welcome everyone to fantasy foresight.
The podcast where your host and co founders of fantasy foresight dot com coming to you from the Rambo Fix your company studios.
I'm Ben, and I'm Jay.
You ready to get rolling? J? You know it.
All right, let's go.
Welcome in, if you run, It is Sunday.
We've got our guy Steve at f f Underscore Encyclopedia Back with us.
We've got a whole new list of week eight buys and sells verse.
Their aggregate projections.
I am on location within the RV that makes J R V J.
And once again, fantasy foresight.
The podcast is live.
How you doing today? J.
Bennett is a beautiful day.
The weather is cold and gray here in central Ohio.
It's fantastic football weather.
We have no positive cases this morning.
So all the games are ago.
We've got some great matchups.
I'm here for a great day of football.
Steve, how are you doing this morning, my friend? I'm doing pretty awesome.
I'm definitely green with envy over RV.
Ben's position right now.
You know, I'm just living that ba*****t life, and it's just not you know ba*****t Steve's Just not, uh, I wish it was RV Steve, to be honest, but way all I can just pretend to be our VJ for an evening in a podcast episode.
But there is only one.
And on Lee, it's great to be back with you guys like you, said Steve, we've got a great day of football.
And like you said Jay, it's a beautiful day for it.
If this is your first time listening, just know that we're speaking in terms of single cube full PPR redraft by default and all of our fantasy finishes as well as fantasy points per game.
Calculations are all based on full PPR LTD.
Two weeks one through 16 according to fantasy pros dot com.
And with that out of the way, I am proud to say that our first buy of the week verse his aggregate projection is none other than Cleveland Browns quarterback Baker Mayfield.
That's right, Steve.
The Browns air home verse, Las Vegas at at 1 p.m. Today.
Cleveland, according to Vegas, is a 2.
5 point favorite over Under in this game is 49 points.
His aggregate projection.
Baker Mayfield is Q B 15 Total foresight is buying.
That aggregate projection is we have him at q B 14.
He has the fourth best quarterback strength of schedule this week and at pro football focus, he has the third best pass block advantage and check this out.
Jarvis Landry has the sixth best wide receiver defensive back matchup grade, and Rashard Higgins has the 21st.
Harrison Bryant is tight end has the third best tight end match upgrade, and I will say that the Weather Channel app there is 30 mile per hour wind today.
There is 100% chance of rain.
But I am also buying Baker Mayfield this week because the Raiders have given up MAWR fantasy points to the quarterback position this season than every other defense that Baker has faced so far this season.
Plus, the Raiders defense has given up 30 points orm or in all but one game they've played in 2020.
My Onley concern for bake this week verse.
That aggregate projection is the weather, but it's still a buy for me. Go browns.
Um, yeah, you know what this is? This is one of those matchups, especially for the Browns.
You know, it's a winnable game at home.
The weather is gonna be ugly.
Ah, lot has been made about the Las Vegas defense.
I believe I heard a statistic that they're on.
Lee, one of two defense, is so far this season to give up an average of 30 points, or Mawr, and I believe that the other team is Dallas.
So you know that defense does give up scoring that.
That's a good sign for the Browns.
They certainly have beaten teams they should beat.
Although Las Vegas has played games pretty tough and they've won some games, they really probably shouldn't.
So, you know, I think this is That might be a very good game, but you're right, Ben.
My main concern is the weather for the passing game.
But listen, our VJ has been pretty bad in these pics so far.
There are weeks where I've gone with the data and it didn't work out.
There are weeks.
I went with my heart and it didn't work out.
There are weeks.
I went with just straight sarcasm and it didn't work out.
So this week, you know, the signs are pointing to the statistics are great.
The weather is not.
But I'm going to sit here and I'm gonna buy Baker.
Mayfield, I'm going to say that the weather, while gross isn't gonna be that factor.
When it comes to fantasy scoring for Baker, I think the Browns are gonna get it done.
So I'm gonna I'm gonna go with the Bible with Baker this week.
I mean, you guys both make a lot of great points as faras how Baker could not hit, You know, that aggregate projection.
But, man, it's its's, What, 250 yards and a couple of touchdowns is probably probably gonna put him right there.
And it's a it's a matchup that you have tow.
See that coming? I know that.
You know, we way we I always say we when I talk about the Browns about the Cleveland Browns, they could definitely impose their will on the ground in this game.
So if the weather is, you know, yucky, um, you know, we might not see a whole lot of volume out of Baker, but I I think that bacon be highly efficient.
He probably could get away with only 25 to 28 pass attempts similar to last weekend and still hit that mark.
So, you know, I'm gonna go ahead and buy on this one as well.
Uh, it's gonna be a really interesting one.
Thio track today.
You just say that I would be remiss, though, if I did not mention our guy Derek Carr playing in this game.
I feel like we had a little bit of, ah, debate about Mr Car heading into the season and I'm just gonna say, so far in the year.
13 touchdowns, two interceptions.
Pretty nice little statistical season unfolding for Mr Car guys just saying, I will say that we speak in terms specifically a fantasy football.
He is a much better real life quarterback than he is a fantasy quarterback every single week.
Hey has been a serviceable Q B two and fantasy this year, especially in your super flex in two quarterback leagues.
But Derek Carr is who we thought he waas.
I mean, he's not some fantasy powerhouse.
He's a nice streamer type of guy.
I understand your point.
I appreciate the little interjection and the call back to the pre season pods.
You arm or right about that one, and then you were wrong about that one great streaming option this week.
But in my point, And that is, he does have the ability to move the ball and score.
And the Browns defense has shown a propensity to give up some yards.
So this could be a little bit of a shootout, which is why Vegas has the over under 49 despite the weather.
Well, imagine where this Brown's defense would be without my Myles Garrett, Denzel War.
That's all we got, guys almost at an all Pro level.
I was gonna say if if that was a case like the Browns might be two and five and leading the NFC East O, which leads right? Our next buy of the week out of the NFC East.
Jay's Philadelphia Eagles running back.
The Eagles air home verse.
Dallas on Sunday Night Football.
Why flex a better game to that? Come on now.
Philadelphia is a 10.
5 point favorite at Vegas with an over under a 43 points.
The aggregate projection for Boston Scott is our B 27 total. Foresight is buying.
That we currently have him is our B 20 Boston.
Scott has the best running back strength of schedule this week at Pro Football Focus.
He has the fourth best run block advantage, and the weather is you know it's gonna be rainy, but it's not gonna be a highly impactful weather day.
And for me, this is a simple as Miles Sanders being out in that scenario.
Last week, Boston Scott finished his RB 10 versus New York Giants.
Now he's gotten even easier matchup versus the Cowboys this week.
I am definitely buying Boston Scott versus aggregate projection of our B 27.
Yeah, I think this is an easy by.
Listen, I don't know why Vegas has the over under 43 because neither of these defense's Consob anybody.
Now I know Dallas is on their third string quarterback, and there's some concern there.
But if Dallas ends up not scoring anything, you would think Philly could at least put up 43 against that defense.
They're getting healthy.
Jalen Ray Gore is back.
Dallas Goddard is coming off IR.
He's gonna play, so the Eagles offense is getting a little bit more healthy.
But you're right.
Boston Scott is the man in that backfield.
Dallas can't stop anything that anybody wants to do against him.
So you would think that should be an easy aggregate projection to best? Yeah, exactly.
For me, this is a slam dunk.
It's very simple.
You have a guy who's going to command, you know, the majority of touches in a backfield and against the defense, that is the Dallas Cowboys defense in 2020.
So I don't care if that I don't care who the running back is.
Um, you will always project them to be our B 27 So, yeah, I'm gonna buy Boston Scott all day long.
Uh, the next running back on our buys and sells list is probably gonna be a little bit more controversial.
Definitely gonna be more comical.
And we're talking about San Francisco 40 Niners running back Jerick McKinnon, The 40 Niners air at Seattle Sunday at 4 25.
That could have easily been flex to the Monday night or the Sunday night game, just saying Seattle is a three point favorite with an over under of 54 points.
And remember, Seattle's coming off that loss? The aggregate projection for Jerick McKinnon, though, is RB 34 Total Foresight is buying that with the current rank of our B 29.
But check this out.
His foresight, strength of schedule.
He has the fourth best running back strength of schedule this week, and now he does have the third worst run block advantage.
I'll speak to that mawr in a minute, but the weather is gonna be nice and non factor.
And despite the grueling ailment that is tired legs, I do think that Jerick McKinnon is still gonna be able to find a way to be running back 30 for this week.
No Rahim moster.
At the time that I wrote this information, there was no Tevin Coleman.
He has since been activated off the I R. On.
And then there's also Mr Hasty, and in this case, I actually think the 40 Niners having the third worst run block advantage is good for McKinnon since he does most of his damage through the past game and we are speaking in terms of PPR.
Thus, I do think you can fire up old tire legs as a flex.
This week, I'll buy.
I'm a little worried about the whole tire legs thing.
Now it may end up being nothing, and they may ride him a little bit more.
But you know what we saw? What we saw out of Jerick.
McKinnon, though earlier in the season when he was healthy, was not a huge volume of touches, but they were getting him opportunities to get in the end zone out of the passing game when they were in scoring position.
So I feel like I'm really banking on him getting into the end zone once again in order the best in order to best this RB 34 projection.
And you know, with San Francisco on that run in that run game against the Seattle defense, I feel like maybe he and Hasty could both be in the Top 34 in fantasy this week.
But for some reason, I just nervous about McKinnon, so I'm gonna actually go ahead and sell McKinnon besting RB 34.
I'm really hoping it's a hasty day for myself, but we'll see how it goes.
Why did you have to sell? Because I wanted to sell, but it just seems like I should not agree with you because of your track record this season, but I'm gonna go ahead and curse myself and sell this one as well.
I mean, a lot of it is I just feel like when we talk about who has fresh legs, tired legs and all that good leg stuff, I feel like James Hasty.
He's looked dangerous.
Bake a little, shout out.
But now he's just, you know, he's, uh he looks like the guy that is coming into the season with fresh legs and, you know, it can give a little spark that offense.
And I just think today, despite, you know, I I don't think Tevin Coleman's going to amount to anything assed faras touches in the backfield concerned is concerned, and I do think that this will be a chance for James.
Take the job and run with it, at least for this week.
So that's kind of what I'm banking on.
Um, but yeah, might might bite me in the butt, though.
I mean, it's not gonna take a whole lot to beat RB 34.
No, you're right.
It shouldn't and that's that's the one thing.
So if he gets in the end zone as they try to get him to Dio every time he's playing, you know we'll be wrong, but we'll see.
We'll see how it goes.
Well, like I said, typically, when we're buying a running back on this podcast, we're not talking about being excited about the fact that they have the third worst run block.
But I think that is. Mr.
Hastie is role in the offense this week, and so that could lend to them, going away from trying to run as much and trying to pass more.
So forget getting in the end zone.
If Jerick McKinnon gets 67 targets that could alone put him above the R B 34.
And this season, more than any other season, I believe coaches less than I ever have before.
Case in point, you've got Bruce Arians and Gronkowski talking about how he's just gonna be a blocker.
Ever since then, he's been a beast, and we'll talk about him a little bit later in this podcast.
But so, you know, just tired legs, blah, blah, blah, whatever it seems like they gave him the week off and he's gonna be back to his normal role, and I expect him to get five plus targets today.
Moving on to our next by.
We've got Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver A J Freaking Green.
The Bengals are home verse.
The Tennessee Titans today at one PM Titans Air rightfully a seven point favorite with an over under 51 points.
The aggregate projection for A J.
Green is wide receiver 36 Total Foresight is buying that and currently has him slotted in at wide receiver 26.
The Bengals wide receivers have the third best foresight, strength of schedule at the position.
UH, they do have the six worst pass block advantage of pro football focus, but A J.
Green himself has the 12th best individual wide receiver defensive back match upgrade.
This week there will be 20 to 30 mile per hour winds in Cincinnati, so that's something to watch for.
Green is now 11th in targets on the season through seven weeks and is wide receiver 18 over the last two weeks.
Right after I finally gave up on him after drafting him this season for the first time ever, I might add, but I digress.
I've got I've got to take emotion out of it.
Green is who I thought he was coming into the season, which is a rock solid middle, the middle of the road wide receiver to So I will buy wide receiver 36 this week, no doubt.
Well, I got to give it Thio.
Zach Taylor, who you know, finally identified that A J Green should be mawr of, ah, bailout slot receiver at this stage in his career.
And ever since they made that change, his production, his value has has been where we thought it was going to be.
So he's just not that outside, you know, Number one threat.
They could now leave that to the other receivers on the team about moving the ball downfield.
But now he's a dangerous weapon in that short to immediate route area, and he's proving to be a valuable fantasy commodity now.
So I think now that they have that new role for him and he's thriving in it.
Yes, I think he could beat WR 36 while by a J.
Green, although it is a very tough matchup against Tennessee, who is excellent at just grinding out ugly wins.
Yeah, I'm right there with you guys.
I'm gonna buy a J Green as well this week, and a lot of it for me.
Uh, it comes down to, you know, Jay, you alluded to it like Tennessee does grind out winds, but they've been, ah, particularly leaky defense.
This year, teams have been able to exploit that.
That's why we've seen a lot more passing volume out of Ryan Tannehill.
What's made him like such a nice fancy often this season.
And and I I just have a feeling that this one, you know, Well, you see the over under set at 51.
So, you know, I think points are gonna be scored, and there's gonna be plenty of volume coming out of Joe Burrow and that passing offense and as a result, a J.
Whether it's nasty, ugly, however it happens, he's gonna find himself in, you know, a range for his finish this week.
I just think you have to buy him beating wide receiver 36.
So definitely on board with that one, guys.
The next wide receiver on our list today is San Francisco 40 Niners wide receiver Brandon I Yuk, the 40 Niners.
Like I said Our at Seattle today at 4 25.
Seattle's and three point favorite over under a 54 points.
Brandon I Yuk is currently projected as wide receiver 46 this week.
Total foresight is buying that as we have him as a back end wide receiver to at wide receiver 23.
The 40 Niners have the second best wide receiver strength of schedule this week.
Hey also has the sixth best pass block advantage.
Now he does on Lee have the 69th ranked individual wide receiver, defensive back matched upgrade this week at pro football Focus.
Again, The weather is a non factor.
And for me, Seattle has scored 31 plus points in all but one of their games this season and weak eight will be no different verse this 40 Niners team.
So if the Niners even hope to keep up, they're going to need to throw it. Ah, lot.
Thus, it may not be until the second half or even in garbage time, but I still expect you to meet or exceed wide receiver 46 this week.
Yeah, I mean, he's certainly a guy who they try to proactively get involved in the passing game because he's a dangerous weapon And I'm with you.
You know, I think that this, you know, the Niners defense has been besieged by injuries.
They're starting to get a little bit more healthy.
They obviously had a nice matchup last week where they could kind of get on track.
So it will be interesting to see if they can slow down Seattle.
It all this this week.
You know, it is a divisional game, and those games could be a little bit different than what we expect.
But yeah, I'm with you.
I think, Brandon, I you can can certainly best of your 46.
And I expect him to, even if it's not by much.
I mean, he could be in the WR thirties and still with just a mediocre game.
So I think this should be a safe bet.
You know, like I know it doesn't make for good Podcasting Thio agree so much, But I'm right there with you guys.
It's really hard when you have someone who's clearly outside of George Kittle.
The top option they have in the passing game, right? And you know and it's a game that projects to have a lot of passing volume.
So it's like where the target's gonna be funneled Thio.
And, like you said, it J it doesn't have to be a pretty stat line, but I I don't see how he's not going to best wide receiver 46.
So with potential to finish in that wide, low end, wide receiver to range, I don't I think total four size probably more accurate than we might be giving.
Ah, you get any credit for? So yeah, definitely buying on Brendan Now, you this week.
Next up, the guy that just will not allow me to keep him off podcast based on the metrics.
And we're talking about yet again.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers tight end Rob Gronkowski The Bucks are on the road at the New York Giants on Monday Night Football this week.
Tampa Bay is a 12.
5 road favorite in this game with an over under a 45 points.
The aggregate projection for Grant this week is tight, and 11 total foresight is emphatically buying that we currently have him as tight end three on the week.
Uh, he he has the fourth best strength of schedule.
He has the best pass block advantage this week.
He has the fifth best individual tight end match upgrade this week and check this out ever since Gronk finished his preseason meaning weeks one through four of the 2020 regular season, Gronk has had 50 yards receiving Orm or in three straight weeks, and he's gotten into the end zone in each of the last two weeks.
All the numbers are there for him in Week eight, and he clearly still has better chemistry with Brady than anyone else.
Plus, the tight end position is abysmal this season, so tight and 11 shouldn't even be hard to overcome.
I'm buying you make all the points to buy him, which is why I'm going to sell it all makes too much sense.
We've done it so many times this year.
You're asking me to trust Gronk, and if I go ahead and agree with you and by him and trust him for the first time this season, he's gonna put up a turd performance in a stat line.
For that reason, I am going to sell e I don't think he's going to turn it off.
It's funny because I feel like on this podcast, anytime that I buy Gronk, I get disappointed.
I sell him, I get burned.
But facts are facts.
And, like Benn said, the position.
You know, we're talking about birds, that position of fantasy football.
It's stinky and Gronk tight in three.
It's like Okay, well, obviously we got Kelsey and Kittel and then just open the door for pretty much anyone else on any given week.
I mean, I know we have Mark Andrews and Darren Waller, but yeah, tight end 11.
I think Gronk will probably easily overcome that, especially when you consider the fact that Chris Gardens out this week to guys when it comes to, like healthy, reliable targets.
Um, in the way Gronk is, you know, he's been getting his legs back, You know, he's not old tired legs like Jerick McKinnon.
So, um yeah, he'll be there. Absolutely.
Hey, and, uh, 12.5.
5 line is huge, but it doesn't even come close to the Chiefs line against the lowly Jets, who their favored by 20 points 20 like what? Wow! And sadly, that would be a scary better lay down.
I know they could lose by 40.
Absolutely no doubt.
Well, that rounds out our buys.
For this week we have.
That was six buys.
We've got six cells for you.
And first up, it starts with Detroit Lions quarterback Matt Stafford.
He is home versus the Indianapolis Colts today at one PM India, according to Vegas, is a three point favorite in that game.
Has an over under a 49.5.
His aggregate projection.
Matt Stafford is Q B 11 Total Force itis selling that currently has him at q B 16.
Hey has the fifth worst quarterback strength of schedule, and at pro football focus.
He is the 18th ranked past block advantage.
However, Kenny G Kenny Golladay has the ninth best individual wide receiver defensive back matchup grade, and Marvin Jones has the 11th best in.
Furthermore, his tight end T.
J Hawkinson, has the fourth best tight end match upgrade this week.
Whether is not a factor there in a dome, and for the first time in a few weeks, I am actually going to go against total foresight.
Yes, I am buying Matt Stafford this week.
Why? Because he should have torched Atlanta last week and didn't thus because he shouldn't put up Q B one numbers this week.
And honestly, I was already to sell Stafford this week this week, and we gave personally.
But man, his top three weapons all have excellent individual matchup grades this week, and that's the primary reason that I am going to go against total foresight and by Matt Stafford versus aggregate projection of q B 11.
It's so crazy to me that pro football focus has those grades at those positions because the Colts defense is really one of the better defense is in the league this season.
So it's It's surprising to me, but I do like our foresight, strength of schedule, which, as a reminder to all the listeners, combines the offensive trend for the position on that team.
So Matt Stafford at the Q B position on the Lions and what he's done production wise against the defense and their trend going up against them.
So for that reason, I'm going to trust total foresight and I'm going to sell and and agree with them, Matt Stafford a Q B 11 man, I have to admit, this is a tough 12 guys, you know he's sitting there, you know? Aggregate aggregate projection of Q B 11.
Like right on that low end, Q B one borderline.
Um, I'm gonna go ahead and go without total foresight.
I think I mentioned to you guys I was like, You know what? If I'm ever in doubt ever again, I'm just going to defer to total foresight.
Hey, Steve, if it makes you feel better, I didn't mention it, But I believe last two weeks ago.
I haven't checked last week.
But two weeks ago, total foresight was third overall on Fantasy Pro's accuracy for quarterbacks.
Yeah, well, and since that's the position we're talking about no, no better time for me to go ahead and, uh, put some money in the bank with a total foresight.
I'm going to sell Matt Stafford this week, although I I think he'll flirt with that finish of Q B 11.
He'll be right around there.
And, uh, yeah, it's gonna be ones again.
Gonna be interesting to kind of track and see how that plays out today.
Yeah, I will admit part of the reason that I ended up buying Stafford this week is because I wholeheartedly agree with our next total foresight sell this week.
And that is the Detroit Lions running back DeAndre Swift eso He's got the same match up in Vegas.
Point spread and over under and all that.
But DeAndre Swift is currently projected this week as R B 11 total foresight, ISS selling that has him at RB 21 because he has the fourth worst running back strength of schedule this week.
Now pro football focus does have him with the ninth best run block advantage.
But did you know that that this surprised me in this research? Did you know that DeAndre Swift has finished with double digit PPR points in all but one game this season? In fact, he's our B 24 overall on the season.
Right now in PPR formats, however, Indies run defense is no joke, and Matt Matt Stafford has yet to have a huge fantasy week this season, and I expect that to finally happen on Sunday.
I think that comes at enough of the expense of the Andre Swift to keep him from hitting that week. Eight.
Aggregate projection of R B 11.
So I'm gonna go ahead and sell that again.
Very surprising pro football focus, giving them the ninth best run block advantage.
It's almost like they don't give any credit to the Colts defense, which I don't really understand.
So I'm going to agree with total foresight.
I'm going to sell him is R B 11.
In my mind, it's just a tougher matchup and this, you know, he is getting catches out of the backfield.
You're right. Ben and PPR heat.
There is some value there, so he very well could get in the end zone.
But, you know, I just don't wanna bet on RB 11 or better this week.
Yeah, I'm selling this one all day long, guys.
It zwah in thing For him to be projected is like a mid to low end running back to like last week when I bought him thinking, Hey, he might get in the end zone and I think that could get the job done, and that's pretty much what happened.
He's gonna have to do more than just, you know, find himself in the end zone once so and, uh, to your guys points, it's not a favorable matchup for that.
He hasn't been commanding like the most backfield share, you know, with the other running backs with, you know, Peterson even carry on Johnson getting in the mix.
So, yeah, I'm going to sell that running back 11 all day long.
I don't think he's gonna come close this week and and see that right? There are complete consensus.
The three of us with total foresight is exactly why I bought Matt Stafford this week.
I think the game flow and the matchup is going to force him to pass a lot.
And I do believe in those individual d be wide receiver matchup grades from pro football focus.
So I think that's gonna be the difference in the game.
That's my thought process for for the first time in several weeks, going against total foresight.
Eso I'm interested to hear what you guys think about this next one as well got another very intriguing name and Tampa Bay Buccaneers running back Leonard for net again.
The Bucks are at the New York Giants on Monday Night. Football.
Heavy favorite on the road 12.
5 points over under 45 points.
The aggregate projection for Letter for Net is running back 17 Total Force itis selling that currently has him at the very back end of the running back.
Tuesday's RB 24.
The Bucks running backs have the ninth worst running back strength of schedule at fantasy foresight dot com.
And at Pro Football Focus, they have the 18th ranked run block advantage.
The weather is gonna be a non factor.
Mostly it's gonna rain, but it's only gonna be 10 15 mile per hour wind on.
I will say that we often refer to total foresight as the cold, hard truth.
So I understand why total foresight has for net at RB 24 this week.
However, Leonard Fournette is now healthy, and he is now fully up to speed in that Tampa Bay offense.
Plus, he'll continue to get all the passing work like he did last week.
Rojo Onley saw two more carries than for net last week, however, for net saw five Mawr targets, which are far more valuable in PPR land.
Rojo has played admirably this season, but it is clear to me the Bucks still favor Leonard for net.
Thus, for the second time this week, I'm going against total foresight and buying for net verse.
That aggregate projection of R B 17.
I just believe in this Bucks offense, and I believe my eyes they clearly favor for net.
So, yeah, I gotta buy.
I have to admit, I was very surprised last week how much work he ended up getting coming off of three absences.
I figured he'd kind of be an emergency backup, maybe get a couple carries to get him back.
But he had 11 carries, and then he had six catches on seven targets, which is a ton of passing volume.
Steve made the point earlier.
God went out again this week when we were talking about Gronk.
So they are going to need some weapons in the past offense.
They're gonna be able to move the ball against the Giants.
And then you said, you know, they clearly want to keep Leonard Fournette involved in the offense.
So for that reason, I think he can have another big day out of the backfield catching balls.
He's going to get carries.
They're gonna split carries once again I'm sure.
So he's gonna get opportunities there, so I think he could best RB 17 Uh, this is unique situation because it's not very often that both of you guys disagree with total foresight, and I'm going to agree with total foresight on this one.
I mean, the biggest reason in my mind anyways, is that they are playing at events, and I just feel like game script wise, they should be able they should be able to get on top of, you know, New York and kind of just grind them down and and tow where you know, for Net.
I think he'll be efficient and he'll you know he'll he'll provide value in, you know, PPR formats.
I just don't see him hitting.
You know, I just don't I don't see him finishing in the RV to landscape, that's all.
I mean, it's a good point, Steve, because you know, I mean, he is a guy who's had a little bit of injuries so far this season, so if they don't need to rely and score points that they could cruise to a win and, you know, rely more on Rojo and put him out there in harm's way and kind of protect for net for a week and keep him for, ah, tougher matchup.
I could see that happening.
I do have to say what I find very interesting about this backfield is that and I've written about it.
This offseason is how Leonard Fournette might have been the most inefficient pass catching running back of all time in 2019 and he is now their third down back and is shining compared to Ronald Jones in that same capacity is just very fascinating to me.
Oh, to your point, Steve, about him, not they might not need him later on in the game.
I think you're gonna find out very early if Leonard Fournette is gonna have a shot of meeting or exceeding the aggregate projection.
This if he's getting a lot of the early looks and getting a lot of targets on the first few drives before the game is like, definitively out of hand, I think he's got a good shot of hitting it.
If not, you're right, because I think in the second half the guy that they clearly view to be, um, or expendable of the two, which is Rojo is going to get all of those, It doesn't matter.
Looks in the second half.
So, um what what? I just realized completely unintentionally.
This was now the third pair of teammates on this podcast this week, and we still have 1/4 pair of teammates of our last three guys coming up.
I don't know if that's ever happened on this podcast before, and it will be interesting to see if that stack helps us or bites us as far as our accuracy goes.
This week s O Next up, our next wide receiver cell is Baltimore Ravens wide receiver Marqise Brown.
The Ravens are at home verse.
Pittsburgh today at one PM Baltimore is a 4.
5 point favorite, according to Vegas, with an over under a 46.
The aggregate projection for Marqise Brown is wide Receiver 25.
Total Foresight is selling that currently has him as wide receiver.
The Ravens pass catchers have the worst strength of schedule this week at pro football Focus.
They have the second worst pass block advantage marquees.
Brown has the 23rd ranked individual wide receiver, defensive back match upgrade uh, 90% chance of rain 10 to 15 MPH Wind at the Weather Channel app.
So whether it's not gonna be a huge factor in this game, marquees Brown has Onley beaten his Week eight aggregate projection one time this season and that was week five verse the Cincinnati Bengals plain and simple.
I'm just not banking on that re occurrence this week versus the Steelers. I'm selling.
Yeah, this is, uh this is a tough one because, you know, I like you said, I just don't want to bank on him beating WR 25.
This is going to be an absolute slugfest.
And I really would love to watch some of this game because it's just gonna be one of the better matchups this week.
And you're right, You know, whether there's gonna be some win, there's gonna be some rain.
It's gonna be a good old fashioned a F C North matchup.
Did I say that? Right? Yeah, eso you know, just a just a brutal match up.
And, uh, yeah, it's just tough to see him getting one of those home run balls which he's gonna need in order to beat WR 25.
So I'm gonna agree, and I'm gonna go ahead and sell marquees brown and ba*****t.
Steve is buying on this one.
Uh, it's just for that reason. Like marquees Brown.
Right now, you know, he's amongst the league leaders when it comes to air yards, and, um, you know, and it hasn't obviously come to fruition as far asses, you know, fancy productions concerned.
Lamar Jackson definitely has been less accurate this year than last, but, you know, he's he's probably gonna see a lot of Joe Haydon and Joe Haden.
He's he's had some decent games this year.
He's also been burned, Um, quite a bit and some others.
So I I just don't know.
I think that this is gonna be kind of like a breakout week and your home run ball. That's it.
Well, that's some of the thing, too, is you know, when you look at how he was producing when he was healthy and playing last season versus this season, you know, it's almost like, well, some of those home run balls they're gonna come.
So what are they? What are they going to get here? And you know I could, especially if the weather is a little sloppy, you know that.
You might think that's not conducive to, you know, like a nice passing game slip by Hayden.
And it's it's over.
Yeah, and he and he could get a step and just absolutely torched him.
So I mean, don't come down to Lamar Jackson.
And this is one where not not to sound wishy washy, but it's like I could totally see this going either way, but because because he's on my roster and our legal record, I'm gonna buy that.
And that's why I don't feel comfortable, because all it takes is one play and and he's golden.
And you would think that the Steelers were gonna be spying Lamar just to keep him contained, which it should open it up for the defense and there, and the Steelers gonna have to rely on that secondary.
And, yeah, you know, one little slip on the wet surface and marquees Brown is gone.
So that's all it's gonna take.
We'll see if it happens.
Well, hey, now that's That's five out of 10 guys that we've discussed where one or more of us disagrees with total foresight, so very interesting for sure.
and we've got two more cells to round out the episode before Steve gets into his week.
Eight. Speculative stash.
Siri's on next stop.
Our cell is Chicago Bears wide receiver Alan Robinson, and it pains me to do so.
The Bears air at home versus the New Orleans Saints today at 4 25.
Vegas has the Saints is a 4.
5 point favorite. Onley.
5 point favorite, I might add on within over under 42 a half.
Somehow, some way checked it three times a Rob was wide receiver one overall in aggregate Projection.
Land total Foresight is selling that as him is. Wide receiver. 18.
The Bears have the fifth worst wide receiver strength of schedule this week.
The Bears have the eighth worst past black advantage.
Abe Rob has just the 15th ranked individual wide receiver, defensive back matchup. Grade.
It's gonna be in the upper thirties in Chicago with gusts up to 40 MPH or more, and you guys know it.
I love a Rob, and I'm very glad he's playing this week after surprisingly clearing the concussion protocol Saturday morning.
But I'm sorry there is not a single quarterback the Bears have had in the last five years.
That would give me the confidence that I need to buy a Rob as the wide receiver one on any given week with how much you guys know I love a Rob.
That's how bad the Q B play has been that he has had to endure.
If a Rob ever gets a legit Q B, I'm looking at you, Jay.
He'll have a top scoring wide receiver potential every single week and don't look now, but all of a sudden, the quarterback play of Big Nick Foles has Bears fans clamoring for a mixed Robiskie on core.
Yikes! Sorry, you don't have a better Q B a.
I hate selling you, but I just hated his entire career.
He's had to deal with this.
Yeah, you know, I'm just gonna sell because WR Wan I mean, you know, there's there's absolutely zero room for error, and if you gave me a wide receiver who had a top six projection, I'm probably selling them, and I don't care who it is just because it's so you can't have any surprise performances out of the rest of the league.
Otherwise you're wrong.
So I'm going to sell this just because of his aggregate projection.
Do you know about Nick Foles? Don't pretend.
Get out of here.
Yeah, this is super.
So there's nothing about this matchup like outdoors in Chicago.
You have New Orleans on the road.
Who? Yeah, you like that? You We think Saints.
Okay, high scoring game.
Not necessarily there on the road there without Michael Thomas, they're going to try to grind the ball, run the ball.
Chicago has got a great defense here in 2020 is just nothing about this.
Even if he had Peyton Manning in his prime Mrs Quarterback, this particular matchup, I would never want to buy a wide receiver.
One finished, right? Yeah, s Oh, yeah.
I'm gonna go ahead and Scottish Hammer punt this one big time.
I don't care what receiver it is.
What matchup it is.
I'm not buying a WR one projection.
It's just you have absolutely no room for error.
Hollywood Brown could break off to big plays.
And that makes you wrong because he had a freak performance.
When you have to buy an aggregate projection of wide receiver one.
You're essentially picking that person versus the entire field, right? It's like give me the field or one player.
Give me the field every time because of the odds.
Are that good? You know? So our last Cell of the Week is our last fourth paired teammate on this podcast.
This week, we're sticking in Baltimore once again at the tight end position with tight end Mark Andrews again.
Ravens at home verse that Pittsburgh defense Today at one PM Baltimore is favored by 4.
5 the over under 46 a half.
The aggregate projection for Mark Andrews is tight, and three total foresight is selling.
That has him a tight end.
10 has the worst strength of schedule this week, the second worst pass block advantage, the 13th right tight end match upgrade.
And Andrews has met or exceeded his current aggregate projection of tight end 3.
5 of his games this season.
But I just cannot bring myself to buy that outcome this week. First, the Steelers.
I've got too much respect for that defense.
Obviously, you're starting him, but you better do so with manage expectations.
I am selling a tight end three finish this week.
I mean, I think he's going to do.
I think he's gonna do okay this week in Fantasy Land.
I think he's gonna have some production He very well may get in the end zone.
These two teams are going to score points, regardless of how good both defense is.
Our and Mark Andrews could be one of those guys, especially in the red zone, to get in the end zone.
But that tight end three projection just is so tough for me to wanna bet on.
I'd much rather, by total four sites rank of tight end.
I think you could certainly finish as a tight end one this week, but a man tight end three.
No thanks. I gotta sell that.
Yeah, I'm right there with you guys.
And three is just too rich for me.
And and, like you said, you have toe pretty much toe finish that high.
You have to get in the end zone, and that's touchdowns out of tight ends.
It's such a random statistic, Um, and we've seen it with Andrews this season.
His actual targets receptions and yards It's kind of all over the place.
And he has big games, you know, statistically fancy wise when he gets in the end zone.
But it's also so unpredictable.
So it's just like, Well, if I'm gonna bet on, you know what's the most probable thing that happened? I'm not gonna bet on him getting in the end.
So not against the Steelers.
And, you know, they got makeup Fitzpatrick out there roaming.
And, um, you know, if I'm gonna buy Hollywood Brown, I'm gonna sell on Mark Andrews that way.
All right? Interesting week, fellas.
I need to get back in it, so I need to win some of these matchups.
Yeah, six by six cells.
It'll be fun to see how this goes.
And now my my favorite segment of the week.
If you have some middling wide receiver four wide receiver five at the end of your bench that you know, you could go replace very easily.
Uh, consider some of the guy Steve is going to tell you about as a speculative stash.
Based on what happens throughout the weekend, that could go from completely free free agent.
Add to the most coveted waiver wire target of the following week.
So without further ado, Steve, go ahead and unveil your stash and dash strategy and tell everybody about your week eight speculative Stashes and yeah, we'll just start out with so, you know, Ben said, stashing Dash.
And that's kind of like a little nickname.
But I've given Thio the stashing strategy of you.
Hey, you're heading into the Thursday Night Football game.
Go see if there's any.
You know, I wrote about it this week.
You know, backup running back to Todd Gurley? Why not? If you have a burnable bench spot, why not throw Brian Hill like a guy like that at the end of your bench? And, you know, maybe Todd Gurley gets, you know, hoping gets hurt.
But if something would happen to Todd Gurley like Boom, you just now on your bench, you have, ah, viable running back to until Todd Gurley's back and healthy Todd Gurley gets through the game unscathed.
Drop Brian Hill.
Pick somebody up who's playing in the one PM slate of games.
Find a running back backup running back in the one PM slate.
They don't you know you don't wanna hold him fine.
Drop him, pick somebody up with the 4.
Then you do that Sunday night and Monday night.
You just always keep rotating that last bench spot with what we call a speculative stash.
And if something breaks the right way, you have an instant asset.
Ah, valuable one at that, just sitting on your bench and you would not have gotten that otherwise.
Plus, it also just makes the whole weekend a little more like Exciting is a fancy football manager, you know, because you're kind of like what's going on in this game with the guy, and, you know, I have stashed so, uh, definitely stash and dashed.
Uh, unless you have fees for transactions in your league, you should definitely be doing that every week, all week long.
So now to get into specific players that I think make good Stashes for a week eight, Um, we'll go ahead and get started with J.
McKissic running back of the Washington football team.
When I wrote this, he was rostered on 34% of leagues as of Thursday morning, but I just checked guys, he's down to 26% roster share.
Um, and, you know Washington's on there by.
So it makes sense that, you know, is people getting closer the games they're having to drop this guy, uh, you know, to make room to have bye week villains in, You know, McKissick, He was disappointing. Last week.
He he barely cleared seven PPR points on DWI, saw Antonio gifts and have a career day.
But we also have to keep in mind Washington had their most positive game script of probably be all of 2020 for them.
Um, you know, J d McKissic? He makes his, you know, PPR money in the passing game.
And typically, Washington is in a very, uh, negative game scripts when it comes to running and grinding out the clock.
So you know the fact that he's that available and out there, um, you know he's somebody if you can stash him because we're in the meat of Bye week season next week.
Cincinnati Bengals, Cleveland Browns, Los Angeles Rams, Philadelphia Eagles All these teams drawn by next week, and I know that between those teams there's a lot of starting running backs and, you know, fantasy lineups that are not going to be available So look ahead.
If you have guys on those rosters, go pick up J.
D McKissic and throw him in your last bench spot in the next week, plug and play him to fill in for these guys.
They're going to be on a bye week because typically, McKissick, he's probably going to be good for 10 12 or 14 PPR points just based on the volume that he normally sees.
Because again, they're not.
They're not playing Dallas again next week.
So, um, I just think between that performance and how the game script went and that the fact that they're on a by is why he is so available.
I I foresee him being somebody that people are gonna pay upto ad next week when they're putting in waiver bids.
So just go pick him up for free.
Now I have a couple of wide receivers here, and it's funny because I started writing this Wednesday afternoon and, you know, we've since gotten news that Jalen Reagor, wide receiver of the Philadelphia Eagles, with a 15% roster share.
He's going to start and play this weekend.
Um, so that's a really good stash, because pick him up.
He's flashed in the very limited opportunity.
He's been on the field and healthy.
You could pick him up and just see.
See how he looks in their matchup against Dallas.
See what his target shares like, how explosive he looks like that.
That's somebody who, for all we know he could end up being the top waiver ad next week if he has an explosive game this weekend.
Um, that's a nice lottery ticket tow, you know, go ahead and stash.
So I'm really like Jalen Reagor on, uh, I really like the fact he's 85% available again.
You go pick him up for absolutely nothing.
And by the conclusion of the Dallas Philadelphia game, if you know you don't like what you got album, drop him, go pick up somebody else and then another guy.
Now I don't know.
You guys interrupt me if you've heard any other news.
I was searching before I got on the podcast to see if I could find anything on Twitter.
Just Google searching.
But Alan Lazard he had practiced this week.
He's off of IR, and we know Lazard had two of us three games or pretty monstrous this season before he just explain what he had.
A career day and then core injury, which is out, Um, but he's practicing.
I don't know if he's going to suit up today and with how conservative the Packers training staff tends to be.
I mean, we've seen it this year already, right? With the Vontae Atoms and Erin Jones.
I doubt he'll play today, but he's I mean, guys, Aaron Rodgers.
He's having a revenge tour this season.
He's been tearing it up and they're in desperate need of a wide receiver to on that team, and it seemed like Alan Lazard was filling that role the first three weeks of the season.
Um, if he comes back and he's healthy and he's going to get those targets and he's gonna be in that role, he's somebody that if he is available, you need to go pick him up and stash him now because that's somebody that you know.
When I was writing this, I think that I had commented, you know, something along the lines of well, you know he's somebody who would make a good bye week.
Fillon like actually, if he's playing like he was before he got injured.
He's somebody you're going to start.
You're not going to use them simply to fill in your bye weeks.
But is of, you know, publication.
He's only 30% roster, and so he's pretty highly available at this point in time.
And, uh, throw a couple of defense is out there.
I usually don't write about stashing Defense is because they're usually pretty heavily, you know, rostered.
A lot of the defense is out there, and I always try to target players.
Defense's DST is that they're going to be, like, have a very low roster share.
But, you know, I feel your streaming defense's and you wanna look ahead at the New York Giants or Washington football team, mainly because they're playing each other.
They both are rostered and 25% or less of leagues, and you know it's gonna be a Dumpster fire of a game.
But when it comes to starting a DST, that's exactly what you're looking for.
Um, I would not be shocked if either New York or Washington ended up finishing in the top five for D STS next week, just simply based off of look who they're playing against, and these have actually both been surprisingly good.
Defense is guys, Um, they've had some games against good offenses that they've hung in there.
And you think about the fact both of these teams offenses don't do the defense any favors? Um, but they've been solid overall, they're solid middle of the pack fantasy defense is.
But when you think about who they're playing, New York's playing Washington, Washington, New York, it's it's definitely set up.
So I just have a feeling both of these defense is there gonna be, like, highly stream a ble.
The defense is people are going to target the pick up next week.
So it if you if you know your streaming defense is and you have a spot, just pick him up now don't have, you know, don't bother with burning a waiver priority or even a single dollar and fab.
And you know, lastly, I always call this my public service announcement of the week, and I'll say it again.
If you have a spot to burn, don't you know? Don't have some wide receiver five sitting at the end of your bench.
Go grab any backup running back that's sitting out there any any of them.
Anyone that you perceive that would walk into any kind of workload should the starter go down in front of them? Because I'm so you guys know this? Do you have on E.
Bernard and Jamal Williams? I have specifically mentioned those guys and wrote about them Is spec Stashes and the just weeks earlier? Because of my mind, I'm like So we all roster Tony Pollard and Chase Edmunds and Alexander Madison.
You know all these high upside backup running backs.
Why are people Ross during those guys? And I could tell you people that did roster Giovanni Bernard or Jamal Williams.
They're extremely happy with what they got out of them last week, and they're happy they can fire them up again this week.
So, you know, it's just if you have no one else that you would think of adding, Just go find a backup running back because at the running back position in professional football, everybody gets hurt to some degree throughout the season.
It might not knock up running back out of the game, but they they're getting tackled by 11 grown men on every single play.
So you know there's gonna be injuries.
You have the highest chance of having a successful hit on a stash out of a backup running back over any other position, just plain and simple.
So look around your league.
See who's out there who is free to go pick up and it just relates right back to the stash and dash. Strategy.
Find backup running backs for each slate of games throughout Sunday. Stash.
Um, guy in front of them doesn't get hurt. Cool.
Go pick up another guy.
So that's all I have for this week, fellas.
Again, if Lazard and regular out there go pick him up if you if you have the capacity to do so.
Great strategy all around.
Um, you know, it's like Steve said.
It adds another little element game within the game, like a bunch of scratch off tickets from Thursday night to Monday night.
And if it hits great.
If it doesn't discard it and go do another one.
And if you just strike out all week at your specs Stashes, you're still not at any worse off than you would have been, or you just go and attack the waiver wire like the rest of your league mates Dio the stash and dash and the speculative stash strategy is all about trying to get ahead of the next week's waiver wire.
So if you could successfully do that, you can really set yourself up nicely.
Love the fellas.
I'm excited for a great day of football.
It's chilly out here in the Midwest, and we've got some great matchups today, so I can't wait to dive in.
And, uh, hopefully we all pick up some wins.
Yeah, hopefully, it's Ah, you know, it's a nice, fun day of football Successful fantasy Foresight Day at football this week.
And for better or worse, when or lose, we will be back with you on Tuesday night to review all of our buys and sells and to go over those Week nine waiver targets.
We'll see you Tuesday night real quick.
Sorry, man, before you end it, don't forget massive week in the fantasy foresight challenge all foresight team members going up against all challenge members.
It's Rivalry Week, the Onley Week on the slate this season where that occurs So big week for good old team foresight.
Let's go, fellas.
Let's every hopefully team foresight goes six and oh, we can save the brand a little bit of money and take home around this year, eso were this week will go a long way and painting the playoff picture coming up.
So it'll be a fun one, for sure.
And like we said, we will be back with you on Tuesday night to review all things Week eight and to go over your waiver waiver Wire targets for Week nine can't wait, and that wraps up this episode of fantasy foresight the podcast way.
Thank you for joining us.
Be sure to visit us as always at fantasy foresight dot com.
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We hope you enjoy the episode and we'll see you next time