Welcome back to taking sides on your host, Al Walls.
You can find me on Twitter at 14 age out walls joined, as always by Paulie parlays.
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Okay, so if you are joining us live, you know that we dropped the signal our SportsCastr or somebody did.
But we went over the Thursday game earlier.
We're just gonna take it back up from one o'clock side of things, but, uh, let's just hop right in on this.
Paulie, I know that you were You were very excited about Houston at Cleveland this week.
So what in particular stood out to you there? I'm all over the Cleveland Browns here, which is a funny and terrible thing to say, because who's, you know, who's ever on the Browns? But what what we You know, what we came to is 25 mile an hour winds.
You get Nick Chubb back, you're going to run the ball all over the Texans.
I see absolutely no way or reason that the Texans will win this game.
So I'm willing to take Cleveland up to minus six, even though the number is 2.
5 for 3.5 right now.
So you think you're thinking blowout? I'm thinking at least the touchdown.
You know, obviously, the weather could be an issue.
We know that, but it's in Cleveland coming off a bye.
The Texans could slightly beat the Jacksonville Jaguars, so the Texans air two and five this year.
They have two wins against the Jaguars, their own five against everyone else.
That says a lot to me.
What about you? I jeez, it's not something that I'm loving here.
I'll probably go with the under in this game.
The if anything.
As we were discussing, you know, massive wind, probably 25 mile an hour.
Ah, lot of rain.
And again, we just saw the same setting in Cleveland two weeks ago against the Oakland Earth gets the Las Vegas Raiders.
So again, I I feel very confident in that.
And, you know, we're discussing Houston allowing the most yards per attempt this season in the NFL.
They bring 28th d v O a against the run.
So again, if Cleveland could run the football, this is going to go.
Well, what was interesting about that matchup against the Raiders? It's, you know, that was a fantastic matchup where they could run the ball and it did not work out that well that day.
Kareem Hunt was absolute DFS chalk in that matchup, and it just did not go well.
But, hey, you know, if you don't do it the first time, you you got to succeed the second one.
So I am looking for a big game at a Kareem Hunt here today against a against the Houston Texas defense that just absolutely cannot stop the run.
I don't understand what it is with ease a f. C.
So I'm sorry to be exact.
These a F C South teams where you know the Texans have JJ Young are they have J.
Watt on their side and then the Titans have Jadeveon Clowney.
It's like, Listen like what the hell is going on here? Like you guys got some of the best defenders in the game? Why is your defense sucks so bad? Well, the clown, he's been out, but he wait.
Oh, well, well, my mind just flipped there because clown, he's playing tonight for the Titan.
Well, yeah, I mean, yes, he has missed some time.
Let's, you know, Yeah, that's look, you've read the interviews and stuff about J. J.
Watt how he wants to finish his career there, but he also wants to be on a team that can compete like that.
There's two different things, because, sure, the Texans won.
The Texans won what? Four straight division titles, but it's playoffs and out.
Playoffs and out playoffs and out.
Yeah, you get rid of your best player.
Well, I was gonna say balls in a running back, and then it's 24.
Nothing lead against the chiefs in Kansas City and out, you know, like, come on, Wanna e the player like we get that, but they need.
Like I think Bill O Brien sabotaged what could have been there because they were in the playoffs every year they had.
Watt wasn't like was entirely Matthew on that team before he went to the Chiefs.
So like the pieces where we know they were there championship pieces.
You just had the wrong coach in place, which we've seen in a lot of places where the coach matters so much.
And I don't think people realize that, like we've talked about this a million times.
Adam gazes, ruining Sam Dark.
And that's just how it ISS where if Donald if and when Donald is no longer a jet, I guarantee he makes it least one Pro Bowl.
If he's what you call Mitchell, Robiskie has made a Pro Bowl.
Yeah, that's remember that on we're counting Pro Bowl by default, right where the top three guys from the A F c don't all right, and he gets it.
Yeah, he's the he's the seventh replacement, but it still counts, and he still gets that bonus, which is the way those contracts are worked out.
It's like, if you are.
Yeah, the the 19th replacement.
You're like, nice.
You feeling yourself? What about to, you know, speaking of the Texans dysfunction, they follow their They fired their PR director.
Yeah, the other day, saying that she wasn't a cultural fit, whatever the hell that means.
Like if you read the tweets of any of the Texans out there, they are not happy about it at all.
And not only the Texans, everybody around the NFL.
Uh, no name, pal.
I don't want to screw that up.
The first female to be in that role is also really sad now that, like she just lost her, she's going to get another job from everything that you see in the twitterverse and from all the articles I've read, she's great at her job.
The Texans, you know? Yeah, they could do whatever they want.
So they're gonna get rid of her.
She'll end up somewhere else, and she'll be the first and the second female to ever hold the head of PR role.
JJ, JJ Watt was saying she did a very big amount of work with you.
know, with all the relief efforts from the hurricane down there.
Like like she really helped him out a lot.
So I believe me.
I'm sure that isn't sitting well with them.
And believe me, I I don't know how many points that's worth, but, you know, I bet it affects them a little.
But it's just It's just another thing of like, all right.
Like what the hell else can go wrong with this team, You know? Yeah.
Do you see our number one fan? Copy girl has has joined us tonight.
Oh, hey, Copy girl.
I thought you'd like that.
When we see names, we love it.
It makes us happy Weight.
That means she She tuned in at 11.
In the morning and now she's tuning in at eight o'clock at night.
You have the on the sportscast.
You must You must know her.
I watched I watched deVeau junior show today for a little bit, too.
Is breaking down some of the way.
I I I got the email alert.
I said All right, you know, way gotta, you know, reciprocate that support.
We gotta give SportsCastr the love and you know.
Maybe if if if SportsCastr is listening, call us.
You know, you need some, uh, call into the hot PC funds.
1 804 9 1 904 92 ft.
That's that's our That's our open way.
Could give out our cell phone numbers and no one will call.
I don't want anybody to call.
I like, get on that.
I do like the fact that my phone, like as you get older, obviously, you know, you don't get as many calls his mates.
I have the problem with that, you know, let me up.
So the main girl from points pat, her cell phone number is in her Twitter account in her bio, and she says that it's really her and that she was responding.
Um, but who knows if it's real or not? But I just found that to be so strange that I'm like, you're an attractive, smart girl and you're letting the trolls of Twitter text you and call you or do whatever where I just found that to be so strange.
But to each his or her own little more than attractive Paul Uh huh.
Just like double attractive.
Okay, we're trying.
We're This is a PC show, but then, you know when we leave the area, who knows what happens? All right, let's talk about your voice.
Thing is the worst thing on the show that we allow through the George the **** emoji, um, eagles at the Giants this week.
Battle for NFC East supremacy Eagles.
Three point favorites in this one.
They are getting 3/4 of the money on the spread.
Uh, 4/5 of the money on the money line.
It's minus 1 67 there, and we're gonna have a total of 44 a half on this one.
So this is actually the game that I was discussing before we cut connection off on take one of taking sides.
But I like that I like way.
You've just created a segment.
Each segment will be a take.
And again, you know, people who want to cut it up and make videos of us will know exactly where we are.
Take one take to take three. Take four.
What are there? There's gonna be 15 takes.
It's gonna be It's gonna What have you got in your coffee mug? Over there? I got a little Ah, little wine like we're doing a night show.
I got a little malbec.
Does the station Malbec.
What about you? Ah, well, Tito's and pink lemonade.
So Ooh, that sounds That's I feel like that's ah, more of, like, a day afternoon. He drink.
It is That's kind of how I roll.
I don't go too heavy with this stuff.
On Sunday, I did drink an entire bottle of Jameson, which the lady was not too happy about, but and and 10 truly.
So whoa, Turnout.
They had the new Well, uh, yeah.
What was the order? Like, e No, you had a rough.
You had a rough Sunday S o Did it go from I'm drinking truly is having a good day to Jamison or Yeah, Jamison.
And then you were like, I'm still I want more.
So I live pretty close to the nearby pharmacy.
I I had to get some eye drops, so they said, Alright, come back in 20 minutes And I went and did that.
So I went to the store and I actually had 2 12 packs of Salters.
And I'm like, What am I doing? Like I'm walking around here a little bit.
I'm like, Let me take it.
Let me go a little simpler.
So I want to 12 and the Jame up on.
Yeah, it started with the truth.
You can get Jamison at convenience stores by you at the liquor store in the Oh, you were at the liquor store.
I thought you were getting eye drops.
Well, there everything's nearby.
You know, I live not too far off Broadway here in Bayonne, New Jersey.
So Broadway or Broadway? Yeah.
Let's enunciate the correct syllables.
Whenever we speak, it's It's popping its own and popping here in bed.
Yo, I might be a New Jersey ite sooner rather than later.
That's right, you know, and g.
M and G m made a great free agent signing.
They did I Should we do the press conference ID like Thio.
I'd like to thank my one fan Al Walsh for for for publishing sizing me for the last, uh, 37 years since we've clearly known each other since the day I was born.
Uh, this show the show was meant to be.
I was actually the doctor that gave birth.
Wow. That's weird.
I was there in the delivery room.
What? What do you think in here with your giants? You're thinking they could pull something out.
Here goes on. Come on.
You know, I bet.
Not eagles, Zini, Girls who they've already lost to this season.
But they were winning that whole game, and that was some flukey **** at the Okay, So this is why I think I'm gonna be off.
But I'm not sure.
So I was anti Giants last week.
E still think the only reason they won that game was because Kyle Allen's leg broke.
Where? Quarterback? That entire game.
If they lose that game where you saw once Alex Smith came in, it took him a while for them to catch up.
They had five turnovers.
The Giants had none.
Where our assumption was Daniel Jones is going to turn the ball over long as the Eagles game plan goes as they want it to be.
Miles Sanders plays and Alshon Jeffery plays.
There is a 0% chance the Giants will win this game because they're gonna find a way the Giants will find a way to lose or the Eagles will have better players.
I'm not too big on the idea. Alshon.
Like Alshon, Jeffery's best games were with Nick Foles at quarterback.
Him and him and Carson once just, like, have not bought since the day that he got there.
But I don't know what game.
I'm feeling pretty confident here in the Giants this week.
And again like the Giants.
With all that money heading towards the Eagles especially, I just shall we Shall we? We shall.
We harmonize and you are a cappella group is called side takers, Paul.
Not only is this our first show together, it's our second take of the night, so of course we're gonna nail it.
Love It should weigh.
Should just you wanna be the beat box guy or the singing guy for the a cappella group e don't know.
It's been like I'm tone deaf So all they dio is the beat box.
But we're working on that because I've been telling you since we started the show.
It's been two months now.
I cannot believe that the show has been on for two months, but I'm gonna record our theme song.
We're going to do it all a cappella.
I could get on board on, but yeah, well, it's not on this.
Are you making me give you points? Are we taking it, Moneyline? Since it's, um let's go.
Yeah, we'll do money line that That's fair.
And the giants, right home.
Since you get the plus money, I'll give you, like, 1.
2 wins s Is that fair? That is very you.
Since you're a little behind, we don't need to talk about it.
We're not going to talk about how far behind you are.
So you get with okay.
I think that's fair.
Do you agree? Yeah.
So we know you're behind.
I want you to catch up because I don't want you to have toe shave your beard, which is the fictional thing that we're gonna make.
I'm never gonna actually make you do that.
Except that I am because all of our listeners told me that if I don't make you do it that this whole show is just a farce.
I would totally frost my tips.
If I lost, I would kill myself if I had to shave my beard. No.
Okay, so then let's listeners want to chime in.
So how doesn't kill himself? Let's come up with something better than Al shaves his beard.
I'll drink vodka straight.
You know what if what if we What if you colored just your mustache, You're gonna make me cross my cross.
My tips, So or maybe the bottom of the beard.
So then you could just shave it off.
I do use, um, just for men.
I You are with the, you know, on the beard, because I got a lot of great.
Yeah, I'm getting just here like the salt.
Yeah, there's some in my beard, but the rest is dark enough that you, thankfully, can't see it.
Um, do you have great chest hairs yet? No.
God, no. And it makes me sad.
That's like I'm like, Oh, why it's happening.
I have the Austin Powers chest hair where it's all like a Oh, my God.
A Yeah, fantastic.
So we gotta take aside Eagles Giants.
What's what's next? That the one o'clock slate.
Let's go Jaguars Packers, and I'll preface it by saying that I rode up Aaron Rodgers in the quarterback Props article this week on US Dash odds dot com.
So make sure you check that out.
This is, Ah, pretty **** awesome statistic right here.
Eso Let's just start.
Let's just start off by saying that.
Of course, the Packers are just absolutely huge favorites in this 1 13.
Uh, they are here, but over the course of his career, All right, let's see here.
So Aaron Rodgers has faced a team with a winning percentage of 0.
Right? So essentially a one and seven, a one and a team.
Hey has never lost to a team with the winning percentage of 10.
1 to 5 or worse at any point in his career in this that he is.
He is a you know, in those games, and the Packers have won them by an average of 18.
Look okay, so that says to me, packers are 14 13.
Where is it now? 13.5.
That says we should take the Packers minus four, minus 13 out.
Absolutely so thing to note in this game.
Jacksonville Absolutely horrendous against the past this season.
So that's gonna be some one thing I did mention in the in the article this week is that, you know, be careful with the weather.
Uh, because so the actual props weren't out when I when I wrote the article.
But, you know, you should know that rain rain is in the court.
There were no props.
The point, The point of the article is these air the numbers that you should watch out for, and then you could make those bets on the process.
But, yeah, they're supposed to be a little bit of rain in the forecast, like it's gonna show, like, I think like 60% rain.
But it's gonna be one of those one of those rains that you know.
It's like blah, blah, blah, like little flick ALS of Rain.
So, yeah, you might.
You might rain in the forecast, but it shouldn't be too bad.
So yeah, it's It's just a cakewalk match up there against the Jaguars secondary.
They have been God awful this season.
So again, you forced Aaron Rodgers to the past.
This guy could easily throw for five touchdowns.
You know, get his 300 yard mark and all that kind of stuff.
So, yeah, I'm all over in Rogers this week.
Whatever it is I'm on.
I'm off this game to be totally transparent with our listeners, but from what you're saying gun to my head, Ali would take the Packers minus the points.
But I I I don't like to take games when the spread is 12 or more.
So this falls into that.
Their NFL teams.
You shouldn't be giving up that many points, so I typically just lay off this.
Uh, do we have any word if the Jockstrap Warrior is back this week? Mhm.
The Jockstrap Warrior.
The nickname given by Leonard Fournette to Gardner Minshew.
Oh, no, I think it's Jake Luton again.
Is that he's anything? Yeah.
So again, if they're setting for Trevor just like everyone else is No.
But I'm saying, if that's the case, I think we got a little more film on Luton last week.
Whereas, you know, the Texans pie again, their defense absolutely sucks.
So they go into that game, you know, not knowing a lot now.
Now we know a little bit about Luton.
And yeah, there's gonna be no surprises in this one.
So I got I know you don't like taking double digit games, but guess, guess what? Guess what? This is an ass kicking and waiting to happen.
So I still I still won't take it, But But I'll, uh, smile and nod.
Don't forget to packers extra three days arrest.
So all those aching bodies still be? They'll be well rested for this one.
I mean, you could even say that they had health.
They had, what, 17 or 14 days off for this game? You know, like that game against the Niners was not tough at all.
They basically played the Niners practice squad in that game and got to mail it in for the rest.
So these guys were arrested.
Good. Good on them, you know? Okay.
Uh, yeah. Got nothing else on that one.
Let's go to another interesting one.
We'll go indoors.
You don't have to worry about the weather here, but the Washington football team going up against Detroit Lines lines 4.
Favorites in this one? Uh, no Total has been released yet on this game.
I think you know, everybody's waiting on what's going on with Matt.
Stafford does look like he's gonna play.
I know Kenny Golladay didn't practice today, so that's interesting.
J Hawkinson, uh, you know, he's got a toe injury, so we got a lot of a lot of things, um, you know, sort of sort of Bruin there for Detroit.
But any interest in the football team here because it looks like it's gonna be Alex Smith again.
I have no interest in the football team over the football game.
Yes, uh, this game will have the lowest viewership of the one PM slate.
I am very, very happy for Alex Smith.
I heard I heard this one's gonna be on Red Zone, too.
It's gonna be on ESPN the oco the instead of the Ping Pong.
They're playing Detroit against football team.
I'm so happy for Alex Smith.
Um, it's also sick and screwed up.
What happened to Kyle Allen last week? Because sure, just like Alex Smith.
And then he came back and into that game.
If any of your sports books out there still have Comeback player of the year available.
Put everything on Alex Smith Ideo Way.
Thought it was gonna be Ben.
I now think, think Ben has the chance to win the M V P.
We still have to talk about that in place, that which we haven't.
It's not gonna change.
But if they go 14 and two, I think Ben will win the M V P instead of Comeback player of the year because of Alex Smith.
Or maybe they'll go co comeback player of the year.
That could happen.
I don't know if that's ever happened before, but you have a guy who's injured and comes back and leads a team to the number one seed in these conference.
And you have a guy who almost died playing football again and starting at quarterback.
So that is crazy that he almost God, it's insane.
So why, while I am very happy that he's on the field again as long as the all of the players that you mentioned for the Lions play, I like the Lions money line.
But I like the football team who I almost said it plus the points because I think it's a three point game couple d efs nuggets that I got from this game.
So number one, we know how the lions sort of mosey their way on offense and do this and that.
Well, they're gonna need to pick it up this week.
Washington, Can you believe this, Paul Number one D v O A.
Against the past number one yards allowed purpose this year.
The the Ron Rivera I got to secondary and just the defense in general playing pretty nice there in D.
C. So that should be interesting.
You know, again, if Matt Stafford is gonna be the one that plays certainly gonna have his work cut out for him.
But here's where it gets really interesting.
So we know that the Lions run defense this year is really bad.
Third worst in yards allowed for carry 2050 via against the run.
So this stat I found absolutely interesting.
I almost went with, uh why is his first name escaping Mei Gibson running back for I'm sorry, Antonio Gibson, who wasn't even supposed to be the start of this year is supposed to be Darius guys, but so this is interesting.
So let's comes from a boy Al Zaidan felled.
Does a lot of great work on the ESP.
Yeah, got his own company going there.
Shout out to him.
This is fascinating.
Washington has had 105 3rd down plays this season.
Gibson has been on the field for nine of them, nine of the 105 3rd down plays for Washington.
Now, granted, this is where it gets really interesting because McKissick is the guy that takes those third down snaps.
And guess who he's Guess who used to play for the Detroit lines.
So he might be pretty interesting this week in some regard, seeing how that all plays out.
But I can't believe that, like Gibson, has been fantastic for Washington this season.
You know, like you got to get that guy on the field as much as possible, But I will say to Man, McKissick has been very good on third down.
So, you know, a little little bit of a wealth of riches there.
Yeah, as a a season long Antonio Gibson owner, i e.
Because m perished.
If he's never in on third like He's scoring about 10 12 points a week, which is my RB two anyway.
But imagine if if he got, you know, more than 1% maybe maybe that's 2%.
I can't do the math in my head.
It's what's nine divided by 105 It's nine.
It's nine. Yeah, it's less.
It's a little less, but yeah, less than 10%.
8 point He was eight point.
Imagine if he was getting 30% he'd be.
Instead of a low end RB two, he'd be on the cusp of R B one r B two.
It is crazy because I almost played him last week in DFS against the Giants.
I was like, really struggling looking for that sector for the R B two, and it's hysterical because I went with Justin Jackson, who got hurt.
I think I'm like the second play of the game just again.
Paul, you were wondering why so ****ed off on Sunday? That added onto it, too, because I had pretty good amount of money in DFS, not to mention Noah Font.
His first catch of the game goes for 32 yards and he hurts his ankle, and he's never the same for the day.
But, you know, this is this'll is just NFL 2020.
This is 2020 in general.
I need I need the corner to be turned, my man.
Alright, so next time you have a sunday like Okay, breathe for riel.
I've been so much crap so, so much emoji in the last month or so.
I'll make you feel better.
You know what? You know what? The e u? But before you finish before defend myself.
Where? That was week nine.
I know that you won the previous eight weeks so or or were closed like you're funny.
So I would have just told you Al perspective, perspective, perspective If if we're in week nine and this is your first really bad week, you're doing great.
So let's assume that your that you won six weeks and lost three weeks.
Your we're going into week 10 and I'm assuming you're up money.
True or false? False I but not that bad.
Yeah, well, believe me, the volume, the volume last week was probably some of the biggest, so weak.
And, you know, like you know how strong I felt about that Arizona game? You know, that was I was very hard.
I know I'm not like I tried to talk you off of it, but that's why this is taking sides.
Because sometimes you have a strong opinion.
I'm on the other side on, we just let it go.
But like we've said 1000 times whenever we, me and you both like the same game, smash it.
Yeah, you know what I mean? What makes this football season so much harder to is that, you know, like, you know, may I love baseball and I always make a profit in baseball but not having that or, like, hockey or MBA Or, you know, like there's nothing to fill the void really during the week unless you're into Mac football.
And I don't know if you saw Twitter last night, but, like like, I would have been losing my mind.
You know, if I had, like, Toledo last night, who had Toledo had a 99.
9 chance to win that game, and, you know, on whatever stupid, uh, you know, percentage that ESPN does, but 99.
9 with about two and change left and they end up losing that game.
I saw it, but I didn't look into it.
I know exactly what you're talking about.
Was Wasn't the like the yard marker crooked too? Yeah, that's true.
Like, are you kidding me? I saw the pictures on.
It's, like, so obvious.
Like, thank God I have no money on this.
That was my response on.
I was like, I learned the story later and then wait.
And then they won the game on the fake spike, right? Yeah, it was It was really fascinating, because so the play before went all the way to the right, and I guess what? Like the receiver there? Just kind of like when everybody was, like, rushing back to the line of scrimmage.
He ran all the way across the field to the other side, and nobody covered him.
And, you know, they just had this, like, wide open playing.
But yeah, I can't that I'm glad you brought up the crooked yardstick because that's insane.
Like, what were they doing? Like playing javelin with the friggin thing.
So that what I saw in the Twitterverse was Yes, it's very smart that we don't have chips in the balls when this is what's happening with our technology is so far beyond that that they're not just saying we're going to do this, then we'll know every time.
It's almost like they're just trying to keep extra referee job.
I mean that some people just like John.
I think college, the guys, Actually, they work during the week, and then they have, like, the one job.
Well, I'm pretty sure like, if I'm remembering correctly Ed hockey Lee is a lawyer.
Really? Oh, my God.
Could you imagine being a judge telling him that the case is not going in his favor? Oh, uh, it is amazing, though, Like, we could put people on the moon, but we can't get a straight first down yard marker, right? Isn't that interesting way? This has been a This has been a fun seven minutes, uh, of of us talking about our lives.
And but that's that's what makes this show great, indeed.
And that you know that you and I are probably better friends off the air than we are on the air, which the audience doesn't know the show.
There there some days where I know I'm just being the most annoying person ever.
And I just wanted to be like, we'll talk about it.
We'll talk about it later.
But, dude, I love you like your you you since we worked together, you realize that we're still friends, but we don't really talk to the rest of the crew.
No, you know, like like we were the we were the two tech tarred sitting next to each other being like, uh, can you help me with this? I mean, I guess that's because the other people that worked there like him, you know, So they were It was one specific young chap who was very good at Excel.
Yeah, love that guy.
I love that guy.
Um all right, let's cap it off with my buccaneers here in the one o'clock window.
They will be traveling to Carolina for this 16 point favorites.
5 point favorites is what they are in a couple different places.
We have also got a total of a 50.
Let's call it 50.
And this one jumped up a little bit from the opening there. 47.
Good you know, for bringing the bucks.
Eso Look, obviously, this added this was the cherry on top of my horrendous Sunday, uh, watching my bucks just get absolutely cremated in their own home stadium.
So 38 to 3 was the final score against New Orleans Saints in that one.
So, you know, this is sort of uncharted territory here, because Brady will have to be going, you know, making sure that everybody on this team is getting in sync.
Right? So last last time, our Sunday was the game that Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, Antonio Brown Uh, you know, Rob Gronkowski Everybody in the same line up, so I just don't see how it was.
You know, like how how that could be a bad thing.
But Bruce Arians even called out Brady a couple of times with that came and, you know, you know, Hey, he said he missed Mike Evans a couple times.
He really wasn't his best.
And guess what? He wasn't.
That was just an absolute ****.
So, after having that, I mean, I look for them to come out very strong.
I am not underestimating Carolina because they did play the bucks pretty well back in Week two.
But again, I fully expect the Tampa Bay winning this one.
Let's say you you saw I went in the closet with the hat loving some Tampa Bay old school State and you saw the mess behind me now which I was blocking.
Uh, that's what happens when you move and, you know, we're here now.
Um, I think the number is wrong.
I think it's a complete overreaction to the Bucks looking terrible against New Orleans.
No Christian McCaffrey.
Yeah, Mike Davis has been, Ah, God sent to myself, I owned McCaffrey.
I didn't drop him.
I know a lot of fantasy owners did, though.
You saw Christian McCaffrey's back.
That's the last guy on your roster.
You got rid of him.
I have written down TB less than 6.5.
I'll take that all the way.
I My number that I wrote down on paper, was 10, where I think that Tampa Bay is should be favored by 10 here.
But we can't disregard teddy covers because because teddy covers.
So you're saying, I think where the line has moved depending where you get it, Teddy might cover.
So it's you said you're seeing 5.5 down.
5 in some spots.
So you really think it's gonna They're gonna end up somewhere between 3.
5, Which is why I don't know what to Dio.
Because Teddy typically covers Christian.
McCaffrey is fantastic, but Mike Davis has been Justus good, and I think Carolina is a better team than we thought that they were at the beginning of the season.
So I don't think I could take Tampa money line, even though I think that's the easy, the easy play, because that's probably minus 300 or so.
But on if I can, maybe I'll push it and take Tampa minus three, where it won't be as as much of, ah, of a risk.
But I think Tampa wins the game one way or another.
I just don't know by how many points.
So Mike Davis said to be the Free Space and DFS this week for $4000 on draftkings, everyone's gonna take him.
Absolutely everyone, it's crazy.
So last week at Kansas City that first came back with McCaffrey.
He still got targeted six times, had five catches.
You know, like that just pays off his D K salary right there.
Immediately back in week two, he ends up getting targeted eight times.
You call all of them for 74 yards.
So and again, Tampa Bay, they're typically I mean, unless you're the godforsaken Giants and you're only running back Target, you're starting running back comes from your wide receiver who throws it.
This is a defense that just absolutely funnels running back targets.
You know, Camara didn't even have a huge game running the ball last week, but still got targeted a ton.
Anyway, uh, this is Look, this is just the guy.
Don't even think about twice about it.
Just put my Davis and the DFS lineup move on everywhere else in the game.
It gets very difficult toe, you know, to try to pinpoint the way that teams have really beating the Panthers this season is on the ground.
So maybe you know Tampa Bay kinda just real themselves back in a little bit and says, Hey, let's let's try toe, just win a football game here.
Let's not try to get too fancy with it.
But at the same time, you've got all these weapons at your disposal.
So I'm looking for I want to say like, yeah, you know, they made their debut in Tampa last week together with all of them know that that was something that came didn't happen.
That was that was something else.
Uh, you just happen.
You just take that game film and you tossed it right in the Gulf of Mexico And you go about the rest of your life because as far as I'm concerned, that game did not happen.
And I'm gonna market down right now.
Paul, we will see the bucks in New Orleans later this year in the playoffs, and they will beat them.
I think I think you're wrong, but I like, yeah, I'm highly motivated.
Highly, mother, that I understand.
You might be inheriting this beautiful hat sooner rather than later.
But you guys, but you guys have Thio have to win some games for me first.
Let's move into the four o'clock window, by the way.
Used from a code ts 500 at William hill dot com.
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100% bonus for your deposit on those up for $500 max and also go to about 3 65 5 years.
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Okay, let's move here.
Let's go here, Buffalo at the Cardinals.
I think this is probably gonna be the highest scoring game of the week.
It's got the highest total or cries current Total of the week at 55 a half Cardinals 2.
5 point favorites here.
You know, it's like for both sides.
I'm not. I'm not going to go one way or the other.
But a lot of money coming in on Cardinal Spread and Bills Money line in this one.
And 91% of the money is heading towards the over in this 11 very intriguing stat here, which you can actually see on us.
Dash odds dot com As I wrote up Josh Allen this week in the Quarterback Props article, we've got the top two quarterbacks in the NFL in terms of evading pressure.
So Josh Allen has evaded it on 29% of its snaps.
Kyler Murray 28% of its neft.
You know, let me like you probably know So Patrick Mahomes fourth.
Mark Jackson is fifth.
Who do you think is third? Do did you? And I'll just give you a hint.
It's not who you're thinking.
I'm writing down my answer.
The answer is, it's you're saying Evading pressure.
So, like one of Ryan Tannehill? No, Matt.
Yeah, yeah, Matt Ryan.
All right, that was That was like my 18th guests.
If I told me to keep going, uh, we would have gotten there when there were no quarterbacks left.
It is created through breeze over Matt Ryan.
It's crazy because Alan is evading 29% As I said, Murray, 28.
And then there's such a huge drop off to Matt Ryan, where it goes to 17% basically 18% and then the homes at 15% and Lamar Jackson there as well.
It is absolutely wild.
So what? They what they call that? They said it's a percentage of drop backs where the quarterback was under pressure during the play but avoided pressure at the time of the throat.
So point being, we're not gonna see too many ***.
I don't think we're gonna see a lot of lost game or a lot of losses on plays in this one, but I really like I mean, Josh Allen look fantastic Last week had one of his best games of the season, throwing for over 400 yards and three touchdowns as well against Seattle.
So I think he's back, and I just I really like what Arizona's doing on offense.
I know last week they didn't get the win, but they still put up 31 points in that game.
So no reason to believe anything different with the over you like a particular side on this one.
Sadly, I don't think this I literally I just crossed it off because these but neither of these teams makes any sense to me.
Where I was on Seattle last week against Buffalo didn't happen because some random, weird version of the bill showed up that was very different from the week before the Cardinals air kind of the same way where These two teams were very enigmatic to me where I can't get a read on them.
They're similar to how I used to have a lot of trouble with the Lions and the Falcons, who, like, just like to blow games where both of these teams, whoever's getting the points.
I guess that's who I take because I think it's close.
But Arizona's home I literally think it's a coin toss where Buffalo is getting 2.
5, but I don't think that's enough because someone's gonna win by three.
So I will sit here.
You want me to actually flip a coin to make a decision? Yeah. Let's go.
Matthew McConaughey, Brandon Lang to for the money scene right here in the bathroom stall.
Do I have a coin? Do you know that? I could be good.
I have spent go terribly, Because where we get a coin? I have Ah, I have a couple of friends already.
There's no coin.
I'm thinking it.
Yeah, well, tears never fails.
However you have for tails.
And I you know, I always take heads.
Even on lipping a coin I always go to.
I don't give a **** the list the last few years in the Super Bowl, I think sixth out of the last seven years has been tales.
Um, but, you know, I actually know a lot of people.
I know a lot of people that know the real life friends in line.
He he was a regular here at the Band Golf course.
All right. All right.
Yeah, that's me. Name dropping. I like it.
I like it totally cool.
I know this guy named Hal Walsh.
Yeah, like, look, you know, like, he's a golfer.
He's a sports better.
He's a great dog owner, e e.
Sort of doing of anything on this game.
Which is why I'm just be asking about you and your dog.
And George were enough with the lady.
Yeah, he's in the other room.
He's chilling, but yeah, over over for show in this game.
All right, let's dio NFC West battle because this is gonna be I'm with you on that.
All right, let's Let's do it.
All right, let's go to L.
A where we've got the Seattle Seahawks at the Los Angeles Rams now, very ensure sting in this one.
Where we've got the Rams is two point favorites.
We've got ourselves a total of 50.
Let's call it 54.
I'm seeing both 53 a half, 54 a half.
We'll put it right in the middle of 54 the money line is obsolete.
It's just it's whatever for everybody.
So I think a lot of people are gonna be betting the Seahawks in this one.
Of course, they've lost two out of the last three games.
Uh, they have not looked good on the road in their last two games.
Russell Wilson himself actually has seven turnovers in his last two road games, so he's going up against the Rams team now.
I gave you a stat earlier that blew your mind.
I got I got another one here.
So Russell Wilson has faced the Los Angeles Rams Um, 16 times over the course of his career.
How many? How many times you think he's thrown for over 300 yards? 12.
You would be wrong.
You would, you would be you would be very wrong.
Paul 3111 time in his career is that in 60 year, and that's dating back to the ST Louis Rams.
Uh, that were that were there, and now against L.
I think part of the reason you know L.
A is very good at running the football.
They're not gonna give Ross a lot of a lot of opportunities to throw the ball.
They know keeping the ball away from him is where it's at.
That's a mention.
We see a lot of low scoring games between these two teams, so should be interesting.
Rusted, I believe.
I think it was a Thursday night game last year or the year before he had four touchdowns.
But other than that, not a lot of success against the Rams.
I'm going with the Rams in this one.
I like with lines telling me on again.
A lot of people got 96% of the money is on Assad Seattle money line in this game.
It is a good bet.
I just I think the the lines were telling us that the Rams air the decide there.
96% of the money is on the Seahawks money line.
I have Seahawks Moneyline written down.
I'm crossing it out like that.
Z If 96% of the money's on the Seahawks, there's almost no where they went.
Yeah, like that's I don't know what to do now.
So it was a game.
I loved Seattle last week, and you know this.
I loved them against, even though they were at the Bills.
Now that you're not now, they're traveling back across the country to play another road game against the division rival.
Yeah, but I still like Seattle Bond.
That's why I don't know what to do.
But I just I just solved it.
Here's the answer, friends.
What you need to dio is you play a parlay of only one o'clock games where the Seattle Seahawks are the last leg in four o'clock.
So you have them.
You could hedge call it a day, then you don't worry, because if honestly, if 94% 96% whatever that number is of the money, money is money line on Seattle.
I'm I'm 94% of the ramps we're gonna win.
That's how it's so.
It's There's no way the public is right when it's that skewed.
I mean, you could just look at it to like the oddsmakers knew that what the hell that they were doing.
Like you're making Russell Wilson and Underdog.
Everybody's gonna take that 96% of the time like they're gonna do it.
That's crazy to me.
I thought you were going to throw something like 74 which is still an absurd number.
That number is absurd, but it makes sense.
It makes sense, right? We're talking about the possible M v P here getting two points, the possible M v p until you and I take the gun at 30 to 1.
Little Fantasy update here.
So the Rams are also coming off a bye.
So you're given Sean McVeigh an extra week to prepare for the Seahawks, which is nice.
So again, the travel aspect of that right where you know Seattle, going across the country, coming back, um, Cooper Cup, Right? So back in Week eight saw a ridiculous 21 targets against the at the time, the third most targeted cornerback in the league and Nick need, um, So you know this Nick Needham on.
You got to give me a little more Miami.
I said it against the dolphins.
You didn't or my e, actually, you know, But this is just a good stat.
Just to talk about where? Because we haven't gotten to that game.
Maybe. Well, maybe we'll hit that next.
Yeah, I did not know that.
What? He's there.
Slot corner, I guess. Yeah.
Eso Obviously, he has jumped up to very high on there.
And I remember Zach by the right fantasy flurry.
Make sure you check him out.
Thank you, Godfather, for making this possible.
Yesterday he was, uh, also, we have, ah, new follower.
Paul is used rubber.
I don't know if that is that this person is Paul or if I'm getting a little, uh, you know, a little.
Or if I have a troll, you're saying that that guy is calling You would use rubber.
That's what it seems like.
A tire or, uh, if you click on the name, did you do it or you haven't seen it yet? So if you click on Paul is used, whatever you are, so it's not a tire. It's not.
Man is their name s O.
I am a used rubber.
I like to get off the counts.
You used rubber.
I like that. I'm gonna use that a lot more.
So again, with Cooper Cup getting those 21 targets in that game, obviously a little banged up, he's got risked an oblique issues.
So again, if you're playing DFS, just look, receivers against the Seahawks have been a za good as you could possibly get, but free.
Yeah, it might be Josh Reynolds.
Robert Woods sort of week this week.
Um, interested with that total.
What do you think about going under here? Yeah, I don't, uh What I hear here, I'll go over on all of the receiver props on the on the L A.
Rams all over because two will hit that Z, right? You take me over if you're taking the overtaking.
Um, take it on all three, knowing you're probably gonna lose one where you'll win.
Ultimately, do not take it as a parlay.
Take them three separate.
Put it for the same amount of money.
Ultimately you will win, and you could get lucky and win all three.
But to give you an over under on, I guess it's gonna go over because the Seahawks are terrible on defense and the Rams have a week extra to prepare.
But divisional game score five points less than the divisional green.
So let's let's come up with a final score.
So that will help me with the answer, but I don't know who's gonna win 28 27.
What does that hit that hits 55? And that would go over just barely.
That's kind of e think that that's possible.
I'm gonna go 20.
So isn't that the under? Then that is the under.
Yes, right, so that's it.
But that's where it's gonna come where I think the books have it right.
Still got a couple to get Thio.
I know that the Thursday night game has started, so we'll try toe blaze through these so we can get to that game.
But let's talk about 40 Niners. It's Saints.
There's another big one, uh, Saints, massive 10 point favorites in this game where they opened at 6.
5 Ah, lot of money heading their way. About 80%.
We've got a total that opened their 53 a half and has since gone down.
It's about 48 a half 49 depending what book you're looking at.
And then the money line here is just absurd.
20 for the Saints, 86% of the money is heading that way on the minus 4 20 Moneyline plus 3 85 for the 40 Niners.
So obviously, you know, there's a big reason why why a lot of this happened.
Number one, the 40 Niners and all the co vid that they've been getting on that team.
That certainly got a lot to do with it.
And then, of course, we have to look at, you know, with what the Saints did on on Sunday night.
There's gonna be a lot of over reaction to that.
I'm looking at I don't know.
I'm looking at the Niners here thinking, you know, how many more points could they possibly get in this one? But what do you think in here? So when the Saints were minus 6.
5, it was one of my best bets in the week.
Now that it's 10 or 10.
5, I'm off or I'm taking the Niners plus the points.
So those four points have completely swung me.
Okay, that's the long and the short.
If it was still 6.
5, which obviously it's not, it's moved four points, which is crazy.
Um, I loved the Saints to win by a touchdown, but I don't think they win by 10 or more points.
You know, uh, yeah.
You know, like, a lot of it's gonna come down to Who's playing? I know.
You know, For instance, Deebo, Samuel looking doubtful.
Um, Deontay Orman.
Touchdown, by the way. Yes.
Who? Who had that for first? Why? I don't even think he was listed.
Um, you know, we just have to look at who's gonna be in for this team, but, uh, you know, a lot of guys sidelined at practice today.
Of course, Jimmy G.
You know, he's pretty much done for the year.
I would just shut him down if they could.
And, uh, yeah, moster Coleman, you know, uh, Kendrick borns already not playing.
So this is born, caught the cove it he couldn't catch anything else, but he actually had a very good game before he caught the cove it.
But yeah, he's fine.
Hey, God! Alright.
He's a nice three or four.
So So we're caught in between on this game.
I think it's where you get.
I think it's where you get the number is the answer.
Fair enough. Fair enough.
Alright, let's talk about that Chargers Dolphins game lot to break down here.
Dolphins opened this three point favorites.
We have since seen the Chargers, uh, make that a one point spread there for the dolphins.
We've got a total sitting right around 48 varying at different places.
And the money line is just whatever.
Um, we've got a lot of money.
Probably about 80% of the money heading toward the charges.
Money line. This game is in Miami.
Uh, you know, dolphins heading back home after that West Coast win.
So all that being said, how do you feel about tuba going three. Enough.
I have an X on this game.
Meaning, which means if I cross it off, it means I have no idea what to think.
I thought you were gonna be a pirate and say, That's where the treasure waas A.
Um, so we have to rookie quarterbacks.
One looks amazing when it comes to fantasy but can't win games on the other one.
Looks like he's learning to be something slightly better than a game manager and his winning game, The Dolphins are at home.
The Dolphins defense is what is winning these games not to.
So I like the Dolphins, but not by anything like, I guess I'm taking Dolphins Moneyline or it's less if it's less than three of its one.
Whatever it is, I'll take the Dolphins there.
But this is also one of those situations where Anthony Lynn is very bad as a favorite.
He's good as an underdog.
Eso that's was the other reason that I'm like, I think I'm off this and I'll take a bunch of profits there.
I'll take like I might take a to a rushing touchdown.
I might take Herbert, uh, like two plus passing touchdowns.
I love Keenan Allen in this game, even though he's got a really tough matchup against that secondary.
I think his numbers are his prop numbers or just a little too low for someone like Keenan Allen.
So and do we know about Gaskin and Brady in which I think changes things a little? We don't know who the Miami Dolphins starting quarterback starting running back is yet this weekend.
So those air all of those things took me to.
I don't have an answer yet, even though it's Thursday night.
So I wanted to see here.
How maney, How many slots snaps Keenan Allen gets.
So All right, So Keenan Allen, 46.
4% of his snaps or in the slot.
So if we get that matchup against need him, he's gonna absolutely destroy this guy s o e. Howard.
Just just shadow him.
I don't know. That's his.
That's his name, right? I got the name right? Yeah.
I feel like if you're smart, that's what you do.
Because why would you let a one face of three at any point? I mean, you can get now.
We're talking about an Anthony Lynn lead Chargers team, but they could get creative, you know, and and find ways, Thio.
I mean, look, it's gonna be about match and again.
I think that there's a very interesting narrative to this game where Herbert could be a little ****ed off like, Hey, you know, you guys should have taken May instead of to, uh, But, you know, at this point, it looks like it's working out for everybody right now with with those top 10 picks, you know, with Borough and to, uh, and Herbert there.
So, yeah, I definitely have to eat that crow with two last week. That's fine.
You know, we got plenty more games to go.
But I I do like the Chargers in this one.
I think, you know, they almost won that game against the Raiders last week came down the last play.
I'd like the way that they're playing.
I just again, man, I just I don't really trust Tua's.
Far as I could throw the guy I know we had that.
He had a very good game last week.
I can't I can't take that away from it all.
But I do think that Herbert is the better guy, and that's fine.
That doesn't mean he's gonna win the game, right? No, not at all.
So I think I'm just gonna end up taking a bunch of props in this game, which will just be me flushing money down the toilet.
Um, the one bet I think you should take and I need to convince you to take it is Thio win rookie of the year? No, if if the Dolphins win 10 games, no matter what Borough, who's going to be like four and 12? And no matter what Herbert does, who, my guess is six and 10.
Hmm, If a rookie quarterback leads the team to the playoffs, he will win rookie of the year, and he's 10 to 1 right now.
Borough does have a lot of 300 yard games and he's played.
He's and he's played in every game, keeps winning.
This is similar to the why we like Roethlisberger at 30 to 1.
The way that these awards always work is the winners win them, which is why you're giving me 10 to 1 on to, uh, I don't mind like I'll take a shot there.
Now are we talking about, You know, remember because the NFL added the extra wild card this year, so if he gets in the very last seed as the number seven.
You're saying he deserves Rookie of the Year.
I am saying that if May have 10 wins that he went for Katya, it has to be Penguins.
I don't know if that even gets it in the playoffs.
Teams have not made the playoffs with Penguin, so But if two against them to 10 wins to a wins rookie of the year? Yeah, you know, one of those teams with 10 wins that didn't make the playoffs, Why don't you tell me? The Tampa Bay Buccaneers? The Josh Freeman led Tampa Bay? But it was the year the year the Packers beat the Steelers in the Super Bowl.
Both the Giants and the Bucks did not make the playoffs.
A 10 and six that area on wasn't that.
Wasn't a in the paths team lose to where they finished? Yeah, even like e.
Think I like it.
Wasn't that the highly time that Brady and Belichick didn't win the division? Chad Pennington with the Dolphins? Yeah.
Wow, right? Isn't that crazy? Chad Pennington and the Dolphins? Just those words coming out of my mouth? Um, a couple other games here on the slate, we could bring him down real quick Bangles that Steelers to me.
What's kind of interesting? Um, I am.
Oh, man, I forgot.
So we gotta we gotta run through these things, because what did you do? What you dio I the lady got something in a couple minutes, so we gotta kinda we got a swing through these things.
So is everything okay? No.
Yeah, yeah, Absolutely.
She just had something.
And, you know, I promised I watched the dog.
But bring the dog in the room.
I'll take your Since I'm in the room next to you know, she she needs this room.
So, you know, this is the office way did run late. Of course.
You know good thing I just sent this out on our Facebook on my Facebook.
And I added I added you which is also why this is pausing because my because my computer is the worst.
E just threw it out on Facebook so everybody can listen to the recap when we're done in eight minutes.
Well, dio, we'll do.
This is this is take eight.
Uh, what do we have? What we have to Let's go.
Let's go Let's go.
No Bengals will plus seven here in this one.
But I kind of like that because they don't think Ben's gonna play.
Ben is gonna play.
Regardless, I think you know, Bengals coming off the bye week here, I think they they might be able to keep it close.
I know this is, like, the absolute worst take in the world.
I think a lot of people might just turn the show off because I said it, but I think the Bengals can cover here.
Look, this is gonna be a It's a divisional matchup.
I think this line is just way too love right off the bat. Obviously.
Ah, lot more looking around has to go into this game.
But based on where the line is right now, I, uh I kind of like the Bangles.
I like the Bangles, but I think they need more points.
I have written down Cincinnati plus 10.
5, but obviously it all depends if then plays.
It's different than Mason Rudolph.
Of course, Mason Rudolph plays, I'll take the Bangles Moneyline.
I'll take plus 300 on a team that might actually win the game.
Alright, Broncos Raiders will make this the last one.
You know, we want to touch the primetime games, but, um, we have the Raiders as four point favorites in this one.
A lot of money going towards the Broncos.
I think a lot of people saw what Drew Lock did last week, and they liked it.
Did you like it enough? No.
I'm so happy that this is the next game we're doing.
The Las Vegas Raiders minus Whatever I don't care, are my.
That's better the week I like it. I like graders.
They're gonna win this game.
I think this should be 6.
So any point until it gets there.
I love Las Vegas.
I have Las Vegas written minus 2.
5 to minus seven.
So anything in that range, I think the Raiders win this game.
I think it's what's the boxing saying that, like styles make fights, right? And the what the Raiders do is what the Broncos air bad at.
Josh Jacobs is gonna have a huge game.
They're gonna control the clock control the game.
Vegas wins this one easy, All right.
Alright, folks, that's gonna do it for us this week.
Nobody could touch on every game, but again, if you got any questions, hit us up on Twitter.
You can find me at 14 8 dot Walls.
You find Paul at game day of facts.
You can find the show at taking underscore sides.
Dash dot dot com and I have a lot of articles this week for profits for quarterbacks running backs wide receivers.
They could find you where I have a couple, I think four articles this week at the game day dot com.
I totally just forgot what that was.
Also, we'll have ah, little video couple video snippets of our best bets for the week, which will go up on the U. S. Odds. Twitter.
Um, also, if you want to follow mine, what we typically play is the early pay out promo from about 3 65 play.
Play it with promo code sides.
What that means is, if you take a team money line, they go up by 17 points.
You went automatically we fit three of the last four weeks.
So that will be up over the next couple days.
I'll probably just go record it right now.
But, I mean, obviously take off this.
It wouldn't like that.
And Jim? All right, folks from Mayport.
Rest of the Internet, we're gonna push.