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Breaking Down the Best Week 3 NFL Bets...Come Hang And Ask Questions!
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00:00:07
Okay.
00:00:08
Welcome.
00:00:09
And apologies for that.
00:00:10
That it's like there's a little bit of I guess you I think I was on the side.
00:00:15
Uh, right.
00:00:16
But it was on my side and policies, I guess.
00:00:19
But I don't know how would have done with a wired connection and making out on the most, but never know we're back.
00:00:26
And I'm going to drop the link to right Personal ****** night like affiliate link.
00:00:33
So, you know, cultures, parents do we give money if you sign up, but you can click the link, you get a free five bucks, you get a deposit match on it as well.
00:00:40
If you do it.
00:00:41
****** knife Fight is a D F site.
00:00:43
So daily fantasy like vandal or draft king type format, he is profits.
00:00:54
Essentially, you have different crops, different multipliers, combined fantasy, embedding, which really the interest of meaning.
00:01:02
Interest of Henry here.
00:01:03
It's really the best of both worlds.
00:01:05
People like it a lot, and I will.
00:01:07
I'll be tweeting out one of my plays this week yet again, like I always do.
00:01:13
Maybe we'll get to that by the end of the show.
00:01:14
Let's talk about some NFL action here, though.
00:01:19
Let's get organized here.
00:01:20
But we can start with Buffalo hosting the Rams.
00:01:26
This is the tough game.
00:01:27
I think the lines moved slightly since the beginning, but pretty pretty much it's kind of field value That way.
00:01:34
It looks like Buffalo's best odds air on Fanduel sports book right now favored by 1.
00:01:40
5 almost every other place.
00:01:43
Two points there.
00:01:44
Best eyes you can get on the Rams points that plus two for plus 100 even money There.
00:01:52
This is a close one.
00:01:53
And I know I have my specific thoughts on how I wanna at this game.
00:01:57
Suppose that could bring appeal grounder to.
00:01:59
But Henry, do you have any initial thoughts on this? Even like old Battle? This is the game of the week for May, at least in the A block here on Sunday.
00:02:10
I'm really excited to see how this one plays out.
00:02:12
I think the Rams offensively, we know they have so many weapons.
00:02:16
Yeah, the backfields a little banged up right now, but it looks like Malcolm Brown is gonna be a go, so at least he's gonna be able to come in and spell their own Henderson there, which, you know, how effective are they gonna be running the football? I think they're gonna have to mix and match against this Bills defense if you're trying to beat them 11 dimensionally here.
00:02:34
Offensively, just looking at it from the buffalo standpoint for me.
00:02:44
Stefon Diggs.
00:02:45
I think he gets taken out of this game pretty effectively by Jalen, I had said, is giving me issues here with Bluetooth.
00:02:57
But so back to the Bills.
00:03:00
Jalen Ramsey.
00:03:01
I think he's gonna take Stefon Diggs out of this game pretty effectively.
00:03:04
John Brown is the home run play.
00:03:06
From a fantasy standpoint, I think the Buffalo should score.
00:03:09
And John Brown? He's got an incredible snap percentage that he's been on the field for in the first two weeks.
00:03:14
Andi, he's got a good target.
00:03:16
Share is well down last week, but digs going up against the rookie there in Miami.
00:03:20
No eggs in agony.
00:03:22
Obviously, that's a mismatch for me.
00:03:26
If I'm gonna hit this game, I want to take the Rams as a plus money underdog on the money line.
00:03:32
I think this is a coin flip game.
00:03:34
Um, and you know, you're getting 1.
00:03:36
5 and two points, you said on the spread is all states.
00:03:41
I just have the Vegas odds up.
00:03:43
It opened it three in Vegas and the best you're going to get if you're a Rams better on the spread right now is 2.5.
00:03:52
So it's it's Rams money line or nothing here.
00:03:56
But this This game is such a toss it that I maybe in a parley if I'm feeling old tomorrow, but that's about it.
00:04:04
What about you? Yeah, I'm not going to touch this game unless, like you said exactly, I'm going to put it in a part way.
00:04:11
But the way I'm going to do it is I'm gonna tease up the ramp.
00:04:14
I think this is a one score game like pretty much every game for Buffalo.
00:04:19
So I'm willing to tease this up, too.
00:04:22
I'd be comfortable at Rams plus six and a 6.
00:04:24
5 That's mine.
00:04:26
20 on Bravada, where I'm looking at it right now.
00:04:30
But yeah, otherwise, with a field goal, I don't feel comfortable specially with white kickers are season.
00:04:37
Anyways, I don't feel comfortable that I personally feel the bills air the better team.
00:04:44
But I mean, at the end of the day, offense wins.
00:04:48
And if for some reason, the Rams offensive line comes to play and able to keep a clean pocket for Jared Goff then But that narrative, I think the Rams went up.
00:04:58
It really comes down to pass Rush, probably on the other side, because, you know, Aaron Donald gets after Josh Allen.
00:05:05
He probably makes a few months.
00:05:07
Well, um, yeah, I'm willing to tease it up for larger one score game, but I want no part of the bill side, no matter what.
00:05:19
Yeah, Zach Mosses out for Buffalo, too.
00:05:21
So Devin Singletary is gonna be be guy in that backfield.
00:05:25
Yeah.
00:05:26
And, you know, maybe it doesn't make too much of a difference going up against the Rams in this matchup.
00:05:31
But there's there's so many things going on here, and I'm so excited about both teams and what they bring to the table that if, like I said, it rams toe win outright.
00:05:43
That plus money, That's the only way you can really bet it where I would see any value.
00:05:47
So yeah, exactly.
00:05:50
This next game here, I like much, much much more.
00:05:54
So it's Houston Texans going to Pittsburgh.
00:05:57
The best odds right now for Pittsburgh, minus four points.
00:06:01
Bet it's minus one of five.
00:06:03
Can also get minus for at MGM Fanduel draftkings, Houston.
00:06:08
The best odds for them are Sugar House and Bet Rivers at plus 4.
00:06:12
5 at minus 1 20.
00:06:15
To me, I mean, this is just a game you can look at each unit, right? The Houston call that washed and then comparing Houston's defense to Pittsburgh's offense.
00:06:32
And I no match, either.
00:06:35
They're gonna run all over him, pass all over him, and at the end of the day, I don't think have enough offense to keep up.
00:06:42
Do you have any different thoughts on this game? I don't.
00:06:47
And so I guess the question I would ask you is, Why has there been such drastic line movement for Houston over the course of the week? It opened six out in Vegas, and it's down to four.
00:06:58
Every single shop I have here pulled up on the ticker other than the West Gate is 4.
00:07:03
5, so that would be the best value if you were Texans better.
00:07:07
But I've been, you know, reading and listening to people all week saying they're in on Houston.
00:07:12
I don't get it a better team than they showed for two weeks.
00:07:21
And Oh, by the way, I think part of the argument for me in these first few weeks is the Giants not the secondary necessarily.
00:07:28
But the front seven and then the Denver defense.
00:07:31
I think they're both underrated unit.
00:07:33
Yeah, Yeah, I completely agree.
00:07:36
I have the money brought up here.
00:07:39
By the way, is Deontay Johnson.
00:07:41
Is he ago? You know, by chance, I don't have the top.
00:07:45
I can try and find out while you're saying what you have to say that.
00:07:50
So if you're betting the spread right now like we said, either 4 4.
00:07:53
5 63% of the bets are on the Steelers, but only 51% of the money's on the money line.
00:08:03
Ah, little different money Land, obviously 50 50 right now for that's 70% of the money's on the Steelers.
00:08:13
Oh, by the way, it's me.
00:08:14
See, what they're total is at 45 a half or 46 depending on the book, and that is heavy heavy, heavy on the so I don't know, like just looking at the spread.
00:08:29
I don't understand or where the money is going.
00:08:32
I don't understand why it's 50 50 on that spread.
00:08:34
It just doesn't really make sense to me.
00:08:37
It tells me it's not gonna move.
00:08:38
This is where it's gonna be tomorrow.
00:08:40
So whatever.
00:08:41
Get it if you can.
00:08:44
Or does it? I mean, you might Could we see sharp buyback still before kick off? I don't know, but the money the ticket split definitely tells you the Texans are sharp.
00:08:55
Play here throughout the week.
00:08:57
And I'm with you.
00:08:58
I don't understand it.
00:08:59
If you're gonna give me four points with Pittsburgh in this game, I'm gonna be looking gonna be all over that Johnson, uh, practicing full on Thursday.
00:09:07
So I don't think he should be fine.
00:09:10
Faras and I haven't seen any, uh, coma rings for James Washington as faras fantasy either.
00:09:17
So that would suggest he he's going to roll out.
00:09:21
This Texans offensive line continues to be an issue.
00:09:24
DeShaun Watson continues to run for his life.
00:09:26
The Steelers have four players on their front seven or four players on the just defensive line ranked in the top 10 for pass rushers. So far.
00:09:35
So for the top 10 not a bad stat.
00:09:38
And I think that John Watson is gonna meet probably each of them in the first quarter.
00:09:43
Not gonna I don't understand.
00:09:45
Exchange pleasantries as they say stuff like this, though this in the next game I'm gonna bring up It seems so obvious that scared like it just seems like I don't understand it.
00:09:57
What about missing? There's something glaring that's gonna happen.
00:10:02
I don't know.
00:10:03
Let's talk about this next one.
00:10:04
This is the one I tweeted out Sunday night.
00:10:06
Sunday night football hadn't even happened.
00:10:08
But the liner leaves something.
00:10:09
Everyone go lock this in because it's gonna move and it's a no brainer.
00:10:15
Tennessee Titans go to Minnesota Titans right now favored by 2.5.
00:10:20
You could get that a fanduel or points, But Vikings three point home underdogs get that sugar house by rivers.
00:10:27
But MGM and draftkings.
00:10:29
When it opened, it was at 1.5.
00:10:31
So I have ah, very large bet on the Times managed 1.5.
00:10:36
This is It's pretty much the same type of thing I've been saying about the Vikings, every single beat, They don't have a pass rush and they don't have secondary.
00:10:44
What's gonna happen? And now, on top of that, you take away Anthony Bar, who was the second best defensive player still there.
00:10:52
And now I just don't know what the Vikings can do, either.
00:10:57
The play it like every other defense that wants to play the Titans and the key on the run and that day, Ryan Tannehill to beat them.
00:11:06
Think what happened last week when Tannehill threw four touchdowns or Derek Kennedy runs all over them? Or both, you know.
00:11:14
But then look at the offense.
00:11:16
Vikings offensive line Sucks.
00:11:18
They face Jadeveon Clowney.
00:11:20
They don't have enough offense to keep up with Ryan Tannehill, which is a funny sentence.
00:11:24
But it's true.
00:11:25
They have no deep threat.
00:11:26
They have nothing.
00:11:27
Am I missing something or is this just another like close your eyes and put whatever you want on it? I'm with you and the funny part about the Minnesota offenses.
00:11:37
They want to run the football and they can't run the football because they fall behind by two touchdowns by the second quarter and they're feeding Kirk cousins to the wolves essentially because, you know, he's a decent quarterback.
00:11:51
I know people have very different opinions on Kirk Cousins.
00:11:54
I'm gonna put him probably in the middle of the pack thio slightly above average when you're looking at NFL quarterbacks across the board.
00:12:01
But this is a lose situation.
00:12:03
No matter who I think you're throwing back, there may be Russell Wilson is the only one that can bail them out.
00:12:08
Patrick Mahomes being the other one.
00:12:11
But yeah, I don't understand it either.
00:12:14
I think Ryan Tannehill and the Titans offenses still being disrespected even without a J.
00:12:19
Brown.
00:12:20
We've seen Cory Davis.
00:12:21
Step up. We saw Adam Humphreys have a nice game. Three.
00:12:23
John Who? Smith.
00:12:24
The red Zone option.
00:12:25
We saw that toward the end of last season than it's carried over to this season.
00:12:30
The Vikings defense is a mess.
00:12:32
Um, it's now even worse as the lost Anthony Bar to a thorn pack.
00:12:37
Uh, and let's see here, looking at the Vegas odds, you said it opened 1.5.
00:12:43
It opened a pick out in the desert, and there are a few threes now popping up.
00:12:50
Actually, there's more and more threes here throughout the day today on a few 2.
00:12:55
5 still out there lingering.
00:12:58
So I think this is just going to get even more money and on Tennessee here.
00:13:02
So the sooner you can get to the window on this one, the better.
00:13:05
I think if you're looking back, the Titans here and, you know, I just want to ask you is Minnesota like trying to put a wind total on them at this point there to me, I don't know if I could give them more than five wins.
00:13:20
I gave them six before the season started, and I think three or four it doesn't.
00:13:30
I don't know what they're gonna win.
00:13:31
I don't know that because their nonconference schedule isn't easy.
00:13:35
I don't think they could beat the lions.
00:13:37
Look at the two t lions will score all day on them.
00:13:39
So uh huh.
00:13:43
I'm And by the way, I was writing for Fanduel on Sunday night before their odds release.
00:13:50
And I got the look like behind it what their odds we're gonna be.
00:13:54
And they had the Titans plus three.
00:13:56
At first I'm like, Oh, my God, I'm gonna have to call whoever I can't do Jersey or anyone.
00:14:03
Like a bet on fanduel.
00:14:04
I might have to drive out there because, like, if this is what it's gonna be, put everything in my account on there.
00:14:11
Um, yeah, Maria switched a little bit, but I still feel pretty much the same way and looking at money.
00:14:17
I don't have sharp money here, so there must be sharp money coming in on Minnesota.
00:14:22
But 81% of the money on the spread.
00:14:25
82% of the vets coming on the tank inside under is getting 80% of bets.
00:14:32
79% of the money.
00:14:35
That is, what, 14.
00:14:37
5 50? Yeah, that's fair.
00:14:39
I don't think that's gonna hit the over.
00:14:41
Yeah, I kind of like the under in this game too.
00:14:45
You know, it's funny.
00:14:46
I wonder if a lot of I won't say a lot, But a good number of sharper players are looking at this game is to stay away.
00:14:56
And I guess you know, you can answer that or just whatever your thoughts are on that take.
00:15:03
But like, it just seems so obvious that Tennessee is the right side here.
00:15:08
From what we've seen the first two weeks, looking at the personnel, looking at who both these teams have for Tennessee, it's a J.
00:15:14
Brown is out offensively, but they aren't gonna miss him that much.
00:15:18
And they showed that last week against the Jaguars defense.
00:15:21
That I would argue, might be better than this Minnesota one right now.
00:15:24
So it just seems so obvious that to me, I wonder if a lot of the sharper players air like something's fishy.
00:15:31
But this has not just shot up, because to me, it is kind of fishing.
00:15:36
It is. That's another.
00:15:38
Like I was saying, There's something that's gonna happen, something I don't know.
00:15:42
You're every snap is a leg and a half and heard about it.
00:15:45
I don't I don't get it, but I don't line up to 6.
00:15:51
5, which I think I could probably tees it up even more on the Titan side.
00:15:56
I got plus 1 75 dogs on that feel OK about that? Um, yeah, I would be.
00:16:04
I honestly think I could do it digits and still feel pretty good.
00:16:10
Like if the line was that the line was that Titans minus 9.5.
00:16:14
I think I would probably I wouldn't feel as good, obviously, but think I would be are definitely living that way.
00:16:23
I think if I'm teasing it, I want to stay within a touchdown.
00:16:26
But that's the cautious better in me coming out and just, you know, the conversation that we just had, like, what are we missing here? Um, that's a great call, though, to tease it up and get plus money. I like that a lot.
00:16:37
And I guess my final take on this game would be all offseason.
00:16:41
And coming into the season, I've been adamant that Tennessee is gonna win this division, and Colts closed his divisional favorites in the A F C.
00:16:49
South.
00:16:50
Indianapolis had no issues last week against Minnesota, so it's hard for me to see the Titans like.
00:16:56
I mean, is it gonna be because they're going on the road? There's no fans, so yeah, yeah, Kyle Rudolph already came out and said, zero home field advantage when we going into Cleveland Browns.
00:17:21
Browns are the home seven point favorite at MGM and points that 7.
00:17:26
5 elsewhere Washington I can get minus 1 14 odds on plus 7.
00:17:32
5 at your house that rivers and drinking.
00:17:36
Now, obviously, Cleveland's coming off a Thursday night win.
00:17:40
They have a few more days of rest.
00:17:42
Washington flying back from Arizona, they were closed in that game.
00:17:48
My personal opinion on this game is I'm probably going to stay away.
00:17:53
Um, I just don't like messing around with Washington.
00:17:56
I liked him before the season, and that pass rush has convinced me even more.
00:18:01
We've seen Baker Mayfield struggle when he's under duress, and I know he's going to at least see some pressure this game.
00:18:08
I would prefer to stay away if I had to lean a certain direction.
00:18:12
I would probably take Cleveland because I think the best way to slow down pass rush is a pound. The football.
00:18:19
And I know a chap could do that against anybody.
00:18:22
But even still, I don't think I need to play this.
00:18:26
What about you? Did you say 7.
00:18:32
5? Was the highest you saw? Mhm.
00:18:35
Okay, Um Yeah, more so it's It's all sevens across the board in Las Vegas.
00:18:42
Let me refresh, though, so I'm seeing in eight right now.
00:18:47
at Sugar House.
00:18:49
It would be, Which is interesting.
00:18:51
Um, Either way, though, I hate Thio, you know, fall in line with exactly what you're saying.
00:18:59
I feel like on all these games, but I don't have a good play on this either.
00:19:03
Um, the spread open 5.
00:19:04
5 in favor of the Browns, and that obviously has increased as we're looking at those these lines now, throughout the week.
00:19:13
I think if I had to go on the side, I would actually dio with Washington getting a full touchdown and nothing less if there is by back coming on this the best play I think for me, though, would be looking at the total and probably shooting and over on that covering 44 a half in 45 or all I'm seeing on the Vegas market.
00:19:35
I don't know if you would have something different at the other books, but Okay, so, yeah, looking at the over here, the Brown secondary Joe Burrow picked him apart last week, and I know Dwayne Haskins is gonna take a secondary apart, but Cleveland has not been good at defending the tight end position.
00:19:52
I like Logan Thomas have a big game here.
00:19:55
He's a fantasy sleeper for me this week.
00:19:57
Um, and you know, it's not necessarily even how many points is Washington going to put up? I think more for me.
00:20:05
It's how many points the Brown is gonna be able to put up.
00:20:07
And this running back, Theo, that's how you want to attack this Washington football team defensive front for me.
00:20:16
They're just gonna be ableto wear them down if you like, And it might not happen right away.
00:20:19
Like I would even argue.
00:20:21
Maybe you want about this first half under and the total over.
00:20:25
I could see a scenario where that plays out.
00:20:28
But over the course of this game, I feel like Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt are just I'm gonna be too much and that should open some things up.
00:20:34
Hopefully, you would think for Baker make it in the passing game as well.
00:20:38
So if I had to do anything, I think I would go total over.
00:20:41
But I really the better part of me does not want any thing to do with this game.
00:20:48
Yeah, yeah, I'm not gonna I'm not gonna better cans coach with cancer.
00:20:53
That's just my personal opinion here.
00:20:55
You let me down last week, though.
00:20:58
I love Washington last week and it didn't pan out.
00:21:02
Uh, I'm not gonna touch the total on this one.
00:21:05
There's just too many things that could go either way.
00:21:07
The Browns could be the Browns.
00:21:09
You never know.
00:21:10
I'd rather next one.
00:21:12
Here we have Chicago Bears going to the Atlanta Falcons.
00:21:17
This is an interesting game, for sure.
00:21:19
I'm not sure if the line has moved.
00:21:21
All I Only thing I remember is seeing three in favor of Atlanta all week long, and that's what it is right now.
00:21:28
Best odds come at points.
00:21:30
Bedford both at plus 100.
00:21:33
Man.
00:21:34
I mean Atlanta.
00:21:35
They showed us the best way to choke a game last week, and their defense continues to be terrible.
00:21:41
Their offense continues solid.
00:21:43
Even though Julio Jones, is he officially doubtful for this game? I'm not sure I believe it.
00:21:52
Yeah, I think he's gonna miss.
00:21:54
That's all.
00:21:55
The words that I've been hearing and seeing is Julio is probably gonna be out for this one, and obviously you don't feel good.
00:22:05
It's Julio Jones.
00:22:07
Now it's Russell Gauge and Calvin Ridley on the receiving corps, and I couldn't tell you who the fourth guy is, because I don't think Matt Ryan knows, unless consider hating curse.
00:22:18
But in terms of wide receiver the Bears, I'm a tie girly hair.
00:22:25
What's your opinion and tied early after watching? I'm disappointed because I own multiple shares.
00:22:33
This guy, just where I was getting it in drafts and like the 3rd 4th round, I'm like, All right, you know, the volume should be there, and as far as carries go, it has not been there because Atlanta just throws consistently.
00:22:46
And even if he carries were there, I don't know that Would you be producing? I guess that's my question.
00:22:52
How good is this Falcons offensive line and run blocking? I feel like I don't even know after the first two weeks because, you know, it's just it hasn't gone that way.
00:23:00
Um, so I'm a little bummed out, I guess.
00:23:04
Where I'm sitting with girly and a couple of these fantasy leagues, I think he has the potential to bounce back.
00:23:12
But the other thing that would concern me is toward the end of last year, you know, Devante Freeman was obviously out but Brian Hill and whoever else they were throwing out there.
00:23:21
You know, Smith.
00:23:22
I think I've heard, too.
00:23:23
But Oleson was in there for a little bit.
00:23:26
A few snaps.
00:23:27
None of those running backs were really doing that much.
00:23:30
And so hate.
00:23:31
Nursed has definitely been the the newcomer of note in this Atlanta offense over Derley.
00:23:38
And it's important to note that going from Austin Hooper to Hayden Hurst is a downgrade and run block.
00:23:45
What? Uh huh. Stuff.
00:23:57
We've seen the Falcons defense struggle, though obviously probably put up really 40 points last week, and then we one was a si har.
00:24:08
I know Russell Wilson had an adjusted completion rate to 95% which is by all stats, very good on.
00:24:16
Very bad.
00:24:17
So no would do you? How do I want to freeze Mitchell? Strabinsky.
00:24:25
Bad quarterback? Yeah.
00:24:27
Would you agree? Or do you think he's better than give him credit for? No, he's not good.
00:24:35
Okay.
00:24:36
Do you think he passes for 300 yards in this game? I'm going to say no.
00:24:44
Does you Really? I feel dirty, So Alright, so here's a question for you.
00:24:50
For those of our lovely viewers and listeners who are, uh, signing up for ****** knife fight.
00:24:57
With that promo code, you drop in the chat and the link they have more or less.
00:25:03
You can triple your money if you get both of these. Correct.
00:25:07
You have And Travis Key over under 250 a half.
00:25:15
So would you take the over on both? Yeah, Yeah, I kind of like that, too.
00:25:21
I think he can go for 2.
00:25:22
5300 now Paired up.
00:25:27
I'm also Yeah, that's fair.
00:25:31
That's fair.
00:25:32
I just am Morva believer that Dan Quinn is a terrible football coach and this deep terrible um, not that saying tradition is not gonna pass for 300 yards.
00:25:44
Argues against that because it's still Travis Key.
00:25:47
And the defense's not about terrible, I guess.
00:25:50
But getting the link to ****** knife right here can The defense is attack McKinley? Yeah, Z only relevant player there.
00:26:05
And I mean, I know this was last week, but the onside kick there's no excuse for that.
00:26:12
I don't care who you are as a coach or what your reputation is.
00:26:15
If your your players didn't know the rules of an onside kick.
00:26:20
That's why their own too.
00:26:22
There's no other way around it.
00:26:24
And so I I could see this game.
00:26:28
I think I'm on. Very.
00:26:30
It could go one of two ways and they're polar opposites.
00:26:33
I could see Atlanta just coming out laying an egg after last week and just, you know, the mental psyche of that.
00:26:40
That's something that a lot of people don't want to talk about sports or don't place enough weight on, At least in my opinion, is the psychology of these athletes and the coaches.
00:26:49
And you know what's going on.
00:26:50
And I know the NFL's a week, a week league, but you're either not gonna bounce back from that at all.
00:26:55
And you're gonna look terrible or they're gonna come out and they're gonna play a hell of a football game, and they could win this by double digits.
00:27:02
That's kind of how I see this playing out, so I think it's gonna go one way or the other.
00:27:07
It z anybody's guess which way it does go, though, right? I mean, you really you're asking if the pelicans could put up 40 points? Of course.
00:27:21
Could the bears come out and do Absolutely nothing.
00:27:24
Worst Could the Falcons defense come out and feel that five players seemingly in Mitchell Robiskie? It was throwing a yard out.
00:27:35
I mean, that could happen, Thio.
00:27:36
But like, man this Okay, the biggest interesting thing about this game to me is the which is 47 or 47 a half, depending on the book.
00:27:45
From what I see, that's a lot of points for Chicago Bears game, which also makes me believe, you know, on both of those overs on ****** night fight like we're talking, it was going to be passed, which is not a how strong, strong enough, you know, a recommendation or endor*****t, I guess.
00:28:13
But, um, yeah, I think points are going to be scored if Julio Jones is out, That makes me like the bear spread more now that I will.
00:28:25
That it? I don't think I'm gonna What about you? I'm off and and like you said the 47 47 half total, that's what we're seeing in the Vegas market as well.
00:28:36
So that's consistent across the country.
00:28:39
That's for me.
00:28:40
That's no man's land for this game.
00:28:42
Just because I could see the Bears defense locking down in this game going under.
00:28:48
Or I could see Atlanta going nuts.
00:28:51
And, you know, when Atlanta goes nuts on offense, their defense is gonna give up points.
00:28:55
We saw that last week, right? It might not be as much to mental Travis Key, but there's this Falcons defense is never gonna pitch a shutout.
00:29:03
Are you know, I feel like they're a lock to give up 17 to 20 no matter who they could give up 20 points of the Jets right now.
00:29:12
No e can't do anything here.
00:29:16
I really can't if I I guess if you put a gun to my head, I would say the Falcons will bounce back and I would take them on the spread.
00:29:27
But that's on Lee with a gun to my head.
00:29:31
Mitchell Dubitsky.
00:29:33
Historically, if he places a defense that moves around and gives him different looks, that's where he really struggles as much of a bad football coach.
00:29:43
I think game Quinn is or a bad head coach.
00:29:45
Rather, I think he can do some things on the defensive side of the ball to disrupt Robiskie.
00:29:51
They don't even need to have good players as long as they move around, I think he's gonna make the run read.
00:29:56
So, yeah, I think he's going to make mistake's hands on how many this next game.
00:30:04
If you have confidence in this 49 is going to New York Giants coordinators favored by three playing in the same stadium that they played last week, that everybody got hurt in, UM, I guess just off the top of my head there without Jake A Rapalo, they're basically without Jimmy Garoppolo on there without having Coleman think most It's out.
00:30:34
Tebow Samuels out, George Kittles out.
00:30:37
Richard Sherman's out.
00:30:38
Solomon Hill.
00:30:39
Solomon Thomas is out on the hill.
00:30:41
Wow, that's a play from the New Orleans pelicans.
00:30:44
Still, that's a random played A that I was gonna say, e a random player of that's laundry list of players giants there without Evan.
00:30:58
Evan.
00:30:59
God, I'm so scattered brain there without Sterling Shepard and without sick one.
00:31:03
Barkley, obviously two big offensive losses.
00:31:06
Defense is still pretty much intact.
00:31:08
Not that they were great, that at the top underrated, especially the front seven.
00:31:15
Do you have any confidence in the lien on this game? Do you want to touch it? I'm very confident in this game.
00:31:23
And if you're if you're going to give me points with the Giants in this game, I'm gonna take it all day.
00:31:29
I'm going to take the Giants on the money line.
00:31:30
I don't see how the Giants lose this game.
00:31:33
When you know, say, Guan Barkley.
00:31:35
Yeah, he's do it all running back.
00:31:37
He's a big loss.
00:31:38
I don't know how much of Devante Freeman we'll see this week, but I think Wayne Gallman and Dion Lewis the combination.
00:31:44
They're going to get it done.
00:31:45
There's a reason that they say running back is the most expendable position in football, and I think you'll see that this week.
00:31:51
It's not gonna be Barkley numbers for either their guy but the combination of the two.
00:31:55
They can fill that hole.
00:31:57
Sterling Shepard. The Giants been without Sterling Shepard.
00:31:59
I feel like every game except Week one for the last three years.
00:32:02
I personally not to go off on a tangent on throwing Shepherd.
00:32:07
I don't know why he's still trying to do it with all the concussions he's had.
00:32:10
I think at some point you just have Thio, you know, go another direction, but I am confident in Golden Tate in the slot.
00:32:18
I love Darius latent.
00:32:20
I feel like I'm higher on Slate, and then a lot of people are and he clearly has chemistry with Daniel Jones.
00:32:25
You've got Evan Ingram still in there.
00:32:27
Giants office is gonna be fine against the 40 Niners defense that you listed them all.
00:32:32
You know, deep forward.
00:32:34
Uh, Nick Bosa Greenlaw.
00:32:36
They're all out.
00:32:37
Richard Sherman out.
00:32:39
It's Collins with no target.
00:32:48
Brandon, I you really, uh he's yet to show it as a rookie.
00:32:52
I think he said, All right, we know it yet.
00:32:55
And being the only weapon air unless you're gonna say Kerry born is gonna go off in this game.
00:32:59
I don't think gonna see it from my youth in this one.
00:33:02
The joint secondary is bad.
00:33:03
It is. They can key in on him.
00:33:05
There's no George Kittel.
00:33:06
I don't think Jordan Reed is gonna be able to reproduce what he did last week.
00:33:09
We should have a decent game.
00:33:11
If you need a spot, start at that position in fantasy.
00:33:15
There's nothing in the backfield here, either.
00:33:16
And that's no slight to Jerick McKinnon or Jeff Wilson.
00:33:19
But against this like you said, Like we've said Underrated front seven.
00:33:24
I don't know how much they're gonna be able to impact the game.
00:33:26
I'm all over the Giants and this one, uh, just for reference.
00:33:30
It opens 6.
00:33:31
5 in Vegas with all the injury news with Garoppolo being confirmed out with Kittel being confirmed out 3.5.
00:33:37
That's the best you're gonna get on the Giants at this point.
00:33:40
But today it has actually been going to three at several books.
00:33:46
I think it's looking half and half.
00:33:48
Maybe there's one more 3.
00:33:49
5 across the and I have listed here.
00:33:54
So it's 6 to 4.
00:33:55
I guess I'm looking at out in Vegas, but I'm all in on the Giants in this one.
00:34:00
If Nick Mullins beats me, I'm gonna tip my cap.
00:34:04
Yeah, to me, Big bones bite pita.
00:34:08
I really think they might.
00:34:09
I think the Giants stopped.
00:34:11
Um, we have to terrible offensive lions.
00:34:15
I don't I know the 40 Niners offensive lines healthy, but they've been so bad this year.
00:34:20
Last drink, run blocking offensive line.
00:34:23
The league so far is the New York Giants by far.
00:34:27
But then the next worst has been the 40 Niners.
00:34:30
So I don't think 40 Niners run the ball.
00:34:32
Well, I know the Giants aren't going to run the ball Well, I think we see more Mohammed Sunu this 40 Niners, which is grade at least.
00:34:45
Nothing. It's good.
00:34:46
It's an upgrade, man.
00:34:48
I don't I think it comes down to coaching, which is kind of a which is kind of an unknown with Joe Judge, right? Like we don't know how good of a coach he is right now.
00:35:00
Shanahan straight.
00:35:02
And I believe Jason Garrett's gonna blow it somehow.
00:35:08
And you're not sweating my conference.
00:35:10
So I've you know, you until I see it on paper, there's zero reason why the China should lose.
00:35:18
That tells me they're gonna lose.
00:35:19
That's why I think they don't lose.
00:35:22
Uh, yeah, just I'm gonna sit and just watch the game, and I might live.
00:35:30
Bet it, but I don't need a better ahead of time on this game over there.
00:35:35
If they 45 40 three, that's just ugly.
00:35:40
If it's gonna be a slugfest, I'm gonna take the 40 Niners.
00:35:46
I don't know. It's interesting.
00:35:48
There's 42 a half and 42 in Vegas.
00:35:52
So states are a little bit higher, I guess, in the desert.
00:35:55
But one thing I just want to throw in here, and I'm not like trying to rebuttal your point, but I guess the the the Leniency I would give the Giants a little bit in terms of having the worst run blocking offensive line.
00:36:07
I think it was you said through the first two weeks they didn't play the Steelers and the Bears, which I think those were both.
00:36:14
We can agree on at least top six.
00:36:16
Top five defense's Maybe this year.
00:36:19
So, you know, with a depleted Niners defense.
00:36:23
I mean, I put money on this came next game I might put money on.
00:36:40
This is one that the I'd have moved in a direction that I don't want to see.
00:36:45
But we have the Cincinnati Bengals going to Philadelphia right now.
00:36:49
Philadelphia is the four point home favorite, unfancied points, but front a half points for the Bangles on Sugar House.
00:36:56
Bet Rivers. But MGM and Matt Kings.
00:36:59
It was obviously coming off a 59 football loss, but you know, we got a few extra days for Joe Perotta Isis shoulder after throwing 60 whatever passes, and he actually gets the game plan for his second time in the NFL essentially faces and Eagles team.
00:37:16
That obviously has struggled.
00:37:19
I want to Offensively, they're missing so many people in terms of wide receivers.
00:37:26
Offensive lineman, Bengals defensive line has looked pretty good.
00:37:30
I believe they're going to get Geno Atkins back this game.
00:37:33
This is a complete coin flip, in my opinion.
00:37:38
What about you? I'm not touching it.
00:37:42
As faras betting goes, this has come down.
00:37:44
It opened 5.
00:37:45
5 out in Vegas.
00:37:46
Obviously it was up 6 6.
00:37:48
5 most of the week.
00:37:50
And today same thing out there.
00:37:52
It's back down with 4 4.5.
00:37:54
Uh, at 6.
00:37:55
5, I might have dabbled in the Bengals on the point spread just because Philadelphia has shown nothing in these first few weeks to make me feel confident about laying much of anything with them.
00:38:09
And then you add in all the injuries I you know, we don't even know what reliable pass catchers once is gonna have this week beyond the two tight ends.
00:38:17
And then the Sean Jackson and I'm want to argue this point.
00:38:22
How reliable is he? Uh, this year, the total it is in no man's land.
00:38:30
I could see both of these offenses.
00:38:31
Doing something against defense is that I think Cincinnati's D is underrated.
00:38:37
I'm pretty sure we talked about that here before on one of these shows.
00:38:41
Um, but at the same time, Philadelphia's defense that is supposed to be great looked terrible last week.
00:38:47
Yeah, I know it's the Rams, but I was expecting stealing the show and this game going way under.
00:39:00
So this is a stay away.
00:39:03
Yeah, pretty much stay away from me.
00:39:05
When the total was up, I got at 5.5.
00:39:08
I did put some money on the Bengals.
00:39:11
I think I think Joe Burrow is good enough to get the win here at the end of the day.
00:39:16
Carson Wentz has the most or second most off target passes with a clean pocket this year, so it's not even that he's under pressure. Missing guys.
00:39:25
He's just missing guy, and I'm a Carson money.
00:39:29
It doesn't look good at all.
00:39:30
I'm occur.
00:39:31
Someone's fan. He capable.
00:39:33
Um, I think Bengals get pressure so Uh, that's why Just that point alone, I think Bengals get pressuring.
00:39:40
Win about it.
00:39:43
Are you Bengals whipping around? And eagles, obviously bring.
00:39:48
Yeah, I was just gonna ask you, from a fantasy standpoint, would you be looking to buy Carson Wentz low right now? Do you think he bounces back? Uh, he's either going to do two things.
00:40:02
He's either gonna bounce back or get hurt.
00:40:05
So I think he does bounce back.
00:40:09
Honestly, that's what it's gonna be.
00:40:11
Either he's going to get hit another, you know, 15 times per game.
00:40:14
I can't remember what he did last week.
00:40:16
Week 1 15.
00:40:17
Quarterback hits, eight sacks from Washington.
00:40:20
He gets to play them again. That it will be fun.
00:40:22
Um, yeah.
00:40:25
Eagles somehow get it done.
00:40:26
I if I had to bet on the division right now, As stupid as it sounds, I would put money on the Eagles to win the end.
00:40:34
Just because it's shaping up as the Cowboys.
00:40:41
I believe they dio they just This is what they do every single year.
00:40:45
They suck In the beginning, there's injuries, and they also one surprise me if they make a trade with Chicago for Nick falls.
00:40:52
It bring him back yet again.
00:40:55
It certainly would love that.
00:40:56
I would love that as someone who was in Philadelphia for that Super Bowl win and just the mania that ensued.
00:41:05
The hysteria.
00:41:07
That's where Nick Foles belongs.
00:41:08
Like Get this, get this crap out of here with the Jaguars.
00:41:11
The Bears.
00:41:12
Come on, You know, I know he's Carson Wentz, his backup, and he is meant to take over for Carson Wentz around the week 15 mark and leave the Eagles into the playoffs.
00:41:22
And he almost got him to the NFC championship year after, and that was a depleted roster.
00:41:28
Yeah, exactly.
00:41:30
He's meant for this.
00:41:31
This is what he's trained for.
00:41:32
This is what he's ready.
00:41:34
Uh, that's his job, says his job.
00:41:38
Um, let's go to Foxboro.
00:41:41
Here we have the Raiders coming off on Monday Night Football win.
00:41:45
They're six point underdogs.
00:41:46
Pretty much everywhere I have them.
00:41:48
You can get Patriots 5.
00:41:50
5 on draft Kings.
00:41:52
That's only spot.
00:41:53
I see Patriots are coming off a Sunday night football loss to the Seahawks, but look, by all accounts, I think very impressive against that team.
00:42:03
Especially offensively.
00:42:04
Defensively, they construct around, they could.
00:42:06
Jeff Russell Wilson, I suppose.
00:42:07
But offensively, Cam Newton definitely proved a lot of people, including myself, wrong.
00:42:14
But this one.
00:42:16
The trends for Bill Belichick and Jon Gruden, 2018.
00:42:31
Did you come back? It's been, yes, last year, the year before 20 since 2018 with a rest disadvantage.
00:42:41
He's covered the spread in like 60% of games herself and over the same time with rust advantage.
00:42:49
Bill Belichick and the Patriots 0.
00:42:53
3 like they just don't cover with the rest advantage.
00:42:57
For whatever reason, if we want to talk about how the Patriots can't stop the run, that's what the Raiders we're gonna try to do.
00:43:04
I know no Henry rugs.
00:43:06
I if I'm betting the spread, I think I respect the Raiders.
00:43:10
But I also have zero doubt that the Patriots win this game straight up, so I'd be willing to go on one side and then the other, which is interesting, and it makes me confused.
00:43:20
But what I do what about you that bears Falcons game, where we could see going like, one way very far, that direction or the other? Um, I'm actually inclined toe agree, because I don't know that.
00:43:36
I can imagine the Raiders winning this game.
00:43:41
It's a short week.
00:43:43
I know they're the Vegas Raiders now, but as Oakland Raiders, Foxboro has a lot of a lot of nightmarish memories for this team.
00:43:53
Uh, they don't tend to perform well there.
00:43:56
You got Bill Belichick coming.
00:43:59
That was on.
00:44:01
But where I saw slash heard it this week.
00:44:04
Um, it probably tells you I'm consuming too much media, but, uh, something like Bill Belichick coming off a loss and playing at home is just ridiculous against the spread.
00:44:15
Uh, so that makes me inclined to not like my personal lean on the spread, which would be Raiders.
00:44:25
I'm actually a little bit surprised that it is ticked up to six, but I think this is gonna be a game that you see sharps on both sides of it.
00:44:33
And I know both sides of taking money throughout the week.
00:44:38
Let's see here, Las Vegas, uh, open 6.
00:44:41
5, and it is six is all across the board.
00:44:45
The total I can't do anything with it.
00:44:47
Really, Uh, I might lean to the I don't know how much of it was a fluke.
00:44:56
necessarily last week.
00:44:58
Um, you know Michael Thomas out And what not, uh, granted, That's recently bias.
00:45:07
And they were terrible against Carolina newborn.
00:45:09
So that makes me jumping about this.
00:45:17
I think to England has got win this game, right? And if it was the spread, I would lean Raiders.
00:45:24
But just seeing the line movement go the other way, I think that might drive me off of that choice.
00:45:30
More than anything, I looked up some trends here after a loss.
00:45:37
Since 2010 the Patriots have covered the spread and 5.
00:45:41
7% of the games, and that's best in the league.
00:45:45
That's 23 12. Ridiculous.
00:45:47
It's crazy, and they've covered by an average of three point to point.
00:45:52
So nine ish when, um, you know it holds merit just because it's Bill Belichick and we know how it game plans for each week.
00:46:03
So it makes sense, and he's probably more strict and less pleasant.
00:46:07
If you can imagine that after loss, go ahead.
00:46:11
It's also, you know, it's Cam Newton.
00:46:13
It's a completely different regimes.
00:46:15
So how much doctors ahold? Interesting, though, Did you? This was this week, right? The days is kind of like, blurring together for me.
00:46:26
The Bill Belichick showing up to his presser and the, uh that was this week, right? Yeah.
00:46:34
Yeah, that was e love delegation.
00:46:39
Honestly say e have hated the Patriots all these years.
00:46:45
I really can't eight this to you anymore.
00:46:47
Have Cam Newton like I'll be the first admitted.
00:46:49
I'm a Jets fan going to work your relevant right now in this division.
00:46:53
But I grown up hating the Patriots.
00:46:55
But Bill Belichick has always been a guy that I've like, had, like, a little bit of like.
00:47:00
He's kind of cool, like, I wanna be like that someday when I'm his age showing up to the pressure like that, I lost it.
00:47:08
But I saw between him and his psychotic son Steve Belichick e just wanna goto family dinner or something.
00:47:16
Steve's got the year like the Davy Crockett thing, working in the back there, like, is that what that is? I got that right.
00:47:25
I have no idea, but I love them both.
00:47:28
I've always been able to separate Tom Brady, and the Patriots have always hated Tom Brady and always love loved Bill Belichick.
00:47:35
And then I was never gonna cheer for that by it.
00:47:38
But there's no doubt like there is zero doubt that he is the greatest coach of all time, right? I wouldn't say so.
00:47:49
Okay.
00:47:50
There's some people that argue it.
00:47:52
I just I don't see any way.
00:47:55
So I'm not a super big history guy, But, I mean, Don Shula like, and then I mean, who else you putting up their Lombardi? I know.
00:48:03
Pretty.
00:48:04
All you folks on Wisconsin is big, but even depends on what you're weighing.
00:48:09
People are big above in some party.
00:48:11
Here yourself.
00:48:18
Look, yeah, yeah, he founded football.
00:48:20
Basically, what we believe about it.
00:48:25
Um, let's talk about your Jets are irrelevant in the NFC East.
00:48:29
This is e do not want in the fittest 11.
00:48:33
5 underdogs everywhere.
00:48:36
Isay against the Colts on the road against the Colts, Cults will have a few fans in the stadium.
00:48:43
I don't think it's anything meaningful 70 500 7500.
00:48:48
I'm not that bad, You tell me, is what's the wide receiver situation for the Jets? Two white guys and a guy that I didn't even really realize was.
00:49:02
We've got Chris Hogan, Braxton Barrios and Josh Malone starting three.
00:49:07
And then, if you pull up the Jets wide receiver injury report, it's funny I did this last night.
00:49:12
How ESPN has it laid out? They got the tears right on the depth chart.
00:49:17
She got 1st, 2nd, 3rd and they moved guys up and around as faras.
00:49:21
The injuries go, but they have everyone on their listed from Josh Doctson, uh, to Jamison Crowder to Vincent Smith and those air the Onley three.
00:49:32
I kid you, not Malone.
00:49:33
Hogan various.
00:49:34
The Onley three healthy receivers on the depth chart Don't need to make a move to get another one or you just go with Caleb Lodge.
00:49:43
She goes, played them out.
00:49:44
Hash tag tanking for trucker I don't think you are.
00:49:48
I don't know what you're doing, but I don't think you're trying to take I think I don't know where you're there anymore.
00:49:54
Uh, e I Honestly, I'm just the I feel like I don't even have a favorite football team after, and it's only two weeks, but mhm I It's been a while, but I have been on record of defending Adam.
00:50:10
Gaze a lot in the path, and I have separated myself from that now.
00:50:16
I don't think he's that bad of a football mind.
00:50:18
I really, really don't.
00:50:20
But boy, is he a ****ing idiot he's got and he's a prick.
00:50:26
Like he hates the media idea.
00:50:28
You know, he's a coach for the team.
00:50:30
The biggest media market there.
00:50:34
I don't know.
00:50:35
This just seemed just makes me sad like they had so much potential.
00:50:38
And I'm not even a fan.
00:50:39
I can't imagine deal, But come on, I can't.
00:50:45
I mean, I'm glad I'm not the only one.
00:50:46
Your song.
00:50:47
79 seven and nine after starting one in seven.
00:50:55
Ah, yeah.
00:50:59
If you had a bad right now, no.
00:51:03
2.5 wind total.
00:51:06
Would you go over still? Um, I think so.
00:51:23
It is possible in one of those games.
00:51:26
Uh, let's see.
00:51:30
The NFC West.
00:51:32
They're not beating anyone A f c West.
00:51:34
I think Denver's possible depending on what's going on there.
00:51:39
Um, number here with General, I honestly, I'm not even joking.
00:51:44
I think they have a chance.
00:51:47
That's stupid to say.
00:51:48
I think they dio I'm not gonna touch this game.
00:51:51
So 20 you're saying that because you know, you said you're not touching it, and I'm not going to touch it either.
00:51:56
But if I had to do something 11.
00:51:58
5 points, that's just over and played it to me in a week, three games, again with the Colts team that I think is overrated to begin with.
00:52:06
Eso looking at how Indianapolis wants to play, they're gonna want a ground clock and, you know, they shouldn't have to do a whole heck of a lot special toe win.
00:52:18
Uh, so I'm assuming by chance, you're saying by the point spread because I don't give the Jets months of a chance toe win, But I think covering 11.
00:52:24
5 Yeah, okay.
00:52:26
But I think covering 11 and I think that I think they could win straight.
00:52:30
Do you really mhm, I dio I think I think Gregg Williams is legit as a coach.
00:52:38
I think he's terrific and I think Philip Rivers, I would say, is slightly prone to making mistakes.
00:52:46
So if it's comfortable, if the game is close the fourth quarter and it comes down to Philip Rivers making Dr clinch the victory, I think he makes the wrong decision and I think he leaves the door open for a win.
00:53:04
That's I a confident, obviously.
00:53:09
Yeah, And I know like, one theory that I heard this week is no matter what happens this season, look to bet on Rivers is an underdog and not a favorite, which that was interesting to read, because I think a lot of times when the culture gonna be the favorites and games, it might be by too large of a margin.
00:53:31
And this is definitely 11.
00:53:32
5 with this line moving where it opened.
00:53:35
Let me just make sure I have the right number here so open to touchdown out in Vegas.
00:53:40
And that feels much more on point to me, I think, and even seven and yeah, I can understand the line movement based on the injuries and how these teams, namely the Jets, have looked in the first two weeks.
00:53:55
But I don't know just from the way I see the Colts wanting to attack this game.
00:53:59
I think that, you know a spread cover is very realistic and it might even be a backdoor covered like you know we saw last week.
00:54:07
Garbage time touchdown puts the game over against the 40 Niners, so I was on the wrong side of that one s.
00:54:13
So not only does my team gets smoked, but I lose my bet on the game.
00:54:17
Uh, there was one other point.
00:54:19
There it is.
00:54:20
This is yet another frank or revenging.
00:54:23
I know.
00:54:24
I've said that three weeks in the room, baby.
00:54:25
Let's go.
00:54:27
Yeah, every gave the revenge scale Hey, 100 yard game.
00:54:35
But it he didn't He didn't do bad last.
00:54:39
They're bunking up ****** knife fight.
00:54:40
Has anything on him? Oh, they should.
00:54:43
They should make it featured.
00:54:45
I'm gonna check right now.
00:54:46
I started Frank or last week.
00:54:48
He was peace.
00:54:49
And I think tell you, I'll tell you how many yards he gotten, how maney you should have had against San Francisco of all teams Revenge game.
00:54:58
Big revenge game Franco or 2 21 carries for 63 yards.
00:55:03
Don't look at the average, but 63 yards.
00:55:06
Here you go, Zack.
00:55:10
So the second contest available on ****** knife fight in the Jets Colts game is a wrap.
00:55:17
A rapid fire.
00:55:18
You can get five times your prize money back if you pick all three of these.
00:55:22
Correct? You ready? Philip Rivers vs Sam Donald in passing yards.
00:55:28
Uh, Sam Donald is catching 30.
00:55:31
5 passing yards off the top.
00:55:34
Jonathan Tailor versus Frank Gore in rushing yards are boyfriend.
00:55:38
Gore is catching 33 a half rushing yards off the top and then T y Hilton and Braxton Barrios in receptions with Barrios catching 330.5.
00:55:49
Reception.
00:55:51
I wish that was yards because I think T.
00:55:52
Y Hilton goes off after his grandma, like, ****ing called him out this week.
00:55:57
His grandmother text.
00:55:58
Um, sa***e. He's like, I don't even recognize you.
00:56:00
He's like, Oh, ****.
00:56:01
Now we gotta go.
00:56:02
I would go Donald, Donald, obviously Gore.
00:56:08
What did burials do last week? Two catches and can't go help them.
00:56:15
That's for how much.
00:56:16
Hey out, five times, whatever you wager on it.
00:56:20
So that's how ****** Knife fight is.
00:56:22
There's not odds necessarily on these games, it's you put whatever steak you want on the contest and then depending on how you do, some of them have multiple payout results, so they'll have, you know, like four different prop matchups or something like that.
00:56:40
And if you get like two of them, right, you get double your payout If you get, um, all right, you get four times.
00:56:45
That's just an example.
00:56:46
This one.
00:56:47
The only option is to get all three right.
00:56:49
But you, What would it be quintuple for five times your money? Mhm.
00:56:55
Hey, that's free money.
00:56:57
If I could pick Frank Gore three times, that would be super free money.
00:57:00
And he's getting 33 a half yards that he's got a 33.
00:57:03
5 lead by Dr Cough.
00:57:10
I think he could be a revenge game.
00:57:14
Revenge game.
00:57:15
You couple linemen out for us.
00:57:16
You know, McGovern's out on fan is out that you think you matter to me.
00:57:24
That sounds like there's less people in the way of Frank Carter on over.
00:57:28
Let's go, Get out of the way.
00:57:30
We just need a center.
00:57:31
Get the ball.
00:57:32
Directs a map.
00:57:34
I'm excited.
00:57:35
I'm watching this game now.
00:57:36
I wasn't good.
00:57:37
Obviously when you watch this game, but now I think I have to Oh my goodness.
00:57:43
So yeah.
00:57:44
11.
00:57:45
5 for the Jets.
00:57:46
Lock it up to switch my mind.
00:57:48
I'm putting a bet on it for shirt Oh e on to do the same now But I want all this frank Orthodox like the Jets fan.
00:57:58
It means like e Let's go Panthers headed to L.
00:58:07
A to take on the Chargers.
00:58:09
Justin Herbert is starting for the Chargers again.
00:58:12
Ah, lot of people said he looked good last week.
00:58:14
I would disagree.
00:58:15
He looked absolutely horrendous.
00:58:17
I think he was like the 28th graded quarterback of the week.
00:58:20
He looked really, really good on his runs.
00:58:22
Unfortunately, Mike Williams had about 50 yards of space standing wide open, doing jumping jacks.
00:58:27
He would look a lot better throwing him the ball, But he faces arguably divorced defense in the league in the Panthers in that might not be arguable.
00:58:38
They're absolutely horrendous.
00:58:41
Obviously, the Panthers do not have Christian McCaffrey.
00:58:44
Now, on top of that, Uh, yeah, yeah.
00:58:49
So charges or 6.
00:58:50
5 point home favorites that's held pretty steady.
00:58:53
I think he may have opened at six.
00:58:55
Tell me, but charges are gonna pound the rock.
00:59:00
This game, that's all there is to a Panthers run defense was the worst in the league last year.
00:59:05
And then you take Luke quickly off that events that just tells you where their heads are at Josh Kelley had almost 20 carries for the charges.
00:59:20
Herbert, who surprisingly better run the spread.
00:59:31
Can Issa 6.
00:59:33
5.
00:59:34
Like what? Is that too much for you? I don't want either side being completely honest.
00:59:41
Like you said. 6.5 it opened.
00:59:43
Excuse me.
00:59:44
Out in Vegas, it is still sick and a half across the board with once the book that is off 6.
00:59:53
5 money there on very minimal sharp action by the lack of mine movement everywhere else s o.
01:00:03
I don't want anything to do that.
01:00:05
I think if I was gonna play the game, it would be over the total, uh, 43 a half.
01:00:10
44.
01:00:11
I think Carolina is offensively.
01:00:12
You know, McCaffrey is out, but Mike Davis should be able to step in.
01:00:19
Oh, yes, sir.
01:00:22
I mean, going back to the discussion, we had the Giants game.
01:00:25
It's the most expendable position in football, so the Panthers will be all right.
01:00:29
Um, Mike Davis might not play a larger role is McCaffrey did in the offense in terms of all around production, but he very well could I get where you're coming from there with that love.
01:00:40
Andi, These receivers, they're gonna be just fine.
01:00:43
Uh, TJ more Robby Anderson? Yeah, it's a tough matchup, but I think Carolina is good for I would say, at least two touchdowns in this game, right? Eso the Chargers pounding the rock, assuming the wind.
01:00:56
Uh, you know, but at least a score in this one that would put you at 35.
01:01:02
So I guess I would be leaning for more points from both sides if I said over the total.
01:01:05
I did my math wrong there on library.
01:01:07
Sorry, guys, but yeah, over the total of 43 a half, that feels kinda low to me.
01:01:13
Even with Justin Herbert, a quarterback who I'm excited to watch him a little bit more this week.
01:01:19
It's funny in terms of fantasy, the Panthers have actually not been bad in terms of points allowed to the QB position, but that's because you can run the ball all over.
01:01:28
Uh, so wow, I think Herbert is a viable streaming candidate.
01:01:33
This week might not be a xga good a week, as some people are thinking.
01:01:40
And you know, I'm stuck with Tyrod Taylor in a super flex redraft, and I don't really know what to do with him.
01:01:47
But he's my only backup quarterback on the bench, and I'm keeping him because I'm inclined to believe Anthony Lynn that when he's healthy, he will be back in there.
01:01:55
And I would assume that you're how should I say it? Football talent level ****ysis to some degree is better than mine.
01:02:04
And so just hearing that from you saying that you didn't like how Herbert looked last week, Uh, that makes me inclined to think that I'm kind of leaning in the right direction here.
01:02:13
Is faras projecting this Chargers Q B situation? Well, Anthony Lynn, with what he said, he said Absolutely nothing.
01:02:22
He said Tyrod, Taylor's air quarterback when he's 100%.
01:02:26
He said that knowing full well that he wasn't 100% so it just sort of opens the door of Let's see how Justin Herbert looks this week.
01:02:34
We know for sure he's a starter for this week and he can earn the job this week and I don't know, let's assume tie rods out two weeks minimum if if all goes as planned, um, so I'm not sure the charges quite next week.
01:02:51
But obviously that's the dream matchup for him.
01:02:53
This it's two wins with Tyrod on the bench.
01:02:59
Then I don't think they give Tyrod the job back.
01:03:03
Unfortunately, I think they're just going to continue with what's working, which is unfortunate because here is a very, very good quarterback and this happens everywhere he goes.
01:03:12
He's never performed poorly anywhere.
01:03:15
You just keep getting.
01:03:17
I was stood and it sucks.
01:03:19
I was really high on tire at this year's.
01:03:20
Well, it is what it is.
01:03:24
We'll know full fully know.
01:03:26
I think, after this game, if Tyrod drop back, would you be? Would you have any any sort of mind? I don't know, maybe just sprinkling like a tiny play or including it in a big parley where you're trying to cash out with some longer odds to take Panthers money line in this? No, I don't think so.
01:03:52
No, I think I think the Panthers offenses very good.
01:03:59
I think they're legit, even without Christian McCaffrey.
01:04:01
I think the passing game is going to be good there very clearly, not as dangerous, but I think their defense too bad.
01:04:09
I think the Chargers a defense is good enough to make a couple plays to stop Panthers offense.
01:04:14
And I don't know, I don't think the charges put Justin Herbert in a position to making this.
01:04:23
Yeah, I guess that would be how I'm looking at it too, is I could see this Panthers offense putting up points, but the charges defense is also really good.
01:04:30
I don't think they're given enough credit either.
01:04:32
Eso while I would love to play the maybe Herbert makes a mistake or the Chargers fall behind and he needs to do more than they want him to do.
01:04:43
Uh, say that early, Um, that Carolina will definitely jump out to an early lead.
01:04:49
Andi, I did look it up to the Chargers.
01:04:52
Have the Buccaneers next week, and that is you're throwing in there for a while.
01:05:01
So you said I'm sorry.
01:05:03
Uh, I guess I was, uh it wasn't important, but I did pull up the chargers schedule because he said he didn't know who they played next, and they have the Buccaneers next week.
01:05:12
And that is followed by the ST so things will be a little bit tougher for whoever is quarterbacking this team now.
01:05:22
I mean, this is an opportunity.
01:05:26
It depends on what kind of person and Ni Lin is.
01:05:28
He very well could be like So Herbert out there.
01:05:31
He gets two losses against the Buccaneers and Saints and be OK.
01:05:34
The Tyrod we need.
01:05:36
Tyrod is obviously I'm the rookie here.
01:05:40
Let's let Herbert sit back and learn a little bit, which I think he would benefit from anyway.
01:05:50
I think it is in time on some of those throws that he was making in college.
01:06:03
There's still development to be had here, and I think just, you know, the NFL game is going to be even faster.
01:06:10
So if he was a little late to make some reads in college, probably going to be a little bit worse here at the NFL level.
01:06:19
And, you know, like we've already touched on.
01:06:21
Probably not against this Panthers defense, which feels like it's all rookies anyway.
01:06:26
But, uh, going forward, yeah, but you might want to sit back a little bit. I don't know.
01:06:34
It's one of the things that I'm most interested in to see how it plays out here over the next few weeks, completely agree.
01:06:42
Now let's go to the desert got the Detroit Lions headed to Arizona in a rematch of weak ones tie from last season.
01:06:52
Arizona is currently 5.
01:06:53
5 points.
01:06:54
Favorites everywhere I see Um, besides, you have points bet plus 100 for both.
01:07:02
This is another one of those games, man.
01:07:04
Like I don't want to bet it.
01:07:07
I really, really don't.
01:07:08
If you look at what these two teams have done, most people would be like, Yeah, this is an obvious Arizona win.
01:07:15
No one has been able to stop Kyler Murray.
01:07:17
He's been running and destroying everybody.
01:07:20
Lions obviously can't stop the run.
01:07:22
We saw Aaron Jones did.
01:07:23
We saw Montgomery CA one.
01:07:25
I do think it's a good Kenyan Drake game, Um, which means I think Kathryn Murray actually runs less, so it might not be a great fantasy, but they get Kenny Golladay back this week, and I think Kenny Golladay is one of the best wide receivers in the NFL.
01:07:43
I know Stafford can put up points against Arizona.
01:07:47
I'm total is at total is at 55 a half 56.
01:07:57
Yeah, I don't want to touch that.
01:07:58
I feel like that's about right but that's telling you is probably going to be a shootout.
01:08:04
I don't wanna touch a scheme issue, though.
01:08:05
I really don't.
01:08:07
What about you? It's hard for me to come up with a play either.
01:08:12
Total, uh, if you're gonna do that, though, you're probably gonna wanna hop on that quick, because I only see it if it goes anywhere up before kickoff.
01:08:28
But with that said, 55 a half is that Z It is second highest total.
01:08:35
The highest is a game that we will be discussing shortly second high total on the board of the week.
01:08:40
I think what happens is, uh, already better units on either side of the ball in this game.
01:08:47
Um, it is interesting to me, just the amount of money uh, the Arizona has taken to move the line.
01:08:54
It opened at 3.
01:08:55
5 out in Vegas and now sitting at 5.
01:08:58
5 and six across the board.
01:09:03
If someone who came into the season I guess with a strong opinion on the lions to be a better football team than they were when lost wives last year and just 80 s.
01:09:14
Uh, I guess I would be inclined to say, If I'm betting it at this number, it's gonna be Detroit.
01:09:20
Uh, do I trust the lines, though, after these first few weeks? No, I don't.
01:09:26
So it's really a crapshoot.
01:09:30
I think for me here as well.
01:09:32
I still am holding out some sort of hope that the Lions figured this out, uh, and reward me at some point.
01:09:40
And I don't wanna hop off that train just yet.
01:09:42
Uh, but as far as you know, winning that division, I think that's that ship has kind of sailed.
01:09:48
Uh, you know who's who's who's going to take it and even these saying that I'm still not 100% sure.
01:09:57
Definitely the I think that matches what Detroit has, obviously right.
01:10:06
And the Packers, I think, have to be ahead of them at this point for sure.
01:10:09
Um, Packers have been a pleasant surprise for me, at least in terms of how I had things power rated coming into the season.
01:10:16
Uh, I was expecting a lot more regression there, and it could still be coming, you know, we're only two weeks in.
01:10:22
I don't want to overreact entirely, but I still like I don't want to say Detroit is that much worse than either of those two teams.
01:10:30
Even after these first two weeks, they've been banged up on defense.
01:10:33
Have been without Golladay.
01:10:36
If I'm doing anything here, it's Alliance.
01:10:38
And I feel like I'm gonna be saying if I'm doing anything its clients for a lot of the year, because until they reward me and tell me I can trust them, it's gonna be if I'm doing anything but, man, I wanna pull these Detroit triggers so bad you can't do it right now.
01:10:57
Yeah, Detroit's for sure.
01:11:00
Not as bad, I guess, is everyone is talking about them else.
01:11:07
Uh, they didn't deserve the one either of those games.
01:11:10
They very well could have beaten the Bears, obviously, but this defense is absolutely horrendous.
01:11:16
This offense, I think, has potential to be for sure.
01:11:21
Top 10 I would say top their top 76 potential in the league for sure.
01:11:30
Offensive line is not great, but Matthew Stafford with Kenny Kenny Holiday, Marvin Jones, Quintas Cephus, Danny Amendola, Hawkinson Not to mention the running backs, I think they can put up points in a hurry.
01:11:43
Many holidays.
01:11:44
Number one wide receiver Like everyone freaking out about Drew Brees.
01:11:48
How he was so bad last week without Michael Thomas, I would argue Kenny Golladay is more important to this offense.
01:11:56
Then Michael Thomas is to the ST I I mean, yeah, this game is really tough.
01:12:04
I just don't think they could stop Kyler Murray.
01:12:06
And this is coming from someone who was screaming and more than one occasion about how terrible this Arizona Cardinals team is.
01:12:14
I still don't think they're very good.
01:12:16
I think they get the benefit of a very, very nice schedule so they'll go over there.
01:12:21
Wind total for sure.
01:12:23
I just said What was the point I wanted to jump on? You're Kyler Murray Comment threw it out the window. I mean, I'm sorry.
01:12:36
Forgot that part? Um, yes, that was s.
01:12:40
So I don't know that I'm going to say all day.
01:12:42
Is mawr important to Detroit? The Michael Thomas is with saints.
01:12:47
I think the argument for that would be Alvin Kamara is better than what DeAndre Swift is right now that so I could see that.
01:12:54
But looking at the injuries, we already discussed Julio Jones potentially being out for Atlanta This week.
01:13:00
Detroit does not have another Calvin Ridley, uh, to step up like Marvin Jones, Danny Amendola and see if it's the rookie.
01:13:08
No offense.
01:13:09
None of them are Calvin, Ridley and E.
01:13:11
Maybe you could even argue.
01:13:12
None of them are Russell Gauge either.
01:13:14
I think Marvin Jones would get the nod there for me.
01:13:16
Uh, but, you know, as a wide receiver one he hasn't gotten these first few weeks with Golladay out.
01:13:26
So I definitely, uh, to me, Gala Day is way more important to Detroit than Julio Jones.
01:13:32
Being out this week would be to Atlanta.
01:13:34
There was a crazy stat.
01:13:35
I heard, uh, last thoughts on the stand.
01:13:38
I heard it listening to a show today, and it was Matt.
01:13:42
Patricia is coach 33 games as the head coach of the Lions.
01:13:47
And in those 33 games, he's blown 11 4th quarter leads.
01:13:51
So it's so frustrating because this team is Yeah, okay.
01:14:00
They shouldn't be this bad.
01:14:01
They're in pretty much every game.
01:14:04
They weren't as bad as the record was last year, but they lost Stafford.
01:14:07
They had other injuries.
01:14:08
They weren't that bad.
01:14:10
All of your current, I don't get it.
01:14:13
Like if we're betting the first half total, I can tell you what the odds are.
01:14:18
40.
01:14:19
I'd be willing to put a little bit of money on Detroit, at least for his core first half spreader.
01:14:26
Total US spread.
01:14:32
First quarter Detroit plus three.
01:14:33
I'm willing to do that.
01:14:35
I have.
01:14:38
I mean, I could pick and choose, I guess, on Bovada the most.
01:14:45
They are horrible, I guess in terms of Detroit would be Detroit minus one at plus 1 65.
01:14:50
Otherwise, it's all expecting Detroit to be trailing.
01:14:54
I'd be willing to put money on any ability.
01:14:59
I think they jump out.
01:15:00
I don't know.
01:15:02
I don't know.
01:15:03
I could see those two.
01:15:06
What I said, I could see any of those places to ast faras.
01:15:11
You know, the comfort level of this is this has been a first half team, so more confident, betting a shorter spread in the first half than I would a longer spread for the whole game just because of how this team seems to fade.
01:15:31
Every single second had fourth quarter, especially that mental travesty game in week one hole.
01:15:38
I didn't even know how mad I was.
01:15:41
Yeah, I was watching that gambling.
01:15:42
Okay, Detroit's bad.
01:15:44
Got it that Zaydi mhm have, even though they're in.
01:15:52
I'm Packer fan.
01:15:53
So even though they're in the package division like they're not even a team, I can even come close to hating.
01:15:58
This was like, Come on, you feel sorry for him.
01:16:01
You really dio you guys could do this.
01:16:04
You made all the right moves, the off season play as a team.
01:16:10
And I like Matt Patricia Yes, e.
01:16:17
I have been so anti all the map Patricia Hate.
01:16:20
And I know I just dropped that statin here where they blow the fourth quarter leads.
01:16:25
It's not his fault that so many of his defensive players air injured, and now he's got a relatively young defense.
01:16:32
Obviously, these guys are gonna have growing pains like Okuda as your quarterback.
01:16:37
One the guise of rookie.
01:16:38
So I know he's a top three pick.
01:16:41
There's still a learning curve when it comes to covering NFL receivers, especially when it's the opposing teams top receiver.
01:16:49
That'd be like covering holiday if it was his own team.
01:16:52
So Golladay verse a rookie.
01:16:54
I don't care if you were a top three pick or 1/6 round pick.
01:16:57
I'm going to take a holiday there.
01:16:59
So it I think I think people have been hired on nutrition 100%.
01:17:04
Not even then.
01:17:05
Kudos covering the team's top wide receiver. Either.
01:17:07
It's that he's covering Davante Adams, and now he's covering DeAndre Hopkins.
01:17:11
He's to the past, both of which I think we agree are a step ahead of even dollars.
01:17:19
Yeah, 100%.
01:17:22
Okay, so our ****ysis of that game is we feel bad.
01:17:27
Now.
01:17:28
Let's go to We took the long route to get there.
01:17:30
A, typically, Buccaneers go to Denver.
01:17:34
Denver, unfortunately, is not starting Blake Bortles for whatever reason, But at some point, once he gets put in a game and wins the game, you will be seeing me on here in a Broncos Bortles jersey, Guaranteed.
01:17:45
Loved me, My Mr December, the phony greatest quarterback of all time.
01:17:53
Tom Brady.
01:17:54
5.5 point favorites.
01:17:56
I've seen that go up to six now at Sugar House that Rivers points back in draftkings, obviously, Broncos air also without Courtland Sutton done for the year.
01:18:07
Philip Philip Lindsay.
01:18:10
So out, um, Chris Godwin's back for the Buccaneers.
01:18:15
I guess that's notable ****ing years definitely looked a lot better last week.
01:18:19
They look mawr on the same page, didn't look great, level competitions, definitely at play.
01:18:25
They play the Panthers and they still struggled.
01:18:28
So it is what it is.
01:18:31
I don't think I wanna bet this spread, either.
01:18:33
Tom Brady hasn't been amazing in Denver.
01:18:37
I think that has something to do with the defense's.
01:18:39
He's faced us well.
01:18:41
But this also isn't a terrible defense to your point that you said earlier, Um, you know what number did last week against the Steelers? Who are, I think, a terrific team.
01:18:52
I don't think chapters schools very good, but could be good enough to keep the game close.
01:18:58
I don't know.
01:18:59
Do you have any stronger feelings than me on this game? I don't know that. I'll say they're stronger.
01:19:06
Um, is Denver past for me on the spread? It looks like it opened 3.
01:19:11
5 out in Vegas, and it is mostly sixes with a few 5.
01:19:15
5 still left on the board.
01:19:18
That's because orders was starting.
01:19:20
Many question, right? Yes, for sure, Um, whether it's Borders or Driscoll, a quarterback for Denver, I guess my argument would be neither one.
01:19:33
Well, I'm not gonna say that about Borders.
01:19:35
Driscoll, like you said, he's not very good, but, uh, yeah, I was careful there, but how much of a drop off? Is he really from Drew Lock? I don't know.
01:19:45
So there's a lot of unknowns there, I think Andrew Lock granted going up against Pittsburgh and who was a week when the Titans, those air to defense is that are pretty good.
01:19:57
Definitely in the upper half of the league probably could say, even upper third, I think depending on how you feel about Tennessee, so that might not be the best place to gauge Drew lock and the offense, especially dealing with the injuries that they have.
01:20:14
I just I don't like Tampa Bay and, you know, I thought they're way overrated coming into the season.
01:20:20
I still think they're overrated in terms of this line movement.
01:20:22
If you were going about the Bucks, you had to do it right away.
01:20:25
At 3.5.
01:20:26
I might have been inclined to take Tampa Bay, actually, just knowing all the injuries in Denver.
01:20:32
But this is a game where I very well may talk myself in the lane a little bit with the Broncos at.
01:20:38
I would want.
01:20:41
I need at least six if it moves to 6.
01:20:43
5 with some public money coming in on Tom Brady TD 12 tomorrow, then, Yeah, I think I would definitely Sprinkle a little bit on the Broncos Point spread.
01:20:55
I just think it's gonna be a close game and no matter who's, uh, starting a quarterback here, Denver's desperate their own, too.
01:21:02
So they're gonna make anything out of this season.
01:21:05
Got to get up for this game, and you got to get up for this game special when it's at home, and I think we already mentioned it.
01:21:11
But if not, I'll say it any again or for the first time.
01:21:15
Denver's defense, even without Von Miller, I think, is kind of getting hated on a little bit too much.
01:21:22
I know Von Miller is the heart and soul.
01:21:24
Uh, I know, like assumes That news came out.
01:21:27
You and I were, uh, texting and we said wind total under lock it in if you could still get it before they take it down.
01:21:35
And I am fully confident in that wind.
01:21:36
Total bet, All right, but there's still a lot of talent on the defensive side of the ball here for the Broncos.
01:21:42
And so Tampa Bay is still hiring some things out.
01:21:45
Clearly on offense.
01:21:48
And the second half last week against that Carolina defense was not exactly inspiring to your point about the Broncos defense.
01:21:57
This is including Von Miller, but the Broncos spend more money on their defense this season than any other team in the league, so they didn't spend money on no talent.
01:22:07
I mean, they're still very very and Vic Fangio head coach.
01:22:11
You can ask a lot of questions about if he's a good head coach or not.
01:22:16
But there's no doubt that he's a terrific defensive mind, one of the best in the league.
01:22:22
Sure, I would have.
01:22:35
I would guess the Buccaneers try to run the ball as much as possible for your point.
01:22:40
I think it's going to be closed.
01:22:41
Total.
01:22:42
I have 42 a half right now under in just feeling that way.
01:22:49
I don't think, you know Buccaneers win by over a touchdown.
01:22:54
That's a lot to ask this Pat Shurmur offense.
01:22:57
This is the simplest offense, possibly in the past few decades.
01:23:03
It's just short crossing routes, the easiest routes that quarterback could ever thrill.
01:23:09
And it's get the ball in the hands of the athlete.
01:23:11
But the athlete make a play.
01:23:13
That's why no font is so good in this offense.
01:23:16
That's why I say Kwan Barkley was when he was a giant.
01:23:19
That's why help Lindsay, I think, will be once he's back on the field, he could be a little bit more of a pass catcher.
01:23:26
I mean, that's all they're gonna do.
01:23:27
They're going to get away from the used Tampa cornerbacks and linebackers, and I think Broncos can move the ball.
01:23:36
Yeah, if I was going to bet this game the only way I would bet it is on Denver.
01:23:43
I don't know if I'm going to do that.
01:23:45
It looks like I could see the spread moving to 6.5.
01:23:55
I might be inclined to take the total under two.
01:23:58
I'm seeing a lot of from that total.
01:24:11
Doesn't look like anything is updated here.
01:24:13
Uh, since we started, uh, this just feels like it's gonna be an ugly ballgame to me and your credit.
01:24:20
Two point of practice moving the football.
01:24:24
I think both things are gonna be running the football thinking dunk, moving the football.
01:24:29
And then actually, both defense's bending, but not breaking, so to speak.
01:24:33
We're gonna have a lot of time consuming drives, and nothing is going to come out of or three points is gonna come out of them.
01:24:38
And it's just gonna, you know, lead Teoh a low scoring game.
01:24:43
That is not gonna be what anyone wants out of Tampa Bay.
01:24:46
And it's gonna be ugly from the football fan perspective that loves offense.
01:24:53
Ah, but I could look at the under.
01:24:57
Um, I think this conversation has provoked me to take a closer look at the under after the show.
01:25:04
How's that? Yeah, that's definitely fair.
01:25:07
Here is a game that very, very, very different game stripped Dallas Cowboys at Seattle Seahawks, both teams that have obvious offensive talent, a lot of defensive lapses already this season.
01:25:22
Seattle is the 4.
01:25:23
5 point home favorite at that MGM and Points, but it's five points of Sugar House, bet, rivers, fanduel and draftkings.
01:25:33
Um, this is a game again.
01:25:36
I don't know if I want any part of it.
01:25:38
I will say I will for sure.
01:25:40
Never, ever, ever bet on Mike McCarthy.
01:25:43
Defeat the Seahawks for obvious reasons.
01:25:46
Hey, is going to struggle.
01:25:48
I know if you will, uh, point total, though 56 a half at most places 7.
01:25:53
5 already said earlier, the highest total of the week.
01:26:01
That makes me wanna bet under.
01:26:04
But we've seen already from both of these teams how they can light it up quickly.
01:26:10
How they give up a lot of points.
01:26:12
Obviously, the Cowboys climb back in chorus hurt Seattle.
01:26:17
I think this could be the game.
01:26:18
The Seattle runs the ball a little bit more.
01:26:20
I know they want to open the offense up and they've done that.
01:26:22
But if they can keep that Prescott off the field, I think they're going to try, right? Yeah.
01:26:30
Do you like this game? It all from a betting standpoint.
01:26:36
Well, I'll say if you got Seattle when this opened around 3.
01:26:39
5, it's like out in Las Vegas earlier in the week.
01:26:42
Kudos to you.
01:26:44
A T five.
01:26:45
It is fives across the board right now out west, and that would still be a play for me because, like you said, I don't see how Dallas wins this game.
01:26:57
And this Cowboys defense is so bad that I could I guess the lien that I have in this game is Russell Wilson and the Seahawks offense.
01:27:08
Just steal the show With that said, what we could say of the week is because I don't have confidence in Seahawks defense right now.
01:27:18
After what we saw against the England last week, I would argue that this Cowboys offense is by far, uh, in a way more talented than New England, Um, and losing Bruce Irvin.
01:27:32
To me, that is the most overlooked injury of Week two, because he was really the Onley relying.
01:27:46
So I think Dallas is going to get theirs total.
01:27:49
I don't want anything to do with it.
01:27:51
It feels high, be under.
01:27:54
But I just can't do it because I don't know who's stopping you in this game and when I don't know who stopping new.
01:28:01
Yeah, you just got to stay away from that.
01:28:03
So it's, uh, Seahawks and the point spread and I don't really have anything.
01:28:12
I don't see a way.
01:28:14
Dallas gets it done because I think betting market commentators who will never Cowboys are the perennially overrated team.
01:28:26
And so for me, I have to bake that into the point spread whenever I'm looking at a Cowboys game.
01:28:31
And so if Seattle is a five point favorite as the market is adjusted, I guess in theory to me, they really should be 67 maybe even at the high end.
01:28:42
So that would.
01:28:44
That's my rationale.
01:28:45
You know, Seahawks better.
01:28:47
I'm just glad we could **** on the Cowboys without Jake here.
01:28:50
You know, being a Homer and what's not nice.
01:28:53
It's not nice.
01:28:54
Um, I this totally feels like a Russell Wilson game with, um, that's about it.
01:29:08
Like Mike McCarthy knows how to lose these games.
01:29:15
Play out.
01:29:17
Yeah, I don't trust either.
01:29:18
Do you have to make a stop at any point? I mean, you talked about how bad Seahawks looked last week against the Patriots.
01:29:24
They gave up 450 years, the Falcons Week one, who also put up 39 points against Dallas last week.
01:29:30
They get killed so bad, Um, Seahawks were my Super Bowl pick offerings.
01:29:53
****** knife it has on this.
01:29:57
I just try to curiosity because it is expected to be such a shootout.
01:30:02
Yeah, this one is interesting receptions.
01:30:07
I just zoomed in on that one because CD Lamb is getting half a reception against Michael Gallup in a match of it.
01:30:13
I think CD Lamb should win that.
01:30:16
So what else do we have? We have to get all three correct.
01:30:18
Again, It's five times the buy in.
01:30:22
Tyler Lockett is getting half a receiving are against Amari, Cooper and Prescott against Wilson and passing yards with Russ catching 22.
01:30:38
I would yeah, I would probably love to.
01:30:48
That's how I would be leaning to.
01:30:49
I love the land one There's other to I'm not quite a sure on, but yeah, that's fair.
01:30:56
Gallup.
01:30:57
It just hasn't been involved in this offense.
01:30:58
He's ex receiver and Mike McCarthy offense that is basically a decoy running deep.
01:31:04
I will say Home road splits the real thing from Mark Cooper, and I could see Cooper putting up honestly a possible goose egg.
01:31:15
In this game, We'll gallop goes crazy.
01:31:17
But with that point total, I'm sure Cooper does something, at least I don't know.
01:31:25
So so they have another form of contest on ****** knife fight.
01:31:31
They have called like fantasy challenges.
01:31:34
Or they have one that's reception collection or touchdown dance.
01:31:38
And basically what this is is you've gotta pick three players.
01:31:42
They could be from either team in the game.
01:31:44
Um, and essentially, they have to exceed the laid out goals in whatever category you're doing.
01:31:52
So whether it's receptions, touchdowns, fantasy points, so a goal of I'm just looking at the fantasy challenge one right now 61 a half points, three players in this game to exceed it, I think you could easily, four times.
01:32:18
I mean, Ezekiel Elliott gotta be on that list for me.
01:32:22
I think CD lamb would be another guy actually looking at.
01:32:25
And then from on the Seattle side, would you go to the Seattle side? Would you just stay with all Dallas? And when you got to mix it up a little bit, I don't know, let me see.
01:32:37
Uh, quarterbacks are not an option, and I didn't think they would be.
01:32:44
I wouldn't mind going Chris Carson, just because you've shown the ability to a terrific receiver out of the backfield this year as well.
01:32:53
I'm our assuming it's in Yeah, Ezekiel Elliott is the biggest lock for that, for sure.
01:33:00
Mhm.
01:33:03
Um, goodness, Sunday night game.
01:33:06
We could look at ****** Night plate for that as well, obviously a game that I have a little bit of extra stakes on being a Packers fan.
01:33:15
Packers 3.
01:33:16
5 point road underdogs against the New Orleans Saints on 3.
01:33:21
5 points, I guess, is only at that.
01:33:23
MGM is what I see here.
01:33:25
Um, Sugar House.
01:33:27
But Rivers fanduel points that draftkings all three.
01:33:30
We already know Davante Adams is essentially out.
01:33:33
He's doubtful.
01:33:35
Michael Turner.
01:33:36
I would assume the same.
01:33:38
So we're looking at a game of two of the best wide receivers in the NFL.
01:33:42
That out.
01:33:45
We saw last week that the Saints depth at wide receiver did not show up.
01:33:50
Emmanuel Sanders didn't do anything. Treat.
01:33:52
Juan Smith had a nice game, but still not enough questions about Drew Brees is arm strength from people who have not watched Drew Brees in the past half decade.
01:34:02
Apparently, he's throwing pretty much the same.
01:34:05
It's all he's ever done.
01:34:07
Packers have steamrolled opponents first two weeks.
01:34:11
Everyone's saying the Packers air here, the Packer back I would, uh, say Look at the defense's they face.
01:34:18
They played the Lions and they played the plate, arguably the two worst teams in the NFL.
01:34:23
Um, I'm not going to bet on this game because I'm a Packers fan.
01:34:30
I think if I had to lean out, go the Saints.
01:34:35
I don't trust the Packers defense at all.
01:34:38
But after two Breezes comments this offseason, like on the social issues, Za'darius Smith did post a picture of this game on the schedule immediately.
01:34:48
So if you want to prop it about Za'darius Smith sacking Drew Brees or anything like that, I think he gets in the backfield quite a bit in this one.
01:34:58
Even on plays that are not called Blitz, I think he's just gonna I don't think you must have take Drew Brees his head off and he may.
01:35:06
We could see Betsy Jamis Winston come You could see Oh, by the way, Taysom Hill Revenge game chasing Hill cut from the Packers in favor of Brett Hundley.
01:35:17
Thank you, **** McCarthy.
01:35:19
Um, yeah, I'll go, Mike.
01:35:24
I'm too close to the situation, I think, to make, uh, ****ytical decision on this game.
01:35:31
Maybe I'm just hating on the Packers.
01:35:33
But do you have a lien different from one? I don't I've heard and read some very strong opinions for the Saints on the spread in this one.
01:35:46
A 23 on.
01:35:48
That is what it is.
01:35:49
For the most part here out in Vegas, it opened open 6.
01:35:54
5 and just being back down to a field goal.
01:35:59
I mean, the 6.
01:36:01
5 almost feels Mawr in line with how I viewed these two teams coming into the season.
01:36:07
And, like you said, Green Bay's looks so good these first few weeks.
01:36:11
But look at who they played as faras defensive matchups.
01:36:14
Eso be the prognosticator and me coming into the season that I know you're a pack fan.
01:36:23
But was project predicting a regression to the mean just because based on the statistics they so far and away over achieved last year? Uh, I guess I would be inclined Toe, take the saints on the spread there and you said ****** knife fight for this one.
01:36:45
I found one that I kind of like here being more or less, uh, in each category for these two guys.
01:36:53
Alvin Kamara playing he saw how involved he was against the Raiders last week in the passing game.
01:37:07
This is the tougher one of the two for sure.
01:37:10
And it might come down toe, You know, it's Davante Adams.
01:37:14
Definitely out.
01:37:15
I missed the boat on that.
01:37:16
Or is he still up in the air before? Called him doubtful.
01:37:19
I would assume he's okay.
01:37:22
Yeah, So he's probably gonna be out.
01:37:23
So the other one here in this ****** knife fight more or less is Marquez Valdas Scant ling Over or under.
01:37:36
Um, I think it's over.
01:37:38
I will say this is a Lazard game to me.
01:37:41
I think those are made.
01:37:44
Draw Marcia on Lattimore.
01:37:47
Unfortunately, the thing between these two wide receivers, uh, was already has one of the best broken play stats from last season.
01:37:57
Hackers haven't faced a pass rush yet, so this is the first game that Rodgers is going to see any type of pressure.
01:38:04
And once the place start to break down, he's gonna look a lazard, not toe build a scandal ing as he has in the first two weeks.
01:38:12
So, while that was standing, should probably hit the older on that and still do fine as the number two.
01:38:20
Possibly number one option, I guess in this offense for at least from what receiver? Um, I think those are does have the better green if we want.
01:38:31
If there's any ****** night flight stuff on that are just from D efs respect.
01:38:38
Um, there was a mawr less in fantasy points Lazard over under 10.
01:38:43
5, and that was paired with Emmanuel Sanders over under 11.5.
01:38:49
And that, to me, is streak.
01:38:58
Obviously, he was terrible.
01:39:00
Um, but Sanders should draw J one of the best cornerbacks.
01:39:10
Not talked about football.
01:39:11
His only weakness is decisive and obviously Emmanuel Sanders and going to overpower him like players like Kenny Golladay.
01:39:19
We keep talking him up.
01:39:20
Players like him do.
01:39:22
I would still probably go over, though.
01:39:25
I don't know.
01:39:26
I think I think he has a good game.
01:39:27
I think Jared cook it.
01:39:31
Mhm.
01:39:32
What is this contest? I'm telling you, I'm gonna get hooked on this one.
01:39:39
So bad, ****** knife.
01:39:41
I was gonna have me in two weeks.
01:39:43
There's so much going on on the Super Bowl last year, and that's just sort of **** me, I like playing the basketball ones as well, which, by the way, if you joined us after that kind of explained it off the top ******, not fight, operates under DFS platform laws.
01:40:01
So if DFS is legal in your state, sports betting does not have to be legal.
01:40:05
Me living in New York It's that way where I can't bet from a phone app.
01:40:10
But I can use ****** Knife fight because it operates under DFS laws.
01:40:15
So it combines fantasy prop betting.
01:40:18
It's all there.
01:40:19
So ****** knife fight and the sign up link is in the chat.
01:40:23
I don't know why SportsCastr Asta wrist out ******, but oh, really? That's kind of what you put underneath the link sign up for.
01:40:34
It's just going e Really.
01:40:39
Maybe it's my sincere or something.
01:40:41
I was just saying ******, um, I could have my chrome settings were Who knows who knows, But yeah, it's all props over at ****** Knife fight, not prop bets.
01:40:53
They're prop contest wink, wink, and that's how they get it done.
01:40:59
Um, this one is interesting.
01:41:02
You only have to pick two out of the three correct, and it's the older under for yardage.
01:41:07
Two out of three.
01:41:08
Correct.
01:41:09
You only get 1.
01:41:10
5 times your money, but I'm not too bad.
01:41:12
Over under 293 and a half passing yards for breathe over under 260 a half passing yards for Rogers.
01:41:20
And then that 6.
01:41:22
5 reception crop for Alvin tomorrow talked about earlier for catches.
01:41:29
I think I might lean might actually mean under on both quarterbacks because I think they're running the backfield.
01:41:35
They're gonna be heavily involved in this one for both teams and then compare, obviously going over.
01:41:40
That would be how I would look at that.
01:41:42
I think, relax.
01:41:45
Wrong and still cash to 60 fields of little low for Rogers.
01:41:51
Just because I do believe in the Saints run defense.
01:41:56
Um, yeah, I think this is a good Latavius Murray game for the Saints.
01:42:01
I think he runs really well as much as I don't think he's a very good football player.
01:42:06
Think he think he runs over the Packers? E thought that last week.
01:42:16
I think I'm good.
01:42:18
Me, too.
01:42:19
Let's get away from this game.
01:42:20
Monday is an exciting on.
01:42:24
We're not often blessed with amazing matchups in prime time, but we have the Chiefs going to Baltimore this week.
01:42:32
Baltimore's the 3.
01:42:33
5 a point home favorite.
01:42:35
I think it may have started at three, but it's moved across the industry.
01:42:38
I have a 3.
01:42:39
5 everywhere over under 54 or 54 a half is what I see you can.
01:42:48
I'd like to hear your take on this game first.
01:42:55
Uh, just for odds reference.
01:42:57
Vegas. I have an opening line of 2.5.
01:43:00
And as you had 3.
01:43:02
5 across the board of all 10 books Oh, excuse me.
01:43:08
Um, I to be honest, this is tough because I felt like all offseason Lamar Jackson is going to regress.
01:43:19
I just wasn't buying it.
01:43:21
You know what he did last year winning the M v P.
01:43:23
I thought he got the M V P based on fantasy stats mawr than he was the most valuable player on, and that bothers me and we can debate M v P voting in sports leagues in general.
01:43:37
Another time, I guess.
01:43:39
But I just didn't see it going the same way.
01:43:43
But I like the Baltimore did on defense.
01:43:45
So while I was kind of predicting a progression for the offense, I thought that would step up and I, you know, getting Kallias Campbell in there.
01:43:53
Some of the other editions they made through the draft and such that really shored up their one weakness, which was stopping the run.
01:44:01
Eso Clyde Edwards A Layer has got a tough matchup this week, so fantasy owners might be someone disappointed.
01:44:09
That wouldn't shock me at all in his production here in Week three.
01:44:15
Everything.
01:44:16
Everybody I've been listening to, says the Ravens air the better team and the line moving up from 2.
01:44:20
5 is justified.
01:44:21
I just have a hard time saying anybody is better than the Chiefs have Patrick Mahomes.
01:44:27
I think the defense, while probably not the most talented defense in the league, I don't know where exactly I would rank.
01:44:35
Then we're gonna be, you know, top 12 top 10 I think overall, but there are some good defense is out there that a lot of people overlook, Um, but I love Steve Spagnola, and I think if anyone is gonna be able to throw Lamar Jackson up its game it's it's him with bringing blitzes and such eso as long as Kansas City stops the rushing attack, which is a whole other animal.
01:45:02
I would almost wanna bet the Chiefs on the money line to win this game.
01:45:07
But it Z this is almost one where I just wanna have nothing on it, sit back and enjoy a Monday night game.
01:45:16
You know it'll be a long day tomorrow.
01:45:18
It's been a enjoy football game between two great teams.
01:45:26
What do you have on that's fair? I think a lot of people are probably going to take that same approach, just no.
01:45:34
Let's just enjoy the game.
01:45:36
I and one of the people thinking the Ravens are much, much better in terms of individual matchups like if we're talking, are the Ravens better as a team against 30 other NFL teams? I don't know, but I think in this specific match up with the Chiefs, I think the Ravens are much, much better. Team.
01:45:57
We've seen the chief struggled with running games so far this season, seen them struggle with quarterbacks running.
01:46:03
They've given up a touchdown on the ground to a quarterback in both games now and obviously they're giving up rushing and David Johnson and then Josh Kelley last week.
01:46:13
Ravens haven't looked for them, and they didn't need to run against the Browns here.
01:46:25
So that's the biggest thing for the Ravens.
01:46:28
His entire season to me is, Lamar Jackson very clearly has taken strides.
01:46:33
Is a passer, which is scary.
01:46:36
Um, something I I was hesitant.
01:46:39
I thought he was going to regress as well.
01:46:40
And I think the running game has a ground.
01:46:43
I think the passing game has picked up right count, level at receiver, just not being there.
01:46:50
I think they're sold.
01:46:51
Making good use of what they have Jacob Dobbins is look good.
01:46:57
Yeah, I think it's just It's one of those games where I don't think the Chiefs could make enough stop.
01:47:01
It's not that I think the cheese look bad.
01:47:04
I don't think the cheese will play bad.
01:47:06
I think the Ravens will dominate time of possession and she's made pot once and that may be one to me.
01:47:15
So I take thanks.
01:47:18
That's a fair assessment, like I'm not strong either way.
01:47:24
It's just, I think, for made the only way I would want to play it is taking the underdog to win outright because despite all those individual matchups that you just pointed out and the one that I would really reemphasize, uh, is Kansas City struggling against quarterbacks running the football? If there's any game where that will be exploited, its this one.
01:47:48
And who did they face last week? Justin Herbert.
01:47:51
So you know, that's what made Herbert look good.
01:47:55
That's what's that.
01:47:56
Ever been clamoring clamoring for him out in L. A.
01:47:59
Uh, so that one would bother me, but it would just be a game.
01:48:11
And I just have a hard time betting against Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid.
01:48:16
That combination of Yeah, If you're going to do it, this is probably the game to do it.
01:48:23
It almost makes me inclined to do it just to say I did it, but yeah, I can't do it.
01:48:31
Um, looking at ****** Knife fight here looking at one stat for the Ravens last game.
01:48:37
Okay, so I like the touchdown dance one where if you get over 2.
01:48:43
5 touchdown to 1.
01:48:45
5 times your money, 3.
01:48:46
5 is three times.
01:48:48
You do have to select which one so you don't just get the automatic multiplier.
01:48:53
You select which one you're playing for.
01:48:56
We're picking three players to score the touchdowns.
01:48:59
I would pick both tight ends Mark Andrews, Travis Kelsey and then probably go Mark Ingram.
01:49:06
I think you can get three touchdowns out of that.
01:49:08
At least, Is there another player in this game that you would like a touchdown prop more for? I don't know that there would be.
01:49:26
I I mean, maybe my counter arguments to Mark Ingram because I'm really off him.
01:49:34
I think it's kind of bad.
01:49:36
How far off in my am, I think, uh, my counter arguments would be Dobbins, uh, bouldering faltering, if that's what we want to call it at this point, that touchdown down on the goal line away.
01:49:50
I could also see markets Brown finding the end zone in this game, and I almost feel like it would be a situation where Baltimore just runs it all the way down the field.
01:49:58
And then Lamar Jackson, uh, throws the touchdown pass to spite me because I said he would regress is a pastor second here and that spreadsheet I sent you guys, I do have red zones that so I could tell you what.
01:50:17
Well, that's not the right.
01:50:28
So that might be like a dark first one.
01:50:30
You're gonna go there.
01:50:31
I don't know what the percentages are this year.
01:50:33
I don't have that cheap it up off the top of my head.
01:50:37
But that might be like a What would we call that? She's in blanking, contrarian play in that ****** life contest.
01:50:51
I'm gonna pull red zone stats, I think for you guys this week by looking at the Ravens team Red Zone offense.
01:50:59
They have scored in 66% of their red zone trips.
01:51:05
So six touchdowns out of nine drives.
01:51:09
They've ran 10 passing plays in the red zone to 13 rushing plays.
01:51:13
Pretty even.
01:51:15
I would be interested to see how many of those targets went to Mark Andrews.
01:51:19
I would suspect quite a bit.
01:51:22
I think Willie Snead is. You could call.
01:51:24
We're not going to target marquees Brown there, marquees.
01:51:27
Brown's a big play guy, obviously, and I think that's a good call for a touchdown.
01:51:35
Runners, we are in the no commit after guys.
01:51:40
Yeah, I don't I don't mind that crop contest for ****** knife rated all What's the 30? Thanks.
01:51:48
Usually 30 x.
01:51:49
Let's make some money on that right now.
01:51:53
It is Monday Night Football, after all.
01:51:54
Here we go, more or less.
01:51:57
All we gotta do is go six of six.
01:51:59
Henry, this isn't tough.
01:52:00
It all, homeboy.
01:52:02
Okay, so let's start.
01:52:04
You give me your answers here.
01:52:05
Patrick Mahomes, Mawr or less than 295 and a half past.
01:52:15
I'm gonna go over just because I think the Chiefs, they're going to get bottled up in the run game and they're gonna have to score because I think Baltimore will score that.
01:52:24
So playing off that game script now, Lamar Jackson.
01:52:27
His passing yards were set at 2.
01:52:29
49 a half.
01:52:31
Would you go over on your that? Oh, man, I want to say under but to your what you just said marquees Brown gets behind the defense and goes for 75 yard touchdown and you've got a lot of that in one place, so Oh, man, I'm gonna go under.
01:52:55
I'm going to go under.
01:52:57
I will say week one.
01:52:59
When all they did was passed, he passed for 2.
01:53:02
75 last week Lamar Jackson passed for 204 So pretty much split the difference.
01:53:09
So pretty good prop there track was Kelsey.
01:53:14
7.
01:53:15
5 passing out.
01:53:16
You already went over on Patrick Mahomes.
01:53:17
What? You go over on Travis Kelsey then is Well, what was it? 17.5.
01:53:25
70.5.
01:53:26
70 70.5.
01:53:28
Okay, Um, yeah.
01:53:30
You got to go over with house together here.
01:53:33
The phone is going over.
01:53:34
Most of that's going to counseling. Yeah.
01:53:36
You already talked about how quite Edward Toe Layer owners could be disappointed.
01:53:41
His rushing yards were set at 64 a half.
01:53:45
Would you go over or under that boy? Um, I think I'm going to go with the under on that, and that's very tough.
01:54:08
But I think we might see him Mawr involved in the passing game and in situations where the chief need.
01:54:16
I mean, I know it's short yardage situations, right? So we saw Darwin Thompson coming in and one or whatever.
01:54:23
It was late in that game against charges last week, and I Yeah, it's only one or two yards, but here and there that does that up when you got a spot on prop, I think for me like that 64 a half.
01:54:36
So going under in last week, with the Chiefs trailing Clyde Edwards, Layer took only 10 carries for 38 yards.
01:54:46
17 of them came on one run so obviously trailing.
01:54:52
While people love to see the Chiefs run the ball a lot in Week one, people were freaking out and overreacting that it's a game if you, you know, if the odds are correct, you would assume that get away, getting off a yards for a prop.
01:55:08
Here we have Tyreek Hill 4.
01:55:10
5 reception more or less more last one.
01:55:18
We're one prop hit away from making 30 times our money already.
01:55:24
I hope you're feeling someone you said that you are very down on.
01:55:30
So, of course we have a machine from shop here.
01:55:35
Senior, I want to do I want to pull up that spreadsheet real quick on board.
01:55:52
If you have a strong opinion on that, you can offer it while I do, so it won't sway me one way or the other.
01:55:57
But, um, I will say Mark Ingram last week took 41 a half percent of snaps 27 total snaps.
01:56:10
I can look at his rushing total.
01:56:15
Yeah, last week he ran took nine carries for 55 yards against porous Texans run defense.
01:56:24
So he's still or he was very barely over on that total last 53 a half set up.
01:56:35
And you said 41% of the snaps, Um, in a blowout, I'm going under.
01:56:45
And it's not because I necessarily think J.
01:56:47
K.
01:56:48
Dobbins is just gonna dominate touches.
01:56:50
There's a third guy who has been getting a little bit of run, and I don't know if that will change in a closer game, but I think God's Edwards is still going to get at least a few carries.
01:57:01
A swell.
01:57:02
So I'm gonna go with my gut and let Mark Ingram proof, Maybe wrong that I should not be dominant.
01:57:10
And Gus Edwards is a stud.
01:57:12
Week one. When J.
01:57:14
K.
01:57:15
Dobbins stole those goal line carries to score those two touchdowns, it made zero sense to me because he would be the last one I would suspect to get those goal line carries out of the three, so I would assume that's more fluke.
01:57:29
Even though they don't use Gus Edwards like that.
01:57:31
I don't get it.
01:57:32
But anyways, we just We just made 30 times our money, which is kind of cool.
01:57:38
You're welcome, everybody.
01:57:39
And if you sign up with that link in deposit 25 bucks, you get five free.
01:57:44
You get a deposit map.
01:57:46
So you're gonna be sent with 55 bucks in your account after depositing just 25.
01:57:52
Obviously, you're gonna take it. Put it on this bet.
01:57:54
Uh, on this contest, $50 turning into 1500 right there.
01:58:00
You're welcome.
01:58:01
Come back and tip it, Auto.
01:58:03
And if you lose, leave a follow.
01:58:06
But you don't need to come back.
01:58:08
It's a I, um Anything left to say about this Monday night game? I think we've pretty much, you know, I'm just about every angle I can think of.
01:58:23
So if you had one bet against the spread your most confident in this, which one would it be? One better get spread.
01:58:33
I'm most confident in as confident as I am in the Giants.
01:58:41
It's the Titans 100% tightness for me as well.
01:58:47
I've been saying it since last Sunday night before week two was over.
01:58:50
I mean, it's It still scares me because I don't know what's going on.
01:58:55
It seems like obvious.
01:58:57
But whatever locking in, take your free money, spend it on something else. Might as well.
01:59:05
Um, so general takeaways from week three, Blake Bortles Chance will be starting early, at least in my house.
01:59:14
Um, we got a frank or revenge game.
01:59:17
Uh, part three of this.
01:59:23
There's gotta be a are still does open their sports book.
01:59:28
And I would love a flurry sports sports book just for stupid ass props.
01:59:32
I would do frank or super boost that **** 100 yards he hits 100 yard plus 1000.
01:59:40
There are many more.
01:59:41
I don't care.
01:59:42
Well, just hand out money.
01:59:43
We'll take the AL of the week.
01:59:45
Yeah, e honestly, am to e wait to watch that game.
01:59:55
Now, uh, my Twitter is not for e sports.
01:59:59
It's fantasy flurry.
02:00:00
And if you're not watching the jet scheme, just follow me on Twitter because I will let you know what's going on.
02:00:05
At least from a frank or perspective, I will be a live tweet.
02:00:09
Snap, snap.
02:00:10
What great door is doing whether he's on the sideline or not.
02:00:14
I'm excited.
02:00:16
Oh, I'm not gonna be tolerable next week.
02:00:18
If he If the Jets with Frank Gore leads of the victory, you and I could well take every show everyone else gets the week off.
02:00:30
I mean, I'm all in because I'm not saying the Jets were gonna win this game.
02:00:35
I didn't go that far.
02:00:37
If they win this game, man, it's gonna be It's gonna be just like it was last year after Week four when that we shocked the Cowboys at home and I was all in on Adam Case in.
02:00:51
My Jets are wanted for riding into that Monday night game against New England.
02:00:56
That game was like 21 or nothing before I even got home.
02:01:01
Adam Gates is gonna be so ****y, too, after this game after he went, he's gonna be the biggest media and he will find it.
02:01:10
He's earned. He's heard this job.
02:01:13
He's earned everything on any final thoughts on this week.
02:01:17
There we go.
02:01:19
A.
02:01:20
So far as the week goes, great college football action today.
02:01:23
So that was fun to watch.
02:01:24
Oklahoma went down.
02:01:26
That was you went down.
02:01:28
I like to Mississippi stayed in that game, so that was nice to see.
02:01:35
Almost had three top 10 teams upset on the same day.
02:01:39
So it was a wild one and anything else NASCAR in Las Vegas tomorrow night.
02:01:46
So I'm excited for that. One.
02:01:47
Should be an article going up on Fleury Sports or go a little race preview there for you, written by someone on the stream.
02:01:55
So and it's not me that will be up tonight if you're into one o'clock in some pets early.
02:02:05
Definitely.
02:02:06
Take a look at that for the sports.
02:02:07
Or go for betting content from Henry for football and for NASCAR.
02:02:13
A few more betting stuff coming on for me.
02:02:16
Well, busy night ahead for me.
02:02:18
We will see you all next time.
02:02:21
Give the stream of follow.
02:02:22
So Blake Bortles School Frank or yeah, gold spraying.
02:02:28
Gore
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Breaking Down the Best Week 3 NFL Bets...Come Hang And Ask Questions!

105 Views
Henry John @HankTimeSports

Transcript hideup

00:00:07
Okay.
00:00:08
Welcome.
00:00:09
And apologies for that.
00:00:10
That it's like there's a little bit of I guess you I think I was on the side.
00:00:15
Uh, right.
00:00:16
But it was on my side and policies, I guess.
00:00:19
But I don't know how would have done with a wired connection and making out on the most, but never know we're back.
00:00:26
And I'm going to drop the link to right Personal ****** night like affiliate link.
00:00:33
So, you know, cultures, parents do we give money if you sign up, but you can click the link, you get a free five bucks, you get a deposit match on it as well.
00:00:40
If you do it.
00:00:41
****** knife Fight is a D F site.
00:00:43
So daily fantasy like vandal or draft king type format, he is profits.
00:00:54
Essentially, you have different crops, different multipliers, combined fantasy, embedding, which really the interest of meaning.
00:01:02
Interest of Henry here.
00:01:03
It's really the best of both worlds.
00:01:05
People like it a lot, and I will.
00:01:07
I'll be tweeting out one of my plays this week yet again, like I always do.
00:01:13
Maybe we'll get to that by the end of the show.
00:01:14
Let's talk about some NFL action here, though.
00:01:19
Let's get organized here.
00:01:20
But we can start with Buffalo hosting the Rams.
00:01:26
This is the tough game.
00:01:27
I think the lines moved slightly since the beginning, but pretty pretty much it's kind of field value That way.
00:01:34
It looks like Buffalo's best odds air on Fanduel sports book right now favored by 1.
00:01:40
5 almost every other place.
00:01:43
Two points there.
00:01:44
Best eyes you can get on the Rams points that plus two for plus 100 even money There.
00:01:52
This is a close one.
00:01:53
And I know I have my specific thoughts on how I wanna at this game.
00:01:57
Suppose that could bring appeal grounder to.
00:01:59
But Henry, do you have any initial thoughts on this? Even like old Battle? This is the game of the week for May, at least in the A block here on Sunday.
00:02:10
I'm really excited to see how this one plays out.
00:02:12
I think the Rams offensively, we know they have so many weapons.
00:02:16
Yeah, the backfields a little banged up right now, but it looks like Malcolm Brown is gonna be a go, so at least he's gonna be able to come in and spell their own Henderson there, which, you know, how effective are they gonna be running the football? I think they're gonna have to mix and match against this Bills defense if you're trying to beat them 11 dimensionally here.
00:02:34
Offensively, just looking at it from the buffalo standpoint for me.
00:02:44
Stefon Diggs.
00:02:45
I think he gets taken out of this game pretty effectively by Jalen, I had said, is giving me issues here with Bluetooth.
00:02:57
But so back to the Bills.
00:03:00
Jalen Ramsey.
00:03:01
I think he's gonna take Stefon Diggs out of this game pretty effectively.
00:03:04
John Brown is the home run play.
00:03:06
From a fantasy standpoint, I think the Buffalo should score.
00:03:09
And John Brown? He's got an incredible snap percentage that he's been on the field for in the first two weeks.
00:03:14
Andi, he's got a good target.
00:03:16
Share is well down last week, but digs going up against the rookie there in Miami.
00:03:20
No eggs in agony.
00:03:22
Obviously, that's a mismatch for me.
00:03:26
If I'm gonna hit this game, I want to take the Rams as a plus money underdog on the money line.
00:03:32
I think this is a coin flip game.
00:03:34
Um, and you know, you're getting 1.
00:03:36
5 and two points, you said on the spread is all states.
00:03:41
I just have the Vegas odds up.
00:03:43
It opened it three in Vegas and the best you're going to get if you're a Rams better on the spread right now is 2.5.
00:03:52
So it's it's Rams money line or nothing here.
00:03:56
But this This game is such a toss it that I maybe in a parley if I'm feeling old tomorrow, but that's about it.
00:04:04
What about you? Yeah, I'm not going to touch this game unless, like you said exactly, I'm going to put it in a part way.
00:04:11
But the way I'm going to do it is I'm gonna tease up the ramp.
00:04:14
I think this is a one score game like pretty much every game for Buffalo.
00:04:19
So I'm willing to tease this up, too.
00:04:22
I'd be comfortable at Rams plus six and a 6.
00:04:24
5 That's mine.
00:04:26
20 on Bravada, where I'm looking at it right now.
00:04:30
But yeah, otherwise, with a field goal, I don't feel comfortable specially with white kickers are season.
00:04:37
Anyways, I don't feel comfortable that I personally feel the bills air the better team.
00:04:44
But I mean, at the end of the day, offense wins.
00:04:48
And if for some reason, the Rams offensive line comes to play and able to keep a clean pocket for Jared Goff then But that narrative, I think the Rams went up.
00:04:58
It really comes down to pass Rush, probably on the other side, because, you know, Aaron Donald gets after Josh Allen.
00:05:05
He probably makes a few months.
00:05:07
Well, um, yeah, I'm willing to tease it up for larger one score game, but I want no part of the bill side, no matter what.
00:05:19
Yeah, Zach Mosses out for Buffalo, too.
00:05:21
So Devin Singletary is gonna be be guy in that backfield.
00:05:25
Yeah.
00:05:26
And, you know, maybe it doesn't make too much of a difference going up against the Rams in this matchup.
00:05:31
But there's there's so many things going on here, and I'm so excited about both teams and what they bring to the table that if, like I said, it rams toe win outright.
00:05:43
That plus money, That's the only way you can really bet it where I would see any value.
00:05:47
So yeah, exactly.
00:05:50
This next game here, I like much, much much more.
00:05:54
So it's Houston Texans going to Pittsburgh.
00:05:57
The best odds right now for Pittsburgh, minus four points.
00:06:01
Bet it's minus one of five.
00:06:03
Can also get minus for at MGM Fanduel draftkings, Houston.
00:06:08
The best odds for them are Sugar House and Bet Rivers at plus 4.
00:06:12
5 at minus 1 20.
00:06:15
To me, I mean, this is just a game you can look at each unit, right? The Houston call that washed and then comparing Houston's defense to Pittsburgh's offense.
00:06:32
And I no match, either.
00:06:35
They're gonna run all over him, pass all over him, and at the end of the day, I don't think have enough offense to keep up.
00:06:42
Do you have any different thoughts on this game? I don't.
00:06:47
And so I guess the question I would ask you is, Why has there been such drastic line movement for Houston over the course of the week? It opened six out in Vegas, and it's down to four.
00:06:58
Every single shop I have here pulled up on the ticker other than the West Gate is 4.
00:07:03
5, so that would be the best value if you were Texans better.
00:07:07
But I've been, you know, reading and listening to people all week saying they're in on Houston.
00:07:12
I don't get it a better team than they showed for two weeks.
00:07:21
And Oh, by the way, I think part of the argument for me in these first few weeks is the Giants not the secondary necessarily.
00:07:28
But the front seven and then the Denver defense.
00:07:31
I think they're both underrated unit.
00:07:33
Yeah, Yeah, I completely agree.
00:07:36
I have the money brought up here.
00:07:39
By the way, is Deontay Johnson.
00:07:41
Is he ago? You know, by chance, I don't have the top.
00:07:45
I can try and find out while you're saying what you have to say that.
00:07:50
So if you're betting the spread right now like we said, either 4 4.
00:07:53
5 63% of the bets are on the Steelers, but only 51% of the money's on the money line.
00:08:03
Ah, little different money Land, obviously 50 50 right now for that's 70% of the money's on the Steelers.
00:08:13
Oh, by the way, it's me.
00:08:14
See, what they're total is at 45 a half or 46 depending on the book, and that is heavy heavy, heavy on the so I don't know, like just looking at the spread.
00:08:29
I don't understand or where the money is going.
00:08:32
I don't understand why it's 50 50 on that spread.
00:08:34
It just doesn't really make sense to me.
00:08:37
It tells me it's not gonna move.
00:08:38
This is where it's gonna be tomorrow.
00:08:40
So whatever.
00:08:41
Get it if you can.
00:08:44
Or does it? I mean, you might Could we see sharp buyback still before kick off? I don't know, but the money the ticket split definitely tells you the Texans are sharp.
00:08:55
Play here throughout the week.
00:08:57
And I'm with you.
00:08:58
I don't understand it.
00:08:59
If you're gonna give me four points with Pittsburgh in this game, I'm gonna be looking gonna be all over that Johnson, uh, practicing full on Thursday.
00:09:07
So I don't think he should be fine.
00:09:10
Faras and I haven't seen any, uh, coma rings for James Washington as faras fantasy either.
00:09:17
So that would suggest he he's going to roll out.
00:09:21
This Texans offensive line continues to be an issue.
00:09:24
DeShaun Watson continues to run for his life.
00:09:26
The Steelers have four players on their front seven or four players on the just defensive line ranked in the top 10 for pass rushers. So far.
00:09:35
So for the top 10 not a bad stat.
00:09:38
And I think that John Watson is gonna meet probably each of them in the first quarter.
00:09:43
Not gonna I don't understand.
00:09:45
Exchange pleasantries as they say stuff like this, though this in the next game I'm gonna bring up It seems so obvious that scared like it just seems like I don't understand it.
00:09:57
What about missing? There's something glaring that's gonna happen.
00:10:02
I don't know.
00:10:03
Let's talk about this next one.
00:10:04
This is the one I tweeted out Sunday night.
00:10:06
Sunday night football hadn't even happened.
00:10:08
But the liner leaves something.
00:10:09
Everyone go lock this in because it's gonna move and it's a no brainer.
00:10:15
Tennessee Titans go to Minnesota Titans right now favored by 2.5.
00:10:20
You could get that a fanduel or points, But Vikings three point home underdogs get that sugar house by rivers.
00:10:27
But MGM and draftkings.
00:10:29
When it opened, it was at 1.5.
00:10:31
So I have ah, very large bet on the Times managed 1.5.
00:10:36
This is It's pretty much the same type of thing I've been saying about the Vikings, every single beat, They don't have a pass rush and they don't have secondary.
00:10:44
What's gonna happen? And now, on top of that, you take away Anthony Bar, who was the second best defensive player still there.
00:10:52
And now I just don't know what the Vikings can do, either.
00:10:57
The play it like every other defense that wants to play the Titans and the key on the run and that day, Ryan Tannehill to beat them.
00:11:06
Think what happened last week when Tannehill threw four touchdowns or Derek Kennedy runs all over them? Or both, you know.
00:11:14
But then look at the offense.
00:11:16
Vikings offensive line Sucks.
00:11:18
They face Jadeveon Clowney.
00:11:20
They don't have enough offense to keep up with Ryan Tannehill, which is a funny sentence.
00:11:24
But it's true.
00:11:25
They have no deep threat.
00:11:26
They have nothing.
00:11:27
Am I missing something or is this just another like close your eyes and put whatever you want on it? I'm with you and the funny part about the Minnesota offenses.
00:11:37
They want to run the football and they can't run the football because they fall behind by two touchdowns by the second quarter and they're feeding Kirk cousins to the wolves essentially because, you know, he's a decent quarterback.
00:11:51
I know people have very different opinions on Kirk Cousins.
00:11:54
I'm gonna put him probably in the middle of the pack thio slightly above average when you're looking at NFL quarterbacks across the board.
00:12:01
But this is a lose situation.
00:12:03
No matter who I think you're throwing back, there may be Russell Wilson is the only one that can bail them out.
00:12:08
Patrick Mahomes being the other one.
00:12:11
But yeah, I don't understand it either.
00:12:14
I think Ryan Tannehill and the Titans offenses still being disrespected even without a J.
00:12:19
Brown.
00:12:20
We've seen Cory Davis.
00:12:21
Step up. We saw Adam Humphreys have a nice game. Three.
00:12:23
John Who? Smith.
00:12:24
The red Zone option.
00:12:25
We saw that toward the end of last season than it's carried over to this season.
00:12:30
The Vikings defense is a mess.
00:12:32
Um, it's now even worse as the lost Anthony Bar to a thorn pack.
00:12:37
Uh, and let's see here, looking at the Vegas odds, you said it opened 1.5.
00:12:43
It opened a pick out in the desert, and there are a few threes now popping up.
00:12:50
Actually, there's more and more threes here throughout the day today on a few 2.
00:12:55
5 still out there lingering.
00:12:58
So I think this is just going to get even more money and on Tennessee here.
00:13:02
So the sooner you can get to the window on this one, the better.
00:13:05
I think if you're looking back, the Titans here and, you know, I just want to ask you is Minnesota like trying to put a wind total on them at this point there to me, I don't know if I could give them more than five wins.
00:13:20
I gave them six before the season started, and I think three or four it doesn't.
00:13:30
I don't know what they're gonna win.
00:13:31
I don't know that because their nonconference schedule isn't easy.
00:13:35
I don't think they could beat the lions.
00:13:37
Look at the two t lions will score all day on them.
00:13:39
So uh huh.
00:13:43
I'm And by the way, I was writing for Fanduel on Sunday night before their odds release.
00:13:50
And I got the look like behind it what their odds we're gonna be.
00:13:54
And they had the Titans plus three.
00:13:56
At first I'm like, Oh, my God, I'm gonna have to call whoever I can't do Jersey or anyone.
00:14:03
Like a bet on fanduel.
00:14:04
I might have to drive out there because, like, if this is what it's gonna be, put everything in my account on there.
00:14:11
Um, yeah, Maria switched a little bit, but I still feel pretty much the same way and looking at money.
00:14:17
I don't have sharp money here, so there must be sharp money coming in on Minnesota.
00:14:22
But 81% of the money on the spread.
00:14:25
82% of the vets coming on the tank inside under is getting 80% of bets.
00:14:32
79% of the money.
00:14:35
That is, what, 14.
00:14:37
5 50? Yeah, that's fair.
00:14:39
I don't think that's gonna hit the over.
00:14:41
Yeah, I kind of like the under in this game too.
00:14:45
You know, it's funny.
00:14:46
I wonder if a lot of I won't say a lot, But a good number of sharper players are looking at this game is to stay away.
00:14:56
And I guess you know, you can answer that or just whatever your thoughts are on that take.
00:15:03
But like, it just seems so obvious that Tennessee is the right side here.
00:15:08
From what we've seen the first two weeks, looking at the personnel, looking at who both these teams have for Tennessee, it's a J.
00:15:14
Brown is out offensively, but they aren't gonna miss him that much.
00:15:18
And they showed that last week against the Jaguars defense.
00:15:21
That I would argue, might be better than this Minnesota one right now.
00:15:24
So it just seems so obvious that to me, I wonder if a lot of the sharper players air like something's fishy.
00:15:31
But this has not just shot up, because to me, it is kind of fishing.
00:15:36
It is. That's another.
00:15:38
Like I was saying, There's something that's gonna happen, something I don't know.
00:15:42
You're every snap is a leg and a half and heard about it.
00:15:45
I don't I don't get it, but I don't line up to 6.
00:15:51
5, which I think I could probably tees it up even more on the Titan side.
00:15:56
I got plus 1 75 dogs on that feel OK about that? Um, yeah, I would be.
00:16:04
I honestly think I could do it digits and still feel pretty good.
00:16:10
Like if the line was that the line was that Titans minus 9.5.
00:16:14
I think I would probably I wouldn't feel as good, obviously, but think I would be are definitely living that way.
00:16:23
I think if I'm teasing it, I want to stay within a touchdown.
00:16:26
But that's the cautious better in me coming out and just, you know, the conversation that we just had, like, what are we missing here? Um, that's a great call, though, to tease it up and get plus money. I like that a lot.
00:16:37
And I guess my final take on this game would be all offseason.
00:16:41
And coming into the season, I've been adamant that Tennessee is gonna win this division, and Colts closed his divisional favorites in the A F C.
00:16:49
South.
00:16:50
Indianapolis had no issues last week against Minnesota, so it's hard for me to see the Titans like.
00:16:56
I mean, is it gonna be because they're going on the road? There's no fans, so yeah, yeah, Kyle Rudolph already came out and said, zero home field advantage when we going into Cleveland Browns.
00:17:21
Browns are the home seven point favorite at MGM and points that 7.
00:17:26
5 elsewhere Washington I can get minus 1 14 odds on plus 7.
00:17:32
5 at your house that rivers and drinking.
00:17:36
Now, obviously, Cleveland's coming off a Thursday night win.
00:17:40
They have a few more days of rest.
00:17:42
Washington flying back from Arizona, they were closed in that game.
00:17:48
My personal opinion on this game is I'm probably going to stay away.
00:17:53
Um, I just don't like messing around with Washington.
00:17:56
I liked him before the season, and that pass rush has convinced me even more.
00:18:01
We've seen Baker Mayfield struggle when he's under duress, and I know he's going to at least see some pressure this game.
00:18:08
I would prefer to stay away if I had to lean a certain direction.
00:18:12
I would probably take Cleveland because I think the best way to slow down pass rush is a pound. The football.
00:18:19
And I know a chap could do that against anybody.
00:18:22
But even still, I don't think I need to play this.
00:18:26
What about you? Did you say 7.
00:18:32
5? Was the highest you saw? Mhm.
00:18:35
Okay, Um Yeah, more so it's It's all sevens across the board in Las Vegas.
00:18:42
Let me refresh, though, so I'm seeing in eight right now.
00:18:47
at Sugar House.
00:18:49
It would be, Which is interesting.
00:18:51
Um, Either way, though, I hate Thio, you know, fall in line with exactly what you're saying.
00:18:59
I feel like on all these games, but I don't have a good play on this either.
00:19:03
Um, the spread open 5.
00:19:04
5 in favor of the Browns, and that obviously has increased as we're looking at those these lines now, throughout the week.
00:19:13
I think if I had to go on the side, I would actually dio with Washington getting a full touchdown and nothing less if there is by back coming on this the best play I think for me, though, would be looking at the total and probably shooting and over on that covering 44 a half in 45 or all I'm seeing on the Vegas market.
00:19:35
I don't know if you would have something different at the other books, but Okay, so, yeah, looking at the over here, the Brown secondary Joe Burrow picked him apart last week, and I know Dwayne Haskins is gonna take a secondary apart, but Cleveland has not been good at defending the tight end position.
00:19:52
I like Logan Thomas have a big game here.
00:19:55
He's a fantasy sleeper for me this week.
00:19:57
Um, and you know, it's not necessarily even how many points is Washington going to put up? I think more for me.
00:20:05
It's how many points the Brown is gonna be able to put up.
00:20:07
And this running back, Theo, that's how you want to attack this Washington football team defensive front for me.
00:20:16
They're just gonna be ableto wear them down if you like, And it might not happen right away.
00:20:19
Like I would even argue.
00:20:21
Maybe you want about this first half under and the total over.
00:20:25
I could see a scenario where that plays out.
00:20:28
But over the course of this game, I feel like Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt are just I'm gonna be too much and that should open some things up.
00:20:34
Hopefully, you would think for Baker make it in the passing game as well.
00:20:38
So if I had to do anything, I think I would go total over.
00:20:41
But I really the better part of me does not want any thing to do with this game.
00:20:48
Yeah, yeah, I'm not gonna I'm not gonna better cans coach with cancer.
00:20:53
That's just my personal opinion here.
00:20:55
You let me down last week, though.
00:20:58
I love Washington last week and it didn't pan out.
00:21:02
Uh, I'm not gonna touch the total on this one.
00:21:05
There's just too many things that could go either way.
00:21:07
The Browns could be the Browns.
00:21:09
You never know.
00:21:10
I'd rather next one.
00:21:12
Here we have Chicago Bears going to the Atlanta Falcons.
00:21:17
This is an interesting game, for sure.
00:21:19
I'm not sure if the line has moved.
00:21:21
All I Only thing I remember is seeing three in favor of Atlanta all week long, and that's what it is right now.
00:21:28
Best odds come at points.
00:21:30
Bedford both at plus 100.
00:21:33
Man.
00:21:34
I mean Atlanta.
00:21:35
They showed us the best way to choke a game last week, and their defense continues to be terrible.
00:21:41
Their offense continues solid.
00:21:43
Even though Julio Jones, is he officially doubtful for this game? I'm not sure I believe it.
00:21:52
Yeah, I think he's gonna miss.
00:21:54
That's all.
00:21:55
The words that I've been hearing and seeing is Julio is probably gonna be out for this one, and obviously you don't feel good.
00:22:05
It's Julio Jones.
00:22:07
Now it's Russell Gauge and Calvin Ridley on the receiving corps, and I couldn't tell you who the fourth guy is, because I don't think Matt Ryan knows, unless consider hating curse.
00:22:18
But in terms of wide receiver the Bears, I'm a tie girly hair.
00:22:25
What's your opinion and tied early after watching? I'm disappointed because I own multiple shares.
00:22:33
This guy, just where I was getting it in drafts and like the 3rd 4th round, I'm like, All right, you know, the volume should be there, and as far as carries go, it has not been there because Atlanta just throws consistently.
00:22:46
And even if he carries were there, I don't know that Would you be producing? I guess that's my question.
00:22:52
How good is this Falcons offensive line and run blocking? I feel like I don't even know after the first two weeks because, you know, it's just it hasn't gone that way.
00:23:00
Um, so I'm a little bummed out, I guess.
00:23:04
Where I'm sitting with girly and a couple of these fantasy leagues, I think he has the potential to bounce back.
00:23:12
But the other thing that would concern me is toward the end of last year, you know, Devante Freeman was obviously out but Brian Hill and whoever else they were throwing out there.
00:23:21
You know, Smith.
00:23:22
I think I've heard, too.
00:23:23
But Oleson was in there for a little bit.
00:23:26
A few snaps.
00:23:27
None of those running backs were really doing that much.
00:23:30
And so hate.
00:23:31
Nursed has definitely been the the newcomer of note in this Atlanta offense over Derley.
00:23:38
And it's important to note that going from Austin Hooper to Hayden Hurst is a downgrade and run block.
00:23:45
What? Uh huh. Stuff.
00:23:57
We've seen the Falcons defense struggle, though obviously probably put up really 40 points last week, and then we one was a si har.
00:24:08
I know Russell Wilson had an adjusted completion rate to 95% which is by all stats, very good on.
00:24:16
Very bad.
00:24:17
So no would do you? How do I want to freeze Mitchell? Strabinsky.
00:24:25
Bad quarterback? Yeah.
00:24:27
Would you agree? Or do you think he's better than give him credit for? No, he's not good.
00:24:35
Okay.
00:24:36
Do you think he passes for 300 yards in this game? I'm going to say no.
00:24:44
Does you Really? I feel dirty, So Alright, so here's a question for you.
00:24:50
For those of our lovely viewers and listeners who are, uh, signing up for ****** knife fight.
00:24:57
With that promo code, you drop in the chat and the link they have more or less.
00:25:03
You can triple your money if you get both of these. Correct.
00:25:07
You have And Travis Key over under 250 a half.
00:25:15
So would you take the over on both? Yeah, Yeah, I kind of like that, too.
00:25:21
I think he can go for 2.
00:25:22
5300 now Paired up.
00:25:27
I'm also Yeah, that's fair.
00:25:31
That's fair.
00:25:32
I just am Morva believer that Dan Quinn is a terrible football coach and this deep terrible um, not that saying tradition is not gonna pass for 300 yards.
00:25:44
Argues against that because it's still Travis Key.
00:25:47
And the defense's not about terrible, I guess.
00:25:50
But getting the link to ****** knife right here can The defense is attack McKinley? Yeah, Z only relevant player there.
00:26:05
And I mean, I know this was last week, but the onside kick there's no excuse for that.
00:26:12
I don't care who you are as a coach or what your reputation is.
00:26:15
If your your players didn't know the rules of an onside kick.
00:26:20
That's why their own too.
00:26:22
There's no other way around it.
00:26:24
And so I I could see this game.
00:26:28
I think I'm on. Very.
00:26:30
It could go one of two ways and they're polar opposites.
00:26:33
I could see Atlanta just coming out laying an egg after last week and just, you know, the mental psyche of that.
00:26:40
That's something that a lot of people don't want to talk about sports or don't place enough weight on, At least in my opinion, is the psychology of these athletes and the coaches.
00:26:49
And you know what's going on.
00:26:50
And I know the NFL's a week, a week league, but you're either not gonna bounce back from that at all.
00:26:55
And you're gonna look terrible or they're gonna come out and they're gonna play a hell of a football game, and they could win this by double digits.
00:27:02
That's kind of how I see this playing out, so I think it's gonna go one way or the other.
00:27:07
It z anybody's guess which way it does go, though, right? I mean, you really you're asking if the pelicans could put up 40 points? Of course.
00:27:21
Could the bears come out and do Absolutely nothing.
00:27:24
Worst Could the Falcons defense come out and feel that five players seemingly in Mitchell Robiskie? It was throwing a yard out.
00:27:35
I mean, that could happen, Thio.
00:27:36
But like, man this Okay, the biggest interesting thing about this game to me is the which is 47 or 47 a half, depending on the book.
00:27:45
From what I see, that's a lot of points for Chicago Bears game, which also makes me believe, you know, on both of those overs on ****** night fight like we're talking, it was going to be passed, which is not a how strong, strong enough, you know, a recommendation or endor*****t, I guess.
00:28:13
But, um, yeah, I think points are going to be scored if Julio Jones is out, That makes me like the bear spread more now that I will.
00:28:25
That it? I don't think I'm gonna What about you? I'm off and and like you said the 47 47 half total, that's what we're seeing in the Vegas market as well.
00:28:36
So that's consistent across the country.
00:28:39
That's for me.
00:28:40
That's no man's land for this game.
00:28:42
Just because I could see the Bears defense locking down in this game going under.
00:28:48
Or I could see Atlanta going nuts.
00:28:51
And, you know, when Atlanta goes nuts on offense, their defense is gonna give up points.
00:28:55
We saw that last week, right? It might not be as much to mental Travis Key, but there's this Falcons defense is never gonna pitch a shutout.
00:29:03
Are you know, I feel like they're a lock to give up 17 to 20 no matter who they could give up 20 points of the Jets right now.
00:29:12
No e can't do anything here.
00:29:16
I really can't if I I guess if you put a gun to my head, I would say the Falcons will bounce back and I would take them on the spread.
00:29:27
But that's on Lee with a gun to my head.
00:29:31
Mitchell Dubitsky.
00:29:33
Historically, if he places a defense that moves around and gives him different looks, that's where he really struggles as much of a bad football coach.
00:29:43
I think game Quinn is or a bad head coach.
00:29:45
Rather, I think he can do some things on the defensive side of the ball to disrupt Robiskie.
00:29:51
They don't even need to have good players as long as they move around, I think he's gonna make the run read.
00:29:56
So, yeah, I think he's going to make mistake's hands on how many this next game.
00:30:04
If you have confidence in this 49 is going to New York Giants coordinators favored by three playing in the same stadium that they played last week, that everybody got hurt in, UM, I guess just off the top of my head there without Jake A Rapalo, they're basically without Jimmy Garoppolo on there without having Coleman think most It's out.
00:30:34
Tebow Samuels out, George Kittles out.
00:30:37
Richard Sherman's out.
00:30:38
Solomon Hill.
00:30:39
Solomon Thomas is out on the hill.
00:30:41
Wow, that's a play from the New Orleans pelicans.
00:30:44
Still, that's a random played A that I was gonna say, e a random player of that's laundry list of players giants there without Evan.
00:30:58
Evan.
00:30:59
God, I'm so scattered brain there without Sterling Shepard and without sick one.
00:31:03
Barkley, obviously two big offensive losses.
00:31:06
Defense is still pretty much intact.
00:31:08
Not that they were great, that at the top underrated, especially the front seven.
00:31:15
Do you have any confidence in the lien on this game? Do you want to touch it? I'm very confident in this game.
00:31:23
And if you're if you're going to give me points with the Giants in this game, I'm gonna take it all day.
00:31:29
I'm going to take the Giants on the money line.
00:31:30
I don't see how the Giants lose this game.
00:31:33
When you know, say, Guan Barkley.
00:31:35
Yeah, he's do it all running back.
00:31:37
He's a big loss.
00:31:38
I don't know how much of Devante Freeman we'll see this week, but I think Wayne Gallman and Dion Lewis the combination.
00:31:44
They're going to get it done.
00:31:45
There's a reason that they say running back is the most expendable position in football, and I think you'll see that this week.
00:31:51
It's not gonna be Barkley numbers for either their guy but the combination of the two.
00:31:55
They can fill that hole.
00:31:57
Sterling Shepard. The Giants been without Sterling Shepard.
00:31:59
I feel like every game except Week one for the last three years.
00:32:02
I personally not to go off on a tangent on throwing Shepherd.
00:32:07
I don't know why he's still trying to do it with all the concussions he's had.
00:32:10
I think at some point you just have Thio, you know, go another direction, but I am confident in Golden Tate in the slot.
00:32:18
I love Darius latent.
00:32:20
I feel like I'm higher on Slate, and then a lot of people are and he clearly has chemistry with Daniel Jones.
00:32:25
You've got Evan Ingram still in there.
00:32:27
Giants office is gonna be fine against the 40 Niners defense that you listed them all.
00:32:32
You know, deep forward.
00:32:34
Uh, Nick Bosa Greenlaw.
00:32:36
They're all out.
00:32:37
Richard Sherman out.
00:32:39
It's Collins with no target.
00:32:48
Brandon, I you really, uh he's yet to show it as a rookie.
00:32:52
I think he said, All right, we know it yet.
00:32:55
And being the only weapon air unless you're gonna say Kerry born is gonna go off in this game.
00:32:59
I don't think gonna see it from my youth in this one.
00:33:02
The joint secondary is bad.
00:33:03
It is. They can key in on him.
00:33:05
There's no George Kittel.
00:33:06
I don't think Jordan Reed is gonna be able to reproduce what he did last week.
00:33:09
We should have a decent game.
00:33:11
If you need a spot, start at that position in fantasy.
00:33:15
There's nothing in the backfield here, either.
00:33:16
And that's no slight to Jerick McKinnon or Jeff Wilson.
00:33:19
But against this like you said, Like we've said Underrated front seven.
00:33:24
I don't know how much they're gonna be able to impact the game.
00:33:26
I'm all over the Giants and this one, uh, just for reference.
00:33:30
It opens 6.
00:33:31
5 in Vegas with all the injury news with Garoppolo being confirmed out with Kittel being confirmed out 3.5.
00:33:37
That's the best you're gonna get on the Giants at this point.
00:33:40
But today it has actually been going to three at several books.
00:33:46
I think it's looking half and half.
00:33:48
Maybe there's one more 3.
00:33:49
5 across the and I have listed here.
00:33:54
So it's 6 to 4.
00:33:55
I guess I'm looking at out in Vegas, but I'm all in on the Giants in this one.
00:34:00
If Nick Mullins beats me, I'm gonna tip my cap.
00:34:04
Yeah, to me, Big bones bite pita.
00:34:08
I really think they might.
00:34:09
I think the Giants stopped.
00:34:11
Um, we have to terrible offensive lions.
00:34:15
I don't I know the 40 Niners offensive lines healthy, but they've been so bad this year.
00:34:20
Last drink, run blocking offensive line.
00:34:23
The league so far is the New York Giants by far.
00:34:27
But then the next worst has been the 40 Niners.
00:34:30
So I don't think 40 Niners run the ball.
00:34:32
Well, I know the Giants aren't going to run the ball Well, I think we see more Mohammed Sunu this 40 Niners, which is grade at least.
00:34:45
Nothing. It's good.
00:34:46
It's an upgrade, man.
00:34:48
I don't I think it comes down to coaching, which is kind of a which is kind of an unknown with Joe Judge, right? Like we don't know how good of a coach he is right now.
00:35:00
Shanahan straight.
00:35:02
And I believe Jason Garrett's gonna blow it somehow.
00:35:08
And you're not sweating my conference.
00:35:10
So I've you know, you until I see it on paper, there's zero reason why the China should lose.
00:35:18
That tells me they're gonna lose.
00:35:19
That's why I think they don't lose.
00:35:22
Uh, yeah, just I'm gonna sit and just watch the game, and I might live.
00:35:30
Bet it, but I don't need a better ahead of time on this game over there.
00:35:35
If they 45 40 three, that's just ugly.
00:35:40
If it's gonna be a slugfest, I'm gonna take the 40 Niners.
00:35:46
I don't know. It's interesting.
00:35:48
There's 42 a half and 42 in Vegas.
00:35:52
So states are a little bit higher, I guess, in the desert.
00:35:55
But one thing I just want to throw in here, and I'm not like trying to rebuttal your point, but I guess the the the Leniency I would give the Giants a little bit in terms of having the worst run blocking offensive line.
00:36:07
I think it was you said through the first two weeks they didn't play the Steelers and the Bears, which I think those were both.
00:36:14
We can agree on at least top six.
00:36:16
Top five defense's Maybe this year.
00:36:19
So, you know, with a depleted Niners defense.
00:36:23
I mean, I put money on this came next game I might put money on.
00:36:40
This is one that the I'd have moved in a direction that I don't want to see.
00:36:45
But we have the Cincinnati Bengals going to Philadelphia right now.
00:36:49
Philadelphia is the four point home favorite, unfancied points, but front a half points for the Bangles on Sugar House.
00:36:56
Bet Rivers. But MGM and Matt Kings.
00:36:59
It was obviously coming off a 59 football loss, but you know, we got a few extra days for Joe Perotta Isis shoulder after throwing 60 whatever passes, and he actually gets the game plan for his second time in the NFL essentially faces and Eagles team.
00:37:16
That obviously has struggled.
00:37:19
I want to Offensively, they're missing so many people in terms of wide receivers.
00:37:26
Offensive lineman, Bengals defensive line has looked pretty good.
00:37:30
I believe they're going to get Geno Atkins back this game.
00:37:33
This is a complete coin flip, in my opinion.
00:37:38
What about you? I'm not touching it.
00:37:42
As faras betting goes, this has come down.
00:37:44
It opened 5.
00:37:45
5 out in Vegas.
00:37:46
Obviously it was up 6 6.
00:37:48
5 most of the week.
00:37:50
And today same thing out there.
00:37:52
It's back down with 4 4.5.
00:37:54
Uh, at 6.
00:37:55
5, I might have dabbled in the Bengals on the point spread just because Philadelphia has shown nothing in these first few weeks to make me feel confident about laying much of anything with them.
00:38:09
And then you add in all the injuries I you know, we don't even know what reliable pass catchers once is gonna have this week beyond the two tight ends.
00:38:17
And then the Sean Jackson and I'm want to argue this point.
00:38:22
How reliable is he? Uh, this year, the total it is in no man's land.
00:38:30
I could see both of these offenses.
00:38:31
Doing something against defense is that I think Cincinnati's D is underrated.
00:38:37
I'm pretty sure we talked about that here before on one of these shows.
00:38:41
Um, but at the same time, Philadelphia's defense that is supposed to be great looked terrible last week.
00:38:47
Yeah, I know it's the Rams, but I was expecting stealing the show and this game going way under.
00:39:00
So this is a stay away.
00:39:03
Yeah, pretty much stay away from me.
00:39:05
When the total was up, I got at 5.5.
00:39:08
I did put some money on the Bengals.
00:39:11
I think I think Joe Burrow is good enough to get the win here at the end of the day.
00:39:16
Carson Wentz has the most or second most off target passes with a clean pocket this year, so it's not even that he's under pressure. Missing guys.
00:39:25
He's just missing guy, and I'm a Carson money.
00:39:29
It doesn't look good at all.
00:39:30
I'm occur.
00:39:31
Someone's fan. He capable.
00:39:33
Um, I think Bengals get pressure so Uh, that's why Just that point alone, I think Bengals get pressuring.
00:39:40
Win about it.
00:39:43
Are you Bengals whipping around? And eagles, obviously bring.
00:39:48
Yeah, I was just gonna ask you, from a fantasy standpoint, would you be looking to buy Carson Wentz low right now? Do you think he bounces back? Uh, he's either going to do two things.
00:40:02
He's either gonna bounce back or get hurt.
00:40:05
So I think he does bounce back.
00:40:09
Honestly, that's what it's gonna be.
00:40:11
Either he's going to get hit another, you know, 15 times per game.
00:40:14
I can't remember what he did last week.
00:40:16
Week 1 15.
00:40:17
Quarterback hits, eight sacks from Washington.
00:40:20
He gets to play them again. That it will be fun.
00:40:22
Um, yeah.
00:40:25
Eagles somehow get it done.
00:40:26
I if I had to bet on the division right now, As stupid as it sounds, I would put money on the Eagles to win the end.
00:40:34
Just because it's shaping up as the Cowboys.
00:40:41
I believe they dio they just This is what they do every single year.
00:40:45
They suck In the beginning, there's injuries, and they also one surprise me if they make a trade with Chicago for Nick falls.
00:40:52
It bring him back yet again.
00:40:55
It certainly would love that.
00:40:56
I would love that as someone who was in Philadelphia for that Super Bowl win and just the mania that ensued.
00:41:05
The hysteria.
00:41:07
That's where Nick Foles belongs.
00:41:08
Like Get this, get this crap out of here with the Jaguars.
00:41:11
The Bears.
00:41:12
Come on, You know, I know he's Carson Wentz, his backup, and he is meant to take over for Carson Wentz around the week 15 mark and leave the Eagles into the playoffs.
00:41:22
And he almost got him to the NFC championship year after, and that was a depleted roster.
00:41:28
Yeah, exactly.
00:41:30
He's meant for this.
00:41:31
This is what he's trained for.
00:41:32
This is what he's ready.
00:41:34
Uh, that's his job, says his job.
00:41:38
Um, let's go to Foxboro.
00:41:41
Here we have the Raiders coming off on Monday Night Football win.
00:41:45
They're six point underdogs.
00:41:46
Pretty much everywhere I have them.
00:41:48
You can get Patriots 5.
00:41:50
5 on draft Kings.
00:41:52
That's only spot.
00:41:53
I see Patriots are coming off a Sunday night football loss to the Seahawks, but look, by all accounts, I think very impressive against that team.
00:42:03
Especially offensively.
00:42:04
Defensively, they construct around, they could.
00:42:06
Jeff Russell Wilson, I suppose.
00:42:07
But offensively, Cam Newton definitely proved a lot of people, including myself, wrong.
00:42:14
But this one.
00:42:16
The trends for Bill Belichick and Jon Gruden, 2018.
00:42:31
Did you come back? It's been, yes, last year, the year before 20 since 2018 with a rest disadvantage.
00:42:41
He's covered the spread in like 60% of games herself and over the same time with rust advantage.
00:42:49
Bill Belichick and the Patriots 0.
00:42:53
3 like they just don't cover with the rest advantage.
00:42:57
For whatever reason, if we want to talk about how the Patriots can't stop the run, that's what the Raiders we're gonna try to do.
00:43:04
I know no Henry rugs.
00:43:06
I if I'm betting the spread, I think I respect the Raiders.
00:43:10
But I also have zero doubt that the Patriots win this game straight up, so I'd be willing to go on one side and then the other, which is interesting, and it makes me confused.
00:43:20
But what I do what about you that bears Falcons game, where we could see going like, one way very far, that direction or the other? Um, I'm actually inclined toe agree, because I don't know that.
00:43:36
I can imagine the Raiders winning this game.
00:43:41
It's a short week.
00:43:43
I know they're the Vegas Raiders now, but as Oakland Raiders, Foxboro has a lot of a lot of nightmarish memories for this team.
00:43:53
Uh, they don't tend to perform well there.
00:43:56
You got Bill Belichick coming.
00:43:59
That was on.
00:44:01
But where I saw slash heard it this week.
00:44:04
Um, it probably tells you I'm consuming too much media, but, uh, something like Bill Belichick coming off a loss and playing at home is just ridiculous against the spread.
00:44:15
Uh, so that makes me inclined to not like my personal lean on the spread, which would be Raiders.
00:44:25
I'm actually a little bit surprised that it is ticked up to six, but I think this is gonna be a game that you see sharps on both sides of it.
00:44:33
And I know both sides of taking money throughout the week.
00:44:38
Let's see here, Las Vegas, uh, open 6.
00:44:41
5, and it is six is all across the board.
00:44:45
The total I can't do anything with it.
00:44:47
Really, Uh, I might lean to the I don't know how much of it was a fluke.
00:44:56
necessarily last week.
00:44:58
Um, you know Michael Thomas out And what not, uh, granted, That's recently bias.
00:45:07
And they were terrible against Carolina newborn.
00:45:09
So that makes me jumping about this.
00:45:17
I think to England has got win this game, right? And if it was the spread, I would lean Raiders.
00:45:24
But just seeing the line movement go the other way, I think that might drive me off of that choice.
00:45:30
More than anything, I looked up some trends here after a loss.
00:45:37
Since 2010 the Patriots have covered the spread and 5.
00:45:41
7% of the games, and that's best in the league.
00:45:45
That's 23 12. Ridiculous.
00:45:47
It's crazy, and they've covered by an average of three point to point.
00:45:52
So nine ish when, um, you know it holds merit just because it's Bill Belichick and we know how it game plans for each week.
00:46:03
So it makes sense, and he's probably more strict and less pleasant.
00:46:07
If you can imagine that after loss, go ahead.
00:46:11
It's also, you know, it's Cam Newton.
00:46:13
It's a completely different regimes.
00:46:15
So how much doctors ahold? Interesting, though, Did you? This was this week, right? The days is kind of like, blurring together for me.
00:46:26
The Bill Belichick showing up to his presser and the, uh that was this week, right? Yeah.
00:46:34
Yeah, that was e love delegation.
00:46:39
Honestly say e have hated the Patriots all these years.
00:46:45
I really can't eight this to you anymore.
00:46:47
Have Cam Newton like I'll be the first admitted.
00:46:49
I'm a Jets fan going to work your relevant right now in this division.
00:46:53
But I grown up hating the Patriots.
00:46:55
But Bill Belichick has always been a guy that I've like, had, like, a little bit of like.
00:47:00
He's kind of cool, like, I wanna be like that someday when I'm his age showing up to the pressure like that, I lost it.
00:47:08
But I saw between him and his psychotic son Steve Belichick e just wanna goto family dinner or something.
00:47:16
Steve's got the year like the Davy Crockett thing, working in the back there, like, is that what that is? I got that right.
00:47:25
I have no idea, but I love them both.
00:47:28
I've always been able to separate Tom Brady, and the Patriots have always hated Tom Brady and always love loved Bill Belichick.
00:47:35
And then I was never gonna cheer for that by it.
00:47:38
But there's no doubt like there is zero doubt that he is the greatest coach of all time, right? I wouldn't say so.
00:47:49
Okay.
00:47:50
There's some people that argue it.
00:47:52
I just I don't see any way.
00:47:55
So I'm not a super big history guy, But, I mean, Don Shula like, and then I mean, who else you putting up their Lombardi? I know.
00:48:03
Pretty.
00:48:04
All you folks on Wisconsin is big, but even depends on what you're weighing.
00:48:09
People are big above in some party.
00:48:11
Here yourself.
00:48:18
Look, yeah, yeah, he founded football.
00:48:20
Basically, what we believe about it.
00:48:25
Um, let's talk about your Jets are irrelevant in the NFC East.
00:48:29
This is e do not want in the fittest 11.
00:48:33
5 underdogs everywhere.
00:48:36
Isay against the Colts on the road against the Colts, Cults will have a few fans in the stadium.
00:48:43
I don't think it's anything meaningful 70 500 7500.
00:48:48
I'm not that bad, You tell me, is what's the wide receiver situation for the Jets? Two white guys and a guy that I didn't even really realize was.
00:49:02
We've got Chris Hogan, Braxton Barrios and Josh Malone starting three.
00:49:07
And then, if you pull up the Jets wide receiver injury report, it's funny I did this last night.
00:49:12
How ESPN has it laid out? They got the tears right on the depth chart.
00:49:17
She got 1st, 2nd, 3rd and they moved guys up and around as faras.
00:49:21
The injuries go, but they have everyone on their listed from Josh Doctson, uh, to Jamison Crowder to Vincent Smith and those air the Onley three.
00:49:32
I kid you, not Malone.
00:49:33
Hogan various.
00:49:34
The Onley three healthy receivers on the depth chart Don't need to make a move to get another one or you just go with Caleb Lodge.
00:49:43
She goes, played them out.
00:49:44
Hash tag tanking for trucker I don't think you are.
00:49:48
I don't know what you're doing, but I don't think you're trying to take I think I don't know where you're there anymore.
00:49:54
Uh, e I Honestly, I'm just the I feel like I don't even have a favorite football team after, and it's only two weeks, but mhm I It's been a while, but I have been on record of defending Adam.
00:50:10
Gaze a lot in the path, and I have separated myself from that now.
00:50:16
I don't think he's that bad of a football mind.
00:50:18
I really, really don't.
00:50:20
But boy, is he a ****ing idiot he's got and he's a prick.
00:50:26
Like he hates the media idea.
00:50:28
You know, he's a coach for the team.
00:50:30
The biggest media market there.
00:50:34
I don't know.
00:50:35
This just seemed just makes me sad like they had so much potential.
00:50:38
And I'm not even a fan.
00:50:39
I can't imagine deal, But come on, I can't.
00:50:45
I mean, I'm glad I'm not the only one.
00:50:46
Your song.
00:50:47
79 seven and nine after starting one in seven.
00:50:55
Ah, yeah.
00:50:59
If you had a bad right now, no.
00:51:03
2.5 wind total.
00:51:06
Would you go over still? Um, I think so.
00:51:23
It is possible in one of those games.
00:51:26
Uh, let's see.
00:51:30
The NFC West.
00:51:32
They're not beating anyone A f c West.
00:51:34
I think Denver's possible depending on what's going on there.
00:51:39
Um, number here with General, I honestly, I'm not even joking.
00:51:44
I think they have a chance.
00:51:47
That's stupid to say.
00:51:48
I think they dio I'm not gonna touch this game.
00:51:51
So 20 you're saying that because you know, you said you're not touching it, and I'm not going to touch it either.
00:51:56
But if I had to do something 11.
00:51:58
5 points, that's just over and played it to me in a week, three games, again with the Colts team that I think is overrated to begin with.
00:52:06
Eso looking at how Indianapolis wants to play, they're gonna want a ground clock and, you know, they shouldn't have to do a whole heck of a lot special toe win.
00:52:18
Uh, so I'm assuming by chance, you're saying by the point spread because I don't give the Jets months of a chance toe win, But I think covering 11.
00:52:24
5 Yeah, okay.
00:52:26
But I think covering 11 and I think that I think they could win straight.
00:52:30
Do you really mhm, I dio I think I think Gregg Williams is legit as a coach.
00:52:38
I think he's terrific and I think Philip Rivers, I would say, is slightly prone to making mistakes.
00:52:46
So if it's comfortable, if the game is close the fourth quarter and it comes down to Philip Rivers making Dr clinch the victory, I think he makes the wrong decision and I think he leaves the door open for a win.
00:53:04
That's I a confident, obviously.
00:53:09
Yeah, And I know like, one theory that I heard this week is no matter what happens this season, look to bet on Rivers is an underdog and not a favorite, which that was interesting to read, because I think a lot of times when the culture gonna be the favorites and games, it might be by too large of a margin.
00:53:31
And this is definitely 11.
00:53:32
5 with this line moving where it opened.
00:53:35
Let me just make sure I have the right number here so open to touchdown out in Vegas.
00:53:40
And that feels much more on point to me, I think, and even seven and yeah, I can understand the line movement based on the injuries and how these teams, namely the Jets, have looked in the first two weeks.
00:53:55
But I don't know just from the way I see the Colts wanting to attack this game.
00:53:59
I think that, you know a spread cover is very realistic and it might even be a backdoor covered like you know we saw last week.
00:54:07
Garbage time touchdown puts the game over against the 40 Niners, so I was on the wrong side of that one s.
00:54:13
So not only does my team gets smoked, but I lose my bet on the game.
00:54:17
Uh, there was one other point.
00:54:19
There it is.
00:54:20
This is yet another frank or revenging.
00:54:23
I know.
00:54:24
I've said that three weeks in the room, baby.
00:54:25
Let's go.
00:54:27
Yeah, every gave the revenge scale Hey, 100 yard game.
00:54:35
But it he didn't He didn't do bad last.
00:54:39
They're bunking up ****** knife fight.
00:54:40
Has anything on him? Oh, they should.
00:54:43
They should make it featured.
00:54:45
I'm gonna check right now.
00:54:46
I started Frank or last week.
00:54:48
He was peace.
00:54:49
And I think tell you, I'll tell you how many yards he gotten, how maney you should have had against San Francisco of all teams Revenge game.
00:54:58
Big revenge game Franco or 2 21 carries for 63 yards.
00:55:03
Don't look at the average, but 63 yards.
00:55:06
Here you go, Zack.
00:55:10
So the second contest available on ****** knife fight in the Jets Colts game is a wrap.
00:55:17
A rapid fire.
00:55:18
You can get five times your prize money back if you pick all three of these.
00:55:22
Correct? You ready? Philip Rivers vs Sam Donald in passing yards.
00:55:28
Uh, Sam Donald is catching 30.
00:55:31
5 passing yards off the top.
00:55:34
Jonathan Tailor versus Frank Gore in rushing yards are boyfriend.
00:55:38
Gore is catching 33 a half rushing yards off the top and then T y Hilton and Braxton Barrios in receptions with Barrios catching 330.5.
00:55:49
Reception.
00:55:51
I wish that was yards because I think T.
00:55:52
Y Hilton goes off after his grandma, like, ****ing called him out this week.
00:55:57
His grandmother text.
00:55:58
Um, sa***e. He's like, I don't even recognize you.
00:56:00
He's like, Oh, ****.
00:56:01
Now we gotta go.
00:56:02
I would go Donald, Donald, obviously Gore.
00:56:08
What did burials do last week? Two catches and can't go help them.
00:56:15
That's for how much.
00:56:16
Hey out, five times, whatever you wager on it.
00:56:20
So that's how ****** Knife fight is.
00:56:22
There's not odds necessarily on these games, it's you put whatever steak you want on the contest and then depending on how you do, some of them have multiple payout results, so they'll have, you know, like four different prop matchups or something like that.
00:56:40
And if you get like two of them, right, you get double your payout If you get, um, all right, you get four times.
00:56:45
That's just an example.
00:56:46
This one.
00:56:47
The only option is to get all three right.
00:56:49
But you, What would it be quintuple for five times your money? Mhm.
00:56:55
Hey, that's free money.
00:56:57
If I could pick Frank Gore three times, that would be super free money.
00:57:00
And he's getting 33 a half yards that he's got a 33.
00:57:03
5 lead by Dr Cough.
00:57:10
I think he could be a revenge game.
00:57:14
Revenge game.
00:57:15
You couple linemen out for us.
00:57:16
You know, McGovern's out on fan is out that you think you matter to me.
00:57:24
That sounds like there's less people in the way of Frank Carter on over.
00:57:28
Let's go, Get out of the way.
00:57:30
We just need a center.
00:57:31
Get the ball.
00:57:32
Directs a map.
00:57:34
I'm excited.
00:57:35
I'm watching this game now.
00:57:36
I wasn't good.
00:57:37
Obviously when you watch this game, but now I think I have to Oh my goodness.
00:57:43
So yeah.
00:57:44
11.
00:57:45
5 for the Jets.
00:57:46
Lock it up to switch my mind.
00:57:48
I'm putting a bet on it for shirt Oh e on to do the same now But I want all this frank Orthodox like the Jets fan.
00:57:58
It means like e Let's go Panthers headed to L.
00:58:07
A to take on the Chargers.
00:58:09
Justin Herbert is starting for the Chargers again.
00:58:12
Ah, lot of people said he looked good last week.
00:58:14
I would disagree.
00:58:15
He looked absolutely horrendous.
00:58:17
I think he was like the 28th graded quarterback of the week.
00:58:20
He looked really, really good on his runs.
00:58:22
Unfortunately, Mike Williams had about 50 yards of space standing wide open, doing jumping jacks.
00:58:27
He would look a lot better throwing him the ball, But he faces arguably divorced defense in the league in the Panthers in that might not be arguable.
00:58:38
They're absolutely horrendous.
00:58:41
Obviously, the Panthers do not have Christian McCaffrey.
00:58:44
Now, on top of that, Uh, yeah, yeah.
00:58:49
So charges or 6.
00:58:50
5 point home favorites that's held pretty steady.
00:58:53
I think he may have opened at six.
00:58:55
Tell me, but charges are gonna pound the rock.
00:59:00
This game, that's all there is to a Panthers run defense was the worst in the league last year.
00:59:05
And then you take Luke quickly off that events that just tells you where their heads are at Josh Kelley had almost 20 carries for the charges.
00:59:20
Herbert, who surprisingly better run the spread.
00:59:31
Can Issa 6.
00:59:33
5.
00:59:34
Like what? Is that too much for you? I don't want either side being completely honest.
00:59:41
Like you said. 6.5 it opened.
00:59:43
Excuse me.
00:59:44
Out in Vegas, it is still sick and a half across the board with once the book that is off 6.
00:59:53
5 money there on very minimal sharp action by the lack of mine movement everywhere else s o.
01:00:03
I don't want anything to do that.
01:00:05
I think if I was gonna play the game, it would be over the total, uh, 43 a half.
01:00:10
44.
01:00:11
I think Carolina is offensively.
01:00:12
You know, McCaffrey is out, but Mike Davis should be able to step in.
01:00:19
Oh, yes, sir.
01:00:22
I mean, going back to the discussion, we had the Giants game.
01:00:25
It's the most expendable position in football, so the Panthers will be all right.
01:00:29
Um, Mike Davis might not play a larger role is McCaffrey did in the offense in terms of all around production, but he very well could I get where you're coming from there with that love.
01:00:40
Andi, These receivers, they're gonna be just fine.
01:00:43
Uh, TJ more Robby Anderson? Yeah, it's a tough matchup, but I think Carolina is good for I would say, at least two touchdowns in this game, right? Eso the Chargers pounding the rock, assuming the wind.
01:00:56
Uh, you know, but at least a score in this one that would put you at 35.
01:01:02
So I guess I would be leaning for more points from both sides if I said over the total.
01:01:05
I did my math wrong there on library.
01:01:07
Sorry, guys, but yeah, over the total of 43 a half, that feels kinda low to me.
01:01:13
Even with Justin Herbert, a quarterback who I'm excited to watch him a little bit more this week.
01:01:19
It's funny in terms of fantasy, the Panthers have actually not been bad in terms of points allowed to the QB position, but that's because you can run the ball all over.
01:01:28
Uh, so wow, I think Herbert is a viable streaming candidate.
01:01:33
This week might not be a xga good a week, as some people are thinking.
01:01:40
And you know, I'm stuck with Tyrod Taylor in a super flex redraft, and I don't really know what to do with him.
01:01:47
But he's my only backup quarterback on the bench, and I'm keeping him because I'm inclined to believe Anthony Lynn that when he's healthy, he will be back in there.
01:01:55
And I would assume that you're how should I say it? Football talent level ****ysis to some degree is better than mine.
01:02:04
And so just hearing that from you saying that you didn't like how Herbert looked last week, Uh, that makes me inclined to think that I'm kind of leaning in the right direction here.
01:02:13
Is faras projecting this Chargers Q B situation? Well, Anthony Lynn, with what he said, he said Absolutely nothing.
01:02:22
He said Tyrod, Taylor's air quarterback when he's 100%.
01:02:26
He said that knowing full well that he wasn't 100% so it just sort of opens the door of Let's see how Justin Herbert looks this week.
01:02:34
We know for sure he's a starter for this week and he can earn the job this week and I don't know, let's assume tie rods out two weeks minimum if if all goes as planned, um, so I'm not sure the charges quite next week.
01:02:51
But obviously that's the dream matchup for him.
01:02:53
This it's two wins with Tyrod on the bench.
01:02:59
Then I don't think they give Tyrod the job back.
01:03:03
Unfortunately, I think they're just going to continue with what's working, which is unfortunate because here is a very, very good quarterback and this happens everywhere he goes.
01:03:12
He's never performed poorly anywhere.
01:03:15
You just keep getting.
01:03:17
I was stood and it sucks.
01:03:19
I was really high on tire at this year's.
01:03:20
Well, it is what it is.
01:03:24
We'll know full fully know.
01:03:26
I think, after this game, if Tyrod drop back, would you be? Would you have any any sort of mind? I don't know, maybe just sprinkling like a tiny play or including it in a big parley where you're trying to cash out with some longer odds to take Panthers money line in this? No, I don't think so.
01:03:52
No, I think I think the Panthers offenses very good.
01:03:59
I think they're legit, even without Christian McCaffrey.
01:04:01
I think the passing game is going to be good there very clearly, not as dangerous, but I think their defense too bad.
01:04:09
I think the Chargers a defense is good enough to make a couple plays to stop Panthers offense.
01:04:14
And I don't know, I don't think the charges put Justin Herbert in a position to making this.
01:04:23
Yeah, I guess that would be how I'm looking at it too, is I could see this Panthers offense putting up points, but the charges defense is also really good.
01:04:30
I don't think they're given enough credit either.
01:04:32
Eso while I would love to play the maybe Herbert makes a mistake or the Chargers fall behind and he needs to do more than they want him to do.
01:04:43
Uh, say that early, Um, that Carolina will definitely jump out to an early lead.
01:04:49
Andi, I did look it up to the Chargers.
01:04:52
Have the Buccaneers next week, and that is you're throwing in there for a while.
01:05:01
So you said I'm sorry.
01:05:03
Uh, I guess I was, uh it wasn't important, but I did pull up the chargers schedule because he said he didn't know who they played next, and they have the Buccaneers next week.
01:05:12
And that is followed by the ST so things will be a little bit tougher for whoever is quarterbacking this team now.
01:05:22
I mean, this is an opportunity.
01:05:26
It depends on what kind of person and Ni Lin is.
01:05:28
He very well could be like So Herbert out there.
01:05:31
He gets two losses against the Buccaneers and Saints and be OK.
01:05:34
The Tyrod we need.
01:05:36
Tyrod is obviously I'm the rookie here.
01:05:40
Let's let Herbert sit back and learn a little bit, which I think he would benefit from anyway.
01:05:50
I think it is in time on some of those throws that he was making in college.
01:06:03
There's still development to be had here, and I think just, you know, the NFL game is going to be even faster.
01:06:10
So if he was a little late to make some reads in college, probably going to be a little bit worse here at the NFL level.
01:06:19
And, you know, like we've already touched on.
01:06:21
Probably not against this Panthers defense, which feels like it's all rookies anyway.
01:06:26
But, uh, going forward, yeah, but you might want to sit back a little bit. I don't know.
01:06:34
It's one of the things that I'm most interested in to see how it plays out here over the next few weeks, completely agree.
01:06:42
Now let's go to the desert got the Detroit Lions headed to Arizona in a rematch of weak ones tie from last season.
01:06:52
Arizona is currently 5.
01:06:53
5 points.
01:06:54
Favorites everywhere I see Um, besides, you have points bet plus 100 for both.
01:07:02
This is another one of those games, man.
01:07:04
Like I don't want to bet it.
01:07:07
I really, really don't.
01:07:08
If you look at what these two teams have done, most people would be like, Yeah, this is an obvious Arizona win.
01:07:15
No one has been able to stop Kyler Murray.
01:07:17
He's been running and destroying everybody.
01:07:20
Lions obviously can't stop the run.
01:07:22
We saw Aaron Jones did.
01:07:23
We saw Montgomery CA one.
01:07:25
I do think it's a good Kenyan Drake game, Um, which means I think Kathryn Murray actually runs less, so it might not be a great fantasy, but they get Kenny Golladay back this week, and I think Kenny Golladay is one of the best wide receivers in the NFL.
01:07:43
I know Stafford can put up points against Arizona.
01:07:47
I'm total is at total is at 55 a half 56.
01:07:57
Yeah, I don't want to touch that.
01:07:58
I feel like that's about right but that's telling you is probably going to be a shootout.
01:08:04
I don't wanna touch a scheme issue, though.
01:08:05
I really don't.
01:08:07
What about you? It's hard for me to come up with a play either.
01:08:12
Total, uh, if you're gonna do that, though, you're probably gonna wanna hop on that quick, because I only see it if it goes anywhere up before kickoff.
01:08:28
But with that said, 55 a half is that Z It is second highest total.
01:08:35
The highest is a game that we will be discussing shortly second high total on the board of the week.
01:08:40
I think what happens is, uh, already better units on either side of the ball in this game.
01:08:47
Um, it is interesting to me, just the amount of money uh, the Arizona has taken to move the line.
01:08:54
It opened at 3.
01:08:55
5 out in Vegas and now sitting at 5.
01:08:58
5 and six across the board.
01:09:03
If someone who came into the season I guess with a strong opinion on the lions to be a better football team than they were when lost wives last year and just 80 s.
01:09:14
Uh, I guess I would be inclined to say, If I'm betting it at this number, it's gonna be Detroit.
01:09:20
Uh, do I trust the lines, though, after these first few weeks? No, I don't.
01:09:26
So it's really a crapshoot.
01:09:30
I think for me here as well.
01:09:32
I still am holding out some sort of hope that the Lions figured this out, uh, and reward me at some point.
01:09:40
And I don't wanna hop off that train just yet.
01:09:42
Uh, but as far as you know, winning that division, I think that's that ship has kind of sailed.
01:09:48
Uh, you know who's who's who's going to take it and even these saying that I'm still not 100% sure.
01:09:57
Definitely the I think that matches what Detroit has, obviously right.
01:10:06
And the Packers, I think, have to be ahead of them at this point for sure.
01:10:09
Um, Packers have been a pleasant surprise for me, at least in terms of how I had things power rated coming into the season.
01:10:16
Uh, I was expecting a lot more regression there, and it could still be coming, you know, we're only two weeks in.
01:10:22
I don't want to overreact entirely, but I still like I don't want to say Detroit is that much worse than either of those two teams.
01:10:30
Even after these first two weeks, they've been banged up on defense.
01:10:33
Have been without Golladay.
01:10:36
If I'm doing anything here, it's Alliance.
01:10:38
And I feel like I'm gonna be saying if I'm doing anything its clients for a lot of the year, because until they reward me and tell me I can trust them, it's gonna be if I'm doing anything but, man, I wanna pull these Detroit triggers so bad you can't do it right now.
01:10:57
Yeah, Detroit's for sure.
01:11:00
Not as bad, I guess, is everyone is talking about them else.
01:11:07
Uh, they didn't deserve the one either of those games.
01:11:10
They very well could have beaten the Bears, obviously, but this defense is absolutely horrendous.
01:11:16
This offense, I think, has potential to be for sure.
01:11:21
Top 10 I would say top their top 76 potential in the league for sure.
01:11:30
Offensive line is not great, but Matthew Stafford with Kenny Kenny Holiday, Marvin Jones, Quintas Cephus, Danny Amendola, Hawkinson Not to mention the running backs, I think they can put up points in a hurry.
01:11:43
Many holidays.
01:11:44
Number one wide receiver Like everyone freaking out about Drew Brees.
01:11:48
How he was so bad last week without Michael Thomas, I would argue Kenny Golladay is more important to this offense.
01:11:56
Then Michael Thomas is to the ST I I mean, yeah, this game is really tough.
01:12:04
I just don't think they could stop Kyler Murray.
01:12:06
And this is coming from someone who was screaming and more than one occasion about how terrible this Arizona Cardinals team is.
01:12:14
I still don't think they're very good.
01:12:16
I think they get the benefit of a very, very nice schedule so they'll go over there.
01:12:21
Wind total for sure.
01:12:23
I just said What was the point I wanted to jump on? You're Kyler Murray Comment threw it out the window. I mean, I'm sorry.
01:12:36
Forgot that part? Um, yes, that was s.
01:12:40
So I don't know that I'm going to say all day.
01:12:42
Is mawr important to Detroit? The Michael Thomas is with saints.
01:12:47
I think the argument for that would be Alvin Kamara is better than what DeAndre Swift is right now that so I could see that.
01:12:54
But looking at the injuries, we already discussed Julio Jones potentially being out for Atlanta This week.
01:13:00
Detroit does not have another Calvin Ridley, uh, to step up like Marvin Jones, Danny Amendola and see if it's the rookie.
01:13:08
No offense.
01:13:09
None of them are Calvin, Ridley and E.
01:13:11
Maybe you could even argue.
01:13:12
None of them are Russell Gauge either.
01:13:14
I think Marvin Jones would get the nod there for me.
01:13:16
Uh, but, you know, as a wide receiver one he hasn't gotten these first few weeks with Golladay out.
01:13:26
So I definitely, uh, to me, Gala Day is way more important to Detroit than Julio Jones.
01:13:32
Being out this week would be to Atlanta.
01:13:34
There was a crazy stat.
01:13:35
I heard, uh, last thoughts on the stand.
01:13:38
I heard it listening to a show today, and it was Matt.
01:13:42
Patricia is coach 33 games as the head coach of the Lions.
01:13:47
And in those 33 games, he's blown 11 4th quarter leads.
01:13:51
So it's so frustrating because this team is Yeah, okay.
01:14:00
They shouldn't be this bad.
01:14:01
They're in pretty much every game.
01:14:04
They weren't as bad as the record was last year, but they lost Stafford.
01:14:07
They had other injuries.
01:14:08
They weren't that bad.
01:14:10
All of your current, I don't get it.
01:14:13
Like if we're betting the first half total, I can tell you what the odds are.
01:14:18
40.
01:14:19
I'd be willing to put a little bit of money on Detroit, at least for his core first half spreader.
01:14:26
Total US spread.
01:14:32
First quarter Detroit plus three.
01:14:33
I'm willing to do that.
01:14:35
I have.
01:14:38
I mean, I could pick and choose, I guess, on Bovada the most.
01:14:45
They are horrible, I guess in terms of Detroit would be Detroit minus one at plus 1 65.
01:14:50
Otherwise, it's all expecting Detroit to be trailing.
01:14:54
I'd be willing to put money on any ability.
01:14:59
I think they jump out.
01:15:00
I don't know.
01:15:02
I don't know.
01:15:03
I could see those two.
01:15:06
What I said, I could see any of those places to ast faras.
01:15:11
You know, the comfort level of this is this has been a first half team, so more confident, betting a shorter spread in the first half than I would a longer spread for the whole game just because of how this team seems to fade.
01:15:31
Every single second had fourth quarter, especially that mental travesty game in week one hole.
01:15:38
I didn't even know how mad I was.
01:15:41
Yeah, I was watching that gambling.
01:15:42
Okay, Detroit's bad.
01:15:44
Got it that Zaydi mhm have, even though they're in.
01:15:52
I'm Packer fan.
01:15:53
So even though they're in the package division like they're not even a team, I can even come close to hating.
01:15:58
This was like, Come on, you feel sorry for him.
01:16:01
You really dio you guys could do this.
01:16:04
You made all the right moves, the off season play as a team.
01:16:10
And I like Matt Patricia Yes, e.
01:16:17
I have been so anti all the map Patricia Hate.
01:16:20
And I know I just dropped that statin here where they blow the fourth quarter leads.
01:16:25
It's not his fault that so many of his defensive players air injured, and now he's got a relatively young defense.
01:16:32
Obviously, these guys are gonna have growing pains like Okuda as your quarterback.
01:16:37
One the guise of rookie.
01:16:38
So I know he's a top three pick.
01:16:41
There's still a learning curve when it comes to covering NFL receivers, especially when it's the opposing teams top receiver.
01:16:49
That'd be like covering holiday if it was his own team.
01:16:52
So Golladay verse a rookie.
01:16:54
I don't care if you were a top three pick or 1/6 round pick.
01:16:57
I'm going to take a holiday there.
01:16:59
So it I think I think people have been hired on nutrition 100%.
01:17:04
Not even then.
01:17:05
Kudos covering the team's top wide receiver. Either.
01:17:07
It's that he's covering Davante Adams, and now he's covering DeAndre Hopkins.
01:17:11
He's to the past, both of which I think we agree are a step ahead of even dollars.
01:17:19
Yeah, 100%.
01:17:22
Okay, so our ****ysis of that game is we feel bad.
01:17:27
Now.
01:17:28
Let's go to We took the long route to get there.
01:17:30
A, typically, Buccaneers go to Denver.
01:17:34
Denver, unfortunately, is not starting Blake Bortles for whatever reason, But at some point, once he gets put in a game and wins the game, you will be seeing me on here in a Broncos Bortles jersey, Guaranteed.
01:17:45
Loved me, My Mr December, the phony greatest quarterback of all time.
01:17:53
Tom Brady.
01:17:54
5.5 point favorites.
01:17:56
I've seen that go up to six now at Sugar House that Rivers points back in draftkings, obviously, Broncos air also without Courtland Sutton done for the year.
01:18:07
Philip Philip Lindsay.
01:18:10
So out, um, Chris Godwin's back for the Buccaneers.
01:18:15
I guess that's notable ****ing years definitely looked a lot better last week.
01:18:19
They look mawr on the same page, didn't look great, level competitions, definitely at play.
01:18:25
They play the Panthers and they still struggled.
01:18:28
So it is what it is.
01:18:31
I don't think I wanna bet this spread, either.
01:18:33
Tom Brady hasn't been amazing in Denver.
01:18:37
I think that has something to do with the defense's.
01:18:39
He's faced us well.
01:18:41
But this also isn't a terrible defense to your point that you said earlier, Um, you know what number did last week against the Steelers? Who are, I think, a terrific team.
01:18:52
I don't think chapters schools very good, but could be good enough to keep the game close.
01:18:58
I don't know.
01:18:59
Do you have any stronger feelings than me on this game? I don't know that. I'll say they're stronger.
01:19:06
Um, is Denver past for me on the spread? It looks like it opened 3.
01:19:11
5 out in Vegas, and it is mostly sixes with a few 5.
01:19:15
5 still left on the board.
01:19:18
That's because orders was starting.
01:19:20
Many question, right? Yes, for sure, Um, whether it's Borders or Driscoll, a quarterback for Denver, I guess my argument would be neither one.
01:19:33
Well, I'm not gonna say that about Borders.
01:19:35
Driscoll, like you said, he's not very good, but, uh, yeah, I was careful there, but how much of a drop off? Is he really from Drew Lock? I don't know.
01:19:45
So there's a lot of unknowns there, I think Andrew Lock granted going up against Pittsburgh and who was a week when the Titans, those air to defense is that are pretty good.
01:19:57
Definitely in the upper half of the league probably could say, even upper third, I think depending on how you feel about Tennessee, so that might not be the best place to gauge Drew lock and the offense, especially dealing with the injuries that they have.
01:20:14
I just I don't like Tampa Bay and, you know, I thought they're way overrated coming into the season.
01:20:20
I still think they're overrated in terms of this line movement.
01:20:22
If you were going about the Bucks, you had to do it right away.
01:20:25
At 3.5.
01:20:26
I might have been inclined to take Tampa Bay, actually, just knowing all the injuries in Denver.
01:20:32
But this is a game where I very well may talk myself in the lane a little bit with the Broncos at.
01:20:38
I would want.
01:20:41
I need at least six if it moves to 6.
01:20:43
5 with some public money coming in on Tom Brady TD 12 tomorrow, then, Yeah, I think I would definitely Sprinkle a little bit on the Broncos Point spread.
01:20:55
I just think it's gonna be a close game and no matter who's, uh, starting a quarterback here, Denver's desperate their own, too.
01:21:02
So they're gonna make anything out of this season.
01:21:05
Got to get up for this game, and you got to get up for this game special when it's at home, and I think we already mentioned it.
01:21:11
But if not, I'll say it any again or for the first time.
01:21:15
Denver's defense, even without Von Miller, I think, is kind of getting hated on a little bit too much.
01:21:22
I know Von Miller is the heart and soul.
01:21:24
Uh, I know, like assumes That news came out.
01:21:27
You and I were, uh, texting and we said wind total under lock it in if you could still get it before they take it down.
01:21:35
And I am fully confident in that wind.
01:21:36
Total bet, All right, but there's still a lot of talent on the defensive side of the ball here for the Broncos.
01:21:42
And so Tampa Bay is still hiring some things out.
01:21:45
Clearly on offense.
01:21:48
And the second half last week against that Carolina defense was not exactly inspiring to your point about the Broncos defense.
01:21:57
This is including Von Miller, but the Broncos spend more money on their defense this season than any other team in the league, so they didn't spend money on no talent.
01:22:07
I mean, they're still very very and Vic Fangio head coach.
01:22:11
You can ask a lot of questions about if he's a good head coach or not.
01:22:16
But there's no doubt that he's a terrific defensive mind, one of the best in the league.
01:22:22
Sure, I would have.
01:22:35
I would guess the Buccaneers try to run the ball as much as possible for your point.
01:22:40
I think it's going to be closed.
01:22:41
Total.
01:22:42
I have 42 a half right now under in just feeling that way.
01:22:49
I don't think, you know Buccaneers win by over a touchdown.
01:22:54
That's a lot to ask this Pat Shurmur offense.
01:22:57
This is the simplest offense, possibly in the past few decades.
01:23:03
It's just short crossing routes, the easiest routes that quarterback could ever thrill.
01:23:09
And it's get the ball in the hands of the athlete.
01:23:11
But the athlete make a play.
01:23:13
That's why no font is so good in this offense.
01:23:16
That's why I say Kwan Barkley was when he was a giant.
01:23:19
That's why help Lindsay, I think, will be once he's back on the field, he could be a little bit more of a pass catcher.
01:23:26
I mean, that's all they're gonna do.
01:23:27
They're going to get away from the used Tampa cornerbacks and linebackers, and I think Broncos can move the ball.
01:23:36
Yeah, if I was going to bet this game the only way I would bet it is on Denver.
01:23:43
I don't know if I'm going to do that.
01:23:45
It looks like I could see the spread moving to 6.5.
01:23:55
I might be inclined to take the total under two.
01:23:58
I'm seeing a lot of from that total.
01:24:11
Doesn't look like anything is updated here.
01:24:13
Uh, since we started, uh, this just feels like it's gonna be an ugly ballgame to me and your credit.
01:24:20
Two point of practice moving the football.
01:24:24
I think both things are gonna be running the football thinking dunk, moving the football.
01:24:29
And then actually, both defense's bending, but not breaking, so to speak.
01:24:33
We're gonna have a lot of time consuming drives, and nothing is going to come out of or three points is gonna come out of them.
01:24:38
And it's just gonna, you know, lead Teoh a low scoring game.
01:24:43
That is not gonna be what anyone wants out of Tampa Bay.
01:24:46
And it's gonna be ugly from the football fan perspective that loves offense.
01:24:53
Ah, but I could look at the under.
01:24:57
Um, I think this conversation has provoked me to take a closer look at the under after the show.
01:25:04
How's that? Yeah, that's definitely fair.
01:25:07
Here is a game that very, very, very different game stripped Dallas Cowboys at Seattle Seahawks, both teams that have obvious offensive talent, a lot of defensive lapses already this season.
01:25:22
Seattle is the 4.
01:25:23
5 point home favorite at that MGM and Points, but it's five points of Sugar House, bet, rivers, fanduel and draftkings.
01:25:33
Um, this is a game again.
01:25:36
I don't know if I want any part of it.
01:25:38
I will say I will for sure.
01:25:40
Never, ever, ever bet on Mike McCarthy.
01:25:43
Defeat the Seahawks for obvious reasons.
01:25:46
Hey, is going to struggle.
01:25:48
I know if you will, uh, point total, though 56 a half at most places 7.
01:25:53
5 already said earlier, the highest total of the week.
01:26:01
That makes me wanna bet under.
01:26:04
But we've seen already from both of these teams how they can light it up quickly.
01:26:10
How they give up a lot of points.
01:26:12
Obviously, the Cowboys climb back in chorus hurt Seattle.
01:26:17
I think this could be the game.
01:26:18
The Seattle runs the ball a little bit more.
01:26:20
I know they want to open the offense up and they've done that.
01:26:22
But if they can keep that Prescott off the field, I think they're going to try, right? Yeah.
01:26:30
Do you like this game? It all from a betting standpoint.
01:26:36
Well, I'll say if you got Seattle when this opened around 3.
01:26:39
5, it's like out in Las Vegas earlier in the week.
01:26:42
Kudos to you.
01:26:44
A T five.
01:26:45
It is fives across the board right now out west, and that would still be a play for me because, like you said, I don't see how Dallas wins this game.
01:26:57
And this Cowboys defense is so bad that I could I guess the lien that I have in this game is Russell Wilson and the Seahawks offense.
01:27:08
Just steal the show With that said, what we could say of the week is because I don't have confidence in Seahawks defense right now.
01:27:18
After what we saw against the England last week, I would argue that this Cowboys offense is by far, uh, in a way more talented than New England, Um, and losing Bruce Irvin.
01:27:32
To me, that is the most overlooked injury of Week two, because he was really the Onley relying.
01:27:46
So I think Dallas is going to get theirs total.
01:27:49
I don't want anything to do with it.
01:27:51
It feels high, be under.
01:27:54
But I just can't do it because I don't know who's stopping you in this game and when I don't know who stopping new.
01:28:01
Yeah, you just got to stay away from that.
01:28:03
So it's, uh, Seahawks and the point spread and I don't really have anything.
01:28:12
I don't see a way.
01:28:14
Dallas gets it done because I think betting market commentators who will never Cowboys are the perennially overrated team.
01:28:26
And so for me, I have to bake that into the point spread whenever I'm looking at a Cowboys game.
01:28:31
And so if Seattle is a five point favorite as the market is adjusted, I guess in theory to me, they really should be 67 maybe even at the high end.
01:28:42
So that would.
01:28:44
That's my rationale.
01:28:45
You know, Seahawks better.
01:28:47
I'm just glad we could **** on the Cowboys without Jake here.
01:28:50
You know, being a Homer and what's not nice.
01:28:53
It's not nice.
01:28:54
Um, I this totally feels like a Russell Wilson game with, um, that's about it.
01:29:08
Like Mike McCarthy knows how to lose these games.
01:29:15
Play out.
01:29:17
Yeah, I don't trust either.
01:29:18
Do you have to make a stop at any point? I mean, you talked about how bad Seahawks looked last week against the Patriots.
01:29:24
They gave up 450 years, the Falcons Week one, who also put up 39 points against Dallas last week.
01:29:30
They get killed so bad, Um, Seahawks were my Super Bowl pick offerings.
01:29:53
****** knife it has on this.
01:29:57
I just try to curiosity because it is expected to be such a shootout.
01:30:02
Yeah, this one is interesting receptions.
01:30:07
I just zoomed in on that one because CD Lamb is getting half a reception against Michael Gallup in a match of it.
01:30:13
I think CD Lamb should win that.
01:30:16
So what else do we have? We have to get all three correct.
01:30:18
Again, It's five times the buy in.
01:30:22
Tyler Lockett is getting half a receiving are against Amari, Cooper and Prescott against Wilson and passing yards with Russ catching 22.
01:30:38
I would yeah, I would probably love to.
01:30:48
That's how I would be leaning to.
01:30:49
I love the land one There's other to I'm not quite a sure on, but yeah, that's fair.
01:30:56
Gallup.
01:30:57
It just hasn't been involved in this offense.
01:30:58
He's ex receiver and Mike McCarthy offense that is basically a decoy running deep.
01:31:04
I will say Home road splits the real thing from Mark Cooper, and I could see Cooper putting up honestly a possible goose egg.
01:31:15
In this game, We'll gallop goes crazy.
01:31:17
But with that point total, I'm sure Cooper does something, at least I don't know.
01:31:25
So so they have another form of contest on ****** knife fight.
01:31:31
They have called like fantasy challenges.
01:31:34
Or they have one that's reception collection or touchdown dance.
01:31:38
And basically what this is is you've gotta pick three players.
01:31:42
They could be from either team in the game.
01:31:44
Um, and essentially, they have to exceed the laid out goals in whatever category you're doing.
01:31:52
So whether it's receptions, touchdowns, fantasy points, so a goal of I'm just looking at the fantasy challenge one right now 61 a half points, three players in this game to exceed it, I think you could easily, four times.
01:32:18
I mean, Ezekiel Elliott gotta be on that list for me.
01:32:22
I think CD lamb would be another guy actually looking at.
01:32:25
And then from on the Seattle side, would you go to the Seattle side? Would you just stay with all Dallas? And when you got to mix it up a little bit, I don't know, let me see.
01:32:37
Uh, quarterbacks are not an option, and I didn't think they would be.
01:32:44
I wouldn't mind going Chris Carson, just because you've shown the ability to a terrific receiver out of the backfield this year as well.
01:32:53
I'm our assuming it's in Yeah, Ezekiel Elliott is the biggest lock for that, for sure.
01:33:00
Mhm.
01:33:03
Um, goodness, Sunday night game.
01:33:06
We could look at ****** Night plate for that as well, obviously a game that I have a little bit of extra stakes on being a Packers fan.
01:33:15
Packers 3.
01:33:16
5 point road underdogs against the New Orleans Saints on 3.
01:33:21
5 points, I guess, is only at that.
01:33:23
MGM is what I see here.
01:33:25
Um, Sugar House.
01:33:27
But Rivers fanduel points that draftkings all three.
01:33:30
We already know Davante Adams is essentially out.
01:33:33
He's doubtful.
01:33:35
Michael Turner.
01:33:36
I would assume the same.
01:33:38
So we're looking at a game of two of the best wide receivers in the NFL.
01:33:42
That out.
01:33:45
We saw last week that the Saints depth at wide receiver did not show up.
01:33:50
Emmanuel Sanders didn't do anything. Treat.
01:33:52
Juan Smith had a nice game, but still not enough questions about Drew Brees is arm strength from people who have not watched Drew Brees in the past half decade.
01:34:02
Apparently, he's throwing pretty much the same.
01:34:05
It's all he's ever done.
01:34:07
Packers have steamrolled opponents first two weeks.
01:34:11
Everyone's saying the Packers air here, the Packer back I would, uh, say Look at the defense's they face.
01:34:18
They played the Lions and they played the plate, arguably the two worst teams in the NFL.
01:34:23
Um, I'm not going to bet on this game because I'm a Packers fan.
01:34:30
I think if I had to lean out, go the Saints.
01:34:35
I don't trust the Packers defense at all.
01:34:38
But after two Breezes comments this offseason, like on the social issues, Za'darius Smith did post a picture of this game on the schedule immediately.
01:34:48
So if you want to prop it about Za'darius Smith sacking Drew Brees or anything like that, I think he gets in the backfield quite a bit in this one.
01:34:58
Even on plays that are not called Blitz, I think he's just gonna I don't think you must have take Drew Brees his head off and he may.
01:35:06
We could see Betsy Jamis Winston come You could see Oh, by the way, Taysom Hill Revenge game chasing Hill cut from the Packers in favor of Brett Hundley.
01:35:17
Thank you, **** McCarthy.
01:35:19
Um, yeah, I'll go, Mike.
01:35:24
I'm too close to the situation, I think, to make, uh, ****ytical decision on this game.
01:35:31
Maybe I'm just hating on the Packers.
01:35:33
But do you have a lien different from one? I don't I've heard and read some very strong opinions for the Saints on the spread in this one.
01:35:46
A 23 on.
01:35:48
That is what it is.
01:35:49
For the most part here out in Vegas, it opened open 6.
01:35:54
5 and just being back down to a field goal.
01:35:59
I mean, the 6.
01:36:01
5 almost feels Mawr in line with how I viewed these two teams coming into the season.
01:36:07
And, like you said, Green Bay's looks so good these first few weeks.
01:36:11
But look at who they played as faras defensive matchups.
01:36:14
Eso be the prognosticator and me coming into the season that I know you're a pack fan.
01:36:23
But was project predicting a regression to the mean just because based on the statistics they so far and away over achieved last year? Uh, I guess I would be inclined Toe, take the saints on the spread there and you said ****** knife fight for this one.
01:36:45
I found one that I kind of like here being more or less, uh, in each category for these two guys.
01:36:53
Alvin Kamara playing he saw how involved he was against the Raiders last week in the passing game.
01:37:07
This is the tougher one of the two for sure.
01:37:10
And it might come down toe, You know, it's Davante Adams.
01:37:14
Definitely out.
01:37:15
I missed the boat on that.
01:37:16
Or is he still up in the air before? Called him doubtful.
01:37:19
I would assume he's okay.
01:37:22
Yeah, So he's probably gonna be out.
01:37:23
So the other one here in this ****** knife fight more or less is Marquez Valdas Scant ling Over or under.
01:37:36
Um, I think it's over.
01:37:38
I will say this is a Lazard game to me.
01:37:41
I think those are made.
01:37:44
Draw Marcia on Lattimore.
01:37:47
Unfortunately, the thing between these two wide receivers, uh, was already has one of the best broken play stats from last season.
01:37:57
Hackers haven't faced a pass rush yet, so this is the first game that Rodgers is going to see any type of pressure.
01:38:04
And once the place start to break down, he's gonna look a lazard, not toe build a scandal ing as he has in the first two weeks.
01:38:12
So, while that was standing, should probably hit the older on that and still do fine as the number two.
01:38:20
Possibly number one option, I guess in this offense for at least from what receiver? Um, I think those are does have the better green if we want.
01:38:31
If there's any ****** night flight stuff on that are just from D efs respect.
01:38:38
Um, there was a mawr less in fantasy points Lazard over under 10.
01:38:43
5, and that was paired with Emmanuel Sanders over under 11.5.
01:38:49
And that, to me, is streak.
01:38:58
Obviously, he was terrible.
01:39:00
Um, but Sanders should draw J one of the best cornerbacks.
01:39:10
Not talked about football.
01:39:11
His only weakness is decisive and obviously Emmanuel Sanders and going to overpower him like players like Kenny Golladay.
01:39:19
We keep talking him up.
01:39:20
Players like him do.
01:39:22
I would still probably go over, though.
01:39:25
I don't know.
01:39:26
I think I think he has a good game.
01:39:27
I think Jared cook it.
01:39:31
Mhm.
01:39:32
What is this contest? I'm telling you, I'm gonna get hooked on this one.
01:39:39
So bad, ****** knife.
01:39:41
I was gonna have me in two weeks.
01:39:43
There's so much going on on the Super Bowl last year, and that's just sort of **** me, I like playing the basketball ones as well, which, by the way, if you joined us after that kind of explained it off the top ******, not fight, operates under DFS platform laws.
01:40:01
So if DFS is legal in your state, sports betting does not have to be legal.
01:40:05
Me living in New York It's that way where I can't bet from a phone app.
01:40:10
But I can use ****** Knife fight because it operates under DFS laws.
01:40:15
So it combines fantasy prop betting.
01:40:18
It's all there.
01:40:19
So ****** knife fight and the sign up link is in the chat.
01:40:23
I don't know why SportsCastr Asta wrist out ******, but oh, really? That's kind of what you put underneath the link sign up for.
01:40:34
It's just going e Really.
01:40:39
Maybe it's my sincere or something.
01:40:41
I was just saying ******, um, I could have my chrome settings were Who knows who knows, But yeah, it's all props over at ****** Knife fight, not prop bets.
01:40:53
They're prop contest wink, wink, and that's how they get it done.
01:40:59
Um, this one is interesting.
01:41:02
You only have to pick two out of the three correct, and it's the older under for yardage.
01:41:07
Two out of three.
01:41:08
Correct.
01:41:09
You only get 1.
01:41:10
5 times your money, but I'm not too bad.
01:41:12
Over under 293 and a half passing yards for breathe over under 260 a half passing yards for Rogers.
01:41:20
And then that 6.
01:41:22
5 reception crop for Alvin tomorrow talked about earlier for catches.
01:41:29
I think I might lean might actually mean under on both quarterbacks because I think they're running the backfield.
01:41:35
They're gonna be heavily involved in this one for both teams and then compare, obviously going over.
01:41:40
That would be how I would look at that.
01:41:42
I think, relax.
01:41:45
Wrong and still cash to 60 fields of little low for Rogers.
01:41:51
Just because I do believe in the Saints run defense.
01:41:56
Um, yeah, I think this is a good Latavius Murray game for the Saints.
01:42:01
I think he runs really well as much as I don't think he's a very good football player.
01:42:06
Think he think he runs over the Packers? E thought that last week.
01:42:16
I think I'm good.
01:42:18
Me, too.
01:42:19
Let's get away from this game.
01:42:20
Monday is an exciting on.
01:42:24
We're not often blessed with amazing matchups in prime time, but we have the Chiefs going to Baltimore this week.
01:42:32
Baltimore's the 3.
01:42:33
5 a point home favorite.
01:42:35
I think it may have started at three, but it's moved across the industry.
01:42:38
I have a 3.
01:42:39
5 everywhere over under 54 or 54 a half is what I see you can.
01:42:48
I'd like to hear your take on this game first.
01:42:55
Uh, just for odds reference.
01:42:57
Vegas. I have an opening line of 2.5.
01:43:00
And as you had 3.
01:43:02
5 across the board of all 10 books Oh, excuse me.
01:43:08
Um, I to be honest, this is tough because I felt like all offseason Lamar Jackson is going to regress.
01:43:19
I just wasn't buying it.
01:43:21
You know what he did last year winning the M v P.
01:43:23
I thought he got the M V P based on fantasy stats mawr than he was the most valuable player on, and that bothers me and we can debate M v P voting in sports leagues in general.
01:43:37
Another time, I guess.
01:43:39
But I just didn't see it going the same way.
01:43:43
But I like the Baltimore did on defense.
01:43:45
So while I was kind of predicting a progression for the offense, I thought that would step up and I, you know, getting Kallias Campbell in there.
01:43:53
Some of the other editions they made through the draft and such that really shored up their one weakness, which was stopping the run.
01:44:01
Eso Clyde Edwards A Layer has got a tough matchup this week, so fantasy owners might be someone disappointed.
01:44:09
That wouldn't shock me at all in his production here in Week three.
01:44:15
Everything.
01:44:16
Everybody I've been listening to, says the Ravens air the better team and the line moving up from 2.
01:44:20
5 is justified.
01:44:21
I just have a hard time saying anybody is better than the Chiefs have Patrick Mahomes.
01:44:27
I think the defense, while probably not the most talented defense in the league, I don't know where exactly I would rank.
01:44:35
Then we're gonna be, you know, top 12 top 10 I think overall, but there are some good defense is out there that a lot of people overlook, Um, but I love Steve Spagnola, and I think if anyone is gonna be able to throw Lamar Jackson up its game it's it's him with bringing blitzes and such eso as long as Kansas City stops the rushing attack, which is a whole other animal.
01:45:02
I would almost wanna bet the Chiefs on the money line to win this game.
01:45:07
But it Z this is almost one where I just wanna have nothing on it, sit back and enjoy a Monday night game.
01:45:16
You know it'll be a long day tomorrow.
01:45:18
It's been a enjoy football game between two great teams.
01:45:26
What do you have on that's fair? I think a lot of people are probably going to take that same approach, just no.
01:45:34
Let's just enjoy the game.
01:45:36
I and one of the people thinking the Ravens are much, much better in terms of individual matchups like if we're talking, are the Ravens better as a team against 30 other NFL teams? I don't know, but I think in this specific match up with the Chiefs, I think the Ravens are much, much better. Team.
01:45:57
We've seen the chief struggled with running games so far this season, seen them struggle with quarterbacks running.
01:46:03
They've given up a touchdown on the ground to a quarterback in both games now and obviously they're giving up rushing and David Johnson and then Josh Kelley last week.
01:46:13
Ravens haven't looked for them, and they didn't need to run against the Browns here.
01:46:25
So that's the biggest thing for the Ravens.
01:46:28
His entire season to me is, Lamar Jackson very clearly has taken strides.
01:46:33
Is a passer, which is scary.
01:46:36
Um, something I I was hesitant.
01:46:39
I thought he was going to regress as well.
01:46:40
And I think the running game has a ground.
01:46:43
I think the passing game has picked up right count, level at receiver, just not being there.
01:46:50
I think they're sold.
01:46:51
Making good use of what they have Jacob Dobbins is look good.
01:46:57
Yeah, I think it's just It's one of those games where I don't think the Chiefs could make enough stop.
01:47:01
It's not that I think the cheese look bad.
01:47:04
I don't think the cheese will play bad.
01:47:06
I think the Ravens will dominate time of possession and she's made pot once and that may be one to me.
01:47:15
So I take thanks.
01:47:18
That's a fair assessment, like I'm not strong either way.
01:47:24
It's just, I think, for made the only way I would want to play it is taking the underdog to win outright because despite all those individual matchups that you just pointed out and the one that I would really reemphasize, uh, is Kansas City struggling against quarterbacks running the football? If there's any game where that will be exploited, its this one.
01:47:48
And who did they face last week? Justin Herbert.
01:47:51
So you know, that's what made Herbert look good.
01:47:55
That's what's that.
01:47:56
Ever been clamoring clamoring for him out in L. A.
01:47:59
Uh, so that one would bother me, but it would just be a game.
01:48:11
And I just have a hard time betting against Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid.
01:48:16
That combination of Yeah, If you're going to do it, this is probably the game to do it.
01:48:23
It almost makes me inclined to do it just to say I did it, but yeah, I can't do it.
01:48:31
Um, looking at ****** Knife fight here looking at one stat for the Ravens last game.
01:48:37
Okay, so I like the touchdown dance one where if you get over 2.
01:48:43
5 touchdown to 1.
01:48:45
5 times your money, 3.
01:48:46
5 is three times.
01:48:48
You do have to select which one so you don't just get the automatic multiplier.
01:48:53
You select which one you're playing for.
01:48:56
We're picking three players to score the touchdowns.
01:48:59
I would pick both tight ends Mark Andrews, Travis Kelsey and then probably go Mark Ingram.
01:49:06
I think you can get three touchdowns out of that.
01:49:08
At least, Is there another player in this game that you would like a touchdown prop more for? I don't know that there would be.
01:49:26
I I mean, maybe my counter arguments to Mark Ingram because I'm really off him.
01:49:34
I think it's kind of bad.
01:49:36
How far off in my am, I think, uh, my counter arguments would be Dobbins, uh, bouldering faltering, if that's what we want to call it at this point, that touchdown down on the goal line away.
01:49:50
I could also see markets Brown finding the end zone in this game, and I almost feel like it would be a situation where Baltimore just runs it all the way down the field.
01:49:58
And then Lamar Jackson, uh, throws the touchdown pass to spite me because I said he would regress is a pastor second here and that spreadsheet I sent you guys, I do have red zones that so I could tell you what.
01:50:17
Well, that's not the right.
01:50:28
So that might be like a dark first one.
01:50:30
You're gonna go there.
01:50:31
I don't know what the percentages are this year.
01:50:33
I don't have that cheap it up off the top of my head.
01:50:37
But that might be like a What would we call that? She's in blanking, contrarian play in that ****** life contest.
01:50:51
I'm gonna pull red zone stats, I think for you guys this week by looking at the Ravens team Red Zone offense.
01:50:59
They have scored in 66% of their red zone trips.
01:51:05
So six touchdowns out of nine drives.
01:51:09
They've ran 10 passing plays in the red zone to 13 rushing plays.
01:51:13
Pretty even.
01:51:15
I would be interested to see how many of those targets went to Mark Andrews.
01:51:19
I would suspect quite a bit.
01:51:22
I think Willie Snead is. You could call.
01:51:24
We're not going to target marquees Brown there, marquees.
01:51:27
Brown's a big play guy, obviously, and I think that's a good call for a touchdown.
01:51:35
Runners, we are in the no commit after guys.
01:51:40
Yeah, I don't I don't mind that crop contest for ****** knife rated all What's the 30? Thanks.
01:51:48
Usually 30 x.
01:51:49
Let's make some money on that right now.
01:51:53
It is Monday Night Football, after all.
01:51:54
Here we go, more or less.
01:51:57
All we gotta do is go six of six.
01:51:59
Henry, this isn't tough.
01:52:00
It all, homeboy.
01:52:02
Okay, so let's start.
01:52:04
You give me your answers here.
01:52:05
Patrick Mahomes, Mawr or less than 295 and a half past.
01:52:15
I'm gonna go over just because I think the Chiefs, they're going to get bottled up in the run game and they're gonna have to score because I think Baltimore will score that.
01:52:24
So playing off that game script now, Lamar Jackson.
01:52:27
His passing yards were set at 2.
01:52:29
49 a half.
01:52:31
Would you go over on your that? Oh, man, I want to say under but to your what you just said marquees Brown gets behind the defense and goes for 75 yard touchdown and you've got a lot of that in one place, so Oh, man, I'm gonna go under.
01:52:55
I'm going to go under.
01:52:57
I will say week one.
01:52:59
When all they did was passed, he passed for 2.
01:53:02
75 last week Lamar Jackson passed for 204 So pretty much split the difference.
01:53:09
So pretty good prop there track was Kelsey.
01:53:14
7.
01:53:15
5 passing out.
01:53:16
You already went over on Patrick Mahomes.
01:53:17
What? You go over on Travis Kelsey then is Well, what was it? 17.5.
01:53:25
70.5.
01:53:26
70 70.5.
01:53:28
Okay, Um, yeah.
01:53:30
You got to go over with house together here.
01:53:33
The phone is going over.
01:53:34
Most of that's going to counseling. Yeah.
01:53:36
You already talked about how quite Edward Toe Layer owners could be disappointed.
01:53:41
His rushing yards were set at 64 a half.
01:53:45
Would you go over or under that boy? Um, I think I'm going to go with the under on that, and that's very tough.
01:54:08
But I think we might see him Mawr involved in the passing game and in situations where the chief need.
01:54:16
I mean, I know it's short yardage situations, right? So we saw Darwin Thompson coming in and one or whatever.
01:54:23
It was late in that game against charges last week, and I Yeah, it's only one or two yards, but here and there that does that up when you got a spot on prop, I think for me like that 64 a half.
01:54:36
So going under in last week, with the Chiefs trailing Clyde Edwards, Layer took only 10 carries for 38 yards.
01:54:46
17 of them came on one run so obviously trailing.
01:54:52
While people love to see the Chiefs run the ball a lot in Week one, people were freaking out and overreacting that it's a game if you, you know, if the odds are correct, you would assume that get away, getting off a yards for a prop.
01:55:08
Here we have Tyreek Hill 4.
01:55:10
5 reception more or less more last one.
01:55:18
We're one prop hit away from making 30 times our money already.
01:55:24
I hope you're feeling someone you said that you are very down on.
01:55:30
So, of course we have a machine from shop here.
01:55:35
Senior, I want to do I want to pull up that spreadsheet real quick on board.
01:55:52
If you have a strong opinion on that, you can offer it while I do, so it won't sway me one way or the other.
01:55:57
But, um, I will say Mark Ingram last week took 41 a half percent of snaps 27 total snaps.
01:56:10
I can look at his rushing total.
01:56:15
Yeah, last week he ran took nine carries for 55 yards against porous Texans run defense.
01:56:24
So he's still or he was very barely over on that total last 53 a half set up.
01:56:35
And you said 41% of the snaps, Um, in a blowout, I'm going under.
01:56:45
And it's not because I necessarily think J.
01:56:47
K.
01:56:48
Dobbins is just gonna dominate touches.
01:56:50
There's a third guy who has been getting a little bit of run, and I don't know if that will change in a closer game, but I think God's Edwards is still going to get at least a few carries.
01:57:01
A swell.
01:57:02
So I'm gonna go with my gut and let Mark Ingram proof, Maybe wrong that I should not be dominant.
01:57:10
And Gus Edwards is a stud.
01:57:12
Week one. When J.
01:57:14
K.
01:57:15
Dobbins stole those goal line carries to score those two touchdowns, it made zero sense to me because he would be the last one I would suspect to get those goal line carries out of the three, so I would assume that's more fluke.
01:57:29
Even though they don't use Gus Edwards like that.
01:57:31
I don't get it.
01:57:32
But anyways, we just We just made 30 times our money, which is kind of cool.
01:57:38
You're welcome, everybody.
01:57:39
And if you sign up with that link in deposit 25 bucks, you get five free.
01:57:44
You get a deposit map.
01:57:46
So you're gonna be sent with 55 bucks in your account after depositing just 25.
01:57:52
Obviously, you're gonna take it. Put it on this bet.
01:57:54
Uh, on this contest, $50 turning into 1500 right there.
01:58:00
You're welcome.
01:58:01
Come back and tip it, Auto.
01:58:03
And if you lose, leave a follow.
01:58:06
But you don't need to come back.
01:58:08
It's a I, um Anything left to say about this Monday night game? I think we've pretty much, you know, I'm just about every angle I can think of.
01:58:23
So if you had one bet against the spread your most confident in this, which one would it be? One better get spread.
01:58:33
I'm most confident in as confident as I am in the Giants.
01:58:41
It's the Titans 100% tightness for me as well.
01:58:47
I've been saying it since last Sunday night before week two was over.
01:58:50
I mean, it's It still scares me because I don't know what's going on.
01:58:55
It seems like obvious.
01:58:57
But whatever locking in, take your free money, spend it on something else. Might as well.
01:59:05
Um, so general takeaways from week three, Blake Bortles Chance will be starting early, at least in my house.
01:59:14
Um, we got a frank or revenge game.
01:59:17
Uh, part three of this.
01:59:23
There's gotta be a are still does open their sports book.
01:59:28
And I would love a flurry sports sports book just for stupid ass props.
01:59:32
I would do frank or super boost that **** 100 yards he hits 100 yard plus 1000.
01:59:40
There are many more.
01:59:41
I don't care.
01:59:42
Well, just hand out money.
01:59:43
We'll take the AL of the week.
01:59:45
Yeah, e honestly, am to e wait to watch that game.
01:59:55
Now, uh, my Twitter is not for e sports.
01:59:59
It's fantasy flurry.
02:00:00
And if you're not watching the jet scheme, just follow me on Twitter because I will let you know what's going on.
02:00:05
At least from a frank or perspective, I will be a live tweet.
02:00:09
Snap, snap.
02:00:10
What great door is doing whether he's on the sideline or not.
02:00:14
I'm excited.
02:00:16
Oh, I'm not gonna be tolerable next week.
02:00:18
If he If the Jets with Frank Gore leads of the victory, you and I could well take every show everyone else gets the week off.
02:00:30
I mean, I'm all in because I'm not saying the Jets were gonna win this game.
02:00:35
I didn't go that far.
02:00:37
If they win this game, man, it's gonna be It's gonna be just like it was last year after Week four when that we shocked the Cowboys at home and I was all in on Adam Case in.
02:00:51
My Jets are wanted for riding into that Monday night game against New England.
02:00:56
That game was like 21 or nothing before I even got home.
02:01:01
Adam Gates is gonna be so ****y, too, after this game after he went, he's gonna be the biggest media and he will find it.
02:01:10
He's earned. He's heard this job.
02:01:13
He's earned everything on any final thoughts on this week.
02:01:17
There we go.
02:01:19
A.
02:01:20
So far as the week goes, great college football action today.
02:01:23
So that was fun to watch.
02:01:24
Oklahoma went down.
02:01:26
That was you went down.
02:01:28
I like to Mississippi stayed in that game, so that was nice to see.
02:01:35
Almost had three top 10 teams upset on the same day.
02:01:39
So it was a wild one and anything else NASCAR in Las Vegas tomorrow night.
02:01:46
So I'm excited for that. One.
02:01:47
Should be an article going up on Fleury Sports or go a little race preview there for you, written by someone on the stream.
02:01:55
So and it's not me that will be up tonight if you're into one o'clock in some pets early.
02:02:05
Definitely.
02:02:06
Take a look at that for the sports.
02:02:07
Or go for betting content from Henry for football and for NASCAR.
02:02:13
A few more betting stuff coming on for me.
02:02:16
Well, busy night ahead for me.
02:02:18
We will see you all next time.
02:02:21
Give the stream of follow.
02:02:22
So Blake Bortles School Frank or yeah, gold spraying.
02:02:28
Gore

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