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Week 12 Preview: TNF, Early Sunday Games, and Mailbag Video 2
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00:00:06
What's going on? MD Nation? Yes, that's right.
00:00:09
I'm back.
00:00:10
I told you I would be.
00:00:11
Now we are here with the video to for this episode.
00:00:15
Remember if you guys were eliciting settled video one You.
00:00:19
I talked about how we had some technical difficulties.
00:00:21
So the first half of this live stream podcast episode got completely cut off somehow.
00:00:27
Ah, the worst half of what you missed If you were listening to the audio version of the podcast.
00:00:33
So we're back now.
00:00:34
This is just for you guys on SportsCastr.
00:00:36
We're not doing this on the audio version that has already been out and published.
00:00:40
If you want to check out the complete whole thing, you can go to any one of your favorite podcast APS Google play Spotify stitcher Speaker Pike As anywhere you go the end.
00:00:50
These funny football show is widely available to you guys.
00:00:54
I hope you all check that out.
00:00:56
Of course, you'll go back and listen to or watch the first video that's actually up now as well to catch the second half off what we talked about because we're not gonna go over that part in the show.
00:01:07
I'm not doing a whole full show is just gonna be the first half of what you guys missed.
00:01:11
Do the technical difficulties, you and again, I apologize for the inconvenience, but we're here now.
00:01:17
Let's go ahead and get right into it, because I wanna make sure you guys have all the information you need.
00:01:21
All the entertainment you need, of course, by watching me because I'm so entertaining to make sure you're making the right decisions for your fantasy lineups this week.
00:01:30
So biggest thing is, this week's game is to is tonight's game.
00:01:34
And that's what one of the things that cut off.
00:01:36
It's probably the most important game to talk about of the week because you're talking about two teams that have a lot of famous see talent but also have a lot of injuries that were unsure about right starting off in the cold side.
00:01:46
The Ball T Why held in a game time decision? They less than him is being practiced in full yesterday.
00:01:52
But the problem with that is the Colts did not actually practice yesterday.
00:01:56
It's simply just an estimation now.
00:01:58
Clearly, it shows he's trending in the right direction and they think he has an actual chance to play, but he's still considered a game time decision.
00:02:04
We still really won't know if he plays until about an hour, hour and 1/2 before the game tonight.
00:02:09
Make sure you follow me along on Twitter at M.
00:02:12
D s ff show for all those player news update notifications to let you know if two I help is going to be active or not.
00:02:18
But that's a big thing.
00:02:19
So let's say if he is active, you probably will have to play him.
00:02:24
You probably won't have a better option than T Y. Hilton.
00:02:27
One is a great match against using taxes that's first and foremost, but two you have our you're in a pivotal week.
00:02:35
You need guys with upside.
00:02:36
Nobody's gonna have more upside on a week to week basis than a healthy T y Hilton who's playing on the field now.
00:02:42
Here's what you're concerned about, right? It's a calf injury.
00:02:44
There's a chance for re injury when you're talking about soft tissue injuries.
00:02:49
He has not really practiced.
00:02:51
You didn't practice last week.
00:02:52
It all, and technically, he really hasn't actually practiced.
00:02:56
This week, he had an estimation off a limited capacity on Monday didn't really practise yesterday on Tuesday, or I'm sorry.
00:03:03
I didn't really practiced on Tuesday and yesterday.
00:03:06
Didn't practice, but they had the estimation of a full participant, but technically, really speaking.
00:03:10
He hasn't actually practice since coming back in his injury, which makes me a little shaky.
00:03:15
So he's not a must start for me because of that, because he is going to be high risk in a week in which you mean you might be in a position where you can take a lot of risk, so make sure you're looking at all of your options available to you.
00:03:28
He's not a must start, but in a situation where you're have heavy bye weeks with a lot of guys, that you're not gonna be available to you in a situation where you have to try to win and you might have to go for some upside.
00:03:40
If he's active in this game, there's going to be very few players out through have more upside and t way Helen against Houston Texans.
00:03:47
But just be mindful of the risk that's there now.
00:03:51
Other injury news for the Colts, of course, concludes Marlon Mack.
00:03:53
We know he for sure he won't play this week.
00:03:56
We don't exactly know what his timetable is.
00:03:58
They still haven't come out and given us that timeline yet.
00:04:01
And we do know that is probably going to be at least a few weeks as he had hand surgery for his fractured bone in his hand.
00:04:10
As a result, John Will is one of the heaviest picked up people off the waiver wires this week.
00:04:15
But what we did find out is that Jordan Wilkins is definitely going to be active in this game, which throws a whole lot of cold water on the whole Jonathan Williams pickup of the week.
00:04:27
Possibly play him as an RV.
00:04:29
To possibly playing was a flex situation because now all of a sudden you find yourself in a situation where you have to stare at Frank Reich in the face and figure out What are you going to d'oh.
00:04:40
Are you going to rotate? Are you going to actually play your best running backs? Because Jordan Wilkinson be given opportunities in the past and has squandered every single opportunity he's ever gotten to be the lead back or to be a big part of the rotation of that backfield.
00:04:59
So it's hard for me to believe after a game in which Jonathan Williams had a great game against a tough divisional opponent that helped them win a very important game for this team, that he would suddenly be second fiddle or even split the carries with Jordan Wilkins.
00:05:13
But that's thinking about this logically, and that's the problem.
00:05:16
Frank Break is not logical when it comes to rotating his running backs.
00:05:19
He comes with the Philadelphia Eagles, who will rotate anybody for any given reason just because, frankly, so while we're talking about this, you have a situation where you could see a three running backs situation time.
00:05:34
Heinz will have his passing down roll, who also doesn't even have Flex appeal for BP are leagues because he's pretty much had that role all season long, and yet they haven't utilized him very well.
00:05:44
And if they don't have T Y Hilton, I don't know of a past first approach is definitely what they're going to go to against the Houston Texans.
00:05:50
Sony and Heinz doesn't have a ton of value, and then you might have its 50 50 between Jordan Wilkins and Jonathan Williams that would be a disgrace.
00:05:59
That wouldn't make sense.
00:06:00
That would be the wrong move.
00:06:01
You're Frank, right to go to against Houston Texans, but there's a real possibly that ones that being the case.
00:06:06
So what I'm saying is that you can't trust Jonathan Williams this week.
00:06:10
You have to use this game as a barometer of what to expect moving forward.
00:06:13
Someone's gonna have value in that backfield.
00:06:15
Someone is going to take over as the leading rusher, and Marlon Mack was going to miss a few weeks.
00:06:21
But you're gonna have to use this game as a Brahmin.
00:06:23
What is your plan for this backfield? Frank, right? What can we look forward to? Moving forward? It should be Jonathan Williams.
00:06:29
There's no guarantee and a week that has such heavy playoff implications.
00:06:34
I just wouldn't trust him.
00:06:35
I wouldn't even though he should be the guy Air Ebron, questionable playing this game is expected to play in this game.
00:06:43
Last week, Jack Doyle didn't have any targets.
00:06:47
Not one, not one target.
00:06:49
So Eric Ebron said To come back in this game, he's going to be a key guy for them to be able to go to.
00:06:55
I think he has a great chance to score a touchdown because it's gonna be one of the better red zone targets calls have against using Texans.
00:07:02
It's a great matchup for him.
00:07:04
So while he is very boom or bust, as we all know, because he's Eric Ebron all the tight ends that you could be looking to stream this week, he's among the top.
00:07:12
There's a role for him there.
00:07:14
There's a matchup for him there.
00:07:15
And as I've said, this game is a sneaky, shoot out potential type of game.
00:07:20
So Eric, given somebody that I think you can pick up and stream this week Zach Pascual non the End report, Thankfully, but Zach Paschal, Target Wise has been the number one wide receiver since T Y Hilton has been out.
00:07:33
So keeping that in mind and a plus match up and also keeping in mind that the last time they played the Houston Tax and Zach Paschal win for over 100 yards and two touchdowns in that game and that was no t y Hilton or that was a weird to my home got re injured in the game.
00:07:48
So Zach Paschal, in this matchup, has proven he can do it.
00:07:52
They're going to have to lean on somebody.
00:07:54
I think Marcus Johnson was more of a flash in the pan than anything else. Moving forward.
00:07:58
Zach Paschal's a wide receiver for With upside.
00:08:01
He has the potential for he touched down this week.
00:08:03
He is somebody that I think can be played in your flax can be fantasy relevant for you in tonight's game.
00:08:08
I know he hasn't done much of the past couple of weeks of being the number one wide receiver, but they haven't had a great matchup since the last time they played Houston.
00:08:14
Texans, frankly.
00:08:15
So.
00:08:16
I think you can play exact Paschal here.
00:08:18
Jacoby per set.
00:08:21
If there's no T Y Hilton, he's not gonna be my top streaming quarterback of the week for good reason.
00:08:26
But because he runs around a little bit because of the match up, I think he's definitely somebody who has the opportunity and you can feel pretty confident about this.
00:08:34
To get you somewhere between 16 and 18 points doesn't turn the ball over a lot.
00:08:38
You don't have a lot of negative points heading your way.
00:08:41
Joey percent is somebody I think you can stream this week, even if there's no T Y Hilton.
00:08:45
Given the nature of this matchup, given that we might see a lot of points scored on, we have seen a lot of points scored in Thursday night match ups over the last few weeks.
00:08:54
I think you might see it again here in Houston.
00:08:56
Texans are gonna put up points.
00:08:57
Cults are going to have to throw.
00:08:59
Your set is a safe streaming option.
00:09:01
He doesn't have a huge ceiling.
00:09:02
I don't see this being a game where goes for 300 yards and two touchdowns.
00:09:05
But I do see this being game, where you can give you a solid amount of yardage, Sodom on passing touchdowns and will use his legs to help amplify his floor for fancy purposes.
00:09:15
So he's a streaming option to me on the Houston Texans side of all Wolf, Fuller's considered a game time decision, but right now the reports that we are getting is that he is more than likely to be able to play this game.
00:09:28
Now you're talking about well, Fuller.
00:09:30
He is as high of a re injury risk as their comes when it comes to soft tissue injuries at any given time.
00:09:37
But the one, the reasons why I'm a little more confident in him playing him this week and I would as a wide receiver for with Upside is because he practiced all week last week.
00:09:46
Yes, there's a limit capacity, but he does have a full week of practice under his belt.
00:09:49
He practicing a limit capacity again this week.
00:09:52
And unlike the Colts, they did have some real practices for the Houston Texans leading up into this game.
00:09:56
So he will practically did practice on a limited pass again.
00:09:59
This week was a week and 1/2 now were he's been out there getting work.
00:10:04
It's all in some ways.
00:10:05
He's actually less of an injury risk than T.
00:10:08
Y.
00:10:09
Hilton is this week because of that fact, because he actually has practiced.
00:10:13
So I think he's somebody who's a wire see before with Upside.
00:10:15
I think the Houston Texans offense in general is going to be able to bounce back in this game.
00:10:19
I think just on Watson's gonna have a much better game and I think as a result you can see wilful or have some upside this week, so I think He's somebody you can play.
00:10:28
If you need help, go hit a home run now.
00:10:29
Obviously, he's got a wide range of outcomes.
00:10:31
Obviously, if you're just looking for a floor, play something safe.
00:10:35
He's not that guy.
00:10:36
But if you need to hit a home run, he's is good of a flyer to take as anybody this week, even with the risk of re injury.
00:10:45
Outside of that, you're playing in your plan, your plan just on Watson plan. DeAndre Hopkins.
00:10:50
And I'm not gonna touch Kenny. Stills of Wool.
00:10:52
Fuller's back in the lineup.
00:10:53
I'm not the target share when the all three of them playing is just too chaotic between Fuller and Stills and Fuller should be the lead guy still hasn't done much in Fuller's absence over the past few weeks.
00:11:04
So I'm not gonna touch stills in this game.
00:11:08
And what is surprising 1 400 yards and touchdowns? No, it wouldn't surprise you, but I'm still not going to count on.
00:11:12
I'm still not going to play him in my line up.
00:11:14
Now, the only other question to ask yourself for this game for this matchup.
00:11:19
Carlos.
00:11:20
Hi, Duke Johnson. What do you do there.
00:11:22
Look, Last week showed me something.
00:11:24
Last week showed me that in a game in which the taxes had every reason in the world with no Wolf fuller, Kenny Stills that hadn't been productive and an offense that was struggling the easiest thing you could have done this check down the ball, that running backs, they did not do that.
00:11:39
Do Johnson is a guy who's so hit or miss in just not just his production, but in his target share.
00:11:47
His involvement in the offense, period that you cannot trust you.
00:11:51
Johnson.
00:11:52
You cannot play Do Johnson, even in fear in a PPR league, even imagine freezing.
00:11:55
The Texans offense might do well.
00:11:57
Can't do it.
00:11:59
You can play Carlos height.
00:12:01
He's going to get 12 to 15 carries in this game.
00:12:03
He's gonna have an opportunity to score a touchdown near the goal line because that's been the case.
00:12:06
He's been a safe as they come and has had many opportunities to score touchdowns of anybody in the league.
00:12:11
You can play Carlos Hyde as an R B three flex play this week because he has touched down potential and he's somebody who I think is a very good shot to get you 60 to 80 yards in this matchup as well, and we've seen him in games where he's had tougher match ups and go for 100 yards and a touchdown.
00:12:29
He's had those games this year, so I think you can play.
00:12:31
Carlos Hyde is an RV three flex play for this week's matchup.
00:12:36
Next time you want to talk about Terry Buccaneers, Elena Falcons, there's a lot of questions in this game, right? I mean, starting off the Falcons defense, you had two weeks in a row now you played great against the Saints.
00:12:49
You could play great against Carolina Panthers.
00:12:52
So now what is it Just are you going to keep this motivation up through your divisional opponents and go for one more week of another great defensive game against the Bay Buccaneers? Or is the fact that Dan Quinn is no longer calling the place that much of an upgrade, that the talent that you had have had on defense can finally play up to their potential? And are you actually going to be a possibly top 10 defense the rest of the way? These are all questions we're gonna look for the answers.
00:13:18
But either way, it doesn't make you feel great about the ceiling.
00:13:22
Play off a Mike Evans of a Chris goblin of a Jamis Winston.
00:13:26
Now, look, you're definitely wanna play Evans and God would And frankly, because of the volume that you know they're going to have to have in the passing game, I think you kind of have to play Winston, too, as a Lohan Q B one this week, while he's been the most turnover prone quarterback that we have seen in a very long time since Brett Farve, Quite frankly, Jamie's Winston still has that volume.
00:13:47
He's still gonna throw 300 yards and two touchdowns, even if he throws four picks giving him a safe floor.
00:13:52
Believe it or not, depending on your league scoring format but standard wise being minus two for interceptions, he's still gonna put up 16 18 points, even if he throws that many picks.
00:14:02
And if he just throws two interceptions.
00:14:04
All of a sudden, you're talking about a guy who might be in the top eight of quarterbacks and fantasy football purposes. That's all it would take.
00:14:10
So do you. I think you have to play games, too.
00:14:13
But there's a tough matchup is a scary situation.
00:14:17
And what do you do about the running backs? Look all this talking Bruce Arians.
00:14:21
Ronald Jones is going to be the lead back.
00:14:23
He's gonna take over.
00:14:25
Room hasn't really been the case.
00:14:27
I may have been more involved in the passing game shore.
00:14:29
He's had more touches as a whole, then Peyton Barber, Shore.
00:14:33
But McCarry standpoint, Pam Barbara hasn't gone anywhere.
00:14:36
It's been more of a 50 50 split between the two, so that really hasn't been hasn't come to fruition in any kind of way of the two.
00:14:43
Am I? Who am I gonna play? Yes, I'm gonna play Ronald Jones because he's gonna have that passing game as part of his repertoire against the Atlanta Falcons.
00:14:51
Which should be, on paper, at least, a good matchup.
00:14:54
And he should be utilizing that way.
00:14:58
But you don't feel great about it.
00:15:00
Peyton Barber has been the one who's been more trustworthy around the goal line, so his touchdown potential goes way down and I'm not gonna play Peyton Barber.
00:15:08
Make someone else make that mistake.
00:15:10
I'm not gonna play a guy who can only fall for three yards and you're just praying whoever you pray, too, that he falls in the end zone.
00:15:16
Not gonna happen.
00:15:18
Let someone else make that mistake.
00:15:19
Let's, um, let's deal with that nightmarish headache.
00:15:23
Stay away.
00:15:25
But Ron Jones, PPR leagues Flex play.
00:15:28
Yeah, yeah, you kind of have to look that route, not gonna feel great about it because he's gonna have just low floor of anybody, especially the Falcon.
00:15:35
Stevens plays the way they have been playing for the past couple of weeks, and we know Ronald Jones is just one dumbfounding fumble away from being benched.
00:15:44
That's the other issue run into, but I think you have to take that chance if you're hurt by the bye week this week, which is a real possibility, given what teams are on by.
00:15:53
On Falcon side of all, we know you're going to play Julio, Calvin, Ridley, Matt Ryan.
00:15:58
Without a doubt, they have great matchups.
00:16:01
Expectations should be through the roof.
00:16:03
What do you do outside of that? What do you do it? Brian Hill, in a tough matchup against number one run defense in the NFL, it's gonna put on your line up.
00:16:12
He's not a must play.
00:16:14
Without a doubt.
00:16:15
He's not a must play, especially after the lax of musical performance that he put up against Carolina Panthers.
00:16:18
But remember, he should have had a touchdown in that game had it not been called back to the penalty.
00:16:24
So having that mine all of a sudden, bright hills not so bad.
00:16:29
If he scores there and you're talking about a guy, I don't expect a Monte Freeman to be back.
00:16:34
So you're talking about a guy who should once again be the workhorse back.
00:16:37
The real question is going to be.
00:16:38
Do they let him get involved in the passing game? Because if they do that, then he's gonna have a safe floor this week that you can play.
00:16:45
But if they don't and they just use him as a runner, he's gonna get shut down, plain and simple.
00:16:50
So a greatly depends on what you have available to you.
00:16:54
I don't know if you're gonna be in too many situations where you're going to have a guy that you can trust a volume out of Maur.
00:17:01
If you're looking at that range of running back like for instance, I would definitely play Brian Hill over Kalen Balash.
00:17:08
And to me, Brian Hill falls in the territory of Devon Singletary this week.
00:17:12
Not from a talent perspective.
00:17:13
Not from a usage per sec perspective, but from a perspective of Devon Singletary.
00:17:17
Planning is the Denver Broncos.
00:17:19
With Frank, we're still in the mix.
00:17:21
He has a loaf of Florida.
00:17:23
Brian Hill does Liza Brian Hill.
00:17:24
You know he's gonna get a certain amount of volume.
00:17:27
So he's in about that rain just weak.
00:17:29
So he's definitely a playable option because all running backs, no matter the situation, marry who they are.
00:17:36
If they have enough volume, they become at least somewhat valuable.
00:17:40
Unless your name Caleb Lage your name Campbell eyes.
00:17:43
I don't I don't care to get 40 carries.
00:17:44
I'm still not gonna play you.
00:17:46
That would be the only one.
00:17:48
So just playing Chorley, he's not gonna have a high ceiling.
00:17:52
So if you need a take a shot on somebody, Brian Hill is not gonna be that guy.
00:17:55
But if you just need somebody to give you six points 6 to 8 points and have that opportunity and have that volume, he can't be got that guy this week, especially since I expect him to be involved the passing game this week.
00:18:08
I don't like the Falcons that even really try to run it all that much.
00:18:11
The only other guy I want to talk about for the Falcons is Russell Gage now.
00:18:15
Yes, a lot of the target's gonna go to Calvin Ridley and together Julio Jones.
00:18:19
But like Brian Hill, Russell Gateshead Touchdown called back to the penalty so he could have had a much better stat line last week.
00:18:25
He is the third pass catcher on that team against Tampa Bay Buccaneers and a team that's that past heavy.
00:18:32
That has value.
00:18:34
And while he has definitely has a low floor because it could turn into how it did last week where Calvin really and Julio Jones was gobbling up all the targets, he does have a higher ceiling than most that you're looking for on the waiver wire this week.
00:18:47
So if you need to take a shot somewhere, if you're saying like hey, you know what? I don't have the firepower to keep up.
00:18:52
I have to take a risk.
00:18:53
I have to take a shot when somebody you can hit me a home run.
00:18:55
Russell gauges that guy.
00:18:57
They move him all around, They move in the slot, we move around the perimeter, they take shots to him.
00:19:01
They let him run intermediate routes.
00:19:03
And even though we're gonna show up on the stat sheet last week, he did run some key patterns in the red zone as well.
00:19:09
They utilize him there, too.
00:19:11
They play a lot through receiver sets.
00:19:12
He's gonna be out in the field more times than not.
00:19:15
So he definitely has a low floor.
00:19:17
He's definitely nothing more than a wide receiver for, But he has upside potential for you this week against Sand Bay Buccaneers.
00:19:23
If you need to take a home run flyer somewhere, he can be that guy.
00:19:27
Next. We'll talk about Denver Broncos.
00:19:29
Buffalo Bill's kind of mentioned a little bit here with Devon Singletary.
00:19:32
You're not streaming Josh Allen this week.
00:19:34
Denver Broncos.
00:19:35
What is the one thing has been very impressive to me about Vic Fangio is that while this team has pretty much been out of it from the get go, that defense has played tougher and better as the season has going on.
00:19:47
They tackled better.
00:19:48
They showed up the run defense they're getting back to the quarterback.
00:19:51
Chris Harris has resurged has been unreal quarterback this entire year, which has a lot of bad things for the fantasy relevant players on the Buffalo Bills.
00:20:01
You're not gonna play Josh Allen.
00:20:03
I think he has a very low floor, a lot of picks.
00:20:06
And because of the way the Broncos in playing on defense, I don't know how much he's actually going to be able to give you with his legs on the ground to help make up for the lack of production that he's going to see in the passing game.
00:20:17
The other thing you have to take taken into consideration here is John Brown.
00:20:22
He's going to be matched up on Chris hairs while he's had a hell of a floor and a great run over the past few weeks.
00:20:29
You can't expect him to do much in this game.
00:20:30
He's got a very low floor being shadowed by Chris Harris and, you know, and because I don't think Josh will be doing much of anything.
00:20:37
Cole Beasley is not somebody who is an option to me, either, even though he won't be seeing Chris hairs.
00:20:42
So keep that in mind.
00:20:43
Stay away from Cole Beasley, now the other flip side so I wouldn't play John Brown either, if you can help it.
00:20:48
The other flipside of this is Devon Singletary.
00:20:50
This is not a Denver run defense that you can attack on a consistent basis.
00:20:54
Frank.
00:20:55
War isn't going anywhere.
00:20:56
So you have a guy who's gonna be splitting touches to at least some degree in a bad matchup in a game in which I would not be surprised if this was a 12 9 17 to 10 tops type of scoring game in this one.
00:21:08
Not gonna be a lot of points had here.
00:21:09
The seven secretary have a chance to score a touchdown for you.
00:21:12
Yes, the get inside close and don't sneak it with Josh.
00:21:15
Alan have a chance to hand it off to Devon Singletary, but I don't like his upside.
00:21:19
I don't think he's gonna have a very good yards per carry per carry average in this one.
00:21:24
So while he's going to have flex appeal because of his role in the offense, because what he's shown that he's capable of doing even in tough matchups because of his explosive ability, he is still somebody to me that I would try to find a better option from because he's not gonna have a very high ceiling and he could have a chance to bottom out for you.
00:21:42
Given the matchup on the Bronco side, the ball, I think it's pretty straightforward.
00:21:47
Yes, you can play Courtland Sutton.
00:21:50
He's had tough matchups and passed.
00:21:51
It has not mattered because he is that number one wide receiver.
00:21:54
Hands down because Brandon Allen is pretty much just looking at his number one target and going to him consistently.
00:22:01
Cortland son has shown that he is a budding star wide receiver in this leak, and I continue that to be the case.
00:22:08
Remember, the Buffalo Bills don't shadow, so he's not always gonna be matchup onto Davis White, and they've been moving Sutton all around.
00:22:14
That's one of the good things that they have been doing offensively.
00:22:16
They've been lying open, slot left and right all over the place, trying to get him mismatches, trying to get him the ball.
00:22:21
They know that he is the best player they have in that offense, and they've been utilizing him as such.
00:22:26
I give them credit for that as a result.
00:22:29
Even a tough matchup because the Buffalo Bills I think Courtland Sutton has a safe floor as a wide receiver three and can be in your fantasy lineups and, of course, always has the possibility.
00:22:38
Score a touchdown.
00:22:39
The other guy you're gonna play is Phillip Lindsay.
00:22:41
Buffalo Bills have been a team that you can attack in the run game, and now all of a sudden, Philip Lindsay's value has been boosted because you can't play words Freeman anymore.
00:22:49
Why he's only got about half the touches off filled Lindsay now, and that includes in the passing game.
00:22:55
Ever since they had made the switch from Flacco to brand Alan ever since I came out of the bye week.
00:22:59
Suddenly there's been emphasis to go back to what they were doing last year.
00:23:02
Which is Royce Freeman, your active backup, who produces more than most running back backups, too.
00:23:08
But it's no longer a 50 50 split.
00:23:11
It's Phil Lindsay's back field, which is what they should do.
00:23:14
They should be going with their best playmaker, which is Phillip Lindsay and has been for quite some time, and now they're gonna be doing that moving forward.
00:23:20
So Phillip Lindsay is definitely a low an RV to for you this week and has a chance for high upside because he has a chance to break one.
00:23:27
Because you have been able to gash Buffalo Bills outside that I'm not playing anybody else in Denver Broncos.
00:23:32
That includes no offense, no offense has another game here, where he's clearly the second most targeted pass catcher.
00:23:38
I think moving forward, he is going to jump on my radar as a streaming tight end.
00:23:42
But against Denver, Bronco's been so good against the tight ends.
00:23:45
I'm not going to take that chance this week, but I will still have my eye on him for future weeks coming up.
00:23:50
He could be somebody that we talk about.
00:23:52
Maybe in the waiver wire report next week.
00:23:55
Quite possibly next game I want to talk about, and the final game I'm gonna talk about in this episode is now.
00:24:01
You will be all caught up from what you missed.
00:24:04
Have you been watching? You know, the first video where we had to start halfway through the show because the technical difficulties apologize again for that.
00:24:10
But it's the last thing we talk about for this show.
00:24:13
If you did not watch that first video, go back and watch that one.
00:24:16
Or just check out the full podcast audio version on Google Play Spotify.
00:24:20
Stitch your speaker Anywhere you go.
00:24:22
Emmy's feeling football show is widely available to you.
00:24:25
So you make sure you don't miss a thing because you're gonna want all of this information for this week.
00:24:30
So our last game is the Giants in Chicago Bears.
00:24:33
Sterling Shepherd might legitimately come back.
00:24:36
We're not gonna find out until tomorrow if he's gonna get the final clearance from his concussion.
00:24:41
But he has been practicing.
00:24:42
He's practicing in full this week, and all of a sudden the big change, the big game changer, was the fact that Pat Shurmur came out this week and said, You know what? Shepherd really does have a chance to play after pretty much Adam Lee being Sheppard wasn't gonna play, we might shut him down.
00:24:57
That was pretty much his tone this entire time until suddenly this week, he says, You know what? Shepherd might have a shot to play.
00:25:03
That means there's been notable improvement, but they're gonna bring him back in.
00:25:06
So what does that do for everybody else involved and only lessons the value, right? Because I mean, Dion Jones is in a streamer again.
00:25:13
Chicago first and foremost.
00:25:14
So it just lessons the value Golden Tate lessens the value Dairy Slaten Because now all of a sudden you have targets, gets spread out.
00:25:21
Now we're not expecting even Ingram the plate in practice again today.
00:25:24
He still expect to really be out for a couple of more weeks when you when you really look at it.
00:25:28
But the problem that we're having here is now who do you trust? I sold in Golden Tate is the number one targeted guy.
00:25:35
Was Sterling Shepherd just getting back? It's been a few weeks.
00:25:38
He's gonna be a little bit rusty and remember, he's gonna be, Ah, hi, reinjury Risk with that concussion because if he gets one hit in the wrong position, he's gonna have another concussion.
00:25:49
So he's a chance that you could want to get knocked out at some point in this game, as it is.
00:25:52
So Golden Tate, to me, is the safest wide receiver to go to.
00:25:55
Plus, he has a long history against Chicago Bears and being able to produce well against them.
00:25:59
In the past, Dairy slaying becomes nothing more than a home run threat.
00:26:04
That's it.
00:26:05
That's all he is.
00:26:06
He's not gonna see 14 targets is going to be third.
00:26:09
If Shepard plays the entire game, he's going to be third on that team.
00:26:12
As faras pass catchers go on targets at the leaves, he might be fourth behind Seko on Barclay, too.
00:26:16
Don't forget that.
00:26:18
So while Chicago Bears secondary isn't something that you fear because of that pass, just because that front seven because of the pressure that you expect Daniel Jones, I have to see and not have a lot of time to get the ball down the field.
00:26:29
It's gonna be very few and far between the shots he's gonna be able to take to Darius lately.
00:26:34
So as a result, Slate is nothing more than a guy that if you feel like you just want to hit a home run, take a flier on, that's it because he's not gonna have a good floor.
00:26:44
GfS leagues, maybe where I would like to play him because you want to be that the contrary and play a guy who can go off like that that that that type of guy, but he doesn't.
00:26:51
He doesn't have a floor in this game.
00:26:53
I think the only guy you can play with any confidence is going to eat.
00:26:57
That's it.
00:26:58
And even then, he doesn't have a tremendous ceiling against a good defense in a game in which he might see his target share go down.
00:27:03
So does have a great ceiling there.
00:27:04
But there is a floor for him.
00:27:06
The Operate against Chicago Bears.
00:27:08
He's gonna probably play the slot receiver with Sterling Shepard back.
00:27:10
He's going to be the easier read that Damon Jones can get to go to the move.
00:27:14
The ball.
00:27:15
So, of all the receivers, Gold hates the guy I play.
00:27:17
I try to stay away from Shepard and Slayton.
00:27:19
If I can obviously say Kwan should have a better game, this one.
00:27:23
Chicago Bears have been noticeably bad against the run since Akim Hicks has been out.
00:27:30
This is a game.
00:27:31
Take one. Barclay's gotta get back on track.
00:27:33
He's healthier now.
00:27:34
They've been able to have the bye week.
00:27:35
I expected to come out, have a good game against Chicago Bears, so I think you can get your say, Kwame Barkley back this week.
00:27:41
You've been all been waiting for on the bare side, the ball, this words interesting, right? Music.
00:27:46
Robiskie gonna play is gonna be benched.
00:27:49
Look Big and Lyle, they want to.
00:27:50
He didn't have a hip injury practice in full yesterday.
00:27:54
They're still calling him day to day, even though he practiced in full yesterday.
00:27:57
So what does that tell me? It tells me that they're looking for every excuse in the book to keep the door open in case they want to go to Chase Daniel this week and have you own any fantasy players on the Chicago Bears.
00:28:09
You want taste and will be the quarterback.
00:28:11
You want somebody in there who could do something of some competency to move the ball and that right now it's chasing us. Mr.
00:28:19
Whiskey, hand you a **** thing.
00:28:20
Can't can't do it, can't throw the ball.
00:28:23
He's not looking where he's playing with no confidence.
00:28:26
He's not running.
00:28:27
He's not opening things up, so we'll be we'll be having a way to see.
00:28:34
I think you have to play Alan Robinson this game, regardless because the New York Giants, if you don't play him against the Giants.
00:28:39
I don't know who you're gonna be able to play him again, so you have to play Alan Robinson.
00:28:43
Here you have the hope here is that he was the quarterback.
00:28:46
But you have to play Alan Robson here.
00:28:48
David Montgomery, Excuse me is my other must play.
00:28:53
There's a guy who should have 20 plus carries against a bad Giants defense.
00:29:00
And no matter who the quarterback is, I took the Bears get back to the morning game in this one remembers that they're not playing the Rams.
00:29:06
This is actually a game in which the Bears should have a positive game script for most of the game.
00:29:11
So as long as that is the case, I expect David Montgomery get 20 carries because 20 carries against the Giants, he's gonna put up RV to production.
00:29:18
It's a simple as that you have a great chance score touchdowns, go have a great chance to get 80 to 100 yards.
00:29:22
No doubt about it.
00:29:23
He looks like he was okay with that ankle injury last week.
00:29:27
I expected to be a bit healthier, expecting to be close to 100% going into this week.
00:29:31
So David Montgomery is somebody I think you can definitely plays an RV to.
00:29:35
I'm not playing three column because I expect this to be a David Montgomery game.
00:29:39
And with weather is business Chris Cure or Chase Daniel.
00:29:43
Terry Colin really only gets involved in games in which they have negative game scripts and being that this shouldn't be that way.
00:29:49
Meaning is such a low floor as it is, even in matchups we're expecting to go off.
00:29:54
I'm would not play to Rico in this week, even though on paper would be a plus matchup.
00:30:00
Just Montgomery, just Alan Robinson and even Alan Robson.
00:30:03
He doesn't have a great sealing it.
00:30:05
Robiskie plays even in a plus match up either.
00:30:07
But you have to plan this week.
00:30:08
He does have a safe floor that wraps up this video.
00:30:13
Remember, if you want to see the other half of the show, either go on my site on SportsCastr at M D F f belly up, U.
00:30:22
S N and you can check out that second.
00:30:24
The first video which will have the second half of this show is very confusing because the technical difficulties we had really kind of ruined everything here But if you just want to listen to the show all the way through, check out the audio version on Google Play Spotify Stitchers Breaker MD Spanish football show Available to you on your favorite podcast app.
00:30:42
Make sure you're contacting me on social media at M B s F F show.
00:30:45
Forfeit our for Twitter.
00:30:47
That way you can get those players update notifications.
00:30:50
Make sure turned out notifications on, because that way you can be out your opponents and get the information first by following me along.
00:30:56
And it's free because it's Twitter.
00:30:58
The other thing checkout is Facebook at M D F F show.
00:31:01
You can contact me on there with any fancy football questions you may have, and also you can check out the website w w dot m d f f show dot com For all the rankings I will have up later on today.
00:31:11
We will be back tomorrow with the second preview of we 12 which will include the four o'clock games, the Sunday night game, the Monday night game.
00:31:19
And of course, we'll have a mailbag statement from you.
00:31:21
The fans, if you listen to this on sports, Cashley washes on SportsCastr Rather, and you come back tomorrow and you drop a question in the chat I will put.
00:31:31
I will put your question on, discuss your question and answer your question as part of the episode.
00:31:36
So something that I kind of like to give back shout you out.
00:31:38
It's part of the nation because you guys watching and listening along has really helped the show out tremendously and keeps me motivated to do it every single day.
00:31:46
And I really appreciate it.
00:31:47
Make sure you guys are checking out one of my network's unwrap sports.
00:31:50
Now we're all the belly of sports network, both on SportsCastr doing great things, making great content.
00:31:54
Make sure you go ahead and check that out.
00:31:56
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00:31:58
I will see you guys all tomorrow.
00:31:59
Have a lovely day.

Week 12 Preview: TNF, Early Sunday Games, and Mailbag Video 2

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Belly Up Sports' MD's Fantasy Football Show @Bellyupmdffshow

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00:00:06
What's going on? MD Nation? Yes, that's right.
00:00:09
I'm back.
00:00:10
I told you I would be.
00:00:11
Now we are here with the video to for this episode.
00:00:15
Remember if you guys were eliciting settled video one You.
00:00:19
I talked about how we had some technical difficulties.
00:00:21
So the first half of this live stream podcast episode got completely cut off somehow.
00:00:27
Ah, the worst half of what you missed If you were listening to the audio version of the podcast.
00:00:33
So we're back now.
00:00:34
This is just for you guys on SportsCastr.
00:00:36
We're not doing this on the audio version that has already been out and published.
00:00:40
If you want to check out the complete whole thing, you can go to any one of your favorite podcast APS Google play Spotify stitcher Speaker Pike As anywhere you go the end.
00:00:50
These funny football show is widely available to you guys.
00:00:54
I hope you all check that out.
00:00:56
Of course, you'll go back and listen to or watch the first video that's actually up now as well to catch the second half off what we talked about because we're not gonna go over that part in the show.
00:01:07
I'm not doing a whole full show is just gonna be the first half of what you guys missed.
00:01:11
Do the technical difficulties, you and again, I apologize for the inconvenience, but we're here now.
00:01:17
Let's go ahead and get right into it, because I wanna make sure you guys have all the information you need.
00:01:21
All the entertainment you need, of course, by watching me because I'm so entertaining to make sure you're making the right decisions for your fantasy lineups this week.
00:01:30
So biggest thing is, this week's game is to is tonight's game.
00:01:34
And that's what one of the things that cut off.
00:01:36
It's probably the most important game to talk about of the week because you're talking about two teams that have a lot of famous see talent but also have a lot of injuries that were unsure about right starting off in the cold side.
00:01:46
The Ball T Why held in a game time decision? They less than him is being practiced in full yesterday.
00:01:52
But the problem with that is the Colts did not actually practice yesterday.
00:01:56
It's simply just an estimation now.
00:01:58
Clearly, it shows he's trending in the right direction and they think he has an actual chance to play, but he's still considered a game time decision.
00:02:04
We still really won't know if he plays until about an hour, hour and 1/2 before the game tonight.
00:02:09
Make sure you follow me along on Twitter at M.
00:02:12
D s ff show for all those player news update notifications to let you know if two I help is going to be active or not.
00:02:18
But that's a big thing.
00:02:19
So let's say if he is active, you probably will have to play him.
00:02:24
You probably won't have a better option than T Y. Hilton.
00:02:27
One is a great match against using taxes that's first and foremost, but two you have our you're in a pivotal week.
00:02:35
You need guys with upside.
00:02:36
Nobody's gonna have more upside on a week to week basis than a healthy T y Hilton who's playing on the field now.
00:02:42
Here's what you're concerned about, right? It's a calf injury.
00:02:44
There's a chance for re injury when you're talking about soft tissue injuries.
00:02:49
He has not really practiced.
00:02:51
You didn't practice last week.
00:02:52
It all, and technically, he really hasn't actually practiced.
00:02:56
This week, he had an estimation off a limited capacity on Monday didn't really practise yesterday on Tuesday, or I'm sorry.
00:03:03
I didn't really practiced on Tuesday and yesterday.
00:03:06
Didn't practice, but they had the estimation of a full participant, but technically, really speaking.
00:03:10
He hasn't actually practice since coming back in his injury, which makes me a little shaky.
00:03:15
So he's not a must start for me because of that, because he is going to be high risk in a week in which you mean you might be in a position where you can take a lot of risk, so make sure you're looking at all of your options available to you.
00:03:28
He's not a must start, but in a situation where you're have heavy bye weeks with a lot of guys, that you're not gonna be available to you in a situation where you have to try to win and you might have to go for some upside.
00:03:40
If he's active in this game, there's going to be very few players out through have more upside and t way Helen against Houston Texans.
00:03:47
But just be mindful of the risk that's there now.
00:03:51
Other injury news for the Colts, of course, concludes Marlon Mack.
00:03:53
We know he for sure he won't play this week.
00:03:56
We don't exactly know what his timetable is.
00:03:58
They still haven't come out and given us that timeline yet.
00:04:01
And we do know that is probably going to be at least a few weeks as he had hand surgery for his fractured bone in his hand.
00:04:10
As a result, John Will is one of the heaviest picked up people off the waiver wires this week.
00:04:15
But what we did find out is that Jordan Wilkins is definitely going to be active in this game, which throws a whole lot of cold water on the whole Jonathan Williams pickup of the week.
00:04:27
Possibly play him as an RV.
00:04:29
To possibly playing was a flex situation because now all of a sudden you find yourself in a situation where you have to stare at Frank Reich in the face and figure out What are you going to d'oh.
00:04:40
Are you going to rotate? Are you going to actually play your best running backs? Because Jordan Wilkinson be given opportunities in the past and has squandered every single opportunity he's ever gotten to be the lead back or to be a big part of the rotation of that backfield.
00:04:59
So it's hard for me to believe after a game in which Jonathan Williams had a great game against a tough divisional opponent that helped them win a very important game for this team, that he would suddenly be second fiddle or even split the carries with Jordan Wilkins.
00:05:13
But that's thinking about this logically, and that's the problem.
00:05:16
Frank Break is not logical when it comes to rotating his running backs.
00:05:19
He comes with the Philadelphia Eagles, who will rotate anybody for any given reason just because, frankly, so while we're talking about this, you have a situation where you could see a three running backs situation time.
00:05:34
Heinz will have his passing down roll, who also doesn't even have Flex appeal for BP are leagues because he's pretty much had that role all season long, and yet they haven't utilized him very well.
00:05:44
And if they don't have T Y Hilton, I don't know of a past first approach is definitely what they're going to go to against the Houston Texans.
00:05:50
Sony and Heinz doesn't have a ton of value, and then you might have its 50 50 between Jordan Wilkins and Jonathan Williams that would be a disgrace.
00:05:59
That wouldn't make sense.
00:06:00
That would be the wrong move.
00:06:01
You're Frank, right to go to against Houston Texans, but there's a real possibly that ones that being the case.
00:06:06
So what I'm saying is that you can't trust Jonathan Williams this week.
00:06:10
You have to use this game as a barometer of what to expect moving forward.
00:06:13
Someone's gonna have value in that backfield.
00:06:15
Someone is going to take over as the leading rusher, and Marlon Mack was going to miss a few weeks.
00:06:21
But you're gonna have to use this game as a Brahmin.
00:06:23
What is your plan for this backfield? Frank, right? What can we look forward to? Moving forward? It should be Jonathan Williams.
00:06:29
There's no guarantee and a week that has such heavy playoff implications.
00:06:34
I just wouldn't trust him.
00:06:35
I wouldn't even though he should be the guy Air Ebron, questionable playing this game is expected to play in this game.
00:06:43
Last week, Jack Doyle didn't have any targets.
00:06:47
Not one, not one target.
00:06:49
So Eric Ebron said To come back in this game, he's going to be a key guy for them to be able to go to.
00:06:55
I think he has a great chance to score a touchdown because it's gonna be one of the better red zone targets calls have against using Texans.
00:07:02
It's a great matchup for him.
00:07:04
So while he is very boom or bust, as we all know, because he's Eric Ebron all the tight ends that you could be looking to stream this week, he's among the top.
00:07:12
There's a role for him there.
00:07:14
There's a matchup for him there.
00:07:15
And as I've said, this game is a sneaky, shoot out potential type of game.
00:07:20
So Eric, given somebody that I think you can pick up and stream this week Zach Pascual non the End report, Thankfully, but Zach Paschal, Target Wise has been the number one wide receiver since T Y Hilton has been out.
00:07:33
So keeping that in mind and a plus match up and also keeping in mind that the last time they played the Houston Tax and Zach Paschal win for over 100 yards and two touchdowns in that game and that was no t y Hilton or that was a weird to my home got re injured in the game.
00:07:48
So Zach Paschal, in this matchup, has proven he can do it.
00:07:52
They're going to have to lean on somebody.
00:07:54
I think Marcus Johnson was more of a flash in the pan than anything else. Moving forward.
00:07:58
Zach Paschal's a wide receiver for With upside.
00:08:01
He has the potential for he touched down this week.
00:08:03
He is somebody that I think can be played in your flax can be fantasy relevant for you in tonight's game.
00:08:08
I know he hasn't done much of the past couple of weeks of being the number one wide receiver, but they haven't had a great matchup since the last time they played Houston.
00:08:14
Texans, frankly.
00:08:15
So.
00:08:16
I think you can play exact Paschal here.
00:08:18
Jacoby per set.
00:08:21
If there's no T Y Hilton, he's not gonna be my top streaming quarterback of the week for good reason.
00:08:26
But because he runs around a little bit because of the match up, I think he's definitely somebody who has the opportunity and you can feel pretty confident about this.
00:08:34
To get you somewhere between 16 and 18 points doesn't turn the ball over a lot.
00:08:38
You don't have a lot of negative points heading your way.
00:08:41
Joey percent is somebody I think you can stream this week, even if there's no T Y Hilton.
00:08:45
Given the nature of this matchup, given that we might see a lot of points scored on, we have seen a lot of points scored in Thursday night match ups over the last few weeks.
00:08:54
I think you might see it again here in Houston.
00:08:56
Texans are gonna put up points.
00:08:57
Cults are going to have to throw.
00:08:59
Your set is a safe streaming option.
00:09:01
He doesn't have a huge ceiling.
00:09:02
I don't see this being a game where goes for 300 yards and two touchdowns.
00:09:05
But I do see this being game, where you can give you a solid amount of yardage, Sodom on passing touchdowns and will use his legs to help amplify his floor for fancy purposes.
00:09:15
So he's a streaming option to me on the Houston Texans side of all Wolf, Fuller's considered a game time decision, but right now the reports that we are getting is that he is more than likely to be able to play this game.
00:09:28
Now you're talking about well, Fuller.
00:09:30
He is as high of a re injury risk as their comes when it comes to soft tissue injuries at any given time.
00:09:37
But the one, the reasons why I'm a little more confident in him playing him this week and I would as a wide receiver for with Upside is because he practiced all week last week.
00:09:46
Yes, there's a limit capacity, but he does have a full week of practice under his belt.
00:09:49
He practicing a limit capacity again this week.
00:09:52
And unlike the Colts, they did have some real practices for the Houston Texans leading up into this game.
00:09:56
So he will practically did practice on a limited pass again.
00:09:59
This week was a week and 1/2 now were he's been out there getting work.
00:10:04
It's all in some ways.
00:10:05
He's actually less of an injury risk than T.
00:10:08
Y.
00:10:09
Hilton is this week because of that fact, because he actually has practiced.
00:10:13
So I think he's somebody who's a wire see before with Upside.
00:10:15
I think the Houston Texans offense in general is going to be able to bounce back in this game.
00:10:19
I think just on Watson's gonna have a much better game and I think as a result you can see wilful or have some upside this week, so I think He's somebody you can play.
00:10:28
If you need help, go hit a home run now.
00:10:29
Obviously, he's got a wide range of outcomes.
00:10:31
Obviously, if you're just looking for a floor, play something safe.
00:10:35
He's not that guy.
00:10:36
But if you need to hit a home run, he's is good of a flyer to take as anybody this week, even with the risk of re injury.
00:10:45
Outside of that, you're playing in your plan, your plan just on Watson plan. DeAndre Hopkins.
00:10:50
And I'm not gonna touch Kenny. Stills of Wool.
00:10:52
Fuller's back in the lineup.
00:10:53
I'm not the target share when the all three of them playing is just too chaotic between Fuller and Stills and Fuller should be the lead guy still hasn't done much in Fuller's absence over the past few weeks.
00:11:04
So I'm not gonna touch stills in this game.
00:11:08
And what is surprising 1 400 yards and touchdowns? No, it wouldn't surprise you, but I'm still not going to count on.
00:11:12
I'm still not going to play him in my line up.
00:11:14
Now, the only other question to ask yourself for this game for this matchup.
00:11:19
Carlos.
00:11:20
Hi, Duke Johnson. What do you do there.
00:11:22
Look, Last week showed me something.
00:11:24
Last week showed me that in a game in which the taxes had every reason in the world with no Wolf fuller, Kenny Stills that hadn't been productive and an offense that was struggling the easiest thing you could have done this check down the ball, that running backs, they did not do that.
00:11:39
Do Johnson is a guy who's so hit or miss in just not just his production, but in his target share.
00:11:47
His involvement in the offense, period that you cannot trust you.
00:11:51
Johnson.
00:11:52
You cannot play Do Johnson, even in fear in a PPR league, even imagine freezing.
00:11:55
The Texans offense might do well.
00:11:57
Can't do it.
00:11:59
You can play Carlos height.
00:12:01
He's going to get 12 to 15 carries in this game.
00:12:03
He's gonna have an opportunity to score a touchdown near the goal line because that's been the case.
00:12:06
He's been a safe as they come and has had many opportunities to score touchdowns of anybody in the league.
00:12:11
You can play Carlos Hyde as an R B three flex play this week because he has touched down potential and he's somebody who I think is a very good shot to get you 60 to 80 yards in this matchup as well, and we've seen him in games where he's had tougher match ups and go for 100 yards and a touchdown.
00:12:29
He's had those games this year, so I think you can play.
00:12:31
Carlos Hyde is an RV three flex play for this week's matchup.
00:12:36
Next time you want to talk about Terry Buccaneers, Elena Falcons, there's a lot of questions in this game, right? I mean, starting off the Falcons defense, you had two weeks in a row now you played great against the Saints.
00:12:49
You could play great against Carolina Panthers.
00:12:52
So now what is it Just are you going to keep this motivation up through your divisional opponents and go for one more week of another great defensive game against the Bay Buccaneers? Or is the fact that Dan Quinn is no longer calling the place that much of an upgrade, that the talent that you had have had on defense can finally play up to their potential? And are you actually going to be a possibly top 10 defense the rest of the way? These are all questions we're gonna look for the answers.
00:13:18
But either way, it doesn't make you feel great about the ceiling.
00:13:22
Play off a Mike Evans of a Chris goblin of a Jamis Winston.
00:13:26
Now, look, you're definitely wanna play Evans and God would And frankly, because of the volume that you know they're going to have to have in the passing game, I think you kind of have to play Winston, too, as a Lohan Q B one this week, while he's been the most turnover prone quarterback that we have seen in a very long time since Brett Farve, Quite frankly, Jamie's Winston still has that volume.
00:13:47
He's still gonna throw 300 yards and two touchdowns, even if he throws four picks giving him a safe floor.
00:13:52
Believe it or not, depending on your league scoring format but standard wise being minus two for interceptions, he's still gonna put up 16 18 points, even if he throws that many picks.
00:14:02
And if he just throws two interceptions.
00:14:04
All of a sudden, you're talking about a guy who might be in the top eight of quarterbacks and fantasy football purposes. That's all it would take.
00:14:10
So do you. I think you have to play games, too.
00:14:13
But there's a tough matchup is a scary situation.
00:14:17
And what do you do about the running backs? Look all this talking Bruce Arians.
00:14:21
Ronald Jones is going to be the lead back.
00:14:23
He's gonna take over.
00:14:25
Room hasn't really been the case.
00:14:27
I may have been more involved in the passing game shore.
00:14:29
He's had more touches as a whole, then Peyton Barber, Shore.
00:14:33
But McCarry standpoint, Pam Barbara hasn't gone anywhere.
00:14:36
It's been more of a 50 50 split between the two, so that really hasn't been hasn't come to fruition in any kind of way of the two.
00:14:43
Am I? Who am I gonna play? Yes, I'm gonna play Ronald Jones because he's gonna have that passing game as part of his repertoire against the Atlanta Falcons.
00:14:51
Which should be, on paper, at least, a good matchup.
00:14:54
And he should be utilizing that way.
00:14:58
But you don't feel great about it.
00:15:00
Peyton Barber has been the one who's been more trustworthy around the goal line, so his touchdown potential goes way down and I'm not gonna play Peyton Barber.
00:15:08
Make someone else make that mistake.
00:15:10
I'm not gonna play a guy who can only fall for three yards and you're just praying whoever you pray, too, that he falls in the end zone.
00:15:16
Not gonna happen.
00:15:18
Let someone else make that mistake.
00:15:19
Let's, um, let's deal with that nightmarish headache.
00:15:23
Stay away.
00:15:25
But Ron Jones, PPR leagues Flex play.
00:15:28
Yeah, yeah, you kind of have to look that route, not gonna feel great about it because he's gonna have just low floor of anybody, especially the Falcon.
00:15:35
Stevens plays the way they have been playing for the past couple of weeks, and we know Ronald Jones is just one dumbfounding fumble away from being benched.
00:15:44
That's the other issue run into, but I think you have to take that chance if you're hurt by the bye week this week, which is a real possibility, given what teams are on by.
00:15:53
On Falcon side of all, we know you're going to play Julio, Calvin, Ridley, Matt Ryan.
00:15:58
Without a doubt, they have great matchups.
00:16:01
Expectations should be through the roof.
00:16:03
What do you do outside of that? What do you do it? Brian Hill, in a tough matchup against number one run defense in the NFL, it's gonna put on your line up.
00:16:12
He's not a must play.
00:16:14
Without a doubt.
00:16:15
He's not a must play, especially after the lax of musical performance that he put up against Carolina Panthers.
00:16:18
But remember, he should have had a touchdown in that game had it not been called back to the penalty.
00:16:24
So having that mine all of a sudden, bright hills not so bad.
00:16:29
If he scores there and you're talking about a guy, I don't expect a Monte Freeman to be back.
00:16:34
So you're talking about a guy who should once again be the workhorse back.
00:16:37
The real question is going to be.
00:16:38
Do they let him get involved in the passing game? Because if they do that, then he's gonna have a safe floor this week that you can play.
00:16:45
But if they don't and they just use him as a runner, he's gonna get shut down, plain and simple.
00:16:50
So a greatly depends on what you have available to you.
00:16:54
I don't know if you're gonna be in too many situations where you're going to have a guy that you can trust a volume out of Maur.
00:17:01
If you're looking at that range of running back like for instance, I would definitely play Brian Hill over Kalen Balash.
00:17:08
And to me, Brian Hill falls in the territory of Devon Singletary this week.
00:17:12
Not from a talent perspective.
00:17:13
Not from a usage per sec perspective, but from a perspective of Devon Singletary.
00:17:17
Planning is the Denver Broncos.
00:17:19
With Frank, we're still in the mix.
00:17:21
He has a loaf of Florida.
00:17:23
Brian Hill does Liza Brian Hill.
00:17:24
You know he's gonna get a certain amount of volume.
00:17:27
So he's in about that rain just weak.
00:17:29
So he's definitely a playable option because all running backs, no matter the situation, marry who they are.
00:17:36
If they have enough volume, they become at least somewhat valuable.
00:17:40
Unless your name Caleb Lage your name Campbell eyes.
00:17:43
I don't I don't care to get 40 carries.
00:17:44
I'm still not gonna play you.
00:17:46
That would be the only one.
00:17:48
So just playing Chorley, he's not gonna have a high ceiling.
00:17:52
So if you need a take a shot on somebody, Brian Hill is not gonna be that guy.
00:17:55
But if you just need somebody to give you six points 6 to 8 points and have that opportunity and have that volume, he can't be got that guy this week, especially since I expect him to be involved the passing game this week.
00:18:08
I don't like the Falcons that even really try to run it all that much.
00:18:11
The only other guy I want to talk about for the Falcons is Russell Gage now.
00:18:15
Yes, a lot of the target's gonna go to Calvin Ridley and together Julio Jones.
00:18:19
But like Brian Hill, Russell Gateshead Touchdown called back to the penalty so he could have had a much better stat line last week.
00:18:25
He is the third pass catcher on that team against Tampa Bay Buccaneers and a team that's that past heavy.
00:18:32
That has value.
00:18:34
And while he has definitely has a low floor because it could turn into how it did last week where Calvin really and Julio Jones was gobbling up all the targets, he does have a higher ceiling than most that you're looking for on the waiver wire this week.
00:18:47
So if you need to take a shot somewhere, if you're saying like hey, you know what? I don't have the firepower to keep up.
00:18:52
I have to take a risk.
00:18:53
I have to take a shot when somebody you can hit me a home run.
00:18:55
Russell gauges that guy.
00:18:57
They move him all around, They move in the slot, we move around the perimeter, they take shots to him.
00:19:01
They let him run intermediate routes.
00:19:03
And even though we're gonna show up on the stat sheet last week, he did run some key patterns in the red zone as well.
00:19:09
They utilize him there, too.
00:19:11
They play a lot through receiver sets.
00:19:12
He's gonna be out in the field more times than not.
00:19:15
So he definitely has a low floor.
00:19:17
He's definitely nothing more than a wide receiver for, But he has upside potential for you this week against Sand Bay Buccaneers.
00:19:23
If you need to take a home run flyer somewhere, he can be that guy.
00:19:27
Next. We'll talk about Denver Broncos.
00:19:29
Buffalo Bill's kind of mentioned a little bit here with Devon Singletary.
00:19:32
You're not streaming Josh Allen this week.
00:19:34
Denver Broncos.
00:19:35
What is the one thing has been very impressive to me about Vic Fangio is that while this team has pretty much been out of it from the get go, that defense has played tougher and better as the season has going on.
00:19:47
They tackled better.
00:19:48
They showed up the run defense they're getting back to the quarterback.
00:19:51
Chris Harris has resurged has been unreal quarterback this entire year, which has a lot of bad things for the fantasy relevant players on the Buffalo Bills.
00:20:01
You're not gonna play Josh Allen.
00:20:03
I think he has a very low floor, a lot of picks.
00:20:06
And because of the way the Broncos in playing on defense, I don't know how much he's actually going to be able to give you with his legs on the ground to help make up for the lack of production that he's going to see in the passing game.
00:20:17
The other thing you have to take taken into consideration here is John Brown.
00:20:22
He's going to be matched up on Chris hairs while he's had a hell of a floor and a great run over the past few weeks.
00:20:29
You can't expect him to do much in this game.
00:20:30
He's got a very low floor being shadowed by Chris Harris and, you know, and because I don't think Josh will be doing much of anything.
00:20:37
Cole Beasley is not somebody who is an option to me, either, even though he won't be seeing Chris hairs.
00:20:42
So keep that in mind.
00:20:43
Stay away from Cole Beasley, now the other flip side so I wouldn't play John Brown either, if you can help it.
00:20:48
The other flipside of this is Devon Singletary.
00:20:50
This is not a Denver run defense that you can attack on a consistent basis.
00:20:54
Frank.
00:20:55
War isn't going anywhere.
00:20:56
So you have a guy who's gonna be splitting touches to at least some degree in a bad matchup in a game in which I would not be surprised if this was a 12 9 17 to 10 tops type of scoring game in this one.
00:21:08
Not gonna be a lot of points had here.
00:21:09
The seven secretary have a chance to score a touchdown for you.
00:21:12
Yes, the get inside close and don't sneak it with Josh.
00:21:15
Alan have a chance to hand it off to Devon Singletary, but I don't like his upside.
00:21:19
I don't think he's gonna have a very good yards per carry per carry average in this one.
00:21:24
So while he's going to have flex appeal because of his role in the offense, because what he's shown that he's capable of doing even in tough matchups because of his explosive ability, he is still somebody to me that I would try to find a better option from because he's not gonna have a very high ceiling and he could have a chance to bottom out for you.
00:21:42
Given the matchup on the Bronco side, the ball, I think it's pretty straightforward.
00:21:47
Yes, you can play Courtland Sutton.
00:21:50
He's had tough matchups and passed.
00:21:51
It has not mattered because he is that number one wide receiver.
00:21:54
Hands down because Brandon Allen is pretty much just looking at his number one target and going to him consistently.
00:22:01
Cortland son has shown that he is a budding star wide receiver in this leak, and I continue that to be the case.
00:22:08
Remember, the Buffalo Bills don't shadow, so he's not always gonna be matchup onto Davis White, and they've been moving Sutton all around.
00:22:14
That's one of the good things that they have been doing offensively.
00:22:16
They've been lying open, slot left and right all over the place, trying to get him mismatches, trying to get him the ball.
00:22:21
They know that he is the best player they have in that offense, and they've been utilizing him as such.
00:22:26
I give them credit for that as a result.
00:22:29
Even a tough matchup because the Buffalo Bills I think Courtland Sutton has a safe floor as a wide receiver three and can be in your fantasy lineups and, of course, always has the possibility.
00:22:38
Score a touchdown.
00:22:39
The other guy you're gonna play is Phillip Lindsay.
00:22:41
Buffalo Bills have been a team that you can attack in the run game, and now all of a sudden, Philip Lindsay's value has been boosted because you can't play words Freeman anymore.
00:22:49
Why he's only got about half the touches off filled Lindsay now, and that includes in the passing game.
00:22:55
Ever since they had made the switch from Flacco to brand Alan ever since I came out of the bye week.
00:22:59
Suddenly there's been emphasis to go back to what they were doing last year.
00:23:02
Which is Royce Freeman, your active backup, who produces more than most running back backups, too.
00:23:08
But it's no longer a 50 50 split.
00:23:11
It's Phil Lindsay's back field, which is what they should do.
00:23:14
They should be going with their best playmaker, which is Phillip Lindsay and has been for quite some time, and now they're gonna be doing that moving forward.
00:23:20
So Phillip Lindsay is definitely a low an RV to for you this week and has a chance for high upside because he has a chance to break one.
00:23:27
Because you have been able to gash Buffalo Bills outside that I'm not playing anybody else in Denver Broncos.
00:23:32
That includes no offense, no offense has another game here, where he's clearly the second most targeted pass catcher.
00:23:38
I think moving forward, he is going to jump on my radar as a streaming tight end.
00:23:42
But against Denver, Bronco's been so good against the tight ends.
00:23:45
I'm not going to take that chance this week, but I will still have my eye on him for future weeks coming up.
00:23:50
He could be somebody that we talk about.
00:23:52
Maybe in the waiver wire report next week.
00:23:55
Quite possibly next game I want to talk about, and the final game I'm gonna talk about in this episode is now.
00:24:01
You will be all caught up from what you missed.
00:24:04
Have you been watching? You know, the first video where we had to start halfway through the show because the technical difficulties apologize again for that.
00:24:10
But it's the last thing we talk about for this show.
00:24:13
If you did not watch that first video, go back and watch that one.
00:24:16
Or just check out the full podcast audio version on Google Play Spotify.
00:24:20
Stitch your speaker Anywhere you go.
00:24:22
Emmy's feeling football show is widely available to you.
00:24:25
So you make sure you don't miss a thing because you're gonna want all of this information for this week.
00:24:30
So our last game is the Giants in Chicago Bears.
00:24:33
Sterling Shepherd might legitimately come back.
00:24:36
We're not gonna find out until tomorrow if he's gonna get the final clearance from his concussion.
00:24:41
But he has been practicing.
00:24:42
He's practicing in full this week, and all of a sudden the big change, the big game changer, was the fact that Pat Shurmur came out this week and said, You know what? Shepherd really does have a chance to play after pretty much Adam Lee being Sheppard wasn't gonna play, we might shut him down.
00:24:57
That was pretty much his tone this entire time until suddenly this week, he says, You know what? Shepherd might have a shot to play.
00:25:03
That means there's been notable improvement, but they're gonna bring him back in.
00:25:06
So what does that do for everybody else involved and only lessons the value, right? Because I mean, Dion Jones is in a streamer again.
00:25:13
Chicago first and foremost.
00:25:14
So it just lessons the value Golden Tate lessens the value Dairy Slaten Because now all of a sudden you have targets, gets spread out.
00:25:21
Now we're not expecting even Ingram the plate in practice again today.
00:25:24
He still expect to really be out for a couple of more weeks when you when you really look at it.
00:25:28
But the problem that we're having here is now who do you trust? I sold in Golden Tate is the number one targeted guy.
00:25:35
Was Sterling Shepherd just getting back? It's been a few weeks.
00:25:38
He's gonna be a little bit rusty and remember, he's gonna be, Ah, hi, reinjury Risk with that concussion because if he gets one hit in the wrong position, he's gonna have another concussion.
00:25:49
So he's a chance that you could want to get knocked out at some point in this game, as it is.
00:25:52
So Golden Tate, to me, is the safest wide receiver to go to.
00:25:55
Plus, he has a long history against Chicago Bears and being able to produce well against them.
00:25:59
In the past, Dairy slaying becomes nothing more than a home run threat.
00:26:04
That's it.
00:26:05
That's all he is.
00:26:06
He's not gonna see 14 targets is going to be third.
00:26:09
If Shepard plays the entire game, he's going to be third on that team.
00:26:12
As faras pass catchers go on targets at the leaves, he might be fourth behind Seko on Barclay, too.
00:26:16
Don't forget that.
00:26:18
So while Chicago Bears secondary isn't something that you fear because of that pass, just because that front seven because of the pressure that you expect Daniel Jones, I have to see and not have a lot of time to get the ball down the field.
00:26:29
It's gonna be very few and far between the shots he's gonna be able to take to Darius lately.
00:26:34
So as a result, Slate is nothing more than a guy that if you feel like you just want to hit a home run, take a flier on, that's it because he's not gonna have a good floor.
00:26:44
GfS leagues, maybe where I would like to play him because you want to be that the contrary and play a guy who can go off like that that that that type of guy, but he doesn't.
00:26:51
He doesn't have a floor in this game.
00:26:53
I think the only guy you can play with any confidence is going to eat.
00:26:57
That's it.
00:26:58
And even then, he doesn't have a tremendous ceiling against a good defense in a game in which he might see his target share go down.
00:27:03
So does have a great ceiling there.
00:27:04
But there is a floor for him.
00:27:06
The Operate against Chicago Bears.
00:27:08
He's gonna probably play the slot receiver with Sterling Shepard back.
00:27:10
He's going to be the easier read that Damon Jones can get to go to the move.
00:27:14
The ball.
00:27:15
So, of all the receivers, Gold hates the guy I play.
00:27:17
I try to stay away from Shepard and Slayton.
00:27:19
If I can obviously say Kwan should have a better game, this one.
00:27:23
Chicago Bears have been noticeably bad against the run since Akim Hicks has been out.
00:27:30
This is a game.
00:27:31
Take one. Barclay's gotta get back on track.
00:27:33
He's healthier now.
00:27:34
They've been able to have the bye week.
00:27:35
I expected to come out, have a good game against Chicago Bears, so I think you can get your say, Kwame Barkley back this week.
00:27:41
You've been all been waiting for on the bare side, the ball, this words interesting, right? Music.
00:27:46
Robiskie gonna play is gonna be benched.
00:27:49
Look Big and Lyle, they want to.
00:27:50
He didn't have a hip injury practice in full yesterday.
00:27:54
They're still calling him day to day, even though he practiced in full yesterday.
00:27:57
So what does that tell me? It tells me that they're looking for every excuse in the book to keep the door open in case they want to go to Chase Daniel this week and have you own any fantasy players on the Chicago Bears.
00:28:09
You want taste and will be the quarterback.
00:28:11
You want somebody in there who could do something of some competency to move the ball and that right now it's chasing us. Mr.
00:28:19
Whiskey, hand you a **** thing.
00:28:20
Can't can't do it, can't throw the ball.
00:28:23
He's not looking where he's playing with no confidence.
00:28:26
He's not running.
00:28:27
He's not opening things up, so we'll be we'll be having a way to see.
00:28:34
I think you have to play Alan Robinson this game, regardless because the New York Giants, if you don't play him against the Giants.
00:28:39
I don't know who you're gonna be able to play him again, so you have to play Alan Robinson.
00:28:43
Here you have the hope here is that he was the quarterback.
00:28:46
But you have to play Alan Robson here.
00:28:48
David Montgomery, Excuse me is my other must play.
00:28:53
There's a guy who should have 20 plus carries against a bad Giants defense.
00:29:00
And no matter who the quarterback is, I took the Bears get back to the morning game in this one remembers that they're not playing the Rams.
00:29:06
This is actually a game in which the Bears should have a positive game script for most of the game.
00:29:11
So as long as that is the case, I expect David Montgomery get 20 carries because 20 carries against the Giants, he's gonna put up RV to production.
00:29:18
It's a simple as that you have a great chance score touchdowns, go have a great chance to get 80 to 100 yards.
00:29:22
No doubt about it.
00:29:23
He looks like he was okay with that ankle injury last week.
00:29:27
I expected to be a bit healthier, expecting to be close to 100% going into this week.
00:29:31
So David Montgomery is somebody I think you can definitely plays an RV to.
00:29:35
I'm not playing three column because I expect this to be a David Montgomery game.
00:29:39
And with weather is business Chris Cure or Chase Daniel.
00:29:43
Terry Colin really only gets involved in games in which they have negative game scripts and being that this shouldn't be that way.
00:29:49
Meaning is such a low floor as it is, even in matchups we're expecting to go off.
00:29:54
I'm would not play to Rico in this week, even though on paper would be a plus matchup.
00:30:00
Just Montgomery, just Alan Robinson and even Alan Robson.
00:30:03
He doesn't have a great sealing it.
00:30:05
Robiskie plays even in a plus match up either.
00:30:07
But you have to plan this week.
00:30:08
He does have a safe floor that wraps up this video.
00:30:13
Remember, if you want to see the other half of the show, either go on my site on SportsCastr at M D F f belly up, U.
00:30:22
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00:30:24
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00:30:42
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00:30:45
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00:31:01
You can contact me on there with any fancy football questions you may have, and also you can check out the website w w dot m d f f show dot com For all the rankings I will have up later on today.
00:31:11
We will be back tomorrow with the second preview of we 12 which will include the four o'clock games, the Sunday night game, the Monday night game.
00:31:19
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00:31:21
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00:31:31
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00:31:36
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00:31:38
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00:31:46
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00:31:47
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00:31:50
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00:31:58
I will see you guys all tomorrow.
00:31:59
Have a lovely day.

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