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00:00:01
Friday.
00:00:02
Welcome times in the host out, Walsh.
00:00:05
Nobody parlays today gonna be joined by Anthony Savino, who was with us last week providing so much good content on the pod.
00:00:12
And, of course, gonna be able to check out his writing before you do.
00:00:16
So make sure you check out at the rial NFL guru.
00:00:20
You can follow myself out at 14.
00:00:22
8 walls.
00:00:23
You could follow the show at taking sides.
00:00:25
You know, we'll even give one the Paul even though he's not here at game day. Vax.
00:00:29
Make sure you check him out.
00:00:30
There s so we've got a nice little slate on hand for week eight of the season.
00:00:36
Whether it's gonna play a major factor this week.
00:00:38
If you saw a lot of these totals, drop him right off a cliff.
00:00:42
That's that's probably why right there the weather, But, uh and glad to have you on the show here.
00:00:48
Just not real quick.
00:00:49
You let people know where they could find your work? Yeah, You could follow me on Twitter at the real NFL.
00:00:54
Guru on.
00:00:55
My podcast is at the FF face off.
00:00:56
We could be found at all the top social media and podcast platforms.
00:01:00
I'm a head writer at gridiron experts dot com on and also right sports betting content over at the game day NFL and in the Fantasy Pro's expert consensus rankings.
00:01:11
Currently ranked around 34,000 year.
00:01:14
Very nice.
00:01:15
Very nice. Thes people better be paying you well.
00:01:17
I mean, if they're not, they need to right now, by the way, if you need an agent.
00:01:21
Gotcha.
00:01:23
So, uh, yeah, you actually had a pretty good night last night.
00:01:25
Last night? Thursday Night football, Of course, between the Falcons at the Panthers, Falcons end up getting their second win of the season, probably hurting themselves very much so if they were gonna have that back door into the Trevor Lawrence sweepstakes.
00:01:37
But I don't want to tell everybody which capitalized on last night.
00:01:41
And, uh, you know what one was pretty nice for sure.
00:01:45
Yeah.
00:01:46
I had the Falcons money line and the under because there's a night football.
00:01:50
I think four out of the eight games or 508 games, the total has gone under.
00:01:55
So I followed that trend and Atlanta outside of losing earlier in the year to Carolina, they have dominated the historical matchup between the two in the past couple of years.
00:02:06
Eso I really was into Atlanta who is playing better without Dan Quinn? Yeah, obviously.
00:02:13
My old boy Azaz, the Bucks fans.
00:02:15
Good to see Raheem Morris.
00:02:17
Uh, you know, man in the sidelines there for the Falcons now, And I guess the one thing I think as a true Dfx man at heart, seeing the Atlanta Falcons actually do well against his pass catching running them back.
00:02:30
So I know last night the Panthers has only had 21 plays in the first half, so that kind of negated anything that they were really going to do in terms of momentum.
00:02:37
But Teddy Bridgewater even taking that big hit last night, we even got an injection out of that one there.
00:02:43
So tough spot now for the Panthers.
00:02:47
I believe they are.
00:02:49
They are what, three and five now, three and five, and they looked like a team that was turning it around for a while.
00:02:55
I'm very excited about the mat rule.
00:02:58
Uh, sort of.
00:02:59
The opportunity that he got there was pretty cool last night.
00:03:01
Couple former temple apples on the field form their A p.
00:03:04
J Walker getting some snaps.
00:03:06
The darling of the X f l and of course, Robby Anderson there as well.
00:03:10
So nice little reunion on the field for Rule doesn't get the win last night.
00:03:14
But, you know, brighter, brighter days air certainly ahead down in Carolina.
00:03:19
All right, As we get into Week eight of the NFL season, we wanna make sure that you guys check out bet 3 65 years the promo code sides for 100% of deposit bonus on deposits of up to $100 you have to sign up for a new account.
00:03:34
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00:03:39
Brand new account holders on Lee that 3 65 get the promo code sides for 100% deposit bonus on deposits up to $100.
00:03:47
Alright, Without further ado, we got a fantastic slate of games here, as I mentioned earlier, Uh, let's get it started out in Kansas City with the defending champs as they host the New York football Jets chief open just 21 point favorites here.
00:04:00
We now see them at 19.
00:04:01
5 money line of varies optic minus $2000.
00:04:06
You got laying around to make a couple extra extra 100 right there.
00:04:10
And, of course, money line from the Jets.
00:04:12
If you think they could pull the upset, folks, it's four plus 1400 right there.
00:04:17
We've also got a total of 48 a half on this one.
00:04:20
Unlike a lot of games in the one o'clock window, we've got some gorgeous weather.
00:04:24
Wow, decent weather, anyway for Casey standards.
00:04:27
But it's the left ball, the left Bell Bowl this Sunday. Here.
00:04:32
Are you as excited as I? And I know Poley is for all the profits here for love. Belle.
00:04:37
Yeah, it's a levy in Bel Revenge game, and I think Andy Reed's gonna turn him loose in this one.
00:04:43
The Jets run defense is actually pretty good.
00:04:45
That's not the weakness of the team, and they have a lot of weaknesses there.
00:04:48
But leave Ian Bell.
00:04:50
I think Levian Bell is gonna put on a show and show Adam gays exactly the player that he didn't use right for two years.
00:04:57
Let's face it. Yep, no, no.
00:04:59
And it's tough with that jet.
00:05:00
So line love belly loves toe Kinda, you know, dance his way in the back field.
00:05:04
That's just not gonna happen with offensive line like that.
00:05:08
So yeah, I think a lot of people might be thinking, you know, it was he really gonna play that much against Kansas City? Or I'm sorry against the Jets, you know, when they're whooping them by that bad.
00:05:17
But this is also a nice game where you could just get him comfortable, the new playbook and sort of the offensive line there.
00:05:23
So let me in.
00:05:24
Bell hasn't had a lot of touches disuse.
00:05:27
And? And if the Chiefs want to use him for a run, this is the type of game where you give him a lot of touches and get him involved.
00:05:34
Absolutely.
00:05:36
Also in this game, you know, it's gonna be interesting.
00:05:40
Toc Finally, I know.
00:05:42
Last week we got a decent look at how this left Bell Clyde Edwards Hilaire duo could possibly look.
00:05:50
But what? Your thoughts with this duo going forward in terms of fantasy? You broke up there for a second.
00:05:56
With who? With Clyde Edwards Lair and Love Bell like, how do you think that's gonna go fantasy wise.
00:06:02
I think both of these running backs were gonna be fantasy relevant, almost like how Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt is when Nick Chubb was healthy.
00:06:09
Maybe to our lesser extent, because Kansas City does not run as much as Cleveland does.
00:06:14
But Libyan Bell? I think you could put him in the Flex spot and Clyde Edwards Hilaire.
00:06:19
He's bumped down to maybe that RV to cheer, but they're both extremely usable in fantasy football playing on that offense who likes to throw the football to the running back? Uh, now, in terms off the massive spread that we see here, which particular side you're gonna be rolling with here, Aziz Much.
00:06:38
If I'm not even gonna touch this game, I'm gonna take Kansas City in a blowout.
00:06:42
I just do not see how New York is going to put points together because the Kansas City defense is actually really good.
00:06:49
They're very underrated.
00:06:50
We've seen Kansas City not only blow teams out there, defense can put up points.
00:06:55
We saw that last week against Denver.
00:06:57
I think they had one or two defensive touchdowns.
00:06:59
I think they can have another week with one or two defensive touchdowns in this game, and Kansas City should easily cover the spread.
00:07:05
And 19 points is a lot.
00:07:08
Yeah, and you know, a lot of a lot of Sharps out there.
00:07:10
Believes how you Seymour money landed with the Jets in this one because it's very rare that we see a point point spread there in the twenties for for any game, let alone the defending champs against what many believe will end up being one of the worst teams in NFL history at the end of the season.
00:07:26
So interesting to note, there, even get this bad.
00:07:30
What's up? How doesn't even get this bad for a New York Jets team? I don't get it, as as somebody who's apologized for Adam gays.
00:07:38
Multiple times I've run out of excuses, but it's just look, it's just clear that they're trying Thio lose games and just Thio, you know, make sure they gaze is out of here like there's no sort of Cinderella story in the second half of the season.
00:07:53
And I mean, obviously that would take so much, but they're just nailing the point on. Now it gates.
00:07:58
They want him out and they want a new change here in New York.
00:08:01
Do you think they're gonna move off of Joe Douglas too? Because I'm actually a Joe Douglas fan.
00:08:06
But if you look, Adam Gates wanted Joe Douglas.
00:08:09
So if gays go says Joe Douglas, go because I think it's unfair because Joe Douglas comes from Philadelphia and Baltimore and has Super Bowl championships on his resume.
00:08:19
Yeah, I think. Absolutely.
00:08:21
Number one.
00:08:22
You know, we just saw that, You know, the quote from Trevor Lawrence And, you know, talking with I'm sorry.
00:08:29
It was brought the white, uh, talking about Trevor.
00:08:31
Lawrence is basically saying, You know, if I were him, I would I would you know, not go to the Jets next season.
00:08:36
I would stay in college, but when you take a look at this man, I mean, if they are going to get a new coach, you gm, how attractive would that be? Toe, Have Trevor Lawrence there.
00:08:46
Or if if he doesn't come out And Justin Fields, uh, you know, either one of those guys, I think a lot of you're going to attract the top of the list names there, you know, like you're not gonna get just some nobody's I know Paul and I have been talking recently, Possibly Eric the enemy.
00:09:02
You know, if the situation was right in New York and he could go there, so, yeah, a lot of attractive offers there for sure.
00:09:11
Also, with this game, Uh, anything from a DFS perspective and anybody that's like, you know, under the radar from this Jets game.
00:09:20
I mean, it all depends like Jamison Crowder.
00:09:22
And fantasy is really the only Jets asset that you wanna play here.
00:09:27
But he did not practice recently, and I think he's gonna be ruled out for the second straight week.
00:09:32
If you wanna really cheap play, maybe a Braxton Barrios.
00:09:36
But again, Kansas City secondary is the strength of that team.
00:09:40
So I don't know if they're gonna be able to get going.
00:09:42
Uh, Michael P.
00:09:44
Ryan is a name that people are picking up off the waiver wire.
00:09:48
I believe it did score touchdown.
00:09:50
Who's had back to back weeks with three targets.
00:09:52
Maybe if they have to throw the ball to the running back a little bit more P Ryan can have low end value, but there's nothing here that I like.
00:10:01
Yeah, I wrote a profit article.
00:10:04
Obviously forgot to mention for us odds.
00:10:06
Ah, lot of that has to do with Left Bell on there.
00:10:09
But you know, it's interesting, like when we think about the Chiefs, right, because sure that, you know, they've had their great moments.
00:10:17
But I've kind of thought that this offense has been somewhat pedestrian this season compared to the things that they have done again.
00:10:23
Not only is this a good kind of sort of walk through for Levy in belt, you could get guys back in the right position.
00:10:29
I know Travis Kelsey only had three catches for, you know, 36 yards, something like that last week.
00:10:36
This would be a nice opportunity to get him going.
00:10:38
Granted, you're probably not gonna hit your ceiling, that you wouldn't go back and forth game.
00:10:41
But I mean, hey, not a lot.
00:10:43
A whole lot of resistance going on there and the Chiefs this week, so I think a couple of those guys could be valuable.
00:10:50
All right, let's move it on to an actual real football game that we'll see this week.
00:10:55
We've got the Titans at the Bangles.
00:10:57
Now I know. You might say What? No.
00:10:59
Listen, folks, this this line open the Tennessee minus 3.5.
00:11:03
It has since gone to minus six.
00:11:04
A lot of people getting very giddy about that.
00:11:07
Titans minus 2 27 on the money line Bangles plus 2 10 in this one.
00:11:12
Also the total in this one.
00:11:14
So this opened up at 55.
00:11:16
We have seen it kind of come tumbling down here to 53.
00:11:20
A lot of people, once it got to that 53 started putting somebody that way.
00:11:24
So let's Ah, this is also another clear weather game.
00:11:28
So what do you like at the top of the list here? You know, in this Cincinnati Tennessee game, I wrote this up over at the game day NFL.
00:11:38
I love the the over in this game thes air two teams that could score a lot of points.
00:11:44
They're both, but I'm not gonna say Tennessee's the bottom and defense, but we know, uh, Cincinnati's the bottom and defense and Cincinnati or Tennessee's right around the middle of the pack.
00:11:54
Joe Burrow has thrown for over 300 yards and all but two or three games this season.
00:12:00
You can pass on Tennessee.
00:12:02
I think there's gonna be a high scoring matchup on the game where you would think Tennessee is going to control the clock with Derrick Henry.
00:12:08
I just don't see it.
00:12:09
I can see this game being extremely back and forth.
00:12:12
And for Cincinnati, there are bad team, but they play good teams close.
00:12:17
But I also think there's gonna be a close game.
00:12:20
Yeah, Carlos Dunlap got his wish.
00:12:23
He put his house on the market and on Twitter and then ended up getting himself a new team.
00:12:28
So he goes from the Bangles to the Seahawks, so that's obviously detriment there for the Bangles.
00:12:33
But you're absolutely right.
00:12:35
I mean, Borough.
00:12:36
No other quarterback is throwing the ball more in the NFL this season.
00:12:38
So if you're looking, I mean, I had the, uh the the Joe Burrow, Geo, Bernard A, J.
00:12:46
Green, Stack and DFS all over the place last week, so it almost it almost hit the nuts with Tyler.
00:12:53
Boyd obviously would have been a much better player, but you know, a J Green of 4300.
00:12:57
Come on, man.
00:12:58
And we might not have a job.
00:13:01
Joe Mixon again.
00:13:02
So it's gonna be a week of Geo Bernard.
00:13:04
Joe Mixon did not practice, has not practiced all week.
00:13:07
And that is not a good sign on Friday.
00:13:10
Yeah, for my season long team that loving that.
00:13:12
But I do have the Geo Bernard handcuffed there and again, you know, watching that game last week.
00:13:17
And I've watched so many **** Geo Bernard games over the course of you know, however long I've been watching football, but I don't think there's much of a difference, to be quite honest with you, especially with the way this Bangles offensive line is built.
00:13:28
You know, it's not like they're running the ball down people's throats.
00:13:30
Obviously, mixing is supremely more talented than Geo Bernard, but I don't think that the Bengals missed that much.
00:13:38
So CNN spread jump from 3.5 to 6.
00:13:41
I know that's not any you know anything to do with mixing, but I do think that the Bangles can obviously hang tight here.
00:13:49
I like, you know, I don't know what the prop is, but if it's enticing for A J Green receiving yards, he's had back to back games with 82 back to back games with 11 targets, seven receptions so if it's a if it's a reasonable total, I'm gonna be all over this a J Green crop because he is.
00:14:06
Once again, Joe borrows most targeted wide receiver.
00:14:10
He opened the year with nine and 13 targets and then took a dip.
00:14:14
It just didn't seem like job our own a J Green.
00:14:17
We're on the same page.
00:14:18
But now, um, as that relationship is growing, we're starting to see what we thought we were going to see for the first couple games of the year s O.
00:14:27
In addition to owning mixing, I got a J.
00:14:30
Green on my team.
00:14:31
You know, a J. Green everywhere it Z.
00:14:33
It's a lot of a lot of Bangles love this year for me, but again, like with having those guys, I watched him a lot more and again last week against the Browns, so Bangles have played the Browns twice already.
00:14:44
That matchup is done for the year, but that's where a J Green the targets against them.
00:14:48
You know, the matchup lended the optimism there, right? Like the bangle or the brown.
00:14:53
We're gonna try toe clog up the middle.
00:14:54
It's a good it's a good play that you know, Throw outside on them so that that works itself out.
00:15:00
This is another great matchup.
00:15:02
I mean, Tennessee, the note that I found here.
00:15:04
So they are first against explosive pass plays, but in terms of efficiency, they ranked fifth worst.
00:15:12
So what does that mean? You're not gonna beat them up over the top too much.
00:15:15
You can get all these receptions there.
00:15:16
So I did write up Tyler Boyd profit on Assad's this week, Where only 5.
00:15:21
5 for plus money.
00:15:23
Right there on. That's on BET 3 65.
00:15:25
So I would definitely take advantage of that if I'm listening out there and, uh, you know, just just borough in general.
00:15:32
I think he could be another viable DFS play this week.
00:15:35
Uh, just again with with no mixing, you're gonna You're gonna lean on the past a lot more A Z I mentioned he's already got the most pass attempts in the league.
00:15:44
We just hope that the guy doesn't get his head knocked off out there against Jadeveon Clowney or somebody like that.
00:15:51
Uh, Derrick Henry is also another guy that I wrote up on the profits this week.
00:15:56
I'm sure you've got a lot of loving him, but on bet 3 65 to go, his rushing prop is 100 a half yards over there.
00:16:04
So that is certainly one I'll be jumping on ship.
00:16:08
I love the matchup for Henry.
00:16:11
As you said, you know no more Carlos Dunlap on that Cincinnati front seven and Derrick Henry has.
00:16:16
He's gone over 103 out of six games played.
00:16:20
What is that? Yeah, yeah.
00:16:22
Three out of six games in Cincinnati.
00:16:23
They gave up a ton of production to the running back position.
00:16:26
I actually think this could be Derrick Henry.
00:16:29
I don't want to say his most productive game of the year because he went for 2.
00:16:32
64 against Houston.
00:16:34
It's gonna be a tough on the top for over 150 160 yards total.
00:16:41
Yeah, dig it.
00:16:42
I dig it.
00:16:43
Yeah, just a lot of opportunities for him to do.
00:16:44
Well, uh, if I'm not mistaking, I think that this is supposed to be a little windier than we thought out in Cincinnati.
00:16:52
But, you know, nonetheless, you're not gonna be throwing the ball deep against Tennessee.
00:16:58
And again if the Tennessee is gonna be running the football.
00:17:01
That's, you know, that's first downs all day, every day.
00:17:03
So I do like the over which you here.
00:17:05
Obviously, I do like Cincinnati, plus the six.
00:17:08
I don't know how much I'm gonna invest into it, but I think, you know, maybe I'll make it is part of a parlay.
00:17:14
It's just, you know, obviously the Titans are the better team.
00:17:17
Have I wouldn't mind maybe a teaser or taking Cincinnati with the points like you said in a parlay, because they do play their games close? Yeah, absolutely.
00:17:29
On again.
00:17:30
All that. All that throwing.
00:17:32
It's good for fantasy folks.
00:17:33
When you get in completions that stops the clock, that means more opportunities.
00:17:37
So I'm absolutely loving that right? Alright, Cincinnati on all of their losses.
00:17:43
Or I think, yeah, all five of their losses by fewer than six points.
00:17:47
Very nice.
00:17:48
Very nice looking borough.
00:17:50
The borough affect my friends, all right.
00:17:52
From one rookie quarterback to the other.
00:17:54
Let's do the Rams and the Dolphins Ramps.
00:17:56
Three point favorites down in M. I.
00:17:58
A, uh minus 1 75 on the money line for the Rams.
00:18:01
If you think the Dolphins gonna pull the upset.
00:18:03
It's plus 1 65 for you.
00:18:05
We got a total and 46 here, another game where the weather should not matter too much.
00:18:10
And I talked about all this weather.
00:18:11
We haven't talked about one game with ****ty weather yet, but it's the two, uh, debut.
00:18:16
Uh, the era is finally here from Miami Dolphins fans, probably the biggest hype of excitement they've had since Dan Marino started tossing the pigskin down there.
00:18:26
But how do you What do you think about this matchup? Because it's not easy for two, but he's got Aaron, Donald and Jalen Ramsey, two of the best he's going against.
00:18:34
I am.
00:18:35
This is another one I wrote up and I liked me under in this game.
00:18:39
I don't know if I'm going to touch the totals, and if I do, I'm gonna take I mean, I don't I'm gonna touch you the spread.
00:18:45
And if I do, I'm gonna take the, you know, the Rams giving the points.
00:18:49
But the under in this game you have to defense's that are playing extremely well right now, I think.
00:18:56
Miami they started off a little bit slow with that defense is coming together.
00:19:00
The Rams defense is playing outstanding.
00:19:02
And both of these offenses, you have two of starting his first game, so you don't know we're going to get there.
00:19:08
And Jared Goff historically struggles against good defense is so I think, points, we're gonna be hard to come by.
00:19:14
Yeah, you know, just the way that Miami is gonna This is new, right? You've got a new quarterback.
00:19:19
When I saw two, uh, against the Jets in that mop up duty, I'm not gonna lie, man.
00:19:24
I'm not impressed and I don't I don't think he is going to be a top flight quarterback.
00:19:30
I think he could be fine.
00:19:31
I think he can move the chains every now and again once he starts getting some more reps under him.
00:19:35
But I think he's very overmatched here.
00:19:37
Well, you know Miami is actually giving up the third fewest points per game.
00:19:42
The Rams are giving up the second fewest points per game, and here's the puzzling thing.
00:19:47
I know it's the right move organizationally to go to it at the bye week, so we have time to prepare.
00:19:52
But Miami was actually outscoring the Rams with Ryan Fitzpatrick with Ryan Fitzpatrick 26.
00:19:58
7 points per game scored, which was 12th in the NFL, where the Rams were 18.
00:20:03
Yeah, I know I, as a former are as as a box fan.
00:20:09
You know, seeing my former guy 50 man.
00:20:11
I love watching the guy, of course, fifties.
00:20:13
Everybody's former guy if, yeah, I know, but a little, little more special Bay.
00:20:18
But he, you know, obviously, for for stats and things like that.
00:20:22
But obviously, you know, one the winds and stuff.
00:20:24
Now I think we got the right guy down in Tampa.
00:20:27
He's pretty good, but I hated to move.
00:20:31
You know, this is a Miami team that could seriously make some noise in the division we're seeing the Bills kind of slept up, and they got a game against the Patriots this weekend, which we're gonna get to, but that, you know, that's another point where they control I legit.
00:20:42
Think that Miami had a chance to win this division this year? I don't think it's gonna happen now with two.
00:20:47
I just I don't think that he is the guy at this time, you know, if you wanted to give him the whole year.
00:20:53
I don't like the raw emotion.
00:20:55
I think we're Yeah, I don't think that this is a very strong guy and we know his body frame.
00:21:00
A couple Aaron Donald hits Man, You could just put him into a new way.
00:21:03
Said the same thing about Kyler.
00:21:05
Murray e don't know e, but I love the athleticism.
00:21:11
I know he could, you know, he's very elusive and get away.
00:21:14
And, you know, I knew that he would be a good slider, right? Like we're seeing this a lot at and he's so much more cautious than you know, throwing his body out there.
00:21:23
I mean, you bring up Miami in that division, we all thought Buffalo was going to control it, but in the recent weeks, that offense doesn't look good.
00:21:32
The defense isn't looking too great, and they're a team that's supposed to be built to run the football and play defense, and they're really a passing unit this year.
00:21:40
New England's terrible.
00:21:41
The Jets are terrible.
00:21:43
Miami If they would have stuck with Ryan Fitzpatrick, I think they would be challenging for the division.
00:21:48
Come weeks 6 18 weeks 17 and now, with two uh, it's like, Are you packing it in? Or do you actually believe that, too? We can get the job done? Oh, no.
00:21:58
They believe they absolutely believe in to, uh I just I don't believe in those beliefs.
00:22:03
They have a personnel.
00:22:05
Yes, absolutely, they don't Absolutely.
00:22:08
I just kinda I honestly like this is gonna be a very weird comparison, but just kind of how indie does with Philip Rivers, like he's got no arms strike.
00:22:16
And I think it really holds him back.
00:22:18
And and with Miami, I think could have let that you know, loose with 50 for the year and see where it went.
00:22:23
But yeah, I think that they're taking a step back.
00:22:26
Unpopular opinion.
00:22:27
Sorry, but the man stood behind five star athletes his entire career at my at Alabama.
00:22:34
So, uh, I'm ready to save another prophet that I wrote up in this game.
00:22:41
Cooper Cup, loving the over in receptions and receiving yards.
00:22:45
Reason being He's got a fantastic matchup against Nick Needham, who a lot of people have been picking on this season off the top seven highest receiving totals against the Dolphins this season. Five.
00:22:58
All those guys were slot receivers for If you don't want to count Stefon Diggs is when I know he lines up in the slot, probably about 27% of the time. Something right there.
00:23:07
So we'll say 4.
00:23:08
5 for the seven receivers have done it have been slot receivers.
00:23:13
Yeah, they've been gassed by the slot receiver all year, and Cooper Cup is coming off a few games that are not really Cooper Cup like, but if you go back the last year, it kind of matches up because Cooper Cups pretty inconsistent, especially in fantasy.
00:23:26
But this is a bounce back game, I think. Jared Goff.
00:23:29
I don't love the matchup for Jared Goff, but I think there's no one to target Cooper cut early and often to try to get this offense going.
00:23:37
Yeah, one other thing that I the aspect of the game here so again cup, who is leading the Rams and targets and yards? Uh, you know, still, despite being very inconsistent, uh, you know, this is the Rams who are coming across the country for one o'clock game, right? Like it's it's highly possible that it takes them a little while to get going in this one.
00:23:59
So if that is the case on again, we're seeing a pretty decent amount of money on Dolphins money line in this one, So that could be interesting as well.
00:24:07
But I do think that the Rams will be in better positions to pass now again.
00:24:13
The running game for them against the Dolphins is a fantastic matchup.
00:24:16
That's how they do wanna win the game.
00:24:17
But you know, if that doesn't work, you know, I think that there are a couple of avenues to to success for this one, even again if it starts working.
00:24:25
Cooper Cup on play action, guys. Fantastic.
00:24:27
Now that's one prop I've been right up.
00:24:29
Darryl Henderson over 60.
00:24:31
5 rushing yards.
00:24:33
He's had at least 14 carries in four out of the past five games.
00:24:38
I know Malcolm Brown.
00:24:39
He had 10 carries last week, but he hasn't had double digit carry since week two.
00:24:44
Right when Darryl Henderson started picking it up, and I think this is a game if you're gonna attack that Miami defense, it is against that front seven, because their secondary is eggs.
00:24:52
Abyan Howard, Uh, you know Byron Jones, A really good players there, But I think this is a game of Darryl Henderson.
00:24:58
Hey, gets back on track a little bit after a disappointing week.
00:25:02
Seven, I think Henderson did hit his rushing prop, but it was a laughably low numbers, so I believe it was 52.
00:25:11
I wrote it up for the Monday night game, but but, yeah, I mean, hey, you know what? At least you got Cam acres out of the mix.
00:25:18
He's just been virtually non existent now, so that a one down, one to go right? It's almost like if you think back to Darryl Henderson's rookie year last year, he was barely used.
00:25:29
And I feel like maybe this is how we're going to see Sean McVeigh utilized rookie backs where they're going to sit.
00:25:35
And maybe cam makers gets going next year.
00:25:37
Because right now Darryl Henderson is in his second year, was barely whose last year, and he's breaking out.
00:25:43
But this year, forget about cam makers.
00:25:45
Yeah, Aziz, you mentioned.
00:25:48
You know, this is just an absolutely fantastic matchup.
00:25:51
When we look in terms of its statistically, the Rams do have the number one DDO a run offensive league while the Dolphins run defense dead last in the same category.
00:26:02
So tha All right, let's get to the next one here.
00:26:06
I Really This is probably the one game I think has the most wasted talent, uh, on on the slate.
00:26:12
But the cult of the lions, Uh, Colts minus three.
00:26:15
Getting a decent amount of money here on we're seeing minus 1 50 on the money on the line for them if you think that three points is too much for the Lions plus 1 40 on the money line and we've got a total of 50.
00:26:26
5 on this game.
00:26:28
So the reason I say wasted talent number one.
00:26:31
You know, we were just talking about Philip Rivers, the guys throwing with, like, a with the cooked piece of zd out there, the guys drawing with that **** noodle arm.
00:26:40
So we got that, and then we got the lion's who have so much talent on the offensive end of the ball.
00:26:45
But they like toe.
00:26:46
They like to take their **** time doing so out there.
00:26:49
So the one profit that I wrote up this week for us odds will be Matt Stafford under passing yards to believe he was at minus Jesus.
00:26:58
I want to say minus 2 73 on behalf there for that one again.
00:27:02
You're going against the very good indeed defense there.
00:27:05
But, uh, we'll get to that in a minute.
00:27:07
What do you think? Here with the game.
00:27:08
Do you believe the money following the culture? You know, Detroit's hot right now.
00:27:15
They won a couple of games in a row.
00:27:17
They look like they're trending in the right direction.
00:27:19
Even a map.
00:27:20
Patricia Defense, which on two years as lions head coach in the first two years That has not showed up.
00:27:26
It actually looks like this Lions team is putting it together.
00:27:29
Now they're establishing to run a little bit more.
00:27:31
DeAndre Swift.
00:27:33
This is gonna be a tough matchup because this could be one of those games where Jonathan Taylor gets going.
00:27:38
I do not see a lot of passing production here, but what kind of baffles me is just 50 point over under with these two teams e I almost feel like it's a trap to take me over, uh, weeks, but jeez, it was very recently, uh, the Bangles at the cult.
00:27:57
I absolutely loved the under for the same exact reasons and that over basically hit in the first half.
00:28:04
But I'm definitely following you.
00:28:07
I'm picking up what you're putting down here with this one because I feel like the 50 point total.
00:28:12
It is way too much years.
00:28:13
Well, we see the Lions, right? Like they're they're kind of transitioning into this DeAndre swift phase, uh, lead third straight week, where he's out snapped Adrian Peterson and, uh, you know, just trying to get him going.
00:28:25
But I I have no faith in any of the any of the guys in this game.
00:28:30
I did see an interesting matchup advantage for T y Hilton in this one.
00:28:34
Uh, colts are coming off the bye.
00:28:36
So, uh, you know, what do you think about Hilton in this one? Did they finally work something up? Because he's a guy that needs that deep all and Philip Rivers ain't the one giving it to him.
00:28:46
I mean, Philip and fantasy Philip Rivers just borderline drop a bowl and I see him.
00:28:51
I played a lot of leagues.
00:28:52
I see him on waiver wire, there's and I'll pick him up and stash him, but I can't use them.
00:28:58
This isn't a great matchup.
00:28:59
For again.
00:29:00
I'm trying to find who I actually like to in this game in fantasy.
00:29:06
Um, I don't know about t y Hill and I you know d efs.
00:29:10
Maybe I'll put him in in a season long.
00:29:12
If I have better options, like I'm gonna go and start them over a t y Hilton, like I'd rather start Travis Foege, Um, over a t Y Hilton this week.
00:29:21
Interesting.
00:29:22
As far as this game betting wives, I like the lions money line over the points like, you know, at plus 1 35.
00:29:30
If it's gonna be close, I think Detroit wins it.
00:29:33
Yeah, we've kind of seen this line kind of waffle between, you know, 2.
00:29:37
5, 3 3.
00:29:38
5 a some points.
00:29:40
But, uh, yeah, I think the situation should be well for Detroit.
00:29:44
Now, the way that you attack Detroit is via the running back and again, man Johnson Taylor, Just in all the metrics, he's not shaping up toe what everybody thought it was gonna be.
00:29:54
Perhaps there's something to that thing getting fed like a given in college, you know, kind of wearing tearing on the legs there.
00:30:02
But, yeah, he has not been good at all.
00:30:04
And this is supposed to be, you know, one of the best offensive lines in football.
00:30:09
Yeah, I feel like the Colts haven't lived up to the hype.
00:30:13
You know, their defense had a lot of hype.
00:30:14
The line had a lot of hype, and Jonathan Taylor had a lot of hype, and it's just not coming to fruition.
00:30:20
And I think it starts and ends at the quarterback position.
00:30:23
Do you think the Colts would be better with Kobe Brissette? Possibly.
00:30:28
Yeah, if he's gonna throw the deep ball of T y because you're essentially that's here.
00:30:32
He did? Yeah.
00:30:33
You're essentially using T.
00:30:35
Y is a mannequin right now.
00:30:37
Okay, by the way, at mannequins, they do not make for good receivers.
00:30:41
Trust me, I know from when I was a little all right, before we get to the Patriots Bills game, let's get to know the promo.
00:30:47
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00:30:59
You get $500 back in sight credit when you use the promo code.
00:31:03
T s 500.
00:31:04
**** good deal.
00:31:06
All right.
00:31:07
A f c East.
00:31:08
This one is going to be interesting.
00:31:11
And we've already seen this total falling off a cliff.
00:31:13
But it's the Patriots at the Bills.
00:31:15
Bills open his 3 3.
00:31:17
5 point favorite through seeing them at four.
00:31:19
Right now, minus 200 on the money line.
00:31:22
Patriots plus 1 80 on the money line here in a matchup that they have done very well in.
00:31:27
Historically, we did see the total opening 45 a half, and then we saw it go to 44 a half and then 43 now down to 40.5.
00:31:36
And the reason why folks 66% chance of rain in this 1 20 mile an hour winds during game time.
00:31:43
Not a good situation.
00:31:45
And I gotta wonder, do you now? We did see Josh Allen in similar ****ty conditions at home against Casey a couple of weeks ago.
00:31:55
Do you think he gets off the schneid in this one final against the Patriots.
00:32:00
This has to be a bounce back game for Josh Allen because you know you always had the issue beating New England.
00:32:06
This isn't the same New England team and all, but if Bill Belichick has your number, he has your number.
00:32:12
This is a game that Buffalo should win there.
00:32:16
There's no reason why they don't walk away with the victory.
00:32:19
And this one Julian Animal, is heading to the Internet reserve list, I believe averages out.
00:32:24
Um, Demir Bird is your most experienced receiver that New England's gonna put on the field and Cam Newton on his face.
00:32:31
It was not playing well to begin with.
00:32:33
I don't know how New England's New England's gonna put points on the board.
00:32:37
Uh, I'm all in on Buffalo.
00:32:40
I'm all in on Josh Allen.
00:32:41
If you want to make a statement, if you're the Buffalo Bills and you want to say, Listen, you're you're dead and buried right now, this has to be a statement game.
00:32:50
Go put up 35 on this defense and blown out.
00:32:53
Yeah, I'm glad that we're in lineage here because, you know, a lot of people, I think, just kind of expected the Patriots toe win last week, right Where they're not gonna lose three games in a row.
00:33:06
They're not gonna, you know, 40 Niners.
00:33:09
No, I didn't expect They're not gonna have another flat tire in the Bill Belichick there.
00:33:15
Give me a break.
00:33:17
Right. Like this team socks right now.
00:33:19
I was never a big Cam Newton believer in the first place watching that game last week.
00:33:23
It looked like he was throwing the **** ball at the ground on purpose.
00:33:26
He looks like me in one of those r p o shooting games.
00:33:29
Right where you know, call of duty or something.
00:33:32
I don't play call of duty because I do nothing, but I shoot the air and I shoot the ground.
00:33:38
Right? That's what can do.
00:33:39
It looks like it's a quarterback right now, and I just don't see it get any better.
00:33:43
You just mentioned right there.
00:33:44
No element.
00:33:45
Uh, that's really bad, because guess what? They're not getting any production out of there.
00:33:50
Why? Out of their tight ends, either they have the fewest tight end production of football.
00:33:54
Uh, their best bet on offense right now is throwing screen passes that James White that's going to get old real quick.
00:34:00
So again, with the sloppy terrain, I don't think that's going to be any better for Newton.
00:34:04
I bet you, you know, a million bucks that we see a shift on a quarterback draws with him just doing this bull head, you know, down trying to push it 34 yards.
00:34:13
I don't see any sort of creativity.
00:34:15
Comes from the Patriots offense.
00:34:16
So absolutely go bills.
00:34:18
Go throw.
00:34:19
Somebody threw a **** full table.
00:34:21
Two.
00:34:23
What do you like any props in this game at all? Like maybe Cam New and Russian props camp.
00:34:29
It's all gonna be on camp.
00:34:33
I did not look at the props in this game.
00:34:35
I'm just salivating over Buffalo and I have been all week, but yeah, man, I I mean, you gotta go under.
00:34:44
Let's see here, player Russia, Cam Newton at 46 a half rushing yards.
00:34:51
Interesting number.
00:34:52
Vegas never makes it easy.
00:34:54
Why the hell would they? Uh um that I mean, I feel like that's something that could probably go over just given the nature off the game.
00:35:06
You know, I'm gonna be looking at Stefon Diggs props because there's a chance to step on.
00:35:11
Gilmore doesn't even play in this game and step on Gilmore six and the Patriots defense they want their secondary wasn't playing well to begin with anything.
00:35:19
Stefon Diggs, who had a monster game.
00:35:24
I like that. I like that.
00:35:27
The Gilmore issue. That's injury.
00:35:31
Yes.
00:35:32
I'll pull it up now.
00:35:34
Interesting.
00:35:35
Okay.
00:35:36
Um, yeah.
00:35:37
No, just because I have stuff on Gilmour's name was mentioned.
00:35:39
It's, um, trade rumors.
00:35:41
So, you know, if I'm the Patriots, I'd be like, No, he's all good, man.
00:35:46
He's good, but it would be interesting to see if they could move him, but yeah.
00:35:49
I mean, even if Gilmore does play, I think he'll be just fine.
00:35:52
I love to see John Brown back for the bills.
00:35:55
I did not see an update on him.
00:35:57
I think he really changes what the bad guys were able to do on offense.
00:36:01
I have a report from Ian Rapoport, NFL Network.
00:36:04
That guilt tweet is nia practice.
00:36:08
Interesting.
00:36:09
This was yesterday.
00:36:12
Yeah, the third today.
00:36:13
This report today.
00:36:15
Um, I ruled out and structural damage, but it could keep him out this week. Interesting.
00:36:22
Interesting that they're gonna move them if they're gonna try to trade him.
00:36:25
You don't want him to play and get hurt? Absolutely.
00:36:27
That deadlines coming up very soon, folks.
00:36:30
Yeah? What day? I It's coming up to its next.
00:36:34
It's next or Wednesday Coming up.
00:36:36
Right? Um, let's see here.
00:36:39
Ants good.
00:36:40
He uses Google to the best of his capabilities.
00:36:45
It's not.
00:36:46
It's not helping me out right now.
00:36:47
Oh, no, that's what I always say.
00:36:50
Like whenever I'm, you know, in a group of friends or whatever I'm like, man, I wonder what the best batting average or something was back in 94.
00:36:58
Like, dude, we got Google like, let's check it out right now.
00:37:01
November 3rd, November 3rd on Election Day.
00:37:04
Look at that.
00:37:05
Look at that.
00:37:06
So yeah, so I mean, look, I was already loving the bills.
00:37:10
That new bit of information certainly helps.
00:37:12
I wanna ask you to, because not the next game that we talked about, but the one after I've got a season long fantasy question in terms of quarterback who? I play a quarterback this week.
00:37:23
So we're gonna put a pin in Josh Allen for now.
00:37:26
We'll get back to him, but we both love the bills in this one.
00:37:29
Even despite, uh, do this being such a low total game, that probably ends up being better for the Bills.
00:37:35
What do you What do you think? Real quick before we go into the next game? Since they played in that real sloppy weather game against the Chiefs.
00:37:42
You think that helps him a little bit? What? The Buffalo Bills? Yeah, I kind of They know what to do now.
00:37:50
In that situation, you would hope, being professionals, you were able to deal with how to play in bad weather.
00:37:55
But the fact that it was recent Yeah, I do think it helps them.
00:37:58
The issue there is they don't have a running game.
00:38:02
That's what worries me about the bills.
00:38:04
Like there are leading Russia eyes Devin Singletary.
00:38:08
But Josh Allen isn't far behind him.
00:38:10
And in the past few games, Josh Allen has outrushed Zach Mawston, Devin Singletary combined.
00:38:16
Oh, you hate to hear that, folks.
00:38:18
If you're in the running back room, you really hate to hear that on.
00:38:22
Uh, yeah.
00:38:24
I mean, look, the way that Josh Allen was throwing the ball in that game against the chiefs, like I like granted he had a horrible completion percentage.
00:38:31
But I mean, I'm saying, like in terms of form and things like that, Like it wasn't a big struggle for him to throw the ball like he's still flicking it, you know, with the snap of a risk right there.
00:38:41
So I do think that that bodes well, Send the receivers.
00:38:44
Got to do a little better as well, but I just I feel comfortable seeing him in that rain game like Okay, like the Bills can move the ball in some form or fashion.
00:38:54
You know, I think what the Bills air doing here, and it's worrisome, especially for your fantasy football owner um, they are limiting Josh Allen's rushes.
00:39:06
And last year Josh Allen really started taking off with that.
00:39:09
And, you know, Week one, he went 14 57 and one.
00:39:12
I know we went from 11 61 last week, but in between Week one and Week seven, Josh Allen has had fewer than eight rushing attempts in every game, and that was just one game where he had a 434 and four in a four game stretch.
00:39:30
It want to turn Josh Allen into a pocket passer, and he is not a pocket passer.
00:39:36
And neither is Lamar Jackson.
00:39:37
Let's just hope they're saving it up for the end of the year, you know? And then my fantasy team benefits.
00:39:42
They're down in the long run, but also I wanna give a shout out, Thank you to scold back 28 send us a little tip.
00:39:49
Little thank you there so much.
00:39:50
Appreciate it.
00:39:51
Always, always glad when the viewers is charming in.
00:39:55
All right, let's get to the best NFL rivalry that we got the Steelers at the Ravens Ravens four point favorites in this one, shockingly minus 1 85 on the money line Uh, Steelers at plus 1 75 in this one.
00:40:09
We saw the total opened at 49 has since gone to 46 a half.
00:40:13
A lot of money heading towards the under in this one reason being we got a 58% chance of rain in this one, so that could benefit them.
00:40:23
Or maybe we start unleashing Lamar Jackson here a little more because of that.
00:40:28
Um, all right, so I'm sure my or your reaction to seeing the spread on this game at first probably shocked you like it did May.
00:40:38
What does that mean for this game going forward? Um, this is a really tough game to pick because you would think the Ravens, you know they're the better team.
00:40:48
And But even last year, without Big Ben thes games were close and Mason, Rudolph and Duck Hodges nearly beat that.
00:40:56
This this Ravens team that looks unstoppable at times in the regular season.
00:41:01
I am leaning towards taking Pittsburgh outright interesting, but you didn't like when you took a look at the line.
00:41:09
Were you shocked that the Ravens were favored by this one on? They keep in mind.
00:41:12
Steelers are undefeated a little bit, but again, if you look at the history of the Baltimore Ravens in the regular season under Lamar Jackson, they are.
00:41:24
I would say that they're the best team in football.
00:41:26
It is in the playoffs where this team falter.
00:41:30
So in the regular season, it doesn't surprise me that that that there that the spread is just much.
00:41:35
Yeah, uh, I'm just I'm thinking Morris, who is Pittsburgh beating outside of Tennessee Fair question.
00:41:44
And on the other side, who is Baltimore beating because their best game that they played against Kansas City.
00:41:51
They haven't beaten their best opponent either has.
00:41:56
No.
00:41:57
It's a fair point.
00:41:58
I mean, both teams have played the Eagles, and I believe both of the No.
00:42:02
The Steelers ended up covering late that one game.
00:42:05
Um, but yeah.
00:42:08
I mean, you're absolutely right.
00:42:09
You know, Pittsburgh look so dominant against another undefeated team at the time in Tennessee and then allowed them to kind of claw back.
00:42:16
But that's the Steelers M o.
00:42:18
They have allowed a lot of teams to do that.
00:42:19
So, uh, not totally.
00:42:21
I don't know.
00:42:22
I just I guess the number is more or less what surprises me, right? Like if I saw Ravens favored by 2.
00:42:28
5, I probably you know, bad and I and not even think twice about it.
00:42:31
But, um, 44 is just It's been ingrained in my memory all week, and I feel like because of that, the Ravens are going to do something miraculous and kind of kick the Steelers ass in this game.
00:42:45
That's what that four is telling me.
00:42:51
Yeah, I don't know.
00:42:52
I'm leaning Pittsburgh right now.
00:42:56
I want to believe may every every fiber of my being wants to take the Steelers in this game.
00:43:01
It's just four is very strange to May 11 profit that I wrote up for this game.
00:43:06
I went with James Connor under 61 a half rushing yards.
00:43:11
I know, I know.
00:43:12
Uh, Connor has been absolutely outstanding.
00:43:16
Uh, you know, I know this the guys on my **** fantasy team.
00:43:19
So I you know, I keep a close eye on him, but Baltimore, obviously one of the best run defense is here, so I think the and again, everything that we see with line, that's kind of really what forced my hand and going this route.
00:43:31
But I think that we're gonna I'm sorry.
00:43:35
I think Connor is gonna be in for a tough day here, both running that I'm gonna say both running backs.
00:43:40
You have Connor on one side.
00:43:42
If you have a three head monster on the other side.
00:43:44
If this game comes down to Big Ben versus Lamar Jackson and it's a close game in the fourth quarter, what do you trust more to win it right now? I'm gonna say big, bad man for sure.
00:43:57
But knowing what we know about the rain.
00:44:00
You know, that's that's gonna be a tough situation in terms of grip with Roethlisberger and whatnot, But Okay, look, if it's gonna rain, I mean, we saw Baltimore do pretty well.
00:44:09
They had a really bad rain game last year against San Francisco.
00:44:12
Uh, that was a game I felt I remember.
00:44:15
I took Baltimore pretty heavy in that one, and they didn't cover the spread, but, um, I think Baltimore and their style is probably built a little more for this.
00:44:23
Now, keep in mind to both.
00:44:25
Both teams have very good run.
00:44:27
Defense is, and we're going to see a rainy game.
00:44:30
Were any truth in that? Under 46 a half, though I might not touch the the total in this game because it's go.
00:44:40
Either way, both of these teams could put up a lot of points.
00:44:45
And both of these teams complained defense.
00:44:46
This is one total I'm gonna shy away from.
00:44:49
All right.
00:44:50
I think in general I'm gonna be just trying away from the I think the one with one player might go.
00:44:55
It is the under.
00:44:56
Ah, lot of money is heading that way.
00:44:57
So You know, I think some of those people know what they're talking about, but, uh, just in terms of the weather and how this could be kind of a muck up there at the at the offensive line, defensive line struggle.
00:45:09
Uh, that might be the way that I go, but believe me, it's not gonna be my favorite player of the week.
00:45:14
That's for **** sure from one play that is not my favorite player of the week to my favorite play of the week.
00:45:22
What a great said.
00:45:23
What we've got the Raiders at the Browns and this one.
00:45:26
Brown's favored by anywhere from 2.
00:45:29
5 to 3.5.
00:45:31
We'll just call it three for today.
00:45:33
Uh, Moneyline Big shift here.
00:45:35
Raiders went from plus 1 55 all the way down to plus 1 25.
00:45:40
A lot of money head in that direction as well, and the Browns are minus 1 28 on the money line here.
00:45:46
We're seeing the total fall off a cliff here to it opened at 55 a half.
00:45:50
We've seen some pretty big incremental jumps downward where it went from 55 a half to 52 a half.
00:45:57
Then we saw it go down to 50.5.
00:45:59
So I'm not sure what to do with this.
00:46:02
The rain here is gonna be a little bit of a factor. 30%.
00:46:05
They're not gonna be a monsoon like the other games.
00:46:07
But what? What are you looking at here? Because the Las Vegas Raiders, my bucks just clobbered last week, are my favorite bed of the week.
00:46:17
You know, I'm in.
00:46:18
I'm kind of leaning Cleveland here.
00:46:21
This'll game is a little bit closer than the record suggests, because Pittsburgh, I mean, Cleveland.
00:46:28
They have, like, five or six wins right now, Uh, Oakland's a 500 team, but I think Oakland's better than their record.
00:46:35
I don't know if Cleveland is as good as their record.
00:46:38
These teams match up extremely well.
00:46:40
Three defense is, is what has me going over here.
00:46:45
And I know the over being bet down right now.
00:46:48
But in five out of seven games, Cleveland's games have gone over, and in all of six games, Oakland's games are the Las Vegas Games have gone over, and I think I'm gonna bet the trend here with two offenses that can score points when they need to.
00:47:03
Yeah, I absolutely loved the over at 55 a half.
00:47:07
I was like, Oh, man. Again.
00:47:10
I saw a **** ton of money going in on the over very, very early so I could see this is interesting, right? So you know how you've been around the block? Obviously, you'll see a game from 55 it has such a big move that a game like this could wind up it.
00:47:26
I don't like 52 or something like that, right? So in that regard, I definitely love the over.
00:47:33
I mean, look, I liked it off the bat.
00:47:34
I don't think the rain is really gonna hurt my pride here.
00:47:37
And this one.
00:47:38
This is a game where two teams kinda, their strengths sort of work against the other's weaknesses.
00:47:44
So again, of course, um, you know Cleveland's gonna be able to run this ball against the Raiders.
00:47:50
Like no doubt about it.
00:47:51
Uh, Kareem Hunt is gonna be a very chocolate cious playing DFS this week.
00:47:56
The snap rate for him, of course, is just through the roof with no Nick Chubb and really no threat behind him either, for touches.
00:48:03
So, uh, in that regard works well.
00:48:06
But for the Raiders, where I think it's gonna work well, last week was just an absolutely crazy week for them.
00:48:11
No, not knowing what was going on with their offensive line.
00:48:14
And even with all that, they come out on fire.
00:48:16
They put up some points on the first drive against a very tough buck's defense.
00:48:20
And then it was a four point game in the fourth quarter against Tampa.
00:48:25
So, you know, to see that game wind up being a 25 point difference, little, uh, miss telling and what happened there at the end, they just totally unraveled.
00:48:33
Uh, they had a guy leave with an injury on the offensive line.
00:48:36
They had a guy get ejected on the offensive line.
00:48:39
So just everything that could go wrong for the Raiders late did.
00:48:43
But in this situation, I think they're gonna be able to do well, Josh Jacobs.
00:48:48
He hasn't really got going in a while, but it's really the biggest passing game that I like so much so you're gonna have some nice opportunities, but rugs and AGL or going deep gonna have Waller Renfro in the intermediate game there for the Raiders.
00:49:01
I think all those matchups work very well.
00:49:03
Them for their.
00:49:04
But remember, we put that pin in Josh Allen.
00:49:07
What do you think about going with Derek Carr over Alan this week? I think it's risky.
00:49:14
I still think Josh Allen brings a higher floor.
00:49:18
But Deborah Kerr, if you look what he's done, especially in his last three or four matchups over 20 fantasy points per game.
00:49:25
Yeah, this is the best ever car we've seen since his M V P year.
00:49:29
Or the year where it was trending in the M V P conversation and got her, You know Michael Crabtree.
00:49:35
And it was the other wide receiver.
00:49:37
Uh Cooper.
00:49:41
Yes.
00:49:42
Very good.
00:49:43
Better. You're a better man than I remember.
00:49:45
Uh, but yeah, absolutely.
00:49:47
Again, to like, this is, you know, cars got Nelson a Galore.
00:49:51
Now, who shocker.
00:49:53
He leaves the Eagles and he is just, you know, clicking on all cylinders.
00:49:57
I was watching something the other day where they said, you know, Philly used them so much in the slot, and just a lot of his speed wasn't really utilized there.
00:50:06
Now, on the outside, you could just go burn guys deep.
00:50:09
So having having those four receivers, uh, in not, you know, just a huge rainy situation like Josh Allen.
00:50:18
That's kind of where that you know, that that's where that Air B situation came in for May.
00:50:23
So, but again, I really, really love some points in this one, and certainly a lot more coming from the Raiders.
00:50:29
Um, what? Alright.
00:50:31
So Odell Beckham Jr out for the year? We're already starting to hear it.
00:50:35
Baker is better with that, Odell.
00:50:37
He's much better.
00:50:39
Do you believe that that will be the case going forward? I think there's gonna be less pressure on Baker Mayfield because maybe if Baker Mayfield wasn't feeling pressure from Odell, I feel like the coaching staff was trying to get the ball in Odell Beckham junior's hand early, whether it was trick plays or reverses or or, you know, like the the bubble screens just to get him involved, and that could be inhibiting Baker Mayfield.
00:51:05
I do think we can see a better Baker Mayfield, because in a rookie year without Odell, we've seen the best Baker Mayfield so far best, and if they ends up having if he ends up having a bigger year without Odell.
00:51:22
We've seen Odell's last play in Cleveland.
00:51:24
I think he's done.
00:51:26
Yeah, uh, gonna be an interesting week.
00:51:30
DFS wise.
00:51:31
You know, people's Jones Probably gonna be, you know, again, more chocolate. Delicious.
00:51:36
You're gonna probably see some Baker Hunt.
00:51:38
Uh, people Jones lineups out there.
00:51:43
Are you in un, Rashad Higgins? Because that's the player who is being picked up everywhere in fantasy right now.
00:51:50
Yeah, I think so. Higgins.
00:51:52
And the reason I remember him so well, very great career.
00:51:55
Colorado State.
00:51:56
It was just unbelievable receiver there.
00:51:59
You know what it was? It was all those, uh, late night Mountain West Conference DFS games back in back in the mid, uh, 20 tens out there where that would be, like, your last chance.
00:52:12
That money, but for NFL Sunday.
00:52:13
But, uh, yeah, I'm in on taking Higgins.
00:52:16
I absolutely agree with the whole thing of Odell kind of commanding targets, and, you know, we've seen it before with different quarterbacks.
00:52:24
Uh, you know, you got Beckham and Landry there and, you know, and Joe Coup and Hooper now, like there's a lot of guys commanding targets.
00:52:31
A lot of guys want the ball.
00:52:32
I think there's a lot of pressure kind of now off of Mayfield's plate in that regard, so should work out.
00:52:38
But yeah, to answer your original question.
00:52:41
Yeah, a lot of these grounds receivers Aaron play, especially Higgins and people's Jones stuff.
00:52:48
Alright, Alright, Uh, in that game? Uh, yes.
00:52:52
Oh, the one.
00:52:53
The one stat that I wanted to mention here to road teams this season.
00:52:57
That air at plus six or fewer? 27 12 against the spread.
00:53:01
Yes, very.
00:53:04
I did not see that one coming either.
00:53:05
All right, let's get Thio.
00:53:07
The last game of the one o'clock window.
00:53:09
It's the Vikings at the Packers.
00:53:11
We've got a slight chance of snow in this one, but it's gonna be pretty windy, probably about 2025 miles an hour.
00:53:16
During game time, Packers opened up a 6.
00:53:19
5 point.
00:53:20
Favorites went down.
00:53:21
Surprisingly, if 5.
00:53:22
5 on now we've money line for them minus 2.
00:53:27
55 for the Vikings, plus 2. 30.
00:53:30
Now, this is another one where we've seen the total drop, which kind of indicates where the weather is going so after opening is the highest total on the slate.
00:53:37
At 56 it has gone to 53 a half.
00:53:41
And then it made another huge drop, 10 to 50.5.
00:53:44
So a lot of money being bet on the under in that regard.
00:53:46
But with that being said about the total I, I feel like that says more about the Vikings not being able to do a lot A supposed to what the Packers can do.
00:53:56
I think the Packers are gonna be just fine.
00:53:58
Let's say you, I'm gonna go with the over and I like Green Bay to win this game outright.
00:54:04
Green Bay completely out matches Minnesota.
00:54:08
And last year Green Bay swept the Vikings and the Vikings were a playoff team.
00:54:12
And you know, Green Bay is already one week one, and I think they're gonna dominate this one.
00:54:17
Even if Dalvin Cook plays and Erin Jones does not play, I still think Green Bay runs away with it.
00:54:23
They have depth, that running back.
00:54:24
They have quality wide receivers.
00:54:26
And, of course, Aaron Rodgers is, you know, heading a little better than Kirk cousins do.
00:54:31
I think that this Minnesota Vikings offense can get going a little bit to cover the over.
00:54:36
Yes, A green base should win this one by two sports.
00:54:41
My jerkoff dog is biting the **** out of my rest right now.
00:54:46
So if I start shouting off Aaron Rodgers stats and yelling in the middle, that is why.
00:54:51
But no.
00:54:53
Look, I absolutely love the Packers and this one, I love them at the beginning, I think, uh, you know, I wrote up Rogers and Adams in the props this week.
00:55:01
This is just a situation that, you know, they're gonna be going back to him again.
00:55:05
Adams last three games against the Vikings.
00:55:08
He's gone for over 100 yards and all of those on again to man Vikings secondary.
00:55:13
A lot of a lot of ailing and a lot of absent this week.
00:55:16
So this is just another opportunity for Aaron Rodgers to do big things again.
00:55:21
And, you know, you know, just for that total keep going downward, downward downward, that is on that is squarely on the Vikings.
00:55:28
That is not on the Packers, the Vikings defense.
00:55:32
Overall, I was down on it in the off season.
00:55:35
They lost a lot of players.
00:55:37
They lost a lot of pieces in the secondary on that linebacker corps.
00:55:41
Ever since.
00:55:42
Griffin, the Dallas who's now in Detroit and then in season Anthony Bar, their best backer left standing.
00:55:49
He's done for the year on IR.
00:55:51
They're losing player after player, even Daniel Hunters on IR.
00:55:55
This defense is terrible, and Green Bay is gonna have their way with them.
00:55:59
Yes, indeed.
00:56:01
Alright, Well, e think we're pretty much in agreement there.
00:56:04
No need to beat a dead horse there.
00:56:06
Uh, gonna be a very tough matchup to for Adam dealing against Alexander.
00:56:10
So hoping Justin Jefferson can get off in this game although than that it's It's the Rogers Adams Jones show.
00:56:17
Hopefully again.
00:56:18
So let's rocker all.
00:56:19
Oh Jones I mentioned by the way he's playing this week, right? I think it's up in the air still.
00:56:26
I know Green Bay wants Thio be cautious with him.
00:56:29
So I think Erin Jones is up in the air.
00:56:33
Dalvin cook is trending in the right direction.
00:56:35
All right, all right.
00:56:37
Before we get to the Sunday four o'clock slate, go to bed 3 65.
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00:56:55
Okay, let's get into this four o'clock slates.
00:56:59
None of the games in the four o'clock sleep have any weather issues, so we don't even got a mention.
00:57:04
Whether they're good or not, just know that they'll be fine.
00:57:06
Uh, let's start with the Chargers at the Broncos in this one Chargers three point favorites in this one minus 1 62 on the money line for them Broncos plus 1 50 on the Moneyline total sitting at 44 a half.
00:57:20
So what? I've got really like no feelings toward this game whatsoever, But let's say you, this is a game.
00:57:27
After what the Broncos did or didn't do last week against against Kansas City.
00:57:31
I think Denver's a better team than what they put on display.
00:57:35
Those defensive touchdowns really put them in the whole.
00:57:37
You know, Patrick Mahomes didn't even have to do a lot.
00:57:40
As you said earlier, We're talking about Kansas City I think Chelsea had three receptions against a team that normally dominates.
00:57:47
I actually think this is a game Denver can win outright, despite what they get.
00:57:52
Last week, they played most of their opponents really close, including the good ones like Pittsburgh and Tennessee on the charges.
00:57:59
They're giving away a lot of games.
00:58:01
We've seen them at Leeds, and those leads were given away late.
00:58:05
Makes me question.
00:58:07
Anthony went a little bit and I'm gonna take Denver.
00:58:10
I'm gonna take Denver and Moneyline.
00:58:11
I love that.
00:58:13
Like under I know that Drew locker Drew locker Drew Lock Drew lock. True.
00:58:20
There's, like myself taken absolute bloodbath on Twitter.
00:58:23
But now I Look, I love Drew Lock.
00:58:25
I think that he is a guy that eventually we'll get it together.
00:58:29
We saw what he could do last year, but this is a pretty decent match up against the the charges here, right? If they could protect him up front, I think that this is gonna be, you know, sort of a fruitful day for them, if you will.
00:58:42
Uh, we saw the line open minus 2.
00:58:45
5 of the chargers.
00:58:46
Uh, I do like when you know these road team.
00:58:50
They're not necessarily the three, right? We talk about that.
00:58:52
Number three being the number of death.
00:58:54
I you know, I think that that's leaving some optimism here.
00:58:57
Open to don't forget Denver.
00:58:59
You know, regardless of what you saw the Chiefs do their last week, it's still one of the toughest places to play in the NFL.
00:59:06
Denver, They got to stay the week at home last week.
00:59:09
They didn't have to do any sort of travel, so that puts him in a spot of concert spot of comfort ability.
00:59:16
Here to, uh, you got an update on Phillip Lindsay this week.
00:59:20
Is he gonna be in there? Um, Lindsey is up in the air.
00:59:24
I know he's dealing with an injury he has in practice.
00:59:28
So if Lindsay doesn't go, we're going to see Royce Freeman.
00:59:30
And, of course, Melvin Gordon. Dominique.
00:59:32
Oh, it's Revenge week, isn't it? Of course.
00:59:36
How do you like uh oh, my goodness, I Yeah, he's Lindsay is in a concussion protocol, and he did not practice up until yesterday.
00:59:46
And I think if he doesn't get out of the protocol today, it's gonna put him in danger of missing Sunday.
00:59:51
Alright.
00:59:52
Um, all right, So yeah, I think Bronco, is there any profits, anything of that nature? I didn't really dig into the used ones yet, But if Phillip Lindsay is out, I'm gonna take any profit I could get from Melvin Gordon.
01:00:06
Okay, Just on the ranking, I saw Jerry.
01:00:09
Judy had a good matchup.
01:00:10
If people are interested in that, I kind of saw that passing buys.
01:00:14
Uh, you know, I don't I don't know exactly how it goes, but definitely keep an eye out for that.
01:00:20
Uh, probably the biggest game.
01:00:23
What am I talking about? The second biggest game of the four o'clock window.
01:00:27
It'll be the Saints that the Bears saints.
01:00:29
My opened at minus three.
01:00:31
So I go down to 2.
01:00:32
5, so I come back up.
01:00:33
So, four. A lot of that.
01:00:35
Because of what the Bears produced on Monday night football, which was absolutely Jack **** on the money line in this one ST.
01:00:42
Now there's been a huge increase.
01:00:44
Their for the saints, minus 1 50 is where they opened minus 2.
01:00:47
10 is where they're at the bears.
01:00:49
Plus 1 30 is where they opened, plus 200 is where they're at right now.
01:00:54
So I mean, gotta, by the way, total to dropped off a cliff Here, 47 is where it opened.
01:01:01
43 a half is where it is with the money on the under going that way.
01:01:05
So based off those numbers, you're feeling states under like I am.
01:01:11
Yeah, there's gonna be a low scoring match up anytime Chicago's involved.
01:01:14
I'm probably gonna buy into the under and the Saints.
01:01:17
Let's face it, is their offense playing like we're used to seeing? And I know there were a short handed no Michael Thomas most of the year.
01:01:25
Emmanuel Sanders is now gone, but they still have album.
01:01:28
Camara, who's an elite running back, and Drew Brees is just starting to show those signs of aging.
01:01:34
And he started showing them the past couple of years in January at the worst possible times.
01:01:39
And I think now we're starting to see it in the regular season.
01:01:43
Yeah, I mean, we we we talk in terms of air yards, right? One of these fancy new NFL metrics, Drew Brees, certainly down at the bottom, I believe you know he's averaging something like 556 yards per pass throughout the air.
01:02:01
So, you know, if you've watched the same game, you don't need those metrics to tell you this guy is just not throwing the ball down the field.
01:02:07
He's just he's getting older, and he certainly doesn't have that aspect to his game anymore, So yeah, absolutely.
01:02:12
But I guess the Bears man like this is sort of a game where you kind of just chop them up with the run.
01:02:18
I think you know Kamara is gonna play a big part.
01:02:21
And, of course, you know lattes.
01:02:22
Murray is the guy that they can kind of go in there and pound in while the weather is not gonna be awful in Chicago, you know, Certainly not with the Saints.
01:02:29
Love where they're at their best, right? Where, where you know they're they're used to playing in the dome and being comfortable.
01:02:35
Um, the one thing I can the one, I guess factor that I could give out there for the Bears is just that, you know, absolutely.
01:02:44
Getting embarrassed on Monday night has its perks in terms of coming back the next week.
01:02:48
So four points, I I could certainly lean to Chicago there.
01:02:53
Um, but this is probably gonna be a game that I stay away from all together.
01:02:58
Maybe I throw saints money line in the parlor or something like that, but I just don't feel comfortable.
01:03:03
Thea under, though with the movement there.
01:03:05
And it makes sense, right? Like, you know, the bears aren't really gonna big play to death.
01:03:10
Of course, Allen Robinson can have a nice day, you know, catching the football if you play.
01:03:16
But yeah, Overall, I think under 43 is where I'm really looking at.
01:03:21
Yeah, I like me under here and I don't know, Chicago.
01:03:26
That money lining does entice me there at home.
01:03:29
They have a really good defense, but I think the Saints should just outmatch them.
01:03:34
I also think this is a game where we might see Mitchell Travis Key if Nick Foles doesn't play interesting.
01:03:41
Interesting.
01:03:42
I mean, Nick Foles they were to wind up with Stravinsky when they made the move.
01:03:45
The falls that is charged.
01:03:47
Yep.
01:03:49
Yeah, it's a tough situation there for Robiskie.
01:03:51
Nobody is not gonna be there.
01:03:52
Uh, maybe they go and get you know Ryan Fitzpatrick.
01:03:55
Oh, my goodness.
01:03:58
There Do you think he will be moved? Do you think Miami wants to keep him? As I think they should keep? Ryan puts Patrick because of two.
01:04:05
It doesn't work again.
01:04:06
This is This is a playoff team.
01:04:08
They could potentially go win this division.
01:04:10
Yeah, in Miami.
01:04:12
Okay, fair enough. Fair enough.
01:04:15
I wouldn't move.
01:04:16
Uh, let's get to the headliner in the four o'clock window.
01:04:20
It's the 40 Niners at the Seahawks.
01:04:22
Uh, Seahawks favored by three.
01:04:24
In this one. We got the money line.
01:04:26
Uh, Seahawks minus 1. 44.
01:04:28
40 Niners at plus 1.
01:04:30
35 total is at 50 for with the money heading towards the over in this one.
01:04:36
Uh, I've got some.
01:04:38
I've got some San Francisco love in this one for sure.
01:04:40
How about you have I've been on San Francisco, I think the pain on my co host on my show, he's a big 40 Niners fan and a couple of weeks ago, I think it was against the Rams, and they were you know, Frisco was coming off that bad loss to, um, Miami and I was all in on the 40 Niners coming out right.
01:04:59
I took the 40 Niners over the Patriots out right? And I think the 40 Niners, they're going to do it again outright over Seattle because Seattle cannot play defense and Seattle, it seems like outside a week one every one of their games is coming down to the wire, and they're asking Russell Wilson to do something special.
01:05:19
And eventually, you can't ask.
01:05:22
You can't ask one guy to keep doing it week after week after week, especially against the quality, uh, opponent like San Francisco.
01:05:31
Who knows you, don't you? The absolute.
01:05:35
And I'm pretty sure that Arizona just gave everybody the blueprint Han on how to defend Russell Wilson.
01:05:42
Let's just what's the **** out of this guy? I mean, they had absolutely no answer for for Arizona once they started bringing the house at him.
01:05:50
Obviously, you know, forced him into a couple of really bad turnovers in that game, things that we haven't seen from Russell Wilson before.
01:05:57
So, you know, one of the things that kind of jumped out to me when I saw this and seeing a lot of love for the over to I am not putting another multi interception game pass.
01:06:09
Russell Wilson Here I think San Francisco knows them well enough, and this is gonna put the offense and some nice field position place here When I see so much money going toward the over.
01:06:18
I mean, yeah, sure.
01:06:20
Seattle can can move the football, but I don't I don't look at San Francisco in that way.
01:06:25
I look at them is sort of a team that could could chew it up.
01:06:28
And, you know, they're in that sort of a weird situation this week to know Deebo.
01:06:32
Samuel, he's gonna be out for the next couple of weeks.
01:06:34
And Raheem Mostert, of course, still gonna be out.
01:06:37
But Jeff Wilson and Tevin Coleman? Yes, in addition to all the other guys that they already lost.
01:06:43
But ah, guy that I picked up in season long on the waiver wire to Michael Hasty.
01:06:48
He's a guy who is very exciting.
01:06:50
Niners have nothing but great things to say about this guy.
01:06:53
And if you saw the game against the Patriots this week, you know the kind of explosiveness that this guy has, uh, something that they're gonna miss a beat.
01:07:01
Their think, of course, they have to give McKinnon there his touches just because But Hasty is the guy that's really going to get the production here, The bigger issue for either one of these teams.
01:07:12
That running back Chris Carson.
01:07:14
You know, e think they're going to call him a game time decision.
01:07:17
And if he is active, maybe it's an emergency role.
01:07:20
I just don't see him playing.
01:07:21
I don't know if Carlos Hyde is gonna play Travis Homers banged up and we could see D.
01:07:26
J.
01:07:27
Dallas a rookie carry the load here.
01:07:29
And if you make Seattle one dimensional, I do think San Francisco is gonna win this game.
01:07:36
Yes, sir, I love it.
01:07:37
Tyler Lockett.
01:07:38
Last week, 15 catches, 200 yards and three touchdowns in that one.
01:07:43
This has to be Metcalfe we coming back, right? Because diners air probably gonna put everything they have into stopping Lockett.
01:07:51
You would think so, But if it is Metcalfe week The last time these two teams played Metcalfe 6 81 and won the first game that they've ever played against each other because you know Metcalf's rookie here? He went for six for 70.
01:08:05
I don't know if you want to make it a metcalf e interesting where you know Tyler Lockett in his career.
01:08:14
He's played well against San Francisco, but he's never really let him up.
01:08:18
Three out of, Like, what? Eight year or three out of his past six games with double digit fantasy points and the other three were pedestrians.
01:08:27
Okay, right, right.
01:08:31
Uh, yeah.
01:08:32
So, again, diners there, That would be a huge what do you? All right, let's talk about this, too, because it's pretty.
01:08:38
It's got mold.
01:08:39
It's got a lot of pieces here, right? So Russell Wilson, I think everybody, uh, probably even the bill probably expected him to win the NFL MVP award.
01:08:49
If the Niners do indeed win this game, would you think about maybe taking a maybe a little bit of a longer shot on somebody with the M V p yachts? Um, maybe.
01:09:03
But you see that diabolical thinking right there? You gotta love it.
01:09:06
****s gotta love it.
01:09:09
There's no there's a player I had in mind, and I completely drew a blank right now.
01:09:14
Derrick Henry was something O Ryan Tech Extra time.
01:09:20
How the hell would be my pivot? See, folks, it's not just games props. It's everything.
01:09:26
Benvenuti Ben Jr.
01:09:28
Oh my God, So, yes, let's get into Sunday.
01:09:32
Tonight it is the Bend.
01:09:34
DeNucci lead Cowboys at the Philadelphia Eagles Eagles 9.
01:09:37
5 point favorites in this one minus 3 85 on the money line, plus 3 50 on the money line for the Cowboys.
01:09:43
I'm seeing the total right now at 43 42% chance rain in this game, so it could be mocked up a little bit.
01:09:50
But I think the fact of the matter remains, you said it all. Ben DeNucci.
01:09:54
I got no faith in the guy.
01:09:56
I saw a little bit of Ben DeNucci against the football team last week, but not impressed.
01:10:02
I just how unimpressed Aria and I think Philly's gonna smash Dallas, and I'm a Cowboys fan.
01:10:10
I give them zero shot I actually love.
01:10:14
I forgot to touch down for Philly's defense.
01:10:19
I'm gonna be all over that.
01:10:21
They're going to swallow up Ben DeNucci in this one. We won't even see Cooper.
01:10:26
Russia was just signed back to the practice squad.
01:10:29
What what's the odds on that? The double touchdown? I mean, I could pull it up.
01:10:35
It's probably a little less favorable than we're used to seeing.
01:10:39
But if people could pull that up now, if people hit that, can they be comfortable taking off of work next week? Probably.
01:10:46
Well, actually, you'd probably have to take the following week off because you can't just say, Hey, boss, I'm taking this week off on Sunday night, you know? Yeah, I don't even I don't.
01:10:56
There's no player props out for this yet.
01:10:58
There's no touchdown props yet. All right.
01:11:01
One prop that I did see.
01:11:03
And I'm kind of, you know, gonna backtrack on it now, possibly a little bit.
01:11:07
I went with Carson Wentz over passing yards, so I believe he was at Jeez, I want to say to I gotta pull the article up again, but, uh, he cheese.
01:11:19
I want to say to, let's say to 65 for ****s and giggles, but I expected this to just be a uh Oh, here we go. I'm sorry.
01:11:28
To 55 for the past.
01:11:29
Er, Carson, once, uh, I expect the eagles to use this game as a you know, hear me roar.
01:11:38
We are the champions of the n f c.
01:11:40
East type of type of situation, right? Like you don't get to just beat up on Dallas on national TV quite often.
01:11:47
So I think there's an opportunity that they certainly wanna, you know, take by the horn and roll with it and, you know, again, just bend a new chief.
01:11:55
That's all you got to say, folks, If you think he's gonna lead this team toe to a bunch of points against the Eagles or any points against the Sea Eagles defense, you're sorely mistaken.
01:12:05
What if he What if Dallas wins? Like, what does that say about Philly? What does it say about anything like, I don't know anything can happen And Ezekiel Elliott, still a Nall eat player, and Carson Wentz doesn't always played his best football.
01:12:22
When I don't know, I love filling Dominy, but if there is, that chance in Dallas is showing us that they traded ever since Griffin and they released on Terry Po.
01:12:33
They're trying to tank this season, but I just don't trust anything.
01:12:37
I think Washington And ultimately, when is this Division when it's all said and done? My goodness, um, I have a lot of friends that went toe James Madison University, where, uh, DeNucci is from.
01:12:50
So this is in no way a a Smackdown because everybody knows James Madison, one of the more intellectual universities out there.
01:12:58
But the uptick in competition that Mr DeNucci saw James Madison compared to what he will be saying on Sunday night is just an absolutely it's a galaxy apart.
01:13:11
So, did you see the first throw last week against Washington? I think he threw it to Cooper, and it was like, Wow, that was great.
01:13:18
And then you got swallowed.
01:13:20
E no, I remember because I saw it.
01:13:26
I was like, Wow, like, Do they really have something here that that's amazing.
01:13:31
Like, is this gonna be another Tony Romo? Yeah, right.
01:13:35
Andy Dalton is officially ruled out, right? Like there's no way you can play.
01:13:40
I don't think it's official yet, but even if Andy Dalton plays, I give them zero hope.
01:13:47
Yeah, so I'm playing.
01:13:49
I would say, like, you know, plus 10 or something like that.
01:13:52
I think you could You could obviously make the case.
01:13:54
I mean, keep in mind.
01:13:55
I mean, we were talking about the bank for 13 points without that Prescott.
01:14:00
Ah, Jesus.
01:14:02
I mean, it's It's such a shame, too, because you have all these talented wide receivers.
01:14:06
You got Zeke who who has done very well against the Eagles over the course of his career.
01:14:12
So, you know, perhaps they could get that thing going, But I'm sorry.
01:14:17
I just think it's gonna be too much.
01:14:18
Um, I'm really upset with the rain now, you know, because I really thought this was gonna be a nice coming out party for Carson Wentz.
01:14:24
Nice little, you know, to to 83 touchdowns, sort of game, maybe even throw of rushing touchdown in there.
01:14:32
But with with that being the case with the rain, I think that this this is I'd love to take the under here.
01:14:38
I just think it's gonna be very sloppy and very just very minuscule movement of the football down the field, so I can't get up.
01:14:48
All right to Monday night shall be for the grand finale.
01:14:52
We shall.
01:14:53
This is going on in our neck of the woods.
01:14:55
Where Jersey boys, folks, Thea, my Tampa Bay Buccaneers, uh, coming here to MetLife Stadium to face the New York football Giants Buccaneers.
01:15:04
Favored by 11.
01:15:05
5 points in this one money line on all the way at minus 6.
01:15:09
70 Giants on the money line there.
01:15:11
Plus for 80.
01:15:12
We got a total that has been taken downwards to, Whereas it opened at 40 47 points, five has dropped to 46 then now down to its current total of 45.
01:15:23
So this will be Tom Brady on my foot.
01:15:29
I'm very upset because I would have been to this key game with bells and whistles on.
01:15:34
Had it not been for Cove it, I would have tried so hard.
01:15:37
My girlfriend actually has a trip through a free trip that she can use to work, supposed to go down in Orlando.
01:15:43
But obviously everything with Covitz stop.
01:15:45
That really was gonna try to parlay that into Bradys home opener.
01:15:49
But whatever.
01:15:51
All for not in this game, I can't I can't see the Giants, you know, and Danny Jones hanging on to the football too often in this one.
01:16:01
Granted, the you know, the total moving downwards kind of tells you that story.
01:16:06
But even with the three extra days of preparation and this is going to be an absolute uphill battle for the Giants, I don't give the Giants and any type of a shot here the way Tampa Bay, it was winning football games.
01:16:21
I mean, they had a close one against the Chargers.
01:16:24
That was, you know, a seven point victory.
01:16:27
They've been winning all of their games by double digits this year.
01:16:30
Thank you, Joshua Kelly, for that fumble.
01:16:33
By the way, in the Chargers game that totally turned the tide when the Bucks were down 24 7. But yeah.
01:16:39
I mean, it has been so fun, you know, as somebody who kind of went out on Sundays and yeah, the Tampa game might have been in the corner with Jameis Winston doing dumb **** all over the field.
01:16:50
But now, with Brady, it's It's an event it is.
01:16:52
Must see TV.
01:16:54
Uh, just the way that the defense is playing.
01:16:56
I think this is probably, uh, the biggest factor to the game here.
01:17:00
Danny Jones.
01:17:01
Just we know that this guy is not good at holding on the football.
01:17:04
The the amount of Blitzer's at Tampa Bay is gonna bring his way.
01:17:08
Just the big push that you're gonna get up front from the Dhamma con Su Stevie McClendon getting his feet wet on the pirate ship last week.
01:17:16
Finally, uh, that was great to see in place of it of a But this is just a massive mismatch on the defensive line, uh, of Tampa Bay going to the Giants offensive line.
01:17:27
And, you know, again, just look at the spread, man.
01:17:30
We're here a double digits for the for the away team in this game.
01:17:33
You don't see that too often? No.
01:17:36
You know, to your point on Daniel Jones.
01:17:38
I mean, he loves to give away.
01:17:40
He loves the turnover, especially when pressure in his face.
01:17:43
And I don't even know if Tampa Bay has to send any pressure.
01:17:46
I think they could send their, you know, just send their therefore rusher.
01:17:50
And this is a Jason Paul Pierre Paul revenge game, too.
01:17:54
I think this is another game where if you're gonna take a touchdown proper defense to score, I think Tampa Bay defense finds the end zone in this one.
01:18:10
I think the dog knocked out your mike.
01:18:22
I can't hear you
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Taking Sides, presented by US-Odds.com | Twitter: Taking_Sides

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Taking Sides w/ Al Walsh & Pauly Parlays @Taking_Sides
Taking Sides Podcast

Transcript hideup

00:00:01
Friday.
00:00:02
Welcome times in the host out, Walsh.
00:00:05
Nobody parlays today gonna be joined by Anthony Savino, who was with us last week providing so much good content on the pod.
00:00:12
And, of course, gonna be able to check out his writing before you do.
00:00:16
So make sure you check out at the rial NFL guru.
00:00:20
You can follow myself out at 14.
00:00:22
8 walls.
00:00:23
You could follow the show at taking sides.
00:00:25
You know, we'll even give one the Paul even though he's not here at game day. Vax.
00:00:29
Make sure you check him out.
00:00:30
There s so we've got a nice little slate on hand for week eight of the season.
00:00:36
Whether it's gonna play a major factor this week.
00:00:38
If you saw a lot of these totals, drop him right off a cliff.
00:00:42
That's that's probably why right there the weather, But, uh and glad to have you on the show here.
00:00:48
Just not real quick.
00:00:49
You let people know where they could find your work? Yeah, You could follow me on Twitter at the real NFL.
00:00:54
Guru on.
00:00:55
My podcast is at the FF face off.
00:00:56
We could be found at all the top social media and podcast platforms.
00:01:00
I'm a head writer at gridiron experts dot com on and also right sports betting content over at the game day NFL and in the Fantasy Pro's expert consensus rankings.
00:01:11
Currently ranked around 34,000 year.
00:01:14
Very nice.
00:01:15
Very nice. Thes people better be paying you well.
00:01:17
I mean, if they're not, they need to right now, by the way, if you need an agent.
00:01:21
Gotcha.
00:01:23
So, uh, yeah, you actually had a pretty good night last night.
00:01:25
Last night? Thursday Night football, Of course, between the Falcons at the Panthers, Falcons end up getting their second win of the season, probably hurting themselves very much so if they were gonna have that back door into the Trevor Lawrence sweepstakes.
00:01:37
But I don't want to tell everybody which capitalized on last night.
00:01:41
And, uh, you know what one was pretty nice for sure.
00:01:45
Yeah.
00:01:46
I had the Falcons money line and the under because there's a night football.
00:01:50
I think four out of the eight games or 508 games, the total has gone under.
00:01:55
So I followed that trend and Atlanta outside of losing earlier in the year to Carolina, they have dominated the historical matchup between the two in the past couple of years.
00:02:06
Eso I really was into Atlanta who is playing better without Dan Quinn? Yeah, obviously.
00:02:13
My old boy Azaz, the Bucks fans.
00:02:15
Good to see Raheem Morris.
00:02:17
Uh, you know, man in the sidelines there for the Falcons now, And I guess the one thing I think as a true Dfx man at heart, seeing the Atlanta Falcons actually do well against his pass catching running them back.
00:02:30
So I know last night the Panthers has only had 21 plays in the first half, so that kind of negated anything that they were really going to do in terms of momentum.
00:02:37
But Teddy Bridgewater even taking that big hit last night, we even got an injection out of that one there.
00:02:43
So tough spot now for the Panthers.
00:02:47
I believe they are.
00:02:49
They are what, three and five now, three and five, and they looked like a team that was turning it around for a while.
00:02:55
I'm very excited about the mat rule.
00:02:58
Uh, sort of.
00:02:59
The opportunity that he got there was pretty cool last night.
00:03:01
Couple former temple apples on the field form their A p.
00:03:04
J Walker getting some snaps.
00:03:06
The darling of the X f l and of course, Robby Anderson there as well.
00:03:10
So nice little reunion on the field for Rule doesn't get the win last night.
00:03:14
But, you know, brighter, brighter days air certainly ahead down in Carolina.
00:03:19
All right, As we get into Week eight of the NFL season, we wanna make sure that you guys check out bet 3 65 years the promo code sides for 100% of deposit bonus on deposits of up to $100 you have to sign up for a new account.
00:03:34
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00:03:39
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00:03:47
Alright, Without further ado, we got a fantastic slate of games here, as I mentioned earlier, Uh, let's get it started out in Kansas City with the defending champs as they host the New York football Jets chief open just 21 point favorites here.
00:04:00
We now see them at 19.
00:04:01
5 money line of varies optic minus $2000.
00:04:06
You got laying around to make a couple extra extra 100 right there.
00:04:10
And, of course, money line from the Jets.
00:04:12
If you think they could pull the upset, folks, it's four plus 1400 right there.
00:04:17
We've also got a total of 48 a half on this one.
00:04:20
Unlike a lot of games in the one o'clock window, we've got some gorgeous weather.
00:04:24
Wow, decent weather, anyway for Casey standards.
00:04:27
But it's the left ball, the left Bell Bowl this Sunday. Here.
00:04:32
Are you as excited as I? And I know Poley is for all the profits here for love. Belle.
00:04:37
Yeah, it's a levy in Bel Revenge game, and I think Andy Reed's gonna turn him loose in this one.
00:04:43
The Jets run defense is actually pretty good.
00:04:45
That's not the weakness of the team, and they have a lot of weaknesses there.
00:04:48
But leave Ian Bell.
00:04:50
I think Levian Bell is gonna put on a show and show Adam gays exactly the player that he didn't use right for two years.
00:04:57
Let's face it. Yep, no, no.
00:04:59
And it's tough with that jet.
00:05:00
So line love belly loves toe Kinda, you know, dance his way in the back field.
00:05:04
That's just not gonna happen with offensive line like that.
00:05:08
So yeah, I think a lot of people might be thinking, you know, it was he really gonna play that much against Kansas City? Or I'm sorry against the Jets, you know, when they're whooping them by that bad.
00:05:17
But this is also a nice game where you could just get him comfortable, the new playbook and sort of the offensive line there.
00:05:23
So let me in.
00:05:24
Bell hasn't had a lot of touches disuse.
00:05:27
And? And if the Chiefs want to use him for a run, this is the type of game where you give him a lot of touches and get him involved.
00:05:34
Absolutely.
00:05:36
Also in this game, you know, it's gonna be interesting.
00:05:40
Toc Finally, I know.
00:05:42
Last week we got a decent look at how this left Bell Clyde Edwards Hilaire duo could possibly look.
00:05:50
But what? Your thoughts with this duo going forward in terms of fantasy? You broke up there for a second.
00:05:56
With who? With Clyde Edwards Lair and Love Bell like, how do you think that's gonna go fantasy wise.
00:06:02
I think both of these running backs were gonna be fantasy relevant, almost like how Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt is when Nick Chubb was healthy.
00:06:09
Maybe to our lesser extent, because Kansas City does not run as much as Cleveland does.
00:06:14
But Libyan Bell? I think you could put him in the Flex spot and Clyde Edwards Hilaire.
00:06:19
He's bumped down to maybe that RV to cheer, but they're both extremely usable in fantasy football playing on that offense who likes to throw the football to the running back? Uh, now, in terms off the massive spread that we see here, which particular side you're gonna be rolling with here, Aziz Much.
00:06:38
If I'm not even gonna touch this game, I'm gonna take Kansas City in a blowout.
00:06:42
I just do not see how New York is going to put points together because the Kansas City defense is actually really good.
00:06:49
They're very underrated.
00:06:50
We've seen Kansas City not only blow teams out there, defense can put up points.
00:06:55
We saw that last week against Denver.
00:06:57
I think they had one or two defensive touchdowns.
00:06:59
I think they can have another week with one or two defensive touchdowns in this game, and Kansas City should easily cover the spread.
00:07:05
And 19 points is a lot.
00:07:08
Yeah, and you know, a lot of a lot of Sharps out there.
00:07:10
Believes how you Seymour money landed with the Jets in this one because it's very rare that we see a point point spread there in the twenties for for any game, let alone the defending champs against what many believe will end up being one of the worst teams in NFL history at the end of the season.
00:07:26
So interesting to note, there, even get this bad.
00:07:30
What's up? How doesn't even get this bad for a New York Jets team? I don't get it, as as somebody who's apologized for Adam gays.
00:07:38
Multiple times I've run out of excuses, but it's just look, it's just clear that they're trying Thio lose games and just Thio, you know, make sure they gaze is out of here like there's no sort of Cinderella story in the second half of the season.
00:07:53
And I mean, obviously that would take so much, but they're just nailing the point on. Now it gates.
00:07:58
They want him out and they want a new change here in New York.
00:08:01
Do you think they're gonna move off of Joe Douglas too? Because I'm actually a Joe Douglas fan.
00:08:06
But if you look, Adam Gates wanted Joe Douglas.
00:08:09
So if gays go says Joe Douglas, go because I think it's unfair because Joe Douglas comes from Philadelphia and Baltimore and has Super Bowl championships on his resume.
00:08:19
Yeah, I think. Absolutely.
00:08:21
Number one.
00:08:22
You know, we just saw that, You know, the quote from Trevor Lawrence And, you know, talking with I'm sorry.
00:08:29
It was brought the white, uh, talking about Trevor.
00:08:31
Lawrence is basically saying, You know, if I were him, I would I would you know, not go to the Jets next season.
00:08:36
I would stay in college, but when you take a look at this man, I mean, if they are going to get a new coach, you gm, how attractive would that be? Toe, Have Trevor Lawrence there.
00:08:46
Or if if he doesn't come out And Justin Fields, uh, you know, either one of those guys, I think a lot of you're going to attract the top of the list names there, you know, like you're not gonna get just some nobody's I know Paul and I have been talking recently, Possibly Eric the enemy.
00:09:02
You know, if the situation was right in New York and he could go there, so, yeah, a lot of attractive offers there for sure.
00:09:11
Also, with this game, Uh, anything from a DFS perspective and anybody that's like, you know, under the radar from this Jets game.
00:09:20
I mean, it all depends like Jamison Crowder.
00:09:22
And fantasy is really the only Jets asset that you wanna play here.
00:09:27
But he did not practice recently, and I think he's gonna be ruled out for the second straight week.
00:09:32
If you wanna really cheap play, maybe a Braxton Barrios.
00:09:36
But again, Kansas City secondary is the strength of that team.
00:09:40
So I don't know if they're gonna be able to get going.
00:09:42
Uh, Michael P.
00:09:44
Ryan is a name that people are picking up off the waiver wire.
00:09:48
I believe it did score touchdown.
00:09:50
Who's had back to back weeks with three targets.
00:09:52
Maybe if they have to throw the ball to the running back a little bit more P Ryan can have low end value, but there's nothing here that I like.
00:10:01
Yeah, I wrote a profit article.
00:10:04
Obviously forgot to mention for us odds.
00:10:06
Ah, lot of that has to do with Left Bell on there.
00:10:09
But you know, it's interesting, like when we think about the Chiefs, right, because sure that, you know, they've had their great moments.
00:10:17
But I've kind of thought that this offense has been somewhat pedestrian this season compared to the things that they have done again.
00:10:23
Not only is this a good kind of sort of walk through for Levy in belt, you could get guys back in the right position.
00:10:29
I know Travis Kelsey only had three catches for, you know, 36 yards, something like that last week.
00:10:36
This would be a nice opportunity to get him going.
00:10:38
Granted, you're probably not gonna hit your ceiling, that you wouldn't go back and forth game.
00:10:41
But I mean, hey, not a lot.
00:10:43
A whole lot of resistance going on there and the Chiefs this week, so I think a couple of those guys could be valuable.
00:10:50
All right, let's move it on to an actual real football game that we'll see this week.
00:10:55
We've got the Titans at the Bangles.
00:10:57
Now I know. You might say What? No.
00:10:59
Listen, folks, this this line open the Tennessee minus 3.5.
00:11:03
It has since gone to minus six.
00:11:04
A lot of people getting very giddy about that.
00:11:07
Titans minus 2 27 on the money line Bangles plus 2 10 in this one.
00:11:12
Also the total in this one.
00:11:14
So this opened up at 55.
00:11:16
We have seen it kind of come tumbling down here to 53.
00:11:20
A lot of people, once it got to that 53 started putting somebody that way.
00:11:24
So let's Ah, this is also another clear weather game.
00:11:28
So what do you like at the top of the list here? You know, in this Cincinnati Tennessee game, I wrote this up over at the game day NFL.
00:11:38
I love the the over in this game thes air two teams that could score a lot of points.
00:11:44
They're both, but I'm not gonna say Tennessee's the bottom and defense, but we know, uh, Cincinnati's the bottom and defense and Cincinnati or Tennessee's right around the middle of the pack.
00:11:54
Joe Burrow has thrown for over 300 yards and all but two or three games this season.
00:12:00
You can pass on Tennessee.
00:12:02
I think there's gonna be a high scoring matchup on the game where you would think Tennessee is going to control the clock with Derrick Henry.
00:12:08
I just don't see it.
00:12:09
I can see this game being extremely back and forth.
00:12:12
And for Cincinnati, there are bad team, but they play good teams close.
00:12:17
But I also think there's gonna be a close game.
00:12:20
Yeah, Carlos Dunlap got his wish.
00:12:23
He put his house on the market and on Twitter and then ended up getting himself a new team.
00:12:28
So he goes from the Bangles to the Seahawks, so that's obviously detriment there for the Bangles.
00:12:33
But you're absolutely right.
00:12:35
I mean, Borough.
00:12:36
No other quarterback is throwing the ball more in the NFL this season.
00:12:38
So if you're looking, I mean, I had the, uh the the Joe Burrow, Geo, Bernard A, J.
00:12:46
Green, Stack and DFS all over the place last week, so it almost it almost hit the nuts with Tyler.
00:12:53
Boyd obviously would have been a much better player, but you know, a J Green of 4300.
00:12:57
Come on, man.
00:12:58
And we might not have a job.
00:13:01
Joe Mixon again.
00:13:02
So it's gonna be a week of Geo Bernard.
00:13:04
Joe Mixon did not practice, has not practiced all week.
00:13:07
And that is not a good sign on Friday.
00:13:10
Yeah, for my season long team that loving that.
00:13:12
But I do have the Geo Bernard handcuffed there and again, you know, watching that game last week.
00:13:17
And I've watched so many **** Geo Bernard games over the course of you know, however long I've been watching football, but I don't think there's much of a difference, to be quite honest with you, especially with the way this Bangles offensive line is built.
00:13:28
You know, it's not like they're running the ball down people's throats.
00:13:30
Obviously, mixing is supremely more talented than Geo Bernard, but I don't think that the Bengals missed that much.
00:13:38
So CNN spread jump from 3.5 to 6.
00:13:41
I know that's not any you know anything to do with mixing, but I do think that the Bangles can obviously hang tight here.
00:13:49
I like, you know, I don't know what the prop is, but if it's enticing for A J Green receiving yards, he's had back to back games with 82 back to back games with 11 targets, seven receptions so if it's a if it's a reasonable total, I'm gonna be all over this a J Green crop because he is.
00:14:06
Once again, Joe borrows most targeted wide receiver.
00:14:10
He opened the year with nine and 13 targets and then took a dip.
00:14:14
It just didn't seem like job our own a J Green.
00:14:17
We're on the same page.
00:14:18
But now, um, as that relationship is growing, we're starting to see what we thought we were going to see for the first couple games of the year s O.
00:14:27
In addition to owning mixing, I got a J.
00:14:30
Green on my team.
00:14:31
You know, a J. Green everywhere it Z.
00:14:33
It's a lot of a lot of Bangles love this year for me, but again, like with having those guys, I watched him a lot more and again last week against the Browns, so Bangles have played the Browns twice already.
00:14:44
That matchup is done for the year, but that's where a J Green the targets against them.
00:14:48
You know, the matchup lended the optimism there, right? Like the bangle or the brown.
00:14:53
We're gonna try toe clog up the middle.
00:14:54
It's a good it's a good play that you know, Throw outside on them so that that works itself out.
00:15:00
This is another great matchup.
00:15:02
I mean, Tennessee, the note that I found here.
00:15:04
So they are first against explosive pass plays, but in terms of efficiency, they ranked fifth worst.
00:15:12
So what does that mean? You're not gonna beat them up over the top too much.
00:15:15
You can get all these receptions there.
00:15:16
So I did write up Tyler Boyd profit on Assad's this week, Where only 5.
00:15:21
5 for plus money.
00:15:23
Right there on. That's on BET 3 65.
00:15:25
So I would definitely take advantage of that if I'm listening out there and, uh, you know, just just borough in general.
00:15:32
I think he could be another viable DFS play this week.
00:15:35
Uh, just again with with no mixing, you're gonna You're gonna lean on the past a lot more A Z I mentioned he's already got the most pass attempts in the league.
00:15:44
We just hope that the guy doesn't get his head knocked off out there against Jadeveon Clowney or somebody like that.
00:15:51
Uh, Derrick Henry is also another guy that I wrote up on the profits this week.
00:15:56
I'm sure you've got a lot of loving him, but on bet 3 65 to go, his rushing prop is 100 a half yards over there.
00:16:04
So that is certainly one I'll be jumping on ship.
00:16:08
I love the matchup for Henry.
00:16:11
As you said, you know no more Carlos Dunlap on that Cincinnati front seven and Derrick Henry has.
00:16:16
He's gone over 103 out of six games played.
00:16:20
What is that? Yeah, yeah.
00:16:22
Three out of six games in Cincinnati.
00:16:23
They gave up a ton of production to the running back position.
00:16:26
I actually think this could be Derrick Henry.
00:16:29
I don't want to say his most productive game of the year because he went for 2.
00:16:32
64 against Houston.
00:16:34
It's gonna be a tough on the top for over 150 160 yards total.
00:16:41
Yeah, dig it.
00:16:42
I dig it.
00:16:43
Yeah, just a lot of opportunities for him to do.
00:16:44
Well, uh, if I'm not mistaking, I think that this is supposed to be a little windier than we thought out in Cincinnati.
00:16:52
But, you know, nonetheless, you're not gonna be throwing the ball deep against Tennessee.
00:16:58
And again if the Tennessee is gonna be running the football.
00:17:01
That's, you know, that's first downs all day, every day.
00:17:03
So I do like the over which you here.
00:17:05
Obviously, I do like Cincinnati, plus the six.
00:17:08
I don't know how much I'm gonna invest into it, but I think, you know, maybe I'll make it is part of a parlay.
00:17:14
It's just, you know, obviously the Titans are the better team.
00:17:17
Have I wouldn't mind maybe a teaser or taking Cincinnati with the points like you said in a parlay, because they do play their games close? Yeah, absolutely.
00:17:29
On again.
00:17:30
All that. All that throwing.
00:17:32
It's good for fantasy folks.
00:17:33
When you get in completions that stops the clock, that means more opportunities.
00:17:37
So I'm absolutely loving that right? Alright, Cincinnati on all of their losses.
00:17:43
Or I think, yeah, all five of their losses by fewer than six points.
00:17:47
Very nice.
00:17:48
Very nice looking borough.
00:17:50
The borough affect my friends, all right.
00:17:52
From one rookie quarterback to the other.
00:17:54
Let's do the Rams and the Dolphins Ramps.
00:17:56
Three point favorites down in M. I.
00:17:58
A, uh minus 1 75 on the money line for the Rams.
00:18:01
If you think the Dolphins gonna pull the upset.
00:18:03
It's plus 1 65 for you.
00:18:05
We got a total and 46 here, another game where the weather should not matter too much.
00:18:10
And I talked about all this weather.
00:18:11
We haven't talked about one game with ****ty weather yet, but it's the two, uh, debut.
00:18:16
Uh, the era is finally here from Miami Dolphins fans, probably the biggest hype of excitement they've had since Dan Marino started tossing the pigskin down there.
00:18:26
But how do you What do you think about this matchup? Because it's not easy for two, but he's got Aaron, Donald and Jalen Ramsey, two of the best he's going against.
00:18:34
I am.
00:18:35
This is another one I wrote up and I liked me under in this game.
00:18:39
I don't know if I'm going to touch the totals, and if I do, I'm gonna take I mean, I don't I'm gonna touch you the spread.
00:18:45
And if I do, I'm gonna take the, you know, the Rams giving the points.
00:18:49
But the under in this game you have to defense's that are playing extremely well right now, I think.
00:18:56
Miami they started off a little bit slow with that defense is coming together.
00:19:00
The Rams defense is playing outstanding.
00:19:02
And both of these offenses, you have two of starting his first game, so you don't know we're going to get there.
00:19:08
And Jared Goff historically struggles against good defense is so I think, points, we're gonna be hard to come by.
00:19:14
Yeah, you know, just the way that Miami is gonna This is new, right? You've got a new quarterback.
00:19:19
When I saw two, uh, against the Jets in that mop up duty, I'm not gonna lie, man.
00:19:24
I'm not impressed and I don't I don't think he is going to be a top flight quarterback.
00:19:30
I think he could be fine.
00:19:31
I think he can move the chains every now and again once he starts getting some more reps under him.
00:19:35
But I think he's very overmatched here.
00:19:37
Well, you know Miami is actually giving up the third fewest points per game.
00:19:42
The Rams are giving up the second fewest points per game, and here's the puzzling thing.
00:19:47
I know it's the right move organizationally to go to it at the bye week, so we have time to prepare.
00:19:52
But Miami was actually outscoring the Rams with Ryan Fitzpatrick with Ryan Fitzpatrick 26.
00:19:58
7 points per game scored, which was 12th in the NFL, where the Rams were 18.
00:20:03
Yeah, I know I, as a former are as as a box fan.
00:20:09
You know, seeing my former guy 50 man.
00:20:11
I love watching the guy, of course, fifties.
00:20:13
Everybody's former guy if, yeah, I know, but a little, little more special Bay.
00:20:18
But he, you know, obviously, for for stats and things like that.
00:20:22
But obviously, you know, one the winds and stuff.
00:20:24
Now I think we got the right guy down in Tampa.
00:20:27
He's pretty good, but I hated to move.
00:20:31
You know, this is a Miami team that could seriously make some noise in the division we're seeing the Bills kind of slept up, and they got a game against the Patriots this weekend, which we're gonna get to, but that, you know, that's another point where they control I legit.
00:20:42
Think that Miami had a chance to win this division this year? I don't think it's gonna happen now with two.
00:20:47
I just I don't think that he is the guy at this time, you know, if you wanted to give him the whole year.
00:20:53
I don't like the raw emotion.
00:20:55
I think we're Yeah, I don't think that this is a very strong guy and we know his body frame.
00:21:00
A couple Aaron Donald hits Man, You could just put him into a new way.
00:21:03
Said the same thing about Kyler.
00:21:05
Murray e don't know e, but I love the athleticism.
00:21:11
I know he could, you know, he's very elusive and get away.
00:21:14
And, you know, I knew that he would be a good slider, right? Like we're seeing this a lot at and he's so much more cautious than you know, throwing his body out there.
00:21:23
I mean, you bring up Miami in that division, we all thought Buffalo was going to control it, but in the recent weeks, that offense doesn't look good.
00:21:32
The defense isn't looking too great, and they're a team that's supposed to be built to run the football and play defense, and they're really a passing unit this year.
00:21:40
New England's terrible.
00:21:41
The Jets are terrible.
00:21:43
Miami If they would have stuck with Ryan Fitzpatrick, I think they would be challenging for the division.
00:21:48
Come weeks 6 18 weeks 17 and now, with two uh, it's like, Are you packing it in? Or do you actually believe that, too? We can get the job done? Oh, no.
00:21:58
They believe they absolutely believe in to, uh I just I don't believe in those beliefs.
00:22:03
They have a personnel.
00:22:05
Yes, absolutely, they don't Absolutely.
00:22:08
I just kinda I honestly like this is gonna be a very weird comparison, but just kind of how indie does with Philip Rivers, like he's got no arms strike.
00:22:16
And I think it really holds him back.
00:22:18
And and with Miami, I think could have let that you know, loose with 50 for the year and see where it went.
00:22:23
But yeah, I think that they're taking a step back.
00:22:26
Unpopular opinion.
00:22:27
Sorry, but the man stood behind five star athletes his entire career at my at Alabama.
00:22:34
So, uh, I'm ready to save another prophet that I wrote up in this game.
00:22:41
Cooper Cup, loving the over in receptions and receiving yards.
00:22:45
Reason being He's got a fantastic matchup against Nick Needham, who a lot of people have been picking on this season off the top seven highest receiving totals against the Dolphins this season. Five.
00:22:58
All those guys were slot receivers for If you don't want to count Stefon Diggs is when I know he lines up in the slot, probably about 27% of the time. Something right there.
00:23:07
So we'll say 4.
00:23:08
5 for the seven receivers have done it have been slot receivers.
00:23:13
Yeah, they've been gassed by the slot receiver all year, and Cooper Cup is coming off a few games that are not really Cooper Cup like, but if you go back the last year, it kind of matches up because Cooper Cups pretty inconsistent, especially in fantasy.
00:23:26
But this is a bounce back game, I think. Jared Goff.
00:23:29
I don't love the matchup for Jared Goff, but I think there's no one to target Cooper cut early and often to try to get this offense going.
00:23:37
Yeah, one other thing that I the aspect of the game here so again cup, who is leading the Rams and targets and yards? Uh, you know, still, despite being very inconsistent, uh, you know, this is the Rams who are coming across the country for one o'clock game, right? Like it's it's highly possible that it takes them a little while to get going in this one.
00:23:59
So if that is the case on again, we're seeing a pretty decent amount of money on Dolphins money line in this one, So that could be interesting as well.
00:24:07
But I do think that the Rams will be in better positions to pass now again.
00:24:13
The running game for them against the Dolphins is a fantastic matchup.
00:24:16
That's how they do wanna win the game.
00:24:17
But you know, if that doesn't work, you know, I think that there are a couple of avenues to to success for this one, even again if it starts working.
00:24:25
Cooper Cup on play action, guys. Fantastic.
00:24:27
Now that's one prop I've been right up.
00:24:29
Darryl Henderson over 60.
00:24:31
5 rushing yards.
00:24:33
He's had at least 14 carries in four out of the past five games.
00:24:38
I know Malcolm Brown.
00:24:39
He had 10 carries last week, but he hasn't had double digit carry since week two.
00:24:44
Right when Darryl Henderson started picking it up, and I think this is a game if you're gonna attack that Miami defense, it is against that front seven, because their secondary is eggs.
00:24:52
Abyan Howard, Uh, you know Byron Jones, A really good players there, But I think this is a game of Darryl Henderson.
00:24:58
Hey, gets back on track a little bit after a disappointing week.
00:25:02
Seven, I think Henderson did hit his rushing prop, but it was a laughably low numbers, so I believe it was 52.
00:25:11
I wrote it up for the Monday night game, but but, yeah, I mean, hey, you know what? At least you got Cam acres out of the mix.
00:25:18
He's just been virtually non existent now, so that a one down, one to go right? It's almost like if you think back to Darryl Henderson's rookie year last year, he was barely used.
00:25:29
And I feel like maybe this is how we're going to see Sean McVeigh utilized rookie backs where they're going to sit.
00:25:35
And maybe cam makers gets going next year.
00:25:37
Because right now Darryl Henderson is in his second year, was barely whose last year, and he's breaking out.
00:25:43
But this year, forget about cam makers.
00:25:45
Yeah, Aziz, you mentioned.
00:25:48
You know, this is just an absolutely fantastic matchup.
00:25:51
When we look in terms of its statistically, the Rams do have the number one DDO a run offensive league while the Dolphins run defense dead last in the same category.
00:26:02
So tha All right, let's get to the next one here.
00:26:06
I Really This is probably the one game I think has the most wasted talent, uh, on on the slate.
00:26:12
But the cult of the lions, Uh, Colts minus three.
00:26:15
Getting a decent amount of money here on we're seeing minus 1 50 on the money on the line for them if you think that three points is too much for the Lions plus 1 40 on the money line and we've got a total of 50.
00:26:26
5 on this game.
00:26:28
So the reason I say wasted talent number one.
00:26:31
You know, we were just talking about Philip Rivers, the guys throwing with, like, a with the cooked piece of zd out there, the guys drawing with that **** noodle arm.
00:26:40
So we got that, and then we got the lion's who have so much talent on the offensive end of the ball.
00:26:45
But they like toe.
00:26:46
They like to take their **** time doing so out there.
00:26:49
So the one profit that I wrote up this week for us odds will be Matt Stafford under passing yards to believe he was at minus Jesus.
00:26:58
I want to say minus 2 73 on behalf there for that one again.
00:27:02
You're going against the very good indeed defense there.
00:27:05
But, uh, we'll get to that in a minute.
00:27:07
What do you think? Here with the game.
00:27:08
Do you believe the money following the culture? You know, Detroit's hot right now.
00:27:15
They won a couple of games in a row.
00:27:17
They look like they're trending in the right direction.
00:27:19
Even a map.
00:27:20
Patricia Defense, which on two years as lions head coach in the first two years That has not showed up.
00:27:26
It actually looks like this Lions team is putting it together.
00:27:29
Now they're establishing to run a little bit more.
00:27:31
DeAndre Swift.
00:27:33
This is gonna be a tough matchup because this could be one of those games where Jonathan Taylor gets going.
00:27:38
I do not see a lot of passing production here, but what kind of baffles me is just 50 point over under with these two teams e I almost feel like it's a trap to take me over, uh, weeks, but jeez, it was very recently, uh, the Bangles at the cult.
00:27:57
I absolutely loved the under for the same exact reasons and that over basically hit in the first half.
00:28:04
But I'm definitely following you.
00:28:07
I'm picking up what you're putting down here with this one because I feel like the 50 point total.
00:28:12
It is way too much years.
00:28:13
Well, we see the Lions, right? Like they're they're kind of transitioning into this DeAndre swift phase, uh, lead third straight week, where he's out snapped Adrian Peterson and, uh, you know, just trying to get him going.
00:28:25
But I I have no faith in any of the any of the guys in this game.
00:28:30
I did see an interesting matchup advantage for T y Hilton in this one.
00:28:34
Uh, colts are coming off the bye.
00:28:36
So, uh, you know, what do you think about Hilton in this one? Did they finally work something up? Because he's a guy that needs that deep all and Philip Rivers ain't the one giving it to him.
00:28:46
I mean, Philip and fantasy Philip Rivers just borderline drop a bowl and I see him.
00:28:51
I played a lot of leagues.
00:28:52
I see him on waiver wire, there's and I'll pick him up and stash him, but I can't use them.
00:28:58
This isn't a great matchup.
00:28:59
For again.
00:29:00
I'm trying to find who I actually like to in this game in fantasy.
00:29:06
Um, I don't know about t y Hill and I you know d efs.
00:29:10
Maybe I'll put him in in a season long.
00:29:12
If I have better options, like I'm gonna go and start them over a t y Hilton, like I'd rather start Travis Foege, Um, over a t Y Hilton this week.
00:29:21
Interesting.
00:29:22
As far as this game betting wives, I like the lions money line over the points like, you know, at plus 1 35.
00:29:30
If it's gonna be close, I think Detroit wins it.
00:29:33
Yeah, we've kind of seen this line kind of waffle between, you know, 2.
00:29:37
5, 3 3.
00:29:38
5 a some points.
00:29:40
But, uh, yeah, I think the situation should be well for Detroit.
00:29:44
Now, the way that you attack Detroit is via the running back and again, man Johnson Taylor, Just in all the metrics, he's not shaping up toe what everybody thought it was gonna be.
00:29:54
Perhaps there's something to that thing getting fed like a given in college, you know, kind of wearing tearing on the legs there.
00:30:02
But, yeah, he has not been good at all.
00:30:04
And this is supposed to be, you know, one of the best offensive lines in football.
00:30:09
Yeah, I feel like the Colts haven't lived up to the hype.
00:30:13
You know, their defense had a lot of hype.
00:30:14
The line had a lot of hype, and Jonathan Taylor had a lot of hype, and it's just not coming to fruition.
00:30:20
And I think it starts and ends at the quarterback position.
00:30:23
Do you think the Colts would be better with Kobe Brissette? Possibly.
00:30:28
Yeah, if he's gonna throw the deep ball of T y because you're essentially that's here.
00:30:32
He did? Yeah.
00:30:33
You're essentially using T.
00:30:35
Y is a mannequin right now.
00:30:37
Okay, by the way, at mannequins, they do not make for good receivers.
00:30:41
Trust me, I know from when I was a little all right, before we get to the Patriots Bills game, let's get to know the promo.
00:30:47
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00:30:59
You get $500 back in sight credit when you use the promo code.
00:31:03
T s 500.
00:31:04
**** good deal.
00:31:06
All right.
00:31:07
A f c East.
00:31:08
This one is going to be interesting.
00:31:11
And we've already seen this total falling off a cliff.
00:31:13
But it's the Patriots at the Bills.
00:31:15
Bills open his 3 3.
00:31:17
5 point favorite through seeing them at four.
00:31:19
Right now, minus 200 on the money line.
00:31:22
Patriots plus 1 80 on the money line here in a matchup that they have done very well in.
00:31:27
Historically, we did see the total opening 45 a half, and then we saw it go to 44 a half and then 43 now down to 40.5.
00:31:36
And the reason why folks 66% chance of rain in this 1 20 mile an hour winds during game time.
00:31:43
Not a good situation.
00:31:45
And I gotta wonder, do you now? We did see Josh Allen in similar ****ty conditions at home against Casey a couple of weeks ago.
00:31:55
Do you think he gets off the schneid in this one final against the Patriots.
00:32:00
This has to be a bounce back game for Josh Allen because you know you always had the issue beating New England.
00:32:06
This isn't the same New England team and all, but if Bill Belichick has your number, he has your number.
00:32:12
This is a game that Buffalo should win there.
00:32:16
There's no reason why they don't walk away with the victory.
00:32:19
And this one Julian Animal, is heading to the Internet reserve list, I believe averages out.
00:32:24
Um, Demir Bird is your most experienced receiver that New England's gonna put on the field and Cam Newton on his face.
00:32:31
It was not playing well to begin with.
00:32:33
I don't know how New England's New England's gonna put points on the board.
00:32:37
Uh, I'm all in on Buffalo.
00:32:40
I'm all in on Josh Allen.
00:32:41
If you want to make a statement, if you're the Buffalo Bills and you want to say, Listen, you're you're dead and buried right now, this has to be a statement game.
00:32:50
Go put up 35 on this defense and blown out.
00:32:53
Yeah, I'm glad that we're in lineage here because, you know, a lot of people, I think, just kind of expected the Patriots toe win last week, right Where they're not gonna lose three games in a row.
00:33:06
They're not gonna, you know, 40 Niners.
00:33:09
No, I didn't expect They're not gonna have another flat tire in the Bill Belichick there.
00:33:15
Give me a break.
00:33:17
Right. Like this team socks right now.
00:33:19
I was never a big Cam Newton believer in the first place watching that game last week.
00:33:23
It looked like he was throwing the **** ball at the ground on purpose.
00:33:26
He looks like me in one of those r p o shooting games.
00:33:29
Right where you know, call of duty or something.
00:33:32
I don't play call of duty because I do nothing, but I shoot the air and I shoot the ground.
00:33:38
Right? That's what can do.
00:33:39
It looks like it's a quarterback right now, and I just don't see it get any better.
00:33:43
You just mentioned right there.
00:33:44
No element.
00:33:45
Uh, that's really bad, because guess what? They're not getting any production out of there.
00:33:50
Why? Out of their tight ends, either they have the fewest tight end production of football.
00:33:54
Uh, their best bet on offense right now is throwing screen passes that James White that's going to get old real quick.
00:34:00
So again, with the sloppy terrain, I don't think that's going to be any better for Newton.
00:34:04
I bet you, you know, a million bucks that we see a shift on a quarterback draws with him just doing this bull head, you know, down trying to push it 34 yards.
00:34:13
I don't see any sort of creativity.
00:34:15
Comes from the Patriots offense.
00:34:16
So absolutely go bills.
00:34:18
Go throw.
00:34:19
Somebody threw a **** full table.
00:34:21
Two.
00:34:23
What do you like any props in this game at all? Like maybe Cam New and Russian props camp.
00:34:29
It's all gonna be on camp.
00:34:33
I did not look at the props in this game.
00:34:35
I'm just salivating over Buffalo and I have been all week, but yeah, man, I I mean, you gotta go under.
00:34:44
Let's see here, player Russia, Cam Newton at 46 a half rushing yards.
00:34:51
Interesting number.
00:34:52
Vegas never makes it easy.
00:34:54
Why the hell would they? Uh um that I mean, I feel like that's something that could probably go over just given the nature off the game.
00:35:06
You know, I'm gonna be looking at Stefon Diggs props because there's a chance to step on.
00:35:11
Gilmore doesn't even play in this game and step on Gilmore six and the Patriots defense they want their secondary wasn't playing well to begin with anything.
00:35:19
Stefon Diggs, who had a monster game.
00:35:24
I like that. I like that.
00:35:27
The Gilmore issue. That's injury.
00:35:31
Yes.
00:35:32
I'll pull it up now.
00:35:34
Interesting.
00:35:35
Okay.
00:35:36
Um, yeah.
00:35:37
No, just because I have stuff on Gilmour's name was mentioned.
00:35:39
It's, um, trade rumors.
00:35:41
So, you know, if I'm the Patriots, I'd be like, No, he's all good, man.
00:35:46
He's good, but it would be interesting to see if they could move him, but yeah.
00:35:49
I mean, even if Gilmore does play, I think he'll be just fine.
00:35:52
I love to see John Brown back for the bills.
00:35:55
I did not see an update on him.
00:35:57
I think he really changes what the bad guys were able to do on offense.
00:36:01
I have a report from Ian Rapoport, NFL Network.
00:36:04
That guilt tweet is nia practice.
00:36:08
Interesting.
00:36:09
This was yesterday.
00:36:12
Yeah, the third today.
00:36:13
This report today.
00:36:15
Um, I ruled out and structural damage, but it could keep him out this week. Interesting.
00:36:22
Interesting that they're gonna move them if they're gonna try to trade him.
00:36:25
You don't want him to play and get hurt? Absolutely.
00:36:27
That deadlines coming up very soon, folks.
00:36:30
Yeah? What day? I It's coming up to its next.
00:36:34
It's next or Wednesday Coming up.
00:36:36
Right? Um, let's see here.
00:36:39
Ants good.
00:36:40
He uses Google to the best of his capabilities.
00:36:45
It's not.
00:36:46
It's not helping me out right now.
00:36:47
Oh, no, that's what I always say.
00:36:50
Like whenever I'm, you know, in a group of friends or whatever I'm like, man, I wonder what the best batting average or something was back in 94.
00:36:58
Like, dude, we got Google like, let's check it out right now.
00:37:01
November 3rd, November 3rd on Election Day.
00:37:04
Look at that.
00:37:05
Look at that.
00:37:06
So yeah, so I mean, look, I was already loving the bills.
00:37:10
That new bit of information certainly helps.
00:37:12
I wanna ask you to, because not the next game that we talked about, but the one after I've got a season long fantasy question in terms of quarterback who? I play a quarterback this week.
00:37:23
So we're gonna put a pin in Josh Allen for now.
00:37:26
We'll get back to him, but we both love the bills in this one.
00:37:29
Even despite, uh, do this being such a low total game, that probably ends up being better for the Bills.
00:37:35
What do you What do you think? Real quick before we go into the next game? Since they played in that real sloppy weather game against the Chiefs.
00:37:42
You think that helps him a little bit? What? The Buffalo Bills? Yeah, I kind of They know what to do now.
00:37:50
In that situation, you would hope, being professionals, you were able to deal with how to play in bad weather.
00:37:55
But the fact that it was recent Yeah, I do think it helps them.
00:37:58
The issue there is they don't have a running game.
00:38:02
That's what worries me about the bills.
00:38:04
Like there are leading Russia eyes Devin Singletary.
00:38:08
But Josh Allen isn't far behind him.
00:38:10
And in the past few games, Josh Allen has outrushed Zach Mawston, Devin Singletary combined.
00:38:16
Oh, you hate to hear that, folks.
00:38:18
If you're in the running back room, you really hate to hear that on.
00:38:22
Uh, yeah.
00:38:24
I mean, look, the way that Josh Allen was throwing the ball in that game against the chiefs, like I like granted he had a horrible completion percentage.
00:38:31
But I mean, I'm saying, like in terms of form and things like that, Like it wasn't a big struggle for him to throw the ball like he's still flicking it, you know, with the snap of a risk right there.
00:38:41
So I do think that that bodes well, Send the receivers.
00:38:44
Got to do a little better as well, but I just I feel comfortable seeing him in that rain game like Okay, like the Bills can move the ball in some form or fashion.
00:38:54
You know, I think what the Bills air doing here, and it's worrisome, especially for your fantasy football owner um, they are limiting Josh Allen's rushes.
00:39:06
And last year Josh Allen really started taking off with that.
00:39:09
And, you know, Week one, he went 14 57 and one.
00:39:12
I know we went from 11 61 last week, but in between Week one and Week seven, Josh Allen has had fewer than eight rushing attempts in every game, and that was just one game where he had a 434 and four in a four game stretch.
00:39:30
It want to turn Josh Allen into a pocket passer, and he is not a pocket passer.
00:39:36
And neither is Lamar Jackson.
00:39:37
Let's just hope they're saving it up for the end of the year, you know? And then my fantasy team benefits.
00:39:42
They're down in the long run, but also I wanna give a shout out, Thank you to scold back 28 send us a little tip.
00:39:49
Little thank you there so much.
00:39:50
Appreciate it.
00:39:51
Always, always glad when the viewers is charming in.
00:39:55
All right, let's get to the best NFL rivalry that we got the Steelers at the Ravens Ravens four point favorites in this one, shockingly minus 1 85 on the money line Uh, Steelers at plus 1 75 in this one.
00:40:09
We saw the total opened at 49 has since gone to 46 a half.
00:40:13
A lot of money heading towards the under in this one reason being we got a 58% chance of rain in this one, so that could benefit them.
00:40:23
Or maybe we start unleashing Lamar Jackson here a little more because of that.
00:40:28
Um, all right, so I'm sure my or your reaction to seeing the spread on this game at first probably shocked you like it did May.
00:40:38
What does that mean for this game going forward? Um, this is a really tough game to pick because you would think the Ravens, you know they're the better team.
00:40:48
And But even last year, without Big Ben thes games were close and Mason, Rudolph and Duck Hodges nearly beat that.
00:40:56
This this Ravens team that looks unstoppable at times in the regular season.
00:41:01
I am leaning towards taking Pittsburgh outright interesting, but you didn't like when you took a look at the line.
00:41:09
Were you shocked that the Ravens were favored by this one on? They keep in mind.
00:41:12
Steelers are undefeated a little bit, but again, if you look at the history of the Baltimore Ravens in the regular season under Lamar Jackson, they are.
00:41:24
I would say that they're the best team in football.
00:41:26
It is in the playoffs where this team falter.
00:41:30
So in the regular season, it doesn't surprise me that that that there that the spread is just much.
00:41:35
Yeah, uh, I'm just I'm thinking Morris, who is Pittsburgh beating outside of Tennessee Fair question.
00:41:44
And on the other side, who is Baltimore beating because their best game that they played against Kansas City.
00:41:51
They haven't beaten their best opponent either has.
00:41:56
No.
00:41:57
It's a fair point.
00:41:58
I mean, both teams have played the Eagles, and I believe both of the No.
00:42:02
The Steelers ended up covering late that one game.
00:42:05
Um, but yeah.
00:42:08
I mean, you're absolutely right.
00:42:09
You know, Pittsburgh look so dominant against another undefeated team at the time in Tennessee and then allowed them to kind of claw back.
00:42:16
But that's the Steelers M o.
00:42:18
They have allowed a lot of teams to do that.
00:42:19
So, uh, not totally.
00:42:21
I don't know.
00:42:22
I just I guess the number is more or less what surprises me, right? Like if I saw Ravens favored by 2.
00:42:28
5, I probably you know, bad and I and not even think twice about it.
00:42:31
But, um, 44 is just It's been ingrained in my memory all week, and I feel like because of that, the Ravens are going to do something miraculous and kind of kick the Steelers ass in this game.
00:42:45
That's what that four is telling me.
00:42:51
Yeah, I don't know.
00:42:52
I'm leaning Pittsburgh right now.
00:42:56
I want to believe may every every fiber of my being wants to take the Steelers in this game.
00:43:01
It's just four is very strange to May 11 profit that I wrote up for this game.
00:43:06
I went with James Connor under 61 a half rushing yards.
00:43:11
I know, I know.
00:43:12
Uh, Connor has been absolutely outstanding.
00:43:16
Uh, you know, I know this the guys on my **** fantasy team.
00:43:19
So I you know, I keep a close eye on him, but Baltimore, obviously one of the best run defense is here, so I think the and again, everything that we see with line, that's kind of really what forced my hand and going this route.
00:43:31
But I think that we're gonna I'm sorry.
00:43:35
I think Connor is gonna be in for a tough day here, both running that I'm gonna say both running backs.
00:43:40
You have Connor on one side.
00:43:42
If you have a three head monster on the other side.
00:43:44
If this game comes down to Big Ben versus Lamar Jackson and it's a close game in the fourth quarter, what do you trust more to win it right now? I'm gonna say big, bad man for sure.
00:43:57
But knowing what we know about the rain.
00:44:00
You know, that's that's gonna be a tough situation in terms of grip with Roethlisberger and whatnot, But Okay, look, if it's gonna rain, I mean, we saw Baltimore do pretty well.
00:44:09
They had a really bad rain game last year against San Francisco.
00:44:12
Uh, that was a game I felt I remember.
00:44:15
I took Baltimore pretty heavy in that one, and they didn't cover the spread, but, um, I think Baltimore and their style is probably built a little more for this.
00:44:23
Now, keep in mind to both.
00:44:25
Both teams have very good run.
00:44:27
Defense is, and we're going to see a rainy game.
00:44:30
Were any truth in that? Under 46 a half, though I might not touch the the total in this game because it's go.
00:44:40
Either way, both of these teams could put up a lot of points.
00:44:45
And both of these teams complained defense.
00:44:46
This is one total I'm gonna shy away from.
00:44:49
All right.
00:44:50
I think in general I'm gonna be just trying away from the I think the one with one player might go.
00:44:55
It is the under.
00:44:56
Ah, lot of money is heading that way.
00:44:57
So You know, I think some of those people know what they're talking about, but, uh, just in terms of the weather and how this could be kind of a muck up there at the at the offensive line, defensive line struggle.
00:45:09
Uh, that might be the way that I go, but believe me, it's not gonna be my favorite player of the week.
00:45:14
That's for **** sure from one play that is not my favorite player of the week to my favorite play of the week.
00:45:22
What a great said.
00:45:23
What we've got the Raiders at the Browns and this one.
00:45:26
Brown's favored by anywhere from 2.
00:45:29
5 to 3.5.
00:45:31
We'll just call it three for today.
00:45:33
Uh, Moneyline Big shift here.
00:45:35
Raiders went from plus 1 55 all the way down to plus 1 25.
00:45:40
A lot of money head in that direction as well, and the Browns are minus 1 28 on the money line here.
00:45:46
We're seeing the total fall off a cliff here to it opened at 55 a half.
00:45:50
We've seen some pretty big incremental jumps downward where it went from 55 a half to 52 a half.
00:45:57
Then we saw it go down to 50.5.
00:45:59
So I'm not sure what to do with this.
00:46:02
The rain here is gonna be a little bit of a factor. 30%.
00:46:05
They're not gonna be a monsoon like the other games.
00:46:07
But what? What are you looking at here? Because the Las Vegas Raiders, my bucks just clobbered last week, are my favorite bed of the week.
00:46:17
You know, I'm in.
00:46:18
I'm kind of leaning Cleveland here.
00:46:21
This'll game is a little bit closer than the record suggests, because Pittsburgh, I mean, Cleveland.
00:46:28
They have, like, five or six wins right now, Uh, Oakland's a 500 team, but I think Oakland's better than their record.
00:46:35
I don't know if Cleveland is as good as their record.
00:46:38
These teams match up extremely well.
00:46:40
Three defense is, is what has me going over here.
00:46:45
And I know the over being bet down right now.
00:46:48
But in five out of seven games, Cleveland's games have gone over, and in all of six games, Oakland's games are the Las Vegas Games have gone over, and I think I'm gonna bet the trend here with two offenses that can score points when they need to.
00:47:03
Yeah, I absolutely loved the over at 55 a half.
00:47:07
I was like, Oh, man. Again.
00:47:10
I saw a **** ton of money going in on the over very, very early so I could see this is interesting, right? So you know how you've been around the block? Obviously, you'll see a game from 55 it has such a big move that a game like this could wind up it.
00:47:26
I don't like 52 or something like that, right? So in that regard, I definitely love the over.
00:47:33
I mean, look, I liked it off the bat.
00:47:34
I don't think the rain is really gonna hurt my pride here.
00:47:37
And this one.
00:47:38
This is a game where two teams kinda, their strengths sort of work against the other's weaknesses.
00:47:44
So again, of course, um, you know Cleveland's gonna be able to run this ball against the Raiders.
00:47:50
Like no doubt about it.
00:47:51
Uh, Kareem Hunt is gonna be a very chocolate cious playing DFS this week.
00:47:56
The snap rate for him, of course, is just through the roof with no Nick Chubb and really no threat behind him either, for touches.
00:48:03
So, uh, in that regard works well.
00:48:06
But for the Raiders, where I think it's gonna work well, last week was just an absolutely crazy week for them.
00:48:11
No, not knowing what was going on with their offensive line.
00:48:14
And even with all that, they come out on fire.
00:48:16
They put up some points on the first drive against a very tough buck's defense.
00:48:20
And then it was a four point game in the fourth quarter against Tampa.
00:48:25
So, you know, to see that game wind up being a 25 point difference, little, uh, miss telling and what happened there at the end, they just totally unraveled.
00:48:33
Uh, they had a guy leave with an injury on the offensive line.
00:48:36
They had a guy get ejected on the offensive line.
00:48:39
So just everything that could go wrong for the Raiders late did.
00:48:43
But in this situation, I think they're gonna be able to do well, Josh Jacobs.
00:48:48
He hasn't really got going in a while, but it's really the biggest passing game that I like so much so you're gonna have some nice opportunities, but rugs and AGL or going deep gonna have Waller Renfro in the intermediate game there for the Raiders.
00:49:01
I think all those matchups work very well.
00:49:03
Them for their.
00:49:04
But remember, we put that pin in Josh Allen.
00:49:07
What do you think about going with Derek Carr over Alan this week? I think it's risky.
00:49:14
I still think Josh Allen brings a higher floor.
00:49:18
But Deborah Kerr, if you look what he's done, especially in his last three or four matchups over 20 fantasy points per game.
00:49:25
Yeah, this is the best ever car we've seen since his M V P year.
00:49:29
Or the year where it was trending in the M V P conversation and got her, You know Michael Crabtree.
00:49:35
And it was the other wide receiver.
00:49:37
Uh Cooper.
00:49:41
Yes.
00:49:42
Very good.
00:49:43
Better. You're a better man than I remember.
00:49:45
Uh, but yeah, absolutely.
00:49:47
Again, to like, this is, you know, cars got Nelson a Galore.
00:49:51
Now, who shocker.
00:49:53
He leaves the Eagles and he is just, you know, clicking on all cylinders.
00:49:57
I was watching something the other day where they said, you know, Philly used them so much in the slot, and just a lot of his speed wasn't really utilized there.
00:50:06
Now, on the outside, you could just go burn guys deep.
00:50:09
So having having those four receivers, uh, in not, you know, just a huge rainy situation like Josh Allen.
00:50:18
That's kind of where that you know, that that's where that Air B situation came in for May.
00:50:23
So, but again, I really, really love some points in this one, and certainly a lot more coming from the Raiders.
00:50:29
Um, what? Alright.
00:50:31
So Odell Beckham Jr out for the year? We're already starting to hear it.
00:50:35
Baker is better with that, Odell.
00:50:37
He's much better.
00:50:39
Do you believe that that will be the case going forward? I think there's gonna be less pressure on Baker Mayfield because maybe if Baker Mayfield wasn't feeling pressure from Odell, I feel like the coaching staff was trying to get the ball in Odell Beckham junior's hand early, whether it was trick plays or reverses or or, you know, like the the bubble screens just to get him involved, and that could be inhibiting Baker Mayfield.
00:51:05
I do think we can see a better Baker Mayfield, because in a rookie year without Odell, we've seen the best Baker Mayfield so far best, and if they ends up having if he ends up having a bigger year without Odell.
00:51:22
We've seen Odell's last play in Cleveland.
00:51:24
I think he's done.
00:51:26
Yeah, uh, gonna be an interesting week.
00:51:30
DFS wise.
00:51:31
You know, people's Jones Probably gonna be, you know, again, more chocolate. Delicious.
00:51:36
You're gonna probably see some Baker Hunt.
00:51:38
Uh, people Jones lineups out there.
00:51:43
Are you in un, Rashad Higgins? Because that's the player who is being picked up everywhere in fantasy right now.
00:51:50
Yeah, I think so. Higgins.
00:51:52
And the reason I remember him so well, very great career.
00:51:55
Colorado State.
00:51:56
It was just unbelievable receiver there.
00:51:59
You know what it was? It was all those, uh, late night Mountain West Conference DFS games back in back in the mid, uh, 20 tens out there where that would be, like, your last chance.
00:52:12
That money, but for NFL Sunday.
00:52:13
But, uh, yeah, I'm in on taking Higgins.
00:52:16
I absolutely agree with the whole thing of Odell kind of commanding targets, and, you know, we've seen it before with different quarterbacks.
00:52:24
Uh, you know, you got Beckham and Landry there and, you know, and Joe Coup and Hooper now, like there's a lot of guys commanding targets.
00:52:31
A lot of guys want the ball.
00:52:32
I think there's a lot of pressure kind of now off of Mayfield's plate in that regard, so should work out.
00:52:38
But yeah, to answer your original question.
00:52:41
Yeah, a lot of these grounds receivers Aaron play, especially Higgins and people's Jones stuff.
00:52:48
Alright, Alright, Uh, in that game? Uh, yes.
00:52:52
Oh, the one.
00:52:53
The one stat that I wanted to mention here to road teams this season.
00:52:57
That air at plus six or fewer? 27 12 against the spread.
00:53:01
Yes, very.
00:53:04
I did not see that one coming either.
00:53:05
All right, let's get Thio.
00:53:07
The last game of the one o'clock window.
00:53:09
It's the Vikings at the Packers.
00:53:11
We've got a slight chance of snow in this one, but it's gonna be pretty windy, probably about 2025 miles an hour.
00:53:16
During game time, Packers opened up a 6.
00:53:19
5 point.
00:53:20
Favorites went down.
00:53:21
Surprisingly, if 5.
00:53:22
5 on now we've money line for them minus 2.
00:53:27
55 for the Vikings, plus 2. 30.
00:53:30
Now, this is another one where we've seen the total drop, which kind of indicates where the weather is going so after opening is the highest total on the slate.
00:53:37
At 56 it has gone to 53 a half.
00:53:41
And then it made another huge drop, 10 to 50.5.
00:53:44
So a lot of money being bet on the under in that regard.
00:53:46
But with that being said about the total I, I feel like that says more about the Vikings not being able to do a lot A supposed to what the Packers can do.
00:53:56
I think the Packers are gonna be just fine.
00:53:58
Let's say you, I'm gonna go with the over and I like Green Bay to win this game outright.
00:54:04
Green Bay completely out matches Minnesota.
00:54:08
And last year Green Bay swept the Vikings and the Vikings were a playoff team.
00:54:12
And you know, Green Bay is already one week one, and I think they're gonna dominate this one.
00:54:17
Even if Dalvin Cook plays and Erin Jones does not play, I still think Green Bay runs away with it.
00:54:23
They have depth, that running back.
00:54:24
They have quality wide receivers.
00:54:26
And, of course, Aaron Rodgers is, you know, heading a little better than Kirk cousins do.
00:54:31
I think that this Minnesota Vikings offense can get going a little bit to cover the over.
00:54:36
Yes, A green base should win this one by two sports.
00:54:41
My jerkoff dog is biting the **** out of my rest right now.
00:54:46
So if I start shouting off Aaron Rodgers stats and yelling in the middle, that is why.
00:54:51
But no.
00:54:53
Look, I absolutely love the Packers and this one, I love them at the beginning, I think, uh, you know, I wrote up Rogers and Adams in the props this week.
00:55:01
This is just a situation that, you know, they're gonna be going back to him again.
00:55:05
Adams last three games against the Vikings.
00:55:08
He's gone for over 100 yards and all of those on again to man Vikings secondary.
00:55:13
A lot of a lot of ailing and a lot of absent this week.
00:55:16
So this is just another opportunity for Aaron Rodgers to do big things again.
00:55:21
And, you know, you know, just for that total keep going downward, downward downward, that is on that is squarely on the Vikings.
00:55:28
That is not on the Packers, the Vikings defense.
00:55:32
Overall, I was down on it in the off season.
00:55:35
They lost a lot of players.
00:55:37
They lost a lot of pieces in the secondary on that linebacker corps.
00:55:41
Ever since.
00:55:42
Griffin, the Dallas who's now in Detroit and then in season Anthony Bar, their best backer left standing.
00:55:49
He's done for the year on IR.
00:55:51
They're losing player after player, even Daniel Hunters on IR.
00:55:55
This defense is terrible, and Green Bay is gonna have their way with them.
00:55:59
Yes, indeed.
00:56:01
Alright, Well, e think we're pretty much in agreement there.
00:56:04
No need to beat a dead horse there.
00:56:06
Uh, gonna be a very tough matchup to for Adam dealing against Alexander.
00:56:10
So hoping Justin Jefferson can get off in this game although than that it's It's the Rogers Adams Jones show.
00:56:17
Hopefully again.
00:56:18
So let's rocker all.
00:56:19
Oh Jones I mentioned by the way he's playing this week, right? I think it's up in the air still.
00:56:26
I know Green Bay wants Thio be cautious with him.
00:56:29
So I think Erin Jones is up in the air.
00:56:33
Dalvin cook is trending in the right direction.
00:56:35
All right, all right.
00:56:37
Before we get to the Sunday four o'clock slate, go to bed 3 65.
00:56:41
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00:56:46
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00:56:55
Okay, let's get into this four o'clock slates.
00:56:59
None of the games in the four o'clock sleep have any weather issues, so we don't even got a mention.
00:57:04
Whether they're good or not, just know that they'll be fine.
00:57:06
Uh, let's start with the Chargers at the Broncos in this one Chargers three point favorites in this one minus 1 62 on the money line for them Broncos plus 1 50 on the Moneyline total sitting at 44 a half.
00:57:20
So what? I've got really like no feelings toward this game whatsoever, But let's say you, this is a game.
00:57:27
After what the Broncos did or didn't do last week against against Kansas City.
00:57:31
I think Denver's a better team than what they put on display.
00:57:35
Those defensive touchdowns really put them in the whole.
00:57:37
You know, Patrick Mahomes didn't even have to do a lot.
00:57:40
As you said earlier, We're talking about Kansas City I think Chelsea had three receptions against a team that normally dominates.
00:57:47
I actually think this is a game Denver can win outright, despite what they get.
00:57:52
Last week, they played most of their opponents really close, including the good ones like Pittsburgh and Tennessee on the charges.
00:57:59
They're giving away a lot of games.
00:58:01
We've seen them at Leeds, and those leads were given away late.
00:58:05
Makes me question.
00:58:07
Anthony went a little bit and I'm gonna take Denver.
00:58:10
I'm gonna take Denver and Moneyline.
00:58:11
I love that.
00:58:13
Like under I know that Drew locker Drew locker Drew Lock Drew lock. True.
00:58:20
There's, like myself taken absolute bloodbath on Twitter.
00:58:23
But now I Look, I love Drew Lock.
00:58:25
I think that he is a guy that eventually we'll get it together.
00:58:29
We saw what he could do last year, but this is a pretty decent match up against the the charges here, right? If they could protect him up front, I think that this is gonna be, you know, sort of a fruitful day for them, if you will.
00:58:42
Uh, we saw the line open minus 2.
00:58:45
5 of the chargers.
00:58:46
Uh, I do like when you know these road team.
00:58:50
They're not necessarily the three, right? We talk about that.
00:58:52
Number three being the number of death.
00:58:54
I you know, I think that that's leaving some optimism here.
00:58:57
Open to don't forget Denver.
00:58:59
You know, regardless of what you saw the Chiefs do their last week, it's still one of the toughest places to play in the NFL.
00:59:06
Denver, They got to stay the week at home last week.
00:59:09
They didn't have to do any sort of travel, so that puts him in a spot of concert spot of comfort ability.
00:59:16
Here to, uh, you got an update on Phillip Lindsay this week.
00:59:20
Is he gonna be in there? Um, Lindsey is up in the air.
00:59:24
I know he's dealing with an injury he has in practice.
00:59:28
So if Lindsay doesn't go, we're going to see Royce Freeman.
00:59:30
And, of course, Melvin Gordon. Dominique.
00:59:32
Oh, it's Revenge week, isn't it? Of course.
00:59:36
How do you like uh oh, my goodness, I Yeah, he's Lindsay is in a concussion protocol, and he did not practice up until yesterday.
00:59:46
And I think if he doesn't get out of the protocol today, it's gonna put him in danger of missing Sunday.
00:59:51
Alright.
00:59:52
Um, all right, So yeah, I think Bronco, is there any profits, anything of that nature? I didn't really dig into the used ones yet, But if Phillip Lindsay is out, I'm gonna take any profit I could get from Melvin Gordon.
01:00:06
Okay, Just on the ranking, I saw Jerry.
01:00:09
Judy had a good matchup.
01:00:10
If people are interested in that, I kind of saw that passing buys.
01:00:14
Uh, you know, I don't I don't know exactly how it goes, but definitely keep an eye out for that.
01:00:20
Uh, probably the biggest game.
01:00:23
What am I talking about? The second biggest game of the four o'clock window.
01:00:27
It'll be the Saints that the Bears saints.
01:00:29
My opened at minus three.
01:00:31
So I go down to 2.
01:00:32
5, so I come back up.
01:00:33
So, four. A lot of that.
01:00:35
Because of what the Bears produced on Monday night football, which was absolutely Jack **** on the money line in this one ST.
01:00:42
Now there's been a huge increase.
01:00:44
Their for the saints, minus 1 50 is where they opened minus 2.
01:00:47
10 is where they're at the bears.
01:00:49
Plus 1 30 is where they opened, plus 200 is where they're at right now.
01:00:54
So I mean, gotta, by the way, total to dropped off a cliff Here, 47 is where it opened.
01:01:01
43 a half is where it is with the money on the under going that way.
01:01:05
So based off those numbers, you're feeling states under like I am.
01:01:11
Yeah, there's gonna be a low scoring match up anytime Chicago's involved.
01:01:14
I'm probably gonna buy into the under and the Saints.
01:01:17
Let's face it, is their offense playing like we're used to seeing? And I know there were a short handed no Michael Thomas most of the year.
01:01:25
Emmanuel Sanders is now gone, but they still have album.
01:01:28
Camara, who's an elite running back, and Drew Brees is just starting to show those signs of aging.
01:01:34
And he started showing them the past couple of years in January at the worst possible times.
01:01:39
And I think now we're starting to see it in the regular season.
01:01:43
Yeah, I mean, we we we talk in terms of air yards, right? One of these fancy new NFL metrics, Drew Brees, certainly down at the bottom, I believe you know he's averaging something like 556 yards per pass throughout the air.
01:02:01
So, you know, if you've watched the same game, you don't need those metrics to tell you this guy is just not throwing the ball down the field.
01:02:07
He's just he's getting older, and he certainly doesn't have that aspect to his game anymore, So yeah, absolutely.
01:02:12
But I guess the Bears man like this is sort of a game where you kind of just chop them up with the run.
01:02:18
I think you know Kamara is gonna play a big part.
01:02:21
And, of course, you know lattes.
01:02:22
Murray is the guy that they can kind of go in there and pound in while the weather is not gonna be awful in Chicago, you know, Certainly not with the Saints.
01:02:29
Love where they're at their best, right? Where, where you know they're they're used to playing in the dome and being comfortable.
01:02:35
Um, the one thing I can the one, I guess factor that I could give out there for the Bears is just that, you know, absolutely.
01:02:44
Getting embarrassed on Monday night has its perks in terms of coming back the next week.
01:02:48
So four points, I I could certainly lean to Chicago there.
01:02:53
Um, but this is probably gonna be a game that I stay away from all together.
01:02:58
Maybe I throw saints money line in the parlor or something like that, but I just don't feel comfortable.
01:03:03
Thea under, though with the movement there.
01:03:05
And it makes sense, right? Like, you know, the bears aren't really gonna big play to death.
01:03:10
Of course, Allen Robinson can have a nice day, you know, catching the football if you play.
01:03:16
But yeah, Overall, I think under 43 is where I'm really looking at.
01:03:21
Yeah, I like me under here and I don't know, Chicago.
01:03:26
That money lining does entice me there at home.
01:03:29
They have a really good defense, but I think the Saints should just outmatch them.
01:03:34
I also think this is a game where we might see Mitchell Travis Key if Nick Foles doesn't play interesting.
01:03:41
Interesting.
01:03:42
I mean, Nick Foles they were to wind up with Stravinsky when they made the move.
01:03:45
The falls that is charged.
01:03:47
Yep.
01:03:49
Yeah, it's a tough situation there for Robiskie.
01:03:51
Nobody is not gonna be there.
01:03:52
Uh, maybe they go and get you know Ryan Fitzpatrick.
01:03:55
Oh, my goodness.
01:03:58
There Do you think he will be moved? Do you think Miami wants to keep him? As I think they should keep? Ryan puts Patrick because of two.
01:04:05
It doesn't work again.
01:04:06
This is This is a playoff team.
01:04:08
They could potentially go win this division.
01:04:10
Yeah, in Miami.
01:04:12
Okay, fair enough. Fair enough.
01:04:15
I wouldn't move.
01:04:16
Uh, let's get to the headliner in the four o'clock window.
01:04:20
It's the 40 Niners at the Seahawks.
01:04:22
Uh, Seahawks favored by three.
01:04:24
In this one. We got the money line.
01:04:26
Uh, Seahawks minus 1. 44.
01:04:28
40 Niners at plus 1.
01:04:30
35 total is at 50 for with the money heading towards the over in this one.
01:04:36
Uh, I've got some.
01:04:38
I've got some San Francisco love in this one for sure.
01:04:40
How about you have I've been on San Francisco, I think the pain on my co host on my show, he's a big 40 Niners fan and a couple of weeks ago, I think it was against the Rams, and they were you know, Frisco was coming off that bad loss to, um, Miami and I was all in on the 40 Niners coming out right.
01:04:59
I took the 40 Niners over the Patriots out right? And I think the 40 Niners, they're going to do it again outright over Seattle because Seattle cannot play defense and Seattle, it seems like outside a week one every one of their games is coming down to the wire, and they're asking Russell Wilson to do something special.
01:05:19
And eventually, you can't ask.
01:05:22
You can't ask one guy to keep doing it week after week after week, especially against the quality, uh, opponent like San Francisco.
01:05:31
Who knows you, don't you? The absolute.
01:05:35
And I'm pretty sure that Arizona just gave everybody the blueprint Han on how to defend Russell Wilson.
01:05:42
Let's just what's the **** out of this guy? I mean, they had absolutely no answer for for Arizona once they started bringing the house at him.
01:05:50
Obviously, you know, forced him into a couple of really bad turnovers in that game, things that we haven't seen from Russell Wilson before.
01:05:57
So, you know, one of the things that kind of jumped out to me when I saw this and seeing a lot of love for the over to I am not putting another multi interception game pass.
01:06:09
Russell Wilson Here I think San Francisco knows them well enough, and this is gonna put the offense and some nice field position place here When I see so much money going toward the over.
01:06:18
I mean, yeah, sure.
01:06:20
Seattle can can move the football, but I don't I don't look at San Francisco in that way.
01:06:25
I look at them is sort of a team that could could chew it up.
01:06:28
And, you know, they're in that sort of a weird situation this week to know Deebo.
01:06:32
Samuel, he's gonna be out for the next couple of weeks.
01:06:34
And Raheem Mostert, of course, still gonna be out.
01:06:37
But Jeff Wilson and Tevin Coleman? Yes, in addition to all the other guys that they already lost.
01:06:43
But ah, guy that I picked up in season long on the waiver wire to Michael Hasty.
01:06:48
He's a guy who is very exciting.
01:06:50
Niners have nothing but great things to say about this guy.
01:06:53
And if you saw the game against the Patriots this week, you know the kind of explosiveness that this guy has, uh, something that they're gonna miss a beat.
01:07:01
Their think, of course, they have to give McKinnon there his touches just because But Hasty is the guy that's really going to get the production here, The bigger issue for either one of these teams.
01:07:12
That running back Chris Carson.
01:07:14
You know, e think they're going to call him a game time decision.
01:07:17
And if he is active, maybe it's an emergency role.
01:07:20
I just don't see him playing.
01:07:21
I don't know if Carlos Hyde is gonna play Travis Homers banged up and we could see D.
01:07:26
J.
01:07:27
Dallas a rookie carry the load here.
01:07:29
And if you make Seattle one dimensional, I do think San Francisco is gonna win this game.
01:07:36
Yes, sir, I love it.
01:07:37
Tyler Lockett.
01:07:38
Last week, 15 catches, 200 yards and three touchdowns in that one.
01:07:43
This has to be Metcalfe we coming back, right? Because diners air probably gonna put everything they have into stopping Lockett.
01:07:51
You would think so, But if it is Metcalfe week The last time these two teams played Metcalfe 6 81 and won the first game that they've ever played against each other because you know Metcalf's rookie here? He went for six for 70.
01:08:05
I don't know if you want to make it a metcalf e interesting where you know Tyler Lockett in his career.
01:08:14
He's played well against San Francisco, but he's never really let him up.
01:08:18
Three out of, Like, what? Eight year or three out of his past six games with double digit fantasy points and the other three were pedestrians.
01:08:27
Okay, right, right.
01:08:31
Uh, yeah.
01:08:32
So, again, diners there, That would be a huge what do you? All right, let's talk about this, too, because it's pretty.
01:08:38
It's got mold.
01:08:39
It's got a lot of pieces here, right? So Russell Wilson, I think everybody, uh, probably even the bill probably expected him to win the NFL MVP award.
01:08:49
If the Niners do indeed win this game, would you think about maybe taking a maybe a little bit of a longer shot on somebody with the M V p yachts? Um, maybe.
01:09:03
But you see that diabolical thinking right there? You gotta love it.
01:09:06
****s gotta love it.
01:09:09
There's no there's a player I had in mind, and I completely drew a blank right now.
01:09:14
Derrick Henry was something O Ryan Tech Extra time.
01:09:20
How the hell would be my pivot? See, folks, it's not just games props. It's everything.
01:09:26
Benvenuti Ben Jr.
01:09:28
Oh my God, So, yes, let's get into Sunday.
01:09:32
Tonight it is the Bend.
01:09:34
DeNucci lead Cowboys at the Philadelphia Eagles Eagles 9.
01:09:37
5 point favorites in this one minus 3 85 on the money line, plus 3 50 on the money line for the Cowboys.
01:09:43
I'm seeing the total right now at 43 42% chance rain in this game, so it could be mocked up a little bit.
01:09:50
But I think the fact of the matter remains, you said it all. Ben DeNucci.
01:09:54
I got no faith in the guy.
01:09:56
I saw a little bit of Ben DeNucci against the football team last week, but not impressed.
01:10:02
I just how unimpressed Aria and I think Philly's gonna smash Dallas, and I'm a Cowboys fan.
01:10:10
I give them zero shot I actually love.
01:10:14
I forgot to touch down for Philly's defense.
01:10:19
I'm gonna be all over that.
01:10:21
They're going to swallow up Ben DeNucci in this one. We won't even see Cooper.
01:10:26
Russia was just signed back to the practice squad.
01:10:29
What what's the odds on that? The double touchdown? I mean, I could pull it up.
01:10:35
It's probably a little less favorable than we're used to seeing.
01:10:39
But if people could pull that up now, if people hit that, can they be comfortable taking off of work next week? Probably.
01:10:46
Well, actually, you'd probably have to take the following week off because you can't just say, Hey, boss, I'm taking this week off on Sunday night, you know? Yeah, I don't even I don't.
01:10:56
There's no player props out for this yet.
01:10:58
There's no touchdown props yet. All right.
01:11:01
One prop that I did see.
01:11:03
And I'm kind of, you know, gonna backtrack on it now, possibly a little bit.
01:11:07
I went with Carson Wentz over passing yards, so I believe he was at Jeez, I want to say to I gotta pull the article up again, but, uh, he cheese.
01:11:19
I want to say to, let's say to 65 for ****s and giggles, but I expected this to just be a uh Oh, here we go. I'm sorry.
01:11:28
To 55 for the past.
01:11:29
Er, Carson, once, uh, I expect the eagles to use this game as a you know, hear me roar.
01:11:38
We are the champions of the n f c.
01:11:40
East type of type of situation, right? Like you don't get to just beat up on Dallas on national TV quite often.
01:11:47
So I think there's an opportunity that they certainly wanna, you know, take by the horn and roll with it and, you know, again, just bend a new chief.
01:11:55
That's all you got to say, folks, If you think he's gonna lead this team toe to a bunch of points against the Eagles or any points against the Sea Eagles defense, you're sorely mistaken.
01:12:05
What if he What if Dallas wins? Like, what does that say about Philly? What does it say about anything like, I don't know anything can happen And Ezekiel Elliott, still a Nall eat player, and Carson Wentz doesn't always played his best football.
01:12:22
When I don't know, I love filling Dominy, but if there is, that chance in Dallas is showing us that they traded ever since Griffin and they released on Terry Po.
01:12:33
They're trying to tank this season, but I just don't trust anything.
01:12:37
I think Washington And ultimately, when is this Division when it's all said and done? My goodness, um, I have a lot of friends that went toe James Madison University, where, uh, DeNucci is from.
01:12:50
So this is in no way a a Smackdown because everybody knows James Madison, one of the more intellectual universities out there.
01:12:58
But the uptick in competition that Mr DeNucci saw James Madison compared to what he will be saying on Sunday night is just an absolutely it's a galaxy apart.
01:13:11
So, did you see the first throw last week against Washington? I think he threw it to Cooper, and it was like, Wow, that was great.
01:13:18
And then you got swallowed.
01:13:20
E no, I remember because I saw it.
01:13:26
I was like, Wow, like, Do they really have something here that that's amazing.
01:13:31
Like, is this gonna be another Tony Romo? Yeah, right.
01:13:35
Andy Dalton is officially ruled out, right? Like there's no way you can play.
01:13:40
I don't think it's official yet, but even if Andy Dalton plays, I give them zero hope.
01:13:47
Yeah, so I'm playing.
01:13:49
I would say, like, you know, plus 10 or something like that.
01:13:52
I think you could You could obviously make the case.
01:13:54
I mean, keep in mind.
01:13:55
I mean, we were talking about the bank for 13 points without that Prescott.
01:14:00
Ah, Jesus.
01:14:02
I mean, it's It's such a shame, too, because you have all these talented wide receivers.
01:14:06
You got Zeke who who has done very well against the Eagles over the course of his career.
01:14:12
So, you know, perhaps they could get that thing going, But I'm sorry.
01:14:17
I just think it's gonna be too much.
01:14:18
Um, I'm really upset with the rain now, you know, because I really thought this was gonna be a nice coming out party for Carson Wentz.
01:14:24
Nice little, you know, to to 83 touchdowns, sort of game, maybe even throw of rushing touchdown in there.
01:14:32
But with with that being the case with the rain, I think that this this is I'd love to take the under here.
01:14:38
I just think it's gonna be very sloppy and very just very minuscule movement of the football down the field, so I can't get up.
01:14:48
All right to Monday night shall be for the grand finale.
01:14:52
We shall.
01:14:53
This is going on in our neck of the woods.
01:14:55
Where Jersey boys, folks, Thea, my Tampa Bay Buccaneers, uh, coming here to MetLife Stadium to face the New York football Giants Buccaneers.
01:15:04
Favored by 11.
01:15:05
5 points in this one money line on all the way at minus 6.
01:15:09
70 Giants on the money line there.
01:15:11
Plus for 80.
01:15:12
We got a total that has been taken downwards to, Whereas it opened at 40 47 points, five has dropped to 46 then now down to its current total of 45.
01:15:23
So this will be Tom Brady on my foot.
01:15:29
I'm very upset because I would have been to this key game with bells and whistles on.
01:15:34
Had it not been for Cove it, I would have tried so hard.
01:15:37
My girlfriend actually has a trip through a free trip that she can use to work, supposed to go down in Orlando.
01:15:43
But obviously everything with Covitz stop.
01:15:45
That really was gonna try to parlay that into Bradys home opener.
01:15:49
But whatever.
01:15:51
All for not in this game, I can't I can't see the Giants, you know, and Danny Jones hanging on to the football too often in this one.
01:16:01
Granted, the you know, the total moving downwards kind of tells you that story.
01:16:06
But even with the three extra days of preparation and this is going to be an absolute uphill battle for the Giants, I don't give the Giants and any type of a shot here the way Tampa Bay, it was winning football games.
01:16:21
I mean, they had a close one against the Chargers.
01:16:24
That was, you know, a seven point victory.
01:16:27
They've been winning all of their games by double digits this year.
01:16:30
Thank you, Joshua Kelly, for that fumble.
01:16:33
By the way, in the Chargers game that totally turned the tide when the Bucks were down 24 7. But yeah.
01:16:39
I mean, it has been so fun, you know, as somebody who kind of went out on Sundays and yeah, the Tampa game might have been in the corner with Jameis Winston doing dumb **** all over the field.
01:16:50
But now, with Brady, it's It's an event it is.
01:16:52
Must see TV.
01:16:54
Uh, just the way that the defense is playing.
01:16:56
I think this is probably, uh, the biggest factor to the game here.
01:17:00
Danny Jones.
01:17:01
Just we know that this guy is not good at holding on the football.
01:17:04
The the amount of Blitzer's at Tampa Bay is gonna bring his way.
01:17:08
Just the big push that you're gonna get up front from the Dhamma con Su Stevie McClendon getting his feet wet on the pirate ship last week.
01:17:16
Finally, uh, that was great to see in place of it of a But this is just a massive mismatch on the defensive line, uh, of Tampa Bay going to the Giants offensive line.
01:17:27
And, you know, again, just look at the spread, man.
01:17:30
We're here a double digits for the for the away team in this game.
01:17:33
You don't see that too often? No.
01:17:36
You know, to your point on Daniel Jones.
01:17:38
I mean, he loves to give away.
01:17:40
He loves the turnover, especially when pressure in his face.
01:17:43
And I don't even know if Tampa Bay has to send any pressure.
01:17:46
I think they could send their, you know, just send their therefore rusher.
01:17:50
And this is a Jason Paul Pierre Paul revenge game, too.
01:17:54
I think this is another game where if you're gonna take a touchdown proper defense to score, I think Tampa Bay defense finds the end zone in this one.
01:18:10
I think the dog knocked out your mike.
01:18:22
I can't hear you

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Taking Sides w/ Al Walsh & Pauly Parlays @Taking_Sides Follow
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