SportsCastr • Line Breakers FC - Weekend Match Previews and Best Bets
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00:00:00
right? Yeah.
00:00:08
Correct.
00:00:16
Um I mean, okay, yeah.
00:00:27
I feel like you cut that one off early.
00:00:28
I was waiting for the lady to sink.
00:00:30
Yes, there we go.
00:00:32
SportsCastr said it was ready, but then just kept spinning.
00:00:35
But we're good now.
00:00:36
What's up, everybody? Line breakers FC.
00:00:39
We're back from the international break.
00:00:41
Thank God we got some good quality soccer coming back.
00:00:45
Um, I'm gonna I'm not a hater of the international break, but this past one was a little rough just given how many games they're going on.
00:00:53
But as usual, line breakers FC, the best soccer stream podcast out there brought to you by the breakdown sports dot com Make sure you follow us at b r k d w n underscore sports as usual.
00:01:06
Rex here with a J and Joey haven't seen us in a week and a half, but no international break until spring.
00:01:13
So you go and see a bunch of us coming forward.
00:01:15
So we're in the throttle.
00:01:17
We're ready.
00:01:18
How you doing? A J dude, I am hyped to be back.
00:01:21
We have a great show on deck and, uh, yeah, like you said, excited for domestic play to be back.
00:01:27
Joey, How we feeling? Same.
00:01:30
I think this pass international break was one of, like, the most ill times once, um, most things to be like, I feel like just getting back into the season was, like, got a good groove.
00:01:41
And then I also think, just like in the middle of the pandemic, sending all these players all over the globe playing against each other just couldn't be a worse idea.
00:01:49
Um, you have a number of players coming back testing positive or having to sit down and stuff like that.
00:01:54
So, um, hopefully we just stick.
00:01:56
I guess we do get the stick to domestic place.
00:01:58
So hopefully we get some consistency coming in between these teams and their domestically exam, the U F A cups champions or whatever you wanna call them.
00:02:09
Yep.
00:02:10
So, as usual, we'll give you what we thought about what's going on in the Premier League season so far, since there's no matches to recap preview of the matches coming up this week and our best bets just got to sneak something in there.
00:02:23
Make sure you stay for these best bets.
00:02:25
We've been on fire, So gonna be a good episode at the end here and MLS playoffs start tomorrow night.
00:02:32
So for all you I'm a less junkies out there.
00:02:35
Let's get going, Joe, You said the people coming back from International Break and the cove it Rosie for LFC tested positive.
00:02:44
So he's gonna be out against their match at the sound there, so L a f c are gonna be pretty hefty dogs.
00:02:51
So, uh, yeah, MLS.
00:02:53
Probably.
00:02:54
He's going to get hit the hardest from this international break, since teams that air still in qualification or it's still in the playoffs could get screwed from it.
00:03:01
But that's the only name of the biggest name that I've seen so far.
00:03:06
What? So why do you think the MLS is going to get hit the hardest? Well, it's just because if someone gets tested positive now, like Grossi for your team and that's in the one game elimination for the playoffs Oh, it doesn't mean like most people just like biggest impact, that makes sense.
00:03:23
Got it? Like I think most so and El Nene for ****nal of tested positive.
00:03:28
But like what? They'll miss one game, probably and even be back by Champions League for the midweek, but yeah, it is tough for the one game elimination playoff student missing your biggest stars.
00:03:41
So All right, so the Premier League, we are exactly 21% through, so we're just almost at that quarter mark.
00:03:50
So instead of doing a quarter mark show, we're just going to kind of give us to you right now.
00:03:54
What? We've seen what we've learned so far.
00:03:57
Um, the biggest thing that I've seen is according to the bookmakers and implied probability City has the best chance to win, even though they're sit six points back.
00:04:08
Granted, they still have 80% of their season to go.
00:04:11
But I found that interesting that they're sitting at plus 1 45 right now.
00:04:16
So I think that's just given that Liverpool they're only giving them a 28% chance, but at plus 1 55.
00:04:24
So you're losing a decent amount of value right now if you're backing Liverpool to win it, But I guess given the injuries and how long some of those crucial ones for pulls gonna be, that's what's given City.
00:04:34
The higher chances to win.
00:04:36
But given from what I've seen so far this season, they're not the team that's going to take it home either.
00:04:41
So if they don't clean it up and change it up right now, that's my thing is I do think these top two are very vulnerable.
00:04:49
We're coming into the season.
00:04:51
I thought it was city or pool.
00:04:53
No one else was in contention.
00:04:54
This is wide open.
00:04:57
Horrible.
00:04:59
Yeah, I just I I agree.
00:05:01
I think this game this coming week against Tottenham will be a big one for them. Just going forward.
00:05:08
I think even, um, we'll probably talk a little bit about it.
00:05:11
But like the games through December in January, gonna be key for all these teams, as like normally is.
00:05:17
But I think even more so for these title contenders.
00:05:19
Toe like give themselves a shot.
00:05:21
Come springtime.
00:05:23
Yeah, I'm not sure what bookmakers air saying, giving city that much advantage being to being six points back.
00:05:31
Maybe they know something we don't.
00:05:32
But if you are looking to bet unlivable to take the league, would you consider taking them now because they have the point advantage or wait for them to get a better price? They're just given with what they had last season I mean, it was probably in a miracle run.
00:05:50
Teams won't do it again, but they have zero of their like minutes or they're missing key guys coming up in this stretch where I think they're gonna hit a little bit of a rough part.
00:06:00
And right now is not the time to buy into Liverpool.
00:06:03
Yeah, you should have done e think they're listen around the same price.
00:06:07
Or if I like pasta 2 20 preseason to grab them.
00:06:10
So hopefully you grab them preseason.
00:06:12
Right now, it's not the time to buy into this team.
00:06:15
I would if you're going to do it.
00:06:16
I think you're crazy.
00:06:17
And I can usually be swayed by bets.
00:06:20
But this one right now, if you're locking it in your just your homer or you see something I don't, it's fair enough.
00:06:30
Perfect.
00:06:31
Did you, uh, a J? What's your next thought? Since you're gonna talk about a team up towards the top of the table, so might as well stay there.
00:06:38
Yeah, this one kind of things for me to talk about, but I got to give respect and credit where it's due.
00:06:43
So one thing that I've learned in the Premier League in the past couple weeks is for me that Chelsea defensively have really turned it around.
00:06:51
Um, I think at the start of the season, they were almost automatic overs.
00:06:55
Um, however, recently, I think Chelsea they've held clean sheets in their last five out of their six games.
00:07:01
Um, they're expected goals.
00:07:03
Um, have been less than one for the past four games.
00:07:06
Um wow, look at me talking about expected goals.
00:07:09
I know, right? Um and I think based unexpected goals against part of me, um, their top five in the Premier League.
00:07:17
And they haven't considered the pen a penalty in the Premier League.
00:07:21
Eso defensively show.
00:07:23
Well, Thiago Silva, they're tightening up the back.
00:07:26
Frank Lampard must have turned some screws and they're looking solid at the back.
00:07:30
Yeah, Yeah, I think Chelsea started listening to the stream because a J Usually when you start hating on a team, they turn it around.
00:07:37
And once you declared yourself a Chelsea hater, they've been getting they've been going on a nice run.
00:07:42
And on the best part is if this defense, maybe they got on a hot streak.
00:07:48
Maybe it's a flash in the pan But if this is here and this is the state and they haven't had their top four up top yet solidified in any of these games yet so far, someone's been out.
00:07:59
Someone's been tweaked up during the game.
00:08:01
So that's where this Chelsea team, if you're going to maybe potentially buy into one this buying in on to them might be a team that has a nice shot to go to it.
00:08:15
So, for me personally, I'm still on the Chelsea hate train.
00:08:17
Um, I mean, it's a good run of form.
00:08:21
I can't deny it, but, I mean, I like we talk about every show it za long season.
00:08:27
Um, you have players coming in and out.
00:08:30
So obviously preseason to talk about them.
00:08:32
Missing top four.
00:08:33
Let's looking less and less likely each match day.
00:08:37
Joey B.
00:08:38
Before we get to your point in the Premier League, I just found it extremely interesting so far that I don't know if this happens.
00:08:46
Live betters out.
00:08:47
There probably are getting killed by this right now, but if you're losing at halftime, no team in the Premier League guys came back to win the second half to win the game, which I thought is extremely strange where if teams we've seen draws, so you can't back out that if you're down and you still pull out a point there.
00:09:05
But no team has came all the way through yet.
00:09:08
Wolves haven't had any second half magic, and I just think it's strange that where seven in times 20 do that math, whatever.
00:09:17
I'm good at it.
00:09:18
I don't feel like doing it on the stream and we haven't had one comeback winner.
00:09:24
Yeah, I mean, I think we've had some big, like three goal comeback draws, I think Chelsea, West, Bram and then West Ham live report, I think was one.
00:09:33
So there's definitely been some comebacks.
00:09:35
But I think like first thing that came to my mind is the lack of fans like it's almost once a team goes down, they don't have the fans pushing them, even Mawr to get the final goal or whatever.
00:09:46
So I think once teams that get the first goal just immediately have the momentum and then there's nothing there to for a team to get it back.
00:09:54
So I think that's probably a lot of why we're seeing it or it's just a weird anomaly, and we're going to see a million second half comebacks in the end of the second half of the year.
00:10:03
But, yeah, it's definitely interesting.
00:10:04
Um, so I would I don't know if you looked at the other big weeks about.
00:10:07
Imagine, there's a little bit more, um, of that, like variants there.
00:10:12
But I think it's just odd, I think even in the Premier League, probably the fans or so they're not more passionate.
00:10:18
But they seem to be like, um, like, mo more close knit, I guess.
00:10:24
Arm or influential and loud and stuff, given the atmosphere of some of the stadium.
00:10:28
So maybe that plays a part.
00:10:30
But yeah, it's definitely an interesting kid that you found.
00:10:33
Yes, Syria has four for comparison.
00:10:39
All right.
00:10:40
A J What did you learn over the international break? School Time? International break.
00:10:45
Well, for me, I am very excited for the U.
00:10:48
S.
00:10:49
Men's national team.
00:10:50
Um, they look good.
00:10:51
That's Ah, that's all I have hope for for the international break for the U. S.
00:10:55
Men's national team.
00:10:56
Different, different faces, different looks.
00:10:58
So that's it.
00:11:00
Joey B.
00:11:01
What do you got for us? Yeah, I think that the U.
00:11:04
S.
00:11:05
National team is definitely a team full of youngsters that air from Tau Tau Watch and follow in Europe.
00:11:10
And I guess my my point is not as much is what I've learned so far this year, but also maybe, uh, some information and stuff to keep in mind going forward, especially if you're new to the e p l or new to gambling.
00:11:22
Um, it's definitely important to not take this like 1st 5th of the season is like the big picture thing or even like one full season.
00:11:29
Like if you look back to last year teams doing well, teams not doing well on this is true for, like the Big Six teams and the non big six teams.
00:11:37
Um so just because, like, I don't know, Lester is leading the table now and have had a history of success doesn't mean that's gonna carry over through the full season.
00:11:45
It's a like, what, 38 games? So we have a long way to go.
00:11:48
Um, you like already seem like kind of like a microcosm of this example with Everton.
00:11:53
Um, they opened up the season four. No.
00:11:57
Then they go for winless, So I think it's a team.
00:11:59
It just proves that it's really, really hard to stay consistent in the e p l Um, not just over one season, but multiple seasons, especially if you're like a big 16.
00:12:10
Um, and just I don't know if you have somebody thoughts, but I'm just tons of examples like Sheffield, where everyone's like favorite team last year, nearly promoted, and now they're sitting at the bottom of the table, not just looking like relegation candidates, but looking like a team that is gonna finish like at the very bottom of the table.
00:12:26
Um, another one, like Burnley was in Europe, not in 2018.
00:12:32
They are only in the qualifiers, but now it's like they look totally lost.
00:12:36
Sitting second last, um, they would like Billa.
00:12:39
They barely survived this year or last year.
00:12:41
Now they're like high flying high in the table on then same with lead or another pro team leads.
00:12:47
Everyone thought they do amazing top six finish whatever, and they're kind of sitting in the lower half, Um so I don't know.
00:12:54
I think it's just no matter how much like like uncer*****y there is and like started this season.
00:12:59
I think the top half of the table will always look the same.
00:13:02
Um, you see, like City and ****nal sitting 10th and 11th like there most likely will not stay 10th and 11th.
00:13:09
A lot of those teams, those Big six teams, are going to move up.
00:13:12
Um, well, maybe a little bit, maybe the 938 But yeah, I don't know if it's just like, definitely something to keep in mind.
00:13:22
Like don't like Mississippi or whoever haven't gotten off to a hot start.
00:13:25
Like, I think that will turn around and Villa will fall back a little bit and stuff like that.
00:13:30
Um, it's just really hard for these teams to stay consistent through the whole year.
00:13:35
So finding the right time to hop on and off those trends is is definitely key.
00:13:40
So it's not necessarily something I've learned, but something to keep in mind.
00:13:44
Um, maybe something our viewers should learn and look into a little more.
00:13:47
Yeah, the best way to attack this one before we get into our match previews is once you get about 27 to 8 to 10 games into a season, you could start using the ****ytics and see which teams are getting unlucky and which ones are overachieving at this point.
00:14:02
To Joey's example, Villa is a prime team that's over exceeding at this point, and I don't know an under exceeding ones.
00:14:10
I mean, Sheffield United has to be up there, but they're getting drubbed in all of their losses, so that's not being helped.
00:14:15
They're so with this international break, I think not having another one till spring.
00:14:20
This is kind of your reset button.
00:14:22
So if you're really looking for a team to go against the grain changed the mojo, I would say, watching the first two or three matches to see if are they doing something tactically different? Are they still riding it out? The winter transfer window is gonna open soon.
00:14:36
So are they just hoping for the best and trying to survive till they get there? So the this next month or two is definitely going to be interesting, especially with the last three matches in the Champions League and Europa League coming up as well.
00:14:50
Yeah, and I think Rex always says the best.
00:14:53
That water always finds level, so you'll see your last.
00:14:56
India's South Hamptons dropped back down and cities will climb back up.
00:15:02
Yeah, go for it.
00:15:05
I was just going to say I was just going to switch off to MLS real quick before we got to the with the union.
00:15:12
I was just gonna say the that that the Rex quote was kind of what, like made me think about this is, um just I think there's some teams have just have, like, a culture of surviving the Premier League like Burnley, for example.
00:15:25
Like, I will definitely look to them, like in the spring or winter, to make a push to get out of that relegation zone.
00:15:31
Because I think of like a team like West Ham last year, like they've been in the Premier League since 2012 like they have, they know what it takes them like the culture there signified Crystal Palace or even Brighton kind of has found ways to stick around.
00:15:43
So, um, also get my wolves plug in here.
00:15:46
I think it just shows how, um, like, I don't know.
00:15:51
I don't say unrealistic, but just how incredible, like their three year stint in the Premier League, has been so far like everyone thought like Sheffield is gonna be the new Wolves this year, but it's like, No, it's pretty hard, even like weeds.
00:16:02
They're gonna be the new Wolves this year.
00:16:03
It's like it's kind of granted again.
00:16:06
I'm going against what I just told you like the season is not over.
00:16:08
We may see them go up to the top, but, um, yeah, I think it's It's definitely interesting the following like look for those teams like Burnley to kind of start putting results together because they know they they're like, almost already in, like, a do or die situation, 50% away.
00:16:24
20 or have a third of the way through the season.
00:16:27
They're going to be in some do or die games early on.
00:16:31
Yep, in Leeds, it looks like they're about to get healthy, so maybe that will help them out because injuries were definitely hurting these teams and others.
00:16:38
But the union finally got a trophy over the international break first time in 11 years.
00:16:44
Finally, did it go insane.
00:16:46
But here we are, timeto win it in the playoffs.
00:16:49
So let's get into the preview.
00:16:51
So we'll start off in the Premier League.
00:16:52
We got to top quality matches up here for you once on Saturday.
00:16:57
Ones on Sunday, you can space it out.
00:17:00
Um, first one is city first. Tottenham.
00:17:04
So the team, when we, the three of us, did our Premier League season preview, the team I was the most wrong on was Tottenham.
00:17:11
Um, just given that they're second in the table, 17 did not expect them to be where they currently are.
00:17:17
So if I have to take a knock, that's where I'm going with it.
00:17:20
City is This is their game where Pep's going to tell them this is a reset.
00:17:25
Who cares that you're six points behind were good enough to do it.
00:17:28
We just have to start going out there and showing that their city and what was strange is they have been performing much stronger on the road than they have been at home.
00:17:38
So I believe Tottenham is the home side here.
00:17:41
Cities listed around minus 1 25 ish on the money line.
00:17:46
So over set up three.
00:17:48
Um, not sure what you guys are thinking on this game, but my only thought is I wanted to play a total in this game, but I don't know if I'm still having a short term memory again and burned by town on the one time.
00:18:01
But this just seems like a classic.
00:18:03
Marino parked the bus.
00:18:05
We're gonna do absolutely nothing, not allow anything big.
00:18:09
Don't take anything big and live to see another day.
00:18:13
I don't know why I just get that feeling from this one here.
00:18:17
Okay, Well, for me, I think the past couple of seasons, anytime I saw sitting, taught him it was almost an automatic over bet.
00:18:25
Um, but like you mentioned different managers, different scenarios.
00:18:29
Um, so this is a stay away game for me? Yeah, definitely.
00:18:34
Stay away.
00:18:35
And so I just went through the schedule for Tottenham.
00:18:37
And it's not like they've had the hardest first seven or eight games so far.
00:18:41
So they may hit, like, the toughest part of their schedule coming up because I think their toughest game was Manu, who got a red card and like, the 15th minute.
00:18:49
So I'm disciplined.
00:18:52
Bad club.
00:18:53
So that's uh oh, jeez.
00:18:56
But yeah, I would I would I think City will see in terms of a side.
00:19:02
I don't know what you could talk me into a city money Lengths.
00:19:04
It's pretty cheap or a time draw Double chance just because Merino may not get beat here.
00:19:10
And he kind of has, like, the mental advantage over Pep.
00:19:12
It seems like, um, but I don't know, I just I don't trust Thomas defense.
00:19:17
And maybe that makes Marino set up shop really early on.
00:19:21
Um, but then I also like Harry Kane and son toe play on the attack, and they can hit you on the counter pretty easily and get a goal.
00:19:27
So, um, I think three is a little steep.
00:19:30
I don't know what the price is like both teams to score in over 2.5.
00:19:34
Um, but that would be something I looked at.
00:19:36
I don't know if I want to take the over three, but, um, I just have a hard time seeing both these teams, uh, keeping a clean sheet or either of these seems keeping a clean sheet.
00:19:46
Yeah, I think you know.
00:19:47
Sorry.
00:19:48
Go for it.
00:19:49
I was gonna say one of the clubs that gets one of the biggest slacks on Twitter and just get **** on all the time is Tottenham and I don't know, it's there just never healthy.
00:19:58
They screw up and choking the big moments.
00:20:01
But this is the time where Kane Sohn everyone's healthy, they're rolling.
00:20:08
Dougherty hasn't been the best piece for them, but he's making an impact and being a better force than what they had their previously.
00:20:17
So, as of right now, this is where Tottenham should be just given the quality of the roster and cane and so on have been unreal in the first eight matches.
00:20:27
So I'm just Mawr thinking that if I had to play a side, I would play Tottenham just thinking that this is where they're going to show that they actually do have the quality toe hang with the top guys.
00:20:39
Finally, they have to be a force to be reckoned with, but at the same time, it's city.
00:20:44
It's never fun to go against them.
00:20:46
That's where that minus 1 25 Joey, I think that's strappy short because I think the public's gonna be all over that.
00:20:54
Yeah, for for me what I was going to say is, if you're looking at Tottenham's goal for or expected goals, I think it could be misleading just because they did put six past United.
00:21:05
So with a small sample size, it might be taken out of on context.
00:21:10
But that's just five against Southampton.
00:21:12
I think there's something like that.
00:21:14
So they've had some big scoring games and then some games where they have slain Egg Watch the Marino.
00:21:19
That was the game where I watched I forget who they played on the Monday but just nothing just wanted to survive.
00:21:26
Get through.
00:21:27
But let's get to the big match on Sunday.
00:21:29
Liverpool verse Leister.
00:21:31
We got one versus two.
00:21:33
Um, this is just gonna be I'm height for this.
00:21:37
I believe this is at noon, Joey.
00:21:38
Or is this during football time at 2.
00:21:40
45? But what this side is with Liverpool, Um, I just saw some of their stats that they're minutes that they had last season.
00:21:51
They're just losing it.
00:21:52
Where Onley Wolves and Athletico Bilbao last season, because Liverpool didn't rotate their lineup too heavy.
00:21:59
So right now, maybe they're paying the price for it long term by killing them last season on the restart.
00:22:05
But we did say they did take it easy coming back from the restart.
00:22:09
So it's not like it's that just maybe It's unlucky with injury, but Liverpool, I mean, I can't but on this game, because I need to see the lineup for Liverpool when they're going out, because they have at least six guys who our starters or the subs that they use regularly, potentially missing this game.
00:22:27
So that's where if you want to do it now, buying in tow, Leister when there's still this high once, maybe everyone sees who's missing.
00:22:35
You could get a better price on that, But I don't have any really good feel for this game and over is gonna be tricky if Salas out and you're going to rely on Iota Joey, you know we like Kyoto when he's here.
00:22:48
But maybe Liverpool just took him to the next level.
00:22:51
But he's going.
00:22:53
Who would have thought that Iota would be determining who potentially When's the Premier League this season? Yeah, I think just having him is your, uh, I don't know, six man or like first guy off the bench to come in and playing these games where they need some.
00:23:09
Um, it's tough to rely solely on him, I think.
00:23:12
But, um, yeah, in terms of, ah side that I think Brexit it spot on.
00:23:18
It's either take Leicester right now and hope that the the Liverpool lineup is very friendly.
00:23:23
And you see that price come down.
00:23:25
Um, but yeah, I couldn't look at anything on, um, either Total side.
00:23:31
Anything here? Um, yeah.
00:23:34
Just too many questions to even have an opinion.
00:23:36
Really? But, um, it's gonna be a good game.
00:23:39
Whoever lines up for either side.
00:23:42
Yeah, eso I actually have a plan on this game later.
00:23:45
I'll touch on eso.
00:23:47
I'll save that for later.
00:23:48
So you guys have around? Yeah.
00:23:51
The over is listed at three.
00:23:53
Liverpool is home and is only at minus one of five.
00:23:57
So that's where I don't know.
00:23:59
Are we going to see some fishy bar in officiating this weekend? Some classic FIFA clean up the books, clean up, get some extra change in their pocket, never put it past them so we could never neglect on Syria.
00:24:12
Um, we didn't talk about them in our thoughts just because we stayed Premier Li eccentric because that's the one that all the three of us probably enjoy the most.
00:24:23
Collectively, even though Syria ranks a little bit higher than me, this is gonna be a wide open race.
00:24:29
I'm still so ****ing ****ed that Napoli that the three points deducted because events used to be so much lower down the table anomaly would be up top because can't say that I monopoly supporter, but there I like their their fun club, especially on there.
00:24:45
Get to So now and they're going up against Milan proud.
00:24:49
There's not many other quality matches in Syria.
00:24:52
So if you if someone that's just looking to tune in for one, this is the one you gotta watch because Milan sets up the top.
00:25:00
Napoli, I believe, is in second or third right now.
00:25:02
So this is a game where Milan is listed, even though they're in first.
00:25:07
I believe there at plus 200.
00:25:10
So if I did not hate them with all my guts, I would probably be looking to play them on the pick right now.
00:25:17
But they're not the Cowboys for me, so I can bet on them.
00:25:20
I just don't want to go against this Napoli side right now where a decent amount of guys did participate in the international window staying with Milan.
00:25:29
So that's where you kind of got to see what the lineup is on game day.
00:25:34
There isn't any big spikes on cases within either of these clubs that I've seen.
00:25:39
So I don't think that's too much of ah issue.
00:25:41
But, um, this is definitely your match to watch.
00:25:47
Yeah.
00:25:50
Yeah, well, I just like to banter Rex.
00:25:53
I'll be rooting on for a C.
00:25:54
Milan and hope they win everything.
00:25:57
Um, but yeah, like like you mentioned.
00:26:00
I hope it is a good match.
00:26:01
This I don't tune into many serial matches, but the way Rex speaks about it, it might.
00:26:06
I might grab a half to see what's going on in Italy.
00:26:09
Um, yeah, same time is Leister pool, which is rough.
00:26:14
And it's the 2 45 right before the witching hour of the NFL.
00:26:17
But not please.
00:26:19
Plus 1 32.
00:26:21
Milan's plus 1 97.
00:26:23
Milan's defense has been their best part, but the Latin has been the king of Italy so far.
00:26:28
Just scoring at will not please getting contributions for everyone in the defense of monologues and cool.
00:26:34
I really has been solid, so that's definitely going to be nice to see he's locked on in Abra go against probably the best center back pairing in Italy.
00:26:43
Yeah, it seems like a couple of games before the international break.
00:26:48
Um, not really seem to be hitting, like, kind of a rough patch, But then that I don't know, maybe five or six games before the international break and then the last couple of games, they seem to have gotten it together.
00:26:57
Um, and a C Milan, I think, stumbled a little bit.
00:27:00
They lost a wheel and then tied Barone.
00:27:02
I think their last two games coming in.
00:27:03
So, um yeah, too many inconsistencies in this game, but, yeah, I think a scene one ton of value.
00:27:11
But this line, uh, I wouldn't want to go either way, um, total or side, but yeah, I think it's It'll be something I watched closely and maybe watch the second half or something that football stinks.
00:27:22
That there something.
00:27:26
All right, let's get into our best bets for the weekend, Um, coming back for the domestic league slate.
00:27:32
That's where they will all focus.
00:27:33
We will be on Monday talking about the Champions League as usual.
00:27:38
So last week.
00:27:40
So this was a long time ago, week and a half ago but bear with us.
00:27:43
Uh went 50 for plus 6.
00:27:46
49 units.
00:27:48
So finally hit the 100 play mark in the in line Breakers FC history.
00:27:54
So if you need more reasons to watch, it went 53 42 5 for plus 20.
00:27:59
71 units.
00:28:01
55.8 winning percentage.
00:28:03
22% r o I Sorry to go full tout right there.
00:28:07
But 100 plays in its gotta hope the next 100 or solid.
00:28:11
And I don't know, five and o had the Hungry dog hit last weekend.
00:28:15
Off our two weekends ago, everything went right.
00:28:18
So keeping it a little bit shorter with only three place.
00:28:21
But let's get it.
00:28:22
But let's get it.
00:28:24
Yeah, that's that's That's huge.
00:28:26
Um, I know we always talk about how water always finds level, but I think Brexit is just a different level.
00:28:33
Uh, he's on ah, 100 game heater, and hopefully we'll see the next 100 continued the right way.
00:28:39
Uh, e we found Rexes level.
00:28:42
This is his level.
00:28:43
His water rose up to his level. Finally.
00:28:48
I like that, um, for me, I had to miss the domestic show s Oh, my u C L Betts juiced out one and one for minus 1.5.
00:28:58
But domestics back, I feel like I'm seeing the board pretty clearly.
00:29:01
So ready for a good weekend? You're positive.
00:29:05
Lifetime on the show.
00:29:06
A swell so can never discredit that age is making you that money to Yes.
00:29:13
Yeah.
00:29:14
The last domestically goes one and two, I think Spurs. And over 1.5.
00:29:19
Of course, they win one or nothing.
00:29:21
And then my other loss Augsburg, Augsburg drawn a bed and they got blown up right here.
00:29:25
This so too bad Calls there and then stood guard Frank for both teams.
00:29:28
Going over 2.
00:29:29
5. Uh, pretty easy.
00:29:31
Winner was worried there for a second.
00:29:33
Um, I'd say my first.
00:29:34
I don't know, a handful of appearances.
00:29:36
I'm on the show.
00:29:37
Where, uh, pretty.
00:29:39
I guess I was decently positive going through the time.
00:29:43
And then the new season.
00:29:44
Just I think I'm, like, 13 and 22.
00:29:46
So rough start there, but positive in u C.
00:29:49
L just got to clean up the domestic league a little bit, but I think the more we get into the season, the better That will go.
00:29:55
Yeah.
00:29:56
Last the start of last season, I had the rocky start kind of sitting more where you are.
00:30:00
So you just take the heads with it.
00:30:02
Look at what you're doing.
00:30:03
Are you Are you losing a consistent amount of the same type of plays? Always take a look back at your losers because people quickly we'll ignore him.
00:30:11
But sometimes you can learn from it.
00:30:15
Alright, So I got three plays for you this weekend.
00:30:18
None in the Premier League.
00:30:20
Maybe we'll tweet one out once I see the lineups, but yeah, Sorry.
00:30:24
A J.
00:30:25
I like finding my value.
00:30:26
Erkan, get it? Nothing spoke to me enough.
00:30:28
Uh, the action via money line is the play that I was looking at, the closest the lock in, but just not sold on it yet because I think there due to be one of the team that regresses so finally doing it.
00:30:44
The show has been talking a lot of heat.
00:30:46
A lot of **** on Shockey not going against them.
00:30:49
So I'm finally doing it with Wolfsburg's Moneyline minus 101 So a J.
00:30:55
I know.
00:30:56
We became the biggest Bundesliga junkies.
00:30:58
They have mhm.
00:31:00
We were just missing who the new draw teams are.
00:31:03
Wolfsburg has.
00:31:04
They have two wins, zero losses and five draws.
00:31:07
And then I believe, Lever, Houston has three wins, zero losses and four draws.
00:31:13
So Wolf's works finally going up against Shaq.
00:31:15
The Wolfsburg's is on the road, but I'm getting the price right about even Shockey.
00:31:21
Still, that they solve one plan of mine tank.
00:31:24
But they have been pulling off some more draws recently.
00:31:27
So hopefully Wolfsburg can stay at the top of the table.
00:31:30
I think it's a fishy price there, but gonna back Wolfsburg got minus 101 Do you know who the home side is in that match? Okay, Okay.
00:31:43
Wow.
00:31:44
Joey, do you have anything to add on that play? No, I think Shaka stinks.
00:31:48
Wolf needs to win.
00:31:49
Uh, good price back in a bad team.
00:31:52
But I do think the chance you could see a job, but Wolf Wolfsburg may be able to overpower him.
00:32:00
Perfect.
00:32:01
Eso my first play.
00:32:02
I'm gonna keep it nice and simple.
00:32:04
I think it's theseventies 30 Eastern time.
00:32:06
So bright and early.
00:32:08
You have Chelsea playing at Newcastle, Chelsea minus one since that minus 1.
00:32:12
25.
00:32:13
little bit juicy.
00:32:14
I know. We like our plus money here.
00:32:16
Um, however, Chelsea on terrific form.
00:32:19
Um, I don't think Newcastle that strong with side.
00:32:21
My only issue is going to Newcastle is always a tough trip for players.
00:32:26
Um, however, without fans, I think they lose a lot of that home field advantage.
00:32:30
Uh, at worst.
00:32:32
Expect to push.
00:32:33
Hoping for a two. Nothing. Three.
00:32:35
Nothing. Chelsea Victory.
00:32:40
Yeah, I like that.
00:32:41
That was a play, uh, game.
00:32:43
I was looking to play a couple of different ways.
00:32:46
I thought about taking Chelsea and over 1.
00:32:48
5 for Chelsea and under 4.
00:32:50
5, I couldn't decide between the two.
00:32:52
So, um, maybe both come in.
00:32:55
Maybe neither would come in.
00:32:56
Um, so I just stayed away.
00:32:58
But I do like Chelsea.
00:32:59
I like the minus one.
00:33:00
Um, I think even a couple of days ago, the mice 10.
00:33:02
75 waas around that price.
00:33:05
So the lines moving a little bit, Um, I do think if you are in tow, parlays or even starting open parley.
00:33:13
I do think that this Chelsea game is a pretty good one.
00:33:16
just the way they're playing on Di.
00:33:18
Believe Callum Wilson will be out for Newcastle.
00:33:21
And that's a huge attacker for them to miss.
00:33:23
Um, so I think, uh, definitely a good angle.
00:33:28
Something I looked at.
00:33:29
Um, there's a lot of those in the e p l this week.
00:33:31
I feel like I have a thought or opinion on every game, but just nothing.
00:33:35
I feel 100% confident in, um, but my favorite one for the peeled.
00:33:40
My only bet there this weekend.
00:33:42
Rex already mentioned the game, but taking the over in Essen Villa in Brighton, um, 2.
00:33:47
75 of minus 101 I think both teams I know we talked about the regression from Villa, or we're expecting a little bit of regression there.
00:33:56
I still think they we'll score a goal here, there, but maybe not score seven against Liverpool or anything like that.
00:34:02
Um, so I just think this game is gonna be pretty open and flowing between these two teams.
00:34:07
Brian is, uh, plays a lot more aggressive and plays like a heavier attacking style than there used Thio.
00:34:13
I think they're both teams obviously gonna want to win the game.
00:34:16
But Bill is gonna wanna win the stay at the top of the table.
00:34:18
Brian's gonna wanna win to kind of stay ahead of that relegation zone.
00:34:22
Um, a couple other points.
00:34:26
Both teams are in the top eight of expected goals.
00:34:29
While there was kind of over performing by, like, don't know, two or 3 2.
00:34:32
5 goals, maybe, but Brian's kind of right in line.
00:34:35
So at least they're putting chances on the board in taking shots and kind of attacking.
00:34:41
Um, and another thing I look at is villas.
00:34:44
Worse, it's scoring and conceding.
00:34:48
I guess they're better scoring goals at home, but they also concede more goals at home.
00:34:51
And then same with Brighton and away games.
00:34:53
Um, they tend to score more and concede more there.
00:34:56
So I think this game could be 212 to either way, Um, another status.
00:35:02
So I think only through three games and Bill, I haven't put a ton of tough teams, but they haven't given up to the single haven't conceded on an away goal, so kind of interesting from the team you think wouldn't be good at defense, but, um, just something there.
00:35:14
So the over 2.
00:35:15
75 in this game, I think, should be, um, not easy to cash, but I think it the least we'll see three goals for me.
00:35:24
I really like this spot on your pick.
00:35:27
I think early on in the season, Brighton is one of those teams that I really like the over four.
00:35:31
Um, just because they play an expensive football on, then hopefully we'll look again on the board.
00:35:37
Thio tip you over? Yeah.
00:35:39
I think Bill has got the better attacking options and then bright.
00:35:41
And I think we'll just even if they're down, they're gonna attack more.
00:35:46
So, um yeah, just like the place all these two teams.
00:35:50
Max enough.
00:35:53
Alright.
00:35:54
For my second play, I'm gonna get into some Syria action.
00:35:58
Not gonna be a fun one.
00:36:00
Hate doing this.
00:36:01
Haven't had it under in a while.
00:36:03
Joey's like wiping his face because he's so upset with May.
00:36:07
But Cecil Verona, under three plus 106 Brown is only allowed five goals so far this season.
00:36:16
They're definitely exceeding expectations there.
00:36:18
But Verona puts you in a different style.
00:36:21
Uh, they just play sit back counter pressing style Sassuolo's gonna bring it to them.
00:36:27
They've had the most goals force so far in Syria.
00:36:30
Some betting on the team that scored the most.
00:36:33
A game to go on there. Three.
00:36:35
So it is what it is.
00:36:37
If you don't like this one, don't blame you.
00:36:39
But this is where Sassuolo had a 00 draw, all right? Before the weekend against, right before the break against Udinese. A.
00:36:47
I think maybe they're just a little bit worn out or something like that.
00:36:50
But I just think even though how strong their attack is, Sassuolo as one of the better defense is in Syria as well.
00:36:57
I think we see a one goal game or two goal game here, So I'm gonna take the under three.
00:37:02
And if it gets the four, it is what it is.
00:37:05
And I will never talk you out under.
00:37:08
I'm so proud of you for taking an under.
00:37:10
So I love it.
00:37:15
Okay, we Do you have anything on this game? No thoughts.
00:37:17
Just thoughts and prayers to Rex.
00:37:19
We're taking it under in a serious game.
00:37:22
Um, for my second pick, it leads ****nal over three.
00:37:28
Says that +11 10 on Bovada.
00:37:32
Um, I think last couple shows We've talked about how poor ****nal have been going forward.
00:37:38
However, I think the way leads plays, attacks.
00:37:42
Um, it kind of force ****nal's hand to also play attacking, um, ****nal look decent on the counter attack, and I do expect leads to at least bag one here.
00:37:51
Um, so I don't hate if your book offers both teams to score.
00:37:55
Yes, Um, that's another angle I like for the statements Well and leads is getting Rodrigo Bacca's well, so I think that's a key piece for them.
00:38:04
Calvin Phillips still looks to be without the lineup, So if Rodrigo's staying out, I was going to stay on The fade leads train because they've had back to back games where they just lost.
00:38:15
I believe it was.
00:38:16
Fourtou wants to meet with them, so they're they're conceding right now to decent amount.
00:38:22
Maybe Bielsa will get out of his.
00:38:24
I think he literally throughout a 3331 line up the other day.
00:38:29
So that's where I was just like, What are you doing? I don't think I've ever seen the manager do that before.
00:38:34
Maybe he gets off the crazy juice stirring it.
00:38:37
But for your sake a J, I hope he stays on it.
00:38:40
So this game goes over.
00:38:42
I love it.
00:38:43
Yeah, I think both teams to score is minus 1 90.
00:38:45
So kind of a juicy price there.
00:38:47
Um, and Bovada has been really lazy, so I don't have a price on the both teams in over two enough goals.
00:38:53
But I think that that's a good look there, because I think I don't know ****nal.
00:38:58
Their 40144 wins and four losses.
00:39:01
Um, I don't know.
00:39:03
I just I think ****nal kind of need to show something here.
00:39:07
Um, it's a kind of a vulnerable lead side, but yeah, I think we talked about our Ted unders often, but I think this is a good spot just because, um, ****nal's got not gonna be able to hold the ball.
00:39:20
Leads will constantly be pressing them.
00:39:21
And, um, they will either hurt leads in and over pressing or kind of take ****nal on the surprise and kind of forced them into mist.
00:39:31
Ake.
00:39:32
So I think the over is a good book here.
00:39:33
My only question is, why not take like the 2.
00:39:35
75 but, like minus 1 13.
00:39:37
It's not like a super cheesy pricing.
00:39:39
If you get the three, you least get half a win.
00:39:41
But, um, that's my only thought.
00:39:44
Question and concern, I guess.
00:39:47
Um, yeah, I'll be completely honest.
00:39:49
And I didn't really look too much into that.
00:39:52
Um, I saw the line. I looked.
00:39:54
I liked it.
00:39:55
Um, I don't know.
00:39:56
For me, I'm okay with the push at plus money.
00:39:59
Um, but also, get your point of view, which is, if you get the three, you at least get a half wind.
00:40:03
So I guess depends what type of better you are.
00:40:09
There are just quick question.
00:40:12
I mean, I usually like the 2.
00:40:13
7 fives, but, um, yeah, I think three is not a bad way to go.
00:40:23
Oh, I guess that would be my turn.
00:40:25
Sorry. Waiting for Rex. It is.
00:40:27
But, um, let's make sure I don't say yes.
00:40:30
So my next one, I'm following Rex to Italy.
00:40:33
Um, I'm taking Fiorentina and over 1.
00:40:36
5 goals minus 1.
00:40:38
30.
00:40:39
they're playing Benavente.
00:40:40
It's early. 6:30 a.m. e.
00:40:42
String game.
00:40:43
Um, kind of just stating Benavente here.
00:40:45
They've lost five in a row.
00:40:46
They're conceding goals left and right.
00:40:48
Um Fiorentina.
00:40:50
I think it's two wins, both coming at home.
00:40:52
I just think Fiorentina has attacking power.
00:40:56
And, uh, I think we'll just kind of overpower them in a little bit of a fate of just Benavente with themselves.
00:41:03
But, um, I think some value here with taking Fiorentina and over 1.
00:41:08
5 goals at minus 1.
00:41:09
30 not are always the witches.
00:41:11
Is that who Benevento us? Yeah, they don't.
00:41:15
Yeah, even we're past Halloween, so they don't scare me anymore.
00:41:19
You know, with Ben Veneto, they have had, even though where they're considered in the table, just looking at how they're performing against the X G.
00:41:27
I didn't go through to see if they've had a rough start to the season, but I would say from their standards there, definitely under exceeding their expectations right now.
00:41:37
Garentina sitting as a top eight club, I believe currently.
00:41:41
So that's where Bienvenido has been conceding a lot there definitely a team that can score.
00:41:46
So this guy, I hope you're you get the good Fiorentina because I wouldn't call them a streaky club.
00:41:52
But they throw up Dud sometimes.
00:41:54
Just hope it doesn't come here.
00:42:00
Alright, Last play of the weekend.
00:42:02
Um, definitely going to try and check out the Premier Li lineups for when they come out may determine some plays.
00:42:09
Also might look at some overs because in a j Chelsea play, Um, that's right around the cuffs of the way.
00:42:18
Favorite my over 2.
00:42:20
5, but it's sitting at 2.
00:42:21
75 So I think with the international break the 1st 10 minutes of all these games, I think might start slow.
00:42:30
So if you're looking for overs, I think you wait a little bit because the teams are going to get their footing back under them.
00:42:35
You might catch a team slow real quick, but do you guys have any thoughts before I get into my play on totals coming back from this break? Well, for me, I think the last international break I didn't see a dropper dip, so I'm just going to stay constant toe what I believe in.
00:42:55
What about you, Joey? Yeah, I think it definitely.
00:43:00
Um I don't know.
00:43:02
I could I could definitely see games starting Sloan, if you like a total weight a little bit.
00:43:06
Um, but it could also go the other way.
00:43:08
Like Rex mentioned.
00:43:09
They just aren't fully there yet and focused.
00:43:12
Um, but yeah, that's kind of where I attend.
00:43:15
I do have four players this weekend, but, um, definitely Could've.
00:43:18
Could've had a maybe one or two more, but, um, yeah, I just think there's so much uncer*****y.
00:43:24
Sometimes you could see it making every game go under.
00:43:28
Sometimes every game goes over, but, um, I don't know.
00:43:32
I think it's definitely something I factor in just game by game basis.
00:43:37
But there's not one.
00:43:38
Uh, I don't think it'll have the same effect on every every team.
00:43:44
All right, Well, fellas, we got a hungry dog in the championship this weekend, okay? Uh, might not be the prettiest you guys.
00:43:52
We're probably not gonna like it because I'm back in Sheffield Wednesday.
00:43:57
Moneyline plus 2 41 on the road against Preston.
00:44:03
So, as of right now, presents the worst team at home.
00:44:06
They have one point.
00:44:07
They've lost every other game other than one draw.
00:44:10
Sheffield Wednesday sacked their manager before the break.
00:44:13
New manager mojo coming in here.
00:44:16
Um, just a team that taking that point hit they kind of started off hot now have been pretty slow.
00:44:23
But I think the new manager mojo in the championship right here is what gets it through it.
00:44:28
I think press and continue to struggle at home.
00:44:31
Pressing the they're attacking doesn't scare me. Watch.
00:44:35
They scored two or three here.
00:44:36
But that's the biggest thing with Preston is their offense hasn't been consistent.
00:44:41
They don't have to go to guy up top.
00:44:43
I'm just like in Sheffield Wednesday.
00:44:45
Thio get a one under the belt to start their race out of the relegation zone.
00:44:52
Yeah, just a disclaimer to everyone.
00:44:54
I'm pretty sure Sheffield Wednesday.
00:44:55
So it's like 22nd or 23rd currently in the standing.
00:45:00
So you're not backing a great team, but well, I had the minus six points that was minus 12 to start, so they had to six point deduction to start the season.
00:45:09
So that is something to look at? Um, yeah, like you mentioned.
00:45:14
I think Joe and I talked about this last time because I think Rex was backing Preston.
00:45:18
If I remember correctly, and they are the draw Masters or 11 game.
00:45:24
So Hopefully, they could Sheffield could get that second goal.
00:45:30
Yeah, I think just looking at Sheffield's last couple of games, Um, or just their last two.
00:45:35
They tied Millwall, who I think has been pretty good so far this year.
00:45:38
But they beat born myth.
00:45:39
Um, so maybe they've caught a little bit of fire here, but yeah, so let's hope be written on the I don't I think it's the strip.
00:45:47
You'll Wednesday owls or something like that.
00:45:52
What do you got for us, Joey B? You got two left, right? Yeah, I got to up.
00:45:57
Should you want to get the last two? Yeah.
00:45:59
A J is done.
00:46:00
I'm done.
00:46:01
So let's see what you The last two? I have one more.
00:46:04
So if you want to go and we could alternate Okay, um, next one I, Byron in both teams to score, they're playing Werder Bremen.
00:46:11
So buying and both teams to score.
00:46:14
So fired toe win and both teams to score.
00:46:16
Plus 1 25.
00:46:18
I'm putting a lot of faith in tow.
00:46:20
Werder Bremen to score.
00:46:22
They're pretty bad team, but, uh, fire has only kept one shut out so far this year against Frankfurt.
00:46:29
Surprisingly, a team that's got a pretty strong offense.
00:46:32
But I will say Worker has been yet have yet to be shut out so far this year.
00:46:36
Granted, they haven't played against, uh, Bundesliga isn't known for their staunch defense.
00:46:43
For sure, it's another league you rarely wanted taken under.
00:46:46
Um, I know they've had They've missed Davies, uh, for a couple of games, but I think this is their first didn't commit get hurt against doorman two weeks ago.
00:46:57
Um or is, you know, I think I think images.
00:47:02
I think he's out.
00:47:03
I may be wrong, but I think they'll miss him.
00:47:05
Um, Byron definitely had a lot more players in competing international break.
00:47:11
Um, but I also think at some point, buyer may be up for nothing, and they just get lazy and could see the goal.
00:47:17
Um, so I'd rather take the I think firing toe windmill was plus 1 10.
00:47:22
So I'd rather take the plus price to get order Bremen to get a goal.
00:47:25
Um, so just buying them both teams to score, plus 1 25 back in some trends here.
00:47:30
But, um, I just think Byron, maybe we'll have a lapse here there and concede a goal.
00:47:37
I personally think this one's tough, especially when you open up your pick saying I'm backing a very poor team to score.
00:47:44
Um, However, for me, it's just I talked about this every week, is just buying her the best team in the world.
00:47:51
And I don't know if that means they just score a lot more than the other teams.
00:47:55
And defensively, they turn it up when they play in the Champions League.
00:47:59
Um, however, for your sake, we'll pray Water Bremen gets on the board.
00:48:05
Yeah, I also images out till January.
00:48:08
So he got hurt against, uh, doorman.
00:48:11
So, um, yeah, I just think I'd rather trust Bremen to score than buying to keep a clean sheet.
00:48:17
But I may be wrong, and they may dominate them through the whole game, but we'll see.
00:48:23
I'll take the plus 1 25 price, though.
00:48:25
Yeah, I'm just a little scared for Bremen sake.
00:48:28
You, captain, completely right? You're just buying on that.
00:48:31
They catch him at one point because Bayern will probably put three on them.
00:48:38
So for my last play, I'm touching the game that everyone said they didn't want to touch.
00:48:43
Um, so I have Leicester City Liverpool over three at minus 1. 10.
00:48:51
So when I was deep dive into this game using my brain, Um, I would have taken the under.
00:48:57
Um but when I look at this match, it just screams over to me.
00:49:01
Um, you have to top top teams that usually you don't wanna be the first team to concede.
00:49:08
So you play a little more defensively.
00:49:10
Brendan Rodgers, the manager of Liverpool up manager of Leicester, used to manage Liverpool.
00:49:16
So you have a little revenge angle here.
00:49:18
Um, so those things kind of add up to a under.
00:49:22
However, I will be taking the over three.
00:49:24
Um, just because I think both teams are quality teams who are going to find the back of the net and, uh, coming back from break.
00:49:32
I think Liverpool are gonna be a little more jumbled up then, Lester just because they have so many moving parts, um, because most teams they have players who go play for, like, the England national team.
00:49:43
That's fine, but Liverpool have a lot of different nationalities, some going to South America, staying in Europe or stuff like that.
00:49:50
So I just think I just see goals in this one and all honesty.
00:49:58
Yeah, I don't have Ah, again a strong opinion on the total.
00:50:01
Um, I do.
00:50:02
I wouldn't trust really either side here.
00:50:04
I would just be afraid of Leicester.
00:50:06
Uh, just letting Liverpool attack and hitting them on the counter for, like, a one or two goal win.
00:50:12
Um, but we were pulled Those that have the stars, the potential, even no matter who starts to get a goal or two here.
00:50:18
So, um, I think definitely a good spot taken over.
00:50:23
Yeah, Liverpool defense definitely has been extremely questionable.
00:50:28
I just want to see their line up more than anything and with overseas this weekend.
00:50:32
I'm just gonna wait this 1st 10 minutes, that's all.
00:50:35
I'm gonna dio hopefully get a better price and do like this.
00:50:39
Do like taking the over here.
00:50:41
But just wanna wait to see if I could get a little bit lower.
00:50:44
Might burn me waiting, but at the end, we'll probably get the same number that needs to cash anyway, So mhm.
00:50:53
Yeah, for my my last plan, I'm going with the just a little Buddhist legal parlay.
00:50:59
Um, I like a lot of the favorites this weekend.
00:51:02
I almost just did a 14 parley with, like, a quarter unit just because, um, but I'm taking Bruscia doorman minus 1 50 against her.
00:51:11
The Berlin and leverage, Houston, playing Armenia be a field.
00:51:15
Um, I think for dormant.
00:51:18
It's good. Bounce back spot, I guess.
00:51:20
Sorry.
00:51:21
The two teams is plus 1 57 for both teams.
00:51:23
Those two teams to win something pretty good price on those two teams, but for dormant, I think Good.
00:51:27
Bounce back spot again after they lost Byron.
00:51:31
And to stay in the Bundesliga race, they're gonna just need to keep getting winds.
00:51:35
Um, I think early Holland Yeah, did not play for Norway, and I think is available to play for doorman, so he will be full arrested.
00:51:47
Um, I just think they have got young stars enough on offense.
00:51:52
Um, and I will say they've, uh, dormant defense has only conceded five and the Buddhist leaders so far, and three of those came against Byron.
00:52:00
Um, so their defense is really played well, and they obviously have the attack to get it done.
00:52:05
Her The Berlin has kind of been up and down I bet against them before the international break, So I'm going back to the well against them.
00:52:13
Hopefully, they don't burn me two weeks in a row, but I think doorman will get it done and then whoever.
00:52:18
Houston when Rex told me they've drawn so many games.
00:52:21
Definitely a scary team to take.
00:52:23
But there, minus 1 85 I put should in all caps beat this B l b Armenia side.
00:52:30
Um, they've lost four in a row.
00:52:32
They just lost.
00:52:33
I think the Union Berlin recorded not thinking before the national break.
00:52:36
I think top to bottom liver.
00:52:38
Houston's the strongest team.
00:52:39
Um, they just need the bl field will sit back and just let lubrication attack.
00:52:45
So if Leverkusen get an early goal here, I think it's gonna be tough for, um, Armenia to get get hit them and get a goal.
00:52:54
Um, I do think this game may stay under the total just because I don't see Armenia scoring.
00:53:01
It's just a matter of how many flavor accusing could get one or two put some respect on Union Berlin's name.
00:53:08
They're currently fifth in the table.
00:53:10
That's all I have to say about this.
00:53:12
That that's Ah, it's a good parlay.
00:53:14
You're getting it out of great number.
00:53:16
You're getting to two good teams, so can't hate it.
00:53:19
But Union Berlin put some respect on it.
00:53:24
I there definitely a good team.
00:53:25
But if they could be Armenia Byfield four to nothing.
00:53:29
Soaking lyric Houston.
00:53:30
Um, just the other teams.
00:53:32
I almost was gonna throw Moenchengladbach playing Augsburg.
00:53:36
Another team.
00:53:37
I almost added to the parlay.
00:53:38
And then the last one.
00:53:39
I think Leipzig, even by themselves, they're playing Frankfurt.
00:53:43
Um, Leipzig, I think, was minus 1 20.
00:53:45
Almost added.
00:53:46
Them is like almost like a plus 600.
00:53:48
But I won't.
00:53:49
I won't have the I won't give it out or anything.
00:53:51
But I think if you're looking for some or German place or likely, definitely a good I think the over in that game against Frankfurt, always looking back some overs with Frankfurt.
00:54:00
But I think I've said we'll get the win there too.
00:54:02
So just, um, other Bundesliga thoughts.
00:54:06
You know, the biggest price I like that.
00:54:09
If I were you, I would have added it in was the anti Lanta money line against Visa Mhm that's sitting I like mine are minus 2. 23.
00:54:18
So it's not going to make it that much better, But it could get you over plus 200.
00:54:23
Yeah, I think I like that.
00:54:24
Um, I'm excited to see what I don't want to comes out after this break there. Definitely.
00:54:29
Um probably the break hit them at the right time.
00:54:32
They're kind of a little inconsistent here and there, but hopefully they can get back to some scoring ways here.
00:54:39
Alright.
00:54:40
So let's recap our plays real quick before we sign off.
00:54:43
I got Wolfsburg's Moneyline minus 101 fade chalk a Sassuolo Verona under three plus 106 And then the hungry dog, Sheffield Wednesday Moneyline plus 2 41.
00:54:55
Perfect.
00:54:56
I got Chelsea minus one and minus 1 25.
00:54:59
Leicester City, Liverpool over three minus 1 10 and leads ****nal over three at plus 1. 10.
00:55:07
Yeah, I got a Aston Villa Brighton over 2.
00:55:09
75 minus 101 Fiorentina and over 1.
00:55:13
5, minus 1. 30.
00:55:15
Byron and both teams to score.
00:55:16
Plus 1 25.
00:55:18
Then the money line.
00:55:19
Parlay doorman minus 1 50 live accusing minus 1.
00:55:21
85 for plus 1 57.
00:55:25
All right, so that's our show for the weekend.
00:55:28
We will be back Monday for the Champions League.
00:55:31
We got the group stage four matches to break down and give your best bets on, so we'll be back real quick for you.
00:55:37
Quick, turn around.
00:55:38
You'll see a lot of us because no more international break where we get our a little bit of a time off.
00:55:44
So let's enjoy some footy this weekend.
00:55:46
We're back.
00:55:47
Let's finish this season strong and we'll see you guys later.
00:55:51
Yeah, pizza.
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Line Breakers FC - Weekend Match Previews and Best Bets

80 Views
Rex Eastwood @REast_Eazy

Transcript hideup

00:00:00
right? Yeah.
00:00:08
Correct.
00:00:16
Um I mean, okay, yeah.
00:00:27
I feel like you cut that one off early.
00:00:28
I was waiting for the lady to sink.
00:00:30
Yes, there we go.
00:00:32
SportsCastr said it was ready, but then just kept spinning.
00:00:35
But we're good now.
00:00:36
What's up, everybody? Line breakers FC.
00:00:39
We're back from the international break.
00:00:41
Thank God we got some good quality soccer coming back.
00:00:45
Um, I'm gonna I'm not a hater of the international break, but this past one was a little rough just given how many games they're going on.
00:00:53
But as usual, line breakers FC, the best soccer stream podcast out there brought to you by the breakdown sports dot com Make sure you follow us at b r k d w n underscore sports as usual.
00:01:06
Rex here with a J and Joey haven't seen us in a week and a half, but no international break until spring.
00:01:13
So you go and see a bunch of us coming forward.
00:01:15
So we're in the throttle.
00:01:17
We're ready.
00:01:18
How you doing? A J dude, I am hyped to be back.
00:01:21
We have a great show on deck and, uh, yeah, like you said, excited for domestic play to be back.
00:01:27
Joey, How we feeling? Same.
00:01:30
I think this pass international break was one of, like, the most ill times once, um, most things to be like, I feel like just getting back into the season was, like, got a good groove.
00:01:41
And then I also think, just like in the middle of the pandemic, sending all these players all over the globe playing against each other just couldn't be a worse idea.
00:01:49
Um, you have a number of players coming back testing positive or having to sit down and stuff like that.
00:01:54
So, um, hopefully we just stick.
00:01:56
I guess we do get the stick to domestic place.
00:01:58
So hopefully we get some consistency coming in between these teams and their domestically exam, the U F A cups champions or whatever you wanna call them.
00:02:09
Yep.
00:02:10
So, as usual, we'll give you what we thought about what's going on in the Premier League season so far, since there's no matches to recap preview of the matches coming up this week and our best bets just got to sneak something in there.
00:02:23
Make sure you stay for these best bets.
00:02:25
We've been on fire, So gonna be a good episode at the end here and MLS playoffs start tomorrow night.
00:02:32
So for all you I'm a less junkies out there.
00:02:35
Let's get going, Joe, You said the people coming back from International Break and the cove it Rosie for LFC tested positive.
00:02:44
So he's gonna be out against their match at the sound there, so L a f c are gonna be pretty hefty dogs.
00:02:51
So, uh, yeah, MLS.
00:02:53
Probably.
00:02:54
He's going to get hit the hardest from this international break, since teams that air still in qualification or it's still in the playoffs could get screwed from it.
00:03:01
But that's the only name of the biggest name that I've seen so far.
00:03:06
What? So why do you think the MLS is going to get hit the hardest? Well, it's just because if someone gets tested positive now, like Grossi for your team and that's in the one game elimination for the playoffs Oh, it doesn't mean like most people just like biggest impact, that makes sense.
00:03:23
Got it? Like I think most so and El Nene for ****nal of tested positive.
00:03:28
But like what? They'll miss one game, probably and even be back by Champions League for the midweek, but yeah, it is tough for the one game elimination playoff student missing your biggest stars.
00:03:41
So All right, so the Premier League, we are exactly 21% through, so we're just almost at that quarter mark.
00:03:50
So instead of doing a quarter mark show, we're just going to kind of give us to you right now.
00:03:54
What? We've seen what we've learned so far.
00:03:57
Um, the biggest thing that I've seen is according to the bookmakers and implied probability City has the best chance to win, even though they're sit six points back.
00:04:08
Granted, they still have 80% of their season to go.
00:04:11
But I found that interesting that they're sitting at plus 1 45 right now.
00:04:16
So I think that's just given that Liverpool they're only giving them a 28% chance, but at plus 1 55.
00:04:24
So you're losing a decent amount of value right now if you're backing Liverpool to win it, But I guess given the injuries and how long some of those crucial ones for pulls gonna be, that's what's given City.
00:04:34
The higher chances to win.
00:04:36
But given from what I've seen so far this season, they're not the team that's going to take it home either.
00:04:41
So if they don't clean it up and change it up right now, that's my thing is I do think these top two are very vulnerable.
00:04:49
We're coming into the season.
00:04:51
I thought it was city or pool.
00:04:53
No one else was in contention.
00:04:54
This is wide open.
00:04:57
Horrible.
00:04:59
Yeah, I just I I agree.
00:05:01
I think this game this coming week against Tottenham will be a big one for them. Just going forward.
00:05:08
I think even, um, we'll probably talk a little bit about it.
00:05:11
But like the games through December in January, gonna be key for all these teams, as like normally is.
00:05:17
But I think even more so for these title contenders.
00:05:19
Toe like give themselves a shot.
00:05:21
Come springtime.
00:05:23
Yeah, I'm not sure what bookmakers air saying, giving city that much advantage being to being six points back.
00:05:31
Maybe they know something we don't.
00:05:32
But if you are looking to bet unlivable to take the league, would you consider taking them now because they have the point advantage or wait for them to get a better price? They're just given with what they had last season I mean, it was probably in a miracle run.
00:05:50
Teams won't do it again, but they have zero of their like minutes or they're missing key guys coming up in this stretch where I think they're gonna hit a little bit of a rough part.
00:06:00
And right now is not the time to buy into Liverpool.
00:06:03
Yeah, you should have done e think they're listen around the same price.
00:06:07
Or if I like pasta 2 20 preseason to grab them.
00:06:10
So hopefully you grab them preseason.
00:06:12
Right now, it's not the time to buy into this team.
00:06:15
I would if you're going to do it.
00:06:16
I think you're crazy.
00:06:17
And I can usually be swayed by bets.
00:06:20
But this one right now, if you're locking it in your just your homer or you see something I don't, it's fair enough.
00:06:30
Perfect.
00:06:31
Did you, uh, a J? What's your next thought? Since you're gonna talk about a team up towards the top of the table, so might as well stay there.
00:06:38
Yeah, this one kind of things for me to talk about, but I got to give respect and credit where it's due.
00:06:43
So one thing that I've learned in the Premier League in the past couple weeks is for me that Chelsea defensively have really turned it around.
00:06:51
Um, I think at the start of the season, they were almost automatic overs.
00:06:55
Um, however, recently, I think Chelsea they've held clean sheets in their last five out of their six games.
00:07:01
Um, they're expected goals.
00:07:03
Um, have been less than one for the past four games.
00:07:06
Um wow, look at me talking about expected goals.
00:07:09
I know, right? Um and I think based unexpected goals against part of me, um, their top five in the Premier League.
00:07:17
And they haven't considered the pen a penalty in the Premier League.
00:07:21
Eso defensively show.
00:07:23
Well, Thiago Silva, they're tightening up the back.
00:07:26
Frank Lampard must have turned some screws and they're looking solid at the back.
00:07:30
Yeah, Yeah, I think Chelsea started listening to the stream because a J Usually when you start hating on a team, they turn it around.
00:07:37
And once you declared yourself a Chelsea hater, they've been getting they've been going on a nice run.
00:07:42
And on the best part is if this defense, maybe they got on a hot streak.
00:07:48
Maybe it's a flash in the pan But if this is here and this is the state and they haven't had their top four up top yet solidified in any of these games yet so far, someone's been out.
00:07:59
Someone's been tweaked up during the game.
00:08:01
So that's where this Chelsea team, if you're going to maybe potentially buy into one this buying in on to them might be a team that has a nice shot to go to it.
00:08:15
So, for me personally, I'm still on the Chelsea hate train.
00:08:17
Um, I mean, it's a good run of form.
00:08:21
I can't deny it, but, I mean, I like we talk about every show it za long season.
00:08:27
Um, you have players coming in and out.
00:08:30
So obviously preseason to talk about them.
00:08:32
Missing top four.
00:08:33
Let's looking less and less likely each match day.
00:08:37
Joey B.
00:08:38
Before we get to your point in the Premier League, I just found it extremely interesting so far that I don't know if this happens.
00:08:46
Live betters out.
00:08:47
There probably are getting killed by this right now, but if you're losing at halftime, no team in the Premier League guys came back to win the second half to win the game, which I thought is extremely strange where if teams we've seen draws, so you can't back out that if you're down and you still pull out a point there.
00:09:05
But no team has came all the way through yet.
00:09:08
Wolves haven't had any second half magic, and I just think it's strange that where seven in times 20 do that math, whatever.
00:09:17
I'm good at it.
00:09:18
I don't feel like doing it on the stream and we haven't had one comeback winner.
00:09:24
Yeah, I mean, I think we've had some big, like three goal comeback draws, I think Chelsea, West, Bram and then West Ham live report, I think was one.
00:09:33
So there's definitely been some comebacks.
00:09:35
But I think like first thing that came to my mind is the lack of fans like it's almost once a team goes down, they don't have the fans pushing them, even Mawr to get the final goal or whatever.
00:09:46
So I think once teams that get the first goal just immediately have the momentum and then there's nothing there to for a team to get it back.
00:09:54
So I think that's probably a lot of why we're seeing it or it's just a weird anomaly, and we're going to see a million second half comebacks in the end of the second half of the year.
00:10:03
But, yeah, it's definitely interesting.
00:10:04
Um, so I would I don't know if you looked at the other big weeks about.
00:10:07
Imagine, there's a little bit more, um, of that, like variants there.
00:10:12
But I think it's just odd, I think even in the Premier League, probably the fans or so they're not more passionate.
00:10:18
But they seem to be like, um, like, mo more close knit, I guess.
00:10:24
Arm or influential and loud and stuff, given the atmosphere of some of the stadium.
00:10:28
So maybe that plays a part.
00:10:30
But yeah, it's definitely an interesting kid that you found.
00:10:33
Yes, Syria has four for comparison.
00:10:39
All right.
00:10:40
A J What did you learn over the international break? School Time? International break.
00:10:45
Well, for me, I am very excited for the U.
00:10:48
S.
00:10:49
Men's national team.
00:10:50
Um, they look good.
00:10:51
That's Ah, that's all I have hope for for the international break for the U. S.
00:10:55
Men's national team.
00:10:56
Different, different faces, different looks.
00:10:58
So that's it.
00:11:00
Joey B.
00:11:01
What do you got for us? Yeah, I think that the U.
00:11:04
S.
00:11:05
National team is definitely a team full of youngsters that air from Tau Tau Watch and follow in Europe.
00:11:10
And I guess my my point is not as much is what I've learned so far this year, but also maybe, uh, some information and stuff to keep in mind going forward, especially if you're new to the e p l or new to gambling.
00:11:22
Um, it's definitely important to not take this like 1st 5th of the season is like the big picture thing or even like one full season.
00:11:29
Like if you look back to last year teams doing well, teams not doing well on this is true for, like the Big Six teams and the non big six teams.
00:11:37
Um so just because, like, I don't know, Lester is leading the table now and have had a history of success doesn't mean that's gonna carry over through the full season.
00:11:45
It's a like, what, 38 games? So we have a long way to go.
00:11:48
Um, you like already seem like kind of like a microcosm of this example with Everton.
00:11:53
Um, they opened up the season four. No.
00:11:57
Then they go for winless, So I think it's a team.
00:11:59
It just proves that it's really, really hard to stay consistent in the e p l Um, not just over one season, but multiple seasons, especially if you're like a big 16.
00:12:10
Um, and just I don't know if you have somebody thoughts, but I'm just tons of examples like Sheffield, where everyone's like favorite team last year, nearly promoted, and now they're sitting at the bottom of the table, not just looking like relegation candidates, but looking like a team that is gonna finish like at the very bottom of the table.
00:12:26
Um, another one, like Burnley was in Europe, not in 2018.
00:12:32
They are only in the qualifiers, but now it's like they look totally lost.
00:12:36
Sitting second last, um, they would like Billa.
00:12:39
They barely survived this year or last year.
00:12:41
Now they're like high flying high in the table on then same with lead or another pro team leads.
00:12:47
Everyone thought they do amazing top six finish whatever, and they're kind of sitting in the lower half, Um so I don't know.
00:12:54
I think it's just no matter how much like like uncer*****y there is and like started this season.
00:12:59
I think the top half of the table will always look the same.
00:13:02
Um, you see, like City and ****nal sitting 10th and 11th like there most likely will not stay 10th and 11th.
00:13:09
A lot of those teams, those Big six teams, are going to move up.
00:13:12
Um, well, maybe a little bit, maybe the 938 But yeah, I don't know if it's just like, definitely something to keep in mind.
00:13:22
Like don't like Mississippi or whoever haven't gotten off to a hot start.
00:13:25
Like, I think that will turn around and Villa will fall back a little bit and stuff like that.
00:13:30
Um, it's just really hard for these teams to stay consistent through the whole year.
00:13:35
So finding the right time to hop on and off those trends is is definitely key.
00:13:40
So it's not necessarily something I've learned, but something to keep in mind.
00:13:44
Um, maybe something our viewers should learn and look into a little more.
00:13:47
Yeah, the best way to attack this one before we get into our match previews is once you get about 27 to 8 to 10 games into a season, you could start using the ****ytics and see which teams are getting unlucky and which ones are overachieving at this point.
00:14:02
To Joey's example, Villa is a prime team that's over exceeding at this point, and I don't know an under exceeding ones.
00:14:10
I mean, Sheffield United has to be up there, but they're getting drubbed in all of their losses, so that's not being helped.
00:14:15
They're so with this international break, I think not having another one till spring.
00:14:20
This is kind of your reset button.
00:14:22
So if you're really looking for a team to go against the grain changed the mojo, I would say, watching the first two or three matches to see if are they doing something tactically different? Are they still riding it out? The winter transfer window is gonna open soon.
00:14:36
So are they just hoping for the best and trying to survive till they get there? So the this next month or two is definitely going to be interesting, especially with the last three matches in the Champions League and Europa League coming up as well.
00:14:50
Yeah, and I think Rex always says the best.
00:14:53
That water always finds level, so you'll see your last.
00:14:56
India's South Hamptons dropped back down and cities will climb back up.
00:15:02
Yeah, go for it.
00:15:05
I was just going to say I was just going to switch off to MLS real quick before we got to the with the union.
00:15:12
I was just gonna say the that that the Rex quote was kind of what, like made me think about this is, um just I think there's some teams have just have, like, a culture of surviving the Premier League like Burnley, for example.
00:15:25
Like, I will definitely look to them, like in the spring or winter, to make a push to get out of that relegation zone.
00:15:31
Because I think of like a team like West Ham last year, like they've been in the Premier League since 2012 like they have, they know what it takes them like the culture there signified Crystal Palace or even Brighton kind of has found ways to stick around.
00:15:43
So, um, also get my wolves plug in here.
00:15:46
I think it just shows how, um, like, I don't know.
00:15:51
I don't say unrealistic, but just how incredible, like their three year stint in the Premier League, has been so far like everyone thought like Sheffield is gonna be the new Wolves this year, but it's like, No, it's pretty hard, even like weeds.
00:16:02
They're gonna be the new Wolves this year.
00:16:03
It's like it's kind of granted again.
00:16:06
I'm going against what I just told you like the season is not over.
00:16:08
We may see them go up to the top, but, um, yeah, I think it's It's definitely interesting the following like look for those teams like Burnley to kind of start putting results together because they know they they're like, almost already in, like, a do or die situation, 50% away.
00:16:24
20 or have a third of the way through the season.
00:16:27
They're going to be in some do or die games early on.
00:16:31
Yep, in Leeds, it looks like they're about to get healthy, so maybe that will help them out because injuries were definitely hurting these teams and others.
00:16:38
But the union finally got a trophy over the international break first time in 11 years.
00:16:44
Finally, did it go insane.
00:16:46
But here we are, timeto win it in the playoffs.
00:16:49
So let's get into the preview.
00:16:51
So we'll start off in the Premier League.
00:16:52
We got to top quality matches up here for you once on Saturday.
00:16:57
Ones on Sunday, you can space it out.
00:17:00
Um, first one is city first. Tottenham.
00:17:04
So the team, when we, the three of us, did our Premier League season preview, the team I was the most wrong on was Tottenham.
00:17:11
Um, just given that they're second in the table, 17 did not expect them to be where they currently are.
00:17:17
So if I have to take a knock, that's where I'm going with it.
00:17:20
City is This is their game where Pep's going to tell them this is a reset.
00:17:25
Who cares that you're six points behind were good enough to do it.
00:17:28
We just have to start going out there and showing that their city and what was strange is they have been performing much stronger on the road than they have been at home.
00:17:38
So I believe Tottenham is the home side here.
00:17:41
Cities listed around minus 1 25 ish on the money line.
00:17:46
So over set up three.
00:17:48
Um, not sure what you guys are thinking on this game, but my only thought is I wanted to play a total in this game, but I don't know if I'm still having a short term memory again and burned by town on the one time.
00:18:01
But this just seems like a classic.
00:18:03
Marino parked the bus.
00:18:05
We're gonna do absolutely nothing, not allow anything big.
00:18:09
Don't take anything big and live to see another day.
00:18:13
I don't know why I just get that feeling from this one here.
00:18:17
Okay, Well, for me, I think the past couple of seasons, anytime I saw sitting, taught him it was almost an automatic over bet.
00:18:25
Um, but like you mentioned different managers, different scenarios.
00:18:29
Um, so this is a stay away game for me? Yeah, definitely.
00:18:34
Stay away.
00:18:35
And so I just went through the schedule for Tottenham.
00:18:37
And it's not like they've had the hardest first seven or eight games so far.
00:18:41
So they may hit, like, the toughest part of their schedule coming up because I think their toughest game was Manu, who got a red card and like, the 15th minute.
00:18:49
So I'm disciplined.
00:18:52
Bad club.
00:18:53
So that's uh oh, jeez.
00:18:56
But yeah, I would I would I think City will see in terms of a side.
00:19:02
I don't know what you could talk me into a city money Lengths.
00:19:04
It's pretty cheap or a time draw Double chance just because Merino may not get beat here.
00:19:10
And he kind of has, like, the mental advantage over Pep.
00:19:12
It seems like, um, but I don't know, I just I don't trust Thomas defense.
00:19:17
And maybe that makes Marino set up shop really early on.
00:19:21
Um, but then I also like Harry Kane and son toe play on the attack, and they can hit you on the counter pretty easily and get a goal.
00:19:27
So, um, I think three is a little steep.
00:19:30
I don't know what the price is like both teams to score in over 2.5.
00:19:34
Um, but that would be something I looked at.
00:19:36
I don't know if I want to take the over three, but, um, I just have a hard time seeing both these teams, uh, keeping a clean sheet or either of these seems keeping a clean sheet.
00:19:46
Yeah, I think you know.
00:19:47
Sorry.
00:19:48
Go for it.
00:19:49
I was gonna say one of the clubs that gets one of the biggest slacks on Twitter and just get **** on all the time is Tottenham and I don't know, it's there just never healthy.
00:19:58
They screw up and choking the big moments.
00:20:01
But this is the time where Kane Sohn everyone's healthy, they're rolling.
00:20:08
Dougherty hasn't been the best piece for them, but he's making an impact and being a better force than what they had their previously.
00:20:17
So, as of right now, this is where Tottenham should be just given the quality of the roster and cane and so on have been unreal in the first eight matches.
00:20:27
So I'm just Mawr thinking that if I had to play a side, I would play Tottenham just thinking that this is where they're going to show that they actually do have the quality toe hang with the top guys.
00:20:39
Finally, they have to be a force to be reckoned with, but at the same time, it's city.
00:20:44
It's never fun to go against them.
00:20:46
That's where that minus 1 25 Joey, I think that's strappy short because I think the public's gonna be all over that.
00:20:54
Yeah, for for me what I was going to say is, if you're looking at Tottenham's goal for or expected goals, I think it could be misleading just because they did put six past United.
00:21:05
So with a small sample size, it might be taken out of on context.
00:21:10
But that's just five against Southampton.
00:21:12
I think there's something like that.
00:21:14
So they've had some big scoring games and then some games where they have slain Egg Watch the Marino.
00:21:19
That was the game where I watched I forget who they played on the Monday but just nothing just wanted to survive.
00:21:26
Get through.
00:21:27
But let's get to the big match on Sunday.
00:21:29
Liverpool verse Leister.
00:21:31
We got one versus two.
00:21:33
Um, this is just gonna be I'm height for this.
00:21:37
I believe this is at noon, Joey.
00:21:38
Or is this during football time at 2.
00:21:40
45? But what this side is with Liverpool, Um, I just saw some of their stats that they're minutes that they had last season.
00:21:51
They're just losing it.
00:21:52
Where Onley Wolves and Athletico Bilbao last season, because Liverpool didn't rotate their lineup too heavy.
00:21:59
So right now, maybe they're paying the price for it long term by killing them last season on the restart.
00:22:05
But we did say they did take it easy coming back from the restart.
00:22:09
So it's not like it's that just maybe It's unlucky with injury, but Liverpool, I mean, I can't but on this game, because I need to see the lineup for Liverpool when they're going out, because they have at least six guys who our starters or the subs that they use regularly, potentially missing this game.
00:22:27
So that's where if you want to do it now, buying in tow, Leister when there's still this high once, maybe everyone sees who's missing.
00:22:35
You could get a better price on that, But I don't have any really good feel for this game and over is gonna be tricky if Salas out and you're going to rely on Iota Joey, you know we like Kyoto when he's here.
00:22:48
But maybe Liverpool just took him to the next level.
00:22:51
But he's going.
00:22:53
Who would have thought that Iota would be determining who potentially When's the Premier League this season? Yeah, I think just having him is your, uh, I don't know, six man or like first guy off the bench to come in and playing these games where they need some.
00:23:09
Um, it's tough to rely solely on him, I think.
00:23:12
But, um, yeah, in terms of, ah side that I think Brexit it spot on.
00:23:18
It's either take Leicester right now and hope that the the Liverpool lineup is very friendly.
00:23:23
And you see that price come down.
00:23:25
Um, but yeah, I couldn't look at anything on, um, either Total side.
00:23:31
Anything here? Um, yeah.
00:23:34
Just too many questions to even have an opinion.
00:23:36
Really? But, um, it's gonna be a good game.
00:23:39
Whoever lines up for either side.
00:23:42
Yeah, eso I actually have a plan on this game later.
00:23:45
I'll touch on eso.
00:23:47
I'll save that for later.
00:23:48
So you guys have around? Yeah.
00:23:51
The over is listed at three.
00:23:53
Liverpool is home and is only at minus one of five.
00:23:57
So that's where I don't know.
00:23:59
Are we going to see some fishy bar in officiating this weekend? Some classic FIFA clean up the books, clean up, get some extra change in their pocket, never put it past them so we could never neglect on Syria.
00:24:12
Um, we didn't talk about them in our thoughts just because we stayed Premier Li eccentric because that's the one that all the three of us probably enjoy the most.
00:24:23
Collectively, even though Syria ranks a little bit higher than me, this is gonna be a wide open race.
00:24:29
I'm still so ****ing ****ed that Napoli that the three points deducted because events used to be so much lower down the table anomaly would be up top because can't say that I monopoly supporter, but there I like their their fun club, especially on there.
00:24:45
Get to So now and they're going up against Milan proud.
00:24:49
There's not many other quality matches in Syria.
00:24:52
So if you if someone that's just looking to tune in for one, this is the one you gotta watch because Milan sets up the top.
00:25:00
Napoli, I believe, is in second or third right now.
00:25:02
So this is a game where Milan is listed, even though they're in first.
00:25:07
I believe there at plus 200.
00:25:10
So if I did not hate them with all my guts, I would probably be looking to play them on the pick right now.
00:25:17
But they're not the Cowboys for me, so I can bet on them.
00:25:20
I just don't want to go against this Napoli side right now where a decent amount of guys did participate in the international window staying with Milan.
00:25:29
So that's where you kind of got to see what the lineup is on game day.
00:25:34
There isn't any big spikes on cases within either of these clubs that I've seen.
00:25:39
So I don't think that's too much of ah issue.
00:25:41
But, um, this is definitely your match to watch.
00:25:47
Yeah.
00:25:50
Yeah, well, I just like to banter Rex.
00:25:53
I'll be rooting on for a C.
00:25:54
Milan and hope they win everything.
00:25:57
Um, but yeah, like like you mentioned.
00:26:00
I hope it is a good match.
00:26:01
This I don't tune into many serial matches, but the way Rex speaks about it, it might.
00:26:06
I might grab a half to see what's going on in Italy.
00:26:09
Um, yeah, same time is Leister pool, which is rough.
00:26:14
And it's the 2 45 right before the witching hour of the NFL.
00:26:17
But not please.
00:26:19
Plus 1 32.
00:26:21
Milan's plus 1 97.
00:26:23
Milan's defense has been their best part, but the Latin has been the king of Italy so far.
00:26:28
Just scoring at will not please getting contributions for everyone in the defense of monologues and cool.
00:26:34
I really has been solid, so that's definitely going to be nice to see he's locked on in Abra go against probably the best center back pairing in Italy.
00:26:43
Yeah, it seems like a couple of games before the international break.
00:26:48
Um, not really seem to be hitting, like, kind of a rough patch, But then that I don't know, maybe five or six games before the international break and then the last couple of games, they seem to have gotten it together.
00:26:57
Um, and a C Milan, I think, stumbled a little bit.
00:27:00
They lost a wheel and then tied Barone.
00:27:02
I think their last two games coming in.
00:27:03
So, um yeah, too many inconsistencies in this game, but, yeah, I think a scene one ton of value.
00:27:11
But this line, uh, I wouldn't want to go either way, um, total or side, but yeah, I think it's It'll be something I watched closely and maybe watch the second half or something that football stinks.
00:27:22
That there something.
00:27:26
All right, let's get into our best bets for the weekend, Um, coming back for the domestic league slate.
00:27:32
That's where they will all focus.
00:27:33
We will be on Monday talking about the Champions League as usual.
00:27:38
So last week.
00:27:40
So this was a long time ago, week and a half ago but bear with us.
00:27:43
Uh went 50 for plus 6.
00:27:46
49 units.
00:27:48
So finally hit the 100 play mark in the in line Breakers FC history.
00:27:54
So if you need more reasons to watch, it went 53 42 5 for plus 20.
00:27:59
71 units.
00:28:01
55.8 winning percentage.
00:28:03
22% r o I Sorry to go full tout right there.
00:28:07
But 100 plays in its gotta hope the next 100 or solid.
00:28:11
And I don't know, five and o had the Hungry dog hit last weekend.
00:28:15
Off our two weekends ago, everything went right.
00:28:18
So keeping it a little bit shorter with only three place.
00:28:21
But let's get it.
00:28:22
But let's get it.
00:28:24
Yeah, that's that's That's huge.
00:28:26
Um, I know we always talk about how water always finds level, but I think Brexit is just a different level.
00:28:33
Uh, he's on ah, 100 game heater, and hopefully we'll see the next 100 continued the right way.
00:28:39
Uh, e we found Rexes level.
00:28:42
This is his level.
00:28:43
His water rose up to his level. Finally.
00:28:48
I like that, um, for me, I had to miss the domestic show s Oh, my u C L Betts juiced out one and one for minus 1.5.
00:28:58
But domestics back, I feel like I'm seeing the board pretty clearly.
00:29:01
So ready for a good weekend? You're positive.
00:29:05
Lifetime on the show.
00:29:06
A swell so can never discredit that age is making you that money to Yes.
00:29:13
Yeah.
00:29:14
The last domestically goes one and two, I think Spurs. And over 1.5.
00:29:19
Of course, they win one or nothing.
00:29:21
And then my other loss Augsburg, Augsburg drawn a bed and they got blown up right here.
00:29:25
This so too bad Calls there and then stood guard Frank for both teams.
00:29:28
Going over 2.
00:29:29
5. Uh, pretty easy.
00:29:31
Winner was worried there for a second.
00:29:33
Um, I'd say my first.
00:29:34
I don't know, a handful of appearances.
00:29:36
I'm on the show.
00:29:37
Where, uh, pretty.
00:29:39
I guess I was decently positive going through the time.
00:29:43
And then the new season.
00:29:44
Just I think I'm, like, 13 and 22.
00:29:46
So rough start there, but positive in u C.
00:29:49
L just got to clean up the domestic league a little bit, but I think the more we get into the season, the better That will go.
00:29:55
Yeah.
00:29:56
Last the start of last season, I had the rocky start kind of sitting more where you are.
00:30:00
So you just take the heads with it.
00:30:02
Look at what you're doing.
00:30:03
Are you Are you losing a consistent amount of the same type of plays? Always take a look back at your losers because people quickly we'll ignore him.
00:30:11
But sometimes you can learn from it.
00:30:15
Alright, So I got three plays for you this weekend.
00:30:18
None in the Premier League.
00:30:20
Maybe we'll tweet one out once I see the lineups, but yeah, Sorry.
00:30:24
A J.
00:30:25
I like finding my value.
00:30:26
Erkan, get it? Nothing spoke to me enough.
00:30:28
Uh, the action via money line is the play that I was looking at, the closest the lock in, but just not sold on it yet because I think there due to be one of the team that regresses so finally doing it.
00:30:44
The show has been talking a lot of heat.
00:30:46
A lot of **** on Shockey not going against them.
00:30:49
So I'm finally doing it with Wolfsburg's Moneyline minus 101 So a J.
00:30:55
I know.
00:30:56
We became the biggest Bundesliga junkies.
00:30:58
They have mhm.
00:31:00
We were just missing who the new draw teams are.
00:31:03
Wolfsburg has.
00:31:04
They have two wins, zero losses and five draws.
00:31:07
And then I believe, Lever, Houston has three wins, zero losses and four draws.
00:31:13
So Wolf's works finally going up against Shaq.
00:31:15
The Wolfsburg's is on the road, but I'm getting the price right about even Shockey.
00:31:21
Still, that they solve one plan of mine tank.
00:31:24
But they have been pulling off some more draws recently.
00:31:27
So hopefully Wolfsburg can stay at the top of the table.
00:31:30
I think it's a fishy price there, but gonna back Wolfsburg got minus 101 Do you know who the home side is in that match? Okay, Okay.
00:31:43
Wow.
00:31:44
Joey, do you have anything to add on that play? No, I think Shaka stinks.
00:31:48
Wolf needs to win.
00:31:49
Uh, good price back in a bad team.
00:31:52
But I do think the chance you could see a job, but Wolf Wolfsburg may be able to overpower him.
00:32:00
Perfect.
00:32:01
Eso my first play.
00:32:02
I'm gonna keep it nice and simple.
00:32:04
I think it's theseventies 30 Eastern time.
00:32:06
So bright and early.
00:32:08
You have Chelsea playing at Newcastle, Chelsea minus one since that minus 1.
00:32:12
25.
00:32:13
little bit juicy.
00:32:14
I know. We like our plus money here.
00:32:16
Um, however, Chelsea on terrific form.
00:32:19
Um, I don't think Newcastle that strong with side.
00:32:21
My only issue is going to Newcastle is always a tough trip for players.
00:32:26
Um, however, without fans, I think they lose a lot of that home field advantage.
00:32:30
Uh, at worst.
00:32:32
Expect to push.
00:32:33
Hoping for a two. Nothing. Three.
00:32:35
Nothing. Chelsea Victory.
00:32:40
Yeah, I like that.
00:32:41
That was a play, uh, game.
00:32:43
I was looking to play a couple of different ways.
00:32:46
I thought about taking Chelsea and over 1.
00:32:48
5 for Chelsea and under 4.
00:32:50
5, I couldn't decide between the two.
00:32:52
So, um, maybe both come in.
00:32:55
Maybe neither would come in.
00:32:56
Um, so I just stayed away.
00:32:58
But I do like Chelsea.
00:32:59
I like the minus one.
00:33:00
Um, I think even a couple of days ago, the mice 10.
00:33:02
75 waas around that price.
00:33:05
So the lines moving a little bit, Um, I do think if you are in tow, parlays or even starting open parley.
00:33:13
I do think that this Chelsea game is a pretty good one.
00:33:16
just the way they're playing on Di.
00:33:18
Believe Callum Wilson will be out for Newcastle.
00:33:21
And that's a huge attacker for them to miss.
00:33:23
Um, so I think, uh, definitely a good angle.
00:33:28
Something I looked at.
00:33:29
Um, there's a lot of those in the e p l this week.
00:33:31
I feel like I have a thought or opinion on every game, but just nothing.
00:33:35
I feel 100% confident in, um, but my favorite one for the peeled.
00:33:40
My only bet there this weekend.
00:33:42
Rex already mentioned the game, but taking the over in Essen Villa in Brighton, um, 2.
00:33:47
75 of minus 101 I think both teams I know we talked about the regression from Villa, or we're expecting a little bit of regression there.
00:33:56
I still think they we'll score a goal here, there, but maybe not score seven against Liverpool or anything like that.
00:34:02
Um, so I just think this game is gonna be pretty open and flowing between these two teams.
00:34:07
Brian is, uh, plays a lot more aggressive and plays like a heavier attacking style than there used Thio.
00:34:13
I think they're both teams obviously gonna want to win the game.
00:34:16
But Bill is gonna wanna win the stay at the top of the table.
00:34:18
Brian's gonna wanna win to kind of stay ahead of that relegation zone.
00:34:22
Um, a couple other points.
00:34:26
Both teams are in the top eight of expected goals.
00:34:29
While there was kind of over performing by, like, don't know, two or 3 2.
00:34:32
5 goals, maybe, but Brian's kind of right in line.
00:34:35
So at least they're putting chances on the board in taking shots and kind of attacking.
00:34:41
Um, and another thing I look at is villas.
00:34:44
Worse, it's scoring and conceding.
00:34:48
I guess they're better scoring goals at home, but they also concede more goals at home.
00:34:51
And then same with Brighton and away games.
00:34:53
Um, they tend to score more and concede more there.
00:34:56
So I think this game could be 212 to either way, Um, another status.
00:35:02
So I think only through three games and Bill, I haven't put a ton of tough teams, but they haven't given up to the single haven't conceded on an away goal, so kind of interesting from the team you think wouldn't be good at defense, but, um, just something there.
00:35:14
So the over 2.
00:35:15
75 in this game, I think, should be, um, not easy to cash, but I think it the least we'll see three goals for me.
00:35:24
I really like this spot on your pick.
00:35:27
I think early on in the season, Brighton is one of those teams that I really like the over four.
00:35:31
Um, just because they play an expensive football on, then hopefully we'll look again on the board.
00:35:37
Thio tip you over? Yeah.
00:35:39
I think Bill has got the better attacking options and then bright.
00:35:41
And I think we'll just even if they're down, they're gonna attack more.
00:35:46
So, um yeah, just like the place all these two teams.
00:35:50
Max enough.
00:35:53
Alright.
00:35:54
For my second play, I'm gonna get into some Syria action.
00:35:58
Not gonna be a fun one.
00:36:00
Hate doing this.
00:36:01
Haven't had it under in a while.
00:36:03
Joey's like wiping his face because he's so upset with May.
00:36:07
But Cecil Verona, under three plus 106 Brown is only allowed five goals so far this season.
00:36:16
They're definitely exceeding expectations there.
00:36:18
But Verona puts you in a different style.
00:36:21
Uh, they just play sit back counter pressing style Sassuolo's gonna bring it to them.
00:36:27
They've had the most goals force so far in Syria.
00:36:30
Some betting on the team that scored the most.
00:36:33
A game to go on there. Three.
00:36:35
So it is what it is.
00:36:37
If you don't like this one, don't blame you.
00:36:39
But this is where Sassuolo had a 00 draw, all right? Before the weekend against, right before the break against Udinese. A.
00:36:47
I think maybe they're just a little bit worn out or something like that.
00:36:50
But I just think even though how strong their attack is, Sassuolo as one of the better defense is in Syria as well.
00:36:57
I think we see a one goal game or two goal game here, So I'm gonna take the under three.
00:37:02
And if it gets the four, it is what it is.
00:37:05
And I will never talk you out under.
00:37:08
I'm so proud of you for taking an under.
00:37:10
So I love it.
00:37:15
Okay, we Do you have anything on this game? No thoughts.
00:37:17
Just thoughts and prayers to Rex.
00:37:19
We're taking it under in a serious game.
00:37:22
Um, for my second pick, it leads ****nal over three.
00:37:28
Says that +11 10 on Bovada.
00:37:32
Um, I think last couple shows We've talked about how poor ****nal have been going forward.
00:37:38
However, I think the way leads plays, attacks.
00:37:42
Um, it kind of force ****nal's hand to also play attacking, um, ****nal look decent on the counter attack, and I do expect leads to at least bag one here.
00:37:51
Um, so I don't hate if your book offers both teams to score.
00:37:55
Yes, Um, that's another angle I like for the statements Well and leads is getting Rodrigo Bacca's well, so I think that's a key piece for them.
00:38:04
Calvin Phillips still looks to be without the lineup, So if Rodrigo's staying out, I was going to stay on The fade leads train because they've had back to back games where they just lost.
00:38:15
I believe it was.
00:38:16
Fourtou wants to meet with them, so they're they're conceding right now to decent amount.
00:38:22
Maybe Bielsa will get out of his.
00:38:24
I think he literally throughout a 3331 line up the other day.
00:38:29
So that's where I was just like, What are you doing? I don't think I've ever seen the manager do that before.
00:38:34
Maybe he gets off the crazy juice stirring it.
00:38:37
But for your sake a J, I hope he stays on it.
00:38:40
So this game goes over.
00:38:42
I love it.
00:38:43
Yeah, I think both teams to score is minus 1 90.
00:38:45
So kind of a juicy price there.
00:38:47
Um, and Bovada has been really lazy, so I don't have a price on the both teams in over two enough goals.
00:38:53
But I think that that's a good look there, because I think I don't know ****nal.
00:38:58
Their 40144 wins and four losses.
00:39:01
Um, I don't know.
00:39:03
I just I think ****nal kind of need to show something here.
00:39:07
Um, it's a kind of a vulnerable lead side, but yeah, I think we talked about our Ted unders often, but I think this is a good spot just because, um, ****nal's got not gonna be able to hold the ball.
00:39:20
Leads will constantly be pressing them.
00:39:21
And, um, they will either hurt leads in and over pressing or kind of take ****nal on the surprise and kind of forced them into mist.
00:39:31
Ake.
00:39:32
So I think the over is a good book here.
00:39:33
My only question is, why not take like the 2.
00:39:35
75 but, like minus 1 13.
00:39:37
It's not like a super cheesy pricing.
00:39:39
If you get the three, you least get half a win.
00:39:41
But, um, that's my only thought.
00:39:44
Question and concern, I guess.
00:39:47
Um, yeah, I'll be completely honest.
00:39:49
And I didn't really look too much into that.
00:39:52
Um, I saw the line. I looked.
00:39:54
I liked it.
00:39:55
Um, I don't know.
00:39:56
For me, I'm okay with the push at plus money.
00:39:59
Um, but also, get your point of view, which is, if you get the three, you at least get a half wind.
00:40:03
So I guess depends what type of better you are.
00:40:09
There are just quick question.
00:40:12
I mean, I usually like the 2.
00:40:13
7 fives, but, um, yeah, I think three is not a bad way to go.
00:40:23
Oh, I guess that would be my turn.
00:40:25
Sorry. Waiting for Rex. It is.
00:40:27
But, um, let's make sure I don't say yes.
00:40:30
So my next one, I'm following Rex to Italy.
00:40:33
Um, I'm taking Fiorentina and over 1.
00:40:36
5 goals minus 1.
00:40:38
30.
00:40:39
they're playing Benavente.
00:40:40
It's early. 6:30 a.m. e.
00:40:42
String game.
00:40:43
Um, kind of just stating Benavente here.
00:40:45
They've lost five in a row.
00:40:46
They're conceding goals left and right.
00:40:48
Um Fiorentina.
00:40:50
I think it's two wins, both coming at home.
00:40:52
I just think Fiorentina has attacking power.
00:40:56
And, uh, I think we'll just kind of overpower them in a little bit of a fate of just Benavente with themselves.
00:41:03
But, um, I think some value here with taking Fiorentina and over 1.
00:41:08
5 goals at minus 1.
00:41:09
30 not are always the witches.
00:41:11
Is that who Benevento us? Yeah, they don't.
00:41:15
Yeah, even we're past Halloween, so they don't scare me anymore.
00:41:19
You know, with Ben Veneto, they have had, even though where they're considered in the table, just looking at how they're performing against the X G.
00:41:27
I didn't go through to see if they've had a rough start to the season, but I would say from their standards there, definitely under exceeding their expectations right now.
00:41:37
Garentina sitting as a top eight club, I believe currently.
00:41:41
So that's where Bienvenido has been conceding a lot there definitely a team that can score.
00:41:46
So this guy, I hope you're you get the good Fiorentina because I wouldn't call them a streaky club.
00:41:52
But they throw up Dud sometimes.
00:41:54
Just hope it doesn't come here.
00:42:00
Alright, Last play of the weekend.
00:42:02
Um, definitely going to try and check out the Premier Li lineups for when they come out may determine some plays.
00:42:09
Also might look at some overs because in a j Chelsea play, Um, that's right around the cuffs of the way.
00:42:18
Favorite my over 2.
00:42:20
5, but it's sitting at 2.
00:42:21
75 So I think with the international break the 1st 10 minutes of all these games, I think might start slow.
00:42:30
So if you're looking for overs, I think you wait a little bit because the teams are going to get their footing back under them.
00:42:35
You might catch a team slow real quick, but do you guys have any thoughts before I get into my play on totals coming back from this break? Well, for me, I think the last international break I didn't see a dropper dip, so I'm just going to stay constant toe what I believe in.
00:42:55
What about you, Joey? Yeah, I think it definitely.
00:43:00
Um I don't know.
00:43:02
I could I could definitely see games starting Sloan, if you like a total weight a little bit.
00:43:06
Um, but it could also go the other way.
00:43:08
Like Rex mentioned.
00:43:09
They just aren't fully there yet and focused.
00:43:12
Um, but yeah, that's kind of where I attend.
00:43:15
I do have four players this weekend, but, um, definitely Could've.
00:43:18
Could've had a maybe one or two more, but, um, yeah, I just think there's so much uncer*****y.
00:43:24
Sometimes you could see it making every game go under.
00:43:28
Sometimes every game goes over, but, um, I don't know.
00:43:32
I think it's definitely something I factor in just game by game basis.
00:43:37
But there's not one.
00:43:38
Uh, I don't think it'll have the same effect on every every team.
00:43:44
All right, Well, fellas, we got a hungry dog in the championship this weekend, okay? Uh, might not be the prettiest you guys.
00:43:52
We're probably not gonna like it because I'm back in Sheffield Wednesday.
00:43:57
Moneyline plus 2 41 on the road against Preston.
00:44:03
So, as of right now, presents the worst team at home.
00:44:06
They have one point.
00:44:07
They've lost every other game other than one draw.
00:44:10
Sheffield Wednesday sacked their manager before the break.
00:44:13
New manager mojo coming in here.
00:44:16
Um, just a team that taking that point hit they kind of started off hot now have been pretty slow.
00:44:23
But I think the new manager mojo in the championship right here is what gets it through it.
00:44:28
I think press and continue to struggle at home.
00:44:31
Pressing the they're attacking doesn't scare me. Watch.
00:44:35
They scored two or three here.
00:44:36
But that's the biggest thing with Preston is their offense hasn't been consistent.
00:44:41
They don't have to go to guy up top.
00:44:43
I'm just like in Sheffield Wednesday.
00:44:45
Thio get a one under the belt to start their race out of the relegation zone.
00:44:52
Yeah, just a disclaimer to everyone.
00:44:54
I'm pretty sure Sheffield Wednesday.
00:44:55
So it's like 22nd or 23rd currently in the standing.
00:45:00
So you're not backing a great team, but well, I had the minus six points that was minus 12 to start, so they had to six point deduction to start the season.
00:45:09
So that is something to look at? Um, yeah, like you mentioned.
00:45:14
I think Joe and I talked about this last time because I think Rex was backing Preston.
00:45:18
If I remember correctly, and they are the draw Masters or 11 game.
00:45:24
So Hopefully, they could Sheffield could get that second goal.
00:45:30
Yeah, I think just looking at Sheffield's last couple of games, Um, or just their last two.
00:45:35
They tied Millwall, who I think has been pretty good so far this year.
00:45:38
But they beat born myth.
00:45:39
Um, so maybe they've caught a little bit of fire here, but yeah, so let's hope be written on the I don't I think it's the strip.
00:45:47
You'll Wednesday owls or something like that.
00:45:52
What do you got for us, Joey B? You got two left, right? Yeah, I got to up.
00:45:57
Should you want to get the last two? Yeah.
00:45:59
A J is done.
00:46:00
I'm done.
00:46:01
So let's see what you The last two? I have one more.
00:46:04
So if you want to go and we could alternate Okay, um, next one I, Byron in both teams to score, they're playing Werder Bremen.
00:46:11
So buying and both teams to score.
00:46:14
So fired toe win and both teams to score.
00:46:16
Plus 1 25.
00:46:18
I'm putting a lot of faith in tow.
00:46:20
Werder Bremen to score.
00:46:22
They're pretty bad team, but, uh, fire has only kept one shut out so far this year against Frankfurt.
00:46:29
Surprisingly, a team that's got a pretty strong offense.
00:46:32
But I will say Worker has been yet have yet to be shut out so far this year.
00:46:36
Granted, they haven't played against, uh, Bundesliga isn't known for their staunch defense.
00:46:43
For sure, it's another league you rarely wanted taken under.
00:46:46
Um, I know they've had They've missed Davies, uh, for a couple of games, but I think this is their first didn't commit get hurt against doorman two weeks ago.
00:46:57
Um or is, you know, I think I think images.
00:47:02
I think he's out.
00:47:03
I may be wrong, but I think they'll miss him.
00:47:05
Um, Byron definitely had a lot more players in competing international break.
00:47:11
Um, but I also think at some point, buyer may be up for nothing, and they just get lazy and could see the goal.
00:47:17
Um, so I'd rather take the I think firing toe windmill was plus 1 10.
00:47:22
So I'd rather take the plus price to get order Bremen to get a goal.
00:47:25
Um, so just buying them both teams to score, plus 1 25 back in some trends here.
00:47:30
But, um, I just think Byron, maybe we'll have a lapse here there and concede a goal.
00:47:37
I personally think this one's tough, especially when you open up your pick saying I'm backing a very poor team to score.
00:47:44
Um, However, for me, it's just I talked about this every week, is just buying her the best team in the world.
00:47:51
And I don't know if that means they just score a lot more than the other teams.
00:47:55
And defensively, they turn it up when they play in the Champions League.
00:47:59
Um, however, for your sake, we'll pray Water Bremen gets on the board.
00:48:05
Yeah, I also images out till January.
00:48:08
So he got hurt against, uh, doorman.
00:48:11
So, um, yeah, I just think I'd rather trust Bremen to score than buying to keep a clean sheet.
00:48:17
But I may be wrong, and they may dominate them through the whole game, but we'll see.
00:48:23
I'll take the plus 1 25 price, though.
00:48:25
Yeah, I'm just a little scared for Bremen sake.
00:48:28
You, captain, completely right? You're just buying on that.
00:48:31
They catch him at one point because Bayern will probably put three on them.
00:48:38
So for my last play, I'm touching the game that everyone said they didn't want to touch.
00:48:43
Um, so I have Leicester City Liverpool over three at minus 1. 10.
00:48:51
So when I was deep dive into this game using my brain, Um, I would have taken the under.
00:48:57
Um but when I look at this match, it just screams over to me.
00:49:01
Um, you have to top top teams that usually you don't wanna be the first team to concede.
00:49:08
So you play a little more defensively.
00:49:10
Brendan Rodgers, the manager of Liverpool up manager of Leicester, used to manage Liverpool.
00:49:16
So you have a little revenge angle here.
00:49:18
Um, so those things kind of add up to a under.
00:49:22
However, I will be taking the over three.
00:49:24
Um, just because I think both teams are quality teams who are going to find the back of the net and, uh, coming back from break.
00:49:32
I think Liverpool are gonna be a little more jumbled up then, Lester just because they have so many moving parts, um, because most teams they have players who go play for, like, the England national team.
00:49:43
That's fine, but Liverpool have a lot of different nationalities, some going to South America, staying in Europe or stuff like that.
00:49:50
So I just think I just see goals in this one and all honesty.
00:49:58
Yeah, I don't have Ah, again a strong opinion on the total.
00:50:01
Um, I do.
00:50:02
I wouldn't trust really either side here.
00:50:04
I would just be afraid of Leicester.
00:50:06
Uh, just letting Liverpool attack and hitting them on the counter for, like, a one or two goal win.
00:50:12
Um, but we were pulled Those that have the stars, the potential, even no matter who starts to get a goal or two here.
00:50:18
So, um, I think definitely a good spot taken over.
00:50:23
Yeah, Liverpool defense definitely has been extremely questionable.
00:50:28
I just want to see their line up more than anything and with overseas this weekend.
00:50:32
I'm just gonna wait this 1st 10 minutes, that's all.
00:50:35
I'm gonna dio hopefully get a better price and do like this.
00:50:39
Do like taking the over here.
00:50:41
But just wanna wait to see if I could get a little bit lower.
00:50:44
Might burn me waiting, but at the end, we'll probably get the same number that needs to cash anyway, So mhm.
00:50:53
Yeah, for my my last plan, I'm going with the just a little Buddhist legal parlay.
00:50:59
Um, I like a lot of the favorites this weekend.
00:51:02
I almost just did a 14 parley with, like, a quarter unit just because, um, but I'm taking Bruscia doorman minus 1 50 against her.
00:51:11
The Berlin and leverage, Houston, playing Armenia be a field.
00:51:15
Um, I think for dormant.
00:51:18
It's good. Bounce back spot, I guess.
00:51:20
Sorry.
00:51:21
The two teams is plus 1 57 for both teams.
00:51:23
Those two teams to win something pretty good price on those two teams, but for dormant, I think Good.
00:51:27
Bounce back spot again after they lost Byron.
00:51:31
And to stay in the Bundesliga race, they're gonna just need to keep getting winds.
00:51:35
Um, I think early Holland Yeah, did not play for Norway, and I think is available to play for doorman, so he will be full arrested.
00:51:47
Um, I just think they have got young stars enough on offense.
00:51:52
Um, and I will say they've, uh, dormant defense has only conceded five and the Buddhist leaders so far, and three of those came against Byron.
00:52:00
Um, so their defense is really played well, and they obviously have the attack to get it done.
00:52:05
Her The Berlin has kind of been up and down I bet against them before the international break, So I'm going back to the well against them.
00:52:13
Hopefully, they don't burn me two weeks in a row, but I think doorman will get it done and then whoever.
00:52:18
Houston when Rex told me they've drawn so many games.
00:52:21
Definitely a scary team to take.
00:52:23
But there, minus 1 85 I put should in all caps beat this B l b Armenia side.
00:52:30
Um, they've lost four in a row.
00:52:32
They just lost.
00:52:33
I think the Union Berlin recorded not thinking before the national break.
00:52:36
I think top to bottom liver.
00:52:38
Houston's the strongest team.
00:52:39
Um, they just need the bl field will sit back and just let lubrication attack.
00:52:45
So if Leverkusen get an early goal here, I think it's gonna be tough for, um, Armenia to get get hit them and get a goal.
00:52:54
Um, I do think this game may stay under the total just because I don't see Armenia scoring.
00:53:01
It's just a matter of how many flavor accusing could get one or two put some respect on Union Berlin's name.
00:53:08
They're currently fifth in the table.
00:53:10
That's all I have to say about this.
00:53:12
That that's Ah, it's a good parlay.
00:53:14
You're getting it out of great number.
00:53:16
You're getting to two good teams, so can't hate it.
00:53:19
But Union Berlin put some respect on it.
00:53:24
I there definitely a good team.
00:53:25
But if they could be Armenia Byfield four to nothing.
00:53:29
Soaking lyric Houston.
00:53:30
Um, just the other teams.
00:53:32
I almost was gonna throw Moenchengladbach playing Augsburg.
00:53:36
Another team.
00:53:37
I almost added to the parlay.
00:53:38
And then the last one.
00:53:39
I think Leipzig, even by themselves, they're playing Frankfurt.
00:53:43
Um, Leipzig, I think, was minus 1 20.
00:53:45
Almost added.
00:53:46
Them is like almost like a plus 600.
00:53:48
But I won't.
00:53:49
I won't have the I won't give it out or anything.
00:53:51
But I think if you're looking for some or German place or likely, definitely a good I think the over in that game against Frankfurt, always looking back some overs with Frankfurt.
00:54:00
But I think I've said we'll get the win there too.
00:54:02
So just, um, other Bundesliga thoughts.
00:54:06
You know, the biggest price I like that.
00:54:09
If I were you, I would have added it in was the anti Lanta money line against Visa Mhm that's sitting I like mine are minus 2. 23.
00:54:18
So it's not going to make it that much better, But it could get you over plus 200.
00:54:23
Yeah, I think I like that.
00:54:24
Um, I'm excited to see what I don't want to comes out after this break there. Definitely.
00:54:29
Um probably the break hit them at the right time.
00:54:32
They're kind of a little inconsistent here and there, but hopefully they can get back to some scoring ways here.
00:54:39
Alright.
00:54:40
So let's recap our plays real quick before we sign off.
00:54:43
I got Wolfsburg's Moneyline minus 101 fade chalk a Sassuolo Verona under three plus 106 And then the hungry dog, Sheffield Wednesday Moneyline plus 2 41.
00:54:55
Perfect.
00:54:56
I got Chelsea minus one and minus 1 25.
00:54:59
Leicester City, Liverpool over three minus 1 10 and leads ****nal over three at plus 1. 10.
00:55:07
Yeah, I got a Aston Villa Brighton over 2.
00:55:09
75 minus 101 Fiorentina and over 1.
00:55:13
5, minus 1. 30.
00:55:15
Byron and both teams to score.
00:55:16
Plus 1 25.
00:55:18
Then the money line.
00:55:19
Parlay doorman minus 1 50 live accusing minus 1.
00:55:21
85 for plus 1 57.
00:55:25
All right, so that's our show for the weekend.
00:55:28
We will be back Monday for the Champions League.
00:55:31
We got the group stage four matches to break down and give your best bets on, so we'll be back real quick for you.
00:55:37
Quick, turn around.
00:55:38
You'll see a lot of us because no more international break where we get our a little bit of a time off.
00:55:44
So let's enjoy some footy this weekend.
00:55:46
We're back.
00:55:47
Let's finish this season strong and we'll see you guys later.
00:55:51
Yeah, pizza.

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