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00:00:02
All right, all right, All right.
00:00:04
Ladies, Ladies! Ladies and gentlemen, on Patriarch, What is going on? I believe we were up in live on the sportscaster platform.
00:00:12
We just get the app up for me to sign into the APP, and then we can get going. Cool.
00:00:18
And I believe we're updating games, and I we're gonna be all logged in, and, uh, yes, Continue with outside again.
00:00:30
Cool.
00:00:32
What is going on? Everybody? We're up.
00:00:33
We're live.
00:00:34
We're chatting right now, And, uh, still having some problems with his app.
00:00:41
Just loading.
00:00:43
Yeah, I wanna talk about anything. Really? Right now.
00:00:45
I got, like, 20 minutes, and then I'm gonna be going live later on YouTube, right before the NFL games. Locke.
00:00:50
I guess they're in that time.
00:00:51
You have MLB in WNBA.
00:00:52
So just a quick note on what's to come.
00:00:55
My rankings will be out.
00:00:56
Will be out by about four today.
00:00:58
Probably probably right out for So will the podcast for the MLB.
00:01:01
That'll be out of four.
00:01:02
The rankings air for the NFL.
00:01:04
W N b A. Projections are already out.
00:01:06
We'll keep an eye on injury news to see what needs to get updated there, but, yeah, I'm here to answer really? Any questions that you might have.
00:01:12
Then again, if nobody's gonna ask questions or you can't get the questions toe work, whatever the case might be, then we can just chat through some other things.
00:01:19
We can chat through the slates again.
00:01:22
We can chat through in a general sense when I'm looking out for the NFL.
00:01:25
Now that I've done a little bit deeper analysis for today's game open to chatting about anything, um, that you guys want.
00:01:34
So right now, no comments are coming in. Got this up. This is good.
00:01:37
Yeah. We're just gonna be chatting here.
00:01:39
I'm gonna go with it.
00:01:40
Everything looks good.
00:01:41
So just to kind of start in the NFL, why not? Right.
00:01:43
That's what I labeled this thing Then that means flying on a motorcycle out there just to kind of give another sneak peek.
00:01:48
I'm getting everything kind of situated you can see here with these color coding is going on.
00:01:52
These gonna be for the regular season shows on YouTube is your notes.
00:01:56
But these are going to be all the stats and everything is going to fill in during the regular season.
00:02:00
Right now, you just got a bunch of guys who there have never played an actual regular season game with a lot of these rookies that you're seeing here or just never hit their thresholds.
00:02:07
A lot of them are just rookie so excited about that.
00:02:09
That's this is what is going to look like.
00:02:10
But let's talk through.
00:02:12
You want to ask some questions you can.
00:02:14
Let's talk through some of the things that there's a great chance if you're watching me, you might have watched me on YouTube.
00:02:18
If not, go subscribed there, because why not pull that while we can? But if you watch me over there, um, I talked quarterbacks this morning who made a lot of sense.
00:02:36
Josh, Tristan and Griffin on his own tear today, Tier one before I got to get these tears and ranks out later, frontier of his own.
00:02:50
It's going to be Josh Rose and then on a tear of his home.
00:02:52
Just the way that everything's unfolding today.
00:02:55
These air probably going to be two of three or two of four quarterbacks on the slate who get to play 2/4 today.
00:03:02
The other ones are going to be Ah, hodgepodge of a Blake.
00:03:07
Yeah.
00:03:08
Blaine Gabbert who I really don't wanna get too over.
00:03:11
I don't want to get into Ah, Blaine Gabbert over Ryan Griffin today.
00:03:14
Just why not choose the guy who I think, just a better quarterback and Ryan Griffin over Blaine Gabbert.
00:03:19
Blink Averages Never shown really anything to do in his career, whether we news Jacksonville or backup wherever he went.
00:03:24
But also Ryan Griffin is going to be facing all of the third and fourth stringers and playing all of the second half of the game.
00:03:30
And realistically, Blaine Gabbert won't play a full 2/4.
00:03:33
They'll be playing if they have, if they give Jamis Winston the whole first quarter.
00:03:36
Blaine Gabbert is going to be a second quarter.
00:03:38
And then it's gonna be the Ryan Griffin children second half because they still don't have another quarterback that they've signed.
00:03:42
They're still rolling with three quarterbacks on the roster.
00:03:44
They never signed 1/4.
00:03:45
So, yeah, right now it's going to be Ryan Griffin on a tear result.
00:03:49
I mean, I'm not even try to be recency bias from last week.
00:03:51
I'm actually trying to break down into how these quarterback plays and their matchups kind of balance out today.
00:03:57
You can get to any of the quarterback she won, I guess in Carolina.
00:04:02
But you're not getting as much thing time.
00:04:03
You're probably losing about two possessions compared to Ryan Griffin, Friedson, Cam Newton.
00:04:07
He might not play. He shouldn't play.
00:04:09
But even if he does play, all right, I'll play a possession, maybe two.
00:04:12
But then Kyle and Will Grier and tell her, Hi, Nikki, they're all going to be playing.
00:04:16
Ah, quarter plus each.
00:04:17
So you're not really getting any leverage there on a guy that Brian Griffin in terms of the amount of opportunity you have, they have to play Super official.
00:04:23
If they're just gonna get 2 to 3 possessions compared to Ryan Griffin's 4 to 6 possessions, they gotta be really efficient of those possessions to do anything.
00:04:32
They realistically have to score like touchdowns on both to their possessions.
00:04:35
Get to 15 points because it's gonna be really hard for Ryan Griffin.
00:04:38
Not to get too least 100 50 passengers and potentially a touchdown today on That's a very that's a floor of what he can do.
00:04:45
In my opinion, you go through some of these other quarterbacks, right? You go through Buffalo.
00:04:49
Buffalo has Josh Allen, Tyree Jackson and Matt Barkley.
00:04:52
This is why I like Matt Barkley, because I think Josh Allen will play 1/4 today.
00:04:56
I'm not gonna be splitting up the remaining quarters with Matt Barkley, Um, and not only Matt Barkley, but a Tyree Jackson.
00:05:03
And I believe Jackson.
00:05:04
Probably please the fourth, Matt Barkley, the second and third.
00:05:06
So there's the other guy was gonna play right? We look through the rest of the team. Four more teams to go.
00:05:10
The Giants.
00:05:11
The Giants have four quarterbacks and similar to what's gonna be happening in Carolina.
00:05:14
Eli should probably come in and play a little while.
00:05:16
Daniel Jones will probably play them far majority of the second quarter.
00:05:19
I doubt they put him in in the third.
00:05:21
So, yes, I got it.
00:05:22
Daniel Jones hype after week one on completing, like six of six passes or whatever he did and played extremely well.
00:05:27
But Daniel Jones is gonna play 1/4.
00:05:29
Is that what we want to do here? Do we want to be playing Daniel Jones for 1/4 against the Bears? First and second team units, most likely at the beginning of the second quarter.
00:05:37
For a little while, some first team guys will still be out there.
00:05:40
And not only that, do we want to play him knowing he's not gonna have anything more than probably two possessions? Maybe he gets to three.
00:05:47
Okay, even if he gets the three, But they're still gonna be playing Alex standing behind him, who played really well in the first preseason game.
00:05:52
Still gonna play Collotta behind him who played really well in the first preseason game.
00:05:56
Those guys are gonna get a court, reach the Kyle Aleta in the outstanding are gonna play the third and fourth quarter.
00:06:01
Right? So you're getting Eli Manning and Daniel Jones for the first half? Daniel Jones will play the whole second quarter if you like.
00:06:07
Manning is indeed dressing tonight.
00:06:08
Daniel drums gonna play at most like, uh, one possession in the 1st 2 in the second at most.
00:06:13
Like you're lucky if you get that.
00:06:14
And again, it's against the top end type of the bears defense for a good book of that.
00:06:18
So I'm not gonna be getting there, and they don't want to get anywhere else in the Giants.
00:06:21
Were guys gonna play 1/4 and again have to be super efficient compared to Joshua's and compare it to Ryan Griffin? So there's half the teams on this link.
00:06:28
The only on the team on this light that we didn't really push on in terms of quarterbacks out of those guys is the Bears, the Bears.
00:06:34
They're in a nice situation to where it's similar that they're only Ross during three quarterbacks for this game.
00:06:38
One his name.
00:06:39
Mitchell Torbinski.
00:06:40
He'll play at most 1/4 and then what you're doing out there, um, is looking at Chase Daniel in Tyler Bray.
00:06:45
Have a brave fourth quarter guy Chase Daniel is going to be that guy similar to a Matt Barkley who probably plays the whole second.
00:06:51
Probably, please, the whole third look pretty good. Roughly 2/4.
00:06:54
You're gonna get out of him today? Yeah.
00:06:55
Chase Daniel starts to become a name that Yeah, this is a guy that on a big slate starts to become.
00:06:59
Okay, maybe a sleeper type play, but again, how do you How do you get the chase, Daniel against better defenders when Ryan Griffin is probably a comparable quarterback skill level against much worse defenders with a lot better weapons at his disposal.
00:07:12
When you start getting down the depth chart for Tampa Bay, both a tight end in one receiver compared to when you get down the depth chart for the Bears.
00:07:18
So it really comes down to Miami, it really comes down to Tampa.
00:07:22
That's a long winded way to kind of cancel out everybody else.
00:07:25
It's on this later. Quarterback Josh Rosen.
00:07:27
Ryan Griffin.
00:07:28
I'm going to be having lots of shares of each of them, and I probably only gets each of them running back and again.
00:07:33
If you have questions, feel free to drop them in.
00:07:35
Otherwise, I'm just gonna go through positions running back when it comes down to it, just trying to think really quickly and what the tears will be on Patriot, not positive.
00:07:42
There's not a ton of you in here, so I'm not going to worry about kind of giving away those secrets or so right.
00:07:47
But yeah, running backs.
00:07:48
There's there's interesting points on this late because you have a couple of things.
00:07:53
You have very exciting rookies that everybody wants to play and everybody wants to watch play.
00:07:57
I want to watch them play, and it to an extent I want to play them.
00:07:59
David Montgomery.
00:08:00
He had six touches, three catches.
00:08:02
He had 41 of 47 yards on his one touchdown drive.
00:08:05
Nice jump cut at the end.
00:08:06
Ability to catch all three of its targets.
00:08:08
Devon Singletary.
00:08:09
Not 12 touches double the amount of touches as Montgomery, Singletary and nine carries a 27 yards.
00:08:14
He also got three passes.
00:08:15
So for 21 yards, I don't think you got any ends in the double.
00:08:19
So double the touches.
00:08:20
I like Singletary.
00:08:21
Way more lost on McCoy started this game.
00:08:23
Secretary's gonna be the second guy in.
00:08:24
Probably play most of the first.
00:08:26
Maybe the second quarter on David Montgomery is probably going to be the 2nd 1st guy in in that backfield as well.
00:08:33
So you gotta keep some things in mind How much runs in these guys get? Montgomery got six touches.
00:08:38
I think he has the upside to get 10 but I'm not sure how much more he gets there, but he has receiving upside.
00:08:43
Evan Singletary got 12 touches now that Shawn McCoy is going to be coming back, so I imagined ever Singletary is going to be in the department of 10 to 15 touches once again, which is good. He's high upside.
00:08:51
He's probably going to be a play that you want to get to.
00:08:53
But there's guys on this sleep that are going to go under the radar based on how many touches they're getting, especially in the receiving game.
00:08:59
Elisa Holyfield against Buffalo today.
00:09:01
He had nine carries for 26 years in a touch, did nothing to stand out on the ground.
00:09:04
Average Justin three yards a carry.
00:09:06
You got two balls on four targets for 13 yards.
00:09:09
If he catches all four of those targets for 20 yards, don't even give him that much yardage.
00:09:12
Well, that was at six fantasy points eight and 1/2.
00:09:15
The touchdown is what really gets him over the top here.
00:09:17
But I like Elijah Holyfield quite about quite a bit today.
00:09:21
It's just a matter of can you really get yourself to go to him over what you have on this lead and David Montgomery, Devon Singletary Dero bamboo Ali.
00:09:27
Okay, Molly.
00:09:29
He's a guy who had 10 cut touches on the ground last week.
00:09:31
You can catch the ball.
00:09:32
He never showed his ability to catch a ball, but he's very versatile.
00:09:35
Back scored one yard touchdown on the Golan, scored a 10 yard touchdown, didn't have much room, but they kind of showed their hand a little bit.
00:09:40
Where we have Ronald Jones, he's looking good.
00:09:42
I'm not playing that much because we actually value him paying.
00:09:44
Barber's been on this team day and Barbara last year. We could look right now.
00:09:47
I have the stat on here.
00:09:49
Paying Barbara is an absolute monster on a on a touchdown per touch basis is what you want to look for in a running back.
00:09:55
6.
00:09:56
8 2% of the times he scored when he touched the ball is both, and there's that's both in the receiving and the passing game.
00:10:02
You wanna compare that to some other guy's T J Yeldon? 5.66%.
00:10:05
We don't have many guys on the slate, so it's gonna be hard to fully compare.
00:10:08
But if we find Christian McCaffrey, it won't be that hard.
00:10:10
Girl. Let's find this.
00:10:17
McCaffrey's floating like around a 3% rate, so I just absolutely insane to me that that's how efficiently and Barbara was on a per touch basis again, He doesn't catch the balls, which really just all on his carries.
00:10:27
So it's high up there.
00:10:28
It's not as high as some of the other top end guys like your sake ones, but it's high for what you're going to be getting from him.
00:10:32
What's going on, the FX? Marco's How you doing? So, yeah, right now it's going to be interesting.
00:10:38
You can play the Truckee guys, but you have to somehow not play talk everywhere to win a tournament.
00:10:41
Devon Singletary seems like good.
00:10:43
Chalk me.
00:10:44
David Montgomery is talented. He should get more work today.
00:10:46
That usually means it seems like more good shock.
00:10:48
But I also worry that Does he have a lot of touches in him, Right. He had six.
00:10:52
I don't know how much they really extend him because he is going to be a huge part of this offense.
00:10:56
I don't think he's the guy out of him and Singletary that I want to be going towards.
00:11:00
You still have the Shawn McCoy in Buffalo.
00:11:02
Devin Singletary should be the starting running back there within a few weeks of the season.
00:11:05
But it's not like that in Singletary is the lead back.
00:11:07
Who's going to be reserved a little bit.
00:11:08
They want to see what they have in him Still in preseason action. Montgomery.
00:11:12
To an extent, I just worry that Montgomery is more of the focal point of that offense right now.
00:11:15
I believe he is Also, I don't think they're gonna be risking him out there for 12 to 15 touches like I do believe Singletary can get.
00:11:22
And then, you know, there's a lot of other options in terms of the cheap guys.
00:11:25
Carolina. I think there's a ton of options at the end.
00:11:27
You have Reggie bona fide, who had four touches on the ground for 23 yards, not so much as touches on the ground.
00:11:31
It's what he did in the air.
00:11:32
Four catches for 30 yards.
00:11:33
Look, if this guy's gonna catch the ball, I could care less really what he does in the ground.
00:11:37
That's almost a bonus.
00:11:38
At that point on a PPR side like Draftkings, same could be said for some other guys in this team.
00:11:43
You have a carrot white Jr for the for the Bears say white socks for Chicago.
00:11:47
He had six touches on the ground for 35 yards.
00:11:49
He's gonna be a guy who also added a reception for 12 yards.
00:11:52
Seven touches was pretty good for a guy who nobody knows who the hell he is, and everybody's gonna be on the high train of David Montgomery today on the exact same team.
00:11:59
If you want a leverage off of David Montgomery, and I'm not saying you should fade him because you Montgomerie gets 10 touches today, you're damn right.
00:12:05
Deacon scoring two of those touches.
00:12:07
But Carat White Jr is also gonna be in the neighborhood of somewhere, probably around 10 touches.
00:12:11
And he could be the guy who scores the same amount of slightly more than Montgomery for instead of being 25 to 30% owned or 40% online.
00:12:18
It's 23 games sleep.
00:12:19
He might be 5% on, and there you go.
00:12:20
So here's why Junior seems like a guy that I am very much on today in terms of the contrarian direct leverage off of David Montgomery, Myles, Gaskin and Caleb.
00:12:31
But Blas Blas had what six or seven touches in the last game six on the ground and Hunt of Miami guys had six touches on the ground.
00:12:37
I probably get this samba lodge today, but not much upside there.
00:12:41
He's gonna be the starting guy.
00:12:42
They don't want to extend them too much.
00:12:43
Now they already have Kenyon Drake injured.
00:12:45
I can't see them giving the large more than two possessions.
00:12:48
And again, it's going to depend a lot on how the Miami offense moves.
00:12:51
The ball will be on the field if he starts with Ryan Fitzpatrick, which, in my opinion, is much better than having Josh Rosen trying to get first downs for you.
00:12:58
But there's a real chance that in those two possessions, they only run 10 plates, and there's a real chance of those 10 please Onley.
00:13:04
Four or five of them are handoffs, Travelodge, and now you're at the lodge having four or five attempts to potentially do something.
00:13:09
So although Caitlin Bella should have opportunities today, there's also a chance to say no.
00:13:13
We just lost Kenyon Drake, potentially for for the first couple weeks of the season.
00:13:16
They pop their optimistic, they get it back.
00:13:18
But with that in mind, let's not let belies get too much run.
00:13:21
What that's gonna do is going to help guys like Myles Gaskin.
00:13:24
Um, last week called all three of his targets.
00:13:27
He got some work on the ground.
00:13:28
He carried the ball six times, just like everybody else.
00:13:30
But he also caught all three of his targets and scored a touchdown.
00:13:33
So Gaskins, similar to a carat white junior, although Gaskins much more past friendly back is another guy who I'm like.
00:13:39
Okay, there's gonna be some ownership of the lodge.
00:13:41
I'm just gonna pivot to Myles Gaskin who? Honestly, you should probably see he had nine touches last week.
00:13:46
If the lodge is going to be the starter now, maybe they limit him a little more.
00:13:48
I think double digit targets for touches for or Gaskin is in play now.
00:13:53
Double digit opportunities.
00:13:54
Right? You have the pass is counting its targets.
00:13:56
He might not actually touch her capsules.
00:13:58
So Gaskins and play for me, Daryl gumball against Miami, definitely in play as a guy who is going to get there on the Golan might be a little bit too highly.
00:14:07
Oh, no.
00:14:08
Due to the fact that he scored two touchdowns last week, he's not gonna score eight touchdowns in the preseason, right? Or maybe you will.
00:14:12
Look, I'm not trying to take anything away from him.
00:14:14
It's just a matter of similar to lodge.
00:14:16
How much do they really let this kid play? He's had 41 of their 47 yards.
00:14:20
I get it like he's good.
00:14:21
But he had 41 of the 47 yards on one of those drives that ended in a touchdown, and he had to to receptions on that drive.
00:14:27
So if we try to add that all up 12.
00:14:29
1 of his fantasy points on one Dr now, that's fantastic.
00:14:32
Like he could do it.
00:14:33
He could burst a 60 yard touchdown and then he shuts me right up.
00:14:36
But how often is he going to get 95% of or whatever? What is 41? Let's do the math right here in the upper corner of the screen right now, 41 divided by 47 87%.
00:14:47
How often is he gonna get 87% of all the yards on on a drive when he only has two drives to get those yards? It's not going to go off so I think I kind of move away from Montgomery.
00:14:57
Although I like Kim, I move a little bit of weight lodge.
00:15:00
I do like Singletary.
00:15:01
I like asking Daryl on.
00:15:02
Bilal is very neutral play for me.
00:15:04
And then, Yeah, I do like the Carolina guys.
00:15:06
Marc Marcus Murphy.
00:15:07
I'm probably not gonna get to a CZ much interesting, because once Singletary comes out of the game, Murphy sort of that guy that kind of replacing Murphy Attic, um, six rushes for 33 guards.
00:15:15
He's gonna have some opportunities.
00:15:17
There is sort of the third down back.
00:15:19
Look, Frank Or or McCoy, Somebody has to get cut from this team.
00:15:22
Marcus Murphy is a pretty good back.
00:15:24
Singletary's definitely making this team.
00:15:26
You signed Frank Gore for a reason.
00:15:27
I don't think you just gonna cut him.
00:15:29
Probably be sort of this This role model for Singletary.
00:15:31
You don't need the Shawn McCoy.
00:15:32
Just cut him already.
00:15:33
I don't understand why they haven't, but that's what my running back look.
00:15:36
We don't have to get to in depth with it with the wide receiver inside.
00:15:38
I'm not saying that for Patri on there's honestly the wide receiver.
00:15:40
Just so long.
00:15:41
There's so many names on the wider see realist right now that I have interested, it's it's 13 from the YouTube.
00:15:46
I'm adding a couple more in just after further research to about 15 or 16.
00:15:50
But that's in depth more than the YouTube did this morning on quarterback and running back wide receiver.
00:15:54
I'm going to kind of focus on the most when I do these tears.
00:15:57
But yet I think we'll take some stances tonight.
00:15:59
I kind of label that why a little sentence or two on page on, Nothing wrong with David Montgomery.
00:16:04
Of course, I think he's fantastic.
00:16:06
But in terms of just trying to find the most up side of it, the most touches and including ownership, I probably lean a little bit away from him.
00:16:12
So much ownership on David Montgomery and Singletary, where a single Terrian probably have double the amount of opportunities today due to the fact that will be the second or third running back in compared to Montgomery, probably starting today.
00:16:22
So that's from hopefully This helps everybody on sports guy.
00:16:24
Sir, I didn't see any comments come through, unfortunately, so I'm just gonna say we're not gonna talk about baseball.
00:16:28
It's gonna be a hot the baseball podcast up in about an hour, hour and 1/2 the rankings and tears for NFL will be up within the hour.
00:16:37
I just have to finish the wide receivers and then that's it.
00:16:40
So thank you so much.
00:16:41
Appreciate it.
00:16:42
Follow me on Twitter at Salvation Defense content over on patrons.
00:16:44
Lincoln on my Twitter header.
00:16:45
So the NFL DF escorts.
00:16:47
It's also linked on YouTube, where you can get all of my main content from there.
00:16:50
So appreciate it and go so much.
00:16:52
Have a great rest.
00:16:53
Your date.
00:16:54
Loads of sports Tonight full W N b A Fulham Abi's late three game NFL.
00:16:57
You can't freakin beat it piece of being.

NFL 3-GAME SLATE TONIGHT

128 Views
Sal Vetri @Sal

Transcript hideup

00:00:02
All right, all right, All right.
00:00:04
Ladies, Ladies! Ladies and gentlemen, on Patriarch, What is going on? I believe we were up in live on the sportscaster platform.
00:00:12
We just get the app up for me to sign into the APP, and then we can get going. Cool.
00:00:18
And I believe we're updating games, and I we're gonna be all logged in, and, uh, yes, Continue with outside again.
00:00:30
Cool.
00:00:32
What is going on? Everybody? We're up.
00:00:33
We're live.
00:00:34
We're chatting right now, And, uh, still having some problems with his app.
00:00:41
Just loading.
00:00:43
Yeah, I wanna talk about anything. Really? Right now.
00:00:45
I got, like, 20 minutes, and then I'm gonna be going live later on YouTube, right before the NFL games. Locke.
00:00:50
I guess they're in that time.
00:00:51
You have MLB in WNBA.
00:00:52
So just a quick note on what's to come.
00:00:55
My rankings will be out.
00:00:56
Will be out by about four today.
00:00:58
Probably probably right out for So will the podcast for the MLB.
00:01:01
That'll be out of four.
00:01:02
The rankings air for the NFL.
00:01:04
W N b A. Projections are already out.
00:01:06
We'll keep an eye on injury news to see what needs to get updated there, but, yeah, I'm here to answer really? Any questions that you might have.
00:01:12
Then again, if nobody's gonna ask questions or you can't get the questions toe work, whatever the case might be, then we can just chat through some other things.
00:01:19
We can chat through the slates again.
00:01:22
We can chat through in a general sense when I'm looking out for the NFL.
00:01:25
Now that I've done a little bit deeper analysis for today's game open to chatting about anything, um, that you guys want.
00:01:34
So right now, no comments are coming in. Got this up. This is good.
00:01:37
Yeah. We're just gonna be chatting here.
00:01:39
I'm gonna go with it.
00:01:40
Everything looks good.
00:01:41
So just to kind of start in the NFL, why not? Right.
00:01:43
That's what I labeled this thing Then that means flying on a motorcycle out there just to kind of give another sneak peek.
00:01:48
I'm getting everything kind of situated you can see here with these color coding is going on.
00:01:52
These gonna be for the regular season shows on YouTube is your notes.
00:01:56
But these are going to be all the stats and everything is going to fill in during the regular season.
00:02:00
Right now, you just got a bunch of guys who there have never played an actual regular season game with a lot of these rookies that you're seeing here or just never hit their thresholds.
00:02:07
A lot of them are just rookie so excited about that.
00:02:09
That's this is what is going to look like.
00:02:10
But let's talk through.
00:02:12
You want to ask some questions you can.
00:02:14
Let's talk through some of the things that there's a great chance if you're watching me, you might have watched me on YouTube.
00:02:18
If not, go subscribed there, because why not pull that while we can? But if you watch me over there, um, I talked quarterbacks this morning who made a lot of sense.
00:02:36
Josh, Tristan and Griffin on his own tear today, Tier one before I got to get these tears and ranks out later, frontier of his own.
00:02:50
It's going to be Josh Rose and then on a tear of his home.
00:02:52
Just the way that everything's unfolding today.
00:02:55
These air probably going to be two of three or two of four quarterbacks on the slate who get to play 2/4 today.
00:03:02
The other ones are going to be Ah, hodgepodge of a Blake.
00:03:07
Yeah.
00:03:08
Blaine Gabbert who I really don't wanna get too over.
00:03:11
I don't want to get into Ah, Blaine Gabbert over Ryan Griffin today.
00:03:14
Just why not choose the guy who I think, just a better quarterback and Ryan Griffin over Blaine Gabbert.
00:03:19
Blink Averages Never shown really anything to do in his career, whether we news Jacksonville or backup wherever he went.
00:03:24
But also Ryan Griffin is going to be facing all of the third and fourth stringers and playing all of the second half of the game.
00:03:30
And realistically, Blaine Gabbert won't play a full 2/4.
00:03:33
They'll be playing if they have, if they give Jamis Winston the whole first quarter.
00:03:36
Blaine Gabbert is going to be a second quarter.
00:03:38
And then it's gonna be the Ryan Griffin children second half because they still don't have another quarterback that they've signed.
00:03:42
They're still rolling with three quarterbacks on the roster.
00:03:44
They never signed 1/4.
00:03:45
So, yeah, right now it's going to be Ryan Griffin on a tear result.
00:03:49
I mean, I'm not even try to be recency bias from last week.
00:03:51
I'm actually trying to break down into how these quarterback plays and their matchups kind of balance out today.
00:03:57
You can get to any of the quarterback she won, I guess in Carolina.
00:04:02
But you're not getting as much thing time.
00:04:03
You're probably losing about two possessions compared to Ryan Griffin, Friedson, Cam Newton.
00:04:07
He might not play. He shouldn't play.
00:04:09
But even if he does play, all right, I'll play a possession, maybe two.
00:04:12
But then Kyle and Will Grier and tell her, Hi, Nikki, they're all going to be playing.
00:04:16
Ah, quarter plus each.
00:04:17
So you're not really getting any leverage there on a guy that Brian Griffin in terms of the amount of opportunity you have, they have to play Super official.
00:04:23
If they're just gonna get 2 to 3 possessions compared to Ryan Griffin's 4 to 6 possessions, they gotta be really efficient of those possessions to do anything.
00:04:32
They realistically have to score like touchdowns on both to their possessions.
00:04:35
Get to 15 points because it's gonna be really hard for Ryan Griffin.
00:04:38
Not to get too least 100 50 passengers and potentially a touchdown today on That's a very that's a floor of what he can do.
00:04:45
In my opinion, you go through some of these other quarterbacks, right? You go through Buffalo.
00:04:49
Buffalo has Josh Allen, Tyree Jackson and Matt Barkley.
00:04:52
This is why I like Matt Barkley, because I think Josh Allen will play 1/4 today.
00:04:56
I'm not gonna be splitting up the remaining quarters with Matt Barkley, Um, and not only Matt Barkley, but a Tyree Jackson.
00:05:03
And I believe Jackson.
00:05:04
Probably please the fourth, Matt Barkley, the second and third.
00:05:06
So there's the other guy was gonna play right? We look through the rest of the team. Four more teams to go.
00:05:10
The Giants.
00:05:11
The Giants have four quarterbacks and similar to what's gonna be happening in Carolina.
00:05:14
Eli should probably come in and play a little while.
00:05:16
Daniel Jones will probably play them far majority of the second quarter.
00:05:19
I doubt they put him in in the third.
00:05:21
So, yes, I got it.
00:05:22
Daniel Jones hype after week one on completing, like six of six passes or whatever he did and played extremely well.
00:05:27
But Daniel Jones is gonna play 1/4.
00:05:29
Is that what we want to do here? Do we want to be playing Daniel Jones for 1/4 against the Bears? First and second team units, most likely at the beginning of the second quarter.
00:05:37
For a little while, some first team guys will still be out there.
00:05:40
And not only that, do we want to play him knowing he's not gonna have anything more than probably two possessions? Maybe he gets to three.
00:05:47
Okay, even if he gets the three, But they're still gonna be playing Alex standing behind him, who played really well in the first preseason game.
00:05:52
Still gonna play Collotta behind him who played really well in the first preseason game.
00:05:56
Those guys are gonna get a court, reach the Kyle Aleta in the outstanding are gonna play the third and fourth quarter.
00:06:01
Right? So you're getting Eli Manning and Daniel Jones for the first half? Daniel Jones will play the whole second quarter if you like.
00:06:07
Manning is indeed dressing tonight.
00:06:08
Daniel drums gonna play at most like, uh, one possession in the 1st 2 in the second at most.
00:06:13
Like you're lucky if you get that.
00:06:14
And again, it's against the top end type of the bears defense for a good book of that.
00:06:18
So I'm not gonna be getting there, and they don't want to get anywhere else in the Giants.
00:06:21
Were guys gonna play 1/4 and again have to be super efficient compared to Joshua's and compare it to Ryan Griffin? So there's half the teams on this link.
00:06:28
The only on the team on this light that we didn't really push on in terms of quarterbacks out of those guys is the Bears, the Bears.
00:06:34
They're in a nice situation to where it's similar that they're only Ross during three quarterbacks for this game.
00:06:38
One his name.
00:06:39
Mitchell Torbinski.
00:06:40
He'll play at most 1/4 and then what you're doing out there, um, is looking at Chase Daniel in Tyler Bray.
00:06:45
Have a brave fourth quarter guy Chase Daniel is going to be that guy similar to a Matt Barkley who probably plays the whole second.
00:06:51
Probably, please, the whole third look pretty good. Roughly 2/4.
00:06:54
You're gonna get out of him today? Yeah.
00:06:55
Chase Daniel starts to become a name that Yeah, this is a guy that on a big slate starts to become.
00:06:59
Okay, maybe a sleeper type play, but again, how do you How do you get the chase, Daniel against better defenders when Ryan Griffin is probably a comparable quarterback skill level against much worse defenders with a lot better weapons at his disposal.
00:07:12
When you start getting down the depth chart for Tampa Bay, both a tight end in one receiver compared to when you get down the depth chart for the Bears.
00:07:18
So it really comes down to Miami, it really comes down to Tampa.
00:07:22
That's a long winded way to kind of cancel out everybody else.
00:07:25
It's on this later. Quarterback Josh Rosen.
00:07:27
Ryan Griffin.
00:07:28
I'm going to be having lots of shares of each of them, and I probably only gets each of them running back and again.
00:07:33
If you have questions, feel free to drop them in.
00:07:35
Otherwise, I'm just gonna go through positions running back when it comes down to it, just trying to think really quickly and what the tears will be on Patriot, not positive.
00:07:42
There's not a ton of you in here, so I'm not going to worry about kind of giving away those secrets or so right.
00:07:47
But yeah, running backs.
00:07:48
There's there's interesting points on this late because you have a couple of things.
00:07:53
You have very exciting rookies that everybody wants to play and everybody wants to watch play.
00:07:57
I want to watch them play, and it to an extent I want to play them.
00:07:59
David Montgomery.
00:08:00
He had six touches, three catches.
00:08:02
He had 41 of 47 yards on his one touchdown drive.
00:08:05
Nice jump cut at the end.
00:08:06
Ability to catch all three of its targets.
00:08:08
Devon Singletary.
00:08:09
Not 12 touches double the amount of touches as Montgomery, Singletary and nine carries a 27 yards.
00:08:14
He also got three passes.
00:08:15
So for 21 yards, I don't think you got any ends in the double.
00:08:19
So double the touches.
00:08:20
I like Singletary.
00:08:21
Way more lost on McCoy started this game.
00:08:23
Secretary's gonna be the second guy in.
00:08:24
Probably play most of the first.
00:08:26
Maybe the second quarter on David Montgomery is probably going to be the 2nd 1st guy in in that backfield as well.
00:08:33
So you gotta keep some things in mind How much runs in these guys get? Montgomery got six touches.
00:08:38
I think he has the upside to get 10 but I'm not sure how much more he gets there, but he has receiving upside.
00:08:43
Evan Singletary got 12 touches now that Shawn McCoy is going to be coming back, so I imagined ever Singletary is going to be in the department of 10 to 15 touches once again, which is good. He's high upside.
00:08:51
He's probably going to be a play that you want to get to.
00:08:53
But there's guys on this sleep that are going to go under the radar based on how many touches they're getting, especially in the receiving game.
00:08:59
Elisa Holyfield against Buffalo today.
00:09:01
He had nine carries for 26 years in a touch, did nothing to stand out on the ground.
00:09:04
Average Justin three yards a carry.
00:09:06
You got two balls on four targets for 13 yards.
00:09:09
If he catches all four of those targets for 20 yards, don't even give him that much yardage.
00:09:12
Well, that was at six fantasy points eight and 1/2.
00:09:15
The touchdown is what really gets him over the top here.
00:09:17
But I like Elijah Holyfield quite about quite a bit today.
00:09:21
It's just a matter of can you really get yourself to go to him over what you have on this lead and David Montgomery, Devon Singletary Dero bamboo Ali.
00:09:27
Okay, Molly.
00:09:29
He's a guy who had 10 cut touches on the ground last week.
00:09:31
You can catch the ball.
00:09:32
He never showed his ability to catch a ball, but he's very versatile.
00:09:35
Back scored one yard touchdown on the Golan, scored a 10 yard touchdown, didn't have much room, but they kind of showed their hand a little bit.
00:09:40
Where we have Ronald Jones, he's looking good.
00:09:42
I'm not playing that much because we actually value him paying.
00:09:44
Barber's been on this team day and Barbara last year. We could look right now.
00:09:47
I have the stat on here.
00:09:49
Paying Barbara is an absolute monster on a on a touchdown per touch basis is what you want to look for in a running back.
00:09:55
6.
00:09:56
8 2% of the times he scored when he touched the ball is both, and there's that's both in the receiving and the passing game.
00:10:02
You wanna compare that to some other guy's T J Yeldon? 5.66%.
00:10:05
We don't have many guys on the slate, so it's gonna be hard to fully compare.
00:10:08
But if we find Christian McCaffrey, it won't be that hard.
00:10:10
Girl. Let's find this.
00:10:17
McCaffrey's floating like around a 3% rate, so I just absolutely insane to me that that's how efficiently and Barbara was on a per touch basis again, He doesn't catch the balls, which really just all on his carries.
00:10:27
So it's high up there.
00:10:28
It's not as high as some of the other top end guys like your sake ones, but it's high for what you're going to be getting from him.
00:10:32
What's going on, the FX? Marco's How you doing? So, yeah, right now it's going to be interesting.
00:10:38
You can play the Truckee guys, but you have to somehow not play talk everywhere to win a tournament.
00:10:41
Devon Singletary seems like good.
00:10:43
Chalk me.
00:10:44
David Montgomery is talented. He should get more work today.
00:10:46
That usually means it seems like more good shock.
00:10:48
But I also worry that Does he have a lot of touches in him, Right. He had six.
00:10:52
I don't know how much they really extend him because he is going to be a huge part of this offense.
00:10:56
I don't think he's the guy out of him and Singletary that I want to be going towards.
00:11:00
You still have the Shawn McCoy in Buffalo.
00:11:02
Devin Singletary should be the starting running back there within a few weeks of the season.
00:11:05
But it's not like that in Singletary is the lead back.
00:11:07
Who's going to be reserved a little bit.
00:11:08
They want to see what they have in him Still in preseason action. Montgomery.
00:11:12
To an extent, I just worry that Montgomery is more of the focal point of that offense right now.
00:11:15
I believe he is Also, I don't think they're gonna be risking him out there for 12 to 15 touches like I do believe Singletary can get.
00:11:22
And then, you know, there's a lot of other options in terms of the cheap guys.
00:11:25
Carolina. I think there's a ton of options at the end.
00:11:27
You have Reggie bona fide, who had four touches on the ground for 23 yards, not so much as touches on the ground.
00:11:31
It's what he did in the air.
00:11:32
Four catches for 30 yards.
00:11:33
Look, if this guy's gonna catch the ball, I could care less really what he does in the ground.
00:11:37
That's almost a bonus.
00:11:38
At that point on a PPR side like Draftkings, same could be said for some other guys in this team.
00:11:43
You have a carrot white Jr for the for the Bears say white socks for Chicago.
00:11:47
He had six touches on the ground for 35 yards.
00:11:49
He's gonna be a guy who also added a reception for 12 yards.
00:11:52
Seven touches was pretty good for a guy who nobody knows who the hell he is, and everybody's gonna be on the high train of David Montgomery today on the exact same team.
00:11:59
If you want a leverage off of David Montgomery, and I'm not saying you should fade him because you Montgomerie gets 10 touches today, you're damn right.
00:12:05
Deacon scoring two of those touches.
00:12:07
But Carat White Jr is also gonna be in the neighborhood of somewhere, probably around 10 touches.
00:12:11
And he could be the guy who scores the same amount of slightly more than Montgomery for instead of being 25 to 30% owned or 40% online.
00:12:18
It's 23 games sleep.
00:12:19
He might be 5% on, and there you go.
00:12:20
So here's why Junior seems like a guy that I am very much on today in terms of the contrarian direct leverage off of David Montgomery, Myles, Gaskin and Caleb.
00:12:31
But Blas Blas had what six or seven touches in the last game six on the ground and Hunt of Miami guys had six touches on the ground.
00:12:37
I probably get this samba lodge today, but not much upside there.
00:12:41
He's gonna be the starting guy.
00:12:42
They don't want to extend them too much.
00:12:43
Now they already have Kenyon Drake injured.
00:12:45
I can't see them giving the large more than two possessions.
00:12:48
And again, it's going to depend a lot on how the Miami offense moves.
00:12:51
The ball will be on the field if he starts with Ryan Fitzpatrick, which, in my opinion, is much better than having Josh Rosen trying to get first downs for you.
00:12:58
But there's a real chance that in those two possessions, they only run 10 plates, and there's a real chance of those 10 please Onley.
00:13:04
Four or five of them are handoffs, Travelodge, and now you're at the lodge having four or five attempts to potentially do something.
00:13:09
So although Caitlin Bella should have opportunities today, there's also a chance to say no.
00:13:13
We just lost Kenyon Drake, potentially for for the first couple weeks of the season.
00:13:16
They pop their optimistic, they get it back.
00:13:18
But with that in mind, let's not let belies get too much run.
00:13:21
What that's gonna do is going to help guys like Myles Gaskin.
00:13:24
Um, last week called all three of his targets.
00:13:27
He got some work on the ground.
00:13:28
He carried the ball six times, just like everybody else.
00:13:30
But he also caught all three of his targets and scored a touchdown.
00:13:33
So Gaskins, similar to a carat white junior, although Gaskins much more past friendly back is another guy who I'm like.
00:13:39
Okay, there's gonna be some ownership of the lodge.
00:13:41
I'm just gonna pivot to Myles Gaskin who? Honestly, you should probably see he had nine touches last week.
00:13:46
If the lodge is going to be the starter now, maybe they limit him a little more.
00:13:48
I think double digit targets for touches for or Gaskin is in play now.
00:13:53
Double digit opportunities.
00:13:54
Right? You have the pass is counting its targets.
00:13:56
He might not actually touch her capsules.
00:13:58
So Gaskins and play for me, Daryl gumball against Miami, definitely in play as a guy who is going to get there on the Golan might be a little bit too highly.
00:14:07
Oh, no.
00:14:08
Due to the fact that he scored two touchdowns last week, he's not gonna score eight touchdowns in the preseason, right? Or maybe you will.
00:14:12
Look, I'm not trying to take anything away from him.
00:14:14
It's just a matter of similar to lodge.
00:14:16
How much do they really let this kid play? He's had 41 of their 47 yards.
00:14:20
I get it like he's good.
00:14:21
But he had 41 of the 47 yards on one of those drives that ended in a touchdown, and he had to to receptions on that drive.
00:14:27
So if we try to add that all up 12.
00:14:29
1 of his fantasy points on one Dr now, that's fantastic.
00:14:32
Like he could do it.
00:14:33
He could burst a 60 yard touchdown and then he shuts me right up.
00:14:36
But how often is he going to get 95% of or whatever? What is 41? Let's do the math right here in the upper corner of the screen right now, 41 divided by 47 87%.
00:14:47
How often is he gonna get 87% of all the yards on on a drive when he only has two drives to get those yards? It's not going to go off so I think I kind of move away from Montgomery.
00:14:57
Although I like Kim, I move a little bit of weight lodge.
00:15:00
I do like Singletary.
00:15:01
I like asking Daryl on.
00:15:02
Bilal is very neutral play for me.
00:15:04
And then, Yeah, I do like the Carolina guys.
00:15:06
Marc Marcus Murphy.
00:15:07
I'm probably not gonna get to a CZ much interesting, because once Singletary comes out of the game, Murphy sort of that guy that kind of replacing Murphy Attic, um, six rushes for 33 guards.
00:15:15
He's gonna have some opportunities.
00:15:17
There is sort of the third down back.
00:15:19
Look, Frank Or or McCoy, Somebody has to get cut from this team.
00:15:22
Marcus Murphy is a pretty good back.
00:15:24
Singletary's definitely making this team.
00:15:26
You signed Frank Gore for a reason.
00:15:27
I don't think you just gonna cut him.
00:15:29
Probably be sort of this This role model for Singletary.
00:15:31
You don't need the Shawn McCoy.
00:15:32
Just cut him already.
00:15:33
I don't understand why they haven't, but that's what my running back look.
00:15:36
We don't have to get to in depth with it with the wide receiver inside.
00:15:38
I'm not saying that for Patri on there's honestly the wide receiver.
00:15:40
Just so long.
00:15:41
There's so many names on the wider see realist right now that I have interested, it's it's 13 from the YouTube.
00:15:46
I'm adding a couple more in just after further research to about 15 or 16.
00:15:50
But that's in depth more than the YouTube did this morning on quarterback and running back wide receiver.
00:15:54
I'm going to kind of focus on the most when I do these tears.
00:15:57
But yet I think we'll take some stances tonight.
00:15:59
I kind of label that why a little sentence or two on page on, Nothing wrong with David Montgomery.
00:16:04
Of course, I think he's fantastic.
00:16:06
But in terms of just trying to find the most up side of it, the most touches and including ownership, I probably lean a little bit away from him.
00:16:12
So much ownership on David Montgomery and Singletary, where a single Terrian probably have double the amount of opportunities today due to the fact that will be the second or third running back in compared to Montgomery, probably starting today.
00:16:22
So that's from hopefully This helps everybody on sports guy.
00:16:24
Sir, I didn't see any comments come through, unfortunately, so I'm just gonna say we're not gonna talk about baseball.
00:16:28
It's gonna be a hot the baseball podcast up in about an hour, hour and 1/2 the rankings and tears for NFL will be up within the hour.
00:16:37
I just have to finish the wide receivers and then that's it.
00:16:40
So thank you so much.
00:16:41
Appreciate it.
00:16:42
Follow me on Twitter at Salvation Defense content over on patrons.
00:16:44
Lincoln on my Twitter header.
00:16:45
So the NFL DF escorts.
00:16:47
It's also linked on YouTube, where you can get all of my main content from there.
00:16:50
So appreciate it and go so much.
00:16:52
Have a great rest.
00:16:53
Your date.
00:16:54
Loads of sports Tonight full W N b A Fulham Abi's late three game NFL.
00:16:57
You can't freakin beat it piece of being.

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