and welcome back to SportsCastr news.
Where, as always, I am Adam, are Brick talking, all things n b a action.
We have a Game seven coming over in the Western Conference between the Denver Nuggets and the Clippers.
Certainly a lot on the line for the Clippers and how they were approaching this postseason.
And really, what their intentions are when they came into the bubble came into the playoffs came into this year.
Big acquisitions with PG bringing Kawai home, etcetera.
But in the meantime, another Siris in the Eastern Conference kicks off.
And that's gonna be the Eastern Conference finals, Obviously, where we'll be featuring the Toronto Raptors, who didn't make it, it will be the Boston Celtics, obviously taking on the Miami Heat.
The interesting thing out of this matchup, I think coming into it, at least on paper.
And in Game one, you have Boston laying a point and a half over under a 20 8.
5, so you know, relatively a potentially low scoring affair not necessarily relative to these two teams, but because of the matchup and because of the head coaches that you have in place, you expect adjustments quarter to quarter, especially at halftime, to get made here to try to influence what each side needs to dio to make some adjustments defensively, especially, how are these matchups going to shake out? But what becomes interesting is the Miami Heat or a team under Spoelstra's.
We know very well coached, very well run organization.
Just acquisition of Jimmy Butler in the offseason felt like a good one, and it felt like the first step in a couple of steps that we're going to lead to them, as a lot of people speculated, pursuing some additional big names this offseason to help really put them over that threshold and prepare for a deep playoff run next year.
Instead, they come in. They handles.
They handle their business against a couple of difficult opponents.
Obviously knocking off the Milwaukee Bucks, who had a couple of little dings there as far as the honest was concerned.
Also, though, seem to come up short and again.
We go back to the coaching situation you think about coach but there in Milwaukee, not saying he's a bad coach, but just the ability to pivot, to make adjustments and to respond to what you're seeing on the court from Erik Spoelstra and the Heat that Syria's concludes wraps up there, uh, in six games, and now you turn the page over to this match up here on paper without gilding the lily on the conversation.
I'm going with Boston in six games in this Siri's.
I'd like to see it go deep.
I'd love to see them get to seven.
I'd love to see this have that intense Eastern Conference final field, and I think that all six of the games are going to have that look and feel.
The difference from one Siri's to the next, though, is you think about on both sides of the ball here.
Really go over to Miami Heat side of things where we know Jimmy Butler, giving you nearly 22 points a game on 35 minutes through nine playoff games.
So far, he's obviously been the leader there.
He's obviously hits, um, late, big shots for them as well.
But you start to go down the list there, you got the veteran drag it.
He's been pulling his weight and elevating his game inside these playoffs as well.
And then you've got some of those young players, right? Bam, Auto Bio.
He becomes a pretty big X factor in this.
Siri's a rookie like hero whose looks strong and Brad Stevens spoke glowingly about saying he really doesn't seem tohave that appearance off fear or the moment being too big or just, you know, trying to get yourself into the fold of being of being a rookie in these playoffs.
Instead, he's come up with some big shots as well.
And then you just get down to the list there a little bit in the weeds with a Robinson with a crowd or Olympic and all the guys that are gonna be contributors here.
But those top four that you put out there are pretty important just in terms of moving the needle offensively and playing with consistency.
Unlike the prior Siri's, though, I think the Celtics are going to present a handful of more difficult defensive matchups and you start toe Wonder.
How is Marcus Smart? Maybe going to be ableto impact Jimmy Butler if they go ahead and match him up there with some level of frequency.
And although actually Jimmy came out and said, Listen, I can't win this series without the heat.
Obviously, Marcus Smart can't win this.
Syria's without the Celtics, so they're staying team game oriented.
But when you go down inside these numbers, when you talk about defensive efficiency, you talk about the rapture rating for some of these players over on the Celtics side of things.
Marcus smarts, obviously kind of that marquee name for them. Two plus 2.1.
Sitting at that exact same mark for them is Jayson Tatum and his Thais.
So you get three big contributors there.
They're obviously going to be on the court for bulk minutes, then even above them.
There, in small sample size on Lee, playing about 11 minutes per contest over these playoffs is Grant Williams.
I think that that's a nice little flexible wrinkle defensively specific where you can say, we want to get you in here for some quality minutes.
Three, maybe four in a given quarter.
Give one of our guys arrest and also impact the heat and what they're trying to do offensively, on the flip side of that is will bounce around us.
Some of those different areas of interest.
You've got Derrick Jones Jr playing very small minutes.
He's the highest defensive rated player for the Miami Heat.
Then you get into auto Bio, and that's why he's going toe loom so important when he's there, has athleticism, has a great defensive presence, and then you get Jimmy Butler and he's gonna flow between.
He could go down to the shooting guard and come up to the forward position.
So now, on both ends of the floor, it's gonna be out getting those switches and setting up more favorable matchups on offense.
And then defensively, though, he's going to have to be willing to dig his heels in there and really put in the work on that end of the floor.
We highlighted a couple of those guys there.
You're talking about Butler with his with his scoring output, 21 points from drag it out of Bio was 16.
Then you get to hero and you talk about nearly 15 points per game there when you get inside of his numbers.
Shot 41% from the field, gave you 40% from beyond the arc as well.
Can he sustain those numbers in this? Siri's arguably facing some more difficult defensive matchups.
That's a big question mark because when you go over to the Celtics for May Quiet game, a couple quiet games here over the playoffs for a Kemba Walker.
But when you have Tatum and Jalen Brown both giving you 25 21 respectively, over 39 38 minutes in 11 playoff game so far, that's a great baseline.
Those guys are typically going to get their numbers.
Kemba Walker is giving you nearly 20 over that same stretch as well and kicked in five assists.
Then you get down to into Marcus Smart, also giving you 13 quality points plus, giving you that defensive presence.
Obviously, they lost Hayward.
You get to Thais.
That's a nice player there for you as well.
Then you get into obviously some of those roll guys and playing some smaller minute shares.
But you just start to get this feel of as faras reliability and consistency and not worrying about a potential drop off about a potential loss of production because of the matchups, they're gonna be presented.
I think there's farm or concerns on Miami's side of things when they get on the offensive end than there is for the Boston Celtics.
You're not going to stop Jayson Tatum, Not I don't.
I don't think you're going to stop Jimmy Butler. Maybe not.
But I don't think that Jason Tatum is a containable guy.
I think that you can scheme and do things for Jimmy Butler, where and by the way, you can maybe force that ball out of his hand.
And to his point about I'm not gonna win this by myself.
Now you're getting to drag it, and is he going to be ableto still have the same impact, get the same points for you? Then you get into hero and all.
The sudden, Ah, young player like that needs to step up really big and carry some of that offensive load, even if it's just for a couple of stretches over the course of the game, whether you're getting rest for certain guys or if Boston is effectively taking Jimmy Butler out of the equation for big stretches out a bio, they said before he becomes an impact player for what he can do on both ends of the floor athletic and size.
If you could start to get on the interior and have a couple of those easy looks, whether It's facilitated through Rockets through Butler.
Find your way to dump and roll to the basket if he gets going there and maybe draw some fouls on particular players, like even a Tatum just by incident or on Thais.
Now you start to create some issues potentially for Brad Stevens and the Celtics and just need to get some guys in and out of those rotations defensively as well, though on the boards you go inside of auto bios numbers where again he's averaging nearly 12 per game.
Split them fairly evenly.
UH, in between both of them. Excuse me.
Fairly heavily split between defensive at 8.
5 and three on the offensive end.
So now you're talking about Can you be a contributor in getting a bonus possession on the offensive end of the floor? Biggest factor for them there.
In that regard, the really isn't one you get to from Butler, one from drag it three from Auto Bio, and they're relatively low over these playoffs.
They're averaging just eight offensive rebounds a game, 36 on the defensive end, and that's a great number.
But in terms of those second chance opportunities, well, it's roughly the same eight for the Boston Celtics as well.
I think that it's going to be somewhat important that you get some of those secondary looks there if you're the Miami Heat, because again, I just worry about basically 34 deep matchup on the defensive side of the ball for the Heat and how they're gonna sustain that and then also recover on the offensive end.
So, second chance opportunities, even if it's just a handful, could be a big sway in this Siri's and particularly in the first game coming out.
The other nice thing to watch here, too.
We mentioned Spoelstra nod to Stevens there in the way that he talked about Hero, and that's all fine.
And, well, the best part about this is, and we've really seen some great coaches, right? Nick nurse for the Toronto Raptors just gets lost, even even but another fantastic coach to there.
You get to see Stevens and you're gonna get to see Spoelstra, these Air two coaches that are going to be willing and able to make adjustments both on the fly in the active game and then from game to game in this series, so depending out game number one shakes out.
It will be interesting to see if Spoelstra finds himself down. No. One.
Are there any specific tweets that he looks to make going to game number two? Whether it's for his own benefit offensively, or to try to take some of these Celtics out of their rhythm in that shooting end of it, one of the key guys will touch on.
Finally, last year mentioned a couple of quiet games.
Ah, guy like Kemba Walker for the Celtics.
I think he can start to become an even more important factor for them, not just from the facilitation standpoint.
We said that he's sitting there with over five rebounds, and they like to see that number continue to be consistent.
Maybe even start elevating the syriza little bit.
But then you go down inside his three point shooting.
There's gonna be chances for him.
They're shot just two of nearly seven from the field over these 1st 11 games for Boston, he's gonna need to increase that a little bit.
Got to get that up there into the low 30 to 33% the conversion of one Mawr of those opportunities per game.
He's gonna loomed pretty large, especially because I think he's gonna end up having some wide open looks there with all the other players specifically and Tatum in Brown, that you're gonna have to respect on the defensive end for the Miami Heat.
So I probably keep an eye on him.
I love the Jayson Tatum has been bombing nearly 42% from deep over the course of these playoffs, so that's obviously something to keep an eye on.
There is well, and then the free throw shooting.
Listen, the Celtics were going to give you 80% of the line so far, 82%.
So both these teams are consistent, well coached, even and balanced on both ends of the floor.
That's what hopefully is going to make for a really exciting Siri's and a great Game one.
If it's me, I'm calling for that first win to go the way of Boston.
I think that they're just going to come in here and present a couple of wrinkles that Spoelstra is gonna have to figure out how he wants to adjust Thio.
Maybe he already has that in his mind, and we'll see some different looks.
Relative to what we've seen over the first couple of rounds here.
But if it's a 20 8.
5 over under here, I'll probably take the under.
I think it starts out maybe a little bit fast, a little bit open and then steadily.
I really on both sides of the court here, Spoelstra and Stevens and these units are going to start to pull this back in a little bit.
Wouldn't be surprised.
Laying the 1.5 wouldn't be surprised.
That ends up being somewhere in that 5 to 7 range in favor of Boston.
That's not indicative of how the Siri's is going to go.
I think this will be back and forth and it's going to come down.
Thio a three to stand point where the Heat need to push that Game seven.
Okay, it all starts off with game number one this evening.
Hopefully, we see the same level of consistency out of key players on both sides, and that the defensive matchup comes to pass where Marcus Smart is having to take on Jimmy Butler.
Even though you think about hero and auto Bio is being auto bio for obvious reasons, a big impact big X factor because he can impact both ends hero, specifically around his offensive peace and staying consistent on the other side of it.
Tatum is gonna get his.
Brown is going to get his.
I think Marcus Smart's consistent going to do his thing.
If all of the sudden Butler can get thrown off by the defense of the Celtics, you can take him out of it a little bit, especially early in this first game.
Then you start looking around, and that's the difference of where the Heat are right now versus where I think they plan on being and plan to have been going into next year.
Get another big player.
Another X factor for them.
Toe work with that, then makes it even easier for Auto Bio to do his thing on the defensive glass makes it even easier for Jimmy Butler to take on the secondary defensive options.
So that's the thing that they don't quite have the ability to do yet.
Whereas for the Celtics, you can put that into Jalen Brown's hands.
You know you're gonna put it into Tatum's hands, you can if he's doing it right, put it into campus, walk, walk her hands and still get a lot of positive results.
So you're talking about 1 to 3 deep in terms of who could take over that lead role while other guys can spurt for the heat.
I think you have to look is Jimmy Butler is being the engine that keeps this this car running here.
And if he starts to get slowed down a little bit, who's gonna be able to pick up that slack for Miami? Exciting, right, surprising to see this matchup in the Eastern Conference finals coming into it coming into the season, I think, he said, maybe the Celtics could bubble up there and overtake the Toronto Raptors.
And you're certainly shocked and obviously disappointed to not see of the Milwaukee Bucks and Yonas there.
That being the case, check back in here as somebody from our fantastic mbah a side of the SportsCastr news team will come in and talk about that Game seven matchup tonight between the L A Clippers and the Denver Nuggets.
Until then, take the under.
Go with me on it and let's see how Boston and Miami kick off this fantastic Easter Conference matchup.
Later this evening.
As always, I have been Adam arm break.
Thank you for checking in with me and I will catch up with you soon.