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00:00:00

week we're here.

00:00:02

College basketball will be starting at 11 a.m.

00:00:05

Eastern tomorrow morning.

00:00:06

Stephen, how hyped are you right now? I'm so hype.

00:00:10

I already told everybody at my job because I'm working all day tomorrow.

00:00:14

Still already told him once 11 o'clock, it's I'm done for the day.

00:00:18

I might physically be here, but mentally and everything else wise, I'm Onley watching all the college basketball scores.

00:00:26

That's it.

00:00:28

Yep, I am psych.

00:00:29

I'm ready, Thio, clock it in early tomorrow we got full slates.

00:00:34

And with the holiday week and weekend, we got games throughout.

00:00:38

That's what your episodes covering you tonight If you're going home with your family, if you're looking for games to watch from today until Sunday, Stephen picked out the game, so if your team wasn't included it at him, don't at me.

00:00:51

He's the one who made your schedule.

00:00:53

So if if the slate ends up becoming terrible, make sure you add Stephen.

00:00:59

Not at me.

00:01:00

But as usual, college game breakers brought to you by the breakdown sports dot com.

00:01:05

Make sure you check us out on Twitter at b r K d w n underscore sports.

00:01:10

So, Stephen, you wrote an article highlighting all the top games from here.

00:01:15

Before we get into that, make sure you check out this article will drop the link into it.

00:01:20

Um, anything big news that you saw anything concerning? We see teams dropping out.

00:01:25

I think John's Rothstein thing right now is Just be happy.

00:01:29

We have 88% of college basketball going.

00:01:33

It's a shame Tennessee was the one who got hit hard today, so they won't be starting till probably the second week in December.

00:01:40

So it could be sometimes.

00:01:42

So we're gonna see squads and programs go through 14 day quarantines.

00:01:47

We're going to see how they just from that.

00:01:49

But what have you seen big so far since the last time we talked? I mean, I've seen e have seen ah lot, not a lot of weird stuff, but like I think what I do think is like the schools that got hit before the season started did go through the full 14 days.

00:02:09

What I'm what I'm thinking might happen is this might turn into, like what college football is doing a little bit where they might.

00:02:16

They might start like if somebody is a positive test.

00:02:19

Then they test everybody like every day.

00:02:22

And if they get to the spot where there through, like 34 days, no positive test then because I think they said the 14 days is only like recommended.

00:02:30

I don't think they've made it fully mandatory yet.

00:02:34

I think they kind of said like We want you to do 14 days But if you find out everybody else's fully healthy, then you can come back.

00:02:40

So I think we might see some teams start to come back a little bit before the 14 days is up, so they can still get in as many games as they can.

00:02:47

But it's weird seeing all these, like big name schools get hit like right before the season like you had always Syracuse, Michigan State, Baylor, Tennessee And a lot of it was all the head coach is not necessarily the players where these coaches doing going out and getting this, always gonna make you question it.

00:03:04

Shady stuff potentially going on.

00:03:06

I'm just kidding.

00:03:07

But yeah, teams, when they come back, teams will be in their third or fourth game. They'll be in a rhythm.

00:03:13

These teams will probably gone through some training practice 14 days off for 10 days off.

00:03:18

Regardless of how many it is, it's going to break up your chemistry a little bit, especially guys for transferring in.

00:03:23

So maybe from a gambling wise, you take that into us perspective or just even basketball wise.

00:03:29

Thes teams could start slow.

00:03:31

Guys could jump on him.

00:03:32

But all these games we're gonna cover for you from Steven's article will be played so far this week.

00:03:39

Cross our fingers, Stephen.

00:03:41

First one we got on tomorrow.

00:03:44

This one starts at 2 p.

00:03:45

m. You can catch it on ESPN.

00:03:47

Memphis versus ST Mary's.

00:03:49

The books have it out of minus 7.

00:03:51

5 point spread.

00:03:53

Kenpom projects a four point win for Memphis.

00:03:56

Tell me why you included this game first.

00:03:59

I I love this game because everybody thinks Memphis is starting to be back, and I like that.

00:04:06

It's not like a huge test.

00:04:07

They're not playing like one of the blue bloods, and ST Mary's isn't as good as you expect them to be.

00:04:12

Every year but same areas is still a really good team, and it's just this is I put this game in here because This is the game that really gets you excited for the rest of the week.

00:04:25

Like you don't have to sit through a bunch of D one against non D one games early in the day.

00:04:30

The first day, like you can get your just getting right into it with, like, a heavy hitter type game.

00:04:36

And you got like, you got Memphis's freshman like Moussa Tisei and those guys, well, him and Landers Nolly evenly.

00:04:47

No knowledge is not a freshman.

00:04:49

I'm pretty sure he's the transfer.

00:04:50

Like having those guys come in and they don't get, like the scrimmage type game there, right into, ah, hard competitive game.

00:05:00

I want to see how Memphis fares against the ST Mary's seem. As always.

00:05:04

They always have really good chemistry.

00:05:06

They're always gonna play you tough.

00:05:08

So this is a interesting game on both sides.

00:05:13

Yeah, what I'm seeing from this game is ST Mary's.

00:05:17

They're projected to play right at Virginia's piece, so two PM if you're looking on for an up and down game, Memphis is going to do that because they have a top 25 piece.

00:05:27

ST.

00:05:28

Mary's is gonna Pillai extremely slow ball.

00:05:30

They don't have the athletes to run with Memphis for full 40 minutes.

00:05:34

So I think right there who decides the pace of play right there is going to determine a lot about the game.

00:05:41

Were also, I think this game is gonna be one is ST Mary's offense.

00:05:45

It's a team offense.

00:05:46

They don't got to go to score right now, Um, the guy that they probably go to his toss or cools.

00:05:52

But I think Memphis has the dudes, the body them up, especially because they're the 21st projected defense.

00:05:58

ST.

00:05:59

Mary's Frank's more closer to 70 or 75 on offense.

00:06:02

So if Memphis can hold them down, Um, I think this game could potentially be a nice little one a 10 point win from Memphis here because I think they can catch ST Mary's because their defense isn't too hot.

00:06:15

So I think Memphis holds the advantage from both sides of the ball.

00:06:19

Maybe they start slow.

00:06:20

What's he say? Um, Nolly being the first games in Memphis closed, but I think we get a 10.

00:06:25

1 here from Memphis.

00:06:29

Yeah, yeah, it's definitely gonna be somewhere in there, but e do think it's gonna be like a 10 point win for Memphis, but it's gonna be one of those ones where they're hitting a bunch of free throws at the end of the game.

00:06:40

It's gonna I think it's gonna be sitting somewhere around like 12 possession game going into, like the four minute mark, the second half and at some point, same very slow pace is just gonna make it like they might miss a couple shots they need to hit.

00:06:55

Memphis gets fouled a couple of times towards the end of the game and winning by double digits, but it's going to get played probably closer than that.

00:07:03

Yep, I can agree.

00:07:05

I think Memphis may start a little slow, but, um, it'd be cool to see ST Mary's Paul Paul the nice upset of two PM that crash.

00:07:13

Probably a lot of people's public's tickets, right off to start the morning nice and hot and get people on chasing mode already.

00:07:19

Can't ignore the first game that goes off.

00:07:21

That's East Tennessee State, and I'll be in Christian.

00:07:23

Uh, sorry, I'm just getting We're not going to break down that match, But if you're a junkie, um, that would be your first one that starts at 11.

00:07:30

Uh, the other game exam your tips off at noon.

00:07:33

So at 2 p.

00:07:34

00:07:35

That's where Stephen sees the best one between Memphis and ST Mary's to start off your day.

00:07:39

Now, he gives you a little relax between that and dinner so you get to pick your action there.

00:07:44

You got a nice late game here.

00:07:47

A 10:30 p.

00:07:48

00:07:49

Eastern U C L A San Diego state.

00:07:51

Um, I'm just more curious of how the San Diego State's going to come out from last season being number one had the chance to cut down the Nets.

00:08:01

Gotta cut short Maliki Flynn gone.

00:08:04

Who's going to step up for that team? We both like other, another squad to step it up in the Mountain West.

00:08:10

You're going up against the U. C. L.

00:08:12

A team where I'm feeling and seeing a lot of hype from this U C L. A Squad.

00:08:17

I'm not ah, 100% sold from Cronin yet because he is changing the style there.

00:08:22

But it's his second year there, so I could see it Kenpom like San Diego State.

00:08:27

The wind by one.

00:08:28

The books have U C L A is a three point favorite.

00:08:31

Stephen.

00:08:32

Why'd you include this game as your nightcap? Well, I like it because San Diego State, even though they're not gonna be the 30 win juggernaut they were last year, they're still gonna be like a 21 team.

00:08:43

This is still a really good team out West.

00:08:46

And even though they're unranked, nobody's really talking about them coming into the year.

00:08:51

And everybody's kind of hyping up u C l A.

00:08:53

Like they finally have them back in the top 25 again.

00:08:56

They think this is a team that can compete in the Pac 12.

00:09:00

I mean, they really need to be ready for San Diego steaks.

00:09:02

I'm pretty sure this is a I know it doesn't really matter because they're so close in proximity, and there's not gonna be fans.

00:09:09

But this is like a true home game for San Diego State.

00:09:11

Still, and I e mean, I do kind of agree with Kenpom.

00:09:16

I can easily see them coming out and being that, like, for the people who aren't as big in the college basketball as, say, like we are like you like, you'll just see the unranked, over ranked win, and you'll be surprised by it.

00:09:31

But this is a game that won't really surprised me If San Diego State comes in and just wins, yeah, that's where I mean, I'm starting with you on this side and gonna.

00:09:45

And if I had to play, put some action on this game, I would take the plus three or take the San Diego State money line as the dog.

00:09:53

Yeah, U C L A.

00:09:54

Maybe ranks a little bit higher, but skill wise on this team and how they ranked offense to defense, there's no significant advantage.

00:10:03

That's why you see the spread closer to three points.

00:10:05

Um, CEO State.

00:10:07

Yeah, they did lose Malki Flint, but they still have Matt Mitchell on their roster and shackle.

00:10:12

So it's not like they have nobody returning with u C L. A.

00:10:16

I mean, are you sold on Chris Smith, Tiger Campbell or who else Cody Riley yet? Not really.

00:10:23

This San Diego State team maybe is losing their heart in their pieces from last season, but I still think they're top quality squad.

00:10:30

We saw U C L a kind of flounder around the entire season, so, um If you want to go with the proven talent and proven recency bias, you gotta back San Diego State here.

00:10:40

Especially if you're getting three points.

00:10:43

Because it could come back because I do think this comes down close.

00:10:46

Yeah, Yeah, I think this.

00:10:50

I think this game hinges mostly on how Well, um how Well u C l A has, like, new guys ready to play because their recruits aren't bad.

00:11:04

You got Johnny, uh, Jews hang in from Kentucky.

00:11:09

I mean, those guys have the talent to kind of swing it, but with such, like, a short, weird off well, not short, like long were, like, short for practices, type off season.

00:11:21

I I would rather take the team with more experience in San Diego State.

00:11:27

Yep.

00:11:28

And here? I don't know, Stephen, if it's gonna be a trend, but you got to slow very slow page teams here.

00:11:34

You've got the total set of 1 33.

00:11:37

So you're looking at a game in the high sixties at best.

00:11:40

So, um, might get a little sleepy at 10.

00:11:43

30 at night, eastern time, tomorrow night, after a few cold ones.

00:11:47

So where do so next will jump to Thanksgiving.

00:11:50

You got one day here.

00:11:51

You're gonna let them watch football.

00:11:53

But if they want to tune in and I believe the Lions always have the first game, So if you're not feeling watch and restore the roar and the lions, you can watch number six Kansas play number one, Gonzaga at 1:30 p.m.

00:12:08

Not much.

00:12:09

You have to hype up about it, Stephen, but that was a must include locked it in.

00:12:14

Tell me about it. Yeah.

00:12:16

Um, well, I mean, if you watch the way ****ing the lions played yesterday, right now, two days ago, then that would make this game clearly just just the best sports event of the day outside of maybe Pittsburgh.

00:12:34

Baltimore. But Baltimore doesn't look that good either.

00:12:36

So, I mean, if this is, like, the highlight of the day, then I think we're all going to be really excited with, um, Kansas.

00:12:46

Bring him back.

00:12:48

They got, uh, okay.

00:12:50

I abba aji Marcus Garrett.

00:12:54

Um and then they got Who is that? Freshman Chris Thompson.

00:13:00

Every Bryce Thompson.

00:13:02

Bryce Thompson.

00:13:03

Um I mean, you got those three back.

00:13:07

I almost think even though the rink six nobody's really talked about Kansas outside of them, losing like as a bookie.

00:13:16

So it'll be interesting, even play that much for them last season as well.

00:13:21

Yeah, it's gonna be interesting to see how, like Kansas comes into the game when they feel like they can be like the underdog or the team was like the chip on their shoulder playing Gonzaga.

00:13:31

Because Gonzaga is coming up with so much hype with Jalen Suggs and I, Kelly and Kelly, he's still there, right? Or did he leave now Cory Kidd, Zberg and, uh, I I just all and you've got anti Watson drew to me like name Hard, **** hard.

00:13:52

Got the waiver so he's eligible to play for the Florida transfer.

00:13:55

So I mean, Gonzaga has the horses to beat anybody.

00:13:58

But Gonzaga's also never come into the year ranked number one.

00:14:02

So I think I think Kansas playing like the proverbial underdog role.

00:14:09

E mean they This is essentially a tossup game, but I kind of like Kansas over Gonzaga to start the year.

00:14:18

Yeah, since we're two days out, books don't have a line out on yet.

00:14:22

Kenpom has Gonzaga winning by two with 74 to 72 this one, Stephen.

00:14:28

You kind of alluded to it.

00:14:30

This is Gonzaga's proven movement to you.

00:14:32

First time ever coming into the season.

00:14:34

Rank this number one.

00:14:35

Yeah, it's a shame you got played Kansas in the first one, but what better way to solidify for the season that year? A reputable in the respected number one coming into it, Um, this is gonna be class vs class.

00:14:47

Gonzaga's projected to be probably like the first efficient offense.

00:14:52

Kansas is probably projected to have the most efficient defense in the nation next year.

00:14:56

So you're gonna battling it out there and then on the other side, you have the 16th best offense in Kansas going up against the ninth Best defense and Gonzaga.

00:15:05

So it's just gonna be will against will.

00:15:09

Gonzaga will try to play a little bit faster.

00:15:11

Kansas will want to play more in the half court, so I don't think either team is gonna get necessarily win, because if they can determine the pace of play, But I do think that quicker game would, uh, a little bit get Kansas more out.

00:15:26

There's wretched defense, especially returning deep Boy and Garrett.

00:15:30

So I think if Gonzaga can get this into more of an up and down game that definitely plays into their hand more, um, if you if you're back in the dog here, I don't have a strong feeling in this one either.

00:15:43

This is just to sit back and watch and relax for me.

00:15:46

I do like Gonzaga, though.

00:15:47

Thio coming out hot and keeping the number one.

00:15:52

Yeah, Yeah.

00:15:55

I mean, I Yeah, you're not.

00:15:57

You're not gonna have a bad take either way because either team could definitely win.

00:16:01

I just I don't even wanna bet.

00:16:03

I just wanna watch it now.

00:16:06

We're gonna jump into Friday.

00:16:07

Three days left for you, Stevens.

00:16:09

Got a little bit of a jam packed Friday here.

00:16:11

Three games for you to watch.

00:16:13

Two.

00:16:14

You're gonna have to double up a little bit, get two screens going, flip back and forth, but it's gonna be worth it.

00:16:19

Um, the first one you got up here is Boise State at huge at number 17, Houston.

00:16:24

This one tips off at three.

00:16:26

PM on Friday.

00:16:27

The East Coast Boys boys.

00:16:28

You know, we gotta include this one here, um, team that we both hyped up high top of the mountain west.

00:16:35

Good way to prove us, right? Real quick is to come out here and smack Houston.

00:16:39

Um, not There's no line out on this one either.

00:16:43

I'm thinking Houston is probably gonna be greater than at least a five point favorite.

00:16:48

So we're gonna get a decent amount of points here if we want it back.

00:16:52

Um, Boise.

00:16:53

So that could be good for us here.

00:16:56

Yeah.

00:16:57

Um, I like this game because I think this might be Leon races best team he's had in Boise, Which is kind of saying a lot, considering he's had, like, 7 20 win season since he's been there.

00:17:12

So ****, it's ah, lot of David Collins.

00:17:17

It's a lot of Michael Dirt you got.

00:17:20

I think the Quincy Rado is No, he's not back.

00:17:25

Who is the other guy? That was back in my touch.

00:17:27

Me, Collins and dirt.

00:17:29

But it goes for us.

00:17:30

F Yeah, yeah.

00:17:33

Yet that's a huge guy back because he missed all of last season with the injury and he's there all around.

00:17:40

He gets you assist, he gets you boards, he gets buckets.

00:17:43

He's my favorite guy on this USF guys USF team allow what? People around the Collins.

00:17:48

But yet in the is the biggest piece back.

00:17:50

And that's what help USF back last season? Yeah, and then they got that.

00:17:55

I want to say Caleb Murphy's their freshman.

00:17:57

They had that freshman guard who's the top 100 guy.

00:18:01

Um, there you're going to see them like these are gonna be the lines for people who just kind of, like casually bet NC double a basketball.

00:18:10

Where, where, like they see South Florida, playing like a Memphis and Memphis only be like a four or five point favorite.

00:18:18

People just try to hammer Memphis, but South Florida has the talent toe hang with the Memphis, Um, but I think I think they can upset Virginia Tech what, even though Virgin Virginia text on a bad team, obviously, But like Cartier tiara, that transfer from Kansas State is gonna be one of their bigger pieces.

00:18:44

And when that's one of your bigger pieces, I'm not super sold on how high Virginia Tech's gonna be.

00:18:51

So I think South Florida coming out of the American Conference is going to be more hyped up for their game playing in a C C team than Virginia Tech is coming into their season against what they're going to call like a mid major.

00:19:05

Yeah, This is where Kenpom has this being a seven point game.

00:19:10

Miley, I don't know what it is.

00:19:12

I know a basketball always end a lot of expression.

00:19:16

College ends less than three.

00:19:18

But when you start laying the minus five or the plus five on either side or even the seven and eight, I feel like a free throw.

00:19:25

And you're always when those come late game eso uh, this is since this is our first episode coming back, it is a holiday week.

00:19:39

Um, give us any thoughts and suggestions that we can make it a little bit different.

00:19:43

Our plan is to get hype up all the games in the top ones.

00:19:46

You should watch, uh, the end each episode.

00:19:49

We're gonna put some bets on to it.

00:19:50

It's tough with college basketball, with lines usually coming out a day or two days in advance.

00:19:56

And as you know, they're verily, highly volatile, so they couldn't move.

00:20:00

Steven has some place for you.

00:20:02

So, Stephen, you want to start riling off with Some of them will be backing um, I got one.

00:20:08

Maybe so I'll see if you could talk me into it.

00:20:13

Yeah.

00:20:14

So what? What I want to do for bets is, since I'm only really gonna be out a day or two in advance, I'm gonna do the ones for, like, if we do it on a Tuesday every week, I'm gonna give you Wednesday's games every week.

00:20:26

But just just follow me on Twitter.

00:20:30

It's that simple.

00:20:31

Then you'll get the bets.

00:20:32

Every day. It will be the college game breakers.

00:20:34

That's of the day, every day right there on Twitter.

00:20:38

So we can You could just do that, too.

00:20:39

But, uh, the games I'm backing this week is I absolutely love Oklahoma State, minus 6.

00:20:48

5 over UT Arlington.

00:20:50

I mean, just that, Like, people love that team in the big 12.

00:20:55

I know they're not as high on him now because they had a couple of guys transfer out once the, uh, sanctions hit.

00:21:01

But you still got Kate Cunningham.

00:21:03

You still have a solid roster around him.

00:21:06

This'd is their first game of the year against a I don't I don't even wanna call UT Arlington like one of the best teams in their own conference.

00:21:16

I don't see them hanging within a dozen points of Oklahoma State, so I'm I love them and I usually don't go more than one unit on a game.

00:21:27

But this is a game where I would definitely put two or three units on Oklahoma State.

00:21:33

All right, so, Stephen, I can confirm I don't know.

00:21:37

That one is the fishy trapping line.

00:21:40

Your you were just talking a minute ago about how your college basketball public people are gonna come in seeing this line hanging here and hammer it.

00:21:48

I think it's the same exact mindset here.

00:21:51

Maybe the bookies know something we don't cause that's fishy. Low.

00:21:54

I I agree 100% there because that's one that this screams take me.

00:21:59

Yeah, because, I mean, I don't know.

00:22:00

I don't know how you like UT Arlington when three of their top five players were all seniors who graduated from last year.

00:22:06

You have a software and a freshman who are both guards, but that's also Oklahoma State.

00:22:11

Strength is like their guard play, so those really cancel out UT Arlington doesn't have the big guys toe hang with the Oklahoma state.

00:22:21

I mean, I also I also love falling into traps.

00:22:25

I'm going to take him at all the time, all the time.

00:22:28

It just looks too easy.

00:22:30

But my next game is Ah, yeah, I'm actually I'm taking the underdog.

00:22:35

I like liberty plus 9.

00:22:37

5 against Purdue.

00:22:40

I don't like liberty.

00:22:41

Still gonna be a really good mid major this year.

00:22:45

I think I think they're going to keep this game really competitive against a Purdue team that lost ah, lot of their big guys from last year.

00:22:53

So I don't know.

00:22:55

I mean, I'm obviously not taking the money line because I don't see liberty winning, but I see it being a single digit game at the end of the game.

00:23:04

I don't see Purdue taking it by double digits.

00:23:07

And that one, I believe, is in Australia.

00:23:10

Correct? Um, yes, that might be one of the ones out there.

00:23:17

I believe so.

00:23:18

Because I was because I follow Purdue basketball, and I believe they're one of the teams that touched down there.

00:23:24

So, playing overseas, I like that one there.

00:23:26

What's your last one for us? So that I'll give you the ones I'm thinking about my last one is, uh I'm not even really going to say it's like out there that much, but I like I like F a U um, money line over.

00:23:45

It was South Alabama.

00:23:47

Yeah, over South Alabama, I or the Atlantic? I mean, FAA.

00:23:55

You bring it back.

00:23:57

Good amount of players.

00:23:59

They lose Galen Ingram from last year who was a double digit score, but well, and they lose.

00:24:05

Um, Richards and Matri.

00:24:08

He transferred, But they have a lot of pieces and they have the big guys to be pretty good with Carlos Salinas as a 6 11 junior.

00:24:22

And then Cornelius Taylor is just gonna be he's gonna be there, bucket gutter and Michael Forest also in the backcourt.

00:24:30

Um, I just I know I was a lot.

00:24:35

I was around Florida Atlantic program a lot a couple of years ago, so I have watched a lot of these guys played together.

00:24:44

I dio I don't see South Alabama being very good, so them being almost four point favorites was the lion was just shocking to me.

00:24:55

So for my game, where I'm looking for a little bit of value, I like Florida Atlantic coming out and winning their first game of the year, getting to the depths there.

00:25:06

I like that one.

00:25:07

I like it all right.

00:25:10

So, actually, just be sorry.

00:25:11

One more thing.

00:25:12

I just took a quick look at South Alabama's roster.

00:25:16

Their top five players last year were all seniors.

00:25:19

How do you lose your top five players and then still end up is a favorite over a team bringing back two of their top four players? Like sometimes you could see it with, like a Kentucky or a Duke.

00:25:30

But for like a South Alabama, it doesn't make a lot of sense.

00:25:35

All right, so those air your three plays will recap those at the end if you just tuned in.

00:25:40

So the one that I'm definitely locking in and then two of them Stephen, I wanna talk to you.

00:25:45

Get your thoughts on it.

00:25:46

I'm definitely taking San Diego State plus three, Uh, no reason why they should be three point favorites to U C L A.

00:25:54

I can definitely see them outright winning.

00:25:57

I like Matt Mitchell here in this spot.

00:25:59

So gonna take San Diego State plus three e like it anytime.

00:26:05

I can't hate on U C L A. I'll do it.

00:26:07

I also do, kind of like San Diego State.

00:26:12

All right, so for the next one here, this one might be a little bit of a homer in me.

00:26:17

But Pat Chambers are not a homer, but, like just from the being two of the more local squads, Penn State without Chambers going up against Drexel Still, like what Penn State brings back Drexel's defense is one of the worst is gonna be pretty terrible.

00:26:34

Their offense is what's going to keep a minute.

00:26:36

I don't think they have any chance to win this game if they get into a defensive battle.

00:26:40

This over is listed at 1 43.

00:26:44

I like this one.

00:26:45

They hit the over.

00:26:46

It's always hard being the first game back, trying to judge what teams they're going to dio, especially in that aspect.

00:26:52

But I really like this over here at 1 43 between Penn State and Drexel, I you just you just like the over you're not on a side, so the side here is the tougher part, because if I had to play a side, I would wanna lay the 14 points which then I would know, would probably lean more towards the on there.

00:27:17

But with this, Penn State's without Chambers.

00:27:21

Um, gonna be with the interim coach.

00:27:24

This is where this team could be.

00:27:27

I don't know. It just depends.

00:27:29

What's the new coach bringing in? What's the vibe around there? They still got shooters.

00:27:32

They got offensive players.

00:27:34

There is just how committed are they going to be into defense like they have been previously? Their games last season.

00:27:39

They definitely relied on their offense again into it because their defense wasn't strong.

00:27:43

Drexel's defense just flat out stinks.

00:27:45

So that's where Penn Stage just isn't committed on the defensive end of the court.

00:27:49

And they just wanna play an up and down game to get into a nice rhythm.

00:27:53

This is where I think the 1 43 gets crushed.

00:27:57

Yeah, you know, I mean, I looked at the rosters real quick.

00:28:00

I definitely do think that the, uh I definitely do think that the over is the right play here because I don't see either team would like a good interior big man where teams would want to slow down the pace so I can definitely see them playing fast.

00:28:15

She's getting up and down the court.

00:28:16

Putting up shots doesn't even matter if they shoot a high percentage.

00:28:19

I think just the volume is gonna make that game go over.

00:28:22

Alright.

00:28:23

So, Stephen, I could blame you if this one goes wrong, but I will officially lock it in the last one.

00:28:30

Uh, so this is where all the junkies they're gonna be, do we not? How can you not take the East Tennessee ST Albert early in Christian over? I think it's listed at 1. 33.

00:28:43

The 11 o'clock tip game.

00:28:45

If you want the action right to the get go.

00:28:48

Where do you think Do you like to side here? Because I think it's za 1.

00:28:52

5 point game.

00:28:54

So you're basically getting almost even our You're basically there is no strong favorite here.

00:28:59

Side total 11 AM Start to the college basketball season.

00:29:03

Will you be betting East Tennessee State and Albelin Christian? I will be betting East Tennessee State. Abilene.

00:29:11

Christian.

00:29:12

I, um I mean, give me some Give me some East Tennessee State, man.

00:29:19

I mean, they were 30 and fort that they were 30 and four last year.

00:29:22

Abilene.

00:29:23

Christian.

00:29:24

When was the last time? They were honestly good.

00:29:28

Um, but I I like East.

00:29:32

Kind of See? I think.

00:29:36

I think so.

00:29:37

I mean, it's the first game of the college basketball season.

00:29:40

You wanna you wanna have a fun start you don't want You don't wanna bet the under and try to sweat it out at the end of the game.

00:29:46

Just bet the over like hope for some buckets.

00:29:50

A nice fun start to the basketball season.

00:29:53

I'm personally probably also going to be on East Tennessee State.

00:29:56

But, I mean, if you don't Are you Are you really a college basketball? Better if you don't bet the first game of the year like, honestly, yeah.

00:30:07

This is the first one where Forbes is no longer in charge of East Tennessee State.

00:30:11

Now, being at weeks.

00:30:12

That's the only thing you have to take into consideration here.

00:30:15

But maybe them being some regression new coach coming in.

00:30:19

Uh, kenpom has Alba lean at 1.

00:30:21

56 East Tennessee at 1. 63.

00:30:24

So he has this right, lined up where it's basically a pickem.

00:30:28

Man, I don't know if you're going to say that to me, but I might do a Taco Bell run or something.

00:30:35

Really small chump change on this one, because the other two there one unit place.

00:30:39

So that's a little bit more of a considerable investment than the Taco Bell run.

00:30:43

But Mike might get one on this East Tennessee State Abilene Christian tomorrow morning when I wake up.

00:30:49

So you want to recap your three place that you got for tomorrow? Yep.

00:30:53

The three I got for tomorrow is, uh, Oklahoma State, minus 6.

00:30:57

5 over UT Arlington Liberty plus nine player plus 9.5.

00:31:04

Honestly, just to cover against Purdue and Florida Atlantic money line over South Alabama, I think they're I think they're four point underdogs if you just want to take the spread.

00:31:16

But I'm taking the money line.

00:31:19

Nice.

00:31:20

So you got some nice plus money there.

00:31:22

My two plays I got locked in is are, in fact, the Aztecs plus three.

00:31:27

And then I'm gonna take the over and Penn State and Drexel at 1. 43.

00:31:32

All right.

00:31:34

So Steve and I will figure out when we're getting together next to stream for you guys.

00:31:39

Uh, college basketball's back.

00:31:41

Jordan and I might be getting some college basketball streams as well.

00:31:45

We got JD's DFS article out there.

00:31:48

We got Sam's L S U basketball preview out there were the breakdown.

00:31:52

Sports is gonna be crushed in the college basketball this season.

00:31:55

It's your must and go to spot to get all your college basketball news pics.

00:32:00

Anything you need.

00:32:01

We've got you covered.

00:32:02

We got you covered in the other sports as well.

00:32:04

Check out our website at the breakdown sports dot com Follow us on Twitter at b r k d WN on their scores sports My name is direction.

00:32:13

You can follow me on Twitter at our East on their story.

00:32:15

Easy with the Z, as Stephen said earlier, when we're not live, will be tweeting out plays well between hoops.

00:32:22

We treat other sports as well to make sure you give me a follow Their Stephen you one say where you they follow you? Yep.

00:32:29

You can follow me on Twitter at Stephen Carlson 97.

00:32:32

They just announced that they're making the UConn game tomorrow, a nationally broadcast game.

00:32:38

Love to see it.

00:32:39

Just a big win.

00:32:41

This is a cent, man can't wait.

00:32:44

Who you guys got tomorrow? Central Connecticut, 26 26 a half point favorites on. Then.

00:32:54

If if one of you are a true follower from the beginning, you will remember Stephen, you projected ccs you to be a double digit win team this year.

00:33:05

They do have the shore and schedule, so I'll cut you a little slack there.

00:33:09

E was saying.

00:33:11

I was saying 12 before I realized it was a shortened schedule.

00:33:14

Now I'm going to say nine.

00:33:15

I'm going to cut it by three, but all right, that's still I'm still holding you to it.

00:33:21

So like we got, we broke down East Tennessee State howling Christian CCs you, UConn, Kansas, Gonzaga, Memphis ST Mary's.

00:33:32

No college basketball game goes untouched here.

00:33:35

If anyone ever has some games as a viewer that they want us to talk about in a stream, hit us up there or hit us up live during a stream like boosted today that let us know which game.

00:33:46

If you want us to talk about one, we'll check you guys out next week.

00:33:50

It is Christmas Eve.

00:33:52

Today we got college basketball and just about 12 hours.

00:33:56

Let's go Yep, there's no no other.

00:34:00

No other stream is going to give you the range that we give you right here.

00:34:03

That's just a fact.

00:34:06

All right, we'll see you guys later.

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College Gamebreakers Opening Week Game Previews

74 views

Nov 24, 2020

1 #CBB #NCAAB #AllTalk #SplitScreen #Prediction #Thanksgiving

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Share Embed

Rex Eastwood @REast_Eazy

Transcript

00:00:00

week we're here.

00:00:02

College basketball will be starting at 11 a.m.

00:00:05

Eastern tomorrow morning.

00:00:06

Stephen, how hyped are you right now? I'm so hype.

00:00:10

I already told everybody at my job because I'm working all day tomorrow.

00:00:14

Still already told him once 11 o'clock, it's I'm done for the day.

00:00:18

I might physically be here, but mentally and everything else wise, I'm Onley watching all the college basketball scores.

00:00:26

That's it.

00:00:28

Yep, I am psych.

00:00:29

I'm ready, Thio, clock it in early tomorrow we got full slates.

00:00:34

And with the holiday week and weekend, we got games throughout.

00:00:38

00:00:51

He's the one who made your schedule.

00:00:53

So if if the slate ends up becoming terrible, make sure you add Stephen.

00:00:59

Not at me.

00:01:00

But as usual, college game breakers brought to you by the breakdown sports dot com.

00:01:05

Make sure you check us out on Twitter at b r K d w n underscore sports.

00:01:10

So, Stephen, you wrote an article highlighting all the top games from here.

00:01:15

Before we get into that, make sure you check out this article will drop the link into it.

00:01:20

Um, anything big news that you saw anything concerning? We see teams dropping out.

00:01:25

I think John's Rothstein thing right now is Just be happy.

00:01:29

We have 88% of college basketball going.

00:01:33

It's a shame Tennessee was the one who got hit hard today, so they won't be starting till probably the second week in December.

00:01:40

So it could be sometimes.

00:01:42

So we're gonna see squads and programs go through 14 day quarantines.

00:01:47

We're going to see how they just from that.

00:01:49

00:02:09

What I'm what I'm thinking might happen is this might turn into, like what college football is doing a little bit where they might.

00:02:16

They might start like if somebody is a positive test.

00:02:19

Then they test everybody like every day.

00:02:22

And if they get to the spot where there through, like 34 days, no positive test then because I think they said the 14 days is only like recommended.

00:02:30

I don't think they've made it fully mandatory yet.

00:02:34

I think they kind of said like We want you to do 14 days But if you find out everybody else's fully healthy, then you can come back.

00:02:40

So I think we might see some teams start to come back a little bit before the 14 days is up, so they can still get in as many games as they can.

00:02:47

00:03:04

Shady stuff potentially going on.

00:03:06

I'm just kidding.

00:03:07

But yeah, teams, when they come back, teams will be in their third or fourth game. They'll be in a rhythm.

00:03:13

These teams will probably gone through some training practice 14 days off for 10 days off.

00:03:18

Regardless of how many it is, it's going to break up your chemistry a little bit, especially guys for transferring in.

00:03:23

So maybe from a gambling wise, you take that into us perspective or just even basketball wise.

00:03:29

Thes teams could start slow.

00:03:31

Guys could jump on him.

00:03:32

But all these games we're gonna cover for you from Steven's article will be played so far this week.

00:03:39

Cross our fingers, Stephen.

00:03:41

First one we got on tomorrow.

00:03:44

This one starts at 2 p.

00:03:45

m. You can catch it on ESPN.

00:03:47

Memphis versus ST Mary's.

00:03:49

The books have it out of minus 7.

00:03:51

5 point spread.

00:03:53

Kenpom projects a four point win for Memphis.

00:03:56

Tell me why you included this game first.

00:03:59

I I love this game because everybody thinks Memphis is starting to be back, and I like that.

00:04:06

It's not like a huge test.

00:04:07

They're not playing like one of the blue bloods, and ST Mary's isn't as good as you expect them to be.

00:04:12

Every year but same areas is still a really good team, and it's just this is I put this game in here because This is the game that really gets you excited for the rest of the week.

00:04:25

Like you don't have to sit through a bunch of D one against non D one games early in the day.

00:04:30

The first day, like you can get your just getting right into it with, like, a heavy hitter type game.

00:04:36

And you got like, you got Memphis's freshman like Moussa Tisei and those guys, well, him and Landers Nolly evenly.

00:04:47

No knowledge is not a freshman.

00:04:49

I'm pretty sure he's the transfer.

00:04:50

Like having those guys come in and they don't get, like the scrimmage type game there, right into, ah, hard competitive game.

00:05:00

I want to see how Memphis fares against the ST Mary's seem. As always.

00:05:04

They always have really good chemistry.

00:05:06

They're always gonna play you tough.

00:05:08

So this is a interesting game on both sides.

00:05:13

Yeah, what I'm seeing from this game is ST Mary's.

00:05:17

They're projected to play right at Virginia's piece, so two PM if you're looking on for an up and down game, Memphis is going to do that because they have a top 25 piece.

00:05:27

ST.

00:05:28

Mary's is gonna Pillai extremely slow ball.

00:05:30

They don't have the athletes to run with Memphis for full 40 minutes.

00:05:34

So I think right there who decides the pace of play right there is going to determine a lot about the game.

00:05:41

Were also, I think this game is gonna be one is ST Mary's offense.

00:05:45

It's a team offense.

00:05:46

They don't got to go to score right now, Um, the guy that they probably go to his toss or cools.

00:05:52

But I think Memphis has the dudes, the body them up, especially because they're the 21st projected defense.

00:05:58

ST.

00:05:59

Mary's Frank's more closer to 70 or 75 on offense.

00:06:02

00:06:15

So I think Memphis holds the advantage from both sides of the ball.

00:06:19

Maybe they start slow.

00:06:20

What's he say? Um, Nolly being the first games in Memphis closed, but I think we get a 10.

00:06:25

1 here from Memphis.

00:06:29

00:06:40

00:06:55

Memphis gets fouled a couple of times towards the end of the game and winning by double digits, but it's going to get played probably closer than that.

00:07:03

Yep, I can agree.

00:07:05

I think Memphis may start a little slow, but, um, it'd be cool to see ST Mary's Paul Paul the nice upset of two PM that crash.

00:07:13

Probably a lot of people's public's tickets, right off to start the morning nice and hot and get people on chasing mode already.

00:07:19

Can't ignore the first game that goes off.

00:07:21

That's East Tennessee State, and I'll be in Christian.

00:07:23

Uh, sorry, I'm just getting We're not going to break down that match, But if you're a junkie, um, that would be your first one that starts at 11.

00:07:30

Uh, the other game exam your tips off at noon.

00:07:33

So at 2 p.

00:07:34

00:07:35

That's where Stephen sees the best one between Memphis and ST Mary's to start off your day.

00:07:39

Now, he gives you a little relax between that and dinner so you get to pick your action there.

00:07:44

You got a nice late game here.

00:07:47

A 10:30 p.

00:07:48

00:07:49

Eastern U C L A San Diego state.

00:07:51

Um, I'm just more curious of how the San Diego State's going to come out from last season being number one had the chance to cut down the Nets.

00:08:01

Gotta cut short Maliki Flynn gone.

00:08:04

Who's going to step up for that team? We both like other, another squad to step it up in the Mountain West.

00:08:10

You're going up against the U. C. L.

00:08:12

A team where I'm feeling and seeing a lot of hype from this U C L. A Squad.

00:08:17

I'm not ah, 100% sold from Cronin yet because he is changing the style there.

00:08:22

But it's his second year there, so I could see it Kenpom like San Diego State.

00:08:27

The wind by one.

00:08:28

The books have U C L A is a three point favorite.

00:08:31

Stephen.

00:08:32

00:08:43

This is still a really good team out West.

00:08:46

And even though they're unranked, nobody's really talking about them coming into the year.

00:08:51

And everybody's kind of hyping up u C l A.

00:08:53

Like they finally have them back in the top 25 again.

00:08:56

They think this is a team that can compete in the Pac 12.

00:09:00

I mean, they really need to be ready for San Diego steaks.

00:09:02

I'm pretty sure this is a I know it doesn't really matter because they're so close in proximity, and there's not gonna be fans.

00:09:09

But this is like a true home game for San Diego State.

00:09:11

Still, and I e mean, I do kind of agree with Kenpom.

00:09:16

00:09:31

But this is a game that won't really surprised me If San Diego State comes in and just wins, yeah, that's where I mean, I'm starting with you on this side and gonna.

00:09:45

And if I had to play, put some action on this game, I would take the plus three or take the San Diego State money line as the dog.

00:09:53

Yeah, U C L A.

00:09:54

Maybe ranks a little bit higher, but skill wise on this team and how they ranked offense to defense, there's no significant advantage.

00:10:03

That's why you see the spread closer to three points.

00:10:05

Um, CEO State.

00:10:07

Yeah, they did lose Malki Flint, but they still have Matt Mitchell on their roster and shackle.

00:10:12

So it's not like they have nobody returning with u C L. A.

00:10:16

I mean, are you sold on Chris Smith, Tiger Campbell or who else Cody Riley yet? Not really.

00:10:23

This San Diego State team maybe is losing their heart in their pieces from last season, but I still think they're top quality squad.

00:10:30

We saw U C L a kind of flounder around the entire season, so, um If you want to go with the proven talent and proven recency bias, you gotta back San Diego State here.

00:10:40

Especially if you're getting three points.

00:10:43

Because it could come back because I do think this comes down close.

00:10:46

Yeah, Yeah, I think this.

00:10:50

I think this game hinges mostly on how Well, um how Well u C l A has, like, new guys ready to play because their recruits aren't bad.

00:11:04

You got Johnny, uh, Jews hang in from Kentucky.

00:11:09

I mean, those guys have the talent to kind of swing it, but with such, like, a short, weird off well, not short, like long were, like, short for practices, type off season.

00:11:21

I I would rather take the team with more experience in San Diego State.

00:11:27

Yep.

00:11:28

And here? I don't know, Stephen, if it's gonna be a trend, but you got to slow very slow page teams here.

00:11:34

You've got the total set of 1 33.

00:11:37

So you're looking at a game in the high sixties at best.

00:11:40

So, um, might get a little sleepy at 10.

00:11:43

30 at night, eastern time, tomorrow night, after a few cold ones.

00:11:47

So where do so next will jump to Thanksgiving.

00:11:50

You got one day here.

00:11:51

You're gonna let them watch football.

00:11:53

00:12:08

Not much.

00:12:09

You have to hype up about it, Stephen, but that was a must include locked it in.

00:12:14

Tell me about it. Yeah.

00:12:16

00:12:34

Baltimore. But Baltimore doesn't look that good either.

00:12:36

So, I mean, if this is, like, the highlight of the day, then I think we're all going to be really excited with, um, Kansas.

00:12:46

Bring him back.

00:12:48

They got, uh, okay.

00:12:50

I abba aji Marcus Garrett.

00:12:54

Um and then they got Who is that? Freshman Chris Thompson.

00:13:00

Every Bryce Thompson.

00:13:02

Bryce Thompson.

00:13:03

Um I mean, you got those three back.

00:13:07

I almost think even though the rink six nobody's really talked about Kansas outside of them, losing like as a bookie.

00:13:16

So it'll be interesting, even play that much for them last season as well.

00:13:21

Yeah, it's gonna be interesting to see how, like Kansas comes into the game when they feel like they can be like the underdog or the team was like the chip on their shoulder playing Gonzaga.

00:13:31

00:13:52

Got the waiver so he's eligible to play for the Florida transfer.

00:13:55

So I mean, Gonzaga has the horses to beat anybody.

00:13:58

But Gonzaga's also never come into the year ranked number one.

00:14:02

So I think I think Kansas playing like the proverbial underdog role.

00:14:09

E mean they This is essentially a tossup game, but I kind of like Kansas over Gonzaga to start the year.

00:14:18

Yeah, since we're two days out, books don't have a line out on yet.

00:14:22

Kenpom has Gonzaga winning by two with 74 to 72 this one, Stephen.

00:14:28

You kind of alluded to it.

00:14:30

This is Gonzaga's proven movement to you.

00:14:32

First time ever coming into the season.

00:14:34

Rank this number one.

00:14:35

00:14:47

Gonzaga's projected to be probably like the first efficient offense.

00:14:52

Kansas is probably projected to have the most efficient defense in the nation next year.

00:14:56

So you're gonna battling it out there and then on the other side, you have the 16th best offense in Kansas going up against the ninth Best defense and Gonzaga.

00:15:05

So it's just gonna be will against will.

00:15:09

Gonzaga will try to play a little bit faster.

00:15:11

00:15:26

There's wretched defense, especially returning deep Boy and Garrett.

00:15:30

00:15:43

This is just to sit back and watch and relax for me.

00:15:46

I do like Gonzaga, though.

00:15:47

Thio coming out hot and keeping the number one.

00:15:52

Yeah, Yeah.

00:15:55

I mean, I Yeah, you're not.

00:15:57

You're not gonna have a bad take either way because either team could definitely win.

00:16:01

I just I don't even wanna bet.

00:16:03

I just wanna watch it now.

00:16:06

We're gonna jump into Friday.

00:16:07

Three days left for you, Stevens.

00:16:09

Got a little bit of a jam packed Friday here.

00:16:11

Three games for you to watch.

00:16:13

Two.

00:16:14

You're gonna have to double up a little bit, get two screens going, flip back and forth, but it's gonna be worth it.

00:16:19

Um, the first one you got up here is Boise State at huge at number 17, Houston.

00:16:24

This one tips off at three.

00:16:26

PM on Friday.

00:16:27

The East Coast Boys boys.

00:16:28

You know, we gotta include this one here, um, team that we both hyped up high top of the mountain west.

00:16:35

Good way to prove us, right? Real quick is to come out here and smack Houston.

00:16:39

Um, not There's no line out on this one either.

00:16:43

I'm thinking Houston is probably gonna be greater than at least a five point favorite.

00:16:48

So we're gonna get a decent amount of points here if we want it back.

00:16:52

Um, Boise.

00:16:53

So that could be good for us here.

00:16:56

Yeah.

00:16:57

Um, I like this game because I think this might be Leon races best team he's had in Boise, Which is kind of saying a lot, considering he's had, like, 7 20 win season since he's been there.

00:17:12

So ****, it's ah, lot of David Collins.

00:17:17

It's a lot of Michael Dirt you got.

00:17:20

I think the Quincy Rado is No, he's not back.

00:17:25

Who is the other guy? That was back in my touch.

00:17:27

Me, Collins and dirt.

00:17:29

But it goes for us.

00:17:30

F Yeah, yeah.

00:17:33

Yet that's a huge guy back because he missed all of last season with the injury and he's there all around.

00:17:40

He gets you assist, he gets you boards, he gets buckets.

00:17:43

He's my favorite guy on this USF guys USF team allow what? People around the Collins.

00:17:48

But yet in the is the biggest piece back.

00:17:50

And that's what help USF back last season? Yeah, and then they got that.

00:17:55

I want to say Caleb Murphy's their freshman.

00:17:57

They had that freshman guard who's the top 100 guy.

00:18:01

Um, there you're going to see them like these are gonna be the lines for people who just kind of, like casually bet NC double a basketball.

00:18:10

Where, where, like they see South Florida, playing like a Memphis and Memphis only be like a four or five point favorite.

00:18:18

00:18:44

And when that's one of your bigger pieces, I'm not super sold on how high Virginia Tech's gonna be.

00:18:51

00:19:05

Yeah, This is where Kenpom has this being a seven point game.

00:19:10

Miley, I don't know what it is.

00:19:12

I know a basketball always end a lot of expression.

00:19:16

College ends less than three.

00:19:18

But when you start laying the minus five or the plus five on either side or even the seven and eight, I feel like a free throw.

00:19:25

And you're always when those come late game eso uh, this is since this is our first episode coming back, it is a holiday week.

00:19:39

Um, give us any thoughts and suggestions that we can make it a little bit different.

00:19:43

Our plan is to get hype up all the games in the top ones.

00:19:46

You should watch, uh, the end each episode.

00:19:49

We're gonna put some bets on to it.

00:19:50

It's tough with college basketball, with lines usually coming out a day or two days in advance.

00:19:56

And as you know, they're verily, highly volatile, so they couldn't move.

00:20:00

Steven has some place for you.

00:20:02

So, Stephen, you want to start riling off with Some of them will be backing um, I got one.

00:20:08

Maybe so I'll see if you could talk me into it.

00:20:13

Yeah.

00:20:14

00:20:26

But just just follow me on Twitter.

00:20:30

It's that simple.

00:20:31

Then you'll get the bets.

00:20:32

Every day. It will be the college game breakers.

00:20:34

That's of the day, every day right there on Twitter.

00:20:38

So we can You could just do that, too.

00:20:39

But, uh, the games I'm backing this week is I absolutely love Oklahoma State, minus 6.

00:20:48

5 over UT Arlington.

00:20:50

I mean, just that, Like, people love that team in the big 12.

00:20:55

I know they're not as high on him now because they had a couple of guys transfer out once the, uh, sanctions hit.

00:21:01

But you still got Kate Cunningham.

00:21:03

You still have a solid roster around him.

00:21:06

This'd is their first game of the year against a I don't I don't even wanna call UT Arlington like one of the best teams in their own conference.

00:21:16

I don't see them hanging within a dozen points of Oklahoma State, so I'm I love them and I usually don't go more than one unit on a game.

00:21:27

But this is a game where I would definitely put two or three units on Oklahoma State.

00:21:33

All right, so, Stephen, I can confirm I don't know.

00:21:37

That one is the fishy trapping line.

00:21:40

Your you were just talking a minute ago about how your college basketball public people are gonna come in seeing this line hanging here and hammer it.

00:21:48

I think it's the same exact mindset here.

00:21:51

Maybe the bookies know something we don't cause that's fishy. Low.

00:21:54

I I agree 100% there because that's one that this screams take me.

00:21:59

Yeah, because, I mean, I don't know.

00:22:00

I don't know how you like UT Arlington when three of their top five players were all seniors who graduated from last year.

00:22:06

You have a software and a freshman who are both guards, but that's also Oklahoma State.

00:22:11

Strength is like their guard play, so those really cancel out UT Arlington doesn't have the big guys toe hang with the Oklahoma state.

00:22:21

I mean, I also I also love falling into traps.

00:22:25

I'm going to take him at all the time, all the time.

00:22:28

It just looks too easy.

00:22:30

But my next game is Ah, yeah, I'm actually I'm taking the underdog.

00:22:35

I like liberty plus 9.

00:22:37

5 against Purdue.

00:22:40

I don't like liberty.

00:22:41

Still gonna be a really good mid major this year.

00:22:45

I think I think they're going to keep this game really competitive against a Purdue team that lost ah, lot of their big guys from last year.

00:22:53

So I don't know.

00:22:55

I mean, I'm obviously not taking the money line because I don't see liberty winning, but I see it being a single digit game at the end of the game.

00:23:04

I don't see Purdue taking it by double digits.

00:23:07

And that one, I believe, is in Australia.

00:23:10

Correct? Um, yes, that might be one of the ones out there.

00:23:17

I believe so.

00:23:18

Because I was because I follow Purdue basketball, and I believe they're one of the teams that touched down there.

00:23:24

So, playing overseas, I like that one there.

00:23:26

00:23:45

It was South Alabama.

00:23:47

Yeah, over South Alabama, I or the Atlantic? I mean, FAA.

00:23:55

You bring it back.

00:23:57

Good amount of players.

00:23:59

They lose Galen Ingram from last year who was a double digit score, but well, and they lose.

00:24:05

Um, Richards and Matri.

00:24:08

He transferred, But they have a lot of pieces and they have the big guys to be pretty good with Carlos Salinas as a 6 11 junior.

00:24:22

And then Cornelius Taylor is just gonna be he's gonna be there, bucket gutter and Michael Forest also in the backcourt.

00:24:30

Um, I just I know I was a lot.

00:24:35

I was around Florida Atlantic program a lot a couple of years ago, so I have watched a lot of these guys played together.

00:24:44

I dio I don't see South Alabama being very good, so them being almost four point favorites was the lion was just shocking to me.

00:24:55

So for my game, where I'm looking for a little bit of value, I like Florida Atlantic coming out and winning their first game of the year, getting to the depths there.

00:25:06

I like that one.

00:25:07

I like it all right.

00:25:10

So, actually, just be sorry.

00:25:11

One more thing.

00:25:12

I just took a quick look at South Alabama's roster.

00:25:16

Their top five players last year were all seniors.

00:25:19

How do you lose your top five players and then still end up is a favorite over a team bringing back two of their top four players? Like sometimes you could see it with, like a Kentucky or a Duke.

00:25:30

But for like a South Alabama, it doesn't make a lot of sense.

00:25:35

All right, so those air your three plays will recap those at the end if you just tuned in.

00:25:40

So the one that I'm definitely locking in and then two of them Stephen, I wanna talk to you.

00:25:45

Get your thoughts on it.

00:25:46

I'm definitely taking San Diego State plus three, Uh, no reason why they should be three point favorites to U C L A.

00:25:54

I can definitely see them outright winning.

00:25:57

I like Matt Mitchell here in this spot.

00:25:59

So gonna take San Diego State plus three e like it anytime.

00:26:05

I can't hate on U C L A. I'll do it.

00:26:07

I also do, kind of like San Diego State.

00:26:12

All right, so for the next one here, this one might be a little bit of a homer in me.

00:26:17

00:26:34

Their offense is what's going to keep a minute.

00:26:36

I don't think they have any chance to win this game if they get into a defensive battle.

00:26:40

This over is listed at 1 43.

00:26:44

I like this one.

00:26:45

They hit the over.

00:26:46

It's always hard being the first game back, trying to judge what teams they're going to dio, especially in that aspect.

00:26:52

00:27:17

But with this, Penn State's without Chambers.

00:27:21

Um, gonna be with the interim coach.

00:27:24

This is where this team could be.

00:27:27

I don't know. It just depends.

00:27:29

What's the new coach bringing in? What's the vibe around there? They still got shooters.

00:27:32

They got offensive players.

00:27:34

There is just how committed are they going to be into defense like they have been previously? Their games last season.

00:27:39

They definitely relied on their offense again into it because their defense wasn't strong.

00:27:43

Drexel's defense just flat out stinks.

00:27:45

So that's where Penn Stage just isn't committed on the defensive end of the court.

00:27:49

And they just wanna play an up and down game to get into a nice rhythm.

00:27:53

This is where I think the 1 43 gets crushed.

00:27:57

Yeah, you know, I mean, I looked at the rosters real quick.

00:28:00

00:28:15

She's getting up and down the court.

00:28:16

Putting up shots doesn't even matter if they shoot a high percentage.

00:28:19

I think just the volume is gonna make that game go over.

00:28:22

Alright.

00:28:23

So, Stephen, I could blame you if this one goes wrong, but I will officially lock it in the last one.

00:28:30

Uh, so this is where all the junkies they're gonna be, do we not? How can you not take the East Tennessee ST Albert early in Christian over? I think it's listed at 1. 33.

00:28:43

The 11 o'clock tip game.

00:28:45

If you want the action right to the get go.

00:28:48

Where do you think Do you like to side here? Because I think it's za 1.

00:28:52

5 point game.

00:28:54

So you're basically getting almost even our You're basically there is no strong favorite here.

00:28:59

Side total 11 AM Start to the college basketball season.

00:29:03

Will you be betting East Tennessee State and Albelin Christian? I will be betting East Tennessee State. Abilene.

00:29:11

Christian.

00:29:12

I, um I mean, give me some Give me some East Tennessee State, man.

00:29:19

I mean, they were 30 and fort that they were 30 and four last year.

00:29:22

Abilene.

00:29:23

Christian.

00:29:24

When was the last time? They were honestly good.

00:29:28

Um, but I I like East.

00:29:32

Kind of See? I think.

00:29:36

I think so.

00:29:37

I mean, it's the first game of the college basketball season.

00:29:40

You wanna you wanna have a fun start you don't want You don't wanna bet the under and try to sweat it out at the end of the game.

00:29:46

Just bet the over like hope for some buckets.

00:29:50

A nice fun start to the basketball season.

00:29:53

I'm personally probably also going to be on East Tennessee State.

00:29:56

But, I mean, if you don't Are you Are you really a college basketball? Better if you don't bet the first game of the year like, honestly, yeah.

00:30:07

This is the first one where Forbes is no longer in charge of East Tennessee State.

00:30:11

Now, being at weeks.

00:30:12

That's the only thing you have to take into consideration here.

00:30:15

But maybe them being some regression new coach coming in.

00:30:19

Uh, kenpom has Alba lean at 1.

00:30:21

56 East Tennessee at 1. 63.

00:30:24

So he has this right, lined up where it's basically a pickem.

00:30:28

Man, I don't know if you're going to say that to me, but I might do a Taco Bell run or something.

00:30:35

Really small chump change on this one, because the other two there one unit place.

00:30:39

So that's a little bit more of a considerable investment than the Taco Bell run.

00:30:43

But Mike might get one on this East Tennessee State Abilene Christian tomorrow morning when I wake up.

00:30:49

So you want to recap your three place that you got for tomorrow? Yep.

00:30:53

The three I got for tomorrow is, uh, Oklahoma State, minus 6.

00:30:57

5 over UT Arlington Liberty plus nine player plus 9.5.

00:31:04

Honestly, just to cover against Purdue and Florida Atlantic money line over South Alabama, I think they're I think they're four point underdogs if you just want to take the spread.

00:31:16

But I'm taking the money line.

00:31:19

Nice.

00:31:20

So you got some nice plus money there.

00:31:22

My two plays I got locked in is are, in fact, the Aztecs plus three.

00:31:27

And then I'm gonna take the over and Penn State and Drexel at 1. 43.

00:31:32

All right.

00:31:34

So Steve and I will figure out when we're getting together next to stream for you guys.

00:31:39

Uh, college basketball's back.

00:31:41

Jordan and I might be getting some college basketball streams as well.

00:31:45

We got JD's DFS article out there.

00:31:48

We got Sam's L S U basketball preview out there were the breakdown.

00:31:52

Sports is gonna be crushed in the college basketball this season.

00:31:55

It's your must and go to spot to get all your college basketball news pics.

00:32:00

Anything you need.

00:32:01

We've got you covered.

00:32:02

We got you covered in the other sports as well.

00:32:04

Check out our website at the breakdown sports dot com Follow us on Twitter at b r k d WN on their scores sports My name is direction.

00:32:13

You can follow me on Twitter at our East on their story.

00:32:15

Easy with the Z, as Stephen said earlier, when we're not live, will be tweeting out plays well between hoops.

00:32:22

We treat other sports as well to make sure you give me a follow Their Stephen you one say where you they follow you? Yep.

00:32:29

You can follow me on Twitter at Stephen Carlson 97.

00:32:32

They just announced that they're making the UConn game tomorrow, a nationally broadcast game.

00:32:38

Love to see it.

00:32:39

Just a big win.

00:32:41

This is a cent, man can't wait.

00:32:44

Who you guys got tomorrow? Central Connecticut, 26 26 a half point favorites on. Then.

00:32:54

If if one of you are a true follower from the beginning, you will remember Stephen, you projected ccs you to be a double digit win team this year.

00:33:05

They do have the shore and schedule, so I'll cut you a little slack there.

00:33:09

E was saying.

00:33:11

I was saying 12 before I realized it was a shortened schedule.

00:33:14

Now I'm going to say nine.

00:33:15

I'm going to cut it by three, but all right, that's still I'm still holding you to it.

00:33:21

So like we got, we broke down East Tennessee State howling Christian CCs you, UConn, Kansas, Gonzaga, Memphis ST Mary's.

00:33:32

No college basketball game goes untouched here.

00:33:35

If anyone ever has some games as a viewer that they want us to talk about in a stream, hit us up there or hit us up live during a stream like boosted today that let us know which game.

00:33:46

If you want us to talk about one, we'll check you guys out next week.

00:33:50

It is Christmas Eve.

00:33:52

Today we got college basketball and just about 12 hours.

00:33:56

Let's go Yep, there's no no other.

00:34:00

No other stream is going to give you the range that we give you right here.

00:34:03

That's just a fact.