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2/26 NCAAB Picks from Rex @the_BRKDWN
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00:00:07
Hey, with up everybody, it's Rex Eastwood.
00:00:09
Hear back from Ah, the breakdown to give you some more college basketball picks on this fine Wednesday night, you can follow me on Twitter at our east Underscore.
00:00:18
Easy with the sea, and you can follow that breakdown at the underscore brk.
00:00:23
D w n for your gambling and sports contents needs.
00:00:27
We cover all the major sports.
00:00:28
So that's where I also write content for so you can follow us there for my RAM work.
00:00:34
Like I said, I'm back with some college hoops picks.
00:00:36
I got three picks on the sleep tonight, so I think there's value in three. Please.
00:00:41
We're almost into conference tourney season in March and selection Sunday.
00:00:45
So keep hanging in there.
00:00:46
Let's get at it.
00:00:47
Um, one thing before you get into my picks, I just wanna I was looking into something earlier, and I've seen a lot of captures saying, Ah, back the bubble tea.
00:00:57
I've done some research I've been digging in to see if there's any merit or anything into the back and bubble teams late into the season.
00:01:05
The first thing about it is, ah, what do you even classifies a bubble team.
00:01:09
You see everyone's predictions change week by week, whose first for in the 1st 4 out the next four out.
00:01:15
So there's not much married to it, Um, and obviously every team wants to win.
00:01:20
So just backing a team that wants to get him more than March Madness, I don't know how much there is to it.
00:01:24
Maybe on the last game of the day, there could be something to it.
00:01:27
The team's already out, but right now, with still three or four games left for each team, I don't think there's much to it.
00:01:34
So I'd be wary of that week or easy narrative of backing the bubble team right now, Um, put some more into it.
00:01:41
There's a lot more than you can say, then just backing the bubble team.
00:01:44
So, uh, my first pick of the night comes in the Big East.
00:01:47
We got a Georgetown traveling to Marquette.
00:01:50
I got a matchup of two teams are both on losing streaks.
00:01:53
Georgetown has lost two in a row, Arc has lost three in a row, so let's see which team could pick it back up and get better seating for this Big East 20 the lines Currently at, uh, Marquette minus eight in the total 1 51 You see, that's high Total because both of these teams will play with pace and shoot from three Jordan our markets.
00:02:14
Howard is definitely gonna be shooting from three. You will know that.
00:02:17
And the the counterpart for Georgetown as mad as Mac McClellan refracts cousin.
00:02:22
If you didn't know that, um, he could be out tonight or he's not near 100%.
00:02:26
I was just checking Twitter in any way I could find on to get a college athlete status, and I couldn't find if it But he doesn't look to be near 100% if he goes tonight.
00:02:36
And in their previous matchups in Georgetown and 88 84 80 and I'm a clunk put up 24.
00:02:44
So he's their highest usage player.
00:02:47
So I think there's anything.
00:02:50
I don't think there's anything too serious.
00:02:52
I don't think with him being out.
00:02:54
Sorry, Jordan's making me laugh.
00:02:57
I don't think there is.
00:02:58
Ah, I think him being out could be ah, really hurt George sounds chances and keeping a close eye on the road.
00:03:05
Him also being out sure, in short insurance depend for Patrick Ewing, because I give Patrick doing all this credit for this season with how poorly it started in this turn around.
00:03:14
He's gone, especially with the shore and squad, but I think this will come up.
00:03:19
I think they do come up short tonight in a Marquette.
00:03:22
I don't have any good trends regarding rappers.
00:03:26
Cousins.
00:03:28
Um, so if you look, I guess you could just look at a riff raff.
00:03:31
So I don't really follow many other rappers cousins in there in the college basketball.
00:03:35
But if you give me some of the players, Aiken, definitely look into that for you.
00:03:38
Jordan, um, like Jordan that if you ever have any questions on games or any more serious questions, hit me up in the chat.
00:03:46
So one last thing in this game before I give you my pick on it.
00:03:51
Marquette is thea 13th best team shooting three c shoot 38.8%.
00:03:56
And where I think, uh, they really where this really let's Georgetown down is they let teams shoot above 35% in the league, and now that they're very look below league average, they're not a bottom 1 100 team, but they're right on that Cuffs.
00:04:10
So I think there's value are backing more cat minus eight.
00:04:13
And what we see is a high scoring game where Marquette could run away with it second game or traveling to the Aten and going to ST Louis.
00:04:21
We got the ST Joe's Hawks going to ST Louis.
00:04:25
ST Louis is a 13 point favorite and the Turtles at 1 42 if you haven't watched many ST Joe's games this season, I doubt many of you watching this dream half.
00:04:36
I have.
00:04:38
For some reason, they are just abysmal this year.
00:04:40
Um, they're bottom 50 team in the country, if not even worse.
00:04:44
They have zero or one quad four wins on the season.
00:04:49
They're one of the only teams in the country to do that.
00:04:51
So, uh, the hawk will never die.
00:04:54
Um, like I said that, uh, in there for in their previous game singers, they keep it close.
00:04:59
In Philly, it was a back and forth game, huh? ST.
00:05:02
Louis ended up winning by five, but Ryan daily was hot decade.
00:05:07
So the easiest way to stop the Hawks is to stop Ryan daily.
00:05:11
He's he's worth about 4 to 5 points to the spread for the Hawks.
00:05:15
So if you can get him down, there's not much left on that team.
00:05:19
Um, ST Joseph Like Like I said, if you haven't watched them, they are this new.
00:05:24
Ah knew they play like the Rockets, where they're just chucking threes.
00:05:27
But, um, the sad part for the Hawks is they're not shooting it well, they're shooting if you round up to 30% on the season from three.
00:05:37
So if when you're averaging 15 to 20 three's a game and nearly making 30% you're really hey, bring your squad and giving the other team's a bunch of easy possessions on defense, not making them work.
00:05:47
So since ST Joe's holds about zero edge and all the advanced stats, the closest thing I could find to give the Hawks imagines second chance points.
00:05:56
So but the variance isn't nearly that large, so I like ST Louis minus 13.
00:06:00
I know that's a big number, but they're at home, so I wouldn't worry about laying it against a team that only has five wins on the season so far.
00:06:08
Ah, my last game of the are my last pick of the gate of the night, and I got three other games.
00:06:14
I want to highlight Road Quick.
00:06:15
Is Maryland traveling to Minnesota? This is the fishing line of the night that I see Minnesota's plus one.
00:06:23
So I know menace that has been great at home, and they just lost the most recent game at home.
00:06:27
But they've been solid all season, and this totals listed at 1 34 and 1/2.
00:06:33
That's very interesting to me.
00:06:34
The total The opened at 131 and 1/2 and I got pushed up three points since opening.
00:06:41
I don't know if that was the Sharps or the public, but, uh, I think that's very too much in two squads that are very efficient and defense.
00:06:49
Their Top 25 inefficiency, Minnesota's seven and Maryland's 27.
00:06:56
So you can send both of these and efficiency outranked their offensive efficiency.
00:07:01
So I think that holds a good edge on why the under.
00:07:05
I don't know why this over steamed up so much, but I think there's some value in it.
00:07:09
On top of that, this is gonna be a slow tempo game, especially with the Minnesota home.
00:07:14
If you haven't watched them home in the bar in this season, they defend their their defense, your steps up a notch compared to on the road.
00:07:22
So with this fishy line, I really don't want to get involved in the spread, because, uh, I just have no idea.
00:07:30
Look, I think both teams have a solid shot at winning this game, even though Minnesota is not ranked in Maryland is.
00:07:35
So I'm gonna lay a sovereign late the money with the other 1 34 and 1/2 for this one.
00:07:43
Three other games.
00:07:44
I'm just gonna hit quick.
00:07:45
These are just more interesting games that I found.
00:07:47
Ah, I don't really have any leans our suggestions on this one, but the 1st 1 is L issue at Florida.
00:07:54
Florida's minus five in this game.
00:07:56
And if you if you watch their previous game against Kentucky, I don't know if it's Kentucky's defense are Florida's in that offense.
00:08:04
But in the second half, at like around the 10 minute mark, it just died.
00:08:08
Florida scored.
00:08:09
I think it was 15 points in the last 10 minutes, and Kentucky just went on a run after run after run.
00:08:15
So l s u uh, with five points is really tempting.
00:08:20
And what I think could be a one possession game and l s u superfan Sam therapy Also things it's going to be, Ah, one possession game.
00:08:29
So if you like the Tigers, I wouldn't, uh, talk you off back in them.
00:08:33
The second game of the night is Ah, nice late game for everyone.
00:08:37
That's a Boise say at you and I will be This is simply is this just a letdown spot for you and I'll be after their huge win.
00:08:43
Um, Boise State is that a team that could potentially make some noise in the Mountain West? Conference of Story? But so let's see what it is.
00:08:53
But, um, Boise State is attempting dog on the road here.
00:08:57
The last game of getting into his SEC game again.
00:09:00
This is Miss Do it, Mandy.
00:09:02
This is just more interesting to me because you got Bandy it plus two at home, which suggests that misuse basically 1 to 1 and 1/2 points. Favorites.
00:09:11
But Mizzou has five SEC Conference went so far, and Bandy only has one.
00:09:16
Bandy's one.
00:09:17
When did come against Ellis? You Sue, Who's more of a top dog in there, but, uh, Missoula Only Uh uh, laying two points on the road.
00:09:26
That looks fishy as well to me.
00:09:27
So I'm definitely not getting involved in that game of the bottom dwellers in the S E.
00:09:32
C s.
00:09:33
So just to recap my picture that for tonight, if anyone has any questions on a game dropping into chat before I log off, I like Marquette minus eight just due to Mac clones.
00:09:43
Ah, question ability for tonight.
00:09:45
He dropped 24 on their previous matchups.
00:09:48
So him being out, I think is the, uh He's a reason why they kept it close in the first meeting.
00:09:53
So I think him being out is gonna play a large factor.
00:09:56
The 2nd 1 is ST Louis minus 13.
00:09:58
Just lay.
00:09:59
And don't watch it if because watching ST Joe's basketball can make you very frustrated this season if you like that, um, the last game is Maryland in Minnesota on their 1 34 and 1/2 thing.
00:10:12
Like I said, this steamed up.
00:10:13
I think it's steamed up too much.
00:10:15
Is is a nice time to buy the under, so I like laying the points and a game where I think it ends, maybe 64 to 60.
00:10:22
You can follow me on Twitter that our east on this score easy.
00:10:27
That's what the easy and you can follow the breakdown.
00:10:29
That's our That's the content.
00:10:32
That's a website, all right, the content for we got all sports covered.
00:10:36
So if you like the XFL, we had an XFL pie go up last night.
00:10:39
We got hockey contact going up all the time on there so you can file them.
00:10:44
That's in the bottom paint on here.
00:10:46
But that's at the underscore PRK DW and enjoy some college hoops tonight.

2/26 NCAAB Picks from Rex @the_BRKDWN

50 Views
Rex Eastwood @RexEast_Eazy

Transcript hideup

00:00:07
Hey, with up everybody, it's Rex Eastwood.
00:00:09
Hear back from Ah, the breakdown to give you some more college basketball picks on this fine Wednesday night, you can follow me on Twitter at our east Underscore.
00:00:18
Easy with the sea, and you can follow that breakdown at the underscore brk.
00:00:23
D w n for your gambling and sports contents needs.
00:00:27
We cover all the major sports.
00:00:28
So that's where I also write content for so you can follow us there for my RAM work.
00:00:34
Like I said, I'm back with some college hoops picks.
00:00:36
I got three picks on the sleep tonight, so I think there's value in three. Please.
00:00:41
We're almost into conference tourney season in March and selection Sunday.
00:00:45
So keep hanging in there.
00:00:46
Let's get at it.
00:00:47
Um, one thing before you get into my picks, I just wanna I was looking into something earlier, and I've seen a lot of captures saying, Ah, back the bubble tea.
00:00:57
I've done some research I've been digging in to see if there's any merit or anything into the back and bubble teams late into the season.
00:01:05
The first thing about it is, ah, what do you even classifies a bubble team.
00:01:09
You see everyone's predictions change week by week, whose first for in the 1st 4 out the next four out.
00:01:15
So there's not much married to it, Um, and obviously every team wants to win.
00:01:20
So just backing a team that wants to get him more than March Madness, I don't know how much there is to it.
00:01:24
Maybe on the last game of the day, there could be something to it.
00:01:27
The team's already out, but right now, with still three or four games left for each team, I don't think there's much to it.
00:01:34
So I'd be wary of that week or easy narrative of backing the bubble team right now, Um, put some more into it.
00:01:41
There's a lot more than you can say, then just backing the bubble team.
00:01:44
So, uh, my first pick of the night comes in the Big East.
00:01:47
We got a Georgetown traveling to Marquette.
00:01:50
I got a matchup of two teams are both on losing streaks.
00:01:53
Georgetown has lost two in a row, Arc has lost three in a row, so let's see which team could pick it back up and get better seating for this Big East 20 the lines Currently at, uh, Marquette minus eight in the total 1 51 You see, that's high Total because both of these teams will play with pace and shoot from three Jordan our markets.
00:02:14
Howard is definitely gonna be shooting from three. You will know that.
00:02:17
And the the counterpart for Georgetown as mad as Mac McClellan refracts cousin.
00:02:22
If you didn't know that, um, he could be out tonight or he's not near 100%.
00:02:26
I was just checking Twitter in any way I could find on to get a college athlete status, and I couldn't find if it But he doesn't look to be near 100% if he goes tonight.
00:02:36
And in their previous matchups in Georgetown and 88 84 80 and I'm a clunk put up 24.
00:02:44
So he's their highest usage player.
00:02:47
So I think there's anything.
00:02:50
I don't think there's anything too serious.
00:02:52
I don't think with him being out.
00:02:54
Sorry, Jordan's making me laugh.
00:02:57
I don't think there is.
00:02:58
Ah, I think him being out could be ah, really hurt George sounds chances and keeping a close eye on the road.
00:03:05
Him also being out sure, in short insurance depend for Patrick Ewing, because I give Patrick doing all this credit for this season with how poorly it started in this turn around.
00:03:14
He's gone, especially with the shore and squad, but I think this will come up.
00:03:19
I think they do come up short tonight in a Marquette.
00:03:22
I don't have any good trends regarding rappers.
00:03:26
Cousins.
00:03:28
Um, so if you look, I guess you could just look at a riff raff.
00:03:31
So I don't really follow many other rappers cousins in there in the college basketball.
00:03:35
But if you give me some of the players, Aiken, definitely look into that for you.
00:03:38
Jordan, um, like Jordan that if you ever have any questions on games or any more serious questions, hit me up in the chat.
00:03:46
So one last thing in this game before I give you my pick on it.
00:03:51
Marquette is thea 13th best team shooting three c shoot 38.8%.
00:03:56
And where I think, uh, they really where this really let's Georgetown down is they let teams shoot above 35% in the league, and now that they're very look below league average, they're not a bottom 1 100 team, but they're right on that Cuffs.
00:04:10
So I think there's value are backing more cat minus eight.
00:04:13
And what we see is a high scoring game where Marquette could run away with it second game or traveling to the Aten and going to ST Louis.
00:04:21
We got the ST Joe's Hawks going to ST Louis.
00:04:25
ST Louis is a 13 point favorite and the Turtles at 1 42 if you haven't watched many ST Joe's games this season, I doubt many of you watching this dream half.
00:04:36
I have.
00:04:38
For some reason, they are just abysmal this year.
00:04:40
Um, they're bottom 50 team in the country, if not even worse.
00:04:44
They have zero or one quad four wins on the season.
00:04:49
They're one of the only teams in the country to do that.
00:04:51
So, uh, the hawk will never die.
00:04:54
Um, like I said that, uh, in there for in their previous game singers, they keep it close.
00:04:59
In Philly, it was a back and forth game, huh? ST.
00:05:02
Louis ended up winning by five, but Ryan daily was hot decade.
00:05:07
So the easiest way to stop the Hawks is to stop Ryan daily.
00:05:11
He's he's worth about 4 to 5 points to the spread for the Hawks.
00:05:15
So if you can get him down, there's not much left on that team.
00:05:19
Um, ST Joseph Like Like I said, if you haven't watched them, they are this new.
00:05:24
Ah knew they play like the Rockets, where they're just chucking threes.
00:05:27
But, um, the sad part for the Hawks is they're not shooting it well, they're shooting if you round up to 30% on the season from three.
00:05:37
So if when you're averaging 15 to 20 three's a game and nearly making 30% you're really hey, bring your squad and giving the other team's a bunch of easy possessions on defense, not making them work.
00:05:47
So since ST Joe's holds about zero edge and all the advanced stats, the closest thing I could find to give the Hawks imagines second chance points.
00:05:56
So but the variance isn't nearly that large, so I like ST Louis minus 13.
00:06:00
I know that's a big number, but they're at home, so I wouldn't worry about laying it against a team that only has five wins on the season so far.
00:06:08
Ah, my last game of the are my last pick of the gate of the night, and I got three other games.
00:06:14
I want to highlight Road Quick.
00:06:15
Is Maryland traveling to Minnesota? This is the fishing line of the night that I see Minnesota's plus one.
00:06:23
So I know menace that has been great at home, and they just lost the most recent game at home.
00:06:27
But they've been solid all season, and this totals listed at 1 34 and 1/2.
00:06:33
That's very interesting to me.
00:06:34
The total The opened at 131 and 1/2 and I got pushed up three points since opening.
00:06:41
I don't know if that was the Sharps or the public, but, uh, I think that's very too much in two squads that are very efficient and defense.
00:06:49
Their Top 25 inefficiency, Minnesota's seven and Maryland's 27.
00:06:56
So you can send both of these and efficiency outranked their offensive efficiency.
00:07:01
So I think that holds a good edge on why the under.
00:07:05
I don't know why this over steamed up so much, but I think there's some value in it.
00:07:09
On top of that, this is gonna be a slow tempo game, especially with the Minnesota home.
00:07:14
If you haven't watched them home in the bar in this season, they defend their their defense, your steps up a notch compared to on the road.
00:07:22
So with this fishy line, I really don't want to get involved in the spread, because, uh, I just have no idea.
00:07:30
Look, I think both teams have a solid shot at winning this game, even though Minnesota is not ranked in Maryland is.
00:07:35
So I'm gonna lay a sovereign late the money with the other 1 34 and 1/2 for this one.
00:07:43
Three other games.
00:07:44
I'm just gonna hit quick.
00:07:45
These are just more interesting games that I found.
00:07:47
Ah, I don't really have any leans our suggestions on this one, but the 1st 1 is L issue at Florida.
00:07:54
Florida's minus five in this game.
00:07:56
And if you if you watch their previous game against Kentucky, I don't know if it's Kentucky's defense are Florida's in that offense.
00:08:04
But in the second half, at like around the 10 minute mark, it just died.
00:08:08
Florida scored.
00:08:09
I think it was 15 points in the last 10 minutes, and Kentucky just went on a run after run after run.
00:08:15
So l s u uh, with five points is really tempting.
00:08:20
And what I think could be a one possession game and l s u superfan Sam therapy Also things it's going to be, Ah, one possession game.
00:08:29
So if you like the Tigers, I wouldn't, uh, talk you off back in them.
00:08:33
The second game of the night is Ah, nice late game for everyone.
00:08:37
That's a Boise say at you and I will be This is simply is this just a letdown spot for you and I'll be after their huge win.
00:08:43
Um, Boise State is that a team that could potentially make some noise in the Mountain West? Conference of Story? But so let's see what it is.
00:08:53
But, um, Boise State is attempting dog on the road here.
00:08:57
The last game of getting into his SEC game again.
00:09:00
This is Miss Do it, Mandy.
00:09:02
This is just more interesting to me because you got Bandy it plus two at home, which suggests that misuse basically 1 to 1 and 1/2 points. Favorites.
00:09:11
But Mizzou has five SEC Conference went so far, and Bandy only has one.
00:09:16
Bandy's one.
00:09:17
When did come against Ellis? You Sue, Who's more of a top dog in there, but, uh, Missoula Only Uh uh, laying two points on the road.
00:09:26
That looks fishy as well to me.
00:09:27
So I'm definitely not getting involved in that game of the bottom dwellers in the S E.
00:09:32
C s.
00:09:33
So just to recap my picture that for tonight, if anyone has any questions on a game dropping into chat before I log off, I like Marquette minus eight just due to Mac clones.
00:09:43
Ah, question ability for tonight.
00:09:45
He dropped 24 on their previous matchups.
00:09:48
So him being out, I think is the, uh He's a reason why they kept it close in the first meeting.
00:09:53
So I think him being out is gonna play a large factor.
00:09:56
The 2nd 1 is ST Louis minus 13.
00:09:58
Just lay.
00:09:59
And don't watch it if because watching ST Joe's basketball can make you very frustrated this season if you like that, um, the last game is Maryland in Minnesota on their 1 34 and 1/2 thing.
00:10:12
Like I said, this steamed up.
00:10:13
I think it's steamed up too much.
00:10:15
Is is a nice time to buy the under, so I like laying the points and a game where I think it ends, maybe 64 to 60.
00:10:22
You can follow me on Twitter that our east on this score easy.
00:10:27
That's what the easy and you can follow the breakdown.
00:10:29
That's our That's the content.
00:10:32
That's a website, all right, the content for we got all sports covered.
00:10:36
So if you like the XFL, we had an XFL pie go up last night.
00:10:39
We got hockey contact going up all the time on there so you can file them.
00:10:44
That's in the bottom paint on here.
00:10:46
But that's at the underscore PRK DW and enjoy some college hoops tonight.

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