SportsCastr • CoachStevenUSN is broadcasting live!
Purchase Tix chevron_right
tix 0
Need More Bucks chevron_right

Need more bucks to cash out

You need at least 2,500 Bucks to submit a cash out request. Earn Bucks by going live and earning Digital Gifts and Tips from your viewers. You can either earn FANZ or Bucks from streams, update this in your account settings.

Got it, Thanks! Open Account Settings
Cash out bucks chevron_right
complete

Cashout request submitted

We will review your cash out request and respond or make payment to within 2 business days.

Got it, Thanks!
Cash Out Bucks chevron_right

Cash Out Bucks

Your 0 Bucks will be converted into $0.00. We will send your payment to a PayPal address of your choosing.

Cash Out Bucks Nevermind, go back
Cash Out Bucks chevron_right

Enter PayPal information

After reviewing your cash out request, we will send your cash to the PayPal account you enter below.

Cash Out Bucks Nevermind, go back
Purchase Successful chevron_right

You bought 0 Tix!

Your purchase was successful. Your TIX have been credited to your account and are ready to use.

Got it, Thanks!
Need More Tix chevron_right
tix 0
tix 0,000

You need more Tix!

You need at least more Tix to gift this.
Please get more Tix to continue.

Get More Tix
Need More Tix chevron_right
tix 0
tix 0,000

You need more Tix!

You need at least more Tix to gift this.
Please get more Tix to continue.

Get More Tix
Send This Gift? chevron_left
tix 0
tix 0,000

Send

Would you like to send this gift to @CoachStevenUSN? Tix will be removed from your balance.

Send This Gift Send & Don't Show Again
Send This Tip? chevron_left
tix 0
tix 0,000

Send Tip

Would you like to send this tip to @CoachStevenUSN? Tix will be removed from your balance.

Send Tip Send & Don't Show Again
Send A Gift Send A Tip chevron_right
tix 0
hide
tix50
up

Suggested Tips

10 20 50 100 200
Send Tip
home Home continue
profile Sign In / Sign Up continue
info_circle Contact continue
CoachStevenUSN is broadcasting live!
AWAY
HOME
0
0
Unknown
0
0
expand collapse
closed_captionclosed_caption_off
more_horizSee More
tip_leader
play_arrow pause
sound_mute sound_down sound_up
/
play_arrow pause
expand collapse
more_horizSee More
shareShare
sendSend
bucksSend Cash
tix20
tix50
tix100
tix200
tix200
tix400
tix1,000
tix2,000
tix4,000
Tip Leaderboard
tip_leader
continue
Other Commentary
community
continue
chat Switch To Chat continue
00:00:00
fantasy coaches podcast, Twitter Page, my Facebook page and I believe, Steve's SportsCastr account.
00:00:09
So thank you guys for joining us.
00:00:12
This is this week's edition of DFS Discourse.
00:00:15
Week 10 NFL Action As always, I am your host for this Saturday afternoon edition.
00:00:25
Jesse Clark is my name.
00:00:27
You can follow me over at J.
00:00:28
Crockett 24 on Twitter, and I am joined by my friend and co host Joe Andre.
00:00:36
Joe, thank you for joining me.
00:00:37
I'll let you pull your stuff and then we will get this thing kicked off.
00:00:40
Yes.
00:00:41
You guys can find me on Twitter at f f J B A phl.
00:00:44
Good to have you back in the pot again.
00:00:46
We had a week off last week.
00:00:48
This stuff came up, but no worse.
00:00:50
So we go into Week 10 this week, kind of please out somewhat similar to how weak 70 would play out in the sense that you got five games in the one o'clock hour and then you have six in the four.
00:01:02
That doing largely part because of the Masters being on CBS, where CBS games.
00:01:07
They're all gonna be pushed back to the four o'clock hour.
00:01:09
So What does that mean? More or less? I guess this is typically a strategy I use.
00:01:15
Anyways, I like to have my most expensive player.
00:01:18
That's in the flex or Yeah, everyone determined? Um, yeah, the most e like that.
00:01:23
My flex option.
00:01:25
Whether it be the highest price running back, that's in that four o'clock or the wide receiver, whatever you wanna call it, I technically have that in the Flex, just in case I want to use late swap late swaps.
00:01:33
Gotta kinda probably play more of a factor this week versus other weeks only because typically you have, like, at most four or five games in that late window.
00:01:43
Typically, it's been three this year, but now you've got six.
00:01:45
So it's something just to bear in mind in case either your lineup kind of doesn't go the way you want it to.
00:01:51
If you need somebody with more upside to switch out with or let's say your lines going great, you don't really need to make a move or you want to make a move.
00:01:57
Anyways, it's just like I say, more or less something to keep cognizant with this week, absolutely.
00:02:03
And and speaking of that advice type.
00:02:08
Uh, if if we want to go with that, you know, something's been weighing on my mind the last couple of days.
00:02:14
Of course, I had a couple weeks off from the show, so I'm chomping at the bit to get back here.
00:02:19
And the one thing I wanted to mention Thio any viewer that's tuning in, Maybe maybe your new Thio, DFS and DFS, obviously daily fantasy stuff.
00:02:32
So we're talking about draftkings, fanduel all those types of sites where it's just a one and done.
00:02:38
You know, the thing that not a lot of people or enough people consider, is the fact that one this is a one game sample size.
00:02:46
There is so much that can go on in a one game sample size, no matter how Maney stats, you look out, you know, and and we're gonna list off quite a bit because it is important in DFS to do your research and gain an advantage over certain competitors.
00:03:01
But here's the thing that not a lot of people consider.
00:03:05
So when we're just in our redraft leagues are season long fantasy leagues.
00:03:09
Each and every week when we're submit our lineups, what's the process we take.
00:03:12
Okay, We look at our players.
00:03:14
Are they studs? Are they fringe worthy flex guys? And then we're looking at Okay, what kind of matchup are they facing? We're just playing the most optimal play in our season long leagues in our lineups.
00:03:28
We're plugging the guys that we think are going to score the most points.
00:03:31
We're putting them together into the lineup.
00:03:33
Submit to your done.
00:03:35
That's not how DFS works.
00:03:36
And I think that's how too many DFS players submit their lineups and put their lineup builds together.
00:03:43
Is just going game by game and saying, Okay, this guy is in a really good match up and he's a good price So I'm going to play him And I think we need to be way more conscious off the variance that can happen in a one game sample size and the way to set yourself up for these big, huge scores.
00:04:08
And the only way to do that is to game stack so sometimes you might not have the money toe put all the elite options that are in these high over under totals in Vegas.
00:04:20
You know, this week you're not gonna be able to fit Stefon Diggs and Kyler Murray and DeAndre Hopkins and Erin Jones and all these high price guys from these games that were expecting to blow up.
00:04:33
You might have to just take the risk, take the variance to just get a piece of the action in that game.
00:04:39
And by that I mean, you might have to pivot the John Brown.
00:04:42
You might have to pivot the Beasley You might have to pivot to, you know, Christian Kirk instead of DeAndre Hopkins, even though Hopkins and Digs are obviously the most optimal plays.
00:04:56
But you just have to figure out a way to make it work and get these guys in from these games, because if you're not game stacking in these tournaments and you're not in your team's, these Games aren't blowing up from both sides.
00:05:11
You are not winning tournaments, so you're never gonna be the guy that they're talking about.
00:05:15
All you know.
00:05:16
He put in $15 and he won a million.
00:05:19
That will never be you, because you'll never be able to successfully take down a big tournament like that.
00:05:25
So what? I'd like Thio help the fans with and and I think it's more so also helping us like these things kind of rants and talks are almost Ah, little self reflection and kind of a little bit of psychology for ourselves to kind of force ourselves into What is the rial optimal plays in DFS.
00:05:48
So we kind of have to separate that mentality from our season long leagues to DFS when you're just trying to hit the ball out of the ballpark.
00:05:59
Now that doesn't mean play stupid plays.
00:06:00
You know, don't play the guys that are just bound toe flop there.
00:06:05
There's a way there is a way and we're learning.
00:06:08
Joe and I are getting better as the season goes on as I don't know how you feel, Joe.
00:06:14
But I know this year in particular, I have felt like my game has been taken up a notch.
00:06:20
I feel like I have improved my game a lot just by us communicating, You giving me advice that maybe I didn't take into consideration me giving you advice, and if I'm giving you the advice, I feel like I should be taking it myself.
00:06:34
And sometimes when it's just you making the choices, you kind of cower away and you do the safe thing and you just don't really take your own advice sometimes.
00:06:42
But if you're giving it to somebody else, you feel kind of obligated Thio follow through with that.
00:06:47
So, uh, you know, I hope you have felt like you're improving as well.
00:06:53
But I know this year in our in my DFS lineups and builds, I have done ah, lot more optimal things and learned a lot more this year than I think I have in the past three or four years of me doing it.
00:07:06
So, uh, I apologize for the little mini rant for everyone, but I thought that that was something that was weighing on my heart that I thought would be good, actionable advice that we should be giving to people instead of just okay here, the place and here, the best guys.
00:07:23
So, uh, that being said, unless you have anything else to add, Joe, I think we can probably move on to the top games of the week.
00:07:33
Correct? Yeah, I did wanna add some because, I mean, you do brings a very, very good point in terms off just stacking and just secondary and tertiary options.
00:07:43
um, So last week there were the two big games people focused on Waas, Buffalo for Seattle and Universe Jacksonville.
00:07:52
So again, like Jesse was saying, like for this week, it's gonna be so hard to jam in.
00:07:55
Nooks digs all those guys.
00:07:57
So let's go back to week nine again.
00:07:58
So everybody wanted to get the digs everybody wanted.
00:08:01
Get the Metcalfe and lock it and will fuller those guys.
00:08:06
But as as what happened in Week eight, the same thing happened in Week nine, where no ownership was on the Chiefs.
00:08:15
Inexplicably, no ownership was on the Chiefs again.
00:08:17
And I was guilty.
00:08:18
That a little bit to my I should have had a higher higher explosion that he was about to.
00:08:21
But you had you had Mahomes go off.
00:08:23
You had Tyree killed off Chelsea, the best tight end in football.
00:08:26
He's just been an absolute monster this year.
00:08:29
Even CMC it 8500 was at a bargain and he went off so you could have got all four of those guys are those guys in? I forget how much Curtis Samuel was, but I don't think he was over five where you could have got him into.
00:08:44
But again, like Jesse is saying in that sense, where is that other? So you wanna have exposure to certain games That Buffalo Seattle game? David More He had that long touchdown, I think, was in the fourth quarter is like a 60 yard bomb.
00:08:58
He was, I believe, 3100.
00:09:00
But he got that one big play got in the 14 15 points that acted as glue for the rest of those pieces in that Carolina Kansas City Games.
00:09:08
So it's more or less.
00:09:09
Yeah, we want to get digs in this week against the Cardinals.
00:09:12
We want to get look in against the Bills we wanted, it locked it.
00:09:15
DK against the Rams.
00:09:16
All those guys were there.
00:09:18
But it's more or less.
00:09:20
We need to have a lineup that's going to correlate at the same time, making sure we have exposure to those certain games.
00:09:25
I mean, and three of the four games were to talk about today.
00:09:28
Those are the games that we wanna have exposure to, and and at this point, now let's let's get into it.
00:09:33
So the first game we'll talk about is gonna be the Tampa Bay at Carolina game.
00:09:37
This is the second of the two matchups this year.
00:09:41
Pretty simple.
00:09:42
Bucks got destroyed on Sunday Night Football.
00:09:43
Saints just just absolutely thrashed them.
00:09:47
Um, so injury news on the Bucks side of the ball.
00:09:52
Carlton Davis is coming and it's questionable.
00:09:55
If he did sit out, that's definitely a boost for both D.
00:09:58
J Moore and Robby Anderson on the Panther side of the ball.
00:10:02
Again, we mentioned Panthers had a very decent game against the Chiefs.
00:10:06
Held their own, um, on their side.
00:10:09
CMC, of course, is out.
00:10:10
We're gonna discuss Mike Davis quite a bit in a few minutes.
00:10:14
Also, Kun is out for the offensive line for Carolina.
00:10:20
So yeah, I guess we'll start off with my Davis.
00:10:22
I mean, I don't get help.
00:10:24
Draftkings just didn't honestly leave his price around.
00:10:28
I mean, minimum 5,506,000.
00:10:30
I mean, CMC did get injured on that last play of the game last week.
00:10:34
It's not like we didn't know about it.
00:10:36
I mean, draftkings is usually pretty good with that stuff, but they expectedly left Mike Davis a 4000 stuff.
00:10:42
Expect him to be the highest soon player across the board GPS cash all over the place.
00:10:46
But there's a lot of like with him in regards to how Tampa Bay does struggle against pass catching backs.
00:10:52
I'm gonna kick it off the, um you on that? Yeah.
00:10:58
I hate to put you on the spot job, but do you have that stat handy that you sent to me in the text regarding Mike Davis's splits when they're an underdog and when they're a favorite? Yeah.
00:11:09
So I did an article this week.
00:11:10
Um, just a different player.
00:11:12
Split home away.
00:11:14
Indoor outdoor favorite, underdog, etcetera, etcetera.
00:11:17
Yeah, one thing I dug up on Mike Davis.
00:11:19
So in the game said he's favored.
00:11:20
He averages 1.
00:11:21
66 targets per game versus as an underdog and as another dog in this game because the Panthers do come in as six point dogs.
00:11:29
Mike Davis.
00:11:30
I was just seven point through the targets per game.
00:11:31
That was definitely interested.
00:11:32
I don't know what the theory on that is, but e mean definitely negative game scripts.
00:11:37
I would expect them to be in tomorrow where that that is gonna funnel additional targets.
00:11:41
Teddy Bridgewater like to throw too many deep passes more of a short pass variety quarterback where that's gonna benefit my Davis, Curtis, Samuel.
00:11:49
But yeah, I did see that.
00:11:50
I'm just like, man, obviously I was wrong about that.
00:11:53
Yeah, I thought that was a really good Staten.
00:11:55
And one The only caution, I would say.
00:11:58
And just to recap.
00:11:59
So you said this is their second game of the year.
00:12:01
First matchup.
00:12:02
Tampa Bay, 1 31 to 17, pretty handedly won there in that matchup.
00:12:08
So, you know, putting up 31 points.
00:12:11
That's that's going to give us some upside there and and given the big time down performance on prime time television at that, you know everybody is gonna be down on this Tampa Bay offense, and that's where we thrive.
00:12:26
I hate toe, you know, bring a pun into this as the Thrive fantasy thing is going down at the bottom ticker here with our promo code coaches for $20 bonus.
00:12:38
But, uh, you know, picking up on those biased recency bias matchups are what we can really take advantage of from a DFS perspective.
00:12:51
So I love Brady.
00:12:52
This week, I tend to like Antonio Brown A B and Godwin Mawr than Mike Evans.
00:13:00
I think that they're just They just have ah safer.
00:13:03
Flora's faras target shares go I think we've kind of seen Mike Evans has really Onley gotten the targets this year when Godwin's been out hurt and it's been on Lee him now The positive side to him is he's obviously been a monster inside the 10 yard line.
00:13:17
I mean, he's just eaten up those touchdown opportunities.
00:13:20
But given all these other options there in the passing game, I feel like that's not really sustainable.
00:13:28
And so I'm definitely probably fading Mike Evans here and I'm going mawr towards Antonio Brown and Godwin just because of the target share in their opportunities.
00:13:39
You know, opportunity rules all in fantasy, when you have opportunity combined with elite talent that both of these wide receivers have, That's where I really like this game.
00:13:49
So that Tampa Bay secondary and that that past defense opposing the Carolina team, you know, they've been pretty tough this year, so I think I'm probably steering away from those pass catchers.
00:14:03
But I do like the correlation stack of Mike Davis with Tom on the other side and then either stacking one or both Godwin in a be with Tom Brady.
00:14:15
So I I like that stack a lot as we have not mentioned here.
00:14:19
But Joe and I have kind of traded messages back and forth that projected ownership for the Tampa Bay offense is so low this week.
00:14:27
I mean, we're talking less than 5% for all these guys.
00:14:30
So definitely some advantages to be had there definitely some matchups to look out for, and I think we can kind of take advantage of it.
00:14:41
So I definitely think this Tampa Bay offense is gonna be towards the top of my list as's faras ownership of my several different lineups.
00:14:50
So just so you guys know when I say ownership for my different lineups, I typically make between Florida eight lineups a week, So that's kind of what I like to work with.
00:15:01
That's kind of my wheelhouse there.
00:15:02
So, uh, do you have anything else to add there? Yeah, I like me a ****ed off time, but ready to I mean, we were attacking the Panthers on the ground to start the year first five games.
00:15:14
They were going up over five yards a carry.
00:15:16
I mean, they gave up eight touchdowns and there's eight touchdowns on the ground.
00:15:19
It was first five games, but last four games, I mean, they've been they've held their own on the ground, 3.
00:15:23
74 yard to carry.
00:15:25
They've only given one rushing score.
00:15:27
So what, this tells me.
00:15:28
I mean, I think Brady's gonna throw when they're gonna throw a lot.
00:15:31
I just don't see them having to duds in a row like that.
00:15:34
I mean, I do get kind of wary being It's the second of two and, you know, be individual Matt games played twice a year.
00:15:42
That does make me.
00:15:43
That gives me slight hesitation.
00:15:45
But can't you just don't rush the quarterback? I mean, Brady's gonna clean pocket for most of this game here, so he's gonna ableto tomatoes might be out again as well.
00:15:52
I don't know if you saw that, but he's questionable.
00:15:54
So yeah, I think I grew tomatoes is questionable. We got Dante.
00:15:58
Jackson is questionable for the for the Panthers, marquees Haines.
00:16:03
I guess my only concern here is it's just who I like. God, me too.
00:16:07
I do like God when I think I don't like Brown as much as you do there.
00:16:10
The Bradys targeted the running backs 11 times a game the last three weeks to, and I I started thinking, I just looking at how the the snaps is gone.
00:16:21
Just Jones fumbling that ball against the Giants.
00:16:24
I mean, at some point, I just think that backfields going to Goto for net.
00:16:28
I just don't know when.
00:16:29
I mean, he's averaged 6.
00:16:30
33 targets the last three weeks to I mean, he's been used pretty well on the back of. He's been pretty efficient.
00:16:35
I just don't know when it's gonna be.
00:16:37
But if there's ever a week, especially if the Panthers team kind of struggled against the pass catching back.
00:16:42
I mean, like I said, I'm struggling to figure out what I'm gonna pair Brady with.
00:16:45
But I just a t least We got 24 hours to figure that out.
00:16:48
But that Z definitely a question for me right now.
00:16:51
What makes you not like a B so much go back to this? Snaps played, um that he was.
00:17:02
He was right.
00:17:03
He was right behind the Evans and Godwin just f Y I, and that was his first game for the whole year, and they still put him out there for quite a bit of snaps.
00:17:12
And I think he was towards the top us faras target share A swell.
00:17:17
He did. Yeah.
00:17:18
I saw 70% of the snap, so at least he's got the snap count there and five targets.
00:17:21
I mean, maybe.
00:17:22
I mean, definitely game.
00:17:23
I mean, just getting getting his legs back if anything too.
00:17:27
So maybe this could work out warm.
00:17:30
Yeah.
00:17:31
Okay.
00:17:32
Well, uh, you know, we kind of broke that one down. Justus.
00:17:34
Justo kinda, uh, not just list one scenario here.
00:17:40
If if weaken really, I guess.
00:17:42
Just name one thing that could be a downside to this matchup.
00:17:46
It's that Tampa Bay comes out guns blazing like they did against Screen Bay or something.
00:17:52
And they're just firing on all cylinders early in.
00:17:55
The game's almost over by halftime.
00:17:57
You know, that's the downside is that's how we missed the upside with the past game.
00:18:02
And that could be where for Net? Or Ronald Jones or somebody comes employees.
00:18:06
But that is the downside to this game is that definitely is a is a possibility with that mismatch there, Uh, for from almost both sides the ball there for Tampa Bay in Carolina.
00:18:19
So that being said, I just wanted to mention that before I move on to the next game.
00:18:22
So what's next on the docket? So we got the are the Chargers and Dolphins, so Chargers stages.
00:18:29
I've never seen a team so unlucky as that, that bunch.
00:18:33
I mean, it's part of just keeps his feet inbounds.
00:18:36
They win that game.
00:18:37
They just find ways to lose games every year.
00:18:40
Whether it's kicker issues, whether it's just not keeping you know feet about, it's just it's very creative how they do it.
00:18:46
I think you just want to talk about Justin Jackson.
00:18:48
Yeah, well, thank God he's outside.
00:18:52
Don't get to that suffering again this week S O Justin Justin Jackson's out.
00:18:56
The sweet Joey Bosa's also out this week.
00:18:58
That's a that's a big one.
00:18:59
Um, that big on the dolphin side of the ball.
00:19:03
They kept up with the Cardinals.
00:19:04
I mean, to looked to look very poised.
00:19:07
Um, that offense was clicking last week, so we got to air coming in at 3% ownership.
00:19:14
I mean, 5600.
00:19:15
Um, and then we got presser Williams being out.
00:19:19
So we talked about the splits from last year.
00:19:20
Preston Williams did miss the rest of the season.
00:19:23
I think, What was it? I think it was like a program like it was definitely over a double digit fantasy point per game differential.
00:19:31
So we got that fact of playing and he's dirt sheets, not dirt cheap, but 5000 definitely reasonable for him.
00:19:37
One thing I'll say about the Chargers defense, that pass defense just doesn't simply travel on the road.
00:19:41
They play, they play much better at home on the road.
00:19:45
They seem to be giving up about six more fantasy points to the quarterback, tight end and wide receiver each position.
00:19:50
So something.
00:19:51
Keep in mind there in terms of just lost one of their best TVs and the trade deadline to Yeah, so I could see both teams.
00:19:59
I mean, this is one of those ones where both teams gonna play up pace here.
00:20:02
This is definitely one of the fast paced games.
00:20:04
Justin Harvest look pretty good this year.
00:20:06
Kick it over exactly what he thinks on that.
00:20:08
But I do see some points coming in this game.
00:20:10
What are you seeing on the pace side of things because I was seeing that the Dolphins were playing super slow teams that played the, um, Chargers.
00:20:20
Give me a second pulled up eso That's what you're probably say? Yeah, that the Chargers do play at a faster pace and you're probably right there.
00:20:27
My worry about this game is the pace itself, you know? We know both teams like to run the ball.
00:20:36
Uh, gosh, I don't know why, because these quarterbacks could are definitely capable of just airing it out and producing a big time game.
00:20:44
But I almost feel like this is a better NFL game, just from a viewership perspective and less so from a fantasy perspective.
00:20:54
I love the Devante Parker call.
00:20:56
I think if I'm gonna be on anything this game, that would be it.
00:20:59
I also love the Chargers, getting back a few offensive linemen and their running game efficiency versus the Dolphins inefficiency, rush, rush defense.
00:21:15
I would love to take advantage that, but with Justin Jackson out and Kelly and Pope and maybe blockage, all kind of just splitting work, that kind of takes them out for me.
00:21:26
So I don't really want to go to Keenan Allen against a tough matchup with that secondary.
00:21:32
That secondary is playing a lot better over the last three or four weeks.
00:21:37
I know Keone and Islands Beast, but I just think and I know Mike Williams is in play as well, but they're just so volatile.
00:21:45
And if this game is gonna play at a slower pace, which I kind of expect just because you have to rookie quarterbacks going against the opposition, you have two head coaches that are a little more conservative than aggressive, obviously more so on Anthony Lynn side than than Flores aside, I think Flores is a little bit more aggressive.
00:22:04
But, you know, I just think the upside here is so capped that I'm probably on Lee playing Parker or I wanted to mention jah keem Grant as well down there at three K with Press and Williams out and ah, lot of pass catcher opportunities going to the wayside for Miami.
00:22:24
Those air probably the only two options I'm going to in this game and I think I'm just going to fade this game entirely.
00:22:31
If I'm not playing either of those guys, Yeah, definitely, you can.
00:22:34
Grant does get you some salary relief.
00:22:36
He's average, I believe.
00:22:38
56 targets last two weeks.
00:22:40
Delegates.
00:22:41
It's on.
00:22:42
But, I mean, there's there's value across the board again.
00:22:43
We talk about Mike Davis.
00:22:44
I mean, you got we're gonna talk about Josh Reynolds in the next game.
00:22:47
Were to cover, too.
00:22:48
But, I mean, there's there's relief you can get in other ways.
00:22:51
God lays out.
00:22:52
So getting on the Dole is 3900.
00:22:54
You don't necessarily have to get down to Grant necessarily mean again.
00:22:58
This game could play slow.
00:23:00
The Chargers do play fast, but again, if the Dolphins scores or yeah, the Dolphin sports the Chargers play their style of game.
00:23:07
This game is definitely better from again, like yesterday.
00:23:10
An NFL watching perspective of me Just watching two of the future quarterbacks for the next 10 15 years between, uh, Justin Herbert and to uh, yep, absolutely.
00:23:19
And I will tease this.
00:23:22
Jeremy, uh, Hakeem Grant is at three K.
00:23:27
There is another wide receiver that we have kind of disgust via text, but I haven't really weighed in on my opinion on him until today, because over the last I'd say 12 to 14 hours I've actually really started to warm up to this guy.
00:23:42
So I do have a pivot at that three K range that I am going Thio take advantage of probably over Grant, and we can discuss that later.
00:23:52
So let's move on to the next game.
00:23:54
So we're to go on the Seattle at Los Angeles.
00:23:57
A meat from Bones here? Yeah, a lot of injury news on Seattle side of the ball.
00:24:03
Ethan Poetic is going to be out for this game.
00:24:05
Shaquille Griffin, one of the quarterbacks.
00:24:07
One of the best quarterbacks is after this game.
00:24:09
We got Carson and Hide.
00:24:11
Sounds like Carson again is going to be another one of those true game time decisions.
00:24:16
Quinton Dunbar is questionable.
00:24:18
KJ rights.
00:24:19
Also questionable on the Rams side of the ball.
00:24:22
We there, they're coming pretty much pretty healthy.
00:24:24
Bryan Allain is expected to play, but he has a questionable tag for the Rand's offensive line.
00:24:30
Then they got Leonard Floyd and I forget his first name, Louis, but they're both questionable but expected to play.
00:24:36
So Jesse and I were texting about this game quite a bit last night.
00:24:41
Um, just trying to poke holes just kind of like kind of figure out what the worst case scenarios could be here.
00:24:48
It's tough, e mean, every game.
00:24:50
Seattle's played it.
00:24:51
I mean, every game total has gone over 50 points.
00:24:54
That seems all but assured in this game as well.
00:24:58
I guess my only concern here and I'll let Jesse lewd talk about this as well, too.
00:25:02
I mean, Russell Wilson.
00:25:03
I mean, he was pressured all week by Bills list.
00:25:06
That definitely concerns me even with this week, especially with the venerable Aaron Donald, especially with poached egg poaching po check out for this game.
00:25:14
I think Donald could expose that line a little bit where Russell's gonna scramble around again and hopefully doesn't turn the ball over four times like I did last week.
00:25:22
Two fumbles into picks.
00:25:23
Um, yeah, let's just to kind of get into that there, See outside of the balls.
00:25:27
I mean, both sides of the ball give me a little bit of pause, but again, lots of like about this game, but definitely wanted We should definitely discuss here with people.
00:25:34
Yeah, so this one is tricky.
00:25:37
You're right.
00:25:38
We have tried to pick holes just about every way that you could, and that's a good exercise to get into.
00:25:44
When you're ****yzing this, DFS slates each and every week, you know, you have to kind of go through your mind and play.
00:25:52
The game theory is almost more important, Uh, than than some stature looking at is is trying to figure out the different types of scenarios in which these games can play out.
00:26:04
So I think the most likely scenario is that it's a complete shoot out.
00:26:09
You know, I think a lot of people I wouldn't say a lot of people, some people are going to be concerned that this is a tough Rams defense and no, Russ and the past catching options are all kind of expensive, and you don't really know who to pair him with each week, etcetera, etcetera.
00:26:33
But it seems like the Seattle offense just thrives in playing against good competition.
00:26:43
And, you know, after a down week last week, you just have toe think that they are going to come back guns blazing in the second match up and I know it's a divisional game and they're familiar with each other.
00:27:01
But you know, Seattle has done some different things this year.
00:27:05
So this isn't the typical Seattle team that the Rams might have played in years past, and the Rams are fully capable of driving the ball down the field as well.
00:27:16
So you know, we've discussed who I think you know.
00:27:21
I'm definitely fading.
00:27:22
Jared Goff.
00:27:23
We've discussed via text why I think his downside as a touchdown.
00:27:28
Uh, likelihood is just so limited.
00:27:31
I think he could easily throw one or zero touchdowns and it wouldn't shock me a bit.
00:27:36
I think they're still going to throw the ball over the field.
00:27:39
I think they're going to run the ball over the field.
00:27:41
I think they do definitely have an advantage upfront with their run.
00:27:45
Game is well, and you know how much the Rams run game Goat goes sometimes when it gets rock and McVeigh just starts, you know, pound on the run.
00:27:54
And so that's the one downside is that they may be running a bit more than what we're expecting, and they don't provide that those pass catchers, the upside we need and maybe it slows the game down a bit.
00:28:07
I don't know these teams.
00:28:09
The Rams specifically play so fast that I feel like it kind of fits into Seattle's wheelhouse there, and they also are leading the league in 20 plus yard plays.
00:28:22
So these, uh, you know, huge plays or not what you want to be speculative against with the Seattle team, you know that this is not the unit that you wanna be leaking on the back end.
00:28:36
They're giving a big place.
00:28:37
So I'm leaning more towards a full game stack.
00:28:41
I like lock it this week.
00:28:44
I like Metcalf.
00:28:45
I think Metcalfe obviously has a little bit more downside just because he could get some of Ramsey's attention there.
00:28:54
But, you know, we thought the same thing last week with Troy Davis White.
00:28:59
But Troy Davis White doesn't hasn't been traveling this year, and neither does Ramsey a whole lot.
00:29:04
He kind of tends to play one side, so I'm kind of going back and forth on what they're how they're gonna approach that.
00:29:10
Something tells me that they're gonna start traveling raising a little bit more often than not against Metcalfe.
00:29:15
So I tend toe, maybe lean towards lock it on that side of things.
00:29:20
If you are going to play the contrarian approach and not want to take these pass catchers.
00:29:31
Definitely keep an eye on the Seattle backfield.
00:29:33
You know, if Carson doesn't go, that opens up some cheap opportunity for either D.
00:29:38
J, Dallas or Homer.
00:29:40
Whichever one you want to pick their from a Seattle backfield perspective, I I definitely would play it one side of the other.
00:29:47
It's either these past sketches they're gonna go off or you play the running backs as a cheap pivot.
00:29:53
But you still have exposure to this game.
00:29:55
So that's kind of what I'm going with on that side.
00:29:59
I like Robert Woods and Cooper Cup quite a bit, so I do like them both.
00:30:04
And then I could see maybe throwing a dart with Darryl Henderson as well.
00:30:09
But that's gonna be kind of tough because he just kind of stuck there in the no man's land.
00:30:14
As far as, like, middle of the road type salary, he's not too low, but it's not too high, so I don't really know what to do there, but that's kind of just a macro level view of this game.
00:30:26
Let me piggyback off what you were talking about with Robert Woods and Cooper cops up.
00:30:31
Here's the target totals for the top two receivers in all of Seattle schemes as far 2024 23 21 15 18, 23 21.
00:30:42
Why don't I bring that up? Because the wide receiver corps for the Rams is pretty centralized between those two receivers.
00:30:50
Now here is the third option and rob receiver corps in all the games.
00:30:55
5, 12, 36 10 194 lot more variants, but it does give Josh Reynolds some play here again.
00:31:05
We were talking about having exposure to games with, like, tertiary options.
00:31:09
Josh Reynolds In this game.
00:31:10
I feel like I could have some play here.
00:31:12
His ownership.
00:31:13
I mean, I'm shocked he's gonna come in at 1% ownership.
00:31:15
I mean, I figured like maybe no more than 10, for sure, but to see that one I mean again, Look at last week when you have somebody like in Isaiah Mackenzie kind of going off for a touchdown.
00:31:26
I mean, we could see Josh Reynolds across the pylons here once he does that.
00:31:30
I mean, he's had a great week.
00:31:32
I mean, that's just blue for the rest of your lineup there, but yeah, I I like Woods and cut this week.
00:31:37
I love. I like both of them.
00:31:39
It's just gonna be hard to get both.
00:31:40
I mean, Cup 69 then you got was a 66.
00:31:43
So it's tough to do there in regards to the wide receivers for Seattle.
00:31:48
So I was texting Jesse on this one before the show.
00:31:53
It was only given up to top 25 receivers this year.
00:31:55
I mean, that second has been very good for them.
00:31:58
Mari was the wide receiver, 17 and weak one. Deebo.
00:32:01
Samuel was the wide receiver 14 in Week six.
00:32:03
That's the best.
00:32:04
The best that that's the best receivers have done against Seattle are the ramps this year going back the locket.
00:32:11
I mean, he's had that one big game.
00:32:14
But for the other five, he hasn't got the double digit fantasy points.
00:32:17
His he's almost become a low floor, high ceiling player.
00:32:22
DK Nick.
00:32:23
If I mean I think when we goto August of 2021 were back in sheriff season, I think we'll be talking about a top five receiver in the league.
00:32:30
I mean, his his skill, said his um his ability, I mean, it's it's far superior where if I'm going toe, take a chance on somebody against the probably the best quarterback in Jalen Ramsey, I'll give it a shot.
00:32:45
I mean, great.
00:32:46
And here's the only problem with that is he's 1100 mawr off Tyler Lockett, and there's not really much separation in terms of ownership there.
00:32:55
I mean, we have locked it coming in probably 23% in McKevitt 1919.
00:32:59
There's not really much upside there in terms off playing Metcalfe over, lock it in terms of, I guess, in terms of who I'm going to play, probably Mauritz going.
00:33:09
It's probably gonna be lock it.
00:33:10
It's just you get 1100 savings off him At some point.
00:33:16
I mean, lock, it's got to get it going.
00:33:17
I mean, he's not going to see as much as Ramsey's make it will.
00:33:20
Um, But again, it's like we were saying, We're just trying to poke holes, see what? What the worst case could be again because I mean obvious heavy on lock it.
00:33:27
Last week I had him probably between 40 50%.
00:33:30
They just didn't get there.
00:33:31
I mean, granted, Locker did miss two touchdown opportunities.
00:33:34
He had two chances for two touchdowns last week.
00:33:35
I get the one.
00:33:37
Yeah, down at the one.
00:33:38
He was down at the one, and I think Ross missed him on the other one.
00:33:42
So I mean, he's had opportunities to get there.
00:33:44
But at the same time, Excuse me, excuse me, but yeah, lock.
00:33:51
It could have had a better week, but again, there is risk with him this week.
00:33:55
So I mean, what's with all of them? I mean, there's both those guys, just with how well the Rams have played the opposing wide receivers again.
00:34:01
But like I said, the Jesse who of the Rams really played.
00:34:04
They played all the NFC East.
00:34:05
They played the Bears the best.
00:34:08
The best corner they probably played was Bills, and even the Bills kind of got did some damage.
00:34:12
And I mean, Cole Beasley, seven days, they had decent games, wasn't anything special, but they got there.
00:34:18
I mean, they had 18 and 14, respectively.
00:34:20
Yeah, and believe it or not, with how volatile Lockets Fantasy Point totals has been, he's out targeted D K. Metcalf this year.
00:34:30
Believe it or not, I know that's kind of hard for some people to believe, but he he has been the highest targeted wide receiver on that team.
00:34:37
So I know the ownership projections are have ah Metcalfe in Lockett about 4% apart.
00:34:47
I'm telling you, I think lock it's gonna be a little less own than you think.
00:34:52
I think people have been burned by him too much lately and I think it's I think he's going to come down closer to, like, 15% in that 20% mark that we're looking at.
00:35:01
And if you get locked in a 15% and he has one of those blow up weeks and this Rams secondary gives up these big plays that they have given up this year, all it takes is, you know, 1 40 yard touchdown from locket and you're almost, you know, right there with your value that you need Thio surpass that four x type value.
00:35:23
So, uh, that's kind of where I'm at this game.
00:35:27
I tend to want to play ah, bigger game stack on the next game we're going to discuss, but I still like this is my as one of my top two options.
00:35:40
Yes, So let's go on to the it was in the Cardinals.
00:35:43
I was Jesse.
00:35:44
That's what stood out, especially this game opened at 49 a half.
00:35:47
It's going up seven points since the Open.
00:35:49
It's a 50 6.
00:35:50
5.
00:35:51
I mean, people are hitting that over, but like crazy and it's for good reason.
00:35:55
Um, I mean, the Cardinals gave up what, 34 to the Seahawks and weak seven.
00:35:59
They just gave up another 34 to the Dolphins unexpectedly to the Dolphins last week after, I mean, jeez, dolphins look like gonna get anything going against the Rams back in Week eight.
00:36:09
But they found a way to get it done against the Cardinals.
00:36:12
And we're expecting the same thing with the Bills coming in, um, Bill side of the ball again.
00:36:17
We had discussed staying that offensively came back to life against Seattle after just a month of just they were pretty much in offensive before they face the Sea Hawks.
00:36:25
But here they are in this game in a dome.
00:36:28
Nice dome environment.
00:36:29
I mean, there's a lot to like about this game.
00:36:31
Both quarterbacks are projecting pretty high and for good reason.
00:36:34
They're just they're rushing upside.
00:36:36
Just give them such a higher floor, higher ceiling possibility.
00:36:39
And between I mean, between those two, maybe a few other quarterbacks.
00:36:43
I mean, my quarterback pool is pretty small, and I know these two are definitely gonna be amongst.
00:36:47
And I know it's gonna be a most Jessie's, too.
00:36:50
Yeah, I think my quarterback pool is like four guys.
00:36:52
So the one thing I've learned this year and maybe this is ah, maybe this is more so a, uh, flash in the pan type ****ysis more than it is something that's gonna stick year after year.
00:37:09
But we've learned this year that if you don't have a quarterback performance that's over 25 points, you don't have a shot in any of these tournaments.
00:37:17
You don't you have to have a quarterback performance that's going thio surpass that value that you need and just, uh, you know, boost your score up to where it needs to be.
00:37:26
So it's Tyler.
00:37:28
It's Josh Allen.
00:37:29
It's Russ.
00:37:31
It's Tom Brady for me, and that's it.
00:37:33
I don't think I'm gonna play any other quarterback this week, so, you know, I think there's value.
00:37:38
There's enough value on the slate where I can fit guys in and make it work for any of these guys.
00:37:44
So I love Kyler.
00:37:45
The difficult part about that play is that it's hard to know which guy to choose between Kirk and new cop Kins.
00:37:57
But you know it.
00:38:00
I don't know.
00:38:01
It's just ever since that ankle injury, DeAndre Hopkins hasn't been the same, but and Kyler and Kirk have been blowing up.
00:38:09
But you know, Then again, we've been taking advantage of stuff like this all year.
00:38:16
You know, every the recency bias of people going to Kirk and then us wanting to pivot over the Hopkins might be the winning formula, but I haven't been able to build a lineup with Hopkins and Skylar both together yet so still unsure how I want to go there.
00:38:34
But that matchup M**** so good, but one player that is not getting enough recognition.
00:38:39
I'm telling you, we talked about this briefly chase Edmunds.
00:38:42
If if Drake is out, I might have, like 75% ownership on Chase Edmunds.
00:38:48
It's gonna be Erin Jones and Chase Edmunds for me, and then I kind of just fill out the rest of my lineup or it's gonna be James Robinson and Edmonds or something.
00:38:57
It's gonna be two fairly high price running backs.
00:39:02
Conner.
00:39:03
I don't know, but I haven't figured out how I'm gonna build that just yet.
00:39:07
But this matchup, it's so good against the Bills, and nobody really knows this.
00:39:12
The Bills rush defense has been terrible.
00:39:14
Edmonds, without Drake is getting like over 90% of the snaps.
00:39:19
He's the full time pass catcher as well.
00:39:21
So there's just unlimited upside and all the boxes air checked as faras.
00:39:29
The matchup, the opportunity, pass catching ability, it all.
00:39:35
They check all the boxes and last week was the big Chase Edmunds chalk week, and he didn't hit for a lot of people.
00:39:44
And I think he's gonna be a really low owned this week because he kind of got burned, all right, He kind of burned people last week, so I really, really do like having him in a lineup.
00:39:54
And I don't think it's a bad idea to put him and Kyler in the same line I'm like, I think you can definitely profit from having both of those guys.
00:40:04
Uh, you know, we can kind of break down the bills in, uh, detail here.
00:40:11
But is there anything you wanted to add from the Arizona sad things? There's a This game is very interested in terms of game stacks here.
00:40:21
Um, I mean, you could go Kyler naked or Josh naked and bring it back with some of the opposing pieces.
00:40:28
If I had to go who I go naked mawr, you could go Kyler naked and bring it back some of the bills pieces.
00:40:33
Um, yeah.
00:40:35
As you mentioned with Chase Edmunds.
00:40:36
Yep, he didn't.
00:40:37
It's just I think the Cardinals thought they're gonna end up playing a lot more positive game script.
00:40:42
It just never happened.
00:40:43
Is the Dolphins gave the game, but he does see targets.
00:40:46
I mean, his Edmonds does see quite a few targets now, I guess 11 other thing.
00:40:50
If no going back to the bill side of all Dre Kirkpatrick comes in is questionable.
00:40:54
Where seven days should probably see a lot more Patrick Peterson.
00:40:59
But if Dre Kirkpatrick doesn't end up playing, I'm not sure if he's a true questionable or if he has a questionable where he's gonna end up playing tomorrow, but delicates John Brown play.
00:41:08
I mean, John Brown Definitely his best.
00:41:10
Adding of the of the year last week with 11 targets, 99 yards.
00:41:13
Um, his matchup definitely would get a boost.
00:41:16
If Kirkpatrick does sit out in terms of Digs versus Peterson, I'm gonna bet on the talent of digs and digs leading the league in targets, receptions and receiving yards at that position.
00:41:29
Um, him and Josh Allen have just developed this great chemistry.
00:41:33
I mean, they he's blossom.
00:41:34
I mean, digs averaging. Almost.
00:41:36
He's actually double digit targets a week.
00:41:37
I mean, I'm gonna bet on the town this week if I'm going to go there.
00:41:40
I feel pretty confident in days.
00:41:42
I mean, he only has three touchdowns, so at some point, he's got to get back in the end.
00:41:46
I mean, he hasn't scored a touchdown since Week six against the Chiefs, so the targets are there.
00:41:51
He leads the team in red zone targets, too.
00:41:52
So I mean, at some point, I mean, he's got to get back in.
00:41:54
And what better weekend this week? I mean, what's gonna be a high paced affair? Yeah, and he played in a dome and it's home stadium there in Minnesota, and there's something about his route running and everything else.
00:42:05
I feel like his game plays really well inside of, ah dome situation.
00:42:11
So I do really like digs.
00:42:13
I really like John Brown as well.
00:42:15
You know, we saw that chemistry between Josh Allen and John Brown all year last year, and it hasn't really gone away this year.
00:42:21
He's when he's on the field and he's healthy.
00:42:24
He's been good.
00:42:25
The problem with him has just been his health and his durability.
00:42:28
But you know, I like both of those guys quite a bit.
00:42:31
In fact, I would not mind playing Kyler naked and then playing both of those guys from the other side of things toe kind of stack it up, maybe play Edmonds, Tyler Diggs and John Brown in the same line up and then kind of just maybe Sprinkle in a piece of the Seattle Rams game.
00:42:53
And then if we wanted a piece of the Tampa Bay and, uh and Carolina game, or maybe we just wanted to play whoever we thought was kind of the best optimal play at a cheaper price at that rate, because some of those guys we're gonna be pretty expensive But I kind of do like that build.
00:43:10
And I don't mind playing two pass catchers on the other side with Kyler there.
00:43:15
So this game is in a dome.
00:43:17
We talked earlier this year about how the top tournament lineups, more often than not, have quite a bit of exposure to these Dome games and especially this time of year, the Midwest and the East Coast.
00:43:29
Both of us are familiar with how terrible the weather gets over over on this side of the country.
00:43:34
And, uh, you know it's having that dome is a huge, huge advantage.
00:43:39
So I think this is going to be the highest scoring matchup of the week.
00:43:44
I think this is the least likely to not hit.
00:43:49
But, you know, it's just so hard to go away from some of these Seattle Rams guys because their names air so big.
00:43:56
But you know, if we can get some of these other guys at lower ownership than what we're expecting, especially that Chase Edmunds is projected, like under 5% ownership, who I can't.
00:44:09
I can't convince myself away from him for some reason.
00:44:11
So I'm kind of just praying that Drakes out because if Drake is in kind of muddies things just a bit there.
00:44:19
So I feel like I'm kind of rambling on this game, but I do really, really like, uh, stacking this game.
00:44:26
You I would say no less than three guys like you have to have three or four guys from this game.
00:44:33
If you're going to stack it, I'm gonna echo Jax Jacki Sentiment.
00:44:36
I mean, this is my favorite game on the board.
00:44:38
You're taking a divisional component out of it.
00:44:41
We haven't really discussed the weather.
00:44:42
There's some weather factors this week.
00:44:44
Whether or not even a factor in this game, this game sets up to be probably the best.
00:44:47
It's probably the best one I feel like on paper and in terms of just watch ability.
00:44:51
I'm excited for this one.
00:44:52
I cannot wait.
00:44:54
Yeah, for sure.
00:44:55
Okay, well, we broke down all those matchups.
00:44:57
Let's go position by position to kind of round things out here, like we typically dio just to touch on some other good, optimal place that maybe didn't fit into these high over under totals that we just broke down these Vegas games.
00:45:10
So a quarterback perspective, the only guy we really didn't talk about was that Shawn Watson? So you know, he's obviously in an optimal play situation.
00:45:20
Cleveland's past defense has been absolutely dreadful this year, but the downside here is the weather is supposed to be poor.
00:45:27
The winds were supposed to be outrageous there in Cleveland, and they've had two weeks off coming off a bye week, a lot of time to prepare for him.
00:45:38
The offensive line and defensive line mismatch there that the pressure rate in the sack rate, I feel like Cleveland could definitely get to the Texans.
00:45:46
So Cleveland, on the cheap side of defense, is this week are definitely employees as well.
00:45:51
And, you know, as good as Watson is and and he kind of provides that good for with the rushing ability.
00:45:59
But there's just too much downside here toe where I'm probably if I do have any ownership percentage from him at all, it's only gonna be like one out of my eight lineups, so just keep that in mind.
00:46:10
I think there's just too much that's working against his favor in this game, and I also see the most likely outcome of this game being the fact that the Texans rush defense is horrendous.
00:46:23
And the butter of the Browns is that rush offense.
00:46:26
So I think they're going to try to milk this clock.
00:46:29
I think this game is gonna go by really quickly.
00:46:31
And, uh, that's kind of how I see this game plan out.
00:46:34
So that's why we didn't really discuss the Shawn Watson and and to greater detail.
00:46:39
Yeah, Aaron Rodgers kind of falls in that same boat to whether it's gonna be kind of iffy at Lambeau as well, especially against the Jaguars last year, 32nd ranked past the D v away defense.
00:46:50
I mean, theoretically, Roger should have a big day, but at the same time the weather is concerned he'll get he should get there.
00:46:58
I'm not even concerned about that.
00:46:59
Just I just I don't know how.
00:47:01
I don't know how highest ceiling truly is.
00:47:02
Just with that one factor that that's the thing that concerns me, Uh, 14.
00:47:06
14 point differential there as well.
00:47:09
Yeah, yeah.
00:47:10
Jack's made a game last week against Houston.
00:47:13
It's just it's different when you go to Lambeau.
00:47:15
I mean, granted, a lot of things are different this year in the sense that There is no fans at Lambeau, so I mean, it's a different environment.
00:47:20
But at the same time, I mean, packers are a lot more an upgrade of a team compared than the Texans.
00:47:25
I mean, in Texas, just actually Dumpster fire.
00:47:27
It's terrible.
00:47:28
I guess one of the quarterback I would bring up here would be Carson Wentz.
00:47:32
Um, you just get a lot of the weapons back This we don't have Lane Johnson back.
00:47:35
We're definitely gonna talk about Miles Sanders.
00:47:37
When we discuss running backs in a little bit, I think they're expected to get Isaac Simalu back.
00:47:41
So I mean, there are offensive lines getting healthy again, and they're getting some pieces back.
00:47:45
So Carson and he's definitely got some Russian upside.
00:47:47
I mean, he's had some pretty big rushing days.
00:47:49
I mean, when you look at this number seat, yeah, he doesn't.
00:47:51
He doesn't have a game where he has less than Well, I'm gonna go that far.
00:47:57
But he does have five rushing scores already.
00:47:59
I mean, that's the I'm all but certain that's a career high for him.
00:48:02
So he could definitely get it done on the ground.
00:48:05
Yeah.
00:48:06
Yeah.
00:48:07
If you're gonna play once.
00:48:08
I would probably recommend playing him naked as well.
00:48:09
Kind of like we did with Kyler.
00:48:10
They're just, uh he's getting his past catches back.
00:48:13
We don't really know which ones are gonna hit which ones aren't.
00:48:16
So I don't really know that I would want to stack that game per se.
00:48:21
So I think we can probably move on to the running back position. Correct.
00:48:25
Let's go.
00:48:27
All right, So guys we didn't discuss Erin Jones is probably gonna be the most popular guy in the slate For very good reason.
00:48:34
Jackson was rush defense, one of the worst in the league.
00:48:36
Erin Jones, one of the best running backs in the league.
00:48:39
Green Bay has a huge advantage up front in the trenches, just all kind of pointing towards Aaron Jones breakout game.
00:48:46
So it's hard to get away from him. I'll be honest.
00:48:50
I know there's downside.
00:48:51
We got bitten in the ass a couple weeks ago with the Scream hunt, who we thought it was gonna be a huge blow up spot against the Raiders.
00:49:00
You know there is there is a chance don't go 100% ownership, but it's hard to get away from Aaron Jones this week.
00:49:09
Yeah, undoubtedly, um, throwing down here.
00:49:12
We got Nick Shub coming back from his injury against one of the worst rush.
00:49:18
Defense is in the lead in the Texans We got.
00:49:20
Here's one guy was telling Jesse about, and Giants gave up the most targets.
00:49:25
Two running backs thus far.
00:49:26
I mean, Miles Sanders coming back this week. He's healthy.
00:49:29
I mean, he's been used quite a bit in the backfield.
00:49:31
I do like him as a contrarian play this week. He's 6400.
00:49:34
I mean, he's he's the workforce.
00:49:36
I mean, he's the workforce that Doug Peterson said that he was going to be this year.
00:49:39
I mean, I know I had my doubts because I mean, it's been such a our BBC with that team for his first four years.
00:49:45
But I mean, Miles Sanders, when healthy, has had the rains pretty much in his own hands.
00:49:49
Um, again, like Jesse mentioned Chase Edmunds in a good spot.
00:49:53
Even James Conner.
00:49:54
I mean, you get a Steelers team that's coming and ****ed off.
00:49:57
I mean, they just played down to the Cowboys.
00:49:59
Simple is that they should when they had to they had LeBron scored a touchdown.
00:50:04
But again, Connor just wasn't in good game script at all last week where he just he just gonna get there.
00:50:10
But I do like Connor again this week.
00:50:12
It definitely has a lower own play because nobody's gonna play on after that bus last week.
00:50:16
Um, anybody else we gotta cover here? James Robinson.
00:50:21
Uh, I like him a lot in this good matchup.
00:50:24
The downside, obviously, that they're 14 point underdogs and Chris Thompson's back.
00:50:29
And, believe it or not, he's actually garnering some past catching upside away from Robinson.
00:50:35
So we kind of have that downside to factor in there.
00:50:39
On the other big name that we did not mention was Duke Johnson.
00:50:43
Obviously, he's gonna be pretty highly owned, and I after looking it over, I'm out on him.
00:50:51
I'm totally out on him.
00:50:53
So I don't have any interest in playing him against his former team in the Cleveland Browns.
00:51:00
I think the Browns have the upfront advantage, like we mentioned with the defensive line and the offensive line.
00:51:04
I don't think Watson throws it enough to his running back, so I think that's what makes Duke Johnson super valuable typically.
00:51:12
So I think I'm out there.
00:51:13
And then one other player that we didn't really discuss was Antonio Gibson, and I kind of mentioned via text how the downside there is, ah, bit worrisome because he's only played one down on third down this year like he's played one third down the entire year.
00:51:30
So coming into the year, we all thought, Okay, this guy is gonna be a huge pass catcher.
00:51:34
He was a wide receiver in college.
00:51:36
Oh, my gosh.
00:51:37
The upside is unlimited.
00:51:38
This guy is gonna be great.
00:51:42
He's in a great spot.
00:51:44
I'm telling you, this Detroit Rush defense is so bad, so, so bad.
00:51:49
Almost every metric and an advanced ****ytics and just the numbers on the surface are so bad for this rush defense.
00:51:58
But, you know, if you're not getting those carries inside the 10 yard line, which he does, But if you're not getting those touchdowns from him, he almost needs, like, a two touchdown data to pay off in a big way.
00:52:10
So ah, one touchdown day with 90 total yards and, you know, maybe two catches.
00:52:16
That puts his upside somewhere between the 50 and 20 point range, and we kind of need it to be, like, 25 plus.
00:52:22
So that's kind of why I'm leaning away from Gibson.
00:52:27
There's as good of a match.
00:52:28
Apposite.
00:52:32
Is anybody else? Yeah, J d McKissic Just he just sleeping so many targets away from Gibson.
00:52:37
Is it Gibson to 20 play? I, he's just too unreliable for cash.
00:52:43
Yeah, okay, well, we can probably move on to wide receivers.
00:52:47
Then we didn't mention Mike Davis just because we already talked about him, but obviously he's one of our favorite plays there.
00:52:53
On the cheap side of things wide receivers that we did not discuss in these games.
00:52:58
Fax.
00:52:59
Uh, Terry MacLaurin.
00:53:02
He's in a good spot.
00:53:03
You know that Detroit's defense is just not good in general.
00:53:08
And he, uh, you know, he just has we saw last week.
00:53:12
He has this 70 yard touchdown playmaking ability that he could break at any time.
00:53:18
Let's go down to these cheap options because we've kind of broken down.
00:53:22
All the all the good wide receiver plays that we're going to be banking on this this week are almost all from thes game stacks that we already talked about.
00:53:30
Jah KEEM grant we talked about.
00:53:32
And then here's the guy, Chris Conley at three K, and you're the one that brought him up to me, and I dug into it.
00:53:41
Without J.
00:53:42
R.
00:53:43
Alexander, people are going to pivot to chart.
00:53:46
They're gonna love char cough that big week last week.
00:53:49
Believe it or not, Chris Conley had eight targets with Luton last week.
00:53:55
So that was the first week we got to see who Luton kind of favored.
00:54:00
And you know, she knelt.
00:54:01
Went down in the middle that game, and Conley got eight targets.
00:54:04
So he was second in the team and targets at three K.
00:54:09
If he gets eight targets again in a beat with a beat up secondary in a 14 point underdog total, where they might have to air it out, I know that the conditions the weather conditions aren't great, but three k.
00:54:23
If he could get seven for 70 that puts us at 14 points, you know, and then we're looking at, you know, five x.
00:54:32
So I do like Chris Conley.
00:54:35
If you need to save what you might have to do this week, but given all these elite options at three K.
00:54:41
This is definitely a way to be able to get your other studs and from these other games tax.
00:54:46
So right.
00:54:47
So let's play a game here.
00:54:48
So rank the three.
00:54:49
How would you start? A Josh Reynolds Shakeem Grant? Chris Conley, Conley, Grant Reynolds.
00:54:59
What's What's Reynolds is Price.
00:55:01
I don't know that.
00:55:03
3500.
00:55:04
Okay, I was thinking he was in the 44 range.
00:55:07
That changes things a bit.
00:55:09
I just don't trust Josh Reynolds, man.
00:55:12
I don't trust this Rams passing game.
00:55:14
It's to funnel toe Cup in towards and I know Reynolds is has gotten his target share, but they could easily pivot those, uh, targets to the tight ends.
00:55:24
I mean, Higbee and, uh, ever it could easily go off for four catches and 90 yards and a touchdown or something.
00:55:33
And Josh Ronald just get completely taken out of this mix.
00:55:36
So I just think the safety, the four projection of the targets are gonna be there for Conley and maybe even for Grant Mawr than Reynolds would be.
00:55:48
Yeah, I don't even mention his his name again.
00:55:50
That's the straight talk anymore.
00:55:51
He had that 13 touchdown game and he has been non existent.
00:55:55
He's man.
00:55:56
It's ridiculous.
00:55:57
Yep, I would agree with that.
00:56:00
Any other names you wanted to discuss? The water saver front.
00:56:02
Now we covered a pretty good there. Let's go to tight end.
00:56:05
Alright, Tight end is gonna be pretty condensed for me this week just to give you Ah, the laundry list of names here.
00:56:14
We've got Darren Waller at the top end.
00:56:16
Noah Fant, Evan Ingram Eric Ebron, Dallas, Qatar, Austin Hooper Those air.
00:56:22
Probably the only names were going Thio Plug in there for me.
00:56:27
I'm narrowing it even further, and it's either Fant.
00:56:30
It's Ingram or it's super for me.
00:56:33
I will dug into it.
00:56:34
I don't think God, it's is good of a place I thought he was going to be.
00:56:38
Ebron is just so hit or miss. I know Cincinnati.
00:56:41
It's such a good matchup against tight ends.
00:56:44
But man, oh man, they have three other good pass catcher options in Deontay, Claypool and Juju, and we already discussed our love for Connor this week.
00:56:57
So it's just so hard to see the upside, their in a broad unless he scores a touchdown and then Fant.
00:57:04
I know he's been disappointing and, man, he's just so banged up.
00:57:07
I wish he was healthy if he was healthy against this Las Vegas Raiders team.
00:57:11
I like him a lot more, but it is kind of tough to trust him.
00:57:15
I think I'm probably leaning more towards the Ingram and Hooper side of things.
00:57:21
Obviously, Hooper's dealing with the weather concerns, but that might honestly play into his advantage in the gaining the short targets there in Cleveland.
00:57:30
So Aeneas, particular way you're leaning there.
00:57:33
A tight end, just looking at Hooper.
00:57:36
You gotta consider that.
00:57:38
So I kind of wrote that I read a Cooper.
00:57:40
No, I didn't write a super, but in regards to Hooper, I mean, he started out as, like 4800 on Draftkings.
00:57:45
His production was just not existed to start, but it's priced on, kept on coming down.
00:57:50
But it's project production.
00:57:51
Production kept on going up, but then he had that appendectomy where he was out for the last few weeks.
00:57:56
But now he's in a situation where there's no OTB, so it's his show.
00:58:00
I mean, you'll have a little bit of Harrison Brian, which is fine, but I think I like I brought a little bit more than you.
00:58:06
Vance McDonald gonna be unavailable.
00:58:09
Some related to the cove in Esso.
00:58:11
He's not there, so it's It's just pretty much him and Zach Gentry.
00:58:14
Zach Gentry has been pretty much inactive every week.
00:58:18
I'm sure he's gonna be active this week, but I do like LeBron from that standpoint, a little bit more.
00:58:22
I could see Iran almost getting 75% of the snaps.
00:58:25
Where again, I do like him a little bit more than Jesse on that anger.
00:58:29
Um, I think in a great spot.
00:58:31
He's, I think he's seen about nine targets the last three weeks at the floor.
00:58:34
So I mean against the Eagles, who have struggled against tight ends.
00:58:38
Anger is a good plan, I think is only 4600.
00:58:40
Which that's that's That's a great price for what type of game, I think.
00:58:43
Yeah, yeah, even better.
00:58:47
Yeah, I had to go between in German Ebron.
00:58:49
Doubly anger on that, but yeah, they've changed.
00:58:53
They've changed their offensive approach the last three or four weeks.
00:58:56
I don't know if you've noticed that, but they're checking it down a lot more.
00:58:58
They're they're kind of pepper in thes targets to Sterling Shepard and to Ingram on these short and intermediate routes.
00:59:04
Because, you know, Daniel Jones just doesn't have that much time to throw with this offensive line.
00:59:09
So they've changed their approach, and it's actually peppered targets.
00:59:12
I know Ingram has kind of been up and down this year, and it's hard to trust them.
00:59:16
But you know what? That price range it's not hateful in this filly matchup is just so good, man.
00:59:24
Yeah, that Eagles front should pressure Jones.
00:59:26
I mean, we were talking about talking things week to I mean, last week was the first time Daniel Jones did not turn over the ball on a game.
00:59:33
Is that is that gonna happen again this week? I like my odds haven't two more turnovers coming in.
00:59:39
But then again, Carson has been the same way, too.
00:59:41
So that game, man, I could just see that being a ugly one.
00:59:45
Yep.
00:59:46
Yep. You're absolutely right about that one.
00:59:48
Uh, I think that pretty much does it for me.
00:59:53
Do you have anything else to add? Scroll down the list? There ain't nobody else.
00:59:58
I mean, I know we talked about Tyler or effort as a possible It's its's.
01:00:01
It's so hard for him to get there.
01:00:04
Yeah, he's really like a absolute salary saver.
01:00:07
You you need something and you kind of just have to plug them in.
01:00:10
So yeah, Z, I'm glad you mentioned him because it is it is an option, and that is that It's something you might have to dio.
01:00:18
I mean, take, take it.
01:00:20
For what it's worth, we talked about last week in these games stacks and how these under own guys are just the optimal play.
01:00:30
Some weeks and we talked about Kansas City and Carolina game going so on your own.
01:00:36
Listen to this lineup that I had last week and tell me that some of these guys didn't freak me out and have me feeling disgusting, submitting them into my lineup.
01:00:44
But sometimes you kind of just have to do it.
01:00:46
If you're gonna go with these Games tax, and that's where this Eifert types play goes in.
01:00:50
Sometimes you just need a guy.
01:00:51
You just need a body that has the opportunity, and hopefully it hits.
01:00:55
You know, sometimes you're gonna have to get a little lucky.
01:00:58
Thio have things work out for you, but it's just the way that it is.
01:01:02
So last week I have Patrick Mahomes, Christian McCaffrey, Tyreek Hill, all in that same game.
01:01:07
All blew up all less than 7% ownership.
01:01:11
Then I had Julio Jones pretty high ownership.
01:01:15
Justin Jackson just absolutely disappointing John Brown at 12% ownership in that game.
01:01:22
We need I'm just needed a salary saver.
01:01:25
I liked Digs more, obviously, but I needed to go down to Brown.
01:01:28
Giants were my heavily owned defense last week.
01:01:31
It worked out 13 points.
01:01:33
Then I had to plug in guys like this, Travis, Homer and Albert.
01:01:38
Oh, Alberto is 1% owned, Travis Homer was 10.
01:01:42
13% owned and he scored 11 points for me.
01:01:46
I kind of got a little bit lucky with the trailing game script where he came in and they threw him a bunch of passes.
01:01:51
But sometimes you have to just plug in those disgusting type plays that if you just think about it rationally, if they have the opportunity, if Alberto doesn't get hurt, maybe he scores a touchdown in that elite matchup against Atlanta and then that 1% ownership type play helps me fit all these other elite options in there.
01:02:12
So you kinda have to just take those risks sometimes and play some guys that you might not think are the most optimal plays.
01:02:19
You just need to find a body.
01:02:21
So, uh, you know that that kind of wraps it up for week 10.
01:02:27
We're actually feeling pretty good about this late.
01:02:29
I feel I feel like we're on the right track here.
01:02:32
I feel like we're making good progress in our game theory, uh, mentality of things and and how to stack these games up.
01:02:42
So, you know, I don't have a whole lot else to add.
01:02:46
Other than the fact that if you guys would like to reach out for questions, obviously reach out via text, reach out via Twitter.
01:02:54
You can find me over it.
01:02:55
Jake Rocket 24. Over. Twitter.
01:02:57
You confined Joe over at Twitter at f f g g f fj v a p h l.
01:03:05
So reach out to us. Maybe tonight.
01:03:08
Tomorrow morning.
01:03:09
If you have any questions, be absolutely happy and pleased to offer some advice.
01:03:15
And, uh, you know, that being said pretty much does it for this week's week 10 episode of DFS Discourse.
01:03:22
You have anything else to add Joe before we sign off Now? Good luck tomorrow, guys.
01:03:26
Just keep it on some of the injuries.
01:03:28
Um, it's not as bad of a week in terms of injuries as most.
01:03:31
I mean, the big ones. Just Kenyan. Drake.
01:03:33
Um, yes, and I were talking about that in the sense that Cardinals play Thursday sweet against the Seahawks and that rematch through the Cardinals necessarily need to win this game.
01:03:43
Not really.
01:03:44
They need to win the game against Seahawks because they win that game.
01:03:46
They own the tiebreaker on them again.
01:03:48
That's probably the biggest piece of injury news, so you just keep an eye on that.
01:03:51
And, yeah, definitely good luck in Let's get it and keep an eye out on these weather situations as well.
01:03:57
Last minute.
01:03:58
Obviously, that's a pretty big deal for DFS.
01:03:59
Don't completely pivot and change everything, but just keep an eye and do let it influence some of your decisions.
01:04:07
If you're dealing with tiebreaker type scenarios, so that's the last piece of advice will offer that does it for this week 10 edition of DFS Discourse.
01:04:15
Make sure you are checking out the fantasy coaches podcast over on Twitter.
01:04:20
Make sure you're checking our article out to the FS.
01:04:22
Darlings will be out later today of our optimal DFS plays.
01:04:26
Make sure you guys are checking out the unwrapped sports Network as well our fam over there.
01:04:31
Check those guys out and then make sure you guys are taking advantage of the Thrive.
01:04:36
Fantasy coaches promo code down below promo code coaches for $20 bonus on your first deposit.
01:04:43
So for Joe, I am Jesse signing off.
01:04:48
We will see you guys next week and hopefully we're talking about all the loads of cash that we are breaking in and we coming into Week 11 piece of guys.
Donations Disabled chevron_right
bucks
Send a Cash Donation

You may not donate or send yourself gifts Ok, understood

Donate chevron_right
bucks
Send a Cash Donation

Send a donation to this broadcaster using your credit card.

Make Payment Now
tix
or Send a Gift

Send a virtual gift using credits called Tix. What's this?

Tix Balance: tix 0

Click Here to purchase more Tix.

tix20
tix50
tix100
tix200
tix200
tix400
tix1,000
tix2,000
tix4,000
Learn More About Gifts
Purchase Tix chevron_right
tix 0
tix220
$2.99
tix380
$4.99
tix800
$9.99
tix2.1k
$24.99
tix4.3k
$49.99
tix9.1k
$99.99
tix14.3k
$149.99
tix30k
$299.99

CoachStevenUSN is broadcasting live!

83 views
Nov 14, 2020
fav_emptyfav_filled2
83 Views
Steven Pintado @CoachStevenUSN

Transcript hideup

00:00:00
fantasy coaches podcast, Twitter Page, my Facebook page and I believe, Steve's SportsCastr account.
00:00:09
So thank you guys for joining us.
00:00:12
This is this week's edition of DFS Discourse.
00:00:15
Week 10 NFL Action As always, I am your host for this Saturday afternoon edition.
00:00:25
Jesse Clark is my name.
00:00:27
You can follow me over at J.
00:00:28
Crockett 24 on Twitter, and I am joined by my friend and co host Joe Andre.
00:00:36
Joe, thank you for joining me.
00:00:37
I'll let you pull your stuff and then we will get this thing kicked off.
00:00:40
Yes.
00:00:41
You guys can find me on Twitter at f f J B A phl.
00:00:44
Good to have you back in the pot again.
00:00:46
We had a week off last week.
00:00:48
This stuff came up, but no worse.
00:00:50
So we go into Week 10 this week, kind of please out somewhat similar to how weak 70 would play out in the sense that you got five games in the one o'clock hour and then you have six in the four.
00:01:02
That doing largely part because of the Masters being on CBS, where CBS games.
00:01:07
They're all gonna be pushed back to the four o'clock hour.
00:01:09
So What does that mean? More or less? I guess this is typically a strategy I use.
00:01:15
Anyways, I like to have my most expensive player.
00:01:18
That's in the flex or Yeah, everyone determined? Um, yeah, the most e like that.
00:01:23
My flex option.
00:01:25
Whether it be the highest price running back, that's in that four o'clock or the wide receiver, whatever you wanna call it, I technically have that in the Flex, just in case I want to use late swap late swaps.
00:01:33
Gotta kinda probably play more of a factor this week versus other weeks only because typically you have, like, at most four or five games in that late window.
00:01:43
Typically, it's been three this year, but now you've got six.
00:01:45
So it's something just to bear in mind in case either your lineup kind of doesn't go the way you want it to.
00:01:51
If you need somebody with more upside to switch out with or let's say your lines going great, you don't really need to make a move or you want to make a move.
00:01:57
Anyways, it's just like I say, more or less something to keep cognizant with this week, absolutely.
00:02:03
And and speaking of that advice type.
00:02:08
Uh, if if we want to go with that, you know, something's been weighing on my mind the last couple of days.
00:02:14
Of course, I had a couple weeks off from the show, so I'm chomping at the bit to get back here.
00:02:19
And the one thing I wanted to mention Thio any viewer that's tuning in, Maybe maybe your new Thio, DFS and DFS, obviously daily fantasy stuff.
00:02:32
So we're talking about draftkings, fanduel all those types of sites where it's just a one and done.
00:02:38
You know, the thing that not a lot of people or enough people consider, is the fact that one this is a one game sample size.
00:02:46
There is so much that can go on in a one game sample size, no matter how Maney stats, you look out, you know, and and we're gonna list off quite a bit because it is important in DFS to do your research and gain an advantage over certain competitors.
00:03:01
But here's the thing that not a lot of people consider.
00:03:05
So when we're just in our redraft leagues are season long fantasy leagues.
00:03:09
Each and every week when we're submit our lineups, what's the process we take.
00:03:12
Okay, We look at our players.
00:03:14
Are they studs? Are they fringe worthy flex guys? And then we're looking at Okay, what kind of matchup are they facing? We're just playing the most optimal play in our season long leagues in our lineups.
00:03:28
We're plugging the guys that we think are going to score the most points.
00:03:31
We're putting them together into the lineup.
00:03:33
Submit to your done.
00:03:35
That's not how DFS works.
00:03:36
And I think that's how too many DFS players submit their lineups and put their lineup builds together.
00:03:43
Is just going game by game and saying, Okay, this guy is in a really good match up and he's a good price So I'm going to play him And I think we need to be way more conscious off the variance that can happen in a one game sample size and the way to set yourself up for these big, huge scores.
00:04:08
And the only way to do that is to game stack so sometimes you might not have the money toe put all the elite options that are in these high over under totals in Vegas.
00:04:20
You know, this week you're not gonna be able to fit Stefon Diggs and Kyler Murray and DeAndre Hopkins and Erin Jones and all these high price guys from these games that were expecting to blow up.
00:04:33
You might have to just take the risk, take the variance to just get a piece of the action in that game.
00:04:39
And by that I mean, you might have to pivot the John Brown.
00:04:42
You might have to pivot the Beasley You might have to pivot to, you know, Christian Kirk instead of DeAndre Hopkins, even though Hopkins and Digs are obviously the most optimal plays.
00:04:56
But you just have to figure out a way to make it work and get these guys in from these games, because if you're not game stacking in these tournaments and you're not in your team's, these Games aren't blowing up from both sides.
00:05:11
You are not winning tournaments, so you're never gonna be the guy that they're talking about.
00:05:15
All you know.
00:05:16
He put in $15 and he won a million.
00:05:19
That will never be you, because you'll never be able to successfully take down a big tournament like that.
00:05:25
So what? I'd like Thio help the fans with and and I think it's more so also helping us like these things kind of rants and talks are almost Ah, little self reflection and kind of a little bit of psychology for ourselves to kind of force ourselves into What is the rial optimal plays in DFS.
00:05:48
So we kind of have to separate that mentality from our season long leagues to DFS when you're just trying to hit the ball out of the ballpark.
00:05:59
Now that doesn't mean play stupid plays.
00:06:00
You know, don't play the guys that are just bound toe flop there.
00:06:05
There's a way there is a way and we're learning.
00:06:08
Joe and I are getting better as the season goes on as I don't know how you feel, Joe.
00:06:14
But I know this year in particular, I have felt like my game has been taken up a notch.
00:06:20
I feel like I have improved my game a lot just by us communicating, You giving me advice that maybe I didn't take into consideration me giving you advice, and if I'm giving you the advice, I feel like I should be taking it myself.
00:06:34
And sometimes when it's just you making the choices, you kind of cower away and you do the safe thing and you just don't really take your own advice sometimes.
00:06:42
But if you're giving it to somebody else, you feel kind of obligated Thio follow through with that.
00:06:47
So, uh, you know, I hope you have felt like you're improving as well.
00:06:53
But I know this year in our in my DFS lineups and builds, I have done ah, lot more optimal things and learned a lot more this year than I think I have in the past three or four years of me doing it.
00:07:06
So, uh, I apologize for the little mini rant for everyone, but I thought that that was something that was weighing on my heart that I thought would be good, actionable advice that we should be giving to people instead of just okay here, the place and here, the best guys.
00:07:23
So, uh, that being said, unless you have anything else to add, Joe, I think we can probably move on to the top games of the week.
00:07:33
Correct? Yeah, I did wanna add some because, I mean, you do brings a very, very good point in terms off just stacking and just secondary and tertiary options.
00:07:43
um, So last week there were the two big games people focused on Waas, Buffalo for Seattle and Universe Jacksonville.
00:07:52
So again, like Jesse was saying, like for this week, it's gonna be so hard to jam in.
00:07:55
Nooks digs all those guys.
00:07:57
So let's go back to week nine again.
00:07:58
So everybody wanted to get the digs everybody wanted.
00:08:01
Get the Metcalfe and lock it and will fuller those guys.
00:08:06
But as as what happened in Week eight, the same thing happened in Week nine, where no ownership was on the Chiefs.
00:08:15
Inexplicably, no ownership was on the Chiefs again.
00:08:17
And I was guilty.
00:08:18
That a little bit to my I should have had a higher higher explosion that he was about to.
00:08:21
But you had you had Mahomes go off.
00:08:23
You had Tyree killed off Chelsea, the best tight end in football.
00:08:26
He's just been an absolute monster this year.
00:08:29
Even CMC it 8500 was at a bargain and he went off so you could have got all four of those guys are those guys in? I forget how much Curtis Samuel was, but I don't think he was over five where you could have got him into.
00:08:44
But again, like Jesse is saying in that sense, where is that other? So you wanna have exposure to certain games That Buffalo Seattle game? David More He had that long touchdown, I think, was in the fourth quarter is like a 60 yard bomb.
00:08:58
He was, I believe, 3100.
00:09:00
But he got that one big play got in the 14 15 points that acted as glue for the rest of those pieces in that Carolina Kansas City Games.
00:09:08
So it's more or less.
00:09:09
Yeah, we want to get digs in this week against the Cardinals.
00:09:12
We want to get look in against the Bills we wanted, it locked it.
00:09:15
DK against the Rams.
00:09:16
All those guys were there.
00:09:18
But it's more or less.
00:09:20
We need to have a lineup that's going to correlate at the same time, making sure we have exposure to those certain games.
00:09:25
I mean, and three of the four games were to talk about today.
00:09:28
Those are the games that we wanna have exposure to, and and at this point, now let's let's get into it.
00:09:33
So the first game we'll talk about is gonna be the Tampa Bay at Carolina game.
00:09:37
This is the second of the two matchups this year.
00:09:41
Pretty simple.
00:09:42
Bucks got destroyed on Sunday Night Football.
00:09:43
Saints just just absolutely thrashed them.
00:09:47
Um, so injury news on the Bucks side of the ball.
00:09:52
Carlton Davis is coming and it's questionable.
00:09:55
If he did sit out, that's definitely a boost for both D.
00:09:58
J Moore and Robby Anderson on the Panther side of the ball.
00:10:02
Again, we mentioned Panthers had a very decent game against the Chiefs.
00:10:06
Held their own, um, on their side.
00:10:09
CMC, of course, is out.
00:10:10
We're gonna discuss Mike Davis quite a bit in a few minutes.
00:10:14
Also, Kun is out for the offensive line for Carolina.
00:10:20
So yeah, I guess we'll start off with my Davis.
00:10:22
I mean, I don't get help.
00:10:24
Draftkings just didn't honestly leave his price around.
00:10:28
I mean, minimum 5,506,000.
00:10:30
I mean, CMC did get injured on that last play of the game last week.
00:10:34
It's not like we didn't know about it.
00:10:36
I mean, draftkings is usually pretty good with that stuff, but they expectedly left Mike Davis a 4000 stuff.
00:10:42
Expect him to be the highest soon player across the board GPS cash all over the place.
00:10:46
But there's a lot of like with him in regards to how Tampa Bay does struggle against pass catching backs.
00:10:52
I'm gonna kick it off the, um you on that? Yeah.
00:10:58
I hate to put you on the spot job, but do you have that stat handy that you sent to me in the text regarding Mike Davis's splits when they're an underdog and when they're a favorite? Yeah.
00:11:09
So I did an article this week.
00:11:10
Um, just a different player.
00:11:12
Split home away.
00:11:14
Indoor outdoor favorite, underdog, etcetera, etcetera.
00:11:17
Yeah, one thing I dug up on Mike Davis.
00:11:19
So in the game said he's favored.
00:11:20
He averages 1.
00:11:21
66 targets per game versus as an underdog and as another dog in this game because the Panthers do come in as six point dogs.
00:11:29
Mike Davis.
00:11:30
I was just seven point through the targets per game.
00:11:31
That was definitely interested.
00:11:32
I don't know what the theory on that is, but e mean definitely negative game scripts.
00:11:37
I would expect them to be in tomorrow where that that is gonna funnel additional targets.
00:11:41
Teddy Bridgewater like to throw too many deep passes more of a short pass variety quarterback where that's gonna benefit my Davis, Curtis, Samuel.
00:11:49
But yeah, I did see that.
00:11:50
I'm just like, man, obviously I was wrong about that.
00:11:53
Yeah, I thought that was a really good Staten.
00:11:55
And one The only caution, I would say.
00:11:58
And just to recap.
00:11:59
So you said this is their second game of the year.
00:12:01
First matchup.
00:12:02
Tampa Bay, 1 31 to 17, pretty handedly won there in that matchup.
00:12:08
So, you know, putting up 31 points.
00:12:11
That's that's going to give us some upside there and and given the big time down performance on prime time television at that, you know everybody is gonna be down on this Tampa Bay offense, and that's where we thrive.
00:12:26
I hate toe, you know, bring a pun into this as the Thrive fantasy thing is going down at the bottom ticker here with our promo code coaches for $20 bonus.
00:12:38
But, uh, you know, picking up on those biased recency bias matchups are what we can really take advantage of from a DFS perspective.
00:12:51
So I love Brady.
00:12:52
This week, I tend to like Antonio Brown A B and Godwin Mawr than Mike Evans.
00:13:00
I think that they're just They just have ah safer.
00:13:03
Flora's faras target shares go I think we've kind of seen Mike Evans has really Onley gotten the targets this year when Godwin's been out hurt and it's been on Lee him now The positive side to him is he's obviously been a monster inside the 10 yard line.
00:13:17
I mean, he's just eaten up those touchdown opportunities.
00:13:20
But given all these other options there in the passing game, I feel like that's not really sustainable.
00:13:28
And so I'm definitely probably fading Mike Evans here and I'm going mawr towards Antonio Brown and Godwin just because of the target share in their opportunities.
00:13:39
You know, opportunity rules all in fantasy, when you have opportunity combined with elite talent that both of these wide receivers have, That's where I really like this game.
00:13:49
So that Tampa Bay secondary and that that past defense opposing the Carolina team, you know, they've been pretty tough this year, so I think I'm probably steering away from those pass catchers.
00:14:03
But I do like the correlation stack of Mike Davis with Tom on the other side and then either stacking one or both Godwin in a be with Tom Brady.
00:14:15
So I I like that stack a lot as we have not mentioned here.
00:14:19
But Joe and I have kind of traded messages back and forth that projected ownership for the Tampa Bay offense is so low this week.
00:14:27
I mean, we're talking less than 5% for all these guys.
00:14:30
So definitely some advantages to be had there definitely some matchups to look out for, and I think we can kind of take advantage of it.
00:14:41
So I definitely think this Tampa Bay offense is gonna be towards the top of my list as's faras ownership of my several different lineups.
00:14:50
So just so you guys know when I say ownership for my different lineups, I typically make between Florida eight lineups a week, So that's kind of what I like to work with.
00:15:01
That's kind of my wheelhouse there.
00:15:02
So, uh, do you have anything else to add there? Yeah, I like me a ****ed off time, but ready to I mean, we were attacking the Panthers on the ground to start the year first five games.
00:15:14
They were going up over five yards a carry.
00:15:16
I mean, they gave up eight touchdowns and there's eight touchdowns on the ground.
00:15:19
It was first five games, but last four games, I mean, they've been they've held their own on the ground, 3.
00:15:23
74 yard to carry.
00:15:25
They've only given one rushing score.
00:15:27
So what, this tells me.
00:15:28
I mean, I think Brady's gonna throw when they're gonna throw a lot.
00:15:31
I just don't see them having to duds in a row like that.
00:15:34
I mean, I do get kind of wary being It's the second of two and, you know, be individual Matt games played twice a year.
00:15:42
That does make me.
00:15:43
That gives me slight hesitation.
00:15:45
But can't you just don't rush the quarterback? I mean, Brady's gonna clean pocket for most of this game here, so he's gonna ableto tomatoes might be out again as well.
00:15:52
I don't know if you saw that, but he's questionable.
00:15:54
So yeah, I think I grew tomatoes is questionable. We got Dante.
00:15:58
Jackson is questionable for the for the Panthers, marquees Haines.
00:16:03
I guess my only concern here is it's just who I like. God, me too.
00:16:07
I do like God when I think I don't like Brown as much as you do there.
00:16:10
The Bradys targeted the running backs 11 times a game the last three weeks to, and I I started thinking, I just looking at how the the snaps is gone.
00:16:21
Just Jones fumbling that ball against the Giants.
00:16:24
I mean, at some point, I just think that backfields going to Goto for net.
00:16:28
I just don't know when.
00:16:29
I mean, he's averaged 6.
00:16:30
33 targets the last three weeks to I mean, he's been used pretty well on the back of. He's been pretty efficient.
00:16:35
I just don't know when it's gonna be.
00:16:37
But if there's ever a week, especially if the Panthers team kind of struggled against the pass catching back.
00:16:42
I mean, like I said, I'm struggling to figure out what I'm gonna pair Brady with.
00:16:45
But I just a t least We got 24 hours to figure that out.
00:16:48
But that Z definitely a question for me right now.
00:16:51
What makes you not like a B so much go back to this? Snaps played, um that he was.
00:17:02
He was right.
00:17:03
He was right behind the Evans and Godwin just f Y I, and that was his first game for the whole year, and they still put him out there for quite a bit of snaps.
00:17:12
And I think he was towards the top us faras target share A swell.
00:17:17
He did. Yeah.
00:17:18
I saw 70% of the snap, so at least he's got the snap count there and five targets.
00:17:21
I mean, maybe.
00:17:22
I mean, definitely game.
00:17:23
I mean, just getting getting his legs back if anything too.
00:17:27
So maybe this could work out warm.
00:17:30
Yeah.
00:17:31
Okay.
00:17:32
Well, uh, you know, we kind of broke that one down. Justus.
00:17:34
Justo kinda, uh, not just list one scenario here.
00:17:40
If if weaken really, I guess.
00:17:42
Just name one thing that could be a downside to this matchup.
00:17:46
It's that Tampa Bay comes out guns blazing like they did against Screen Bay or something.
00:17:52
And they're just firing on all cylinders early in.
00:17:55
The game's almost over by halftime.
00:17:57
You know, that's the downside is that's how we missed the upside with the past game.
00:18:02
And that could be where for Net? Or Ronald Jones or somebody comes employees.
00:18:06
But that is the downside to this game is that definitely is a is a possibility with that mismatch there, Uh, for from almost both sides the ball there for Tampa Bay in Carolina.
00:18:19
So that being said, I just wanted to mention that before I move on to the next game.
00:18:22
So what's next on the docket? So we got the are the Chargers and Dolphins, so Chargers stages.
00:18:29
I've never seen a team so unlucky as that, that bunch.
00:18:33
I mean, it's part of just keeps his feet inbounds.
00:18:36
They win that game.
00:18:37
They just find ways to lose games every year.
00:18:40
Whether it's kicker issues, whether it's just not keeping you know feet about, it's just it's very creative how they do it.
00:18:46
I think you just want to talk about Justin Jackson.
00:18:48
Yeah, well, thank God he's outside.
00:18:52
Don't get to that suffering again this week S O Justin Justin Jackson's out.
00:18:56
The sweet Joey Bosa's also out this week.
00:18:58
That's a that's a big one.
00:18:59
Um, that big on the dolphin side of the ball.
00:19:03
They kept up with the Cardinals.
00:19:04
I mean, to looked to look very poised.
00:19:07
Um, that offense was clicking last week, so we got to air coming in at 3% ownership.
00:19:14
I mean, 5600.
00:19:15
Um, and then we got presser Williams being out.
00:19:19
So we talked about the splits from last year.
00:19:20
Preston Williams did miss the rest of the season.
00:19:23
I think, What was it? I think it was like a program like it was definitely over a double digit fantasy point per game differential.
00:19:31
So we got that fact of playing and he's dirt sheets, not dirt cheap, but 5000 definitely reasonable for him.
00:19:37
One thing I'll say about the Chargers defense, that pass defense just doesn't simply travel on the road.
00:19:41
They play, they play much better at home on the road.
00:19:45
They seem to be giving up about six more fantasy points to the quarterback, tight end and wide receiver each position.
00:19:50
So something.
00:19:51
Keep in mind there in terms of just lost one of their best TVs and the trade deadline to Yeah, so I could see both teams.
00:19:59
I mean, this is one of those ones where both teams gonna play up pace here.
00:20:02
This is definitely one of the fast paced games.
00:20:04
Justin Harvest look pretty good this year.
00:20:06
Kick it over exactly what he thinks on that.
00:20:08
But I do see some points coming in this game.
00:20:10
What are you seeing on the pace side of things because I was seeing that the Dolphins were playing super slow teams that played the, um, Chargers.
00:20:20
Give me a second pulled up eso That's what you're probably say? Yeah, that the Chargers do play at a faster pace and you're probably right there.
00:20:27
My worry about this game is the pace itself, you know? We know both teams like to run the ball.
00:20:36
Uh, gosh, I don't know why, because these quarterbacks could are definitely capable of just airing it out and producing a big time game.
00:20:44
But I almost feel like this is a better NFL game, just from a viewership perspective and less so from a fantasy perspective.
00:20:54
I love the Devante Parker call.
00:20:56
I think if I'm gonna be on anything this game, that would be it.
00:20:59
I also love the Chargers, getting back a few offensive linemen and their running game efficiency versus the Dolphins inefficiency, rush, rush defense.
00:21:15
I would love to take advantage that, but with Justin Jackson out and Kelly and Pope and maybe blockage, all kind of just splitting work, that kind of takes them out for me.
00:21:26
So I don't really want to go to Keenan Allen against a tough matchup with that secondary.
00:21:32
That secondary is playing a lot better over the last three or four weeks.
00:21:37
I know Keone and Islands Beast, but I just think and I know Mike Williams is in play as well, but they're just so volatile.
00:21:45
And if this game is gonna play at a slower pace, which I kind of expect just because you have to rookie quarterbacks going against the opposition, you have two head coaches that are a little more conservative than aggressive, obviously more so on Anthony Lynn side than than Flores aside, I think Flores is a little bit more aggressive.
00:22:04
But, you know, I just think the upside here is so capped that I'm probably on Lee playing Parker or I wanted to mention jah keem Grant as well down there at three K with Press and Williams out and ah, lot of pass catcher opportunities going to the wayside for Miami.
00:22:24
Those air probably the only two options I'm going to in this game and I think I'm just going to fade this game entirely.
00:22:31
If I'm not playing either of those guys, Yeah, definitely, you can.
00:22:34
Grant does get you some salary relief.
00:22:36
He's average, I believe.
00:22:38
56 targets last two weeks.
00:22:40
Delegates.
00:22:41
It's on.
00:22:42
But, I mean, there's there's value across the board again.
00:22:43
We talk about Mike Davis.
00:22:44
I mean, you got we're gonna talk about Josh Reynolds in the next game.
00:22:47
Were to cover, too.
00:22:48
But, I mean, there's there's relief you can get in other ways.
00:22:51
God lays out.
00:22:52
So getting on the Dole is 3900.
00:22:54
You don't necessarily have to get down to Grant necessarily mean again.
00:22:58
This game could play slow.
00:23:00
The Chargers do play fast, but again, if the Dolphins scores or yeah, the Dolphin sports the Chargers play their style of game.
00:23:07
This game is definitely better from again, like yesterday.
00:23:10
An NFL watching perspective of me Just watching two of the future quarterbacks for the next 10 15 years between, uh, Justin Herbert and to uh, yep, absolutely.
00:23:19
And I will tease this.
00:23:22
Jeremy, uh, Hakeem Grant is at three K.
00:23:27
There is another wide receiver that we have kind of disgust via text, but I haven't really weighed in on my opinion on him until today, because over the last I'd say 12 to 14 hours I've actually really started to warm up to this guy.
00:23:42
So I do have a pivot at that three K range that I am going Thio take advantage of probably over Grant, and we can discuss that later.
00:23:52
So let's move on to the next game.
00:23:54
So we're to go on the Seattle at Los Angeles.
00:23:57
A meat from Bones here? Yeah, a lot of injury news on Seattle side of the ball.
00:24:03
Ethan Poetic is going to be out for this game.
00:24:05
Shaquille Griffin, one of the quarterbacks.
00:24:07
One of the best quarterbacks is after this game.
00:24:09
We got Carson and Hide.
00:24:11
Sounds like Carson again is going to be another one of those true game time decisions.
00:24:16
Quinton Dunbar is questionable.
00:24:18
KJ rights.
00:24:19
Also questionable on the Rams side of the ball.
00:24:22
We there, they're coming pretty much pretty healthy.
00:24:24
Bryan Allain is expected to play, but he has a questionable tag for the Rand's offensive line.
00:24:30
Then they got Leonard Floyd and I forget his first name, Louis, but they're both questionable but expected to play.
00:24:36
So Jesse and I were texting about this game quite a bit last night.
00:24:41
Um, just trying to poke holes just kind of like kind of figure out what the worst case scenarios could be here.
00:24:48
It's tough, e mean, every game.
00:24:50
Seattle's played it.
00:24:51
I mean, every game total has gone over 50 points.
00:24:54
That seems all but assured in this game as well.
00:24:58
I guess my only concern here and I'll let Jesse lewd talk about this as well, too.
00:25:02
I mean, Russell Wilson.
00:25:03
I mean, he was pressured all week by Bills list.
00:25:06
That definitely concerns me even with this week, especially with the venerable Aaron Donald, especially with poached egg poaching po check out for this game.
00:25:14
I think Donald could expose that line a little bit where Russell's gonna scramble around again and hopefully doesn't turn the ball over four times like I did last week.
00:25:22
Two fumbles into picks.
00:25:23
Um, yeah, let's just to kind of get into that there, See outside of the balls.
00:25:27
I mean, both sides of the ball give me a little bit of pause, but again, lots of like about this game, but definitely wanted We should definitely discuss here with people.
00:25:34
Yeah, so this one is tricky.
00:25:37
You're right.
00:25:38
We have tried to pick holes just about every way that you could, and that's a good exercise to get into.
00:25:44
When you're ****yzing this, DFS slates each and every week, you know, you have to kind of go through your mind and play.
00:25:52
The game theory is almost more important, Uh, than than some stature looking at is is trying to figure out the different types of scenarios in which these games can play out.
00:26:04
So I think the most likely scenario is that it's a complete shoot out.
00:26:09
You know, I think a lot of people I wouldn't say a lot of people, some people are going to be concerned that this is a tough Rams defense and no, Russ and the past catching options are all kind of expensive, and you don't really know who to pair him with each week, etcetera, etcetera.
00:26:33
But it seems like the Seattle offense just thrives in playing against good competition.
00:26:43
And, you know, after a down week last week, you just have toe think that they are going to come back guns blazing in the second match up and I know it's a divisional game and they're familiar with each other.
00:27:01
But you know, Seattle has done some different things this year.
00:27:05
So this isn't the typical Seattle team that the Rams might have played in years past, and the Rams are fully capable of driving the ball down the field as well.
00:27:16
So you know, we've discussed who I think you know.
00:27:21
I'm definitely fading.
00:27:22
Jared Goff.
00:27:23
We've discussed via text why I think his downside as a touchdown.
00:27:28
Uh, likelihood is just so limited.
00:27:31
I think he could easily throw one or zero touchdowns and it wouldn't shock me a bit.
00:27:36
I think they're still going to throw the ball over the field.
00:27:39
I think they're going to run the ball over the field.
00:27:41
I think they do definitely have an advantage upfront with their run.
00:27:45
Game is well, and you know how much the Rams run game Goat goes sometimes when it gets rock and McVeigh just starts, you know, pound on the run.
00:27:54
And so that's the one downside is that they may be running a bit more than what we're expecting, and they don't provide that those pass catchers, the upside we need and maybe it slows the game down a bit.
00:28:07
I don't know these teams.
00:28:09
The Rams specifically play so fast that I feel like it kind of fits into Seattle's wheelhouse there, and they also are leading the league in 20 plus yard plays.
00:28:22
So these, uh, you know, huge plays or not what you want to be speculative against with the Seattle team, you know that this is not the unit that you wanna be leaking on the back end.
00:28:36
They're giving a big place.
00:28:37
So I'm leaning more towards a full game stack.
00:28:41
I like lock it this week.
00:28:44
I like Metcalf.
00:28:45
I think Metcalfe obviously has a little bit more downside just because he could get some of Ramsey's attention there.
00:28:54
But, you know, we thought the same thing last week with Troy Davis White.
00:28:59
But Troy Davis White doesn't hasn't been traveling this year, and neither does Ramsey a whole lot.
00:29:04
He kind of tends to play one side, so I'm kind of going back and forth on what they're how they're gonna approach that.
00:29:10
Something tells me that they're gonna start traveling raising a little bit more often than not against Metcalfe.
00:29:15
So I tend toe, maybe lean towards lock it on that side of things.
00:29:20
If you are going to play the contrarian approach and not want to take these pass catchers.
00:29:31
Definitely keep an eye on the Seattle backfield.
00:29:33
You know, if Carson doesn't go, that opens up some cheap opportunity for either D.
00:29:38
J, Dallas or Homer.
00:29:40
Whichever one you want to pick their from a Seattle backfield perspective, I I definitely would play it one side of the other.
00:29:47
It's either these past sketches they're gonna go off or you play the running backs as a cheap pivot.
00:29:53
But you still have exposure to this game.
00:29:55
So that's kind of what I'm going with on that side.
00:29:59
I like Robert Woods and Cooper Cup quite a bit, so I do like them both.
00:30:04
And then I could see maybe throwing a dart with Darryl Henderson as well.
00:30:09
But that's gonna be kind of tough because he just kind of stuck there in the no man's land.
00:30:14
As far as, like, middle of the road type salary, he's not too low, but it's not too high, so I don't really know what to do there, but that's kind of just a macro level view of this game.
00:30:26
Let me piggyback off what you were talking about with Robert Woods and Cooper cops up.
00:30:31
Here's the target totals for the top two receivers in all of Seattle schemes as far 2024 23 21 15 18, 23 21.
00:30:42
Why don't I bring that up? Because the wide receiver corps for the Rams is pretty centralized between those two receivers.
00:30:50
Now here is the third option and rob receiver corps in all the games.
00:30:55
5, 12, 36 10 194 lot more variants, but it does give Josh Reynolds some play here again.
00:31:05
We were talking about having exposure to games with, like, tertiary options.
00:31:09
Josh Reynolds In this game.
00:31:10
I feel like I could have some play here.
00:31:12
His ownership.
00:31:13
I mean, I'm shocked he's gonna come in at 1% ownership.
00:31:15
I mean, I figured like maybe no more than 10, for sure, but to see that one I mean again, Look at last week when you have somebody like in Isaiah Mackenzie kind of going off for a touchdown.
00:31:26
I mean, we could see Josh Reynolds across the pylons here once he does that.
00:31:30
I mean, he's had a great week.
00:31:32
I mean, that's just blue for the rest of your lineup there, but yeah, I I like Woods and cut this week.
00:31:37
I love. I like both of them.
00:31:39
It's just gonna be hard to get both.
00:31:40
I mean, Cup 69 then you got was a 66.
00:31:43
So it's tough to do there in regards to the wide receivers for Seattle.
00:31:48
So I was texting Jesse on this one before the show.
00:31:53
It was only given up to top 25 receivers this year.
00:31:55
I mean, that second has been very good for them.
00:31:58
Mari was the wide receiver, 17 and weak one. Deebo.
00:32:01
Samuel was the wide receiver 14 in Week six.
00:32:03
That's the best.
00:32:04
The best that that's the best receivers have done against Seattle are the ramps this year going back the locket.
00:32:11
I mean, he's had that one big game.
00:32:14
But for the other five, he hasn't got the double digit fantasy points.
00:32:17
His he's almost become a low floor, high ceiling player.
00:32:22
DK Nick.
00:32:23
If I mean I think when we goto August of 2021 were back in sheriff season, I think we'll be talking about a top five receiver in the league.
00:32:30
I mean, his his skill, said his um his ability, I mean, it's it's far superior where if I'm going toe, take a chance on somebody against the probably the best quarterback in Jalen Ramsey, I'll give it a shot.
00:32:45
I mean, great.
00:32:46
And here's the only problem with that is he's 1100 mawr off Tyler Lockett, and there's not really much separation in terms of ownership there.
00:32:55
I mean, we have locked it coming in probably 23% in McKevitt 1919.
00:32:59
There's not really much upside there in terms off playing Metcalfe over, lock it in terms of, I guess, in terms of who I'm going to play, probably Mauritz going.
00:33:09
It's probably gonna be lock it.
00:33:10
It's just you get 1100 savings off him At some point.
00:33:16
I mean, lock, it's got to get it going.
00:33:17
I mean, he's not going to see as much as Ramsey's make it will.
00:33:20
Um, But again, it's like we were saying, We're just trying to poke holes, see what? What the worst case could be again because I mean obvious heavy on lock it.
00:33:27
Last week I had him probably between 40 50%.
00:33:30
They just didn't get there.
00:33:31
I mean, granted, Locker did miss two touchdown opportunities.
00:33:34
He had two chances for two touchdowns last week.
00:33:35
I get the one.
00:33:37
Yeah, down at the one.
00:33:38
He was down at the one, and I think Ross missed him on the other one.
00:33:42
So I mean, he's had opportunities to get there.
00:33:44
But at the same time, Excuse me, excuse me, but yeah, lock.
00:33:51
It could have had a better week, but again, there is risk with him this week.
00:33:55
So I mean, what's with all of them? I mean, there's both those guys, just with how well the Rams have played the opposing wide receivers again.
00:34:01
But like I said, the Jesse who of the Rams really played.
00:34:04
They played all the NFC East.
00:34:05
They played the Bears the best.
00:34:08
The best corner they probably played was Bills, and even the Bills kind of got did some damage.
00:34:12
And I mean, Cole Beasley, seven days, they had decent games, wasn't anything special, but they got there.
00:34:18
I mean, they had 18 and 14, respectively.
00:34:20
Yeah, and believe it or not, with how volatile Lockets Fantasy Point totals has been, he's out targeted D K. Metcalf this year.
00:34:30
Believe it or not, I know that's kind of hard for some people to believe, but he he has been the highest targeted wide receiver on that team.
00:34:37
So I know the ownership projections are have ah Metcalfe in Lockett about 4% apart.
00:34:47
I'm telling you, I think lock it's gonna be a little less own than you think.
00:34:52
I think people have been burned by him too much lately and I think it's I think he's going to come down closer to, like, 15% in that 20% mark that we're looking at.
00:35:01
And if you get locked in a 15% and he has one of those blow up weeks and this Rams secondary gives up these big plays that they have given up this year, all it takes is, you know, 1 40 yard touchdown from locket and you're almost, you know, right there with your value that you need Thio surpass that four x type value.
00:35:23
So, uh, that's kind of where I'm at this game.
00:35:27
I tend to want to play ah, bigger game stack on the next game we're going to discuss, but I still like this is my as one of my top two options.
00:35:40
Yes, So let's go on to the it was in the Cardinals.
00:35:43
I was Jesse.
00:35:44
That's what stood out, especially this game opened at 49 a half.
00:35:47
It's going up seven points since the Open.
00:35:49
It's a 50 6.
00:35:50
5.
00:35:51
I mean, people are hitting that over, but like crazy and it's for good reason.
00:35:55
Um, I mean, the Cardinals gave up what, 34 to the Seahawks and weak seven.
00:35:59
They just gave up another 34 to the Dolphins unexpectedly to the Dolphins last week after, I mean, jeez, dolphins look like gonna get anything going against the Rams back in Week eight.
00:36:09
But they found a way to get it done against the Cardinals.
00:36:12
And we're expecting the same thing with the Bills coming in, um, Bill side of the ball again.
00:36:17
We had discussed staying that offensively came back to life against Seattle after just a month of just they were pretty much in offensive before they face the Sea Hawks.
00:36:25
But here they are in this game in a dome.
00:36:28
Nice dome environment.
00:36:29
I mean, there's a lot to like about this game.
00:36:31
Both quarterbacks are projecting pretty high and for good reason.
00:36:34
They're just they're rushing upside.
00:36:36
Just give them such a higher floor, higher ceiling possibility.
00:36:39
And between I mean, between those two, maybe a few other quarterbacks.
00:36:43
I mean, my quarterback pool is pretty small, and I know these two are definitely gonna be amongst.
00:36:47
And I know it's gonna be a most Jessie's, too.
00:36:50
Yeah, I think my quarterback pool is like four guys.
00:36:52
So the one thing I've learned this year and maybe this is ah, maybe this is more so a, uh, flash in the pan type ****ysis more than it is something that's gonna stick year after year.
00:37:09
But we've learned this year that if you don't have a quarterback performance that's over 25 points, you don't have a shot in any of these tournaments.
00:37:17
You don't you have to have a quarterback performance that's going thio surpass that value that you need and just, uh, you know, boost your score up to where it needs to be.
00:37:26
So it's Tyler.
00:37:28
It's Josh Allen.
00:37:29
It's Russ.
00:37:31
It's Tom Brady for me, and that's it.
00:37:33
I don't think I'm gonna play any other quarterback this week, so, you know, I think there's value.
00:37:38
There's enough value on the slate where I can fit guys in and make it work for any of these guys.
00:37:44
So I love Kyler.
00:37:45
The difficult part about that play is that it's hard to know which guy to choose between Kirk and new cop Kins.
00:37:57
But you know it.
00:38:00
I don't know.
00:38:01
It's just ever since that ankle injury, DeAndre Hopkins hasn't been the same, but and Kyler and Kirk have been blowing up.
00:38:09
But you know, Then again, we've been taking advantage of stuff like this all year.
00:38:16
You know, every the recency bias of people going to Kirk and then us wanting to pivot over the Hopkins might be the winning formula, but I haven't been able to build a lineup with Hopkins and Skylar both together yet so still unsure how I want to go there.
00:38:34
But that matchup M**** so good, but one player that is not getting enough recognition.
00:38:39
I'm telling you, we talked about this briefly chase Edmunds.
00:38:42
If if Drake is out, I might have, like 75% ownership on Chase Edmunds.
00:38:48
It's gonna be Erin Jones and Chase Edmunds for me, and then I kind of just fill out the rest of my lineup or it's gonna be James Robinson and Edmonds or something.
00:38:57
It's gonna be two fairly high price running backs.
00:39:02
Conner.
00:39:03
I don't know, but I haven't figured out how I'm gonna build that just yet.
00:39:07
But this matchup, it's so good against the Bills, and nobody really knows this.
00:39:12
The Bills rush defense has been terrible.
00:39:14
Edmonds, without Drake is getting like over 90% of the snaps.
00:39:19
He's the full time pass catcher as well.
00:39:21
So there's just unlimited upside and all the boxes air checked as faras.
00:39:29
The matchup, the opportunity, pass catching ability, it all.
00:39:35
They check all the boxes and last week was the big Chase Edmunds chalk week, and he didn't hit for a lot of people.
00:39:44
And I think he's gonna be a really low owned this week because he kind of got burned, all right, He kind of burned people last week, so I really, really do like having him in a lineup.
00:39:54
And I don't think it's a bad idea to put him and Kyler in the same line I'm like, I think you can definitely profit from having both of those guys.
00:40:04
Uh, you know, we can kind of break down the bills in, uh, detail here.
00:40:11
But is there anything you wanted to add from the Arizona sad things? There's a This game is very interested in terms of game stacks here.
00:40:21
Um, I mean, you could go Kyler naked or Josh naked and bring it back with some of the opposing pieces.
00:40:28
If I had to go who I go naked mawr, you could go Kyler naked and bring it back some of the bills pieces.
00:40:33
Um, yeah.
00:40:35
As you mentioned with Chase Edmunds.
00:40:36
Yep, he didn't.
00:40:37
It's just I think the Cardinals thought they're gonna end up playing a lot more positive game script.
00:40:42
It just never happened.
00:40:43
Is the Dolphins gave the game, but he does see targets.
00:40:46
I mean, his Edmonds does see quite a few targets now, I guess 11 other thing.
00:40:50
If no going back to the bill side of all Dre Kirkpatrick comes in is questionable.
00:40:54
Where seven days should probably see a lot more Patrick Peterson.
00:40:59
But if Dre Kirkpatrick doesn't end up playing, I'm not sure if he's a true questionable or if he has a questionable where he's gonna end up playing tomorrow, but delicates John Brown play.
00:41:08
I mean, John Brown Definitely his best.
00:41:10
Adding of the of the year last week with 11 targets, 99 yards.
00:41:13
Um, his matchup definitely would get a boost.
00:41:16
If Kirkpatrick does sit out in terms of Digs versus Peterson, I'm gonna bet on the talent of digs and digs leading the league in targets, receptions and receiving yards at that position.
00:41:29
Um, him and Josh Allen have just developed this great chemistry.
00:41:33
I mean, they he's blossom.
00:41:34
I mean, digs averaging. Almost.
00:41:36
He's actually double digit targets a week.
00:41:37
I mean, I'm gonna bet on the town this week if I'm going to go there.
00:41:40
I feel pretty confident in days.
00:41:42
I mean, he only has three touchdowns, so at some point, he's got to get back in the end.
00:41:46
I mean, he hasn't scored a touchdown since Week six against the Chiefs, so the targets are there.
00:41:51
He leads the team in red zone targets, too.
00:41:52
So I mean, at some point, I mean, he's got to get back in.
00:41:54
And what better weekend this week? I mean, what's gonna be a high paced affair? Yeah, and he played in a dome and it's home stadium there in Minnesota, and there's something about his route running and everything else.
00:42:05
I feel like his game plays really well inside of, ah dome situation.
00:42:11
So I do really like digs.
00:42:13
I really like John Brown as well.
00:42:15
You know, we saw that chemistry between Josh Allen and John Brown all year last year, and it hasn't really gone away this year.
00:42:21
He's when he's on the field and he's healthy.
00:42:24
He's been good.
00:42:25
The problem with him has just been his health and his durability.
00:42:28
But you know, I like both of those guys quite a bit.
00:42:31
In fact, I would not mind playing Kyler naked and then playing both of those guys from the other side of things toe kind of stack it up, maybe play Edmonds, Tyler Diggs and John Brown in the same line up and then kind of just maybe Sprinkle in a piece of the Seattle Rams game.
00:42:53
And then if we wanted a piece of the Tampa Bay and, uh and Carolina game, or maybe we just wanted to play whoever we thought was kind of the best optimal play at a cheaper price at that rate, because some of those guys we're gonna be pretty expensive But I kind of do like that build.
00:43:10
And I don't mind playing two pass catchers on the other side with Kyler there.
00:43:15
So this game is in a dome.
00:43:17
We talked earlier this year about how the top tournament lineups, more often than not, have quite a bit of exposure to these Dome games and especially this time of year, the Midwest and the East Coast.
00:43:29
Both of us are familiar with how terrible the weather gets over over on this side of the country.
00:43:34
And, uh, you know it's having that dome is a huge, huge advantage.
00:43:39
So I think this is going to be the highest scoring matchup of the week.
00:43:44
I think this is the least likely to not hit.
00:43:49
But, you know, it's just so hard to go away from some of these Seattle Rams guys because their names air so big.
00:43:56
But you know, if we can get some of these other guys at lower ownership than what we're expecting, especially that Chase Edmunds is projected, like under 5% ownership, who I can't.
00:44:09
I can't convince myself away from him for some reason.
00:44:11
So I'm kind of just praying that Drakes out because if Drake is in kind of muddies things just a bit there.
00:44:19
So I feel like I'm kind of rambling on this game, but I do really, really like, uh, stacking this game.
00:44:26
You I would say no less than three guys like you have to have three or four guys from this game.
00:44:33
If you're going to stack it, I'm gonna echo Jax Jacki Sentiment.
00:44:36
I mean, this is my favorite game on the board.
00:44:38
You're taking a divisional component out of it.
00:44:41
We haven't really discussed the weather.
00:44:42
There's some weather factors this week.
00:44:44
Whether or not even a factor in this game, this game sets up to be probably the best.
00:44:47
It's probably the best one I feel like on paper and in terms of just watch ability.
00:44:51
I'm excited for this one.
00:44:52
I cannot wait.
00:44:54
Yeah, for sure.
00:44:55
Okay, well, we broke down all those matchups.
00:44:57
Let's go position by position to kind of round things out here, like we typically dio just to touch on some other good, optimal place that maybe didn't fit into these high over under totals that we just broke down these Vegas games.
00:45:10
So a quarterback perspective, the only guy we really didn't talk about was that Shawn Watson? So you know, he's obviously in an optimal play situation.
00:45:20
Cleveland's past defense has been absolutely dreadful this year, but the downside here is the weather is supposed to be poor.
00:45:27
The winds were supposed to be outrageous there in Cleveland, and they've had two weeks off coming off a bye week, a lot of time to prepare for him.
00:45:38
The offensive line and defensive line mismatch there that the pressure rate in the sack rate, I feel like Cleveland could definitely get to the Texans.
00:45:46
So Cleveland, on the cheap side of defense, is this week are definitely employees as well.
00:45:51
And, you know, as good as Watson is and and he kind of provides that good for with the rushing ability.
00:45:59
But there's just too much downside here toe where I'm probably if I do have any ownership percentage from him at all, it's only gonna be like one out of my eight lineups, so just keep that in mind.
00:46:10
I think there's just too much that's working against his favor in this game, and I also see the most likely outcome of this game being the fact that the Texans rush defense is horrendous.
00:46:23
And the butter of the Browns is that rush offense.
00:46:26
So I think they're going to try to milk this clock.
00:46:29
I think this game is gonna go by really quickly.
00:46:31
And, uh, that's kind of how I see this game plan out.
00:46:34
So that's why we didn't really discuss the Shawn Watson and and to greater detail.
00:46:39
Yeah, Aaron Rodgers kind of falls in that same boat to whether it's gonna be kind of iffy at Lambeau as well, especially against the Jaguars last year, 32nd ranked past the D v away defense.
00:46:50
I mean, theoretically, Roger should have a big day, but at the same time the weather is concerned he'll get he should get there.
00:46:58
I'm not even concerned about that.
00:46:59
Just I just I don't know how.
00:47:01
I don't know how highest ceiling truly is.
00:47:02
Just with that one factor that that's the thing that concerns me, Uh, 14.
00:47:06
14 point differential there as well.
00:47:09
Yeah, yeah.
00:47:10
Jack's made a game last week against Houston.
00:47:13
It's just it's different when you go to Lambeau.
00:47:15
I mean, granted, a lot of things are different this year in the sense that There is no fans at Lambeau, so I mean, it's a different environment.
00:47:20
But at the same time, I mean, packers are a lot more an upgrade of a team compared than the Texans.
00:47:25
I mean, in Texas, just actually Dumpster fire.
00:47:27
It's terrible.
00:47:28
I guess one of the quarterback I would bring up here would be Carson Wentz.
00:47:32
Um, you just get a lot of the weapons back This we don't have Lane Johnson back.
00:47:35
We're definitely gonna talk about Miles Sanders.
00:47:37
When we discuss running backs in a little bit, I think they're expected to get Isaac Simalu back.
00:47:41
So I mean, there are offensive lines getting healthy again, and they're getting some pieces back.
00:47:45
So Carson and he's definitely got some Russian upside.
00:47:47
I mean, he's had some pretty big rushing days.
00:47:49
I mean, when you look at this number seat, yeah, he doesn't.
00:47:51
He doesn't have a game where he has less than Well, I'm gonna go that far.
00:47:57
But he does have five rushing scores already.
00:47:59
I mean, that's the I'm all but certain that's a career high for him.
00:48:02
So he could definitely get it done on the ground.
00:48:05
Yeah.
00:48:06
Yeah.
00:48:07
If you're gonna play once.
00:48:08
I would probably recommend playing him naked as well.
00:48:09
Kind of like we did with Kyler.
00:48:10
They're just, uh he's getting his past catches back.
00:48:13
We don't really know which ones are gonna hit which ones aren't.
00:48:16
So I don't really know that I would want to stack that game per se.
00:48:21
So I think we can probably move on to the running back position. Correct.
00:48:25
Let's go.
00:48:27
All right, So guys we didn't discuss Erin Jones is probably gonna be the most popular guy in the slate For very good reason.
00:48:34
Jackson was rush defense, one of the worst in the league.
00:48:36
Erin Jones, one of the best running backs in the league.
00:48:39
Green Bay has a huge advantage up front in the trenches, just all kind of pointing towards Aaron Jones breakout game.
00:48:46
So it's hard to get away from him. I'll be honest.
00:48:50
I know there's downside.
00:48:51
We got bitten in the ass a couple weeks ago with the Scream hunt, who we thought it was gonna be a huge blow up spot against the Raiders.
00:49:00
You know there is there is a chance don't go 100% ownership, but it's hard to get away from Aaron Jones this week.
00:49:09
Yeah, undoubtedly, um, throwing down here.
00:49:12
We got Nick Shub coming back from his injury against one of the worst rush.
00:49:18
Defense is in the lead in the Texans We got.
00:49:20
Here's one guy was telling Jesse about, and Giants gave up the most targets.
00:49:25
Two running backs thus far.
00:49:26
I mean, Miles Sanders coming back this week. He's healthy.
00:49:29
I mean, he's been used quite a bit in the backfield.
00:49:31
I do like him as a contrarian play this week. He's 6400.
00:49:34
I mean, he's he's the workforce.
00:49:36
I mean, he's the workforce that Doug Peterson said that he was going to be this year.
00:49:39
I mean, I know I had my doubts because I mean, it's been such a our BBC with that team for his first four years.
00:49:45
But I mean, Miles Sanders, when healthy, has had the rains pretty much in his own hands.
00:49:49
Um, again, like Jesse mentioned Chase Edmunds in a good spot.
00:49:53
Even James Conner.
00:49:54
I mean, you get a Steelers team that's coming and ****ed off.
00:49:57
I mean, they just played down to the Cowboys.
00:49:59
Simple is that they should when they had to they had LeBron scored a touchdown.
00:50:04
But again, Connor just wasn't in good game script at all last week where he just he just gonna get there.
00:50:10
But I do like Connor again this week.
00:50:12
It definitely has a lower own play because nobody's gonna play on after that bus last week.
00:50:16
Um, anybody else we gotta cover here? James Robinson.
00:50:21
Uh, I like him a lot in this good matchup.
00:50:24
The downside, obviously, that they're 14 point underdogs and Chris Thompson's back.
00:50:29
And, believe it or not, he's actually garnering some past catching upside away from Robinson.
00:50:35
So we kind of have that downside to factor in there.
00:50:39
On the other big name that we did not mention was Duke Johnson.
00:50:43
Obviously, he's gonna be pretty highly owned, and I after looking it over, I'm out on him.
00:50:51
I'm totally out on him.
00:50:53
So I don't have any interest in playing him against his former team in the Cleveland Browns.
00:51:00
I think the Browns have the upfront advantage, like we mentioned with the defensive line and the offensive line.
00:51:04
I don't think Watson throws it enough to his running back, so I think that's what makes Duke Johnson super valuable typically.
00:51:12
So I think I'm out there.
00:51:13
And then one other player that we didn't really discuss was Antonio Gibson, and I kind of mentioned via text how the downside there is, ah, bit worrisome because he's only played one down on third down this year like he's played one third down the entire year.
00:51:30
So coming into the year, we all thought, Okay, this guy is gonna be a huge pass catcher.
00:51:34
He was a wide receiver in college.
00:51:36
Oh, my gosh.
00:51:37
The upside is unlimited.
00:51:38
This guy is gonna be great.
00:51:42
He's in a great spot.
00:51:44
I'm telling you, this Detroit Rush defense is so bad, so, so bad.
00:51:49
Almost every metric and an advanced ****ytics and just the numbers on the surface are so bad for this rush defense.
00:51:58
But, you know, if you're not getting those carries inside the 10 yard line, which he does, But if you're not getting those touchdowns from him, he almost needs, like, a two touchdown data to pay off in a big way.
00:52:10
So ah, one touchdown day with 90 total yards and, you know, maybe two catches.
00:52:16
That puts his upside somewhere between the 50 and 20 point range, and we kind of need it to be, like, 25 plus.
00:52:22
So that's kind of why I'm leaning away from Gibson.
00:52:27
There's as good of a match.
00:52:28
Apposite.
00:52:32
Is anybody else? Yeah, J d McKissic Just he just sleeping so many targets away from Gibson.
00:52:37
Is it Gibson to 20 play? I, he's just too unreliable for cash.
00:52:43
Yeah, okay, well, we can probably move on to wide receivers.
00:52:47
Then we didn't mention Mike Davis just because we already talked about him, but obviously he's one of our favorite plays there.
00:52:53
On the cheap side of things wide receivers that we did not discuss in these games.
00:52:58
Fax.
00:52:59
Uh, Terry MacLaurin.
00:53:02
He's in a good spot.
00:53:03
You know that Detroit's defense is just not good in general.
00:53:08
And he, uh, you know, he just has we saw last week.
00:53:12
He has this 70 yard touchdown playmaking ability that he could break at any time.
00:53:18
Let's go down to these cheap options because we've kind of broken down.
00:53:22
All the all the good wide receiver plays that we're going to be banking on this this week are almost all from thes game stacks that we already talked about.
00:53:30
Jah KEEM grant we talked about.
00:53:32
And then here's the guy, Chris Conley at three K, and you're the one that brought him up to me, and I dug into it.
00:53:41
Without J.
00:53:42
R.
00:53:43
Alexander, people are going to pivot to chart.
00:53:46
They're gonna love char cough that big week last week.
00:53:49
Believe it or not, Chris Conley had eight targets with Luton last week.
00:53:55
So that was the first week we got to see who Luton kind of favored.
00:54:00
And you know, she knelt.
00:54:01
Went down in the middle that game, and Conley got eight targets.
00:54:04
So he was second in the team and targets at three K.
00:54:09
If he gets eight targets again in a beat with a beat up secondary in a 14 point underdog total, where they might have to air it out, I know that the conditions the weather conditions aren't great, but three k.
00:54:23
If he could get seven for 70 that puts us at 14 points, you know, and then we're looking at, you know, five x.
00:54:32
So I do like Chris Conley.
00:54:35
If you need to save what you might have to do this week, but given all these elite options at three K.
00:54:41
This is definitely a way to be able to get your other studs and from these other games tax.
00:54:46
So right.
00:54:47
So let's play a game here.
00:54:48
So rank the three.
00:54:49
How would you start? A Josh Reynolds Shakeem Grant? Chris Conley, Conley, Grant Reynolds.
00:54:59
What's What's Reynolds is Price.
00:55:01
I don't know that.
00:55:03
3500.
00:55:04
Okay, I was thinking he was in the 44 range.
00:55:07
That changes things a bit.
00:55:09
I just don't trust Josh Reynolds, man.
00:55:12
I don't trust this Rams passing game.
00:55:14
It's to funnel toe Cup in towards and I know Reynolds is has gotten his target share, but they could easily pivot those, uh, targets to the tight ends.
00:55:24
I mean, Higbee and, uh, ever it could easily go off for four catches and 90 yards and a touchdown or something.
00:55:33
And Josh Ronald just get completely taken out of this mix.
00:55:36
So I just think the safety, the four projection of the targets are gonna be there for Conley and maybe even for Grant Mawr than Reynolds would be.
00:55:48
Yeah, I don't even mention his his name again.
00:55:50
That's the straight talk anymore.
00:55:51
He had that 13 touchdown game and he has been non existent.
00:55:55
He's man.
00:55:56
It's ridiculous.
00:55:57
Yep, I would agree with that.
00:56:00
Any other names you wanted to discuss? The water saver front.
00:56:02
Now we covered a pretty good there. Let's go to tight end.
00:56:05
Alright, Tight end is gonna be pretty condensed for me this week just to give you Ah, the laundry list of names here.
00:56:14
We've got Darren Waller at the top end.
00:56:16
Noah Fant, Evan Ingram Eric Ebron, Dallas, Qatar, Austin Hooper Those air.
00:56:22
Probably the only names were going Thio Plug in there for me.
00:56:27
I'm narrowing it even further, and it's either Fant.
00:56:30
It's Ingram or it's super for me.
00:56:33
I will dug into it.
00:56:34
I don't think God, it's is good of a place I thought he was going to be.
00:56:38
Ebron is just so hit or miss. I know Cincinnati.
00:56:41
It's such a good matchup against tight ends.
00:56:44
But man, oh man, they have three other good pass catcher options in Deontay, Claypool and Juju, and we already discussed our love for Connor this week.
00:56:57
So it's just so hard to see the upside, their in a broad unless he scores a touchdown and then Fant.
00:57:04
I know he's been disappointing and, man, he's just so banged up.
00:57:07
I wish he was healthy if he was healthy against this Las Vegas Raiders team.
00:57:11
I like him a lot more, but it is kind of tough to trust him.
00:57:15
I think I'm probably leaning more towards the Ingram and Hooper side of things.
00:57:21
Obviously, Hooper's dealing with the weather concerns, but that might honestly play into his advantage in the gaining the short targets there in Cleveland.
00:57:30
So Aeneas, particular way you're leaning there.
00:57:33
A tight end, just looking at Hooper.
00:57:36
You gotta consider that.
00:57:38
So I kind of wrote that I read a Cooper.
00:57:40
No, I didn't write a super, but in regards to Hooper, I mean, he started out as, like 4800 on Draftkings.
00:57:45
His production was just not existed to start, but it's priced on, kept on coming down.
00:57:50
But it's project production.
00:57:51
Production kept on going up, but then he had that appendectomy where he was out for the last few weeks.
00:57:56
But now he's in a situation where there's no OTB, so it's his show.
00:58:00
I mean, you'll have a little bit of Harrison Brian, which is fine, but I think I like I brought a little bit more than you.
00:58:06
Vance McDonald gonna be unavailable.
00:58:09
Some related to the cove in Esso.
00:58:11
He's not there, so it's It's just pretty much him and Zach Gentry.
00:58:14
Zach Gentry has been pretty much inactive every week.
00:58:18
I'm sure he's gonna be active this week, but I do like LeBron from that standpoint, a little bit more.
00:58:22
I could see Iran almost getting 75% of the snaps.
00:58:25
Where again, I do like him a little bit more than Jesse on that anger.
00:58:29
Um, I think in a great spot.
00:58:31
He's, I think he's seen about nine targets the last three weeks at the floor.
00:58:34
So I mean against the Eagles, who have struggled against tight ends.
00:58:38
Anger is a good plan, I think is only 4600.
00:58:40
Which that's that's That's a great price for what type of game, I think.
00:58:43
Yeah, yeah, even better.
00:58:47
Yeah, I had to go between in German Ebron.
00:58:49
Doubly anger on that, but yeah, they've changed.
00:58:53
They've changed their offensive approach the last three or four weeks.
00:58:56
I don't know if you've noticed that, but they're checking it down a lot more.
00:58:58
They're they're kind of pepper in thes targets to Sterling Shepard and to Ingram on these short and intermediate routes.
00:59:04
Because, you know, Daniel Jones just doesn't have that much time to throw with this offensive line.
00:59:09
So they've changed their approach, and it's actually peppered targets.
00:59:12
I know Ingram has kind of been up and down this year, and it's hard to trust them.
00:59:16
But you know what? That price range it's not hateful in this filly matchup is just so good, man.
00:59:24
Yeah, that Eagles front should pressure Jones.
00:59:26
I mean, we were talking about talking things week to I mean, last week was the first time Daniel Jones did not turn over the ball on a game.
00:59:33
Is that is that gonna happen again this week? I like my odds haven't two more turnovers coming in.
00:59:39
But then again, Carson has been the same way, too.
00:59:41
So that game, man, I could just see that being a ugly one.
00:59:45
Yep.
00:59:46
Yep. You're absolutely right about that one.
00:59:48
Uh, I think that pretty much does it for me.
00:59:53
Do you have anything else to add? Scroll down the list? There ain't nobody else.
00:59:58
I mean, I know we talked about Tyler or effort as a possible It's its's.
01:00:01
It's so hard for him to get there.
01:00:04
Yeah, he's really like a absolute salary saver.
01:00:07
You you need something and you kind of just have to plug them in.
01:00:10
So yeah, Z, I'm glad you mentioned him because it is it is an option, and that is that It's something you might have to dio.
01:00:18
I mean, take, take it.
01:00:20
For what it's worth, we talked about last week in these games stacks and how these under own guys are just the optimal play.
01:00:30
Some weeks and we talked about Kansas City and Carolina game going so on your own.
01:00:36
Listen to this lineup that I had last week and tell me that some of these guys didn't freak me out and have me feeling disgusting, submitting them into my lineup.
01:00:44
But sometimes you kind of just have to do it.
01:00:46
If you're gonna go with these Games tax, and that's where this Eifert types play goes in.
01:00:50
Sometimes you just need a guy.
01:00:51
You just need a body that has the opportunity, and hopefully it hits.
01:00:55
You know, sometimes you're gonna have to get a little lucky.
01:00:58
Thio have things work out for you, but it's just the way that it is.
01:01:02
So last week I have Patrick Mahomes, Christian McCaffrey, Tyreek Hill, all in that same game.
01:01:07
All blew up all less than 7% ownership.
01:01:11
Then I had Julio Jones pretty high ownership.
01:01:15
Justin Jackson just absolutely disappointing John Brown at 12% ownership in that game.
01:01:22
We need I'm just needed a salary saver.
01:01:25
I liked Digs more, obviously, but I needed to go down to Brown.
01:01:28
Giants were my heavily owned defense last week.
01:01:31
It worked out 13 points.
01:01:33
Then I had to plug in guys like this, Travis, Homer and Albert.
01:01:38
Oh, Alberto is 1% owned, Travis Homer was 10.
01:01:42
13% owned and he scored 11 points for me.
01:01:46
I kind of got a little bit lucky with the trailing game script where he came in and they threw him a bunch of passes.
01:01:51
But sometimes you have to just plug in those disgusting type plays that if you just think about it rationally, if they have the opportunity, if Alberto doesn't get hurt, maybe he scores a touchdown in that elite matchup against Atlanta and then that 1% ownership type play helps me fit all these other elite options in there.
01:02:12
So you kinda have to just take those risks sometimes and play some guys that you might not think are the most optimal plays.
01:02:19
You just need to find a body.
01:02:21
So, uh, you know that that kind of wraps it up for week 10.
01:02:27
We're actually feeling pretty good about this late.
01:02:29
I feel I feel like we're on the right track here.
01:02:32
I feel like we're making good progress in our game theory, uh, mentality of things and and how to stack these games up.
01:02:42
So, you know, I don't have a whole lot else to add.
01:02:46
Other than the fact that if you guys would like to reach out for questions, obviously reach out via text, reach out via Twitter.
01:02:54
You can find me over it.
01:02:55
Jake Rocket 24. Over. Twitter.
01:02:57
You confined Joe over at Twitter at f f g g f fj v a p h l.
01:03:05
So reach out to us. Maybe tonight.
01:03:08
Tomorrow morning.
01:03:09
If you have any questions, be absolutely happy and pleased to offer some advice.
01:03:15
And, uh, you know, that being said pretty much does it for this week's week 10 episode of DFS Discourse.
01:03:22
You have anything else to add Joe before we sign off Now? Good luck tomorrow, guys.
01:03:26
Just keep it on some of the injuries.
01:03:28
Um, it's not as bad of a week in terms of injuries as most.
01:03:31
I mean, the big ones. Just Kenyan. Drake.
01:03:33
Um, yes, and I were talking about that in the sense that Cardinals play Thursday sweet against the Seahawks and that rematch through the Cardinals necessarily need to win this game.
01:03:43
Not really.
01:03:44
They need to win the game against Seahawks because they win that game.
01:03:46
They own the tiebreaker on them again.
01:03:48
That's probably the biggest piece of injury news, so you just keep an eye on that.
01:03:51
And, yeah, definitely good luck in Let's get it and keep an eye out on these weather situations as well.
01:03:57
Last minute.
01:03:58
Obviously, that's a pretty big deal for DFS.
01:03:59
Don't completely pivot and change everything, but just keep an eye and do let it influence some of your decisions.
01:04:07
If you're dealing with tiebreaker type scenarios, so that's the last piece of advice will offer that does it for this week 10 edition of DFS Discourse.
01:04:15
Make sure you are checking out the fantasy coaches podcast over on Twitter.
01:04:20
Make sure you're checking our article out to the FS.
01:04:22
Darlings will be out later today of our optimal DFS plays.
01:04:26
Make sure you guys are checking out the unwrapped sports Network as well our fam over there.
01:04:31
Check those guys out and then make sure you guys are taking advantage of the Thrive.
01:04:36
Fantasy coaches promo code down below promo code coaches for $20 bonus on your first deposit.
01:04:43
So for Joe, I am Jesse signing off.
01:04:48
We will see you guys next week and hopefully we're talking about all the loads of cash that we are breaking in and we coming into Week 11 piece of guys.

Watch Next back continue

4:33
44D ago
play_arrow
@Honeybun Suns at Lakers
8:53
44D ago
play_arrow
@Honeybun Suns at Lakers
6:41
45D ago
play_arrow
@Honeybun Clippers at Warriors
7:39
45D ago
play_arrow
@Honeybun Mavericks at Hawks
2:39
45D ago
play_arrow
@Honeybun Mavericks at Hawks
5:38
63D ago
play_arrow
@Honeybun Talking about the NFL
8:09
129D ago
play_arrow
@Honeybun Talking about the NBA
22:58
129D ago
play_arrow
@Honeybun Talking about the NBA
6:24
137D ago
play_arrow
@Nolan Nolan Phinney Is Live!
3:01
138D ago
play_arrow
@Honeybun Talking about the NBA
9:49
138D ago
play_arrow
@Nolan the Nolan Phinney show
complete
38:54
139D ago
play_arrow
@CStew07 PBLA Black Storm VS Grim Reapers 2nd and 3rd period
3:53:25
140D ago
play_arrow
@ColeWeintraub Cole's Calls: Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees
2:07
141D ago
play_arrow
@Landondodgers35 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT NEW HAMPSHIER REVIEW
2:13:04
141D ago
play_arrow
@Landondodgers35 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT NEW HAMPSHIER LIVE REACTIONS
4:48
142D ago
play_arrow
@Landondodgers35 LOS ANGELES DODGERS BEAT COLORADO ROCKIES 10-4 REACTION
16:08
142D ago
play_arrow
@FantasyReserve Talking about UnderdogFantasy Bestball Draft! ($1,000,000 to 1st) #nfl#bestball#fantasyfootball
4:20
143D ago
play_arrow
@Landondodgers35 WHY HAS TEAM USA LOST ITS FIRST FEW GAMES?
Broadcaster Insights chevron_left
Delete Stream chevron_right

Are you sure you want to delete this stream?

This action cannot be undone. If you proceed, the stream will be deleted immediately.

Yes, delete this stream No, take me back
Share Stream chevron_right
Download Stream chevron_right

Encoding Failed

This video failed to encode. Please contact support if you would like to download it.

Contact Support Share Stream Instead
Download Stream chevron_right

This video is

This video will take up on your device.
Are you sure you want to download it?

Download Stream Share Stream Instead
Download Stream chevron_right

Not ready yet

This stream is not yet ready to download. Please try again later.

Share Stream Instead
Embed Stream chevron_right

Copy & Paste this embed code to embed this stream on your website or blog. You can also embed your channel so anytime you go live, the live stream will be shown.

Copy Embed Code Embed Channel Instead
Tix Received chevron_right tip_leader
Trivia & Polls chevron_right tip_leader
Broadcast Stats chevron_right tip_leader
New Followers chevron_right tip_leader
Audio Controls chevron_right
mic
Microphone

This will toggle your microphone ON or OFF.

mute_mic
Original Audio for viewers

When toggled ON, viewers will hear both the broadcast audio and your microphone. When toggled OFF, your viewers will only hear the audio from your microphone.

volume_up
Original Audio for You

Toggle ON the original audio ONLY if you are wearing headphones, so your viewers don’t hear an echo from your speakers.

Back To Stream chevron_right
More Options chevron_right
Steven Pintado @CoachStevenUSN Follow
person 83 Viewers continue
comments See Comments continue
share Share Stream continue
embed Embed Stream continue
closed_captionclosed_caption_off HideShow Closed Captions continue
transcripttranscript HideShow Transcript continue
expand collapse Expand Collapse continue
flag Report Broadcaster continue
community Other Commentary continue
leave Leave Stream continue
Leaderboards chevron_right tip_leader
Initial Crap
Other Commentary chevron_right
Other Commentary chevron_right
Create An Account chevron_right
add_a_photo
https://sportscastr.com/
By signing up, you agree to the Terms of Use and privacy policy.
Get Started
Sign In Sign Up chevron_right

Sign in to join the SportsCastr community and get completely free access to more features than ever! Choose a sign in method below.

facebook With Facebook continue
twitter With Twitter continue
apple With Apple continue
email With Email continue
mobile Text me a code continue
Sign In Sign Up chevron_left
email

enter your email address

We will send you a code to confirm your email.

Send Code
Sign In Sign Up chevron_left
lock

enter the code we sent you

You already have a SportsCastr account. You may login to your existing account.

We sent a code to

Confirm & Sign In Sign Up Resend Code
Sign In Sign Up chevron_left
mobile

enter your phone number

We will send you a code to confirm your number.

Send Code
Sign In Sign Up chevron_left
lock

enter the code we sent you

We sent a code to

Confirm & Sign In Sign Up Resend Code