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00:00:01
Yes.
00:00:06
Okay, alright.
00:00:15
What's up, everybody? It's Thursday afternoon or Thursday Early evening for all you.
00:00:20
So you know that means line breakers FC is coming at you.
00:00:23
The breakdown sports soccer footy whatever you like to college stream and podcast.
00:00:28
Um, check us out at the breakdown sports dot com and follow us at b r k d WN underscores sports just Joey and I today A J will not be making the show so we could make this completely wolf centric.
00:00:41
So don't worry.
00:00:42
A J there was I was trying to get united in here.
00:00:45
I'll probably talk about them a little bit, unfortunately, But the team that we're gonna talk about the most So this could be my least favorite episode ever because we have a lot of events use throughout here and talking about you.
00:00:57
They just makes my blood boil.
00:00:59
But Joey be, how you doing? I'm doing pretty good as, uh, I finally got a win.
00:01:05
I guess some of these Champions League games, but there's some really good games this midweek and that we turn to this weekend and it's back to just, like, kind of a boring slate across Europe.
00:01:14
But There's a couple of good games sprinkled here and there.
00:01:17
Yep.
00:01:18
I hope you guys caught our Monday episode of the Champions.
00:01:20
E.
00:01:21
We will be back on Monday again, breaking down the final group stage.
00:01:24
But this is your domestic league slate, so we'll talk about what we learned this weekend.
00:01:29
Then we'll give you our match previews in the Premier League in Syria than our best bets.
00:01:33
So, Joey, be everyone loves talking about bar.
00:01:37
Let's hear what you got to say about them.
00:01:39
Yeah, what I learned was Netherlands has, like the best form of VR, and I think they're kind of going against what they're supposed to with with FIFA rules.
00:01:51
But essentially they have the same kind of process.
00:01:53
But when they're going to review their VR calls, they're using like, thicker lines than what, like BPL or what Germany or so Italy used Um, And so if if those thick wines meat or like uh, if they touch it all, they just stick with the call that was originally decided upon.
00:02:11
So it's kind of like in NFL when there's not enough evidence overturned a call.
00:02:15
They just stick with the original decision, which I think, um, it's got to be the way to go.
00:02:21
Or I think some form of that needs to be adapted by these other leagues.
00:02:25
Um, I think it keeps like people from, like, overturning calls based on, like those armpit offsides or the, um It just makes them focus on, like, the really egregious ones that they're like a foot off sides.
00:02:38
And the linesman just happened to miss it.
00:02:41
Um, but I also think just something else is it puts it still puts the onus on the referees to, like, actually make the calls on the field instead of them, just like knowing that they have barred overturn any mistakes they make, and they it removes it is like a dependent on that.
00:02:56
Um, but again, you still have, like those this the same subjectivity.
00:03:00
Issues will like kind of a rise.
00:03:02
Like I think the top comment on reddit was something about like, can't wait for the Earth.
00:03:05
First argument about whether the lines or touching or not, um, so again, like, you'll never remove the subjectivity.
00:03:11
But I think this is like a would be a really good step for them to adopt and just keep these like armpit offsides, calls from overturning goals or like little like his toe, was a centimeter past.
00:03:23
Like I think that's a little like if the linesman originally calls that offsides like, Yeah, sure, that's fine.
00:03:29
Let's like stick with the decision.
00:03:31
But we don't need to overturn anything based on a centimeter.
00:03:35
Yeah, that's a good way.
00:03:36
Thio.
00:03:37
Get out where we're saying some people, like with your few centimeters, air, even inches is how much of a competitive advantage is that? Because usually when you're offsides or when they're making those calls, this because you have a clear foot advantage.
00:03:50
If a centimeters that and they were going to get that technical, so be it.
00:03:54
But maybe we'll see if the Netherlands var momentum could get something going.
00:03:58
FIFA credit us in the e p l.
00:04:00
If it gets going alright.
00:04:04
The first thing that I saw from this past weekend is I've been watching too many event to xgames.
00:04:10
Um, there's still good.
00:04:12
It's just peerless still getting into the growing pains and getting used Thio being on the benches of on the field as a manager.
00:04:19
Um, I think one of the biggest issues that we've harped on.
00:04:22
The event uses midfield, which is the one thing holding them back from being a top five club in the world.
00:04:28
Um, and two of their pieces.
00:04:30
They made this off season with tcisa and cool of SG teams that were middle table or table in Syria.
00:04:36
Two great players I should have that are good to be out there, like to see them getting the time.
00:04:41
But neither of them are getting consistent minutes.
00:04:43
The whole reason why I thought Event, who's got these guys were toe have them to be staples in their lineup.
00:04:48
They're good enough that they would probably be starting on almost every other club.
00:04:52
Maybe, except for Inter Milan.
00:04:54
Those are really the only ones that could potentially go up against it.
00:04:57
But, um, events uses missing or Regista or the director of like the midfield.
00:05:03
And it's quite funny that Pierre Leaud is probably the best one in Syria history.
00:05:07
They kind of got to or if not really in cheese and cool Noveski.
00:05:11
So they just have too many people who aren't doing exactly what they need because they're a little bit more attack oriented.
00:05:16
Cool.
00:05:17
Levesque is a little bit more defensive, but for one of these guys to get in their row to get in the rhythm, they gotta be playing more often.
00:05:24
So I think by having too much talent there unless someone goes down, the event has kind of hurt themselves there because they've got too many like minded players or similar players in the same positions and are weaker on others.
00:05:35
Yeah, they're probably, uh, better than most on paper than most clubs in Syria.
00:05:40
But we've seen it that you may finally finally gets caught up later on, and this is going to be the season.
00:05:47
They finally don't win the scudetto.
00:05:49
Yeah, I guess it.
00:05:52
It suits the same A scanner.
00:05:55
You can't have too many cooks or you can't have too many cooks in the kitchen.
00:05:58
So I think that's just the issue.
00:05:59
You don't know who to play.
00:06:01
When do you think where does where does like Western McKinney fall on that roller Seymour Oven attacking center midfield? There are just more kind of box box guy.
00:06:12
He kind of falls in between the middle of these two because cool Levesque can't knock his offensive skills, but he's more of a demon.
00:06:19
Uh, she's this way.
00:06:22
Mawr attacking oriented and McKinney.
00:06:24
You like to see him? He likes to run box the box, so you got three solid guys there.
00:06:28
But there's so much there's and then McKinney is.
00:06:31
I mean, given the guys on the roster, he probably shouldn't be an everyday starter at this event is close.
00:06:36
I just think they like the energy and what he's currently bring into there.
00:06:40
So that's where their midfield can't build chemistry.
00:06:43
When you're rotating one or two every single match, maybe it's smart with legs and they'll pay off in the long run.
00:06:49
But as of right now, the either way you put it with the too many cooks is a good way right here with you empties.
00:06:56
It may pay off in the long run, but if they're so far behind or they suffered too many losses or to me drop points early on, they may not.
00:07:06
May not matter.
00:07:08
Alright to last quick hitters before we get into our previews.
00:07:11
What you got, Joey? Yeah, I think a classic rule of sports hockey. Soccer.
00:07:17
I guess it would be only too.
00:07:19
It matters in but two goal leads worst leading sports Southampton found that out again this weekend, um, up to a half time, not even till the 60th minute when Bruno Fernandez scored a goal and then Edison Cavani, um, put into super sub coming off the bench saved United's three points.
00:07:37
Um, and again, I think they just found a way Thio to pick up three points on the on away on in a way field eso big Three points for them and just kind of a sad collapse.
00:07:48
Your Southampton probably, um, kind of shooting themselves in the foot, but not just kind of pressing and trying to go up a third goal at some point.
00:07:56
Yeah, I didn't re watch this match.
00:07:58
I was watching it live because I hit that over, so that was a nice one there.
00:08:02
But when you have the two elites, it's kind of like the you can compare it the football, where if you're down seven or 14 and you're going toe half, you can see the type of adjustments that he made to counter act what Southampton came at.
00:08:15
Maybe the pregame notes or the pregame strategy just obviously wasn't working.
00:08:19
When you get down to nil quick, but combining comes in provide some good energy there.
00:08:25
Um, but yeah, that was what I find the most interesting is when we see these big second half comebacks.
00:08:30
What did the manager do? Thio.
00:08:32
Did he change of the formation? Kind of gets you thinking of how that manager thinks? Yeah.
00:08:38
Didn't you bring up the other week? There's been no teams overturned, uh, losing our losses for us up.
00:08:45
Yeah.
00:08:47
I just remember the remember you saying that I just clicked in my head.
00:08:50
So finally we get one on the year.
00:08:53
Yeah, made a j happy.
00:08:55
And the last one got to get some inter talking here.
00:08:58
Since none of us have them in the bets and we're not previewing their match, man, they're just a god**** roller coaster.
00:09:04
I don't know what more to say right now.
00:09:06
Uh, they just go from week to week, two solid wins on their past two matches.
00:09:12
Before that, they're looking a little rough.
00:09:14
I think this is what we're just gonna have with this season where we see city going a little spur.
00:09:18
We've seen pool go until a little spur.
00:09:20
So I think that's where you're just gonna have to Who could take the hits and who can weather the storm? The best will probably come out this season.
00:09:28
Yeah.
00:09:29
I mean, anyone who had a Inter win two nil against actual this weekend probably cleaned up.
00:09:32
I can't imagine those odds or anything close to, like, even plus probably away above.
00:09:38
Plus 200 plus 300 probably somewhere on there.
00:09:42
And the one move that they made that I thought was questionable.
00:09:46
And Conte has been making me look dumb.
00:09:49
He's he's moved taking me to the bench and has been bringing in Damien as the right wing back and it's paid off.
00:09:56
I mean, I was high on Hickey.
00:09:58
Me, I still him. He's young guy.
00:10:00
So I think he came off hot and then finally got into the growing pains, got some good film on home and how to stop him and how they're utilizing in Syria.
00:10:07
But yeah, that's where Inter finally making me happy again and we'll talk about that table in a little bit.
00:10:14
But we got three salt matches in the Premier League.
00:10:16
We wanna highlight first when we're gonna jump to is Chelsea and leads pulls it is finally back with the beard, so check that out if you haven't seen that yet.
00:10:24
Um, Chelsea's home here they're significant favorites.
00:10:28
Leads is plus one so you can lay the goal in the road and get a push there.
00:10:34
Um, this is where leads team total over oneness plus one on one.
00:10:38
We saw them at the beginning of the season.
00:10:40
They had fireworks, some of their games or sell fireworks and high scoring.
00:10:43
But I think the market and everyone starting to finally respect this Chelsea defense.
00:10:49
We've had a J start to say it, which was a big turning moment.
00:10:53
Maybe it's Chelsea Hate isn't too strong because it took, like, two or three weeks for him to get to say that.
00:10:57
But, um, what do you see here? Any good angles or anything? You're looking forward.
00:11:02
Toa Just a game.
00:11:04
I really just passed on.
00:11:07
I'm trying to load up.
00:11:08
I feel like Leeds has, uh, really struggled to score recently.
00:11:13
Obviously, they got one on Everton for the, uh the wind.
00:11:16
Um, but yeah, I just think e feel like that.
00:11:20
Plus the over one on their team total was much as as like is.
00:11:26
Ah, compliment.
00:11:28
Chelsea's defense is it is to like, how much leads have struggled.
00:11:33
Um, I think just looking like they haven't scored more than one goal since their 30 win against Aston Villa.
00:11:40
Um, so they like the one Owen over every 10 00 our snow leads.
00:11:45
Uh, Drew, they got beat for one by Crystal Palace for one by Lester.
00:11:50
Um, so yeah, I think just like the offense got off to a hot start at the beginning of the year.
00:11:55
And the kind of have regressed in, like, Bamford. Who? Everyone.
00:11:58
So I think he had a hat trick against Villa or something.
00:12:01
Um, really scored a couple, but yeah, I just think it's needs just kind of come back down to reality.
00:12:08
Um, but yeah, I just I think Chelsea will get the job done.
00:12:11
It's just a matter of whether they win 1020 or 31 or 41 or something like that.
00:12:16
I hard team to gauge, but I think you know, they always have the offensive firepower.
00:12:21
Yeah, with Rodrigo's back for Leeds, it's a different squad.
00:12:24
Um, that signings definitely paying off, because in that stretch you're knocking off.
00:12:28
I think they lost back to back 31 or 41 games in there.
00:12:31
And that's just where the team was kind of decimated at that point.
00:12:35
Um, so that's where I like to Chelsea here.
00:12:40
But it's just the plus one is just too tempting with this lead squads that I know they're playing much better at home than they are on the road.
00:12:46
But the under seems like the interesting angle here.
00:12:50
Um, but Leeds has known to be too leaky, so I don't think there's anything to trust.
00:12:55
Would be too confident here.
00:12:56
You got a good read tweet at us.
00:12:58
Hit us up in the comments.
00:12:59
What would you like in this match? But nothing strong enough to put our money behind it here.
00:13:05
I actually think A J has a bet on this game later too.
00:13:08
If you saw that the notes. So we'll see.
00:13:11
We'll give that out when the time comes.
00:13:14
Yes, sir.
00:13:15
So our next one is top numbers ****nal.
00:13:17
Um, here, man, Tottenham has been a fun club sitting at the top of the table.
00:13:23
Um, they've only had, like, I believe we're nine matches in.
00:13:27
They only had, like, two Marino matches where they just sit back and do absolutely nothing.
00:13:32
They've only had two of them.
00:13:33
This is one against ****nal where I could see it happening in full force.
00:13:39
Um, the way that ****nal likes to play Joey B.
00:13:42
I'm not going to steal your thunder on how you see ****nal lineup, but Tottenham, especially if they get one here early.
00:13:49
This is gonna be a snoozer of a match.
00:13:52
I think it's gonna be a snoozer throughout, um, on the side.
00:13:56
Wise ****nal.
00:13:57
I mean, they're just Everyone saw the BLEEP that they're going to take this season.
00:14:02
It's not happening there, projected.
00:14:03
As of right now, they have less points than they did last season.
00:14:06
So all that good mojo, all that good hype has come crashing down.
00:14:10
And that's where some questions air there for ****nal.
00:14:14
Tottenham? There, the hotter team they need to come in.
00:14:16
I think that Tottenham prices low, but, um, it's a little bit respected.
00:14:21
They both played today so you could get some tired lakes because we're in a stretch of I think it's four matches in like 13 or 14 days, so you might see some heavy legs.
00:14:30
What do you see here? Yeah, I think this game, either good, is gonna be 00 or like, 3 to 2 or something.
00:14:38
I think we either see no goals or five goals because I think if we get an early goal for either sides, I think both sides want to just sit back and play defense.
00:14:46
So if we see an early goal, I think that kind of eliminates that strategy early on.
00:14:51
Um, but yeah, I just think I think both teams have scores like minus is a minus 1 30 which I think is come down.
00:14:58
But, um, yeah, I just think I don't know what's gonna happen This game to ****nal's been inconsistent.
00:15:05
Uh, just haven't looked good on offense, I think.
00:15:09
Um, did they score an open goal against wolves when they played? Was there was it from open player from a set piece S O that was like, their first goal in open play in, like, six or seven games or something like that, Or three or four games too long of a span for them to go without an open goal.
00:15:26
So, um, yeah, I think this it also it makes me think kind of like NFL.
00:15:30
When you have two bad offenses go against each other, you just want to take the under and then it just like skies over it could could be a thing here.
00:15:38
I don't know.
00:15:39
I think it could, like I said 00 or 3 to 2 and I don't think there's gonna be in between here.
00:15:46
Yeah, this is Ah, I mean, Adam.
00:15:50
He definitely has a preview up for this on the breakdown sports dot com.
00:15:53
So if you want to get a supporters thought and what he thinks and what the lineup is gonna be, you could give that a read.
00:15:58
Hey also gives his match prediction there as well, going pretty well, being a Tottenham fans sitting at the top of the table.
00:16:04
He's been pretty hot on those.
00:16:07
I just don't want anything to do with this game just for the pure fact of I would just go under if you have to go here.
00:16:14
But I think it's sitting at 2.
00:16:15
5 and it's like a juice minus 1 15 or minus on 20.
00:16:20
So stay away again here.
00:16:23
Yeah, E didn't see the one uptown them had, but they played a 33 game toe last.
00:16:27
The last wins the Austin teams, so they gave up three goals. Toe Alaska.
00:16:32
You never know how many goals or how pupils they will give up. Personal.
00:16:36
Yeah, maybe it was a good rotation game for them as well, because I think they're in the driver's seat in that group.
00:16:41
Last last one, we're gonna hit on Joey B's rocking the Wolves jersey, so we gotta talk about Wolves, Liverpool Wolves going in the Liverpool.
00:16:49
They haven't had their signature when yet on the road or against a top club.
00:16:53
Maybe this is the time, because the price looks.
00:16:57
Do you think this price looks short for a Liverpool money line without Raoul for Wolves? I know I know Liverpool's without a bunch of guys, but we're going to see upcoming how crucial Raoul is to this Wolves lineup in offensive generation, I believe.
00:17:13
Yeah, also, shots fired at ****nal for after Wolf just beat them and you said they haven't gotten up, went against the top teams.
00:17:20
So um yeah, I mean, that's no shots fired.
00:17:24
That's just a factual statement.
00:17:28
Yeah, Liverpool there, minus 200 right now.
00:17:32
Yeah, I just think.
00:17:33
I mean, I think I would think towards wolves plus one.
00:17:35
I don't think it may be.
00:17:38
Oh, uh, Liverpool win.
00:17:39
Um, but I just don't think they're gonna blow them out of the water.
00:17:42
Um, I do think for both sides.
00:17:45
Like, if I'm gonna bet on this game out this game, I'm waiting for the lineup.
00:17:49
Just because of Liverpool's injury issues and how many stars they have a top.
00:17:54
You never know who's going to start and then same thing with wolves.
00:17:58
Um, I would imagine, um, Fabia Silva is going to get the start for a striker for them and just see how many wings they fit around him.
00:18:06
Eso definitely interesting to see, uh, and with wolves, normally, they play five at the back, three center backs into wing backs, and I think with just the players they have in the talent they have, they, you know, has been playing for the back.
00:18:20
Just a more general +433 I think.
00:18:23
Um, so they play a +433 I think I would Wayne towards goals just because it's a new formation and more attacking from wolves and they won't sit back, but definitely interesting.
00:18:34
But it will be also interesting to see this game with going up against if you have to get to start B.
00:18:40
A, uh, sad but fun game, I think for them.
00:18:44
Yeah, with Silva, it can prove that the transfer price and bring him and was completely worth if he could step in.
00:18:50
It's just him and Pond.
00:18:51
It's who I mean, those are going to the top two guys up top.
00:18:55
Maybe Netto gets a little bit more run up there.
00:18:57
But that's where Wolves variety struggling to score with one of the best goal scores in the Premier League.
00:19:04
Now, without Jimenez for what seems to be extended amount of time.
00:19:07
Because I haven't seen any timetable on him yet.
00:19:10
Um, that's where I just, uh this this just feels like I I think the plus one I would not lean here.
00:19:18
I would lay it with Liverpool Instead, I know wolves keep them low scoring, but finding the back of the net, I think it's gonna get much harder for the wolves.
00:19:26
Maybe I'm being too much of a downer on that, but I hope I hope they wouldn't hope they come out well, but I think we're going to slip down the table without Raoul.
00:19:36
Yeah, that would be interesting to see.
00:19:38
And I think something else.
00:19:40
So look at I just looked at some odds on this, but if you have to start, I think could be interesting.
00:19:46
E think Right now he's a plus 1 30 is, like, in any time gold score.
00:19:50
And then, if you want to get a little more risky, is plus 4 50 to be the first goal score.
00:19:54
Um, so just maybe throw some some fun coupons on that.
00:19:58
Just hope for the best, but yeah, I could just see him.
00:20:01
Nothing would make me more upset to have him score hat trick and lose three to nothing.
00:20:07
Yes, sir.
00:20:09
So let's jump into the serial real quick.
00:20:11
We haven't talked about the table a little bit.
00:20:13
Where nine matches in here is well, a C Milan has a five point lead.
00:20:18
They have 23 points they currently set at plus 400 or greater toe win Syria with that nice lead.
00:20:25
So, um, if you think they're going to do it now might be your last time.
00:20:29
Because if they keep if they keep up this type of lead, that price is gonna drop quickly.
00:20:34
Then you got intern Sassuolo next up with 18.
00:20:37
Then you got event to snap Aly in Roma with 17.
00:20:40
So tables pretty close, uh, event to says that plus 200 turns out like plus 2, 25 so you can get a bunch of plus prices right now.
00:20:50
If you like to do some futures betting, I think now is a good time to buy in where everyone's kind of just in this mishmash, and you can definitely get better prices out of your team definitely starts to improve.
00:21:01
So, um, I really hope Milan does not be the one who knocks off events because that just might be Justus bad as you vent to swimming again.
00:21:10
I might want to just see you vent to swing it one more time than Milan do it.
00:21:13
But this is gonna be completely wide open.
00:21:17
The Premier League.
00:21:18
Same exact thing.
00:21:19
Two teams were tied up top.
00:21:20
So these table races we knew 2020 2021 hopefully won't be as crazy, but it looks like at least in the table.
00:21:27
We're gonna have the best table races that we've had in a long, long time.
00:21:33
Yeah, I think not.
00:21:34
Just for the top of the table.
00:21:37
Um, I think for Champions League and Europa League spots those some tight races.
00:21:42
I know Sassuolo's up there.
00:21:43
Um, and some of the other teams, I guess.
00:21:47
But yeah, it will be very interesting to follow and see.
00:21:50
A few bay and inter can kind of, um, climb back up.
00:21:53
What place? I my computer's being.
00:21:55
So what places you they sitting in right now? They're currently tied with interpreters are another in fourth.
00:22:03
Technically, because interior and Sassuolo have one more point than them on they sit six points behind first.
00:22:10
So two matches.
00:22:11
They gotta make up right now.
00:22:14
Yeah, I think, Yeah, I guess I don't want and Lassie or the two teams down below seeing if they can make up ground when the time comes at the end of the season.
00:22:24
Yeah.
00:22:25
There's no real surprises down at the bottom of the Syria table. Maybe Torino.
00:22:28
Fiorentina could be the two surprising Fiorentina.
00:22:31
Definitely a little bit more surprising, but I'm hyped for this race.
00:22:35
We're gonna talk about the Turin Derby on our best bet since we both have a play on that one.
00:22:41
But the other match you gotta be watching this weekend in Syria as Roma vs solo.
00:22:46
Uh, this is going to be a great match, because Roma, they have a 3.
00:22:52
9 x g a allowed currently at home, so they're the second or third best team.
00:22:58
Sassuolo is four and so on the road this season picked up all three points in all of their matches.
00:23:04
Um, it's just you got two hot teams coming against each other Guests.
00:23:08
Oslo might not be as hot after the three hour loss, but here they don't have the midweek play like Roman did.
00:23:15
Didn't matter last weekend with Inter, but this is where Sassuolo Maybe they're getting a little bit lucky because they do have 20 goals forced right now annoying and x g f of 13.
00:23:26
So that's one of the bigger discrepancies that you see in Syria.
00:23:29
So, Roma, uh, do you have the line for this match? No, Hold up.
00:23:36
I was I wrote the notes that I had to play in this game, but I don't think I'm gonna play it.
00:23:41
I kind of leaning towards the over just because both these teams came off game so they didn't score well, Yeah, Romans minus 1 45 And the totals 3.
00:23:50
5, like plus one of five to the over minus 1 25 for the under.
00:23:55
So that's where I think you're gonna be smart for laying off this over.
00:23:59
But it could go smashing because, I mean, someone who does have the guys up top.
00:24:04
But Roma, it's I always had concerned about their defense, especially after losing model are letting mono are after monologues transferred denapoli.
00:24:13
But this is the defense that's looked at best and Roman a long time.
00:24:18
Uh, there not under exceeding.
00:24:21
I mean, they're technically under exceeding by their defensive measures because they've let up more than four goals this season.
00:24:26
But this is where Cecil has been the hottest road team.
00:24:30
I don't want anything.
00:24:31
I I want a lot of watching this match, but I don't want anything pregame locked into it because deserve e is I don't think he stays.
00:24:40
That's just a little much longer.
00:24:42
I hope he stays in Italy, but he's gonna be a name that I think could potentially jump to the Premier League.
00:24:49
Yeah, I think I was looking at their X G.
00:24:53
I don't know if you mentioned this, but Sassuolo's like total goal scored was maybe, like, almost double what they're actually was or something. Seven.
00:25:01
Yeah, seven point difference.
00:25:02
So, yeah, that's where I think it could stop here.
00:25:06
Um, I watched that full Roma Verona match where I was where Roma ****ed up their team and ended up taking the loss.
00:25:15
But, um, I was like, This is like old school Syria, where the teams were just playing gross.
00:25:22
Sit back.
00:25:23
Football.
00:25:24
And Roma has been doing it the whole year.
00:25:26
Same with Verona.
00:25:28
So I think these air two teams to be monitoring in Syria because of Verona on their cached easily again last year.
00:25:35
Our last week.
00:25:36
So that's where Roma and run or two teams to be looking to the younger four and the goal scoring league.
00:25:44
Yeah, I think, um e was it similar to ****nal Tottenham? I don't think this game will be as k G, but I feel like we'll see, like a one hour or 20 went to one side or it'll be 44 I think definitely the potential for both.
00:26:00
Yeah, that's why I think it's gonna be Sassuolo is gonna be the team that's gonna have to be playing more defensive because they like to attack a lot more.
00:26:08
But, um, they have been leaky at the back, and that's where aroma will pounce of them.
00:26:12
Jacko's having a great season.
00:26:13
So, um, you might see Sauce will hold it back a little bit, because inter, they kind of played their usual game and it didn't go well for them.
00:26:22
Yeah.
00:26:23
All right, Let's get into our best bets were gonna recap how we did on Monday's show for the Champions League.
00:26:31
Then we'll get into our domestic league picks.
00:26:33
So, um, how did a J *** do this weekend? Are you Are you not sure? Because I think his Barcelona overhit.
00:26:41
So that was his only midweek. It didn't hit.
00:26:43
Put it put.
00:26:44
Alright.
00:26:45
So Beijing? Yeah, A J pushed on that.
00:26:48
He's got one play up for you.
00:26:50
Put some ear plugs in for mine.
00:26:52
Uh, did not have a good Champions League pick.
00:26:55
I said all three teams, uh, should have been favored and they're underdogs on.
00:27:00
Then they all took the picking.
00:27:01
Each one, they all ended up losing.
00:27:03
So in 13 week for me there Earth minus 3.
00:27:06
6 units.
00:27:08
Still up 17.
00:27:10
46 units at 58.
00:27:12
50 and five.
00:27:13
How did you do, Joey B? I was one and two.
00:27:16
So better than my reverse sweep.
00:27:18
So I got I gotta win last week.
00:27:20
Um, my only win was the Barcelona Leipzig Moneyline parlay eso, which was pretty easy.
00:27:26
Well, I guess Barcelona was easy.
00:27:28
Wipe sick.
00:27:29
Almost blew it and then had their to They gave up the lead and got a got the lead back based in the last couple minutes.
00:27:35
So pretty thankful there.
00:27:37
And then I should have bought out a dormant in over 1.
00:27:39
5 once Holland was ruled out.
00:27:42
Um, just been quicker on the trigger there.
00:27:45
Um, yeah.
00:27:47
I mean, the worst beating The weekend was over three for a J and Barcelona Fair.
00:27:52
And tomorrow's I think it's three to nothing after 25 or 30 minutes.
00:27:55
And then it just sat there for the rest of the game.
00:27:57
Um, so I'm betting on over threes is always hard, and it's bound to happen on.
00:28:03
But I think even for fans, Morrow's had a pretty good chance to get a goal.
00:28:07
So, um, thoughts and prayers toe ages one bed this week.
00:28:11
Hey, push could have been lost.
00:28:14
So let's get into our place.
00:28:16
I got three Joey B.
00:28:17
I believe you got three.
00:28:18
So I'm going to start off in the Premier League.
00:28:21
Um, basically, uh, going to get my money back on this one because Sheffield United it's just a putrid club right now.
00:28:28
They still don't have Dean Henderson.
00:28:30
The net thought in a matter last weekend when you're playing West Bram, but just not much going for well, for this club right now.
00:28:37
Maybe they'll finally find their stride when, well, technically, not going against them may well find their defensive prowess that they had last season.
00:28:45
This week, gringo with the Leister team till over 1.
00:28:48
5 plus 114 laced.
00:28:52
They're having scored two or more goals in their last three matches in the Premier League.
00:28:56
I don't think they had a good goal scoring day today as well.
00:28:59
Or maybe they deny as well today either.
00:29:03
So that's where they get back on the ship this weekend.
00:29:06
Going up against Sheffield.
00:29:07
It is on the road.
00:29:09
So this is where I do like this angle is? Well, yeah, I think they lost one of nothing.
00:29:14
Thio Zagoria I think of the Ukrainian team, but they were away.
00:29:18
And our house? Yeah, I'm not sure Vardy played or started.
00:29:24
I didn't look at the lineups at all.
00:29:26
Um, yeah, I think, um, my brain's been slow today.
00:29:32
E think Rex always uses the trends in opposite ways that ideo you think they have scored more than two and three games? You think they're not, But I think they're due for a couple of goals.
00:29:42
Um, in West, there's always kind of prone to some, uh, inconsistent offensive performances.
00:29:48
So I think it's about time for them to score.
00:29:50
I don't know, 34 but I guess I will hope for us to.
00:29:53
And I think that plus price there is pretty good.
00:29:56
Um, yeah, for my first pick, I'm taking a C Milan minus 1 24.
00:30:01
they're playing Sampdoria there a way.
00:30:04
I think the line here should be closer to 1 51 60.
00:30:09
I think the implied probabilities right around there.
00:30:12
So I think that's kind of like an adjustment for that price.
00:30:15
But, um, I just think right in the hot hand A C.
00:30:18
Milan's for knowing away games.
00:30:20
Um and just Sampdoria is they have pretty interesting there they early on, they beat lot CEO.
00:30:28
They beat Atlanta and then they lose to calculate area and in Bologna.
00:30:32
And then they draw Torino so super inconsistent.
00:30:35
Maybe they keep being giant killers and get the win outright again against Sampdoria.
00:30:39
But I'll take a C Milan.
00:30:41
I know they played your open today.
00:30:43
They want 42 after going down two to nothing.
00:30:46
So, um, offenses firing on all cylinders.
00:30:50
I know there's a lot of times out, but I don't I just think a cheap price for a really good team to be the pretty inconsistent team.
00:30:59
Um, even in away game, I just think a C Milan keeps rolling.
00:31:03
Yeah, that's one of those fishy, because when I saw that minus 1 25 price, too, I'm like, Alright, what's going on here? Because Sampdoria isn't anything to write home about, but they have a 4.
00:31:15
7 x g force that home a 4.
00:31:18
3 allowed at home.
00:31:20
So I just think they get in these low scoring affairs because they're much more attacking minded on the road.
00:31:27
So maybe they're just trying to squeak out a draw because they have only gotten one win at home on the season.
00:31:32
So, um, that looks like a good place.
00:31:34
Short price? Um, e I mean, that price can't be if was a lot on place because it's Latin is playing.
00:31:42
That's definitely gonna be higher.
00:31:44
Yeah.
00:31:45
I don't know.
00:31:46
I don't look into I just assumed he was out.
00:31:48
Um, but I think they have enough firepower around him, and and I think similar.
00:31:53
I think they beat Fiorentina two.
00:31:54
Nothing last weekend.
00:31:56
Um, I think we could see a similar game.
00:31:58
Just kind of getting get a result in all three points and go back home.
00:32:03
Yep.
00:32:04
So my next place staying in Syria, Um, got prop building on the book.
00:32:09
So I was able to get this one was the first one I'm doing.
00:32:12
So maybe this will determine if I keep going with it or not.
00:32:15
But the total for this match sits at over three.
00:32:18
So I just bought it down half a goal.
00:32:20
And so I'm taking the over two.
00:32:22
So this is a parlay with the over 2.
00:32:24
5 with the events.
00:32:25
Use money line.
00:32:27
I'm getting that A plus 1 21.
00:32:29
it's the turn Derby.
00:32:31
So you always know the other Matt.
00:32:33
The other teams do get up for the rivalry matches.
00:32:35
But here, this is one where everything that's true.
00:32:39
No, going for them is not what you want when you face, um, event use.
00:32:44
But they have pulled out results historically against them.
00:32:48
Um, this is one of you face 11 Goal winds fine with me if you do that to one. Here.
00:32:54
Uh, this is where In Torino's nine games so far this season, we talked about it on prior streams.
00:33:00
We never gave up the hard stats, but seven of them have gone over 2.5.
00:33:05
Uh, event use Even the money line sitting at minus 2 23 is the price.
00:33:10
I got it in for my parlay.
00:33:12
Uh, applied.
00:33:13
Odd says it should be a little bit more, but when you're getting into the 67% versus 73%.
00:33:19
It's here and over there because it's are a juicy price.
00:33:21
So event is even though how much I talked about that they are struggling with them.
00:33:26
Uh, with the midfield, I just think they're gonna overpower Torino here, and it's gonna be a goal fest.
00:33:34
Yeah, I think I definitely like the UK side.
00:33:37
I think when we get to my last pick, Um but I think I'm not worried about, but I could see just three.
00:33:43
No, not not scoring.
00:33:44
And you've a winning thio.
00:33:46
Um, but you just gotta hope you meant gives up a goal or you went to scores three or four.
00:33:52
I think we very well could see that.
00:33:54
But I think just it plus two plus 1.
00:33:56
21 pretty good price in event.
00:33:58
This, um, for my second pick, I'm gonna hop over to Germany.
00:34:03
Um uh, two teams I have made this bet before, on now they're playing each other, so I'm taking Werder Bremen and Stuttgart, both teams scoring over 2.5.
00:34:13
Price is minus one of five.
00:34:15
Another pretty cheap price.
00:34:16
I thought, um, e just I think there this game.
00:34:20
Also kind of, I guess.
00:34:22
Sort of fits until you're away.
00:34:23
Favorites trying to know you stick.
00:34:26
Usually stick it in the Premier League most of the time, but, um, stew card is slightly favorite going into order.
00:34:31
Bremen? Um, yeah, I think just I know we were This is what I guess, Ah.
00:34:37
Trend that I looked back.
00:34:38
I know these teams have water.
00:34:40
Bremen's only kept Both teams have only kept one shut out so far over nine games.
00:34:44
Um, water Bremen's shut up bl field and super shut out her The Berlin, Um, I think both both teams to score is minus 1 80 ish.
00:34:52
So I think just adding the over 2.
00:34:53
5 to get it to minus 105 I think is pretty good price.
00:34:58
Um, but yeah, I just think Correct score if you want.
00:35:01
I think water Bremen's gonna score, but stood guard may win.
00:35:04
So 1 to 2.
00:35:05
Or to one super winner.
00:35:06
31 student win.
00:35:07
Happy with both, Um, but very well could be to to Yeah, let's see.
00:35:12
Sergeant, get a goal here for that breath inside.
00:35:15
That Be nice.
00:35:16
Um, yeah.
00:35:17
When you give those numbers of how they've only each keep kept a clean sheet one so far.
00:35:23
You just gotta hope one more bags it and you don't get your favorite scenario a 11 draw.
00:35:28
Yeah.
00:35:29
They, uh, order obviously played buying, and they screwed me with a 11 draw there with that Byron and both teams to score.
00:35:37
Um, so let's just hope stood Guard has a little more firepower today or whenever they play over the weekend.
00:35:43
Yep.
00:35:44
The last play in the championship when I was looking over the card this weekend for there to find my hungry dog separate tomorrow's match.
00:35:52
Every home team is the better side and and the favorite.
00:35:57
So unless you wanna pick a team that's a little bit weaker side on the plus money line, you could do that.
00:36:05
I mean, I was just going over my stuff.
00:36:08
Nottingham hasn't scored in four matches, so that's where I if you're not gonna So, Joey, even though I wanna I bucked the trend with my Leister one.
00:36:17
I'm riding the trend here.
00:36:19
Where Forest I mean, this could come back to bite me as well, because once again, uh, their goals, his way under where their ex, she says there should be with forest.
00:36:30
So this is where writing they have a They have a good defense.
00:36:34
They're they're performing defensively right where they should be.
00:36:37
There at home.
00:36:38
I'm getting a plus 1 36 against a club that hasn't scored in four matches.
00:36:43
Um, this is where just going to ride this one and hope that it cashes.
00:36:47
Would like if if Nottingham was in better form.
00:36:51
Could have got a better reading price, but still a little shocked that is only sitting at plus 1 36 when farce has been in this terrible run.
00:37:01
Yeah, I think Looks pretty good, I think.
00:37:03
Plus 1 32 for a home team can't beat that and just, um, seems like reading is a little inconsistent.
00:37:11
Picks up, win here there some draws and losses.
00:37:14
But I think plus 1 32 over a team who hasn't scored in four games can't beat that.
00:37:19
I think I got to stick with that price whenever you can.
00:37:22
Yeah, you Game is where you can buck the trend for your disguise.
00:37:27
Start writing it now.
00:37:28
That's not proven anywhere.
00:37:29
That's the logic I'm gonna use toe make this work in my brain for today.
00:37:35
Yeah, for my my last play, my last couple wins have been, uh, some, uh, pretty square parlay.
00:37:42
So I might just stick with the trend till it it proves me wrong.
00:37:45
Um, what numbers? What do you say? What numbers square parlay is this is this three or four? I think this might be my fourth, but I will say that I think the first one was the Chelsea.
00:38:00
You've a champion Champions League one.
00:38:03
They're both minus one or one was minus.
00:38:05
One moment was minus 1.5.
00:38:07
Um, and then there was another one of labor cues.
00:38:09
And somewhere in there, that was plus 1 50.
00:38:11
But they're all plus price.
00:38:12
Partly.
00:38:13
So, um, I'll take it.
00:38:15
I just I think first one Aventis, we've already talked about it.
00:38:20
I think they get the win in Torino.
00:38:21
Um, just a dominant team.
00:38:25
Uh, not much else to adhere.
00:38:27
Second team Bayern.
00:38:29
Uh, they're playing Leipzig so pretty tough competition, but Leipzig's coming off their win in Turkey.
00:38:35
Um, so they traveling turkey to Germany, and I think they're playing man U in the Champions League A must win game.
00:38:45
I think they're playing man U not P S G.
00:38:47
Um Either way, it's definitely Ah let down and look ahead spot in some instances.
00:38:54
So I think just their focus will be on qualifying for the round of 16 and Champions League.
00:38:59
I think this buyer matchup couldn't come in the worst time for them.
00:39:02
So I think it's pretty good value on a Byron team who rested a lot of guys this weekend.
00:39:06
So, um yeah, and then the third one.
00:39:09
Labor.
00:39:10
Houston Fading our favorite team shock, I think.
00:39:12
E event.
00:39:15
I don't know what you meant.
00:39:16
This is Money Line is, But I think Byron was minus 200.
00:39:18
UK was like minus 2 20 leverage Houston's around minus 1.
00:39:21
90 s o those three plus 2. 14.
00:39:25
I'm just risking 140.
00:39:26
467 units to win one.
00:39:28
Um, just kind of a fun parlay with three teams, so I think should get the win.
00:39:32
Um, and now I've thought about it.
00:39:34
I was worried about event this, but Rex kind of talked me into them.
00:39:37
And now I think labor accusing Maybe my one worry here just because they they played today in Europe had a tough I think they won.
00:39:45
423 maybe 3 to 2 against. Nice.
00:39:48
Um, so I don't know.
00:39:50
I think Leverkusen should handle Shaka.
00:39:52
All these teams should win.
00:39:53
So, um yeah, I just think of just add some action over the weekend.
00:40:00
Yep.
00:40:01
S Oh, this is where I agree with you.
00:40:04
That obviously on board with event.
00:40:06
Whose? Byron I like that angle there of the letdown.
00:40:09
Look ahead Spot.
00:40:10
And they definitely did rest all of their guys.
00:40:13
Um I believe they played Athletico Madrid.
00:40:17
Uh, yeah, they rest of other guys.
00:40:19
They're your lover. Cruising one.
00:40:21
I mean lover cruises yet to lose this season.
00:40:23
So they're five and five wins.
00:40:24
Four draws.
00:40:25
Shell case yet the win this season.
00:40:27
Schalke's one of her three favorite teams toe hate on this stream.
00:40:31
And this is where Leverkusen's offense has finally started.
00:40:35
I guess, to find its rhythm.
00:40:36
It started riel slow.
00:40:38
The loss of havert may have contributed a lot to that, but this is where with lever accusing.
00:40:44
This is a game, Shockey.
00:40:46
They're not trying to win.
00:40:47
You just have to go and get your thing done.
00:40:49
Get Joey B. Is one unit.
00:40:51
Okay? Yeah.
00:40:52
I think e don't know if this was recent news or news in the past couple weeks, but it just seems like e think I've seen a couple of players being bought out of Shaka, and they're just leaving club a lot of drama surrounding that.
00:41:06
Um, but they so maybe they start some of their younger talent, and they kind of improve the results.
00:41:11
But, um, not thinking on that happening this weekend, Yeah, it's harder to compare the Bundesliga to the championship, but this is really reminded me of what whole city did last season.
00:41:22
They kind of just wanna get down level, hit a hard reset, hopefully try to get back up and not take them too long.
00:41:29
Shaka used used to be a dominant force in the Bundesliga, and now they're just but the laughing post.
00:41:37
Yeah, Laughing stock, I think they're I mean, they're like, one of the I don't know, four or five biggest clubs in all of Germany.
00:41:43
And for them thio, um, I don't get this rod and just the like embarrassment coming from there, the team and their fans probably not the best.
00:41:53
Um, but yeah, I just look up the Bill Bentley, I think.
00:41:56
Pretty important.
00:41:58
Uh, midfielder.
00:41:59
I thought it was a center back, but I think one of the better players just was suspended from the first team.
00:42:04
Hey said for no reason.
00:42:05
I think so.
00:42:06
I think just drama in and out of this club can't be good for them.
00:42:10
So just hope it keeps them from a win this weekend or even a point.
00:42:14
So we'll recap our best bet real quick.
00:42:16
Joey, I still I see both of us have a lien on here, So let's talk about him real quick.
00:42:21
I don't know if I'm addicted to betting United matches, but this would have been including the Premier League and the Champions League.
00:42:28
Think this would have been the fourth straight match that they played in that I would had action on, um, I like the over 2.
00:42:34
75 here.
00:42:36
It sets up minus 103 This is where I didn't lock it in because when I do the away favorites, I liked it to be in the minus.
00:42:43
I know it's that plus one of six or even right now, so you can argue for it.
00:42:47
All of United's four away matches if they scored three plus goals, so they're covering this number themselves.
00:42:53
Um, maybe I'll lock it in when it comes to game time.
00:42:57
If I could get a nicer over 2.
00:42:59
5 price.
00:43:00
But this was the bad I left off my card.
00:43:04
Yeah, I think when I looked into that, I like both teams of school.
00:43:07
I didn't think either team would be able to keep a clean sheet s.
00:43:10
So if you want I think both teams scoring over 2.5.
00:43:12
I think last time I saw was plus 1 10 eso pretty good plus press there.
00:43:16
But you never know when United wins four or three or something like that.
00:43:19
So, um yeah, I one the one that left off my card and just kind of trying to stay away from the Premier League.
00:43:26
It's been my, um, out of worst league and just a tough league, I think, generally so far.
00:43:31
Um, yeah.
00:43:32
I just think Burnley draw double chance against Everton.
00:43:35
Um, I don't even know what the prices I think it was around.
00:43:38
Even money.
00:43:39
I think just such a steep price for Everton, who's, like, really struggled recently have been pretty bad.
00:43:46
Um, And then Everton.
00:43:48
Obviously they lost five.
00:43:49
Nothing to Man City this past weekend.
00:43:52
But the weekend before that I think they picked up a wanna win on Crystal Palace s o e Think they were kind of headed in the right direction, but yeah, I think just Burnley to get something out of the match.
00:44:04
Their minus 1 15 plus 150.
00:44:06
5.
00:44:07
So, um, maybe something.
00:44:08
I wake up Saturday morning and tweet out, so definitely be on the lookout for that.
00:44:12
Yeah, Burnley! There's been pretty far down the table, so that's probably why.
00:44:17
Yeah, they're in this second relegation spots.
00:44:19
That's probably why you're getting that little bit of the draw.
00:44:22
Double chance prices being a little nice.
00:44:24
Um, yeah, it's just no one's buying the Everton right now, So that's why the odds are moving.
00:44:31
Implied.
00:44:32
Probability says you should back home on the draw double chance or in the pick because it's moved too far.
00:44:37
Um, everything.
00:44:39
They're they're just another rollercoaster team.
00:44:43
I'm just looking up there away form real quick.
00:44:45
They have three wins and two losses on the roads and nothing consistent there.
00:44:49
Um, if you want to back Burnley Good for you.
00:44:52
It was like me back in Sheffield last weekend, so if you end up blocking it in best of luck Alright, so let's recap our best bets real quick.
00:45:02
I got lace 13 total over 1.
00:45:04
5 plus 114 You've a money line in over 2.5.
00:45:09
Parlay a plus 1 21 and writing money Lineup plus 1 36.
00:45:14
Yeah, I've got a C Milan minus 1 24 Werder Bremen and Soup guard.
00:45:19
Both teams scoring over 2.
00:45:20
5 at minus 105 and then my square Moneyline parlays event this Bayern Leverkusen plus 2 14, risking units just to win one.
00:45:33
Yeah, but that's going to wrap us up for this week.
00:45:35
Thank you all for tuning in.
00:45:36
Make sure you check us out The breakdown sports dot Com If you wanna ****nal Tottenham Preview.
00:45:43
Adam's got that for you.
00:45:44
Joey and D j.
00:45:45
They hit you up with winners and losers of all the European soccer each weekend we got fantasy football.
00:45:51
We cover you and all the sports that you need to make sure you follow us there and on Twitter at b r k d WN underscore sports as usual, My name's Rex Tweet at me Tweet at the breakdown Tweet at jelly Whenever you have any place need some thoughts will always be happy to answer you Yeah, you can follow me on Twitter Underscore Joey B 23 Going to start putting out some unlucky and lucky teams of the weekend for in terms of X g um, so interesting to dig into those and seeing how, uh, there's some discrepancies and score lines with actually are and even what you see on TV versus what actually kind of puts out.
00:46:29
Yep.
00:46:30
We'll see you guys Monday for the final match of the Champions League. Have a good weekend.
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Line Breakers FC - Weekend Match Preview and Best Bets

71 Views
Rex Eastwood @REast_Eazy

Transcript hideup

00:00:01
Yes.
00:00:06
Okay, alright.
00:00:15
What's up, everybody? It's Thursday afternoon or Thursday Early evening for all you.
00:00:20
So you know that means line breakers FC is coming at you.
00:00:23
The breakdown sports soccer footy whatever you like to college stream and podcast.
00:00:28
Um, check us out at the breakdown sports dot com and follow us at b r k d WN underscores sports just Joey and I today A J will not be making the show so we could make this completely wolf centric.
00:00:41
So don't worry.
00:00:42
A J there was I was trying to get united in here.
00:00:45
I'll probably talk about them a little bit, unfortunately, But the team that we're gonna talk about the most So this could be my least favorite episode ever because we have a lot of events use throughout here and talking about you.
00:00:57
They just makes my blood boil.
00:00:59
But Joey be, how you doing? I'm doing pretty good as, uh, I finally got a win.
00:01:05
I guess some of these Champions League games, but there's some really good games this midweek and that we turn to this weekend and it's back to just, like, kind of a boring slate across Europe.
00:01:14
But There's a couple of good games sprinkled here and there.
00:01:17
Yep.
00:01:18
I hope you guys caught our Monday episode of the Champions.
00:01:20
E.
00:01:21
We will be back on Monday again, breaking down the final group stage.
00:01:24
But this is your domestic league slate, so we'll talk about what we learned this weekend.
00:01:29
Then we'll give you our match previews in the Premier League in Syria than our best bets.
00:01:33
So, Joey, be everyone loves talking about bar.
00:01:37
Let's hear what you got to say about them.
00:01:39
Yeah, what I learned was Netherlands has, like the best form of VR, and I think they're kind of going against what they're supposed to with with FIFA rules.
00:01:51
But essentially they have the same kind of process.
00:01:53
But when they're going to review their VR calls, they're using like, thicker lines than what, like BPL or what Germany or so Italy used Um, And so if if those thick wines meat or like uh, if they touch it all, they just stick with the call that was originally decided upon.
00:02:11
So it's kind of like in NFL when there's not enough evidence overturned a call.
00:02:15
They just stick with the original decision, which I think, um, it's got to be the way to go.
00:02:21
Or I think some form of that needs to be adapted by these other leagues.
00:02:25
Um, I think it keeps like people from, like, overturning calls based on, like those armpit offsides or the, um It just makes them focus on, like, the really egregious ones that they're like a foot off sides.
00:02:38
And the linesman just happened to miss it.
00:02:41
Um, but I also think just something else is it puts it still puts the onus on the referees to, like, actually make the calls on the field instead of them, just like knowing that they have barred overturn any mistakes they make, and they it removes it is like a dependent on that.
00:02:56
Um, but again, you still have, like those this the same subjectivity.
00:03:00
Issues will like kind of a rise.
00:03:02
Like I think the top comment on reddit was something about like, can't wait for the Earth.
00:03:05
First argument about whether the lines or touching or not, um, so again, like, you'll never remove the subjectivity.
00:03:11
But I think this is like a would be a really good step for them to adopt and just keep these like armpit offsides, calls from overturning goals or like little like his toe, was a centimeter past.
00:03:23
Like I think that's a little like if the linesman originally calls that offsides like, Yeah, sure, that's fine.
00:03:29
Let's like stick with the decision.
00:03:31
But we don't need to overturn anything based on a centimeter.
00:03:35
Yeah, that's a good way.
00:03:36
Thio.
00:03:37
Get out where we're saying some people, like with your few centimeters, air, even inches is how much of a competitive advantage is that? Because usually when you're offsides or when they're making those calls, this because you have a clear foot advantage.
00:03:50
If a centimeters that and they were going to get that technical, so be it.
00:03:54
But maybe we'll see if the Netherlands var momentum could get something going.
00:03:58
FIFA credit us in the e p l.
00:04:00
If it gets going alright.
00:04:04
The first thing that I saw from this past weekend is I've been watching too many event to xgames.
00:04:10
Um, there's still good.
00:04:12
It's just peerless still getting into the growing pains and getting used Thio being on the benches of on the field as a manager.
00:04:19
Um, I think one of the biggest issues that we've harped on.
00:04:22
The event uses midfield, which is the one thing holding them back from being a top five club in the world.
00:04:28
Um, and two of their pieces.
00:04:30
They made this off season with tcisa and cool of SG teams that were middle table or table in Syria.
00:04:36
Two great players I should have that are good to be out there, like to see them getting the time.
00:04:41
But neither of them are getting consistent minutes.
00:04:43
The whole reason why I thought Event, who's got these guys were toe have them to be staples in their lineup.
00:04:48
They're good enough that they would probably be starting on almost every other club.
00:04:52
Maybe, except for Inter Milan.
00:04:54
Those are really the only ones that could potentially go up against it.
00:04:57
But, um, events uses missing or Regista or the director of like the midfield.
00:05:03
And it's quite funny that Pierre Leaud is probably the best one in Syria history.
00:05:07
They kind of got to or if not really in cheese and cool Noveski.
00:05:11
So they just have too many people who aren't doing exactly what they need because they're a little bit more attack oriented.
00:05:16
Cool.
00:05:17
Levesque is a little bit more defensive, but for one of these guys to get in their row to get in the rhythm, they gotta be playing more often.
00:05:24
So I think by having too much talent there unless someone goes down, the event has kind of hurt themselves there because they've got too many like minded players or similar players in the same positions and are weaker on others.
00:05:35
Yeah, they're probably, uh, better than most on paper than most clubs in Syria.
00:05:40
But we've seen it that you may finally finally gets caught up later on, and this is going to be the season.
00:05:47
They finally don't win the scudetto.
00:05:49
Yeah, I guess it.
00:05:52
It suits the same A scanner.
00:05:55
You can't have too many cooks or you can't have too many cooks in the kitchen.
00:05:58
So I think that's just the issue.
00:05:59
You don't know who to play.
00:06:01
When do you think where does where does like Western McKinney fall on that roller Seymour Oven attacking center midfield? There are just more kind of box box guy.
00:06:12
He kind of falls in between the middle of these two because cool Levesque can't knock his offensive skills, but he's more of a demon.
00:06:19
Uh, she's this way.
00:06:22
Mawr attacking oriented and McKinney.
00:06:24
You like to see him? He likes to run box the box, so you got three solid guys there.
00:06:28
But there's so much there's and then McKinney is.
00:06:31
I mean, given the guys on the roster, he probably shouldn't be an everyday starter at this event is close.
00:06:36
I just think they like the energy and what he's currently bring into there.
00:06:40
So that's where their midfield can't build chemistry.
00:06:43
When you're rotating one or two every single match, maybe it's smart with legs and they'll pay off in the long run.
00:06:49
But as of right now, the either way you put it with the too many cooks is a good way right here with you empties.
00:06:56
It may pay off in the long run, but if they're so far behind or they suffered too many losses or to me drop points early on, they may not.
00:07:06
May not matter.
00:07:08
Alright to last quick hitters before we get into our previews.
00:07:11
What you got, Joey? Yeah, I think a classic rule of sports hockey. Soccer.
00:07:17
I guess it would be only too.
00:07:19
It matters in but two goal leads worst leading sports Southampton found that out again this weekend, um, up to a half time, not even till the 60th minute when Bruno Fernandez scored a goal and then Edison Cavani, um, put into super sub coming off the bench saved United's three points.
00:07:37
Um, and again, I think they just found a way Thio to pick up three points on the on away on in a way field eso big Three points for them and just kind of a sad collapse.
00:07:48
Your Southampton probably, um, kind of shooting themselves in the foot, but not just kind of pressing and trying to go up a third goal at some point.
00:07:56
Yeah, I didn't re watch this match.
00:07:58
I was watching it live because I hit that over, so that was a nice one there.
00:08:02
But when you have the two elites, it's kind of like the you can compare it the football, where if you're down seven or 14 and you're going toe half, you can see the type of adjustments that he made to counter act what Southampton came at.
00:08:15
Maybe the pregame notes or the pregame strategy just obviously wasn't working.
00:08:19
When you get down to nil quick, but combining comes in provide some good energy there.
00:08:25
Um, but yeah, that was what I find the most interesting is when we see these big second half comebacks.
00:08:30
What did the manager do? Thio.
00:08:32
Did he change of the formation? Kind of gets you thinking of how that manager thinks? Yeah.
00:08:38
Didn't you bring up the other week? There's been no teams overturned, uh, losing our losses for us up.
00:08:45
Yeah.
00:08:47
I just remember the remember you saying that I just clicked in my head.
00:08:50
So finally we get one on the year.
00:08:53
Yeah, made a j happy.
00:08:55
And the last one got to get some inter talking here.
00:08:58
Since none of us have them in the bets and we're not previewing their match, man, they're just a god**** roller coaster.
00:09:04
I don't know what more to say right now.
00:09:06
Uh, they just go from week to week, two solid wins on their past two matches.
00:09:12
Before that, they're looking a little rough.
00:09:14
I think this is what we're just gonna have with this season where we see city going a little spur.
00:09:18
We've seen pool go until a little spur.
00:09:20
So I think that's where you're just gonna have to Who could take the hits and who can weather the storm? The best will probably come out this season.
00:09:28
Yeah.
00:09:29
I mean, anyone who had a Inter win two nil against actual this weekend probably cleaned up.
00:09:32
I can't imagine those odds or anything close to, like, even plus probably away above.
00:09:38
Plus 200 plus 300 probably somewhere on there.
00:09:42
And the one move that they made that I thought was questionable.
00:09:46
And Conte has been making me look dumb.
00:09:49
He's he's moved taking me to the bench and has been bringing in Damien as the right wing back and it's paid off.
00:09:56
I mean, I was high on Hickey.
00:09:58
Me, I still him. He's young guy.
00:10:00
So I think he came off hot and then finally got into the growing pains, got some good film on home and how to stop him and how they're utilizing in Syria.
00:10:07
But yeah, that's where Inter finally making me happy again and we'll talk about that table in a little bit.
00:10:14
But we got three salt matches in the Premier League.
00:10:16
We wanna highlight first when we're gonna jump to is Chelsea and leads pulls it is finally back with the beard, so check that out if you haven't seen that yet.
00:10:24
Um, Chelsea's home here they're significant favorites.
00:10:28
Leads is plus one so you can lay the goal in the road and get a push there.
00:10:34
Um, this is where leads team total over oneness plus one on one.
00:10:38
We saw them at the beginning of the season.
00:10:40
They had fireworks, some of their games or sell fireworks and high scoring.
00:10:43
But I think the market and everyone starting to finally respect this Chelsea defense.
00:10:49
We've had a J start to say it, which was a big turning moment.
00:10:53
Maybe it's Chelsea Hate isn't too strong because it took, like, two or three weeks for him to get to say that.
00:10:57
But, um, what do you see here? Any good angles or anything? You're looking forward.
00:11:02
Toa Just a game.
00:11:04
I really just passed on.
00:11:07
I'm trying to load up.
00:11:08
I feel like Leeds has, uh, really struggled to score recently.
00:11:13
Obviously, they got one on Everton for the, uh the wind.
00:11:16
Um, but yeah, I just think e feel like that.
00:11:20
Plus the over one on their team total was much as as like is.
00:11:26
Ah, compliment.
00:11:28
Chelsea's defense is it is to like, how much leads have struggled.
00:11:33
Um, I think just looking like they haven't scored more than one goal since their 30 win against Aston Villa.
00:11:40
Um, so they like the one Owen over every 10 00 our snow leads.
00:11:45
Uh, Drew, they got beat for one by Crystal Palace for one by Lester.
00:11:50
Um, so yeah, I think just like the offense got off to a hot start at the beginning of the year.
00:11:55
And the kind of have regressed in, like, Bamford. Who? Everyone.
00:11:58
So I think he had a hat trick against Villa or something.
00:12:01
Um, really scored a couple, but yeah, I just think it's needs just kind of come back down to reality.
00:12:08
Um, but yeah, I just I think Chelsea will get the job done.
00:12:11
It's just a matter of whether they win 1020 or 31 or 41 or something like that.
00:12:16
I hard team to gauge, but I think you know, they always have the offensive firepower.
00:12:21
Yeah, with Rodrigo's back for Leeds, it's a different squad.
00:12:24
Um, that signings definitely paying off, because in that stretch you're knocking off.
00:12:28
I think they lost back to back 31 or 41 games in there.
00:12:31
And that's just where the team was kind of decimated at that point.
00:12:35
Um, so that's where I like to Chelsea here.
00:12:40
But it's just the plus one is just too tempting with this lead squads that I know they're playing much better at home than they are on the road.
00:12:46
But the under seems like the interesting angle here.
00:12:50
Um, but Leeds has known to be too leaky, so I don't think there's anything to trust.
00:12:55
Would be too confident here.
00:12:56
You got a good read tweet at us.
00:12:58
Hit us up in the comments.
00:12:59
What would you like in this match? But nothing strong enough to put our money behind it here.
00:13:05
I actually think A J has a bet on this game later too.
00:13:08
If you saw that the notes. So we'll see.
00:13:11
We'll give that out when the time comes.
00:13:14
Yes, sir.
00:13:15
So our next one is top numbers ****nal.
00:13:17
Um, here, man, Tottenham has been a fun club sitting at the top of the table.
00:13:23
Um, they've only had, like, I believe we're nine matches in.
00:13:27
They only had, like, two Marino matches where they just sit back and do absolutely nothing.
00:13:32
They've only had two of them.
00:13:33
This is one against ****nal where I could see it happening in full force.
00:13:39
Um, the way that ****nal likes to play Joey B.
00:13:42
I'm not going to steal your thunder on how you see ****nal lineup, but Tottenham, especially if they get one here early.
00:13:49
This is gonna be a snoozer of a match.
00:13:52
I think it's gonna be a snoozer throughout, um, on the side.
00:13:56
Wise ****nal.
00:13:57
I mean, they're just Everyone saw the BLEEP that they're going to take this season.
00:14:02
It's not happening there, projected.
00:14:03
As of right now, they have less points than they did last season.
00:14:06
So all that good mojo, all that good hype has come crashing down.
00:14:10
And that's where some questions air there for ****nal.
00:14:14
Tottenham? There, the hotter team they need to come in.
00:14:16
I think that Tottenham prices low, but, um, it's a little bit respected.
00:14:21
They both played today so you could get some tired lakes because we're in a stretch of I think it's four matches in like 13 or 14 days, so you might see some heavy legs.
00:14:30
What do you see here? Yeah, I think this game, either good, is gonna be 00 or like, 3 to 2 or something.
00:14:38
I think we either see no goals or five goals because I think if we get an early goal for either sides, I think both sides want to just sit back and play defense.
00:14:46
So if we see an early goal, I think that kind of eliminates that strategy early on.
00:14:51
Um, but yeah, I just think I think both teams have scores like minus is a minus 1 30 which I think is come down.
00:14:58
But, um, yeah, I just think I don't know what's gonna happen This game to ****nal's been inconsistent.
00:15:05
Uh, just haven't looked good on offense, I think.
00:15:09
Um, did they score an open goal against wolves when they played? Was there was it from open player from a set piece S O that was like, their first goal in open play in, like, six or seven games or something like that, Or three or four games too long of a span for them to go without an open goal.
00:15:26
So, um, yeah, I think this it also it makes me think kind of like NFL.
00:15:30
When you have two bad offenses go against each other, you just want to take the under and then it just like skies over it could could be a thing here.
00:15:38
I don't know.
00:15:39
I think it could, like I said 00 or 3 to 2 and I don't think there's gonna be in between here.
00:15:46
Yeah, this is Ah, I mean, Adam.
00:15:50
He definitely has a preview up for this on the breakdown sports dot com.
00:15:53
So if you want to get a supporters thought and what he thinks and what the lineup is gonna be, you could give that a read.
00:15:58
Hey also gives his match prediction there as well, going pretty well, being a Tottenham fans sitting at the top of the table.
00:16:04
He's been pretty hot on those.
00:16:07
I just don't want anything to do with this game just for the pure fact of I would just go under if you have to go here.
00:16:14
But I think it's sitting at 2.
00:16:15
5 and it's like a juice minus 1 15 or minus on 20.
00:16:20
So stay away again here.
00:16:23
Yeah, E didn't see the one uptown them had, but they played a 33 game toe last.
00:16:27
The last wins the Austin teams, so they gave up three goals. Toe Alaska.
00:16:32
You never know how many goals or how pupils they will give up. Personal.
00:16:36
Yeah, maybe it was a good rotation game for them as well, because I think they're in the driver's seat in that group.
00:16:41
Last last one, we're gonna hit on Joey B's rocking the Wolves jersey, so we gotta talk about Wolves, Liverpool Wolves going in the Liverpool.
00:16:49
They haven't had their signature when yet on the road or against a top club.
00:16:53
Maybe this is the time, because the price looks.
00:16:57
Do you think this price looks short for a Liverpool money line without Raoul for Wolves? I know I know Liverpool's without a bunch of guys, but we're going to see upcoming how crucial Raoul is to this Wolves lineup in offensive generation, I believe.
00:17:13
Yeah, also, shots fired at ****nal for after Wolf just beat them and you said they haven't gotten up, went against the top teams.
00:17:20
So um yeah, I mean, that's no shots fired.
00:17:24
That's just a factual statement.
00:17:28
Yeah, Liverpool there, minus 200 right now.
00:17:32
Yeah, I just think.
00:17:33
I mean, I think I would think towards wolves plus one.
00:17:35
I don't think it may be.
00:17:38
Oh, uh, Liverpool win.
00:17:39
Um, but I just don't think they're gonna blow them out of the water.
00:17:42
Um, I do think for both sides.
00:17:45
Like, if I'm gonna bet on this game out this game, I'm waiting for the lineup.
00:17:49
Just because of Liverpool's injury issues and how many stars they have a top.
00:17:54
You never know who's going to start and then same thing with wolves.
00:17:58
Um, I would imagine, um, Fabia Silva is going to get the start for a striker for them and just see how many wings they fit around him.
00:18:06
Eso definitely interesting to see, uh, and with wolves, normally, they play five at the back, three center backs into wing backs, and I think with just the players they have in the talent they have, they, you know, has been playing for the back.
00:18:20
Just a more general +433 I think.
00:18:23
Um, so they play a +433 I think I would Wayne towards goals just because it's a new formation and more attacking from wolves and they won't sit back, but definitely interesting.
00:18:34
But it will be also interesting to see this game with going up against if you have to get to start B.
00:18:40
A, uh, sad but fun game, I think for them.
00:18:44
Yeah, with Silva, it can prove that the transfer price and bring him and was completely worth if he could step in.
00:18:50
It's just him and Pond.
00:18:51
It's who I mean, those are going to the top two guys up top.
00:18:55
Maybe Netto gets a little bit more run up there.
00:18:57
But that's where Wolves variety struggling to score with one of the best goal scores in the Premier League.
00:19:04
Now, without Jimenez for what seems to be extended amount of time.
00:19:07
Because I haven't seen any timetable on him yet.
00:19:10
Um, that's where I just, uh this this just feels like I I think the plus one I would not lean here.
00:19:18
I would lay it with Liverpool Instead, I know wolves keep them low scoring, but finding the back of the net, I think it's gonna get much harder for the wolves.
00:19:26
Maybe I'm being too much of a downer on that, but I hope I hope they wouldn't hope they come out well, but I think we're going to slip down the table without Raoul.
00:19:36
Yeah, that would be interesting to see.
00:19:38
And I think something else.
00:19:40
So look at I just looked at some odds on this, but if you have to start, I think could be interesting.
00:19:46
E think Right now he's a plus 1 30 is, like, in any time gold score.
00:19:50
And then, if you want to get a little more risky, is plus 4 50 to be the first goal score.
00:19:54
Um, so just maybe throw some some fun coupons on that.
00:19:58
Just hope for the best, but yeah, I could just see him.
00:20:01
Nothing would make me more upset to have him score hat trick and lose three to nothing.
00:20:07
Yes, sir.
00:20:09
So let's jump into the serial real quick.
00:20:11
We haven't talked about the table a little bit.
00:20:13
Where nine matches in here is well, a C Milan has a five point lead.
00:20:18
They have 23 points they currently set at plus 400 or greater toe win Syria with that nice lead.
00:20:25
So, um, if you think they're going to do it now might be your last time.
00:20:29
Because if they keep if they keep up this type of lead, that price is gonna drop quickly.
00:20:34
Then you got intern Sassuolo next up with 18.
00:20:37
Then you got event to snap Aly in Roma with 17.
00:20:40
So tables pretty close, uh, event to says that plus 200 turns out like plus 2, 25 so you can get a bunch of plus prices right now.
00:20:50
If you like to do some futures betting, I think now is a good time to buy in where everyone's kind of just in this mishmash, and you can definitely get better prices out of your team definitely starts to improve.
00:21:01
So, um, I really hope Milan does not be the one who knocks off events because that just might be Justus bad as you vent to swimming again.
00:21:10
I might want to just see you vent to swing it one more time than Milan do it.
00:21:13
But this is gonna be completely wide open.
00:21:17
The Premier League.
00:21:18
Same exact thing.
00:21:19
Two teams were tied up top.
00:21:20
So these table races we knew 2020 2021 hopefully won't be as crazy, but it looks like at least in the table.
00:21:27
We're gonna have the best table races that we've had in a long, long time.
00:21:33
Yeah, I think not.
00:21:34
Just for the top of the table.
00:21:37
Um, I think for Champions League and Europa League spots those some tight races.
00:21:42
I know Sassuolo's up there.
00:21:43
Um, and some of the other teams, I guess.
00:21:47
But yeah, it will be very interesting to follow and see.
00:21:50
A few bay and inter can kind of, um, climb back up.
00:21:53
What place? I my computer's being.
00:21:55
So what places you they sitting in right now? They're currently tied with interpreters are another in fourth.
00:22:03
Technically, because interior and Sassuolo have one more point than them on they sit six points behind first.
00:22:10
So two matches.
00:22:11
They gotta make up right now.
00:22:14
Yeah, I think, Yeah, I guess I don't want and Lassie or the two teams down below seeing if they can make up ground when the time comes at the end of the season.
00:22:24
Yeah.
00:22:25
There's no real surprises down at the bottom of the Syria table. Maybe Torino.
00:22:28
Fiorentina could be the two surprising Fiorentina.
00:22:31
Definitely a little bit more surprising, but I'm hyped for this race.
00:22:35
We're gonna talk about the Turin Derby on our best bet since we both have a play on that one.
00:22:41
But the other match you gotta be watching this weekend in Syria as Roma vs solo.
00:22:46
Uh, this is going to be a great match, because Roma, they have a 3.
00:22:52
9 x g a allowed currently at home, so they're the second or third best team.
00:22:58
Sassuolo is four and so on the road this season picked up all three points in all of their matches.
00:23:04
Um, it's just you got two hot teams coming against each other Guests.
00:23:08
Oslo might not be as hot after the three hour loss, but here they don't have the midweek play like Roman did.
00:23:15
Didn't matter last weekend with Inter, but this is where Sassuolo Maybe they're getting a little bit lucky because they do have 20 goals forced right now annoying and x g f of 13.
00:23:26
So that's one of the bigger discrepancies that you see in Syria.
00:23:29
So, Roma, uh, do you have the line for this match? No, Hold up.
00:23:36
I was I wrote the notes that I had to play in this game, but I don't think I'm gonna play it.
00:23:41
I kind of leaning towards the over just because both these teams came off game so they didn't score well, Yeah, Romans minus 1 45 And the totals 3.
00:23:50
5, like plus one of five to the over minus 1 25 for the under.
00:23:55
So that's where I think you're gonna be smart for laying off this over.
00:23:59
But it could go smashing because, I mean, someone who does have the guys up top.
00:24:04
But Roma, it's I always had concerned about their defense, especially after losing model are letting mono are after monologues transferred denapoli.
00:24:13
But this is the defense that's looked at best and Roman a long time.
00:24:18
Uh, there not under exceeding.
00:24:21
I mean, they're technically under exceeding by their defensive measures because they've let up more than four goals this season.
00:24:26
But this is where Cecil has been the hottest road team.
00:24:30
I don't want anything.
00:24:31
I I want a lot of watching this match, but I don't want anything pregame locked into it because deserve e is I don't think he stays.
00:24:40
That's just a little much longer.
00:24:42
I hope he stays in Italy, but he's gonna be a name that I think could potentially jump to the Premier League.
00:24:49
Yeah, I think I was looking at their X G.
00:24:53
I don't know if you mentioned this, but Sassuolo's like total goal scored was maybe, like, almost double what they're actually was or something. Seven.
00:25:01
Yeah, seven point difference.
00:25:02
So, yeah, that's where I think it could stop here.
00:25:06
Um, I watched that full Roma Verona match where I was where Roma ****ed up their team and ended up taking the loss.
00:25:15
But, um, I was like, This is like old school Syria, where the teams were just playing gross.
00:25:22
Sit back.
00:25:23
Football.
00:25:24
And Roma has been doing it the whole year.
00:25:26
Same with Verona.
00:25:28
So I think these air two teams to be monitoring in Syria because of Verona on their cached easily again last year.
00:25:35
Our last week.
00:25:36
So that's where Roma and run or two teams to be looking to the younger four and the goal scoring league.
00:25:44
Yeah, I think, um e was it similar to ****nal Tottenham? I don't think this game will be as k G, but I feel like we'll see, like a one hour or 20 went to one side or it'll be 44 I think definitely the potential for both.
00:26:00
Yeah, that's why I think it's gonna be Sassuolo is gonna be the team that's gonna have to be playing more defensive because they like to attack a lot more.
00:26:08
But, um, they have been leaky at the back, and that's where aroma will pounce of them.
00:26:12
Jacko's having a great season.
00:26:13
So, um, you might see Sauce will hold it back a little bit, because inter, they kind of played their usual game and it didn't go well for them.
00:26:22
Yeah.
00:26:23
All right, Let's get into our best bets were gonna recap how we did on Monday's show for the Champions League.
00:26:31
Then we'll get into our domestic league picks.
00:26:33
So, um, how did a J *** do this weekend? Are you Are you not sure? Because I think his Barcelona overhit.
00:26:41
So that was his only midweek. It didn't hit.
00:26:43
Put it put.
00:26:44
Alright.
00:26:45
So Beijing? Yeah, A J pushed on that.
00:26:48
He's got one play up for you.
00:26:50
Put some ear plugs in for mine.
00:26:52
Uh, did not have a good Champions League pick.
00:26:55
I said all three teams, uh, should have been favored and they're underdogs on.
00:27:00
Then they all took the picking.
00:27:01
Each one, they all ended up losing.
00:27:03
So in 13 week for me there Earth minus 3.
00:27:06
6 units.
00:27:08
Still up 17.
00:27:10
46 units at 58.
00:27:12
50 and five.
00:27:13
How did you do, Joey B? I was one and two.
00:27:16
So better than my reverse sweep.
00:27:18
So I got I gotta win last week.
00:27:20
Um, my only win was the Barcelona Leipzig Moneyline parlay eso, which was pretty easy.
00:27:26
Well, I guess Barcelona was easy.
00:27:28
Wipe sick.
00:27:29
Almost blew it and then had their to They gave up the lead and got a got the lead back based in the last couple minutes.
00:27:35
So pretty thankful there.
00:27:37
And then I should have bought out a dormant in over 1.
00:27:39
5 once Holland was ruled out.
00:27:42
Um, just been quicker on the trigger there.
00:27:45
Um, yeah.
00:27:47
I mean, the worst beating The weekend was over three for a J and Barcelona Fair.
00:27:52
And tomorrow's I think it's three to nothing after 25 or 30 minutes.
00:27:55
And then it just sat there for the rest of the game.
00:27:57
Um, so I'm betting on over threes is always hard, and it's bound to happen on.
00:28:03
But I think even for fans, Morrow's had a pretty good chance to get a goal.
00:28:07
So, um, thoughts and prayers toe ages one bed this week.
00:28:11
Hey, push could have been lost.
00:28:14
So let's get into our place.
00:28:16
I got three Joey B.
00:28:17
I believe you got three.
00:28:18
So I'm going to start off in the Premier League.
00:28:21
Um, basically, uh, going to get my money back on this one because Sheffield United it's just a putrid club right now.
00:28:28
They still don't have Dean Henderson.
00:28:30
The net thought in a matter last weekend when you're playing West Bram, but just not much going for well, for this club right now.
00:28:37
Maybe they'll finally find their stride when, well, technically, not going against them may well find their defensive prowess that they had last season.
00:28:45
This week, gringo with the Leister team till over 1.
00:28:48
5 plus 114 laced.
00:28:52
They're having scored two or more goals in their last three matches in the Premier League.
00:28:56
I don't think they had a good goal scoring day today as well.
00:28:59
Or maybe they deny as well today either.
00:29:03
So that's where they get back on the ship this weekend.
00:29:06
Going up against Sheffield.
00:29:07
It is on the road.
00:29:09
So this is where I do like this angle is? Well, yeah, I think they lost one of nothing.
00:29:14
Thio Zagoria I think of the Ukrainian team, but they were away.
00:29:18
And our house? Yeah, I'm not sure Vardy played or started.
00:29:24
I didn't look at the lineups at all.
00:29:26
Um, yeah, I think, um, my brain's been slow today.
00:29:32
E think Rex always uses the trends in opposite ways that ideo you think they have scored more than two and three games? You think they're not, But I think they're due for a couple of goals.
00:29:42
Um, in West, there's always kind of prone to some, uh, inconsistent offensive performances.
00:29:48
So I think it's about time for them to score.
00:29:50
I don't know, 34 but I guess I will hope for us to.
00:29:53
And I think that plus price there is pretty good.
00:29:56
Um, yeah, for my first pick, I'm taking a C Milan minus 1 24.
00:30:01
they're playing Sampdoria there a way.
00:30:04
I think the line here should be closer to 1 51 60.
00:30:09
I think the implied probabilities right around there.
00:30:12
So I think that's kind of like an adjustment for that price.
00:30:15
But, um, I just think right in the hot hand A C.
00:30:18
Milan's for knowing away games.
00:30:20
Um and just Sampdoria is they have pretty interesting there they early on, they beat lot CEO.
00:30:28
They beat Atlanta and then they lose to calculate area and in Bologna.
00:30:32
And then they draw Torino so super inconsistent.
00:30:35
Maybe they keep being giant killers and get the win outright again against Sampdoria.
00:30:39
But I'll take a C Milan.
00:30:41
I know they played your open today.
00:30:43
They want 42 after going down two to nothing.
00:30:46
So, um, offenses firing on all cylinders.
00:30:50
I know there's a lot of times out, but I don't I just think a cheap price for a really good team to be the pretty inconsistent team.
00:30:59
Um, even in away game, I just think a C Milan keeps rolling.
00:31:03
Yeah, that's one of those fishy, because when I saw that minus 1 25 price, too, I'm like, Alright, what's going on here? Because Sampdoria isn't anything to write home about, but they have a 4.
00:31:15
7 x g force that home a 4.
00:31:18
3 allowed at home.
00:31:20
So I just think they get in these low scoring affairs because they're much more attacking minded on the road.
00:31:27
So maybe they're just trying to squeak out a draw because they have only gotten one win at home on the season.
00:31:32
So, um, that looks like a good place.
00:31:34
Short price? Um, e I mean, that price can't be if was a lot on place because it's Latin is playing.
00:31:42
That's definitely gonna be higher.
00:31:44
Yeah.
00:31:45
I don't know.
00:31:46
I don't look into I just assumed he was out.
00:31:48
Um, but I think they have enough firepower around him, and and I think similar.
00:31:53
I think they beat Fiorentina two.
00:31:54
Nothing last weekend.
00:31:56
Um, I think we could see a similar game.
00:31:58
Just kind of getting get a result in all three points and go back home.
00:32:03
Yep.
00:32:04
So my next place staying in Syria, Um, got prop building on the book.
00:32:09
So I was able to get this one was the first one I'm doing.
00:32:12
So maybe this will determine if I keep going with it or not.
00:32:15
But the total for this match sits at over three.
00:32:18
So I just bought it down half a goal.
00:32:20
And so I'm taking the over two.
00:32:22
So this is a parlay with the over 2.
00:32:24
5 with the events.
00:32:25
Use money line.
00:32:27
I'm getting that A plus 1 21.
00:32:29
it's the turn Derby.
00:32:31
So you always know the other Matt.
00:32:33
The other teams do get up for the rivalry matches.
00:32:35
But here, this is one where everything that's true.
00:32:39
No, going for them is not what you want when you face, um, event use.
00:32:44
But they have pulled out results historically against them.
00:32:48
Um, this is one of you face 11 Goal winds fine with me if you do that to one. Here.
00:32:54
Uh, this is where In Torino's nine games so far this season, we talked about it on prior streams.
00:33:00
We never gave up the hard stats, but seven of them have gone over 2.5.
00:33:05
Uh, event use Even the money line sitting at minus 2 23 is the price.
00:33:10
I got it in for my parlay.
00:33:12
Uh, applied.
00:33:13
Odd says it should be a little bit more, but when you're getting into the 67% versus 73%.
00:33:19
It's here and over there because it's are a juicy price.
00:33:21
So event is even though how much I talked about that they are struggling with them.
00:33:26
Uh, with the midfield, I just think they're gonna overpower Torino here, and it's gonna be a goal fest.
00:33:34
Yeah, I think I definitely like the UK side.
00:33:37
I think when we get to my last pick, Um but I think I'm not worried about, but I could see just three.
00:33:43
No, not not scoring.
00:33:44
And you've a winning thio.
00:33:46
Um, but you just gotta hope you meant gives up a goal or you went to scores three or four.
00:33:52
I think we very well could see that.
00:33:54
But I think just it plus two plus 1.
00:33:56
21 pretty good price in event.
00:33:58
This, um, for my second pick, I'm gonna hop over to Germany.
00:34:03
Um uh, two teams I have made this bet before, on now they're playing each other, so I'm taking Werder Bremen and Stuttgart, both teams scoring over 2.5.
00:34:13
Price is minus one of five.
00:34:15
Another pretty cheap price.
00:34:16
I thought, um, e just I think there this game.
00:34:20
Also kind of, I guess.
00:34:22
Sort of fits until you're away.
00:34:23
Favorites trying to know you stick.
00:34:26
Usually stick it in the Premier League most of the time, but, um, stew card is slightly favorite going into order.
00:34:31
Bremen? Um, yeah, I think just I know we were This is what I guess, Ah.
00:34:37
Trend that I looked back.
00:34:38
I know these teams have water.
00:34:40
Bremen's only kept Both teams have only kept one shut out so far over nine games.
00:34:44
Um, water Bremen's shut up bl field and super shut out her The Berlin, Um, I think both both teams to score is minus 1 80 ish.
00:34:52
So I think just adding the over 2.
00:34:53
5 to get it to minus 105 I think is pretty good price.
00:34:58
Um, but yeah, I just think Correct score if you want.
00:35:01
I think water Bremen's gonna score, but stood guard may win.
00:35:04
So 1 to 2.
00:35:05
Or to one super winner.
00:35:06
31 student win.
00:35:07
Happy with both, Um, but very well could be to to Yeah, let's see.
00:35:12
Sergeant, get a goal here for that breath inside.
00:35:15
That Be nice.
00:35:16
Um, yeah.
00:35:17
When you give those numbers of how they've only each keep kept a clean sheet one so far.
00:35:23
You just gotta hope one more bags it and you don't get your favorite scenario a 11 draw.
00:35:28
Yeah.
00:35:29
They, uh, order obviously played buying, and they screwed me with a 11 draw there with that Byron and both teams to score.
00:35:37
Um, so let's just hope stood Guard has a little more firepower today or whenever they play over the weekend.
00:35:43
Yep.
00:35:44
The last play in the championship when I was looking over the card this weekend for there to find my hungry dog separate tomorrow's match.
00:35:52
Every home team is the better side and and the favorite.
00:35:57
So unless you wanna pick a team that's a little bit weaker side on the plus money line, you could do that.
00:36:05
I mean, I was just going over my stuff.
00:36:08
Nottingham hasn't scored in four matches, so that's where I if you're not gonna So, Joey, even though I wanna I bucked the trend with my Leister one.
00:36:17
I'm riding the trend here.
00:36:19
Where Forest I mean, this could come back to bite me as well, because once again, uh, their goals, his way under where their ex, she says there should be with forest.
00:36:30
So this is where writing they have a They have a good defense.
00:36:34
They're they're performing defensively right where they should be.
00:36:37
There at home.
00:36:38
I'm getting a plus 1 36 against a club that hasn't scored in four matches.
00:36:43
Um, this is where just going to ride this one and hope that it cashes.
00:36:47
Would like if if Nottingham was in better form.
00:36:51
Could have got a better reading price, but still a little shocked that is only sitting at plus 1 36 when farce has been in this terrible run.
00:37:01
Yeah, I think Looks pretty good, I think.
00:37:03
Plus 1 32 for a home team can't beat that and just, um, seems like reading is a little inconsistent.
00:37:11
Picks up, win here there some draws and losses.
00:37:14
But I think plus 1 32 over a team who hasn't scored in four games can't beat that.
00:37:19
I think I got to stick with that price whenever you can.
00:37:22
Yeah, you Game is where you can buck the trend for your disguise.
00:37:27
Start writing it now.
00:37:28
That's not proven anywhere.
00:37:29
That's the logic I'm gonna use toe make this work in my brain for today.
00:37:35
Yeah, for my my last play, my last couple wins have been, uh, some, uh, pretty square parlay.
00:37:42
So I might just stick with the trend till it it proves me wrong.
00:37:45
Um, what numbers? What do you say? What numbers square parlay is this is this three or four? I think this might be my fourth, but I will say that I think the first one was the Chelsea.
00:38:00
You've a champion Champions League one.
00:38:03
They're both minus one or one was minus.
00:38:05
One moment was minus 1.5.
00:38:07
Um, and then there was another one of labor cues.
00:38:09
And somewhere in there, that was plus 1 50.
00:38:11
But they're all plus price.
00:38:12
Partly.
00:38:13
So, um, I'll take it.
00:38:15
I just I think first one Aventis, we've already talked about it.
00:38:20
I think they get the win in Torino.
00:38:21
Um, just a dominant team.
00:38:25
Uh, not much else to adhere.
00:38:27
Second team Bayern.
00:38:29
Uh, they're playing Leipzig so pretty tough competition, but Leipzig's coming off their win in Turkey.
00:38:35
Um, so they traveling turkey to Germany, and I think they're playing man U in the Champions League A must win game.
00:38:45
I think they're playing man U not P S G.
00:38:47
Um Either way, it's definitely Ah let down and look ahead spot in some instances.
00:38:54
So I think just their focus will be on qualifying for the round of 16 and Champions League.
00:38:59
I think this buyer matchup couldn't come in the worst time for them.
00:39:02
So I think it's pretty good value on a Byron team who rested a lot of guys this weekend.
00:39:06
So, um yeah, and then the third one.
00:39:09
Labor.
00:39:10
Houston Fading our favorite team shock, I think.
00:39:12
E event.
00:39:15
I don't know what you meant.
00:39:16
This is Money Line is, But I think Byron was minus 200.
00:39:18
UK was like minus 2 20 leverage Houston's around minus 1.
00:39:21
90 s o those three plus 2. 14.
00:39:25
I'm just risking 140.
00:39:26
467 units to win one.
00:39:28
Um, just kind of a fun parlay with three teams, so I think should get the win.
00:39:32
Um, and now I've thought about it.
00:39:34
I was worried about event this, but Rex kind of talked me into them.
00:39:37
And now I think labor accusing Maybe my one worry here just because they they played today in Europe had a tough I think they won.
00:39:45
423 maybe 3 to 2 against. Nice.
00:39:48
Um, so I don't know.
00:39:50
I think Leverkusen should handle Shaka.
00:39:52
All these teams should win.
00:39:53
So, um yeah, I just think of just add some action over the weekend.
00:40:00
Yep.
00:40:01
S Oh, this is where I agree with you.
00:40:04
That obviously on board with event.
00:40:06
Whose? Byron I like that angle there of the letdown.
00:40:09
Look ahead Spot.
00:40:10
And they definitely did rest all of their guys.
00:40:13
Um I believe they played Athletico Madrid.
00:40:17
Uh, yeah, they rest of other guys.
00:40:19
They're your lover. Cruising one.
00:40:21
I mean lover cruises yet to lose this season.
00:40:23
So they're five and five wins.
00:40:24
Four draws.
00:40:25
Shell case yet the win this season.
00:40:27
Schalke's one of her three favorite teams toe hate on this stream.
00:40:31
And this is where Leverkusen's offense has finally started.
00:40:35
I guess, to find its rhythm.
00:40:36
It started riel slow.
00:40:38
The loss of havert may have contributed a lot to that, but this is where with lever accusing.
00:40:44
This is a game, Shockey.
00:40:46
They're not trying to win.
00:40:47
You just have to go and get your thing done.
00:40:49
Get Joey B. Is one unit.
00:40:51
Okay? Yeah.
00:40:52
I think e don't know if this was recent news or news in the past couple weeks, but it just seems like e think I've seen a couple of players being bought out of Shaka, and they're just leaving club a lot of drama surrounding that.
00:41:06
Um, but they so maybe they start some of their younger talent, and they kind of improve the results.
00:41:11
But, um, not thinking on that happening this weekend, Yeah, it's harder to compare the Bundesliga to the championship, but this is really reminded me of what whole city did last season.
00:41:22
They kind of just wanna get down level, hit a hard reset, hopefully try to get back up and not take them too long.
00:41:29
Shaka used used to be a dominant force in the Bundesliga, and now they're just but the laughing post.
00:41:37
Yeah, Laughing stock, I think they're I mean, they're like, one of the I don't know, four or five biggest clubs in all of Germany.
00:41:43
And for them thio, um, I don't get this rod and just the like embarrassment coming from there, the team and their fans probably not the best.
00:41:53
Um, but yeah, I just look up the Bill Bentley, I think.
00:41:56
Pretty important.
00:41:58
Uh, midfielder.
00:41:59
I thought it was a center back, but I think one of the better players just was suspended from the first team.
00:42:04
Hey said for no reason.
00:42:05
I think so.
00:42:06
I think just drama in and out of this club can't be good for them.
00:42:10
So just hope it keeps them from a win this weekend or even a point.
00:42:14
So we'll recap our best bet real quick.
00:42:16
Joey, I still I see both of us have a lien on here, So let's talk about him real quick.
00:42:21
I don't know if I'm addicted to betting United matches, but this would have been including the Premier League and the Champions League.
00:42:28
Think this would have been the fourth straight match that they played in that I would had action on, um, I like the over 2.
00:42:34
75 here.
00:42:36
It sets up minus 103 This is where I didn't lock it in because when I do the away favorites, I liked it to be in the minus.
00:42:43
I know it's that plus one of six or even right now, so you can argue for it.
00:42:47
All of United's four away matches if they scored three plus goals, so they're covering this number themselves.
00:42:53
Um, maybe I'll lock it in when it comes to game time.
00:42:57
If I could get a nicer over 2.
00:42:59
5 price.
00:43:00
But this was the bad I left off my card.
00:43:04
Yeah, I think when I looked into that, I like both teams of school.
00:43:07
I didn't think either team would be able to keep a clean sheet s.
00:43:10
So if you want I think both teams scoring over 2.5.
00:43:12
I think last time I saw was plus 1 10 eso pretty good plus press there.
00:43:16
But you never know when United wins four or three or something like that.
00:43:19
So, um yeah, I one the one that left off my card and just kind of trying to stay away from the Premier League.
00:43:26
It's been my, um, out of worst league and just a tough league, I think, generally so far.
00:43:31
Um, yeah.
00:43:32
I just think Burnley draw double chance against Everton.
00:43:35
Um, I don't even know what the prices I think it was around.
00:43:38
Even money.
00:43:39
I think just such a steep price for Everton, who's, like, really struggled recently have been pretty bad.
00:43:46
Um, And then Everton.
00:43:48
Obviously they lost five.
00:43:49
Nothing to Man City this past weekend.
00:43:52
But the weekend before that I think they picked up a wanna win on Crystal Palace s o e Think they were kind of headed in the right direction, but yeah, I think just Burnley to get something out of the match.
00:44:04
Their minus 1 15 plus 150.
00:44:06
5.
00:44:07
So, um, maybe something.
00:44:08
I wake up Saturday morning and tweet out, so definitely be on the lookout for that.
00:44:12
Yeah, Burnley! There's been pretty far down the table, so that's probably why.
00:44:17
Yeah, they're in this second relegation spots.
00:44:19
That's probably why you're getting that little bit of the draw.
00:44:22
Double chance prices being a little nice.
00:44:24
Um, yeah, it's just no one's buying the Everton right now, So that's why the odds are moving.
00:44:31
Implied.
00:44:32
Probability says you should back home on the draw double chance or in the pick because it's moved too far.
00:44:37
Um, everything.
00:44:39
They're they're just another rollercoaster team.
00:44:43
I'm just looking up there away form real quick.
00:44:45
They have three wins and two losses on the roads and nothing consistent there.
00:44:49
Um, if you want to back Burnley Good for you.
00:44:52
It was like me back in Sheffield last weekend, so if you end up blocking it in best of luck Alright, so let's recap our best bets real quick.
00:45:02
I got lace 13 total over 1.
00:45:04
5 plus 114 You've a money line in over 2.5.
00:45:09
Parlay a plus 1 21 and writing money Lineup plus 1 36.
00:45:14
Yeah, I've got a C Milan minus 1 24 Werder Bremen and Soup guard.
00:45:19
Both teams scoring over 2.
00:45:20
5 at minus 105 and then my square Moneyline parlays event this Bayern Leverkusen plus 2 14, risking units just to win one.
00:45:33
Yeah, but that's going to wrap us up for this week.
00:45:35
Thank you all for tuning in.
00:45:36
Make sure you check us out The breakdown sports dot Com If you wanna ****nal Tottenham Preview.
00:45:43
Adam's got that for you.
00:45:44
Joey and D j.
00:45:45
They hit you up with winners and losers of all the European soccer each weekend we got fantasy football.
00:45:51
We cover you and all the sports that you need to make sure you follow us there and on Twitter at b r k d WN underscore sports as usual, My name's Rex Tweet at me Tweet at the breakdown Tweet at jelly Whenever you have any place need some thoughts will always be happy to answer you Yeah, you can follow me on Twitter Underscore Joey B 23 Going to start putting out some unlucky and lucky teams of the weekend for in terms of X g um, so interesting to dig into those and seeing how, uh, there's some discrepancies and score lines with actually are and even what you see on TV versus what actually kind of puts out.
00:46:29
Yep.
00:46:30
We'll see you guys Monday for the final match of the Champions League. Have a good weekend.

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