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00:00:00
YouTube and SportsCastr.
00:00:02
7 p.
00:00:03
m.
00:00:04
East Coast Time Tuesday, March 24th Gonna talk about the March 25th since it starts at 2 a.m.
00:00:08
The China and Korean Lee.
00:00:09
Tonight, two of the legal legend spots 50 k up for grabs.
00:00:12
So the tide for the highest in the first place prize we've had so far, there's going to be 100 Gator first price pool that ends up getting in here in Sunday couple days had questions about what happens after that.
00:00:25
It's just normal season mid April, when the regular season goes still and they play playoffs and in the summer league starts.
00:00:30
So you're gonna have legal agents for the remainder of the summer.
00:00:33
But if you're watching the replay, there's already a video breakdown for this late.
00:00:37
This is a live stream aspect and component that I plan to do 1 to 2 times per week for legal legend stuff Here on YouTube, Twitch and SportsCastr feel free to follow on whatever platform you were watching on somebody.
00:00:47
It's mainly a Q and A standpoint.
00:00:50
It's the track line movements.
00:00:51
Let people know where those air at.
00:00:52
I do have projections if you were interested, though they're available on Patron with my player pulls, all that is already uploaded on Pedro will change.
00:00:59
If there's any news, I'm updating everything on my end in terms of just line movements, nothing major to point out yet.
00:01:06
There's been some line movements, of course, nothing that is completely out of the ordinary.
00:01:10
I do believe that this line has moved to, um, this is like minus.
00:01:15
I believe that to move the decent amount now, So you're seeing a lot of line movements.
00:01:19
Mainly, the favorites are becoming bigger favorites, and that's about it.
00:01:22
So far in the sleep, none of the line movements have moved towards the underdog so far today.
00:01:26
So what? That just tells us.
00:01:27
What kind of said it earlier on the video is that I probably don't have any interest in any of these underdogs tonight.
00:01:32
You can get there.
00:01:33
Of course, there's a couple of slight underdogs, but most of these light on the dogs have become even larger on the dogs.
00:01:38
Most of the big favorites and advertise favorites have become even bigger favorites based on the line movement, day of line movement and as lock approaches, which we have a good amount of hours.
00:01:46
Until then, that's the main thing they're gonna be tracking at this point to see if there's any edges that come out a little bit later on.
00:01:51
At this point, it doesn't seem like that.
00:01:53
As yesterday you saw es and S n assuming gaming, you ended up getting the win out of them.
00:01:57
And today was a very good day for a lot of people over on Patron as well.
00:02:00
But it was a situation where their line moved us so much like they came from being a decent size underdog to almost minus money as lock approach.
00:02:08
They were getting very close to like a +104 is what they closed that What's going? Everybody's out.
00:02:12
Sal doesn't know the lpo.
00:02:13
Yo, eagle, you do not know the O.
00:02:15
P.
00:02:16
O.
00:02:17
I could assure you that I do sell any news for the lineups for the L C.
00:02:19
K. Sometimes they post him.
00:02:21
You could check out people over on Twitter, but for the most part, you're not gonna get lineups until, like, minutes before lock.
00:02:26
If you're lucky.
00:02:27
Um, what is yellow legal legends.
00:02:29
Hey, So I was gonna chase legalizing Jess.
00:02:31
All right, So I'm finding any questions at this point.
00:02:35
Obviously you want to when you get these bigger states, especially six games right now with the Korean league South Korea coming back, you're gonna have just the opportunity to not have to take stances on underdog.
00:02:44
So I mean, you can you'll get lower ownership on them.
00:02:47
I'm not really seeing any spots that stand out as obviously trying to get the win upside.
00:02:50
And we have six favorites that are decent sized favorites and four than being huge favorites.
00:02:53
I think it's a situation where I don't really have to try too much that drafting spacing is very tough today.
00:02:57
Yeah, I think so.
00:02:58
I've been following, uh, I've been following LPs and you were in the womb.
00:03:03
All right, so continue to follow, or you can leave the chat if you want to try and be facetious in the chat.
00:03:08
Drafting ****ing is very tough today.
00:03:10
Yeah, I think I think it's tight and make sense of them.
00:03:13
There's 2 to 3 huge favorites.
00:03:14
You're gonna get priced up players in situations where they're going to win.
00:03:19
It's just a matter of do they actually pay off their salary if they clean sweep it to o er.
00:03:23
I mean from blacks has been pretty easily at this point. Genji.
00:03:26
You're seeing them become a much larger favorite from when they open that like a minus 9 10 favorite.
00:03:31
At this point, a lot of these projected to kind of clean sweep it.
00:03:34
OMG is going to be the spot that I think is very interesting.
00:03:36
Huge favorite, of course, and has the best match up on the sleep by a wide margin against just victory five today in Victory five.
00:03:43
What you're going to get out of victory five is a situation where they just have five more deaths per matchup than anybody else in the sleep.
00:03:51
They only win 7.
00:03:52
7% of the matchups, 8% around it up s oh, it's a great spot for home G.
00:03:57
The problem with them is that there's not much upside when it comes to when they win.
00:04:03
They don't have just sealing performances, but they have probably the best match of that you could possibly have.
00:04:07
So when it comes to projections, they're going to great Ah, pretty nicely.
00:04:10
The other downside and it's It's not as much of a downside if you're getting the under 30 minute win bonus.
00:04:15
If your own G Things game is not gonna last long.
00:04:17
The two quickest, um, shortest average game times on the slate are the teams that are facing each other today in home G and B five.
00:04:25
So it's not going to be lasting that long.
00:04:27
It quick finishes from G, and you just get quick losses for victory.
00:04:30
Five.
00:04:36
All right, it's any sports game and see sports.
00:04:40
It's the only one that draftkings currently, we'll see if counterstrike or anything else comes up at the only one that currently is lasted their stack home G and fund plex.
00:04:48
I think that seems fine to me.
00:04:49
So is there a way for starters, usually on Twitter? If you're going to be finding it on Twitter, Um, but that's probably your best bet.
00:04:57
You can look up some spots, but your main bed just looking on Twitter for lineups.
00:05:00
And it's probably just LPL in some L C k that you'll get the starting lineups for I went heavier and Genji, you think Genji is fine right now.
00:05:08
Fun plaques 10 G O.
00:05:09
M G and J D Gaming is my four highest own Foreman's.
00:05:14
I got a lot of home Jean my crunch.
00:05:15
I think that makes sense.
00:05:17
Most projections should probably pop them, since their magic is going to be just that good in terms of like, they're not gonna be a A fantastic Kills per game team.
00:05:24
Overall, they're gonna obviously just being a great spot for a win here, just the match of that.
00:05:28
They have this fantastic bone.
00:05:30
It comes to just overall kills per game, not a team that stands out, and that's what you get.
00:05:34
Like their averages, even in victories, aren't that fantastic.
00:05:36
But you're getting just fed here the best match, if you possibly can.
00:05:40
So the thinking there, at least projection wise, is that it's going to pan out for, ah bunch of players on OMG that are just not priced to where they potentially could be today.
00:05:49
Ceiling wise, is this televised? Chris Palmer.
00:05:51
It's on twitch and YouTube.
00:05:53
You stream it there.
00:05:54
I'm sure other sites have it, too, but you can just get it there.
00:05:56
Sal signed up for your mailing list.
00:05:57
Super impressed with the F s insist book.
00:05:59
Really cool and good work.
00:06:00
Thanks.
00:06:01
Nice man.
00:06:02
Yeah, there's there's free strategy, guys down below.
00:06:03
That's what that is.
00:06:04
Um Took a lot of time to write those.
00:06:05
Hopefully it helps all of you, Sal been following since your car video on X Men.
00:06:10
Even I think.
00:06:11
Anyways, I tweeted earlier.
00:06:13
For starters, do they get at least get the out symbols? No, probably not. You're not gonna know.
00:06:18
For the most part, you're not gonna know.
00:06:19
You might get the lineups before, um, the L C K.
00:06:23
Games locked, but there's no late swap, so you're probably not gonna know.
00:06:29
I don't think I'm the scores enough. They usually don't.
00:06:31
But the idea here is that the match is going to get them.
00:06:33
So I think that's what makes him the most appealing spot on the sleep.
00:06:36
So the line movement that the line movements that you've been seeing is just in the favor of all the favorites today you're getting home.
00:06:41
Jeez.
00:06:42
Line moving.
00:06:43
A decent amount.
00:06:44
They opened around like a minus 5 85 down to a minus 7 14 So I have no interest in going against them.
00:06:47
Either way, Genji just becomes even more appealing as they went from, like a minus 9 10 favorites all the way down to a minus, um, minus one minus 1111 100 favorites.
00:06:58
So huge favorite there.
00:06:59
I mean, hi.
00:07:00
It's 1% on the slate if you're just talking about how many games that they actually get to tons of stuff.
00:07:04
So I think John G.
00:07:05
E Sports does stand out.
00:07:06
It's not the type of ceiling performance that complex Phoenix as, but it's also not the same price points.
00:07:10
It's also not have the same ownership on it.
00:07:13
So those are the four that I think stand out.
00:07:15
I'll probably have less on **** one gaming.
00:07:17
I probably a little bit less on Dragon Ex Still going to have all the favorites? Probably not gonna be getting much of, if any of these underdogs tonight's If you wanna play contrarian, you can.
00:07:24
I did it last night. I've done it a good amount.
00:07:27
Just tonight.
00:07:28
I don't really feel the need to.
00:07:29
There's obviously teams Katie roaster, toppy Sports top sports were probably the team, if any, that I would be getting to, um, I've had them pop up in crunches right now for Stax.
00:07:37
They're the only one that's getting through based on my projections.
00:07:40
Again, if you're interested there.
00:07:41
Lincoln Patron.
00:07:42
But as of right now, the top sports, probably the team that I get to it.
00:07:45
If anything, I do like the anti gaming on the opposite side of that.
00:07:47
So obviously, don't be stacking J D gaming in top EA Sports.
00:07:51
You don't be doing that.
00:07:56
I meant Christmas Eve.
00:07:57
I could be wrong, but I know yet my first ever envy a video a TTE this point a year and 1/2 ago, for defense wise at least, was in a car because my house was completely filled in every room.
00:08:05
I couldn't make one, but I wanted to make sure to get it out.
00:08:06
That's the exact same day.
00:08:08
I think it was Christmas Day in the morning, the exact same day that I had 1000 subscribers.
00:08:12
Any major change in the Vegas lines? Brian, did you pick up? Did you get in the time? From what I just said, I just went over the Vegas out, so I wanna make sure that you got in in time.
00:08:19
What about Dragon? Ex Highest Elke say kill team for size, death rate team? You mean they're going to be something that I end up getting, too? It's just the problem is like you're looking at a situation where relative to the sleep, we don't really care.
00:08:32
We're not.
00:08:33
We're not breaking it up between the Koreans and the, um, just be China lead right now because they're on the same sleep.
00:08:38
So it's not like we have to separate them relative to the entire slate.
00:08:41
They're going to come in with, like, the fifth or sixth eyes kills per game.
00:08:43
I mean, that's fine.
00:08:44
They're good size favorite, so they should probably hit at that average or above the least amount of the time.
00:08:48
I think they're fine.
00:08:49
They're just not one that I'm getting a ton of at this point, mainly because of their players as an entire teams upside.
00:08:53
I think there's more so like two men stacks that you can get there.
00:08:56
I'm running exclusively four threes and four to ones tonight.
00:09:01
Yeah, so I'm only doing five lines in legal legend six games late.
00:09:06
Should they all be 331 line ups? I know, I'm I'm not really running 33 ones.
00:09:11
I think it's the third best right now to be running, But I still think that there's just so much people, drawstring people who were out. I've had so many messages.
00:09:18
I took a zero yesterday, so it doesn't happen in other leagues.
00:09:21
You know who's playing.
00:09:22
You don't think zero's um so I still think we're in the very early stages that it doesn't pay to be cute yet like 33 ones, I think will be more optimal in like a month when everybody's running four threes and four to ones.
00:09:33
I think a lot of people are running for threes right now, but not a lot are running them optimally.
00:09:37
One, not a lot are getting different in their four threes if they're even running them and sometimes not even starting the proper players.
00:09:42
So I am not experimenting with 33 ones at this point.
00:09:46
Um, it's for two ones and, uh, four threes from a 33 ones of their finances.
00:09:51
You're limiting your upside at that point, in my opinion, more times than not, and I don't think you have to limit that upside at this point.
00:09:57
Seem like the green steam score more from everything I've seen.
00:10:00
The Korean teams actually score less because they played a much slower pace of play in the past.
00:10:08
That was at the Green Team score.
00:10:09
More so, like at my entire database, that goes back like 5 to 6 years.
00:10:12
They do.
00:10:13
But as the years have gone on it, it's kind of flopped to the O.
00:10:15
P.
00:10:16
L.
00:10:17
Now what's your thoughts on the match fixing from last night? I was kicked off the team.
00:10:19
Yeah, I saw some report about it.
00:10:20
I mean, I'm really any thoughts on.
00:10:23
There's really not much that I can.
00:10:25
I have no control over that.
00:10:26
I can't control the past.
00:10:27
I really don't know.
00:10:28
That's kind of standpoint.
00:10:29
A lot of things.
00:10:30
I don't really have any thoughts, especially since I guess you could argue that that affected me.
00:10:33
But there's no way of telling.
00:10:36
Hopefully, we don't have an underdog blow everything today, um, an underdog.
00:10:40
Everything today in terms of winning.
00:10:42
Yeah. I mean, I think toppy sports We're gonna go for another dog.
00:10:44
They're probably the team that I would get to the most favored eyes kills per game on the slate right now, they also die a lot.
00:10:48
So that's why I like J D gaming.
00:10:49
But just in general, like top sports individual players, if they ended up knocking it off for a victory today, and I would expect this to go the full three rounds more so than not, um, if they were to knock it off, you're gonna get really good price points on players who do have high upsides.
00:11:07
Do you think the sharks have caught up with legal legends? I feel finishing in the green is getting harder.
00:11:10
Um, as of right now, no, Um, I assume you mean professionals.
00:11:14
There's just not a lot playing there, slowly getting into it.
00:11:16
But, I mean, it's just Brick and also know that I've been studying that are playing optimally.
00:11:19
There's a lot of guys playing often playing optimally and actually in the top 10 finishing often.
00:11:24
You could still play optimally in 1 to 2 months when everybody jumps on this because there's every single night, $100,000 price pools and people are like, Oh, I don't actually have to know that much about this and I'll have to do is correlate lineups and projections and that simple then, Yeah, I think that it's going to be a lot harder, but as of right now, it's a It's a print print money machine, especially.
00:11:42
You're entering a lot of lineups.
00:11:44
If you're 1 50 maxing and you are playing optimally right now, you will.
00:11:49
Probably.
00:11:50
It will be very rare that you're not in the running for a takedown at least once a week, and that's like at the very minimum and you go on 50 Max.
00:11:57
Now that I think they had it at 1 50 max quarter quarter entry.
00:12:02
Hey, so how can I contact you? I have some questions about the Google spreadsheet.
00:12:05
Austin more? That's Twitter at Savitri GFS.
00:12:07
I get a ton of questions a day, so I'll try and look at it and longest appropriates.
00:12:12
Answer.
00:12:13
I will answer it.
00:12:14
Try and help where I can, but, um, a lot of answers.
00:12:16
A lot of questions I have about spreadsheets is how do you make your projections? How do you get the spreadsheet together? I mean, there's a lot.
00:12:22
I mean, I taught myself based on discourses and stuff online.
00:12:25
It's a It's a very in depth thing.
00:12:27
It's not a simple two word answer, but try and help her again.
00:12:32
I'm talking about like how EA Sports did the other night over i g Yeah, he sports was the number two team on the slate in terms of just win a loss upside I g was number one.
00:12:40
Um, Gandhiji got taken.
00:12:42
Now they're like, minus 3 85 Favorite.
00:12:45
If I think I sort of started, I just avoid that position for now, I think that's fair.
00:12:51
What's good, Steven? What's going on? Yes.
00:12:54
I mean, I'm just keep tracking the lines.
00:12:56
You have a ton of time until the game starts.
00:12:58
Seven more hours to AM but 50 Cater 1st 2nd and we've seen that it's gonna be the It's going to be the standard at this point.
00:13:04
In my opinion, the weekends late will start to be six figures.
00:13:06
And then, if the's continue to feel very soon, which they have been, you're gonna get 100 Kate of first prize pools every single day.
00:13:12
Um, and a lot of the times those will be duped, especially if they're only, like, four or five games late, everybody stacking the exact same team.
00:13:18
So at this point.
00:13:20
I think the best underdog spot is probably toppy sports.
00:13:23
If you wanted to go there.
00:13:24
Other than that, I'm gonna be sticking with a probably most ownership not in any order but to Jenny Sports own G Fund plex and J D Gaming.
00:13:33
How do you feel about fading the LCK since L.
00:13:35
P.
00:13:36
A.
00:13:37
Likes to just run it down? Yeah.
00:13:38
I mean, it's it's probably not a thing that I'm going to do.
00:13:41
There's only two.
00:13:42
Uh, there's three LP on There's three, um, L C K.
00:13:47
So I don't want to be fading.
00:13:48
The half of it's late, right? I do just naturally, like the LPL, the China legal little bit more just because of the match ups for the team today.
00:13:55
Um, but I'm not going to be fading the LCK like there's I mean, there's statistics and projections to it, and they match up a couple of these teams very well and very similarly with some of the other teams in the LPL.
00:14:06
So, um, on on a higher note, you're going to see just a slower pace of play.
00:14:11
But when you break down into specific teams, it's an average right, so they're still going to Pete, be teams out of the out liars.
00:14:15
And you have some of those on this late tonight, so definitely not fitting the whole thing.
00:14:21
Um, did you have spurs and pistons and the ultimate bracket? I had the piston, so I already lost.
00:14:25
Um, I have the Pistons winning the first round.
00:14:27
Um, I have the bracket somewhere. Right over here.
00:14:32
I have the Pistons winning the first round, so I lost that.
00:14:35
But I have the 2012 2013 heat winning the whole thing.
00:14:50
Um, so Brian just asked about line movement? Yeah, line movement.
00:14:53
Jenny Sports has seen a big, really big line movement in the favor.
00:14:55
So far, every single favorite seemed positive line movement.
00:14:58
More, most of them from plexus has stayed the same at minus 14.
00:15:01
29.
00:15:02
But you've seen positive line movement for Dragon X for OMG and Jenny Sports, J J D.
00:15:06
Gaming. A scene, a slight line movement.
00:15:08
None of the other dogs have seen positive line movement.
00:15:10
So I just tells you that people are betting the underdogs in people who have influence on the line or not betting the underdogs tonight.
00:15:15
If there was one too big, I would be taking probably toppy sports.
00:15:20
Um, just look at some of the 80 carries.
00:15:23
It's going very interesting tonight because there's very expensive plays, like if you're running Optimizers, if you're using my projections If Europe A drum, um, those are when you plug them in, you're gonna see interesting things like the captain options that you end up getting tonight.
00:15:37
I think that they're intriguing and I think I'm not.
00:15:39
Not a lot of people are going to be getting them.
00:15:41
It depends on your rules as well, right? Like I have a ton of rules and some groups in their exclusions, things like that.
00:15:45
But randomness.
00:15:47
You should be using his well on this, in my opinion, to some extent, just to try and get a little bit more unique lineups.
00:15:51
But yeah, I think that the way they price this late tonight in terms of having really 80 carry middling and juggler being really mean, you're jugglers, air insanely expensive tonight, and it makes sense when there's just a lot more teams in this late, like you have four guys over seven K four guys over 7200 most of us like you might get one guy popping into the seven K range.
00:16:10
So it makes it really difficult to try and get a ton of upside please into your lineups.
00:16:13
Which just means that if you're gonna be Ross during a four man stack of very expensive team, you probably have to go just with a cheap to one somewhere else.
00:16:21
Or if you get lucky to find a three man stack of a favorite that is not going to be highly owned after that.
00:16:29
If you aren't playing a DC in the Captain, what is another good option? I think anything.
00:16:32
I mean, Midlanders are gonna score a lot, but 80 sees the best.
00:16:36
Is the high scoring player on teams that went.
00:16:37
That's why their price like that, though, So I'm fine running everything.
00:16:40
Um, I think I'm very similar to Brick from the article of shooting on Awesome.
00:16:44
Oh, that I'll run a lot of.
00:16:47
I'll run everything in the cabin spot except the team position, so I'll run.
00:16:49
Top liners are one support our own jugglers.
00:16:52
Um, you're usually going to get the most salary Lee from a support many top later, so it'll be easier to fit in, but I'll run them in.
00:16:58
Their people think that it's not optimal.
00:17:00
It surely is upto.
00:17:01
You could look back at the last week of sleeps, and four of those 7 47 states over the last seven states have been a support or a top later.
00:17:08
Now it's a small sample.
00:17:09
Of course, that doesn't mean that 50% of the time it's going to be one of those positions.
00:17:12
But it's it's it's much more, more.
00:17:14
It happens much more than people actually think now, the optimal way to play.
00:17:17
If there wasn't a lot of people stacking and you were playing cash would be to have an 80 Carrie just jammed in there in your top layer spot.
00:17:24
Not worry too much as much about stacking, but we're trying to be 99.
00:17:28
9% of the field and take it down, so you have to have your lines to be correlating.
00:17:32
If there is a proven way that says statistically, your best chance of winning is, too.
00:17:36
I have four players and three players on the team or 42 and one right that statistically telling you that then to disobey those rules, in my opinion, especially when the contents are so soft right now is me pretty much saying that.
00:17:48
No, I'd rather take a more likely chance to lose if you look at it that way.
00:17:52
Um, and I don't really like if I If I do, if I do put three people tonight and you probably will if you win or two people, Um, I'm completely fine doing that because I think that this is the more optimal way to play.
00:18:04
Having groups is not great in other sports.
00:18:06
It's limiting the dupes in this sport if you're only splitting with one person that is as good as a solo in other sports.
00:18:11
At this point, I looked on the bottom and wrote a bullet for the odds I use wherever this site is.
00:18:18
They update pretty much every second odds Portal top three captain says Dave Aaron Rodgers, Aaron Rodgers and Aaron Rodgers.
00:18:30
It depends on the team you're playing.
00:18:32
Um, there's no like there's no straightforward captains in legal legends.
00:18:37
It just depends on the team because you want to stack.
00:18:38
And if you're stacking, obviously salary starts to come into play, so it depends on the team's gonna stack.
00:18:43
It depends on the other team.
00:18:44
You want to stay with them? Because I mean the obvious, like top three captains are gonna be.
00:18:47
I mean, l w X Loken and probably deaf to just the highest scoring players in the slate.
00:18:51
More than likely, but their teams probably don't correlate together nicely or don't fit in together.
00:18:57
Just 80 carry score The most points when they win by, I mean sometimes a lot, but it's so so.
00:19:02
Ownership and salaries.
00:19:03
The biggest one scored 6 36 with that. Nice Nice.
00:19:06
Yeah.
00:19:07
Scored a a lot of huge scores this morning in the six fifties was nice.
00:19:10
What is the best stack correlations you found 43 and 4 to 1 at a ton of you sports.
00:19:15
That matching pivoted off of them because of some advice.
00:19:18
That was probably one of the worst defense days I've ever had.
00:19:20
Um, that match and pivoted off? Yeah, I'm not sure.
00:19:24
The name Joe ah entered that.
00:19:26
My question.
00:19:29
Yes.
00:19:30
It seems like a fun slate. Gonna keep watching it.
00:19:32
It's a difficult slate to just build automatic line up, so I think that makes it a little bit more appealing like it's not like last night, where there is a pretty clear on the dog that had upside, just based on line movement, a pretty clear favorite that had even more upside based online movement.
00:19:46
Um, whereas tonight you just have a ton of teams and it's a lot of new teams to a lot of people who just started playing like myself two weeks ago, and I've had a lot of early success.
00:19:55
So it'll be interesting to see how construction start to go With a new league introduced with bigger price pools.
00:20:02
Consistently filling these matches is good as well.
00:20:05
We all know it's about the atoms.
00:20:06
Fly Eagles fly.
00:20:08
It's going on, Dave.
00:20:09
Dave Eagles got some people pretty cool.
00:20:11
Um, favorite seemed to just dominate and the games ends fast.
00:20:14
Most of the time, the favorites are gonna dominate.
00:20:16
Like somebody said, Invictus Gaming lost the other night to evil geniuses.
00:20:19
I believe e g yeah, that's gonna happen.
00:20:22
And evil geniuses was a good team.
00:20:23
They were like a minus 3 85 favorite Invictus gaming, and they got believe swept to Oh, that's gonna happen like you're going to see these bigger favorites lose.
00:20:31
But when they're six, if there's 3 to 6 games tonight on average now, there's gonna be, like six games tonight because of the Korean League.
00:20:37
Um, maybe one underdog wins tonight.
00:20:40
Maybe like there is such huge favorites.
00:20:42
Yet you have two teams that are three teams that are money.
00:20:44
700 better favors.
00:20:45
That's just those almost auto wins.
00:20:48
Teach Mana.
00:20:49
Dougie did well in my captain's about last night. Thanks. Oh, yeah.
00:20:51
Teach me yoga teacher, Ma.
00:20:52
Yeah, about 15% was talking to Steve and Discord Chat earlier. Had about 15%.
00:20:56
Steve, I like 40 so he probably great.
00:20:58
Um, 15% of teacher ma is a two game slate, so the percentage is gonna be higher on then.
00:21:03
About 25% of you coming jamming their ah, there, 80 carriers.
00:21:09
Those are my two highest own captains.
00:21:10
And then after that, some players from, um, the S inside.
00:21:14
You rather have the games that last longer for fantasy, right? Not necessarily. Obviously.
00:21:19
So you want the quote unquote bloodbaths? Um, you want to have Tony killed from both sides, and then I actually get the winning side of that but it's not always the case.
00:21:28
It depends on the team like fun flexes just sweeping.
00:21:30
Go look at fun flexes recent games, though, win every single game.
00:21:32
They probably tonight, too.
00:21:33
Oh, and they're so dominant.
00:21:35
And they get so many kills per game, 16.
00:21:37
9 by far the most in this league by over three on the nose.
00:21:41
They're just dominating that there.
00:21:43
Best players are still dropping 100 points, 80 points, 90 points and just to round.
00:21:46
So it really depends on the specific team.
00:21:48
You're going to notice the pricing based on that, but generally out of those like mid range like slider favorite, smaller favorites like J D gaming verse top toppy sports.
00:21:56
Yeah, it would be nicer if it went three rounds, because JD Gaming is probably going to come out and just be overly dominant.
00:22:01
They have the upside to do that, but probably not going to.
00:22:04
So the answer is a lot of things is just it depends depends on the specific team I did.
00:22:11
Two different legal legends tournament seems bested.
00:22:13
A stack cheapest team that will win.
00:22:16
Um, yeah, cheapest team that will win usually means that there are the most at risk for an upset, but it depends on the team.
00:22:24
Cheapest team to win is good as like a secondary stack.
00:22:27
I guess you can say like you're three men, two men stacks.
00:22:30
Um, yeah.
00:22:32
I mean, that's the goal is to try and find the balance of went upside.
00:22:34
Scoring upside in victories like a team that has a chief salaries.
00:22:38
They might not correlate well, as a full team staff, like there might be just one guy.
00:22:41
The 80 carrier is a monster on the team, but then you're looking around.
00:22:44
You don't see anything else that their support player, even in victories or their toppling or even a victory, does nothing right? Jugglers very hit or miss their mid liners.
00:22:50
Okay, now you're starting to stack a team that is very fluky even when they win, Um, so, like in those situations, I'll start to two man, stack those teams, and that's based on rules and fantasy cruncher and some other optimizers that I like to just kind of check with.
00:23:04
And then also just based on whatever projections that you have, we'll give you a specific teams so I can't get off DSR stack thoughts.
00:23:11
It's a dragon egg.
00:23:12
Zack. I don't have any problem with them.
00:23:14
They're not a team that's popping up as much for me.
00:23:16
I'm getting some, um, I'm gonna have stacks of all the favorites.
00:23:19
Probably toppy sports.
00:23:20
I'll probably be running seven different stacks tonight, but obviously I say seven.
00:23:25
That's a pretty large number. Seven different teams type of stacks.
00:23:27
That's a large number, but it's going to be scaled down, right? Like toppy sport. There's another dog.
00:23:31
I'm not goingto as much Dragon X in Danwon gaming as of right now.
00:23:35
The two stacks and I'm getting less of out of all the favorites.
00:23:39
Um, but yeah, I don't think there's anything wrong.
00:23:41
Plex didn't start yet.
00:23:42
Flex did not start. That was announced.
00:23:44
Teacher Mom was starting.
00:23:48
I don't know if Ty was the one who I think you're the one who commented yesterday on my video.
00:23:52
That place was starting.
00:23:53
That was not right.
00:23:54
You could find the lineups on Twitter for the LPL.
00:23:56
They come out, Um, and also teacher might have been starting the previous game.
00:24:02
You like stacking for three or do you like some other combo? 43 is the most optimal.
00:24:05
It's one that most people are going to dio for two ones or find 33 ones.
00:24:08
I know people are running, but I'm not.
00:24:10
I've experimented with 33 ones.
00:24:12
I've been running them honoree Lesser on a lesser scale, but probably gonna run 4 to 143 snake.
00:24:18
It's just so optimal.
00:24:19
Like until I start not making money and having one upside literally went outside like three states now finishing top 10 splitting it.
00:24:27
Not Bengt yet, But second, split it like six way second place three days ago.
00:24:32
Um, until that doesn't start happening and I start to lose an edge because everybody's doing it.
00:24:37
Then I'll start to look into it.
00:24:38
And I'm tracking trends on how many people are doing what and also won't break in what they're doing.
00:24:42
So once I start seeing other people move in obvious trans changing out strange.
00:24:46
But I don't need to get cute right now if you can.
00:24:49
Printing money is a is a stretch, but if you can have a really good opportunity to win, and you need to win because I think you're not gonna survive if you're playing the big GPS, and I'm playing everything in the tournament in the Lobbies.
00:25:01
But if you're playing just the big GPS, you're just not going to survive.
00:25:04
If that's all you are playing and not winning because of the pale structures right now, are these d K tournaments getting bigger now that the other sports have been out? Yes, ridiculously bigger.
00:25:12
They started at around $5000.
00:25:14
I mean, they started, like, $3000 1st then five, then 10 then 2025.
00:25:17
And now they're gonna be about 50 K night.
00:25:19
There's 100 k to first on Sunday.
00:25:20
Yes, they're going to be the biggest thing.
00:25:22
By all accounts, this is not leaving for the entire summer in the Spring league for the Legends.
00:25:26
I'm sure we'll get some other EA sports potentially coming as well.
00:25:31
You have a favorite position to play one offs.
00:25:32
Yeah, the team spot.
00:25:33
Um, well, there still be a three game slate just for LPL? No, I believe there is just a two game sleep.
00:25:39
Um, is there a two game later slate, or am I wrong on that? I leave it to the two game later slate after the six games late.
00:25:44
Thanks out. Great info. I just started the F S 2019.
00:25:46
Always trying alone.
00:25:47
Now it's five out of five days green. Nice.
00:25:50
I was any time anybody writes l a well still think laugh out loud.
00:25:53
But the legends now it's only Leah.
00:25:56
Legends.
00:25:57
Five out of five days. Nice job.
00:25:59
Everything about stacking Jen and the Rx.
00:26:01
Yeah, I have no problems.
00:26:02
I mean, they're too decent size favorites.
00:26:03
Um, one's a huge favorite.
00:26:06
I don't have any problems with it.
00:26:11
Robbie Anderson friends to sleep next year.
00:26:12
Maybe this court linker is that only subs subs patrons, But yeah, this score is only gonna be patrons.
00:26:18
Um, and it depends on the tier patrons because I don't want, like, I want to be responsible for 300 people posting in there.
00:26:25
So it is.
00:26:26
I guess you could say there's a cap to it.
00:26:28
It is exclusive.
00:26:29
I think there's Hall of Fame spots open right now, but probably not something that many people want to invest in there.
00:26:33
A pandemic, by the way, my two singles are on the two top favorite mons That's there yet you came at 4 30 That's what I thought thanks them.
00:26:40
If I'm just one, if I'm just a one or two entry guide said I do G p p or cash G p p.
00:26:46
And just stick to single entries and three max.
00:26:49
You can throw it if you want to have the one upside.
00:26:50
You could throw your lineup for single insurer or three max into the big tournament tonight for 50 cater first.
00:26:55
It is a terrible pale structure for people on during one or two lineups, especially when you factor in that myself.
00:27:00
Awesome old brick.
00:27:01
Other people are entering 150 lineups in this to your one.
00:27:04
You just not gonna win.
00:27:05
Um, not use.
00:27:06
I'm not singling you out specifically just in general, like my 1st 2 years playing defense.
00:27:11
My 1st 2 years of college like you're like, think about how long you been playing these big things.
00:27:15
If you're entering 10 20 okay, you're starting to get your better odds.
00:27:18
But stick the single entry and three max.
00:27:20
I'm primarily a single entry and three max player.
00:27:21
But since there's so much money to be had for probably only the next few weeks in legal agents until people start really playing it optimally.
00:27:28
Um, I'm gonna be continuing to Max.
00:27:30
Energies started for the l p l O C K.
00:27:34
Yeah, LPL started drought.
00:27:35
Lck or not, I was like Aaron Rodgers here. I love it.
00:27:40
Well, they keep illegal items on De que when real sports comeback legal agent has always been on de que, um, They will not keep these five schools this big now, but it's always been on the case.
00:27:48
Seven years in the f s.
00:27:49
First time being a new about a sport.
00:27:50
What game do they even play? Legal agents? I have no clue how to make a lineup.
00:27:54
Besides, don't pick opponents.
00:27:56
Yes, you just wanna stack bigger favorites.
00:27:59
Um, 80 carries and support correlate a little bit putting a team in the cabin spots.
00:28:03
Not great.
00:28:05
Yeah, the game's actually fun to watch.
00:28:07
I think yesterday or two whenever I did the last dream, um, I was saying how just awful it is to wife sees things like two days ago.
00:28:13
I watched it this morning, and it's actually entertaining is probably because there's just no other sports to be watching, but in obviously having money on it helps thoughts on Lamar Jackson tonight.
00:28:23
Funny, I don't think Amber Rogers as much if he lost the font is funny.
00:28:27
I know you probably have talked multiple times, but can you talk strategy, which, with picking spots like team Support Top? Yeah, I don't think specific spots.
00:28:35
Um, it's just stacks for me.
00:28:37
So I'm running.
00:28:38
I'm running like 1 50 So I'm looking at each individual team, and I'm handpicking them because there's different ways to build lineups and you shouldn't just run one crunch and take what that gives you, cause that's not a good idea.
00:28:46
But, yeah, I'm not looking at specific positions, really.
00:28:50
I'm looking at Stax and how to get different there, seeing if any underdogs line movement is changing throughout the day, which right now there's none but individual positions unless I'm choosing a one off from a positional spot, which he's gonna happen if I'm playing a lot of lines. But not often.
00:29:06
Yeah, individual strategy is not much.
00:29:08
I mean, if you want to stack your support with your Auntie Carrie, there is a correlation.
00:29:10
There is running a 3211 Okay.
00:29:13
And a big slate.
00:29:14
If they're 11 or huge favorites.
00:29:16
No, I'm not gonna go there.
00:29:18
I mean, people are going to win with that line of construction.
00:29:20
3211 But the odds of you winning with that line of construction are way less than you running a 43 or 4 to 1, and not enough people are doing it to make it not optimal.
00:29:29
So just trying to think about it.
00:29:31
If I told you and I'm gonna use flat numbers because these are not the right numbers, these extreme numbers, but Scientology, You had a again very extreme numbers.
00:29:38
10% chance of winning if you're on the 43 and you have a 8% chance of winning if you run a 4 to 1 and if you want a 3311 you have a 2% chance of winning.
00:29:46
You should never be choosing the 2% chance of winning around like ever.
00:29:49
It's just not often, um, when you have a five times in a four times more likely chance winning if you just stack of a different way.
00:29:54
So and that's for me looking back at past winners, that's for me.
00:29:57
Looking back at top 10 finishes, top 10 lines.
00:30:00
Every single man, you're going to have a four man stacking them, so there's no way I'm getting away from four man stacks.
00:30:04
I've played around in smaller cities with 331 and it becomes more optimal in only two games because well, in scoring and some of the correlation stuff starts not matter as much as just top scores overall.
00:30:14
But, yeah, I'm and he's like That's above two games.
00:30:17
I'm going to be running exclusively for man stacks and everything.
00:30:20
One of my lines.
00:30:22
And then after that, it's either three men stack already.
00:30:24
Two and one are the starting lineups effort tonight for the LPL, not for the L C K.
00:30:28
I love watching these, especially when your team starts to flash or whatever it is, they drop bombs and your score goes up, right? Yeah.
00:30:33
You watch this like four guys just get killed in the middle of your thoughts on the Hopkins trained.
00:30:38
So Dave Jones actually made a video on the Hopkin trade.
00:30:39
You check that out.
00:30:44
I tried to actually glad machine.
00:30:45
It's a hard watch because of the terminology and lingo. Yeah, it's fair.
00:30:48
I mean, I had on you Who? Your favorite teams in the sleep, The six favorites and then top EA Sports is an underdog.
00:30:54
Looks fine in the cabin spot.
00:30:56
What percentage used? Each position, Um, depends on the sleep.
00:31:01
Depends on the size of the sleep On the six games late.
00:31:03
Like this is gonna be pretty spread out.
00:31:05
Um, each position I don't really keep track of, like, I'll be getting, like, 6% of a ton of different guys on this big of a slate in the captain's spot.
00:31:13
So it'll be It'll be pretty clear across the board.
00:31:16
I'm gonna get a lot of supports.
00:31:17
A lot of 80 carries a lot of meds.
00:31:18
People think that running anything other than a Navy carrier mid in the captain's spot is not optimal.
00:31:23
They do score a lot of points, but they are $2000 more expensive and 3000 sometimes and other players on their team.
00:31:28
So that also is factored in there.
00:31:30
I have had a lot of success.
00:31:31
My best night shopping, second place couple days ago, was with a support in the garden spot.
00:31:35
I love game going tonight? Yes, seems fine.
00:31:37
Some exposure to Gim bung do you have? Um, I'd have to pull up my fancy country, which would be on screen because I don't have this.
00:31:47
I would say it's gonna be somewhere between two and 4% probably because I have that for almost every single player in the captain's spot.
00:31:55
What's the most salary leave on the table? I really keep track of it.
00:31:58
If you have $1000 looked over and you like your lineup, that's fine.
00:32:00
If you have none left over, you better be really unique in your stacks.
00:32:02
Otherwise, you're probably going to be splitting with a lot of money.
00:32:05
But if you have no money left over and you're only playing in a 50 person field, it doesn't matter as much.
00:32:08
If you're putting a line up into the big G P P.
00:32:10
With no money left over, I just know that you're not winning $50,000 a night.
00:32:13
You might split it six ways and walk away with a smooth 10 K, which is fine, Um, but you're limiting your upside so more times than I.
00:32:21
If you're playing in a huge large field GDP, if I'm 100 150 lines yet, some will have.
00:32:26
Well, I guess I'll say that I'm gonna have no lineup that have no money left over.
00:32:29
I'm gonna put a cap of 49 900 we'll see how that works for the next couple of days.
00:32:33
I've been doing it lately.
00:32:34
Seems to be working fine.
00:32:35
So then you're not leaving any money on the table, which just lowers your chance of Dubuque.
00:32:38
A line ups Just giant illegal items, but **** suiting choked. Second game.
00:32:42
Um, yeah.
00:32:43
Watch that.
00:32:45
Today.
00:32:46
Um, it's better that it went the third round.
00:32:47
Just more points.
00:32:48
So I wasn't too concerned about it, but yeah, I saw the roughly what? 72 kills? Uh, it's a first at first, other than I learned.
00:32:54
And now found when you love they still wonder.
00:32:56
Yeah, they wanted the third.
00:32:57
I would have cash if it was, too.
00:32:58
Oh, um, because the other team started to score points.
00:33:01
That's fair.
00:33:06
All right.
00:33:07
I think I'm gonna bounce.
00:33:08
Went for about 40 minutes.
00:33:09
So before you leave with the subscriber really 250 away from 20,000 that's pretty cool. Again.
00:33:14
If you're watching this on the replay, still you check out patron or if you're watching right now, like I got paid.
00:33:17
China fueled the projections every single day for every single league.
00:33:20
So projecting 3 to 4 leagues gonna be on a daily basis once the weekend leagues come back.
00:33:25
But those are our patron subscribing for me on Twitter.
00:33:27
And then again, if you are watching the replay or live right now, there was an official breakdown that went up this morning.
00:33:32
So if you want less of a a chatter in the interaction a Q and May style.
00:33:37
There is just a very direct breakdown of this late.
00:33:40
The only things that have changed since then. Our one.
00:33:42
I've made projections, so I feel a little bit more confident.
00:33:44
Some other teams and to some of the line movements, have changed the kindest reference, this video.
00:33:48
And then also, if you have Pedro on those updated sheets, when you build your line until you stop starting with the A D and support because they correlate not in every line up.
00:33:56
It's nice because they correlate if it works out.
00:33:58
But I'm not setting a rule to automatically make them in the same line up.
00:34:01
Thanks, Vanya.
00:34:02
What a 411 stack work.
00:34:03
Not for me.
00:34:04
Because you have to predict four victories, and that's over the long run.
00:34:07
You're not going to be predicting four victories as much as you'll predict two or three.
00:34:09
And then it's just gonna come back to bite you.
00:34:12
Have a good day, Manya.
00:34:13
Use well.
00:34:14
Appreciate you, bro.
00:34:15
Uh, are you doing also more bracket? You haven't also my bracket.
00:34:17
I can't get I can't win the 10,000 Simon affiliate.
00:34:19
I do have a bracket filled out.
00:34:21
Thank you, Sal. Good luck.
00:34:23
Go get that 50.
00:34:24
I hope so.
00:34:25
Everybody have a great rest every night.
00:34:26
Subscribing before you go. Check out patron link down below.
00:34:28
If you do on those projections piece, that'll be back tomorrow.
00:34:30
Six games later, believe again.
00:34:31
See, then

LOL eSports 3/25 Picks DFS

60 Views
Sal Vetri @Sal

Transcript hideup

00:00:00
YouTube and SportsCastr.
00:00:02
7 p.
00:00:03
m.
00:00:04
East Coast Time Tuesday, March 24th Gonna talk about the March 25th since it starts at 2 a.m.
00:00:08
The China and Korean Lee.
00:00:09
Tonight, two of the legal legend spots 50 k up for grabs.
00:00:12
So the tide for the highest in the first place prize we've had so far, there's going to be 100 Gator first price pool that ends up getting in here in Sunday couple days had questions about what happens after that.
00:00:25
It's just normal season mid April, when the regular season goes still and they play playoffs and in the summer league starts.
00:00:30
So you're gonna have legal agents for the remainder of the summer.
00:00:33
But if you're watching the replay, there's already a video breakdown for this late.
00:00:37
This is a live stream aspect and component that I plan to do 1 to 2 times per week for legal legend stuff Here on YouTube, Twitch and SportsCastr feel free to follow on whatever platform you were watching on somebody.
00:00:47
It's mainly a Q and A standpoint.
00:00:50
It's the track line movements.
00:00:51
Let people know where those air at.
00:00:52
I do have projections if you were interested, though they're available on Patron with my player pulls, all that is already uploaded on Pedro will change.
00:00:59
If there's any news, I'm updating everything on my end in terms of just line movements, nothing major to point out yet.
00:01:06
There's been some line movements, of course, nothing that is completely out of the ordinary.
00:01:10
I do believe that this line has moved to, um, this is like minus.
00:01:15
I believe that to move the decent amount now, So you're seeing a lot of line movements.
00:01:19
Mainly, the favorites are becoming bigger favorites, and that's about it.
00:01:22
So far in the sleep, none of the line movements have moved towards the underdog so far today.
00:01:26
So what? That just tells us.
00:01:27
What kind of said it earlier on the video is that I probably don't have any interest in any of these underdogs tonight.
00:01:32
You can get there.
00:01:33
Of course, there's a couple of slight underdogs, but most of these light on the dogs have become even larger on the dogs.
00:01:38
Most of the big favorites and advertise favorites have become even bigger favorites based on the line movement, day of line movement and as lock approaches, which we have a good amount of hours.
00:01:46
Until then, that's the main thing they're gonna be tracking at this point to see if there's any edges that come out a little bit later on.
00:01:51
At this point, it doesn't seem like that.
00:01:53
As yesterday you saw es and S n assuming gaming, you ended up getting the win out of them.
00:01:57
And today was a very good day for a lot of people over on Patron as well.
00:02:00
But it was a situation where their line moved us so much like they came from being a decent size underdog to almost minus money as lock approach.
00:02:08
They were getting very close to like a +104 is what they closed that What's going? Everybody's out.
00:02:12
Sal doesn't know the lpo.
00:02:13
Yo, eagle, you do not know the O.
00:02:15
P.
00:02:16
O.
00:02:17
I could assure you that I do sell any news for the lineups for the L C.
00:02:19
K. Sometimes they post him.
00:02:21
You could check out people over on Twitter, but for the most part, you're not gonna get lineups until, like, minutes before lock.
00:02:26
If you're lucky.
00:02:27
Um, what is yellow legal legends.
00:02:29
Hey, So I was gonna chase legalizing Jess.
00:02:31
All right, So I'm finding any questions at this point.
00:02:35
Obviously you want to when you get these bigger states, especially six games right now with the Korean league South Korea coming back, you're gonna have just the opportunity to not have to take stances on underdog.
00:02:44
So I mean, you can you'll get lower ownership on them.
00:02:47
I'm not really seeing any spots that stand out as obviously trying to get the win upside.
00:02:50
And we have six favorites that are decent sized favorites and four than being huge favorites.
00:02:53
I think it's a situation where I don't really have to try too much that drafting spacing is very tough today.
00:02:57
Yeah, I think so.
00:02:58
I've been following, uh, I've been following LPs and you were in the womb.
00:03:03
All right, so continue to follow, or you can leave the chat if you want to try and be facetious in the chat.
00:03:08
Drafting ****ing is very tough today.
00:03:10
Yeah, I think I think it's tight and make sense of them.
00:03:13
There's 2 to 3 huge favorites.
00:03:14
You're gonna get priced up players in situations where they're going to win.
00:03:19
It's just a matter of do they actually pay off their salary if they clean sweep it to o er.
00:03:23
I mean from blacks has been pretty easily at this point. Genji.
00:03:26
You're seeing them become a much larger favorite from when they open that like a minus 9 10 favorite.
00:03:31
At this point, a lot of these projected to kind of clean sweep it.
00:03:34
OMG is going to be the spot that I think is very interesting.
00:03:36
Huge favorite, of course, and has the best match up on the sleep by a wide margin against just victory five today in Victory five.
00:03:43
What you're going to get out of victory five is a situation where they just have five more deaths per matchup than anybody else in the sleep.
00:03:51
They only win 7.
00:03:52
7% of the matchups, 8% around it up s oh, it's a great spot for home G.
00:03:57
The problem with them is that there's not much upside when it comes to when they win.
00:04:03
They don't have just sealing performances, but they have probably the best match of that you could possibly have.
00:04:07
So when it comes to projections, they're going to great Ah, pretty nicely.
00:04:10
The other downside and it's It's not as much of a downside if you're getting the under 30 minute win bonus.
00:04:15
If your own G Things game is not gonna last long.
00:04:17
The two quickest, um, shortest average game times on the slate are the teams that are facing each other today in home G and B five.
00:04:25
So it's not going to be lasting that long.
00:04:27
It quick finishes from G, and you just get quick losses for victory.
00:04:30
Five.
00:04:36
All right, it's any sports game and see sports.
00:04:40
It's the only one that draftkings currently, we'll see if counterstrike or anything else comes up at the only one that currently is lasted their stack home G and fund plex.
00:04:48
I think that seems fine to me.
00:04:49
So is there a way for starters, usually on Twitter? If you're going to be finding it on Twitter, Um, but that's probably your best bet.
00:04:57
You can look up some spots, but your main bed just looking on Twitter for lineups.
00:05:00
And it's probably just LPL in some L C k that you'll get the starting lineups for I went heavier and Genji, you think Genji is fine right now.
00:05:08
Fun plaques 10 G O.
00:05:09
M G and J D Gaming is my four highest own Foreman's.
00:05:14
I got a lot of home Jean my crunch.
00:05:15
I think that makes sense.
00:05:17
Most projections should probably pop them, since their magic is going to be just that good in terms of like, they're not gonna be a A fantastic Kills per game team.
00:05:24
Overall, they're gonna obviously just being a great spot for a win here, just the match of that.
00:05:28
They have this fantastic bone.
00:05:30
It comes to just overall kills per game, not a team that stands out, and that's what you get.
00:05:34
Like their averages, even in victories, aren't that fantastic.
00:05:36
But you're getting just fed here the best match, if you possibly can.
00:05:40
So the thinking there, at least projection wise, is that it's going to pan out for, ah bunch of players on OMG that are just not priced to where they potentially could be today.
00:05:49
Ceiling wise, is this televised? Chris Palmer.
00:05:51
It's on twitch and YouTube.
00:05:53
You stream it there.
00:05:54
I'm sure other sites have it, too, but you can just get it there.
00:05:56
Sal signed up for your mailing list.
00:05:57
Super impressed with the F s insist book.
00:05:59
Really cool and good work.
00:06:00
Thanks.
00:06:01
Nice man.
00:06:02
Yeah, there's there's free strategy, guys down below.
00:06:03
That's what that is.
00:06:04
Um Took a lot of time to write those.
00:06:05
Hopefully it helps all of you, Sal been following since your car video on X Men.
00:06:10
Even I think.
00:06:11
Anyways, I tweeted earlier.
00:06:13
For starters, do they get at least get the out symbols? No, probably not. You're not gonna know.
00:06:18
For the most part, you're not gonna know.
00:06:19
You might get the lineups before, um, the L C K.
00:06:23
Games locked, but there's no late swap, so you're probably not gonna know.
00:06:29
I don't think I'm the scores enough. They usually don't.
00:06:31
But the idea here is that the match is going to get them.
00:06:33
So I think that's what makes him the most appealing spot on the sleep.
00:06:36
So the line movement that the line movements that you've been seeing is just in the favor of all the favorites today you're getting home.
00:06:41
Jeez.
00:06:42
Line moving.
00:06:43
A decent amount.
00:06:44
They opened around like a minus 5 85 down to a minus 7 14 So I have no interest in going against them.
00:06:47
Either way, Genji just becomes even more appealing as they went from, like a minus 9 10 favorites all the way down to a minus, um, minus one minus 1111 100 favorites.
00:06:58
So huge favorite there.
00:06:59
I mean, hi.
00:07:00
It's 1% on the slate if you're just talking about how many games that they actually get to tons of stuff.
00:07:04
So I think John G.
00:07:05
E Sports does stand out.
00:07:06
It's not the type of ceiling performance that complex Phoenix as, but it's also not the same price points.
00:07:10
It's also not have the same ownership on it.
00:07:13
So those are the four that I think stand out.
00:07:15
I'll probably have less on **** one gaming.
00:07:17
I probably a little bit less on Dragon Ex Still going to have all the favorites? Probably not gonna be getting much of, if any of these underdogs tonight's If you wanna play contrarian, you can.
00:07:24
I did it last night. I've done it a good amount.
00:07:27
Just tonight.
00:07:28
I don't really feel the need to.
00:07:29
There's obviously teams Katie roaster, toppy Sports top sports were probably the team, if any, that I would be getting to, um, I've had them pop up in crunches right now for Stax.
00:07:37
They're the only one that's getting through based on my projections.
00:07:40
Again, if you're interested there.
00:07:41
Lincoln Patron.
00:07:42
But as of right now, the top sports, probably the team that I get to it.
00:07:45
If anything, I do like the anti gaming on the opposite side of that.
00:07:47
So obviously, don't be stacking J D gaming in top EA Sports.
00:07:51
You don't be doing that.
00:07:56
I meant Christmas Eve.
00:07:57
I could be wrong, but I know yet my first ever envy a video a TTE this point a year and 1/2 ago, for defense wise at least, was in a car because my house was completely filled in every room.
00:08:05
I couldn't make one, but I wanted to make sure to get it out.
00:08:06
That's the exact same day.
00:08:08
I think it was Christmas Day in the morning, the exact same day that I had 1000 subscribers.
00:08:12
Any major change in the Vegas lines? Brian, did you pick up? Did you get in the time? From what I just said, I just went over the Vegas out, so I wanna make sure that you got in in time.
00:08:19
What about Dragon? Ex Highest Elke say kill team for size, death rate team? You mean they're going to be something that I end up getting, too? It's just the problem is like you're looking at a situation where relative to the sleep, we don't really care.
00:08:32
We're not.
00:08:33
We're not breaking it up between the Koreans and the, um, just be China lead right now because they're on the same sleep.
00:08:38
So it's not like we have to separate them relative to the entire slate.
00:08:41
They're going to come in with, like, the fifth or sixth eyes kills per game.
00:08:43
I mean, that's fine.
00:08:44
They're good size favorite, so they should probably hit at that average or above the least amount of the time.
00:08:48
I think they're fine.
00:08:49
They're just not one that I'm getting a ton of at this point, mainly because of their players as an entire teams upside.
00:08:53
I think there's more so like two men stacks that you can get there.
00:08:56
I'm running exclusively four threes and four to ones tonight.
00:09:01
Yeah, so I'm only doing five lines in legal legend six games late.
00:09:06
Should they all be 331 line ups? I know, I'm I'm not really running 33 ones.
00:09:11
I think it's the third best right now to be running, But I still think that there's just so much people, drawstring people who were out. I've had so many messages.
00:09:18
I took a zero yesterday, so it doesn't happen in other leagues.
00:09:21
You know who's playing.
00:09:22
You don't think zero's um so I still think we're in the very early stages that it doesn't pay to be cute yet like 33 ones, I think will be more optimal in like a month when everybody's running four threes and four to ones.
00:09:33
I think a lot of people are running for threes right now, but not a lot are running them optimally.
00:09:37
One, not a lot are getting different in their four threes if they're even running them and sometimes not even starting the proper players.
00:09:42
So I am not experimenting with 33 ones at this point.
00:09:46
Um, it's for two ones and, uh, four threes from a 33 ones of their finances.
00:09:51
You're limiting your upside at that point, in my opinion, more times than not, and I don't think you have to limit that upside at this point.
00:09:57
Seem like the green steam score more from everything I've seen.
00:10:00
The Korean teams actually score less because they played a much slower pace of play in the past.
00:10:08
That was at the Green Team score.
00:10:09
More so, like at my entire database, that goes back like 5 to 6 years.
00:10:12
They do.
00:10:13
But as the years have gone on it, it's kind of flopped to the O.
00:10:15
P.
00:10:16
L.
00:10:17
Now what's your thoughts on the match fixing from last night? I was kicked off the team.
00:10:19
Yeah, I saw some report about it.
00:10:20
I mean, I'm really any thoughts on.
00:10:23
There's really not much that I can.
00:10:25
I have no control over that.
00:10:26
I can't control the past.
00:10:27
I really don't know.
00:10:28
That's kind of standpoint.
00:10:29
A lot of things.
00:10:30
I don't really have any thoughts, especially since I guess you could argue that that affected me.
00:10:33
But there's no way of telling.
00:10:36
Hopefully, we don't have an underdog blow everything today, um, an underdog.
00:10:40
Everything today in terms of winning.
00:10:42
Yeah. I mean, I think toppy sports We're gonna go for another dog.
00:10:44
They're probably the team that I would get to the most favored eyes kills per game on the slate right now, they also die a lot.
00:10:48
So that's why I like J D gaming.
00:10:49
But just in general, like top sports individual players, if they ended up knocking it off for a victory today, and I would expect this to go the full three rounds more so than not, um, if they were to knock it off, you're gonna get really good price points on players who do have high upsides.
00:11:07
Do you think the sharks have caught up with legal legends? I feel finishing in the green is getting harder.
00:11:10
Um, as of right now, no, Um, I assume you mean professionals.
00:11:14
There's just not a lot playing there, slowly getting into it.
00:11:16
But, I mean, it's just Brick and also know that I've been studying that are playing optimally.
00:11:19
There's a lot of guys playing often playing optimally and actually in the top 10 finishing often.
00:11:24
You could still play optimally in 1 to 2 months when everybody jumps on this because there's every single night, $100,000 price pools and people are like, Oh, I don't actually have to know that much about this and I'll have to do is correlate lineups and projections and that simple then, Yeah, I think that it's going to be a lot harder, but as of right now, it's a It's a print print money machine, especially.
00:11:42
You're entering a lot of lineups.
00:11:44
If you're 1 50 maxing and you are playing optimally right now, you will.
00:11:49
Probably.
00:11:50
It will be very rare that you're not in the running for a takedown at least once a week, and that's like at the very minimum and you go on 50 Max.
00:11:57
Now that I think they had it at 1 50 max quarter quarter entry.
00:12:02
Hey, so how can I contact you? I have some questions about the Google spreadsheet.
00:12:05
Austin more? That's Twitter at Savitri GFS.
00:12:07
I get a ton of questions a day, so I'll try and look at it and longest appropriates.
00:12:12
Answer.
00:12:13
I will answer it.
00:12:14
Try and help where I can, but, um, a lot of answers.
00:12:16
A lot of questions I have about spreadsheets is how do you make your projections? How do you get the spreadsheet together? I mean, there's a lot.
00:12:22
I mean, I taught myself based on discourses and stuff online.
00:12:25
It's a It's a very in depth thing.
00:12:27
It's not a simple two word answer, but try and help her again.
00:12:32
I'm talking about like how EA Sports did the other night over i g Yeah, he sports was the number two team on the slate in terms of just win a loss upside I g was number one.
00:12:40
Um, Gandhiji got taken.
00:12:42
Now they're like, minus 3 85 Favorite.
00:12:45
If I think I sort of started, I just avoid that position for now, I think that's fair.
00:12:51
What's good, Steven? What's going on? Yes.
00:12:54
I mean, I'm just keep tracking the lines.
00:12:56
You have a ton of time until the game starts.
00:12:58
Seven more hours to AM but 50 Cater 1st 2nd and we've seen that it's gonna be the It's going to be the standard at this point.
00:13:04
In my opinion, the weekends late will start to be six figures.
00:13:06
And then, if the's continue to feel very soon, which they have been, you're gonna get 100 Kate of first prize pools every single day.
00:13:12
Um, and a lot of the times those will be duped, especially if they're only, like, four or five games late, everybody stacking the exact same team.
00:13:18
So at this point.
00:13:20
I think the best underdog spot is probably toppy sports.
00:13:23
If you wanted to go there.
00:13:24
Other than that, I'm gonna be sticking with a probably most ownership not in any order but to Jenny Sports own G Fund plex and J D Gaming.
00:13:33
How do you feel about fading the LCK since L.
00:13:35
P.
00:13:36
A.
00:13:37
Likes to just run it down? Yeah.
00:13:38
I mean, it's it's probably not a thing that I'm going to do.
00:13:41
There's only two.
00:13:42
Uh, there's three LP on There's three, um, L C K.
00:13:47
So I don't want to be fading.
00:13:48
The half of it's late, right? I do just naturally, like the LPL, the China legal little bit more just because of the match ups for the team today.
00:13:55
Um, but I'm not going to be fading the LCK like there's I mean, there's statistics and projections to it, and they match up a couple of these teams very well and very similarly with some of the other teams in the LPL.
00:14:06
So, um, on on a higher note, you're going to see just a slower pace of play.
00:14:11
But when you break down into specific teams, it's an average right, so they're still going to Pete, be teams out of the out liars.
00:14:15
And you have some of those on this late tonight, so definitely not fitting the whole thing.
00:14:21
Um, did you have spurs and pistons and the ultimate bracket? I had the piston, so I already lost.
00:14:25
Um, I have the Pistons winning the first round.
00:14:27
Um, I have the bracket somewhere. Right over here.
00:14:32
I have the Pistons winning the first round, so I lost that.
00:14:35
But I have the 2012 2013 heat winning the whole thing.
00:14:50
Um, so Brian just asked about line movement? Yeah, line movement.
00:14:53
Jenny Sports has seen a big, really big line movement in the favor.
00:14:55
So far, every single favorite seemed positive line movement.
00:14:58
More, most of them from plexus has stayed the same at minus 14.
00:15:01
29.
00:15:02
But you've seen positive line movement for Dragon X for OMG and Jenny Sports, J J D.
00:15:06
Gaming. A scene, a slight line movement.
00:15:08
None of the other dogs have seen positive line movement.
00:15:10
So I just tells you that people are betting the underdogs in people who have influence on the line or not betting the underdogs tonight.
00:15:15
If there was one too big, I would be taking probably toppy sports.
00:15:20
Um, just look at some of the 80 carries.
00:15:23
It's going very interesting tonight because there's very expensive plays, like if you're running Optimizers, if you're using my projections If Europe A drum, um, those are when you plug them in, you're gonna see interesting things like the captain options that you end up getting tonight.
00:15:37
I think that they're intriguing and I think I'm not.
00:15:39
Not a lot of people are going to be getting them.
00:15:41
It depends on your rules as well, right? Like I have a ton of rules and some groups in their exclusions, things like that.
00:15:45
But randomness.
00:15:47
You should be using his well on this, in my opinion, to some extent, just to try and get a little bit more unique lineups.
00:15:51
But yeah, I think that the way they price this late tonight in terms of having really 80 carry middling and juggler being really mean, you're jugglers, air insanely expensive tonight, and it makes sense when there's just a lot more teams in this late, like you have four guys over seven K four guys over 7200 most of us like you might get one guy popping into the seven K range.
00:16:10
So it makes it really difficult to try and get a ton of upside please into your lineups.
00:16:13
Which just means that if you're gonna be Ross during a four man stack of very expensive team, you probably have to go just with a cheap to one somewhere else.
00:16:21
Or if you get lucky to find a three man stack of a favorite that is not going to be highly owned after that.
00:16:29
If you aren't playing a DC in the Captain, what is another good option? I think anything.
00:16:32
I mean, Midlanders are gonna score a lot, but 80 sees the best.
00:16:36
Is the high scoring player on teams that went.
00:16:37
That's why their price like that, though, So I'm fine running everything.
00:16:40
Um, I think I'm very similar to Brick from the article of shooting on Awesome.
00:16:44
Oh, that I'll run a lot of.
00:16:47
I'll run everything in the cabin spot except the team position, so I'll run.
00:16:49
Top liners are one support our own jugglers.
00:16:52
Um, you're usually going to get the most salary Lee from a support many top later, so it'll be easier to fit in, but I'll run them in.
00:16:58
Their people think that it's not optimal.
00:17:00
It surely is upto.
00:17:01
You could look back at the last week of sleeps, and four of those 7 47 states over the last seven states have been a support or a top later.
00:17:08
Now it's a small sample.
00:17:09
Of course, that doesn't mean that 50% of the time it's going to be one of those positions.
00:17:12
But it's it's it's much more, more.
00:17:14
It happens much more than people actually think now, the optimal way to play.
00:17:17
If there wasn't a lot of people stacking and you were playing cash would be to have an 80 Carrie just jammed in there in your top layer spot.
00:17:24
Not worry too much as much about stacking, but we're trying to be 99.
00:17:28
9% of the field and take it down, so you have to have your lines to be correlating.
00:17:32
If there is a proven way that says statistically, your best chance of winning is, too.
00:17:36
I have four players and three players on the team or 42 and one right that statistically telling you that then to disobey those rules, in my opinion, especially when the contents are so soft right now is me pretty much saying that.
00:17:48
No, I'd rather take a more likely chance to lose if you look at it that way.
00:17:52
Um, and I don't really like if I If I do, if I do put three people tonight and you probably will if you win or two people, Um, I'm completely fine doing that because I think that this is the more optimal way to play.
00:18:04
Having groups is not great in other sports.
00:18:06
It's limiting the dupes in this sport if you're only splitting with one person that is as good as a solo in other sports.
00:18:11
At this point, I looked on the bottom and wrote a bullet for the odds I use wherever this site is.
00:18:18
They update pretty much every second odds Portal top three captain says Dave Aaron Rodgers, Aaron Rodgers and Aaron Rodgers.
00:18:30
It depends on the team you're playing.
00:18:32
Um, there's no like there's no straightforward captains in legal legends.
00:18:37
It just depends on the team because you want to stack.
00:18:38
And if you're stacking, obviously salary starts to come into play, so it depends on the team's gonna stack.
00:18:43
It depends on the other team.
00:18:44
You want to stay with them? Because I mean the obvious, like top three captains are gonna be.
00:18:47
I mean, l w X Loken and probably deaf to just the highest scoring players in the slate.
00:18:51
More than likely, but their teams probably don't correlate together nicely or don't fit in together.
00:18:57
Just 80 carry score The most points when they win by, I mean sometimes a lot, but it's so so.
00:19:02
Ownership and salaries.
00:19:03
The biggest one scored 6 36 with that. Nice Nice.
00:19:06
Yeah.
00:19:07
Scored a a lot of huge scores this morning in the six fifties was nice.
00:19:10
What is the best stack correlations you found 43 and 4 to 1 at a ton of you sports.
00:19:15
That matching pivoted off of them because of some advice.
00:19:18
That was probably one of the worst defense days I've ever had.
00:19:20
Um, that match and pivoted off? Yeah, I'm not sure.
00:19:24
The name Joe ah entered that.
00:19:26
My question.
00:19:29
Yes.
00:19:30
It seems like a fun slate. Gonna keep watching it.
00:19:32
It's a difficult slate to just build automatic line up, so I think that makes it a little bit more appealing like it's not like last night, where there is a pretty clear on the dog that had upside, just based on line movement, a pretty clear favorite that had even more upside based online movement.
00:19:46
Um, whereas tonight you just have a ton of teams and it's a lot of new teams to a lot of people who just started playing like myself two weeks ago, and I've had a lot of early success.
00:19:55
So it'll be interesting to see how construction start to go With a new league introduced with bigger price pools.
00:20:02
Consistently filling these matches is good as well.
00:20:05
We all know it's about the atoms.
00:20:06
Fly Eagles fly.
00:20:08
It's going on, Dave.
00:20:09
Dave Eagles got some people pretty cool.
00:20:11
Um, favorite seemed to just dominate and the games ends fast.
00:20:14
Most of the time, the favorites are gonna dominate.
00:20:16
Like somebody said, Invictus Gaming lost the other night to evil geniuses.
00:20:19
I believe e g yeah, that's gonna happen.
00:20:22
And evil geniuses was a good team.
00:20:23
They were like a minus 3 85 favorite Invictus gaming, and they got believe swept to Oh, that's gonna happen like you're going to see these bigger favorites lose.
00:20:31
But when they're six, if there's 3 to 6 games tonight on average now, there's gonna be, like six games tonight because of the Korean League.
00:20:37
Um, maybe one underdog wins tonight.
00:20:40
Maybe like there is such huge favorites.
00:20:42
Yet you have two teams that are three teams that are money.
00:20:44
700 better favors.
00:20:45
That's just those almost auto wins.
00:20:48
Teach Mana.
00:20:49
Dougie did well in my captain's about last night. Thanks. Oh, yeah.
00:20:51
Teach me yoga teacher, Ma.
00:20:52
Yeah, about 15% was talking to Steve and Discord Chat earlier. Had about 15%.
00:20:56
Steve, I like 40 so he probably great.
00:20:58
Um, 15% of teacher ma is a two game slate, so the percentage is gonna be higher on then.
00:21:03
About 25% of you coming jamming their ah, there, 80 carriers.
00:21:09
Those are my two highest own captains.
00:21:10
And then after that, some players from, um, the S inside.
00:21:14
You rather have the games that last longer for fantasy, right? Not necessarily. Obviously.
00:21:19
So you want the quote unquote bloodbaths? Um, you want to have Tony killed from both sides, and then I actually get the winning side of that but it's not always the case.
00:21:28
It depends on the team like fun flexes just sweeping.
00:21:30
Go look at fun flexes recent games, though, win every single game.
00:21:32
They probably tonight, too.
00:21:33
Oh, and they're so dominant.
00:21:35
And they get so many kills per game, 16.
00:21:37
9 by far the most in this league by over three on the nose.
00:21:41
They're just dominating that there.
00:21:43
Best players are still dropping 100 points, 80 points, 90 points and just to round.
00:21:46
So it really depends on the specific team.
00:21:48
You're going to notice the pricing based on that, but generally out of those like mid range like slider favorite, smaller favorites like J D gaming verse top toppy sports.
00:21:56
Yeah, it would be nicer if it went three rounds, because JD Gaming is probably going to come out and just be overly dominant.
00:22:01
They have the upside to do that, but probably not going to.
00:22:04
So the answer is a lot of things is just it depends depends on the specific team I did.
00:22:11
Two different legal legends tournament seems bested.
00:22:13
A stack cheapest team that will win.
00:22:16
Um, yeah, cheapest team that will win usually means that there are the most at risk for an upset, but it depends on the team.
00:22:24
Cheapest team to win is good as like a secondary stack.
00:22:27
I guess you can say like you're three men, two men stacks.
00:22:30
Um, yeah.
00:22:32
I mean, that's the goal is to try and find the balance of went upside.
00:22:34
Scoring upside in victories like a team that has a chief salaries.
00:22:38
They might not correlate well, as a full team staff, like there might be just one guy.
00:22:41
The 80 carrier is a monster on the team, but then you're looking around.
00:22:44
You don't see anything else that their support player, even in victories or their toppling or even a victory, does nothing right? Jugglers very hit or miss their mid liners.
00:22:50
Okay, now you're starting to stack a team that is very fluky even when they win, Um, so, like in those situations, I'll start to two man, stack those teams, and that's based on rules and fantasy cruncher and some other optimizers that I like to just kind of check with.
00:23:04
And then also just based on whatever projections that you have, we'll give you a specific teams so I can't get off DSR stack thoughts.
00:23:11
It's a dragon egg.
00:23:12
Zack. I don't have any problem with them.
00:23:14
They're not a team that's popping up as much for me.
00:23:16
I'm getting some, um, I'm gonna have stacks of all the favorites.
00:23:19
Probably toppy sports.
00:23:20
I'll probably be running seven different stacks tonight, but obviously I say seven.
00:23:25
That's a pretty large number. Seven different teams type of stacks.
00:23:27
That's a large number, but it's going to be scaled down, right? Like toppy sport. There's another dog.
00:23:31
I'm not goingto as much Dragon X in Danwon gaming as of right now.
00:23:35
The two stacks and I'm getting less of out of all the favorites.
00:23:39
Um, but yeah, I don't think there's anything wrong.
00:23:41
Plex didn't start yet.
00:23:42
Flex did not start. That was announced.
00:23:44
Teacher Mom was starting.
00:23:48
I don't know if Ty was the one who I think you're the one who commented yesterday on my video.
00:23:52
That place was starting.
00:23:53
That was not right.
00:23:54
You could find the lineups on Twitter for the LPL.
00:23:56
They come out, Um, and also teacher might have been starting the previous game.
00:24:02
You like stacking for three or do you like some other combo? 43 is the most optimal.
00:24:05
It's one that most people are going to dio for two ones or find 33 ones.
00:24:08
I know people are running, but I'm not.
00:24:10
I've experimented with 33 ones.
00:24:12
I've been running them honoree Lesser on a lesser scale, but probably gonna run 4 to 143 snake.
00:24:18
It's just so optimal.
00:24:19
Like until I start not making money and having one upside literally went outside like three states now finishing top 10 splitting it.
00:24:27
Not Bengt yet, But second, split it like six way second place three days ago.
00:24:32
Um, until that doesn't start happening and I start to lose an edge because everybody's doing it.
00:24:37
Then I'll start to look into it.
00:24:38
And I'm tracking trends on how many people are doing what and also won't break in what they're doing.
00:24:42
So once I start seeing other people move in obvious trans changing out strange.
00:24:46
But I don't need to get cute right now if you can.
00:24:49
Printing money is a is a stretch, but if you can have a really good opportunity to win, and you need to win because I think you're not gonna survive if you're playing the big GPS, and I'm playing everything in the tournament in the Lobbies.
00:25:01
But if you're playing just the big GPS, you're just not going to survive.
00:25:04
If that's all you are playing and not winning because of the pale structures right now, are these d K tournaments getting bigger now that the other sports have been out? Yes, ridiculously bigger.
00:25:12
They started at around $5000.
00:25:14
I mean, they started, like, $3000 1st then five, then 10 then 2025.
00:25:17
And now they're gonna be about 50 K night.
00:25:19
There's 100 k to first on Sunday.
00:25:20
Yes, they're going to be the biggest thing.
00:25:22
By all accounts, this is not leaving for the entire summer in the Spring league for the Legends.
00:25:26
I'm sure we'll get some other EA sports potentially coming as well.
00:25:31
You have a favorite position to play one offs.
00:25:32
Yeah, the team spot.
00:25:33
Um, well, there still be a three game slate just for LPL? No, I believe there is just a two game sleep.
00:25:39
Um, is there a two game later slate, or am I wrong on that? I leave it to the two game later slate after the six games late.
00:25:44
Thanks out. Great info. I just started the F S 2019.
00:25:46
Always trying alone.
00:25:47
Now it's five out of five days green. Nice.
00:25:50
I was any time anybody writes l a well still think laugh out loud.
00:25:53
But the legends now it's only Leah.
00:25:56
Legends.
00:25:57
Five out of five days. Nice job.
00:25:59
Everything about stacking Jen and the Rx.
00:26:01
Yeah, I have no problems.
00:26:02
I mean, they're too decent size favorites.
00:26:03
Um, one's a huge favorite.
00:26:06
I don't have any problems with it.
00:26:11
Robbie Anderson friends to sleep next year.
00:26:12
Maybe this court linker is that only subs subs patrons, But yeah, this score is only gonna be patrons.
00:26:18
Um, and it depends on the tier patrons because I don't want, like, I want to be responsible for 300 people posting in there.
00:26:25
So it is.
00:26:26
I guess you could say there's a cap to it.
00:26:28
It is exclusive.
00:26:29
I think there's Hall of Fame spots open right now, but probably not something that many people want to invest in there.
00:26:33
A pandemic, by the way, my two singles are on the two top favorite mons That's there yet you came at 4 30 That's what I thought thanks them.
00:26:40
If I'm just one, if I'm just a one or two entry guide said I do G p p or cash G p p.
00:26:46
And just stick to single entries and three max.
00:26:49
You can throw it if you want to have the one upside.
00:26:50
You could throw your lineup for single insurer or three max into the big tournament tonight for 50 cater first.
00:26:55
It is a terrible pale structure for people on during one or two lineups, especially when you factor in that myself.
00:27:00
Awesome old brick.
00:27:01
Other people are entering 150 lineups in this to your one.
00:27:04
You just not gonna win.
00:27:05
Um, not use.
00:27:06
I'm not singling you out specifically just in general, like my 1st 2 years playing defense.
00:27:11
My 1st 2 years of college like you're like, think about how long you been playing these big things.
00:27:15
If you're entering 10 20 okay, you're starting to get your better odds.
00:27:18
But stick the single entry and three max.
00:27:20
I'm primarily a single entry and three max player.
00:27:21
But since there's so much money to be had for probably only the next few weeks in legal agents until people start really playing it optimally.
00:27:28
Um, I'm gonna be continuing to Max.
00:27:30
Energies started for the l p l O C K.
00:27:34
Yeah, LPL started drought.
00:27:35
Lck or not, I was like Aaron Rodgers here. I love it.
00:27:40
Well, they keep illegal items on De que when real sports comeback legal agent has always been on de que, um, They will not keep these five schools this big now, but it's always been on the case.
00:27:48
Seven years in the f s.
00:27:49
First time being a new about a sport.
00:27:50
What game do they even play? Legal agents? I have no clue how to make a lineup.
00:27:54
Besides, don't pick opponents.
00:27:56
Yes, you just wanna stack bigger favorites.
00:27:59
Um, 80 carries and support correlate a little bit putting a team in the cabin spots.
00:28:03
Not great.
00:28:05
Yeah, the game's actually fun to watch.
00:28:07
I think yesterday or two whenever I did the last dream, um, I was saying how just awful it is to wife sees things like two days ago.
00:28:13
I watched it this morning, and it's actually entertaining is probably because there's just no other sports to be watching, but in obviously having money on it helps thoughts on Lamar Jackson tonight.
00:28:23
Funny, I don't think Amber Rogers as much if he lost the font is funny.
00:28:27
I know you probably have talked multiple times, but can you talk strategy, which, with picking spots like team Support Top? Yeah, I don't think specific spots.
00:28:35
Um, it's just stacks for me.
00:28:37
So I'm running.
00:28:38
I'm running like 1 50 So I'm looking at each individual team, and I'm handpicking them because there's different ways to build lineups and you shouldn't just run one crunch and take what that gives you, cause that's not a good idea.
00:28:46
But, yeah, I'm not looking at specific positions, really.
00:28:50
I'm looking at Stax and how to get different there, seeing if any underdogs line movement is changing throughout the day, which right now there's none but individual positions unless I'm choosing a one off from a positional spot, which he's gonna happen if I'm playing a lot of lines. But not often.
00:29:06
Yeah, individual strategy is not much.
00:29:08
I mean, if you want to stack your support with your Auntie Carrie, there is a correlation.
00:29:10
There is running a 3211 Okay.
00:29:13
And a big slate.
00:29:14
If they're 11 or huge favorites.
00:29:16
No, I'm not gonna go there.
00:29:18
I mean, people are going to win with that line of construction.
00:29:20
3211 But the odds of you winning with that line of construction are way less than you running a 43 or 4 to 1, and not enough people are doing it to make it not optimal.
00:29:29
So just trying to think about it.
00:29:31
If I told you and I'm gonna use flat numbers because these are not the right numbers, these extreme numbers, but Scientology, You had a again very extreme numbers.
00:29:38
10% chance of winning if you're on the 43 and you have a 8% chance of winning if you run a 4 to 1 and if you want a 3311 you have a 2% chance of winning.
00:29:46
You should never be choosing the 2% chance of winning around like ever.
00:29:49
It's just not often, um, when you have a five times in a four times more likely chance winning if you just stack of a different way.
00:29:54
So and that's for me looking back at past winners, that's for me.
00:29:57
Looking back at top 10 finishes, top 10 lines.
00:30:00
Every single man, you're going to have a four man stacking them, so there's no way I'm getting away from four man stacks.
00:30:04
I've played around in smaller cities with 331 and it becomes more optimal in only two games because well, in scoring and some of the correlation stuff starts not matter as much as just top scores overall.
00:30:14
But, yeah, I'm and he's like That's above two games.
00:30:17
I'm going to be running exclusively for man stacks and everything.
00:30:20
One of my lines.
00:30:22
And then after that, it's either three men stack already.
00:30:24
Two and one are the starting lineups effort tonight for the LPL, not for the L C K.
00:30:28
I love watching these, especially when your team starts to flash or whatever it is, they drop bombs and your score goes up, right? Yeah.
00:30:33
You watch this like four guys just get killed in the middle of your thoughts on the Hopkins trained.
00:30:38
So Dave Jones actually made a video on the Hopkin trade.
00:30:39
You check that out.
00:30:44
I tried to actually glad machine.
00:30:45
It's a hard watch because of the terminology and lingo. Yeah, it's fair.
00:30:48
I mean, I had on you Who? Your favorite teams in the sleep, The six favorites and then top EA Sports is an underdog.
00:30:54
Looks fine in the cabin spot.
00:30:56
What percentage used? Each position, Um, depends on the sleep.
00:31:01
Depends on the size of the sleep On the six games late.
00:31:03
Like this is gonna be pretty spread out.
00:31:05
Um, each position I don't really keep track of, like, I'll be getting, like, 6% of a ton of different guys on this big of a slate in the captain's spot.
00:31:13
So it'll be It'll be pretty clear across the board.
00:31:16
I'm gonna get a lot of supports.
00:31:17
A lot of 80 carries a lot of meds.
00:31:18
People think that running anything other than a Navy carrier mid in the captain's spot is not optimal.
00:31:23
They do score a lot of points, but they are $2000 more expensive and 3000 sometimes and other players on their team.
00:31:28
So that also is factored in there.
00:31:30
I have had a lot of success.
00:31:31
My best night shopping, second place couple days ago, was with a support in the garden spot.
00:31:35
I love game going tonight? Yes, seems fine.
00:31:37
Some exposure to Gim bung do you have? Um, I'd have to pull up my fancy country, which would be on screen because I don't have this.
00:31:47
I would say it's gonna be somewhere between two and 4% probably because I have that for almost every single player in the captain's spot.
00:31:55
What's the most salary leave on the table? I really keep track of it.
00:31:58
If you have $1000 looked over and you like your lineup, that's fine.
00:32:00
If you have none left over, you better be really unique in your stacks.
00:32:02
Otherwise, you're probably going to be splitting with a lot of money.
00:32:05
But if you have no money left over and you're only playing in a 50 person field, it doesn't matter as much.
00:32:08
If you're putting a line up into the big G P P.
00:32:10
With no money left over, I just know that you're not winning $50,000 a night.
00:32:13
You might split it six ways and walk away with a smooth 10 K, which is fine, Um, but you're limiting your upside so more times than I.
00:32:21
If you're playing in a huge large field GDP, if I'm 100 150 lines yet, some will have.
00:32:26
Well, I guess I'll say that I'm gonna have no lineup that have no money left over.
00:32:29
I'm gonna put a cap of 49 900 we'll see how that works for the next couple of days.
00:32:33
I've been doing it lately.
00:32:34
Seems to be working fine.
00:32:35
So then you're not leaving any money on the table, which just lowers your chance of Dubuque.
00:32:38
A line ups Just giant illegal items, but **** suiting choked. Second game.
00:32:42
Um, yeah.
00:32:43
Watch that.
00:32:45
Today.
00:32:46
Um, it's better that it went the third round.
00:32:47
Just more points.
00:32:48
So I wasn't too concerned about it, but yeah, I saw the roughly what? 72 kills? Uh, it's a first at first, other than I learned.
00:32:54
And now found when you love they still wonder.
00:32:56
Yeah, they wanted the third.
00:32:57
I would have cash if it was, too.
00:32:58
Oh, um, because the other team started to score points.
00:33:01
That's fair.
00:33:06
All right.
00:33:07
I think I'm gonna bounce.
00:33:08
Went for about 40 minutes.
00:33:09
So before you leave with the subscriber really 250 away from 20,000 that's pretty cool. Again.
00:33:14
If you're watching this on the replay, still you check out patron or if you're watching right now, like I got paid.
00:33:17
China fueled the projections every single day for every single league.
00:33:20
So projecting 3 to 4 leagues gonna be on a daily basis once the weekend leagues come back.
00:33:25
But those are our patron subscribing for me on Twitter.
00:33:27
And then again, if you are watching the replay or live right now, there was an official breakdown that went up this morning.
00:33:32
So if you want less of a a chatter in the interaction a Q and May style.
00:33:37
There is just a very direct breakdown of this late.
00:33:40
The only things that have changed since then. Our one.
00:33:42
I've made projections, so I feel a little bit more confident.
00:33:44
Some other teams and to some of the line movements, have changed the kindest reference, this video.
00:33:48
And then also, if you have Pedro on those updated sheets, when you build your line until you stop starting with the A D and support because they correlate not in every line up.
00:33:56
It's nice because they correlate if it works out.
00:33:58
But I'm not setting a rule to automatically make them in the same line up.
00:34:01
Thanks, Vanya.
00:34:02
What a 411 stack work.
00:34:03
Not for me.
00:34:04
Because you have to predict four victories, and that's over the long run.
00:34:07
You're not going to be predicting four victories as much as you'll predict two or three.
00:34:09
And then it's just gonna come back to bite you.
00:34:12
Have a good day, Manya.
00:34:13
Use well.
00:34:14
Appreciate you, bro.
00:34:15
Uh, are you doing also more bracket? You haven't also my bracket.
00:34:17
I can't get I can't win the 10,000 Simon affiliate.
00:34:19
I do have a bracket filled out.
00:34:21
Thank you, Sal. Good luck.
00:34:23
Go get that 50.
00:34:24
I hope so.
00:34:25
Everybody have a great rest every night.
00:34:26
Subscribing before you go. Check out patron link down below.
00:34:28
If you do on those projections piece, that'll be back tomorrow.
00:34:30
Six games later, believe again.
00:34:31
See, then

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