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00:00:01
Why today? Smile.
00:00:04
I hope it pick it up.
00:00:10
We're committed to taking sides.
00:00:12
Podcast.
00:00:13
I'm your host.
00:00:14
Al balls were brought to you by US odds dot com Make sure you go there each and every week to get yourself acquainted with the football schedule going up.
00:00:22
Of course, we got the great prophet articles, betting articles and everything else you need to know in between.
00:00:29
Once again, that's gonna be us.
00:00:31
Dash odds dot com As always, I'm joined by a portly parlays.
00:00:36
You could find him on Twitter at game day. Fax.
00:00:39
You could find myself out, lost their on Twitter as well at 14 8 dot Walls.
00:00:44
Paul, I know last week was kind of a sort of a word week.
00:00:49
You know, with Thanksgiving and everything like that, we haven't done a show.
00:00:52
And what's it? Nine days? It's been so it's good to see you're still alive.
00:00:56
I'm still alive.
00:00:57
This whole thing is ticking.
00:00:58
The operation is nice.
00:01:01
Yeah, it's great to see you.
00:01:03
It's weird.
00:01:04
Yeah, I know.
00:01:05
How is how is Thanksgiving this in this special 2020 that were in my Thanksgiving waas? Weirdly small.
00:01:16
It's usually Thanksgiving is my favorite holiday Because it's the only time that I see my adult cousins where it's all of us where there are usually about 30 of us.
00:01:28
So what we did a way got together on Zoom, but it really wasn't the same.
00:01:35
Obviously, we usually like play charades and stuff and do drunken fun Thanksgiving things.
00:01:42
So I got to spend Thanksgiving with just Mama, Papa and Grandma who doesn't know that anything is occurring.
00:01:51
But I ordered from an amazing barbecue place on Long Island called Biscuits and Barbecue.
00:01:58
Some of the best food I've ever had.
00:02:00
Um, I'm gonna I'm gonna talk Thio.
00:02:03
I'm gonna thank Jones.
00:02:04
She's the owner.
00:02:06
Um, shout out to Joan.
00:02:08
Oh, so, so, so good.
00:02:09
If and when you come visit me out here on the island, I will get that and then big.
00:02:14
And it's a big F after the cove.
00:02:17
It you know, you know how I feel about Long Island.
00:02:20
How do you feel about the Long Island? Oh, it's not good.
00:02:23
Not good.
00:02:24
What? Its long I mean for why? I mean, I've taken many trips out there.
00:02:28
I've done it by car by train.
00:02:30
My mom, my mom Well, my Bob had a place out in East Hampton for a couple years, as did my aunt.
00:02:38
And, you know, I'd go out there, you know, do the week.
00:02:41
You know, since it's all the way out there, as I mentioned quite long.
00:02:44
But, you know, I just It's tough, man.
00:02:48
You know, you're not very close to anything, so I just can't do it.
00:02:52
What? What? What do you mean? I'm so confused by you? I am the same distance from Manhattan as you are, but you're in Jersey City.
00:03:01
But But I couldn't take that.
00:03:03
I could take the train right in there, you know, right there is.
00:03:06
Well, yeah, but it's long like you see all, like, fields and stuff on the way.
00:03:11
At least I'm going under the water, you know, like it's a nice, quick 15, 20 minutes shot that I have to go under as well in order to get into Penn Station.
00:03:19
Yeah, but that's just one part man.
00:03:22
I'm talking about the whole way.
00:03:23
How long? Okay, So if we're going to Penn Station, how long is your trip? I don't know.
00:03:30
15, 20 minutes from from the city mine's 45.
00:03:35
Okay? Yeah.
00:03:36
See, That's exactly what I'm talking about right there.
00:03:38
That's double the time.
00:03:39
You don't wanna go to Manhattan now anyway, were perfect.
00:03:42
We're just far enough away, e don't know.
00:03:46
You know, given how everything's been going in the world, it is time to move out to the suburbs at some point soon.
00:03:51
So you live in, like the mini burbs where, like Jersey City and Hoboken, their suburbs.
00:03:57
But not really.
00:03:58
It's like a mini city next to a city.
00:04:00
New Jersey City, Hoboken.
00:04:01
A very, very city.
00:04:03
Uh, they own where I live now.
00:04:05
I'm like, I can pretty much spit over to Staten Island, so I'm kind of like in that area.
00:04:10
But I think you know more like the Jersey Shore area my girlfriend works up in, You know, when you know we're allowed to go back in the office is and what not? She's up there in, like Parsippany in North Jersey, So that's another idea.
00:04:23
I'm just saying, You know, I just want to know if they got good golf courses in the area, because once I go out, once I go out to suburbia, social life is over.
00:04:32
It's all golf all the time.
00:04:33
You want to come golf, come out to the island, I'll golf with you.
00:04:36
I'm terrible, but I'm a lot of fun on the golf course.
00:04:39
I just I don't want that New York you like.
00:04:42
I'll come to Jersey.
00:04:43
No, because how do I get my lefty clubs? They're very unique because they're lefties, so I can't rent clubs or anything.
00:04:50
So my mom would have to take them on like the subway or in my car e before I put them in my car. That's no problem.
00:04:57
You know, bear to Jerry.
00:05:00
Thanks for the follow love, That guy.
00:05:02
Great guy.
00:05:03
Big, big fan of Jerry Big fan.
00:05:06
So, yeah, so Thanksgiving was kind of weird.
00:05:08
It was the first outdoor Thanksgiving that I've ever done.
00:05:11
Got a little nippy there at the end, even had to put some Christmas decorations up at the lady's parents house.
00:05:17
That was interesting.
00:05:18
Uh, there were no griswald moments, which was good.
00:05:21
And then, uh, that was my mom's birthday on that Friday.
00:05:25
So went over there about a 15 20 minute drive.
00:05:28
You know, in between the parents houses, they're so, uh, you know, got Thio got to see her.
00:05:32
So it's very cool.
00:05:33
And then Sunday, just the most profitable Sunday of the NFL season for myself.
00:05:39
Absolutely needed it.
00:05:40
Ah, perfect for no clean sweep on the day.
00:05:43
So, you know, that even was coupled.
00:05:46
I did a two team parlay between Giants Moneyline, which ended up being the right move and going with the Patriots plus three, which almost got derailed.
00:05:56
But, you know, thank God for Isaiah Simmons hit in camp, doing a little high out of bounds. That was good.
00:06:02
And, uh, you know, Tennessee Moneyline.
00:06:05
So I know the first game that we're gonna talk about is the Titans, so we're not gonna Segway into it just yet, but, uh, you know, that's that.
00:06:13
That's right there.
00:06:15
Wait, We didn't even talk about this.
00:06:17
What's that? I hit a 14 Parlay.
00:06:19
Okay, Giants money line Titans Moneyline.
00:06:23
See how Moneyline Pats plus 3.5.
00:06:27
Interesting.
00:06:28
The same three game talk about it.
00:06:32
But we both one Yeah, that's good.
00:06:35
Do you know how funny that is? Yeah, where? I'm sure you were.
00:06:39
You were on the Seahawks also.
00:06:40
But that's what we've always said.
00:06:42
When you and I think the same way.
00:06:44
It's automatic.
00:06:46
I actually sat out the Monday night game.
00:06:48
I just I didn't have a great feel on it.
00:06:50
Wound up, you know, Eagles getting that back to recover miraculously.
00:06:54
But speaking of miraculous, back to recovers I took my Tampa Bay, uh, bucking the years I gave the Tampa Bay for the Lightning.
00:07:03
But I had the Bucks on Sunday.
00:07:05
I actually brought it up to plus four.
00:07:07
But you know that miraculous.
00:07:09
Back to recover, thereby Brady and the boys.
00:07:12
They're really benefited myself.
00:07:14
That was probably actually one of my biggest bets of the year that I took there.
00:07:18
So imagine the jubilation that I felt there with Brady and the boys bringing a making a nice little come back there.
00:07:28
I'm very happy for you.
00:07:29
After the last couple of weeks.
00:07:31
I know you're How do we explain your relationship with the Tampa Bay booth? It zits one of these.
00:07:39
Not that you're you're not a front runner, but like when? When they're good.
00:07:45
You like love, love, love them.
00:07:47
And when they're bad, you have a terrible weekend and I'm just like, bro, It's just one game. Let it go.
00:07:53
You knew they were gonna go 10 and six somewhere between 10 and six and 12 and four this season.
00:07:58
That's exactly what we end up.
00:08:00
And it's just a question of Are they gonna get lucky where they get to play the Giants in the first round? You can tell me that prior to the season, prior to the day, whatever.
00:08:11
But you know how it is, man like you're You're in the mix of all this stuff and all the emotions start going.
00:08:17
The spirits, air flooring and you're in your giant Starbucks copping all that stuff.
00:08:21
You know, like when you come for real, man, I gotta see I have a peek up.
00:08:26
We got to get you in a cup I like.
00:08:29
I have another big cup like this, but so my best friend's girlfriend actually brought it over.
00:08:35
They came over to barbecue one day, and so she's a teacher, and it's the way that the cut there's it's like a like a lines piece of paper, essentially like That's how the cup works.
00:08:46
So I was like, I like that cup on the day that she was over with my birthday and she says, You know what? You could have it.
00:08:51
So I I used that cup way Go.
00:08:55
I didn't know I actively chose this cup over the **** emoji cup because you want last week.
00:09:02
Yeah, man, I'm on fire and tickets.
00:09:04
Guys, Watch.
00:09:05
Watch this There.
00:09:06
There she is.
00:09:08
E put the giant sat on George.
00:09:12
Very nice. Very nice.
00:09:14
Now that that could very well end up being a, you know, a very telling sign for the Giants this week.
00:09:21
They have a very tough matchup in Seattle, which we're certainly going to get to.
00:09:24
But, uh, that's a four o'clock, so that is a 40 clock, and I definitely want to start Cleveland, Tennessee, because I think that this is gonna be probably the most exciting game with one o'clock window so guys aren't looking at a screen or anything like that.
00:09:39
The Titans are six point favorites in this game.
00:09:42
We've got a total sitting at 53 a half money lines for the team's Tennessee at minus 2 45.
00:09:49
All the brands are there at plus 2. 20.
00:09:51
Now it's very interesting because we've got sort of a tale of two cities with these teams, Tennessee Azzawi alluded to Earlier, they looked fantastic against the Indianapolis Colts on the road there, get a little bit of got a little bit of revenge from that from the first time that the team saw each other.
00:10:08
And then we start Cleveland just eke out a victory in Jacksonville this week by two points.
00:10:14
They stopped the two point conversion there at the end, so curious to know what side you're on.
00:10:19
This is probably gonna be my favorite.
00:10:22
Maybe second favorite better the week here, but where you lean in here? I'm smiling because I know that we're on the same side here.
00:10:31
Mhm, and it marginally doesn't make any sense.
00:10:35
But I like Cleveland as a road dog, getting six points, but I'll take the money line where I feel like Cleveland has been.
00:10:46
Four of their last five games have not been real football games where our weather has affected them.
00:10:54
Oh so much.
00:10:55
But I think if you don't know and understand that all you see is since Odell Beckham Jr has been out, they haven't scored a lot of points.
00:11:06
But the truth is, those games have all been forced, massive run games, which is fine because that's their strength.
00:11:14
You have Nick Job who top three back in the league.
00:11:20
I can't question anymore. He's so good.
00:11:22
Yeah, and then you have Kareem Hunt, who is their backup, but he'll start on 70% of other teams.
00:11:29
Check out of two amazing running backs, and the way that their team is functioning right now is Baker.
00:11:39
Mayfield. Don't mess up.
00:11:41
Like if he if he doesn't screw up.
00:11:45
And also Myles Garrett will be back this week.
00:11:47
Who? They won the game without him, which was dumb luck.
00:11:52
So that's the way that I'm feeling this right now.
00:11:54
Is the Browns air underrated? The Titans are overrated because we saw their last game, so I'll put a couple of shekels on the Browns money line.
00:12:06
But I think Brown's plus six Brown's plus seven is a pretty safe bet.
00:12:11
Yeah, of course, on the Browns here is well, and yeah, Look, I think that we kind of the way.
00:12:18
You are hinting I'm like we're in the same boat.
00:12:21
I don't I don't think that we're going to see any better than this, right? Like there's a couple of books that have it in 5.
00:12:27
5 right now.
00:12:28
But, um, you know, *** is probably going to be your best number, right? Without six is the number that you wanted.
00:12:35
Yeah, matter.
00:12:37
So I mean, look, I I feel comfortable even buying up the whole point to go to seven here.
00:12:42
I'm going to see you know, what else is on the board.
00:12:44
Come a little closer, but the game time.
00:12:47
But look, I think that, you know, when we look at the Titans, this is just not a good defense.
00:12:51
And, you know, things can get started through the run.
00:12:55
Obviously, Korean Hunt had a season low, I think snap percentage carries last week.
00:13:01
You know, I guess he's been feeling a little banged up so more of the Nick Chubb show.
00:13:05
I mean, this would be a fantastic matchup here, Chub and Derrick Henry, both of whom are gonna be in my running back prop article this week on us as dot com.
00:13:14
So you definitely want to check that out now, what's interesting, too, is I also put Baker Mayfield in their, uh, This is the highest total of the week for any game that we got going on.
00:13:23
So I am really looking forward to this. And again.
00:13:26
You look a bigger Mayfield's prop numbers.
00:13:28
They are not that bigot. All right.
00:13:31
So, again, just as you said, Hey, Cleveland or hey, Mayfield, don't go out there and screw it up for Cleveland.
00:13:37
Well, always got to do is not go out there and screw it up here in the profits.
00:13:41
Check this out, Paul.
00:13:43
Again against the tendency defense over 1.
00:13:46
5 passing touchdowns you get.
00:13:48
Plus 1 30 over 218 and a half.
00:13:52
Passing yards minus 1. 20.
00:13:55
conclusions.
00:13:56
18.5, even money.
00:13:58
And then to not throwing with interception plus 1 25.
00:14:01
Granted, you know, we we know Mayfield has been pretty dumb at times and, you know, not certain.
00:14:09
Certainly not, You know, valuable of that number one pick at times as well.
00:14:13
But again, I just think that the matchup kind of lends some optimism in this sense.
00:14:18
And, uh, you know, those are not big numbers that he has to hit it all.
00:14:21
Tennessee wants to stack the box and try to stop the run first.
00:14:24
This could be a nice day from a field.
00:14:27
Yeah, I just think it I say it comes down to Mayfield.
00:14:31
But if Chubb does what he's been doing recently, I don't know that it matters all that much.
00:14:38
The Titans air one of.
00:14:40
So there's like four or five teams, which include the Titans that I just don't like betting their games because they are.
00:14:49
Cleveland is one of them is, well, where they're one of those teams that some some weeks is is a world beater, and another week just doesn't show up where That's what's tricky, because I have two teams that I feel very similarly about.
00:15:08
But I just think the I think the line is too much.
00:15:11
Yeah, absolutely.
00:15:12
That's what this one comes down to, where I think the 6 5.
00:15:16
5 wherever you are.
00:15:18
I don't think that the Titans are a touchdown better than the Browns, no matter where they're playing.
00:15:24
One other thing to note here, to which I also like from Mayfield, uh, the 53 a half total here.
00:15:32
This will be the second highest total for a Browns game this season, Uh, the highest total that they had this season was the 56 a half at Dallas.
00:15:40
Back in week four, there were 87 total points scored in that game.
00:15:44
So Vegas is trying to tell us anything here by making this the highest total of the week.
00:15:48
Then I definitely feel like we should pay attention for sure.
00:15:52
Um, as I mentioned, you know us as dot com.
00:15:55
You're gonna check out these profits that I laid out there.
00:15:58
A lot of a lot of great numbers here that are certainly gonna help them, too.
00:16:01
So make sure you go check those out.
00:16:03
Big shout out here real quick to Dodger blue stuff and falling in the bulls fan sending us, uh, some tokens there.
00:16:12
We're gonna take those right to the arcade, trade them in for some tickets and get ourselves a stuffed bear.
00:16:17
Buy stuff there.
00:16:18
I mean, you know, and mama number 25 aka.
00:16:22
Thanks for the follow.
00:16:23
Yes, absolutely.
00:16:24
We got a lot of people tuning in tonight.
00:16:27
11.
00:16:28
13, 15.
00:16:29
The numbers were just going up, up up are also people that are not signed in that are watching and listening.
00:16:35
Oh, yeah, I know this for a fact because I just checked my phone.
00:16:38
I got text messages. Let's see.
00:16:40
That's great.
00:16:41
That's great.
00:16:42
Um, by the way, Mayfield to your into the DFS.
00:16:44
Now I think this is why I was so successful.
00:16:47
Embedding this weekend is because I didn't play DFS at all.
00:16:50
I didn't do the hometown league, I didn't do anything.
00:16:53
And again.
00:16:54
And that's why the profit margin at the I've been so bad idea of us just learned.
00:17:00
Yeah, I know.
00:17:01
Believe me.
00:17:02
DFS is done until further notice.
00:17:03
It's done until you get an email saying Deposit bonus, you get Yeah, whatever.
00:17:12
Basically.
00:17:13
But Mayfield 5300 on draftkings this week.
00:17:16
I think that's pretty pretty **** interesting, to say the least cheap.
00:17:20
It's cheap.
00:17:21
Yeah, I mean, you get one of the quarterbacks in the highest total game of the week.
00:17:25
Let's go ****s.
00:17:26
Alright, Anything.
00:17:28
Anything else in this game if it's the highest total game of the week, we're taking the under Oh, no way Have the two best running backs in the league playing in the same game.
00:17:39
Why would we not take the under? It can happen.
00:17:44
I'm just being logical.
00:17:45
There's I mean I just laid out the point are their running game.
00:17:49
I laid out the point the last time the Browns had a 50 point total in the game.
00:17:53
You know, it had 87 total points in the game, So I heard.
00:17:58
I'm just I'm just I'm logical ing your statistics.
00:18:02
Logical thing.
00:18:03
I like it.
00:18:04
I like it. E do that. Alright.
00:18:06
Next game.
00:18:07
What's next? Wait, why don't you get closer to the cameras? Well, next game of the week, I I would love to go to Minnesota.
00:18:13
What's that hat? I it's ah.
00:18:16
Is it a minor league team? Yeah.
00:18:17
This is the Columbia fireflies.
00:18:20
Now I am.
00:18:21
Yeah, I am not.
00:18:22
This is a former Tim Tebow vehicle, the Columbia Fireflies, but yeah, you know, it's messed up because there are Mets organization team who I I just cannot stand, but, you know, being a Philadelphia Phillies fan.
00:18:37
But you, the neon, you know, it sucked me in and look, I got through on ships.
00:18:45
Wow.
00:18:46
Yeah, Gotta coordinate.
00:18:48
So we're going to get you a one of those color rush Seattle Seahawks chairs.
00:18:53
I love those.
00:18:54
I would wear that.
00:18:55
Walking the dog there like nicely ugly is how you describe that.
00:19:00
Yeah, I like.
00:19:02
I like the ensemble with the green on the blue.
00:19:05
If you're playing laser tag, do not wear that jersey.
00:19:11
Come on.
00:19:13
Laser tag is amazing when all of this is over.
00:19:15
Like when life goes back to normal.
00:19:18
I don't know that it will have a because I missed the birthday.
00:19:23
I wanted to have a laser tag birthday party.
00:19:26
You don't think that would be fun? Would you not come? I mean, I would, but I wouldn't like it.
00:19:32
Why not? What if we did? Paintball.
00:19:34
I do. ****. I don't like all the time.
00:19:36
You know, like, just add it onto the list.
00:19:38
Always attack paintball.
00:19:40
You know, I've never done paintball, but I want a paintball are similar.
00:19:44
But paintball, You actually get hit.
00:19:45
And it could hurt.
00:19:46
That's not fun.
00:19:47
Oh, my whole life has been taken.
00:19:51
One pain after the other.
00:19:53
So what? You know what's a paint ball in the side of the skull, right? You wear a helmet. Don't worry.
00:19:58
I'll be fine.
00:19:59
When they don't win, the ball doesn't explode.
00:20:01
That's when it hurt a power.
00:20:04
Yeah, I'm putting my balls in the freezer.
00:20:07
You get these welts.
00:20:10
It's really not.
00:20:12
When you get it and the ball explodes, you don't even notice it's happening.
00:20:17
It z when the ball doesn't explode that you're like, you scream and it hurts and you're like, uh, I'm still in the game.
00:20:24
That's that's typically what happens.
00:20:26
All right.
00:20:27
Uh, what's what's mosey our way up more? Minnesota.
00:20:32
I think this game is pretty interesting on a couple e individual aspect, so we'll go with the Jacksonville JAG horse at the Minnesota Vikings.
00:20:40
Vikings Open is nine point favorites, but they have since mosey their way up to 10.5.
00:20:46
In this game, we got a total that opened at 50 were singing at a couple different books.
00:20:51
We'll just we'll keep the total of 50 for Argument's sake right now.
00:20:55
Um, Moneyline's pretty **** high for the Vikings ar minus 500 plus 4 30 for the Jaguars in this game.
00:21:02
So last week, the Vikings looked like they were in a bit of trouble there against Carolina Panthers ended up, you know, having a pretty **** good come back there.
00:21:12
Uh, beauty.
00:21:13
What? Uh, why am I? Come on.
00:21:17
It's Don, baby, son.
00:21:18
Yeah, That's why I couldn't think of the guy's name.
00:21:22
His son's name is now.
00:21:24
Now, come on, Kourtney.
00:21:27
No, he was not Courtney.
00:21:29
I, uh Come on, Jeff.
00:21:32
Still wrong, Derek e don't know.
00:21:38
What is it? What is it? E want you to keep naming white people names because it's funny, Connor.
00:21:44
Close.
00:21:45
But no cigar.
00:21:47
Chad.
00:21:48
It might be Dad.
00:21:49
I think it is, actually, but yes.
00:21:51
So he fumbles the punt, and then we're sorted.
00:21:54
S's David Wright with eso.
00:22:00
So s O chat ends up dropping front there.
00:22:03
And, you know, it looks like ball game over.
00:22:05
No, Minnesota get to stop.
00:22:07
Where's the field goal? And then the Kirk cousin's band comes all the way down the field.
00:22:11
Now, uh, pretty interesting to know here, Vikings still somewhat alive somehow in the NFC.
00:22:18
Uh, so obviously, a win here against Jacksonville is of the utmost importance, but 10.
00:22:24
5 is a lot to cover here, Especially against Jacksonville.
00:22:27
Do you think Jacksonville can Paula cover here for the second straight week? I don't, but also this line opened it like 7.
00:22:37
5 or eight, which is crazy I thought the line was like to start.
00:22:44
Now.
00:22:45
I think it's heavy where at this point, I'm probably off at 10.5.
00:22:49
If you put a gun to my head, I'll take the Vikings minus 10.5.
00:22:53
I would like it at, and, uh, the number I wrote down was Minnesota minus seven.
00:23:00
But was that open? That was doable.
00:23:03
Now it's not.
00:23:04
I'm not buying three points. That's crazy.
00:23:06
But the Jacksonville Jaguars are terrible.
00:23:10
They're trying to lose.
00:23:11
At this point.
00:23:12
It's just a question of how much did they lose by? They're them, and the Jets are the coaching staff.
00:23:18
I think the coaching staff is trying to win, but the management, the G M's and so on and so forth are trying to lose where Mike Glennon should not be starting over Jake Luton.
00:23:30
There's no point in that.
00:23:31
See, let let the young kid play, see if he's got anything.
00:23:34
But I think that there that Jackson will actually thinks that Glennon gives them a better chance to lose.
00:23:40
Interesting, if that's like that's and the Vikings.
00:23:44
The Vikings were winning this game like you could throw them on the back end of a parlay.
00:23:48
Happily, simply, they're gonna win the game.
00:23:51
I just don't know by how much.
00:23:53
You know, the one thing that stands out to May is you see the total sort of going up right? Like if we wanna whatever games at at 50.
00:24:03
We said at the open 51 a half right now with some sports books.
00:24:07
But you see that total going up? Meanwhile, you hear me? Now I just like you.
00:24:12
No, no, I just I just got a d m that said that you are so much louder than me.
00:24:18
Eso I turned my volume up and I'm sorry.
00:24:21
I didn't mean to cut you off there.
00:24:23
That was That was inappropriate of me.
00:24:25
I mean, you know, we're all aroud second chances in life, so I will certainly give you in here three to go.
00:24:34
Uh, but but, you know, it's interesting to see, like, 82% of the money towards the under in this one.
00:24:41
Meanwhile, we're getting the total going up, so I don't know what to think yet, but Kirk Cousins is a quarterback that I had in the quarterback props article this week.
00:24:51
I got him on the over yards and touchdown.
00:24:55
So pretty interesting number here, looking at cousins, eyes, profits and this 1/2 and a half passing touchdowns plus 1 65.
00:25:05
We're getting a lot of juice on that one, but I think that also kind of lens some optimism towards the under.
00:25:13
You know, these profits were very telling.
00:25:15
You know, you remember that game where we saw the Seahawks and the Rams both Russell Wilson, Jared Goff.
00:25:21
You know, they had those numbers that were just astronomically low.
00:25:25
Uh, you know, with the juice and everything and end up turning out well.
00:25:29
But I I don't know.
00:25:30
I I like cousins in this matchup.
00:25:31
Jacksonville has got the fourth worst pass defense, getting Adam feeling back this week.
00:25:35
And I'm sure if you're a Dalvin cook fantasy owner, you heard Gary Kubiak's, uh adage this week basically saying e don't know, guys.
00:25:46
Dalvin cook.
00:25:47
Hey, feels a little banged up right now and people are like What? So Cook even came out this week himself, and he was like, No, no, no, I'm all good, but you have to wonder in this game against Jagger or are they really gonna push him? You know, pedal to the metal? I don't think so.
00:26:03
They got a pretty big matchup with Tampa they next week.
00:26:06
So you would think that, you know, he's probably gonna, you know, keep him on the shelf a little bit.
00:26:11
Does that mean Mawr? Madison touches, you know, I don't know.
00:26:14
I just think that this sets up nice for cousins to have a pretty big passing game.
00:26:18
So I'm seriously thinking about throwing that over 2.
00:26:22
5 passing touchdowns down because, you know, you look at cousins numbers.
00:26:26
He's stone for at least 280 yards in each of the last three games.
00:26:30
They're definitely let them toss that ball.
00:26:32
Adam feeling and Justin Jefferson against this poorest Jacksonville secondary.
00:26:37
I think things were looking up in that regard, so we didn't say this could end up being more of a fantasy football show than a betting show this week, since there's a lot of weird matchups, but I like that for cousin.
00:26:47
Speaking of that, okay, I have my longest running fantasy league with my friends from high school.
00:26:53
This league has been around forever.
00:26:56
Okay, I have the Carolina backfield on a bye.
00:27:01
So my cactus McCaffrey, I have Leonard Fournette on a by and I have Antonio Gibson.
00:27:08
I do not have a second running back.
00:27:12
Would it be crazy to spend a buck on Madison as a plug and play? Just in case? As of now, our waivers went through today.
00:27:21
I spent $3 on Jeff Wilson Jr.
00:27:25
Okay, I I assume he'll get between six and 10 touches.
00:27:29
I don't know what they'll be.
00:27:31
I don't know.
00:27:32
He had 12 last week.
00:27:33
In his first week back.
00:27:34
He's gonna split with Moster.
00:27:36
McKinnon might come back.
00:27:37
I'm in a really tricky situation here, where the running backs on waivers were so barren that I spent $3 on Jeff Wilson Jr.
00:27:47
Okay, that's a tough one.
00:27:50
Madison's available, and I could spend a buck on him and just take a shot.
00:27:55
I even thought about picking up Kyle.
00:27:58
Use check because maybe he'll get a touchdown.
00:28:01
Truce.
00:28:02
I love that, But those air that is the thinking.
00:28:05
That's where I'm at because of the options on.
00:28:09
I spent $3 on Jeff Rosen Junior.
00:28:11
I could have spent a buck, but I make sure I got him, but he could also do nothing this weekend.
00:28:16
Yeah, if Kevin is back and McKinnon is there too, doesn't he? Then dropped to their fourth guy.
00:28:22
Absolutely.
00:28:23
Yeah, he'll probably be covering punts or some **** like that, but yeah, I can't return touchdowns with.
00:28:30
Yeah, I mean that on whoever has Dalvin cook for not having Madison.
00:28:35
Yes, the handcuff.
00:28:36
You know, they whoever the guy that has him just dropped him.
00:28:40
He also is in last place in the entire league.
00:28:44
Come on, I But then, But if I pick up Madison, I have to start him.
00:28:49
So do I.
00:28:50
Now drop Jeff Wilson Jr for Madison.
00:28:52
It's a literally it is.
00:28:54
This is a one week play.
00:28:55
It's Yeah, those guys, the other for that that I am considering.
00:29:01
But I kind of want to say it because I know guys in the league are listening right now is a wait.
00:29:08
Do I screw myself over by naming the player on waivers? That shouldn't be there.
00:29:15
No, Definitely not.
00:29:16
Okay, I'll tell you.
00:29:18
Don't give those people the satisfaction, and I know, right? I like its a player.
00:29:25
That was a very early draft pick who's now kind of fallen down the depth chart.
00:29:31
But I think in the last five weeks can put up good numbers.
00:29:35
He's also he's also on a team where you never know which running back is going to do well.
00:29:42
So you do the math and figure that one out is their team name favorable to the country that we live in? Yeah, yeah, you got it.
00:29:56
Smile about it.
00:29:57
We'll talk about it later that that guy is available.
00:30:03
All right, I think.
00:30:04
Fair enough.
00:30:05
I think he's arguably still the best running back in the backfield, but he's currently not getting any touches.
00:30:12
Yeah, it's a it's a sticky situation.
00:30:14
Is yeah, absolutely, Absolutely.
00:30:17
You are correct, my friend.
00:30:19
He I put in $2 for him in case I didn't get Jeff Wilson Jr that it was a logical and I put it in a buck for Madison, where that was my my 3 to 1 that I did today.
00:30:32
And now we have ways ER waivers Saturday and Sunday as well, where if I want to switch it or if I owned folds into, uh, if either of them ends up being ruled out.
00:30:43
I can also throw them on my I r and then pick up another running back, which is ultimately my plan for the week.
00:30:50
All right.
00:30:51
Hey, you probably helped a lot of people think through that.
00:30:54
I'm sure e just literally told everyone my plan.
00:30:58
That's great, I'm sure.
00:30:59
I'm sure many of our listeners out there have the same exact problems, so you'll be just fine.
00:31:03
So we get to buys.
00:31:05
Yeah, I'm in third place with the most points, So I need one of the teams in front of me to lose and I need to get the win.
00:31:12
I'm actually playing the team with the third most points, but his team is four and nine because he's had, like, the worst luck on Earth for corn.
00:31:19
A Whatever it is he's, he cannot make the play offs, even though he's got the third most points.
00:31:24
It's just fascinating how head the head is just dumb luck.
00:31:29
And yet that is how we play this this sport.
00:31:33
Yeah, goodness.
00:31:35
Alright, we're gonna go to the game.
00:31:37
You really like It was your best bet of the week.
00:31:39
Now your kind of thinking of So we're gonna talk about it.
00:31:41
It's the Roz Vegas Raiders at the New York football Jets.
00:31:47
Uh, it's line.
00:31:48
Open it.
00:31:49
Eight in favor of the Raiders. They're up to nine.
00:31:51
If you look on fanduel, you could even do 9.
00:31:53
5 of their If you like the Jets for whatever god**** reason, we've got a total.
00:31:58
It started at 48 we have now seen it go down.
00:32:02
Draftkings has it at 46 a half Fanduel there, 47 as well.
00:32:08
Uh, tons of money pouring in on the Raiders here.
00:32:10
97% of the money on the money line here for the Raiders and 74% of the money on the spread there for the Raiders.
00:32:18
Uh, in terms of the total 72% of the money going towards the under in this game.
00:32:23
So a lot of people not thinking too highly there.
00:32:26
11 thing that's gonna be interesting here for a lot of people.
00:32:29
Josh Jacobs.
00:32:31
Little nicked up here, so I know, uh, Devontae Booker is eyes a guy that could certainly pop up on Cem radars this week.
00:32:40
You might even be a guy that you could pick up Paul.
00:32:43
If somebody has him yet, so he's certainly don't s so that could be something.
00:32:49
Now, the Raiders air Absolutely.
00:32:52
Coming off their worst game of the season by far.
00:32:56
Not, uh, part of that.
00:32:58
You know, Derek Carr had a kid.
00:32:59
I think it was Monday, so his head probably wasn't in the game there.
00:33:04
Had to do a little.
00:33:06
You ever seen that movie due Date? Robert Downey Jr.
00:33:10
Yeah, Yeah. Oh, my God.
00:33:12
So, you know the stewardess in that movie, you had to have my old radio show one time Napoli if a great gal great gal she was also she was also the, uh, you know, in the hangover when they say, Does Caesar live here at the at that that one part, that's her same check.
00:33:30
So is this the real Caesars Palace? Yes, that's exactly that one.
00:33:36
So this is sort of a tough situation here.
00:33:41
Um, for the Raiders, they're still definitely still alive for the playoffs. Absolutely.
00:33:46
But, you know, second game in a row on the East Coast, the jets looked like absolute **** last week to three total points.
00:33:54
They scored a field goal kick the field goal on the opening drive.
00:33:57
And then absolutely nothing from there.
00:33:59
Um, you like the readers coming into this week? What's your current feeling on them? So I lost a bit of money on the Raiders last week, but I am all over them again this week.
00:34:15
When the lines first dropped, my best bet was Raiders minus seven, which I don't think we can get anymore.
00:34:22
So another tip for our listeners is early in the week when these lines first come out.
00:34:30
Typically, you can get the best line possible.
00:34:32
Where, then, obviously you, me, Joe Shmoe down the block, we bet the lines.
00:34:39
Then move the Sharps, then come in.
00:34:41
Move it, whatever, whichever way you want.
00:34:43
So now we're up to nine, where I can't get the number that I love this game at, However, Josh Jacobs is questionable.
00:34:51
If Josh Jacobs ultimately gets ruled out, I think some money will then come in on the Jets, and this line will move back closer to seven, where I can then get it at seven.
00:35:00
I am more than happy with Devontae Booker and Jalen Rashard or Jalen Richard.
00:35:04
I'm not sure which one it is getting splitting the carries against the Jets.
00:35:10
Also, the wind gusts are potentially going to be 35 miles an hour.
00:35:15
Really, if that is the case that leans even Mawr towards the Raiders because they have a great run run game, they have a great defense.
00:35:26
And, you know, look, I would love for Derek Carr toe, sling it and hit rugs and hopefully a galore is healthy.
00:35:34
Uh, Darren Waller should absolutely dominate the game, but make sure that you check the weather report before you do any.
00:35:41
Make any bets on this game because I read just last night up to 38 miles an hour.
00:35:47
Where that is, you can't pass.
00:35:51
You will be throwing four yard passes and running the ball.
00:35:55
Mhm.
00:35:56
****, man, I might have to put some extra quarters in my pocket when I'm walking the dog on Sunday.
00:36:03
That's that's insane.
00:36:05
Unless AccuWeather was wrong, that's where that is.
00:36:08
My source.
00:36:10
AccuWeather e.
00:36:11
I mean, everybody knows AccuWeather is the biggest fraud with their with their weather socks and whatnot.
00:36:17
I'm looking for the updated weather right now.
00:36:20
Let's let's let's see what what this says 38.
00:36:27
That's amazing.
00:36:28
I'm actually.
00:36:29
So since the Bucks on a bye week this week, the lady asked me.
00:36:32
She's like, Hey, you know, she's got a play date with the dog set up with one of her friends.
00:36:37
So I'm just like, like initially I'm like, Nice.
00:36:41
I'm gonna get a I'm gonna get a nice Sunday to myself at home.
00:36:44
Blah, blah Florida.
00:36:46
Of course I'm here.
00:36:47
Oh, you look dead for Rosen right there on school reading.
00:36:52
I'm reading the weather.
00:36:53
So s so she's like, you want to come and I'm like, not really, you know, like, I just kind of want to sit and watch the games.
00:36:59
I realized the bucks on a bye week, and pretty much all these games suck this week.
00:37:03
So, yeah, I'm gonna be doing the outdoors thing, but you're gonna get laid this weekend. Congratulations.
00:37:11
Thank you.
00:37:12
I appreciate it.
00:37:13
Every, uh, everyone, you know, you've been so supportive through this rough time.
00:37:17
No, but I don't know.
00:37:20
You know, the Jets absolutely rolled the Raiders last year.
00:37:24
Same matchup.
00:37:25
Um, you know, match up at MetLife and the jets just absolutely bamboozled them.
00:37:30
That was That was, like, really bad.
00:37:32
It was like 34 to 6 or something like that, but I don't know.
00:37:35
I think if I'm if I'm gonna play anything in this game, I think it's gonna be the under kind of just knowing, you know, those wind conditions.
00:37:42
Well, you know, the Jets run defense is actually pretty good, you know, for how ****ty they've been this season, Uh, top 10 D v o a.
00:37:50
Against the run.
00:37:51
And again, you know, if no Jacobs because no one runs on them because they're so far behind.
00:37:56
Oh, that's fun.
00:37:58
Tell that to the numbers.
00:38:00
I'm not telling you to anyone.
00:38:03
George.
00:38:04
George heard we were talking about him.
00:38:06
He joined us. I'm looking up.
00:38:08
The weather is what I'm doing right now.
00:38:11
Okay? But yeah, I think if that's gonna be the case, that would definitely take the under.
00:38:16
Just that was the case last year.
00:38:17
The under came and, you know, in this game, so yeah, I would certainly, you know, feel comfortable doing that.
00:38:24
You know Derek Carr? It's so funny.
00:38:26
I Really I in the quarterback Pops article last week, I ended up writing him, had all these great numbers and everything.
00:38:34
No, just absolutely disastrous, but yeah, if we're gonna have, we're gonna have near 40 mile an hour wind gusts.
00:38:41
Forget about it.
00:38:42
That game was bad.
00:38:44
Yeah.
00:38:45
What? Anything on the weather? It's loading.
00:38:51
So what it says here is check out the game day dot com because that's where you'll find it up. Great.
00:39:00
Uh, the game day dot com game day fax.
00:39:02
We got you the weather reports for meth.
00:39:05
MetLife stadium calls for intermittent clouds and a high of 43 F.
00:39:11
It's the potential for up to 38 mile an hour winds that could affect this contest.
00:39:17
It? Yeah.
00:39:19
I mean, the Raiders, they had a game not too long ago when Cleveland, where the weather was absolutely disastrous.
00:39:25
They ended up getting that win their against the Brown.
00:39:27
So, yeah, I mean, look, there's a team that's built to play in conditions like that, you know, just fight living in Sin City and, you know, having that gorgeous whether they're the big toaster that they got.
00:39:38
So this is, uh I think this should work out well for them.
00:39:42
I know the Jets were gonna have one good game before the end of the season.
00:39:46
I know it.
00:39:47
It's just when When is that gonna pay? No, I'm not saying it's gonna be Sunday.
00:39:54
I'm saying they're gonna have one game where they either cover or **** near when they're not gonna win the game.
00:40:01
But they'll cover when the spread is 22.
00:40:04
But they're gonna They're gonna have a game.
00:40:07
Their schedule is actually disaster.
00:40:10
Like they have a really bad schedule, you know, find that Oh, in 16.
00:40:16
Prop it and take it.
00:40:18
They're not gonna win a game own 16.
00:40:20
No, they're odds Air probably minus money at this point.
00:40:25
Yeah.
00:40:26
Agree or disagree.
00:40:29
I'll agree with you here.
00:40:32
Otherwise I'd make you bet on 16 and oh, in 16.
00:40:35
Uh, any, Uh All right, let's move.
00:40:39
Let's go.
00:40:40
Thio Colts and the Texans.
00:40:41
We've got their cults as three point favorites in this game.
00:40:46
Uh, Texans, you know, they had the Thanksgiving game. I'm sorry.
00:40:50
3.
00:40:51
5 for the Colts in this game.
00:40:52
Uh, we had a total open up at 52 Mother One.
00:40:56
Not terrible.
00:40:57
Uh, minus 1 80 for the Colts.
00:40:58
Plus 1 65 for the taxes in this matchup.
00:41:01
So I guess the big news here will far tested positive for performance enhancing drugs.
00:41:08
My favorite kind of drugs.
00:41:10
But he's gone.
00:41:12
He's done for the rest of season.
00:41:13
And for the first game of next season, he What's funny about that is he's a free agent.
00:41:18
So whichever team scientist, if that's the Texans or somebody else, uh, just know that you're getting Will Fuller minus a game, uh, pen to that one.
00:41:28
But I think, you know, obviously it's more of ah disaster this week for the Texans who have looked pretty **** good here in the last couple of weeks.
00:41:35
But you're missing forward rental.
00:41:37
Cobb here is out.
00:41:39
Correct. TOB, He's questionable.
00:41:41
I'm not sure that he's out. Out.
00:41:43
Okay, Uh, nevertheless, losing a huge downplay a downfield threat like Fuller is just gonna spell disaster.
00:41:50
So I You know, at the beginning of the show, I said the brands, or either my first or second favorite pick this week, the Colts are you know, we're basically doing one a one b here.
00:42:03
Oh, yeah.
00:42:04
Cops on IR.
00:42:05
He's done. I'm looking right now.
00:42:07
Yeah. Oh, right.
00:42:09
He might return. 15 comes up.
00:42:12
So Yeah, it's Kiki Cody Kiki cootie eso you you love the cult's yes, at at the Texans? Yes, I e.
00:42:23
I initially wrote down Houston Home Dog and then I have a giant arrow that says No, Fuller.
00:42:30
Yeah, obviously changes things, but what's the spread right now? Three and 3.5.
00:42:36
Should we take a side on this? I'll bet that the Colts win by three.
00:42:42
And I still went.
00:42:44
Yeah, yeah, right.
00:42:46
That's doable.
00:42:47
Where I initially I like the Texans as, Ah, Home dog.
00:42:52
Instead, I'll take the Texans plus 3.
00:42:54
5 where all lose the game.
00:42:58
But I'll win the bet.
00:42:59
I've already set myself up for failure because you know my hatred for Philip Rivers.
00:43:03
The guy throws the guy, throws like that chick from Vanderbilt kicks.
00:43:07
And this is essentially, you know, I'm setting myself up for failure here.
00:43:12
And this is gonna be the second time in three weeks that I that I bet on Philip Rivers, but I don't care.
00:43:17
I I love the culture roster.
00:43:20
You know, if you just ask this guy to do just enough, then you know he's gonna get it done.
00:43:25
They got it done against packers a couple of weeks ago.
00:43:26
They could sure is how we got it done against the Texans here.
00:43:29
So I'm going Thio.
00:43:31
Unconfident Lee, confident Lee.
00:43:34
Take the Colts in this matchup.
00:43:36
I just It's more or less attacks doing here.
00:43:39
You are taking a So that's why folks.
00:43:46
Nice everyone's favorite theme song.
00:43:48
That's how you that's how you brand the crap out of something.
00:43:51
Absolutely So yeah.
00:43:52
So I'm gonna go to the Colts 3.
00:43:54
5.
00:43:55
I think that they get this done on.
00:43:57
Of course, you know, we're not telling anybody anything.
00:43:59
They don't know already.
00:44:00
But make sure you go ahead and get Kikuchi in the lineup, because again, the Shawn Watson is playing at just an unbelievable level right now.
00:44:08
So, you know, I think a lot of those downfield targets that will Fuller was getting We could certainly, you know, say that Kiki Kuti is is in line and he had a touchdown the other week, so good on him.
00:44:21
So back to fantasy.
00:44:22
Since we've been jumping back and forth, I have Ben Roethlisberger, DeShaun Watson and Taysom Hill.
00:44:29
It's a two quarterback league.
00:44:30
At this point.
00:44:31
I think I'm benching to Shawn Watson.
00:44:34
Really? Yeah, He's playing the cults who are Top five defense.
00:44:40
Roethlisberger's playing Washington.
00:44:42
He'll throw for two touchdowns Easy and Taysom.
00:44:45
Hill is playing Atlanta.
00:44:46
Who gives up the most points to fantasy quarterbacks this season.
00:44:50
I gotta tell you, we'll talk about that game next, so I'll save my comment for that.
00:44:55
But, um but yeah, I don't know, man To show Watson.
00:45:00
Yeah, I mean, again, of course, like the God could do it with his legs.
00:45:04
And, you know, we get it done A lot of ways.
00:45:06
Let me put, Let me tell you that I'll lose what we're gonna talk about next.
00:45:09
But I would say I think that you'd be better suited to go with Watson over Taysom Hill, even though Taysom Hill is playing Atlanta.
00:45:20
Yeah, you know how hard that is? I do, but we're certain there's certain there are certain factors that you need to take into play that Yes, I understand that the numbers look right against Atlanta this season, but, uh, **** it, I forgot what movie it is, but, oh, it's Anchorman, which says, As you once said, the Times, they are a changing gotcha sorry.
00:45:49
My my screen just froze there.
00:45:51
So I was like, What? I got Alright.
00:45:55
Wait, What's next? What's next? What's our next game? What's go? Let's go to Atlanta.
00:46:00
New Orleans, Uh, since we were just discussing it.
00:46:04
So these two teams just played each other not too long ago.
00:46:08
Uh, in this matchup, we have the Saints.
00:46:12
You know, they opened those 3.
00:46:13
5 point favorites, But now winds coming down.
00:46:16
We've got, you know, Draftkings has the Saints.
00:46:20
Has 2.
00:46:21
5 point favorites.
00:46:22
Couple of the books have the Saints is as three point favorites here to the big thing.
00:46:27
I mean, look, you just talked about it, right? Atlanta's defense is just out of this world.
00:46:36
No out of this world since making the head coaching change.
00:46:39
Raheem Morris, former Tampa Bay Buccaneers head coaching.
00:46:44
Great.
00:46:45
Uh, he's got this team pointing some **** good ball I did when I did one of the prophet articles a couple weeks ago.
00:46:51
Uh, you know, when I think in the Dan Quinn era they were allowing something like 440 yards a game.
00:46:57
Since Raheem Morris took over, they've cut that by 80 yards that they're allowing the game.
00:47:03
So obviously, you know, again.
00:47:05
Look, this is the second time in about three weeks, I guess, that the Saints and the Falcons, they're playing each other.
00:47:11
I like the Falcons in this one, and I kind of liked them on the movie line if we're gonna get crazy about this Oh, God.
00:47:18
I'll take a side with you on this billion a billion times a billion times out of a billion.
00:47:24
Do I get the point on? Take aside, what's the spread? Well, what? We'll call it three.
00:47:32
What's the actual spread? Uh, 2.5.
00:47:35
It's why.
00:47:36
Why am I giving you three, then? What? What? Me Finish.
00:47:39
It's out.
00:47:40
What is the spread? All right, We'll open to 3.
00:47:44
5.
00:47:45
You wanna take it there? No, I wanted to be.
00:47:46
Oh, right now that is.
00:47:49
That was my question was, what is the current spread? So But that's the thing.
00:47:53
So this is the problem, right? We need we need universal lines because this is ridiculous for podcasters like ourselves.
00:48:00
But draftkings has it 2.
00:48:01
5 and other sports you want books? Have a three.
00:48:06
We'll We'll meet halfway.
00:48:07
You can have it at three.
00:48:09
We'll take New Orleans minus three.
00:48:11
You can have the Falcons plus three.
00:48:14
And if the Falcons win, money line will give you double the points.
00:48:18
How's that? I like it.
00:48:20
You still have to catch up.
00:48:22
You're still You're still a ways away so that that's actually a new a new wrinkle in this game if we're playing spread.
00:48:30
But if the under, if the person who takes the underdog likes it enough and they win money line way, give two points instead of one.
00:48:40
I love bonuses, love bonuses.
00:48:43
You can have the bonuses, but you won't get, especially in the holiday season, right? The same. The Saints.
00:48:49
We're gonna win 24 to 12.
00:48:51
Now they'll score a touchdown.
00:48:53
Let's go 24 17.
00:48:55
I just You and I both have a couple different employers.
00:48:59
You know, the bonus and the holiday season that people love that, you know? Yeah.
00:49:05
You know, just throw it out there, you know, maybe somebody listening and want to give about it, you know? Hey, if they all the listeners they could get, they give us bonus stars.
00:49:16
Yeah, give me that popcorn, baby.
00:49:18
So alright again, ever since they made the head coach and change things.
00:49:23
But right now, the one with one game that this did not work out so well was against the Saints for the Falcons.
00:49:30
But Mattie Ryan had a decent day throwing the ball, but the turnovers of what really crossed them? Uh, they had three field goals really early in the first half.
00:49:39
They could not get the ball in the end zone, and that wound up being the difference in the game.
00:49:43
But yeah, look, Atlanta absolutely smoked the Falcons outright last season in New Orleans.
00:49:51
And then they played.
00:49:52
You remember that Thanksgiving game where they had the three onside kicks in a row? Whatever I think they're like ended up covering the spread.
00:49:59
But Atlanta Atlanta is due for a close game with nuance.
00:50:02
This is This is usually a pretty good Bible, right? For I don't agree with you.
00:50:07
Hence why we're taking sides here.
00:50:09
But I'm totally okay with this.
00:50:12
I'm totally happy with it.
00:50:13
I will.
00:50:14
I will take the saints.
00:50:15
I will take them happily.
00:50:17
I will keep riding the Taysom Hill train even though he is not Ah, quarterback.
00:50:23
I'm not really sure what he is, but he keeps scoring touchdowns and they keep scoring points and the the offenses functional.
00:50:31
And he is keeping the seat warm for when Drew Brees comes back.
00:50:35
And also the odds for the Saints to win the Super Bowl.
00:50:39
Keep going up.
00:50:41
Meaning once it hits 15 to 1, I'm in.
00:50:44
Okay, fair enough.
00:50:47
You like that? I actually I liked it.
00:50:49
I swear to God, I loved the Saints preseason to win the Super Bowl just because it was, like, 81 Yeah, but I work, which is great.
00:50:57
I love Drew Brees.
00:50:59
Like last season, I thought that that was gonna be sort of like a nice rallying cry from the team.
00:51:04
Um, but, you know, selfishly, I think the bucks, if they see them for the third time, maybe things are a little different.
00:51:11
No will say one thing to go to Alvin Kamara.
00:51:15
So last couple of weeks, he really hasn't been toting the rock like the bell cow.
00:51:20
Um, you know, he's kind of got a little bit of a foot issue.
00:51:23
I think the saints air doing sort of the that Erin Jones thing with the Packers do sometimes with him where you know we're not going to give you all these different touches.
00:51:34
So, you know, playing DFS this week. Certainly.
00:51:36
Watch out for that.
00:51:37
But it's also worth noting, too, that the Falcons historically have done a really good job against Camara.
00:51:42
We're talking about, you know, let's just put it into draftkings points perspective.
00:51:47
Hey, has faced the Falcons about seven times over the course of his career.
00:51:53
He has not exceeded 20 points in all but six of those games.
00:51:58
So yeah, he had one big game, uh, two seasons ago, there against the Falcons.
00:52:04
But, you know, this is this is a match up where they kind of got Comoran check.
00:52:09
So if they kinda, you know, contain that run game. Obviously.
00:52:13
Latavius Murray had a pretty big week last week.
00:52:16
He's been getting a little more touches here down the stretch, but then contain him.
00:52:19
Contain Taysom Hill.
00:52:20
I think that, you know, I think that this is gonna be nice path to victory here for the Falcons, it's possible, but no, no, no.
00:52:30
My ultimate answer is no. The Falcons are losers.
00:52:33
I don't care what they did last week.
00:52:34
I see.
00:52:36
What now? I get it. Now I get it.
00:52:38
They broke your heart last week, and you can't.
00:52:40
You can't possibly get back toe. We'll see.
00:52:43
We'll, uh, we'll be able to talk early next week, and I will happily say that you didn't get You're not gonna get double points.
00:52:54
All right? We'll see about that, My friend.
00:52:57
A couple of one o'clock games that we didn't touch on.
00:53:00
We could do it real quick.
00:53:01
If you have any thoughts Bangles that dolphins lines that bears anything intrigue you there.
00:53:08
Well, Bangles dolphins.
00:53:10
We don't know who the starting quarterback for the Dolphins is, so I'm not.
00:53:13
I have nothing on that just yet.
00:53:16
They're a different team of to a plays verse Fitzpatrick.
00:53:19
So I'm not gonna give an answer since it's Thursday night and we still don't know who the quarterback is there.
00:53:25
Um, And in the Bears Lions game, we know that Mitchell True whiskey is starting again, and I guess I like the bears.
00:53:37
I don't I don't know why they're home right, and their defense is really, really good.
00:53:44
And the lions stink.
00:53:45
But if the lions get Amendola and swift back.
00:53:48
I feel marginally different.
00:53:50
So I'm literally like this on that.
00:53:53
Where? If Swift and Amendola play, I probably won't bet it.
00:53:58
But if they don't, then then I'm on the bears.
00:54:01
Alright.
00:54:02
I honest, I have zero feeling or attachment to either one of these games.
00:54:07
I know.
00:54:08
Obviously, you know David Montgomery.
00:54:10
It's funny.
00:54:11
I saw a tweet from somebody today in these fans like David Montgomery has had three absolute knock out of the park matchups this year, and he hasn't done **** in any of them, so that that's certainly worth noting.
00:54:25
But, you know Hey, what they say four times a charm, right? Uh, you know, I just can't I can't get on board with either of these games.
00:54:34
Uh, there we go. Alright.
00:54:36
Four o'clock.
00:54:37
This is where things start to get very, very interesting.
00:54:41
So let us begin.
00:54:43
Let's go Rams Cardinals, Because I think that this one probably has the most meaning behind it.
00:54:47
Uh, in this matchup, we see the Ramses three point favorites.
00:54:51
It opened as the Cardinals as a one point favorites.
00:54:54
So to see this going that way pretty **** telling to me, uh, Cardinals getting a lot of money here on the money line.
00:55:01
That plus 1 30 70% of the money there.
00:55:04
But 66% of the money towards the Rams spread here.
00:55:08
It minus three.
00:55:10
Interesting that this game is being played in Arizona.
00:55:13
A pretty good game for the, you know, somewhere divisional standing here, of course you know the playoffs as well.
00:55:19
Arizona has not been, you know, at the best here.
00:55:24
You know, New England.
00:55:25
Bill Belichick got ahold of another young quarterback last week, which is pretty interesting, Curious to know, because I can kind of go out the way on this, but, you know, we'll see what we wanted out.
00:55:35
But who you like here? I'm I'm swinging just like the spread is on this one where I think I think I like the Rams.
00:55:47
But I'm really not that sure where ah lot of it is what we saw the previous week, where the Rams look good in Arizona didn't look.
00:55:57
So where does that put me here? It's a divisional matchup.
00:56:00
They know each other very well.
00:56:01
Um, I This is a game that I'm off.
00:56:05
I'm not I just If I'm going down all the games, and I'm making decisions.
00:56:12
I'm not.
00:56:13
This is not something that I'm putting any money on.
00:56:15
But whichever team is getting the points, I will take those points.
00:56:21
Yeah, no matter where it is, no matter where it falls.
00:56:25
Obviously, if you could give me plus three either way, love it.
00:56:29
I'm in, boy, things like you Look at the Cardinals last five games, right? Like, check this out.
00:56:34
So they had that overtime win against Seattle.
00:56:38
Remember the comeback win where you know, the one penalty, you know, put them back in the game that they really had no business being in.
00:56:45
Uh uh, you go to the next week.
00:56:47
That was the game that they lost against the Dolphins, that I wanted to shoot myself in the face over the week.
00:56:52
After that.
00:56:54
It was the Hail Mary game against Buffalo where they won that game.
00:56:58
Uh, they lose in Seattle the next week on the Thursday night, and then they lose at New England.
00:57:03
So could make the argument here that this is a very, very overrated Cardinals team.
00:57:09
And that's probably why we saw the spread, you know, shift so heavily in favor of the Rams.
00:57:16
The Rams? Absolutely.
00:57:17
Boat raced the Cardinals last year in Arizona.
00:57:20
So interesting to know that as well.
00:57:23
But I mean, just kind of thinking about how how the cardinals will play lately.
00:57:27
You know, we start getting there and Donald after Kyler Murray not gonna be the same kind of guy.
00:57:32
Uh, you know Jalen Ramsey against DeAndre Hopkins.
00:57:34
That's gonna be a fantastic one on one matchup.
00:57:37
But, you know, you know my my mantra, right? Where? Oh, ****.
00:57:43
You know, the home team isn't getting three points like, let's dig into this a little further on, and that will bring this up.
00:57:49
So, yeah, talk me through it for and talk our listeners through it.
00:57:52
For those of us who haven't tuned in before you say the same thing and it hits 80% of the time.
00:58:00
Like is that like, a 100 118% of the time? It's 100% of the time, 80% of s o.
00:58:09
Obviously, Look, if you're the home team, Vegas automatically gives you three points.
00:58:14
That's that's the standard for the NFL.
00:58:17
So every time that you see a team not getting those three points.
00:58:22
You just have to wonder to yourself, Why are they not getting those three points? Uh, and look, it makes sense, right? Like if you're a home team in the NFL, you know this year is definitely a little different, right? Like we don't have crowd helping to go into this kind of stuff.
00:58:38
But I just, you know, knowing the two rosters, this team, the Rams are the much better team.
00:58:44
I think they're much, well, better coached.
00:58:46
Uh, you know, last week's game for the Rams was a little difficulty of a start.
00:58:50
They got back into it college.
00:58:52
Shanahan absolutely has shown McVeigh's number.
00:58:55
I don't know what the hell the deal is there, but again, if you don't, you don't get three points.
00:59:00
If you're not good in three points as a home team, there's something wrong there, and it's worth investigating.
00:59:07
So the fact that this thing swung, I guess what? Like essentially four points.
00:59:13
It's certainly worth digging in some Tom Tom Brady for Tom Brady for say what now, Tom Brady, where he didn't know it down.
00:59:24
It was before I like what? Yeah, not one of his final moments in Arizona when it went from a pick.
00:59:33
Up to now, Arizona is getting three at home.
00:59:36
Right? So you you're you.
00:59:39
So who do you think is right? Do you think the public is right or you taking Arizona plus three? No, I'm just talked myself into the ramps like that's so so that's the opposite of what you usually do.
00:59:51
No, no, exactly what Ideo The fact that the gift the home team isn't if the line isn't moving towards the home team and that it's actually hit the three point mark, You will then take whichever way the line is moving against the home team.
01:00:09
Okay, sort of just to put on this, explain it because I'm I'm trying to get it.
01:00:15
And I know if I don't get it, that nobody else gets it.
01:00:17
But just to put it is we have our own language that you know, taking sides gibberish. Alright.
01:00:22
But it's simple, right? Like if the home team is not a three point favorite or they're less than a three point favorite, then there's reason to be su****ious.
01:00:32
And then and that's where I start, you know, digging it so again, if you're not at least a three point favorite at home.
01:00:40
Probably going against you on the fact that and the fact that this is swung all the way Thio the Rams being favored by three now on the road.
01:00:50
And that's another thing, too.
01:00:51
I think if you're favored by, at least we're on the road.
01:00:54
That's why I think I like the Cardinals now.
01:00:56
Three points in a divisional matchup at home.
01:00:59
You wanna go take Assad? No, we've done too many on and this.
01:01:05
No, I have no confidence in this one.
01:01:06
This is us legitimately talking this out and trying toe.
01:01:09
Figure out what the right play is here because I don't think either of us knows where.
01:01:14
Usually you feel something or I feel something.
01:01:17
And we are actually talking this one out, and we still haven't come to an answer.
01:01:22
I mean, I did write just I mean, before we did the show, I did not look at the at the Cardinals last five games and be like, Holy ****, this team is really trending downward now.
01:01:34
They've lost a lot of close games for sure they've been in them, but they they are not who they were at the beginning of the season, That's for **** sure, right.
01:01:44
But no, I don't know.
01:01:46
They got Buddha Baker back who makes an enormous difference for them.
01:01:49
But they lost one of their DNS.
01:01:51
Um oh, my God.
01:01:52
He the Pro Bowler? Why am I forgetting his name? That's made an enormous difference.
01:01:56
Why can I not? Do you know I'm talking about No.
01:02:02
Okay, I'll tell you a second.
01:02:04
Uh, I'm gonna look up their injury report, but they lost one of their ends.
01:02:10
Who puts pressure on the quarterback? Oh, number one.
01:02:12
Larry Fitzgerald is not playing because of co vid.
01:02:17
That's your boy.
01:02:18
Oh, Chandler Jones.
01:02:19
That's who's out.
01:02:22
That is a big name.
01:02:23
He tore his biceps.
01:02:24
He's on injured reserve.
01:02:26
So since since he has been out, what's the record the last three games? Uh, eso they've still gone, too.
01:02:36
And one even without him.
01:02:37
But the defense just doesn't look the same.
01:02:40
But what I'm saying the last two wins that the Cardinals have, they didn't deserve those.
01:02:45
Win's a win is a win is a win is a win is a win.
01:02:47
Yeah, but a win is also DeAndre Hopkins jumping up in the sky and catching the ball over.
01:02:52
Three people still did it.
01:02:54
Yeah, but yeah, German Ramsey is gonna be on his ass to that.
01:03:01
You are on Sunday.
01:03:03
Great.
01:03:04
Um, ready? If you and I are playing Ping Pong and it's time at 19 apiece and between the next point.
01:03:12
So Europe 22 19 and then and then you hit a ball and I return it and it goes in, but I fall over and break my ankle.
01:03:21
Well, did you win? Yeah.
01:03:24
Does it for me? Can you continue again? I hit the shot to then tie the game.
01:03:29
Do you win? Because my ankle is broken.
01:03:31
Do you know if you can continue, but yeah.
01:03:34
So a win is a win is a win is a win.
01:03:36
Doesn't matter.
01:03:37
I mean, if you if you could play in the chair sitting there, then go on you.
01:03:40
Yeah, I'll sit there.
01:03:42
E Still probably What? Oh, so actually, actually, the reason Hold on.
01:03:49
The reason that the plane bombed game is even at 2019 is probably because you're sitting in a wheelchair.
01:03:56
A richer a Paul is amazing.
01:04:01
You're better than that.
01:04:03
You're better Paul's amazing at Ping Pong.
01:04:05
By the way, folks, if you if anybody wants to sign up a game against Paul, I highly recommend it may be better.
01:04:13
This is branded perfectly.
01:04:14
Take a side.
01:04:15
You play on different sides in Ping Pong.
01:04:17
We will have once everything clears up and we're better.
01:04:21
We should have like a taking sides fans Ping Pong tournament.
01:04:26
We're like we're We're like the last two as, like, mortal combat, but we're the last to the beat.
01:04:32
How awesome would that be? I'm sub zero fine, and I'm what's Who's like the guy Johnny Kennedy.
01:04:39
No, no, no, no.
01:04:40
I'm a perfect I'm the villain that you have to beat.
01:04:44
Oh, no, no ratings a good guy.
01:04:46
The guy If you if you beat everybody else, play the guy on top of the castle.
01:04:52
I'm the guy on the castle, but only for like, our level, because I'm like, I'm very good, but I'm But like there are people that kicked my butt.
01:05:01
I'm good for normal people.
01:05:03
Is that a good way of explaining? Yeah, I'm weirdly good if you're a normal person.
01:05:08
But if you are just like if Ping Pong is your best sport.
01:05:13
Then we got to talk.
01:05:15
Yeah, it's like me with hockey, like I'm really amongst my friends.
01:05:18
But, you know, if I went and played the Arizona Coyotes or something, I get my ass kicked.
01:05:23
We'll stick you with some, like d three school, and it'll be close.
01:05:27
Yeah, but you're also 15 years older, bro.
01:05:34
Not the same anymore E equipment anymore.
01:05:40
I'm not sure if I can't hit if I can't hit a 90 mile an hour fastball anymore or if I can't hit a curveball anymore, or if the answer is both like you feel may like when was the last time? Well, I think I actually I went out on Thanksgiving and threw a baseball with my dad for the first time in years.
01:06:02
Wow, if our listeners don't know, not this year.
01:06:06
But last August, my father had quadruple bypass, had a massive heart attack, and thank God he's still alive.
01:06:12
But he hadn't done like any activity.
01:06:15
So just throwing a baseball with him again, uh, just over a year later is just was it was such like a cool, nice moment.
01:06:24
My dad's 70.
01:06:26
God, how old he is 73 any other way either way but second heart attack that he's still ticking and we were just able to do that was a really, really nice moment for me on Thanksgiving.
01:06:37
But it's just like I got the itch where I'm like, Ooh, like my arm feels great.
01:06:41
I want to go like you want to start popping it over across E Gas Crow hop and launch it.
01:06:51
You see what happens.
01:06:53
Uh, Jesus.
01:06:55
Where to go? Where they go? Paw cheers to To Scotty getting back on the horse on Thanksgiving.
01:07:02
That was nice. Sounds nice.
01:07:04
All right, let's Let's take it up to Green Bay.
01:07:06
We've got the Green Bay Packers hosting the Philadelphia Eagles, the miraculously cover backdoor covering Philadelphia Eagles from Monday night.
01:07:17
Uh, this opened at 6.5 of the Packers.
01:07:20
Right now I see it at 9 8.
01:07:22
5 on Draftkings.
01:07:24
Ah, lot of money heading towards the over.
01:07:26
That's that's the first thing that I noticed here.
01:07:29
Way saw the total opening 48 a half.
01:07:32
We got points bet, got it at 47 a half draftkings of 48 then looking at the money line.
01:07:38
Things have really changed here.
01:07:39
So Green Bay opened at minus 300.
01:07:42
Now, sitting at minus 3, 75 eagles plus 2.
01:07:45
50 is where they opened.
01:07:47
Plus 3.
01:07:48
30 is where they're at.
01:07:49
Green Bay Can 84% of the money on the money line there.
01:07:52
So my big thing here, I actually wrote about Aaron Rodgers in the quarterback Props article US dash odds dot com is where you can find that.
01:08:01
So look, big thing here that I could not believe this.
01:08:05
I like I thought this was a joke, you know? Guess how many interceptions the Eagles have this season for.
01:08:11
Very close. Three.
01:08:13
Give me over under next time.
01:08:17
Now, give it away.
01:08:19
I'm happy like that.
01:08:20
So close.
01:08:21
And two of those were in the same game.
01:08:23
So you know, this was it, Daniel Jones? Because that if it's Daniel Jones is free interceptions.
01:08:30
I gotta look this up.
01:08:32
Jesus.
01:08:33
Yeah, like I could not believe that, Like, that is just insane.
01:08:37
Uh, so the packers, they're going to kill them like I don't care any 10 or less.
01:08:44
I'm on the packers now.
01:08:45
Keep in mind.
01:08:47
Green Bay.
01:08:48
They lost it home to the Eagles last season, not not one of the finer moments for them.
01:08:52
So So the two interceptions, All right, so one of those interceptions was against Daniel Jones.
01:09:01
That was the Thursday night game in Philly.
01:09:04
And then the two.
01:09:05
Those were for Nick Mullins.
01:09:08
That's even worse.
01:09:10
Thes air fake.
01:09:12
This is not Riel.
01:09:13
Aaron Rodgers is going to annihilate them.
01:09:16
Yes, now it's kind of crazy to again for the DFS players out there.
01:09:21
I couldn't believe this, but I'm looking at the at the prices here from the quarterback.
01:09:26
So Rogers is the He's only the fifth most expensive quarterback on draftkings this week at 6800.
01:09:33
I think it's an absolute joke that he's down there.
01:09:36
But knowing that and Aaron Rodgers two in three straight games, he's completed at least 70% of his passes.
01:09:43
Uh, you know, this is just in absolute pickem dice, um, up sort of game this week, working at the prop numbers for Aaron Rodgers this week.
01:09:52
Uh, 290 a half passing yards, 24 a half, passing complete seasons at minus 1 30.
01:09:59
I think that's something I'm definitely gonna get in on here and again.
01:10:03
I think a lot of teams in the past really haven't tried to run against the Eagles.
01:10:07
But you know, this season is a little different.
01:10:09
But given the spread on this game, it just it seems like the Packers were gonna absolutely mall them in this one.
01:10:16
But again, I just think to just know how many interceptions the Eagles have gotten this season.
01:10:21
Aaron Rodgers.
01:10:22
So the Eagles have three is a team Aaron Rodgers has thrown for himself.
01:10:26
This is gonna be, you know, Dude, this is like, No, like, I think we're still thinking about the Eagles that won the Super Bowl.
01:10:34
This is not that I am not.
01:10:36
I am certainly not.
01:10:38
That was a disaster on Monday Night Football.
01:10:40
So many bad coaching decisions, you know, they're the only reason Don Peterson still has a job is because of that Super Bowl.
01:10:46
You want to say what you want to say? We're looking at it like they won the Super Bowl.
01:10:51
Now, Random thought This will not happen, but you never know.
01:10:55
Okay, Doug Peterson is still under contract for who knows how long? Because he won a Super Bowl.
01:11:03
Is it humanly possible that the Jets could trade a pick for Doug Peterson? The Buccaneers? Peterson would be a nice fit with the Jets.
01:11:14
He has a relationship with the G m.
01:11:17
Who's there from their time with the Eagles together.
01:11:21
I think that his time.
01:11:23
Joe Douglas Sorry, I forgot his name for a second.
01:11:25
Yes, the I think his time with the Eagles.
01:11:28
If he's connected, toa whence they might be over together.
01:11:33
And I think that Doug Peterson would create the right culture for the New York Jets.
01:11:39
Um e have I'm not sure about Carson Wentz because he still shows flashes.
01:11:44
I feel bad for him because it's the injury that made him go from I'm an M V P candidate.
01:11:51
Thio.
01:11:52
I'm not even sure if I'm an NFL quarterback, but I really, really think that if Peterson somehow ends up with the Jets and then the Jets either keep Donald or end up with Trevor Lawrence that that is thus a really, really positive relationship for the next 35 10 years.
01:12:09
Yeah, I think you know, without a doubt you gotta go after Trevor Lawrence, Uh, you know, assuming he wants to come out next season.
01:12:17
But I don't know.
01:12:18
I like if I'm the Jets, I kind of feel like I gotta make an absolute splash and I don't I don't know.
01:12:22
I don't feel like Doug Peterson is.
01:12:24
What are you thinking? Like Hardball, which I was thinking like Eric B. Enemy.
01:12:30
I don't think that's a splash.
01:12:32
There's a reason that guy hasn't gotten a job yet.
01:12:35
Yeah, but he's been very innovative, very good.
01:12:38
But he also has Patrick Mahomes.
01:12:42
I get that.
01:12:43
And he was Hey, was there with Alex Smith.
01:12:47
Yeah, but he wasn't calling the place at that point, okay? He still doesn't call the place, and he recalls the place.
01:12:52
He's the offensive coordinator.
01:12:53
Andy Reid calls the place.
01:12:55
Alright, E don't know.
01:12:57
I think to me the enemy would be How is that a splash? That's what I don't get.
01:13:01
It's like, Ah, splash, I would think is like when the Cowboys or the Jets went and got Bill Parcells.
01:13:09
I think it's exciting, right? Like you gotta do something exciting on offense.
01:13:13
The Jets, the Jets that we know our entire lives, their defensive minded run the football team.
01:13:19
Not like they need to get some high flying like Mark they have.
01:13:23
Let's bring Mike marks back.
01:13:25
I like greatest. Ozzy.
01:13:28
Er Oh, yeah.
01:13:30
Yeah, that was I loved playing with them in Madden because you hold, you hold Isaac Bruce and as a as a Rakeem and you could run swing passes to marshal **** all day.
01:13:43
Absolutely.
01:13:44
But I hated because Kurt Warner had no mobility and I always in mad, and I always like playing with mobile quarterbacks.
01:13:50
But that team was just It was It was too easy.
01:13:52
It was fun.
01:13:54
I had a friend that I would play, and he'd put he was such an *******.
01:13:57
He was actually the quarterback of the football team.
01:13:59
He, uh he would put Torry Holt on the end.
01:14:02
So, like every time you wanted to kick an extra point, he timed the **** perfectly and, like, block every single one of your extra point.
01:14:08
It was so aggravating.
01:14:10
But whatever it is in the game, those were gone.
01:14:12
Yeah, yeah.
01:14:14
Um, but yeah, back Backpackers mean absolutely love them in this game.
01:14:18
We love the packers.
01:14:19
I think I circled.
01:14:21
This is one of the games that I'm going to try to play this week, for sure.
01:14:24
And, you know, on Fanduel you know how they have that that same game parlay sort of thing? I think you can kinda, you know, take a couple of these different Aaron Rodgers profits and sort of, you know, kind of mix them into the same mixing bowl on.
01:14:38
Uh, I think it worked out pretty **** well you're not gonna get.
01:14:41
See? That's the thing, though, right? Like you're not like like on these baker, Mayfield and Kirk cousins props that we talked about earlier.
01:14:47
You're definitely not getting plus odds on any of these.
01:14:50
So if you can kinda, you know, take the completions and passing yards and touchdowns and things like that, I think you know, it makes a It makes a nice cookie at the end, as long as you win.
01:15:00
That's right. Love cookies.
01:15:02
Love cookies.
01:15:03
What's your favorite cookie? I'm a big sugar guy.
01:15:06
You just like straight sugar cookies.
01:15:09
That is my favorite.
01:15:10
But I mean, peanut butter cookies are great.
01:15:12
Uh, chocolate chip chocolate chips.
01:15:16
Too easy.
01:15:17
I mean, what what? Do your thoughts on black and white cookies? What Black and white cookie.
01:15:21
But the white part I'm not.
01:15:23
I don't like I'm a vanilla guy.
01:15:25
Me, too.
01:15:26
I break it.
01:15:27
It happened.
01:15:28
I only in the e gave it to like a bird or something.
01:15:30
Why? But why don't? Because it's not real. Chocolate.
01:15:33
The vanilla tastes like vanilla in a black and white cookie.
01:15:36
The chocolate is just like worse than her.
01:15:38
She's I like even chocolate.
01:15:41
I like white chocolate better than you know, like I'm a doctor.
01:15:44
She's she's in green bar.
01:15:46
Oh my God, it doesn't get better than that.
01:15:48
So I love dark chocolate.
01:15:50
I don't like I typically don't like milk chocolate.
01:15:52
I think dark chocolate tastes better.
01:15:54
And then what's your favorite candy can't.
01:15:58
Swedish wall, right? Swedish fish is my favorite.
01:16:01
Love Swedish fish, but not not not sweet like What's your What's your favorite chocolate bar? I mean tricks.
01:16:10
I gotta go Twix.
01:16:11
Twix to e a U.
01:16:17
I'll be left Twix.
01:16:18
You'll be white.
01:16:19
You'll be white, right ticks, and we'll get we'll talk to.
01:16:23
I'm gonna reach out to Twix and see if they want to sponsor taking sides.
01:16:26
Left Twix, Right? Twix.
01:16:28
Wow, that that you cannot say that three times.
01:16:31
I can't even do it.
01:16:32
I keep Twix.
01:16:33
Twix, Twix, Twix, Twix! Twix left Twix, right? Chicks left Twix, right? Chicks left Twix.
01:16:38
Right.
01:16:39
Tricks. Very good. Very good. It's on the mental, Paul.
01:16:41
I have no mental.
01:16:42
It just happens.
01:16:43
There's no stop sign between my brain and my mouth.
01:16:45
That's my problem.
01:16:46
That's so funny.
01:16:49
All right, let's talk about one last.
01:16:52
I mean, all right, We could briefly brush over the last one, but what's left? There's We got double Monday night and Tuesday night.
01:16:59
Yeah, but I don't know.
01:17:02
We don't even know what the hell is going on there.
01:17:04
So I was just I was just going to cap off with the Patriots Chargers and the Giants Seahawks. Done.
01:17:10
Let's do it.
01:17:11
Alright.
01:17:12
So, patriots, chargers, uh, this charges opened is 1.
01:17:15
5 point favorites.
01:17:16
I don't know how Right now we've got this at a pickup on William Hill, and the chargers have plus one on drafting.
01:17:23
So depending on who you like in this one, that you should definitely, by the way, if you don't have the action network tool where you, uh You know, if you have an account on there.
01:17:33
You could see where the best lines are for each game.
01:17:36
I highly recommend doing that.
01:17:37
It's a great tool.
01:17:39
Absolutely, absolutely.
01:17:40
Absolutely.
01:17:41
And they don't at the action network.
01:17:42
No, this is because we we enjoy this tool, and it helps both of us.
01:17:47
But it's It's really, really good.
01:17:49
The technology that they have over there is fantastic.
01:17:52
Yeah, and absolutely.
01:17:53
Don't you know, don't feel like you're beholding toe one line, folks, you know, shop around this is this is the internet.
01:17:58
It's all good s.
01:18:00
Oh, yeah, You want to make a video for jump around, but call it shop around, and I like it Who? All right, we need a videographer.
01:18:08
How about we could get Nick from from, You know, our old place? He would do You have, like, every jersey on the face of the earth.
01:18:16
So you have a Boston Celtics jersey, right? No.
01:18:20
Why do I need a Celtics jersey? Because the house of pain, like all they were, were Irish Celtics.
01:18:26
So if I was to own a Celtics jersey 100% Larry Bird, My my aunt is a massive Celtics fan.
01:18:34
When I was at school in Boston.
01:18:37
She used to take me to Celtics games because she got tickets through the Ritz.
01:18:40
She's one of their accountants.
01:18:42
So, like growing up, I was an enormous Knicks fan.
01:18:47
You're watching like highlights of Larry Bird and, like he was just other worldly.
01:18:55
So if I am ever going to get a Celtics jersey, there's no question asked questions asked.
01:19:00
It would be Larry Bird.
01:19:02
My dad, in his youthful days, was often like a doppelganger for Larry Bird.
01:19:08
I actually have the Bird magic book.
01:19:10
It's right there if you can't literally right there.
01:19:14
Okay, yeah, It's a great book.
01:19:16
If you haven't read it, I'll send it to you.
01:19:18
It's like hearing how much they hated each other.
01:19:21
And then how they became best friends is just a like a.
01:19:25
It's like one of those talent recognizes talent stories.
01:19:28
They absolutely despised one another.
01:19:32
And then now they're like lifelong best friends.
01:19:35
Yeah, good on them.
01:19:36
Because if I hate you, that's it.
01:19:37
There's no coming back.
01:19:39
Sorry.
01:19:40
I gotta go see it.
01:19:41
Yeah, I like.
01:19:42
Honestly, if I hate you, that's a say.
01:19:44
Uh oh, I know.
01:19:46
I know this I know that I've seen you in action.
01:19:51
Yeah, Let's let's get to these last two games real quick.
01:19:54
Yeah, absolutely.
01:19:55
So kind of like how we did with the Rams.
01:19:57
Cardinals.
01:19:58
We're gonna talk ourselves through this Patriots Chargers game, right? Right.
01:20:01
So I'm like I looked at I s o the listeners don't know.
01:20:05
I send al a screenshot of my picks.
01:20:09
Yes.
01:20:10
Oh, wait.
01:20:12
The only question literally.
01:20:14
No x no pick.
01:20:16
Just I drew a question mark over it, because I don't It's one of those weird lines Azzawi used to say where something's up here, which makes me think we're supposed to take the Chargers because the Patriots should be favored, Could he? Cam is questionable.
01:20:34
I don't even know.
01:20:36
Like we have the league's best like ever head coach up against the league's worst ever head coach.
01:20:43
How Anthony Lynn has how Anthony Lynn has a job.
01:20:46
Still, I mean, we could ask a lot of different people that had the Chargers like Plus, what was it plus five plus 5.
01:20:53
5 last week? Absolutely bamboozled then in that final stretch right there.
01:20:58
So So what we've learned about Anthony Lynn is you want to bet him when he is a big dog and you want to fade him whenever he's a favorite, literally caught in the middle here.
01:21:09
Which is why I think this game is very, very similar to last week when we were right to take the Patriots because you had Bill Belichick against Cliff Cliff Kingsbury.
01:21:22
This week we have Bill Belichick against Anthony Lid, no matter who the players could. You imagine.
01:21:28
Okay, let's take last weeks game.
01:21:30
If Bill Belichick was the coach of the Arizona Cardinals, how much would the Cardinals have won that game by 13? Is the number that popped into my head, at least right? So now we're in a very similar situation.
01:21:44
Where if Belichick was coaching the Chargers, I think the charges were favored by eight.
01:21:51
Here.
01:21:52
I I completely forgot it.
01:21:54
I'm glad that I remembered because this is really interesting.
01:21:59
This is, like unprecedented.
01:22:01
I mean, 2020 itself has just been ridiculous, but it was an unprecedented road trip for the Patriots, so they play the Chargers here on Sunday, and then they play the ramps on Thursday.
01:22:12
Both California's getting down.
01:22:15
Oh, no, they absolutely are.
01:22:17
They absolutely are getting shut down.
01:22:19
Little by little.
01:22:20
What's, uh, the one of the Monday night games? Santa, right? Yeah.
01:22:25
Miners are now in Arizona.
01:22:27
They are the Arab.
01:22:28
No, I think so.
01:22:29
The San Francisco 40 Niners.
01:22:31
Well, that the ruling that you're talking about was just for Santa Clarita, Santa Clara County, so that that's why they had it.
01:22:38
But yeah, I know now that that governor is an absolute disgrace out there in California.
01:22:43
But on the show, stop it.
01:22:45
It's not politics.
01:22:46
It's just saying good versus evil.
01:22:49
But I don't know if that I don't know if that ruling I don't know if that affect the rest of California, but it could soon.
01:22:58
Yeah, so that s Oh, that's very interesting.
01:23:01
I mean, but, anyhoo, even if that were the kid and this is probably why we're seeing the line kind of where it is because you think about the Patriots, I think, you know, we can agree.
01:23:11
Mentally, they're ready for every single situation.
01:23:14
But this is a situation that I don't think anybody could be ready for it.
01:23:18
You know what it's like? Forget if Cove it was even a thing.
01:23:21
You know where you have to play two games in, what, four days in Los Angeles? You know how they always say with the N B A.
01:23:29
Do we know where they're practicing? Do we know that the are the patriots still on the West Coast? They're going to stay there the entire time? Yeah.
01:23:40
Wait, Where There right now.
01:23:42
I mean, I'm sure there in New England, they're probably not gonna fly out until what? Like Friday or Saturday.
01:23:47
Then you think they're going to spend 10 days in California for they play on Thursday.
01:23:53
So they play Sunday at the Chargers and then the same stadium they play four days later on Thursday.
01:24:01
Yeah.
01:24:02
The question is, where do they practice? But yes, it's just wild, like, this is this has never happened before.
01:24:08
But how does that affect this game? I think the next game is the troublesome game.
01:24:14
Yeah, but look, I think that I think both games I think they're going to be at a disadvantage, you know, just kinda being on the road.
01:24:22
Haven't having that in your head like, Oh, ****.
01:24:25
You know, like, we gotta play another four games and stay out here the entire time and all that uncer*****y in California, you know, like, I imagine that's gonna be difficult.
01:24:33
Okay, I just made my decision.
01:24:35
Bill Belichick dominates rookie quarterbacks.
01:24:38
I forgot about this.
01:24:40
Ah, yeah, right.
01:24:41
He's like, I'm this is off the top of my head.
01:24:45
But I think he's, like, 18 and two or something absurd against quarterbacks making their first start a rookie quarterbacks s.
01:24:52
So that being said are the Pats getting points? Or the pets? Whatever it is, I'm I just decided I'm taking the Pats.
01:24:59
In this case, it's a It's a it's a pick up more than favored by one, so essentially sent them.
01:25:03
So I am now circling the New England Patriots.
01:25:06
I'm hoping that the public comes in the other way so I could get the Pats plus three because I think that's free money.
01:25:14
Okay, uh, interesting to note.
01:25:16
To the total I mean, it's been going down a lot.
01:25:19
Opened at 49.
01:25:20
Uh, your boys a bet.
01:25:23
MGM have it at 46 a half. Yeah.
01:25:27
Fan duels over there at 47 a half.
01:25:30
So, old you.
01:25:32
Yeah, everybody.
01:25:33
Everybody's tumbling there on the total, so I think that could be an interesting number to take a look.
01:25:38
I mean, Cam Newton is looked like absolute trash.
01:25:41
Thank God.
01:25:43
Like a quarterback.
01:25:44
No, thank God for covering last week. That was pretty nice.
01:25:47
He looks like Taysom Hill playing quarterback.
01:25:49
Yeah.
01:25:50
Yikes! And not a good taste in hell right there.
01:25:53
All right, so yeah, I think if if, if anything, I can kinda get on board with your lineage of Belichick against the rookie quarterback, that's all.
01:26:01
I have a car.
01:26:03
Fair enough.
01:26:04
Alright.
01:26:05
And then not last four o'clock game that we got giants of the Sea Hawks Seahawks 10 point favorites, which I think is quite generous, Uh, in this matchup.
01:26:13
Now, you know I'm sorry.
01:26:16
And a 47 total on this one, Moneyline astronomically high of 500 for the Seahawks plus 4 25 there for the Giants.
01:26:25
So I guess the big news in this one looks like Daniel Jones probably isn't gonna play, which makes things very interesting here.
01:26:31
See, as defense is look a lot better here over the last couple of weeks.
01:26:35
Carlos Dunlap, now in Seattle, Jamal Adams starting to play a little better as well um, you know, just in general, just just a better team.
01:26:43
But they're gonna get a very favorable matchup here.
01:26:46
Colt McCoy.
01:26:47
I think he played about the second half for a little more than the second half against the Bengals last week.
01:26:53
A couple of field goals, couple of favorable positions there, but didn't look like things were going that well for the Giants.
01:26:57
A za giant fan.
01:26:59
I'm sure you were tuned into that game.
01:27:01
You know, for that one.
01:27:02
What do you think about Coleman? Course chances this weekend, I think with a full week of practice, he will be fine.
01:27:09
He is a definition of a serviceable backup.
01:27:13
We've seen him Winston games in this league, but the Giants are not winning, but yeah, I like.
01:27:23
See? Yeah.
01:27:24
I liked Seattle minus 9.5.
01:27:26
I think that that's the right number.
01:27:28
Seattle probably wins by 10, maybe more, because I just don't I can't trust I can't trust Colt McCoy to run this offense and score enough points to keep up with Seattle.
01:27:38
Um, maybe like 31.
01:27:40
17 Sounds about right? Yeah.
01:27:42
Are you excited for the D K Metcalf James Bradberry matchup? am I excited for D K.
01:27:48
Metcalf to score touchdowns against James Bradberry? What here's the thing is not very Lockett.
01:27:56
One of the two of them is going to score two touchdowns, so that's a nice profit.
01:28:01
I would take both of them.
01:28:02
I would take DK DK for two, and I would take locket for two, knowing one of them will probably lose, but the other one will definitely win.
01:28:12
The U. S.
01:28:13
Odd crowd definitely hates my guts because I wrote up lock it on on Monday night, and it was Metcalf that went absolutely banana.
01:28:22
But did you see this? Did you see the stat, though, that on on average on all the Metcalf's catches, he had a yard and a half separation on Darius Slay and still had that huge of a night.
01:28:34
That's completely absurd.
01:28:36
Wow, that Z like me trying to guard you in the football game because I'm a small person and you are a larger person.
01:28:43
E am, not 5 10.
01:28:46
So I have, ah, very good friend from growing up, who was the tight end on my high school football team, and I went in our pickup games.
01:28:54
I would try to guard him.
01:28:55
He's a little more than 6 ft, and I'm 58 on.
01:28:59
That's literally watching that for real.
01:29:01
That's what it waas where I I said to my dad while we were watching the game, I go, Oh, my God, that's like me and Howie when I used to try to guard him because it's impossible.
01:29:10
I can literally be standing next to him.
01:29:12
And all he has to do is jump up and catch the ball.
01:29:15
Because I am.
01:29:16
I cannot jump that high or reach that high or be that large.
01:29:22
When I lived in Tampa, there was great pizza place hungry.
01:29:25
Howie's No and halftime Harry.
01:29:28
He's a famous guy on Long Island.
01:29:30
He covers high school sports.
01:29:32
Halftime Harry, Howie, Howie.
01:29:35
Same thing, Right, Harry? And how we are similar, but not the same, I e.
01:29:40
I mean, it's gonna be one of the most popular bets of the week.
01:29:42
I'm looking at it right now.
01:29:44
Seahawks getting 87% of the money on the spread.
01:29:47
Uh, you know, 90% of the money on the money line.
01:29:50
A lot of money.
01:29:51
I'm over here to about 82% going that way as well.
01:29:54
But I don't think there's any way that you could feel confident in the Giants And this one with the back up quarterback.
01:30:00
I will say this.
01:30:02
Giants defense.
01:30:04
Not so bad.
01:30:05
Not so bad here last few games.
01:30:07
So if they are gonna have a chance in this game, it's gotta It's got a My goodness, it's gotta be that way.
01:30:15
You know, for for them to play defense and keep this game close against Ross.
01:30:19
I just I don't see it happening for for 60 minutes.
01:30:22
There's just no way.
01:30:23
I think that we have to end on this game because, you know, we we make something out of nothing with a lot of these games today where we made it interesting.
01:30:32
But unfortunately, this is not one of them.
01:30:35
This this will be likely a, uh, a nice Seattle victory here.
01:30:39
I guarantee the Giants s it just checks myself.
01:30:44
Mortgage on the right.
01:30:45
So now 24 17 Seahawks gonna happen.
01:30:50
They'll cover the 9.
01:30:51
5 of the Seahawks will still win.
01:30:53
Yeah, but But that's how you said 90 something percent is taking the Seahawks.
01:30:58
That's what will happen Yeah, absolutely.
01:31:01
Which is sick and screwed up.
01:31:03
But it is what it is.
01:31:06
This, uh, this has been a This has been a fun show I've had.
01:31:09
I've had a wonderful time tonight, indeed.
01:31:11
Likewise.
01:31:12
And if you're betting this weekend and you don't have any accounts on William Hill or bet 3 65 make sure you do.
01:31:18
So you get some free money.
01:31:20
It's very nice deal that the people there provided for us.
01:31:23
If you use William Hill, use the promo code ts 500.
01:31:27
It's a risk free bet of up to $500.
01:31:31
So use that promo code T s 500 then on bet 3 65 you can use the promo code sides, and that gets you 100 free dollar bet there if you, you know, risk up to her.
01:31:42
If you deposit which $100 So sides bet through 65 ts 500 on William Hill, both of those some pretty nice deals.
01:31:51
And, of course, make sure you go to us.
01:31:52
Dash odds dot com.
01:31:53
You're gonna get all my profit articles and things of that nature there this week, so make sure you check that out.
01:31:59
Paul on the game day dot com, Tell the people where they can find your stuff.
01:32:04
You just did the game dot com also at game day, fax on Twitter.
01:32:10
Um, also usually Friday night into Saturday morning, I will put up my best bet for the week where we used the bet.
01:32:19
365 early payout promo.
01:32:22
We've hit six of seven now, which is pretty nice hot.
01:32:25
So let's get on that that will be posted on odds us on their twitter.
01:32:32
Um, where what happens is we take a team, Moneyline.
01:32:38
If they go up by 17 at any point, you win automatically.
01:32:41
But if they win, you still win.
01:32:43
Uh, the only one that got me was the Chiefs when they got upset by the Raiders.
01:32:48
So we'll keep it going this week.
01:32:50
Please check.
01:32:51
Check that out on Twitter.
01:32:52
Check all of us out on Twitter.
01:32:54
Follow us at taking underscore sides.
01:32:57
Onda.
01:32:58
Hopefully, I get it right again this week, right? Yeah.
01:33:00
Let's do this.
01:33:01
All right, folks, Thanks for joining us tonight.
01:33:04
We'll be back next week with another brand new edition of taking sides.
01:33:08
Um al that Paul Marie Paule and rest the internet.
01:33:12
Who's
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Taking Sides, presented by US-Odds.com | Twitter: @Taking_Sides

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Taking Sides w/ Al Walsh & Pauly Parlays @Taking_Sides

Transcript hideup

00:00:01
Why today? Smile.
00:00:04
I hope it pick it up.
00:00:10
We're committed to taking sides.
00:00:12
Podcast.
00:00:13
I'm your host.
00:00:14
Al balls were brought to you by US odds dot com Make sure you go there each and every week to get yourself acquainted with the football schedule going up.
00:00:22
Of course, we got the great prophet articles, betting articles and everything else you need to know in between.
00:00:29
Once again, that's gonna be us.
00:00:31
Dash odds dot com As always, I'm joined by a portly parlays.
00:00:36
You could find him on Twitter at game day. Fax.
00:00:39
You could find myself out, lost their on Twitter as well at 14 8 dot Walls.
00:00:44
Paul, I know last week was kind of a sort of a word week.
00:00:49
You know, with Thanksgiving and everything like that, we haven't done a show.
00:00:52
And what's it? Nine days? It's been so it's good to see you're still alive.
00:00:56
I'm still alive.
00:00:57
This whole thing is ticking.
00:00:58
The operation is nice.
00:01:01
Yeah, it's great to see you.
00:01:03
It's weird.
00:01:04
Yeah, I know.
00:01:05
How is how is Thanksgiving this in this special 2020 that were in my Thanksgiving waas? Weirdly small.
00:01:16
It's usually Thanksgiving is my favorite holiday Because it's the only time that I see my adult cousins where it's all of us where there are usually about 30 of us.
00:01:28
So what we did a way got together on Zoom, but it really wasn't the same.
00:01:35
Obviously, we usually like play charades and stuff and do drunken fun Thanksgiving things.
00:01:42
So I got to spend Thanksgiving with just Mama, Papa and Grandma who doesn't know that anything is occurring.
00:01:51
But I ordered from an amazing barbecue place on Long Island called Biscuits and Barbecue.
00:01:58
Some of the best food I've ever had.
00:02:00
Um, I'm gonna I'm gonna talk Thio.
00:02:03
I'm gonna thank Jones.
00:02:04
She's the owner.
00:02:06
Um, shout out to Joan.
00:02:08
Oh, so, so, so good.
00:02:09
If and when you come visit me out here on the island, I will get that and then big.
00:02:14
And it's a big F after the cove.
00:02:17
It you know, you know how I feel about Long Island.
00:02:20
How do you feel about the Long Island? Oh, it's not good.
00:02:23
Not good.
00:02:24
What? Its long I mean for why? I mean, I've taken many trips out there.
00:02:28
I've done it by car by train.
00:02:30
My mom, my mom Well, my Bob had a place out in East Hampton for a couple years, as did my aunt.
00:02:38
And, you know, I'd go out there, you know, do the week.
00:02:41
You know, since it's all the way out there, as I mentioned quite long.
00:02:44
But, you know, I just It's tough, man.
00:02:48
You know, you're not very close to anything, so I just can't do it.
00:02:52
What? What? What do you mean? I'm so confused by you? I am the same distance from Manhattan as you are, but you're in Jersey City.
00:03:01
But But I couldn't take that.
00:03:03
I could take the train right in there, you know, right there is.
00:03:06
Well, yeah, but it's long like you see all, like, fields and stuff on the way.
00:03:11
At least I'm going under the water, you know, like it's a nice, quick 15, 20 minutes shot that I have to go under as well in order to get into Penn Station.
00:03:19
Yeah, but that's just one part man.
00:03:22
I'm talking about the whole way.
00:03:23
How long? Okay, So if we're going to Penn Station, how long is your trip? I don't know.
00:03:30
15, 20 minutes from from the city mine's 45.
00:03:35
Okay? Yeah.
00:03:36
See, That's exactly what I'm talking about right there.
00:03:38
That's double the time.
00:03:39
You don't wanna go to Manhattan now anyway, were perfect.
00:03:42
We're just far enough away, e don't know.
00:03:46
You know, given how everything's been going in the world, it is time to move out to the suburbs at some point soon.
00:03:51
So you live in, like the mini burbs where, like Jersey City and Hoboken, their suburbs.
00:03:57
But not really.
00:03:58
It's like a mini city next to a city.
00:04:00
New Jersey City, Hoboken.
00:04:01
A very, very city.
00:04:03
Uh, they own where I live now.
00:04:05
I'm like, I can pretty much spit over to Staten Island, so I'm kind of like in that area.
00:04:10
But I think you know more like the Jersey Shore area my girlfriend works up in, You know, when you know we're allowed to go back in the office is and what not? She's up there in, like Parsippany in North Jersey, So that's another idea.
00:04:23
I'm just saying, You know, I just want to know if they got good golf courses in the area, because once I go out, once I go out to suburbia, social life is over.
00:04:32
It's all golf all the time.
00:04:33
You want to come golf, come out to the island, I'll golf with you.
00:04:36
I'm terrible, but I'm a lot of fun on the golf course.
00:04:39
I just I don't want that New York you like.
00:04:42
I'll come to Jersey.
00:04:43
No, because how do I get my lefty clubs? They're very unique because they're lefties, so I can't rent clubs or anything.
00:04:50
So my mom would have to take them on like the subway or in my car e before I put them in my car. That's no problem.
00:04:57
You know, bear to Jerry.
00:05:00
Thanks for the follow love, That guy.
00:05:02
Great guy.
00:05:03
Big, big fan of Jerry Big fan.
00:05:06
So, yeah, so Thanksgiving was kind of weird.
00:05:08
It was the first outdoor Thanksgiving that I've ever done.
00:05:11
Got a little nippy there at the end, even had to put some Christmas decorations up at the lady's parents house.
00:05:17
That was interesting.
00:05:18
Uh, there were no griswald moments, which was good.
00:05:21
And then, uh, that was my mom's birthday on that Friday.
00:05:25
So went over there about a 15 20 minute drive.
00:05:28
You know, in between the parents houses, they're so, uh, you know, got Thio got to see her.
00:05:32
So it's very cool.
00:05:33
And then Sunday, just the most profitable Sunday of the NFL season for myself.
00:05:39
Absolutely needed it.
00:05:40
Ah, perfect for no clean sweep on the day.
00:05:43
So, you know, that even was coupled.
00:05:46
I did a two team parlay between Giants Moneyline, which ended up being the right move and going with the Patriots plus three, which almost got derailed.
00:05:56
But, you know, thank God for Isaiah Simmons hit in camp, doing a little high out of bounds. That was good.
00:06:02
And, uh, you know, Tennessee Moneyline.
00:06:05
So I know the first game that we're gonna talk about is the Titans, so we're not gonna Segway into it just yet, but, uh, you know, that's that.
00:06:13
That's right there.
00:06:15
Wait, We didn't even talk about this.
00:06:17
What's that? I hit a 14 Parlay.
00:06:19
Okay, Giants money line Titans Moneyline.
00:06:23
See how Moneyline Pats plus 3.5.
00:06:27
Interesting.
00:06:28
The same three game talk about it.
00:06:32
But we both one Yeah, that's good.
00:06:35
Do you know how funny that is? Yeah, where? I'm sure you were.
00:06:39
You were on the Seahawks also.
00:06:40
But that's what we've always said.
00:06:42
When you and I think the same way.
00:06:44
It's automatic.
00:06:46
I actually sat out the Monday night game.
00:06:48
I just I didn't have a great feel on it.
00:06:50
Wound up, you know, Eagles getting that back to recover miraculously.
00:06:54
But speaking of miraculous, back to recovers I took my Tampa Bay, uh, bucking the years I gave the Tampa Bay for the Lightning.
00:07:03
But I had the Bucks on Sunday.
00:07:05
I actually brought it up to plus four.
00:07:07
But you know that miraculous.
00:07:09
Back to recover, thereby Brady and the boys.
00:07:12
They're really benefited myself.
00:07:14
That was probably actually one of my biggest bets of the year that I took there.
00:07:18
So imagine the jubilation that I felt there with Brady and the boys bringing a making a nice little come back there.
00:07:28
I'm very happy for you.
00:07:29
After the last couple of weeks.
00:07:31
I know you're How do we explain your relationship with the Tampa Bay booth? It zits one of these.
00:07:39
Not that you're you're not a front runner, but like when? When they're good.
00:07:45
You like love, love, love them.
00:07:47
And when they're bad, you have a terrible weekend and I'm just like, bro, It's just one game. Let it go.
00:07:53
You knew they were gonna go 10 and six somewhere between 10 and six and 12 and four this season.
00:07:58
That's exactly what we end up.
00:08:00
And it's just a question of Are they gonna get lucky where they get to play the Giants in the first round? You can tell me that prior to the season, prior to the day, whatever.
00:08:11
But you know how it is, man like you're You're in the mix of all this stuff and all the emotions start going.
00:08:17
The spirits, air flooring and you're in your giant Starbucks copping all that stuff.
00:08:21
You know, like when you come for real, man, I gotta see I have a peek up.
00:08:26
We got to get you in a cup I like.
00:08:29
I have another big cup like this, but so my best friend's girlfriend actually brought it over.
00:08:35
They came over to barbecue one day, and so she's a teacher, and it's the way that the cut there's it's like a like a lines piece of paper, essentially like That's how the cup works.
00:08:46
So I was like, I like that cup on the day that she was over with my birthday and she says, You know what? You could have it.
00:08:51
So I I used that cup way Go.
00:08:55
I didn't know I actively chose this cup over the **** emoji cup because you want last week.
00:09:02
Yeah, man, I'm on fire and tickets.
00:09:04
Guys, Watch.
00:09:05
Watch this There.
00:09:06
There she is.
00:09:08
E put the giant sat on George.
00:09:12
Very nice. Very nice.
00:09:14
Now that that could very well end up being a, you know, a very telling sign for the Giants this week.
00:09:21
They have a very tough matchup in Seattle, which we're certainly going to get to.
00:09:24
But, uh, that's a four o'clock, so that is a 40 clock, and I definitely want to start Cleveland, Tennessee, because I think that this is gonna be probably the most exciting game with one o'clock window so guys aren't looking at a screen or anything like that.
00:09:39
The Titans are six point favorites in this game.
00:09:42
We've got a total sitting at 53 a half money lines for the team's Tennessee at minus 2 45.
00:09:49
All the brands are there at plus 2. 20.
00:09:51
Now it's very interesting because we've got sort of a tale of two cities with these teams, Tennessee Azzawi alluded to Earlier, they looked fantastic against the Indianapolis Colts on the road there, get a little bit of got a little bit of revenge from that from the first time that the team saw each other.
00:10:08
And then we start Cleveland just eke out a victory in Jacksonville this week by two points.
00:10:14
They stopped the two point conversion there at the end, so curious to know what side you're on.
00:10:19
This is probably gonna be my favorite.
00:10:22
Maybe second favorite better the week here, but where you lean in here? I'm smiling because I know that we're on the same side here.
00:10:31
Mhm, and it marginally doesn't make any sense.
00:10:35
But I like Cleveland as a road dog, getting six points, but I'll take the money line where I feel like Cleveland has been.
00:10:46
Four of their last five games have not been real football games where our weather has affected them.
00:10:54
Oh so much.
00:10:55
But I think if you don't know and understand that all you see is since Odell Beckham Jr has been out, they haven't scored a lot of points.
00:11:06
But the truth is, those games have all been forced, massive run games, which is fine because that's their strength.
00:11:14
You have Nick Job who top three back in the league.
00:11:20
I can't question anymore. He's so good.
00:11:22
Yeah, and then you have Kareem Hunt, who is their backup, but he'll start on 70% of other teams.
00:11:29
Check out of two amazing running backs, and the way that their team is functioning right now is Baker.
00:11:39
Mayfield. Don't mess up.
00:11:41
Like if he if he doesn't screw up.
00:11:45
And also Myles Garrett will be back this week.
00:11:47
Who? They won the game without him, which was dumb luck.
00:11:52
So that's the way that I'm feeling this right now.
00:11:54
Is the Browns air underrated? The Titans are overrated because we saw their last game, so I'll put a couple of shekels on the Browns money line.
00:12:06
But I think Brown's plus six Brown's plus seven is a pretty safe bet.
00:12:11
Yeah, of course, on the Browns here is well, and yeah, Look, I think that we kind of the way.
00:12:18
You are hinting I'm like we're in the same boat.
00:12:21
I don't I don't think that we're going to see any better than this, right? Like there's a couple of books that have it in 5.
00:12:27
5 right now.
00:12:28
But, um, you know, *** is probably going to be your best number, right? Without six is the number that you wanted.
00:12:35
Yeah, matter.
00:12:37
So I mean, look, I I feel comfortable even buying up the whole point to go to seven here.
00:12:42
I'm going to see you know, what else is on the board.
00:12:44
Come a little closer, but the game time.
00:12:47
But look, I think that, you know, when we look at the Titans, this is just not a good defense.
00:12:51
And, you know, things can get started through the run.
00:12:55
Obviously, Korean Hunt had a season low, I think snap percentage carries last week.
00:13:01
You know, I guess he's been feeling a little banged up so more of the Nick Chubb show.
00:13:05
I mean, this would be a fantastic matchup here, Chub and Derrick Henry, both of whom are gonna be in my running back prop article this week on us as dot com.
00:13:14
So you definitely want to check that out now, what's interesting, too, is I also put Baker Mayfield in their, uh, This is the highest total of the week for any game that we got going on.
00:13:23
So I am really looking forward to this. And again.
00:13:26
You look a bigger Mayfield's prop numbers.
00:13:28
They are not that bigot. All right.
00:13:31
So, again, just as you said, Hey, Cleveland or hey, Mayfield, don't go out there and screw it up for Cleveland.
00:13:37
Well, always got to do is not go out there and screw it up here in the profits.
00:13:41
Check this out, Paul.
00:13:43
Again against the tendency defense over 1.
00:13:46
5 passing touchdowns you get.
00:13:48
Plus 1 30 over 218 and a half.
00:13:52
Passing yards minus 1. 20.
00:13:55
conclusions.
00:13:56
18.5, even money.
00:13:58
And then to not throwing with interception plus 1 25.
00:14:01
Granted, you know, we we know Mayfield has been pretty dumb at times and, you know, not certain.
00:14:09
Certainly not, You know, valuable of that number one pick at times as well.
00:14:13
But again, I just think that the matchup kind of lends some optimism in this sense.
00:14:18
And, uh, you know, those are not big numbers that he has to hit it all.
00:14:21
Tennessee wants to stack the box and try to stop the run first.
00:14:24
This could be a nice day from a field.
00:14:27
Yeah, I just think it I say it comes down to Mayfield.
00:14:31
But if Chubb does what he's been doing recently, I don't know that it matters all that much.
00:14:38
The Titans air one of.
00:14:40
So there's like four or five teams, which include the Titans that I just don't like betting their games because they are.
00:14:49
Cleveland is one of them is, well, where they're one of those teams that some some weeks is is a world beater, and another week just doesn't show up where That's what's tricky, because I have two teams that I feel very similarly about.
00:15:08
But I just think the I think the line is too much.
00:15:11
Yeah, absolutely.
00:15:12
That's what this one comes down to, where I think the 6 5.
00:15:16
5 wherever you are.
00:15:18
I don't think that the Titans are a touchdown better than the Browns, no matter where they're playing.
00:15:24
One other thing to note here, to which I also like from Mayfield, uh, the 53 a half total here.
00:15:32
This will be the second highest total for a Browns game this season, Uh, the highest total that they had this season was the 56 a half at Dallas.
00:15:40
Back in week four, there were 87 total points scored in that game.
00:15:44
So Vegas is trying to tell us anything here by making this the highest total of the week.
00:15:48
Then I definitely feel like we should pay attention for sure.
00:15:52
Um, as I mentioned, you know us as dot com.
00:15:55
You're gonna check out these profits that I laid out there.
00:15:58
A lot of a lot of great numbers here that are certainly gonna help them, too.
00:16:01
So make sure you go check those out.
00:16:03
Big shout out here real quick to Dodger blue stuff and falling in the bulls fan sending us, uh, some tokens there.
00:16:12
We're gonna take those right to the arcade, trade them in for some tickets and get ourselves a stuffed bear.
00:16:17
Buy stuff there.
00:16:18
I mean, you know, and mama number 25 aka.
00:16:22
Thanks for the follow.
00:16:23
Yes, absolutely.
00:16:24
We got a lot of people tuning in tonight.
00:16:27
11.
00:16:28
13, 15.
00:16:29
The numbers were just going up, up up are also people that are not signed in that are watching and listening.
00:16:35
Oh, yeah, I know this for a fact because I just checked my phone.
00:16:38
I got text messages. Let's see.
00:16:40
That's great.
00:16:41
That's great.
00:16:42
Um, by the way, Mayfield to your into the DFS.
00:16:44
Now I think this is why I was so successful.
00:16:47
Embedding this weekend is because I didn't play DFS at all.
00:16:50
I didn't do the hometown league, I didn't do anything.
00:16:53
And again.
00:16:54
And that's why the profit margin at the I've been so bad idea of us just learned.
00:17:00
Yeah, I know.
00:17:01
Believe me.
00:17:02
DFS is done until further notice.
00:17:03
It's done until you get an email saying Deposit bonus, you get Yeah, whatever.
00:17:12
Basically.
00:17:13
But Mayfield 5300 on draftkings this week.
00:17:16
I think that's pretty pretty **** interesting, to say the least cheap.
00:17:20
It's cheap.
00:17:21
Yeah, I mean, you get one of the quarterbacks in the highest total game of the week.
00:17:25
Let's go ****s.
00:17:26
Alright, Anything.
00:17:28
Anything else in this game if it's the highest total game of the week, we're taking the under Oh, no way Have the two best running backs in the league playing in the same game.
00:17:39
Why would we not take the under? It can happen.
00:17:44
I'm just being logical.
00:17:45
There's I mean I just laid out the point are their running game.
00:17:49
I laid out the point the last time the Browns had a 50 point total in the game.
00:17:53
You know, it had 87 total points in the game, So I heard.
00:17:58
I'm just I'm just I'm logical ing your statistics.
00:18:02
Logical thing.
00:18:03
I like it.
00:18:04
I like it. E do that. Alright.
00:18:06
Next game.
00:18:07
What's next? Wait, why don't you get closer to the cameras? Well, next game of the week, I I would love to go to Minnesota.
00:18:13
What's that hat? I it's ah.
00:18:16
Is it a minor league team? Yeah.
00:18:17
This is the Columbia fireflies.
00:18:20
Now I am.
00:18:21
Yeah, I am not.
00:18:22
This is a former Tim Tebow vehicle, the Columbia Fireflies, but yeah, you know, it's messed up because there are Mets organization team who I I just cannot stand, but, you know, being a Philadelphia Phillies fan.
00:18:37
But you, the neon, you know, it sucked me in and look, I got through on ships.
00:18:45
Wow.
00:18:46
Yeah, Gotta coordinate.
00:18:48
So we're going to get you a one of those color rush Seattle Seahawks chairs.
00:18:53
I love those.
00:18:54
I would wear that.
00:18:55
Walking the dog there like nicely ugly is how you describe that.
00:19:00
Yeah, I like.
00:19:02
I like the ensemble with the green on the blue.
00:19:05
If you're playing laser tag, do not wear that jersey.
00:19:11
Come on.
00:19:13
Laser tag is amazing when all of this is over.
00:19:15
Like when life goes back to normal.
00:19:18
I don't know that it will have a because I missed the birthday.
00:19:23
I wanted to have a laser tag birthday party.
00:19:26
You don't think that would be fun? Would you not come? I mean, I would, but I wouldn't like it.
00:19:32
Why not? What if we did? Paintball.
00:19:34
I do. ****. I don't like all the time.
00:19:36
You know, like, just add it onto the list.
00:19:38
Always attack paintball.
00:19:40
You know, I've never done paintball, but I want a paintball are similar.
00:19:44
But paintball, You actually get hit.
00:19:45
And it could hurt.
00:19:46
That's not fun.
00:19:47
Oh, my whole life has been taken.
00:19:51
One pain after the other.
00:19:53
So what? You know what's a paint ball in the side of the skull, right? You wear a helmet. Don't worry.
00:19:58
I'll be fine.
00:19:59
When they don't win, the ball doesn't explode.
00:20:01
That's when it hurt a power.
00:20:04
Yeah, I'm putting my balls in the freezer.
00:20:07
You get these welts.
00:20:10
It's really not.
00:20:12
When you get it and the ball explodes, you don't even notice it's happening.
00:20:17
It z when the ball doesn't explode that you're like, you scream and it hurts and you're like, uh, I'm still in the game.
00:20:24
That's that's typically what happens.
00:20:26
All right.
00:20:27
Uh, what's what's mosey our way up more? Minnesota.
00:20:32
I think this game is pretty interesting on a couple e individual aspect, so we'll go with the Jacksonville JAG horse at the Minnesota Vikings.
00:20:40
Vikings Open is nine point favorites, but they have since mosey their way up to 10.5.
00:20:46
In this game, we got a total that opened at 50 were singing at a couple different books.
00:20:51
We'll just we'll keep the total of 50 for Argument's sake right now.
00:20:55
Um, Moneyline's pretty **** high for the Vikings ar minus 500 plus 4 30 for the Jaguars in this game.
00:21:02
So last week, the Vikings looked like they were in a bit of trouble there against Carolina Panthers ended up, you know, having a pretty **** good come back there.
00:21:12
Uh, beauty.
00:21:13
What? Uh, why am I? Come on.
00:21:17
It's Don, baby, son.
00:21:18
Yeah, That's why I couldn't think of the guy's name.
00:21:22
His son's name is now.
00:21:24
Now, come on, Kourtney.
00:21:27
No, he was not Courtney.
00:21:29
I, uh Come on, Jeff.
00:21:32
Still wrong, Derek e don't know.
00:21:38
What is it? What is it? E want you to keep naming white people names because it's funny, Connor.
00:21:44
Close.
00:21:45
But no cigar.
00:21:47
Chad.
00:21:48
It might be Dad.
00:21:49
I think it is, actually, but yes.
00:21:51
So he fumbles the punt, and then we're sorted.
00:21:54
S's David Wright with eso.
00:22:00
So s O chat ends up dropping front there.
00:22:03
And, you know, it looks like ball game over.
00:22:05
No, Minnesota get to stop.
00:22:07
Where's the field goal? And then the Kirk cousin's band comes all the way down the field.
00:22:11
Now, uh, pretty interesting to know here, Vikings still somewhat alive somehow in the NFC.
00:22:18
Uh, so obviously, a win here against Jacksonville is of the utmost importance, but 10.
00:22:24
5 is a lot to cover here, Especially against Jacksonville.
00:22:27
Do you think Jacksonville can Paula cover here for the second straight week? I don't, but also this line opened it like 7.
00:22:37
5 or eight, which is crazy I thought the line was like to start.
00:22:44
Now.
00:22:45
I think it's heavy where at this point, I'm probably off at 10.5.
00:22:49
If you put a gun to my head, I'll take the Vikings minus 10.5.
00:22:53
I would like it at, and, uh, the number I wrote down was Minnesota minus seven.
00:23:00
But was that open? That was doable.
00:23:03
Now it's not.
00:23:04
I'm not buying three points. That's crazy.
00:23:06
But the Jacksonville Jaguars are terrible.
00:23:10
They're trying to lose.
00:23:11
At this point.
00:23:12
It's just a question of how much did they lose by? They're them, and the Jets are the coaching staff.
00:23:18
I think the coaching staff is trying to win, but the management, the G M's and so on and so forth are trying to lose where Mike Glennon should not be starting over Jake Luton.
00:23:30
There's no point in that.
00:23:31
See, let let the young kid play, see if he's got anything.
00:23:34
But I think that there that Jackson will actually thinks that Glennon gives them a better chance to lose.
00:23:40
Interesting, if that's like that's and the Vikings.
00:23:44
The Vikings were winning this game like you could throw them on the back end of a parlay.
00:23:48
Happily, simply, they're gonna win the game.
00:23:51
I just don't know by how much.
00:23:53
You know, the one thing that stands out to May is you see the total sort of going up right? Like if we wanna whatever games at at 50.
00:24:03
We said at the open 51 a half right now with some sports books.
00:24:07
But you see that total going up? Meanwhile, you hear me? Now I just like you.
00:24:12
No, no, I just I just got a d m that said that you are so much louder than me.
00:24:18
Eso I turned my volume up and I'm sorry.
00:24:21
I didn't mean to cut you off there.
00:24:23
That was That was inappropriate of me.
00:24:25
I mean, you know, we're all aroud second chances in life, so I will certainly give you in here three to go.
00:24:34
Uh, but but, you know, it's interesting to see, like, 82% of the money towards the under in this one.
00:24:41
Meanwhile, we're getting the total going up, so I don't know what to think yet, but Kirk Cousins is a quarterback that I had in the quarterback props article this week.
00:24:51
I got him on the over yards and touchdown.
00:24:55
So pretty interesting number here, looking at cousins, eyes, profits and this 1/2 and a half passing touchdowns plus 1 65.
00:25:05
We're getting a lot of juice on that one, but I think that also kind of lens some optimism towards the under.
00:25:13
You know, these profits were very telling.
00:25:15
You know, you remember that game where we saw the Seahawks and the Rams both Russell Wilson, Jared Goff.
00:25:21
You know, they had those numbers that were just astronomically low.
00:25:25
Uh, you know, with the juice and everything and end up turning out well.
00:25:29
But I I don't know.
00:25:30
I I like cousins in this matchup.
00:25:31
Jacksonville has got the fourth worst pass defense, getting Adam feeling back this week.
00:25:35
And I'm sure if you're a Dalvin cook fantasy owner, you heard Gary Kubiak's, uh adage this week basically saying e don't know, guys.
00:25:46
Dalvin cook.
00:25:47
Hey, feels a little banged up right now and people are like What? So Cook even came out this week himself, and he was like, No, no, no, I'm all good, but you have to wonder in this game against Jagger or are they really gonna push him? You know, pedal to the metal? I don't think so.
00:26:03
They got a pretty big matchup with Tampa they next week.
00:26:06
So you would think that, you know, he's probably gonna, you know, keep him on the shelf a little bit.
00:26:11
Does that mean Mawr? Madison touches, you know, I don't know.
00:26:14
I just think that this sets up nice for cousins to have a pretty big passing game.
00:26:18
So I'm seriously thinking about throwing that over 2.
00:26:22
5 passing touchdowns down because, you know, you look at cousins numbers.
00:26:26
He's stone for at least 280 yards in each of the last three games.
00:26:30
They're definitely let them toss that ball.
00:26:32
Adam feeling and Justin Jefferson against this poorest Jacksonville secondary.
00:26:37
I think things were looking up in that regard, so we didn't say this could end up being more of a fantasy football show than a betting show this week, since there's a lot of weird matchups, but I like that for cousin.
00:26:47
Speaking of that, okay, I have my longest running fantasy league with my friends from high school.
00:26:53
This league has been around forever.
00:26:56
Okay, I have the Carolina backfield on a bye.
00:27:01
So my cactus McCaffrey, I have Leonard Fournette on a by and I have Antonio Gibson.
00:27:08
I do not have a second running back.
00:27:12
Would it be crazy to spend a buck on Madison as a plug and play? Just in case? As of now, our waivers went through today.
00:27:21
I spent $3 on Jeff Wilson Jr.
00:27:25
Okay, I I assume he'll get between six and 10 touches.
00:27:29
I don't know what they'll be.
00:27:31
I don't know.
00:27:32
He had 12 last week.
00:27:33
In his first week back.
00:27:34
He's gonna split with Moster.
00:27:36
McKinnon might come back.
00:27:37
I'm in a really tricky situation here, where the running backs on waivers were so barren that I spent $3 on Jeff Wilson Jr.
00:27:47
Okay, that's a tough one.
00:27:50
Madison's available, and I could spend a buck on him and just take a shot.
00:27:55
I even thought about picking up Kyle.
00:27:58
Use check because maybe he'll get a touchdown.
00:28:01
Truce.
00:28:02
I love that, But those air that is the thinking.
00:28:05
That's where I'm at because of the options on.
00:28:09
I spent $3 on Jeff Rosen Junior.
00:28:11
I could have spent a buck, but I make sure I got him, but he could also do nothing this weekend.
00:28:16
Yeah, if Kevin is back and McKinnon is there too, doesn't he? Then dropped to their fourth guy.
00:28:22
Absolutely.
00:28:23
Yeah, he'll probably be covering punts or some **** like that, but yeah, I can't return touchdowns with.
00:28:30
Yeah, I mean that on whoever has Dalvin cook for not having Madison.
00:28:35
Yes, the handcuff.
00:28:36
You know, they whoever the guy that has him just dropped him.
00:28:40
He also is in last place in the entire league.
00:28:44
Come on, I But then, But if I pick up Madison, I have to start him.
00:28:49
So do I.
00:28:50
Now drop Jeff Wilson Jr for Madison.
00:28:52
It's a literally it is.
00:28:54
This is a one week play.
00:28:55
It's Yeah, those guys, the other for that that I am considering.
00:29:01
But I kind of want to say it because I know guys in the league are listening right now is a wait.
00:29:08
Do I screw myself over by naming the player on waivers? That shouldn't be there.
00:29:15
No, Definitely not.
00:29:16
Okay, I'll tell you.
00:29:18
Don't give those people the satisfaction, and I know, right? I like its a player.
00:29:25
That was a very early draft pick who's now kind of fallen down the depth chart.
00:29:31
But I think in the last five weeks can put up good numbers.
00:29:35
He's also he's also on a team where you never know which running back is going to do well.
00:29:42
So you do the math and figure that one out is their team name favorable to the country that we live in? Yeah, yeah, you got it.
00:29:56
Smile about it.
00:29:57
We'll talk about it later that that guy is available.
00:30:03
All right, I think.
00:30:04
Fair enough.
00:30:05
I think he's arguably still the best running back in the backfield, but he's currently not getting any touches.
00:30:12
Yeah, it's a it's a sticky situation.
00:30:14
Is yeah, absolutely, Absolutely.
00:30:17
You are correct, my friend.
00:30:19
He I put in $2 for him in case I didn't get Jeff Wilson Jr that it was a logical and I put it in a buck for Madison, where that was my my 3 to 1 that I did today.
00:30:32
And now we have ways ER waivers Saturday and Sunday as well, where if I want to switch it or if I owned folds into, uh, if either of them ends up being ruled out.
00:30:43
I can also throw them on my I r and then pick up another running back, which is ultimately my plan for the week.
00:30:50
All right.
00:30:51
Hey, you probably helped a lot of people think through that.
00:30:54
I'm sure e just literally told everyone my plan.
00:30:58
That's great, I'm sure.
00:30:59
I'm sure many of our listeners out there have the same exact problems, so you'll be just fine.
00:31:03
So we get to buys.
00:31:05
Yeah, I'm in third place with the most points, So I need one of the teams in front of me to lose and I need to get the win.
00:31:12
I'm actually playing the team with the third most points, but his team is four and nine because he's had, like, the worst luck on Earth for corn.
00:31:19
A Whatever it is he's, he cannot make the play offs, even though he's got the third most points.
00:31:24
It's just fascinating how head the head is just dumb luck.
00:31:29
And yet that is how we play this this sport.
00:31:33
Yeah, goodness.
00:31:35
Alright, we're gonna go to the game.
00:31:37
You really like It was your best bet of the week.
00:31:39
Now your kind of thinking of So we're gonna talk about it.
00:31:41
It's the Roz Vegas Raiders at the New York football Jets.
00:31:47
Uh, it's line.
00:31:48
Open it.
00:31:49
Eight in favor of the Raiders. They're up to nine.
00:31:51
If you look on fanduel, you could even do 9.
00:31:53
5 of their If you like the Jets for whatever god**** reason, we've got a total.
00:31:58
It started at 48 we have now seen it go down.
00:32:02
Draftkings has it at 46 a half Fanduel there, 47 as well.
00:32:08
Uh, tons of money pouring in on the Raiders here.
00:32:10
97% of the money on the money line here for the Raiders and 74% of the money on the spread there for the Raiders.
00:32:18
Uh, in terms of the total 72% of the money going towards the under in this game.
00:32:23
So a lot of people not thinking too highly there.
00:32:26
11 thing that's gonna be interesting here for a lot of people.
00:32:29
Josh Jacobs.
00:32:31
Little nicked up here, so I know, uh, Devontae Booker is eyes a guy that could certainly pop up on Cem radars this week.
00:32:40
You might even be a guy that you could pick up Paul.
00:32:43
If somebody has him yet, so he's certainly don't s so that could be something.
00:32:49
Now, the Raiders air Absolutely.
00:32:52
Coming off their worst game of the season by far.
00:32:56
Not, uh, part of that.
00:32:58
You know, Derek Carr had a kid.
00:32:59
I think it was Monday, so his head probably wasn't in the game there.
00:33:04
Had to do a little.
00:33:06
You ever seen that movie due Date? Robert Downey Jr.
00:33:10
Yeah, Yeah. Oh, my God.
00:33:12
So, you know the stewardess in that movie, you had to have my old radio show one time Napoli if a great gal great gal she was also she was also the, uh, you know, in the hangover when they say, Does Caesar live here at the at that that one part, that's her same check.
00:33:30
So is this the real Caesars Palace? Yes, that's exactly that one.
00:33:36
So this is sort of a tough situation here.
00:33:41
Um, for the Raiders, they're still definitely still alive for the playoffs. Absolutely.
00:33:46
But, you know, second game in a row on the East Coast, the jets looked like absolute **** last week to three total points.
00:33:54
They scored a field goal kick the field goal on the opening drive.
00:33:57
And then absolutely nothing from there.
00:33:59
Um, you like the readers coming into this week? What's your current feeling on them? So I lost a bit of money on the Raiders last week, but I am all over them again this week.
00:34:15
When the lines first dropped, my best bet was Raiders minus seven, which I don't think we can get anymore.
00:34:22
So another tip for our listeners is early in the week when these lines first come out.
00:34:30
Typically, you can get the best line possible.
00:34:32
Where, then, obviously you, me, Joe Shmoe down the block, we bet the lines.
00:34:39
Then move the Sharps, then come in.
00:34:41
Move it, whatever, whichever way you want.
00:34:43
So now we're up to nine, where I can't get the number that I love this game at, However, Josh Jacobs is questionable.
00:34:51
If Josh Jacobs ultimately gets ruled out, I think some money will then come in on the Jets, and this line will move back closer to seven, where I can then get it at seven.
00:35:00
I am more than happy with Devontae Booker and Jalen Rashard or Jalen Richard.
00:35:04
I'm not sure which one it is getting splitting the carries against the Jets.
00:35:10
Also, the wind gusts are potentially going to be 35 miles an hour.
00:35:15
Really, if that is the case that leans even Mawr towards the Raiders because they have a great run run game, they have a great defense.
00:35:26
And, you know, look, I would love for Derek Carr toe, sling it and hit rugs and hopefully a galore is healthy.
00:35:34
Uh, Darren Waller should absolutely dominate the game, but make sure that you check the weather report before you do any.
00:35:41
Make any bets on this game because I read just last night up to 38 miles an hour.
00:35:47
Where that is, you can't pass.
00:35:51
You will be throwing four yard passes and running the ball.
00:35:55
Mhm.
00:35:56
****, man, I might have to put some extra quarters in my pocket when I'm walking the dog on Sunday.
00:36:03
That's that's insane.
00:36:05
Unless AccuWeather was wrong, that's where that is.
00:36:08
My source.
00:36:10
AccuWeather e.
00:36:11
I mean, everybody knows AccuWeather is the biggest fraud with their with their weather socks and whatnot.
00:36:17
I'm looking for the updated weather right now.
00:36:20
Let's let's let's see what what this says 38.
00:36:27
That's amazing.
00:36:28
I'm actually.
00:36:29
So since the Bucks on a bye week this week, the lady asked me.
00:36:32
She's like, Hey, you know, she's got a play date with the dog set up with one of her friends.
00:36:37
So I'm just like, like initially I'm like, Nice.
00:36:41
I'm gonna get a I'm gonna get a nice Sunday to myself at home.
00:36:44
Blah, blah Florida.
00:36:46
Of course I'm here.
00:36:47
Oh, you look dead for Rosen right there on school reading.
00:36:52
I'm reading the weather.
00:36:53
So s so she's like, you want to come and I'm like, not really, you know, like, I just kind of want to sit and watch the games.
00:36:59
I realized the bucks on a bye week, and pretty much all these games suck this week.
00:37:03
So, yeah, I'm gonna be doing the outdoors thing, but you're gonna get laid this weekend. Congratulations.
00:37:11
Thank you.
00:37:12
I appreciate it.
00:37:13
Every, uh, everyone, you know, you've been so supportive through this rough time.
00:37:17
No, but I don't know.
00:37:20
You know, the Jets absolutely rolled the Raiders last year.
00:37:24
Same matchup.
00:37:25
Um, you know, match up at MetLife and the jets just absolutely bamboozled them.
00:37:30
That was That was, like, really bad.
00:37:32
It was like 34 to 6 or something like that, but I don't know.
00:37:35
I think if I'm if I'm gonna play anything in this game, I think it's gonna be the under kind of just knowing, you know, those wind conditions.
00:37:42
Well, you know, the Jets run defense is actually pretty good, you know, for how ****ty they've been this season, Uh, top 10 D v o a.
00:37:50
Against the run.
00:37:51
And again, you know, if no Jacobs because no one runs on them because they're so far behind.
00:37:56
Oh, that's fun.
00:37:58
Tell that to the numbers.
00:38:00
I'm not telling you to anyone.
00:38:03
George.
00:38:04
George heard we were talking about him.
00:38:06
He joined us. I'm looking up.
00:38:08
The weather is what I'm doing right now.
00:38:11
Okay? But yeah, I think if that's gonna be the case, that would definitely take the under.
00:38:16
Just that was the case last year.
00:38:17
The under came and, you know, in this game, so yeah, I would certainly, you know, feel comfortable doing that.
00:38:24
You know Derek Carr? It's so funny.
00:38:26
I Really I in the quarterback Pops article last week, I ended up writing him, had all these great numbers and everything.
00:38:34
No, just absolutely disastrous, but yeah, if we're gonna have, we're gonna have near 40 mile an hour wind gusts.
00:38:41
Forget about it.
00:38:42
That game was bad.
00:38:44
Yeah.
00:38:45
What? Anything on the weather? It's loading.
00:38:51
So what it says here is check out the game day dot com because that's where you'll find it up. Great.
00:39:00
Uh, the game day dot com game day fax.
00:39:02
We got you the weather reports for meth.
00:39:05
MetLife stadium calls for intermittent clouds and a high of 43 F.
00:39:11
It's the potential for up to 38 mile an hour winds that could affect this contest.
00:39:17
It? Yeah.
00:39:19
I mean, the Raiders, they had a game not too long ago when Cleveland, where the weather was absolutely disastrous.
00:39:25
They ended up getting that win their against the Brown.
00:39:27
So, yeah, I mean, look, there's a team that's built to play in conditions like that, you know, just fight living in Sin City and, you know, having that gorgeous whether they're the big toaster that they got.
00:39:38
So this is, uh I think this should work out well for them.
00:39:42
I know the Jets were gonna have one good game before the end of the season.
00:39:46
I know it.
00:39:47
It's just when When is that gonna pay? No, I'm not saying it's gonna be Sunday.
00:39:54
I'm saying they're gonna have one game where they either cover or **** near when they're not gonna win the game.
00:40:01
But they'll cover when the spread is 22.
00:40:04
But they're gonna They're gonna have a game.
00:40:07
Their schedule is actually disaster.
00:40:10
Like they have a really bad schedule, you know, find that Oh, in 16.
00:40:16
Prop it and take it.
00:40:18
They're not gonna win a game own 16.
00:40:20
No, they're odds Air probably minus money at this point.
00:40:25
Yeah.
00:40:26
Agree or disagree.
00:40:29
I'll agree with you here.
00:40:32
Otherwise I'd make you bet on 16 and oh, in 16.
00:40:35
Uh, any, Uh All right, let's move.
00:40:39
Let's go.
00:40:40
Thio Colts and the Texans.
00:40:41
We've got their cults as three point favorites in this game.
00:40:46
Uh, Texans, you know, they had the Thanksgiving game. I'm sorry.
00:40:50
3.
00:40:51
5 for the Colts in this game.
00:40:52
Uh, we had a total open up at 52 Mother One.
00:40:56
Not terrible.
00:40:57
Uh, minus 1 80 for the Colts.
00:40:58
Plus 1 65 for the taxes in this matchup.
00:41:01
So I guess the big news here will far tested positive for performance enhancing drugs.
00:41:08
My favorite kind of drugs.
00:41:10
But he's gone.
00:41:12
He's done for the rest of season.
00:41:13
And for the first game of next season, he What's funny about that is he's a free agent.
00:41:18
So whichever team scientist, if that's the Texans or somebody else, uh, just know that you're getting Will Fuller minus a game, uh, pen to that one.
00:41:28
But I think, you know, obviously it's more of ah disaster this week for the Texans who have looked pretty **** good here in the last couple of weeks.
00:41:35
But you're missing forward rental.
00:41:37
Cobb here is out.
00:41:39
Correct. TOB, He's questionable.
00:41:41
I'm not sure that he's out. Out.
00:41:43
Okay, Uh, nevertheless, losing a huge downplay a downfield threat like Fuller is just gonna spell disaster.
00:41:50
So I You know, at the beginning of the show, I said the brands, or either my first or second favorite pick this week, the Colts are you know, we're basically doing one a one b here.
00:42:03
Oh, yeah.
00:42:04
Cops on IR.
00:42:05
He's done. I'm looking right now.
00:42:07
Yeah. Oh, right.
00:42:09
He might return. 15 comes up.
00:42:12
So Yeah, it's Kiki Cody Kiki cootie eso you you love the cult's yes, at at the Texans? Yes, I e.
00:42:23
I initially wrote down Houston Home Dog and then I have a giant arrow that says No, Fuller.
00:42:30
Yeah, obviously changes things, but what's the spread right now? Three and 3.5.
00:42:36
Should we take a side on this? I'll bet that the Colts win by three.
00:42:42
And I still went.
00:42:44
Yeah, yeah, right.
00:42:46
That's doable.
00:42:47
Where I initially I like the Texans as, Ah, Home dog.
00:42:52
Instead, I'll take the Texans plus 3.
00:42:54
5 where all lose the game.
00:42:58
But I'll win the bet.
00:42:59
I've already set myself up for failure because you know my hatred for Philip Rivers.
00:43:03
The guy throws the guy, throws like that chick from Vanderbilt kicks.
00:43:07
And this is essentially, you know, I'm setting myself up for failure here.
00:43:12
And this is gonna be the second time in three weeks that I that I bet on Philip Rivers, but I don't care.
00:43:17
I I love the culture roster.
00:43:20
You know, if you just ask this guy to do just enough, then you know he's gonna get it done.
00:43:25
They got it done against packers a couple of weeks ago.
00:43:26
They could sure is how we got it done against the Texans here.
00:43:29
So I'm going Thio.
00:43:31
Unconfident Lee, confident Lee.
00:43:34
Take the Colts in this matchup.
00:43:36
I just It's more or less attacks doing here.
00:43:39
You are taking a So that's why folks.
00:43:46
Nice everyone's favorite theme song.
00:43:48
That's how you that's how you brand the crap out of something.
00:43:51
Absolutely So yeah.
00:43:52
So I'm gonna go to the Colts 3.
00:43:54
5.
00:43:55
I think that they get this done on.
00:43:57
Of course, you know, we're not telling anybody anything.
00:43:59
They don't know already.
00:44:00
But make sure you go ahead and get Kikuchi in the lineup, because again, the Shawn Watson is playing at just an unbelievable level right now.
00:44:08
So, you know, I think a lot of those downfield targets that will Fuller was getting We could certainly, you know, say that Kiki Kuti is is in line and he had a touchdown the other week, so good on him.
00:44:21
So back to fantasy.
00:44:22
Since we've been jumping back and forth, I have Ben Roethlisberger, DeShaun Watson and Taysom Hill.
00:44:29
It's a two quarterback league.
00:44:30
At this point.
00:44:31
I think I'm benching to Shawn Watson.
00:44:34
Really? Yeah, He's playing the cults who are Top five defense.
00:44:40
Roethlisberger's playing Washington.
00:44:42
He'll throw for two touchdowns Easy and Taysom.
00:44:45
Hill is playing Atlanta.
00:44:46
Who gives up the most points to fantasy quarterbacks this season.
00:44:50
I gotta tell you, we'll talk about that game next, so I'll save my comment for that.
00:44:55
But, um but yeah, I don't know, man To show Watson.
00:45:00
Yeah, I mean, again, of course, like the God could do it with his legs.
00:45:04
And, you know, we get it done A lot of ways.
00:45:06
Let me put, Let me tell you that I'll lose what we're gonna talk about next.
00:45:09
But I would say I think that you'd be better suited to go with Watson over Taysom Hill, even though Taysom Hill is playing Atlanta.
00:45:20
Yeah, you know how hard that is? I do, but we're certain there's certain there are certain factors that you need to take into play that Yes, I understand that the numbers look right against Atlanta this season, but, uh, **** it, I forgot what movie it is, but, oh, it's Anchorman, which says, As you once said, the Times, they are a changing gotcha sorry.
00:45:49
My my screen just froze there.
00:45:51
So I was like, What? I got Alright.
00:45:55
Wait, What's next? What's next? What's our next game? What's go? Let's go to Atlanta.
00:46:00
New Orleans, Uh, since we were just discussing it.
00:46:04
So these two teams just played each other not too long ago.
00:46:08
Uh, in this matchup, we have the Saints.
00:46:12
You know, they opened those 3.
00:46:13
5 point favorites, But now winds coming down.
00:46:16
We've got, you know, Draftkings has the Saints.
00:46:20
Has 2.
00:46:21
5 point favorites.
00:46:22
Couple of the books have the Saints is as three point favorites here to the big thing.
00:46:27
I mean, look, you just talked about it, right? Atlanta's defense is just out of this world.
00:46:36
No out of this world since making the head coaching change.
00:46:39
Raheem Morris, former Tampa Bay Buccaneers head coaching.
00:46:44
Great.
00:46:45
Uh, he's got this team pointing some **** good ball I did when I did one of the prophet articles a couple weeks ago.
00:46:51
Uh, you know, when I think in the Dan Quinn era they were allowing something like 440 yards a game.
00:46:57
Since Raheem Morris took over, they've cut that by 80 yards that they're allowing the game.
00:47:03
So obviously, you know, again.
00:47:05
Look, this is the second time in about three weeks, I guess, that the Saints and the Falcons, they're playing each other.
00:47:11
I like the Falcons in this one, and I kind of liked them on the movie line if we're gonna get crazy about this Oh, God.
00:47:18
I'll take a side with you on this billion a billion times a billion times out of a billion.
00:47:24
Do I get the point on? Take aside, what's the spread? Well, what? We'll call it three.
00:47:32
What's the actual spread? Uh, 2.5.
00:47:35
It's why.
00:47:36
Why am I giving you three, then? What? What? Me Finish.
00:47:39
It's out.
00:47:40
What is the spread? All right, We'll open to 3.
00:47:44
5.
00:47:45
You wanna take it there? No, I wanted to be.
00:47:46
Oh, right now that is.
00:47:49
That was my question was, what is the current spread? So But that's the thing.
00:47:53
So this is the problem, right? We need we need universal lines because this is ridiculous for podcasters like ourselves.
00:48:00
But draftkings has it 2.
00:48:01
5 and other sports you want books? Have a three.
00:48:06
We'll We'll meet halfway.
00:48:07
You can have it at three.
00:48:09
We'll take New Orleans minus three.
00:48:11
You can have the Falcons plus three.
00:48:14
And if the Falcons win, money line will give you double the points.
00:48:18
How's that? I like it.
00:48:20
You still have to catch up.
00:48:22
You're still You're still a ways away so that that's actually a new a new wrinkle in this game if we're playing spread.
00:48:30
But if the under, if the person who takes the underdog likes it enough and they win money line way, give two points instead of one.
00:48:40
I love bonuses, love bonuses.
00:48:43
You can have the bonuses, but you won't get, especially in the holiday season, right? The same. The Saints.
00:48:49
We're gonna win 24 to 12.
00:48:51
Now they'll score a touchdown.
00:48:53
Let's go 24 17.
00:48:55
I just You and I both have a couple different employers.
00:48:59
You know, the bonus and the holiday season that people love that, you know? Yeah.
00:49:05
You know, just throw it out there, you know, maybe somebody listening and want to give about it, you know? Hey, if they all the listeners they could get, they give us bonus stars.
00:49:16
Yeah, give me that popcorn, baby.
00:49:18
So alright again, ever since they made the head coach and change things.
00:49:23
But right now, the one with one game that this did not work out so well was against the Saints for the Falcons.
00:49:30
But Mattie Ryan had a decent day throwing the ball, but the turnovers of what really crossed them? Uh, they had three field goals really early in the first half.
00:49:39
They could not get the ball in the end zone, and that wound up being the difference in the game.
00:49:43
But yeah, look, Atlanta absolutely smoked the Falcons outright last season in New Orleans.
00:49:51
And then they played.
00:49:52
You remember that Thanksgiving game where they had the three onside kicks in a row? Whatever I think they're like ended up covering the spread.
00:49:59
But Atlanta Atlanta is due for a close game with nuance.
00:50:02
This is This is usually a pretty good Bible, right? For I don't agree with you.
00:50:07
Hence why we're taking sides here.
00:50:09
But I'm totally okay with this.
00:50:12
I'm totally happy with it.
00:50:13
I will.
00:50:14
I will take the saints.
00:50:15
I will take them happily.
00:50:17
I will keep riding the Taysom Hill train even though he is not Ah, quarterback.
00:50:23
I'm not really sure what he is, but he keeps scoring touchdowns and they keep scoring points and the the offenses functional.
00:50:31
And he is keeping the seat warm for when Drew Brees comes back.
00:50:35
And also the odds for the Saints to win the Super Bowl.
00:50:39
Keep going up.
00:50:41
Meaning once it hits 15 to 1, I'm in.
00:50:44
Okay, fair enough.
00:50:47
You like that? I actually I liked it.
00:50:49
I swear to God, I loved the Saints preseason to win the Super Bowl just because it was, like, 81 Yeah, but I work, which is great.
00:50:57
I love Drew Brees.
00:50:59
Like last season, I thought that that was gonna be sort of like a nice rallying cry from the team.
00:51:04
Um, but, you know, selfishly, I think the bucks, if they see them for the third time, maybe things are a little different.
00:51:11
No will say one thing to go to Alvin Kamara.
00:51:15
So last couple of weeks, he really hasn't been toting the rock like the bell cow.
00:51:20
Um, you know, he's kind of got a little bit of a foot issue.
00:51:23
I think the saints air doing sort of the that Erin Jones thing with the Packers do sometimes with him where you know we're not going to give you all these different touches.
00:51:34
So, you know, playing DFS this week. Certainly.
00:51:36
Watch out for that.
00:51:37
But it's also worth noting, too, that the Falcons historically have done a really good job against Camara.
00:51:42
We're talking about, you know, let's just put it into draftkings points perspective.
00:51:47
Hey, has faced the Falcons about seven times over the course of his career.
00:51:53
He has not exceeded 20 points in all but six of those games.
00:51:58
So yeah, he had one big game, uh, two seasons ago, there against the Falcons.
00:52:04
But, you know, this is this is a match up where they kind of got Comoran check.
00:52:09
So if they kinda, you know, contain that run game. Obviously.
00:52:13
Latavius Murray had a pretty big week last week.
00:52:16
He's been getting a little more touches here down the stretch, but then contain him.
00:52:19
Contain Taysom Hill.
00:52:20
I think that, you know, I think that this is gonna be nice path to victory here for the Falcons, it's possible, but no, no, no.
00:52:30
My ultimate answer is no. The Falcons are losers.
00:52:33
I don't care what they did last week.
00:52:34
I see.
00:52:36
What now? I get it. Now I get it.
00:52:38
They broke your heart last week, and you can't.
00:52:40
You can't possibly get back toe. We'll see.
00:52:43
We'll, uh, we'll be able to talk early next week, and I will happily say that you didn't get You're not gonna get double points.
00:52:54
All right? We'll see about that, My friend.
00:52:57
A couple of one o'clock games that we didn't touch on.
00:53:00
We could do it real quick.
00:53:01
If you have any thoughts Bangles that dolphins lines that bears anything intrigue you there.
00:53:08
Well, Bangles dolphins.
00:53:10
We don't know who the starting quarterback for the Dolphins is, so I'm not.
00:53:13
I have nothing on that just yet.
00:53:16
They're a different team of to a plays verse Fitzpatrick.
00:53:19
So I'm not gonna give an answer since it's Thursday night and we still don't know who the quarterback is there.
00:53:25
Um, And in the Bears Lions game, we know that Mitchell True whiskey is starting again, and I guess I like the bears.
00:53:37
I don't I don't know why they're home right, and their defense is really, really good.
00:53:44
And the lions stink.
00:53:45
But if the lions get Amendola and swift back.
00:53:48
I feel marginally different.
00:53:50
So I'm literally like this on that.
00:53:53
Where? If Swift and Amendola play, I probably won't bet it.
00:53:58
But if they don't, then then I'm on the bears.
00:54:01
Alright.
00:54:02
I honest, I have zero feeling or attachment to either one of these games.
00:54:07
I know.
00:54:08
Obviously, you know David Montgomery.
00:54:10
It's funny.
00:54:11
I saw a tweet from somebody today in these fans like David Montgomery has had three absolute knock out of the park matchups this year, and he hasn't done **** in any of them, so that that's certainly worth noting.
00:54:25
But, you know Hey, what they say four times a charm, right? Uh, you know, I just can't I can't get on board with either of these games.
00:54:34
Uh, there we go. Alright.
00:54:36
Four o'clock.
00:54:37
This is where things start to get very, very interesting.
00:54:41
So let us begin.
00:54:43
Let's go Rams Cardinals, Because I think that this one probably has the most meaning behind it.
00:54:47
Uh, in this matchup, we see the Ramses three point favorites.
00:54:51
It opened as the Cardinals as a one point favorites.
00:54:54
So to see this going that way pretty **** telling to me, uh, Cardinals getting a lot of money here on the money line.
00:55:01
That plus 1 30 70% of the money there.
00:55:04
But 66% of the money towards the Rams spread here.
00:55:08
It minus three.
00:55:10
Interesting that this game is being played in Arizona.
00:55:13
A pretty good game for the, you know, somewhere divisional standing here, of course you know the playoffs as well.
00:55:19
Arizona has not been, you know, at the best here.
00:55:24
You know, New England.
00:55:25
Bill Belichick got ahold of another young quarterback last week, which is pretty interesting, Curious to know, because I can kind of go out the way on this, but, you know, we'll see what we wanted out.
00:55:35
But who you like here? I'm I'm swinging just like the spread is on this one where I think I think I like the Rams.
00:55:47
But I'm really not that sure where ah lot of it is what we saw the previous week, where the Rams look good in Arizona didn't look.
00:55:57
So where does that put me here? It's a divisional matchup.
00:56:00
They know each other very well.
00:56:01
Um, I This is a game that I'm off.
00:56:05
I'm not I just If I'm going down all the games, and I'm making decisions.
00:56:12
I'm not.
00:56:13
This is not something that I'm putting any money on.
00:56:15
But whichever team is getting the points, I will take those points.
00:56:21
Yeah, no matter where it is, no matter where it falls.
00:56:25
Obviously, if you could give me plus three either way, love it.
00:56:29
I'm in, boy, things like you Look at the Cardinals last five games, right? Like, check this out.
00:56:34
So they had that overtime win against Seattle.
00:56:38
Remember the comeback win where you know, the one penalty, you know, put them back in the game that they really had no business being in.
00:56:45
Uh uh, you go to the next week.
00:56:47
That was the game that they lost against the Dolphins, that I wanted to shoot myself in the face over the week.
00:56:52
After that.
00:56:54
It was the Hail Mary game against Buffalo where they won that game.
00:56:58
Uh, they lose in Seattle the next week on the Thursday night, and then they lose at New England.
00:57:03
So could make the argument here that this is a very, very overrated Cardinals team.
00:57:09
And that's probably why we saw the spread, you know, shift so heavily in favor of the Rams.
00:57:16
The Rams? Absolutely.
00:57:17
Boat raced the Cardinals last year in Arizona.
00:57:20
So interesting to know that as well.
00:57:23
But I mean, just kind of thinking about how how the cardinals will play lately.
00:57:27
You know, we start getting there and Donald after Kyler Murray not gonna be the same kind of guy.
00:57:32
Uh, you know Jalen Ramsey against DeAndre Hopkins.
00:57:34
That's gonna be a fantastic one on one matchup.
00:57:37
But, you know, you know my my mantra, right? Where? Oh, ****.
00:57:43
You know, the home team isn't getting three points like, let's dig into this a little further on, and that will bring this up.
00:57:49
So, yeah, talk me through it for and talk our listeners through it.
00:57:52
For those of us who haven't tuned in before you say the same thing and it hits 80% of the time.
00:58:00
Like is that like, a 100 118% of the time? It's 100% of the time, 80% of s o.
00:58:09
Obviously, Look, if you're the home team, Vegas automatically gives you three points.
00:58:14
That's that's the standard for the NFL.
00:58:17
So every time that you see a team not getting those three points.
00:58:22
You just have to wonder to yourself, Why are they not getting those three points? Uh, and look, it makes sense, right? Like if you're a home team in the NFL, you know this year is definitely a little different, right? Like we don't have crowd helping to go into this kind of stuff.
00:58:38
But I just, you know, knowing the two rosters, this team, the Rams are the much better team.
00:58:44
I think they're much, well, better coached.
00:58:46
Uh, you know, last week's game for the Rams was a little difficulty of a start.
00:58:50
They got back into it college.
00:58:52
Shanahan absolutely has shown McVeigh's number.
00:58:55
I don't know what the hell the deal is there, but again, if you don't, you don't get three points.
00:59:00
If you're not good in three points as a home team, there's something wrong there, and it's worth investigating.
00:59:07
So the fact that this thing swung, I guess what? Like essentially four points.
00:59:13
It's certainly worth digging in some Tom Tom Brady for Tom Brady for say what now, Tom Brady, where he didn't know it down.
00:59:24
It was before I like what? Yeah, not one of his final moments in Arizona when it went from a pick.
00:59:33
Up to now, Arizona is getting three at home.
00:59:36
Right? So you you're you.
00:59:39
So who do you think is right? Do you think the public is right or you taking Arizona plus three? No, I'm just talked myself into the ramps like that's so so that's the opposite of what you usually do.
00:59:51
No, no, exactly what Ideo The fact that the gift the home team isn't if the line isn't moving towards the home team and that it's actually hit the three point mark, You will then take whichever way the line is moving against the home team.
01:00:09
Okay, sort of just to put on this, explain it because I'm I'm trying to get it.
01:00:15
And I know if I don't get it, that nobody else gets it.
01:00:17
But just to put it is we have our own language that you know, taking sides gibberish. Alright.
01:00:22
But it's simple, right? Like if the home team is not a three point favorite or they're less than a three point favorite, then there's reason to be su****ious.
01:00:32
And then and that's where I start, you know, digging it so again, if you're not at least a three point favorite at home.
01:00:40
Probably going against you on the fact that and the fact that this is swung all the way Thio the Rams being favored by three now on the road.
01:00:50
And that's another thing, too.
01:00:51
I think if you're favored by, at least we're on the road.
01:00:54
That's why I think I like the Cardinals now.
01:00:56
Three points in a divisional matchup at home.
01:00:59
You wanna go take Assad? No, we've done too many on and this.
01:01:05
No, I have no confidence in this one.
01:01:06
This is us legitimately talking this out and trying toe.
01:01:09
Figure out what the right play is here because I don't think either of us knows where.
01:01:14
Usually you feel something or I feel something.
01:01:17
And we are actually talking this one out, and we still haven't come to an answer.
01:01:22
I mean, I did write just I mean, before we did the show, I did not look at the at the Cardinals last five games and be like, Holy ****, this team is really trending downward now.
01:01:34
They've lost a lot of close games for sure they've been in them, but they they are not who they were at the beginning of the season, That's for **** sure, right.
01:01:44
But no, I don't know.
01:01:46
They got Buddha Baker back who makes an enormous difference for them.
01:01:49
But they lost one of their DNS.
01:01:51
Um oh, my God.
01:01:52
He the Pro Bowler? Why am I forgetting his name? That's made an enormous difference.
01:01:56
Why can I not? Do you know I'm talking about No.
01:02:02
Okay, I'll tell you a second.
01:02:04
Uh, I'm gonna look up their injury report, but they lost one of their ends.
01:02:10
Who puts pressure on the quarterback? Oh, number one.
01:02:12
Larry Fitzgerald is not playing because of co vid.
01:02:17
That's your boy.
01:02:18
Oh, Chandler Jones.
01:02:19
That's who's out.
01:02:22
That is a big name.
01:02:23
He tore his biceps.
01:02:24
He's on injured reserve.
01:02:26
So since since he has been out, what's the record the last three games? Uh, eso they've still gone, too.
01:02:36
And one even without him.
01:02:37
But the defense just doesn't look the same.
01:02:40
But what I'm saying the last two wins that the Cardinals have, they didn't deserve those.
01:02:45
Win's a win is a win is a win is a win is a win.
01:02:47
Yeah, but a win is also DeAndre Hopkins jumping up in the sky and catching the ball over.
01:02:52
Three people still did it.
01:02:54
Yeah, but yeah, German Ramsey is gonna be on his ass to that.
01:03:01
You are on Sunday.
01:03:03
Great.
01:03:04
Um, ready? If you and I are playing Ping Pong and it's time at 19 apiece and between the next point.
01:03:12
So Europe 22 19 and then and then you hit a ball and I return it and it goes in, but I fall over and break my ankle.
01:03:21
Well, did you win? Yeah.
01:03:24
Does it for me? Can you continue again? I hit the shot to then tie the game.
01:03:29
Do you win? Because my ankle is broken.
01:03:31
Do you know if you can continue, but yeah.
01:03:34
So a win is a win is a win is a win.
01:03:36
Doesn't matter.
01:03:37
I mean, if you if you could play in the chair sitting there, then go on you.
01:03:40
Yeah, I'll sit there.
01:03:42
E Still probably What? Oh, so actually, actually, the reason Hold on.
01:03:49
The reason that the plane bombed game is even at 2019 is probably because you're sitting in a wheelchair.
01:03:56
A richer a Paul is amazing.
01:04:01
You're better than that.
01:04:03
You're better Paul's amazing at Ping Pong.
01:04:05
By the way, folks, if you if anybody wants to sign up a game against Paul, I highly recommend it may be better.
01:04:13
This is branded perfectly.
01:04:14
Take a side.
01:04:15
You play on different sides in Ping Pong.
01:04:17
We will have once everything clears up and we're better.
01:04:21
We should have like a taking sides fans Ping Pong tournament.
01:04:26
We're like we're We're like the last two as, like, mortal combat, but we're the last to the beat.
01:04:32
How awesome would that be? I'm sub zero fine, and I'm what's Who's like the guy Johnny Kennedy.
01:04:39
No, no, no, no.
01:04:40
I'm a perfect I'm the villain that you have to beat.
01:04:44
Oh, no, no ratings a good guy.
01:04:46
The guy If you if you beat everybody else, play the guy on top of the castle.
01:04:52
I'm the guy on the castle, but only for like, our level, because I'm like, I'm very good, but I'm But like there are people that kicked my butt.
01:05:01
I'm good for normal people.
01:05:03
Is that a good way of explaining? Yeah, I'm weirdly good if you're a normal person.
01:05:08
But if you are just like if Ping Pong is your best sport.
01:05:13
Then we got to talk.
01:05:15
Yeah, it's like me with hockey, like I'm really amongst my friends.
01:05:18
But, you know, if I went and played the Arizona Coyotes or something, I get my ass kicked.
01:05:23
We'll stick you with some, like d three school, and it'll be close.
01:05:27
Yeah, but you're also 15 years older, bro.
01:05:34
Not the same anymore E equipment anymore.
01:05:40
I'm not sure if I can't hit if I can't hit a 90 mile an hour fastball anymore or if I can't hit a curveball anymore, or if the answer is both like you feel may like when was the last time? Well, I think I actually I went out on Thanksgiving and threw a baseball with my dad for the first time in years.
01:06:02
Wow, if our listeners don't know, not this year.
01:06:06
But last August, my father had quadruple bypass, had a massive heart attack, and thank God he's still alive.
01:06:12
But he hadn't done like any activity.
01:06:15
So just throwing a baseball with him again, uh, just over a year later is just was it was such like a cool, nice moment.
01:06:24
My dad's 70.
01:06:26
God, how old he is 73 any other way either way but second heart attack that he's still ticking and we were just able to do that was a really, really nice moment for me on Thanksgiving.
01:06:37
But it's just like I got the itch where I'm like, Ooh, like my arm feels great.
01:06:41
I want to go like you want to start popping it over across E Gas Crow hop and launch it.
01:06:51
You see what happens.
01:06:53
Uh, Jesus.
01:06:55
Where to go? Where they go? Paw cheers to To Scotty getting back on the horse on Thanksgiving.
01:07:02
That was nice. Sounds nice.
01:07:04
All right, let's Let's take it up to Green Bay.
01:07:06
We've got the Green Bay Packers hosting the Philadelphia Eagles, the miraculously cover backdoor covering Philadelphia Eagles from Monday night.
01:07:17
Uh, this opened at 6.5 of the Packers.
01:07:20
Right now I see it at 9 8.
01:07:22
5 on Draftkings.
01:07:24
Ah, lot of money heading towards the over.
01:07:26
That's that's the first thing that I noticed here.
01:07:29
Way saw the total opening 48 a half.
01:07:32
We got points bet, got it at 47 a half draftkings of 48 then looking at the money line.
01:07:38
Things have really changed here.
01:07:39
So Green Bay opened at minus 300.
01:07:42
Now, sitting at minus 3, 75 eagles plus 2.
01:07:45
50 is where they opened.
01:07:47
Plus 3.
01:07:48
30 is where they're at.
01:07:49
Green Bay Can 84% of the money on the money line there.
01:07:52
So my big thing here, I actually wrote about Aaron Rodgers in the quarterback Props article US dash odds dot com is where you can find that.
01:08:01
So look, big thing here that I could not believe this.
01:08:05
I like I thought this was a joke, you know? Guess how many interceptions the Eagles have this season for.
01:08:11
Very close. Three.
01:08:13
Give me over under next time.
01:08:17
Now, give it away.
01:08:19
I'm happy like that.
01:08:20
So close.
01:08:21
And two of those were in the same game.
01:08:23
So you know, this was it, Daniel Jones? Because that if it's Daniel Jones is free interceptions.
01:08:30
I gotta look this up.
01:08:32
Jesus.
01:08:33
Yeah, like I could not believe that, Like, that is just insane.
01:08:37
Uh, so the packers, they're going to kill them like I don't care any 10 or less.
01:08:44
I'm on the packers now.
01:08:45
Keep in mind.
01:08:47
Green Bay.
01:08:48
They lost it home to the Eagles last season, not not one of the finer moments for them.
01:08:52
So So the two interceptions, All right, so one of those interceptions was against Daniel Jones.
01:09:01
That was the Thursday night game in Philly.
01:09:04
And then the two.
01:09:05
Those were for Nick Mullins.
01:09:08
That's even worse.
01:09:10
Thes air fake.
01:09:12
This is not Riel.
01:09:13
Aaron Rodgers is going to annihilate them.
01:09:16
Yes, now it's kind of crazy to again for the DFS players out there.
01:09:21
I couldn't believe this, but I'm looking at the at the prices here from the quarterback.
01:09:26
So Rogers is the He's only the fifth most expensive quarterback on draftkings this week at 6800.
01:09:33
I think it's an absolute joke that he's down there.
01:09:36
But knowing that and Aaron Rodgers two in three straight games, he's completed at least 70% of his passes.
01:09:43
Uh, you know, this is just in absolute pickem dice, um, up sort of game this week, working at the prop numbers for Aaron Rodgers this week.
01:09:52
Uh, 290 a half passing yards, 24 a half, passing complete seasons at minus 1 30.
01:09:59
I think that's something I'm definitely gonna get in on here and again.
01:10:03
I think a lot of teams in the past really haven't tried to run against the Eagles.
01:10:07
But you know, this season is a little different.
01:10:09
But given the spread on this game, it just it seems like the Packers were gonna absolutely mall them in this one.
01:10:16
But again, I just think to just know how many interceptions the Eagles have gotten this season.
01:10:21
Aaron Rodgers.
01:10:22
So the Eagles have three is a team Aaron Rodgers has thrown for himself.
01:10:26
This is gonna be, you know, Dude, this is like, No, like, I think we're still thinking about the Eagles that won the Super Bowl.
01:10:34
This is not that I am not.
01:10:36
I am certainly not.
01:10:38
That was a disaster on Monday Night Football.
01:10:40
So many bad coaching decisions, you know, they're the only reason Don Peterson still has a job is because of that Super Bowl.
01:10:46
You want to say what you want to say? We're looking at it like they won the Super Bowl.
01:10:51
Now, Random thought This will not happen, but you never know.
01:10:55
Okay, Doug Peterson is still under contract for who knows how long? Because he won a Super Bowl.
01:11:03
Is it humanly possible that the Jets could trade a pick for Doug Peterson? The Buccaneers? Peterson would be a nice fit with the Jets.
01:11:14
He has a relationship with the G m.
01:11:17
Who's there from their time with the Eagles together.
01:11:21
I think that his time.
01:11:23
Joe Douglas Sorry, I forgot his name for a second.
01:11:25
Yes, the I think his time with the Eagles.
01:11:28
If he's connected, toa whence they might be over together.
01:11:33
And I think that Doug Peterson would create the right culture for the New York Jets.
01:11:39
Um e have I'm not sure about Carson Wentz because he still shows flashes.
01:11:44
I feel bad for him because it's the injury that made him go from I'm an M V P candidate.
01:11:51
Thio.
01:11:52
I'm not even sure if I'm an NFL quarterback, but I really, really think that if Peterson somehow ends up with the Jets and then the Jets either keep Donald or end up with Trevor Lawrence that that is thus a really, really positive relationship for the next 35 10 years.
01:12:09
Yeah, I think you know, without a doubt you gotta go after Trevor Lawrence, Uh, you know, assuming he wants to come out next season.
01:12:17
But I don't know.
01:12:18
I like if I'm the Jets, I kind of feel like I gotta make an absolute splash and I don't I don't know.
01:12:22
I don't feel like Doug Peterson is.
01:12:24
What are you thinking? Like Hardball, which I was thinking like Eric B. Enemy.
01:12:30
I don't think that's a splash.
01:12:32
There's a reason that guy hasn't gotten a job yet.
01:12:35
Yeah, but he's been very innovative, very good.
01:12:38
But he also has Patrick Mahomes.
01:12:42
I get that.
01:12:43
And he was Hey, was there with Alex Smith.
01:12:47
Yeah, but he wasn't calling the place at that point, okay? He still doesn't call the place, and he recalls the place.
01:12:52
He's the offensive coordinator.
01:12:53
Andy Reid calls the place.
01:12:55
Alright, E don't know.
01:12:57
I think to me the enemy would be How is that a splash? That's what I don't get.
01:13:01
It's like, Ah, splash, I would think is like when the Cowboys or the Jets went and got Bill Parcells.
01:13:09
I think it's exciting, right? Like you gotta do something exciting on offense.
01:13:13
The Jets, the Jets that we know our entire lives, their defensive minded run the football team.
01:13:19
Not like they need to get some high flying like Mark they have.
01:13:23
Let's bring Mike marks back.
01:13:25
I like greatest. Ozzy.
01:13:28
Er Oh, yeah.
01:13:30
Yeah, that was I loved playing with them in Madden because you hold, you hold Isaac Bruce and as a as a Rakeem and you could run swing passes to marshal **** all day.
01:13:43
Absolutely.
01:13:44
But I hated because Kurt Warner had no mobility and I always in mad, and I always like playing with mobile quarterbacks.
01:13:50
But that team was just It was It was too easy.
01:13:52
It was fun.
01:13:54
I had a friend that I would play, and he'd put he was such an *******.
01:13:57
He was actually the quarterback of the football team.
01:13:59
He, uh he would put Torry Holt on the end.
01:14:02
So, like every time you wanted to kick an extra point, he timed the **** perfectly and, like, block every single one of your extra point.
01:14:08
It was so aggravating.
01:14:10
But whatever it is in the game, those were gone.
01:14:12
Yeah, yeah.
01:14:14
Um, but yeah, back Backpackers mean absolutely love them in this game.
01:14:18
We love the packers.
01:14:19
I think I circled.
01:14:21
This is one of the games that I'm going to try to play this week, for sure.
01:14:24
And, you know, on Fanduel you know how they have that that same game parlay sort of thing? I think you can kinda, you know, take a couple of these different Aaron Rodgers profits and sort of, you know, kind of mix them into the same mixing bowl on.
01:14:38
Uh, I think it worked out pretty **** well you're not gonna get.
01:14:41
See? That's the thing, though, right? Like you're not like like on these baker, Mayfield and Kirk cousins props that we talked about earlier.
01:14:47
You're definitely not getting plus odds on any of these.
01:14:50
So if you can kinda, you know, take the completions and passing yards and touchdowns and things like that, I think you know, it makes a It makes a nice cookie at the end, as long as you win.
01:15:00
That's right. Love cookies.
01:15:02
Love cookies.
01:15:03
What's your favorite cookie? I'm a big sugar guy.
01:15:06
You just like straight sugar cookies.
01:15:09
That is my favorite.
01:15:10
But I mean, peanut butter cookies are great.
01:15:12
Uh, chocolate chip chocolate chips.
01:15:16
Too easy.
01:15:17
I mean, what what? Do your thoughts on black and white cookies? What Black and white cookie.
01:15:21
But the white part I'm not.
01:15:23
I don't like I'm a vanilla guy.
01:15:25
Me, too.
01:15:26
I break it.
01:15:27
It happened.
01:15:28
I only in the e gave it to like a bird or something.
01:15:30
Why? But why don't? Because it's not real. Chocolate.
01:15:33
The vanilla tastes like vanilla in a black and white cookie.
01:15:36
The chocolate is just like worse than her.
01:15:38
She's I like even chocolate.
01:15:41
I like white chocolate better than you know, like I'm a doctor.
01:15:44
She's she's in green bar.
01:15:46
Oh my God, it doesn't get better than that.
01:15:48
So I love dark chocolate.
01:15:50
I don't like I typically don't like milk chocolate.
01:15:52
I think dark chocolate tastes better.
01:15:54
And then what's your favorite candy can't.
01:15:58
Swedish wall, right? Swedish fish is my favorite.
01:16:01
Love Swedish fish, but not not not sweet like What's your What's your favorite chocolate bar? I mean tricks.
01:16:10
I gotta go Twix.
01:16:11
Twix to e a U.
01:16:17
I'll be left Twix.
01:16:18
You'll be white.
01:16:19
You'll be white, right ticks, and we'll get we'll talk to.
01:16:23
I'm gonna reach out to Twix and see if they want to sponsor taking sides.
01:16:26
Left Twix, Right? Twix.
01:16:28
Wow, that that you cannot say that three times.
01:16:31
I can't even do it.
01:16:32
I keep Twix.
01:16:33
Twix, Twix, Twix, Twix! Twix left Twix, right? Chicks left Twix, right? Chicks left Twix.
01:16:38
Right.
01:16:39
Tricks. Very good. Very good. It's on the mental, Paul.
01:16:41
I have no mental.
01:16:42
It just happens.
01:16:43
There's no stop sign between my brain and my mouth.
01:16:45
That's my problem.
01:16:46
That's so funny.
01:16:49
All right, let's talk about one last.
01:16:52
I mean, all right, We could briefly brush over the last one, but what's left? There's We got double Monday night and Tuesday night.
01:16:59
Yeah, but I don't know.
01:17:02
We don't even know what the hell is going on there.
01:17:04
So I was just I was just going to cap off with the Patriots Chargers and the Giants Seahawks. Done.
01:17:10
Let's do it.
01:17:11
Alright.
01:17:12
So, patriots, chargers, uh, this charges opened is 1.
01:17:15
5 point favorites.
01:17:16
I don't know how Right now we've got this at a pickup on William Hill, and the chargers have plus one on drafting.
01:17:23
So depending on who you like in this one, that you should definitely, by the way, if you don't have the action network tool where you, uh You know, if you have an account on there.
01:17:33
You could see where the best lines are for each game.
01:17:36
I highly recommend doing that.
01:17:37
It's a great tool.
01:17:39
Absolutely, absolutely.
01:17:40
Absolutely.
01:17:41
And they don't at the action network.
01:17:42
No, this is because we we enjoy this tool, and it helps both of us.
01:17:47
But it's It's really, really good.
01:17:49
The technology that they have over there is fantastic.
01:17:52
Yeah, and absolutely.
01:17:53
Don't you know, don't feel like you're beholding toe one line, folks, you know, shop around this is this is the internet.
01:17:58
It's all good s.
01:18:00
Oh, yeah, You want to make a video for jump around, but call it shop around, and I like it Who? All right, we need a videographer.
01:18:08
How about we could get Nick from from, You know, our old place? He would do You have, like, every jersey on the face of the earth.
01:18:16
So you have a Boston Celtics jersey, right? No.
01:18:20
Why do I need a Celtics jersey? Because the house of pain, like all they were, were Irish Celtics.
01:18:26
So if I was to own a Celtics jersey 100% Larry Bird, My my aunt is a massive Celtics fan.
01:18:34
When I was at school in Boston.
01:18:37
She used to take me to Celtics games because she got tickets through the Ritz.
01:18:40
She's one of their accountants.
01:18:42
So, like growing up, I was an enormous Knicks fan.
01:18:47
You're watching like highlights of Larry Bird and, like he was just other worldly.
01:18:55
So if I am ever going to get a Celtics jersey, there's no question asked questions asked.
01:19:00
It would be Larry Bird.
01:19:02
My dad, in his youthful days, was often like a doppelganger for Larry Bird.
01:19:08
I actually have the Bird magic book.
01:19:10
It's right there if you can't literally right there.
01:19:14
Okay, yeah, It's a great book.
01:19:16
If you haven't read it, I'll send it to you.
01:19:18
It's like hearing how much they hated each other.
01:19:21
And then how they became best friends is just a like a.
01:19:25
It's like one of those talent recognizes talent stories.
01:19:28
They absolutely despised one another.
01:19:32
And then now they're like lifelong best friends.
01:19:35
Yeah, good on them.
01:19:36
Because if I hate you, that's it.
01:19:37
There's no coming back.
01:19:39
Sorry.
01:19:40
I gotta go see it.
01:19:41
Yeah, I like.
01:19:42
Honestly, if I hate you, that's a say.
01:19:44
Uh oh, I know.
01:19:46
I know this I know that I've seen you in action.
01:19:51
Yeah, Let's let's get to these last two games real quick.
01:19:54
Yeah, absolutely.
01:19:55
So kind of like how we did with the Rams.
01:19:57
Cardinals.
01:19:58
We're gonna talk ourselves through this Patriots Chargers game, right? Right.
01:20:01
So I'm like I looked at I s o the listeners don't know.
01:20:05
I send al a screenshot of my picks.
01:20:09
Yes.
01:20:10
Oh, wait.
01:20:12
The only question literally.
01:20:14
No x no pick.
01:20:16
Just I drew a question mark over it, because I don't It's one of those weird lines Azzawi used to say where something's up here, which makes me think we're supposed to take the Chargers because the Patriots should be favored, Could he? Cam is questionable.
01:20:34
I don't even know.
01:20:36
Like we have the league's best like ever head coach up against the league's worst ever head coach.
01:20:43
How Anthony Lynn has how Anthony Lynn has a job.
01:20:46
Still, I mean, we could ask a lot of different people that had the Chargers like Plus, what was it plus five plus 5.
01:20:53
5 last week? Absolutely bamboozled then in that final stretch right there.
01:20:58
So So what we've learned about Anthony Lynn is you want to bet him when he is a big dog and you want to fade him whenever he's a favorite, literally caught in the middle here.
01:21:09
Which is why I think this game is very, very similar to last week when we were right to take the Patriots because you had Bill Belichick against Cliff Cliff Kingsbury.
01:21:22
This week we have Bill Belichick against Anthony Lid, no matter who the players could. You imagine.
01:21:28
Okay, let's take last weeks game.
01:21:30
If Bill Belichick was the coach of the Arizona Cardinals, how much would the Cardinals have won that game by 13? Is the number that popped into my head, at least right? So now we're in a very similar situation.
01:21:44
Where if Belichick was coaching the Chargers, I think the charges were favored by eight.
01:21:51
Here.
01:21:52
I I completely forgot it.
01:21:54
I'm glad that I remembered because this is really interesting.
01:21:59
This is, like unprecedented.
01:22:01
I mean, 2020 itself has just been ridiculous, but it was an unprecedented road trip for the Patriots, so they play the Chargers here on Sunday, and then they play the ramps on Thursday.
01:22:12
Both California's getting down.
01:22:15
Oh, no, they absolutely are.
01:22:17
They absolutely are getting shut down.
01:22:19
Little by little.
01:22:20
What's, uh, the one of the Monday night games? Santa, right? Yeah.
01:22:25
Miners are now in Arizona.
01:22:27
They are the Arab.
01:22:28
No, I think so.
01:22:29
The San Francisco 40 Niners.
01:22:31
Well, that the ruling that you're talking about was just for Santa Clarita, Santa Clara County, so that that's why they had it.
01:22:38
But yeah, I know now that that governor is an absolute disgrace out there in California.
01:22:43
But on the show, stop it.
01:22:45
It's not politics.
01:22:46
It's just saying good versus evil.
01:22:49
But I don't know if that I don't know if that ruling I don't know if that affect the rest of California, but it could soon.
01:22:58
Yeah, so that s Oh, that's very interesting.
01:23:01
I mean, but, anyhoo, even if that were the kid and this is probably why we're seeing the line kind of where it is because you think about the Patriots, I think, you know, we can agree.
01:23:11
Mentally, they're ready for every single situation.
01:23:14
But this is a situation that I don't think anybody could be ready for it.
01:23:18
You know what it's like? Forget if Cove it was even a thing.
01:23:21
You know where you have to play two games in, what, four days in Los Angeles? You know how they always say with the N B A.
01:23:29
Do we know where they're practicing? Do we know that the are the patriots still on the West Coast? They're going to stay there the entire time? Yeah.
01:23:40
Wait, Where There right now.
01:23:42
I mean, I'm sure there in New England, they're probably not gonna fly out until what? Like Friday or Saturday.
01:23:47
Then you think they're going to spend 10 days in California for they play on Thursday.
01:23:53
So they play Sunday at the Chargers and then the same stadium they play four days later on Thursday.
01:24:01
Yeah.
01:24:02
The question is, where do they practice? But yes, it's just wild, like, this is this has never happened before.
01:24:08
But how does that affect this game? I think the next game is the troublesome game.
01:24:14
Yeah, but look, I think that I think both games I think they're going to be at a disadvantage, you know, just kinda being on the road.
01:24:22
Haven't having that in your head like, Oh, ****.
01:24:25
You know, like, we gotta play another four games and stay out here the entire time and all that uncer*****y in California, you know, like, I imagine that's gonna be difficult.
01:24:33
Okay, I just made my decision.
01:24:35
Bill Belichick dominates rookie quarterbacks.
01:24:38
I forgot about this.
01:24:40
Ah, yeah, right.
01:24:41
He's like, I'm this is off the top of my head.
01:24:45
But I think he's, like, 18 and two or something absurd against quarterbacks making their first start a rookie quarterbacks s.
01:24:52
So that being said are the Pats getting points? Or the pets? Whatever it is, I'm I just decided I'm taking the Pats.
01:24:59
In this case, it's a It's a it's a pick up more than favored by one, so essentially sent them.
01:25:03
So I am now circling the New England Patriots.
01:25:06
I'm hoping that the public comes in the other way so I could get the Pats plus three because I think that's free money.
01:25:14
Okay, uh, interesting to note.
01:25:16
To the total I mean, it's been going down a lot.
01:25:19
Opened at 49.
01:25:20
Uh, your boys a bet.
01:25:23
MGM have it at 46 a half. Yeah.
01:25:27
Fan duels over there at 47 a half.
01:25:30
So, old you.
01:25:32
Yeah, everybody.
01:25:33
Everybody's tumbling there on the total, so I think that could be an interesting number to take a look.
01:25:38
I mean, Cam Newton is looked like absolute trash.
01:25:41
Thank God.
01:25:43
Like a quarterback.
01:25:44
No, thank God for covering last week. That was pretty nice.
01:25:47
He looks like Taysom Hill playing quarterback.
01:25:49
Yeah.
01:25:50
Yikes! And not a good taste in hell right there.
01:25:53
All right, so yeah, I think if if, if anything, I can kinda get on board with your lineage of Belichick against the rookie quarterback, that's all.
01:26:01
I have a car.
01:26:03
Fair enough.
01:26:04
Alright.
01:26:05
And then not last four o'clock game that we got giants of the Sea Hawks Seahawks 10 point favorites, which I think is quite generous, Uh, in this matchup.
01:26:13
Now, you know I'm sorry.
01:26:16
And a 47 total on this one, Moneyline astronomically high of 500 for the Seahawks plus 4 25 there for the Giants.
01:26:25
So I guess the big news in this one looks like Daniel Jones probably isn't gonna play, which makes things very interesting here.
01:26:31
See, as defense is look a lot better here over the last couple of weeks.
01:26:35
Carlos Dunlap, now in Seattle, Jamal Adams starting to play a little better as well um, you know, just in general, just just a better team.
01:26:43
But they're gonna get a very favorable matchup here.
01:26:46
Colt McCoy.
01:26:47
I think he played about the second half for a little more than the second half against the Bengals last week.
01:26:53
A couple of field goals, couple of favorable positions there, but didn't look like things were going that well for the Giants.
01:26:57
A za giant fan.
01:26:59
I'm sure you were tuned into that game.
01:27:01
You know, for that one.
01:27:02
What do you think about Coleman? Course chances this weekend, I think with a full week of practice, he will be fine.
01:27:09
He is a definition of a serviceable backup.
01:27:13
We've seen him Winston games in this league, but the Giants are not winning, but yeah, I like.
01:27:23
See? Yeah.
01:27:24
I liked Seattle minus 9.5.
01:27:26
I think that that's the right number.
01:27:28
Seattle probably wins by 10, maybe more, because I just don't I can't trust I can't trust Colt McCoy to run this offense and score enough points to keep up with Seattle.
01:27:38
Um, maybe like 31.
01:27:40
17 Sounds about right? Yeah.
01:27:42
Are you excited for the D K Metcalf James Bradberry matchup? am I excited for D K.
01:27:48
Metcalf to score touchdowns against James Bradberry? What here's the thing is not very Lockett.
01:27:56
One of the two of them is going to score two touchdowns, so that's a nice profit.
01:28:01
I would take both of them.
01:28:02
I would take DK DK for two, and I would take locket for two, knowing one of them will probably lose, but the other one will definitely win.
01:28:12
The U. S.
01:28:13
Odd crowd definitely hates my guts because I wrote up lock it on on Monday night, and it was Metcalf that went absolutely banana.
01:28:22
But did you see this? Did you see the stat, though, that on on average on all the Metcalf's catches, he had a yard and a half separation on Darius Slay and still had that huge of a night.
01:28:34
That's completely absurd.
01:28:36
Wow, that Z like me trying to guard you in the football game because I'm a small person and you are a larger person.
01:28:43
E am, not 5 10.
01:28:46
So I have, ah, very good friend from growing up, who was the tight end on my high school football team, and I went in our pickup games.
01:28:54
I would try to guard him.
01:28:55
He's a little more than 6 ft, and I'm 58 on.
01:28:59
That's literally watching that for real.
01:29:01
That's what it waas where I I said to my dad while we were watching the game, I go, Oh, my God, that's like me and Howie when I used to try to guard him because it's impossible.
01:29:10
I can literally be standing next to him.
01:29:12
And all he has to do is jump up and catch the ball.
01:29:15
Because I am.
01:29:16
I cannot jump that high or reach that high or be that large.
01:29:22
When I lived in Tampa, there was great pizza place hungry.
01:29:25
Howie's No and halftime Harry.
01:29:28
He's a famous guy on Long Island.
01:29:30
He covers high school sports.
01:29:32
Halftime Harry, Howie, Howie.
01:29:35
Same thing, Right, Harry? And how we are similar, but not the same, I e.
01:29:40
I mean, it's gonna be one of the most popular bets of the week.
01:29:42
I'm looking at it right now.
01:29:44
Seahawks getting 87% of the money on the spread.
01:29:47
Uh, you know, 90% of the money on the money line.
01:29:50
A lot of money.
01:29:51
I'm over here to about 82% going that way as well.
01:29:54
But I don't think there's any way that you could feel confident in the Giants And this one with the back up quarterback.
01:30:00
I will say this.
01:30:02
Giants defense.
01:30:04
Not so bad.
01:30:05
Not so bad here last few games.
01:30:07
So if they are gonna have a chance in this game, it's gotta It's got a My goodness, it's gotta be that way.
01:30:15
You know, for for them to play defense and keep this game close against Ross.
01:30:19
I just I don't see it happening for for 60 minutes.
01:30:22
There's just no way.
01:30:23
I think that we have to end on this game because, you know, we we make something out of nothing with a lot of these games today where we made it interesting.
01:30:32
But unfortunately, this is not one of them.
01:30:35
This this will be likely a, uh, a nice Seattle victory here.
01:30:39
I guarantee the Giants s it just checks myself.
01:30:44
Mortgage on the right.
01:30:45
So now 24 17 Seahawks gonna happen.
01:30:50
They'll cover the 9.
01:30:51
5 of the Seahawks will still win.
01:30:53
Yeah, but But that's how you said 90 something percent is taking the Seahawks.
01:30:58
That's what will happen Yeah, absolutely.
01:31:01
Which is sick and screwed up.
01:31:03
But it is what it is.
01:31:06
This, uh, this has been a This has been a fun show I've had.
01:31:09
I've had a wonderful time tonight, indeed.
01:31:11
Likewise.
01:31:12
And if you're betting this weekend and you don't have any accounts on William Hill or bet 3 65 make sure you do.
01:31:18
So you get some free money.
01:31:20
It's very nice deal that the people there provided for us.
01:31:23
If you use William Hill, use the promo code ts 500.
01:31:27
It's a risk free bet of up to $500.
01:31:31
So use that promo code T s 500 then on bet 3 65 you can use the promo code sides, and that gets you 100 free dollar bet there if you, you know, risk up to her.
01:31:42
If you deposit which $100 So sides bet through 65 ts 500 on William Hill, both of those some pretty nice deals.
01:31:51
And, of course, make sure you go to us.
01:31:52
Dash odds dot com.
01:31:53
You're gonna get all my profit articles and things of that nature there this week, so make sure you check that out.
01:31:59
Paul on the game day dot com, Tell the people where they can find your stuff.
01:32:04
You just did the game dot com also at game day, fax on Twitter.
01:32:10
Um, also usually Friday night into Saturday morning, I will put up my best bet for the week where we used the bet.
01:32:19
365 early payout promo.
01:32:22
We've hit six of seven now, which is pretty nice hot.
01:32:25
So let's get on that that will be posted on odds us on their twitter.
01:32:32
Um, where what happens is we take a team, Moneyline.
01:32:38
If they go up by 17 at any point, you win automatically.
01:32:41
But if they win, you still win.
01:32:43
Uh, the only one that got me was the Chiefs when they got upset by the Raiders.
01:32:48
So we'll keep it going this week.
01:32:50
Please check.
01:32:51
Check that out on Twitter.
01:32:52
Check all of us out on Twitter.
01:32:54
Follow us at taking underscore sides.
01:32:57
Onda.
01:32:58
Hopefully, I get it right again this week, right? Yeah.
01:33:00
Let's do this.
01:33:01
All right, folks, Thanks for joining us tonight.
01:33:04
We'll be back next week with another brand new edition of taking sides.
01:33:08
Um al that Paul Marie Paule and rest the internet.
01:33:12
Who's

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