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00:00:00
dog, which necklines Muchas Brit because morning crushed.
00:00:05
Um, and then Boston College.
00:00:10
Duke went under that flew under.
00:00:12
So we got one down to Tokyo.
00:00:16
Well, getting in on that.
00:00:17
What do you say? Boston College is a dog? Who did you say? Less? Uh, check the dog Boston College do, because the under and Miami is the dog to an outrage.
00:00:26
That's like beefing up the parley.
00:00:27
Really? But now their favorite.
00:00:29
So it's crazy.
00:00:31
I'm, like, so excited for that game.
00:00:33
See how it goes? Well, hopefully I'll have time to watch a little bit of football later on.
00:00:39
Be able watch that came to as we are live here I am.
00:00:43
Jake sent holes as I was joining you on the Flurry Sports SportsCastr page here.
00:00:49
My good friend Hank is joining me.
00:00:51
Hank Time Sports Henry.
00:00:53
How you doing? Doing pretty good, Jake.
00:00:56
It's been a fun day of college football on.
00:00:58
We got what? More sports tonight, Right? NBA conference finals.
00:01:02
The Stanley Cup finals were getting started.
00:01:04
Nascar race here in a few minutes.
00:01:06
I'm, uh, looking Thio makes him hey on that era's well so and I got a It's a good time to be a sportsman.
00:01:13
It's a time to be a sports fan.
00:01:15
I know you want to throw out that last minute NASCAR pick, which you can do in just a second.
00:01:19
But I do want Thio encourage people, even though football's back.
00:01:22
You can keep betting on these other sports.
00:01:24
Keep enjoying these other sports I just posted I my Stanley Cup Finals preview over at Pick City.
00:01:30
Still a little bit of toe.
00:01:32
Actually, I think that games underway now, but, um, it's gonna be probably six or seven games serious.
00:01:37
Still time to look over that preview article.
00:01:39
If you wanna learn a little bit more about these two teams, of course, being the Tampa Bay Lightning and the Dallas Stars, who let me get you a score update right now.
00:01:50
And while I'm working on that Henry, why don't you give us your NASCAR pick real quick? Yeah, for sure.
00:01:57
So tonight, for those of you who aren't really exactly tuned into NASCAR and the season, uh, this is the third and final race of the first round, and then we're gonna have four drivers out of the 16 playoff drivers eliminated.
00:02:12
Um, so you know some guys already through.
00:02:15
If you win, you're automatically into the next round.
00:02:17
But there's 78 Maybe we could even go nine guys who aren't a shirt of moving on here yet.
00:02:23
Of course, four aren't moving on right now.
00:02:25
And they're gonna have to make a proud one of those guys that I'm looking at.
00:02:29
Who is he needs to win tonight.
00:02:31
He's 15 points right now, and it's gonna be tough to make up all of the deficit without a win toe.
00:02:37
Lock him into the next round eyes.
00:02:39
Matt di Benedetto runs very well in Bristol.
00:02:42
Hey, was top five all day when they ran their back in May and over a drafting sports book.
00:02:49
Those are the odds.
00:02:50
I just have pulled up.
00:02:51
Uh, that's Benedetto is plus 4000 to win this race outright.
00:02:56
If you don't wanna go that crazy, you got plus 1000 for a top three plus 1 30 for a top.
00:03:02
And I like a strong running from at the Benedetto.
00:03:05
Not sure of his car situation.
00:03:07
We're in NASCAR silly season Right now.
00:03:08
We're All these guys were trying to figure out who's going where for next year's faras race teams and such.
00:03:13
He's not going to be back with the Wood Brothers his team right now.
00:03:18
But in order to keep this playoff run going, I'm going with the long shot here tonight.
00:03:22
Matt Di Benedetto plus 4000 plus 1 30 Top 10 though that that's got to be my best better tonight.
00:03:28
There you go.
00:03:29
Lock it in.
00:03:30
Make yourself some extra money for NFL this weekend by following Henry's NASCAR picks.
00:03:36
I have been to the races in Bristol before I enjoy The race is a lot, but I'm not tuned into them enough.
00:03:41
Thio bet on them without the help of an expert, so appreciate that pick.
00:03:46
I'm gonna try and locked it in as we are on the air here.
00:03:50
Um, also just want to say, right off the top, we're not going to be diving as deep into all these games as we did last week.
00:03:58
2.
00:03:59
5 hour show last week.
00:04:00
Probably just can't pull that off without Zack.
00:04:02
And also I'm at my buddies in Colorado right now.
00:04:05
Henry and I are both on these wacky sleep schedules.
00:04:09
We just woke up within the last hour so overnight Shift, I e off.
00:04:15
So we're just going to We're gonna touch on every game yet, but we're probably going to skim over a few of them except for some specific games that we picked out already.
00:04:26
Which is why it's important for you, Thio.
00:04:29
Let us know on Twitter or leave a comment in the comment section.
00:04:32
If you want us to talk about a specific total a specific game, whatever you might be needing answers to this weekend, make sure you make it known in the comments section, or otherwise.
00:04:42
We are just going to dive right in here in honor of the C.
00:04:49
I should have this pulled up already in honor of the bar stool Sports app launching.
00:04:53
We're gonna go through the games in order that they have them listed on the bar stool sports happened.
00:04:59
I'm gonna be referencing the lines that are on the bar stool sports app.
00:05:02
So here we go, starting with games.
00:05:05
Um, again, I'm a mountain time now, so everything's thrown off for me.
00:05:09
It says 11 a.m.
00:05:11
Noon games.
00:05:12
Whatever the afternoon games, whatever time that usually starts for you, wherever you happen to live first game on the slate is the New York Giants taking on the Chicago Bears.
00:05:20
Bears are 5.
00:05:21
5 point favorites.
00:05:23
You're getting that even.
00:05:25
Are that typical 1 10 payout? Henry, What do you think of this Giant spares matchup? You know, it's funny.
00:05:34
So you and I are both in one of those big Survivor pools with Zach and the picks lock Thursday, even for these games.
00:05:42
So you know, we're all putting in our picks Thursday afternoon when I was going over and I was trying to find a contrarian play because it's pulled so big that you know, you wanna gain a one up here early on in the season where you can and I picked the Bears as my survivor pool pick.
00:05:58
I think I'm comfortable that Chicago's gonna win this game out, right? But there have been a lot of ****ysts and a lot of sharp betters who, you know, I'm following listening to etcetera, etcetera here in the industry, who are all over the Giants in this game.
00:06:14
And I think a lot of the rationale for that is if Chicago doesn't pull off the Miracle fourth quarter comeback or was it. Detroit choking.
00:06:23
You know, we'll leave that up for debate last week.
00:06:25
But if they don't pull that off and the science, you know, maybe are a little closer to Pittsburgh or wind up covering that game kind of felt closer than it was.
00:06:34
I think on the final scoreboard is this line 5.5.
00:06:37
I think the Bears were gonna win.
00:06:40
It's a stay away from me on the point spread.
00:06:42
I have nothing there.
00:06:43
And as far as the total, I think I would lean under.
00:06:47
But this Giants defense is so bad, and we saw Chicago kind of put together a little bit offensively.
00:06:53
And I think if there was one encouraging sign for New York last week, it was Daniel Jones in that offense, uh, doing all right against the Steelers defense that I I definitely have, uh, power rated higher than the Bears.
00:07:07
Right now, I think Pittsburgh probably have the top defense in the league, maybe Buffalo in that conversation as well.
00:07:12
So this is pretty much a stay away from me.
00:07:14
I like Chicago win at home.
00:07:16
Uh, but maybe you have some or stronger lean here one way or the other on the spread.
00:07:23
No, I don't really.
00:07:24
I think you're spot on.
00:07:25
I think it's a good survivor pick.
00:07:27
It's not really a total that you know I like just because I'm not quite sure what kind of Bears team we're gonna get in Week two.
00:07:32
I'm sure the Giants will take some step forward, but it's been It's been made loud and clear that I am down on the Giants big time this year.
00:07:41
One of my biggest bets was their win total under six.
00:07:45
Um, I just don't I think they're good enough team to maybe show some things and stay in some games.
00:07:49
But when it when it comes down to that final score, um, I don't know, I just don't know what with with the Bears, it's It's less about the Giants and more about the Bears for me this week.
00:08:01
I think the Bears can win, but the Giants can keep it competitive.
00:08:04
I just don't think the Giants are good enough team to really finish off very many even decent teams this year.
00:08:10
I think they got to grow mature and learn how to win a little bit before they can take down even a team at the Bears caliber without everything going right.
00:08:19
Yeah, I agree.
00:08:20
And you know, at first bad is this giant secondary is the Bears have got to study at the wide receiver position.
00:08:25
Right? Allan Robinson Kind of clearing the area with the team this week.
00:08:28
Anthony Miller.
00:08:29
It's all on Mitchell Robiskie.
00:08:30
If he gets it going, Chicago should win this comfortably.
00:08:33
And I think I would rather put my eggs in that basket concerning my survivor pool pick, which again, it's a contrarian pick, but I would I would sooner lean in that way.
00:08:43
Hence my pick than I would the Giants, I think, hanging around in this one.
00:08:47
I'm just not convinced New York's gonna get going against this defense.
00:08:50
But it's 5.
00:08:51
5 across the board here at all.
00:08:52
Like, you know, draftkings, Fanduel, Sugar House.
00:08:54
This was looking quick.
00:08:55
So, uh, there's no advantage here in the market to grab, if you like one side or the other 5.
00:09:02
5 straight across the board, and I just it's to stay away from me.
00:09:08
That total is at 42 by the way, which Henry said he liked the under moving on, leaning under Panthers versus the You did say the under right.
00:09:18
I have that right? Just a small lean.
00:09:21
Yeah, it's not something that I'm gonna be playing, but if I had to go on where the other, I think I think I'll go under in this one.
00:09:28
Sure, Um, Carolina Panthers versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
00:09:34
Of course, the Bucks get a fully healthy Mike Evans in Week two.
00:09:38
They're gonna be without Kenny Golladay.
00:09:39
Most likely, he still is, uh, in the concussion protocol.
00:09:43
Last I've heard Carolina Panthers 8.
00:09:46
5 point dog to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
00:09:49
We know how good Tom Brady is off of a loss.
00:09:52
We know he's incredible in that rebound type week.
00:09:56
He's also playing one of the worst defenses in the NFL.
00:09:59
I think Brady could bounce back, find his form this week.
00:10:02
I like Ronald Jones the second this week as well.
00:10:06
8.
00:10:07
5 points seems pretty fair, but also pretty doable for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
00:10:11
What do you think for fantasy purposes? I'll start with this.
00:10:18
I'm locking in as many Buccaneers as I can because this Carolina defense is bad with that, said Chris Godwin is out.
00:10:24
Scotty Miller becomes an intriguing flex plate, but we're looking at the betting side of it here, and I think coming out a week one for me it's gonna be interesting to see how much of Tampa Bay's offensive struggles last week was the New Orleans Saints defense and how much of it is.
00:10:43
Maybe Tom Brady is starting to slip a little bit, and we saw evidence of this last year.
00:10:48
Um, you know, I'm not gonna go out on a limb and say he's finished.
00:10:51
There's there's another veteran quarterback.
00:10:53
I'm sure we'll get Thio eyes Maurin that realm of thinking for me.
00:10:58
But is there gonna be the same? Are you gonna be that savior that everybody thought that they were kidding? Um, if this game again, it's too close to call for me.
00:11:08
If I'm leaning one way or another on the spread, it's gonna be I think the Panthers can cover this line.
00:11:13
Matt Rule brings a lot of excitement to that team.
00:11:15
We saw the offensive a great day last week.
00:11:18
You know what you're getting with the defense? The defense is not gonna be good uh, but I think they could score on this Tampa Bay defense going the other way.
00:11:27
You know, we saw Teddy Bridgewater have a great Carolina debut.
00:11:29
You can't discount McCaffrey.
00:11:31
You can't get discount D. J.
00:11:33
Moore.
00:11:34
Robby Anderson had a nice game last week.
00:11:35
He carry that over.
00:11:36
Uh, so for me, it's panthers or past here.
00:11:40
I think on the point spread.
00:11:44
And you know I'm not huge.
00:11:46
I'm not huge on the ape on the 85 for the Buccaneers.
00:11:49
Um, if I was gonna lean one way, I think I would just lean bucks because I think they're better team.
00:11:54
And I think they're gonna have a bounce back week.
00:11:56
Be able to score points against Carolina on their defense is pretty good, you know? So I think, um, if they're playing at their best, they're gonna be able to stop Carolina to the point where they win this game by maybe not a lot, but at least 10 points is is kind of what I'm thinking.
00:12:11
Especially make.
00:12:12
Maybe if you get some late late field goals or something like that.
00:12:16
The total on this game is 47.5.
00:12:20
Don't really want to touch the total at all on this game.
00:12:23
Um, so yeah, that's I mean, that's pretty much all I got.
00:12:26
I think the buccaneers win the game as's faras covering the 8.5.
00:12:32
I'm gonna leave that one up to you find people out there.
00:12:36
Yeah, I think that's a good call.
00:12:38
There is a little market volatility with this one.
00:12:40
Um, it looks like let me pull these back up.
00:12:43
Uh, in Jersey points.
00:12:47
That is it an even eight right now in this game and eso is that MGM And then Sugar House has actually had uneven nine and a couple of 8.
00:12:55
5 that fanduel and draftkings, they're splitting the middle.
00:12:57
So if you do have one side or the other that you really like in this game True.
00:13:02
Thio shop around where? As we saw in the last game, 5.
00:13:05
5 across the board. This one.
00:13:07
A little bit of volatility there.
00:13:09
Yeah, I always look for your best value bang for your buck.
00:13:12
Um, whenever you can Moving on the Atlanta Falcons vs the Dallas Cowboys.
00:13:19
I know you have some strong leans in this game you wanted to talk about this one a bit.
00:13:22
You're on the Falcons plus 4.5.
00:13:25
That's actually they've actually got it at four points here on the bar stool sports up. So a bit of discrepancy.
00:13:32
Probably across the across the board as well.
00:13:37
But either way, you're on the Falcons plus 4.5.
00:13:40
You're also on the over 53 a half.
00:13:44
Break down this game for me a little bit.
00:13:47
Yeah.
00:13:48
More market volatility here with falcons cowboys.
00:13:51
Uh, 4.
00:13:52
5 is what we've seen throughout the week as this line has settled, Which mind you? It opened closer to 6.
00:13:58
5 7 at most shops.
00:14:00
I know out in Vegas that I'm assuming here on the East Coast is well on.
00:14:05
Now we're seeing 3.5 to pop up in the market.
00:14:07
We got 3.
00:14:08
5, we got four sandals, 3.
00:14:09
5 draftkings of four.
00:14:10
Right now, this continues to go down, and for me, it's a Falcons play all the way down to uneven field.
00:14:16
Goal. It, uh, plus three.
00:14:18
Uh, I think these two teams, or closer, uh, than public perception will lead you to believe.
00:14:24
We know the Cowboys are America's darling team.
00:14:26
Um, big off season for them, getting CD and paying.
00:14:32
Ah, a lot of these guys.
00:14:33
But the defense for me is the concern here.
00:14:35
And that plays right into what the Falcons wanna do.
00:14:37
Dallas lost latent Vander Ash last week to a broken collarbone.
00:14:40
He's gonna be out until the midway point of the season.
00:14:43
That's a big blow to a linebacking corps.
00:14:45
We know the secondary is suspect at best.
00:14:48
And, uh, I mean, unless Aldon Smith is able to just be a one man wrecking crew out there, I guess on that right and throw off in Atlanta offense, which one guy cannot slow down on his own? The Falcons are gonna put up points.
00:15:01
With that being said, Dallas is gonna put up points as well.
00:15:04
It's kind of the same thing on the Atlanta side defensively, unless Tack McKinley just wreaks havoc on this Dallas offensive line, which again, I want to throw it out there.
00:15:14
I don't think this line is a good as it has been in recent years.
00:15:18
Eso that level of success, if you will, that we're used to with the Cowboys offensive line.
00:15:24
It's not gonna be there this year, and I think betters in fantasy players like we're gonna have to be ready for that.
00:15:31
But I don't see attack McKinley.
00:15:32
One man slowing down this talented Cowboys often says, Well, I know, Jake, you're a huge Cowboys families here.
00:15:39
Eso We're gonna have a lot of points in this game.
00:15:42
I love the over.
00:15:43
It's been bet up slightly.
00:15:45
I believe it opened 52 ish around the market.
00:15:48
Uh, I've been seeing 53 a half here the last few days.
00:15:52
We interested to see what you have there, pulled up, but that's still in overplay for me.
00:15:56
I think this game flies over. It's gonna be a shootout.
00:15:58
Ondas Faras the point spread falcons all the way down to plus three for me.
00:16:03
I think this game is close.
00:16:05
I think Atlanta has a real shot to win this outright.
00:16:07
Uh, the opening line was just way too high.
00:16:09
We've seen the sharp money come flooding in on that on.
00:16:12
I'm still playing it down to a field goal s.
00:16:14
So if you could get 4.
00:16:15
5 of this point as we're seeing 3.
00:16:16
5 pop up is I alluded to earlier, Um, that's That's a solid number and looking at it from the other side, I do like the Cowboys this year.
00:16:26
I don't like this line as much as I like the week online against the Rams.
00:16:30
Um, if you could get it at minus three, I might be more inclined than four.
00:16:34
But the Falcons are a tough team and a frustrating team to bet on a lot of times, but they're also frustrating team to bet against eso.
00:16:42
I don't love the Dallas Cowboys minus for this week.
00:16:45
I'd probably be more inclined to take the over with you as well, even at 53 a half, which is what I got at Barcelona right now.
00:16:54
I think there's gonna be a close game as well, and I think both teams are gonna be able to score points but probably not outscore each other too heavily.
00:17:03
We saw the Cowboys, of course, only put up 17 points and weak one could have could have easily had 20.
00:17:09
Mike McCarthy decides to go for it.
00:17:11
I'm sad.
00:17:12
We never got to talk about that game in length this week was Zack.
00:17:15
We could probably reach, you know, address it at some point down the line, but we'll be addressing another Dalit.
00:17:22
We'll be addressing another loss for Uncle Mike here next week with Zach when their own too.
00:17:26
And we'll see how you're doing then. Sure.
00:17:30
I, uh Yeah.
00:17:31
I mean, I need the Cowboys to win this week.
00:17:34
The Cowboys need to win this week, so I think it'll be an interesting I like the over if if you're going to take anything in this game as well.
00:17:43
Um, but falcons, you know, if it's if you got it up 4 4.
00:17:47
5, you're going falcons for me if you got it at three or less, which I don't think it's less anywhere.
00:17:52
But if you get it at three, I start to like the Cowboys a little bit.
00:17:58
That's a game to I'm gonna be interested to see.
00:18:00
Um, what happens with this? Come tomorrow morning? You know, Sunday mornings right up before kick off.
00:18:06
That's when the public money is going to come in.
00:18:08
You know, the public is gonna be betting the favorite here, which Oh, by the way, is Dallas, the public team or one of the public teams? I wonder if this line creep back three other direction a little bit.
00:18:17
You know, I know there are, um there's so much money here in Atlanta at this point from the sharp point of view, I think it will take a lot to do that.
00:18:26
But, you know, it's just one of those things where for nerds like me who just want to track all these line movements, That's one of those things I'll be looking at tomorrow with a A keen eye.
00:18:38
Yeah, those are those are fun to watch And they're always, you know, it makes you feel good when you wait, wait, wait.
00:18:44
And then you end up getting the line at, you know, a better, Um, whatever you're trying to look on, it's a better price for you, A better outcome for you.
00:18:52
That always feels good as three sharp.
00:18:53
Better as well before we move on and talk about the Denver Broncos at the Pittsburgh Steelers.
00:18:59
Just want to say a quick thank you to black, orange and blonde for that nice tip as well as David 96.
00:19:05
We appreciate it of course, everybody have flurry sports.
00:19:09
We do this all because we enjoy it.
00:19:10
But we do it all for you guys, the listeners and viewers as well.
00:19:14
Just trying to make everybody some money and help everybody enjoy their Sundays.
00:19:18
Even more so, Thank you guys for the tip.
00:19:21
Make sure if you want to talk about any specific games or totals, lines, anything like that, make sure you throw them up in the comments section here.
00:19:29
Well, we go a lot or, well, we're live.
00:19:31
And if you're watching the replay, feel free to tweet us tonight or even early on tomorrow before the full slate of games get kicked off as well.
00:19:40
Denver Broncos take on the Pittsburgh Steelers and Steelers.
00:19:44
Look pretty good, Ben.
00:19:45
Big Ben.
00:19:46
Look pretty good, Broncos.
00:19:48
Kind of just in a really boring, a whole lot of nothing.
00:19:51
Game against the Titans.
00:19:53
I don't think we really found out who the Broncos were, um, in their truest sense in Week one, but I think we saw a lot of good things out of the Steelers.
00:20:02
Ah, lot of promise Out of the Steelers.
00:20:04
They are a even touchdown favorite as minus seven favorite with a total of 40 points.
00:20:10
Five again, not a line that I'm all over this week.
00:20:14
There's only like three or four games that I'm going live bullets on this week cause I don't love the board as much as I did Week one.
00:20:20
I do like the Steelers here, though, to take care of business against the Broncos on.
00:20:26
Of course, you know the money line, but also the spread.
00:20:28
Where do you lie on this game? Spread wise.
00:20:34
I think I'm not.
00:20:36
I don't really have a strong opinion either way.
00:20:38
If I had to go on one side, it would be the Steelers.
00:20:41
This Denver team is just They've given us no reason, I guess I would say to not be fading them at this point.
00:20:50
With Von Miller going out rough performance last week, that if Stephen Gostkowski can make kicks, that's easily a double digit Titans win.
00:20:59
So I'm not a fan of Denver.
00:21:02
I got the wind total under.
00:21:03
I'm looking to cash that easily.
00:21:05
I found an eight pretty late in the game on the market, so that Z I guess, my view on the Broncos.
00:21:10
I think this defense, uh, for the most part.
00:21:13
Last week I felt like they did a nice job bottling up Derrick Henry.
00:21:16
Hey, wound up with over 100 yards rushing.
00:21:18
A lot of that came in the fourth quarter.
00:21:20
So of course, fatigue could play a factor.
00:21:22
Thought the Broncos did a decent job bottling him up.
00:21:25
But the Steelers offense is able to attack you in more ways than just the ground game.
00:21:29
In fact, the run game might be the most suspect thing right now with James Connor being banged up.
00:21:35
And you know how many touches he gonna get? How Maney looks for Benny Snell in the run game.
00:21:41
Passing lies.
00:21:42
Ben Roethlisberger look great Coming back off the injury last week, I thought against the Giants.
00:21:45
Granted, it is the giant secondary.
00:21:47
I think even the Denver secondary is gonna be a much more formidable tat formidable challenger, then the New York Giants.
00:21:57
With that, said Juju, Smith, Schuster, Deontay Johnson, even James Washington.
00:22:01
There's three quality weapons there for Ben Roethlisberger to pick this team apart, so it's gonna be Steelers on the spread or pass for me, not a huge, not a huge fan of betting this one either way, but I would lay the touchdown with Pittsburgh.
00:22:16
From a total perspective, I like the under here because I don't know how much scoring, if any, Denver is going to do against this.
00:22:24
Pittsburgh defense already said that.
00:22:27
I think the Steelers might be the best defense here in the NFL this year, and you're getting a total of 40.5.
00:22:34
He has a low total, but Denver could hardly muster two touchdowns against Tennessee last week.
00:22:39
It was not a pretty performance.
00:22:43
So unless Pittsburgh really just opens up here on the scoreboard, which I'm not sure, I see that happening going the other way either or Denver surprises me.
00:22:51
I think under on the total would be the best way I would attack this game, and I've got really nothing to add about.
00:22:58
This game would probably lean every direction that you did already.
00:23:01
For all the reasons you listed.
00:23:03
I just think the Steelers air one of those teams that we've seen it out of the Steelers in previous years, where they start off pretty good, but then throughout the season they get better and better and better, and by playoff time you know they might just sneak in.
00:23:16
But there, that team, nobody wants to play because there they find a way to win.
00:23:19
They got a great defense.
00:23:20
Their offense will probably clicking again.
00:23:23
Yeah, like you said, Denver needs to prove something needs to show that they can, that they're on par with the Steelers before I think about, you know, betting against the Steelers.
00:23:32
That's that's more so how I look at this bet you're either betting, you know, honor against the Steelers.
00:23:37
I'm not really betting with too much faith in the Broncos, and I believe the Steelers defense is going to take care of business.
00:23:43
So I would lean.
00:23:44
Pittsburgh Steelers minus seven coaching matchup.
00:23:48
Mike Tomlin. Vic Fangio.
00:23:50
That's got to be one of the biggest mismatches of the year.
00:23:53
Does Vic Fangio have six first half time outs because he didn't use his left? E Could be.
00:24:00
I think it be five, right? He was left over with two.
00:24:02
Unless maybe they give you can't remember.
00:24:04
Maybe e No, he didn't use them.
00:24:06
And it blew my mind.
00:24:07
Yeah, I was gonna say maybe if you keep two of them, they give you a bonus one, and then you get sick next week or something like that.
00:24:13
Eso that's that should be a fun game as well.
00:24:17
Moving on to the first game, which I feel pretty good about.
00:24:20
I think we are on opposite sides of this one.
00:24:24
No, wait, no, You didn't give me a pick on this game.
00:24:27
Um, Is the Bills versus the Dolphins Bills 5.
00:24:30
5 point favorites.
00:24:32
Total is at 42.
00:24:34
I like the bills here.
00:24:37
I mean, I liked the Bills a lot last week.
00:24:39
We sat here and talked about the Bills Jets game for probably 20 minutes last week on.
00:24:44
Guy won't bring it up.
00:24:45
I won't say too much, but the Bills have the ability to score points.
00:24:50
They've got a really talented offense.
00:24:52
They've got ah, young, talented quarterback who made to bad fumbles in week one.
00:24:58
I don't think he repeats those mistakes in Week two, and you have in Miami defense who probably over achieved a little bit, played pretty well all in all against the New England Patriots, who, you know, granted, we're figuring things out with Cam Newton, but still looks pretty decent.
00:25:12
Held them to 22 points or whatever it was 25 points.
00:25:15
Um, I think the Dolphins defense takes a step back this week.
00:25:19
I think they give up even more.
00:25:23
Don't think that you're you know you're gonna be able to do much against that Bills defense, which is a top three defense in the league.
00:25:29
In basically every category.
00:25:31
Ryan Fitzpatrick in there doesn't look like the same old Ryan Fitzpatrick.
00:25:36
Hey might finally be at the end of his magical run.
00:25:39
I think 5.
00:25:40
5 points is pretty easy.
00:25:42
Would would be surprised if Miami is able to keep this game within a touchdown.
00:25:46
So I like the Bills minus 5.5.
00:25:49
It is one of my live bullets this week.
00:25:54
I've got nothing on this game, and it's not because I'm a Jets fan and hate both of these teams as a F C East rivals.
00:26:00
Or that I'm salty that the Bills beat us last week.
00:26:02
Or that the Dolphins couldn't be New England, who I probably hate a little more than Miami.
00:26:06
Right now, I can't find a lien.
00:26:09
Miami, throughout history regularly just gives these a F C East divisional opponents fits down when they have to go play in Florida and the Bills air. No exception.
00:26:22
Miami is always playing these teams tough at home.
00:26:24
We see the disparity.
00:26:27
Even Tom Brady in New England would go down there and lose when they were supposed to win eso.
00:26:32
That's a factor for me.
00:26:34
Are you talked about the Dolphins defense a little bit? Well, I don't think it's fully fixed from where it's been.
00:26:41
I think you have to look at and say it's better than last year, at least right with all the money that they put in to the secondary and even the front as well, the linebackers.
00:26:51
I think the Miami defense is one of the most improved units.
00:26:55
Um, in the NFL this year, I would go that far.
00:26:59
I'm not saying Miami as a team is gonna win so many games that they're one of the most improved.
00:27:04
I think that defense So you gotta look at three investments that they made and say it's coming in right direction.
00:27:12
With that said, Buffalo has got one of the top defenses in the NFL.
00:27:16
So if Ryan Fitzpatrick and this Dolphins offense couldn't really get anything going against a Patriots defense that, while still great, is has lost of guys in the off season and also lost a few key players to covert opt out, namely Dont'a Hightower.
00:27:32
So if Miami couldn't really muster anything there, what's to say they're going to do so much better against the Bills that they're gonna be right in this game and cover the spread, let alone went out right? If I had to do anything on this game, it might be a flyer.
00:27:49
You know, small, that Flyer Moneyline ticket on the Dolphins at plus 1 95 plus 200 in that range.
00:27:57
You know, that's just if you really wanna have action on it, which I'm not encouraging anyone to just have action toe have action.
00:28:03
But it's too tough to call for me the total.
00:28:08
While you would think it would go under these games in Miami, you never know.
00:28:11
So it's a pass for me across the board, I think, but I respect your bills pick.
00:28:16
If they win this game against Miami, I think it's safe to say that coming into the year I have the Bills offense, I think, especially because you know, I have full respect for this defense.
00:28:26
But offensively, if it's all clicking with Josh on and digs in some of those new pieces at Moss that running back splitting time here with Devin Singletary.
00:28:36
Um, if they look good again this week, I think I will have to boost my power rating there for the Buffalo offense.
00:28:41
For sure.
00:28:44
Yeah, I just I just really like Buffalo, and I think 5.
00:28:47
5 is a pretty favorable line, so I'm gonna roll with them.
00:28:50
Um, I also I'm looking at this right now.
00:28:52
You could get buffalo over 23 a half for minus 108 I think they scored 30 points this week.
00:28:58
So I love that bat as well.
00:29:00
I'm probably gonna add that to my live bullets.
00:29:02
Buffalo team total, uh, 20/23 0.5.
00:29:10
You could also take over 11.
00:29:11
5 in the first half.
00:29:14
Um, don't like that One is much, but I think it's definitely doable again.
00:29:19
I think I think the bills, they're gonna come out, be able to produce on offense, gonna be able to score, and I just think even more than that, they're gonna be able to prevent Miami from scoring.
00:29:28
So 5.
00:29:29
5 point spread pretty safe to me.
00:29:31
I also like the over 23 a half team total for the bills.
00:29:37
Next game, we're gonna look at here.
00:29:42
You did give me a pick on it.
00:29:44
Is Minnesota vs Indianapolis 49.
00:29:50
Um, it isn't even 49 a bar stool as well.
00:29:53
I've seen the Vikings as much as a 3.
00:29:55
5 point dog.
00:29:56
I kind of like that 3.
00:29:57
5 points out of the Vikings Moneyline plus 1 45.
00:30:02
It's not super intriguing to me.
00:30:04
If we were up in the maybe 1 75 1 80 range, I might, you know, throw a little bit more at it.
00:30:09
But I'm just not confident enough.
00:30:11
Thio throw much of that money line.
00:30:13
Maybe a small bet, but I duly in Vikings.
00:30:16
Um, if I'm gonna have to pick, I think I think that they're not quite as bad as Aaron Rodgers made them out to be on defense.
00:30:24
I think they have potential on offense.
00:30:26
I don't think they're great, but I think they have potential.
00:30:29
The colts obviously found something in him.
00:30:32
Heinz and Jonathan Taylor each had a really big day out of the Colts backfield in Week one.
00:30:38
I think Philip Rivers is gonna be able to continue to connect on passes and find his guys out wide.
00:30:44
I think it'll be a close game, but I just like the 3 3.
00:30:46
5 points from our that the Vikings air getting Why are you so big on the over in this game? Well, it's not my favorite overplay.
00:30:57
The week you're looking at totals.
00:30:59
I would much rather take the Atlanta Cowboys game over.
00:31:02
But looking at last week, these Vikings defense is not.
00:31:06
The Vikings defense were used.
00:31:07
Thio and I think I agree with you, but probably not as bad as Aaron Rodgers made them out to be.
00:31:12
That's a horrible matchup for coming off the co vid ruined offseason with alterations in training camp and no pre season on.
00:31:21
Then you have to go against that guy in Week one that Z not good on.
00:31:26
We saw that for a minute, so it wasn't good.
00:31:28
Uh, with that said, Indianapolis is coming off lost in a game that they should have one and I fully think that Philip Rivers is going Thio come out in this game a swinging and you know the Colts should be running the football more than they did last week.
00:31:46
I think it was only like 22 carries, and yet they were averaging for maybe even a little bit mawr yards per carry.
00:31:54
That's something that here this week, I believe Frank Reich has talked about that.
00:31:58
They need to do even losing Marlon Mack to the injury.
00:32:02
But they're fully confident in Jonathan Taylor and Mahin Heinz.
00:32:06
With that said, I think looking at this matchup Yeah, the Vikings defensive front is not the same as it's been in years past, but writes a good coach.
00:32:17
ATTN Least we assume he's a good coach, especially offensively and giving Rivers a chance.
00:32:22
Thio cut it loose here against this depleted and young secondary.
00:32:26
Uh, that's something that I think Indianapolis is really gonna look to dio t y Hilton Paris.
00:32:33
Campbell showed up last week.
00:32:34
Michael Pittman, the rookie as well.
00:32:36
Um, even the tight ends there, Jack Doyle.
00:32:40
So I like the Colts here to score in this game.
00:32:43
I think Minnesota can also scores well I think that Vikings offense, uh, being you know, maybe a little bit pushed around is being worse than it actually is.
00:32:53
The running back Thio is phenomenal with Dalvin Cook and Alexander Madison.
00:32:56
I think Madison, uh, if you're in a fantasy league and somehow he's not rostered or you can trade for him for for cheap, do it now you know we know Dalvin Cook's injury history, but also Madison was getting some run last week on, but I think that continues over the course of the season, where he's going to get regular game touches and they may increase even a za time goes on on depending on the Vikings situation and standing is what they want to do with cookers.
00:33:24
Faras keeping him fresh and whatnot.
00:33:27
But Adam feeling as well in the offense there.
00:33:30
Not really a solid number two receiver but Justin Jefferson? I don't think he had a pretty decent game last week in his NFL debut, so I think Minnesota could put up points as well and that's essentially I see points coming from both sides here.
00:33:44
I think both sides could easily top 2024 Onda winning side I was gonna have a little bit more.
00:33:52
I don't have a strong plan on the spread.
00:33:53
So if I'm attacking this game, uh, it is on the total these air to desperate teams here, though I think we can definitely agree on that.
00:34:03
You start on one, and now you're looking at the prospects of going on to the Colts, especially at home.
00:34:08
But also, Minnesota can't go into here either.
00:34:10
So this is a big game for both teams.
00:34:14
Yeah, obviously, as a Packers fan.
00:34:17
And, um, you know, somebody who's grown up watching the NFC North watching the Vikings lose, I will take a Vikings lost any time.
00:34:24
I would rather see them owing to than see the Colts owing to, um, I just I hope the Colts don't have another super disip pointing season.
00:34:33
I would like to see Philip River respond some success and make that a fun team toe watch.
00:34:38
Uh, it's a big week here.
00:34:40
I mean, oh, and to Oh, and two is the hole that you can climb out of, but it's not where you wanna be.
00:34:45
Uh, both these teams, like you said gonna be playing with desperation, and I think desperation often equals points.
00:34:52
So this should be a fun one toe watch.
00:34:55
Especially if you're on the over 49.
00:34:57
The next one.
00:34:59
You got something else on it.
00:35:01
I was just gonna say real quick.
00:35:02
I just looked depending on your lien that MGM is at three and a hook.
00:35:07
All the other books here a t least on the East Coast Draftkings, fanduel, sugar house.
00:35:12
They're all uneven. Three.
00:35:14
So if you want that extra half a point with the Vikings, that would be a place to look.
00:35:21
There you go again. Always.
00:35:23
Always take your best value.
00:35:24
I mean, why not? Um, Detroit Lions take on the Green Bay Packers.
00:35:31
I know you're on the Lions.
00:35:32
Plus 6.5 on this one.
00:35:34
I have got the Packers in so many different ways.
00:35:37
I've got the over in first half.
00:35:39
I've got there over Team Total.
00:35:41
I've got the over in this game.
00:35:43
I've got the minus six minus 6.
00:35:44
5 and minus seven.
00:35:46
I have an absurd amount of money on this Packers game.
00:35:49
Ah, here in week two.
00:35:52
I just don't see the packers coming out flat by any means after section explosion.
00:35:57
Yeah, you know, they might not come out and put up almost a 50 burger again, But I don't think you're gonna need Thio against the Lions offense, which is once again relying on Marvin Jones.
00:36:07
He's proven that he's no good as a top target.
00:36:10
No, Kenny Golladay Quintas Cephus.
00:36:13
Sure, you're gonna have to respect him, But I don't think he's going thio Tear apart your team.
00:36:17
Um, the obviously Dalvin cook is better than both DeAndre Swift and Adrian Peterson.
00:36:24
And the Packers were able to keep him in check for the most part last week.
00:36:28
Well, playing the Vikings, so I don't think the running backs, they're gonna have to be too big of a concern for the Packers defense as well.
00:36:36
Um, not to mention the Lions have three cornerbacks out, and we saw what the we saw Aaron Rodgers were able to do was able to do against the cornerback group of the Vikings.
00:36:47
I think the same exact thing happens to the Lions and I think that this one gets sort of out of hand.
00:36:52
I could see this one being won by an astronomical amount.
00:36:56
I will take 67 10 whatever you want to give me.
00:37:00
I'm confident in the Packers this week.
00:37:02
Um, I guess it's too late to talk me out of the Packers because I've got all those bets locked in.
00:37:09
But why are you on the lines this week? All right, so real quick.
00:37:14
Just with the line.
00:37:16
Secondary news.
00:37:17
Uh, Alan Lazard Market, Osvaldo scanning and fancy.
00:37:21
Are you starting them? I do have Alan Lasarte.
00:37:24
So I started him.
00:37:26
I'm hoping he has a huge week because I started him over Tyler Boyd in two different leagues this week.
00:37:32
And, of course, Tyler boy goes out, puts up 20.
00:37:34
2 points, finds the end zone a couple times, and it's like, Well, here we go back again in this familiar position, but, um, I do like out.
00:37:42
I mean, I think I don't know if both of them are gonna have 20 point weeks again.
00:37:47
I think one of them might end up with a big week, while the other one just has an average or below average type week.
00:37:54
Um, but I think they both I've said it before.
00:37:57
I think they both have week to week value riel value, especially against a beat up secondary went missing three starters.
00:38:05
So I do have Alma's art in a couple lineups.
00:38:09
Yeah, I'm gonna have MVS in the lineup because, like you, I benched Boyd and with Jamison Crowder now being ruled out for the Jets, which we'll get to, uh, I have effectively put myself in the position of starting Marquez Valdas scaling in this game.
00:38:22
So I need points here from the Packers offense.
00:38:24
I'm not gonna lie.
00:38:25
Uh, with that said, with all the lions health issues, this'll is a game where I don't love the line and don't love taking the points here with lions as much as I did.
00:38:37
I think earlier in the week offensively, I think Detroit is gonna be fine.
00:38:42
I love Quintas Eva's.
00:38:43
You know, we talked with Zach on here about him last week in impressive debut, and he gets another shot here with Kenny Golladay again being held out.
00:38:53
Is it gonna be the Lions offense once Golladay is back in the lineup by nappy, But I think between the trio of Cephus being a threat, albeit as a rookie, Marvin Jones Not a great top target, but he can't get it done, and then Danny Amendola to.
00:39:08
He showed up again last week, and you know you can't kick him to the curb yet. He's still getting it done.
00:39:13
Uh, this lines run game.
00:39:16
It's better than it's been in years past.
00:39:18
I think Adrian Peterson gets plenty intelligence here this week.
00:39:20
He started well, for me in Fantasy and DeAndre Swift is the wild card there as well? Uh, you know, drop that touchdown passed last week, but you could still get it done here a little bit, a swell both in the running and receiving games.
00:39:34
I think Green Bay is gonna put up a lot of points on this defense, and it's all gonna be for me.
00:39:39
Can Detroit keep it close? And I think your own one you lost in the fashion you did that's going to do one of two things to a team.
00:39:46
It's gonna totally to flight you for the next week.
00:39:48
Or, you know, you're gonna be playing with your tail on fire, knowing you don't want to go into a no to whole especially 02 when these air both divisional games, Green Bay wins this there in the driver's seat to divisional winds.
00:40:00
Detroit is gonna be at the back of the line with two divisional losses, so I think Matthew Stafford comes out, has a game.
00:40:09
I don't think Detroit wins this game, and I would love it if the line would creep to 7 7.
00:40:14
5, which is very well might tomorrow if the public money comes in on the Packers.
00:40:19
A full touchdown with Detroit and I am all in 6.5.
00:40:23
It's it, Zenobia.
00:40:25
Smaller play.
00:40:27
You didn't talk me out of it in Faldo.
00:40:29
How's that? I mean, that's fine, whatever you want with your money, But I know I'm constantly on the Packers.
00:40:36
Hey there, we dio That's you and me in this game. E.
00:40:40
I don't know if I love that I have the lion on my home.
00:40:42
It I would be a lot less comfortable if I was in your position, but that's fine.
00:40:48
Um, I love also the Packers, starting off their season with two NFC North matchups.
00:40:54
Eso you're not only starting your season two and oh, but you're starting your season two and o potentially, you know, in in the most important games of the season especially when you have Minnesota.
00:41:07
And now Detroit, sitting in pretty good position, might be staring owing to right in the face.
00:41:12
You're on the other side of things.
00:41:13
You're too.
00:41:14
And, oh, um, if the Packers won this weekend will be two weeks into the season and I'll be 25% of the way to cashing my season over.
00:41:21
Bet I mean, 8.
00:41:22
5 was just a ridiculously disgraceful line to give the Packers as a season total this year.
00:41:29
Just made a way too easy for the over betters.
00:41:31
Uh, they're gonna go to L.
00:41:33
They're going to take care of business against the Lions.
00:41:35
I just don't see the Lions being able to keep up with the Packers, even if the Packers are only 75% what we saw against the Vikings last week.
00:41:44
If the defense is a little bit better, I think that they could blow the lines out of the water.
00:41:49
I do.
00:41:50
I do not want the lines to get shot out, though, as I'm big on the over in this game as well.
00:41:53
I have the over at 49 a half, it's now an even 50 on Barth Cool Sports book.
00:41:59
But I would like it if the Packers won this game like 35 21 somewhere in that area, which I think is very realistic, maybe even 35 24.
00:42:09
Um, I'll take that as well.
00:42:12
Any last thoughts on this NFC North matchup here, I think just my last thought it would be given the stakes we've already talked about, and it's a divisional game that makes me think Detroit's gonna hang close.
00:42:26
I think that's the biggest rationale behind my pick.
00:42:29
The Lions always probably Green Bay close.
00:42:31
We saw even last year.
00:42:32
They should have had a win against them.
00:42:34
I think that came was at Lambeau, right? And the refs just, you know, brutally butchered that came at the end.
00:42:39
So with that being said, you know Green Bay is not gonna have the crowd here coming home, No fans assured in the stands, I think through this month, right at Lambeau.
00:42:49
So that's something that I took into account as well.
00:42:53
Uh, I think Green Bay has a lot of advantages and should win this game.
00:42:59
They should win this game.
00:43:01
I think it's just gonna be closer than a lot of people think.
00:43:05
And I guess you have my final thought it would be Hang around.
00:43:09
Watch what happens tomorrow morning if this hits seven or even 7.
00:43:13
5 with a flood of public money, I'm fine with the Detroit believe here.
00:43:18
I still am.
00:43:19
Well, and I would really love the packers.
00:43:21
Blow out, um, for my pocketbook as well, because my whole trip would essentially be paid for just with my packers.
00:43:28
That's, um I did not realize how crazy I went until I went back and looked through my pending plays.
00:43:34
And I was like, I got about six bets going on this game right now.
00:43:38
They are very small.
00:43:39
Eso itt's definitely gonna be a big one and probably the main game I'm watching tomorrow during the early slate Rams and eagles this line And maybe, you know, you're going that studies lines, you watch it all week long.
00:43:57
This line has just been kind of confusing to me.
00:44:00
Started as a pickem, um, and then the Rams moved to a minus one favorite.
00:44:06
Now they've swung to a plus 1.
00:44:08
5 underdog.
00:44:10
Um, why? Why the eagles being the favorite this week.
00:44:15
Obviously, they get Miles Sanders back.
00:44:18
But nothing else about what I saw out of the Eagles makes me feel very confident.
00:44:23
When I compared to what I saw out of the Los Angeles Rams in Week one.
00:44:27
Why, why the line movement and why are the Eagles a favor here? What we talked about the Miami Louisville game off the top of the show here tonight.
00:44:37
Just curious to see how that one plays out.
00:44:39
Given the back and forth here of the line, this game has been even crazier, actually opened Eagles as's two point favorites.
00:44:47
I'm pretty sure got that right to the Rams, Aziz one point favorites here early in the week, and it kind of hung around there and then all of a sudden, here into today, uh, Draftkings has got the Eagles, and I think you said Marshall had them the same way as 1.
00:45:01
5 point favorites.
00:45:03
Again, there's a lot of things going on here.
00:45:06
First Overreactions and perception from Week one.
00:45:10
That's a theory that, you know a lot of people have been presenting around this game theory.
00:45:14
Eagles shouldn't be losing toe Washington football team in the minds of a lot of people, and they did, and they weren't healthy in doing it, though. That's the key.
00:45:23
Some of these guys are gonna be back this week. Miles Sanders.
00:45:26
I was listening to some injury ****ysis on him last night, so fantasy owners kind of tuning in as well.
00:45:31
It was actually a doctor.
00:45:32
Talking about it was really good.
00:45:33
Um, and he's not 100% sure that he's going to be a full go this Wikus faras reps go.
00:45:40
There was still a little bit of a hitch when he was decelerating.
00:45:43
I guess in practice, some of the footage hey had looked at this week.
00:45:46
So keep an eye on Miles Sanders for fantasy might not be the R B one R B to lock wherever you have in there on your team that you drafted him thinking we're gonna get but the Eagles.
00:45:57
The other key injury ****ysis for me is with tackle Lane Johnson.
00:46:03
He's gonna be back and he's gonna be ready to go.
00:46:05
And that offensive line with the Replacements and the starters they had left a few stars they had left last week.
00:46:12
It just got eaten alive.
00:46:13
With that, said, the Washington defensive front has got to be one of the best in the NFL.
00:46:18
That defensive front that they have assembled, their adding Chase Young is the cherry on top.
00:46:24
I guess, if you will a bit more of a cherry in terms of the impact he brings.
00:46:27
But they're phenomenal, and they will wreak havoc on mortgage aims here this year.
00:46:33
So the Eagles, I think, come in a little bit underestimated off of what they did.
00:46:38
The Rams, though, is the interesting one for me, because are they overestimated off what they did in the betting market? I like the Rams last week against Dallas, getting three, getting to whatever it closed out there all week, though I would.
00:46:50
I was on the Rams, and they won the game outright.
00:46:54
But now you've got a cross country trip to the Eagles team who for, you know they've been butted up against the Cowboys, is the two front runners in the NFC East.
00:47:02
I think a lot of people had them both better than the Rams coming into the year, so this one's gonna be interesting for me to see how it plays out and with this late line movement, I didn't I didn't know what to do when the spread was Rams was one.
00:47:15
I think I was still leaning Rams because that's essentially a pick, right? But with this ley line movement back to the Eagles, it's gonna be a money line flyer here for me on the Rams.
00:47:24
That plus money.
00:47:26
Uh, I want to see it from the Eagles.
00:47:29
There's still a lot of questions about that passing game Carson wants.
00:47:31
Did not look good last week.
00:47:32
Granted, a lot of it was the Washington defense just taking them completely either.
00:47:37
Rhythm in the second half, this Rams offense.
00:47:39
There's a lot to be excited about, and I know the Philly defense is good much better than the Dallas defense.
00:47:44
But it's gonna be a plus.
00:47:46
Money play here for me on the rands in this game and you know it. Philly beats me.
00:47:51
They beat me.
00:47:52
I'm okay to live with that, I guess, here.
00:47:54
But the prospect of getting the Rams let me just look here quick at draftkings, so that plus 1 10 and the Eagles might draw a little more public money tomorrow.
00:48:02
So if you wanna wait around? You can, but I'll take a plus 1 10 here with the ramps to win.
00:48:07
However, I totally agree.
00:48:11
Across the board, the one question is, and I think you put it really well.
00:48:14
Did the Rams overachieve? Did they show a little bit mawr against the Cowboys than maybe what they're truly capable of on that? But as Faras is in the betting market, they're also in a position to win two weeks in a row now, as Moneyline underdogs, a realistic position to win two weeks in a row as Moneyline underdogs.
00:48:36
So if you like the Rams, if you're big on the Rams, take them now and take them in these early weeks before the market does adjust and you don't get the opportunities to get take plus money on a team that you know looks like they're gonna be pretty good throughout the course of the season.
00:48:50
I will take a plus 1 10 bet on this Rams team without thinking twice, Uh, might as might as well take the points, too, while you're at it.
00:48:58
If you're gonna if you're gonna play it both ways, take the 1.
00:49:00
5 for a little bit of insurance, but, um e like you said at one point, it's essentially a pick Him.
00:49:07
I locked in my bet when the Rams were minus one s.
00:49:11
Oh, I'm definitely would take them again.
00:49:13
Now put a little bit more on D plus 1 10 money line.
00:49:17
I also used them as my best bet in my against the spread pools.
00:49:22
At least want my big against the spread pool.
00:49:24
I I like the Rams a lot this week and, yeah, I think the eagles of playing tough.
00:49:28
But when all you have to do is win the game, you don't have much of a spread to worry about.
00:49:33
It makes me feel even better about this RAM squad.
00:49:36
So, uh, I definitely like the Rams across the board here.
00:49:40
Yeah, and you can look at like I know there are a lot of historical trends, obviously the Eagles favorite in week one, and they lost out right? And those teams typically bounced back and do really well in Week two with their backs up against the wall.
00:49:51
Um, this game, though, you know it's almost one for me where I just cannot wait to sit down and watch it.
00:49:58
I know you said you're gonna be giving Packers lions your TV spotlight here.
00:50:03
I guess amongst the early games, it's gonna be this one all day for me, like there's just so much that I'm looking forward to seeing with line movement.
00:50:11
It just gets me even more excited.
00:50:12
I know I'm a nerd.
00:50:13
Already said that, but but, yeah, I think we're in agreement here that the Rams are the play.
00:50:19
Um, I just for me.
00:50:21
I don't feel comfortable laying points with the Eagles after what we saw last week, and you have some of these guys, we're gonna be back and are reportedly healthy.
00:50:30
But we talked about the football team's defensive line.
00:50:34
I don't know.
00:50:35
I've already said a lot about this game, so I'll be quick here.
00:50:36
But the Rams have got a guy named Aaron Donald who could very well have his way with the Eagles offensive line as well.
00:50:42
So I'll just throw that out there, and that could throw them off their game plan again.
00:50:47
Yeah, they I mean, they struggled like you said, with the front of that Washington defense, the Rams have a pretty good defensive front as well with a guy who was named the best player in the NFL not more than just a couple of years ago.
00:51:02
So it'll be challenging for Philadelphia no matter what.
00:51:06
Um, going to describe and roll through these next couple of games so we could spend a little bit of time on the primetime Games.
00:51:12
Jacksonville Jaguars versus the Tennessee Titans Don't really much care about this game.
00:51:17
I hope the Jaguars win because I took the under on the season total with the Titans.
00:51:22
A lot of people called me crazy, which whatever is justified under 8.
00:51:25
5 for a team that made such a run in the playoffs last year, whatever I get it.
00:51:30
But I'm not big on.
00:51:31
The Titans would love to see Minshew continue his success and watch the Jaguars just go out there and win, despite you know, their best efforts trying to lose eso.
00:51:41
I would like to jag the Jags to win this game, how likely that is, you know, probably pretty low, but I don't really much care about this game.
00:51:49
I don't really care about the spread, and I don't like the Jags enough, especially winning week one.
00:51:53
I think they come back to reality a little bit on definitely not taking them on the money line this week, so I'm not on this game in any way.
00:52:05
I don't have a great play on it because there's a lot of uncer*****y and unknowns.
00:52:10
I think Tennessee has got to be better than beating Denver by two, and we saw that if they could make their kicks shout out Stephen Gostkowski get it done this week, they would have beaten them by more than two.
00:52:21
And Jacksonville, You know they're the wild car, but they can't possibly sustain what they did against Indianapolis and you look at box scores.
00:52:26
I know you don't typically want to just look at a box score when you're ****yzing a game after the fact they got dominated by the Colts and the fact that they pulled that game out is just impressive.
00:52:36
But Gardner Minshew is not gonna go complete 95% of his passes.
00:52:39
Me and I think we can all agree on that, so there's gotta be some regression here this week just based on how last week fell into their hands.
00:52:47
I guess you will or they stole it.
00:52:49
However, you wanna look at it, there's gotta be some regression to the mean here.
00:52:52
For what we know this team is actually capable of all off season.
00:52:56
I thought Tennessee was better than Indianapolis, and you look at the look at headlines four week too back before the week.
00:53:03
One slate, of course.
00:53:04
And the Titans? I believe we're around 12 at most shops a T least out in Vegas.
00:53:10
It opened what it open? 11 11.
00:53:13
5, I think.
00:53:14
And now it's spent all the way down 7.
00:53:15
5 I'm reading here addressed a huge movement, that zoo a lot of points, especially for a team that coming into the year, most everyone would have had them power rated probably in the bottom three in the NFL if you had the Jaguars higher. Congratulations.
00:53:32
You look smart after Week one, but I don't think it's sustainable.
00:53:36
You know, they might win more games than they set out to do in this hashtag tank for Trevor season, but they're not gonna be a winning football team.
00:53:46
Um, in Tennessee, for me being the cream of the crop in the A F C South.
00:53:50
This is another reaction.
00:53:51
So if I am gonna bet this game, I give me the 7.
00:53:54
5 of the Titans.
00:53:55
I don't love it, and that's why I probably will stay off it.
00:53:59
I might reconsider here before kick off tomorrow, because that's how I am.
00:54:04
But given the spread movement alone, it will be interesting to see for May.
00:54:08
I guess how this one plays out.
00:54:10
If I'm leaning anywhere, though, it is that the betting market is overreacted to what Jackson did in week one.
00:54:17
Yeah, I agree.
00:54:18
I think you know, just seeing a team play for one week and then having it, you know, be worth five points. That's pretty.
00:54:26
I mean, that's a lot, a lot.
00:54:31
So, yeah, I I don't like Jacksonville in this position, but I also don't love Tennessee, so I'm staying off the spread.
00:54:39
I don't like the total either.
00:54:40
At 44 if you if this was like a 39.
00:54:42
5 total or something, I would like the over if it was closer to 50.
00:54:47
I might like the under, but 44 is just kind of a nasty number, especially feels like no man's land for this game? Exactly.
00:54:55
Exactly.
00:54:56
So I'm staying off this game completely.
00:54:59
If you are betting it or you have any any stronger leans on it, let us know on Twitter.
00:55:04
Um, inform us, please.
00:55:06
I mean, I'm always looking for, uh, Mawr.
00:55:10
More opinions and valid opinions, especially on games that I don't have very strong feelings about.
00:55:14
So let us know what you think about Jacksonville and Tennessee this game.
00:55:19
This this game that follows.
00:55:20
Probably gonna have a lot to say about it.
00:55:22
So we'll try and keep it short.
00:55:23
But it is the San Francisco 40 Niners versus the New York football Jets.
00:55:29
Both teams just have a smattering of injuries.
00:55:33
Uh, the field for the 40 Niners, of course.
00:55:36
Deebo, Samuel on IR for the Jets.
00:55:40
We've got laid Ian Bell on IR Jamison Crowder is now out.
00:55:44
Um, maybe even a few more guys that I'm missing.
00:55:47
Those are the big game.
00:55:49
San Francisco 6.
00:55:51
5 point favorite.
00:55:52
I wish I would have known.
00:55:53
I walked this in early in the week.
00:55:55
I walked Abedin on, like, Tuesday or something like that.
00:55:59
Uh, it was It was San Francisco minus seven.
00:56:01
I was very confident in that bet, Um, having, you know, knowing about the Crowder injury and things like that.
00:56:08
And then, of course, less than 24 hour hours later, it is announced that Kittel will not be playing.
00:56:13
So I, you know, don't feel as great about my minus seven.
00:56:16
Um, San Francisco Bet.
00:56:19
But I subscribe to the theory that good teams will have a bounce back week after a bad loss.
00:56:27
And it wasn't necessarily a bad loss against the Cardinals team who went out and played really well and earned that victory.
00:56:32
But I think the 40 Niners are a good team.
00:56:34
I think they're set up for a bounce back, and they have the benefit of playing a bad Jets team here in Week two.
00:56:40
So I'm worried a little bit, but not, uh, not overly worried.
00:56:44
As I've got San Francisco minus seven.
00:56:46
The line is at 6.
00:56:47
5 Now, I know you like the under 41 a half and 40 Niners minus seven or minus 6.
00:56:54
5 now, so at least I've got you on my side here.
00:56:57
Um, why do you still believe in the 40 Niners against your Jets and tell us about the under the under is the play of the day here for May.
00:57:10
It's 6.5.
00:57:11
Honestly, I could take it or leave it with San Francisco at this point.
00:57:14
Uh, just looking at you know how this offense kind of shakes out without George Kittle.
00:57:19
Without Deebo, Samuel, it's all gonna be on Brandon.
00:57:22
I you care right in the passing game.
00:57:25
What San Francisco is going to do with that being said is they're gonna try and calm the football big day for he, mostly just in terms of volume.
00:57:32
Tevin Coleman's gonna get on in on the act.
00:57:34
Jerick McKinnon, who had a nice role in the passing game last week.
00:57:36
You got to expect that again because they just have no targets.
00:57:40
You might also get a few here carries a swell getting draw situations, etcetera.
00:57:46
The Jets run defense is probably the strong point of their defense.
00:57:51
With that being said, the front is banged up right now.
00:57:54
The Jets air just banged up all over the place.
00:57:58
Last week was a banged up football game because they were terrible and now they might be even worse here against the 40 Niners.
00:58:05
Looking at the defensive front being injured.
00:58:08
Levin Bell out on offense.
00:58:10
Jamison Crowder out on offense.
00:58:12
Who's Sam? Donald's gonna be throwing the football, too, So I think for me with so many injury question marks on both offenses, when it comes down to it, I would back the San Francisco offense over the Jets offense based on what we saw last week S O.
00:58:28
That would be by rationale in a point spread play.
00:58:33
I would still take the 40 Niners, um, at 6.5.
00:58:38
But I want the seven.
00:58:39
Let me just be clear with that.
00:58:40
I definitely want the seven here.
00:58:42
Eso Unless it swings back the other way, I will be going there.
00:58:47
I the total, though that was what I was going to get to If San Francisco's grounding out the clock here ground and pound and the Jets just aren't gonna be scoring, I would think the San Francisco defensive front.
00:58:59
Yeah, Richard Sherman, I got placed on our so he's gonna miss the next three weeks, but the 40 Niners defensive front is healthy.
00:59:05
That's probably the healthiest unit here in this ballgame and the Trots offensive line.
00:59:10
While it might be a little bit better than last year's edition, when you add in the rookie Moon Chi back and then some of the free agency editions, uh, it is not going to hold up here in this one against what? What are the 40 Niners rotating seven or eight guys here in on the defensive line? They should just be able to eat.
00:59:28
Donald's gonna be getting crushed all day.
00:59:31
Uh, so the judges are gonna be scoring San Francisco's.
00:59:34
San Francisco is gonna be shorting the clock with the ground game and probably not scoring a whole lot themselves.
00:59:42
Uh, just because I think the Jets should be able to stop the run here for a little while in this game under 41 a half all day.
00:59:49
I can't believe this total is higher than what were some of the other games were talking about earlier.
00:59:53
41 a half in this game vs 40.
00:59:57
5 Steelers Broncos.
01:00:00
I think this game will be lower scoring than that one.
01:00:02
Uh, what else do we have? 42 in Giants Bears? I would much rather back this one at a half point under to go under that total.
01:00:11
Then I would Giants bears that when I was kinda on the fence.
01:00:13
This one's an under hit all day for me, And I did.
01:00:19
You know, I thought I was missing another big name there when I was listening off the injuries.
01:00:23
Richard Sherman was the e.
01:00:27
I like the under as well.
01:00:29
I would ride with you there.
01:00:30
And if you are going Thio, play the spread.
01:00:33
I mean, I'm already locked in on Niners minus seven, so I'm gonna be pulling for that pretty hard.
01:00:39
But again, I think the Niners are set up and probably licking their chops.
01:00:43
Even without George Kittle Ain't even without those other offensive weapons, I think they're probably looking their shops to get back at it and right their wrong from week one against the bad Jets team in Week two.
01:00:56
Final thoughts.
01:00:59
Yeah, So I gotta ask you, George Kittles out.
01:01:01
We know the 40 Niners receiver situation.
01:01:04
Where is Jordan Reed? As far as the fancy tie in this week.
01:01:08
Way talked about this last night.
01:01:11
I actually don't think Jordan reads Jordan reads a bad play right now, especially if you're in a pretty deep No, um, I think I think he's obviously we know what his talent is.
01:01:22
This is a guy that was being selected or in the conversation with Travis Kelsey just a few years ago.
01:01:27
Often being selected before Travis Kelsey in talks is the best tight end of the league.
01:01:32
Um, it's concussions that have had have hindered him in his career, not physical injuries.
01:01:39
Not the not the ability to, you know, not catch the ball.
01:01:42
Nothing like that.
01:01:43
He's got the whole skill set, and he just needs an opportunity again now.
01:01:47
And I think through happenstance, he's gonna have the ball thrown his direction, a decent amount here.
01:01:52
So I don't think Jordan Reed is a bad flyer in DFS or a bad, bad pickup moving forward here in your in your league or at least a streamer this week.
01:02:03
I completely agree he's total screw dreamer for me unless this kettle injury lingers longer, which I don't think it will granted.
01:02:11
Kittles is tough as nails, but San Francisco, I think, figures that they could get by in this game without him.
01:02:16
But like we've already talked about? Where is Jimmy Garoppolo gonna be going with the football? I'm picking up Jordan Reed.
01:02:23
And if I have any bit of a question mark at the tight end position where I don't have one of the top, I don't know eight guys.
01:02:31
I'm probably throwing him in the lineup and for DFS.
01:02:34
Like you said, I'm not a DFS guru.
01:02:36
I'm not going to sit here and pretend I am one, but that that's the guy that I think would make sense to me for sure, for sure.
01:02:43
So a lot of things surrounding that matchup probably safe to say the Niners take that game.
01:02:48
But in what fashion? Eyes yet to be blow there at the end.
01:02:52
Wow, e didn't mean to you, you know, we might be all in on hashtag tank for Trevor to after last week, so I'm a Jets fan, but I'm also a realist, and things aren't looking good right now.
01:03:07
But, you know, we were talking about Dynasty team names on Twitter very briefly.
01:03:11
I think it was yesterday or something.
01:03:13
I went out and changed my one team name that didn't really have a good name.
01:03:17
I went up to the one I offered you and it was gazing the whole.
01:03:20
So I'm all in.
01:03:22
I'm embracing the struggles.
01:03:24
E a.
01:03:27
A writer died, right? Yes, sir.
01:03:31
So moving on now Thio The Washington football team versus the Arizona Cardinals.
01:03:38
You are all over Washington this week, taking them plus seven and plus 2 60 on the money line.
01:03:44
I personally, like the under 46.
01:03:46
5 in this game.
01:03:48
Um, I think both teams kind of take a step back from what we saw in Week one because they both performed really well in Week one.
01:03:56
Obviously, Washington's defense a little bit more so than the offense, but I think it's gonna be harder for both teams to score points this week.
01:04:03
Which is why I like the under 46.5.
01:04:07
You are on the Washington football team to go to start their Season two and O trying to cash a plus to 60 money line.
01:04:14
Bet why, why you love Washington so much this week? It's the defensive line, which we already discussed earlier in the show.
01:04:23
This defensive front chase Young Montas Sweet.
01:04:28
All these guys, they're just capable of taking over a game and I would argue, I think just from a football standpoint, for me, what's the next most important position on the field? That could impact a game after the quarterback, which Washington we know doesn't really have a great situation, a quarterback.
01:04:49
But it is that defense, the front four in front seven especially, I think here there's there's nowhere to hide, and it's gonna be a whole different ball game this week, going up against Kyler, Murray and the Cardinals than it was the Eagles total different offenses, totally different skill sets of the quarterback position, and you've got a guy like DeAndre Hopkins that you got to contend with.
01:05:11
I think Landon Collins will be effective in keeping the top on what Arizona's trying to do.
01:05:16
I'm not seeing too many big plays coming here, but the pass rush it should be able to get home.
01:05:22
You know, this Cardinals offensive line is still not very good, probably on the rise from what we've seen here in years past.
01:05:27
But it's gonna be interesting for me to see whether or not football team tries to contain Murray in the pocket, or do they let him get away because you could argue that he's even better making plays with links.
01:05:40
Uh, either way, Washington is better team here for me.
01:05:44
I think Arizona's got a lot of talent on offense.
01:05:46
I know they just beat San Francisco last week way.
01:05:51
I think on this very here show, we were kind of alluding to exact, especially that that might be if there was a time to pick the Cardinals to be the Niners.
01:06:00
Um, you was that game, and sure enough, it came to fruition.
01:06:05
Uh, with that said, I would argue that, uh, Washington's defensive front is a step ahead of even San Francisco's right now rolling off of the momentum from last week riverboat Ron Rivera.
01:06:17
I love them as a coach, and this Cardinals defense isn't great either.
01:06:21
So, as shaky is, football team is on offense.
01:06:26
You know, I think they could move the ball here a little bit.
01:06:28
I'm not gonna put that past them, Uh, for your reasons that you said the under in this game, I think those are the reasons why I'm just all over Washington in terms of the spread, especially Onda Moneyline, even plus 2 60 Sprinkle some on there Why not? I think if they cover in this game, it's a game.
01:06:47
They went out right? I think that's my rationale behind those two picks.
01:06:50
Um, And what was the other point I wanted to make here? Uh, go ahead, Jake.
01:06:58
It'll come to me, I think kind of frozen now.
01:07:15
And until Henry joins us again, um, as we we lost him totally now.
01:07:22
So until Henry joins us again, Um, just going to kind of recap of that game, my thoughts on that game.
01:07:30
Look, I think the Cardinals are really good.
01:07:33
I think they're good football team.
01:07:34
I think they're good on offense.
01:07:36
Um, but I do think that they not necessarily over to you, but they played a really good game in week one.
01:07:42
I think their offense might regress or have a little bit of a harder time in Week two against a really good Washington defense.
01:07:50
But you've got a matchup of a pretty good offense versus a really good defense, and then on the other side, you've got a pretty bad offense against a pretty good defense.
01:08:00
So all those things to me, you combine them together and you end up with an under 46.5.
01:08:08
At least from my perspective.
01:08:11
A Z, we're trying to get Henry back here.
01:08:15
Um, I guess I will just continue moving on.
01:08:18
Um, Chiefs and Ravens.
01:08:22
I know Henry has a teaser for, so we will wait until he gets back for those Patriots Seahawks Seahawks, four point favorites.
01:08:32
I think this will be a close game.
01:08:34
Of course, we've seen commercials and everything like that of Malcolm Butler's interception, The Patriots beating the Seahawks in, uh, Super Bowl, whatever that was 50 whatever.
01:08:45
That was a few years back.
01:08:46
Now, um, Seahawks, obviously different squad.
01:08:50
The Legion of Boom is no more, but their offense is really, really good.
01:08:53
Well, the Patriots are still trying to figure things out.
01:08:56
I would lean Seahawks here minus four.
01:08:58
If you could get it three or 3.
01:08:59
5, I'd be more comfortable with that.
01:09:02
I don't really love the point total.
01:09:04
I think points are going to be scored here.
01:09:06
44 a half again, kind of in that no man's land, um, type area.
01:09:12
So I would lean Seahawks minus four and this one.
01:09:17
We'll see if Henry has anything else to say about that game or otherwise.
01:09:21
Let's move on to the Monday night game, which is the Saints versus the Raiders.
01:09:25
Man.
01:09:26
The Raiders could be on upset alert here, there, plus 1 95 dogs on the money line getting 5.
01:09:32
5 points.
01:09:34
Um, the New Orleans Saints are gonna be without Michael Thomas.
01:09:37
Drew Brees didn't look all too fantastic.
01:09:41
Ah, it's gonna be a lot of Alvin Kamara, a lot of Josh Jacobs, a ton of ground game from both of these teams, so I would not expect a big day through the air.
01:09:53
Um, by either of these quarterbacks, I think it's going to be a ground and pound type game both ways.
01:10:00
ST minus 5.
01:10:01
5.
01:10:02
I don't love it just because I do think the Raiders are gonna be able to keep up through Josh Jacobs and Darren Waller.
01:10:07
A couple good players like that.
01:10:09
I'm staying off the Saints this week just because they don't have Michael Thomas.
01:10:13
So they didn't look that great in week one s. So I am.
01:10:17
I'm just staying off this game.
01:10:19
I'm not fading the Saints because that would mean taking the Raiders, I'm just staying off this game completely.
01:10:27
The running backs in this game, they're gonna have insane value this week as far as DFS and your season long fantasy as well.
01:10:39
One second here as I'm gonna try and get Henry back one more time because I really want to hear about his chiefs and, uh, Chiefs and Ravens teaser.
01:10:58
But we are basically through all the games.
01:11:02
So if he can't get his way back on here in the next few minutes, I guess we will have to, um, tweeted out for you or something like that.
01:11:12
The Chiefs are eight point favorites now was just 8.
01:11:14
5 about an hour ago when I looked.
01:11:16
So Chiefs Line moves just a half a point.
01:11:21
I don't care if it's 8 8.5.
01:11:23
Doesn't matter.
01:11:24
How are you going to bet against the Chiefs in week to hear coming off the long break Coming off a few extra days, having played last Thursday, the Chargers offense.
01:11:34
Just look, man.
01:11:35
Ah, Kansas City defense is going to be able to stifle those Chargers again.
01:11:42
Can see offense is going to be able to score points on the Chargers I'm taking the Kansas City Chiefs with no hesitation.
01:11:50
Give it to me.
01:11:51
Eight.
01:11:52
Give it to me.
01:11:53
8.
01:11:54
5 Doesn't matter.
01:11:55
I'm wrong with the Chiefs, and the Ravens are 7.
01:11:56
5 point favorites.
01:11:57
I like the Texans to bounce back a bit, but I I just don't like the Texans often.
01:12:04
So said it time and time again.
01:12:05
I don't like the Texans defense.
01:12:07
I don't like the Texans overall very low on them this year, so I would lean Baltimore Ravens minus 7.5.
01:12:15
I think by the end of the game, you might end up covering that pretty easily.
01:12:19
I am assuming Hank is taking a four or six point teaser on both of these games.
01:12:26
Somewhere along that line, if you if you have a six point teaser on the Ravens and the Chiefs, you're gonna get the Ravens at minus 1.5.
01:12:34
You're gonna get the Chiefs at minus two.
01:12:36
I mean, how are you gonna lose that? But you're just absolutely not going to so consider a teaser.
01:12:42
There don't have odds for you because they didn't have that pulled up as this was Henry's pick.
01:12:48
Um, the teaser was hopefully you're put out your pics on Twitter here or your official tease on Twitter.
01:12:56
Other than that, I think that's everything I know.
01:13:01
Henry was on Seahawks minus four as well, and Raiders plus 5.5.
01:13:06
If you want toe follow up with him or get any further opinions with him, just hit him up on Twitter at Hank Time Sports.
01:13:13
I will leave you with my can't lose parlay of the week again in honor of the bar stool, sports app and it launching.
01:13:21
I am taking a big page on a big Cats playbook and I can't lose Parlay of the week are all money line hackers 40 Niners Bills and Chiefs Packers 40 Niners Bills and Chiefs pays plus 2. 41.
01:13:35
Can't lose partly of the week e Think that'll be it as it doesn't look like we're gonna get Henry back.
01:13:41
Here we are.
01:13:42
About an hour.
01:13:43
15.
01:13:44
So perfect timing in that 75 minute range.
01:13:46
I hope you all enjoy your Sunday of football.
01:13:50
I hope you all win a bunch of money and we will talk to you with with weekend wrap ups and looking forward to the Monday night game.
01:14:02
Uh, in two days, of course, you can get a bunch of free a bunch of great fancy football content from us here on SportsCastr.
01:14:11
All season long, we're gonna be live about five days a week throughout the entire football season.
01:14:16
Make sure you follow a flurry sports on Facebook on Twitter.
01:14:20
Follow me at sent holes on sport.
01:14:22
Follow Hank at Hank Time sports and follow our courageous leader, Zach Brunner, who is at a wedding tonight.
01:14:29
And hopefully he is having fun.
01:14:31
Um, at fantasy Flurry, I believe, is his Twitter handle.
01:14:38
Week one in the Books week to a lot to look forward to.
01:14:41
Good luck on your bets, everybody, and we will talk to you at some point soon.
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Transcript hideup

00:00:00
dog, which necklines Muchas Brit because morning crushed.
00:00:05
Um, and then Boston College.
00:00:10
Duke went under that flew under.
00:00:12
So we got one down to Tokyo.
00:00:16
Well, getting in on that.
00:00:17
What do you say? Boston College is a dog? Who did you say? Less? Uh, check the dog Boston College do, because the under and Miami is the dog to an outrage.
00:00:26
That's like beefing up the parley.
00:00:27
Really? But now their favorite.
00:00:29
So it's crazy.
00:00:31
I'm, like, so excited for that game.
00:00:33
See how it goes? Well, hopefully I'll have time to watch a little bit of football later on.
00:00:39
Be able watch that came to as we are live here I am.
00:00:43
Jake sent holes as I was joining you on the Flurry Sports SportsCastr page here.
00:00:49
My good friend Hank is joining me.
00:00:51
Hank Time Sports Henry.
00:00:53
How you doing? Doing pretty good, Jake.
00:00:56
It's been a fun day of college football on.
00:00:58
We got what? More sports tonight, Right? NBA conference finals.
00:01:02
The Stanley Cup finals were getting started.
00:01:04
Nascar race here in a few minutes.
00:01:06
I'm, uh, looking Thio makes him hey on that era's well so and I got a It's a good time to be a sportsman.
00:01:13
It's a time to be a sports fan.
00:01:15
I know you want to throw out that last minute NASCAR pick, which you can do in just a second.
00:01:19
But I do want Thio encourage people, even though football's back.
00:01:22
You can keep betting on these other sports.
00:01:24
Keep enjoying these other sports I just posted I my Stanley Cup Finals preview over at Pick City.
00:01:30
Still a little bit of toe.
00:01:32
Actually, I think that games underway now, but, um, it's gonna be probably six or seven games serious.
00:01:37
Still time to look over that preview article.
00:01:39
If you wanna learn a little bit more about these two teams, of course, being the Tampa Bay Lightning and the Dallas Stars, who let me get you a score update right now.
00:01:50
And while I'm working on that Henry, why don't you give us your NASCAR pick real quick? Yeah, for sure.
00:01:57
So tonight, for those of you who aren't really exactly tuned into NASCAR and the season, uh, this is the third and final race of the first round, and then we're gonna have four drivers out of the 16 playoff drivers eliminated.
00:02:12
Um, so you know some guys already through.
00:02:15
If you win, you're automatically into the next round.
00:02:17
But there's 78 Maybe we could even go nine guys who aren't a shirt of moving on here yet.
00:02:23
Of course, four aren't moving on right now.
00:02:25
And they're gonna have to make a proud one of those guys that I'm looking at.
00:02:29
Who is he needs to win tonight.
00:02:31
He's 15 points right now, and it's gonna be tough to make up all of the deficit without a win toe.
00:02:37
Lock him into the next round eyes.
00:02:39
Matt di Benedetto runs very well in Bristol.
00:02:42
Hey, was top five all day when they ran their back in May and over a drafting sports book.
00:02:49
Those are the odds.
00:02:50
I just have pulled up.
00:02:51
Uh, that's Benedetto is plus 4000 to win this race outright.
00:02:56
If you don't wanna go that crazy, you got plus 1000 for a top three plus 1 30 for a top.
00:03:02
And I like a strong running from at the Benedetto.
00:03:05
Not sure of his car situation.
00:03:07
We're in NASCAR silly season Right now.
00:03:08
We're All these guys were trying to figure out who's going where for next year's faras race teams and such.
00:03:13
He's not going to be back with the Wood Brothers his team right now.
00:03:18
But in order to keep this playoff run going, I'm going with the long shot here tonight.
00:03:22
Matt Di Benedetto plus 4000 plus 1 30 Top 10 though that that's got to be my best better tonight.
00:03:28
There you go.
00:03:29
Lock it in.
00:03:30
Make yourself some extra money for NFL this weekend by following Henry's NASCAR picks.
00:03:36
I have been to the races in Bristol before I enjoy The race is a lot, but I'm not tuned into them enough.
00:03:41
Thio bet on them without the help of an expert, so appreciate that pick.
00:03:46
I'm gonna try and locked it in as we are on the air here.
00:03:50
Um, also just want to say, right off the top, we're not going to be diving as deep into all these games as we did last week.
00:03:58
2.
00:03:59
5 hour show last week.
00:04:00
Probably just can't pull that off without Zack.
00:04:02
And also I'm at my buddies in Colorado right now.
00:04:05
Henry and I are both on these wacky sleep schedules.
00:04:09
We just woke up within the last hour so overnight Shift, I e off.
00:04:15
So we're just going to We're gonna touch on every game yet, but we're probably going to skim over a few of them except for some specific games that we picked out already.
00:04:26
Which is why it's important for you, Thio.
00:04:29
Let us know on Twitter or leave a comment in the comment section.
00:04:32
If you want us to talk about a specific total a specific game, whatever you might be needing answers to this weekend, make sure you make it known in the comments section, or otherwise.
00:04:42
We are just going to dive right in here in honor of the C.
00:04:49
I should have this pulled up already in honor of the bar stool Sports app launching.
00:04:53
We're gonna go through the games in order that they have them listed on the bar stool sports happened.
00:04:59
I'm gonna be referencing the lines that are on the bar stool sports app.
00:05:02
So here we go, starting with games.
00:05:05
Um, again, I'm a mountain time now, so everything's thrown off for me.
00:05:09
It says 11 a.m.
00:05:11
Noon games.
00:05:12
Whatever the afternoon games, whatever time that usually starts for you, wherever you happen to live first game on the slate is the New York Giants taking on the Chicago Bears.
00:05:20
Bears are 5.
00:05:21
5 point favorites.
00:05:23
You're getting that even.
00:05:25
Are that typical 1 10 payout? Henry, What do you think of this Giant spares matchup? You know, it's funny.
00:05:34
So you and I are both in one of those big Survivor pools with Zach and the picks lock Thursday, even for these games.
00:05:42
So you know, we're all putting in our picks Thursday afternoon when I was going over and I was trying to find a contrarian play because it's pulled so big that you know, you wanna gain a one up here early on in the season where you can and I picked the Bears as my survivor pool pick.
00:05:58
I think I'm comfortable that Chicago's gonna win this game out, right? But there have been a lot of ****ysts and a lot of sharp betters who, you know, I'm following listening to etcetera, etcetera here in the industry, who are all over the Giants in this game.
00:06:14
And I think a lot of the rationale for that is if Chicago doesn't pull off the Miracle fourth quarter comeback or was it. Detroit choking.
00:06:23
You know, we'll leave that up for debate last week.
00:06:25
But if they don't pull that off and the science, you know, maybe are a little closer to Pittsburgh or wind up covering that game kind of felt closer than it was.
00:06:34
I think on the final scoreboard is this line 5.5.
00:06:37
I think the Bears were gonna win.
00:06:40
It's a stay away from me on the point spread.
00:06:42
I have nothing there.
00:06:43
And as far as the total, I think I would lean under.
00:06:47
But this Giants defense is so bad, and we saw Chicago kind of put together a little bit offensively.
00:06:53
And I think if there was one encouraging sign for New York last week, it was Daniel Jones in that offense, uh, doing all right against the Steelers defense that I I definitely have, uh, power rated higher than the Bears.
00:07:07
Right now, I think Pittsburgh probably have the top defense in the league, maybe Buffalo in that conversation as well.
00:07:12
So this is pretty much a stay away from me.
00:07:14
I like Chicago win at home.
00:07:16
Uh, but maybe you have some or stronger lean here one way or the other on the spread.
00:07:23
No, I don't really.
00:07:24
I think you're spot on.
00:07:25
I think it's a good survivor pick.
00:07:27
It's not really a total that you know I like just because I'm not quite sure what kind of Bears team we're gonna get in Week two.
00:07:32
I'm sure the Giants will take some step forward, but it's been It's been made loud and clear that I am down on the Giants big time this year.
00:07:41
One of my biggest bets was their win total under six.
00:07:45
Um, I just don't I think they're good enough team to maybe show some things and stay in some games.
00:07:49
But when it when it comes down to that final score, um, I don't know, I just don't know what with with the Bears, it's It's less about the Giants and more about the Bears for me this week.
00:08:01
I think the Bears can win, but the Giants can keep it competitive.
00:08:04
I just don't think the Giants are good enough team to really finish off very many even decent teams this year.
00:08:10
I think they got to grow mature and learn how to win a little bit before they can take down even a team at the Bears caliber without everything going right.
00:08:19
Yeah, I agree.
00:08:20
And you know, at first bad is this giant secondary is the Bears have got to study at the wide receiver position.
00:08:25
Right? Allan Robinson Kind of clearing the area with the team this week.
00:08:28
Anthony Miller.
00:08:29
It's all on Mitchell Robiskie.
00:08:30
If he gets it going, Chicago should win this comfortably.
00:08:33
And I think I would rather put my eggs in that basket concerning my survivor pool pick, which again, it's a contrarian pick, but I would I would sooner lean in that way.
00:08:43
Hence my pick than I would the Giants, I think, hanging around in this one.
00:08:47
I'm just not convinced New York's gonna get going against this defense.
00:08:50
But it's 5.
00:08:51
5 across the board here at all.
00:08:52
Like, you know, draftkings, Fanduel, Sugar House.
00:08:54
This was looking quick.
00:08:55
So, uh, there's no advantage here in the market to grab, if you like one side or the other 5.
00:09:02
5 straight across the board, and I just it's to stay away from me.
00:09:08
That total is at 42 by the way, which Henry said he liked the under moving on, leaning under Panthers versus the You did say the under right.
00:09:18
I have that right? Just a small lean.
00:09:21
Yeah, it's not something that I'm gonna be playing, but if I had to go on where the other, I think I think I'll go under in this one.
00:09:28
Sure, Um, Carolina Panthers versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
00:09:34
Of course, the Bucks get a fully healthy Mike Evans in Week two.
00:09:38
They're gonna be without Kenny Golladay.
00:09:39
Most likely, he still is, uh, in the concussion protocol.
00:09:43
Last I've heard Carolina Panthers 8.
00:09:46
5 point dog to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
00:09:49
We know how good Tom Brady is off of a loss.
00:09:52
We know he's incredible in that rebound type week.
00:09:56
He's also playing one of the worst defenses in the NFL.
00:09:59
I think Brady could bounce back, find his form this week.
00:10:02
I like Ronald Jones the second this week as well.
00:10:06
8.
00:10:07
5 points seems pretty fair, but also pretty doable for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
00:10:11
What do you think for fantasy purposes? I'll start with this.
00:10:18
I'm locking in as many Buccaneers as I can because this Carolina defense is bad with that, said Chris Godwin is out.
00:10:24
Scotty Miller becomes an intriguing flex plate, but we're looking at the betting side of it here, and I think coming out a week one for me it's gonna be interesting to see how much of Tampa Bay's offensive struggles last week was the New Orleans Saints defense and how much of it is.
00:10:43
Maybe Tom Brady is starting to slip a little bit, and we saw evidence of this last year.
00:10:48
Um, you know, I'm not gonna go out on a limb and say he's finished.
00:10:51
There's there's another veteran quarterback.
00:10:53
I'm sure we'll get Thio eyes Maurin that realm of thinking for me.
00:10:58
But is there gonna be the same? Are you gonna be that savior that everybody thought that they were kidding? Um, if this game again, it's too close to call for me.
00:11:08
If I'm leaning one way or another on the spread, it's gonna be I think the Panthers can cover this line.
00:11:13
Matt Rule brings a lot of excitement to that team.
00:11:15
We saw the offensive a great day last week.
00:11:18
You know what you're getting with the defense? The defense is not gonna be good uh, but I think they could score on this Tampa Bay defense going the other way.
00:11:27
You know, we saw Teddy Bridgewater have a great Carolina debut.
00:11:29
You can't discount McCaffrey.
00:11:31
You can't get discount D. J.
00:11:33
Moore.
00:11:34
Robby Anderson had a nice game last week.
00:11:35
He carry that over.
00:11:36
Uh, so for me, it's panthers or past here.
00:11:40
I think on the point spread.
00:11:44
And you know I'm not huge.
00:11:46
I'm not huge on the ape on the 85 for the Buccaneers.
00:11:49
Um, if I was gonna lean one way, I think I would just lean bucks because I think they're better team.
00:11:54
And I think they're gonna have a bounce back week.
00:11:56
Be able to score points against Carolina on their defense is pretty good, you know? So I think, um, if they're playing at their best, they're gonna be able to stop Carolina to the point where they win this game by maybe not a lot, but at least 10 points is is kind of what I'm thinking.
00:12:11
Especially make.
00:12:12
Maybe if you get some late late field goals or something like that.
00:12:16
The total on this game is 47.5.
00:12:20
Don't really want to touch the total at all on this game.
00:12:23
Um, so yeah, that's I mean, that's pretty much all I got.
00:12:26
I think the buccaneers win the game as's faras covering the 8.5.
00:12:32
I'm gonna leave that one up to you find people out there.
00:12:36
Yeah, I think that's a good call.
00:12:38
There is a little market volatility with this one.
00:12:40
Um, it looks like let me pull these back up.
00:12:43
Uh, in Jersey points.
00:12:47
That is it an even eight right now in this game and eso is that MGM And then Sugar House has actually had uneven nine and a couple of 8.
00:12:55
5 that fanduel and draftkings, they're splitting the middle.
00:12:57
So if you do have one side or the other that you really like in this game True.
00:13:02
Thio shop around where? As we saw in the last game, 5.
00:13:05
5 across the board. This one.
00:13:07
A little bit of volatility there.
00:13:09
Yeah, I always look for your best value bang for your buck.
00:13:12
Um, whenever you can Moving on the Atlanta Falcons vs the Dallas Cowboys.
00:13:19
I know you have some strong leans in this game you wanted to talk about this one a bit.
00:13:22
You're on the Falcons plus 4.5.
00:13:25
That's actually they've actually got it at four points here on the bar stool sports up. So a bit of discrepancy.
00:13:32
Probably across the across the board as well.
00:13:37
But either way, you're on the Falcons plus 4.5.
00:13:40
You're also on the over 53 a half.
00:13:44
Break down this game for me a little bit.
00:13:47
Yeah.
00:13:48
More market volatility here with falcons cowboys.
00:13:51
Uh, 4.
00:13:52
5 is what we've seen throughout the week as this line has settled, Which mind you? It opened closer to 6.
00:13:58
5 7 at most shops.
00:14:00
I know out in Vegas that I'm assuming here on the East Coast is well on.
00:14:05
Now we're seeing 3.5 to pop up in the market.
00:14:07
We got 3.
00:14:08
5, we got four sandals, 3.
00:14:09
5 draftkings of four.
00:14:10
Right now, this continues to go down, and for me, it's a Falcons play all the way down to uneven field.
00:14:16
Goal. It, uh, plus three.
00:14:18
Uh, I think these two teams, or closer, uh, than public perception will lead you to believe.
00:14:24
We know the Cowboys are America's darling team.
00:14:26
Um, big off season for them, getting CD and paying.
00:14:32
Ah, a lot of these guys.
00:14:33
But the defense for me is the concern here.
00:14:35
And that plays right into what the Falcons wanna do.
00:14:37
Dallas lost latent Vander Ash last week to a broken collarbone.
00:14:40
He's gonna be out until the midway point of the season.
00:14:43
That's a big blow to a linebacking corps.
00:14:45
We know the secondary is suspect at best.
00:14:48
And, uh, I mean, unless Aldon Smith is able to just be a one man wrecking crew out there, I guess on that right and throw off in Atlanta offense, which one guy cannot slow down on his own? The Falcons are gonna put up points.
00:15:01
With that being said, Dallas is gonna put up points as well.
00:15:04
It's kind of the same thing on the Atlanta side defensively, unless Tack McKinley just wreaks havoc on this Dallas offensive line, which again, I want to throw it out there.
00:15:14
I don't think this line is a good as it has been in recent years.
00:15:18
Eso that level of success, if you will, that we're used to with the Cowboys offensive line.
00:15:24
It's not gonna be there this year, and I think betters in fantasy players like we're gonna have to be ready for that.
00:15:31
But I don't see attack McKinley.
00:15:32
One man slowing down this talented Cowboys often says, Well, I know, Jake, you're a huge Cowboys families here.
00:15:39
Eso We're gonna have a lot of points in this game.
00:15:42
I love the over.
00:15:43
It's been bet up slightly.
00:15:45
I believe it opened 52 ish around the market.
00:15:48
Uh, I've been seeing 53 a half here the last few days.
00:15:52
We interested to see what you have there, pulled up, but that's still in overplay for me.
00:15:56
I think this game flies over. It's gonna be a shootout.
00:15:58
Ondas Faras the point spread falcons all the way down to plus three for me.
00:16:03
I think this game is close.
00:16:05
I think Atlanta has a real shot to win this outright.
00:16:07
Uh, the opening line was just way too high.
00:16:09
We've seen the sharp money come flooding in on that on.
00:16:12
I'm still playing it down to a field goal s.
00:16:14
So if you could get 4.
00:16:15
5 of this point as we're seeing 3.
00:16:16
5 pop up is I alluded to earlier, Um, that's That's a solid number and looking at it from the other side, I do like the Cowboys this year.
00:16:26
I don't like this line as much as I like the week online against the Rams.
00:16:30
Um, if you could get it at minus three, I might be more inclined than four.
00:16:34
But the Falcons are a tough team and a frustrating team to bet on a lot of times, but they're also frustrating team to bet against eso.
00:16:42
I don't love the Dallas Cowboys minus for this week.
00:16:45
I'd probably be more inclined to take the over with you as well, even at 53 a half, which is what I got at Barcelona right now.
00:16:54
I think there's gonna be a close game as well, and I think both teams are gonna be able to score points but probably not outscore each other too heavily.
00:17:03
We saw the Cowboys, of course, only put up 17 points and weak one could have could have easily had 20.
00:17:09
Mike McCarthy decides to go for it.
00:17:11
I'm sad.
00:17:12
We never got to talk about that game in length this week was Zack.
00:17:15
We could probably reach, you know, address it at some point down the line, but we'll be addressing another Dalit.
00:17:22
We'll be addressing another loss for Uncle Mike here next week with Zach when their own too.
00:17:26
And we'll see how you're doing then. Sure.
00:17:30
I, uh Yeah.
00:17:31
I mean, I need the Cowboys to win this week.
00:17:34
The Cowboys need to win this week, so I think it'll be an interesting I like the over if if you're going to take anything in this game as well.
00:17:43
Um, but falcons, you know, if it's if you got it up 4 4.
00:17:47
5, you're going falcons for me if you got it at three or less, which I don't think it's less anywhere.
00:17:52
But if you get it at three, I start to like the Cowboys a little bit.
00:17:58
That's a game to I'm gonna be interested to see.
00:18:00
Um, what happens with this? Come tomorrow morning? You know, Sunday mornings right up before kick off.
00:18:06
That's when the public money is going to come in.
00:18:08
You know, the public is gonna be betting the favorite here, which Oh, by the way, is Dallas, the public team or one of the public teams? I wonder if this line creep back three other direction a little bit.
00:18:17
You know, I know there are, um there's so much money here in Atlanta at this point from the sharp point of view, I think it will take a lot to do that.
00:18:26
But, you know, it's just one of those things where for nerds like me who just want to track all these line movements, That's one of those things I'll be looking at tomorrow with a A keen eye.
00:18:38
Yeah, those are those are fun to watch And they're always, you know, it makes you feel good when you wait, wait, wait.
00:18:44
And then you end up getting the line at, you know, a better, Um, whatever you're trying to look on, it's a better price for you, A better outcome for you.
00:18:52
That always feels good as three sharp.
00:18:53
Better as well before we move on and talk about the Denver Broncos at the Pittsburgh Steelers.
00:18:59
Just want to say a quick thank you to black, orange and blonde for that nice tip as well as David 96.
00:19:05
We appreciate it of course, everybody have flurry sports.
00:19:09
We do this all because we enjoy it.
00:19:10
But we do it all for you guys, the listeners and viewers as well.
00:19:14
Just trying to make everybody some money and help everybody enjoy their Sundays.
00:19:18
Even more so, Thank you guys for the tip.
00:19:21
Make sure if you want to talk about any specific games or totals, lines, anything like that, make sure you throw them up in the comments section here.
00:19:29
Well, we go a lot or, well, we're live.
00:19:31
And if you're watching the replay, feel free to tweet us tonight or even early on tomorrow before the full slate of games get kicked off as well.
00:19:40
Denver Broncos take on the Pittsburgh Steelers and Steelers.
00:19:44
Look pretty good, Ben.
00:19:45
Big Ben.
00:19:46
Look pretty good, Broncos.
00:19:48
Kind of just in a really boring, a whole lot of nothing.
00:19:51
Game against the Titans.
00:19:53
I don't think we really found out who the Broncos were, um, in their truest sense in Week one, but I think we saw a lot of good things out of the Steelers.
00:20:02
Ah, lot of promise Out of the Steelers.
00:20:04
They are a even touchdown favorite as minus seven favorite with a total of 40 points.
00:20:10
Five again, not a line that I'm all over this week.
00:20:14
There's only like three or four games that I'm going live bullets on this week cause I don't love the board as much as I did Week one.
00:20:20
I do like the Steelers here, though, to take care of business against the Broncos on.
00:20:26
Of course, you know the money line, but also the spread.
00:20:28
Where do you lie on this game? Spread wise.
00:20:34
I think I'm not.
00:20:36
I don't really have a strong opinion either way.
00:20:38
If I had to go on one side, it would be the Steelers.
00:20:41
This Denver team is just They've given us no reason, I guess I would say to not be fading them at this point.
00:20:50
With Von Miller going out rough performance last week, that if Stephen Gostkowski can make kicks, that's easily a double digit Titans win.
00:20:59
So I'm not a fan of Denver.
00:21:02
I got the wind total under.
00:21:03
I'm looking to cash that easily.
00:21:05
I found an eight pretty late in the game on the market, so that Z I guess, my view on the Broncos.
00:21:10
I think this defense, uh, for the most part.
00:21:13
Last week I felt like they did a nice job bottling up Derrick Henry.
00:21:16
Hey, wound up with over 100 yards rushing.
00:21:18
A lot of that came in the fourth quarter.
00:21:20
So of course, fatigue could play a factor.
00:21:22
Thought the Broncos did a decent job bottling him up.
00:21:25
But the Steelers offense is able to attack you in more ways than just the ground game.
00:21:29
In fact, the run game might be the most suspect thing right now with James Connor being banged up.
00:21:35
And you know how many touches he gonna get? How Maney looks for Benny Snell in the run game.
00:21:41
Passing lies.
00:21:42
Ben Roethlisberger look great Coming back off the injury last week, I thought against the Giants.
00:21:45
Granted, it is the giant secondary.
00:21:47
I think even the Denver secondary is gonna be a much more formidable tat formidable challenger, then the New York Giants.
00:21:57
With that, said Juju, Smith, Schuster, Deontay Johnson, even James Washington.
00:22:01
There's three quality weapons there for Ben Roethlisberger to pick this team apart, so it's gonna be Steelers on the spread or pass for me, not a huge, not a huge fan of betting this one either way, but I would lay the touchdown with Pittsburgh.
00:22:16
From a total perspective, I like the under here because I don't know how much scoring, if any, Denver is going to do against this.
00:22:24
Pittsburgh defense already said that.
00:22:27
I think the Steelers might be the best defense here in the NFL this year, and you're getting a total of 40.5.
00:22:34
He has a low total, but Denver could hardly muster two touchdowns against Tennessee last week.
00:22:39
It was not a pretty performance.
00:22:43
So unless Pittsburgh really just opens up here on the scoreboard, which I'm not sure, I see that happening going the other way either or Denver surprises me.
00:22:51
I think under on the total would be the best way I would attack this game, and I've got really nothing to add about.
00:22:58
This game would probably lean every direction that you did already.
00:23:01
For all the reasons you listed.
00:23:03
I just think the Steelers air one of those teams that we've seen it out of the Steelers in previous years, where they start off pretty good, but then throughout the season they get better and better and better, and by playoff time you know they might just sneak in.
00:23:16
But there, that team, nobody wants to play because there they find a way to win.
00:23:19
They got a great defense.
00:23:20
Their offense will probably clicking again.
00:23:23
Yeah, like you said, Denver needs to prove something needs to show that they can, that they're on par with the Steelers before I think about, you know, betting against the Steelers.
00:23:32
That's that's more so how I look at this bet you're either betting, you know, honor against the Steelers.
00:23:37
I'm not really betting with too much faith in the Broncos, and I believe the Steelers defense is going to take care of business.
00:23:43
So I would lean.
00:23:44
Pittsburgh Steelers minus seven coaching matchup.
00:23:48
Mike Tomlin. Vic Fangio.
00:23:50
That's got to be one of the biggest mismatches of the year.
00:23:53
Does Vic Fangio have six first half time outs because he didn't use his left? E Could be.
00:24:00
I think it be five, right? He was left over with two.
00:24:02
Unless maybe they give you can't remember.
00:24:04
Maybe e No, he didn't use them.
00:24:06
And it blew my mind.
00:24:07
Yeah, I was gonna say maybe if you keep two of them, they give you a bonus one, and then you get sick next week or something like that.
00:24:13
Eso that's that should be a fun game as well.
00:24:17
Moving on to the first game, which I feel pretty good about.
00:24:20
I think we are on opposite sides of this one.
00:24:24
No, wait, no, You didn't give me a pick on this game.
00:24:27
Um, Is the Bills versus the Dolphins Bills 5.
00:24:30
5 point favorites.
00:24:32
Total is at 42.
00:24:34
I like the bills here.
00:24:37
I mean, I liked the Bills a lot last week.
00:24:39
We sat here and talked about the Bills Jets game for probably 20 minutes last week on.
00:24:44
Guy won't bring it up.
00:24:45
I won't say too much, but the Bills have the ability to score points.
00:24:50
They've got a really talented offense.
00:24:52
They've got ah, young, talented quarterback who made to bad fumbles in week one.
00:24:58
I don't think he repeats those mistakes in Week two, and you have in Miami defense who probably over achieved a little bit, played pretty well all in all against the New England Patriots, who, you know, granted, we're figuring things out with Cam Newton, but still looks pretty decent.
00:25:12
Held them to 22 points or whatever it was 25 points.
00:25:15
Um, I think the Dolphins defense takes a step back this week.
00:25:19
I think they give up even more.
00:25:23
Don't think that you're you know you're gonna be able to do much against that Bills defense, which is a top three defense in the league.
00:25:29
In basically every category.
00:25:31
Ryan Fitzpatrick in there doesn't look like the same old Ryan Fitzpatrick.
00:25:36
Hey might finally be at the end of his magical run.
00:25:39
I think 5.
00:25:40
5 points is pretty easy.
00:25:42
Would would be surprised if Miami is able to keep this game within a touchdown.
00:25:46
So I like the Bills minus 5.5.
00:25:49
It is one of my live bullets this week.
00:25:54
I've got nothing on this game, and it's not because I'm a Jets fan and hate both of these teams as a F C East rivals.
00:26:00
Or that I'm salty that the Bills beat us last week.
00:26:02
Or that the Dolphins couldn't be New England, who I probably hate a little more than Miami.
00:26:06
Right now, I can't find a lien.
00:26:09
Miami, throughout history regularly just gives these a F C East divisional opponents fits down when they have to go play in Florida and the Bills air. No exception.
00:26:22
Miami is always playing these teams tough at home.
00:26:24
We see the disparity.
00:26:27
Even Tom Brady in New England would go down there and lose when they were supposed to win eso.
00:26:32
That's a factor for me.
00:26:34
Are you talked about the Dolphins defense a little bit? Well, I don't think it's fully fixed from where it's been.
00:26:41
I think you have to look at and say it's better than last year, at least right with all the money that they put in to the secondary and even the front as well, the linebackers.
00:26:51
I think the Miami defense is one of the most improved units.
00:26:55
Um, in the NFL this year, I would go that far.
00:26:59
I'm not saying Miami as a team is gonna win so many games that they're one of the most improved.
00:27:04
I think that defense So you gotta look at three investments that they made and say it's coming in right direction.
00:27:12
With that said, Buffalo has got one of the top defenses in the NFL.
00:27:16
So if Ryan Fitzpatrick and this Dolphins offense couldn't really get anything going against a Patriots defense that, while still great, is has lost of guys in the off season and also lost a few key players to covert opt out, namely Dont'a Hightower.
00:27:32
So if Miami couldn't really muster anything there, what's to say they're going to do so much better against the Bills that they're gonna be right in this game and cover the spread, let alone went out right? If I had to do anything on this game, it might be a flyer.
00:27:49
You know, small, that Flyer Moneyline ticket on the Dolphins at plus 1 95 plus 200 in that range.
00:27:57
You know, that's just if you really wanna have action on it, which I'm not encouraging anyone to just have action toe have action.
00:28:03
But it's too tough to call for me the total.
00:28:08
While you would think it would go under these games in Miami, you never know.
00:28:11
So it's a pass for me across the board, I think, but I respect your bills pick.
00:28:16
If they win this game against Miami, I think it's safe to say that coming into the year I have the Bills offense, I think, especially because you know, I have full respect for this defense.
00:28:26
But offensively, if it's all clicking with Josh on and digs in some of those new pieces at Moss that running back splitting time here with Devin Singletary.
00:28:36
Um, if they look good again this week, I think I will have to boost my power rating there for the Buffalo offense.
00:28:41
For sure.
00:28:44
Yeah, I just I just really like Buffalo, and I think 5.
00:28:47
5 is a pretty favorable line, so I'm gonna roll with them.
00:28:50
Um, I also I'm looking at this right now.
00:28:52
You could get buffalo over 23 a half for minus 108 I think they scored 30 points this week.
00:28:58
So I love that bat as well.
00:29:00
I'm probably gonna add that to my live bullets.
00:29:02
Buffalo team total, uh, 20/23 0.5.
00:29:10
You could also take over 11.
00:29:11
5 in the first half.
00:29:14
Um, don't like that One is much, but I think it's definitely doable again.
00:29:19
I think I think the bills, they're gonna come out, be able to produce on offense, gonna be able to score, and I just think even more than that, they're gonna be able to prevent Miami from scoring.
00:29:28
So 5.
00:29:29
5 point spread pretty safe to me.
00:29:31
I also like the over 23 a half team total for the bills.
00:29:37
Next game, we're gonna look at here.
00:29:42
You did give me a pick on it.
00:29:44
Is Minnesota vs Indianapolis 49.
00:29:50
Um, it isn't even 49 a bar stool as well.
00:29:53
I've seen the Vikings as much as a 3.
00:29:55
5 point dog.
00:29:56
I kind of like that 3.
00:29:57
5 points out of the Vikings Moneyline plus 1 45.
00:30:02
It's not super intriguing to me.
00:30:04
If we were up in the maybe 1 75 1 80 range, I might, you know, throw a little bit more at it.
00:30:09
But I'm just not confident enough.
00:30:11
Thio throw much of that money line.
00:30:13
Maybe a small bet, but I duly in Vikings.
00:30:16
Um, if I'm gonna have to pick, I think I think that they're not quite as bad as Aaron Rodgers made them out to be on defense.
00:30:24
I think they have potential on offense.
00:30:26
I don't think they're great, but I think they have potential.
00:30:29
The colts obviously found something in him.
00:30:32
Heinz and Jonathan Taylor each had a really big day out of the Colts backfield in Week one.
00:30:38
I think Philip Rivers is gonna be able to continue to connect on passes and find his guys out wide.
00:30:44
I think it'll be a close game, but I just like the 3 3.
00:30:46
5 points from our that the Vikings air getting Why are you so big on the over in this game? Well, it's not my favorite overplay.
00:30:57
The week you're looking at totals.
00:30:59
I would much rather take the Atlanta Cowboys game over.
00:31:02
But looking at last week, these Vikings defense is not.
00:31:06
The Vikings defense were used.
00:31:07
Thio and I think I agree with you, but probably not as bad as Aaron Rodgers made them out to be.
00:31:12
That's a horrible matchup for coming off the co vid ruined offseason with alterations in training camp and no pre season on.
00:31:21
Then you have to go against that guy in Week one that Z not good on.
00:31:26
We saw that for a minute, so it wasn't good.
00:31:28
Uh, with that said, Indianapolis is coming off lost in a game that they should have one and I fully think that Philip Rivers is going Thio come out in this game a swinging and you know the Colts should be running the football more than they did last week.
00:31:46
I think it was only like 22 carries, and yet they were averaging for maybe even a little bit mawr yards per carry.
00:31:54
That's something that here this week, I believe Frank Reich has talked about that.
00:31:58
They need to do even losing Marlon Mack to the injury.
00:32:02
But they're fully confident in Jonathan Taylor and Mahin Heinz.
00:32:06
With that said, I think looking at this matchup Yeah, the Vikings defensive front is not the same as it's been in years past, but writes a good coach.
00:32:17
ATTN Least we assume he's a good coach, especially offensively and giving Rivers a chance.
00:32:22
Thio cut it loose here against this depleted and young secondary.
00:32:26
Uh, that's something that I think Indianapolis is really gonna look to dio t y Hilton Paris.
00:32:33
Campbell showed up last week.
00:32:34
Michael Pittman, the rookie as well.
00:32:36
Um, even the tight ends there, Jack Doyle.
00:32:40
So I like the Colts here to score in this game.
00:32:43
I think Minnesota can also scores well I think that Vikings offense, uh, being you know, maybe a little bit pushed around is being worse than it actually is.
00:32:53
The running back Thio is phenomenal with Dalvin Cook and Alexander Madison.
00:32:56
I think Madison, uh, if you're in a fantasy league and somehow he's not rostered or you can trade for him for for cheap, do it now you know we know Dalvin Cook's injury history, but also Madison was getting some run last week on, but I think that continues over the course of the season, where he's going to get regular game touches and they may increase even a za time goes on on depending on the Vikings situation and standing is what they want to do with cookers.
00:33:24
Faras keeping him fresh and whatnot.
00:33:27
But Adam feeling as well in the offense there.
00:33:30
Not really a solid number two receiver but Justin Jefferson? I don't think he had a pretty decent game last week in his NFL debut, so I think Minnesota could put up points as well and that's essentially I see points coming from both sides here.
00:33:44
I think both sides could easily top 2024 Onda winning side I was gonna have a little bit more.
00:33:52
I don't have a strong plan on the spread.
00:33:53
So if I'm attacking this game, uh, it is on the total these air to desperate teams here, though I think we can definitely agree on that.
00:34:03
You start on one, and now you're looking at the prospects of going on to the Colts, especially at home.
00:34:08
But also, Minnesota can't go into here either.
00:34:10
So this is a big game for both teams.
00:34:14
Yeah, obviously, as a Packers fan.
00:34:17
And, um, you know, somebody who's grown up watching the NFC North watching the Vikings lose, I will take a Vikings lost any time.
00:34:24
I would rather see them owing to than see the Colts owing to, um, I just I hope the Colts don't have another super disip pointing season.
00:34:33
I would like to see Philip River respond some success and make that a fun team toe watch.
00:34:38
Uh, it's a big week here.
00:34:40
I mean, oh, and to Oh, and two is the hole that you can climb out of, but it's not where you wanna be.
00:34:45
Uh, both these teams, like you said gonna be playing with desperation, and I think desperation often equals points.
00:34:52
So this should be a fun one toe watch.
00:34:55
Especially if you're on the over 49.
00:34:57
The next one.
00:34:59
You got something else on it.
00:35:01
I was just gonna say real quick.
00:35:02
I just looked depending on your lien that MGM is at three and a hook.
00:35:07
All the other books here a t least on the East Coast Draftkings, fanduel, sugar house.
00:35:12
They're all uneven. Three.
00:35:14
So if you want that extra half a point with the Vikings, that would be a place to look.
00:35:21
There you go again. Always.
00:35:23
Always take your best value.
00:35:24
I mean, why not? Um, Detroit Lions take on the Green Bay Packers.
00:35:31
I know you're on the Lions.
00:35:32
Plus 6.5 on this one.
00:35:34
I have got the Packers in so many different ways.
00:35:37
I've got the over in first half.
00:35:39
I've got there over Team Total.
00:35:41
I've got the over in this game.
00:35:43
I've got the minus six minus 6.
00:35:44
5 and minus seven.
00:35:46
I have an absurd amount of money on this Packers game.
00:35:49
Ah, here in week two.
00:35:52
I just don't see the packers coming out flat by any means after section explosion.
00:35:57
Yeah, you know, they might not come out and put up almost a 50 burger again, But I don't think you're gonna need Thio against the Lions offense, which is once again relying on Marvin Jones.
00:36:07
He's proven that he's no good as a top target.
00:36:10
No, Kenny Golladay Quintas Cephus.
00:36:13
Sure, you're gonna have to respect him, But I don't think he's going thio Tear apart your team.
00:36:17
Um, the obviously Dalvin cook is better than both DeAndre Swift and Adrian Peterson.
00:36:24
And the Packers were able to keep him in check for the most part last week.
00:36:28
Well, playing the Vikings, so I don't think the running backs, they're gonna have to be too big of a concern for the Packers defense as well.
00:36:36
Um, not to mention the Lions have three cornerbacks out, and we saw what the we saw Aaron Rodgers were able to do was able to do against the cornerback group of the Vikings.
00:36:47
I think the same exact thing happens to the Lions and I think that this one gets sort of out of hand.
00:36:52
I could see this one being won by an astronomical amount.
00:36:56
I will take 67 10 whatever you want to give me.
00:37:00
I'm confident in the Packers this week.
00:37:02
Um, I guess it's too late to talk me out of the Packers because I've got all those bets locked in.
00:37:09
But why are you on the lines this week? All right, so real quick.
00:37:14
Just with the line.
00:37:16
Secondary news.
00:37:17
Uh, Alan Lazard Market, Osvaldo scanning and fancy.
00:37:21
Are you starting them? I do have Alan Lasarte.
00:37:24
So I started him.
00:37:26
I'm hoping he has a huge week because I started him over Tyler Boyd in two different leagues this week.
00:37:32
And, of course, Tyler boy goes out, puts up 20.
00:37:34
2 points, finds the end zone a couple times, and it's like, Well, here we go back again in this familiar position, but, um, I do like out.
00:37:42
I mean, I think I don't know if both of them are gonna have 20 point weeks again.
00:37:47
I think one of them might end up with a big week, while the other one just has an average or below average type week.
00:37:54
Um, but I think they both I've said it before.
00:37:57
I think they both have week to week value riel value, especially against a beat up secondary went missing three starters.
00:38:05
So I do have Alma's art in a couple lineups.
00:38:09
Yeah, I'm gonna have MVS in the lineup because, like you, I benched Boyd and with Jamison Crowder now being ruled out for the Jets, which we'll get to, uh, I have effectively put myself in the position of starting Marquez Valdas scaling in this game.
00:38:22
So I need points here from the Packers offense.
00:38:24
I'm not gonna lie.
00:38:25
Uh, with that said, with all the lions health issues, this'll is a game where I don't love the line and don't love taking the points here with lions as much as I did.
00:38:37
I think earlier in the week offensively, I think Detroit is gonna be fine.
00:38:42
I love Quintas Eva's.
00:38:43
You know, we talked with Zach on here about him last week in impressive debut, and he gets another shot here with Kenny Golladay again being held out.
00:38:53
Is it gonna be the Lions offense once Golladay is back in the lineup by nappy, But I think between the trio of Cephus being a threat, albeit as a rookie, Marvin Jones Not a great top target, but he can't get it done, and then Danny Amendola to.
00:39:08
He showed up again last week, and you know you can't kick him to the curb yet. He's still getting it done.
00:39:13
Uh, this lines run game.
00:39:16
It's better than it's been in years past.
00:39:18
I think Adrian Peterson gets plenty intelligence here this week.
00:39:20
He started well, for me in Fantasy and DeAndre Swift is the wild card there as well? Uh, you know, drop that touchdown passed last week, but you could still get it done here a little bit, a swell both in the running and receiving games.
00:39:34
I think Green Bay is gonna put up a lot of points on this defense, and it's all gonna be for me.
00:39:39
Can Detroit keep it close? And I think your own one you lost in the fashion you did that's going to do one of two things to a team.
00:39:46
It's gonna totally to flight you for the next week.
00:39:48
Or, you know, you're gonna be playing with your tail on fire, knowing you don't want to go into a no to whole especially 02 when these air both divisional games, Green Bay wins this there in the driver's seat to divisional winds.
00:40:00
Detroit is gonna be at the back of the line with two divisional losses, so I think Matthew Stafford comes out, has a game.
00:40:09
I don't think Detroit wins this game, and I would love it if the line would creep to 7 7.
00:40:14
5, which is very well might tomorrow if the public money comes in on the Packers.
00:40:19
A full touchdown with Detroit and I am all in 6.5.
00:40:23
It's it, Zenobia.
00:40:25
Smaller play.
00:40:27
You didn't talk me out of it in Faldo.
00:40:29
How's that? I mean, that's fine, whatever you want with your money, But I know I'm constantly on the Packers.
00:40:36
Hey there, we dio That's you and me in this game. E.
00:40:40
I don't know if I love that I have the lion on my home.
00:40:42
It I would be a lot less comfortable if I was in your position, but that's fine.
00:40:48
Um, I love also the Packers, starting off their season with two NFC North matchups.
00:40:54
Eso you're not only starting your season two and oh, but you're starting your season two and o potentially, you know, in in the most important games of the season especially when you have Minnesota.
00:41:07
And now Detroit, sitting in pretty good position, might be staring owing to right in the face.
00:41:12
You're on the other side of things.
00:41:13
You're too.
00:41:14
And, oh, um, if the Packers won this weekend will be two weeks into the season and I'll be 25% of the way to cashing my season over.
00:41:21
Bet I mean, 8.
00:41:22
5 was just a ridiculously disgraceful line to give the Packers as a season total this year.
00:41:29
Just made a way too easy for the over betters.
00:41:31
Uh, they're gonna go to L.
00:41:33
They're going to take care of business against the Lions.
00:41:35
I just don't see the Lions being able to keep up with the Packers, even if the Packers are only 75% what we saw against the Vikings last week.
00:41:44
If the defense is a little bit better, I think that they could blow the lines out of the water.
00:41:49
I do.
00:41:50
I do not want the lines to get shot out, though, as I'm big on the over in this game as well.
00:41:53
I have the over at 49 a half, it's now an even 50 on Barth Cool Sports book.
00:41:59
But I would like it if the Packers won this game like 35 21 somewhere in that area, which I think is very realistic, maybe even 35 24.
00:42:09
Um, I'll take that as well.
00:42:12
Any last thoughts on this NFC North matchup here, I think just my last thought it would be given the stakes we've already talked about, and it's a divisional game that makes me think Detroit's gonna hang close.
00:42:26
I think that's the biggest rationale behind my pick.
00:42:29
The Lions always probably Green Bay close.
00:42:31
We saw even last year.
00:42:32
They should have had a win against them.
00:42:34
I think that came was at Lambeau, right? And the refs just, you know, brutally butchered that came at the end.
00:42:39
So with that being said, you know Green Bay is not gonna have the crowd here coming home, No fans assured in the stands, I think through this month, right at Lambeau.
00:42:49
So that's something that I took into account as well.
00:42:53
Uh, I think Green Bay has a lot of advantages and should win this game.
00:42:59
They should win this game.
00:43:01
I think it's just gonna be closer than a lot of people think.
00:43:05
And I guess you have my final thought it would be Hang around.
00:43:09
Watch what happens tomorrow morning if this hits seven or even 7.
00:43:13
5 with a flood of public money, I'm fine with the Detroit believe here.
00:43:18
I still am.
00:43:19
Well, and I would really love the packers.
00:43:21
Blow out, um, for my pocketbook as well, because my whole trip would essentially be paid for just with my packers.
00:43:28
That's, um I did not realize how crazy I went until I went back and looked through my pending plays.
00:43:34
And I was like, I got about six bets going on this game right now.
00:43:38
They are very small.
00:43:39
Eso itt's definitely gonna be a big one and probably the main game I'm watching tomorrow during the early slate Rams and eagles this line And maybe, you know, you're going that studies lines, you watch it all week long.
00:43:57
This line has just been kind of confusing to me.
00:44:00
Started as a pickem, um, and then the Rams moved to a minus one favorite.
00:44:06
Now they've swung to a plus 1.
00:44:08
5 underdog.
00:44:10
Um, why? Why the eagles being the favorite this week.
00:44:15
Obviously, they get Miles Sanders back.
00:44:18
But nothing else about what I saw out of the Eagles makes me feel very confident.
00:44:23
When I compared to what I saw out of the Los Angeles Rams in Week one.
00:44:27
Why, why the line movement and why are the Eagles a favor here? What we talked about the Miami Louisville game off the top of the show here tonight.
00:44:37
Just curious to see how that one plays out.
00:44:39
Given the back and forth here of the line, this game has been even crazier, actually opened Eagles as's two point favorites.
00:44:47
I'm pretty sure got that right to the Rams, Aziz one point favorites here early in the week, and it kind of hung around there and then all of a sudden, here into today, uh, Draftkings has got the Eagles, and I think you said Marshall had them the same way as 1.
00:45:01
5 point favorites.
00:45:03
Again, there's a lot of things going on here.
00:45:06
First Overreactions and perception from Week one.
00:45:10
That's a theory that, you know a lot of people have been presenting around this game theory.
00:45:14
Eagles shouldn't be losing toe Washington football team in the minds of a lot of people, and they did, and they weren't healthy in doing it, though. That's the key.
00:45:23
Some of these guys are gonna be back this week. Miles Sanders.
00:45:26
I was listening to some injury ****ysis on him last night, so fantasy owners kind of tuning in as well.
00:45:31
It was actually a doctor.
00:45:32
Talking about it was really good.
00:45:33
Um, and he's not 100% sure that he's going to be a full go this Wikus faras reps go.
00:45:40
There was still a little bit of a hitch when he was decelerating.
00:45:43
I guess in practice, some of the footage hey had looked at this week.
00:45:46
So keep an eye on Miles Sanders for fantasy might not be the R B one R B to lock wherever you have in there on your team that you drafted him thinking we're gonna get but the Eagles.
00:45:57
The other key injury ****ysis for me is with tackle Lane Johnson.
00:46:03
He's gonna be back and he's gonna be ready to go.
00:46:05
And that offensive line with the Replacements and the starters they had left a few stars they had left last week.
00:46:12
It just got eaten alive.
00:46:13
With that, said, the Washington defensive front has got to be one of the best in the NFL.
00:46:18
That defensive front that they have assembled, their adding Chase Young is the cherry on top.
00:46:24
I guess, if you will a bit more of a cherry in terms of the impact he brings.
00:46:27
But they're phenomenal, and they will wreak havoc on mortgage aims here this year.
00:46:33
So the Eagles, I think, come in a little bit underestimated off of what they did.
00:46:38
The Rams, though, is the interesting one for me, because are they overestimated off what they did in the betting market? I like the Rams last week against Dallas, getting three, getting to whatever it closed out there all week, though I would.
00:46:50
I was on the Rams, and they won the game outright.
00:46:54
But now you've got a cross country trip to the Eagles team who for, you know they've been butted up against the Cowboys, is the two front runners in the NFC East.
00:47:02
I think a lot of people had them both better than the Rams coming into the year, so this one's gonna be interesting for me to see how it plays out and with this late line movement, I didn't I didn't know what to do when the spread was Rams was one.
00:47:15
I think I was still leaning Rams because that's essentially a pick, right? But with this ley line movement back to the Eagles, it's gonna be a money line flyer here for me on the Rams.
00:47:24
That plus money.
00:47:26
Uh, I want to see it from the Eagles.
00:47:29
There's still a lot of questions about that passing game Carson wants.
00:47:31
Did not look good last week.
00:47:32
Granted, a lot of it was the Washington defense just taking them completely either.
00:47:37
Rhythm in the second half, this Rams offense.
00:47:39
There's a lot to be excited about, and I know the Philly defense is good much better than the Dallas defense.
00:47:44
But it's gonna be a plus.
00:47:46
Money play here for me on the rands in this game and you know it. Philly beats me.
00:47:51
They beat me.
00:47:52
I'm okay to live with that, I guess, here.
00:47:54
But the prospect of getting the Rams let me just look here quick at draftkings, so that plus 1 10 and the Eagles might draw a little more public money tomorrow.
00:48:02
So if you wanna wait around? You can, but I'll take a plus 1 10 here with the ramps to win.
00:48:07
However, I totally agree.
00:48:11
Across the board, the one question is, and I think you put it really well.
00:48:14
Did the Rams overachieve? Did they show a little bit mawr against the Cowboys than maybe what they're truly capable of on that? But as Faras is in the betting market, they're also in a position to win two weeks in a row now, as Moneyline underdogs, a realistic position to win two weeks in a row as Moneyline underdogs.
00:48:36
So if you like the Rams, if you're big on the Rams, take them now and take them in these early weeks before the market does adjust and you don't get the opportunities to get take plus money on a team that you know looks like they're gonna be pretty good throughout the course of the season.
00:48:50
I will take a plus 1 10 bet on this Rams team without thinking twice, Uh, might as might as well take the points, too, while you're at it.
00:48:58
If you're gonna if you're gonna play it both ways, take the 1.
00:49:00
5 for a little bit of insurance, but, um e like you said at one point, it's essentially a pick Him.
00:49:07
I locked in my bet when the Rams were minus one s.
00:49:11
Oh, I'm definitely would take them again.
00:49:13
Now put a little bit more on D plus 1 10 money line.
00:49:17
I also used them as my best bet in my against the spread pools.
00:49:22
At least want my big against the spread pool.
00:49:24
I I like the Rams a lot this week and, yeah, I think the eagles of playing tough.
00:49:28
But when all you have to do is win the game, you don't have much of a spread to worry about.
00:49:33
It makes me feel even better about this RAM squad.
00:49:36
So, uh, I definitely like the Rams across the board here.
00:49:40
Yeah, and you can look at like I know there are a lot of historical trends, obviously the Eagles favorite in week one, and they lost out right? And those teams typically bounced back and do really well in Week two with their backs up against the wall.
00:49:51
Um, this game, though, you know it's almost one for me where I just cannot wait to sit down and watch it.
00:49:58
I know you said you're gonna be giving Packers lions your TV spotlight here.
00:50:03
I guess amongst the early games, it's gonna be this one all day for me, like there's just so much that I'm looking forward to seeing with line movement.
00:50:11
It just gets me even more excited.
00:50:12
I know I'm a nerd.
00:50:13
Already said that, but but, yeah, I think we're in agreement here that the Rams are the play.
00:50:19
Um, I just for me.
00:50:21
I don't feel comfortable laying points with the Eagles after what we saw last week, and you have some of these guys, we're gonna be back and are reportedly healthy.
00:50:30
But we talked about the football team's defensive line.
00:50:34
I don't know.
00:50:35
I've already said a lot about this game, so I'll be quick here.
00:50:36
But the Rams have got a guy named Aaron Donald who could very well have his way with the Eagles offensive line as well.
00:50:42
So I'll just throw that out there, and that could throw them off their game plan again.
00:50:47
Yeah, they I mean, they struggled like you said, with the front of that Washington defense, the Rams have a pretty good defensive front as well with a guy who was named the best player in the NFL not more than just a couple of years ago.
00:51:02
So it'll be challenging for Philadelphia no matter what.
00:51:06
Um, going to describe and roll through these next couple of games so we could spend a little bit of time on the primetime Games.
00:51:12
Jacksonville Jaguars versus the Tennessee Titans Don't really much care about this game.
00:51:17
I hope the Jaguars win because I took the under on the season total with the Titans.
00:51:22
A lot of people called me crazy, which whatever is justified under 8.
00:51:25
5 for a team that made such a run in the playoffs last year, whatever I get it.
00:51:30
But I'm not big on.
00:51:31
The Titans would love to see Minshew continue his success and watch the Jaguars just go out there and win, despite you know, their best efforts trying to lose eso.
00:51:41
I would like to jag the Jags to win this game, how likely that is, you know, probably pretty low, but I don't really much care about this game.
00:51:49
I don't really care about the spread, and I don't like the Jags enough, especially winning week one.
00:51:53
I think they come back to reality a little bit on definitely not taking them on the money line this week, so I'm not on this game in any way.
00:52:05
I don't have a great play on it because there's a lot of uncer*****y and unknowns.
00:52:10
I think Tennessee has got to be better than beating Denver by two, and we saw that if they could make their kicks shout out Stephen Gostkowski get it done this week, they would have beaten them by more than two.
00:52:21
And Jacksonville, You know they're the wild car, but they can't possibly sustain what they did against Indianapolis and you look at box scores.
00:52:26
I know you don't typically want to just look at a box score when you're ****yzing a game after the fact they got dominated by the Colts and the fact that they pulled that game out is just impressive.
00:52:36
But Gardner Minshew is not gonna go complete 95% of his passes.
00:52:39
Me and I think we can all agree on that, so there's gotta be some regression here this week just based on how last week fell into their hands.
00:52:47
I guess you will or they stole it.
00:52:49
However, you wanna look at it, there's gotta be some regression to the mean here.
00:52:52
For what we know this team is actually capable of all off season.
00:52:56
I thought Tennessee was better than Indianapolis, and you look at the look at headlines four week too back before the week.
00:53:03
One slate, of course.
00:53:04
And the Titans? I believe we're around 12 at most shops a T least out in Vegas.
00:53:10
It opened what it open? 11 11.
00:53:13
5, I think.
00:53:14
And now it's spent all the way down 7.
00:53:15
5 I'm reading here addressed a huge movement, that zoo a lot of points, especially for a team that coming into the year, most everyone would have had them power rated probably in the bottom three in the NFL if you had the Jaguars higher. Congratulations.
00:53:32
You look smart after Week one, but I don't think it's sustainable.
00:53:36
You know, they might win more games than they set out to do in this hashtag tank for Trevor season, but they're not gonna be a winning football team.
00:53:46
Um, in Tennessee, for me being the cream of the crop in the A F C South.
00:53:50
This is another reaction.
00:53:51
So if I am gonna bet this game, I give me the 7.
00:53:54
5 of the Titans.
00:53:55
I don't love it, and that's why I probably will stay off it.
00:53:59
I might reconsider here before kick off tomorrow, because that's how I am.
00:54:04
But given the spread movement alone, it will be interesting to see for May.
00:54:08
I guess how this one plays out.
00:54:10
If I'm leaning anywhere, though, it is that the betting market is overreacted to what Jackson did in week one.
00:54:17
Yeah, I agree.
00:54:18
I think you know, just seeing a team play for one week and then having it, you know, be worth five points. That's pretty.
00:54:26
I mean, that's a lot, a lot.
00:54:31
So, yeah, I I don't like Jacksonville in this position, but I also don't love Tennessee, so I'm staying off the spread.
00:54:39
I don't like the total either.
00:54:40
At 44 if you if this was like a 39.
00:54:42
5 total or something, I would like the over if it was closer to 50.
00:54:47
I might like the under, but 44 is just kind of a nasty number, especially feels like no man's land for this game? Exactly.
00:54:55
Exactly.
00:54:56
So I'm staying off this game completely.
00:54:59
If you are betting it or you have any any stronger leans on it, let us know on Twitter.
00:55:04
Um, inform us, please.
00:55:06
I mean, I'm always looking for, uh, Mawr.
00:55:10
More opinions and valid opinions, especially on games that I don't have very strong feelings about.
00:55:14
So let us know what you think about Jacksonville and Tennessee this game.
00:55:19
This this game that follows.
00:55:20
Probably gonna have a lot to say about it.
00:55:22
So we'll try and keep it short.
00:55:23
But it is the San Francisco 40 Niners versus the New York football Jets.
00:55:29
Both teams just have a smattering of injuries.
00:55:33
Uh, the field for the 40 Niners, of course.
00:55:36
Deebo, Samuel on IR for the Jets.
00:55:40
We've got laid Ian Bell on IR Jamison Crowder is now out.
00:55:44
Um, maybe even a few more guys that I'm missing.
00:55:47
Those are the big game.
00:55:49
San Francisco 6.
00:55:51
5 point favorite.
00:55:52
I wish I would have known.
00:55:53
I walked this in early in the week.
00:55:55
I walked Abedin on, like, Tuesday or something like that.
00:55:59
Uh, it was It was San Francisco minus seven.
00:56:01
I was very confident in that bet, Um, having, you know, knowing about the Crowder injury and things like that.
00:56:08
And then, of course, less than 24 hour hours later, it is announced that Kittel will not be playing.
00:56:13
So I, you know, don't feel as great about my minus seven.
00:56:16
Um, San Francisco Bet.
00:56:19
But I subscribe to the theory that good teams will have a bounce back week after a bad loss.
00:56:27
And it wasn't necessarily a bad loss against the Cardinals team who went out and played really well and earned that victory.
00:56:32
But I think the 40 Niners are a good team.
00:56:34
I think they're set up for a bounce back, and they have the benefit of playing a bad Jets team here in Week two.
00:56:40
So I'm worried a little bit, but not, uh, not overly worried.
00:56:44
As I've got San Francisco minus seven.
00:56:46
The line is at 6.
00:56:47
5 Now, I know you like the under 41 a half and 40 Niners minus seven or minus 6.
00:56:54
5 now, so at least I've got you on my side here.
00:56:57
Um, why do you still believe in the 40 Niners against your Jets and tell us about the under the under is the play of the day here for May.
00:57:10
It's 6.5.
00:57:11
Honestly, I could take it or leave it with San Francisco at this point.
00:57:14
Uh, just looking at you know how this offense kind of shakes out without George Kittle.
00:57:19
Without Deebo, Samuel, it's all gonna be on Brandon.
00:57:22
I you care right in the passing game.
00:57:25
What San Francisco is going to do with that being said is they're gonna try and calm the football big day for he, mostly just in terms of volume.
00:57:32
Tevin Coleman's gonna get on in on the act.
00:57:34
Jerick McKinnon, who had a nice role in the passing game last week.
00:57:36
You got to expect that again because they just have no targets.
00:57:40
You might also get a few here carries a swell getting draw situations, etcetera.
00:57:46
The Jets run defense is probably the strong point of their defense.
00:57:51
With that being said, the front is banged up right now.
00:57:54
The Jets air just banged up all over the place.
00:57:58
Last week was a banged up football game because they were terrible and now they might be even worse here against the 40 Niners.
00:58:05
Looking at the defensive front being injured.
00:58:08
Levin Bell out on offense.
00:58:10
Jamison Crowder out on offense.
00:58:12
Who's Sam? Donald's gonna be throwing the football, too, So I think for me with so many injury question marks on both offenses, when it comes down to it, I would back the San Francisco offense over the Jets offense based on what we saw last week S O.
00:58:28
That would be by rationale in a point spread play.
00:58:33
I would still take the 40 Niners, um, at 6.5.
00:58:38
But I want the seven.
00:58:39
Let me just be clear with that.
00:58:40
I definitely want the seven here.
00:58:42
Eso Unless it swings back the other way, I will be going there.
00:58:47
I the total, though that was what I was going to get to If San Francisco's grounding out the clock here ground and pound and the Jets just aren't gonna be scoring, I would think the San Francisco defensive front.
00:58:59
Yeah, Richard Sherman, I got placed on our so he's gonna miss the next three weeks, but the 40 Niners defensive front is healthy.
00:59:05
That's probably the healthiest unit here in this ballgame and the Trots offensive line.
00:59:10
While it might be a little bit better than last year's edition, when you add in the rookie Moon Chi back and then some of the free agency editions, uh, it is not going to hold up here in this one against what? What are the 40 Niners rotating seven or eight guys here in on the defensive line? They should just be able to eat.
00:59:28
Donald's gonna be getting crushed all day.
00:59:31
Uh, so the judges are gonna be scoring San Francisco's.
00:59:34
San Francisco is gonna be shorting the clock with the ground game and probably not scoring a whole lot themselves.
00:59:42
Uh, just because I think the Jets should be able to stop the run here for a little while in this game under 41 a half all day.
00:59:49
I can't believe this total is higher than what were some of the other games were talking about earlier.
00:59:53
41 a half in this game vs 40.
00:59:57
5 Steelers Broncos.
01:00:00
I think this game will be lower scoring than that one.
01:00:02
Uh, what else do we have? 42 in Giants Bears? I would much rather back this one at a half point under to go under that total.
01:00:11
Then I would Giants bears that when I was kinda on the fence.
01:00:13
This one's an under hit all day for me, And I did.
01:00:19
You know, I thought I was missing another big name there when I was listening off the injuries.
01:00:23
Richard Sherman was the e.
01:00:27
I like the under as well.
01:00:29
I would ride with you there.
01:00:30
And if you are going Thio, play the spread.
01:00:33
I mean, I'm already locked in on Niners minus seven, so I'm gonna be pulling for that pretty hard.
01:00:39
But again, I think the Niners are set up and probably licking their chops.
01:00:43
Even without George Kittle Ain't even without those other offensive weapons, I think they're probably looking their shops to get back at it and right their wrong from week one against the bad Jets team in Week two.
01:00:56
Final thoughts.
01:00:59
Yeah, So I gotta ask you, George Kittles out.
01:01:01
We know the 40 Niners receiver situation.
01:01:04
Where is Jordan Reed? As far as the fancy tie in this week.
01:01:08
Way talked about this last night.
01:01:11
I actually don't think Jordan reads Jordan reads a bad play right now, especially if you're in a pretty deep No, um, I think I think he's obviously we know what his talent is.
01:01:22
This is a guy that was being selected or in the conversation with Travis Kelsey just a few years ago.
01:01:27
Often being selected before Travis Kelsey in talks is the best tight end of the league.
01:01:32
Um, it's concussions that have had have hindered him in his career, not physical injuries.
01:01:39
Not the not the ability to, you know, not catch the ball.
01:01:42
Nothing like that.
01:01:43
He's got the whole skill set, and he just needs an opportunity again now.
01:01:47
And I think through happenstance, he's gonna have the ball thrown his direction, a decent amount here.
01:01:52
So I don't think Jordan Reed is a bad flyer in DFS or a bad, bad pickup moving forward here in your in your league or at least a streamer this week.
01:02:03
I completely agree he's total screw dreamer for me unless this kettle injury lingers longer, which I don't think it will granted.
01:02:11
Kittles is tough as nails, but San Francisco, I think, figures that they could get by in this game without him.
01:02:16
But like we've already talked about? Where is Jimmy Garoppolo gonna be going with the football? I'm picking up Jordan Reed.
01:02:23
And if I have any bit of a question mark at the tight end position where I don't have one of the top, I don't know eight guys.
01:02:31
I'm probably throwing him in the lineup and for DFS.
01:02:34
Like you said, I'm not a DFS guru.
01:02:36
I'm not going to sit here and pretend I am one, but that that's the guy that I think would make sense to me for sure, for sure.
01:02:43
So a lot of things surrounding that matchup probably safe to say the Niners take that game.
01:02:48
But in what fashion? Eyes yet to be blow there at the end.
01:02:52
Wow, e didn't mean to you, you know, we might be all in on hashtag tank for Trevor to after last week, so I'm a Jets fan, but I'm also a realist, and things aren't looking good right now.
01:03:07
But, you know, we were talking about Dynasty team names on Twitter very briefly.
01:03:11
I think it was yesterday or something.
01:03:13
I went out and changed my one team name that didn't really have a good name.
01:03:17
I went up to the one I offered you and it was gazing the whole.
01:03:20
So I'm all in.
01:03:22
I'm embracing the struggles.
01:03:24
E a.
01:03:27
A writer died, right? Yes, sir.
01:03:31
So moving on now Thio The Washington football team versus the Arizona Cardinals.
01:03:38
You are all over Washington this week, taking them plus seven and plus 2 60 on the money line.
01:03:44
I personally, like the under 46.
01:03:46
5 in this game.
01:03:48
Um, I think both teams kind of take a step back from what we saw in Week one because they both performed really well in Week one.
01:03:56
Obviously, Washington's defense a little bit more so than the offense, but I think it's gonna be harder for both teams to score points this week.
01:04:03
Which is why I like the under 46.5.
01:04:07
You are on the Washington football team to go to start their Season two and O trying to cash a plus to 60 money line.
01:04:14
Bet why, why you love Washington so much this week? It's the defensive line, which we already discussed earlier in the show.
01:04:23
This defensive front chase Young Montas Sweet.
01:04:28
All these guys, they're just capable of taking over a game and I would argue, I think just from a football standpoint, for me, what's the next most important position on the field? That could impact a game after the quarterback, which Washington we know doesn't really have a great situation, a quarterback.
01:04:49
But it is that defense, the front four in front seven especially, I think here there's there's nowhere to hide, and it's gonna be a whole different ball game this week, going up against Kyler, Murray and the Cardinals than it was the Eagles total different offenses, totally different skill sets of the quarterback position, and you've got a guy like DeAndre Hopkins that you got to contend with.
01:05:11
I think Landon Collins will be effective in keeping the top on what Arizona's trying to do.
01:05:16
I'm not seeing too many big plays coming here, but the pass rush it should be able to get home.
01:05:22
You know, this Cardinals offensive line is still not very good, probably on the rise from what we've seen here in years past.
01:05:27
But it's gonna be interesting for me to see whether or not football team tries to contain Murray in the pocket, or do they let him get away because you could argue that he's even better making plays with links.
01:05:40
Uh, either way, Washington is better team here for me.
01:05:44
I think Arizona's got a lot of talent on offense.
01:05:46
I know they just beat San Francisco last week way.
01:05:51
I think on this very here show, we were kind of alluding to exact, especially that that might be if there was a time to pick the Cardinals to be the Niners.
01:06:00
Um, you was that game, and sure enough, it came to fruition.
01:06:05
Uh, with that said, I would argue that, uh, Washington's defensive front is a step ahead of even San Francisco's right now rolling off of the momentum from last week riverboat Ron Rivera.
01:06:17
I love them as a coach, and this Cardinals defense isn't great either.
01:06:21
So, as shaky is, football team is on offense.
01:06:26
You know, I think they could move the ball here a little bit.
01:06:28
I'm not gonna put that past them, Uh, for your reasons that you said the under in this game, I think those are the reasons why I'm just all over Washington in terms of the spread, especially Onda Moneyline, even plus 2 60 Sprinkle some on there Why not? I think if they cover in this game, it's a game.
01:06:47
They went out right? I think that's my rationale behind those two picks.
01:06:50
Um, And what was the other point I wanted to make here? Uh, go ahead, Jake.
01:06:58
It'll come to me, I think kind of frozen now.
01:07:15
And until Henry joins us again, um, as we we lost him totally now.
01:07:22
So until Henry joins us again, Um, just going to kind of recap of that game, my thoughts on that game.
01:07:30
Look, I think the Cardinals are really good.
01:07:33
I think they're good football team.
01:07:34
I think they're good on offense.
01:07:36
Um, but I do think that they not necessarily over to you, but they played a really good game in week one.
01:07:42
I think their offense might regress or have a little bit of a harder time in Week two against a really good Washington defense.
01:07:50
But you've got a matchup of a pretty good offense versus a really good defense, and then on the other side, you've got a pretty bad offense against a pretty good defense.
01:08:00
So all those things to me, you combine them together and you end up with an under 46.5.
01:08:08
At least from my perspective.
01:08:11
A Z, we're trying to get Henry back here.
01:08:15
Um, I guess I will just continue moving on.
01:08:18
Um, Chiefs and Ravens.
01:08:22
I know Henry has a teaser for, so we will wait until he gets back for those Patriots Seahawks Seahawks, four point favorites.
01:08:32
I think this will be a close game.
01:08:34
Of course, we've seen commercials and everything like that of Malcolm Butler's interception, The Patriots beating the Seahawks in, uh, Super Bowl, whatever that was 50 whatever.
01:08:45
That was a few years back.
01:08:46
Now, um, Seahawks, obviously different squad.
01:08:50
The Legion of Boom is no more, but their offense is really, really good.
01:08:53
Well, the Patriots are still trying to figure things out.
01:08:56
I would lean Seahawks here minus four.
01:08:58
If you could get it three or 3.
01:08:59
5, I'd be more comfortable with that.
01:09:02
I don't really love the point total.
01:09:04
I think points are going to be scored here.
01:09:06
44 a half again, kind of in that no man's land, um, type area.
01:09:12
So I would lean Seahawks minus four and this one.
01:09:17
We'll see if Henry has anything else to say about that game or otherwise.
01:09:21
Let's move on to the Monday night game, which is the Saints versus the Raiders.
01:09:25
Man.
01:09:26
The Raiders could be on upset alert here, there, plus 1 95 dogs on the money line getting 5.
01:09:32
5 points.
01:09:34
Um, the New Orleans Saints are gonna be without Michael Thomas.
01:09:37
Drew Brees didn't look all too fantastic.
01:09:41
Ah, it's gonna be a lot of Alvin Kamara, a lot of Josh Jacobs, a ton of ground game from both of these teams, so I would not expect a big day through the air.
01:09:53
Um, by either of these quarterbacks, I think it's going to be a ground and pound type game both ways.
01:10:00
ST minus 5.
01:10:01
5.
01:10:02
I don't love it just because I do think the Raiders are gonna be able to keep up through Josh Jacobs and Darren Waller.
01:10:07
A couple good players like that.
01:10:09
I'm staying off the Saints this week just because they don't have Michael Thomas.
01:10:13
So they didn't look that great in week one s. So I am.
01:10:17
I'm just staying off this game.
01:10:19
I'm not fading the Saints because that would mean taking the Raiders, I'm just staying off this game completely.
01:10:27
The running backs in this game, they're gonna have insane value this week as far as DFS and your season long fantasy as well.
01:10:39
One second here as I'm gonna try and get Henry back one more time because I really want to hear about his chiefs and, uh, Chiefs and Ravens teaser.
01:10:58
But we are basically through all the games.
01:11:02
So if he can't get his way back on here in the next few minutes, I guess we will have to, um, tweeted out for you or something like that.
01:11:12
The Chiefs are eight point favorites now was just 8.
01:11:14
5 about an hour ago when I looked.
01:11:16
So Chiefs Line moves just a half a point.
01:11:21
I don't care if it's 8 8.5.
01:11:23
Doesn't matter.
01:11:24
How are you going to bet against the Chiefs in week to hear coming off the long break Coming off a few extra days, having played last Thursday, the Chargers offense.
01:11:34
Just look, man.
01:11:35
Ah, Kansas City defense is going to be able to stifle those Chargers again.
01:11:42
Can see offense is going to be able to score points on the Chargers I'm taking the Kansas City Chiefs with no hesitation.
01:11:50
Give it to me.
01:11:51
Eight.
01:11:52
Give it to me.
01:11:53
8.
01:11:54
5 Doesn't matter.
01:11:55
I'm wrong with the Chiefs, and the Ravens are 7.
01:11:56
5 point favorites.
01:11:57
I like the Texans to bounce back a bit, but I I just don't like the Texans often.
01:12:04
So said it time and time again.
01:12:05
I don't like the Texans defense.
01:12:07
I don't like the Texans overall very low on them this year, so I would lean Baltimore Ravens minus 7.5.
01:12:15
I think by the end of the game, you might end up covering that pretty easily.
01:12:19
I am assuming Hank is taking a four or six point teaser on both of these games.
01:12:26
Somewhere along that line, if you if you have a six point teaser on the Ravens and the Chiefs, you're gonna get the Ravens at minus 1.5.
01:12:34
You're gonna get the Chiefs at minus two.
01:12:36
I mean, how are you gonna lose that? But you're just absolutely not going to so consider a teaser.
01:12:42
There don't have odds for you because they didn't have that pulled up as this was Henry's pick.
01:12:48
Um, the teaser was hopefully you're put out your pics on Twitter here or your official tease on Twitter.
01:12:56
Other than that, I think that's everything I know.
01:13:01
Henry was on Seahawks minus four as well, and Raiders plus 5.5.
01:13:06
If you want toe follow up with him or get any further opinions with him, just hit him up on Twitter at Hank Time Sports.
01:13:13
I will leave you with my can't lose parlay of the week again in honor of the bar stool, sports app and it launching.
01:13:21
I am taking a big page on a big Cats playbook and I can't lose Parlay of the week are all money line hackers 40 Niners Bills and Chiefs Packers 40 Niners Bills and Chiefs pays plus 2. 41.
01:13:35
Can't lose partly of the week e Think that'll be it as it doesn't look like we're gonna get Henry back.
01:13:41
Here we are.
01:13:42
About an hour.
01:13:43
15.
01:13:44
So perfect timing in that 75 minute range.
01:13:46
I hope you all enjoy your Sunday of football.
01:13:50
I hope you all win a bunch of money and we will talk to you with with weekend wrap ups and looking forward to the Monday night game.
01:14:02
Uh, in two days, of course, you can get a bunch of free a bunch of great fancy football content from us here on SportsCastr.
01:14:11
All season long, we're gonna be live about five days a week throughout the entire football season.
01:14:16
Make sure you follow a flurry sports on Facebook on Twitter.
01:14:20
Follow me at sent holes on sport.
01:14:22
Follow Hank at Hank Time sports and follow our courageous leader, Zach Brunner, who is at a wedding tonight.
01:14:29
And hopefully he is having fun.
01:14:31
Um, at fantasy Flurry, I believe, is his Twitter handle.
01:14:38
Week one in the Books week to a lot to look forward to.
01:14:41
Good luck on your bets, everybody, and we will talk to you at some point soon.

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