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00:00:00
the whole thing.
00:00:01
Like ended.
00:00:02
So wasn't your Internet issue.
00:00:05
Just the stream and just shut down.
00:00:14
Okay, apologies for that.
00:00:16
For anyone watching, we're back.
00:00:18
Better than ever.
00:00:19
Just need to keep you on your toes.
00:00:21
We'll give a bit couple minutes here before you start getting into the meat of everything.
00:00:26
Just get everybody back like we were saying, Uh, we're shifting to betting tonight, and we're gonna be giving our over under Patrick Beach of the NFC teams in the NFL.
00:00:38
And this is an area I really like to bet.
00:00:41
This is my favorite futures of the year.
00:00:43
Last season, I was the top expert in the entire industry.
00:00:47
I can get you my exact percentage here.
00:00:49
Second, I know it's pinned on my Twitter profile at Fantasy Flurry.
00:00:56
Um, conference winners.
00:00:57
I was 91% accurate with all the winds that goes with conference winner.
00:01:03
And with overall order, division order at the end and the over under winds an average air of 2.
00:01:13
3, it looks like so this is an area I really like.
00:01:18
This is always the most profitable for me.
00:01:20
It's not like the Super Bowl picks.
00:01:21
It's not anything like that.
00:01:22
I think these were slightly easier to predict.
00:01:26
There's definitely some leans I have tonight as well.
00:01:28
We'll get into that in a second, Uh, before anything, though.
00:01:32
I want to give one Shout out to a charity league I'm doing, and I'll do it again at the end, its pros and Joe's charity.
00:01:41
You go on my Twitter again at fantasy flaring and find the link pretty much you bid.
00:01:47
It's a raffle, and the winner of the raffle gets to co own a fancy league with me against other experts in the industry.
00:01:55
And they were talking people from ESPN and CBS NFL Network Sports Illustrated.
00:02:00
I'm really surprising people in there, and every bid goes to a charity of my choosing, which is the Village Foundation.
00:02:08
You can read a little bit about it on the link in my Twitter, Um, every you get a raffle ticket for every dollar.
00:02:18
You purchase a dollar per ticket unless you do a higher mountain and you know it goes down.
00:02:24
If you don't want toe put any money in, I get it.
00:02:27
There's ways to get free entries into it.
00:02:29
You just share the link and If people sign up with your link, you free entry.
00:02:34
So screw it.
00:02:35
Might as well do it in, because I do have that connection with Oz Mom giving away two monthly Austin valued at $90 each.
00:02:43
So pretty good deal.
00:02:45
You might as well share the Lincoln.
00:02:46
Get five free entries just in case you get that.
00:02:50
Um, but that goes on for another week or so, so you'll hear me promoting that quite a bit.
00:02:55
You make it sick of hearing it, but as long as you get signed up, then you could just be ahead of the game and keep racking up those free entries.
00:03:02
But that's not over here to talk about Jake.
00:03:05
Let's talk about NFL.
00:03:06
Let's talk about these over under picks.
00:03:09
Do you have a conference you would like to start with? Well, you know, really quickly before we start right before the stream ended, the last few mended.
00:03:19
I was just going Teoh toot my own horn a little bit and mentioned that, you know, I haven't haven't had picks the last two days just because of everything going on.
00:03:26
Don't know what games are being played.
00:03:28
Um, and the day before that went before everything happened.
00:03:33
Ah, I went 14 and three my best day ever over at pick City Ah, $100 betters would have been up over $1500 on my picks, as I did hit a plus 5.
00:03:43
43 parlay all three NHL games that were playing that night.
00:03:47
So, uh, things have been going good for me.
00:03:49
I have not had a single red week yet over at Pick City and coming off a 14 and three nights, I just haven't wanted to, I don't know, pick games during this unsure time and, you know, potentially put my hot streak if you want to call it that at risk.
00:04:07
So I'm shifting my gambling abilities to these totals here tonight, and hopefully we can keep the hot streak running because man 14 and three and then not being able to bet the next two days, that's just disappointing.
00:04:20
So we're going to turn our attention to these futures here and, ah, as faras where we're starting.
00:04:26
I don't know what you wanna start with our beloved NFC North or you want to say that till the end.
00:04:31
I think we can start with it All right, go in alphabetical order.
00:04:35
Let's just start with the Chicago Berries.
00:04:37
I have them pulled up.
00:04:38
Anyway.
00:04:39
Last year they went 88 Obviously, they had quarterback troubles.
00:04:43
A lot of people felt they were held back because of a quarterback.
00:04:47
The quarterback away from winning a Super Bowl, as Chicago fans feel they always are this year 2020 over under, where I'm looking right now.
00:04:56
It's at seven.
00:04:58
Jake, I'm not exactly sure how you want to go about doing this.
00:05:01
I think I'm just going to give my initial pick and then you can give yours.
00:05:05
And if we agree, you know, we won't have to talk about it too terribly much.
00:05:09
But if we disagree, and I guess it could lead to further discussion.
00:05:13
So for me, Chicago Bears over Underside seven.
00:05:17
I'm picking the over.
00:05:18
I like them to go over it.
00:05:20
I haven't ate and ate again right now.
00:05:23
I had a above that.
00:05:24
I had them as the NFC North winners before Hicks opted out because of Corona virus.
00:05:30
I think that does hurt.
00:05:32
I can get into that more a little bit, but what's your initial lean on this division? around this team.
00:05:39
Interesting that you said you did have them at one point as your NFC North winners.
00:05:44
I've been higher on the bears the last couple of years, and I am this year, I think.
00:05:49
Ah, I've already seen what I kind of need to see with the Bears.
00:05:52
They're gonna try and run it back again, but I don't have them going any better than 18 8, maybe nine and seven as well.
00:05:58
I do have I didn't know how detailed you wanted to get.
00:06:00
So I do have, um my list of every team that I think, Ah, every team is gonna lose to basically.
00:06:07
So if we want oh, ever run down those? I did have those jotted down as well, but I got all my lines off draftkings just about an hour within last two hours ago.
00:06:18
Eso My line is 7.5.
00:06:20
I am taking the over as well, though that's currently at minus 1. 30.
00:06:25
So, again, I think, uh, at worst, they don't take a step forward.
00:06:29
They don't take it.
00:06:30
Step back.
00:06:31
They end up is another average eight and eight year.
00:06:33
I think at best it might be able to pull out a game jump to nine and seven.
00:06:39
But other than that, I don't think this bear seems gonna blow us away.
00:06:41
Probably going to cash that over 7.5.
00:06:46
And I'm just looking at Fanjul Sports book just for the hell A.
00:06:48
Very now they actually have the Bears total set at eight.
00:06:52
So over eight would be plus 1 10 under eight minus 1.
00:06:56
30.
00:06:57
Um, I I still would go the over.
00:07:00
My biggest worry about this Bears team on both sides of the ball is the run.
00:07:06
So offensively offensive line, I don't think very good.
00:07:09
I don't think they did anything to really improve it.
00:07:11
I don't think they're good.
00:07:13
They're big.
00:07:14
Offseason acquisition was Jason Spriggs, who was a backup for the Packers.
00:07:17
I think he's fine.
00:07:18
I don't think he's going to blow anybody away.
00:07:21
I definitely don't think he can improve this offensive line to a point where they're opening running lanes against your divisional opponent.
00:07:28
Defensively, I think this run defense is gonna be above average, but I think losing Hicks in the middle of that defense is huge and this isn't the division to lose.
00:07:39
Run stoppers.
00:07:41
I mean, the Packers we know want to run the ball as much as possible.
00:07:45
Vikings.
00:07:46
They are going to be even more geared towards the run this year without Stefon Diggs.
00:07:50
The Lions improved the running game and they're hoping to be a run first team toe open up the past.
00:07:55
That's what they want to do.
00:07:56
That's what met Patricia wants to do.
00:07:59
If the Bears don't stop their own consistently, this team falls completely apart.
00:08:04
I don't think anyone could argue that.
00:08:06
I think they'll still be OK.
00:08:09
And at the end of the day, this team is gonna go as far as the quarterback takes them just really quick.
00:08:14
Do you think Nick Foles is gonna win that job or do you think it's gonna be true Biscuit again? I think they're gonna stick with Travis Key as long as they possibly can until I mean, he there look really, really bad or there's just too much noise to ignore.
00:08:28
Um, I also don't think that he has to play like ridiculously outstanding and order to not lose his job, I think because they haven't be it.
00:08:37
I mean, they brought in Nick Foles, but um because they haven't totally moved on from the idea that Mitch could still turn things around because they want to give him this one last shot.
00:08:48
They have invested so much to go up and get him.
00:08:51
Like I think they give him every single last chance.
00:08:53
Um, Nick Foles, Salad Guy, solid quarterback.
00:08:57
But he's probably a guy that you could use as a gap quarterback next year.
00:09:02
Gap, your guy if you needed.
00:09:04
I think they're gonna try and get everything out of Mitch.
00:09:06
Ah, that they possibly can try and see any sort of sign of light that would make them feel better.
00:09:11
Um, before making a decision about you know, his long term future with Chicago.
00:09:16
I don't see a scenario outside of Chicago winning the NFC North and maybe making a playoff run that, like Mitch signs an extension or a big deal with Chicago, would be surprised to see that at this rate.
00:09:29
And ah, Nick Foles, obviously young enough. Good enough.
00:09:32
Still, that uses most of this year to learn the system, maybe plays right at the end of the season and then they roll into next season with him looking towards the future.
00:09:41
I could kind of see that.
00:09:43
Yeah, I agree with that.
00:09:45
I was more convinced that Robiskie was going to win the job at the beginning of the off season.
00:09:51
I put in a bet that Mr Boesky would be the Week One starter as soon as they traded for fools on the line was ridiculous in the other way.
00:09:59
But on I feel like it's leaning.
00:10:02
It's the Mo Mentum is going towards fulls.
00:10:06
But it feels like a GM decision, not a matinee key decision.
00:10:12
If that makes sense, I think Nikki wants falls to start.
00:10:15
For sure. I mean, he coached pulls before.
00:10:17
He's the reason fools was brought in.
00:10:19
He would bring in this guy to be a backup.
00:10:21
That's who he wants to start.
00:10:24
The GM doesn't want him to start.
00:10:25
The G m wants to look smart.
00:10:27
Why would the GM trade up for a guy and you know they want him to look good? It's the same reason as why the Packers want Jordan love to look good.
00:10:36
Really? Well, it's not Yeah, and he's got a long way to go before that happens.
00:10:40
But it's not an unheard of the unprecedented situation.
00:10:44
Like we see this all the time, where it's the guy that should be starting.
00:10:48
And then the guy that kind of has to start because of an opinion of ah, front office guy or a GM and then every single week, the you know, the talk is Is this Mitch is last week, you know? Are we going to see him get pulled? How long until Nick Foles and then Mitch inevitably suffers from that? Because there's always that, you know, looking over your shoulder.
00:11:11
Um, if I get yanked from this one game, I'm probably never gonna get my job back.
00:11:15
So then your plan with pressure and on your toes all the time, which of course, could be motivating and can be used as a positive thing.
00:11:22
But it can also cripple somebody.
00:11:24
Um, and we've seen this happen to quarterbacks all like many, many, many times.
00:11:28
Ah, across the entire NFL.
00:11:31
So I just don't think it's setting up to be a great season for Mr Boesky.
00:11:35
Um, no matter how you look at it, unless he goes out there and balls out, that's the only way.
00:11:41
Ah, that they could make this a clear decision.
00:11:45
I agree.
00:11:46
So just the final bow on it.
00:11:49
You were still leaning the over as well, though.
00:11:51
Well, yeah, especially, You've got seven.
00:11:53
I mean, I don't think that that bad, but I don't think that bad of a team.
00:11:57
And I don't think that they have that hard of a schedule, either.
00:12:01
Like the teams I have them losing two are like the Buccaneers Saints losing to the Vikings, Packers, Texans.
00:12:08
I have question marks.
00:12:09
So, like they're losing a top quality teams in my little breakdown here, as long as they can beat the people that the teams that they are capable of beating and it seems that they beat last year.
00:12:19
It's not like they were four and 12 last year.
00:12:21
You know, they did go 88 so even if they can put together a slightly better performance than last year, they still hit that over seven for sure, and I have over 7.
00:12:31
5 still pretty confident about that.
00:12:33
Want even land the 1 30 juice? I agree.
00:12:37
Let's move on to the Detroit Lions, the floor of the NFC North for a while, always disappointing.
00:12:45
Last year they went three and 13 this year.
00:12:49
The over under that I have is set at 6.5.
00:12:53
I haven't going slightly under at six and 10.
00:12:56
They did make improvements this offseason again.
00:13:00
It seems like they're decent team on paper.
00:13:02
This isn't This isn't unique for the Lions.
00:13:06
They always seem to be doing the right thing.
00:13:09
And then the season starts, and then they forget how to play football.
00:13:12
They threw themselves to get in their own way.
00:13:14
I believe the same thing happens again.
00:13:16
I think they go six and 10.
00:13:18
I have the under slightly.
00:13:21
What about you? So we're, uh we're not too far apart.
00:13:26
Were definitely on opposite sides of this bet, though.
00:13:29
Um, let me click.
00:13:32
Um, they're scheduled here.
00:13:35
I have all the teams that I have them losing, too, but I don't have ah, the teams.
00:13:40
I think they're gonna beat written down.
00:13:42
Either way, I give them a favorable 88 record this year.
00:13:48
Um, I don't know.
00:13:52
You know, it could easily be seven and nine as well.
00:13:55
I don't I don't know for sure that they go 18 8, but this line at 6.
00:14:00
5 the over is is 1 43.
00:14:03
So if you're gonna bet the over, you've got to feel pretty good about it.
00:14:06
I do like it a lot, though.
00:14:08
Um, I think I have them losing to the Packers, possibly the Cardinals, Saints, Falcons, Vikings, Panthers, Packers and Bucks.
00:14:19
So that's eight and eight right there.
00:14:23
UM, might be one game that they slip up on might be one game that they grab.
00:14:29
I don't really know the Lions, as you said, like they're kind of that team every year where it's harder to predict they look like a different team the first half of season in the last after season almost every year.
00:14:39
So they are hard to predict.
00:14:40
I think, though, that they are going to be just as good as the Bears.
00:14:43
This year should be just as good as the Bears, So I'm writing that 18 8 record and still 6.5.
00:14:50
I mean, that's pretty low.
00:14:51
Total.
00:14:52
That's a pretty low number.
00:14:53
There's some other bad teams in the NFL that have that six or 6.
00:14:56
5, um, win total and I think the lines are slightly better than that.
00:15:02
Ah, they would need to over double there.
00:15:05
They're a mountain winds from last season, which is a big ask, but not really.
00:15:09
When you consider you get Matthew Stafford back for twice as many games as you, Adam, last year, if can you got where they plays? Well, if they can get that running game going, Uh, I just think over 6.
00:15:18
5 again.
00:15:22
Minus 1. 43.
00:15:23
I wish it was more like 1.
00:15:24
21 25.
00:15:25
Something like that.
00:15:26
But, ah, if you're making me pick here, I'm gonna take the over 6.5.
00:15:32
I have their schedule pulled up here, and this is the biggest thing.
00:15:35
Their schedule doesn't do them any favors.
00:15:37
NFC North in general has tough nonconference opponents.
00:15:41
The Lions have a week five by which means they weren't good last year.
00:15:45
Surprise, Surprise that get punished this year.
00:15:48
And they start the year off with Bears, Packers, Cardinals, Saints, Ben Abi.
00:15:53
So right there, if they go to into that's good, I would say they come back to get Jacksonville off of a bye.
00:16:01
So, you know, you would wish they had a tougher opponent coming off of a bye.
00:16:04
So they'd have more to prepare, but they don't.
00:16:07
So they should get that one anyway.
00:16:09
In terms of other nonconference opponents, they have the Falcons immediately after that game on the road.
00:16:15
They have the Colts, um, and then stretch at the end.
00:16:19
The year with is Texans, Bears, Packers, Titans, Buccaneers, Vikings.
00:16:26
And that seems very rough to me.
00:16:29
Um, yeah, definitely not the easy stretching football games there.
00:16:36
I finally just pulled him up here, too.
00:16:38
So I wish I would have taken my notes a little bit differently here slightly not confusing myself.
00:16:46
But I just wish I had more information here cause I was thinking about all this stuff, obviously, as you go through preparing.
00:16:50
And now we're talking about 16 different teams here, and I can't remember what I thought about who, Um, But either way, it's a tough schedule, definitely periods of, you know, gauntlet type, um, three or four weeks in a row, but still 6.5.
00:17:08
That's just that total.
00:17:09
It was, you know, even a game above that in the 77.5.
00:17:14
It might give me a little more wiggle room to be comfortable with the under, but Um, I just think they're better than a six and 10 team this year, and fanduel does have the total set at seven, and they're so leaning towards.
00:17:28
Seven are over 77 over is minus 1 15.
00:17:33
The under is 105 Um, I mean, that's pretty pretty characteristic of low totals, anyway, but I just don't see it on paper.
00:17:44
They made the improvements.
00:17:45
I still don't think the defense is going to do what they're supposed to.
00:17:49
The secondaries rough and an experience they're relying on Desmond Trufant.
00:17:54
He doesn't true font from four or five years ago.
00:17:58
I think bringing and Jamie Collins is a big deal.
00:18:00
I think he's still very good at football.
00:18:03
Is he very good at football, away from the Patriots? E don't know.
00:18:09
Well, like what? And offensively, I think they'll be fine.
00:18:12
I'd really don't have too many worries about the offense as long if Stafford's throwing, but, I mean, that's that's been the notion to I guess you don't would be a fun prop.
00:18:22
It is.
00:18:23
How many seasons is it gonna take? Matt Patricia toe win a full seasons worth of football game? No kidding.
00:18:29
I like Matt. Patricia.
00:18:32
I just wish he did better. I don't know.
00:18:35
I like him less and less every time he speaks.
00:18:37
But I liked him initially.
00:18:39
Well, what happens if Joe judge goes out there? Surprises.
00:18:41
All of us, actually.
00:18:44
Has a good New York Giants football team find success in his first few years? Like that's Man Patricia has gotta be hoping, like, does not have.
00:18:52
That doesn't have.
00:18:53
I'm praying that for multiple reasons, I want that Giants offense would get into them later.
00:18:58
I want them to destroy people.
00:19:01
And the biggest reason is Jason Garrett is that offensive coordinator.
00:19:05
And if he turns out to be good at, like a good brain, everything is so believes.
00:19:10
Like what happened with the Dallas Cowboys while the cow, maybe maybe the Giants beat the Cowboys first time out.
00:19:17
Yeah.
00:19:18
I mean, Jerry Jones is gonna talking.
00:19:19
His head's gonna explode.
00:19:21
I was getting those games are gonna be fun to watch, and we'll talk about it later.
00:19:25
I don't think that had much for shot against the Cowboys this year, but they will be fun to watch.
00:19:30
Yeah, it'll be fine.
00:19:31
So you are thinking Detroit over.
00:19:34
I'm leaning slightly under the odds.
00:19:37
Definitely think the over is going to play out.
00:19:40
We'll see what happens.
00:19:41
We'll see if it moves any further, but I don't know.
00:19:45
Let's move on to our favorite team, so there could be bias involved.
00:19:50
But we do know this team inside.
00:19:51
Now with the Green Bay Packers last season, many feel like they over achieved.
00:19:56
They went 13 and three, obviously lost in the NFC championship this year over under set at nine, which always bothers me.
00:20:06
I hate when it's a even number I wanted to be.
00:20:09
I have.
00:20:10
You don't like the chance of a push? No, no.
00:20:14
Well, a ties, a loss to me.
00:20:17
I don't care because I have them projected for nine games.
00:20:20
So it's I have a projected for a push and it ****es me off. Could happen.
00:20:25
Sure, in gambling, I you know, and it's Ah, it's very overused phrase, especially like blackjack and stuff, but pushes a win in.
00:20:34
Gambling is always true in my mind because I'd rather take that 25 bucks or whatever I bet and re allocated to a new bet rather than lose it.
00:20:44
Like if it was you know tie goes to the tie goes to the bookie.
00:20:48
That would suck, You know, much more money you lose over the course of your gambling career.
00:20:53
I know you're right, but it still doesn't make me feel good when it happens.
00:20:58
That's fine.
00:20:59
I would say, What's your thoughts on the total? Yeah.
00:21:02
Um eso draftkings right now, if you're in one of the lucky legal states with draftkings sprint to any location or I guess is right on your phone.
00:21:15
Lay the over on the Packers.
00:21:16
They've got him at 8.
00:21:17
5 right now, only minus 1 37.
00:21:20
So we're talking less than the Lions over.
00:21:23
And obviously the lines over 6.
00:21:24
5 is a lot Maurin question than the Packers over 8.5.
00:21:29
I mean, 8.
00:21:30
5.
00:21:31
Coming off a 13 win season.
00:21:32
You could argue that they didn't get better in a lot of ways.
00:21:35
Ah, the teams around them did.
00:21:38
You can argue this in that, but the Packers would have to go seven and nine.
00:21:43
So we're talking six additional games that they would have to lose in order for you to lose this.
00:21:48
But if you take the over.
00:21:50
I love the over 8.5.
00:21:52
Even if you think you know nine is your projection.
00:21:54
Or what if that's a pretty solid and even, you know, for the Packers, maybe slightly low production I've been seeing between nine and 10.
00:22:01
Pretty commonly, I've got them in 11 and five again.
00:22:05
A little bit of a favorable record, possibly.
00:22:07
But honestly, I don't know.
00:22:09
Maybe not.
00:22:10
I've got I'm losing to the Saints to the Bucks, um, to either the Bears and Week 17 or the Vikings and weak one.
00:22:17
I've got him losing the 40 Niners and the Eagles, so even with the, you know, possible one of two say they dropped both of those games that I have in question.
00:22:26
That's still at 10 and six season.
00:22:28
That's a game and a half room to work with the cash.
00:22:31
The 8.
00:22:32
5 bet I think it's solid at nine.
00:22:34
I think it's amazing.
00:22:36
At 8.
00:22:37
5, take the Packers over 8.
00:22:38
5 under the very seven, but still, I do like that.
00:22:46
We come off the bye week to play Tampa.
00:22:49
That's nice to have two weeks to prepare for that, and I even have them losing that game.
00:22:54
So and I know you're not that high on the books and then coming off a bye week, you know, they could say they win that game and all of a sudden my projection jumps toe 12 and four, which is giving you tons of room to work with their three full games. Plus some.
00:23:10
I just think this defense is so much worse than people are giving him credit for.
00:23:15
Everyone's talking about.
00:23:16
Oh, now backers don't have any receivers, and that's their weakness.
00:23:20
I don't think so.
00:23:21
I think it's these cornerbacks.
00:23:23
I think Dryer Alexander's good.
00:23:24
He's too small, so big receivers he can cover.
00:23:28
We've seen that with Kenny Golladay.
00:23:29
We've seen that with players like that.
00:23:32
But Kevin Kings terrible.
00:23:34
He's one of the worst cornerbacks in the entire league.
00:23:36
Stats Back that up.
00:23:38
We talk about Nickelback.
00:23:41
We don't really have one.
00:23:43
It's going to be Ah, once his face.
00:23:45
Look him up in a second.
00:23:46
Josh Jackson's gonna be the dime back when we don't need that safety.
00:23:50
When we need the safety, we're gonna bring that safety. Downplay linebacker.
00:23:54
Which again? Ask the 40 Niners how well, that works because they just run over people.
00:24:00
We played bass defense, the least amount of any team in the entire league last year.
00:24:05
So having all these pass rushers and he's defensive lineman and stuff like that's one to talk about.
00:24:11
But we're not playing them, so I mean, it just doesn't make sense to me.
00:24:15
Our weaknesses are secondary, and we keep bringing extra secondary people out on the field.
00:24:21
Um, who was nickel that? Oh, Channon Sullivan.
00:24:26
I missed.
00:24:27
I missed back in the day when, like, you could just rattle off every single defensive player for the Packers because even if they weren't the best defense around like they're up salad every single year they had playmakers.
00:24:39
They had guys you actually like.
00:24:40
Well, I'm wanted on your team like toe watch.
00:24:43
They played well, is a defensive unit, and I could like I could still name all those guys. I missed all those guys.
00:24:50
And like now the defense is like such a revolving door.
00:24:53
So many young guys that never pan out so many injuries.
00:24:56
Um, early draft picks that are now on other squads, talented draft picks that we let walk away to other squads like it's It's sad.
00:25:05
It's very sad, kinda pathetic where this defense is ended up.
00:25:09
But in spite of the defense, that phrase has been used.
00:25:14
Air averages entire career, basically at least basically about 12 ish, you know, the last eight years or so It's in spite of the defense in spite of this.
00:25:22
In spite of that, Roger still manages to get it done.
00:25:25
It went 13 and free last year.
00:25:27
I just don't see them dropping six extra games this year.
00:25:30
I don't care who they're playing.
00:25:31
Six games is that's That's crazy.
00:25:34
That's That would be the biggest swing by a team that I can remember in recent history.
00:25:40
Eso you know, even with all those stats behind you.
00:25:45
Even with the lack of young greatness on the Packers defence, I still don't think you have to sweat.
00:25:52
I think will be 67 weeks into the season.
00:25:54
You're already more half more than halfway to cash in your but if you take the 8.
00:25:59
5, you know Aaron Rodgers made up for a lot of, uh, incompetence on the Packers in the past.
00:26:09
I don't think he's given the opportunity to I don't think those offenses set up where we can go.
00:26:14
Hey, Rogers, here's the ball.
00:26:17
Figure it out.
00:26:18
You can't even change the play at the line to do it because his team is so built to, you know, it runs through the run.
00:26:24
If the run doesn't work, then absolutely nothing is going to work.
00:26:28
And you know we don't have the receivers.
00:26:30
Second, beat one on one battles.
00:26:32
So Hope Rogers gonna have to run around to make plays what she's fantastic at.
00:26:37
But he's gonna have to do it quicker now because Brian Block is not there.
00:26:41
And not only is brand blogging out there, we're probably gonna have Billy Turner play right tackle.
00:26:46
He was right guard last year, one of the worst rate guards in the entire league.
00:26:51
Worst offense guards in the entire league.
00:26:52
You can't black one of the most with locks, I think third most last season, cause Lane Taylor is gonna come back.
00:26:59
Play right guard Jenkins.
00:27:00
Gonna stay at left.
00:27:02
We'll have Ricky Wagner, who came back from the Lions to back, turn her off at right tackle, But Turner can't move his hips air pretty much.
00:27:11
They're just solid that he can't move weapon right? So we're gonna have to use a tight end chip every time that takes away another receiver.
00:27:20
We're going to use a receiving tight.
00:27:22
And on the other side, that's Tony Ins, no longer Jimmy Graham, which you could say there's a pro or con, but it takes a wide receiver off the field.
00:27:31
So now we don't have length. We don't have speed.
00:27:34
It just seems like this team sucks like it's it's not built to beat anybody.
00:27:39
And I think we're very, very, very lucky.
00:27:41
The Minnesota Vikings took huge steps backwards, which I'll get into in a second.
00:27:47
But yeah, that's just where Matt well, what was making the lines in Vegas obviously kind of is leaning towards you.
00:27:53
They think that, you know, Packers have taken much larger setback or at least way, way, way over achieved last year.
00:28:01
Then I guess other people, including myself, are thinking the only thing that I'm looking at the schedule again right now and even if you could manage four and four through the first half of the season, which seems more than doable, you've got the Texan, so I don't think you're gonna be that great Vikings twice.
00:28:18
You're probably gonna split with them.
00:28:19
Lions, Falcons Who? The Packers have a history of beating.
00:28:23
So if you could even go for and four, you got some pretty soft games on the back end of the schedule being the Jaguars and Colts.
00:28:30
Two weeks in a row.
00:28:31
You have the Bears twice the pant there is, and the Lions again tightens toward the end of the season.
00:28:37
I mean, titans are set up to be a, um, a good team, but everyone we're talking a week 16 matchup.
00:28:44
You have no idea.
00:28:45
Especially, um, you know what condition Derrick Henry is gonna be in how Ryan Tannehill has performed all season.
00:28:51
Lots of questions around that Titans team, especially when you're talking six team weeks into the season.
00:28:56
So pretty soft back end of the schedule.
00:28:59
Um, more so than that front end, I guess, for the Packers.
00:29:04
So even if they can rattle off four wins in the first eight weeks, you're well on your way to cash in a 8.
00:29:09
5.
00:29:12
But and I would agree that back into the schedule is much nicer and it got even better this week because the left tackle for the Eagles is out for the year.
00:29:22
So now they lost their left tackle.
00:29:24
They lost the right guard.
00:29:27
That's football, man.
00:29:29
Everything looks good for a second, and then it all starts to unravel and unravels quickly.
00:29:34
Then they're playing with a bunch of nobodies.
00:29:37
A green.
00:29:38
Let's wrap up the NFC North with the Minnesota Vikings.
00:29:43
Talked about him a little bit Last season.
00:29:44
They went 10 and six.
00:29:45
This year, the over under its at eight.
00:29:48
I have it.
00:29:49
I have them projected for seven wins.
00:29:51
I feel like I'm being generous.
00:29:53
This is the worst defense Mike Zimmer has ever had any.
00:29:56
Where he's been is definitely the most questions on in Minnesota Vikings team under Zimmer that there's ever been, Um, What's your initial thoughts on that? Over under? What did you have? Bigger line as I'm sorry.
00:30:13
Ah, I have it.
00:30:14
Add 88 even eight.
00:30:17
Okay, I having a 8.
00:30:19
5 and might be risky here, but I'm still kind of leading the over.
00:30:25
I have them projected as nine and seven.
00:30:27
Um, I think that they are gonna be in a lot of close games, and I think that they have the ability to steal a couple of those games.
00:30:34
But I also think that Kirk and defense and a couple other reason, you know, uh, possibilities that they give up a game that they shouldn't have.
00:30:43
So I think nine and seven is kind of Ah ah, safe pick there could go one game Either way, 8.
00:30:50
5 is really riding the line there.
00:30:52
But I still lied over 8.
00:30:54
5, if you will.
00:30:56
If you're taking on the under fear, I can't blame you here because you're getting a much better pay out on a, uh, on a questionable projection, I guess if you want to call it that.
00:31:06
But I am leaning slightly towards the over, uh, with U. S.
00:31:10
A.
00:31:11
I think I would definitely take the over with a chance of a push.
00:31:15
My 8.
00:31:16
5 line. I'd be more comfortable on the under.
00:31:18
Um, depending on what the payout Waas.
00:31:23
So the Vikings have been led by their defense for quite a while.
00:31:28
Even last season, where they weren't terrific.
00:31:31
It was still the defense I was shining through.
00:31:34
Obviously, they don't have ah, everything Griffin anymore.
00:31:38
He's been there forever.
00:31:39
I think he had eight sacks last year, if I remember.
00:31:42
Right? Terrific.
00:31:44
Thank God he's not coming after Rodgers anymore.
00:31:47
The way the offensive line now is.
00:31:49
But ah at the big loss and the even larger Lost is losing all of their starting cornerback.
00:31:56
So we have all of new cornerbacks trying to learn how to play football in the NFL.
00:32:02
Was that big loss was Ah, in terms of just NFL experience.
00:32:07
They weren't great variance, but, well, at least they know what the hell they're doing now.
00:32:13
They have no rookie minicamp.
00:32:15
They have nothing.
00:32:16
We have all the players.
00:32:18
It's gonna be tough.
00:32:19
And I'm very happy we start the season with them.
00:32:22
Baby, something happens here, but, um, yeah, man, it's just not good.
00:32:30
Stefon Diggs being gone.
00:32:31
I'm not huge on Stefan takes, but he was a very, very good deep threat.
00:32:35
He stretched the defense out.
00:32:36
They had to respect him in that opened up running lanes for Dalvin Cook, who was fantastic last year, and they needed him to be even better this year.
00:32:44
But he's not gonna be as many running lanes.
00:32:47
They're relying on Adam feeling to become an outside receiver because for some reason they're running the rookie Justin Jefferson in the spot.
00:32:54
I think he would be better on the outside with feeling in the slot, but what do I know? So now we have feeling who's not super fast.
00:33:02
He's good route runner, but he's not gonna.
00:33:05
He's not kill anybody on the outside with his route running.
00:33:08
So do you think feeling takes a step forward or step back in terms of production this year, backwards? Just because he sees tougher defense, tougher defense? And it's not in a spot where he's comfortable.
00:33:21
We've seen it when Diggs has been out.
00:33:23
It's not because, you know, defense now looks at feelings, because when Diggs has been out, they moved feeling to the outside and the movement of the outside a lot last year.
00:33:33
So do I think he takes a huge step back from last season? Not necessarily.
00:33:37
I think he comes down a little bit, but it's more so compared to when he thrived in the slot and was one of the league's best receivers.
00:33:44
And I like him a lot.
00:33:46
He's a really good guy.
00:33:47
He's I think he's immensely talented.
00:33:51
I got to see him in personal lot because used to come to our practices all the time when he was really battling for that Vikings roster spot.
00:33:58
Um, what? I'm not one of the people who thinks he's overrated.
00:34:06
I don't believe that at all.
00:34:07
I think he's a very, very, very good wide receiver.
00:34:10
But I think he plays a specific role, which the Vikings were not going to use him it.
00:34:14
Unfortunately, that's what I like. Be under a lot.
00:34:20
Yeah, and, like obviously a lot, some of these I like way more than others.
00:34:25
Um, but the name of the game here is to make a pick, and I picked the over.
00:34:31
There's only one team that will get to eventually that I would totally avoid and over under bet this year we'll get there eventually.
00:34:40
But everybody else I did make a pick for and this one I'm gonna roll with the over with the way we've been discussing these, I think let's do two NFC conferences for this show, and then we'll just keep this going at a later date.
00:34:53
So which division for which conference were you talking about? for that pit.
00:35:01
Ah, the NFC East.
00:35:05
Let's do it.
00:35:06
So NFC East Antarctica.
00:35:09
We're going to disagree on this pick, by the way, So right.
00:35:14
Great.
00:35:15
N F c East.
00:35:16
Let's start out of the Dallas Cowboys.
00:35:17
Ate and ate last year.
00:35:18
They love going 887 and nine.
00:35:20
That's the thing this year over, understand? And 9.5.
00:35:26
Well, I'm already doubting why I have this as my pick, but I did this a while ago.
00:35:30
I have been projected going 10 and six, so that would be the over.
00:35:35
Yeah, I don't I don't like it, um, their schedules a little bit tougher this season than it was last year.
00:35:43
But there's no doubting that talent on this team.
00:35:47
This team's incredible top to bottom.
00:35:50
They lose Gerald McCoy, which is a huge loss, and it's still okay.
00:35:53
We're still fine.
00:35:55
I just talked about how much I like everything.
00:35:57
Griffin, He's on the Cowboys now.
00:35:59
They didn't need him.
00:36:00
They just signed him.
00:36:01
Just cause **** it, they can.
00:36:04
And in Jerry World, every day is Christmas and everything he wants happens.
00:36:10
Dak Prescott, I gas is still motivated to get a contract I mean, he's the top paid player in the league this year, so who cares? Um, this is a really solid team.
00:36:20
I think they'll miss Travis Frederick a lot.
00:36:22
I think that's going understated.
00:36:24
He the deck struggled a lot without him before this, but, I mean, that's the one weakness on this team.
00:36:34
Essentially, I know where you're citing.
00:36:38
So why do you like the Cowboys to hit the over? Oh, I love the cowboys.
00:36:43
Hit the over.
00:36:44
I love it.
00:36:45
I've got him at 9.
00:36:46
5 minus 1 50.
00:36:49
I don't care.
00:36:50
I'd like to 50 idly 500 on this.
00:36:52
I don't care.
00:36:53
Cowboys air going over over a number 9.5.
00:36:56
Let's run down the schedule really quick.
00:36:57
Yeah, look at that face. It's just disgusted.
00:36:59
You can't even bring my foot to the under at this point.
00:37:02
You just can't even believe I'm saying this right now.
00:37:04
And this isn't even the pick that I said that you weren't gonna like.
00:37:08
Um, all right, let's just run through.
00:37:10
This guy's really fast here, so they start off with Ah, let's see here.
00:37:16
It's a run for the Rams.
00:37:17
I think that's a win.
00:37:19
Um, by the way I got this is a talk as a talking point.
00:37:22
Might as well take a little a brief left turn here.
00:37:27
Are we blindly betting the over on this week? One Cowboys Rams game, is it? Is it too risky because there's been no offense? Ah.
00:37:35
Ah, no chance for the offenses, the practice.
00:37:38
Neither team has a terrible defense, but I think it be fun.
00:37:43
Teoh, you and I would make a pact to just blindly bet the over as soon assumes the line comes out for a week long.
00:37:49
We just hammer that over.
00:37:51
Um, I can find the line rain now.
00:37:53
I'm sure it's already out.
00:37:54
I'm probably not going to be betting the over on any line in week one.
00:38:00
Defense is usually are further head thing offenses.
00:38:04
And I'm not going to bet the over on any Rams game where they face a tough pass rush cause we saw how that happened.
00:38:11
For how that one last year.
00:38:13
Yeah, I think I figured I think I might Just for fun.
00:38:17
I mean, these are two.
00:38:19
Either this you have this team or excuse me either.
00:38:22
This game is going and you know, whole both teams under 20 points, or it's going to be one of those 48 tow 42 type games where the offense just explodes.
00:38:32
I think it be harder to see the ladder just because of everything that you said.
00:38:37
I don't know how high the line is, but I think there's real potential there to hit the over.
00:38:41
Maybe the second half over.
00:38:43
Give him the first half.
00:38:44
The warm up.
00:38:45
Which leads me to my second question here.
00:38:47
Which offense is gonna start clicking first? Obviously, I think it's the Cowboys, but I mean, the the Rams offense always has the potential to surprise us, too.
00:38:56
And if they can get things reverted back to how it was a couple seasons ago when they were just blown everybody away.
00:39:03
But it's gonna be tough to do, I guess.
00:39:06
The Cowboys team in Week one.
00:39:09
So e now you sound normal to me, huh? Okay, we're good now, I guess I'm not sure that was if you had to set the point total for that game and guess what it is.
00:39:37
What do you think it is? Um, man, I think it's gonna be pretty high.
00:39:47
I would set it at, like, 52 which I think a lot of people would love for the under, Obviously.
00:39:54
But like, I guess that's more my game projection.
00:39:57
Not really, my like, So I would probably send a little lower, maybe, like, 45 a half.
00:40:01
Well, I think my game projection is somewhere in, like, 52 type range.
00:40:06
Uh, they have it at 50.
00:40:08
5 s. So I was pretty **** close.
00:40:10
It seems about right, Which is the problem.
00:40:14
Yeah, but still 52.
00:40:17
That would cash it.
00:40:18
That would cash it.
00:40:19
It would.
00:40:20
Ah, man, I just don't see a scenario where Jared Goff comes out and carves up the Dallas Cowboys.
00:40:28
By the way, that lines really close to think about where their favorite about two.
00:40:34
It's gonna be a fun game.
00:40:35
It will be a heck of a game.
00:40:36
Cowboys are favored by 2.
00:40:37
5 on Fanduel minus one of five.
00:40:42
I would take the Cowboys all day with that mind.
00:40:46
Even though it's a make McCarthy offense, I don't care.
00:40:50
I just think that Rams offensive line isn't any better than last year.
00:40:55
That's the problem they saw.
00:40:57
And Jared Goff cannot do anything under pressure.
00:41:00
And McVeigh's having him not throwing training camp for so many things.
00:41:05
They haven't run at the quarterback and stopped before they get to him, and then he pretends to throw the ball.
00:41:11
Okay, so this isn't helping him at all.
00:41:15
Yeah, you're seeing a lot of that words.
00:41:17
Kind of like, you know, one of these drills doing, like, you know, and especially if somebody doesn't look good.
00:41:24
You're like, Oh, boy, like this is as easy as it gets.
00:41:26
And the season is right around the corner.
00:41:29
Yeah, yeah.
00:41:30
Oh, boy.
00:41:31
But maybe that's the reason cause they're hard knocks is there.
00:41:33
And if he was bad, you know, 2030 cameras on him, but still at least cause the Russians coming at him and then they stop like Okay, I think I treated hopefully the defense stops because they're gonna be coming at him all day this year again.
00:41:51
And last year he was horrendous.
00:41:53
He was so bad under pressure, and I don't think it gets better.
00:41:58
Okay, we're not talking about the Rams anyways, but right.
00:42:01
Jared Goff has gotta hate HBO at this point.
00:42:04
He already made a vocal that he didn't want them back again this season and, uh, still get stuck with it.
00:42:11
And now he's looking, You know, not.
00:42:14
Not that it's, like, entirely his fault because, like you said, that's just the way that the drills air set up or whatever, but he's still not looking great.
00:42:20
And he's just not not gonna be not a fan of HBO in any sort of.
00:42:29
And he saw right away.
00:42:30
What? I don't know.
00:42:31
Why wasn't looking at the chat before? But Brandon can **** off with his Jordan love comment.
00:42:37
I'm good with that. Thank you.
00:42:39
Moving on.
00:42:40
Did you see her? You like what I responded might not be the Colts, but it may be somebody.
00:42:44
It's something like that.
00:42:46
Um, for those of you who can't see the chat, we were asked when Joran Love was gonna get his first, uh, start.
00:42:53
But what week? He's gonna get his first start, and I said week 5 2004 for the Colts, So yeah.
00:43:01
Anyways, look, let's talk more about my beloved cowboys, you know, done about him.
00:43:07
Keep going.
00:43:08
No, I started.
00:43:09
I just took my left turn to ask you about that game.
00:43:11
So I think they beat the Rams.
00:43:13
I think they beat the Falcons.
00:43:15
I think they beat the Seahawks.
00:43:17
I think they beat the Browns.
00:43:19
I think they beat the Giants.
00:43:20
I think they beat the Cardinals.
00:43:23
I think they beat Washington.
00:43:24
I think they lose.
00:43:26
No, Excuse me.
00:43:27
I have them losing to the Seahawks, my bed.
00:43:29
So I think they start out five and one.
00:43:31
I think they lose again to the Eagles.
00:43:35
I think they don't keep losing this year.
00:43:38
I think they lose to the Steelers.
00:43:41
They beat the Vikings.
00:43:43
They beat the Redskins again.
00:43:44
They look to the Ravens, of course.
00:43:46
Eat the Bangles, lose to the 40 Niners, beat the Eagles this time around and then crush the Giants to end the season, even though they're probably not gonna have that much to play for.
00:43:58
Dak Prescott might not play very much, is equally by not play very much.
00:44:01
Don't care.
00:44:02
They're still gonna crush him.
00:44:03
All in all, I've got them going.
00:44:05
11 and five, possibly 12 and four.
00:44:07
Everything goes their way lines only at 9.5.
00:44:10
Love the over.
00:44:11
Ah, nearly as much as the Packers over maybe more, Um, sucks that my two favorite bets.
00:44:17
Not my best bet yet, but my two favorite bets so far Ah, have so much juice.
00:44:21
But I think the cowboys over 9.
00:44:22
5 Not gonna sweat like five and one through the first six weeks.
00:44:28
Eight more.
00:44:29
And I think by the time week nine comes around, when I have thereby not gonna be a question over 8.5.
00:44:39
I hate this cause.
00:44:40
Looking at that schedule, it's so much easier than I thought.
00:44:43
I waas it is.
00:44:45
That's what I'm saying.
00:44:46
They don't even have to win 10 games, and you cash the over bet like, Come on, I Yeah, I'm thinking over to I don't think they're as good as people say.
00:45:01
But you don't need to be right.
00:45:04
No, they don't like the guarantee losses.
00:45:06
If you want to call him that Ravens Steelers, and then you know Seahawks usually have their number.
00:45:12
The Seahawks have been a weak spot from Mike McCarthy his entire coaching career, but yeah, so if you want to give the Seahawks do, that's basically three very probable losses and then you've got the Eagles and the Steelers, who are beatable teams.
00:45:26
I don't think you know the Eagles and the Cowboys.
00:45:28
They always split their season series almost always. So.
00:45:31
I just split form again this year.
00:45:33
Steelers who really, Who knows.
00:45:35
So let's take that Steelers team off their Steelers game off the table.
00:45:39
Excuse me, and you're all the way up to 12 and four.
00:45:42
So even in 11 and five, all the way down to 10 and six, your cash in the over bet, I will say, I think they all go on record now.
00:45:54
I think they lose Week seven to the Redskins.
00:45:57
Interesting, I think.
00:45:59
Redskins well, Redskins defense is good.
00:46:02
We already know that. It's their offense.
00:46:04
That sucks.
00:46:05
Um, I think Cowboys look ahead a little bit, too, at Philadelphia, the perfect time of the season to for a letdown game with, like their bye week on the horizon.
00:46:15
It's a trash team that had been just pummeling the last few years.
00:46:18
Like I could see that to all of a sudden we're starting the fourth quarter and it's a game, you know.
00:46:23
And the Redskins find Excuse me, the Washington football team find a Ah a way to pull it out.
00:46:28
Yeah, I could see that.
00:46:30
I mean, if the Cowboys lose that game, I think they're gonna be in it.
00:46:33
I don't see how they could be, like, you know how Washington could take it to him, But I guess I can No, I guess I could see Ah, you know, anything can happen in division.
00:46:42
Like anything.
00:46:43
So, um, yeah, you've seen the lions beat the Packers when they've been really, really bad in weeks and in spots where the Packers just absolutely should have pummeled them.
00:46:52
So, I mean, it happens.
00:46:56
I agree.
00:46:57
Once move onto the New York Giants.
00:47:00
You talked about him a little bit before a new head.
00:47:02
Coach Joe Judge.
00:47:04
Maybe the best offense coordinator in the intel.
00:47:07
Your division with, ah, Cheese and Garrett.
00:47:10
I honestly have zero idea what to expect.
00:47:13
I'm really excited.
00:47:14
I have no clue.
00:47:16
I have no idea what his philosophies are about.
00:47:19
Anything, really gonna be fun to watch? Um, there they went, four and 12 last season.
00:47:26
Over under set at six.
00:47:29
I have them going five and 11.
00:47:33
So hitting the under, I think they make improvements.
00:47:37
This offense still has a lot of talent.
00:47:39
They just can't keep him on the field.
00:47:42
And, you know, it's one of those things where I need to see it before I believe it.
00:47:45
So we'll have an angry, um, play more than half games.
00:47:49
Will Sterling Shepard keep it's head on? I don't know what's going to happen.
00:47:53
And then defensively, they're still horrendous.
00:47:56
So I mean, they their defense is so bad to the point where Redskins we're gonna have good point totals against them.
00:48:04
And at that point, they're not going to win those games with the Redskins.
00:48:08
So that's why I'm going under with the Giants.
00:48:11
What about you? Yeah, under for sure.
00:48:14
I would buy your five and ah, five and 11 projection.
00:48:19
I have been projected about a game lower, maybe even two if things really go off the rails.
00:48:24
Um, so at that point, I think your you know, your cash in the under bet with with no sweat, because I do have them losing to, you know, um, I have the Browns or the Bears.
00:48:36
They're gonna drop one of those games.
00:48:37
So if even if they could pick up both of those games, they're Still, they have a pretty tough schedule.
00:48:42
I mean, Liverpool.
00:48:44
It's really bad.
00:48:46
It's not easy, like starting with the Steelers, either.
00:48:50
Who? I have them losing to, like quality teams.
00:48:52
Listen, Steelers 40 Niners, Rams, Cowboys, Eagles, Bucks Bangles, I think are gonna be really interesting.
00:49:00
And that's gonna be a fun quarterback, dual.
00:49:02
I'm gonna give the advantage to the Bangles in that game.
00:49:05
That's one that the, um, Giants may be able to pick up.
00:49:08
But again, you have room to work with that under six line.
00:49:12
So I got them living the Bangles.
00:49:14
Seahawks, Cardinals.
00:49:16
I think the Cardinals are just gonna be able to outscore them.
00:49:19
Um, could be another close game, though, and then the Browns and or the Bears.
00:49:24
And then they end with the Ravens and the Cowboys again.
00:49:27
So it is off sledding like there's no easy teams, and even the easier games are again bears Brown's teams that are trying, you know, trying to prove themselves tryingto prove that.
00:49:39
Prove it for them coaching staffs, teams that are supposedly on the come up or on their you know, their last leg.
00:49:44
So they're going to be playing for, um, playing with all their might to beat the bad teams, especially.
00:49:49
So I think the Giants are going to be a team that I guess everybody prepares for in the way of like, they know that this team is beatable and they're not horrible.
00:49:58
But they're a team that they should beat, so they're gonna actually prepare for them.
00:50:01
So that does not bode well for the Giants.
00:50:03
I have them going four and 12.
00:50:06
Possible five wins, more likely three wins.
00:50:10
If you're coming off that four and 12 record.
00:50:12
If you want to debate, that's something else.
00:50:14
Either wait six wins.
00:50:16
Not a chance there touching that.
00:50:18
They're they're not hitting six wins.
00:50:20
And if they do hit six wins like you've still would push on the bet.
00:50:24
Which *** is that considered a loss? I said pushing is just by through the take my money.
00:50:29
Either way, man six.
00:50:31
There's no way they're hitting six.
00:50:32
Like just go look at their schedule one time.
00:50:34
If you're uneducated football fan at all, you know they're not gonna hit six wins.
00:50:37
So take the under and it's at 106 right now.
00:50:40
**** near even money on draftkings.
00:50:44
It kind of blows my mind.
00:50:45
I love this bet.
00:50:47
Um, no juice involved And no sweat involved this season, either.
00:50:52
Under six easy.
00:50:56
You know, Let me find what it is on Fanduel.
00:51:01
Yeah, under 6105 That's not create easy to me.
00:51:06
That's insane.
00:51:07
How would you like to start your season off with Steelers at Chicago? 40 Niners at Rand's Cowboys? Not only are those tough teams, it was really good.
00:51:18
Defense is have fun and your shrimp yet good defense.
00:51:21
Is your traveling for what? At least three of those you said.
00:51:24
Um, I mean, if you could start with, they could start one and 41 and five, man, and then they would have to win 50% of their games after that.
00:51:32
Teoh.
00:51:33
I mean, you got they would have Teoh.
00:51:35
They would have to win seven games to cash the overdue.
00:51:38
That's not going.
00:51:40
And that's a pipe Tom Brady in prime time.
00:51:42
Yeah, later in the season, it's literally laughable.
00:51:45
Like it's seven games.
00:51:47
This might be the easiest, but it's not even my best bad, but it's it's gotta be the easiest bet Soleil right now in the whole world under 6 1906 No disagreements here.
00:52:01
Philadelphia Eagles.
00:52:02
They went nine and seven last season.
00:52:04
Fell into the playoffs with somehow NFC East win.
00:52:09
This year, I have them at I have the line at night and a half.
00:52:14
I had I need change this.
00:52:16
I had them winning 10 games I was before their left tackle.
00:52:19
News. I'm going with the under Now.
00:52:21
I would put them closer to eight and eight.
00:52:23
Eagles continue to get it done by it.
00:52:27
With that.
00:52:28
That many players off the offensive line in the division they are.
00:52:32
Dallas added those rushers in on the defensive front for the Eagles.
00:52:37
Essentially, I don't see any way they hit the over 20.
00:52:42
But what about you? No.
00:52:45
So this we have reached my pick where I would just avoid this team all together.
00:52:51
Uh, too many questions too many years that we don't think the Eagles are gonna be any good.
00:52:55
And they end up being good, making a run to the Super Bowl and then too many years that we think that this is their year.
00:52:59
They're gonna be good and they end up stinking.
00:53:01
So you got your you got your half point on the line.
00:53:04
I have it on draftkings at nine.
00:53:07
Um, actually, it's funny.
00:53:09
I was talking off, but I didn't really want to waste my money tied up my money with a potential push.
00:53:14
I also don't believe that they are going to hit the over, but then I at nine like I also don't necessarily think they're only gonna win eight games, so I don't like the under either.
00:53:24
So I'm just avoiding this, especially with all the other lines that we've already talked about.
00:53:28
With two more conferences to come in the entire A F C.
00:53:32
There's just better value, more guaranteed picks out there.
00:53:35
I would avoid this team.
00:53:37
Avoid this line altogether, But I do have them going nine and seven again.
00:53:42
The teams that I have them losing to our kind of in debatable, really good teams of the 40 Niners, Steelers, Ravens, Cowboys, see Heart Saints and then I have the possibility of the Browns and or cardinals like I mean, that's tough sledding.
00:53:56
And then if you drop another game in there, or um, you know you're dealing with a bunch of injuries, midseason, like you always are, end of dropping a game or so the over this way too risky.
00:54:07
But I also necessarily don't like the under because of the Eagles tendency to outperform themselves an outperform are expected expectations for them, given the injuries and other situations.
00:54:17
So, um, I'm avoiding the Eagles totally this year.
00:54:22
That's definitely fair.
00:54:24
Unfancied, will you also have my night and a half? Yeah, I feel pretty comfortable under 9.
00:54:29
5.
00:54:30
If it is even nine, I get it.
00:54:32
They do somehow get wins when they shouldn't.
00:54:35
They had Greg Ward last year destroying teams, and he was pretty sure, uh, as a cashier, you know, a couple weeks before that, at a grocery store.
00:54:45
So, uh, I had ah, I forget what week it was last year, but was later in the season.
00:54:50
Um, when, uh, Seahawks were putting together around at the end of the year like they always do.
00:54:56
They want seven of nine or whatever it was down the stretch last year.
00:54:59
One of the games that they lost was Teoh, Philadelphia team, who had absolutely no business even being in that game holding the Seahawks toe like 16 points or whatever they held them.
00:55:10
Teoh cost me a massive parlay like one of the biggest partners I've ever been in.
00:55:16
It was a six legged, open ended parlay.
00:55:19
This was Leg five, and I felt so good about it, like, so good about it.
00:55:25
I I should have known it was a sucker bet, because the line wasn't even.
00:55:29
Ah, all that dramatic.
00:55:31
I think they only had.
00:55:32
The Seahawks is like 1 30 favorites or something.
00:55:34
Man, I love this best sat there, sweated it out, hated myself, hated the Seahawks the entire game.
00:55:40
And somehow the Eagles made it work.
00:55:44
They beat the Seahawks in and Russell Wilson.
00:55:46
You could just how he was.
00:55:47
Like what? I I have no idea how that just happened, like they were such so much of a better football team.
00:55:53
And then I think the next week the Seahawks were up by, like, 21 in the first quarter or something.
00:55:58
I was just like, but point being the Eagles win games like that.
00:56:04
Like where you expect them to go in and and get crossed or they're just, you know, they have an injury list longer than you know, their roster basically, and you think they have no chance of wind and they go out, they grind it out and they win.
00:56:19
I think Zach Ertz had, like a hell of a performance in that game if I remember correctly.
00:56:23
So they do have guys dynamic guys, playmakers that as long as you can keep a couple of them on the field, they always have a chance.
00:56:30
But, um, with all that being said, I just don't There's so many other bets I'd rather, uh, I'd rather be in on this year.
00:56:39
That's fair.
00:56:41
Let's finish up the division here and we will then do NFC.
00:56:46
What what are we missing? South and West? A different day.
00:56:50
I think it would be more fair sewing.
00:56:52
Devote more time to them.
00:56:54
But let's finish up with the Washington football team.
00:56:57
Lots of changes, lots of drama, lots of chaos this off season for the squad.
00:57:02
They're making the way changes, though.
00:57:03
I mean, they have Jack Del Rio defensive coordinator.
00:57:06
They have Rivera ahead.
00:57:08
Coat seemed to be trying to change the culture.
00:57:11
Maybe it's just ah masking other things.
00:57:14
Who knows? Last season they went three and 13 this year when total little higher I have met 4.
00:57:21
5 here.
00:57:23
I still have the under.
00:57:24
This is not a bet I feel comfortable with at all.
00:57:27
I think they could get more wins than four, which I am projected for, based on the defense alone and the winning culture that those two coaches I named we're gonna bring.
00:57:38
I mean, switching from Jay Gruden to Rivera is the mindset alone is going to be ridiculous.
00:57:44
I could easily see them hit the over.
00:57:46
This is the one like you were talking Philadelphia.
00:57:49
You don't wanna want any part with.
00:57:51
I have zero zero c.
00:57:54
I don't wanna touch a seem at all.
00:57:56
So what's I have a lot of questions.
00:57:58
First, let's start with Are you on the over under with that? I'm on the under.
00:58:03
I'm actually pretty confident in the under.
00:58:05
It was going to be my I mean, initially looking through this, it was one of my favorite bets.
00:58:09
I think that has shifted to the Giants.
00:58:12
Um, after talking about it with you, I just I love that That's so much man.
00:58:16
But I'm on the under pretty confidently in Washington here.
00:58:21
I do think they get better I don't know.
00:58:23
Um I mean, it's hard not to.
00:58:25
I think their coach is way better.
00:58:28
I think, uh, quarterback is going to hinder them all season long, no matter who it is.
00:58:34
Um, and I don't necessarily love their, like position players, either.
00:58:40
Um, all that much.
00:58:42
So you put all those things in a pot? I think that you've got the very beginnings of a team who could be good down the line.
00:58:48
Not so much this year.
00:58:50
I don't think that they're gonna pick up any games against the Cowboys.
00:58:53
I know what you proof.
00:58:54
You said that you did.
00:58:55
Um, I think they're gonna battle out with the Giants.
00:58:58
I think they're gonna have a hard time beating the Eagles as well.
00:59:01
And then they don't have a very favorable schedule as you run it down, either.
00:59:04
I mean, they're playing playing a lot of same teams.
00:59:06
We are mentioned in the previous three teams here, but they got to contend with the Ravens.
00:59:11
The Rams again.
00:59:13
I think it will be a good, good ah contest with the Bangles.
00:59:17
I think the Bangles against these NFC T east teams is gonna be a really fun Watch Steelers for minor Seahawks.
00:59:23
I mean, it's all the same.
00:59:24
Teams have been talking about the last 30 minutes here.
00:59:27
Tough sledding for Washington.
00:59:28
I do think they get better.
00:59:30
They would have to get three games better in order to hit the over.
00:59:33
I don't know if that happens.
00:59:35
I don't think it does.
00:59:36
I've got them a three and 13 4 and 12 type area.
00:59:39
The under, um, is paying on plus 1 18.
00:59:43
So, obviously, Vegas kind of leaning your way a little bit where they think they might be.
00:59:48
A sneaky good, maybe not even sneaky.
00:59:50
Good, but sneaky.
00:59:51
Better than we think they're going to be.
00:59:53
Pick up a few games and, uh, either tie that five mark or go over it.
00:59:59
But I like the under plus 1 18.
01:00:03
And before we get into this, this is the last team.
01:00:06
If anyone has any questions in the chat, asked them now.
01:00:09
So we make sure we get to them.
01:00:11
Um, you haven't met five.
01:00:13
You have the better five ones there.
01:00:15
I have it at 4.5.
01:00:16
I feel a lot more confident that five to say the under.
01:00:22
Yeah, And as I as I mentioned, I got all my lines within the last, like, two hour the draftkings.
01:00:27
So obviously they're probably shifting a little bit And depending on what book you're using, but, um, it is available at five.
01:00:32
On Draftkings.
01:00:34
Okay? Yeah.
01:00:35
I'm getting mine from betting prose, which is kind of like the consensus they'll just you don't take whatever the most popular is.
01:00:41
And people come out here.
01:00:43
Sure, um things is the one that lets me have you, Might you the odds Even though, you know, I'm stuck here in Wisconsin, Fanduel did forever let me viewing.
01:00:51
But now that we're I haven't been able to for weeks.
01:00:55
So draftkings is whoever I on now.
01:00:59
Yeah, super weird, cause I work for fanduel and I have to use the sports book every day.
01:01:03
And obviously I'm in Wisconsin.
01:01:05
20 I never had it until recently, so I don't know, Huh? Okay.
01:01:13
So two coaches we talked about Rivera, Jack Del Rio, both incredible defensive minds.
01:01:20
And this defense has great talent.
01:01:23
I don't think the defense is holding them back.
01:01:26
I don't think anyone expects the defense, the holding back, it's the offense which is disgusting.
01:01:31
They got Terry MacLaurin at wide receiver, and that's about it.
01:01:36
We don't have a tight end.
01:01:37
Is Jeremy Sprinkle and Richard Rodgers? That's it.
01:01:40
Offensive line is the same as last season, which is meth running backs that got rid of the eeriest Geiss because of the off the field issues.
01:01:50
Is that a downgrade from last year? No, because he couldn't stand the field anyway.
01:01:54
They got Antonio Gibson.
01:01:55
I think he's dangerous.
01:01:56
You could.
01:01:57
He's a home run through every time, and they're going to use him really creatively, especially because they don't have any wide receivers.
01:02:06
And then Adrian Peterson still there.
01:02:07
He keeps.
01:02:08
He's like Frank or I mean, they keep going Frank or chest winning over Adam Cases, Heart number one backer.
01:02:16
As of right now, from what I'm here, yeah, you're not wrong, and I fully believe the reports coming out.
01:02:26
I'm not doubting it in the slightest for multiple reasons, because one is Adam Gaze into its frank court.
01:02:32
I think Frank or is going to continue to get better, but we'll see what happens defensively, though I mean, they got Monta Sweat Chase young and each side of the line to get Ryan Kerrigan.
01:02:42
Still, Thomas Davis came over to play middle linebacker, which is the role he's going to thriving.
01:02:47
I think he plays.
01:02:48
He's gonna play a lot better there.
01:02:49
He's obviously slowed down a lot, and you can read the defense very well.
01:02:53
I think he's gonna be good there.
01:02:56
Still, Landon Collins.
01:02:57
Sean Davis's decent Kendall Fuller came back this off season, and I think, and Colvin is a backup.
01:03:05
I like him.
01:03:06
I think he's gonna get better.
01:03:08
This is a team that's gonna hit you, though it's just plain and simple.
01:03:11
It's a team that I think could be very good against the run, which is why I think Cowboys could have a little bit of issues and you're not gonna punk them.
01:03:20
They're gonna talk to you.
01:03:21
They're gonna hit you.
01:03:22
They're gonna make sure you know, they're there in with everything that's happening with Washington forever.
01:03:30
You know, they've been the team that's in the laughing stock.
01:03:32
They've been the team that is a joke just because of their name alone.
01:03:37
They're here to prove that they're a really football team now under this new head coach, and they will force you to respect them.
01:03:47
I think they're gonna be really fun to watch offensively.
01:03:50
Not so much defensively.
01:03:52
I think they're gonna be one of my favorite groups in the league.
01:03:55
Which makes That's why I'm staying away from this, But But I totally get the under.
01:03:59
I mean, there have zero talent on offense, right? And, you know, defense can be as good as you need them to be.
01:04:08
And you still got to be ableto produce on offense and score at least, especially in any and not NHL.
01:04:13
Well, especially the NFL.
01:04:15
Um, yeah, you're not gonna get away with score.
01:04:17
You know, we saw that last year with the Redskins, like they were putting up six points a game and light, and they were they weren't necessarily getting blown out by 30 40 points every week because their defense was least kind of holding people.
01:04:30
But they weren't even scoring like there was, however, many four weeks in a row or whatever, where they didn't even touch the ends off.
01:04:36
Um, I think it would be slightly better this year, but again, as I said, I think there if this is the beginnings of a team that has potential down the line.
01:04:45
It's the beginnings of a core group, maybe.
01:04:47
Ah, and a coaching staff that could actually have success there.
01:04:50
But for me, there's no saving grace to this team.
01:04:53
I mean, the defense is good, but that's not, um, they're not good enough to win collectively as a team as a whole, and they don't have anybody that you can point to.
01:05:02
And that's the guy.
01:05:03
You know.
01:05:04
Terry Clark.
01:05:05
McLaurin was good in certain weeks at certain points.
01:05:07
Um, was it wet? Was, Ah, disappointment.
01:05:10
The whole back end of the season, Um, was also a guy that kind of came out of nowhere.
01:05:15
So it's not like anybody really had huge expectations for him.
01:05:18
So maybe that's another reason everybody was so pleasantly surprised.
01:05:21
Um, I just don't think that they're good enough to win collectively.
01:05:24
And they don't have a guy like a Jordan Reed or even, um, Kirk Cousins.
01:05:30
Well, he was there.
01:05:31
He was, you know, he was a guy that was ableto win them games in certain situations.
01:05:36
I don't know.
01:05:37
I don't think they have that a quarterback right now.
01:05:38
Ah, and they also have a history of decent running backs again.
01:05:43
No superstars, but guys that could get the job done.
01:05:46
Guys that would be sought after by other teams and start for other teams after leaving Washington because they were actually good and I actually produced Washington doesn't really have anybody like that right now.
01:05:56
That has mentioned no Jordan Reed.
01:05:59
Um, just nobody I can point to really and again not good enough collectively, either.
01:06:04
So I think under five and they might be there might be falling in different ways.
01:06:10
But I don't think this is like, you know, I don't think this is the team that you're scared of if you're anybody else in the NFL and I don't think it's the team that you're gunning for for a long term.
01:06:20
If you're a fan of this team or a coach of this team, really, there's a lot of changes that need to be made.
01:06:24
There's a lot of guys that are either gun are on, make it or break it type of of situations with this team.
01:06:31
So it's gonna be fun in the way of so many questions and so many possibilities this year.
01:06:35
But do they win five or more games? I hardly think so.
01:06:41
And thats fair and to your point, the only mismatch they have on their and tell your offense is the rookie Antonio Gibson.
01:06:49
I I think linebackers will struggle with him, but there's only so much a running back, and due to will a team to a win.
01:06:57
Especially, I mean, the rest of the passing game is not exactly going t o make the defense respect.
01:07:03
Um, and I mean, you got to give your running back chances to like, you gotta open things up down the field.
01:07:08
You gotta be able to throw the ball consistently.
01:07:10
You gotta have a quarterback.
01:07:11
That defense is respect.
01:07:13
Otherwise, it doesn't matter how good, your honor, like he's not Adrian Peterson with the Vikings.
01:07:16
Like he's not a guy that can just do it despite, you know, no matter what, even if their load up the box, even if they only passed the ball, you know a few times again like, ah, who was the quarterback? Ponder Christian was at his name.
01:07:31
Gregory Ponder.
01:07:32
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
01:07:33
Like so.
01:07:35
Like, if they would have anybody else had an actual passing attack, imagine what Adrian Peterson could have done in that offense, but like, he was good enough bread fire for a little bit.
01:07:42
Yeah, for a little bit there.
01:07:44
And that was breath and yeah, and that was, you know, a very, very short time.
01:07:48
So running back like that can overcome all those things, but a different guy.
01:07:54
That's just a pretty good running back or solid running back.
01:07:56
You're gonna need to help him out a lot of ways.
01:07:59
And I just don't know what the Washington is set up to do that in the best to the best of their ability right now.
01:08:09
Yeah.
01:08:10
Angry.
01:08:11
Definitely not.
01:08:12
Ah, and a great offensive watch the season.
01:08:14
Especially with the defense's they go against in the division and Philadelphia and Dallas at least.
01:08:21
I mean, they have good friend.
01:08:22
Sevens would be fun to find.
01:08:25
I don't know of any books that do this, but like total points scored by a team, Um, yeah, I don't think that would be fun, but I don't I haven't seen that, cause I'm probably hammer the under on the Redskins for that on whatever it is.
01:08:36
But like, that'd be pretty fun. Prop.
01:08:39
Actually, you have to do a lot of calculations a little bit more guessing.
01:08:43
Um, and the numbers would range, you know? Very, quite a bit.
01:08:47
I'm guessing you kind of completely agree.
01:08:53
So we just went over NFC North and a F C East will do NFC South and West a different day.
01:08:59
I want to give one last shout out to the pros and Joe's Charity Fantasy League that I'm in.
01:09:05
You can go to my Twitter account at Fantasy Flurry right now.
01:09:09
My last retweeted tweet as the link to get signed up.
01:09:14
All bids go to a charity of my choice, which is the Village Foundation, which goes to address the homeless problems in Los Angeles that continue to grow.
01:09:23
Yeah, if you don't have any money to give, there's ways to enter the raffle, to be a co owner of a fantasy league with me against people from ESPN, CBS, ah, all these other big networks.
01:09:36
There's ways to enter it without spending a dime.
01:09:39
You just share the link in a certain way, and you get 53 entries.
01:09:44
That's a good deal to me.
01:09:45
And if you get picked from another raffle that I'm doing just personally you get a $90 value month of free.
01:09:52
Awesome.
01:09:54
Oh, Platinum with awesome.
01:09:55
Oh, if you don't know Number one number one DFS player in the entire world, he pretty much ones that DFS tournament that pays another person's salary that he brings on.
01:10:05
It's definitely worthwhile.
01:10:07
Get Jake.
01:10:09
Do you have any final thoughts? No, Um, looking forward.
01:10:14
Teoh, Of course.
01:10:16
The continuation of playoffs and stuff here in the NHL and NBA and stuff, but more.
01:10:20
We talk about this, the more I just want, you know, football to be on my TV.
01:10:25
Really football that matters.
01:10:27
Um, just excited for it, Really Looking forward to it.
01:10:30
I haven't watched a single second of hard knocks this year because I heard it's just been not good and depressing and no actual football content, Really? So I'm just I'm ready for week one and ah, of course, lots of good ah, fantasy content yet coming up in the next few days.
01:10:47
I know fantasy drafts are probably already done or getting done soon, so keep checking back Teoh flurry sports for more fantasy content.
01:10:56
I'm gonna try and turn on some articles here quickly, and, uh yeah, other than that by our picks up, Zach and I, uh, keep paying our rent.
01:11:09
Absolutely.
01:11:10
I am purchasing a new computer tonight because I see that my camera gets a little bit glitchy on here, especially.
01:11:19
And that's because I'm running on a laptop that six or seven years old.
01:11:23
So I'm buying a computer tonight.
01:11:24
It's gonna be a cool grand.
01:11:25
I would love recruited five picks up Pick said he dot com.
01:11:29
And same with Jakes.
01:11:30
Pick.
01:11:31
Obviously, he's been hot with NHL and PGA, and anything else is doing in the big name A couple days ago, my MBA props are hot right now, and that starts back up tomorrow, hopefully continues.
01:11:44
So definitely do that.
01:11:45
And you have an NFL package up already or No, I don't.
01:11:50
I'm working on kind of developing, and I was gonna talk with you to kind of see how you go about doing that, because right now I just have my daily weekly monthly picks.
01:11:58
But I'll probably put together like a full season of, um, picks or like a one time deal for picks all the way through a Super Bowl.
01:12:05
Something like that, I will have been available probably either the first of September or sometime right before Labor Day and then have it run all the way up to the beginning of season.
01:12:16
Um, obviously, you get my picks at any point over the season to, but if you just want to lock it up, my picks are really, really cheap.
01:12:22
And this NFL package that I'm coming up with will be chief as well.
01:12:27
But other than that, um, watch more sports this weekend tune into the PGA that BMW Championship.
01:12:34
If you haven't only three players were under par going into the second round.
01:12:38
Today, of course, has been really tough.
01:12:40
Been a fun watch.
01:12:42
Um, not like last week's tournament, where Dustin Johnson shot negative 30 something and just destroyed the course a little bit more competitive.
01:12:49
Of course, it is presenting itself a lot tougher this week, so check out some golf.
01:12:53
If you aren't really a typical golf watcher, you can ah watch them.
01:12:57
It's been pretty fun.
01:12:59
Um, and speaking of golf, I'm going to try ah two K 21 the new PGA game tonight.
01:13:05
I went bought it last night, just didn't have time to play it, So, um as long as I can.
01:13:10
The payments can as long as I can convince my brother Teoh not make me stay on call of duty too long.
01:13:15
I'm going to play a little bit of golf tonight and then just get back to you, right? Most fancy articles, So I hope everybody has a great night. Thanks for watching.
01:13:23
And, uh, definitely watch out for our next stream coming up as we finished.
01:13:28
Uh, the rest of the NFC here talkin NFC West in NFC, so absolutely we'll be back soon.
01:13:36
Share this all over.
01:13:37
Make sure to follow us on here to get notified.
01:13:40
You can subscribe to us on YouTube.
01:13:42
Just flurry sports to get this video later on any other videos, The fantasy season will be having daily conflict.
01:13:48
It's gonna be sick.
01:13:49
We're gonna have a lot of **** for you guys this year.
01:13:52
And trust me, you need it.
01:13:54
Eso We'll see you guys next.
01:13:56
Art CIA.
01:14:01
Get on that Cowboys over
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Giving Our Over/Under Bets for Each NFC Team!

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FlurrySports Livestreams @FlurrySports

Transcript hideup

00:00:00
the whole thing.
00:00:01
Like ended.
00:00:02
So wasn't your Internet issue.
00:00:05
Just the stream and just shut down.
00:00:14
Okay, apologies for that.
00:00:16
For anyone watching, we're back.
00:00:18
Better than ever.
00:00:19
Just need to keep you on your toes.
00:00:21
We'll give a bit couple minutes here before you start getting into the meat of everything.
00:00:26
Just get everybody back like we were saying, Uh, we're shifting to betting tonight, and we're gonna be giving our over under Patrick Beach of the NFC teams in the NFL.
00:00:38
And this is an area I really like to bet.
00:00:41
This is my favorite futures of the year.
00:00:43
Last season, I was the top expert in the entire industry.
00:00:47
I can get you my exact percentage here.
00:00:49
Second, I know it's pinned on my Twitter profile at Fantasy Flurry.
00:00:56
Um, conference winners.
00:00:57
I was 91% accurate with all the winds that goes with conference winner.
00:01:03
And with overall order, division order at the end and the over under winds an average air of 2.
00:01:13
3, it looks like so this is an area I really like.
00:01:18
This is always the most profitable for me.
00:01:20
It's not like the Super Bowl picks.
00:01:21
It's not anything like that.
00:01:22
I think these were slightly easier to predict.
00:01:26
There's definitely some leans I have tonight as well.
00:01:28
We'll get into that in a second, Uh, before anything, though.
00:01:32
I want to give one Shout out to a charity league I'm doing, and I'll do it again at the end, its pros and Joe's charity.
00:01:41
You go on my Twitter again at fantasy flaring and find the link pretty much you bid.
00:01:47
It's a raffle, and the winner of the raffle gets to co own a fancy league with me against other experts in the industry.
00:01:55
And they were talking people from ESPN and CBS NFL Network Sports Illustrated.
00:02:00
I'm really surprising people in there, and every bid goes to a charity of my choosing, which is the Village Foundation.
00:02:08
You can read a little bit about it on the link in my Twitter, Um, every you get a raffle ticket for every dollar.
00:02:18
You purchase a dollar per ticket unless you do a higher mountain and you know it goes down.
00:02:24
If you don't want toe put any money in, I get it.
00:02:27
There's ways to get free entries into it.
00:02:29
You just share the link and If people sign up with your link, you free entry.
00:02:34
So screw it.
00:02:35
Might as well do it in, because I do have that connection with Oz Mom giving away two monthly Austin valued at $90 each.
00:02:43
So pretty good deal.
00:02:45
You might as well share the Lincoln.
00:02:46
Get five free entries just in case you get that.
00:02:50
Um, but that goes on for another week or so, so you'll hear me promoting that quite a bit.
00:02:55
You make it sick of hearing it, but as long as you get signed up, then you could just be ahead of the game and keep racking up those free entries.
00:03:02
But that's not over here to talk about Jake.
00:03:05
Let's talk about NFL.
00:03:06
Let's talk about these over under picks.
00:03:09
Do you have a conference you would like to start with? Well, you know, really quickly before we start right before the stream ended, the last few mended.
00:03:19
I was just going Teoh toot my own horn a little bit and mentioned that, you know, I haven't haven't had picks the last two days just because of everything going on.
00:03:26
Don't know what games are being played.
00:03:28
Um, and the day before that went before everything happened.
00:03:33
Ah, I went 14 and three my best day ever over at pick City Ah, $100 betters would have been up over $1500 on my picks, as I did hit a plus 5.
00:03:43
43 parlay all three NHL games that were playing that night.
00:03:47
So, uh, things have been going good for me.
00:03:49
I have not had a single red week yet over at Pick City and coming off a 14 and three nights, I just haven't wanted to, I don't know, pick games during this unsure time and, you know, potentially put my hot streak if you want to call it that at risk.
00:04:07
So I'm shifting my gambling abilities to these totals here tonight, and hopefully we can keep the hot streak running because man 14 and three and then not being able to bet the next two days, that's just disappointing.
00:04:20
So we're going to turn our attention to these futures here and, ah, as faras where we're starting.
00:04:26
I don't know what you wanna start with our beloved NFC North or you want to say that till the end.
00:04:31
I think we can start with it All right, go in alphabetical order.
00:04:35
Let's just start with the Chicago Berries.
00:04:37
I have them pulled up.
00:04:38
Anyway.
00:04:39
Last year they went 88 Obviously, they had quarterback troubles.
00:04:43
A lot of people felt they were held back because of a quarterback.
00:04:47
The quarterback away from winning a Super Bowl, as Chicago fans feel they always are this year 2020 over under, where I'm looking right now.
00:04:56
It's at seven.
00:04:58
Jake, I'm not exactly sure how you want to go about doing this.
00:05:01
I think I'm just going to give my initial pick and then you can give yours.
00:05:05
And if we agree, you know, we won't have to talk about it too terribly much.
00:05:09
But if we disagree, and I guess it could lead to further discussion.
00:05:13
So for me, Chicago Bears over Underside seven.
00:05:17
I'm picking the over.
00:05:18
I like them to go over it.
00:05:20
I haven't ate and ate again right now.
00:05:23
I had a above that.
00:05:24
I had them as the NFC North winners before Hicks opted out because of Corona virus.
00:05:30
I think that does hurt.
00:05:32
I can get into that more a little bit, but what's your initial lean on this division? around this team.
00:05:39
Interesting that you said you did have them at one point as your NFC North winners.
00:05:44
I've been higher on the bears the last couple of years, and I am this year, I think.
00:05:49
Ah, I've already seen what I kind of need to see with the Bears.
00:05:52
They're gonna try and run it back again, but I don't have them going any better than 18 8, maybe nine and seven as well.
00:05:58
I do have I didn't know how detailed you wanted to get.
00:06:00
So I do have, um my list of every team that I think, Ah, every team is gonna lose to basically.
00:06:07
So if we want oh, ever run down those? I did have those jotted down as well, but I got all my lines off draftkings just about an hour within last two hours ago.
00:06:18
Eso My line is 7.5.
00:06:20
I am taking the over as well, though that's currently at minus 1. 30.
00:06:25
So, again, I think, uh, at worst, they don't take a step forward.
00:06:29
They don't take it.
00:06:30
Step back.
00:06:31
They end up is another average eight and eight year.
00:06:33
I think at best it might be able to pull out a game jump to nine and seven.
00:06:39
But other than that, I don't think this bear seems gonna blow us away.
00:06:41
Probably going to cash that over 7.5.
00:06:46
And I'm just looking at Fanjul Sports book just for the hell A.
00:06:48
Very now they actually have the Bears total set at eight.
00:06:52
So over eight would be plus 1 10 under eight minus 1.
00:06:56
30.
00:06:57
Um, I I still would go the over.
00:07:00
My biggest worry about this Bears team on both sides of the ball is the run.
00:07:06
So offensively offensive line, I don't think very good.
00:07:09
I don't think they did anything to really improve it.
00:07:11
I don't think they're good.
00:07:13
They're big.
00:07:14
Offseason acquisition was Jason Spriggs, who was a backup for the Packers.
00:07:17
I think he's fine.
00:07:18
I don't think he's going to blow anybody away.
00:07:21
I definitely don't think he can improve this offensive line to a point where they're opening running lanes against your divisional opponent.
00:07:28
Defensively, I think this run defense is gonna be above average, but I think losing Hicks in the middle of that defense is huge and this isn't the division to lose.
00:07:39
Run stoppers.
00:07:41
I mean, the Packers we know want to run the ball as much as possible.
00:07:45
Vikings.
00:07:46
They are going to be even more geared towards the run this year without Stefon Diggs.
00:07:50
The Lions improved the running game and they're hoping to be a run first team toe open up the past.
00:07:55
That's what they want to do.
00:07:56
That's what met Patricia wants to do.
00:07:59
If the Bears don't stop their own consistently, this team falls completely apart.
00:08:04
I don't think anyone could argue that.
00:08:06
I think they'll still be OK.
00:08:09
And at the end of the day, this team is gonna go as far as the quarterback takes them just really quick.
00:08:14
Do you think Nick Foles is gonna win that job or do you think it's gonna be true Biscuit again? I think they're gonna stick with Travis Key as long as they possibly can until I mean, he there look really, really bad or there's just too much noise to ignore.
00:08:28
Um, I also don't think that he has to play like ridiculously outstanding and order to not lose his job, I think because they haven't be it.
00:08:37
I mean, they brought in Nick Foles, but um because they haven't totally moved on from the idea that Mitch could still turn things around because they want to give him this one last shot.
00:08:48
They have invested so much to go up and get him.
00:08:51
Like I think they give him every single last chance.
00:08:53
Um, Nick Foles, Salad Guy, solid quarterback.
00:08:57
But he's probably a guy that you could use as a gap quarterback next year.
00:09:02
Gap, your guy if you needed.
00:09:04
I think they're gonna try and get everything out of Mitch.
00:09:06
Ah, that they possibly can try and see any sort of sign of light that would make them feel better.
00:09:11
Um, before making a decision about you know, his long term future with Chicago.
00:09:16
I don't see a scenario outside of Chicago winning the NFC North and maybe making a playoff run that, like Mitch signs an extension or a big deal with Chicago, would be surprised to see that at this rate.
00:09:29
And ah, Nick Foles, obviously young enough. Good enough.
00:09:32
Still, that uses most of this year to learn the system, maybe plays right at the end of the season and then they roll into next season with him looking towards the future.
00:09:41
I could kind of see that.
00:09:43
Yeah, I agree with that.
00:09:45
I was more convinced that Robiskie was going to win the job at the beginning of the off season.
00:09:51
I put in a bet that Mr Boesky would be the Week One starter as soon as they traded for fools on the line was ridiculous in the other way.
00:09:59
But on I feel like it's leaning.
00:10:02
It's the Mo Mentum is going towards fulls.
00:10:06
But it feels like a GM decision, not a matinee key decision.
00:10:12
If that makes sense, I think Nikki wants falls to start.
00:10:15
For sure. I mean, he coached pulls before.
00:10:17
He's the reason fools was brought in.
00:10:19
He would bring in this guy to be a backup.
00:10:21
That's who he wants to start.
00:10:24
The GM doesn't want him to start.
00:10:25
The G m wants to look smart.
00:10:27
Why would the GM trade up for a guy and you know they want him to look good? It's the same reason as why the Packers want Jordan love to look good.
00:10:36
Really? Well, it's not Yeah, and he's got a long way to go before that happens.
00:10:40
But it's not an unheard of the unprecedented situation.
00:10:44
Like we see this all the time, where it's the guy that should be starting.
00:10:48
And then the guy that kind of has to start because of an opinion of ah, front office guy or a GM and then every single week, the you know, the talk is Is this Mitch is last week, you know? Are we going to see him get pulled? How long until Nick Foles and then Mitch inevitably suffers from that? Because there's always that, you know, looking over your shoulder.
00:11:11
Um, if I get yanked from this one game, I'm probably never gonna get my job back.
00:11:15
So then your plan with pressure and on your toes all the time, which of course, could be motivating and can be used as a positive thing.
00:11:22
But it can also cripple somebody.
00:11:24
Um, and we've seen this happen to quarterbacks all like many, many, many times.
00:11:28
Ah, across the entire NFL.
00:11:31
So I just don't think it's setting up to be a great season for Mr Boesky.
00:11:35
Um, no matter how you look at it, unless he goes out there and balls out, that's the only way.
00:11:41
Ah, that they could make this a clear decision.
00:11:45
I agree.
00:11:46
So just the final bow on it.
00:11:49
You were still leaning the over as well, though.
00:11:51
Well, yeah, especially, You've got seven.
00:11:53
I mean, I don't think that that bad, but I don't think that bad of a team.
00:11:57
And I don't think that they have that hard of a schedule, either.
00:12:01
Like the teams I have them losing two are like the Buccaneers Saints losing to the Vikings, Packers, Texans.
00:12:08
I have question marks.
00:12:09
So, like they're losing a top quality teams in my little breakdown here, as long as they can beat the people that the teams that they are capable of beating and it seems that they beat last year.
00:12:19
It's not like they were four and 12 last year.
00:12:21
You know, they did go 88 so even if they can put together a slightly better performance than last year, they still hit that over seven for sure, and I have over 7.
00:12:31
5 still pretty confident about that.
00:12:33
Want even land the 1 30 juice? I agree.
00:12:37
Let's move on to the Detroit Lions, the floor of the NFC North for a while, always disappointing.
00:12:45
Last year they went three and 13 this year.
00:12:49
The over under that I have is set at 6.5.
00:12:53
I haven't going slightly under at six and 10.
00:12:56
They did make improvements this offseason again.
00:13:00
It seems like they're decent team on paper.
00:13:02
This isn't This isn't unique for the Lions.
00:13:06
They always seem to be doing the right thing.
00:13:09
And then the season starts, and then they forget how to play football.
00:13:12
They threw themselves to get in their own way.
00:13:14
I believe the same thing happens again.
00:13:16
I think they go six and 10.
00:13:18
I have the under slightly.
00:13:21
What about you? So we're, uh we're not too far apart.
00:13:26
Were definitely on opposite sides of this bet, though.
00:13:29
Um, let me click.
00:13:32
Um, they're scheduled here.
00:13:35
I have all the teams that I have them losing, too, but I don't have ah, the teams.
00:13:40
I think they're gonna beat written down.
00:13:42
Either way, I give them a favorable 88 record this year.
00:13:48
Um, I don't know.
00:13:52
You know, it could easily be seven and nine as well.
00:13:55
I don't I don't know for sure that they go 18 8, but this line at 6.
00:14:00
5 the over is is 1 43.
00:14:03
So if you're gonna bet the over, you've got to feel pretty good about it.
00:14:06
I do like it a lot, though.
00:14:08
Um, I think I have them losing to the Packers, possibly the Cardinals, Saints, Falcons, Vikings, Panthers, Packers and Bucks.
00:14:19
So that's eight and eight right there.
00:14:23
UM, might be one game that they slip up on might be one game that they grab.
00:14:29
I don't really know the Lions, as you said, like they're kind of that team every year where it's harder to predict they look like a different team the first half of season in the last after season almost every year.
00:14:39
So they are hard to predict.
00:14:40
I think, though, that they are going to be just as good as the Bears.
00:14:43
This year should be just as good as the Bears, So I'm writing that 18 8 record and still 6.5.
00:14:50
I mean, that's pretty low.
00:14:51
Total.
00:14:52
That's a pretty low number.
00:14:53
There's some other bad teams in the NFL that have that six or 6.
00:14:56
5, um, win total and I think the lines are slightly better than that.
00:15:02
Ah, they would need to over double there.
00:15:05
They're a mountain winds from last season, which is a big ask, but not really.
00:15:09
When you consider you get Matthew Stafford back for twice as many games as you, Adam, last year, if can you got where they plays? Well, if they can get that running game going, Uh, I just think over 6.
00:15:18
5 again.
00:15:22
Minus 1. 43.
00:15:23
I wish it was more like 1.
00:15:24
21 25.
00:15:25
Something like that.
00:15:26
But, ah, if you're making me pick here, I'm gonna take the over 6.5.
00:15:32
I have their schedule pulled up here, and this is the biggest thing.
00:15:35
Their schedule doesn't do them any favors.
00:15:37
NFC North in general has tough nonconference opponents.
00:15:41
The Lions have a week five by which means they weren't good last year.
00:15:45
Surprise, Surprise that get punished this year.
00:15:48
And they start the year off with Bears, Packers, Cardinals, Saints, Ben Abi.
00:15:53
So right there, if they go to into that's good, I would say they come back to get Jacksonville off of a bye.
00:16:01
So, you know, you would wish they had a tougher opponent coming off of a bye.
00:16:04
So they'd have more to prepare, but they don't.
00:16:07
So they should get that one anyway.
00:16:09
In terms of other nonconference opponents, they have the Falcons immediately after that game on the road.
00:16:15
They have the Colts, um, and then stretch at the end.
00:16:19
The year with is Texans, Bears, Packers, Titans, Buccaneers, Vikings.
00:16:26
And that seems very rough to me.
00:16:29
Um, yeah, definitely not the easy stretching football games there.
00:16:36
I finally just pulled him up here, too.
00:16:38
So I wish I would have taken my notes a little bit differently here slightly not confusing myself.
00:16:46
But I just wish I had more information here cause I was thinking about all this stuff, obviously, as you go through preparing.
00:16:50
And now we're talking about 16 different teams here, and I can't remember what I thought about who, Um, But either way, it's a tough schedule, definitely periods of, you know, gauntlet type, um, three or four weeks in a row, but still 6.5.
00:17:08
That's just that total.
00:17:09
It was, you know, even a game above that in the 77.5.
00:17:14
It might give me a little more wiggle room to be comfortable with the under, but Um, I just think they're better than a six and 10 team this year, and fanduel does have the total set at seven, and they're so leaning towards.
00:17:28
Seven are over 77 over is minus 1 15.
00:17:33
The under is 105 Um, I mean, that's pretty pretty characteristic of low totals, anyway, but I just don't see it on paper.
00:17:44
They made the improvements.
00:17:45
I still don't think the defense is going to do what they're supposed to.
00:17:49
The secondaries rough and an experience they're relying on Desmond Trufant.
00:17:54
He doesn't true font from four or five years ago.
00:17:58
I think bringing and Jamie Collins is a big deal.
00:18:00
I think he's still very good at football.
00:18:03
Is he very good at football, away from the Patriots? E don't know.
00:18:09
Well, like what? And offensively, I think they'll be fine.
00:18:12
I'd really don't have too many worries about the offense as long if Stafford's throwing, but, I mean, that's that's been the notion to I guess you don't would be a fun prop.
00:18:22
It is.
00:18:23
How many seasons is it gonna take? Matt Patricia toe win a full seasons worth of football game? No kidding.
00:18:29
I like Matt. Patricia.
00:18:32
I just wish he did better. I don't know.
00:18:35
I like him less and less every time he speaks.
00:18:37
But I liked him initially.
00:18:39
Well, what happens if Joe judge goes out there? Surprises.
00:18:41
All of us, actually.
00:18:44
Has a good New York Giants football team find success in his first few years? Like that's Man Patricia has gotta be hoping, like, does not have.
00:18:52
That doesn't have.
00:18:53
I'm praying that for multiple reasons, I want that Giants offense would get into them later.
00:18:58
I want them to destroy people.
00:19:01
And the biggest reason is Jason Garrett is that offensive coordinator.
00:19:05
And if he turns out to be good at, like a good brain, everything is so believes.
00:19:10
Like what happened with the Dallas Cowboys while the cow, maybe maybe the Giants beat the Cowboys first time out.
00:19:17
Yeah.
00:19:18
I mean, Jerry Jones is gonna talking.
00:19:19
His head's gonna explode.
00:19:21
I was getting those games are gonna be fun to watch, and we'll talk about it later.
00:19:25
I don't think that had much for shot against the Cowboys this year, but they will be fun to watch.
00:19:30
Yeah, it'll be fine.
00:19:31
So you are thinking Detroit over.
00:19:34
I'm leaning slightly under the odds.
00:19:37
Definitely think the over is going to play out.
00:19:40
We'll see what happens.
00:19:41
We'll see if it moves any further, but I don't know.
00:19:45
Let's move on to our favorite team, so there could be bias involved.
00:19:50
But we do know this team inside.
00:19:51
Now with the Green Bay Packers last season, many feel like they over achieved.
00:19:56
They went 13 and three, obviously lost in the NFC championship this year over under set at nine, which always bothers me.
00:20:06
I hate when it's a even number I wanted to be.
00:20:09
I have.
00:20:10
You don't like the chance of a push? No, no.
00:20:14
Well, a ties, a loss to me.
00:20:17
I don't care because I have them projected for nine games.
00:20:20
So it's I have a projected for a push and it ****es me off. Could happen.
00:20:25
Sure, in gambling, I you know, and it's Ah, it's very overused phrase, especially like blackjack and stuff, but pushes a win in.
00:20:34
Gambling is always true in my mind because I'd rather take that 25 bucks or whatever I bet and re allocated to a new bet rather than lose it.
00:20:44
Like if it was you know tie goes to the tie goes to the bookie.
00:20:48
That would suck, You know, much more money you lose over the course of your gambling career.
00:20:53
I know you're right, but it still doesn't make me feel good when it happens.
00:20:58
That's fine.
00:20:59
I would say, What's your thoughts on the total? Yeah.
00:21:02
Um eso draftkings right now, if you're in one of the lucky legal states with draftkings sprint to any location or I guess is right on your phone.
00:21:15
Lay the over on the Packers.
00:21:16
They've got him at 8.
00:21:17
5 right now, only minus 1 37.
00:21:20
So we're talking less than the Lions over.
00:21:23
And obviously the lines over 6.
00:21:24
5 is a lot Maurin question than the Packers over 8.5.
00:21:29
I mean, 8.
00:21:30
5.
00:21:31
Coming off a 13 win season.
00:21:32
You could argue that they didn't get better in a lot of ways.
00:21:35
Ah, the teams around them did.
00:21:38
You can argue this in that, but the Packers would have to go seven and nine.
00:21:43
So we're talking six additional games that they would have to lose in order for you to lose this.
00:21:48
But if you take the over.
00:21:50
I love the over 8.5.
00:21:52
Even if you think you know nine is your projection.
00:21:54
Or what if that's a pretty solid and even, you know, for the Packers, maybe slightly low production I've been seeing between nine and 10.
00:22:01
Pretty commonly, I've got them in 11 and five again.
00:22:05
A little bit of a favorable record, possibly.
00:22:07
But honestly, I don't know.
00:22:09
Maybe not.
00:22:10
I've got I'm losing to the Saints to the Bucks, um, to either the Bears and Week 17 or the Vikings and weak one.
00:22:17
I've got him losing the 40 Niners and the Eagles, so even with the, you know, possible one of two say they dropped both of those games that I have in question.
00:22:26
That's still at 10 and six season.
00:22:28
That's a game and a half room to work with the cash.
00:22:31
The 8.
00:22:32
5 bet I think it's solid at nine.
00:22:34
I think it's amazing.
00:22:36
At 8.
00:22:37
5, take the Packers over 8.
00:22:38
5 under the very seven, but still, I do like that.
00:22:46
We come off the bye week to play Tampa.
00:22:49
That's nice to have two weeks to prepare for that, and I even have them losing that game.
00:22:54
So and I know you're not that high on the books and then coming off a bye week, you know, they could say they win that game and all of a sudden my projection jumps toe 12 and four, which is giving you tons of room to work with their three full games. Plus some.
00:23:10
I just think this defense is so much worse than people are giving him credit for.
00:23:15
Everyone's talking about.
00:23:16
Oh, now backers don't have any receivers, and that's their weakness.
00:23:20
I don't think so.
00:23:21
I think it's these cornerbacks.
00:23:23
I think Dryer Alexander's good.
00:23:24
He's too small, so big receivers he can cover.
00:23:28
We've seen that with Kenny Golladay.
00:23:29
We've seen that with players like that.
00:23:32
But Kevin Kings terrible.
00:23:34
He's one of the worst cornerbacks in the entire league.
00:23:36
Stats Back that up.
00:23:38
We talk about Nickelback.
00:23:41
We don't really have one.
00:23:43
It's going to be Ah, once his face.
00:23:45
Look him up in a second.
00:23:46
Josh Jackson's gonna be the dime back when we don't need that safety.
00:23:50
When we need the safety, we're gonna bring that safety. Downplay linebacker.
00:23:54
Which again? Ask the 40 Niners how well, that works because they just run over people.
00:24:00
We played bass defense, the least amount of any team in the entire league last year.
00:24:05
So having all these pass rushers and he's defensive lineman and stuff like that's one to talk about.
00:24:11
But we're not playing them, so I mean, it just doesn't make sense to me.
00:24:15
Our weaknesses are secondary, and we keep bringing extra secondary people out on the field.
00:24:21
Um, who was nickel that? Oh, Channon Sullivan.
00:24:26
I missed.
00:24:27
I missed back in the day when, like, you could just rattle off every single defensive player for the Packers because even if they weren't the best defense around like they're up salad every single year they had playmakers.
00:24:39
They had guys you actually like.
00:24:40
Well, I'm wanted on your team like toe watch.
00:24:43
They played well, is a defensive unit, and I could like I could still name all those guys. I missed all those guys.
00:24:50
And like now the defense is like such a revolving door.
00:24:53
So many young guys that never pan out so many injuries.
00:24:56
Um, early draft picks that are now on other squads, talented draft picks that we let walk away to other squads like it's It's sad.
00:25:05
It's very sad, kinda pathetic where this defense is ended up.
00:25:09
But in spite of the defense, that phrase has been used.
00:25:14
Air averages entire career, basically at least basically about 12 ish, you know, the last eight years or so It's in spite of the defense in spite of this.
00:25:22
In spite of that, Roger still manages to get it done.
00:25:25
It went 13 and free last year.
00:25:27
I just don't see them dropping six extra games this year.
00:25:30
I don't care who they're playing.
00:25:31
Six games is that's That's crazy.
00:25:34
That's That would be the biggest swing by a team that I can remember in recent history.
00:25:40
Eso you know, even with all those stats behind you.
00:25:45
Even with the lack of young greatness on the Packers defence, I still don't think you have to sweat.
00:25:52
I think will be 67 weeks into the season.
00:25:54
You're already more half more than halfway to cash in your but if you take the 8.
00:25:59
5, you know Aaron Rodgers made up for a lot of, uh, incompetence on the Packers in the past.
00:26:09
I don't think he's given the opportunity to I don't think those offenses set up where we can go.
00:26:14
Hey, Rogers, here's the ball.
00:26:17
Figure it out.
00:26:18
You can't even change the play at the line to do it because his team is so built to, you know, it runs through the run.
00:26:24
If the run doesn't work, then absolutely nothing is going to work.
00:26:28
And you know we don't have the receivers.
00:26:30
Second, beat one on one battles.
00:26:32
So Hope Rogers gonna have to run around to make plays what she's fantastic at.
00:26:37
But he's gonna have to do it quicker now because Brian Block is not there.
00:26:41
And not only is brand blogging out there, we're probably gonna have Billy Turner play right tackle.
00:26:46
He was right guard last year, one of the worst rate guards in the entire league.
00:26:51
Worst offense guards in the entire league.
00:26:52
You can't black one of the most with locks, I think third most last season, cause Lane Taylor is gonna come back.
00:26:59
Play right guard Jenkins.
00:27:00
Gonna stay at left.
00:27:02
We'll have Ricky Wagner, who came back from the Lions to back, turn her off at right tackle, But Turner can't move his hips air pretty much.
00:27:11
They're just solid that he can't move weapon right? So we're gonna have to use a tight end chip every time that takes away another receiver.
00:27:20
We're going to use a receiving tight.
00:27:22
And on the other side, that's Tony Ins, no longer Jimmy Graham, which you could say there's a pro or con, but it takes a wide receiver off the field.
00:27:31
So now we don't have length. We don't have speed.
00:27:34
It just seems like this team sucks like it's it's not built to beat anybody.
00:27:39
And I think we're very, very, very lucky.
00:27:41
The Minnesota Vikings took huge steps backwards, which I'll get into in a second.
00:27:47
But yeah, that's just where Matt well, what was making the lines in Vegas obviously kind of is leaning towards you.
00:27:53
They think that, you know, Packers have taken much larger setback or at least way, way, way over achieved last year.
00:28:01
Then I guess other people, including myself, are thinking the only thing that I'm looking at the schedule again right now and even if you could manage four and four through the first half of the season, which seems more than doable, you've got the Texan, so I don't think you're gonna be that great Vikings twice.
00:28:18
You're probably gonna split with them.
00:28:19
Lions, Falcons Who? The Packers have a history of beating.
00:28:23
So if you could even go for and four, you got some pretty soft games on the back end of the schedule being the Jaguars and Colts.
00:28:30
Two weeks in a row.
00:28:31
You have the Bears twice the pant there is, and the Lions again tightens toward the end of the season.
00:28:37
I mean, titans are set up to be a, um, a good team, but everyone we're talking a week 16 matchup.
00:28:44
You have no idea.
00:28:45
Especially, um, you know what condition Derrick Henry is gonna be in how Ryan Tannehill has performed all season.
00:28:51
Lots of questions around that Titans team, especially when you're talking six team weeks into the season.
00:28:56
So pretty soft back end of the schedule.
00:28:59
Um, more so than that front end, I guess, for the Packers.
00:29:04
So even if they can rattle off four wins in the first eight weeks, you're well on your way to cash in a 8.
00:29:09
5.
00:29:12
But and I would agree that back into the schedule is much nicer and it got even better this week because the left tackle for the Eagles is out for the year.
00:29:22
So now they lost their left tackle.
00:29:24
They lost the right guard.
00:29:27
That's football, man.
00:29:29
Everything looks good for a second, and then it all starts to unravel and unravels quickly.
00:29:34
Then they're playing with a bunch of nobodies.
00:29:37
A green.
00:29:38
Let's wrap up the NFC North with the Minnesota Vikings.
00:29:43
Talked about him a little bit Last season.
00:29:44
They went 10 and six.
00:29:45
This year, the over under its at eight.
00:29:48
I have it.
00:29:49
I have them projected for seven wins.
00:29:51
I feel like I'm being generous.
00:29:53
This is the worst defense Mike Zimmer has ever had any.
00:29:56
Where he's been is definitely the most questions on in Minnesota Vikings team under Zimmer that there's ever been, Um, What's your initial thoughts on that? Over under? What did you have? Bigger line as I'm sorry.
00:30:13
Ah, I have it.
00:30:14
Add 88 even eight.
00:30:17
Okay, I having a 8.
00:30:19
5 and might be risky here, but I'm still kind of leading the over.
00:30:25
I have them projected as nine and seven.
00:30:27
Um, I think that they are gonna be in a lot of close games, and I think that they have the ability to steal a couple of those games.
00:30:34
But I also think that Kirk and defense and a couple other reason, you know, uh, possibilities that they give up a game that they shouldn't have.
00:30:43
So I think nine and seven is kind of Ah ah, safe pick there could go one game Either way, 8.
00:30:50
5 is really riding the line there.
00:30:52
But I still lied over 8.
00:30:54
5, if you will.
00:30:56
If you're taking on the under fear, I can't blame you here because you're getting a much better pay out on a, uh, on a questionable projection, I guess if you want to call it that.
00:31:06
But I am leaning slightly towards the over, uh, with U. S.
00:31:10
A.
00:31:11
I think I would definitely take the over with a chance of a push.
00:31:15
My 8.
00:31:16
5 line. I'd be more comfortable on the under.
00:31:18
Um, depending on what the payout Waas.
00:31:23
So the Vikings have been led by their defense for quite a while.
00:31:28
Even last season, where they weren't terrific.
00:31:31
It was still the defense I was shining through.
00:31:34
Obviously, they don't have ah, everything Griffin anymore.
00:31:38
He's been there forever.
00:31:39
I think he had eight sacks last year, if I remember.
00:31:42
Right? Terrific.
00:31:44
Thank God he's not coming after Rodgers anymore.
00:31:47
The way the offensive line now is.
00:31:49
But ah at the big loss and the even larger Lost is losing all of their starting cornerback.
00:31:56
So we have all of new cornerbacks trying to learn how to play football in the NFL.
00:32:02
Was that big loss was Ah, in terms of just NFL experience.
00:32:07
They weren't great variance, but, well, at least they know what the hell they're doing now.
00:32:13
They have no rookie minicamp.
00:32:15
They have nothing.
00:32:16
We have all the players.
00:32:18
It's gonna be tough.
00:32:19
And I'm very happy we start the season with them.
00:32:22
Baby, something happens here, but, um, yeah, man, it's just not good.
00:32:30
Stefon Diggs being gone.
00:32:31
I'm not huge on Stefan takes, but he was a very, very good deep threat.
00:32:35
He stretched the defense out.
00:32:36
They had to respect him in that opened up running lanes for Dalvin Cook, who was fantastic last year, and they needed him to be even better this year.
00:32:44
But he's not gonna be as many running lanes.
00:32:47
They're relying on Adam feeling to become an outside receiver because for some reason they're running the rookie Justin Jefferson in the spot.
00:32:54
I think he would be better on the outside with feeling in the slot, but what do I know? So now we have feeling who's not super fast.
00:33:02
He's good route runner, but he's not gonna.
00:33:05
He's not kill anybody on the outside with his route running.
00:33:08
So do you think feeling takes a step forward or step back in terms of production this year, backwards? Just because he sees tougher defense, tougher defense? And it's not in a spot where he's comfortable.
00:33:21
We've seen it when Diggs has been out.
00:33:23
It's not because, you know, defense now looks at feelings, because when Diggs has been out, they moved feeling to the outside and the movement of the outside a lot last year.
00:33:33
So do I think he takes a huge step back from last season? Not necessarily.
00:33:37
I think he comes down a little bit, but it's more so compared to when he thrived in the slot and was one of the league's best receivers.
00:33:44
And I like him a lot.
00:33:46
He's a really good guy.
00:33:47
He's I think he's immensely talented.
00:33:51
I got to see him in personal lot because used to come to our practices all the time when he was really battling for that Vikings roster spot.
00:33:58
Um, what? I'm not one of the people who thinks he's overrated.
00:34:06
I don't believe that at all.
00:34:07
I think he's a very, very, very good wide receiver.
00:34:10
But I think he plays a specific role, which the Vikings were not going to use him it.
00:34:14
Unfortunately, that's what I like. Be under a lot.
00:34:20
Yeah, and, like obviously a lot, some of these I like way more than others.
00:34:25
Um, but the name of the game here is to make a pick, and I picked the over.
00:34:31
There's only one team that will get to eventually that I would totally avoid and over under bet this year we'll get there eventually.
00:34:40
But everybody else I did make a pick for and this one I'm gonna roll with the over with the way we've been discussing these, I think let's do two NFC conferences for this show, and then we'll just keep this going at a later date.
00:34:53
So which division for which conference were you talking about? for that pit.
00:35:01
Ah, the NFC East.
00:35:05
Let's do it.
00:35:06
So NFC East Antarctica.
00:35:09
We're going to disagree on this pick, by the way, So right.
00:35:14
Great.
00:35:15
N F c East.
00:35:16
Let's start out of the Dallas Cowboys.
00:35:17
Ate and ate last year.
00:35:18
They love going 887 and nine.
00:35:20
That's the thing this year over, understand? And 9.5.
00:35:26
Well, I'm already doubting why I have this as my pick, but I did this a while ago.
00:35:30
I have been projected going 10 and six, so that would be the over.
00:35:35
Yeah, I don't I don't like it, um, their schedules a little bit tougher this season than it was last year.
00:35:43
But there's no doubting that talent on this team.
00:35:47
This team's incredible top to bottom.
00:35:50
They lose Gerald McCoy, which is a huge loss, and it's still okay.
00:35:53
We're still fine.
00:35:55
I just talked about how much I like everything.
00:35:57
Griffin, He's on the Cowboys now.
00:35:59
They didn't need him.
00:36:00
They just signed him.
00:36:01
Just cause **** it, they can.
00:36:04
And in Jerry World, every day is Christmas and everything he wants happens.
00:36:10
Dak Prescott, I gas is still motivated to get a contract I mean, he's the top paid player in the league this year, so who cares? Um, this is a really solid team.
00:36:20
I think they'll miss Travis Frederick a lot.
00:36:22
I think that's going understated.
00:36:24
He the deck struggled a lot without him before this, but, I mean, that's the one weakness on this team.
00:36:34
Essentially, I know where you're citing.
00:36:38
So why do you like the Cowboys to hit the over? Oh, I love the cowboys.
00:36:43
Hit the over.
00:36:44
I love it.
00:36:45
I've got him at 9.
00:36:46
5 minus 1 50.
00:36:49
I don't care.
00:36:50
I'd like to 50 idly 500 on this.
00:36:52
I don't care.
00:36:53
Cowboys air going over over a number 9.5.
00:36:56
Let's run down the schedule really quick.
00:36:57
Yeah, look at that face. It's just disgusted.
00:36:59
You can't even bring my foot to the under at this point.
00:37:02
You just can't even believe I'm saying this right now.
00:37:04
And this isn't even the pick that I said that you weren't gonna like.
00:37:08
Um, all right, let's just run through.
00:37:10
This guy's really fast here, so they start off with Ah, let's see here.
00:37:16
It's a run for the Rams.
00:37:17
I think that's a win.
00:37:19
Um, by the way I got this is a talk as a talking point.
00:37:22
Might as well take a little a brief left turn here.
00:37:27
Are we blindly betting the over on this week? One Cowboys Rams game, is it? Is it too risky because there's been no offense? Ah.
00:37:35
Ah, no chance for the offenses, the practice.
00:37:38
Neither team has a terrible defense, but I think it be fun.
00:37:43
Teoh, you and I would make a pact to just blindly bet the over as soon assumes the line comes out for a week long.
00:37:49
We just hammer that over.
00:37:51
Um, I can find the line rain now.
00:37:53
I'm sure it's already out.
00:37:54
I'm probably not going to be betting the over on any line in week one.
00:38:00
Defense is usually are further head thing offenses.
00:38:04
And I'm not going to bet the over on any Rams game where they face a tough pass rush cause we saw how that happened.
00:38:11
For how that one last year.
00:38:13
Yeah, I think I figured I think I might Just for fun.
00:38:17
I mean, these are two.
00:38:19
Either this you have this team or excuse me either.
00:38:22
This game is going and you know, whole both teams under 20 points, or it's going to be one of those 48 tow 42 type games where the offense just explodes.
00:38:32
I think it be harder to see the ladder just because of everything that you said.
00:38:37
I don't know how high the line is, but I think there's real potential there to hit the over.
00:38:41
Maybe the second half over.
00:38:43
Give him the first half.
00:38:44
The warm up.
00:38:45
Which leads me to my second question here.
00:38:47
Which offense is gonna start clicking first? Obviously, I think it's the Cowboys, but I mean, the the Rams offense always has the potential to surprise us, too.
00:38:56
And if they can get things reverted back to how it was a couple seasons ago when they were just blown everybody away.
00:39:03
But it's gonna be tough to do, I guess.
00:39:06
The Cowboys team in Week one.
00:39:09
So e now you sound normal to me, huh? Okay, we're good now, I guess I'm not sure that was if you had to set the point total for that game and guess what it is.
00:39:37
What do you think it is? Um, man, I think it's gonna be pretty high.
00:39:47
I would set it at, like, 52 which I think a lot of people would love for the under, Obviously.
00:39:54
But like, I guess that's more my game projection.
00:39:57
Not really, my like, So I would probably send a little lower, maybe, like, 45 a half.
00:40:01
Well, I think my game projection is somewhere in, like, 52 type range.
00:40:06
Uh, they have it at 50.
00:40:08
5 s. So I was pretty **** close.
00:40:10
It seems about right, Which is the problem.
00:40:14
Yeah, but still 52.
00:40:17
That would cash it.
00:40:18
That would cash it.
00:40:19
It would.
00:40:20
Ah, man, I just don't see a scenario where Jared Goff comes out and carves up the Dallas Cowboys.
00:40:28
By the way, that lines really close to think about where their favorite about two.
00:40:34
It's gonna be a fun game.
00:40:35
It will be a heck of a game.
00:40:36
Cowboys are favored by 2.
00:40:37
5 on Fanduel minus one of five.
00:40:42
I would take the Cowboys all day with that mind.
00:40:46
Even though it's a make McCarthy offense, I don't care.
00:40:50
I just think that Rams offensive line isn't any better than last year.
00:40:55
That's the problem they saw.
00:40:57
And Jared Goff cannot do anything under pressure.
00:41:00
And McVeigh's having him not throwing training camp for so many things.
00:41:05
They haven't run at the quarterback and stopped before they get to him, and then he pretends to throw the ball.
00:41:11
Okay, so this isn't helping him at all.
00:41:15
Yeah, you're seeing a lot of that words.
00:41:17
Kind of like, you know, one of these drills doing, like, you know, and especially if somebody doesn't look good.
00:41:24
You're like, Oh, boy, like this is as easy as it gets.
00:41:26
And the season is right around the corner.
00:41:29
Yeah, yeah.
00:41:30
Oh, boy.
00:41:31
But maybe that's the reason cause they're hard knocks is there.
00:41:33
And if he was bad, you know, 2030 cameras on him, but still at least cause the Russians coming at him and then they stop like Okay, I think I treated hopefully the defense stops because they're gonna be coming at him all day this year again.
00:41:51
And last year he was horrendous.
00:41:53
He was so bad under pressure, and I don't think it gets better.
00:41:58
Okay, we're not talking about the Rams anyways, but right.
00:42:01
Jared Goff has gotta hate HBO at this point.
00:42:04
He already made a vocal that he didn't want them back again this season and, uh, still get stuck with it.
00:42:11
And now he's looking, You know, not.
00:42:14
Not that it's, like, entirely his fault because, like you said, that's just the way that the drills air set up or whatever, but he's still not looking great.
00:42:20
And he's just not not gonna be not a fan of HBO in any sort of.
00:42:29
And he saw right away.
00:42:30
What? I don't know.
00:42:31
Why wasn't looking at the chat before? But Brandon can **** off with his Jordan love comment.
00:42:37
I'm good with that. Thank you.
00:42:39
Moving on.
00:42:40
Did you see her? You like what I responded might not be the Colts, but it may be somebody.
00:42:44
It's something like that.
00:42:46
Um, for those of you who can't see the chat, we were asked when Joran Love was gonna get his first, uh, start.
00:42:53
But what week? He's gonna get his first start, and I said week 5 2004 for the Colts, So yeah.
00:43:01
Anyways, look, let's talk more about my beloved cowboys, you know, done about him.
00:43:07
Keep going.
00:43:08
No, I started.
00:43:09
I just took my left turn to ask you about that game.
00:43:11
So I think they beat the Rams.
00:43:13
I think they beat the Falcons.
00:43:15
I think they beat the Seahawks.
00:43:17
I think they beat the Browns.
00:43:19
I think they beat the Giants.
00:43:20
I think they beat the Cardinals.
00:43:23
I think they beat Washington.
00:43:24
I think they lose.
00:43:26
No, Excuse me.
00:43:27
I have them losing to the Seahawks, my bed.
00:43:29
So I think they start out five and one.
00:43:31
I think they lose again to the Eagles.
00:43:35
I think they don't keep losing this year.
00:43:38
I think they lose to the Steelers.
00:43:41
They beat the Vikings.
00:43:43
They beat the Redskins again.
00:43:44
They look to the Ravens, of course.
00:43:46
Eat the Bangles, lose to the 40 Niners, beat the Eagles this time around and then crush the Giants to end the season, even though they're probably not gonna have that much to play for.
00:43:58
Dak Prescott might not play very much, is equally by not play very much.
00:44:01
Don't care.
00:44:02
They're still gonna crush him.
00:44:03
All in all, I've got them going.
00:44:05
11 and five, possibly 12 and four.
00:44:07
Everything goes their way lines only at 9.5.
00:44:10
Love the over.
00:44:11
Ah, nearly as much as the Packers over maybe more, Um, sucks that my two favorite bets.
00:44:17
Not my best bet yet, but my two favorite bets so far Ah, have so much juice.
00:44:21
But I think the cowboys over 9.
00:44:22
5 Not gonna sweat like five and one through the first six weeks.
00:44:28
Eight more.
00:44:29
And I think by the time week nine comes around, when I have thereby not gonna be a question over 8.5.
00:44:39
I hate this cause.
00:44:40
Looking at that schedule, it's so much easier than I thought.
00:44:43
I waas it is.
00:44:45
That's what I'm saying.
00:44:46
They don't even have to win 10 games, and you cash the over bet like, Come on, I Yeah, I'm thinking over to I don't think they're as good as people say.
00:45:01
But you don't need to be right.
00:45:04
No, they don't like the guarantee losses.
00:45:06
If you want to call him that Ravens Steelers, and then you know Seahawks usually have their number.
00:45:12
The Seahawks have been a weak spot from Mike McCarthy his entire coaching career, but yeah, so if you want to give the Seahawks do, that's basically three very probable losses and then you've got the Eagles and the Steelers, who are beatable teams.
00:45:26
I don't think you know the Eagles and the Cowboys.
00:45:28
They always split their season series almost always. So.
00:45:31
I just split form again this year.
00:45:33
Steelers who really, Who knows.
00:45:35
So let's take that Steelers team off their Steelers game off the table.
00:45:39
Excuse me, and you're all the way up to 12 and four.
00:45:42
So even in 11 and five, all the way down to 10 and six, your cash in the over bet, I will say, I think they all go on record now.
00:45:54
I think they lose Week seven to the Redskins.
00:45:57
Interesting, I think.
00:45:59
Redskins well, Redskins defense is good.
00:46:02
We already know that. It's their offense.
00:46:04
That sucks.
00:46:05
Um, I think Cowboys look ahead a little bit, too, at Philadelphia, the perfect time of the season to for a letdown game with, like their bye week on the horizon.
00:46:15
It's a trash team that had been just pummeling the last few years.
00:46:18
Like I could see that to all of a sudden we're starting the fourth quarter and it's a game, you know.
00:46:23
And the Redskins find Excuse me, the Washington football team find a Ah a way to pull it out.
00:46:28
Yeah, I could see that.
00:46:30
I mean, if the Cowboys lose that game, I think they're gonna be in it.
00:46:33
I don't see how they could be, like, you know how Washington could take it to him, But I guess I can No, I guess I could see Ah, you know, anything can happen in division.
00:46:42
Like anything.
00:46:43
So, um, yeah, you've seen the lions beat the Packers when they've been really, really bad in weeks and in spots where the Packers just absolutely should have pummeled them.
00:46:52
So, I mean, it happens.
00:46:56
I agree.
00:46:57
Once move onto the New York Giants.
00:47:00
You talked about him a little bit before a new head.
00:47:02
Coach Joe Judge.
00:47:04
Maybe the best offense coordinator in the intel.
00:47:07
Your division with, ah, Cheese and Garrett.
00:47:10
I honestly have zero idea what to expect.
00:47:13
I'm really excited.
00:47:14
I have no clue.
00:47:16
I have no idea what his philosophies are about.
00:47:19
Anything, really gonna be fun to watch? Um, there they went, four and 12 last season.
00:47:26
Over under set at six.
00:47:29
I have them going five and 11.
00:47:33
So hitting the under, I think they make improvements.
00:47:37
This offense still has a lot of talent.
00:47:39
They just can't keep him on the field.
00:47:42
And, you know, it's one of those things where I need to see it before I believe it.
00:47:45
So we'll have an angry, um, play more than half games.
00:47:49
Will Sterling Shepard keep it's head on? I don't know what's going to happen.
00:47:53
And then defensively, they're still horrendous.
00:47:56
So I mean, they their defense is so bad to the point where Redskins we're gonna have good point totals against them.
00:48:04
And at that point, they're not going to win those games with the Redskins.
00:48:08
So that's why I'm going under with the Giants.
00:48:11
What about you? Yeah, under for sure.
00:48:14
I would buy your five and ah, five and 11 projection.
00:48:19
I have been projected about a game lower, maybe even two if things really go off the rails.
00:48:24
Um, so at that point, I think your you know, your cash in the under bet with with no sweat, because I do have them losing to, you know, um, I have the Browns or the Bears.
00:48:36
They're gonna drop one of those games.
00:48:37
So if even if they could pick up both of those games, they're Still, they have a pretty tough schedule.
00:48:42
I mean, Liverpool.
00:48:44
It's really bad.
00:48:46
It's not easy, like starting with the Steelers, either.
00:48:50
Who? I have them losing to, like quality teams.
00:48:52
Listen, Steelers 40 Niners, Rams, Cowboys, Eagles, Bucks Bangles, I think are gonna be really interesting.
00:49:00
And that's gonna be a fun quarterback, dual.
00:49:02
I'm gonna give the advantage to the Bangles in that game.
00:49:05
That's one that the, um, Giants may be able to pick up.
00:49:08
But again, you have room to work with that under six line.
00:49:12
So I got them living the Bangles.
00:49:14
Seahawks, Cardinals.
00:49:16
I think the Cardinals are just gonna be able to outscore them.
00:49:19
Um, could be another close game, though, and then the Browns and or the Bears.
00:49:24
And then they end with the Ravens and the Cowboys again.
00:49:27
So it is off sledding like there's no easy teams, and even the easier games are again bears Brown's teams that are trying, you know, trying to prove themselves tryingto prove that.
00:49:39
Prove it for them coaching staffs, teams that are supposedly on the come up or on their you know, their last leg.
00:49:44
So they're going to be playing for, um, playing with all their might to beat the bad teams, especially.
00:49:49
So I think the Giants are going to be a team that I guess everybody prepares for in the way of like, they know that this team is beatable and they're not horrible.
00:49:58
But they're a team that they should beat, so they're gonna actually prepare for them.
00:50:01
So that does not bode well for the Giants.
00:50:03
I have them going four and 12.
00:50:06
Possible five wins, more likely three wins.
00:50:10
If you're coming off that four and 12 record.
00:50:12
If you want to debate, that's something else.
00:50:14
Either wait six wins.
00:50:16
Not a chance there touching that.
00:50:18
They're they're not hitting six wins.
00:50:20
And if they do hit six wins like you've still would push on the bet.
00:50:24
Which *** is that considered a loss? I said pushing is just by through the take my money.
00:50:29
Either way, man six.
00:50:31
There's no way they're hitting six.
00:50:32
Like just go look at their schedule one time.
00:50:34
If you're uneducated football fan at all, you know they're not gonna hit six wins.
00:50:37
So take the under and it's at 106 right now.
00:50:40
**** near even money on draftkings.
00:50:44
It kind of blows my mind.
00:50:45
I love this bet.
00:50:47
Um, no juice involved And no sweat involved this season, either.
00:50:52
Under six easy.
00:50:56
You know, Let me find what it is on Fanduel.
00:51:01
Yeah, under 6105 That's not create easy to me.
00:51:06
That's insane.
00:51:07
How would you like to start your season off with Steelers at Chicago? 40 Niners at Rand's Cowboys? Not only are those tough teams, it was really good.
00:51:18
Defense is have fun and your shrimp yet good defense.
00:51:21
Is your traveling for what? At least three of those you said.
00:51:24
Um, I mean, if you could start with, they could start one and 41 and five, man, and then they would have to win 50% of their games after that.
00:51:32
Teoh.
00:51:33
I mean, you got they would have Teoh.
00:51:35
They would have to win seven games to cash the overdue.
00:51:38
That's not going.
00:51:40
And that's a pipe Tom Brady in prime time.
00:51:42
Yeah, later in the season, it's literally laughable.
00:51:45
Like it's seven games.
00:51:47
This might be the easiest, but it's not even my best bad, but it's it's gotta be the easiest bet Soleil right now in the whole world under 6 1906 No disagreements here.
00:52:01
Philadelphia Eagles.
00:52:02
They went nine and seven last season.
00:52:04
Fell into the playoffs with somehow NFC East win.
00:52:09
This year, I have them at I have the line at night and a half.
00:52:14
I had I need change this.
00:52:16
I had them winning 10 games I was before their left tackle.
00:52:19
News. I'm going with the under Now.
00:52:21
I would put them closer to eight and eight.
00:52:23
Eagles continue to get it done by it.
00:52:27
With that.
00:52:28
That many players off the offensive line in the division they are.
00:52:32
Dallas added those rushers in on the defensive front for the Eagles.
00:52:37
Essentially, I don't see any way they hit the over 20.
00:52:42
But what about you? No.
00:52:45
So this we have reached my pick where I would just avoid this team all together.
00:52:51
Uh, too many questions too many years that we don't think the Eagles are gonna be any good.
00:52:55
And they end up being good, making a run to the Super Bowl and then too many years that we think that this is their year.
00:52:59
They're gonna be good and they end up stinking.
00:53:01
So you got your you got your half point on the line.
00:53:04
I have it on draftkings at nine.
00:53:07
Um, actually, it's funny.
00:53:09
I was talking off, but I didn't really want to waste my money tied up my money with a potential push.
00:53:14
I also don't believe that they are going to hit the over, but then I at nine like I also don't necessarily think they're only gonna win eight games, so I don't like the under either.
00:53:24
So I'm just avoiding this, especially with all the other lines that we've already talked about.
00:53:28
With two more conferences to come in the entire A F C.
00:53:32
There's just better value, more guaranteed picks out there.
00:53:35
I would avoid this team.
00:53:37
Avoid this line altogether, But I do have them going nine and seven again.
00:53:42
The teams that I have them losing to our kind of in debatable, really good teams of the 40 Niners, Steelers, Ravens, Cowboys, see Heart Saints and then I have the possibility of the Browns and or cardinals like I mean, that's tough sledding.
00:53:56
And then if you drop another game in there, or um, you know you're dealing with a bunch of injuries, midseason, like you always are, end of dropping a game or so the over this way too risky.
00:54:07
But I also necessarily don't like the under because of the Eagles tendency to outperform themselves an outperform are expected expectations for them, given the injuries and other situations.
00:54:17
So, um, I'm avoiding the Eagles totally this year.
00:54:22
That's definitely fair.
00:54:24
Unfancied, will you also have my night and a half? Yeah, I feel pretty comfortable under 9.
00:54:29
5.
00:54:30
If it is even nine, I get it.
00:54:32
They do somehow get wins when they shouldn't.
00:54:35
They had Greg Ward last year destroying teams, and he was pretty sure, uh, as a cashier, you know, a couple weeks before that, at a grocery store.
00:54:45
So, uh, I had ah, I forget what week it was last year, but was later in the season.
00:54:50
Um, when, uh, Seahawks were putting together around at the end of the year like they always do.
00:54:56
They want seven of nine or whatever it was down the stretch last year.
00:54:59
One of the games that they lost was Teoh, Philadelphia team, who had absolutely no business even being in that game holding the Seahawks toe like 16 points or whatever they held them.
00:55:10
Teoh cost me a massive parlay like one of the biggest partners I've ever been in.
00:55:16
It was a six legged, open ended parlay.
00:55:19
This was Leg five, and I felt so good about it, like, so good about it.
00:55:25
I I should have known it was a sucker bet, because the line wasn't even.
00:55:29
Ah, all that dramatic.
00:55:31
I think they only had.
00:55:32
The Seahawks is like 1 30 favorites or something.
00:55:34
Man, I love this best sat there, sweated it out, hated myself, hated the Seahawks the entire game.
00:55:40
And somehow the Eagles made it work.
00:55:44
They beat the Seahawks in and Russell Wilson.
00:55:46
You could just how he was.
00:55:47
Like what? I I have no idea how that just happened, like they were such so much of a better football team.
00:55:53
And then I think the next week the Seahawks were up by, like, 21 in the first quarter or something.
00:55:58
I was just like, but point being the Eagles win games like that.
00:56:04
Like where you expect them to go in and and get crossed or they're just, you know, they have an injury list longer than you know, their roster basically, and you think they have no chance of wind and they go out, they grind it out and they win.
00:56:19
I think Zach Ertz had, like a hell of a performance in that game if I remember correctly.
00:56:23
So they do have guys dynamic guys, playmakers that as long as you can keep a couple of them on the field, they always have a chance.
00:56:30
But, um, with all that being said, I just don't There's so many other bets I'd rather, uh, I'd rather be in on this year.
00:56:39
That's fair.
00:56:41
Let's finish up the division here and we will then do NFC.
00:56:46
What what are we missing? South and West? A different day.
00:56:50
I think it would be more fair sewing.
00:56:52
Devote more time to them.
00:56:54
But let's finish up with the Washington football team.
00:56:57
Lots of changes, lots of drama, lots of chaos this off season for the squad.
00:57:02
They're making the way changes, though.
00:57:03
I mean, they have Jack Del Rio defensive coordinator.
00:57:06
They have Rivera ahead.
00:57:08
Coat seemed to be trying to change the culture.
00:57:11
Maybe it's just ah masking other things.
00:57:14
Who knows? Last season they went three and 13 this year when total little higher I have met 4.
00:57:21
5 here.
00:57:23
I still have the under.
00:57:24
This is not a bet I feel comfortable with at all.
00:57:27
I think they could get more wins than four, which I am projected for, based on the defense alone and the winning culture that those two coaches I named we're gonna bring.
00:57:38
I mean, switching from Jay Gruden to Rivera is the mindset alone is going to be ridiculous.
00:57:44
I could easily see them hit the over.
00:57:46
This is the one like you were talking Philadelphia.
00:57:49
You don't wanna want any part with.
00:57:51
I have zero zero c.
00:57:54
I don't wanna touch a seem at all.
00:57:56
So what's I have a lot of questions.
00:57:58
First, let's start with Are you on the over under with that? I'm on the under.
00:58:03
I'm actually pretty confident in the under.
00:58:05
It was going to be my I mean, initially looking through this, it was one of my favorite bets.
00:58:09
I think that has shifted to the Giants.
00:58:12
Um, after talking about it with you, I just I love that That's so much man.
00:58:16
But I'm on the under pretty confidently in Washington here.
00:58:21
I do think they get better I don't know.
00:58:23
Um I mean, it's hard not to.
00:58:25
I think their coach is way better.
00:58:28
I think, uh, quarterback is going to hinder them all season long, no matter who it is.
00:58:34
Um, and I don't necessarily love their, like position players, either.
00:58:40
Um, all that much.
00:58:42
So you put all those things in a pot? I think that you've got the very beginnings of a team who could be good down the line.
00:58:48
Not so much this year.
00:58:50
I don't think that they're gonna pick up any games against the Cowboys.
00:58:53
I know what you proof.
00:58:54
You said that you did.
00:58:55
Um, I think they're gonna battle out with the Giants.
00:58:58
I think they're gonna have a hard time beating the Eagles as well.
00:59:01
And then they don't have a very favorable schedule as you run it down, either.
00:59:04
I mean, they're playing playing a lot of same teams.
00:59:06
We are mentioned in the previous three teams here, but they got to contend with the Ravens.
00:59:11
The Rams again.
00:59:13
I think it will be a good, good ah contest with the Bangles.
00:59:17
I think the Bangles against these NFC T east teams is gonna be a really fun Watch Steelers for minor Seahawks.
00:59:23
I mean, it's all the same.
00:59:24
Teams have been talking about the last 30 minutes here.
00:59:27
Tough sledding for Washington.
00:59:28
I do think they get better.
00:59:30
They would have to get three games better in order to hit the over.
00:59:33
I don't know if that happens.
00:59:35
I don't think it does.
00:59:36
I've got them a three and 13 4 and 12 type area.
00:59:39
The under, um, is paying on plus 1 18.
00:59:43
So, obviously, Vegas kind of leaning your way a little bit where they think they might be.
00:59:48
A sneaky good, maybe not even sneaky.
00:59:50
Good, but sneaky.
00:59:51
Better than we think they're going to be.
00:59:53
Pick up a few games and, uh, either tie that five mark or go over it.
00:59:59
But I like the under plus 1 18.
01:00:03
And before we get into this, this is the last team.
01:00:06
If anyone has any questions in the chat, asked them now.
01:00:09
So we make sure we get to them.
01:00:11
Um, you haven't met five.
01:00:13
You have the better five ones there.
01:00:15
I have it at 4.5.
01:00:16
I feel a lot more confident that five to say the under.
01:00:22
Yeah, And as I as I mentioned, I got all my lines within the last, like, two hour the draftkings.
01:00:27
So obviously they're probably shifting a little bit And depending on what book you're using, but, um, it is available at five.
01:00:32
On Draftkings.
01:00:34
Okay? Yeah.
01:00:35
I'm getting mine from betting prose, which is kind of like the consensus they'll just you don't take whatever the most popular is.
01:00:41
And people come out here.
01:00:43
Sure, um things is the one that lets me have you, Might you the odds Even though, you know, I'm stuck here in Wisconsin, Fanduel did forever let me viewing.
01:00:51
But now that we're I haven't been able to for weeks.
01:00:55
So draftkings is whoever I on now.
01:00:59
Yeah, super weird, cause I work for fanduel and I have to use the sports book every day.
01:01:03
And obviously I'm in Wisconsin.
01:01:05
20 I never had it until recently, so I don't know, Huh? Okay.
01:01:13
So two coaches we talked about Rivera, Jack Del Rio, both incredible defensive minds.
01:01:20
And this defense has great talent.
01:01:23
I don't think the defense is holding them back.
01:01:26
I don't think anyone expects the defense, the holding back, it's the offense which is disgusting.
01:01:31
They got Terry MacLaurin at wide receiver, and that's about it.
01:01:36
We don't have a tight end.
01:01:37
Is Jeremy Sprinkle and Richard Rodgers? That's it.
01:01:40
Offensive line is the same as last season, which is meth running backs that got rid of the eeriest Geiss because of the off the field issues.
01:01:50
Is that a downgrade from last year? No, because he couldn't stand the field anyway.
01:01:54
They got Antonio Gibson.
01:01:55
I think he's dangerous.
01:01:56
You could.
01:01:57
He's a home run through every time, and they're going to use him really creatively, especially because they don't have any wide receivers.
01:02:06
And then Adrian Peterson still there.
01:02:07
He keeps.
01:02:08
He's like Frank or I mean, they keep going Frank or chest winning over Adam Cases, Heart number one backer.
01:02:16
As of right now, from what I'm here, yeah, you're not wrong, and I fully believe the reports coming out.
01:02:26
I'm not doubting it in the slightest for multiple reasons, because one is Adam Gaze into its frank court.
01:02:32
I think Frank or is going to continue to get better, but we'll see what happens defensively, though I mean, they got Monta Sweat Chase young and each side of the line to get Ryan Kerrigan.
01:02:42
Still, Thomas Davis came over to play middle linebacker, which is the role he's going to thriving.
01:02:47
I think he plays.
01:02:48
He's gonna play a lot better there.
01:02:49
He's obviously slowed down a lot, and you can read the defense very well.
01:02:53
I think he's gonna be good there.
01:02:56
Still, Landon Collins.
01:02:57
Sean Davis's decent Kendall Fuller came back this off season, and I think, and Colvin is a backup.
01:03:05
I like him.
01:03:06
I think he's gonna get better.
01:03:08
This is a team that's gonna hit you, though it's just plain and simple.
01:03:11
It's a team that I think could be very good against the run, which is why I think Cowboys could have a little bit of issues and you're not gonna punk them.
01:03:20
They're gonna talk to you.
01:03:21
They're gonna hit you.
01:03:22
They're gonna make sure you know, they're there in with everything that's happening with Washington forever.
01:03:30
You know, they've been the team that's in the laughing stock.
01:03:32
They've been the team that is a joke just because of their name alone.
01:03:37
They're here to prove that they're a really football team now under this new head coach, and they will force you to respect them.
01:03:47
I think they're gonna be really fun to watch offensively.
01:03:50
Not so much defensively.
01:03:52
I think they're gonna be one of my favorite groups in the league.
01:03:55
Which makes That's why I'm staying away from this, But But I totally get the under.
01:03:59
I mean, there have zero talent on offense, right? And, you know, defense can be as good as you need them to be.
01:04:08
And you still got to be ableto produce on offense and score at least, especially in any and not NHL.
01:04:13
Well, especially the NFL.
01:04:15
Um, yeah, you're not gonna get away with score.
01:04:17
You know, we saw that last year with the Redskins, like they were putting up six points a game and light, and they were they weren't necessarily getting blown out by 30 40 points every week because their defense was least kind of holding people.
01:04:30
But they weren't even scoring like there was, however, many four weeks in a row or whatever, where they didn't even touch the ends off.
01:04:36
Um, I think it would be slightly better this year, but again, as I said, I think there if this is the beginnings of a team that has potential down the line.
01:04:45
It's the beginnings of a core group, maybe.
01:04:47
Ah, and a coaching staff that could actually have success there.
01:04:50
But for me, there's no saving grace to this team.
01:04:53
I mean, the defense is good, but that's not, um, they're not good enough to win collectively as a team as a whole, and they don't have anybody that you can point to.
01:05:02
And that's the guy.
01:05:03
You know.
01:05:04
Terry Clark.
01:05:05
McLaurin was good in certain weeks at certain points.
01:05:07
Um, was it wet? Was, Ah, disappointment.
01:05:10
The whole back end of the season, Um, was also a guy that kind of came out of nowhere.
01:05:15
So it's not like anybody really had huge expectations for him.
01:05:18
So maybe that's another reason everybody was so pleasantly surprised.
01:05:21
Um, I just don't think that they're good enough to win collectively.
01:05:24
And they don't have a guy like a Jordan Reed or even, um, Kirk Cousins.
01:05:30
Well, he was there.
01:05:31
He was, you know, he was a guy that was ableto win them games in certain situations.
01:05:36
I don't know.
01:05:37
I don't think they have that a quarterback right now.
01:05:38
Ah, and they also have a history of decent running backs again.
01:05:43
No superstars, but guys that could get the job done.
01:05:46
Guys that would be sought after by other teams and start for other teams after leaving Washington because they were actually good and I actually produced Washington doesn't really have anybody like that right now.
01:05:56
That has mentioned no Jordan Reed.
01:05:59
Um, just nobody I can point to really and again not good enough collectively, either.
01:06:04
So I think under five and they might be there might be falling in different ways.
01:06:10
But I don't think this is like, you know, I don't think this is the team that you're scared of if you're anybody else in the NFL and I don't think it's the team that you're gunning for for a long term.
01:06:20
If you're a fan of this team or a coach of this team, really, there's a lot of changes that need to be made.
01:06:24
There's a lot of guys that are either gun are on, make it or break it type of of situations with this team.
01:06:31
So it's gonna be fun in the way of so many questions and so many possibilities this year.
01:06:35
But do they win five or more games? I hardly think so.
01:06:41
And thats fair and to your point, the only mismatch they have on their and tell your offense is the rookie Antonio Gibson.
01:06:49
I I think linebackers will struggle with him, but there's only so much a running back, and due to will a team to a win.
01:06:57
Especially, I mean, the rest of the passing game is not exactly going t o make the defense respect.
01:07:03
Um, and I mean, you got to give your running back chances to like, you gotta open things up down the field.
01:07:08
You gotta be able to throw the ball consistently.
01:07:10
You gotta have a quarterback.
01:07:11
That defense is respect.
01:07:13
Otherwise, it doesn't matter how good, your honor, like he's not Adrian Peterson with the Vikings.
01:07:16
Like he's not a guy that can just do it despite, you know, no matter what, even if their load up the box, even if they only passed the ball, you know a few times again like, ah, who was the quarterback? Ponder Christian was at his name.
01:07:31
Gregory Ponder.
01:07:32
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
01:07:33
Like so.
01:07:35
Like, if they would have anybody else had an actual passing attack, imagine what Adrian Peterson could have done in that offense, but like, he was good enough bread fire for a little bit.
01:07:42
Yeah, for a little bit there.
01:07:44
And that was breath and yeah, and that was, you know, a very, very short time.
01:07:48
So running back like that can overcome all those things, but a different guy.
01:07:54
That's just a pretty good running back or solid running back.
01:07:56
You're gonna need to help him out a lot of ways.
01:07:59
And I just don't know what the Washington is set up to do that in the best to the best of their ability right now.
01:08:09
Yeah.
01:08:10
Angry.
01:08:11
Definitely not.
01:08:12
Ah, and a great offensive watch the season.
01:08:14
Especially with the defense's they go against in the division and Philadelphia and Dallas at least.
01:08:21
I mean, they have good friend.
01:08:22
Sevens would be fun to find.
01:08:25
I don't know of any books that do this, but like total points scored by a team, Um, yeah, I don't think that would be fun, but I don't I haven't seen that, cause I'm probably hammer the under on the Redskins for that on whatever it is.
01:08:36
But like, that'd be pretty fun. Prop.
01:08:39
Actually, you have to do a lot of calculations a little bit more guessing.
01:08:43
Um, and the numbers would range, you know? Very, quite a bit.
01:08:47
I'm guessing you kind of completely agree.
01:08:53
So we just went over NFC North and a F C East will do NFC South and West a different day.
01:08:59
I want to give one last shout out to the pros and Joe's Charity Fantasy League that I'm in.
01:09:05
You can go to my Twitter account at Fantasy Flurry right now.
01:09:09
My last retweeted tweet as the link to get signed up.
01:09:14
All bids go to a charity of my choice, which is the Village Foundation, which goes to address the homeless problems in Los Angeles that continue to grow.
01:09:23
Yeah, if you don't have any money to give, there's ways to enter the raffle, to be a co owner of a fantasy league with me against people from ESPN, CBS, ah, all these other big networks.
01:09:36
There's ways to enter it without spending a dime.
01:09:39
You just share the link in a certain way, and you get 53 entries.
01:09:44
That's a good deal to me.
01:09:45
And if you get picked from another raffle that I'm doing just personally you get a $90 value month of free.
01:09:52
Awesome.
01:09:54
Oh, Platinum with awesome.
01:09:55
Oh, if you don't know Number one number one DFS player in the entire world, he pretty much ones that DFS tournament that pays another person's salary that he brings on.
01:10:05
It's definitely worthwhile.
01:10:07
Get Jake.
01:10:09
Do you have any final thoughts? No, Um, looking forward.
01:10:14
Teoh, Of course.
01:10:16
The continuation of playoffs and stuff here in the NHL and NBA and stuff, but more.
01:10:20
We talk about this, the more I just want, you know, football to be on my TV.
01:10:25
Really football that matters.
01:10:27
Um, just excited for it, Really Looking forward to it.
01:10:30
I haven't watched a single second of hard knocks this year because I heard it's just been not good and depressing and no actual football content, Really? So I'm just I'm ready for week one and ah, of course, lots of good ah, fantasy content yet coming up in the next few days.
01:10:47
I know fantasy drafts are probably already done or getting done soon, so keep checking back Teoh flurry sports for more fantasy content.
01:10:56
I'm gonna try and turn on some articles here quickly, and, uh yeah, other than that by our picks up, Zach and I, uh, keep paying our rent.
01:11:09
Absolutely.
01:11:10
I am purchasing a new computer tonight because I see that my camera gets a little bit glitchy on here, especially.
01:11:19
And that's because I'm running on a laptop that six or seven years old.
01:11:23
So I'm buying a computer tonight.
01:11:24
It's gonna be a cool grand.
01:11:25
I would love recruited five picks up Pick said he dot com.
01:11:29
And same with Jakes.
01:11:30
Pick.
01:11:31
Obviously, he's been hot with NHL and PGA, and anything else is doing in the big name A couple days ago, my MBA props are hot right now, and that starts back up tomorrow, hopefully continues.
01:11:44
So definitely do that.
01:11:45
And you have an NFL package up already or No, I don't.
01:11:50
I'm working on kind of developing, and I was gonna talk with you to kind of see how you go about doing that, because right now I just have my daily weekly monthly picks.
01:11:58
But I'll probably put together like a full season of, um, picks or like a one time deal for picks all the way through a Super Bowl.
01:12:05
Something like that, I will have been available probably either the first of September or sometime right before Labor Day and then have it run all the way up to the beginning of season.
01:12:16
Um, obviously, you get my picks at any point over the season to, but if you just want to lock it up, my picks are really, really cheap.
01:12:22
And this NFL package that I'm coming up with will be chief as well.
01:12:27
But other than that, um, watch more sports this weekend tune into the PGA that BMW Championship.
01:12:34
If you haven't only three players were under par going into the second round.
01:12:38
Today, of course, has been really tough.
01:12:40
Been a fun watch.
01:12:42
Um, not like last week's tournament, where Dustin Johnson shot negative 30 something and just destroyed the course a little bit more competitive.
01:12:49
Of course, it is presenting itself a lot tougher this week, so check out some golf.
01:12:53
If you aren't really a typical golf watcher, you can ah watch them.
01:12:57
It's been pretty fun.
01:12:59
Um, and speaking of golf, I'm going to try ah two K 21 the new PGA game tonight.
01:13:05
I went bought it last night, just didn't have time to play it, So, um as long as I can.
01:13:10
The payments can as long as I can convince my brother Teoh not make me stay on call of duty too long.
01:13:15
I'm going to play a little bit of golf tonight and then just get back to you, right? Most fancy articles, So I hope everybody has a great night. Thanks for watching.
01:13:23
And, uh, definitely watch out for our next stream coming up as we finished.
01:13:28
Uh, the rest of the NFC here talkin NFC West in NFC, so absolutely we'll be back soon.
01:13:36
Share this all over.
01:13:37
Make sure to follow us on here to get notified.
01:13:40
You can subscribe to us on YouTube.
01:13:42
Just flurry sports to get this video later on any other videos, The fantasy season will be having daily conflict.
01:13:48
It's gonna be sick.
01:13:49
We're gonna have a lot of **** for you guys this year.
01:13:52
And trust me, you need it.
01:13:54
Eso We'll see you guys next.
01:13:56
Art CIA.
01:14:01
Get on that Cowboys over

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