though that the Raiders won the game.
00:09:29
I think it was It was a Monday night or Sunday night, so, you know, they're just they're doing well, you know.
00:09:33
They're shutting, shutting the run down, and Detroit can't run the ball anyway.
00:09:37
So I think this is all gonna be a Matthew Stafford game, and then my final quarterback that I'm talking about.
00:09:42
This is more of a of a trust play like you put him in your lineup.
00:09:47
It's Cam Newton 6400 versus Kansas City.
00:09:50
This is just me telling you, you know, it's a He had a bad game last week.
00:09:54
It's like, Oh, maybe it's not going to work out the playing Kansas City But I think Kansas City is a favorable matchup for what? You're getting. These prices. 6400.
00:10:04
He is below DeShaun Watson in the price range.
00:10:07
If you look at what the spread is for this game, it's a 53 point over.
00:10:12
Under in Kansas City is actually favored by seven.
00:10:15
DeShaun Watson played Kansas City Week one, He had 27 yards on the ground, 253 passing yards.
00:10:21
Herbert his first start as a rookie.
00:10:23
He looked pretty decent at 311 passing yards and 18 rushing on the ground.
00:10:27
And then Lamar Jackson obviously had a very bad game, I think only 97 passing yards through the air but had 83 on the ground.
00:10:33
And so I think with the opportunity, I think Cam at this stage and what we've seen in the system, he's a better passer than Lamar Jackson can be versus what he was last week.
00:10:43
But they have allowed a little bit of rushing on the ground.
00:10:45
I said 27 18 years in a lot, but those were in systems where they weren't pushing the quarterbacks to run.
00:10:53
It's a totally different ball game here with New England, where you saw Lamar Jackson get 83 on the ground and I'm not saying, you know Cam is the same tier athletes as Lamar Jackson's faras elusiveness and agility.
00:11:03
But as far as you know, pure running and trying to tough out those yards, that's what Cam Newton provides and so I think he I think it's, you know it may be to a situation where you're like, Oh, you don't like the matchup A game had a bad game last week that maybe you wanna fade it.
00:11:16
I'm telling you know, you should definitely so put him in your lineup.
00:11:19
Take the discount at 6400.
00:11:21
Week one 25 a half 250.
00:11:25
7 points Week to 38.6.
00:11:27
And the week three.
00:11:28
He had the 12.
00:11:29
2, but he had no touchdowns right through on the ground.
00:11:33
He only had one in the air.
00:11:34
We looked at.
00:11:35
Week one is coming out party.
00:11:36
He went 15 for 19 for 1 55.
00:11:38
I think that's kind of reasonable of what we conceive versus Kansas City.
00:11:41
Maybe he he throws 20 passes, but he had 15% 5 and two touchdowns on the ground last week was just It was a Sony Michelle week.
00:11:48
It was JJ Taylor week.
00:11:50
It was a Rex Burkhead week where you know these guys, they just had success on the ground.
00:11:57
You know. Rexburg had three touchdowns.
00:11:59
I mean, those easily could have been to Cam Newton touchdowns and we would have been talking about something completely different about Wow can do is, you know, flirting with that top five MVP consideration.
00:12:10
Obviously, you know, it's led right now by Patrick Mahomes, Russell Wilson and Josh Allen.
00:12:14
But he could have been right there if had those touchdowns gone his way.
00:12:17
And that's especially in this offense that is very likely. Most.
00:12:21
It is in the range of outcomes, 100%.
00:12:25
Other quarterbacks.
00:12:26
I think that's all I'm talking about as far as quarterbacks other quarterbacks.
00:12:28
Like I said, I've mentioned Jared Golfers is the New York Giants.
00:12:31
Joe Burrow versus Jacksonville.
00:12:32
I'm liking Joe Burrow a lot, you know.
00:12:34
He's already talked 12 quarterback in fantasy so far this year, ahead of Lamar Jackson.
00:12:39
E think he's a quarterback.
00:12:40
10.
00:12:41
So it's it just it is what it is, just makes it is just going to be struggling.
00:12:46
Unfortunately, even though, you know I was one of those guys that wanted Joe Mixon on my team, you just have to live with it.
00:12:52
And until they figure it out, you just write out the Joe Burrow hype, and he's had a really good connection with, you know, Tyler Boy, a J.
00:13:00
Green.
00:13:01
Maybe he comes around, but T.
00:13:02
Higgins has looked really good.
00:13:03
You know, their first overall pick in the second round.
00:13:05
So Joe Burrow is in a really good position and hopefully through sample catches more than one passed this week.
00:13:11
Okay, take a little sip right here.
00:13:16
Hm.
00:13:17
I had a craving for Tennessee honey the other day.
00:13:19
I don't know if any of you guys have ever had that jag or the Tennessee whiskey.
00:13:24
The honey flavor.
00:13:25
It's not too bad.
00:13:26
I've been trying to find a pair with it.
00:13:27
I thought I would try it with a little bit of Dr Pepper.
00:13:29
That was not very good trying to right now with some ginger ale. It's not bad.
00:13:33
I feel like it needs a little bit more taste of you guys.
00:13:34
Have any recommendations on what you like to drink your Tennessee honey with? Please let me know because I know I have a whole bottle.
00:13:42
Don't know how to drink.
00:13:43
It s o.
00:13:47
Let's go on to running backs again.
00:13:52
This is another like Cam Newton.
00:13:54
This is another.
00:13:55
These guys, they're gonna be three confidence plays because, you know, I could go through all the running backs.
00:14:00
And you know I could I could go through until you Hey, obviously, start out on tomorrow.
00:14:04
Start Ezekiel Elliott.
00:14:06
Start.
00:14:07
Darling could start off on that player.
00:14:08
I could tell you these things.
00:14:09
That's why I always go a little deeper, you know, and try to find those guys.
00:14:13
They're gonna save you a little bit of money so you can have a well balanced roster.
00:14:16
And this first guys. Mike Davis.
00:14:18
He's running back for Carolina Panthers at 5700 vs Arizona.
00:14:21
This is a confidence play of what we've been seeing, and it's just he's Christian McCaffrey light.
00:14:27
I mean, that's what it is.
00:14:28
If you look at what he did, week, too, came in at halftime after, you know, I think it was sometime in the third quarter when Christian McCaffrey got hurt.
00:14:35
He had 98 targets, eight catches for 74 yards, 15.
00:14:39
5 fantasy points, if you look weak three, his first full week as a starter, 13 carries for 46 yards and then he had another nine targets, eight catches, 45 yards and a touchdown.
00:14:51
Obviously, the touchdown is the biggest deal, but if you take away those 16 those six points from that touchdown he still had.
00:14:57
Excuse me.
00:14:58
He still had 16 fantasy points, which is still more than when he had Week two in his first time playing.
00:15:04
Arizona is probably going to win this game.
00:15:07
I'd be very confident that another guy that I'm also liking is Kenyan Drake This week.
00:15:11
We'll talk about here in a second and more detail.
00:15:13
I just don't think that they can stop the run by Kyler by Chase Edmunds by Kenyan Drake.
00:15:19
They're going to have to throw the ball and they have so many weapons.
00:15:23
Even though you know D. J. Moore has been disappointing.
00:15:25
He's still a great weapon.
00:15:26
Robby Anderson is over, performed and look fantastic.
00:15:28
Curtis Samuel has yet to perform and have a break out game, but I still think he's a valuable piece in this offense.
00:15:33
Mike Davis is going to be involved.
00:15:35
If you look at what Christian McCaffrey did in Week one, he had 23 attempts and four targets, so 27 opportunities There just wasn't a whole lot of targets.
00:15:43
It wasn't an out.
00:15:44
It was more like an outlier because we 2.
00:15:45
5 a game.
00:15:47
He had 18 attempts in five targets, so he had 27 23 opportunities.
00:15:52
And if you look at what Mike Davis was able to do in his first week, he had 21 opportunities.
00:15:57
So he's almost in line right where Christian McCaffrey was getting in his targets and his attempts.
00:16:04
So is Mike Davis.
00:16:06
Christian McCaffrey? No, but if you look at what he's able to do, he's providing the same, basically the same opportunities that maybe, you know, 80% 75% of the talent.
00:16:15
Maybe that's a little too much, but he's still in the same offense.
00:16:18
You know, getting the same opportunities.
00:16:20
And it's an often said, you know, puts off a lot of points.
00:16:22
They move the ball up and down.
00:16:23
I think Teddy Bridgewater, who didn't have a great fantasy game last, we still put up 360 passing yards.
00:16:28
So we've seen that he can, you know, push the ball down the field a little bit.
00:16:32
My Davis is gonna benefit from that lot.
00:16:35
Well, might as well stay here in the same game.
00:16:37
We're gonna talk about Kenyan Drake.
00:16:39
He surprised at 6000.
00:16:40
So Mike Davis, priced at 5700, can you drink prices 6000.
00:16:45
If he doesn't have a good week this week, it would be time to panic if you have him in any sort of long, like season long formats.
00:16:53
He had a good matchup last week.
00:16:55
Didn't come through against the Lions. Right game.
00:16:59
When you feel go against the Lions, he plays Carolina.
00:17:02
They have done nothing but allow fantasy gold. Two running backs.
00:17:05
Week one.
00:17:06
Josh Jacobs, 25 or 10 93 yards, three touchdowns, Week to Ronald Jones.
00:17:10
Had that touchdown and beginning of game looked like it was gonna be a good game for him.
00:17:14
I kind of had that fumble miscommunication with Tom Brady.
00:17:17
Leonard Fournette came in 12 attempts.
00:17:20
103 yards and two touchdowns, and then Austin Meckler and Josh Kelley.
00:17:23
Week three 12 attempts.
00:17:25
59 yards and a touchdown for Austin Nuclear and then just eight carries for Joshua Kelly.
00:17:29
But he started 43 yards.
00:17:30
They just let up points, and, like I said the entire year, you just start your running backs against the Carolina Panthers.
00:17:37
So I'm really hoping that this is This is the week for Kenyan Drake.
00:17:41
It's not.
00:17:42
It's not that he hasn't been getting the opportunities.
00:17:45
Kenyan drinks had 18 22 and 19 opportunities the first three weeks.
00:17:50
He just hasn't.
00:17:51
He only got the end zone a week one, but he didn't have the yard is to go with it.
00:17:54
I think he only had a had 16 for 60 and weak one, and that was it.
00:17:58
The 60 yards.
00:17:59
And then he's not the same player that we saw at the end of last year, where he had these monster 200 yard games or three touchdown games, and he's getting these long, big breakaway runs on.
00:18:08
I just wanna think that it's it's just it just hasn't clicked the right way, right, Like one or two things doesn't go the right way, and he just doesn't get those big opportunities.
00:18:16
But I think those were coming for him.
00:18:17
I think we're you know, we're going to see a lot of this, you know, bounced back opportunity for him this week.
00:18:22
DeAndre Hopkins, even as today, still have the ankle injury.
00:18:26
Cliff Kingsbury came out and said He's gonna be a game time decision, which is bad news for a guy like Kyler Murray in the passing game.
00:18:33
Probably a good news for the Russian game is the whole, I think, even chased.
00:18:36
Edmonds has an opportunity to be sneaky.
00:18:38
I'm picking him up and starting him and season long and one of my leagues, where I had Derrick Henry and James Corner as my arty two and three paired with Clyde Edwards.
00:18:47
A layer, you know, I'm starting him over a guy like Joshua Kelly, who's playing Tampa Bay.
00:18:51
So, you know, I see.
00:18:53
I see a pretty good opportunity for King and Drake.
00:18:58
You say he's getting, He's getting the opportunities and that's all you need.
00:19:01
You just need him toe put his athleticism on the field, and I think you can see a good opportunity for that this week.
00:19:08
Okay, The last guy I'm gonna talk about is Darryl Henderson.
00:19:11
I thought, you know, from the beginning, I was like, Look, I think Darryl Henderson is gonna have the first crack at the opportunity.
00:19:17
And then he was injured.
00:19:18
It was Malcolm Brown and then, obviously, you know, they had cam makers there, and you're like, Well, he's just never going to see the field well, can't makers is out again this week with his rib injury.
00:19:26
Malcolm Brown was coming off the injury last week, and we've just seen the like.
00:19:31
We've seen Malcolm Brown's opportunities shrink at 11 attempts in Week two, Onley seven Last week in Week three, he was coming off the injury that happened in Week two.
00:19:40
But you, you he's just doing what you want him to do, right? We to Darryl Henderson, 12 for 81 in a touchdown to for 40 through the year at 6.
00:19:49
75 yards per carry.
00:19:51
Week three last week.
00:19:53
24 1 14 and 11 for six in the air, 5.
00:19:55
7 yards per carry.
00:19:57
And they're playing the Giants, who allowed many still 113 yards on the ground.
00:20:01
And how David Montgomery, coming off his growing injury after slow Week one, had 16 for 82 on the ground, just wasn't able to have a great game to finish off, but still posted a good yards per carry and good opportunity on the ground.
00:20:14
And then they played, you know, the Giants played the 40 Niners last week.
00:20:17
Nick Mullins tor them up through the air.
00:20:20
You know Jared McKinnon and Jeff Wilson? They scored some touchdowns, but they didn't.
00:20:23
They didn't do great on the ground, but they didn't have George kill, either.
00:20:25
So I'm just gonna kind of chocolate Oppa's.
00:20:27
I don't see how the Giants can't stop many sailing David Montgomery, and somehow they stopped the best rushing attack in the league.
00:20:34
You know, Jerry MacKinnon got hurt at some point during that game, so it really is just Jeff Wilson.
00:20:39
I mean, make Mullins is not up here throwing 367 yards per game.
00:20:42
That's just I think that was just kind of like an outlier.
00:20:45
They're going to try to stop the run and they were able to do it.
00:20:47
But the Rams air very balanced offense and the way that they're playing, I think you just keep Darryl Henderson there.
00:20:54
He's played very well for your team.
00:20:56
You know he looks good through the year when he's getting the opportunities, as shown a week to with the two for 40.
00:21:01
You know, Robert was a Cooper Cup and Jared golf.
00:21:03
I like him all this week.
00:21:04
I like Tyler Higbee this week I just think Darryl Henderson provides the breakaway opportunity that we saw in Memphis and what we hope, translate to the NFL, where he has the highest opportunity to get the touchdowns.
00:21:15
Hopefully, Malcolm Brown is becoming this goal line back.
00:21:18
That just stipends away those touchdowns.
00:21:20
I'd be very aggravating and annoying, but I trust in the talent.
00:21:23
I think that he's going to get the opportunity and be the first one on the field this week.
00:21:28
So I guess I'm I like his opportunity a lot, especially versus a Giants team that can't stop anybody.
00:21:36
So that is it for me.
00:21:38
I'm just gonna go over some of the running backs.
00:21:40
And I didn't wanna go too in depth about, but some that you, you know, probably should put into your lineup.
00:21:44
Uh, be wary of guys like I can Austin Meckler Uh Tampa Bay is very good against the run, so you're going.
00:21:52
If you think Austin Echo is going to get the opportunities through the air, then he's definitely a player. Joshua Kelly.
00:21:58
I'm out this week.
00:21:59
It's one of those fringe guys where, you know, is he worth the 7100 where he's right Now I'm looking at these price behind its tomorrow's Z Cook, and then it's awesome. Meckler.
00:22:10
So you know, I'm probably fading Austin after this week for that price, especially because there's some guys further down that I like.
00:22:16
Nick versus Dallas has priced at 7000 cream.
00:22:20
Hunt was still hurt this week.
00:22:21
He hasn't practiced yet as a Friday, uh, regardless.
00:22:26
Just put him in like, you know Malcolm Brown, Week one against Dallas.
00:22:29
I know Todd Gurley didn't do a whole lot for the Falcons against Dallas, you know, a couple weeks ago, but I still think that Nick Chubb is, you know, he's just he's when he's talking about pure running perspective.
00:22:41
He's still a top five running back in the league, as far as you know, just a pure runner.
00:22:45
I'm putting him in my lineups, and I'm pairing him with guys that I like further down like James Robinson.
00:22:50
You know, if I'm gonna go to running back heavy as far as the prices go, whose prices? 6500 against Cincinnati, that Nick Chubb, James Robinson stack could be deadly and they both could go off for, you know, two touchdowns in 100 20 yards this week.
00:23:02
And that is such a boost to your points overall that if you can hit on two wide receivers in a quarterback, you're going to be set.
00:23:11
Um, keep an eye on Chris Carson vs Miami.
00:23:13
I do like the matchup.
00:23:14
I'm probably fading and just playing the wide receivers.
00:23:17
Chris Carson coming off.
00:23:18
You know that injury that we saw last week against, you know, the Dallas defensive lineman? Terrible.
00:23:23
You never want to see you know another player into trying to enter somebody, but it happens.
00:23:27
But, you know, we're just glad that he has an opportunity to play this week.
00:23:30
I don't think I'm playing Carson or hide. I'm fading of both.
00:23:33
Like I said about cream hunt 6200.
00:23:35
I probably just fading in this week unless he you know, I think I'm just I would rather pay up the extras.
00:23:41
You know, 800 play Chub, who I know is healthy and is going to get a majority of the workload.
00:23:47
Uh, Mark Ingram versus Washington.
00:23:49
I'm fading all the Rams running backs, and it's just not a good match.
00:23:54
Ramps.
00:23:55
Ravens running back.
00:23:56
And it is not a good match because Washington Washington been pretty good against stopping the run.
00:24:00
You know, we saw them shut down with no Miles Sanders.
00:24:02
We saw them shut down the Eagles.
00:24:04
Boston Scott in court.
00:24:05
Moment last.
00:24:07
You know, two weeks ago against Kenyan Drake, Kendrick had a fun.
00:24:09
It was a decent game, but they didn't allow any big plays.
00:24:12
You know for them.
00:24:14
And it's just a very solid, strong defense, even without Chase Young up there in that front. Seven.
00:24:22
Leonard Fournette is out.
00:24:23
So Ronald Jones is an interesting play.
00:24:25
I don't love the matchup.
00:24:27
He's only priced at 4700, so it's a good price.
00:24:29
But I don't love the matchup against the Chargers, who have been pretty stout against the run.
00:24:32
His well, cloud over.
00:24:33
It's a layer wasn't able to do anything.
00:24:35
Joe Mixon.
00:24:36
Week one wasn't able to do anything.
00:24:37
So, you know that is an opportunity that I don't think I'm willing to, you know, hope for the big bounce back, Uh, David Johnson and David Montgomery.
00:24:46
I like both these guys.
00:24:47
I'm playing Indianapolis's defense where I can have my DFS weeks, so that doesn't mean David Montgomery can have a good opportunity because I think he can sal***e some PPR points.
00:24:56
Cordarrelle Patterson.
00:24:58
I just don't think he's, you know, gonna He's just gonna do what he kind of does, and that's probably get maybe three or four targets.
00:25:04
But I think the extra targets and I have to go to David Montgomery, who's gonna be on the field, and he's been okay as a pass catcher.
00:25:09
You know, the last two years he hasn't been great, but he's looked, you know, decent.
00:25:13
He looks competent enough to not take him off the field and chance you get.
00:25:16
They should get a boost with Nick Foles over Mitchell Robiskie on the last guy that I wanted to talk about was, you know, Miles Gaskins has been talked about a log in Seattle.
00:25:25
Seattle has been, you know, decent against the run.
00:25:29
I'm fading.
00:25:30
Myles Gaskin.
00:25:31
I know he's getting the opportunity, but until he can figure out how to score from 10 yards out or Jordan Howard isn't siphoning touchdowns, he's just not worth being in your lineup.
00:25:39
You know, I know Seattle allows a lot of points, but there's a lot of points through the years.
00:25:42
So a guy like Brian Fitzpatrick is probably, you know, a decent play for the price of an opportunity this week.
00:25:48
But in nominal Gaskins, you know, just don't do that to yourself.
00:25:52
You know, Seattle, they've played.
00:25:53
You know, Zeke didn't have a very good game against against them.
00:25:57
Uh, Todd Gurley didn't have a very good game against them.
00:26:00
So I'm just don't do that to yourself up in mild Gaskins in there because he's probably going to see 20 opportunities 25 even.
00:26:05
It's not gonna be worth the effort, so All right, well, thank you guys So much for joining me today.
00:26:11
Um, I'll be back on tomorrow to talk wide receivers and tight ends and, you know, maybe do some lineup builders and go through some strategy and opportunity.
00:26:18
Hopefully you, you know, enjoy, enjoy some of the content today.
00:26:22
Those air my guys that I am writing out this week, quarterback Cam Newton, Matthew Stafford and Shawn Watson.
00:26:28
I think Shawn Watson is gonna have a big breakout game this week.
00:26:31
And then, you know, Mike Davis, Gerald Henderson and Kenyan d****.
00:26:34
So hopefully you guys all enjoyed the content you could give me on a follow on Twitter at Fantasy Reserve on.
00:26:41
Like I said, I'll answer any, you know, content questions about, you know, lineups or fantasy or DFS, and you can always give me an add on Twitter.
00:26:47
And I'll retweet any polls or questions that you have, yes, so much.
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Talking about QB's & RB's for week 4 DFS!

81 Views
Kyle Carroll @FantasyReserve

Transcript hideup

00:00:02
Yeah.
00:00:03
What's going on? Everybody? Welcome to the stream.
00:00:10
My name is Kyle.
00:00:12
On today we're gonna be talking about some D EFS quarterbacks and running backs.
00:00:17
Usually I get in opportunity.
00:00:19
Thio, you know, go day by day and share my favorite positions.
00:00:24
But it's been a very, very busy week for me.
00:00:26
With work stuff.
00:00:27
I take a lot of call hospital.
00:00:29
I work in the surgery, so didn't have a ton of opportunity.
00:00:32
Thio create content, push out content throughout the week.
00:00:36
What I normally do, but yeah, So we're gonna have a lot of fun today.
00:00:42
A lot of stuff to cover, See? Just shared out to my Twitter and we will get started.
00:00:51
Really excited.
00:00:52
I have to support the Broncos today.
00:00:56
Um, good win last night.
00:00:58
I'll take what I can get these days.
00:01:05
You know, Brett Ribbon.
00:01:06
He didn't look too bad.
00:01:07
Honestly, for the most part of the game, you know, kind of fell apart there in the end of the fourth quarter.
00:01:11
Had that weird pick.
00:01:12
I think it was in the second quarter before halftime where he tried to, like, throw it away, and he, like, threw an interception.
00:01:18
I don't really know what that was about.
00:01:19
But for the most part, you know, I think he looks fine.
00:01:22
You know, Definitely.
00:01:24
You know, better than Jeff dressed school.
00:01:25
So yeah, I'll take it.
00:01:28
Hopefully a lot comes back here in a couple weeks and we can get started.
00:01:33
So this is your first time joining me? Thanks so much.
00:01:38
My name is Kyle.
00:01:39
You can follow me at Fantasy Reserve on Twitter.
00:01:42
You're free to DME about any fantasy your DFS questions.
00:01:46
You could tag me in any polls, and I'll retweet them for you and interact, Mark, I see needed.
00:01:51
Um you know, like everybody else.
00:01:53
I enjoy fantasy and I love talking about it.
00:01:54
So let's go ahead and get started.
00:01:56
Uh, so last week we did okay.
00:02:00
I think we bought in for $60.
00:02:02
We did $3 buy ins on the draft.
00:02:04
Kings 100 K 2 first.
00:02:06
Usually like this week, it's the $1.
00:02:07
6 million play Action 100.
00:02:09
1st match.
00:02:10
20 entries.
00:02:11
That's what I usually like to dio like to get up multiple fields in little playoffs, um, lineups and and see what I could do.
00:02:17
We did find put in 60 cashed out with, like, 85.
00:02:20
So we're making bigger profit.
00:02:21
You know, Week one, we put in 120 cashed out 120 we to put in 60 cash out 66 6 week we put in 60 cashed out 84 85 whatever it was.
00:02:32
So, you know, we're making a profit.
00:02:34
Been close, man.
00:02:35
Been really close.
00:02:36
One or two lineups that were, like, right there on the on the brink.
00:02:40
And, you know, you just you switch out one guy and it makes a huge difference.
00:02:43
You know, you go from cashing $15 toe, you know, 55.
00:02:47
So, um, this week we're gonna be doing the same thing.
00:02:51
The $3.
00:02:52
1.
00:02:53
6 play action 100.
00:02:54
1st, there's 12 games instead of the 14 that we would normally get because of the whole covitz situation.
00:03:00
You know, the Steelers and Titans game.
00:03:03
So we're taking out some players short down the field a little bit.
00:03:06
So let's go ahead and look at some quarterbacks there.
00:03:09
A lot of good quarterbacks this week, A lot of good matchups.
00:03:12
I'll kind of go through, you know, just kind of the the good place to safe place.
00:03:17
And then I usually pick three of my favorites that I'm like, I'm a locked these guys into 50% of my line up.
00:03:22
They're gonna be in.
00:03:23
You know, these three guys, we're gonna cover about 10 or 11 of my lineups altogether.
00:03:27
You know, Lamar Jackson vs Washington has a very good matchup.
00:03:29
Of course you need to keep playing.
00:03:31
Russell Wilson put Russell Wilson in whenever you can.
00:03:34
Same with Josh Allen.
00:03:35
You write out those hot hands of those two guys saying with that Prescott versus Cleveland, you just ride them out until and so they don't produce.
00:03:43
I mean, they're just playing fantastic ball right now, especially the way that their defense is Are you know, especially in Seattle, in Dallas, you know, you just keeping those guys in because they're gonna put up points to win.
00:03:53
I like Kyler Murray a little bit of Carolina, but we're gonna talk about Ken and great care a little bit.
00:03:57
You know, Jared, golf versus the Rams.
00:03:59
That's another decent one.
00:04:01
Um, it's killing on the Mormon.
00:04:04
Yeah, doing like I said, works killing me this week.
00:04:07
I take a lot of calm actually on call now, so hopefully I don't get a phone call while on the stream.
00:04:11
That would be a real buzzkill, but let's go and start with my number one guy to Shawn Watson, 6600 versus the Minnesota Vikings.
00:04:21
I think this is the true like breakout game for DeShaun Watson.
00:04:24
It was a lot of reasons why people were trying to fade him, maybe to begin the year he started off versus Kansas City, Baltimore, Pittsburgh his first three weeks.
00:04:31
He's like the inverse Josh Allen, right where Josh Allen had a fantastic starting schedule to start the year.
00:04:37
You know, Miami Andan, the Jets and everything.
00:04:40
So you know, you look at this point week 1 21.
00:04:43
8 week to 15.
00:04:45
7 week 3 18.1.
00:04:47
He's crisis 6600.
00:04:48
So you know, if you did that, the three you know, 4 4.
00:04:52
5, you know x of what you're buying this.
00:04:54
He's getting pretty close to being in that value range.
00:04:57
You know what, 60 18 24.
00:05:00
You know, he's getting really close right there about that 26 27 point range where I think he could provide some value.
00:05:04
If you look at some of the stats from this year, he's had at least 250 passing yards in all three games against Kansas City, Baltimore, Pittsburgh.
00:05:12
That is very good.
00:05:13
And he's had two games.
00:05:15
It was week, one week to where he had five and six rush attempts.
00:05:17
And I think this is where you're going to see.
00:05:19
It is in the Russian tips against Minnesota.
00:05:21
You know, you look at last year in 2019 he had nine games of 30 plus rushing yards in seven games of three plus rushing or passing touchdowns.
00:05:29
And this year he's only had, you know, the two games of two passing touchdown.
00:05:33
So I think, you know, versus a week Minnesota defense.
00:05:37
You know, this is a very, you know, good David Johnson week as well, but I think David Johnson can see his opportunity through the air, and I think we're going to see, um, Shawn Watson uses legs a little bit more.
00:05:48
Minnesota.
00:05:49
Hopefully they have a decent pass rush.
00:05:50
You know, that's that's definitely not the weakness of their team is definitely That's secondary.
00:05:55
Uh, which is really weird because they have two great safeties and like Harrison Smith and, uh, I'm blanking out on the other guy, Anthony Harris.
00:06:03
You know, they actually have some good, you know, safeties.
00:06:05
It's just, you know, the corners and those coverage linebackers or just not what they used to be.
00:06:09
But let's look at what you know.
00:06:11
Minnesota has allowed Week one.
00:06:12
Obviously, Aaron Rodgers had a fantastic into the year.
00:06:15
364 yards.
00:06:16
Philip Rivers, Week two at 214.
00:06:19
But they didn't really need to do anything that was that.
00:06:20
Kurt Cousins Week, where in some fantasy scoring systems like mine? Or, if you have, like me and Scott Fish Bowl, where he scored you, like negative 19 points.
00:06:29
That hurt a lot.
00:06:30
And so they just didn't need to throw the ball.
00:06:32
And then last week and Ryan Tannehill, he didn't have any passing touchdowns.
00:06:36
Channel had one interception but had 321 passing yards.
00:06:39
So you can put up the volume here.
00:06:40
It's really going to be.
00:06:41
Is David Johnson going to get all the work within the you know, the 5 to 10 yard line and you know it's really hard to predict touchdowns, but I think this is a week where you could see the Shawn Watson use his legs a little bit in the red zone.
00:06:52
And that's really what you need.
00:06:53
If he hits, if he hits three touchdowns this week, you know it's easy to say that.
00:06:57
But if he hits three touchdowns to Shawn Watson is going to be a top five.
00:07:01
You know, fantasy quarterback in this Sunday slight game of the 12 games, that's all there is to it because he's gonna put up the yards.
00:07:07
I firmly believe that.
00:07:10
So let's look at my second quarterback that I like. This week.
00:07:13
It's Matthew Stafford against New Orleans.
00:07:15
News came out this morning.
00:07:16
The Marshal Lattimore engineers. Jenkins.
00:07:19
They're gonna miss the game.
00:07:20
You have.
00:07:21
You know, neither one of those guys.
00:07:22
Kenny Golladay the back.
00:07:24
I thought, you know Matthew Stafford was gonna have a pretty good game last week.
00:07:27
I thought that was gonna be kind of his breakout, but maybe it's this week, but he's been very consistent.
00:07:31
A week one vs Chicago, 17.
00:07:32
2, Week two versus Green based 17.
00:07:34
2 week three vs Arizona, 18.
00:07:37
5 So there's your floor, and you know he hasn't really provided any sort of sealing games.
00:07:44
You know, I'm pulling up a stats right here.
00:07:46
Appeal 2 to 97 week 1 to 44 week, 2 to 70 week, 312 and two passing touchdowns.
00:07:54
He doesn't ever do anything on the ground except week 1 23 rushing yards.
00:07:57
So he's given you a very good floor.
00:07:59
You're just waiting for those ceiling games, and I think that's where we can see it right here is, you know, versus New Orleans, where it's a 54.
00:08:05
5 over under.
00:08:06
I'm actually gonna take the under on that, especially with no Michael Thomas.
00:08:09
But I still think, you know, we see an opportunity for Detroit toe win the game, for sure, I think this is a very a very winnable game for them and his price to 5900.
00:08:19
So it's a very friendly prices price less than two.
00:08:21
Shawn Watson is gonna be, you know, price lesson.
00:08:23
These guys that can do it in a Kyler Murray who are gonna have tough matchups.
00:08:28
Um, so you know, I like it.
00:08:30
You look at what he's, you know what they have done.
00:08:32
New Orleans passing wise, they have allowed to 39 to 84 to 83.
00:08:36
That's right in his, you know, right in his realm of possibilities are right where he's been about all season.
00:08:42
But you know the possibilities of him, you know, having those three touchdown games, four touchdown games.
00:08:45
What kind of holiday? I think that's right there for you.
00:08:47
And if you know him and Marvin Jones haven't been able to connect with Kenny Golladay back.
00:08:51
Marvin Jones always plays better with Koenig Holiday on the field.
00:08:54
So I say I like this a lot assed faras the rushing.
00:08:59
This is where I think it's gonna be the big deals where they're gonna have to throw.
00:09:02
Adrian Peterson is the starter.
00:09:04
I think you know the DeAndre.
00:09:05
Swift only had one target last last week.
00:09:09
He only had one catch. He is non existent.
00:09:11
Carry on is not the same as it used to be his full time, full time knee brace.
00:09:15
So they've only allowed 66 71 69 rushing yards allowed.
00:09:19
You know that they played, um, played the Buccaneers.
00:09:22
Weak one they share.
00:09:23
Ronald Jones.
00:09:24
Sound pretty good, Josh Jacobs week to he didn't play very well against them, even though that the Raiders won the game.
00:09:29
I think it was It was a Monday night or Sunday night, so, you know, they're just they're doing well, you know.
00:09:33
They're shutting, shutting the run down, and Detroit can't run the ball anyway.
00:09:37
So I think this is all gonna be a Matthew Stafford game, and then my final quarterback that I'm talking about.
00:09:42
This is more of a of a trust play like you put him in your lineup.
00:09:47
It's Cam Newton 6400 versus Kansas City.
00:09:50
This is just me telling you, you know, it's a He had a bad game last week.
00:09:54
It's like, Oh, maybe it's not going to work out the playing Kansas City But I think Kansas City is a favorable matchup for what? You're getting. These prices. 6400.
00:10:04
He is below DeShaun Watson in the price range.
00:10:07
If you look at what the spread is for this game, it's a 53 point over.
00:10:12
Under in Kansas City is actually favored by seven.
00:10:15
DeShaun Watson played Kansas City Week one, He had 27 yards on the ground, 253 passing yards.
00:10:21
Herbert his first start as a rookie.
00:10:23
He looked pretty decent at 311 passing yards and 18 rushing on the ground.
00:10:27
And then Lamar Jackson obviously had a very bad game, I think only 97 passing yards through the air but had 83 on the ground.
00:10:33
And so I think with the opportunity, I think Cam at this stage and what we've seen in the system, he's a better passer than Lamar Jackson can be versus what he was last week.
00:10:43
But they have allowed a little bit of rushing on the ground.
00:10:45
I said 27 18 years in a lot, but those were in systems where they weren't pushing the quarterbacks to run.
00:10:53
It's a totally different ball game here with New England, where you saw Lamar Jackson get 83 on the ground and I'm not saying, you know Cam is the same tier athletes as Lamar Jackson's faras elusiveness and agility.
00:11:03
But as far as you know, pure running and trying to tough out those yards, that's what Cam Newton provides and so I think he I think it's, you know it may be to a situation where you're like, Oh, you don't like the matchup A game had a bad game last week that maybe you wanna fade it.
00:11:16
I'm telling you know, you should definitely so put him in your lineup.
00:11:19
Take the discount at 6400.
00:11:21
Week one 25 a half 250.
00:11:25
7 points Week to 38.6.
00:11:27
And the week three.
00:11:28
He had the 12.
00:11:29
2, but he had no touchdowns right through on the ground.
00:11:33
He only had one in the air.
00:11:34
We looked at.
00:11:35
Week one is coming out party.
00:11:36
He went 15 for 19 for 1 55.
00:11:38
I think that's kind of reasonable of what we conceive versus Kansas City.
00:11:41
Maybe he he throws 20 passes, but he had 15% 5 and two touchdowns on the ground last week was just It was a Sony Michelle week.
00:11:48
It was JJ Taylor week.
00:11:50
It was a Rex Burkhead week where you know these guys, they just had success on the ground.
00:11:57
You know. Rexburg had three touchdowns.
00:11:59
I mean, those easily could have been to Cam Newton touchdowns and we would have been talking about something completely different about Wow can do is, you know, flirting with that top five MVP consideration.
00:12:10
Obviously, you know, it's led right now by Patrick Mahomes, Russell Wilson and Josh Allen.
00:12:14
But he could have been right there if had those touchdowns gone his way.
00:12:17
And that's especially in this offense that is very likely. Most.
00:12:21
It is in the range of outcomes, 100%.
00:12:25
Other quarterbacks.
00:12:26
I think that's all I'm talking about as far as quarterbacks other quarterbacks.
00:12:28
Like I said, I've mentioned Jared Golfers is the New York Giants.
00:12:31
Joe Burrow versus Jacksonville.
00:12:32
I'm liking Joe Burrow a lot, you know.
00:12:34
He's already talked 12 quarterback in fantasy so far this year, ahead of Lamar Jackson.
00:12:39
E think he's a quarterback.
00:12:40
10.
00:12:41
So it's it just it is what it is, just makes it is just going to be struggling.
00:12:46
Unfortunately, even though, you know I was one of those guys that wanted Joe Mixon on my team, you just have to live with it.
00:12:52
And until they figure it out, you just write out the Joe Burrow hype, and he's had a really good connection with, you know, Tyler Boy, a J.
00:13:00
Green.
00:13:01
Maybe he comes around, but T.
00:13:02
Higgins has looked really good.
00:13:03
You know, their first overall pick in the second round.
00:13:05
So Joe Burrow is in a really good position and hopefully through sample catches more than one passed this week.
00:13:11
Okay, take a little sip right here.
00:13:16
Hm.
00:13:17
I had a craving for Tennessee honey the other day.
00:13:19
I don't know if any of you guys have ever had that jag or the Tennessee whiskey.
00:13:24
The honey flavor.
00:13:25
It's not too bad.
00:13:26
I've been trying to find a pair with it.
00:13:27
I thought I would try it with a little bit of Dr Pepper.
00:13:29
That was not very good trying to right now with some ginger ale. It's not bad.
00:13:33
I feel like it needs a little bit more taste of you guys.
00:13:34
Have any recommendations on what you like to drink your Tennessee honey with? Please let me know because I know I have a whole bottle.
00:13:42
Don't know how to drink.
00:13:43
It s o.
00:13:47
Let's go on to running backs again.
00:13:52
This is another like Cam Newton.
00:13:54
This is another.
00:13:55
These guys, they're gonna be three confidence plays because, you know, I could go through all the running backs.
00:14:00
And you know I could I could go through until you Hey, obviously, start out on tomorrow.
00:14:04
Start Ezekiel Elliott.
00:14:06
Start.
00:14:07
Darling could start off on that player.
00:14:08
I could tell you these things.
00:14:09
That's why I always go a little deeper, you know, and try to find those guys.
00:14:13
They're gonna save you a little bit of money so you can have a well balanced roster.
00:14:16
And this first guys. Mike Davis.
00:14:18
He's running back for Carolina Panthers at 5700 vs Arizona.
00:14:21
This is a confidence play of what we've been seeing, and it's just he's Christian McCaffrey light.
00:14:27
I mean, that's what it is.
00:14:28
If you look at what he did, week, too, came in at halftime after, you know, I think it was sometime in the third quarter when Christian McCaffrey got hurt.
00:14:35
He had 98 targets, eight catches for 74 yards, 15.
00:14:39
5 fantasy points, if you look weak three, his first full week as a starter, 13 carries for 46 yards and then he had another nine targets, eight catches, 45 yards and a touchdown.
00:14:51
Obviously, the touchdown is the biggest deal, but if you take away those 16 those six points from that touchdown he still had.
00:14:57
Excuse me.
00:14:58
He still had 16 fantasy points, which is still more than when he had Week two in his first time playing.
00:15:04
Arizona is probably going to win this game.
00:15:07
I'd be very confident that another guy that I'm also liking is Kenyan Drake This week.
00:15:11
We'll talk about here in a second and more detail.
00:15:13
I just don't think that they can stop the run by Kyler by Chase Edmunds by Kenyan Drake.
00:15:19
They're going to have to throw the ball and they have so many weapons.
00:15:23
Even though you know D. J. Moore has been disappointing.
00:15:25
He's still a great weapon.
00:15:26
Robby Anderson is over, performed and look fantastic.
00:15:28
Curtis Samuel has yet to perform and have a break out game, but I still think he's a valuable piece in this offense.
00:15:33
Mike Davis is going to be involved.
00:15:35
If you look at what Christian McCaffrey did in Week one, he had 23 attempts and four targets, so 27 opportunities There just wasn't a whole lot of targets.
00:15:43
It wasn't an out.
00:15:44
It was more like an outlier because we 2.
00:15:45
5 a game.
00:15:47
He had 18 attempts in five targets, so he had 27 23 opportunities.
00:15:52
And if you look at what Mike Davis was able to do in his first week, he had 21 opportunities.
00:15:57
So he's almost in line right where Christian McCaffrey was getting in his targets and his attempts.
00:16:04
So is Mike Davis.
00:16:06
Christian McCaffrey? No, but if you look at what he's able to do, he's providing the same, basically the same opportunities that maybe, you know, 80% 75% of the talent.
00:16:15
Maybe that's a little too much, but he's still in the same offense.
00:16:18
You know, getting the same opportunities.
00:16:20
And it's an often said, you know, puts off a lot of points.
00:16:22
They move the ball up and down.
00:16:23
I think Teddy Bridgewater, who didn't have a great fantasy game last, we still put up 360 passing yards.
00:16:28
So we've seen that he can, you know, push the ball down the field a little bit.
00:16:32
My Davis is gonna benefit from that lot.
00:16:35
Well, might as well stay here in the same game.
00:16:37
We're gonna talk about Kenyan Drake.
00:16:39
He surprised at 6000.
00:16:40
So Mike Davis, priced at 5700, can you drink prices 6000.
00:16:45
If he doesn't have a good week this week, it would be time to panic if you have him in any sort of long, like season long formats.
00:16:53
He had a good matchup last week.
00:16:55
Didn't come through against the Lions. Right game.
00:16:59
When you feel go against the Lions, he plays Carolina.
00:17:02
They have done nothing but allow fantasy gold. Two running backs.
00:17:05
Week one.
00:17:06
Josh Jacobs, 25 or 10 93 yards, three touchdowns, Week to Ronald Jones.
00:17:10
Had that touchdown and beginning of game looked like it was gonna be a good game for him.
00:17:14
I kind of had that fumble miscommunication with Tom Brady.
00:17:17
Leonard Fournette came in 12 attempts.
00:17:20
103 yards and two touchdowns, and then Austin Meckler and Josh Kelley.
00:17:23
Week three 12 attempts.
00:17:25
59 yards and a touchdown for Austin Nuclear and then just eight carries for Joshua Kelly.
00:17:29
But he started 43 yards.
00:17:30
They just let up points, and, like I said the entire year, you just start your running backs against the Carolina Panthers.
00:17:37
So I'm really hoping that this is This is the week for Kenyan Drake.
00:17:41
It's not.
00:17:42
It's not that he hasn't been getting the opportunities.
00:17:45
Kenyan drinks had 18 22 and 19 opportunities the first three weeks.
00:17:50
He just hasn't.
00:17:51
He only got the end zone a week one, but he didn't have the yard is to go with it.
00:17:54
I think he only had a had 16 for 60 and weak one, and that was it.
00:17:58
The 60 yards.
00:17:59
And then he's not the same player that we saw at the end of last year, where he had these monster 200 yard games or three touchdown games, and he's getting these long, big breakaway runs on.
00:18:08
I just wanna think that it's it's just it just hasn't clicked the right way, right, Like one or two things doesn't go the right way, and he just doesn't get those big opportunities.
00:18:16
But I think those were coming for him.
00:18:17
I think we're you know, we're going to see a lot of this, you know, bounced back opportunity for him this week.
00:18:22
DeAndre Hopkins, even as today, still have the ankle injury.
00:18:26
Cliff Kingsbury came out and said He's gonna be a game time decision, which is bad news for a guy like Kyler Murray in the passing game.
00:18:33
Probably a good news for the Russian game is the whole, I think, even chased.
00:18:36
Edmonds has an opportunity to be sneaky.
00:18:38
I'm picking him up and starting him and season long and one of my leagues, where I had Derrick Henry and James Corner as my arty two and three paired with Clyde Edwards.
00:18:47
A layer, you know, I'm starting him over a guy like Joshua Kelly, who's playing Tampa Bay.
00:18:51
So, you know, I see.
00:18:53
I see a pretty good opportunity for King and Drake.
00:18:58
You say he's getting, He's getting the opportunities and that's all you need.
00:19:01
You just need him toe put his athleticism on the field, and I think you can see a good opportunity for that this week.
00:19:08
Okay, The last guy I'm gonna talk about is Darryl Henderson.
00:19:11
I thought, you know, from the beginning, I was like, Look, I think Darryl Henderson is gonna have the first crack at the opportunity.
00:19:17
And then he was injured.
00:19:18
It was Malcolm Brown and then, obviously, you know, they had cam makers there, and you're like, Well, he's just never going to see the field well, can't makers is out again this week with his rib injury.
00:19:26
Malcolm Brown was coming off the injury last week, and we've just seen the like.
00:19:31
We've seen Malcolm Brown's opportunities shrink at 11 attempts in Week two, Onley seven Last week in Week three, he was coming off the injury that happened in Week two.
00:19:40
But you, you he's just doing what you want him to do, right? We to Darryl Henderson, 12 for 81 in a touchdown to for 40 through the year at 6.
00:19:49
75 yards per carry.
00:19:51
Week three last week.
00:19:53
24 1 14 and 11 for six in the air, 5.
00:19:55
7 yards per carry.
00:19:57
And they're playing the Giants, who allowed many still 113 yards on the ground.
00:20:01
And how David Montgomery, coming off his growing injury after slow Week one, had 16 for 82 on the ground, just wasn't able to have a great game to finish off, but still posted a good yards per carry and good opportunity on the ground.
00:20:14
And then they played, you know, the Giants played the 40 Niners last week.
00:20:17
Nick Mullins tor them up through the air.
00:20:20
You know Jared McKinnon and Jeff Wilson? They scored some touchdowns, but they didn't.
00:20:23
They didn't do great on the ground, but they didn't have George kill, either.
00:20:25
So I'm just gonna kind of chocolate Oppa's.
00:20:27
I don't see how the Giants can't stop many sailing David Montgomery, and somehow they stopped the best rushing attack in the league.
00:20:34
You know, Jerry MacKinnon got hurt at some point during that game, so it really is just Jeff Wilson.
00:20:39
I mean, make Mullins is not up here throwing 367 yards per game.
00:20:42
That's just I think that was just kind of like an outlier.
00:20:45
They're going to try to stop the run and they were able to do it.
00:20:47
But the Rams air very balanced offense and the way that they're playing, I think you just keep Darryl Henderson there.
00:20:54
He's played very well for your team.
00:20:56
You know he looks good through the year when he's getting the opportunities, as shown a week to with the two for 40.
00:21:01
You know, Robert was a Cooper Cup and Jared golf.
00:21:03
I like him all this week.
00:21:04
I like Tyler Higbee this week I just think Darryl Henderson provides the breakaway opportunity that we saw in Memphis and what we hope, translate to the NFL, where he has the highest opportunity to get the touchdowns.
00:21:15
Hopefully, Malcolm Brown is becoming this goal line back.
00:21:18
That just stipends away those touchdowns.
00:21:20
I'd be very aggravating and annoying, but I trust in the talent.
00:21:23
I think that he's going to get the opportunity and be the first one on the field this week.
00:21:28
So I guess I'm I like his opportunity a lot, especially versus a Giants team that can't stop anybody.
00:21:36
So that is it for me.
00:21:38
I'm just gonna go over some of the running backs.
00:21:40
And I didn't wanna go too in depth about, but some that you, you know, probably should put into your lineup.
00:21:44
Uh, be wary of guys like I can Austin Meckler Uh Tampa Bay is very good against the run, so you're going.
00:21:52
If you think Austin Echo is going to get the opportunities through the air, then he's definitely a player. Joshua Kelly.
00:21:58
I'm out this week.
00:21:59
It's one of those fringe guys where, you know, is he worth the 7100 where he's right Now I'm looking at these price behind its tomorrow's Z Cook, and then it's awesome. Meckler.
00:22:10
So you know, I'm probably fading Austin after this week for that price, especially because there's some guys further down that I like.
00:22:16
Nick versus Dallas has priced at 7000 cream.
00:22:20
Hunt was still hurt this week.
00:22:21
He hasn't practiced yet as a Friday, uh, regardless.
00:22:26
Just put him in like, you know Malcolm Brown, Week one against Dallas.
00:22:29
I know Todd Gurley didn't do a whole lot for the Falcons against Dallas, you know, a couple weeks ago, but I still think that Nick Chubb is, you know, he's just he's when he's talking about pure running perspective.
00:22:41
He's still a top five running back in the league, as far as you know, just a pure runner.
00:22:45
I'm putting him in my lineups, and I'm pairing him with guys that I like further down like James Robinson.
00:22:50
You know, if I'm gonna go to running back heavy as far as the prices go, whose prices? 6500 against Cincinnati, that Nick Chubb, James Robinson stack could be deadly and they both could go off for, you know, two touchdowns in 100 20 yards this week.
00:23:02
And that is such a boost to your points overall that if you can hit on two wide receivers in a quarterback, you're going to be set.
00:23:11
Um, keep an eye on Chris Carson vs Miami.
00:23:13
I do like the matchup.
00:23:14
I'm probably fading and just playing the wide receivers.
00:23:17
Chris Carson coming off.
00:23:18
You know that injury that we saw last week against, you know, the Dallas defensive lineman? Terrible.
00:23:23
You never want to see you know another player into trying to enter somebody, but it happens.
00:23:27
But, you know, we're just glad that he has an opportunity to play this week.
00:23:30
I don't think I'm playing Carson or hide. I'm fading of both.
00:23:33
Like I said about cream hunt 6200.
00:23:35
I probably just fading in this week unless he you know, I think I'm just I would rather pay up the extras.
00:23:41
You know, 800 play Chub, who I know is healthy and is going to get a majority of the workload.
00:23:47
Uh, Mark Ingram versus Washington.
00:23:49
I'm fading all the Rams running backs, and it's just not a good match.
00:23:54
Ramps.
00:23:55
Ravens running back.
00:23:56
And it is not a good match because Washington Washington been pretty good against stopping the run.
00:24:00
You know, we saw them shut down with no Miles Sanders.
00:24:02
We saw them shut down the Eagles.
00:24:04
Boston Scott in court.
00:24:05
Moment last.
00:24:07
You know, two weeks ago against Kenyan Drake, Kendrick had a fun.
00:24:09
It was a decent game, but they didn't allow any big plays.
00:24:12
You know for them.
00:24:14
And it's just a very solid, strong defense, even without Chase Young up there in that front. Seven.
00:24:22
Leonard Fournette is out.
00:24:23
So Ronald Jones is an interesting play.
00:24:25
I don't love the matchup.
00:24:27
He's only priced at 4700, so it's a good price.
00:24:29
But I don't love the matchup against the Chargers, who have been pretty stout against the run.
00:24:32
His well, cloud over.
00:24:33
It's a layer wasn't able to do anything.
00:24:35
Joe Mixon.
00:24:36
Week one wasn't able to do anything.
00:24:37
So, you know that is an opportunity that I don't think I'm willing to, you know, hope for the big bounce back, Uh, David Johnson and David Montgomery.
00:24:46
I like both these guys.
00:24:47
I'm playing Indianapolis's defense where I can have my DFS weeks, so that doesn't mean David Montgomery can have a good opportunity because I think he can sal***e some PPR points.
00:24:56
Cordarrelle Patterson.
00:24:58
I just don't think he's, you know, gonna He's just gonna do what he kind of does, and that's probably get maybe three or four targets.
00:25:04
But I think the extra targets and I have to go to David Montgomery, who's gonna be on the field, and he's been okay as a pass catcher.
00:25:09
You know, the last two years he hasn't been great, but he's looked, you know, decent.
00:25:13
He looks competent enough to not take him off the field and chance you get.
00:25:16
They should get a boost with Nick Foles over Mitchell Robiskie on the last guy that I wanted to talk about was, you know, Miles Gaskins has been talked about a log in Seattle.
00:25:25
Seattle has been, you know, decent against the run.
00:25:29
I'm fading.
00:25:30
Myles Gaskin.
00:25:31
I know he's getting the opportunity, but until he can figure out how to score from 10 yards out or Jordan Howard isn't siphoning touchdowns, he's just not worth being in your lineup.
00:25:39
You know, I know Seattle allows a lot of points, but there's a lot of points through the years.
00:25:42
So a guy like Brian Fitzpatrick is probably, you know, a decent play for the price of an opportunity this week.
00:25:48
But in nominal Gaskins, you know, just don't do that to yourself.
00:25:52
You know, Seattle, they've played.
00:25:53
You know, Zeke didn't have a very good game against against them.
00:25:57
Uh, Todd Gurley didn't have a very good game against them.
00:26:00
So I'm just don't do that to yourself up in mild Gaskins in there because he's probably going to see 20 opportunities 25 even.
00:26:05
It's not gonna be worth the effort, so All right, well, thank you guys So much for joining me today.
00:26:11
Um, I'll be back on tomorrow to talk wide receivers and tight ends and, you know, maybe do some lineup builders and go through some strategy and opportunity.
00:26:18
Hopefully you, you know, enjoy, enjoy some of the content today.
00:26:22
Those air my guys that I am writing out this week, quarterback Cam Newton, Matthew Stafford and Shawn Watson.
00:26:28
I think Shawn Watson is gonna have a big breakout game this week.
00:26:31
And then, you know, Mike Davis, Gerald Henderson and Kenyan d****.
00:26:34
So hopefully you guys all enjoyed the content you could give me on a follow on Twitter at Fantasy Reserve on.
00:26:41
Like I said, I'll answer any, you know, content questions about, you know, lineups or fantasy or DFS, and you can always give me an add on Twitter.
00:26:47
And I'll retweet any polls or questions that you have, yes, so much.

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@klw sports talk with kerry wehmeyer show 11/22 #AllTalk#AllSports#HighSchoolFootball#Prediction
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Kyle Carroll @FantasyReserve Follow
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