my head's ugly today.
How are you all doing? Gonna do a better stream last night? I'm a little more awake.
Still dead from yesterday at that chargers game.
Um, also still coming down from that high of the packers weapon.
The cowboy's ass in Dallas.
So that was just, uh, just just magical weekend, too, As you can see my face, it's still majorly fucked up in major places.
I've been in, like, shit, and I've just been breaking out.
So thank you all for taking a look at my ugly face and my my messed up hair.
Do you get a haircut or just learn how to apply gel to this specific area and fix that? So you think I look in the mirror before I leave for work every day? Um, but I don't.
So it just is what it is.
Um, thank you all for joining again.
Many people who tuned in last night, um, gonna d'oh stream this morning, closed a deal at work, So got a little bit of cash to ah, throw outs and games and eso very excited to have that, uh, be the case.
So obviously one NFL game today it's the Browns versus the 40 Niners.
Brown's coming off of a pretty good win.
40 25 over the Ravens there predicted to lose that game.
Not only bust spread wide open, but, uh, got a pretty convincing winds.
So gonna go over Why I'm taking the bets that I am today.
Follow the Who followed me from Placed a teaser that's gone from Thursday all the way to Monday Had the Rams plus nine and 1/2 Baltimore Ravens plus two and 1/2 in Cleveland Browns plus nine and 1/2 some fairly confident that teaser is going to hit today.
That's why I have placed the amount that I have, uh, predicted to win on the teaser is a ticket that I place tonight A nice little to team one team, but to pick parlay on and I don't know why I say she lied about asking your partly doing two teams, but I'm going to be some lines lines already shifted since I took them.
So happy that that that is the case, um and ah, well, I mean, got half a point messed me up, but it's perfectly fine and we're gonna stop right into it.
So, um, I hate that I'm sorry. Every time.
Like I said last night on this dream with all the notifications we get from Unwrap Sports Network.
For whatever reason, sometimes it makes sportscaster pause.
So I'm gonna get to the bottom of that, Uh, sorry for people who are watching this on live.
I'm not sure how it looks on the playback, but, um, like I said, I'm gonna go over the Cleveland game tonight on then.
Also gonna go over some Some light predictions might look into next week, but let's see where we go.
So when I placed the bet this morning Ah, at around 10.
30 in the morning, Cleveland Browns plus five at minus 1 10 Normal spread.
And then I had the under 48 points at minus 1 15 So betters kind of change that before I went on the stream, I went and checked and looked at what the Lions were now at.
The lines were now at Cleveland Browns minus four and 1/2 and the over under's at 47.5.
So if I had waited, I would have got a little bit better.
Um, on the under me in one point.
Um, but the Cleveland Browns would also lost points.
Rather would have had the point on the spread, then the whole point of if I could shift 1/2 point.
Meaning I don't do in that direction.
So $17 ticket, which is what else was to win on the parlay Naka hunt? Would that the Browns at least lose by nine points? So that way, I'm a at least even for the day, but yeah, 17 bucks wins you $44.
5 with my bookie.
Not a bad ticket to play, so I'm gonna go over why I am.
This is actually kind of a trap game for San Francisco.
Also gonna give you a couple things that a little hesitant for me and taking that bet go from hesitations first, the 40 Niners are three.
No, but they've played subpar teams like Cincy and the Steelers after a big Ben has been hurt in the post Big Bend injury.
They're supposed to lose that game as well.
I thought the miners were gonna lose that kind of put the game off, then come back at one.
They have an amazing pass rush forming with their defensive line.
And that could be a problem today for the Browns that don't have a good have a good offensive line after trading away the best offense alignment in the off season.
And then also, as I've talked on numerous streams and NFL unwrap podcast that the Browns routes with Odell Beckham Jr and Jarvis Landry have been the type of routes that need just a little bit longer hold onto the football when they have had success.
It's been throwing shorter passes or finding a way to get Baker Mayfield either outside of the pocket or just actually blocking well and getting him the availability to to hell throw the football downfield.
So there's those two hesitations as well as they're coming off a bye week.
It's a very early bye week.
I honestly would be really pissed off if I was the team that had to go, uh, 13 games, street or whatever to the very end.
That's really hard on the body and the Niners.
Um, now they mean being three.
No, on having the bye week.
They I kind of have the driver's seat in the division with the Seahawks and the Rams, who we're going to really be fighting for that number two spot at least right now.
Because, like I said, I think the Browns the Browns money line is now plus 1 85 It was 1 90 this morning and the Browns have a good chance to win.
I think the more battle tested team, I think they're the more talented team as well as just the Niners, not Ah, When I looked the lines for this, it really seemed that the Niners were getting kind of that historic bump from being three.
No, on being a team like that.
But when I look all the way around their team, even if timid, Coleman does end up playing tonight, I just I think the Browns have a good chance of winning this.
I was really tempted to parlay the money line with this.
I wasn't brave enough to do that.
But, you know, I'm really kind of kicking myself that I didn't have the opportunity to do that and I'd have the opportunity, just not not ballsy enough.
As you can tell by all the teams is that I take but really excited to see this matchup layout.
I when I look at all the X and X is the nose.
I mean, feel free to hop in my d EMS and tell me if I'm wrong.
I just feel like Cleveland's the better team.
And obviously, like I said, the hesitations, they're coming off the bye week.
Them also playing at home eyes, something that does scaring the defensive line but all the way around.
Yeah, the The inactives haven't came out this week, even if Denzel Ward and greedy Williams don't play.
They played perfectly fine a week ago against the Baltimore Ravens, who have quote unquote way chiefs like offense or has a very high, volatile offense.
And they kept them pretty much in check.
And I think the Ravens my gun debate you Jimmy Garoppolo, currently over Lauren Jackson.
But the Ravens have significantly more weapons.
Well, I don't see a significant or weapons, but they have the better offensive line When you consider that left tackle for the Niners is out for rest of season, they have better more stable running back or with Ingram, they have just I want to put it.
Yeah, you pick, pick and wide receivers.
Remesy record Obviously, marquees Brown is more productive than anyone on the Niners.
But the Niners gonna have all those cats between Dante Pettus and Samuel and George Kendall at tight end that they kind of get, you know, kind of bunched up.
But, I mean, I still think it'll is better than Mark Andrews, not in terms of fantasy.
Mark engines kind of shown him out this year.
Well, obviously we'll see after tonight.
But George Kettle has been not broken 10 points and half point PPR formats, and I just don't see like how the odds can get at plus five points when they did that to the Ravens last week.
I mean, for whatever the bye week is they had two weeks at, It's me.
They have the Browns figured out, but I just really don't see how the Browns were favored to be lose to live by that much.
Honestly, like a time out.
Okay, Cristian was.
What's the score? Do you see Niners 20 Brown 17 or you flip that around Brown's 20 niner 17? Just It's one of those games where, and maybe I'm gonna be kicking myself after this and then it's gonna pop out 14 and then be a shootout.
But even with here's the thing is that there is a ward and, um, creepy Williams could end up still playing.
Like I said, it's 3 22 on the West Coast.
Game starts at 5 15 They're still about 45 minutes for them to decide whether or not they're playing.
This really is bugging me.
I'm sorry, guys.
I I don't know what I was doing.
I think I should just take some scissors and I get that.
But, uh, I hope it's not a trap game.
I hope it's night.
I've got kind of caught up in that in the the Rams.
Two weeks, just thinking that, you know, I saw the line, especially with the Tampa Bay game, where everyone was betting that the Tammy Buccaneers we're gonna cover and only cover they want.
It's just, I hope, not caught in a trap situation again.
Last time when the burnt with the Browns played the Rams, I kind of felt like I had the pulse on that vein in terms of what was going to go down.
And in talking to ah hope Gigi is listening to this.
He's one of my close friends and the fantasy football league.
He, as well as huge Colts fan cash in over $280 last night, betting money line parlays on the Colts.
Shout out to the Jacoby Brissett Truthers and all the Colts fans out there that got a huge win against the frickin Chiefs last night.
That's that's what happened last week to this week.
It's just y'all needed that win, and it kind of watches away what had happened the past week.
But shout out to Gigi for going over this bet with me today.
I just wanted to get in the recognition that he deserves it.
I think it's, Ah, just anyone who listens to this and that.
I think that, um, you can kind of get not necessarily jealous, but someone hits a big ticket.
I same kind of thing.
If you work, you compete with people.
It's kind of not not hard, but, you know, I just think it goes off better if just just for you, of every time you gamble with someone, you gamble in a group and they happen to place a ticket that you did it and it hits mass and just be happy for them because of some points gonna happen for you.
And if you're in a gambling group or a little just kind of like a sound boarding group, just always be happy for when people hit big.
Don't expect anything, but just just always be there and show shall praise for people who I mean, I'm pretty sure the camera it was the cold cement gland was like plus 4 40 like the two things that go into those one Hey, medical tending to him, having just an ironclad, frickin ball sack for taking that bet, that is, that is true.
Just pure, pure insanity.
But Maura, the 40 Niners, they haven't really been tested.
Like I said earlier, they've had three cakewalk games, and they haven't looked too impressive in them.
I mean, for whatever Mason Rudolph in the Niners invested often, the Steelers, where that wasn't a very impressive win for me, is honestly more impressive that the Browns had played the Rams clothes and that the Browns have be in the Ravens last week.
The week they did that anything.
The San Francisco 40 Niners have.
So only thing I'm gonna chalk this this line up to is the historic team that has a good start, that there's definitely enough there on the Niners where you can get kind of high pay.
Ah, so I can't see.
Thank you, Dakota.
Shut me out. 50.
Um, like I said, did you get in the bum? Because they're they're, uh, really famous team.
Very historic team.
Just kind of like the cowboys were, um What? Thank you so much to goto.
Um, I'm just gonna how the cowboys are, Um, And when when they're hot, they come off the 1st 3 games.
They go to get someone like the Packers, who when I had gone over this game on the podcast Davante Adams had have been ruled out.
Obviously, when he was ruled out, I was kind of shaky on that, plus three and 1/2 of the Packers.
But when Corben had went through, it just seemed like a plus two and half line against the Cowboys.
Considering what Doc Prescott is and what the defensive backfield for the Packers entails, we kind of foresaw that being a trap, not trapped in but a line that was kind of, you know, has to do with a former historic team and having a hot start.
Obviously, gamblers affect the lines where their money goes, but teams like the Dallas Cowboys I mean, they're so frickin loyal.
There's there's a reason why in L.
When you get a Time Warner cable, it gives you the Rams.
The charges to Cowboys is your three teams to watch, because I mean the Niners in Oakland, er up north, and they're closer to us.
But people still get the Cowboys.
So I think that does play into some of the lines that people hammer.
Um, obviously, Texas is a big state.
Dallas has a giant fan base, so just hoping and hoping and praying that this isn't a ticket that is gonna end up biting me in the ass.
Either way, I do not see the Browns not covering plus nine and 1/2 points.
It I just don't see it happening.
Jimmy Garoppolo is a good quarterback.
I think what we saw in the preseason is kind of what we're gonna see tonight.
I think that the Browns defense, regardless, like I said, Upton's award greedy Williams they're gonna terrorize Jimmy Garoppolo tonight.
And like I said, going into this, regardless of Kevin Coleman's playing or not, they're gonna get after his ass.
Like I I have odd feeling Jimmy Garoppolo might go down tonight for sometime, but the big, big thing being that plus five and 1/2 points.
If you've been watching football this year, I think the Browns got this also 48 points.
That's a mountain to cover.
I've seen the Browns definitely have the more potential of their offense to pop off with Jarvis Landry with Odell Beckham having a shitty game last year and getting choke, slammed my last year, having a shitty game last week, having things to catches for 20 yards and also getting choke slammed like a little baby to the ground.
He was acting up.
I think that Odell is really monks.
They buy into the underdog mentality, was really gonna have a chip on his shoulder and then someone who does have the underdog mentality, which is Baker.
Mayfield is really gonna pop off with him.
Um, I mean, it's more likely than the castle, but have over there in San Francisco and have a pretty consistently good, consistent in terms like manual writing there like 79 80.
That's what I give them in terms of grades.
But more across the board.
Um, another thing, too, is it is tonight the night that George Kettle looks like he did in 2018 in 2019 because he hasn't give us in a performance like that yet that was what made me want to stay away from him in fantasy because, hey, was he just a product of Mullins and a quarterback who left 1/3 of the tight end and a throwaway season with someone who's a man? Think it'll does have the skeleton? The skill is definitely there, but I'm starting to believe, and I hope it's not the case.
I've never even for my debt does.
I hope that Kittle last year wasn't just an anomaly, and he actually is what we all thought he was So good luck in your Monday night that I wanted to get this out with some time for you to go through your beds and kind of place stuff.
I know two Sundays ago really give you guys pull in just a couple of minutes to run your bookie, Run your online site and place your bets.
I want you guys to get a couple hours at least an hour.
Get right and to get your money.
And so you guys were tuning in.
I appreciate you giving all the love and support.
Thank you again, Dakota, for showing me out.
And also give me a little 50 years.
So I appreciate you guys and have a good one.