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Clifton Park, NY
Fantasy Football Start'Em / Sit'Em, DFS & Week 13
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00:00:16
what is up, guys? I'm obviously in a way for people to file in here, but I did want to get on here and do some start.
00:00:22
Um, sit down for a fancy football talk some D f s and the games for a week. 13.
00:00:27
Ah, 11. 36.
00:00:29
Right now.
00:00:30
So I think we can get a decent amount of people in here and, you know, discuss and try and, uh, get everyone's lineup situated.
00:00:36
So, um, you know, looking forward to today, you got to legit starting debuts.
00:00:43
I know Devlin Hodges has played, um, this year, but this is like a legit starting debut where they have named him the starter for the Steelers.
00:00:53
Um, I think it's gonna be a lot of fun to watch that as well as Drew Lock the second round pick at a zoo.
00:00:58
Um, who had the privilege of seeing at the Senior Bowl? Who's very impressive lobbyists capability.
00:01:03
And I love his, you know, lively arm.
00:01:05
I think he's gonna get an opportunity to upset the Chargers at home.
00:01:09
Ah, it's gonna be a lot of fun to see those two extremely interested to see how you know my Los Angeles Rams bounced back after getting eviscerated on Monday. Football.
00:01:19
They go against the, uh, you know, the Cardinals in Arizona.
00:01:23
I think that game could go either way.
00:01:25
Um, you know, I think there's a lot of games on today's slate that, um, you know, leave you, you know, excited and and a lot of you know should go on Ah, the playoffs or not yet figured out.
00:01:35
There's a lot that has to go on as well.
00:01:37
As you know, I think the Titans Colts game is huge for the last wild card spots.
00:01:42
A.
00:01:43
The Bills have locked up the fifth spot in the wild card, which I wouldn't say.
00:01:46
I don't think it's a given because I still do have to play the Steelers.
00:01:50
And they're you know, basically their schedule isn't as easy as you would think the rest of the way.
00:01:57
Um, but if you believe that, then you know the six spot in the A. F.
00:02:01
C is really up for grabs, and you have to look at the Steelers.
00:02:04
You have to look at you know, the Raiders today is a must win for the Raiders against Kansas City.
00:02:09
Um, and you know, obviously, it's not an easy match up at all.
00:02:13
And then the night the Titans and Colts were facing each other and pretty much the Colts lose that game.
00:02:19
Ah, they would pretty much packet.
00:02:21
I think that the season's over.
00:02:23
They really have to win in an indie heading against Tennessee.
00:02:27
Who, by the way, Ryan Tannehill has played really well for.
00:02:30
But he's only played in two road games, and in those two road games he has struggled mightily s Oh, I do like, Ah, the Colts in this game.
00:02:38
As long as they can basically make Ryan Tannehill force his own errors and forces home stakes, this is somebody that can run the football.
00:02:46
He's a former wide receiver that was, you know, converted to quarterback.
00:02:50
So we know, obviously the athletic ability that is there.
00:02:53
Ah, but you do have to worry if you're a Titan's fan because he hasn't played well on the road in those two road opportunities.
00:03:01
Ah, what's up? Let me be Frank.
00:03:03
How's it going? Thanks so much for joining the broadcast.
00:03:06
Um, yeah, guys, if you know, if you tuning in, if you could do me a favor and share this around, if you like it also.
00:03:15
Ah, leave some comments.
00:03:16
Just let me know if you have any questions about s****om.
00:03:18
Set him all that.
00:03:19
Be happy to answer them.
00:03:20
Try to help you out, make it a little bit easier.
00:03:23
Um, definitely gonna try and share this around.
00:03:25
So don't mind me for the next, like, second or so.
00:03:27
I'm just gonna throw this over on Ah, Twitter and ah, you know, Facebook.
00:03:33
We'll see if we can get some more people in here, but, uh, today, I definitely, You know, I think there's a lot to be excited for today.
00:03:39
You know, it's kind of just your standard NFL Sunday, Um, coming off a Thanksgiving where you don't have as many games going on, but the games you have going on, uh, there's some exciting ones.
00:03:51
There are a lot of playoff implications on the line today, and, you know, it should be fun.
00:03:55
Um, another one that No, I don't think a lot of people are talking about Ah, and this is the reason I say this is because it's not.
00:04:05
It's not the greatest game on the slate.
00:04:07
I don't think it's gonna beat.
00:04:08
Ah, you know, the Ravens and 40 Niners before ever reason, I feel like just not a lot of people are talking about the Patriots of Taxes, and I feel like that games huge because the Texans can.
00:04:18
In my opinion, I think they win the division.
00:04:20
If they beat the Patriots tonight, which I kind of leaned towards, the fact they do, I really like to Shawn Watson at home.
00:04:27
I like the fact that they have kind of gone towards Carlos Hyde, and he's really shown consistency over the last few weeks at the running back position.
00:04:37
I think they're gonna be able to run the football.
00:04:38
And I think because of dish on Watson's escape ability and because of his overall mobility, I think he is going to be able to make enough plays to beat the Patriots team, where their offense has kind of fallen off a little bit.
00:04:51
Ah, you can see the age of starting to someone affect Tom Brady.
00:04:54
At least in the regular season.
00:04:55
We'll see how the postseason goes.
00:04:57
Um, and I do think if they get in a kind of a shootout, I think the taxes we're gonna win that game.
00:05:02
That's kind of where I see this game going.
00:05:04
I think you know the way Houston is played this year.
00:05:07
They've kind of been spotty, and they did get blown out by the Ravens.
00:05:10
I don't think the Patriots there's goes the Ravens, and for that reason, I do think the Texans put it away tonight on some a football sit, I think.
00:05:24
Interesting.
00:05:25
If if you are looking at D.
00:05:27
F s and you're trying to figure out who to play quarterback because you after weigh your options for those, either play fanduel Ah, and draftkings you have to weigh your options because right now you could play Drew lock and you can go all in on Drew lock for 6000.
00:05:42
It would.
00:05:43
It would really, um, you know, free up a lot of room as far as you know, the cap room that you have to maybe selected, you know, Ah, Tyree.
00:05:50
Kill and maybe add another receiver next him cause I feel like Tyree kills a must play today.
00:05:55
Uh, four Kansas City and I know a lot of people are going to say Play Patrick home, stack him, stack a hill and stack Kelsey and I would disagree with this.
00:06:05
And the reason why is if you, you know, if you're doing a cash lineup, he's 100% gotta be in there.
00:06:10
That's pretty much chalk.
00:06:11
But if you're not, then I would really look to win a tournament.
00:06:15
And the way I'm doing this is I'm gonna do it based on, you know, ownership percentage and projected ownership percentage in.
00:06:23
I'll say this right now, Patrick, home's gonna be owned by more than half of the field.
00:06:27
Ah, so you're not going to fade? Patch Well, Holmes in the hope that everyone picks him and that he busts because he's not gonna have a bad game against Oakland.
00:06:36
He's just not, um, but at the same time, you know, they're paying a hefty price, and they might have, you know, some cheaper options at the back end of their lineup.
00:06:45
And you might be able to afford Maur s o.
00:06:47
I would lean towards, um you know, the the cheaper options.
00:06:51
I like Sam Darnold who's a little cheaper.
00:06:54
Um, I do like dabbling Hodges against the Cleveland Browns.
00:06:57
I like that he's playing at home.
00:06:59
I like his price at 6800 Jew lock is interesting.
00:07:03
At 6000 you wouldn't play Drew lock in one line up.
00:07:06
Like, if you're doing multiple lineups.
00:07:08
That is when you'd want to just give it a shot with your lock.
00:07:11
Um, I think the two highest scoring players today are probably going to be McCaffrey and Tyree kill.
00:07:17
And for that reason, I think that 100% have to be in your lineup.
00:07:21
Um, and the thing is, you can have guys internee that everyone else has, but you have to make sure you d like you have to deviate from the rest.
00:07:29
You have to have other guys that aren't, you know, well owned.
00:07:32
And I think because of that, you have a good opportunity.
00:07:36
Um, you know, in my opinion, anyway, with you know, somebody like Hodges where right now.
00:07:42
Awesome.
00:07:43
Oh, projects that he's going to be 00.
00:07:44
2% owned in fanduel.
00:07:46
So I think that gives you an opportunity there If you use Devlin Hodges, um then you know he's not gonna be owned by a lot of you know, people you're riding on him getting at least over 20 points.
00:07:58
If he gets over 20 points with this mobility and just hit, you know, the fact that he is not afraid to throw it deep down the field.
00:08:05
He's got guys with James Washington Deante Johnson that could help them as well as Deon Cain has come on strong over the last week or so.
00:08:12
So I think that would definitely be an interesting back there.
00:08:16
But the weird thing is there are guys like Jared Goff that are rated really high.
00:08:21
They're like in the seventh, you know, 7900 range.
00:08:24
And those guys, I wouldn't talk with the time foot pole because they're not even cheap.
00:08:28
Like Mahomes.
00:08:29
I get because people are looking at it as though you know he's not the 21,000 Mahomes that you're used to seeing.
00:08:36
He is like, legitimately in the 8000 range because of his injuries, and I think that does make him a very interesting play.
00:08:44
But by doing that again, you're really going to have to lower uh, you know, your line up as the whole, like what I would want to do is have Devlin in there, and then that way you can afford McCaffrey.
00:08:55
And I think Girlie is a great play.
00:08:56
It I think, of 7400 for the Rams.
00:08:59
I think the Rams are gonna have to run the football if they want to be Arizona.
00:09:03
I do think Todd Gurley would gets the the job done, and so I think he's a really good play.
00:09:07
Is was Levi on Belle? I like Darius guys today.
00:09:10
I like Benny Snell.
00:09:11
He's 6100 so it's a little higher than I would like.
00:09:15
But I do like Ah, Benny cell for the Steelers and, ah, he's gonna start to.
00:09:20
They're gonna use Jalen Samuels, who started when James Connor was out previously.
00:09:25
Um, they're gonna use him.
00:09:26
It's the third down option receiving options, so you could also use him at 5500.
00:09:30
That would definitely be okay, um, for other running backs.
00:09:34
You know, when you're playing a rookie quarterback into playing in his first game, you might want to you know these things up for him, you know, in the passing game and just get things like comfortable for him.
00:09:45
And for that reason, I think Philip Lindsay's in an interesting play.
00:09:48
Ah, because he can kind of look over to Phillip Lindsay and kind of dump it off and get himself comfortable.
00:09:53
Drew lock I'm talking about.
00:09:55
Ah, so that's an interesting one there.
00:09:57
Um, Mile Sanders is thesis and highest projected by Awesome oh dot com.
00:10:03
He's the second highest projected.
00:10:05
Ah, projected the ownership, and I find it really interesting.
00:10:10
I like Miles Sanders.
00:10:12
I want to play Mile Sanders.
00:10:13
I think I will.
00:10:14
My only reservations.
00:10:16
Yes, Jordan Howard is out.
00:10:18
But this Eagles team last week showed you that they do like J. J.
00:10:22
Still, and J J is still good enough to have a good game.
00:10:25
And if he gets off to a good start and Mile Sanders struggles, we've seen Doug Peterson.
00:10:29
You know, place Mile Sanders on, you know the bench and kind of go with the hot hand.
00:10:34
And that's my biggest worry.
00:10:36
And I think that should be everyone's biggest.
00:10:37
Worry is, do you fade? Or do you actually play Mile Sanders at 5800 price point? I think you know that price point is really intriguing.
00:10:45
It's really attractive, but the same time you always have to keep in mind if most of the field is gonna play him it seems like the obvious match up against me in Miami.
00:10:53
You might want to just fade him and hope like he has a you know, a rough game.
00:10:56
And and, you know, maybe JoJo comes in because then you're eliminating half of the field from, you know, winning it.
00:11:02
So you have to keep that in mind.
00:11:04
I do like Cooper Cup against Arizona.
00:11:06
I think the Rams really, really like Cooper Cup, and I think they know that now.
00:11:10
The rest of the ways the must wins while they are going to run the football.
00:11:14
I think if they have Jared Goff the well, he's going to throw it to who is most comfortable with.
00:11:18
And by far it is Cooper Cup, who is by far the most targeted receiver on this team.
00:11:24
It's not even close.
00:11:25
Um, the interesting one here is tight end because of you guys are looking for tight ends to play.
00:11:32
Um, no one is talking about it, but I would actually go Kaidan Smith.
00:11:35
Ah, he is 4000 years.
00:11:38
4000.
00:11:39
That's nothing.
00:11:41
He is 4000 on fanduel right now, And he is Ah, he's on the Giants.
00:11:45
He was on the 40 Niners.
00:11:46
He was drafted at Stanford.
00:11:48
Ah, guy that I really liked a lot.
00:11:50
A top five tight end on my board coming out of the draft.
00:11:53
But Kaidan Smith, this somebody that I think is very talented is somebody that has more of a 6 to 18 range.
00:12:01
We're talking six points as like a boss.
00:12:03
Day 18 is a boom and maybe even more.
00:12:06
We'll see.
00:12:07
Daniel Jones still likes to rely on his tight ends, and both his tight ends happen to be out today.
00:12:12
Ah, you're looking at Evan Ingraham.
00:12:13
He's out as well as, um, you have Ah, Ellison.
00:12:18
He's out as well.
00:12:19
So Kaidan Smith by virtue will start.
00:12:22
Um, and Kate and Smith did get in the end zone last week.
00:12:25
So I do like that.
00:12:26
You know, he has that mo mentum riding into this week against Green Bay who, you know, if they want to win this game on, don't have to win this game.
00:12:32
Does not really playing for anything but pride at this point.
00:12:35
Ah, but Kaidan Smith is definitely a good option at least maybe you're in garbage time if you want.
00:12:40
If you're somebody like that that wants to rely on some garbage time production.
00:12:44
Kaidan Smith could help, but I think Ken Smith is going to be a part of this offense, and I do think Daniel Jones going to target him.
00:12:51
I project him six catches, 62 yards and a touchdown.
00:12:54
So I think he's gonna have a good game today, kind of around the 18 to 20 range of points, and he's at at a ridiculous price. 200.4000.
00:13:02
So, uh, you know, I feel like he needs to be a more lineups.
00:13:05
Another guy that I like today is Greg Olson, 5100.
00:13:09
I think Greg Olson comes to the table as somebody that's very reliable.
00:13:13
He's not a Kaidan Smith, where you're worried about him busting at six points.
00:13:18
I think if he busts, it's gonna be like nine points.
00:13:20
And Olson could go off a CZ well, because Olson has that connection with Kyle Allen.
00:13:27
And I do think Olson he's always had that ability to, you know, take it to the house and you know, he's a very talented tight and he's getting up there in age and, you know, don't get me wrong You know, he will be retiring soon, but I still like him on.
00:13:41
I like that price point in de f s, especially with guys like Gerald Everett ruled out another guy.
00:13:48
Um, you know, I'm probably say Dallas Goddard is another guy that you would have to keep in mind because, you know, Zach Ertz is probably gonna play.
00:13:55
Um, but he's hurt, he's banged up, and if you know he's bearing up, they're gonna look to play.
00:14:01
Um, you know Dallas Carter.
00:14:02
I think some more snaps and I do like Godard.
00:14:05
I know people would also say, because Gerald ever it's out for the Rams.
00:14:08
You could go Tyler Higbee.
00:14:10
I think that's a little bit of a risk. I know.
00:14:12
Ah, Arizona is allowing the most, um, the most tight end yards or whatever. They're like 30 seconds.
00:14:18
But here's my biggest Worry is is it's Gerry Goff.
00:14:21
Uh, can Jared Goff, you know, give it to Tyler Higbee like, will he feed Tyler be to The thing is, Higby doesn't get enough targets for me.
00:14:30
Any super touchdown dependent for me even consider him in D. F s.
00:14:34
Another guy, Ryan Griffin for the Jets I think Ryan Griffin is somebody going up against Cincinnati that has a favorable matchup.
00:14:42
I do like Ryan Griffey got in the end zone last week, somebody that just got paid.
00:14:47
So they clearly like him.
00:14:48
Ah, and with Chris Hernan out for the year, he is the guy.
00:14:51
I know that Sam Darnold has relied Aton on Crowder and Anderson, but he's also looked at Griffin in the end zone.
00:14:58
Griffin is kind of a red zone option at this point, and for that reason I would probably say he's more than touchdown dependent, like I think he could do more than that.
00:15:06
Ah, but I think he's more likely to get in the end zone.
00:15:09
Then say Anderson or Crowder, unless they throw over the top.
00:15:13
It's a big play s.
00:15:14
So for that reason, I think Griffin is definitely a good option as well.
00:15:18
So you got your know you're tight ends there.
00:15:20
Ah, you know, Flex plays also interesting as well, because, you know, I I tend to lean like Larry Fitzgerald is a Ram killer.
00:15:27
He always does well against the Rams.
00:15:28
He's had kind of a rough year this year.
00:15:31
Ah, but I do think that, you know, they could rely heavy on him.
00:15:34
Um, and later Fitzgerald for, you know, in the 5000 range is still a cheap option to go with him.
00:15:40
Ah, to be honest, though, by stack of the day, I would probably say it's the Steelers.
00:15:45
Um, by the way, thank you so much for the tip.
00:15:47
Uh, well, I OSHA I just saw that.
00:15:50
So I appreciate that.
00:15:51
Um, my my biggest stack today is the Steelers, and I know people are gonna call me crazy.
00:15:55
Um, you know, everybody's saying, Don't play him.
00:15:58
But I'm playing Devlin, Doc Hodges, and I'm playing James Washington, and I'm playing deante Johnson, and I'm not even gonna play their defense.
00:16:04
So I'm stacking four Steelers in my defense line up.
00:16:07
I think that Devlin Hodges is gonna throw for Well, he's got a total of three touchdowns.
00:16:12
Whether he throws for what, you know, two of them and runs for one or not.
00:16:16
I do think love three touchdowns.
00:16:17
I think the Steelers beat the Cleveland Browns today.
00:16:20
Um, and I do like, you know, overall what you get out of Hodges Justus.
00:16:24
Escape ability.
00:16:25
The fact he's absolutely fearless will throw down the field.
00:16:28
I know people are worried about him averaging five yards per pass, but I think he had a whole week.
00:16:33
This is the first time he had a whole week to prepare as the legitimate starter.
00:16:37
Not somebody that's filling in for Mason Rudolph, somebody that has surpassed Mason Rudolph in the eyes of the coaches.
00:16:43
So I think because of that he had the whole week to prepare with the first team.
00:16:47
Um, and he's going up against the Browns.
00:16:49
There's a lot of heat there.
00:16:50
I think this is huge opportunity for Devlin Hodges, but on top of it, James Washington is really coming into his own.
00:16:57
He caught a huge touchdown last week where, you know, obviously from Hodges.
00:17:01
But you know, hajis didn't do all the work.
00:17:03
Ah, he's a really nice ball.
00:17:05
But you know, James Washington literally trucked over Ah B W Webb and ran into the end zone.
00:17:10
So I like his, you know, upside there.
00:17:12
I think he's got a big days.
00:17:13
Was the octave Johnson, um you know, their third round pick? I think Deonte Johnson is somebody that 100% has you know, maybe the quickest release off the line of scrimmage, somebody that could, you know, test deep down the field.
00:17:25
Um, s O I know, like, you know, Deon Cain will probably have his ah production.
00:17:29
And maybe you get some production advance Joseph and Benny snails going to start, so maybe he gets production.
00:17:34
Ah, you know, past catching out of the backfield and Jalen Samuels.
00:17:37
But I think if you're going to stack stealer State, which I think you should, because I think the the opportunity is there the Steelers defense that 3700 give me.
00:17:46
I think that is the best value for defense.
00:17:49
I think that they can disrupt Baker, Mayfield and the Browns offense and just wreak havoc.
00:17:53
Ah, bless their at home.
00:17:55
Ah, but you know, on top of that, I like Devlin's price 37000.6800.
00:17:59
I like that.
00:18:00
Um, Washington is in the low 6000 and I like that no matter what, do you have to? Johnson stays in the 5000 range.
00:18:07
I think that is that is a huge value point.
00:18:10
And I think that the Steelers are probably the best stack option they now are they you know, 100%.
00:18:16
The most like, surefire thing.
00:18:18
No, but I think it's faras values concerned.
00:18:21
And if you want to get risky and hope it pay, you know, pays off.
00:18:24
And if you're doing tournament, you 100% should stack the Steelers.
00:18:30
Appreciate the tip.
00:18:31
Cat lady. Thank you so much.
00:18:35
Um, let's see what we got here.
00:18:46
I forgot to share the I was, uh I meant to post it on Facebook and Twitter, and I forgot because I got on this whole rant thing.
00:18:54
Well, yeah, guys, seriously, leave some comments, Let me know.
00:18:57
Um, you know, if I'm doing anything that you'd like me to not do if I'm doing too much of something or if you have any suggestions or if you need any help with GFS or fancy football, I don't consider myself an expert, but I do appreciate you guys, uh, you know, watching me, I do take myself very seriously.
00:19:13
And I do try to do my homework and, ah, you know, keep up to date with everything, so I wouldn't call myself a 100% ****ytical expert.
00:19:21
Um, if you do want that, I would definitely suggest awesome.
00:19:24
Oh, I think they do Phenomenal job with GFS.
00:19:26
But, um, I'm always here to help in that regard because I think it's a lot of fun.
00:19:31
And I know a lot of people have questions about who they should start.
00:19:34
They shouldn't all that.
00:19:35
So, you know, that's always interesting there, Um, as faras the game's ticket today.
00:19:41
I do want to get some participation on this.
00:19:43
If so, um, is there any team that you would say is on severe upset alert today? Throwing in the comment section, I want to know who you think is like severely on upset alert because I know you could make the argument that, like the 40 Niners upset like it's an upset against the Ravens.
00:20:05
But like that, I don't I wouldn't call that upset alert.
00:20:08
I would say, like, Do you think the Dolphins beat the Eagles? That would be an upset because no one has.
00:20:14
That should be interesting.
00:20:17
We'll, you know, we'll see Ryan Fitzpatrick gives them an opportunity.
00:20:19
I still think the Eagles win, but, you know, that's kind of how I see that I'm sharing it right now.
00:21:02
Not very talkative bunch, are you? No, Nonetheless, I appreciate you guys tuning in and watching me speak about football.
00:21:10
It's very interesting that people actually care which I appreciate again, I'm so, uh, you know, just looking at this slate.
00:21:21
I do think that I you know, I'll go through and I will talk about each game, and I think we'll end with that says now, 12th and, ah, were there and, um no s****om said, um, it's kind of like a but, uh, Right now we'll go.
00:21:38
We'll start with the first game.
00:21:41
Police on my list.
00:21:43
Jets Bangles.
00:21:45
So the Jets here four and seven, going up against the Owen 11 Bangles, and they're gonna be on 12.
00:21:51
I really like the Jets in this game.
00:21:53
I like the way they played against the Raiders.
00:21:55
I love the way Sam Darnold it's playing.
00:21:57
Confidence is growing.
00:21:58
You have lady on Belle.
00:22:00
The receiver group seems to be coming alive, and that defense is definitely coming alive.
00:22:04
So I have the Jets, 31 10 over the Bangles on the road.
00:22:09
I really like the way the Jets are playing, not a huge fan, Adam Gates.
00:22:12
Ah, but I do like the way the dresser playing, and they're gonna be a tough out the rest of the way.
00:22:16
They do go up against the Steelers so they could make a run at a you know, a late run at the playoffs.
00:22:24
Titans Colts went over this.
00:22:26
I think Titans win both six and five.
00:22:29
Whoever loses, I think is going on, they're not officially eliminated.
00:22:32
But I would say I would not pick them to make the playoffs.
00:22:36
Ah, I like the Titans.
00:22:37
I do think Tannehill struggles on the road.
00:22:40
Um, you know, it's kind of evidence, but I think that they're gonna pound the rock with Derrick Henry.
00:22:45
And I think that the defense is going to stifle the Colts, who really happened with the same since the knee injury that Jacoby percent suffered.
00:22:53
So it's really unfortunate there, there without a tonic guys on that offense, including two Hyland s.
00:22:59
Oh, I do like Italians in this one.
00:23:02
Eagles, Dolphins.
00:23:04
We just talked about this Dolphins air hosting the Eagles two and nine, the Eagles or five and six, the Eels or 10 point favorites.
00:23:12
And I may not pick them when that big, but, um, I'm gonna pick the Eagles and this one.
00:23:18
I do think that the Eagles bounce back from a rough team last week, the game that they totally had every opportunity to win.
00:23:27
No matter how bad that they played.
00:23:28
Amara May times they gave up the football.
00:23:30
They had every opportunity with a football game.
00:23:33
Ah, I think the Eagles need to get back in the win column.
00:23:35
I think they do it against the Dolphins.
00:23:37
Don't think it's a great game.
00:23:38
I think it's pretty sloppy.
00:23:40
I'm looking at 26 13 Eagles, so I guess they do cover the spread.
00:23:45
But, um, you know, I think it's just gonna be one of those ugly games, and at the end, they probably just get on a roll and and get going a mile.
00:23:53
Sanders has a good game, and you know, I'm not too high on the Eagle.
00:23:56
I'm really high in the defense.
00:23:57
The defense has been playing very well and they only hold Um, you know that the Dolphins in this 1 to 13 points, So I think that those settle for that.
00:24:06
We got the Packers and Giants Packers are eight and three Giants or two and nine.
00:24:10
This is a huge game for the Packers, who were six and 1/2 point favorites on the road.
00:24:14
Um, here's the thing.
00:24:15
The Packers, they did not look good against 40 Niners last week. Not at all.
00:24:20
Um, and they're now they really 100% have to win this game, and they should.
00:24:25
I mean, it's the Giants.
00:24:26
Giants haven't really played all that well, um, you know, I don't see why they lose this game, but they need to.
00:24:32
It's 100%.
00:24:33
So I think you're gonna see a lot.
00:24:36
Ah, heavy dose of D r Davante Adams, who is kind of they've kind of gone away from, um, you know, earlier in the year, I felt like Davante Adams was the focal point of this offense.
00:24:45
But then you saw Jamal Williams.
00:24:48
You saw Aaron Green, you know, kind of take over and have, you know, give them more of an opportunity.
00:24:53
Um, so, you know, I do think that the Packers will win this football game.
00:24:58
I'm interested to see how the Giants play.
00:25:00
I think the Giants will still be annoying, you know, to you know, Packers fans.
00:25:03
I think they'll still be in the game.
00:25:06
Daniel Jones give them the opportunity to keep the game alive with his mobility.
00:25:09
And I like the way the defense displayed.
00:25:11
I thought they did a nice job against Chicago.
00:25:14
Um, unfortunately, they blew that game, but, um, I'm gonna take the Packers here. Take him.
00:25:19
27 to 10.
00:25:21
Packers went So Steelers Browns is a really interesting game.
00:25:26
Basically, the season's over at the Browns lose and the Steelers season.
00:25:31
I think it's over if they lose this Well, so, uh, it's a five and 16 versus 65 team.
00:25:37
Um, Cleveland needs this game, but I think the Steelers need this game.
00:25:42
Just this bunch.
00:25:43
Uh, so it's interestingly enough, the Cleveland Browns are off to a better start now.
00:25:48
Um, you know, they're finding the rhythm on offense.
00:25:51
I still don't love the play calling.
00:25:53
I still think Freddie Kitchens holds them back.
00:25:56
And the defense without miles scare.
00:25:58
It is definitely, uh, noticeable.
00:26:01
Um, it's not as good.
00:26:03
So I was really interested the way they came out strong against the Dolphins.
00:26:08
They looked very confident about the same time that the Dolphins back in the game, and albeit they finished it off and made the score, not end up looking that close.
00:26:17
Dolphins Still, we're driving.
00:26:18
It had chances at the end, the game or forcing turnovers.
00:26:21
Some Baker Mayfield.
00:26:23
So the way I see it is that the Steelers get the job done at home.
00:26:26
I think Devlin Hodges has three total touchdowns, and I think that Benny Snell has a good game.
00:26:31
Overall, the Steelers defense is a lot better than Cleveland Browns defense, and they're one of the best in the league right now.
00:26:37
I think they force turnovers on Baker Mayfield, and they win this game 30 to 20.
00:26:42
I like the way the Steelers were going.
00:26:44
I think that they had to make the change to uh, Devlin Hodges.
00:26:48
I think if they make it sooner, they might have one more win.
00:26:51
Mason Rudolph has not been the same since that injury, and who can blame him? The injury was brutal.
00:26:56
Hit was brutal, but he has just not been the same.
00:26:59
I think Hodges gives without Pouncey who is suspended.
00:27:02
Um, the center.
00:27:04
You're gonna have more pressure on the quarterback up middle.
00:27:08
So because of that, I do think that's them.
00:27:10
They had a hard time.
00:27:11
Ah you know, finishing off the Bangles.
00:27:13
And then, you know, Devlin came in, threw a touchdown.
00:27:16
I'm on the third play of that, Dr.
00:27:18
So I do like Devlin. Hodges.
00:27:20
Take care of business in this one, and the Steelers defense holds.
00:27:23
Ah, the you know, the Browns forced to turn to turnovers, and they went 30 to 20.
00:27:30
Redskins Panthers.
00:27:32
So we have five and six Panthersfirst.
00:27:34
The two and nine Redskins Panthers are 11 point favorites.
00:27:38
I think people are really sleeping on the Redskins.
00:27:40
I think they're playing better.
00:27:42
I don't think they're amazing, but I think they're playing better.
00:27:44
I think they have a better team in the record shows.
00:27:47
Um, part of the reason, I think when you make a coaching change in the middle of the year disrupts the whole thing.
00:27:52
When you make a quarterback change when you have to make a quarterback change, that also disrupts the flow of things and just the overall fact that it's the Redskins organization and that I just don't think there are probably a lot of players out there that don't want to play for that organization because they're just it's just not a good it's not greatly run.
00:28:10
Um, I mean, the president, the organization didn't even understand that, you know, the starting quarterback at the time, Kurt, are Kirk cousins? They called him Kurt, Huh? So that that is never I've never gotten over that.
00:28:22
But I think the Redskins, they put up a decent fight.
00:28:25
I do have Carolina winning 27 24 but I think that the Redskins are gonna be in this game more than people think.
00:28:31
I know what they're on the road.
00:28:32
But I like the way that Haskins is starting to play.
00:28:36
And, you know, here's the thing.
00:28:37
I think people that just box score, watch.
00:28:39
You're going to say that he's struggling, but and, you know, rightfully so.
00:28:42
Here's a rookie.
00:28:43
Maybe he is.
00:28:44
But I also like some of the things I'm seeing the pocket mobility.
00:28:47
Um, and I don't think he's got a time ability.
00:28:50
But the fact that he's able to kind of step up in the pocket, you know, manipulate the pocket, find throwing lanes and most importantly, you know, keep plays alive.
00:28:59
And I think it's really important because they have Terry McLaurin, a guy that is, you know, he operates so well as a route runner.
00:29:05
But he's so great, you know, his improvisational skills are off the charts, in my opinion.
00:29:10
So I think he always keeps the play alive.
00:29:12
And, you know, his ball skills are, you know, tremendous.
00:29:15
Um, so this is somebody that he has experience playing with that Ohio State.
00:29:19
So I actually really like him.
00:29:21
Um, I think he's going to be in one of the best receivers in the league at some point.
00:29:25
I like the way Calvin Harmon's playing.
00:29:27
Don't be surprised if he ends up starting next year.
00:29:31
I think he has kind of taken over.
00:29:33
I don't think Paul Richardson is nearly as good.
00:29:35
Um, And then Kelvin Harmon gives you something, you know, as far as just, um, he's got hands.
00:29:41
You know, this is somebody that I felt was top two top three round pick and you went late in the draft.
00:29:48
So, you know, I definitely think the Redskins have some pieces there.
00:29:52
I think Haskins with every game is only gonna get better.
00:29:55
Um, this is not a game.
00:29:56
He wins, but, you know, they come close.
00:29:58
I like Kyle Allen a swell kind.
00:30:01
Allow this kind of hit or miss.
00:30:02
He has some games where he looks really good, have some games, re struggles.
00:30:06
I find when you're at home and you're a young quarterback like that, you're Robbie slugger.
00:30:10
In your element, you have more of an opportunity to win.
00:30:12
Um, and just, you know, play to your strength.
00:30:14
I think they use Christian McCaffrey and kind of, you know, use him all over the Redskins.
00:30:19
But I think the Redskins defense has shown you some things as well.
00:30:23
So I have 27.
00:30:24
24 Karolina Aah! And you know, I'm really interested to see Haskins the rest of the way because I do like him as quarterback.
00:30:30
Use my number two quarterback coming out.
00:30:32
Ah, so definitely think he is very impressive.
00:30:35
Um, you know, he's an impressive prospect, and we'll see as his development continues.
00:30:40
Um, moving on.
00:30:41
We have the Buccaneers and Jaguars Foreign seven versus four and seven.
00:30:45
I have the Buccaneers.
00:30:46
It's not much of a road game because it's still in Florida.
00:30:49
Um, you know, the Buccaneers still have to travel cross country or anything with that, and they've already proven they went right to L.
00:30:54
A and they through 55 up on the Rams.
00:30:57
Um, so I do like the Buccaneers and this one.
00:31:00
I don't really like the clothes.
00:31:01
It'll I think Nick Foles has kind of held back the Jaguars.
00:31:04
Ah, if you're my honest opinion, I think Leonard Fournette is having a really good season.
00:31:08
Unfortunately, they bench Baker.
00:31:10
They're not Baker, uh, gardener Minshew.
00:31:14
And I think that's slowing them off a little bit.
00:31:16
Deejay carcass.
00:31:17
Still having a phenomenal season as there Premier Number one receiver.
00:31:20
Um, but Tim Bay also has some great receiving production out of Chris Goblin and Mike Evans.
00:31:26
And, ah, you know they're running back six.
00:31:28
Situation is still kind of up in the air, you know, we'll see how Ronald Jones does.
00:31:32
I think he'll lead the team in rushing for that game.
00:31:35
He's pretty much the starter, but you know, you never know.
00:31:37
The defense is playing a little bit better.
00:31:40
They're not quite the team that would give up 50.
00:31:42
Um, like they were accustomed to in the past and I don't think they're doing that Falls.
00:31:47
I think they'll beat falls.
00:31:48
And I think this game honestly turns ugly, you know, Tampa still has those games were like, Okay, that's the Tampa Bay Buccaneers that I was expecting with Bruce Arians.
00:31:58
They don't always do.
00:31:59
I expect this one to be 31 13.
00:32:01
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 40 Niners Ravens.
00:32:06
This is Ah, this is the interesting 1 40 Niners, 10 and one, Ravens or nine And too many would say these are the two best teams in the league in Baltimore.
00:32:15
I don't really give the 40 Niners much of an opportunity to win this game and maybe I'm wrong.
00:32:19
But I just don't think that anybody is gonna be Baltimore in Baltimore and it just don't see it.
00:32:24
Ah, the Patriots did not look good.
00:32:26
Um, and I think the 40 Niners are kind of gonna be the same once again.
00:32:30
You don't know how to stop Lamar Jackson until you play Lamar Jackson and then you still don't know I stop it.
00:32:35
I don't care how good this this defensive line is.
00:32:37
I don't care how good Nick Bosa and Derek Armstead and you know all those guys were playing Solomon.
00:32:41
Thomas Ah, you know, divorced Doctor.
00:32:43
I don't really care d ford.
00:32:45
Um, because Lamar Jackson is going to give them every opportunity when this football game.
00:32:50
And to be honest, I have them winning by 10.
00:32:52
Um, I think the Ravens are better offense.
00:32:54
They have a better defense.
00:32:56
The Ravens defense right now is going for the jugular.
00:32:59
Ever since they added markets Peter's, they've really just come into their own.
00:33:04
They have guys, you know up front that aren't going to allow to having Coleman around the football, and it seems like breed is out.
00:33:11
So it's gonna be Tevin Coleman and it's gonna be where he most erred and probably Jeffrey Wilson.
00:33:16
I do like the Ravens chances of stopping the run if that's the case and then the passing game.
00:33:21
I think Jimmy Garoppolo is like solid, but I don't think he is anything like super special.
00:33:27
I don't think he's going to be able to make plays that aren't there and, you know, you know, make the receivers around him better.
00:33:33
I think he's good with what he has around him.
00:33:35
So I think the Ravens can take that away.
00:33:37
And I do think that, uh you know, the way the Ravens defense is playing, I think they're gonna frustrate Jimmy G.
00:33:43
So I have 27.
00:33:44
17 Ravens? Um, not quite the highest scoring game that you'll see from the Ravens, but I do think that scoring 27 points against a really good 40 Niners defense is something to be proud of.
00:33:56
So I think the Ravens do win it in Baltimore.
00:33:59
So let's see what we got here.
00:34:03
We have Rams Cardinals now being a Rams fan.
00:34:09
The whole week I had the Cardinals winning, I just didn't have any confidence coming out of that game.
00:34:17
I just felt like they kind of like kicked the can.
00:34:19
But, you know, that's recency Bias.
00:34:23
You give it a ah, not a week.
00:34:24
But you give it, you know, later on in the week to kind of, you know, marinate and you realize, Look, the Rams, we're still not out of the playoffs.
00:34:32
They're six and five, and I mean, they have to win out, but they're still now the playoffs.
00:34:37
The 40 Niners could lose.
00:34:39
They can win one game, and they keep in mind.
00:34:42
They go up against the Ravens, so I have them losing two.
00:34:44
They go up against the Saints, they have to play the Rams again.
00:34:46
They have to play the Seahawks.
00:34:48
And really, the only game that I think that they 100% without a doubt will win is the Falcons game.
00:34:53
So that's Ah, the realm of possibility is, was the CLC Hawkes.
00:34:57
You have to play the Rams again.
00:34:58
They have to be the 40 Niners again.
00:35:00
They have to play the Vikings this weekend.
00:35:02
So that's not easy, either.
00:35:04
Ah, the Rams.
00:35:05
They do have to take care of business one game at a time.
00:35:07
Then Cuyler, Murray and Cliff Kingsbury.
00:35:10
They're playing with the best times they would play him.
00:35:12
Ramps were playing a team that is a lot better than the record.
00:35:16
They're playing a team that is a very, ah, they will play until the final whistle, and they're playing a team that is playing a rookie quarterback and has a rookie head coach.
00:35:26
But we're now in Week 13 when they're finally playing, so I think it's a really good opportunity for the Cardinals. Now.
00:35:32
Think the rookie jitters were out of Kyle and Murray by now, and I think that Cliff Kingsbury is, you know, finding himself as a play caller in the NFL.
00:35:40
Um you know, to this point.
00:35:41
So I think earlier in the year of the Rams probably would've stomped all over them.
00:35:44
Um, especially early in the year, because the rains actually looked really good earlier in the year.
00:35:48
Uh, but in this game, I don't see that happening.
00:35:52
It's a really close ballgame.
00:35:53
17 14 Rams.
00:35:55
I think that this game is gonna be one, and really, it's going to be based on running the football and it's gonna be with Todd Gurley.
00:36:03
Uh, you could have Jared Goff, you know, have a solid game, but I don't think he's gonna have a great game.
00:36:08
I just think at this point you're not doing anything more than average golf, which is fine.
00:36:12
The Rams just have to run the football and use exactly what they did last year that got them to the Super Bowl.
00:36:17
And when golf all of a sudden, his play dropped immensely, they turned to Todd Gurley and CJ Anderson, and this year I think they need to turn to Todd Gurley and Malcolm Brown, the same formula to help them beat Carolina on the road week one of the season.
00:36:33
So 17 14 Ramses, what I have Chargers, Broncos four and seven Charges taken on three and eight Broncos Chargers are technically going to be the favorite at three and 1/2.
00:36:45
Um, I take the Broncos.
00:36:47
It's kind of you don't really know what to expect.
00:36:49
I drew Lock, but I you know, going back and watching the film from his preseason and just his film from Mizzou.
00:36:55
Uh, his escape ability, how big he is is lively arm somebody that operates well in the pocket outside the pocket can run.
00:37:05
Um, and I think, you know, the Chargers getting Derwin James back are definitely in the driver's seat to cause some turnovers for lock.
00:37:11
But, you know, I think that all the Broncos really need to do is just dumb down the game plan, Um, you know, let you lock, make the throws that air there.
00:37:19
If they're not, you know, let's have him throw it out of the backfield, check down things like that toe.
00:37:25
Lindsay and Royce Freeman help him out a little bit, and I think that's what they'll do.
00:37:29
Think Courtland saw and catches a touchdown in this one.
00:37:31
Block probably throws for two touchdowns and, ah, Denver wins 20 to 13.
00:37:39
All right, so Raiders Chiefs is the last game, and it's the 4 25 slot Chiefs or 11 point favorites.
00:37:47
I tend to lean towards the chief's blowing out the Raiders.
00:37:51
The Raiders got blown out last week against the Jets.
00:37:53
Don't think it gets any better.
00:37:55
Unfortunately, the Raiders were dealing with some injuries, but I also think they're dealing with a lackluster quarterback.
00:38:00
And Derek are.
00:38:01
I don't think he's really done much this year.
00:38:03
I think that, you know, the defense has spend surprisingly Neil solid.
00:38:07
They've gotten some great contributions out of their picks and mainly, uh, speaking, they have guys like Max Crosby.
00:38:14
Ah, that had four sacks in the game.
00:38:16
Ah, front of the podcast is, well, Max Crosby.
00:38:19
But, um, you know, I like the way the Raiders were running the football.
00:38:24
They seem to be going away from that.
00:38:25
Which it, um you know, Josh Jacobs and I feel like they're kind of putting themselves in position to blow games.
00:38:30
And so I just don't think that they can keep up with Kansas City scoring at all.
00:38:35
Um, I'm gonna say they lose 30. Eat 17.
00:38:39
Um, yeah, I just think this is Kansas City's opportunity.
00:38:42
It's now or never.
00:38:43
Kansas City is a seven and four ball club, and if they lose this game there now seven and five, a 100% have to win this to win the division.
00:38:52
And I think they get it done.
00:38:54
The last game of today, we won't talk about the money, a football game.
00:38:57
We'll talk about tonight's, though, Uh, the last game is going to be the Texans at home facing the Patriots.
00:39:05
And this is the interesting one, because this is so huge that this gave me so much.
00:39:11
If the Patriots lose this game and the Ravens win, the Ravens lock up.
00:39:17
Well, they don't lock up because they're plenty games left, but the Ravens would take over the first seed, and that's huge because everyone's talking about Lamar Jackson going to Foxboro.
00:39:26
But what if that doesn't happen? Um, this is the one game on the Patriots schedule that is really not easy.
00:39:33
The rest of the games were kind of easier.
00:39:35
Uh, and this game is on so many football last time, their own something that football Lamar Jackson ran all over them.
00:39:42
This game, However.
00:39:43
Ah, I don't see that happening.
00:39:46
I don't see a blowout, but I do see ah, win in a shootout.
00:39:51
Um, and not by the Patriots.
00:39:52
I think, you know, does Shawn Watson is really going to step up and win this football game? He is a winner.
00:39:58
Ah, he's somebody.
00:39:59
He's got all the weapons around him.
00:40:00
They lost J. J. Watt.
00:40:02
So I think the defense has definitely struggled to come back from losing.
00:40:06
What? I think he was huge for them was playing in a very high level about the same time defense, Still good.
00:40:12
And I think you know the way they have Carlos Hyde consistently running the football.
00:40:16
And they have Duke Johnson of the backfield as a weapon there.
00:40:19
They got, well, fuller back.
00:40:20
Um, I do like to Shawn Watson his escape ability, mobility, keeping the Patriots on their toes and ultimately winning this game by a score of 28 to 21.
00:40:31
So that is how I have that.
00:40:33
Um, What's up, Lawrence? I just saw you start Wentz or Tannehill.
00:40:42
Um, so whence against the dolphins or Tannehill against I know. Sorry.
00:40:49
Yeah.
00:40:50
When she gets the dolphins Ortega Hill against the Colts to handhold struggles on the road and whence has been struggling to hold on the football.
00:40:57
Um, that's a really good one, actually.
00:40:59
I'm gonna actually go with, uh, Tannehill, though, cause I think the Titans were gonna win the ball game.
00:41:04
I think he'll play better on the road than he has on.
00:41:08
And I just don't trust whence the way he's been fumbling lately.
00:41:13
Um, because I think obviously those turnovers killer I mean, you lose two points every time you lose it, you know, fumble.
00:41:19
So, um so, Lawrence, I would say, Let's go with Let's go, Tannehill, Ride that out.
00:41:26
And ah, we'll see what happens.
00:41:28
But I think that's probably your best bet.
00:41:30
I wish that was time stamped.
00:41:31
I don't know how long ago you said that, but, um, but you guys appreciate tuning in.
00:41:39
It's been a lot fun.
00:41:40
We've been offered 41 or so minutes.
00:41:43
Um, if you like what you hear and that is me, of course.
00:41:48
Ah, you can find me on Twitter at Jake a Bogan D t r.
00:41:52
You confined my downtown ram spot gas I co host with Mike, owes Lexus craft, uh, at downtown rams, um, on Twitter and ah, our podcast is on all different platforms.
00:42:04
We interview all different draft prospects during draft season.
00:42:08
Um, we have all sorts of players, coaches, ****ysts, all that on and we talk rams football, talk the draft, um, our miscellaneous podcast.
00:42:18
I also do with Alexis Craft you confined at halftime show pod.
00:42:22
It's called the Halftime show, and we do a miscellaneous podcast, really talking about all sorts of things and pop culture.
00:42:28
We recently just came out with its called er, remakes and reboots.
00:42:33
Um, so basically, we just talk about TV show and ah, movie reboots and remakes and our thoughts and how that's helping or hurting the overall brand.
00:42:44
So, um, check that out if you're interested.
00:42:46
But hey, once again, appreciate you guys tuning in.
00:42:49
Um, I'll be doing this again soon, but I just want to get on here, have some fun.
00:42:54
Hope you guys went a lot of money with D. F s.
00:42:56
Hope you guys with all your fantasy matchups and ah, hope your favorite team wins as long as it doesn't interfere with my favorite teams.
00:43:04
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00:43:05
Enjoy your Sunday
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Fantasy Football Start'Em / Sit'Em, DFS & Week 13

74 views
Dec 1, 2019
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Jake Ellenbogen @JKBogen

Transcript hideup

00:00:16
what is up, guys? I'm obviously in a way for people to file in here, but I did want to get on here and do some start.
00:00:22
Um, sit down for a fancy football talk some D f s and the games for a week. 13.
00:00:27
Ah, 11. 36.
00:00:29
Right now.
00:00:30
So I think we can get a decent amount of people in here and, you know, discuss and try and, uh, get everyone's lineup situated.
00:00:36
So, um, you know, looking forward to today, you got to legit starting debuts.
00:00:43
I know Devlin Hodges has played, um, this year, but this is like a legit starting debut where they have named him the starter for the Steelers.
00:00:53
Um, I think it's gonna be a lot of fun to watch that as well as Drew Lock the second round pick at a zoo.
00:00:58
Um, who had the privilege of seeing at the Senior Bowl? Who's very impressive lobbyists capability.
00:01:03
And I love his, you know, lively arm.
00:01:05
I think he's gonna get an opportunity to upset the Chargers at home.
00:01:09
Ah, it's gonna be a lot of fun to see those two extremely interested to see how you know my Los Angeles Rams bounced back after getting eviscerated on Monday. Football.
00:01:19
They go against the, uh, you know, the Cardinals in Arizona.
00:01:23
I think that game could go either way.
00:01:25
Um, you know, I think there's a lot of games on today's slate that, um, you know, leave you, you know, excited and and a lot of you know should go on Ah, the playoffs or not yet figured out.
00:01:35
There's a lot that has to go on as well.
00:01:37
As you know, I think the Titans Colts game is huge for the last wild card spots.
00:01:42
A.
00:01:43
The Bills have locked up the fifth spot in the wild card, which I wouldn't say.
00:01:46
I don't think it's a given because I still do have to play the Steelers.
00:01:50
And they're you know, basically their schedule isn't as easy as you would think the rest of the way.
00:01:57
Um, but if you believe that, then you know the six spot in the A. F.
00:02:01
C is really up for grabs, and you have to look at the Steelers.
00:02:04
You have to look at you know, the Raiders today is a must win for the Raiders against Kansas City.
00:02:09
Um, and you know, obviously, it's not an easy match up at all.
00:02:13
And then the night the Titans and Colts were facing each other and pretty much the Colts lose that game.
00:02:19
Ah, they would pretty much packet.
00:02:21
I think that the season's over.
00:02:23
They really have to win in an indie heading against Tennessee.
00:02:27
Who, by the way, Ryan Tannehill has played really well for.
00:02:30
But he's only played in two road games, and in those two road games he has struggled mightily s Oh, I do like, Ah, the Colts in this game.
00:02:38
As long as they can basically make Ryan Tannehill force his own errors and forces home stakes, this is somebody that can run the football.
00:02:46
He's a former wide receiver that was, you know, converted to quarterback.
00:02:50
So we know, obviously the athletic ability that is there.
00:02:53
Ah, but you do have to worry if you're a Titan's fan because he hasn't played well on the road in those two road opportunities.
00:03:01
Ah, what's up? Let me be Frank.
00:03:03
How's it going? Thanks so much for joining the broadcast.
00:03:06
Um, yeah, guys, if you know, if you tuning in, if you could do me a favor and share this around, if you like it also.
00:03:15
Ah, leave some comments.
00:03:16
Just let me know if you have any questions about s****om.
00:03:18
Set him all that.
00:03:19
Be happy to answer them.
00:03:20
Try to help you out, make it a little bit easier.
00:03:23
Um, definitely gonna try and share this around.
00:03:25
So don't mind me for the next, like, second or so.
00:03:27
I'm just gonna throw this over on Ah, Twitter and ah, you know, Facebook.
00:03:33
We'll see if we can get some more people in here, but, uh, today, I definitely, You know, I think there's a lot to be excited for today.
00:03:39
You know, it's kind of just your standard NFL Sunday, Um, coming off a Thanksgiving where you don't have as many games going on, but the games you have going on, uh, there's some exciting ones.
00:03:51
There are a lot of playoff implications on the line today, and, you know, it should be fun.
00:03:55
Um, another one that No, I don't think a lot of people are talking about Ah, and this is the reason I say this is because it's not.
00:04:05
It's not the greatest game on the slate.
00:04:07
I don't think it's gonna beat.
00:04:08
Ah, you know, the Ravens and 40 Niners before ever reason, I feel like just not a lot of people are talking about the Patriots of Taxes, and I feel like that games huge because the Texans can.
00:04:18
In my opinion, I think they win the division.
00:04:20
If they beat the Patriots tonight, which I kind of leaned towards, the fact they do, I really like to Shawn Watson at home.
00:04:27
I like the fact that they have kind of gone towards Carlos Hyde, and he's really shown consistency over the last few weeks at the running back position.
00:04:37
I think they're gonna be able to run the football.
00:04:38
And I think because of dish on Watson's escape ability and because of his overall mobility, I think he is going to be able to make enough plays to beat the Patriots team, where their offense has kind of fallen off a little bit.
00:04:51
Ah, you can see the age of starting to someone affect Tom Brady.
00:04:54
At least in the regular season.
00:04:55
We'll see how the postseason goes.
00:04:57
Um, and I do think if they get in a kind of a shootout, I think the taxes we're gonna win that game.
00:05:02
That's kind of where I see this game going.
00:05:04
I think you know the way Houston is played this year.
00:05:07
They've kind of been spotty, and they did get blown out by the Ravens.
00:05:10
I don't think the Patriots there's goes the Ravens, and for that reason, I do think the Texans put it away tonight on some a football sit, I think.
00:05:24
Interesting.
00:05:25
If if you are looking at D.
00:05:27
F s and you're trying to figure out who to play quarterback because you after weigh your options for those, either play fanduel Ah, and draftkings you have to weigh your options because right now you could play Drew lock and you can go all in on Drew lock for 6000.
00:05:42
It would.
00:05:43
It would really, um, you know, free up a lot of room as far as you know, the cap room that you have to maybe selected, you know, Ah, Tyree.
00:05:50
Kill and maybe add another receiver next him cause I feel like Tyree kills a must play today.
00:05:55
Uh, four Kansas City and I know a lot of people are going to say Play Patrick home, stack him, stack a hill and stack Kelsey and I would disagree with this.
00:06:05
And the reason why is if you, you know, if you're doing a cash lineup, he's 100% gotta be in there.
00:06:10
That's pretty much chalk.
00:06:11
But if you're not, then I would really look to win a tournament.
00:06:15
And the way I'm doing this is I'm gonna do it based on, you know, ownership percentage and projected ownership percentage in.
00:06:23
I'll say this right now, Patrick, home's gonna be owned by more than half of the field.
00:06:27
Ah, so you're not going to fade? Patch Well, Holmes in the hope that everyone picks him and that he busts because he's not gonna have a bad game against Oakland.
00:06:36
He's just not, um, but at the same time, you know, they're paying a hefty price, and they might have, you know, some cheaper options at the back end of their lineup.
00:06:45
And you might be able to afford Maur s o.
00:06:47
I would lean towards, um you know, the the cheaper options.
00:06:51
I like Sam Darnold who's a little cheaper.
00:06:54
Um, I do like dabbling Hodges against the Cleveland Browns.
00:06:57
I like that he's playing at home.
00:06:59
I like his price at 6800 Jew lock is interesting.
00:07:03
At 6000 you wouldn't play Drew lock in one line up.
00:07:06
Like, if you're doing multiple lineups.
00:07:08
That is when you'd want to just give it a shot with your lock.
00:07:11
Um, I think the two highest scoring players today are probably going to be McCaffrey and Tyree kill.
00:07:17
And for that reason, I think that 100% have to be in your lineup.
00:07:21
Um, and the thing is, you can have guys internee that everyone else has, but you have to make sure you d like you have to deviate from the rest.
00:07:29
You have to have other guys that aren't, you know, well owned.
00:07:32
And I think because of that, you have a good opportunity.
00:07:36
Um, you know, in my opinion, anyway, with you know, somebody like Hodges where right now.
00:07:42
Awesome.
00:07:43
Oh, projects that he's going to be 00.
00:07:44
2% owned in fanduel.
00:07:46
So I think that gives you an opportunity there If you use Devlin Hodges, um then you know he's not gonna be owned by a lot of you know, people you're riding on him getting at least over 20 points.
00:07:58
If he gets over 20 points with this mobility and just hit, you know, the fact that he is not afraid to throw it deep down the field.
00:08:05
He's got guys with James Washington Deante Johnson that could help them as well as Deon Cain has come on strong over the last week or so.
00:08:12
So I think that would definitely be an interesting back there.
00:08:16
But the weird thing is there are guys like Jared Goff that are rated really high.
00:08:21
They're like in the seventh, you know, 7900 range.
00:08:24
And those guys, I wouldn't talk with the time foot pole because they're not even cheap.
00:08:28
Like Mahomes.
00:08:29
I get because people are looking at it as though you know he's not the 21,000 Mahomes that you're used to seeing.
00:08:36
He is like, legitimately in the 8000 range because of his injuries, and I think that does make him a very interesting play.
00:08:44
But by doing that again, you're really going to have to lower uh, you know, your line up as the whole, like what I would want to do is have Devlin in there, and then that way you can afford McCaffrey.
00:08:55
And I think Girlie is a great play.
00:08:56
It I think, of 7400 for the Rams.
00:08:59
I think the Rams are gonna have to run the football if they want to be Arizona.
00:09:03
I do think Todd Gurley would gets the the job done, and so I think he's a really good play.
00:09:07
Is was Levi on Belle? I like Darius guys today.
00:09:10
I like Benny Snell.
00:09:11
He's 6100 so it's a little higher than I would like.
00:09:15
But I do like Ah, Benny cell for the Steelers and, ah, he's gonna start to.
00:09:20
They're gonna use Jalen Samuels, who started when James Connor was out previously.
00:09:25
Um, they're gonna use him.
00:09:26
It's the third down option receiving options, so you could also use him at 5500.
00:09:30
That would definitely be okay, um, for other running backs.
00:09:34
You know, when you're playing a rookie quarterback into playing in his first game, you might want to you know these things up for him, you know, in the passing game and just get things like comfortable for him.
00:09:45
And for that reason, I think Philip Lindsay's in an interesting play.
00:09:48
Ah, because he can kind of look over to Phillip Lindsay and kind of dump it off and get himself comfortable.
00:09:53
Drew lock I'm talking about.
00:09:55
Ah, so that's an interesting one there.
00:09:57
Um, Mile Sanders is thesis and highest projected by Awesome oh dot com.
00:10:03
He's the second highest projected.
00:10:05
Ah, projected the ownership, and I find it really interesting.
00:10:10
I like Miles Sanders.
00:10:12
I want to play Mile Sanders.
00:10:13
I think I will.
00:10:14
My only reservations.
00:10:16
Yes, Jordan Howard is out.
00:10:18
But this Eagles team last week showed you that they do like J. J.
00:10:22
Still, and J J is still good enough to have a good game.
00:10:25
And if he gets off to a good start and Mile Sanders struggles, we've seen Doug Peterson.
00:10:29
You know, place Mile Sanders on, you know the bench and kind of go with the hot hand.
00:10:34
And that's my biggest worry.
00:10:36
And I think that should be everyone's biggest.
00:10:37
Worry is, do you fade? Or do you actually play Mile Sanders at 5800 price point? I think you know that price point is really intriguing.
00:10:45
It's really attractive, but the same time you always have to keep in mind if most of the field is gonna play him it seems like the obvious match up against me in Miami.
00:10:53
You might want to just fade him and hope like he has a you know, a rough game.
00:10:56
And and, you know, maybe JoJo comes in because then you're eliminating half of the field from, you know, winning it.
00:11:02
So you have to keep that in mind.
00:11:04
I do like Cooper Cup against Arizona.
00:11:06
I think the Rams really, really like Cooper Cup, and I think they know that now.
00:11:10
The rest of the ways the must wins while they are going to run the football.
00:11:14
I think if they have Jared Goff the well, he's going to throw it to who is most comfortable with.
00:11:18
And by far it is Cooper Cup, who is by far the most targeted receiver on this team.
00:11:24
It's not even close.
00:11:25
Um, the interesting one here is tight end because of you guys are looking for tight ends to play.
00:11:32
Um, no one is talking about it, but I would actually go Kaidan Smith.
00:11:35
Ah, he is 4000 years.
00:11:38
4000.
00:11:39
That's nothing.
00:11:41
He is 4000 on fanduel right now, And he is Ah, he's on the Giants.
00:11:45
He was on the 40 Niners.
00:11:46
He was drafted at Stanford.
00:11:48
Ah, guy that I really liked a lot.
00:11:50
A top five tight end on my board coming out of the draft.
00:11:53
But Kaidan Smith, this somebody that I think is very talented is somebody that has more of a 6 to 18 range.
00:12:01
We're talking six points as like a boss.
00:12:03
Day 18 is a boom and maybe even more.
00:12:06
We'll see.
00:12:07
Daniel Jones still likes to rely on his tight ends, and both his tight ends happen to be out today.
00:12:12
Ah, you're looking at Evan Ingraham.
00:12:13
He's out as well as, um, you have Ah, Ellison.
00:12:18
He's out as well.
00:12:19
So Kaidan Smith by virtue will start.
00:12:22
Um, and Kate and Smith did get in the end zone last week.
00:12:25
So I do like that.
00:12:26
You know, he has that mo mentum riding into this week against Green Bay who, you know, if they want to win this game on, don't have to win this game.
00:12:32
Does not really playing for anything but pride at this point.
00:12:35
Ah, but Kaidan Smith is definitely a good option at least maybe you're in garbage time if you want.
00:12:40
If you're somebody like that that wants to rely on some garbage time production.
00:12:44
Kaidan Smith could help, but I think Ken Smith is going to be a part of this offense, and I do think Daniel Jones going to target him.
00:12:51
I project him six catches, 62 yards and a touchdown.
00:12:54
So I think he's gonna have a good game today, kind of around the 18 to 20 range of points, and he's at at a ridiculous price. 200.4000.
00:13:02
So, uh, you know, I feel like he needs to be a more lineups.
00:13:05
Another guy that I like today is Greg Olson, 5100.
00:13:09
I think Greg Olson comes to the table as somebody that's very reliable.
00:13:13
He's not a Kaidan Smith, where you're worried about him busting at six points.
00:13:18
I think if he busts, it's gonna be like nine points.
00:13:20
And Olson could go off a CZ well, because Olson has that connection with Kyle Allen.
00:13:27
And I do think Olson he's always had that ability to, you know, take it to the house and you know, he's a very talented tight and he's getting up there in age and, you know, don't get me wrong You know, he will be retiring soon, but I still like him on.
00:13:41
I like that price point in de f s, especially with guys like Gerald Everett ruled out another guy.
00:13:48
Um, you know, I'm probably say Dallas Goddard is another guy that you would have to keep in mind because, you know, Zach Ertz is probably gonna play.
00:13:55
Um, but he's hurt, he's banged up, and if you know he's bearing up, they're gonna look to play.
00:14:01
Um, you know Dallas Carter.
00:14:02
I think some more snaps and I do like Godard.
00:14:05
I know people would also say, because Gerald ever it's out for the Rams.
00:14:08
You could go Tyler Higbee.
00:14:10
I think that's a little bit of a risk. I know.
00:14:12
Ah, Arizona is allowing the most, um, the most tight end yards or whatever. They're like 30 seconds.
00:14:18
But here's my biggest Worry is is it's Gerry Goff.
00:14:21
Uh, can Jared Goff, you know, give it to Tyler Higbee like, will he feed Tyler be to The thing is, Higby doesn't get enough targets for me.
00:14:30
Any super touchdown dependent for me even consider him in D. F s.
00:14:34
Another guy, Ryan Griffin for the Jets I think Ryan Griffin is somebody going up against Cincinnati that has a favorable matchup.
00:14:42
I do like Ryan Griffey got in the end zone last week, somebody that just got paid.
00:14:47
So they clearly like him.
00:14:48
Ah, and with Chris Hernan out for the year, he is the guy.
00:14:51
I know that Sam Darnold has relied Aton on Crowder and Anderson, but he's also looked at Griffin in the end zone.
00:14:58
Griffin is kind of a red zone option at this point, and for that reason I would probably say he's more than touchdown dependent, like I think he could do more than that.
00:15:06
Ah, but I think he's more likely to get in the end zone.
00:15:09
Then say Anderson or Crowder, unless they throw over the top.
00:15:13
It's a big play s.
00:15:14
So for that reason, I think Griffin is definitely a good option as well.
00:15:18
So you got your know you're tight ends there.
00:15:20
Ah, you know, Flex plays also interesting as well, because, you know, I I tend to lean like Larry Fitzgerald is a Ram killer.
00:15:27
He always does well against the Rams.
00:15:28
He's had kind of a rough year this year.
00:15:31
Ah, but I do think that, you know, they could rely heavy on him.
00:15:34
Um, and later Fitzgerald for, you know, in the 5000 range is still a cheap option to go with him.
00:15:40
Ah, to be honest, though, by stack of the day, I would probably say it's the Steelers.
00:15:45
Um, by the way, thank you so much for the tip.
00:15:47
Uh, well, I OSHA I just saw that.
00:15:50
So I appreciate that.
00:15:51
Um, my my biggest stack today is the Steelers, and I know people are gonna call me crazy.
00:15:55
Um, you know, everybody's saying, Don't play him.
00:15:58
But I'm playing Devlin, Doc Hodges, and I'm playing James Washington, and I'm playing deante Johnson, and I'm not even gonna play their defense.
00:16:04
So I'm stacking four Steelers in my defense line up.
00:16:07
I think that Devlin Hodges is gonna throw for Well, he's got a total of three touchdowns.
00:16:12
Whether he throws for what, you know, two of them and runs for one or not.
00:16:16
I do think love three touchdowns.
00:16:17
I think the Steelers beat the Cleveland Browns today.
00:16:20
Um, and I do like, you know, overall what you get out of Hodges Justus.
00:16:24
Escape ability.
00:16:25
The fact he's absolutely fearless will throw down the field.
00:16:28
I know people are worried about him averaging five yards per pass, but I think he had a whole week.
00:16:33
This is the first time he had a whole week to prepare as the legitimate starter.
00:16:37
Not somebody that's filling in for Mason Rudolph, somebody that has surpassed Mason Rudolph in the eyes of the coaches.
00:16:43
So I think because of that he had the whole week to prepare with the first team.
00:16:47
Um, and he's going up against the Browns.
00:16:49
There's a lot of heat there.
00:16:50
I think this is huge opportunity for Devlin Hodges, but on top of it, James Washington is really coming into his own.
00:16:57
He caught a huge touchdown last week where, you know, obviously from Hodges.
00:17:01
But you know, hajis didn't do all the work.
00:17:03
Ah, he's a really nice ball.
00:17:05
But you know, James Washington literally trucked over Ah B W Webb and ran into the end zone.
00:17:10
So I like his, you know, upside there.
00:17:12
I think he's got a big days.
00:17:13
Was the octave Johnson, um you know, their third round pick? I think Deonte Johnson is somebody that 100% has you know, maybe the quickest release off the line of scrimmage, somebody that could, you know, test deep down the field.
00:17:25
Um, s O I know, like, you know, Deon Cain will probably have his ah production.
00:17:29
And maybe you get some production advance Joseph and Benny snails going to start, so maybe he gets production.
00:17:34
Ah, you know, past catching out of the backfield and Jalen Samuels.
00:17:37
But I think if you're going to stack stealer State, which I think you should, because I think the the opportunity is there the Steelers defense that 3700 give me.
00:17:46
I think that is the best value for defense.
00:17:49
I think that they can disrupt Baker, Mayfield and the Browns offense and just wreak havoc.
00:17:53
Ah, bless their at home.
00:17:55
Ah, but you know, on top of that, I like Devlin's price 37000.6800.
00:17:59
I like that.
00:18:00
Um, Washington is in the low 6000 and I like that no matter what, do you have to? Johnson stays in the 5000 range.
00:18:07
I think that is that is a huge value point.
00:18:10
And I think that the Steelers are probably the best stack option they now are they you know, 100%.
00:18:16
The most like, surefire thing.
00:18:18
No, but I think it's faras values concerned.
00:18:21
And if you want to get risky and hope it pay, you know, pays off.
00:18:24
And if you're doing tournament, you 100% should stack the Steelers.
00:18:30
Appreciate the tip.
00:18:31
Cat lady. Thank you so much.
00:18:35
Um, let's see what we got here.
00:18:46
I forgot to share the I was, uh I meant to post it on Facebook and Twitter, and I forgot because I got on this whole rant thing.
00:18:54
Well, yeah, guys, seriously, leave some comments, Let me know.
00:18:57
Um, you know, if I'm doing anything that you'd like me to not do if I'm doing too much of something or if you have any suggestions or if you need any help with GFS or fancy football, I don't consider myself an expert, but I do appreciate you guys, uh, you know, watching me, I do take myself very seriously.
00:19:13
And I do try to do my homework and, ah, you know, keep up to date with everything, so I wouldn't call myself a 100% ****ytical expert.
00:19:21
Um, if you do want that, I would definitely suggest awesome.
00:19:24
Oh, I think they do Phenomenal job with GFS.
00:19:26
But, um, I'm always here to help in that regard because I think it's a lot of fun.
00:19:31
And I know a lot of people have questions about who they should start.
00:19:34
They shouldn't all that.
00:19:35
So, you know, that's always interesting there, Um, as faras the game's ticket today.
00:19:41
I do want to get some participation on this.
00:19:43
If so, um, is there any team that you would say is on severe upset alert today? Throwing in the comment section, I want to know who you think is like severely on upset alert because I know you could make the argument that, like the 40 Niners upset like it's an upset against the Ravens.
00:20:05
But like that, I don't I wouldn't call that upset alert.
00:20:08
I would say, like, Do you think the Dolphins beat the Eagles? That would be an upset because no one has.
00:20:14
That should be interesting.
00:20:17
We'll, you know, we'll see Ryan Fitzpatrick gives them an opportunity.
00:20:19
I still think the Eagles win, but, you know, that's kind of how I see that I'm sharing it right now.
00:21:02
Not very talkative bunch, are you? No, Nonetheless, I appreciate you guys tuning in and watching me speak about football.
00:21:10
It's very interesting that people actually care which I appreciate again, I'm so, uh, you know, just looking at this slate.
00:21:21
I do think that I you know, I'll go through and I will talk about each game, and I think we'll end with that says now, 12th and, ah, were there and, um no s****om said, um, it's kind of like a but, uh, Right now we'll go.
00:21:38
We'll start with the first game.
00:21:41
Police on my list.
00:21:43
Jets Bangles.
00:21:45
So the Jets here four and seven, going up against the Owen 11 Bangles, and they're gonna be on 12.
00:21:51
I really like the Jets in this game.
00:21:53
I like the way they played against the Raiders.
00:21:55
I love the way Sam Darnold it's playing.
00:21:57
Confidence is growing.
00:21:58
You have lady on Belle.
00:22:00
The receiver group seems to be coming alive, and that defense is definitely coming alive.
00:22:04
So I have the Jets, 31 10 over the Bangles on the road.
00:22:09
I really like the way the Jets are playing, not a huge fan, Adam Gates.
00:22:12
Ah, but I do like the way the dresser playing, and they're gonna be a tough out the rest of the way.
00:22:16
They do go up against the Steelers so they could make a run at a you know, a late run at the playoffs.
00:22:24
Titans Colts went over this.
00:22:26
I think Titans win both six and five.
00:22:29
Whoever loses, I think is going on, they're not officially eliminated.
00:22:32
But I would say I would not pick them to make the playoffs.
00:22:36
Ah, I like the Titans.
00:22:37
I do think Tannehill struggles on the road.
00:22:40
Um, you know, it's kind of evidence, but I think that they're gonna pound the rock with Derrick Henry.
00:22:45
And I think that the defense is going to stifle the Colts, who really happened with the same since the knee injury that Jacoby percent suffered.
00:22:53
So it's really unfortunate there, there without a tonic guys on that offense, including two Hyland s.
00:22:59
Oh, I do like Italians in this one.
00:23:02
Eagles, Dolphins.
00:23:04
We just talked about this Dolphins air hosting the Eagles two and nine, the Eagles or five and six, the Eels or 10 point favorites.
00:23:12
And I may not pick them when that big, but, um, I'm gonna pick the Eagles and this one.
00:23:18
I do think that the Eagles bounce back from a rough team last week, the game that they totally had every opportunity to win.
00:23:27
No matter how bad that they played.
00:23:28
Amara May times they gave up the football.
00:23:30
They had every opportunity with a football game.
00:23:33
Ah, I think the Eagles need to get back in the win column.
00:23:35
I think they do it against the Dolphins.
00:23:37
Don't think it's a great game.
00:23:38
I think it's pretty sloppy.
00:23:40
I'm looking at 26 13 Eagles, so I guess they do cover the spread.
00:23:45
But, um, you know, I think it's just gonna be one of those ugly games, and at the end, they probably just get on a roll and and get going a mile.
00:23:53
Sanders has a good game, and you know, I'm not too high on the Eagle.
00:23:56
I'm really high in the defense.
00:23:57
The defense has been playing very well and they only hold Um, you know that the Dolphins in this 1 to 13 points, So I think that those settle for that.
00:24:06
We got the Packers and Giants Packers are eight and three Giants or two and nine.
00:24:10
This is a huge game for the Packers, who were six and 1/2 point favorites on the road.
00:24:14
Um, here's the thing.
00:24:15
The Packers, they did not look good against 40 Niners last week. Not at all.
00:24:20
Um, and they're now they really 100% have to win this game, and they should.
00:24:25
I mean, it's the Giants.
00:24:26
Giants haven't really played all that well, um, you know, I don't see why they lose this game, but they need to.
00:24:32
It's 100%.
00:24:33
So I think you're gonna see a lot.
00:24:36
Ah, heavy dose of D r Davante Adams, who is kind of they've kind of gone away from, um, you know, earlier in the year, I felt like Davante Adams was the focal point of this offense.
00:24:45
But then you saw Jamal Williams.
00:24:48
You saw Aaron Green, you know, kind of take over and have, you know, give them more of an opportunity.
00:24:53
Um, so, you know, I do think that the Packers will win this football game.
00:24:58
I'm interested to see how the Giants play.
00:25:00
I think the Giants will still be annoying, you know, to you know, Packers fans.
00:25:03
I think they'll still be in the game.
00:25:06
Daniel Jones give them the opportunity to keep the game alive with his mobility.
00:25:09
And I like the way the defense displayed.
00:25:11
I thought they did a nice job against Chicago.
00:25:14
Um, unfortunately, they blew that game, but, um, I'm gonna take the Packers here. Take him.
00:25:19
27 to 10.
00:25:21
Packers went So Steelers Browns is a really interesting game.
00:25:26
Basically, the season's over at the Browns lose and the Steelers season.
00:25:31
I think it's over if they lose this Well, so, uh, it's a five and 16 versus 65 team.
00:25:37
Um, Cleveland needs this game, but I think the Steelers need this game.
00:25:42
Just this bunch.
00:25:43
Uh, so it's interestingly enough, the Cleveland Browns are off to a better start now.
00:25:48
Um, you know, they're finding the rhythm on offense.
00:25:51
I still don't love the play calling.
00:25:53
I still think Freddie Kitchens holds them back.
00:25:56
And the defense without miles scare.
00:25:58
It is definitely, uh, noticeable.
00:26:01
Um, it's not as good.
00:26:03
So I was really interested the way they came out strong against the Dolphins.
00:26:08
They looked very confident about the same time that the Dolphins back in the game, and albeit they finished it off and made the score, not end up looking that close.
00:26:17
Dolphins Still, we're driving.
00:26:18
It had chances at the end, the game or forcing turnovers.
00:26:21
Some Baker Mayfield.
00:26:23
So the way I see it is that the Steelers get the job done at home.
00:26:26
I think Devlin Hodges has three total touchdowns, and I think that Benny Snell has a good game.
00:26:31
Overall, the Steelers defense is a lot better than Cleveland Browns defense, and they're one of the best in the league right now.
00:26:37
I think they force turnovers on Baker Mayfield, and they win this game 30 to 20.
00:26:42
I like the way the Steelers were going.
00:26:44
I think that they had to make the change to uh, Devlin Hodges.
00:26:48
I think if they make it sooner, they might have one more win.
00:26:51
Mason Rudolph has not been the same since that injury, and who can blame him? The injury was brutal.
00:26:56
Hit was brutal, but he has just not been the same.
00:26:59
I think Hodges gives without Pouncey who is suspended.
00:27:02
Um, the center.
00:27:04
You're gonna have more pressure on the quarterback up middle.
00:27:08
So because of that, I do think that's them.
00:27:10
They had a hard time.
00:27:11
Ah you know, finishing off the Bangles.
00:27:13
And then, you know, Devlin came in, threw a touchdown.
00:27:16
I'm on the third play of that, Dr.
00:27:18
So I do like Devlin. Hodges.
00:27:20
Take care of business in this one, and the Steelers defense holds.
00:27:23
Ah, the you know, the Browns forced to turn to turnovers, and they went 30 to 20.
00:27:30
Redskins Panthers.
00:27:32
So we have five and six Panthersfirst.
00:27:34
The two and nine Redskins Panthers are 11 point favorites.
00:27:38
I think people are really sleeping on the Redskins.
00:27:40
I think they're playing better.
00:27:42
I don't think they're amazing, but I think they're playing better.
00:27:44
I think they have a better team in the record shows.
00:27:47
Um, part of the reason, I think when you make a coaching change in the middle of the year disrupts the whole thing.
00:27:52
When you make a quarterback change when you have to make a quarterback change, that also disrupts the flow of things and just the overall fact that it's the Redskins organization and that I just don't think there are probably a lot of players out there that don't want to play for that organization because they're just it's just not a good it's not greatly run.
00:28:10
Um, I mean, the president, the organization didn't even understand that, you know, the starting quarterback at the time, Kurt, are Kirk cousins? They called him Kurt, Huh? So that that is never I've never gotten over that.
00:28:22
But I think the Redskins, they put up a decent fight.
00:28:25
I do have Carolina winning 27 24 but I think that the Redskins are gonna be in this game more than people think.
00:28:31
I know what they're on the road.
00:28:32
But I like the way that Haskins is starting to play.
00:28:36
And, you know, here's the thing.
00:28:37
I think people that just box score, watch.
00:28:39
You're going to say that he's struggling, but and, you know, rightfully so.
00:28:42
Here's a rookie.
00:28:43
Maybe he is.
00:28:44
But I also like some of the things I'm seeing the pocket mobility.
00:28:47
Um, and I don't think he's got a time ability.
00:28:50
But the fact that he's able to kind of step up in the pocket, you know, manipulate the pocket, find throwing lanes and most importantly, you know, keep plays alive.
00:28:59
And I think it's really important because they have Terry McLaurin, a guy that is, you know, he operates so well as a route runner.
00:29:05
But he's so great, you know, his improvisational skills are off the charts, in my opinion.
00:29:10
So I think he always keeps the play alive.
00:29:12
And, you know, his ball skills are, you know, tremendous.
00:29:15
Um, so this is somebody that he has experience playing with that Ohio State.
00:29:19
So I actually really like him.
00:29:21
Um, I think he's going to be in one of the best receivers in the league at some point.
00:29:25
I like the way Calvin Harmon's playing.
00:29:27
Don't be surprised if he ends up starting next year.
00:29:31
I think he has kind of taken over.
00:29:33
I don't think Paul Richardson is nearly as good.
00:29:35
Um, And then Kelvin Harmon gives you something, you know, as far as just, um, he's got hands.
00:29:41
You know, this is somebody that I felt was top two top three round pick and you went late in the draft.
00:29:48
So, you know, I definitely think the Redskins have some pieces there.
00:29:52
I think Haskins with every game is only gonna get better.
00:29:55
Um, this is not a game.
00:29:56
He wins, but, you know, they come close.
00:29:58
I like Kyle Allen a swell kind.
00:30:01
Allow this kind of hit or miss.
00:30:02
He has some games where he looks really good, have some games, re struggles.
00:30:06
I find when you're at home and you're a young quarterback like that, you're Robbie slugger.
00:30:10
In your element, you have more of an opportunity to win.
00:30:12
Um, and just, you know, play to your strength.
00:30:14
I think they use Christian McCaffrey and kind of, you know, use him all over the Redskins.
00:30:19
But I think the Redskins defense has shown you some things as well.
00:30:23
So I have 27.
00:30:24
24 Karolina Aah! And you know, I'm really interested to see Haskins the rest of the way because I do like him as quarterback.
00:30:30
Use my number two quarterback coming out.
00:30:32
Ah, so definitely think he is very impressive.
00:30:35
Um, you know, he's an impressive prospect, and we'll see as his development continues.
00:30:40
Um, moving on.
00:30:41
We have the Buccaneers and Jaguars Foreign seven versus four and seven.
00:30:45
I have the Buccaneers.
00:30:46
It's not much of a road game because it's still in Florida.
00:30:49
Um, you know, the Buccaneers still have to travel cross country or anything with that, and they've already proven they went right to L.
00:30:54
A and they through 55 up on the Rams.
00:30:57
Um, so I do like the Buccaneers and this one.
00:31:00
I don't really like the clothes.
00:31:01
It'll I think Nick Foles has kind of held back the Jaguars.
00:31:04
Ah, if you're my honest opinion, I think Leonard Fournette is having a really good season.
00:31:08
Unfortunately, they bench Baker.
00:31:10
They're not Baker, uh, gardener Minshew.
00:31:14
And I think that's slowing them off a little bit.
00:31:16
Deejay carcass.
00:31:17
Still having a phenomenal season as there Premier Number one receiver.
00:31:20
Um, but Tim Bay also has some great receiving production out of Chris Goblin and Mike Evans.
00:31:26
And, ah, you know they're running back six.
00:31:28
Situation is still kind of up in the air, you know, we'll see how Ronald Jones does.
00:31:32
I think he'll lead the team in rushing for that game.
00:31:35
He's pretty much the starter, but you know, you never know.
00:31:37
The defense is playing a little bit better.
00:31:40
They're not quite the team that would give up 50.
00:31:42
Um, like they were accustomed to in the past and I don't think they're doing that Falls.
00:31:47
I think they'll beat falls.
00:31:48
And I think this game honestly turns ugly, you know, Tampa still has those games were like, Okay, that's the Tampa Bay Buccaneers that I was expecting with Bruce Arians.
00:31:58
They don't always do.
00:31:59
I expect this one to be 31 13.
00:32:01
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 40 Niners Ravens.
00:32:06
This is Ah, this is the interesting 1 40 Niners, 10 and one, Ravens or nine And too many would say these are the two best teams in the league in Baltimore.
00:32:15
I don't really give the 40 Niners much of an opportunity to win this game and maybe I'm wrong.
00:32:19
But I just don't think that anybody is gonna be Baltimore in Baltimore and it just don't see it.
00:32:24
Ah, the Patriots did not look good.
00:32:26
Um, and I think the 40 Niners are kind of gonna be the same once again.
00:32:30
You don't know how to stop Lamar Jackson until you play Lamar Jackson and then you still don't know I stop it.
00:32:35
I don't care how good this this defensive line is.
00:32:37
I don't care how good Nick Bosa and Derek Armstead and you know all those guys were playing Solomon.
00:32:41
Thomas Ah, you know, divorced Doctor.
00:32:43
I don't really care d ford.
00:32:45
Um, because Lamar Jackson is going to give them every opportunity when this football game.
00:32:50
And to be honest, I have them winning by 10.
00:32:52
Um, I think the Ravens are better offense.
00:32:54
They have a better defense.
00:32:56
The Ravens defense right now is going for the jugular.
00:32:59
Ever since they added markets Peter's, they've really just come into their own.
00:33:04
They have guys, you know up front that aren't going to allow to having Coleman around the football, and it seems like breed is out.
00:33:11
So it's gonna be Tevin Coleman and it's gonna be where he most erred and probably Jeffrey Wilson.
00:33:16
I do like the Ravens chances of stopping the run if that's the case and then the passing game.
00:33:21
I think Jimmy Garoppolo is like solid, but I don't think he is anything like super special.
00:33:27
I don't think he's going to be able to make plays that aren't there and, you know, you know, make the receivers around him better.
00:33:33
I think he's good with what he has around him.
00:33:35
So I think the Ravens can take that away.
00:33:37
And I do think that, uh you know, the way the Ravens defense is playing, I think they're gonna frustrate Jimmy G.
00:33:43
So I have 27.
00:33:44
17 Ravens? Um, not quite the highest scoring game that you'll see from the Ravens, but I do think that scoring 27 points against a really good 40 Niners defense is something to be proud of.
00:33:56
So I think the Ravens do win it in Baltimore.
00:33:59
So let's see what we got here.
00:34:03
We have Rams Cardinals now being a Rams fan.
00:34:09
The whole week I had the Cardinals winning, I just didn't have any confidence coming out of that game.
00:34:17
I just felt like they kind of like kicked the can.
00:34:19
But, you know, that's recency Bias.
00:34:23
You give it a ah, not a week.
00:34:24
But you give it, you know, later on in the week to kind of, you know, marinate and you realize, Look, the Rams, we're still not out of the playoffs.
00:34:32
They're six and five, and I mean, they have to win out, but they're still now the playoffs.
00:34:37
The 40 Niners could lose.
00:34:39
They can win one game, and they keep in mind.
00:34:42
They go up against the Ravens, so I have them losing two.
00:34:44
They go up against the Saints, they have to play the Rams again.
00:34:46
They have to play the Seahawks.
00:34:48
And really, the only game that I think that they 100% without a doubt will win is the Falcons game.
00:34:53
So that's Ah, the realm of possibility is, was the CLC Hawkes.
00:34:57
You have to play the Rams again.
00:34:58
They have to be the 40 Niners again.
00:35:00
They have to play the Vikings this weekend.
00:35:02
So that's not easy, either.
00:35:04
Ah, the Rams.
00:35:05
They do have to take care of business one game at a time.
00:35:07
Then Cuyler, Murray and Cliff Kingsbury.
00:35:10
They're playing with the best times they would play him.
00:35:12
Ramps were playing a team that is a lot better than the record.
00:35:16
They're playing a team that is a very, ah, they will play until the final whistle, and they're playing a team that is playing a rookie quarterback and has a rookie head coach.
00:35:26
But we're now in Week 13 when they're finally playing, so I think it's a really good opportunity for the Cardinals. Now.
00:35:32
Think the rookie jitters were out of Kyle and Murray by now, and I think that Cliff Kingsbury is, you know, finding himself as a play caller in the NFL.
00:35:40
Um you know, to this point.
00:35:41
So I think earlier in the year of the Rams probably would've stomped all over them.
00:35:44
Um, especially early in the year, because the rains actually looked really good earlier in the year.
00:35:48
Uh, but in this game, I don't see that happening.
00:35:52
It's a really close ballgame.
00:35:53
17 14 Rams.
00:35:55
I think that this game is gonna be one, and really, it's going to be based on running the football and it's gonna be with Todd Gurley.
00:36:03
Uh, you could have Jared Goff, you know, have a solid game, but I don't think he's gonna have a great game.
00:36:08
I just think at this point you're not doing anything more than average golf, which is fine.
00:36:12
The Rams just have to run the football and use exactly what they did last year that got them to the Super Bowl.
00:36:17
And when golf all of a sudden, his play dropped immensely, they turned to Todd Gurley and CJ Anderson, and this year I think they need to turn to Todd Gurley and Malcolm Brown, the same formula to help them beat Carolina on the road week one of the season.
00:36:33
So 17 14 Ramses, what I have Chargers, Broncos four and seven Charges taken on three and eight Broncos Chargers are technically going to be the favorite at three and 1/2.
00:36:45
Um, I take the Broncos.
00:36:47
It's kind of you don't really know what to expect.
00:36:49
I drew Lock, but I you know, going back and watching the film from his preseason and just his film from Mizzou.
00:36:55
Uh, his escape ability, how big he is is lively arm somebody that operates well in the pocket outside the pocket can run.
00:37:05
Um, and I think, you know, the Chargers getting Derwin James back are definitely in the driver's seat to cause some turnovers for lock.
00:37:11
But, you know, I think that all the Broncos really need to do is just dumb down the game plan, Um, you know, let you lock, make the throws that air there.
00:37:19
If they're not, you know, let's have him throw it out of the backfield, check down things like that toe.
00:37:25
Lindsay and Royce Freeman help him out a little bit, and I think that's what they'll do.
00:37:29
Think Courtland saw and catches a touchdown in this one.
00:37:31
Block probably throws for two touchdowns and, ah, Denver wins 20 to 13.
00:37:39
All right, so Raiders Chiefs is the last game, and it's the 4 25 slot Chiefs or 11 point favorites.
00:37:47
I tend to lean towards the chief's blowing out the Raiders.
00:37:51
The Raiders got blown out last week against the Jets.
00:37:53
Don't think it gets any better.
00:37:55
Unfortunately, the Raiders were dealing with some injuries, but I also think they're dealing with a lackluster quarterback.
00:38:00
And Derek are.
00:38:01
I don't think he's really done much this year.
00:38:03
I think that, you know, the defense has spend surprisingly Neil solid.
00:38:07
They've gotten some great contributions out of their picks and mainly, uh, speaking, they have guys like Max Crosby.
00:38:14
Ah, that had four sacks in the game.
00:38:16
Ah, front of the podcast is, well, Max Crosby.
00:38:19
But, um, you know, I like the way the Raiders were running the football.
00:38:24
They seem to be going away from that.
00:38:25
Which it, um you know, Josh Jacobs and I feel like they're kind of putting themselves in position to blow games.
00:38:30
And so I just don't think that they can keep up with Kansas City scoring at all.
00:38:35
Um, I'm gonna say they lose 30. Eat 17.
00:38:39
Um, yeah, I just think this is Kansas City's opportunity.
00:38:42
It's now or never.
00:38:43
Kansas City is a seven and four ball club, and if they lose this game there now seven and five, a 100% have to win this to win the division.
00:38:52
And I think they get it done.
00:38:54
The last game of today, we won't talk about the money, a football game.
00:38:57
We'll talk about tonight's, though, Uh, the last game is going to be the Texans at home facing the Patriots.
00:39:05
And this is the interesting one, because this is so huge that this gave me so much.
00:39:11
If the Patriots lose this game and the Ravens win, the Ravens lock up.
00:39:17
Well, they don't lock up because they're plenty games left, but the Ravens would take over the first seed, and that's huge because everyone's talking about Lamar Jackson going to Foxboro.
00:39:26
But what if that doesn't happen? Um, this is the one game on the Patriots schedule that is really not easy.
00:39:33
The rest of the games were kind of easier.
00:39:35
Uh, and this game is on so many football last time, their own something that football Lamar Jackson ran all over them.
00:39:42
This game, However.
00:39:43
Ah, I don't see that happening.
00:39:46
I don't see a blowout, but I do see ah, win in a shootout.
00:39:51
Um, and not by the Patriots.
00:39:52
I think, you know, does Shawn Watson is really going to step up and win this football game? He is a winner.
00:39:58
Ah, he's somebody.
00:39:59
He's got all the weapons around him.
00:40:00
They lost J. J. Watt.
00:40:02
So I think the defense has definitely struggled to come back from losing.
00:40:06
What? I think he was huge for them was playing in a very high level about the same time defense, Still good.
00:40:12
And I think you know the way they have Carlos Hyde consistently running the football.
00:40:16
And they have Duke Johnson of the backfield as a weapon there.
00:40:19
They got, well, fuller back.
00:40:20
Um, I do like to Shawn Watson his escape ability, mobility, keeping the Patriots on their toes and ultimately winning this game by a score of 28 to 21.
00:40:31
So that is how I have that.
00:40:33
Um, What's up, Lawrence? I just saw you start Wentz or Tannehill.
00:40:42
Um, so whence against the dolphins or Tannehill against I know. Sorry.
00:40:49
Yeah.
00:40:50
When she gets the dolphins Ortega Hill against the Colts to handhold struggles on the road and whence has been struggling to hold on the football.
00:40:57
Um, that's a really good one, actually.
00:40:59
I'm gonna actually go with, uh, Tannehill, though, cause I think the Titans were gonna win the ball game.
00:41:04
I think he'll play better on the road than he has on.
00:41:08
And I just don't trust whence the way he's been fumbling lately.
00:41:13
Um, because I think obviously those turnovers killer I mean, you lose two points every time you lose it, you know, fumble.
00:41:19
So, um so, Lawrence, I would say, Let's go with Let's go, Tannehill, Ride that out.
00:41:26
And ah, we'll see what happens.
00:41:28
But I think that's probably your best bet.
00:41:30
I wish that was time stamped.
00:41:31
I don't know how long ago you said that, but, um, but you guys appreciate tuning in.
00:41:39
It's been a lot fun.
00:41:40
We've been offered 41 or so minutes.
00:41:43
Um, if you like what you hear and that is me, of course.
00:41:48
Ah, you can find me on Twitter at Jake a Bogan D t r.
00:41:52
You confined my downtown ram spot gas I co host with Mike, owes Lexus craft, uh, at downtown rams, um, on Twitter and ah, our podcast is on all different platforms.
00:42:04
We interview all different draft prospects during draft season.
00:42:08
Um, we have all sorts of players, coaches, ****ysts, all that on and we talk rams football, talk the draft, um, our miscellaneous podcast.
00:42:18
I also do with Alexis Craft you confined at halftime show pod.
00:42:22
It's called the Halftime show, and we do a miscellaneous podcast, really talking about all sorts of things and pop culture.
00:42:28
We recently just came out with its called er, remakes and reboots.
00:42:33
Um, so basically, we just talk about TV show and ah, movie reboots and remakes and our thoughts and how that's helping or hurting the overall brand.
00:42:44
So, um, check that out if you're interested.
00:42:46
But hey, once again, appreciate you guys tuning in.
00:42:49
Um, I'll be doing this again soon, but I just want to get on here, have some fun.
00:42:54
Hope you guys went a lot of money with D. F s.
00:42:56
Hope you guys with all your fantasy matchups and ah, hope your favorite team wins as long as it doesn't interfere with my favorite teams.
00:43:04
Thank you so much, guys.
00:43:05
Enjoy your Sunday

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