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00:00:15
What's up, everybody? It's Thursday.
00:00:18
So you know what that means.
00:00:19
It's the A R soccer show.
00:00:20
We always come at you mid afternoon.
00:00:22
Depending where you are early evening.
00:00:25
We gotta load it.
00:00:26
Show with you today.
00:00:27
My name's Wrexham here with a J as usual from the breakdown, having a little issues with their twitter right now.
00:00:33
We'll get through it.
00:00:34
So, um, you can follow us on.
00:00:36
Facebook will realize streaming right now as well.
00:00:39
What's up with you? A.
00:00:40
J uh, nothing did.
00:00:42
Things are opening back up, so I was actually at the driving range.
00:00:45
Today I'm hitting some golf balls, so it's nice to get back into normal society.
00:00:50
Yeah, definitely got to get out when you can.
00:00:53
Okay, let's hop right into it.
00:00:57
A J.
00:00:58
You can kick us off.
00:01:00
Yeah.
00:01:01
So I think the first thing this weekend is obviously with everything going on, not even just in the US I don't know if you've seen, but there's people taking a stand worldwide from London, Berlin, even in the Asian countries.
00:01:14
I think this weekend it was some soccer players.
00:01:17
Specifically, I saw Jane Centro aqui me, Western McKinney.
00:01:22
Um and lastly, tile Adams, and I'm sure there are more players.
00:01:26
But those were the ones that stood out to me.
00:01:27
Girl took a stance or justice for George, so I think that was really cool of them to use their platform.
00:01:34
Um, what are your thoughts on everything about that? It's a great thing to see.
00:01:38
As you said, some players did it.
00:01:40
You also seem, saw that team pictures with Liverpool and the rest of the people who did that, my soul basica the Turkish league. They did, actually.
00:01:49
GF with their players.
00:01:50
That's so nice to see.
00:01:52
Hopefully this just gets people to start opening up and listening.
00:01:55
And that's just the biggest thing we can all do right now is just listen and put our differences aside and listen.
00:02:02
Yeah, no, I'm on the same boat and I think it's great that they use their platforms else.
00:02:06
I mean, they have thousands of thousands of people following them, so if they stay silent, I mean, the rest of the world isn't gonna respond either.
00:02:14
But enough talk about that.
00:02:15
I know the world is consumed by that, but we just want to make a quick note or we're proud of our soccer players, soccer fans, soccer teams, taking the right stands and stuff like that, but to get into it.
00:02:26
So just a little recap of the leaks that air coming up this month.
00:02:30
Um, so La Liga starts June 11th.
00:02:33
The Premier League will be back June 17.
00:02:35
Um, and the serial will be back June 20th.
00:02:38
Um, for the Champions League, there's no update, but they are talking about a possible return in August.
00:02:45
Personally, for me, I like how they're leaving.
00:02:47
It kind of open ended rather than just closing it out immediately.
00:02:52
Just because we saw in France they shut it down immediately, Um, and gave P S G the title on that Created some, uh, not necessarily chaos, but discussion for teams in relegation and the Champions League and Europa League spots.
00:03:08
Any updates from the U.
00:03:09
S.
00:03:10
And then the last Rex? Yeah, before we get into them, alas, updates it's gonna be I'm real curious to see what the French leaks and the what the French teams do for the Champions League since they finished their season.
00:03:22
So that's one thing I've been keeping my eye out this whole time is trying to see what they're going to dio.
00:03:28
When the MLS We had great news yesterday, Ah, the players and the owners finally agreed.
00:03:34
They signed that labor contract with this huge.
00:03:37
There's still no set dates, but I know it's not called that Disney Cup or not officially yet, but that's what I'm referring to it as it sounds like it's going to be a tournament in Orlando that kicks off the season, and from the things I read, it looks like we'll get home games later on.
00:03:54
Um, it really just depends when they decide on these states for the Disney Cup, because season usually ends from a lesson October early November.
00:04:03
And we all know in the East Coast it gets cold around that time so they don't have the luxury like other teams do play indoors.
00:04:10
So we could probably see 15 game season, probably Max for the MLS.
00:04:16
Given that we have, Ari had two or three played, so we'll keep you updated on those dates, but nothing huge as of yet.
00:04:23
Yeah, and I think some some soccer like you said 15 games.
00:04:28
Also, everyone would want to see a full length season, but I guess something's better than nothing.
00:04:33
Just cause I know other sports such as MLB.
00:04:36
They're struggling to get their dates and times sets.
00:04:40
And there's some consideration that there'll be no baseball this season.
00:04:43
Um, some really glad that the MLS is for the fans and for the people in the safety, Um, getting some soccer out there for everyone.
00:04:51
Yeah, I definitely hoping that the MLS comes back as soon as possible, but, like you said, we got LA legal back next week.
00:04:57
Then we got the PL in Syria within the next two, so we'll get to stop strictly talking about the German league as much as we fall in love, Licit will definitely be good to get soccer around the rest of Europe going.
00:05:11
Yeah, I agree.
00:05:12
And each of those leagues all have their own, um, drama.
00:05:15
Just how the Bundesliga had the race between Dorfman and Bayern, which we kind of see the end towards each of their own leagues, have their own little either Champions League relegation or title battles.
00:05:26
So excited to have him coming back.
00:05:30
Yes, so with the pl, all the all the players were tested on Monday and there is only one positive results, so that's a huge, huge win for us.
00:05:40
We hope that it keeps staying that way.
00:05:42
Uh, I would say Look may not have it that way or odds, but that's a good first start.
00:05:48
And then for which I found strange because the ruinously get do not do this.
00:05:53
But on the large stake matches what they're calling them in the Premier League.
00:05:57
They're actually only played at neutral site venues rather than the home teams are where the home cities are.
00:06:02
So when City plays Liverpool, that's not going to be at the home field.
00:06:07
There's five other matches listed as well.
00:06:09
I'm not gonna rattle through each one just because that's going to get a little tedious.
00:06:13
But one of the biggest ones that I saw was an any game in which Liverpool can clinch the title.
00:06:19
That's gonna have to be at a neutral site.
00:06:21
Uh, they're more worried about fans congregating out of it and end the police force.
00:06:26
That's gonna have to be needed.
00:06:28
So it's kind of a shame that when Liverpool finally gets it, and if that match were to be at home, Ah, they can't celebrate So that's a little shoes for them.
00:06:37
Yeah, but like you mentioned, it's for the safety.
00:06:40
Especially some of the matches that are listed are absolutely crazy ones.
00:06:45
I think one of matches listed was Everton vs Liverpool.
00:06:48
And then if you if you guys don't know that's Merseyside Darby, they're very close to each other in proximity, and that one is always a crazy match.
00:06:58
So I could see why.
00:06:59
Um, doing stuff like that and I don't know if you're recently saw, but I believe that primarily is also following the Bundesliga.
00:07:06
Um, and they're doing five substitutes as well.
00:07:09
Yeah.
00:07:10
Um, so I just want a shadow air mark zero quick.
00:07:14
Thank you for that tip, but yeah, that's strange, but I was reading There's a nice article on Fivethirtyeight.
00:07:20
If you guys aren't familiar with that website, it's more ****ytically based.
00:07:23
They were studying how much the German teams are actually using subs and they're not using it as much as they projected or predicted.
00:07:32
Some teams air still sticking with the three.
00:07:35
There's only been four clubs so far that utilized five subs in each of their match.
00:07:39
So, um, it's definitely something to look out for in Wolfsburg is the lowest team to be using their subs.
00:07:45
On average, they're only subbing 2.
00:07:47
92 times per game.
00:07:50
So they're still right at that mark that was allowed beforehand.
00:07:53
Pull Mint, Frankfurt or the two I remember off the top of my head who have used five subs in every match.
00:07:59
So, um, there's that.
00:08:01
There's been no rhyme or reason if that's gonna make you win or lose or not.
00:08:05
But I just thought that was something interesting where once they opened it up, not every team's taking advantage of it.
00:08:10
Yeah, but I think it's tough.
00:08:12
I mean, you play all season with three subs.
00:08:15
You're in this system, you know, substitutes like what? Men.
00:08:19
You're gonna go in and now you're tossed with this new curveball of trying just five.
00:08:24
Um, so I mean, if it works for some team that it doesn't work for some teams.
00:08:27
And I think we mentioned that before, uh, that matches actually started that we treated this as like a whole new season with whole new special rules and everything like that.
00:08:37
So that's just one of the things that people after adjust to Yes.
00:08:41
So a J you were quick to send me this info.
00:08:44
We got huge transfer news today.
00:08:47
Basically official.
00:08:48
I wouldn't I wouldn't say right at home yet.
00:08:51
But let me hear.
00:08:52
Uh, let me hear what you got.
00:08:55
Well, this was reported.
00:08:56
I saw rumor speculating this morning, but if you guys don't follow this general in his name's Fabricio Romero Ron mano a mano your town, you go out, you have been telling.
00:09:08
Boy has to help me out with that one.
00:09:10
Um, but if you don't follow him on Twitter or Instagram social media, um, he's basically like the soccer go to transfer.
00:09:18
Um, not necessarily confirmation because there's no confirmation until the team's announce it, But he's definitely the next best option.
00:09:26
Eso he announced that team over in her from our RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga is ready to sign with Chelsea until June 2025 for 55 million euros.
00:09:38
Why is that huge? There's another player on the market was looking to come to England.
00:09:44
You, as mayor may not know him.
00:09:46
His name's Jadon Sancho, the other big club in contention with him.
00:09:51
So one club in contention was all see United were looking for a right winger were dot actually work dying for a right winger.
00:09:58
Let me crash that one.
00:09:59
I'm the second club was Chelsea.
00:10:02
Um, but now, since Chelsea are making this big transfer, it seems like they're kind of withdrawing their name from the Sancho race.
00:10:10
And as a united fan, that gives me so much hope and positivity moving forward that we're going to splash the cash on this gentleman.
00:10:18
However, in previous years I have been disappointed with United transfer Ah, windows.
00:10:25
So I do like to keep core, sort of like 5% hope.
00:10:28
But this is something that just gets nice, my own a lot.
00:10:31
Before we even get into that, I was super surprised.
00:10:34
You said Fabrizio perfectly.
00:10:37
And then you messed up with three easier part.
00:10:40
But yeah, if you've been If you haven't been watching where he's second in the league with goals, Uh, and just behind Lewandowski, who's going 1st 3rd straight golden boots.
00:10:49
So you can't give him that much slack.
00:10:51
But it's a huge move for Chelsea because they're coming off the band from the transfer ban and now they got some nice players up top of Timmy Abraham, and I'm Pulis it as well.
00:11:02
So if they're adding Warner up there, I know missing other guys on the Chelsea squad.
00:11:07
But, uh, that's definitely a huge move for them.
00:11:10
And let's see if Warner can keep up this production in the Bundesliga.
00:11:14
That and if he when he does move to the Premier League.
00:11:18
Yeah, and that's this is a huge move for Chelsea.
00:11:21
They were very young squad.
00:11:23
I believe Burner is about 24 politicas 21.
00:11:27
Um, you have a lot of young guys Mason Mount, Um so they're planning for the future as well as the mouth because they're quality in the present and will continue to grow.
00:11:38
But we'll see if Chelsea turned into one of those clubs where these players develop at Chelsea and they make the move to a bigger club.
00:11:45
A real Madrid Barcelona, Um, or if they're here, long term, a multi burner aside until 2025.
00:11:52
So that that is kind of a long time.
00:11:54
But we'll see in the coming years if, sir So now, the transition over to the Bundesliga, where we're going to focus the rest of the show just as a quick recap from since the restart or the return.
00:12:06
Whatever you would like to call it, there's been 18 road winds, which is close to trust.
00:12:10
10 units, gambling wise.
00:12:12
Nine home winds, which is close them. Linus.
00:12:15
20 units have been 10 draws, which is close to four units.
00:12:19
So the draws have definitely taken a step back.
00:12:22
The home winds just keep getting worse and worse.
00:12:25
And then you're 18.
00:12:26
Road wins.
00:12:27
Seems to be where your money's at to get into the matches from the weekend.
00:12:32
Um, we always like the highlight, the doorman and Byron games.
00:12:36
But just because of how big of a blowout say where, and we're gonna throw clawed back into this one, each of them winning by three plus goals, if not more.
00:12:44
Not much to say.
00:12:45
Um, the biggest thing with Dorfman was them to being tied 00 than ending the Game six.
00:12:50
The one so that was huge.
00:12:52
The other teams just took care of business.
00:12:55
So you have any takes on those three squads? Just, I mean, doorman is ridiculous.
00:13:00
Hardly.
00:13:01
I mean, we talk about over sitting at like 2.
00:13:03
53 goals for total for the match.
00:13:07
Then doorman go out and score six and 1/2.
00:13:10
Um, and it was the second half, like you mentioned, but I'm in.
00:13:14
I don't know if it's just like a flick of the switch or just everything just starts clicking a good halftime talk.
00:13:20
Um, whatever it is, I mean, don't probably keep on steamrolling.
00:13:25
Yes, sir.
00:13:26
Um, the game that hunger and get into in Ah, gonna highlight is the Werder Bremen Frankfurt match from yesterday.
00:13:34
Um, I was I got to watch the whole match once again.
00:13:37
00 Halftime.
00:13:39
Maybe That's been a trend in some of the matches, but ah, definitely started out slow.
00:13:44
Um, once Frankfurt got that header to get it into kind of broken open and that also hit the over of the 2.5.
00:13:51
Um, Bremen was on a nice little hot streak before then and they finally came back down the earth.
00:13:57
They're still fighting out that relegation battle and Frankfurt.
00:14:00
I mean, they're just a team of up and down, so look nice.
00:14:03
One week get smacked the other week.
00:14:05
So they've been struggling to find consistency where Bremen finally lost their consistency last week.
00:14:12
Bremen does have a match this week.
00:14:14
Earth.
00:14:15
They played on Wednesday cause each of these squads were a game behind in the table.
00:14:18
So now everyone's caught up and has five matches left.
00:14:22
So these guys have shorter weeks and given with how many matches they played, their going on five matches within 22 22 days, which is very strange for clubs to do it at the top.
00:14:34
You'll see that more in the England Championship or a league one where they'll have all these crazy matches, but definitely something to look at for fatigue.
00:14:42
We said Frankfurt's been using their stops, so maybe thats helping them, but could be looking rougher.
00:14:47
Bremen this weekend.
00:14:48
The fatigue might finally hit them.
00:14:51
Yeah, and I think you mentioned it in our chap for we have a chat for soccer guys that speak about it.
00:14:58
And one thing Rex, because he does have experience as an athlete, is the fatigue will catch up, especially coming off a big break and coming into this so we'll see what teams are affected. More.
00:15:11
What teams aren't affected as much.
00:15:13
Um, and just didn't last point on a recap is I mean, I think, uh, you guys have noticed Ah, I'm a big hurt.
00:15:21
The thin they've grown on me each and every single week.
00:15:24
Last week they were able to take care of business.
00:15:26
Um, and we had a Friday night match last week in which Byerly, recusing also took care of business.
00:15:32
That was a close match.
00:15:34
However, they sit in the fourth spot, which is the Champions League spot for the Bundesliga.
00:15:39
Um, so the title race is, I would say, basically over.
00:15:43
So if you are looking for a good race to look at, will be the race for the fourth spot, which is between GLAAD back later, accused in an R p R B life seeing, which is in third and they're not too far off.
00:15:57
Yeah, that's definitely your race toe watch.
00:15:59
Definitely something to go where those three teams air.
00:16:02
Great Lip Sync finally didn't draw again this weekend, so they helped them come out a little bit.
00:16:07
Masters are running joke because they're the best because they are one of the top clubs, but they just draw too much.
00:16:14
I just want to shout out black and red real quick.
00:16:16
Thank you for that tip.
00:16:18
Um, if any of you guys want to comment in the Facebook on SportsCastr, if you want to hear our thoughts on matches or just want to chime in and let us know what you think about the German squads definitely let us know even any other random stocker question you got.
00:16:31
We're here to answer it for you.
00:16:33
We'll take a break from our segment, stand to your questions.
00:16:37
But now let's just get into our match previews of the week and a J Let's start us off with which one you got tomorrow.
00:16:43
What? The only match tomorrow.
00:16:45
Yeah, so it is nice, but the Bundesliga does have some Friday matches.
00:16:50
I know we talked about how they don't like Monday Night football, but Friday and early start for the weekend here for us in the U. S.
00:16:58
Um, but its heavy Freiburg versus Gladbach.
00:17:00
This is an eight versus four metre.
00:17:02
Um, this is one where glaad back, um, they are sitting level and forth with labour, accused on points there, unbeaten on the road since the restart, which is a huge thing cause Rex mentioned before that home teams are struggling a lot.
00:17:17
Um Do you have any takes on this match? Other than that there way teams have been crushing it.
00:17:24
But my biggest thing I'm taking out of it is, and something we've talked about in previous episodes is Freiberg has a solid defense.
00:17:30
Um, they have only allowed four first half goals in the four matches of since there are four total, even if it's them scoring or not, so their first halfs have been under.
00:17:42
So one of the bets I did look at was to see this first half, but it's a juice that under 1.
00:17:47
5 at minus 1 30 So once I saw that minus 1 30 it's not worth it, but Freiburg haven't won at home sensory start and have you haven't scored yet at home.
00:17:56
So that's the one big part where that Gladbach line is hanging and it looks enticing.
00:18:02
But, um, we saw Freiberg go toe to toe with Leipzig so definitely a squad to not look out for.
00:18:09
But with them being an East and they're kind of stuck in no man's land right now, they're not going to get relegated.
00:18:15
They're probably gonna have to win three other five remaining matches and get Wolfsburg's to go in a little bit of a free fall.
00:18:21
So they might just be looking the play it safe where glad boxer and come out firing because they don't want to fall until you Europa League.
00:18:29
Yeah, and I think you're now that on the head that they're kind of in that no man's land.
00:18:34
But I think I took that approach.
00:18:37
Um, I think it was the weekend before where we talked about doorman.
00:18:40
They just lost to Bayern.
00:18:42
Um, they don't really have much to play for, cause they're They're solid in that Champions League spot, and they're out of the title race.
00:18:49
Um, and we looked at Okay, can Powder Morgan come in? Maybe shocked the world.
00:18:54
And obviously we know they got destroyed by Dorman.
00:18:57
So we'll see how this one plays out tomorrow.
00:19:00
Yeah, that's definitely going to be a good match to watch.
00:19:02
A few guys were bored at work, Definitely throw on Fox sports to because, of course, they can't give it the Fox sports one.
00:19:08
You guys all know my feelings on that from last episode, but we lock did get let go the other day So maybe maybe Fox was listening to us are They didn't renew his contract completely and let him go, but yeah, they So I've been given the boon this league on FS one.
00:19:25
Unless it's, uh, doorman are Byron mid week and then you'll get it on the early Saturday mornings.
00:19:32
Uh, we're in transition into the Saturday matches.
00:19:35
What we have as the game of the weekend.
00:19:37
You got your one squad and Byron versus the team, and fifth and lever accuse in, um, I'm going a j going to death on this one.
00:19:45
The biggest thing I saw this match is we We were probably going to see goals.
00:19:49
Both of these teams are good, but we also thought that when we thought Iron was going to play Thorman we're going to see goals, and Byron's defense is just on another level right now, So it's gonna be interesting to see if they can hold live accuse in goaless or to one goal and the biggest or the other thing I've seen.
00:20:07
Byron has only won once in their last five years because they do that home in homes and their trips.
00:20:12
The lever accused and said they've tied and the rest of those or lost.
00:20:16
So it'll be interesting to see because Byron's listed around minus 200 right now, if they'll get this road win.
00:20:24
Yeah, this is I mean, I looked at the matches coming up this weekend.
00:20:28
I was so excited to see this one.
00:20:30
Um, and Rex mentioned it.
00:20:32
This is definitely the match of the weekend.
00:20:34
Um, for me, it's can labour accusing kind of.
00:20:38
This is where they test the waters to see if they're able to run with the big dogs.
00:20:42
I mean, if you put in a good match, see what's going on, um, and see if the next year you could make a run for the title and the other thing is, is every week we talked.
00:20:50
Talk about this stuff for later accusing chi.
00:20:53
Harvard's is This is time to shine.
00:20:55
Time to go big.
00:20:57
Um, those are the two things I'll be looking for this weekend.
00:21:00
I know.
00:21:01
Rex mentioned it that Byron's defense has been another level.
00:21:05
They had a clean sheet against doorman.
00:21:07
Um, granted, they did give up a lot of chances.
00:21:11
So we'll see in this one if labour accused and can capitalize on those chances.
00:21:15
Um, that fired Munich.
00:21:17
Do give him, um, and this match.
00:21:20
I looked extensively, um, for at a betting angle.
00:21:24
When I first looked at the match, I was leaning the over.
00:21:29
Um well, doing more research.
00:21:32
I like the under a bit more.
00:21:33
I could see this being where buying score water troubles and keep a clean sheet.
00:21:38
Um, I also did look into both teams to score, but you guys off the state to the end to see some official place for us.
00:21:45
Um, stick to land.
00:21:47
Yes, sir.
00:21:48
So this one's at 9 30 eastern on Saturdays.
00:21:51
It definitely set your alarm clock.
00:21:52
So watch this one.
00:21:53
It's one of the last top matches that will have whereby and really test themselves because they kind of have a cakewalk after the rest of this.
00:22:01
So I think this could be one of the last time.
00:22:03
Say, see all their top dollars coming out together and we might start to see them move in their depth.
00:22:10
And let's see if Davies can keep this goal shirt going from left.
00:22:14
Baca He's been hot.
00:22:15
And just in the attack, that's his style.
00:22:18
So being able to see the next match.
00:22:21
We got his doorman versed.
00:22:22
Hertha, Um, we This is a great match because both of these teams love offense.
00:22:28
Hurt has been the hottest team like our other than Byron has been the hottest team to come out of the break.
00:22:34
Now they're getting the first test of the of the league since the restart.
00:22:40
The one thing I did see in this match is Doorman has one at home for their matches except for the one against Bayern, obviously, but they're averaging 3.
00:22:48
21 goals per game and only conceding close, the one which is the lowest in the league at home.
00:22:54
So let's see if this opponent hurt.
00:22:56
The offense can bring it toe doorman, and it doesn't look like will be without Holland again this weekend.
00:23:03
He was out last weekend.
00:23:04
Looks like they're going to arrest him again.
00:23:06
But, um, when Holland was out, it gave Sancho the chance to come back in.
00:23:11
It was his first time he started Ah, the previous three matches or four matches.
00:23:16
He came off the bench.
00:23:17
Eso he finally clocked over 45 minutes, played the entire game, netted a hat trick was against patter born, but definitely good signs to show Sancho seems to be back in form and back fit.
00:23:29
Yeah.
00:23:30
And is this a 12 30 match Eastern time? Yes.
00:23:34
Yes.
00:23:35
So are Saturdays packed with back to back? Good matches.
00:23:38
So if you're looking for a good soccer this weekend, this is your weekend to watch for my take on this one.
00:23:45
Um, I am a big hurt.
00:23:47
The ven every week they keep on growing on me.
00:23:50
Um, this week, I hope they continue to grow on me.
00:23:53
Just a quick note when I'm watching both teams matches just because doorman place during the back, Sometimes they lack some aerial, um, really firepower while on the other side Hurt the have some.
00:24:06
They have the aerial firepower.
00:24:08
So I really look for her to Berlin to either put in a lot of crosses work.
00:24:12
The corners were to set pieces.
00:24:14
Um, really explored that whole that doorman has, um and I know I have a plan. This match.
00:24:21
Um What? Do you have any thoughts on this matter, Rex? Yeah, I definitely have a playas.
00:24:26
Well, this time they're not correlating, so we kind of different sides to stay, stay for the end, to see what we're locking in.
00:24:34
We're previewing one more match and then we'll get into our best bet.
00:24:37
So you guys don't have to wait much longer.
00:24:39
Um, Sunday we got some decent matches.
00:24:42
Nothing that sticks out too much.
00:24:44
But the match I wanted to cover, which has the most at stake is Bremen verse Wolfsburg.
00:24:49
Eso Bremen does have all these back to back games coming on and Wolfsburg's in the Europa spot, the last one neighbor four point cushion.
00:24:57
But Bremen has been calling their way out of the relegation spot.
00:25:01
They get a win here in Dusseldorf in Mainz, lose still, technically, leapfrog both of them and be securely out.
00:25:07
So there's a lot at stake for Bremen at this game.
00:25:10
But at the same time, if Wolfsburg can get a win here, they can really start to project themselves higher.
00:25:16
So this is a game that has high importance for Booth.
00:25:19
Just as a fun fact.
00:25:20
Bremen has been in the Bundesliga since 1982 so there's stuff, a lot of pride in this club, making sure that they remain in here and not drop down to Buddhist Leo one.
00:25:30
But if you want to stay in the Bundesliga, you gotta win your home matches.
00:25:34
And that's not what Bremen has done this season.
00:25:37
They only have one win in their 14 home matches.
00:25:41
They have three draws and 10 losses for six overall points.
00:25:44
So that's not what you want to see from the home club and definitely wide there in 17th place as of now, um, and even more to go against the grain where, uh, it's if this is this is where I kind of like to see the other squad and kind of like Wolfsburg in this one.
00:25:59
Wolfsburg hasn't Beacon Bremen since 2015 regardless, if it was home where away, they have six losses and two draws in that span.
00:26:07
So definitely look for Wolfsburg to come out hungry and get some pride with a team plank for pride.
00:26:13
So this is your sneaky good game to watch on Sunday.
00:26:17
Yeah, like you mentioned before.
00:26:19
I think they're playing more than just pride.
00:26:22
Um, I mean, not getting relegated is a huge thing just for the club's support.
00:26:27
Their loyalty, I'm also financials.
00:26:29
I'm guessing that will have a big difference on them and for Wolfsburg if they could solidify that Europa League spot, um, and relieve some pressure down the stretch.
00:26:37
I think I'll be huge for both clubs.
00:26:39
Um, looking over at this one before at our notes.
00:26:43
One thing I did lean was Wolfsburg.
00:26:46
Their money lines.
00:26:47
It's that +105 So you get just a nice little plus money on that one.
00:26:54
So if you guys are looking for some action on Sunday, that is something that I did lean.
00:26:59
Yeah, it's definitely there.
00:27:00
If I saw that up in the plus one twenties, um, I definitely would have fired on the wall spurt.
00:27:06
But this is a match where you could potentially bet live.
00:27:08
Feel it out how it's going.
00:27:10
But since there's no Monday Night Football top into our best bets for this weekend, Um, last weekend I had the +11 in one steak because I doubled up on the over 10.
00:27:22
275 and the over three in that Wolfsburg match and then s o that one.
00:27:28
That was 1/2 cash I didn't go for.
00:27:30
I did lose half a unit on it.
00:27:32
And then on Saturday, I picked the only away team to lose off money line if you would have picked any other money line last Saturday of the always got they didn't come through so nice.
00:27:43
A little +11 and one price of playing weekend.
00:27:46
How do you know another very sad weekend on my behalf owing to So my record sits at three and five total If you guys have been following us, I started off our return of the business is legal pretty hot.
00:28:01
Started off three and won.
00:28:03
The last two weekends have been both river sweeps, but this week I'm looking to get back on track.
00:28:09
Um, last weekend I took Shaka Pickem, which lost on and then hurt the Augsburg over, which also lost just a quick note.
00:28:18
So I think Rex, help Rex help me out with this one.
00:28:22
Um, so I'm not the one with expected goals too much.
00:28:25
That's not my forte.
00:28:27
My forte's watching Going with my gut or rexes a lot into ****ytics.
00:28:33
So what? The expected goals.
00:28:36
But the picks either should have drawn for the pickup, which working out the money back or the over when which hurt, then offered mash the over and expected goals.
00:28:46
So one thing we like to say here is I mean, we picked the right picks were just on the wrong.
00:28:52
A result this time.
00:28:53
That gives me a lot of confidence for both of us.
00:28:55
Heading not only this week for the Bundesliga, but the rest of soccer leagues moving forward because we are on the right track.
00:29:02
We are picking the right things.
00:29:04
But, I mean, it's just sometimes sports.
00:29:06
You just don't know what's gonna happen.
00:29:08
Yeah, I rather be in the right soccer mindset, then getting lucky.
00:29:12
So time for us to get jump into our ones this week.
00:29:16
My first play of the week is we've been talking about that Hertha match.
00:29:20
Um, just with the offense potential here, we've seen it from both clubs.
00:29:25
I'm gonna hit that over 3.5.
00:29:28
Even I don't like getting that 0.
00:29:30
5 on the three, but I want to lock it in because I do think we definitely see four goals.
00:29:36
I see.
00:29:38
I could see a 22 draw here is the most realistic one, or is what I think is gonna happen.
00:29:44
Um, but we'll see what happens where I think I can give you guys some good advice is, and what I'm gonna be looking to do to is weight the 1st 15 minutes.
00:29:55
If if they're still 00 you'll get away.
00:29:58
Better number in a way.
00:29:59
Better price at this over we've seen in the Bundesliga that thes second halfs have been rampant with goals, and maybe it's the fatigue.
00:30:07
But, um, as the more time goes down, obviously, and there's no goals being scored is going to drop.
00:30:12
The's clubs might just feel feel each other out for the 1st 5 minutes of the match.
00:30:17
See what their strategy is.
00:30:19
There's not a lot of times where you see a goal in the 1st 5 minutes of the match.
00:30:23
So if you want to give that few minutes and play alive, I will definitely not knock it.
00:30:28
I may even be on it, but grand take the hurt.
00:30:30
The doorman over 3.
00:30:31
5 even.
00:30:33
Yeah, and I love the point that Rex makes.
00:30:36
Um, not many people will tell you to wait a couple of minutes for the live over by mean soccer's my 90 minutes, but if you wait those 1st 10 15 minutes Also, you'll feel the match.
00:30:50
And if you see gold or just gonna pour in from the start than, um, maybe you look somewhere else.
00:30:55
But if you see a slow start coming, um, you'll definitely get a lot better lines.
00:31:00
A great pro tip from Rex on that one.
00:31:03
Um, however, for me, I also have a play in this game.
00:31:06
Um, this one, it's I'm either gonna cash very easily or I'm gonna walk into next week with my head down in shame.
00:31:15
Um, this week I'm taking her Thurl in plus 1.
00:31:18
5 unless it's at minus 1 14 on five times.
00:31:23
The reason I say this is I mean, we all know Norman is a very prolific team.
00:31:27
Um, they will one week scores the rope, and the next week score six in the second half.
00:31:33
Um, but I like the former things coming into Great forearm.
00:31:38
Good manager.
00:31:39
They're not switching up the team too much, So the team is getting good chemistry with each other.
00:31:44
Um, and I look for them.
00:31:46
They are the awaiting, And we are.
00:31:48
We know how way teens have been faring in the Bundesliga, and I'm just hoping they lose no less than one.
00:31:55
Yes, definitely.
00:31:56
Ah, definitely a good pick there.
00:31:58
I went against Ortmann in the first week, but that was a good, but that was back in Chalky, which has been regrettable for every match so far.
00:32:06
If you've been back in shellfish, so it's one of those ones where it might not be pretty.
00:32:11
Definitely not going to be fun, but it is what it is.
00:32:15
Um, so those are our first to place.
00:32:19
Ages only got one of you for this week.
00:32:21
I'm going to come at you with another money line.
00:32:23
Um, I always like to play the plus dollars on the money line, So I'm gonna go with the Hoffan Hein at plus 1 50 They're going up against Dusseldorf.
00:32:31
Uh, I know Hoffenheim's perfectly in like that.
00:32:35
No man's zone, but, uh, Dusseldorf is not one of the better home clubs to this side.
00:32:41
They haven't won at home since the break has returned.
00:32:44
So I think this trends going to keep going often time wants to move up a little bit in the standings are no.
00:32:50
Oftentimes in 7 30 I forgot I had the home thing up.
00:32:54
Oftentimes in seventh.
00:32:55
They're tied with Wolfsburg for six.
00:32:57
So they're not in the no man's own.
00:32:58
They're gonna want this win.
00:32:59
Dusseldorf is down there in that area.
00:33:01
So I really like Hoffenheim to come out and get a 2 to win here on us on Saturday.
00:33:08
Yeah, and I think there's a great value on that.
00:33:12
I mean, plus 1 50 for a team who is fighting for a European spot.
00:33:17
Um, I think that's a great pick.
00:33:20
I obviously I see Rex Rex is notes as we work together before the stream.
00:33:26
I'm looking at that pic What? I looked over and myself to come double check his work against If you want to say I also like to pick a lot So good work.
00:33:34
Um, And like Rex mentioned for me, I just have one pick this week.
00:33:38
Um, we're not here to four sticks for you guys.
00:33:41
We genuinely put in the time and effort to give our best picks.
00:33:45
There's nothing else that really stopped About two.
00:33:48
I did mention if you want some Sunday action, a Wolfsburg money line +105 That is something I leaned, but for official recordkeeping sakes um, only play this week is hurt.
00:34:00
The Berlin plus 1.
00:34:01
5 goals.
00:34:03
Yep.
00:34:04
And I got Hoffenheim plus 1 50 I got the hurt.
00:34:06
The doorman over 3.5.
00:34:09
Play that over.
00:34:10
If the 1st 10 minutes or 15 minute it's still nil nil, you'll get a great number at it where we definitely will see three goals in this game.
00:34:17
Well, that's going to wrap up our show for this week.
00:34:20
Thank you for all you guys have tuned in.
00:34:22
We really appreciate you guys who do check in with us and watch.
00:34:25
I always appreciate the guys who stay throughout the whole show If you even just want to come in in the last 10 to 15 minutes once we get into the match previews and you know your soccernews great time to jump in My name's Rex.
00:34:37
You can follow me on Twitter.
00:34:38
It's at my SportsCastr name or it's our east on their score.
00:34:42
Easy with easy.
00:34:43
If you're watching us on Facebook.
00:34:45
Yeah.
00:34:46
For me? Yes.
00:34:47
You comment, Uh, Twitter.
00:34:49
Definitely most active.
00:34:50
Be at a underscore v a D u kul.
00:34:54
Um come at me with anything you guys want to love, to talk all sports on anything going else on in the world.
00:35:01
Yes, sir.
00:35:02
And as usual are they are soccer show is brought to you from the breakdown.
00:35:06
I always give them a file.
00:35:07
Give them a shadow if you want and have a good weekend.
00:35:10
I hope you guys all cash your bets.
00:35:12
If you're betting like a J and I Let's go.
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The AR Soccer Show Bundesliga Preview 6/5 - 6/7 from theBRKDWN

62 Views
Rex Eastwood @REast_Eazy

Transcript hideup

00:00:15
What's up, everybody? It's Thursday.
00:00:18
So you know what that means.
00:00:19
It's the A R soccer show.
00:00:20
We always come at you mid afternoon.
00:00:22
Depending where you are early evening.
00:00:25
We gotta load it.
00:00:26
Show with you today.
00:00:27
My name's Wrexham here with a J as usual from the breakdown, having a little issues with their twitter right now.
00:00:33
We'll get through it.
00:00:34
So, um, you can follow us on.
00:00:36
Facebook will realize streaming right now as well.
00:00:39
What's up with you? A.
00:00:40
J uh, nothing did.
00:00:42
Things are opening back up, so I was actually at the driving range.
00:00:45
Today I'm hitting some golf balls, so it's nice to get back into normal society.
00:00:50
Yeah, definitely got to get out when you can.
00:00:53
Okay, let's hop right into it.
00:00:57
A J.
00:00:58
You can kick us off.
00:01:00
Yeah.
00:01:01
So I think the first thing this weekend is obviously with everything going on, not even just in the US I don't know if you've seen, but there's people taking a stand worldwide from London, Berlin, even in the Asian countries.
00:01:14
I think this weekend it was some soccer players.
00:01:17
Specifically, I saw Jane Centro aqui me, Western McKinney.
00:01:22
Um and lastly, tile Adams, and I'm sure there are more players.
00:01:26
But those were the ones that stood out to me.
00:01:27
Girl took a stance or justice for George, so I think that was really cool of them to use their platform.
00:01:34
Um, what are your thoughts on everything about that? It's a great thing to see.
00:01:38
As you said, some players did it.
00:01:40
You also seem, saw that team pictures with Liverpool and the rest of the people who did that, my soul basica the Turkish league. They did, actually.
00:01:49
GF with their players.
00:01:50
That's so nice to see.
00:01:52
Hopefully this just gets people to start opening up and listening.
00:01:55
And that's just the biggest thing we can all do right now is just listen and put our differences aside and listen.
00:02:02
Yeah, no, I'm on the same boat and I think it's great that they use their platforms else.
00:02:06
I mean, they have thousands of thousands of people following them, so if they stay silent, I mean, the rest of the world isn't gonna respond either.
00:02:14
But enough talk about that.
00:02:15
I know the world is consumed by that, but we just want to make a quick note or we're proud of our soccer players, soccer fans, soccer teams, taking the right stands and stuff like that, but to get into it.
00:02:26
So just a little recap of the leaks that air coming up this month.
00:02:30
Um, so La Liga starts June 11th.
00:02:33
The Premier League will be back June 17.
00:02:35
Um, and the serial will be back June 20th.
00:02:38
Um, for the Champions League, there's no update, but they are talking about a possible return in August.
00:02:45
Personally, for me, I like how they're leaving.
00:02:47
It kind of open ended rather than just closing it out immediately.
00:02:52
Just because we saw in France they shut it down immediately, Um, and gave P S G the title on that Created some, uh, not necessarily chaos, but discussion for teams in relegation and the Champions League and Europa League spots.
00:03:08
Any updates from the U.
00:03:09
S.
00:03:10
And then the last Rex? Yeah, before we get into them, alas, updates it's gonna be I'm real curious to see what the French leaks and the what the French teams do for the Champions League since they finished their season.
00:03:22
So that's one thing I've been keeping my eye out this whole time is trying to see what they're going to dio.
00:03:28
When the MLS We had great news yesterday, Ah, the players and the owners finally agreed.
00:03:34
They signed that labor contract with this huge.
00:03:37
There's still no set dates, but I know it's not called that Disney Cup or not officially yet, but that's what I'm referring to it as it sounds like it's going to be a tournament in Orlando that kicks off the season, and from the things I read, it looks like we'll get home games later on.
00:03:54
Um, it really just depends when they decide on these states for the Disney Cup, because season usually ends from a lesson October early November.
00:04:03
And we all know in the East Coast it gets cold around that time so they don't have the luxury like other teams do play indoors.
00:04:10
So we could probably see 15 game season, probably Max for the MLS.
00:04:16
Given that we have, Ari had two or three played, so we'll keep you updated on those dates, but nothing huge as of yet.
00:04:23
Yeah, and I think some some soccer like you said 15 games.
00:04:28
Also, everyone would want to see a full length season, but I guess something's better than nothing.
00:04:33
Just cause I know other sports such as MLB.
00:04:36
They're struggling to get their dates and times sets.
00:04:40
And there's some consideration that there'll be no baseball this season.
00:04:43
Um, some really glad that the MLS is for the fans and for the people in the safety, Um, getting some soccer out there for everyone.
00:04:51
Yeah, I definitely hoping that the MLS comes back as soon as possible, but, like you said, we got LA legal back next week.
00:04:57
Then we got the PL in Syria within the next two, so we'll get to stop strictly talking about the German league as much as we fall in love, Licit will definitely be good to get soccer around the rest of Europe going.
00:05:11
Yeah, I agree.
00:05:12
And each of those leagues all have their own, um, drama.
00:05:15
Just how the Bundesliga had the race between Dorfman and Bayern, which we kind of see the end towards each of their own leagues, have their own little either Champions League relegation or title battles.
00:05:26
So excited to have him coming back.
00:05:30
Yes, so with the pl, all the all the players were tested on Monday and there is only one positive results, so that's a huge, huge win for us.
00:05:40
We hope that it keeps staying that way.
00:05:42
Uh, I would say Look may not have it that way or odds, but that's a good first start.
00:05:48
And then for which I found strange because the ruinously get do not do this.
00:05:53
But on the large stake matches what they're calling them in the Premier League.
00:05:57
They're actually only played at neutral site venues rather than the home teams are where the home cities are.
00:06:02
So when City plays Liverpool, that's not going to be at the home field.
00:06:07
There's five other matches listed as well.
00:06:09
I'm not gonna rattle through each one just because that's going to get a little tedious.
00:06:13
But one of the biggest ones that I saw was an any game in which Liverpool can clinch the title.
00:06:19
That's gonna have to be at a neutral site.
00:06:21
Uh, they're more worried about fans congregating out of it and end the police force.
00:06:26
That's gonna have to be needed.
00:06:28
So it's kind of a shame that when Liverpool finally gets it, and if that match were to be at home, Ah, they can't celebrate So that's a little shoes for them.
00:06:37
Yeah, but like you mentioned, it's for the safety.
00:06:40
Especially some of the matches that are listed are absolutely crazy ones.
00:06:45
I think one of matches listed was Everton vs Liverpool.
00:06:48
And then if you if you guys don't know that's Merseyside Darby, they're very close to each other in proximity, and that one is always a crazy match.
00:06:58
So I could see why.
00:06:59
Um, doing stuff like that and I don't know if you're recently saw, but I believe that primarily is also following the Bundesliga.
00:07:06
Um, and they're doing five substitutes as well.
00:07:09
Yeah.
00:07:10
Um, so I just want a shadow air mark zero quick.
00:07:14
Thank you for that tip, but yeah, that's strange, but I was reading There's a nice article on Fivethirtyeight.
00:07:20
If you guys aren't familiar with that website, it's more ****ytically based.
00:07:23
They were studying how much the German teams are actually using subs and they're not using it as much as they projected or predicted.
00:07:32
Some teams air still sticking with the three.
00:07:35
There's only been four clubs so far that utilized five subs in each of their match.
00:07:39
So, um, it's definitely something to look out for in Wolfsburg is the lowest team to be using their subs.
00:07:45
On average, they're only subbing 2.
00:07:47
92 times per game.
00:07:50
So they're still right at that mark that was allowed beforehand.
00:07:53
Pull Mint, Frankfurt or the two I remember off the top of my head who have used five subs in every match.
00:07:59
So, um, there's that.
00:08:01
There's been no rhyme or reason if that's gonna make you win or lose or not.
00:08:05
But I just thought that was something interesting where once they opened it up, not every team's taking advantage of it.
00:08:10
Yeah, but I think it's tough.
00:08:12
I mean, you play all season with three subs.
00:08:15
You're in this system, you know, substitutes like what? Men.
00:08:19
You're gonna go in and now you're tossed with this new curveball of trying just five.
00:08:24
Um, so I mean, if it works for some team that it doesn't work for some teams.
00:08:27
And I think we mentioned that before, uh, that matches actually started that we treated this as like a whole new season with whole new special rules and everything like that.
00:08:37
So that's just one of the things that people after adjust to Yes.
00:08:41
So a J you were quick to send me this info.
00:08:44
We got huge transfer news today.
00:08:47
Basically official.
00:08:48
I wouldn't I wouldn't say right at home yet.
00:08:51
But let me hear.
00:08:52
Uh, let me hear what you got.
00:08:55
Well, this was reported.
00:08:56
I saw rumor speculating this morning, but if you guys don't follow this general in his name's Fabricio Romero Ron mano a mano your town, you go out, you have been telling.
00:09:08
Boy has to help me out with that one.
00:09:10
Um, but if you don't follow him on Twitter or Instagram social media, um, he's basically like the soccer go to transfer.
00:09:18
Um, not necessarily confirmation because there's no confirmation until the team's announce it, But he's definitely the next best option.
00:09:26
Eso he announced that team over in her from our RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga is ready to sign with Chelsea until June 2025 for 55 million euros.
00:09:38
Why is that huge? There's another player on the market was looking to come to England.
00:09:44
You, as mayor may not know him.
00:09:46
His name's Jadon Sancho, the other big club in contention with him.
00:09:51
So one club in contention was all see United were looking for a right winger were dot actually work dying for a right winger.
00:09:58
Let me crash that one.
00:09:59
I'm the second club was Chelsea.
00:10:02
Um, but now, since Chelsea are making this big transfer, it seems like they're kind of withdrawing their name from the Sancho race.
00:10:10
And as a united fan, that gives me so much hope and positivity moving forward that we're going to splash the cash on this gentleman.
00:10:18
However, in previous years I have been disappointed with United transfer Ah, windows.
00:10:25
So I do like to keep core, sort of like 5% hope.
00:10:28
But this is something that just gets nice, my own a lot.
00:10:31
Before we even get into that, I was super surprised.
00:10:34
You said Fabrizio perfectly.
00:10:37
And then you messed up with three easier part.
00:10:40
But yeah, if you've been If you haven't been watching where he's second in the league with goals, Uh, and just behind Lewandowski, who's going 1st 3rd straight golden boots.
00:10:49
So you can't give him that much slack.
00:10:51
But it's a huge move for Chelsea because they're coming off the band from the transfer ban and now they got some nice players up top of Timmy Abraham, and I'm Pulis it as well.
00:11:02
So if they're adding Warner up there, I know missing other guys on the Chelsea squad.
00:11:07
But, uh, that's definitely a huge move for them.
00:11:10
And let's see if Warner can keep up this production in the Bundesliga.
00:11:14
That and if he when he does move to the Premier League.
00:11:18
Yeah, and that's this is a huge move for Chelsea.
00:11:21
They were very young squad.
00:11:23
I believe Burner is about 24 politicas 21.
00:11:27
Um, you have a lot of young guys Mason Mount, Um so they're planning for the future as well as the mouth because they're quality in the present and will continue to grow.
00:11:38
But we'll see if Chelsea turned into one of those clubs where these players develop at Chelsea and they make the move to a bigger club.
00:11:45
A real Madrid Barcelona, Um, or if they're here, long term, a multi burner aside until 2025.
00:11:52
So that that is kind of a long time.
00:11:54
But we'll see in the coming years if, sir So now, the transition over to the Bundesliga, where we're going to focus the rest of the show just as a quick recap from since the restart or the return.
00:12:06
Whatever you would like to call it, there's been 18 road winds, which is close to trust.
00:12:10
10 units, gambling wise.
00:12:12
Nine home winds, which is close them. Linus.
00:12:15
20 units have been 10 draws, which is close to four units.
00:12:19
So the draws have definitely taken a step back.
00:12:22
The home winds just keep getting worse and worse.
00:12:25
And then you're 18.
00:12:26
Road wins.
00:12:27
Seems to be where your money's at to get into the matches from the weekend.
00:12:32
Um, we always like the highlight, the doorman and Byron games.
00:12:36
But just because of how big of a blowout say where, and we're gonna throw clawed back into this one, each of them winning by three plus goals, if not more.
00:12:44
Not much to say.
00:12:45
Um, the biggest thing with Dorfman was them to being tied 00 than ending the Game six.
00:12:50
The one so that was huge.
00:12:52
The other teams just took care of business.
00:12:55
So you have any takes on those three squads? Just, I mean, doorman is ridiculous.
00:13:00
Hardly.
00:13:01
I mean, we talk about over sitting at like 2.
00:13:03
53 goals for total for the match.
00:13:07
Then doorman go out and score six and 1/2.
00:13:10
Um, and it was the second half, like you mentioned, but I'm in.
00:13:14
I don't know if it's just like a flick of the switch or just everything just starts clicking a good halftime talk.
00:13:20
Um, whatever it is, I mean, don't probably keep on steamrolling.
00:13:25
Yes, sir.
00:13:26
Um, the game that hunger and get into in Ah, gonna highlight is the Werder Bremen Frankfurt match from yesterday.
00:13:34
Um, I was I got to watch the whole match once again.
00:13:37
00 Halftime.
00:13:39
Maybe That's been a trend in some of the matches, but ah, definitely started out slow.
00:13:44
Um, once Frankfurt got that header to get it into kind of broken open and that also hit the over of the 2.5.
00:13:51
Um, Bremen was on a nice little hot streak before then and they finally came back down the earth.
00:13:57
They're still fighting out that relegation battle and Frankfurt.
00:14:00
I mean, they're just a team of up and down, so look nice.
00:14:03
One week get smacked the other week.
00:14:05
So they've been struggling to find consistency where Bremen finally lost their consistency last week.
00:14:12
Bremen does have a match this week.
00:14:14
Earth.
00:14:15
They played on Wednesday cause each of these squads were a game behind in the table.
00:14:18
So now everyone's caught up and has five matches left.
00:14:22
So these guys have shorter weeks and given with how many matches they played, their going on five matches within 22 22 days, which is very strange for clubs to do it at the top.
00:14:34
You'll see that more in the England Championship or a league one where they'll have all these crazy matches, but definitely something to look at for fatigue.
00:14:42
We said Frankfurt's been using their stops, so maybe thats helping them, but could be looking rougher.
00:14:47
Bremen this weekend.
00:14:48
The fatigue might finally hit them.
00:14:51
Yeah, and I think you mentioned it in our chap for we have a chat for soccer guys that speak about it.
00:14:58
And one thing Rex, because he does have experience as an athlete, is the fatigue will catch up, especially coming off a big break and coming into this so we'll see what teams are affected. More.
00:15:11
What teams aren't affected as much.
00:15:13
Um, and just didn't last point on a recap is I mean, I think, uh, you guys have noticed Ah, I'm a big hurt.
00:15:21
The thin they've grown on me each and every single week.
00:15:24
Last week they were able to take care of business.
00:15:26
Um, and we had a Friday night match last week in which Byerly, recusing also took care of business.
00:15:32
That was a close match.
00:15:34
However, they sit in the fourth spot, which is the Champions League spot for the Bundesliga.
00:15:39
Um, so the title race is, I would say, basically over.
00:15:43
So if you are looking for a good race to look at, will be the race for the fourth spot, which is between GLAAD back later, accused in an R p R B life seeing, which is in third and they're not too far off.
00:15:57
Yeah, that's definitely your race toe watch.
00:15:59
Definitely something to go where those three teams air.
00:16:02
Great Lip Sync finally didn't draw again this weekend, so they helped them come out a little bit.
00:16:07
Masters are running joke because they're the best because they are one of the top clubs, but they just draw too much.
00:16:14
I just want to shout out black and red real quick.
00:16:16
Thank you for that tip.
00:16:18
Um, if any of you guys want to comment in the Facebook on SportsCastr, if you want to hear our thoughts on matches or just want to chime in and let us know what you think about the German squads definitely let us know even any other random stocker question you got.
00:16:31
We're here to answer it for you.
00:16:33
We'll take a break from our segment, stand to your questions.
00:16:37
But now let's just get into our match previews of the week and a J Let's start us off with which one you got tomorrow.
00:16:43
What? The only match tomorrow.
00:16:45
Yeah, so it is nice, but the Bundesliga does have some Friday matches.
00:16:50
I know we talked about how they don't like Monday Night football, but Friday and early start for the weekend here for us in the U. S.
00:16:58
Um, but its heavy Freiburg versus Gladbach.
00:17:00
This is an eight versus four metre.
00:17:02
Um, this is one where glaad back, um, they are sitting level and forth with labour, accused on points there, unbeaten on the road since the restart, which is a huge thing cause Rex mentioned before that home teams are struggling a lot.
00:17:17
Um Do you have any takes on this match? Other than that there way teams have been crushing it.
00:17:24
But my biggest thing I'm taking out of it is, and something we've talked about in previous episodes is Freiberg has a solid defense.
00:17:30
Um, they have only allowed four first half goals in the four matches of since there are four total, even if it's them scoring or not, so their first halfs have been under.
00:17:42
So one of the bets I did look at was to see this first half, but it's a juice that under 1.
00:17:47
5 at minus 1 30 So once I saw that minus 1 30 it's not worth it, but Freiburg haven't won at home sensory start and have you haven't scored yet at home.
00:17:56
So that's the one big part where that Gladbach line is hanging and it looks enticing.
00:18:02
But, um, we saw Freiberg go toe to toe with Leipzig so definitely a squad to not look out for.
00:18:09
But with them being an East and they're kind of stuck in no man's land right now, they're not going to get relegated.
00:18:15
They're probably gonna have to win three other five remaining matches and get Wolfsburg's to go in a little bit of a free fall.
00:18:21
So they might just be looking the play it safe where glad boxer and come out firing because they don't want to fall until you Europa League.
00:18:29
Yeah, and I think you're now that on the head that they're kind of in that no man's land.
00:18:34
But I think I took that approach.
00:18:37
Um, I think it was the weekend before where we talked about doorman.
00:18:40
They just lost to Bayern.
00:18:42
Um, they don't really have much to play for, cause they're They're solid in that Champions League spot, and they're out of the title race.
00:18:49
Um, and we looked at Okay, can Powder Morgan come in? Maybe shocked the world.
00:18:54
And obviously we know they got destroyed by Dorman.
00:18:57
So we'll see how this one plays out tomorrow.
00:19:00
Yeah, that's definitely going to be a good match to watch.
00:19:02
A few guys were bored at work, Definitely throw on Fox sports to because, of course, they can't give it the Fox sports one.
00:19:08
You guys all know my feelings on that from last episode, but we lock did get let go the other day So maybe maybe Fox was listening to us are They didn't renew his contract completely and let him go, but yeah, they So I've been given the boon this league on FS one.
00:19:25
Unless it's, uh, doorman are Byron mid week and then you'll get it on the early Saturday mornings.
00:19:32
Uh, we're in transition into the Saturday matches.
00:19:35
What we have as the game of the weekend.
00:19:37
You got your one squad and Byron versus the team, and fifth and lever accuse in, um, I'm going a j going to death on this one.
00:19:45
The biggest thing I saw this match is we We were probably going to see goals.
00:19:49
Both of these teams are good, but we also thought that when we thought Iron was going to play Thorman we're going to see goals, and Byron's defense is just on another level right now, So it's gonna be interesting to see if they can hold live accuse in goaless or to one goal and the biggest or the other thing I've seen.
00:20:07
Byron has only won once in their last five years because they do that home in homes and their trips.
00:20:12
The lever accused and said they've tied and the rest of those or lost.
00:20:16
So it'll be interesting to see because Byron's listed around minus 200 right now, if they'll get this road win.
00:20:24
Yeah, this is I mean, I looked at the matches coming up this weekend.
00:20:28
I was so excited to see this one.
00:20:30
Um, and Rex mentioned it.
00:20:32
This is definitely the match of the weekend.
00:20:34
Um, for me, it's can labour accusing kind of.
00:20:38
This is where they test the waters to see if they're able to run with the big dogs.
00:20:42
I mean, if you put in a good match, see what's going on, um, and see if the next year you could make a run for the title and the other thing is, is every week we talked.
00:20:50
Talk about this stuff for later accusing chi.
00:20:53
Harvard's is This is time to shine.
00:20:55
Time to go big.
00:20:57
Um, those are the two things I'll be looking for this weekend.
00:21:00
I know.
00:21:01
Rex mentioned it that Byron's defense has been another level.
00:21:05
They had a clean sheet against doorman.
00:21:07
Um, granted, they did give up a lot of chances.
00:21:11
So we'll see in this one if labour accused and can capitalize on those chances.
00:21:15
Um, that fired Munich.
00:21:17
Do give him, um, and this match.
00:21:20
I looked extensively, um, for at a betting angle.
00:21:24
When I first looked at the match, I was leaning the over.
00:21:29
Um well, doing more research.
00:21:32
I like the under a bit more.
00:21:33
I could see this being where buying score water troubles and keep a clean sheet.
00:21:38
Um, I also did look into both teams to score, but you guys off the state to the end to see some official place for us.
00:21:45
Um, stick to land.
00:21:47
Yes, sir.
00:21:48
So this one's at 9 30 eastern on Saturdays.
00:21:51
It definitely set your alarm clock.
00:21:52
So watch this one.
00:21:53
It's one of the last top matches that will have whereby and really test themselves because they kind of have a cakewalk after the rest of this.
00:22:01
So I think this could be one of the last time.
00:22:03
Say, see all their top dollars coming out together and we might start to see them move in their depth.
00:22:10
And let's see if Davies can keep this goal shirt going from left.
00:22:14
Baca He's been hot.
00:22:15
And just in the attack, that's his style.
00:22:18
So being able to see the next match.
00:22:21
We got his doorman versed.
00:22:22
Hertha, Um, we This is a great match because both of these teams love offense.
00:22:28
Hurt has been the hottest team like our other than Byron has been the hottest team to come out of the break.
00:22:34
Now they're getting the first test of the of the league since the restart.
00:22:40
The one thing I did see in this match is Doorman has one at home for their matches except for the one against Bayern, obviously, but they're averaging 3.
00:22:48
21 goals per game and only conceding close, the one which is the lowest in the league at home.
00:22:54
So let's see if this opponent hurt.
00:22:56
The offense can bring it toe doorman, and it doesn't look like will be without Holland again this weekend.
00:23:03
He was out last weekend.
00:23:04
Looks like they're going to arrest him again.
00:23:06
But, um, when Holland was out, it gave Sancho the chance to come back in.
00:23:11
It was his first time he started Ah, the previous three matches or four matches.
00:23:16
He came off the bench.
00:23:17
Eso he finally clocked over 45 minutes, played the entire game, netted a hat trick was against patter born, but definitely good signs to show Sancho seems to be back in form and back fit.
00:23:29
Yeah.
00:23:30
And is this a 12 30 match Eastern time? Yes.
00:23:34
Yes.
00:23:35
So are Saturdays packed with back to back? Good matches.
00:23:38
So if you're looking for a good soccer this weekend, this is your weekend to watch for my take on this one.
00:23:45
Um, I am a big hurt.
00:23:47
The ven every week they keep on growing on me.
00:23:50
Um, this week, I hope they continue to grow on me.
00:23:53
Just a quick note when I'm watching both teams matches just because doorman place during the back, Sometimes they lack some aerial, um, really firepower while on the other side Hurt the have some.
00:24:06
They have the aerial firepower.
00:24:08
So I really look for her to Berlin to either put in a lot of crosses work.
00:24:12
The corners were to set pieces.
00:24:14
Um, really explored that whole that doorman has, um and I know I have a plan. This match.
00:24:21
Um What? Do you have any thoughts on this matter, Rex? Yeah, I definitely have a playas.
00:24:26
Well, this time they're not correlating, so we kind of different sides to stay, stay for the end, to see what we're locking in.
00:24:34
We're previewing one more match and then we'll get into our best bet.
00:24:37
So you guys don't have to wait much longer.
00:24:39
Um, Sunday we got some decent matches.
00:24:42
Nothing that sticks out too much.
00:24:44
But the match I wanted to cover, which has the most at stake is Bremen verse Wolfsburg.
00:24:49
Eso Bremen does have all these back to back games coming on and Wolfsburg's in the Europa spot, the last one neighbor four point cushion.
00:24:57
But Bremen has been calling their way out of the relegation spot.
00:25:01
They get a win here in Dusseldorf in Mainz, lose still, technically, leapfrog both of them and be securely out.
00:25:07
So there's a lot at stake for Bremen at this game.
00:25:10
But at the same time, if Wolfsburg can get a win here, they can really start to project themselves higher.
00:25:16
So this is a game that has high importance for Booth.
00:25:19
Just as a fun fact.
00:25:20
Bremen has been in the Bundesliga since 1982 so there's stuff, a lot of pride in this club, making sure that they remain in here and not drop down to Buddhist Leo one.
00:25:30
But if you want to stay in the Bundesliga, you gotta win your home matches.
00:25:34
And that's not what Bremen has done this season.
00:25:37
They only have one win in their 14 home matches.
00:25:41
They have three draws and 10 losses for six overall points.
00:25:44
So that's not what you want to see from the home club and definitely wide there in 17th place as of now, um, and even more to go against the grain where, uh, it's if this is this is where I kind of like to see the other squad and kind of like Wolfsburg in this one.
00:25:59
Wolfsburg hasn't Beacon Bremen since 2015 regardless, if it was home where away, they have six losses and two draws in that span.
00:26:07
So definitely look for Wolfsburg to come out hungry and get some pride with a team plank for pride.
00:26:13
So this is your sneaky good game to watch on Sunday.
00:26:17
Yeah, like you mentioned before.
00:26:19
I think they're playing more than just pride.
00:26:22
Um, I mean, not getting relegated is a huge thing just for the club's support.
00:26:27
Their loyalty, I'm also financials.
00:26:29
I'm guessing that will have a big difference on them and for Wolfsburg if they could solidify that Europa League spot, um, and relieve some pressure down the stretch.
00:26:37
I think I'll be huge for both clubs.
00:26:39
Um, looking over at this one before at our notes.
00:26:43
One thing I did lean was Wolfsburg.
00:26:46
Their money lines.
00:26:47
It's that +105 So you get just a nice little plus money on that one.
00:26:54
So if you guys are looking for some action on Sunday, that is something that I did lean.
00:26:59
Yeah, it's definitely there.
00:27:00
If I saw that up in the plus one twenties, um, I definitely would have fired on the wall spurt.
00:27:06
But this is a match where you could potentially bet live.
00:27:08
Feel it out how it's going.
00:27:10
But since there's no Monday Night Football top into our best bets for this weekend, Um, last weekend I had the +11 in one steak because I doubled up on the over 10.
00:27:22
275 and the over three in that Wolfsburg match and then s o that one.
00:27:28
That was 1/2 cash I didn't go for.
00:27:30
I did lose half a unit on it.
00:27:32
And then on Saturday, I picked the only away team to lose off money line if you would have picked any other money line last Saturday of the always got they didn't come through so nice.
00:27:43
A little +11 and one price of playing weekend.
00:27:46
How do you know another very sad weekend on my behalf owing to So my record sits at three and five total If you guys have been following us, I started off our return of the business is legal pretty hot.
00:28:01
Started off three and won.
00:28:03
The last two weekends have been both river sweeps, but this week I'm looking to get back on track.
00:28:09
Um, last weekend I took Shaka Pickem, which lost on and then hurt the Augsburg over, which also lost just a quick note.
00:28:18
So I think Rex, help Rex help me out with this one.
00:28:22
Um, so I'm not the one with expected goals too much.
00:28:25
That's not my forte.
00:28:27
My forte's watching Going with my gut or rexes a lot into ****ytics.
00:28:33
So what? The expected goals.
00:28:36
But the picks either should have drawn for the pickup, which working out the money back or the over when which hurt, then offered mash the over and expected goals.
00:28:46
So one thing we like to say here is I mean, we picked the right picks were just on the wrong.
00:28:52
A result this time.
00:28:53
That gives me a lot of confidence for both of us.
00:28:55
Heading not only this week for the Bundesliga, but the rest of soccer leagues moving forward because we are on the right track.
00:29:02
We are picking the right things.
00:29:04
But, I mean, it's just sometimes sports.
00:29:06
You just don't know what's gonna happen.
00:29:08
Yeah, I rather be in the right soccer mindset, then getting lucky.
00:29:12
So time for us to get jump into our ones this week.
00:29:16
My first play of the week is we've been talking about that Hertha match.
00:29:20
Um, just with the offense potential here, we've seen it from both clubs.
00:29:25
I'm gonna hit that over 3.5.
00:29:28
Even I don't like getting that 0.
00:29:30
5 on the three, but I want to lock it in because I do think we definitely see four goals.
00:29:36
I see.
00:29:38
I could see a 22 draw here is the most realistic one, or is what I think is gonna happen.
00:29:44
Um, but we'll see what happens where I think I can give you guys some good advice is, and what I'm gonna be looking to do to is weight the 1st 15 minutes.
00:29:55
If if they're still 00 you'll get away.
00:29:58
Better number in a way.
00:29:59
Better price at this over we've seen in the Bundesliga that thes second halfs have been rampant with goals, and maybe it's the fatigue.
00:30:07
But, um, as the more time goes down, obviously, and there's no goals being scored is going to drop.
00:30:12
The's clubs might just feel feel each other out for the 1st 5 minutes of the match.
00:30:17
See what their strategy is.
00:30:19
There's not a lot of times where you see a goal in the 1st 5 minutes of the match.
00:30:23
So if you want to give that few minutes and play alive, I will definitely not knock it.
00:30:28
I may even be on it, but grand take the hurt.
00:30:30
The doorman over 3.
00:30:31
5 even.
00:30:33
Yeah, and I love the point that Rex makes.
00:30:36
Um, not many people will tell you to wait a couple of minutes for the live over by mean soccer's my 90 minutes, but if you wait those 1st 10 15 minutes Also, you'll feel the match.
00:30:50
And if you see gold or just gonna pour in from the start than, um, maybe you look somewhere else.
00:30:55
But if you see a slow start coming, um, you'll definitely get a lot better lines.
00:31:00
A great pro tip from Rex on that one.
00:31:03
Um, however, for me, I also have a play in this game.
00:31:06
Um, this one, it's I'm either gonna cash very easily or I'm gonna walk into next week with my head down in shame.
00:31:15
Um, this week I'm taking her Thurl in plus 1.
00:31:18
5 unless it's at minus 1 14 on five times.
00:31:23
The reason I say this is I mean, we all know Norman is a very prolific team.
00:31:27
Um, they will one week scores the rope, and the next week score six in the second half.
00:31:33
Um, but I like the former things coming into Great forearm.
00:31:38
Good manager.
00:31:39
They're not switching up the team too much, So the team is getting good chemistry with each other.
00:31:44
Um, and I look for them.
00:31:46
They are the awaiting, And we are.
00:31:48
We know how way teens have been faring in the Bundesliga, and I'm just hoping they lose no less than one.
00:31:55
Yes, definitely.
00:31:56
Ah, definitely a good pick there.
00:31:58
I went against Ortmann in the first week, but that was a good, but that was back in Chalky, which has been regrettable for every match so far.
00:32:06
If you've been back in shellfish, so it's one of those ones where it might not be pretty.
00:32:11
Definitely not going to be fun, but it is what it is.
00:32:15
Um, so those are our first to place.
00:32:19
Ages only got one of you for this week.
00:32:21
I'm going to come at you with another money line.
00:32:23
Um, I always like to play the plus dollars on the money line, So I'm gonna go with the Hoffan Hein at plus 1 50 They're going up against Dusseldorf.
00:32:31
Uh, I know Hoffenheim's perfectly in like that.
00:32:35
No man's zone, but, uh, Dusseldorf is not one of the better home clubs to this side.
00:32:41
They haven't won at home since the break has returned.
00:32:44
So I think this trends going to keep going often time wants to move up a little bit in the standings are no.
00:32:50
Oftentimes in 7 30 I forgot I had the home thing up.
00:32:54
Oftentimes in seventh.
00:32:55
They're tied with Wolfsburg for six.
00:32:57
So they're not in the no man's own.
00:32:58
They're gonna want this win.
00:32:59
Dusseldorf is down there in that area.
00:33:01
So I really like Hoffenheim to come out and get a 2 to win here on us on Saturday.
00:33:08
Yeah, and I think there's a great value on that.
00:33:12
I mean, plus 1 50 for a team who is fighting for a European spot.
00:33:17
Um, I think that's a great pick.
00:33:20
I obviously I see Rex Rex is notes as we work together before the stream.
00:33:26
I'm looking at that pic What? I looked over and myself to come double check his work against If you want to say I also like to pick a lot So good work.
00:33:34
Um, And like Rex mentioned for me, I just have one pick this week.
00:33:38
Um, we're not here to four sticks for you guys.
00:33:41
We genuinely put in the time and effort to give our best picks.
00:33:45
There's nothing else that really stopped About two.
00:33:48
I did mention if you want some Sunday action, a Wolfsburg money line +105 That is something I leaned, but for official recordkeeping sakes um, only play this week is hurt.
00:34:00
The Berlin plus 1.
00:34:01
5 goals.
00:34:03
Yep.
00:34:04
And I got Hoffenheim plus 1 50 I got the hurt.
00:34:06
The doorman over 3.5.
00:34:09
Play that over.
00:34:10
If the 1st 10 minutes or 15 minute it's still nil nil, you'll get a great number at it where we definitely will see three goals in this game.
00:34:17
Well, that's going to wrap up our show for this week.
00:34:20
Thank you for all you guys have tuned in.
00:34:22
We really appreciate you guys who do check in with us and watch.
00:34:25
I always appreciate the guys who stay throughout the whole show If you even just want to come in in the last 10 to 15 minutes once we get into the match previews and you know your soccernews great time to jump in My name's Rex.
00:34:37
You can follow me on Twitter.
00:34:38
It's at my SportsCastr name or it's our east on their score.
00:34:42
Easy with easy.
00:34:43
If you're watching us on Facebook.
00:34:45
Yeah.
00:34:46
For me? Yes.
00:34:47
You comment, Uh, Twitter.
00:34:49
Definitely most active.
00:34:50
Be at a underscore v a D u kul.
00:34:54
Um come at me with anything you guys want to love, to talk all sports on anything going else on in the world.
00:35:01
Yes, sir.
00:35:02
And as usual are they are soccer show is brought to you from the breakdown.
00:35:06
I always give them a file.
00:35:07
Give them a shadow if you want and have a good weekend.
00:35:10
I hope you guys all cash your bets.
00:35:12
If you're betting like a J and I Let's go.

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