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00:00:00
most.
00:00:01
Corey easily. Nice to meet you guys.
00:00:03
And Perry is always with Alex Valadez.
00:00:06
How's it going, Alex? I am exhausted.
00:00:11
Gambling hasn't been the kindness to me this week.
00:00:13
I'm hoping our power, part of, you know, gets our kids college funds filled.
00:00:17
So cheers, Thio, choose to us.
00:00:23
Yeah.
00:00:24
I mean, the power power line did not come through for us last week.
00:00:29
Um, and you know, it is Ah, lottery ticket at the end of day.
00:00:33
So we just keep plugging along, try again this week, and we'll go from there.
00:00:40
Um, so just looking here at, you know, week seven, um, we're gonna start with the Buffalo Bills and New York Jets.
00:00:51
The Buffalo Bills are 10.
00:00:52
5 point favorites in this one.
00:00:54
New York Jets are paying $5.
00:00:57
30 on the money lining thing that can pull off some kind of weird upset.
00:01:02
But the jets are all in six against the spread so far this year.
00:01:08
Um, does the trend continue? They might as well be.
00:01:13
Oh, in six against teaser.
00:01:14
The teaser added with it too. Yeah.
00:01:18
No, I I am so against, uh, the jets and I think the bills.
00:01:23
Even though I know we have our thoughts on the bills.
00:01:25
The team, This is the perfect balance.
00:01:28
Back after a two game skid, give me the spread for the bills.
00:01:32
Even with no tight end rostered at the moment.
00:01:38
Yeah, definitely.
00:01:40
Um, I like the bills in this one.
00:01:42
I think the bills will cover the spread.
00:01:44
I think that, you know, uh huh.
00:01:50
The jets will do what they can by the end of the day.
00:01:53
I think buffaloes in a perfect smash spot here, Um, coming off.
00:01:58
Ah.
00:01:59
Couple tough, tough games for them.
00:02:01
And, you know, they're gonna be looking to get right in this game.
00:02:05
Um, as far as Claire, props go.
00:02:10
And things like that, um, you know, anytime.
00:02:12
Touchdown scores.
00:02:14
As you can see there, um, we're gonna go to some player props here.
00:02:20
Your quarterback prop markets.
00:02:22
Sam.
00:02:23
Donald.
00:02:24
I'm not putting anything Has has to do with Sam Donald right now.
00:02:28
Jack Allen's passing years that to 78 a half, um, his passing TDs.
00:02:34
That one half, which is only paying a dollar 45.
00:02:37
Um, Josh on a throw, interceptions.
00:02:40
Paying a dollar 68 in Donald Throw interceptions Opinion taller. 35.
00:02:46
Now I'm so, uh, the books.
00:02:49
You know, they think that that he will throw all interception.
00:02:53
Um, pretty confidently.
00:02:55
They're rushing props.
00:02:57
Um, Frank or he's at 42 a half.
00:03:00
Devin Singletary.
00:03:01
57 a half.
00:03:02
Josh Allen at 27 a half.
00:03:05
That's interesting on then.
00:03:08
Receiving.
00:03:09
Obviously, he talks about how the bills have no tight ends this week.
00:03:12
So Cole Beasley over 56 a half is interesting stuff on digs at 78 a half.
00:03:18
Gabriel Davis at 45 a half.
00:03:20
Um, would be interesting as well.
00:03:24
Anything that jumps out right away, you got, like, just receivers I'm staying away from.
00:03:29
Um So is there anything that you see there? That but you particularly like, um, in this one.
00:03:42
What was called Beazley's at, uh, Beazley's at 56 a half, I think.
00:03:49
Alright, he's he's on.
00:03:52
Lee hit that in the first part of the first three weeks of the season when they were far better.
00:03:59
Uh, I mean catches.
00:04:01
Has he had the last two games in the last two games? Uh, he's had six receptions and four against Kansas City on 16. 7 targets.
00:04:14
It's over on it for receptions is 4.
00:04:15
5 e.
00:04:18
Kind of like that.
00:04:19
I think John Brown is out.
00:04:22
Yeah, I think you're right on that one as well.
00:04:24
You know, John Brown know tight ends.
00:04:27
I think that might be our pick right there so easily over 4.
00:04:31
5 receptions.
00:04:34
**** it in.
00:04:35
Lock it in.
00:04:36
All right, Sweet.
00:04:39
So that takes care off that awful game.
00:04:45
You want the bill spread on this one too, Or just the cold easily won.
00:04:48
I like the bill spread is as well, but we can't parlay those, so Okay, Mom.
00:04:55
I mean, for everyone else out there, um, take the bills minus 10. Enough.
00:05:00
I'll be doing that as well.
00:05:02
The next game, your your team, the Pittsburgh Steelers versus the kind of the writing.
00:05:10
Um, the Pittsburgh.
00:05:12
It was our underdogs in this on getting one half points.
00:05:15
They're paying 202 on the money line.
00:05:18
Um, with that being said, the Titans are paying a dollar 79 as a favorite on the money line, and there's this is gonna be a great matchup What do you What? Do your thoughts on this once Steelers friend? Obviously, I'm gonna try to keep my biases out of this.
00:05:36
But I really do think that Steelers defense neutralizes this passing game, which I know.
00:05:42
Uh, a J.
00:05:43
Brown just recently had got hit with a questionable tag, which I think might just be precautionary, something to look at their.
00:05:49
But the big story is gonna be how the Steelers handle Derrick. Henry.
00:05:53
I definitely think there run defense is stout enough to keep even Henry and check.
00:05:57
So give me the give me the plus odds.
00:05:59
Give me stealing money line.
00:06:02
Yeah, I like Steelers money line here as well, so I don't know if that's a good thing or a bad thing.
00:06:07
Um, way both agree on this one, but yeah, I like the Steelers money line and this one as well.
00:06:15
Um, I do think, uh, about all of attrition here with Devin Busch being out and Taylor Lewan being out which team kind of can, you know, survive the most with those losses.
00:06:31
Those were both key losses.
00:06:33
Um, it'll be interesting to see how the Steelers shut down this run game.
00:06:39
I'm not worried about the passing games.
00:06:40
The Steelers have been very good against past the issue will be the Titans defense and the Titans defense is one of the worst in the league.
00:06:49
I think their 22nd on D v O a.
00:06:53
Um, they've just been holding on, but, you know, for dear life, as the Titans offense has been absolutely, you know, road grading, everyone in scoring, tons of points.
00:07:04
So I'm a little bit worried about this Titans defense.
00:07:09
But, um on I think that's the reason why I like Steelers in this in this game.
00:07:15
I know that a lot of people, especially the sharp bettors, are on the under in this game because Steelers on the road traditionally don't score a ton of points.
00:07:26
But I think it's to stay away at 15.
00:07:28
5 points.
00:07:30
Um, just because the Titans have been, you know, so efficient on offense.
00:07:35
Um, it's kind of ah, scary place to be, especially with us, the way the Steelers have been playing as well.
00:07:41
So I wouldn't I would I would stay away from the total.
00:07:46
Um, yeah, on that one.
00:07:48
Tough quarterback props, So yeah, been run off this burger passing urine to 75 a half.
00:07:55
10 allowed to 68 a half rather burgers TDs at 1.
00:07:59
5 over is paying a dollar.
00:08:01
50.
00:08:02
The under paying to 47 Tannehill passing TDs over 1.
00:08:06
5 is paying a dollar.
00:08:07
54 Roths Burger.
00:08:10
Past attempts is at 38 a half.
00:08:12
10 hills at 32 a half uh, rushing props.
00:08:15
James Connors at 68 a half That's paying a dollar.
00:08:18
88 for the over Derrick Henry is at 84 a half Tannehill's at 14 half rushing yards.
00:08:26
Um, I kinda really like that needed.
00:08:29
Can you check while I go through these King? Check Tannehill's rushing stats.
00:08:33
Last few games.
00:08:34
Uh, Derrick Henry is rushing attempts is at 22 a half.
00:08:39
Uh, a couple of other ones here.
00:08:43
I mean, Derrick Henry rushing and receiving yards is that 95 a half? I kind of really like that.
00:08:49
Just because if he gets a screen and he goes for 30 you know anyone you know, he rushes for 60 70 yards.
00:08:55
Easy win.
00:08:56
Um, considering the fact that his rushing yards over Under is at 84 a half.
00:09:01
Um, you know, getting a couple screens here and let them rumble for 10 15 yards really helps that that total rushing and receiving.
00:09:11
Uh, receiving wise juju.
00:09:12
Smith Schuster is at 48 a half super low.
00:09:15
Eric, you brought up 35 a half.
00:09:17
Thes Titan receivers.
00:09:19
I'm going to stay away from Claypool is at 50.
00:09:23
5 Deontay Johnson 47 half James Washington 29 a half John Smith at 40.5.
00:09:31
Anything that jumps out at you with those I mean, we've got receptions as well.
00:09:37
So if you just certain choir that you think we'll catch them balls, let me know.
00:09:42
One for me is, um I know Deontay Johnson was hurt last couple of weeks, but his receptions are at 4.5.
00:09:52
And when healthy, he has double digit target share.
00:09:55
And again, could the emergence of Claypool effect that possibly But I think Dion today's report with Big Band Hill he will get at least five receptions in this game and they're at plus odds is plus odds.
00:10:09
Um, well basically plus 1 15 $2 15 years for him as well.
00:10:17
Like that.
00:10:18
I like you like yardage for him as well.
00:10:21
Yeah, he's a 47.5.
00:10:27
James Connor rushing here at 68 a half was tempting to me to He's gone over the century mark a few times this season already for Tannehill.
00:10:36
What, do you want me to look up his rushing yards? All right.
00:10:40
In the last three games, he's had four carries for 944 carries for 42 then in the game against Houston, no carries.
00:10:51
Oh, okay.
00:10:52
No, we're staying away from that one. Yeah.
00:10:57
So you like the O Which one? Uh, which other ones? That I besides when I mentioned kind of caught your eye.
00:11:05
Oh, e mean Ebron over 3.
00:11:09
5 receptions is interesting.
00:11:12
Um, it's just I think we gotta be.
00:11:18
We really don't know what How the distribution is gonna look like.
00:11:22
Especially now that Claypool has emerged.
00:11:24
And now Dante's back.
00:11:26
They basically have, you know, four guys there.
00:11:28
Um, you know, five guys.
00:11:31
Really, um, that they could get the ball to.
00:11:33
So, like, do we believe that You know this.
00:11:38
If if I believed that this game probably goes under like I want to say and you know, the Titans probably try to run the ball ton is this game, you know, a lot slower.
00:11:51
Do they play a lot of plays like I find it really risky.
00:11:55
Um, with all these little bit as's faras yardage goes.
00:12:00
But, um, I mean, I could see it.
00:12:05
It's just Yeah, I think it's a little bit more risky.
00:12:08
Um, taking, especially deante, um, and his such injury history.
00:12:15
So far, this year hasn't been great.
00:12:17
So what's Johnny Smith status? Um, right now he is probable, says Smith, the part of the last contest with the ankle sprain, but it's anticipated that he will face the Steelers on Sunday.
00:12:32
Right now, I'm looking him up in a few articles.
00:12:35
Say he's not on the injury report and a human A.
00:12:39
J. Brown are both good to go.
00:12:41
What about John Who? Smith.
00:12:42
3.5 receptions.
00:12:44
Just look his stats up.
00:12:49
Yeah, that's not That's not bad, I would say in his last few games, he said, 55 and then one because of an injury but he's had minimal four receptions with that, with at least five targets every game except the game. He got hurt.
00:13:07
Yeah.
00:13:09
Um, I like that one.
00:13:11
Okay.
00:13:12
John Smith.
00:13:13
Over 3.5 catches, we're gonna have receptions.
00:13:17
All right, That's the second one.
00:13:20
All right, we're off and running.
00:13:24
What's the next game? Is Dallas Cowboys at Washington football team? Basically, it's even, um, there is one point Washington getting one point at the moment.
00:13:36
But $2.
00:13:37
90 years you'd see screen, um, had had their tough, tough, tough game. The handicap.
00:13:47
The over is 44 a half over under, with the over appearing in dollar 86.
00:13:53
I kind of like the over, um, but that's about it.
00:13:56
I don't know about the sides.
00:13:58
If I had to choose like you're like, you have to choose one.
00:14:02
I would choose Dallas spot you like I said, it's don't love it.
00:14:09
Yeah, I would probably I'd probably lean with Dallas as well.
00:14:13
Um, if you do get the one point, I would take it just in case.
00:14:17
At this point, I don't know, Uh, what? I just don't think it could get worse for them.
00:14:24
It's just It's so weird.
00:14:26
Like, I mean this Andy Dalton gets the keys to this offense.
00:14:30
I I just can't see him having a bad game against the Redskins.
00:14:33
Which, Excuse me, the Washington football team, which I know as a ferocious front.
00:14:37
But I just It's hard time for me to pick the football team without some more competent play from the quarterback position.
00:14:48
Yeah, we got a question from that.
00:14:50
Um, screw Matt, Do you guys think it would be good to take the Cowboys plus one over Washington football team if you're gonna take the plus? Oh, they're not plus one anymore.
00:14:58
There, minus one.
00:15:00
Um, depending on your book.
00:15:01
Obviously, if you could get plus one, I don't think it matters that much.
00:15:05
I think at that point you just take the money line.
00:15:08
Um, and, you know, live with it.
00:15:11
So I would go cowboys Moneyline If that's why you're leaning, Um, that's that's your prerogative, But yeah, I think, rather than taking just the one, just grab the extra few cents and take take cowboys on the mainland.
00:15:30
So as's faras props go, we got quarterback markets.
00:15:35
Andy Dalton, Kyle Allen.
00:15:37
Do you really wanna do that again, That, uh All right, we'll move on from there.
00:15:42
Rushing props got Elliott 81 a half.
00:15:45
Antonio Gibson at 50.5.
00:15:47
My boy J D McKissic, at 17.5.
00:15:51
Came through with me for me last week.
00:15:53
Tony Pollard at 12.5.
00:15:55
Um, J d McKissic rushing and receiving that dollar 80.
00:16:00
Um, sorry. 48 a half of dollar.
00:16:02
88 for the over 10.
00:16:04
Gibson's at 74 a half rushing and receiving yards.
00:16:07
Um, the over paying down anyone The underpinning dollar 86.
00:16:12
Uh, receiving prop markets.
00:16:14
Amari Cooper that 65 a half City Lamott 61 a half Terry McLaren 82 a half which is very high.
00:16:20
Logan Thomas at 30.
00:16:21
5, Elliott at 28 half Gallup 40.
00:16:25
5, Dalton Schultz at 31 a half, Antonio Gibson at 22 a half and J.
00:16:31
D McKissic at 27 half.
00:16:35
Oh, wait.
00:16:36
My cousins receiving is that 27 a half? Yes.
00:16:41
Oh, that's that's the lock right there.
00:16:44
Yeah, he's check down city.
00:16:47
Yeah, in the last three games, 88 and six targets, respectively.
00:16:52
And he had 766 And even if you go back toe from week 32 weeks, six minimum of 37 yards receiving.
00:17:00
Yeah, I don't know what's going on with the odds on McKissic, because his receptions at 3.5.
00:17:07
Oh, is it? Yeah.
00:17:11
All right, man.
00:17:12
Since this is your boy you can pick Which one of those to you wanna roll with? I think it's broken.
00:17:18
I'm taking the receptions.
00:17:20
I'm taking receptions and I'm going over that span.
00:17:23
Dollar $88.
00:17:24
98.
00:17:25
Um, the overall nine yards is only paying a dollar 90 so I'll take the extra eight cents.
00:17:30
Thinks, um, and run with that one.
00:17:34
I mean, Antonio Gibson's at 3.
00:17:36
5 receptions as well.
00:17:37
I like that over.
00:17:38
Um, Just a Muchas paying $2.
00:17:41
12? Um, but McKissick been ah, lock over 3.5.
00:17:46
Catch is pretty much all season.
00:17:49
That's such Is that true? What's McKissick? Reception's been like last five games.
00:17:56
So his last five games, So against Arizona, he didn't have any, but he didn't have.
00:18:02
He didn't even get a target that game.
00:18:04
Following following that game four targets.
00:18:07
Three receptions, eight targets, seven receptions, eight targets, six receptions and then last week, six targets.
00:18:13
Six receptions.
00:18:14
Yeah, so since cow Allen's been in the game pretty much, he's been the kind of the outlet.
00:18:20
Hey, actually played, Um, you know, he's playing just as many snaps, if not more than Antonio Gibson.
00:18:26
So I like that one.
00:18:28
I like J D McKissic over 3.
00:18:30
5 receptions in that in that game, so we'll move on.
00:18:34
From there.
00:18:35
We go to Carolina and New Orleans Saints.
00:18:37
Very interesting game.
00:18:39
Carolina Panthers paying $3.
00:18:40
42 on the money line.
00:18:41
The New Orleans Saints paying a dollar 32 states are seven point favorites at home.
00:18:47
Um, obviously, I think there's gonna be a few fans for this game.
00:18:51
I think I heard right because I know New Orleans did petition to get some of their games at l s u um, this year, but that they said that probably won't happen till week 11 s so they could get more fans.
00:19:04
But apparently they worked out a deal so that there will be some fans at this one.
00:19:08
Obviously, it's gonna be a very small number.
00:19:10
Um, it's not gonna be sold out or anything, but, um, the Saints minus seven they got all kinds of drama going on there.
00:19:18
What are your thoughts on this game? Yeah, you know, with the news of Mike Thomas not playing this week.
00:19:25
Have you even heard the rumors that supposedly Mike Thomas is also going to be on the eye's gonna be open a t least able to be discussed in trade talks.
00:19:34
That's that's astounding.
00:19:36
Thio even here and then imagine, E.
00:19:41
I really do hope New England gets ah, receiver.
00:19:44
Only because I mean a J green is available.
00:19:46
Um, yeah, yeah, I think there's, ah lot, a lot.
00:19:52
A lot of teams that should be moving players, especially if you look at their cap caps situation like the Saints are gonna be in capital next year.
00:20:03
Anyway.
00:20:04
So, um, yeah, some of these teams need toe.
00:20:07
Think about moving on from some of these guys.
00:20:09
So it will be interesting nonetheless.
00:20:11
Yeah, I'm going with the under 50.5.
00:20:13
I just think which is, you know, it's it's it's a tough one, but I'm sure the numbers don't necessarily support that, because I did look a little bit at how both these teams have done in terms of scoring and allowing points.
00:20:27
I I like the under 15.5.
00:20:30
I just think this Saints offense like they're going to kind of be a one trick pony.
00:20:34
And I know your boy Deontay Harris is going to get some extra looks this week, but I just I don't know if he can compensate for what Mike Thomas is and what Emmanuel Sanders has shown.
00:20:45
I know Alvin Kamara still the the main guy there, but I'm not expecting things to be a high scoring game.
00:20:53
And if it is, it's just strictly on the Panthers side.
00:20:58
Yeah, I think I like the Panthers plus seven in this one, Um, but I think I think the Saints somehow pull this one out.
00:21:09
I do think it's gonna be close.
00:21:11
I think you know, either come on, it makes it close late or they're just there the whole game and I think they do have a slight chance to win this game out right as well.
00:21:21
It wouldn't be totally surprising.
00:21:24
So you see with underdogs.
00:21:25
I like toe.
00:21:26
Bet them, you know, But they're better handicap.
00:21:29
Yes, but if I, you know on Li about the teams that you think have a legitimate chance to win the game is well, so, um yeah, I don't mind that at all.
00:21:41
Just looking here at some of the player props.
00:21:46
We got quarterback markets.
00:21:51
Teddy Bridgewater at 2 68.
00:21:52
5 passing yards.
00:21:53
I like the over on that one.
00:21:55
Drew Brees at 2.
00:21:56
69 a half.
00:21:57
Um, passing touchdowns.
00:22:00
Teddy Bridgewater, over 1.
00:22:01
5 is paying a dollar 70.
00:22:03
Drew Brees over 2.
00:22:04
5 is paying $2.
00:22:07
47 the under paying dollars.
00:22:09
50.
00:22:10
Um, it's a little bit interesting.
00:22:12
I think that's a bit high.
00:22:14
Um, rushing props here.
00:22:16
We got Mike Davis.
00:22:17
He's at 58 a half.
00:22:19
Elven Camara's at 65 a half.
00:22:21
Teddy Bridgewater 14.
00:22:22
5 Taysom Hill a 12.
00:22:23
5 Octavius Murray, 38 a half.
00:22:27
Alvin Kamara rushing and receiving that 1 26.
00:22:29
5 and Mike Davis's out.
00:22:31
91 a half of rushing and receiving yards So, um, keep that mind when you're betting these ones.
00:22:37
Robby Anderson at 72 a half D.
00:22:39
J.
00:22:40
Moore 68 a half album Come Are Receiving errands that 60.
00:22:42
5 track on Smith.
00:22:44
47 a half Jared Cook 45 a half Mike Davis Receiving yards 34 a half He really crushed just last week.
00:22:52
He did not catch many balls at all.
00:22:54
Marquez Callaway Um no.
00:22:58
De Anza Harris Props.
00:22:59
What is going on? The disrespect like that.
00:23:04
32 a half Mike Davis told receptions at 4.5.
00:23:09
Uh, no, thank you.
00:23:10
We're not doing that again Tomorrow.
00:23:12
Is that 6.5 receptions.
00:23:14
Tracon Smith at 3.5.
00:23:16
Jared Cook also at 3.5.
00:23:18
Um, anything on this game that jumps out here? Nothing that just jumped at me.
00:23:26
Jumped out at me like that.
00:23:28
Um, what do you think about Drew Brees interceptions? Mhm.
00:23:36
I don't know. I kind of like it's $2.
00:23:38
37 $2.
00:23:40
27.
00:23:41
He's been intercepted in three of the last five games.
00:23:45
Yeah, I feel like he could be forcing some stuff.
00:23:48
Certain places.
00:23:49
So casting e mean, he's He touched 47 last week.
00:23:54
38 36 is Well, uh, yeah, I just I don't I don't I think Drew Brees with with only Alvin Kamara being his main target.
00:24:04
And, you know, obviously Jared Cook is, uh, Might might be forcing it a bit, too.
00:24:08
Some of the other gentleman.
00:24:09
So it's an interesting one.
00:24:12
How many rushing attempts did Camara have last the last couple of games? Because 13.
00:24:19
5 seems low He has had in the last.
00:24:25
I'm gonna go in order from the week 12 now.
00:24:28
12 13 6, 1911.
00:24:32
Okay, Yeah.
00:24:34
I just feel like in this game because they don't have tons of, you know, receivers out there that his rushing attempts were at 13.
00:24:47
5 is rushing.
00:24:52
Yeah, it's at 13.5.
00:24:53
He's only gone over that once.
00:24:55
Apparently. So.
00:24:56
Yeah, it's a bit dicey.
00:24:58
Oh, um, is rushing yards at 65 a half.
00:25:03
He has only hit that twice.
00:25:05
Mhm.
00:25:06
Right.
00:25:07
So I think if you believe that this thing is gonna come out here trying to run the ball, and tomorrow is going to go over that 13.
00:25:14
5 and you would go over the yards as well.
00:25:17
Um, but if you think they're gonna come out tryto pepper these guys to death, then you're probably looking elsewhere.
00:25:27
So trick on Smith.
00:25:29
47 half? No, thanks.
00:25:33
I've tried to pick him up a few times in fantasy over the years. No, thanks.
00:25:38
I kind of I kind of do like the rush yards.
00:25:42
I know the the previous game statistics don't really, you know, give that much validity.
00:25:48
But I think the way that this team is going to be set up and and, you know, I don't think they want Drew Brees Kinda forcing it.
00:25:56
Like the way he's kind of had to last couple of weeks, I I think they're gonna let you know, album market, run the ball a little bit.
00:26:01
I think Latavius Murray is gonna get involved to look at his numbers real quick because they're definitely gonna gonna put an emphasis on the running game.
00:26:09
And if they don't, I don't know what the hell they're doing, but in terms of, I mean, rush attempts.
00:26:15
I mean, he's I wouldn't say.
00:26:18
He's been, uh, more using the rushing attack, But he's definitely no slouch.
00:26:24
Let me see.
00:26:26
What his The Latavius Murray.
00:26:28
Uh, I'm looking at Carolinas Devi away.
00:26:31
Um, against the rush.
00:26:34
Their 26th in the league.
00:26:37
Um, currently, their past defense is 13th.
00:26:40
So, um, they're not great against the run.
00:26:44
So Latavius Murray is at 38 a half, which he has hit three times and missed it by five yards last game.
00:26:53
But it's always hard to go with the second fiddle in and off in in this kind of parlay.
00:26:58
Honestly, I This could be kind of a risky one, but Camara I mean, what was that with those rushing attempts? I do think he'll go over that rushing attempts.
00:27:07
You don't wanna go yards for going with the attempt.
00:27:15
The yards should theoretically make sense then, right? It should.
00:27:20
And then you have a bailout with the yards because you're not relying on game script.
00:27:28
You you know, if he has a big play, you know, runs for 40 yards first carry.
00:27:33
Feeling pretty good.
00:27:35
See receiving.
00:27:37
You're going to see if it if it shows me the longest catch by uh, by Camara.
00:27:45
I have it. It's at 17.5.
00:27:47
No, I mean, like on his stats.
00:27:49
And I'm looking at pro football football.
00:27:50
I'm trying to see if I can see what his like.
00:27:53
We're not doing longest catch.
00:27:55
We're not alright with rushing yards tomorrow over 65 a half.
00:28:06
Well, then come on over.
00:28:08
A 65.5.
00:28:10
Cool with that? Yep.
00:28:13
All right. Moving on Script.
00:28:14
Oh, Packards, Texans Packers are dog 54 on the money line.
00:28:19
Texans are $2.
00:28:21
50 Green Bay Packers are three point favorites in this game on the road, The total This game is 57.
00:28:28
That's a pretty high total.
00:28:29
So I'll start your Packers.
00:28:30
Start your Texans in this one.
00:28:33
Both defense's are not great.
00:28:37
What are your thoughts on this Packers? Houston mean? I like the Packers with spread on this one.
00:28:45
A little bounce back game after kind of getting completely dismantled by your boy Tom Brady in that ferocious Buccaneers defense that awoke from its from its slumber.
00:28:55
Um, yeah, I definitely don't think he's going to get that kind of fight from this Texas defense, so I definitely see the Packers getting back on track.
00:29:07
Yeah, I like the Packers in this game as well.
00:29:09
Um, just I don't trust Romeo C**** as far as I could throw him.
00:29:15
S o.
00:29:16
I think the packers are the play here.
00:29:19
Um, looking at the injury report.
00:29:23
I know there's been talk about Erin Jones.
00:29:25
Probably are, you know, very questionable in this one.
00:29:31
Um, he said that he could play, but e don't know what's gonna happen there.
00:29:37
Um, if he does play, I really liked his.
00:29:41
His prospects in this one.
00:29:42
The Texans have the 28th ring defense against the run and D v o A.
00:29:47
The Packers are 25th in both passing and rushing.
00:29:52
D v O a.
00:29:53
So, um you know, like I said, start your Texans, start your start your packers in this one.
00:29:59
Um, looking here at some of the player props we got to Shawn Watson at 291 and a half passing yards now.
00:30:10
Aaron Rodgers at 2 87.5.
00:30:14
Aaron Rodgers passing touchdowns 2.
00:30:16
5 over is paying $2.
00:30:17
11 The understanding dollars. 68.
00:30:19
Shawn Watson passing TDs at 2.
00:30:21
5 a swell, Um, Shawn Watson passing and rushing yards combined.
00:30:27
312 and a half Rogers.
00:30:30
Throw a pick That's not happening.
00:30:32
Probably $2.
00:30:34
63? Yes, that Shawn Watson.
00:30:36
Dollars.
00:30:37
64. Yes.
00:30:38
Rushing props.
00:30:39
David Johnson at 65 a half.
00:30:41
Aaron Rodgers at 10.5.
00:30:42
We got that over last time and we pretty sure from which one Aaron Rodgers rushing yards.
00:30:48
Think he went over last.
00:30:49
Last time you did.
00:30:50
Yeah, he did go over.
00:30:52
That was one of our ones that did hit.
00:30:54
Thank goodness Shawn Watson at 20.5.
00:30:59
Um David Johnson Rush attempts at 15 half.
00:31:02
David Johnson rushing and receiving at 82 a half Receiving props.
00:31:07
Will Fuller 70 half, Cobb 43 a half Revenge game.
00:31:12
Um cooks 64 half Davante Adams 88 a half MVS at 44 a half Darren Fells at 37.
00:31:20
Half credit for saying Randall Cobb.
00:31:23
Revenge came with a straight face.
00:31:25
David Johnson at 15.
00:31:27
5 receiving yards.
00:31:30
What's David Johnson's? Receiving them? That Z must be must be not doing very well received.
00:31:38
E will tell you.
00:31:40
I wish he was a little bit more involved in receiving as a fantasy owner.
00:31:44
Uh, he's getting about Max.
00:31:46
Four targets a game, 2 to 3 receptions a game.
00:31:49
It's not the the Arizona Cardinal, uh, David Johnson that we all knew and miss, um, but low.
00:32:00
I had him that one year that he was amazing.
00:32:02
In the next year.
00:32:03
I was so bummed I didn't get him.
00:32:04
And then I was like, All right, this guy's to stay away.
00:32:06
Um, but, yeah, he's receiving thes yards, Air targets, receptions and yards.
00:32:14
Yards.
00:32:15
What is it at, By the way, Just about 15.5.
00:32:20
Oh, wow.
00:32:21
He's hit that in four.
00:32:24
In the first four games he hit that last two games.
00:32:27
He is seven and 12.
00:32:29
Mm.
00:32:31
So, uh, the last 32 games, he's had four targets to catches and then last week to targets. One reception.
00:32:40
Before that, he was getting minimum three max.
00:32:44
Four.
00:32:46
Mm, yeah, Seems a little bit dicey.
00:32:49
His receptions at 2.5.
00:32:51
That's paying to 18 for the over.
00:32:52
So two and a half.
00:32:55
He's only gotten over that once, uh, depressing.
00:33:00
I don't wanna do that.
00:33:01
You're not gonna sit there watching that Packers Texans game helping him, Frank.
00:33:06
They don t o Shawn Watson, and just let him know the importance of this bet.
00:33:12
Just check it down.
00:33:13
Three times came over first drive.
00:33:18
Um, Aaron Rodgers passing touchdowns.
00:33:20
He's hit that in three of the last five.
00:33:24
And if Erin Jones is hindered, which is it is it is sounding that he's gonna be hindered.
00:33:30
I mean, he's had 4234 and then, obviously, he had the stinker at against Tampa Bay.
00:33:39
All right.
00:33:40
I mean, if you want for that, what other one were you looking at? Just we can kinda Yeah, obviously.
00:33:47
My boy cooks.
00:33:48
It's been on fire.
00:33:51
Um, 64 a half yards.
00:33:53
Um, it is interesting.
00:33:55
Um, his receptions.
00:33:57
That 4.5, You don't get the value.
00:34:00
It's $2.
00:34:01
70 but I think he goes over there.
00:34:02
I think he has five or six catches in this game or they're not gets the yards is dicey.
00:34:07
I know.
00:34:08
Um, I got there late last game.
00:34:11
I mean, he had nine catches last game.
00:34:13
So, um, like, other than that you're looking at like Aaron Rodgers in because that's plus size and he's e definitely.
00:34:25
I definitely think he's gonna come out with the vengeance.
00:34:27
And then Erin Jones being hurt definitely kinda pushes that, uh, and that pushes out in a good direction, by the way, which, by the way, for those of you who are interested, Ballenger has been switched to D.
00:34:40
H tonight because of back tightness from carrying this team.
00:34:45
Just kidding.
00:34:49
Yeah, that being said, I do.
00:34:51
Kind of like the rushing props for both these guys.
00:34:54
So, um, Rogers over 10.
00:34:56
5 rushing yards and Watson over 20.5.
00:35:00
Uh, I think you're right.
00:35:02
We'll go.
00:35:03
We'll go with Aaron Rodgers passing touchdowns over 2.
00:35:06
5 that's paying $2.
00:35:09
11.
00:35:10
So it almost feels a little safer, too, because it's plus odds.
00:35:13
He's hit that in three of the last five games.
00:35:15
Erin Jones might be like I said, I keep on harping on that Erin Jones thing, but I e definitely think we see, uh, then get a little aggressive with the passing game this game.
00:35:25
So should I add that Yep, at it and go nuts.
00:35:30
Alright, Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals Brown's paying in dollars.
00:35:34
53 on the money line.
00:35:35
Cincinnati Bengals paying $2.
00:35:37
51 Cleveland Browns are 3.
00:35:38
5 point favorites in this game.
00:35:42
What say you about this Cleveland Cincinnati game? Do I have to pick one? I I feel like that with the Browns.
00:35:52
I want my my like my heart wants to say, Yeah, I just go with the Browns.
00:35:55
One spread.
00:35:57
That should be easy.
00:35:58
But then again, the Bengals, which I know they blew it against the Colts last week.
00:36:03
I mean, they can when they get going.
00:36:06
I mean, there they they stay.
00:36:08
They stay with these teams, so it makes it mixing.
00:36:14
Don't know, makes him no.
00:36:16
Oh, you could have just told me that already.
00:36:18
Browns, browns and four.
00:36:22
Yeah.
00:36:23
No mixing.
00:36:24
Um g o will be the running back.
00:36:28
Uh, God **** question.
00:36:32
Is Giovanni Bernard's mustache and mustache one? Definitely a mustache. One.
00:36:39
Um, maybe maybe the goat. My stash.
00:36:44
Would you ever consider growing? Went out for the for the show? E would not.
00:36:52
Definitely not Cleveland Browns minus 3.5.
00:36:56
Seems like a nice play, even though I do think, um, Joe Brown's gonna be checking around this one.
00:37:03
So looking at the props here, Joe Burrow over 283 and a half yards is painted 88.
00:37:10
The under his pain.
00:37:11
Dollar, 88 as well may feel at 2 30 a half.
00:37:14
Mayfield passing touchdowns at one half.
00:37:17
Joe Burrow pass touchdowns at 1.
00:37:18
5 rushing prop.
00:37:20
Markets Geos at 49 a half.
00:37:22
Kareem Hunt at 86 a half. That's a lot.
00:37:25
Joe Burrows out 11.
00:37:26
5 yards rushing, which is interesting because this pass rush is pretty good from Cleveland.
00:37:31
I could see him trying to run around a little bit more.
00:37:34
Um, cream hunt.
00:37:35
Rushing attempts at 18.
00:37:36
5 shell Bernard's rushing attempts at 13.
00:37:39
5, geo rushing and receiving yards combined is that 75 a half on the hunt is at 102 and a half.
00:37:49
Receiving props wise, you got Landry at 50.
00:37:51
5 Odell Beckham at 16.
00:37:52
5, Tyler Boyd 63 a half a J.
00:37:55
Green, 50.
00:37:56
5 tee Higgins at 59 a half.
00:37:58
Hunt at 19.
00:37:59
5, and you're gonna drill Bonnie Bernard at 28 a half receiving yards.
00:38:08
So anything out of those? Oh, with deep sigh? Yeah.
00:38:21
We're gonna have to get a wee bit creative in this one, you see? See what's gonna look at? Yeah, I was looking at cream hunts once, but they're not looking so friendly.
00:38:33
Um, has he not gone over his yards in receiving, uh, maybe two games? I think I saw it.
00:38:44
Hasn't been.
00:38:45
It hasn't been what we've thought in a game.
00:38:48
Another seat in a receiving he The most he's ever had is 21.
00:38:53
Yeah.
00:38:55
I don't know why I e think I'm just remembering the Kansas City days when he would just bust the bus the long one out.
00:39:03
Oh, when I got a previous the last game.
00:39:08
Green Base plan is for Aaron Jones not to play.
00:39:11
So there you go, but locked at 2.
00:39:15
5 in pretty soon before they started dropping that down.
00:39:19
Um, see, e, I was I was really going to go with a J.
00:39:24
Green under, but he got 11 targets receptions last game.
00:39:28
So I don't know if he, like, bullied Joe Burrow into passing the ball.
00:39:33
Well, his tolerance seconds at 4.5.
00:39:36
If you wanna live that life.
00:39:38
No, no. Get me the hell away from a J.
00:39:40
Green. I've avoided him.
00:39:41
Fantasy draft.
00:39:42
I don't would prefer our power partly not be destroyed by him.
00:39:46
Um, what was Joe Burrows rushing here? Was Joe Burrows at? I like his rush yards at that 10.
00:39:57
5 or 11.5.
00:40:00
He has hit that twice, and I was only in weeks one and 20 but But it was.
00:40:06
But it was against the Cleveland Browns, where he had 19 on seven rushing attempts.
00:40:14
E don't know, man.
00:40:16
It's a tough one.
00:40:20
We got Odell over 60.5.
00:40:23
I would probably stay away from Odell on our power.
00:40:26
Probably Odell Odell threw his helmet and then proceeded to argue with fans with Steelers fans during that game.
00:40:35
So I don't know if I would touch Odell's props this week.
00:40:41
Maybe, but, um, I don't know, man.
00:40:44
What are you feeling? E Like Higgins Tee Higgins over 59 a half Tee Higgins.
00:40:50
Let me just I like it.
00:40:51
I really dio I'm really glad I have him in a few leagues.
00:40:54
Let's see t Higgins.
00:40:55
He 50.5.
00:40:57
He has hit that in three straight games.
00:40:59
Exactly what's right.
00:41:01
Let's ride the wave.
00:41:03
Alright.
00:41:04
So, Tee Higgins, what's the official? 59 a half over 59 Have could always just take the Browns My 3.
00:41:15
5.
00:41:16
But I'm sorry e don't know even without Joe Mix and I just e don't know that's okay after my my are undefeated. Amazing.
00:41:30
Our undefeated amazing Steelers team.
00:41:32
You know, just dismantle the Browns.
00:41:34
I don't know how they're gonna play this next game.
00:41:37
Yeah, there's like he's all messed up.
00:41:39
They can no Hell, yeah.
00:41:41
They can't come back from it. It's impossible.
00:41:43
Baker Mayfield said they Yes, I know.
00:41:46
They felt like their own sakes or something.
00:41:48
Yeah, when your quarterback feels like that, it just doesn't make you wanna doesn't have any confidence.
00:41:55
Exactly.
00:41:56
All right.
00:41:57
Moving on Detroit lines at the Atlanta Falcons.
00:42:00
What a game.
00:42:01
This will be just kidding.
00:42:02
Um, Detroit Lines paying $2.
00:42:04
7 on the money line.
00:42:06
Falcons paying $8.
00:42:07
76.
00:42:08
The Detroit lines are now down to 1.
00:42:09
5 point.
00:42:11
Underdogs.
00:42:12
It was 2.5.
00:42:13
Um, it's certainly moving towards the lines favor, which is probably the right way.
00:42:18
I like the lines in this game toe win outright.
00:42:21
I did like 2.
00:42:23
5, but now it's down one half.
00:42:25
I was just taking the money line.
00:42:26
Shot seven.
00:42:28
What do you like? What side do you like on this game? Yeah, I like the lions to, uh I did jump on this one.
00:42:36
I'm just a single bet.
00:42:37
Um, when I was at 2.5.
00:42:39
So, yeah, 1.5.
00:42:41
You might as well just go with the money line and just pony up on get with that one.
00:42:44
So, yeah, I'm sure for the Falcons, it was a nice story last week to get their first victory post. Dan Quinn.
00:42:51
But don't get used to it. Atlanta fans.
00:42:53
You guys got a long road ahead of you.
00:42:56
Yeah, I think you know, the total became 54 a half a swell, so I kind of like that as well.
00:43:02
So, um, I bet theon there last week against the Falcons.
00:43:06
And that did not help when they scored, like, 20 seven points combined.
00:43:11
Oh, yeah, that was beautiful.
00:43:14
I love I love when that happens.
00:43:15
Um, so, yeah, I don't mind taking me over there either.
00:43:20
So as faras player props go, we got Matt Stafford at 287 and a half and we got Matt Ryan at 307 and a half.
00:43:32
Matt Ryan passing touchdowns at 2.5.
00:43:35
Stafford that one A half Russian crops with Adrian Peterson? No, thank you.
00:43:40
Uh, tell eagerly.
00:43:41
At 63 a half DeAndre Swift at 32 a half rushing yards.
00:43:45
That's weird.
00:43:46
Um, did a swift rushing and receiving at 55 a half is this is this riel 55 a half he has on Lee.
00:43:56
Hit that twice weeks to one week six and weak.
00:43:59
60 exploded for 116 yards.
00:44:02
Uh, gonna move like give him more opportunities.
00:44:08
I don't I think they do.
00:44:10
I really like that.
00:44:11
DeAndre Swift.
00:44:12
32 a half.
00:44:13
I think that's a really low ceiling for him.
00:44:15
So let's I mean, no way we could talk about receivers here.
00:44:20
Um, holidays at 18.5.
00:44:22
Jones is dead to me.
00:44:24
Hopkinson is at 39 a half really is at 78 a half.
00:44:28
Let me talk about dropping.
00:44:29
Marvin Jones was hilarious, by the way.
00:44:34
Yeah.
00:44:35
Yeah.
00:44:36
I'm so out of Marvin Jones.
00:44:38
I'm funny.
00:44:39
Julio is at 80.
00:44:40
5 Russell Gauge at 34 a half.
00:44:43
DeAndre Swift at 25 a half.
00:44:45
Receiving yards.
00:44:46
Hayden Hurst at 34 a half and Amendola at 33 a half.
00:44:51
Uh, yeah.
00:44:53
D'Andre swift.
00:44:54
I don't even know.
00:44:55
I almost don't want even e.
00:44:57
I mean, is there another receiver? You want to risk it on? Marvin Jones under Julio Receptions.
00:45:05
5.5.
00:45:07
Mm.
00:45:09
You don't think down there. So it's a little safer.
00:45:11
Oh, I don't think anything safe about these two teams, but let's go Swift over 32 a half yards rushing.
00:45:18
So I think they have to have to give him the ball, right? Yeah.
00:45:23
I mean, or do we or do we go rushing and receiving over 55 a half extra 10 cents.
00:45:34
Oh, it's an extra 10 cents for that.
00:45:36
Yeah.
00:45:38
I mean, this past game.
00:45:40
I mean, in the last two games, he's had at least four targets and four and three receptions, respectively.
00:45:47
30 yards in a week before seven this week.
00:45:50
This past week.
00:45:54
You could make that decision since you were.
00:45:58
So we're such a wildly fantasy vet and picked up DeAndre so have combined over 55 a half combined.
00:46:09
Corey made this pick rushing in receiving.
00:46:16
Blame him if you don't make it. Okay. Yep.
00:46:19
Perfect.
00:46:20
Alright.
00:46:21
Next game got the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the No offensive line.
00:46:26
Las Vegas writers, Um, Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
00:46:28
They're paying a dollar 42 in the money line.
00:46:30
The bank of graders are paying $2.
00:46:32
88 bucks are 4.
00:46:33
5 point favorites in this one, and the total is at 51 a half.
00:46:40
Maas Vegas is 40 and one towards the over so far this year.
00:46:45
So, um, what say you about this game? Bucks and Raiders? Because I did like the Raiders coming in at plus 4.
00:46:53
5, but now I'm a bit skittish.
00:46:57
I thought their offensive land cleared to play.
00:47:00
Yeah, they might be cleared.
00:47:01
Apply. But I'm still worried.
00:47:04
Uh, I I would probably stay away from this one because I think last week, you know, you didn't make your sentiments known that you did like the Raiders.
00:47:14
Possibly an upset on this one.
00:47:17
I might go with the under. I don't know.
00:47:19
I don't I just have a weird feeling that this game is not gonna be, uh, yeah, e just I just I know Derek Carr has quietly had a very M v p where the season.
00:47:31
I know Tom Brady is probably like it.
00:47:35
I was trying to find a funny term, a funny phrase to say, but I couldn't figure I couldn't think of it on the spot.
00:47:40
But I'm sure Brady is probably like to the moon right now.
00:47:43
He's on cloud nine right now that he got a B as well as my Kevin's and Chris.
00:47:48
God went in two weeks.
00:47:49
I'll have all three of them barring injuries, um, buying lawsuits, lawsuits to which which I actually heard the NFL was considering extending, extending his suspension.
00:48:01
So yeah, that's interesting.
00:48:06
Yeah, by the way, if you follow Caleb Skinner on Twitter? Don't listen to him.
00:48:11
They didn't win the Super Bowl yet.
00:48:12
Just e don't know what he's what he's on there.
00:48:15
They didn't win Superboy yet.
00:48:17
You know, Tom Brady goes there and all of a sudden campaign license away.
00:48:22
Uh huh.
00:48:23
On you know, camp a razor in the world.
00:48:26
Siri's like, What's What's going on it, Ziff Late gate.
00:48:34
They're all deflating their pucks in baseball's to, uh, deflate.
00:48:39
It's a funny one way.
00:48:42
Should have a talk about Patriot scandals and really talk about how they weren't that big of a deal.
00:48:46
Uh, watch.
00:48:49
Watch that.
00:48:50
Hey, comments Come in.
00:48:51
God, I wonder if Connie is on the Patriot side on that one.
00:48:56
I think I think he is.
00:48:57
He's Oh, baby, let's go high five High 555 Let's go! Justin Turner home runs and back to back games.
00:49:08
Let's go Dodgers! What? What's the drawer? What? What's the score? 100 settle down.
00:49:19
Oh, glory.
00:49:21
Let me have this.
00:49:22
First of all, I didn't even get to Razzie for this chop chop on.
00:49:26
Oh, all right. We'll stop. We'll stop.
00:49:35
Oh, all right, all right.
00:49:40
Anyway, back to football.
00:49:41
Back to the patio quarterback Pop markets Tom Brady to 71 a half Your car to 73 a half.
00:49:50
Ronald Jones at 66 a half Josh Jacobs at 65 a half Mike Evans, 51 a half on 66 a half rugs 44 a half Renfro 41 a half We don't have tons of markets here because of the cove it issues.
00:50:04
Obviously, we don't have receptions and things like that.
00:50:07
So what are you going here? We don't have lots to play with you.
00:50:10
So do you know where the Raiders defense ranks In terms of rushing rushing defense? Because I really like the Ronald first.
00:50:21
Oh, my God.
00:50:23
Ronald Jones, man, He's hit the century mark in, like, in the last three games.
00:50:28
Yeah.
00:50:29
Give me Ronald Jones.
00:50:30
The true RB number one at me.
00:50:32
Lenin for net.
00:50:33
Done.
00:50:35
Yeah, I just think that's that's just too thio.
00:50:41
Maybe your book updated, and as soon as we end the stream and you submit it, it'll all go up like a girl.
00:50:47
Like 15 yards.
00:50:48
Yeah, probably the case.
00:50:51
Um, moving on Kensi chiefs at the Denver Broncos.
00:50:54
The Chiefs are a dollar 27 Moneyline favorite Broncos paying $3.
00:50:58
82 as a dog.
00:51:00
The Chiefs are seven a half point favorites in this one, um, division game.
00:51:05
The totals at 44.
00:51:08
What do your thoughts on this Chiefs Broncos game? It's gonna be snowing.
00:51:14
Apparently, if I remember correctly, that doesn't mean anything to me.
00:51:19
It doesn't no.
00:51:20
Whenever I think of Snow and Snow games, I think of that Patriots game like, uh, eight years ago when they played the Tennessee Titans and they won like 59.
00:51:31
Yeah, it's just It's just a big not big Ben.
00:51:35
It's just Drew Brees and Peyton Manning who have that stigma of cold weather games, right? Yeah, well, yeah, The chief should be ableto like they play in bad weather a lot, so I think the homes would be five.
00:51:49
That was the case.
00:51:51
Honestly, as much as my heart for luck, like wants to give him a chance in this game.
00:51:58
Give me the Chiefs.
00:51:59
I just Trulock has truly drew Lock has been anything but a lock this week this year, so I'm gonna have to start eating some of those words.
00:52:09
It's okay. It happens.
00:52:11
Um, with Chiefs are like the chief that mind.
00:52:14
Seven half Well, that's paying Dog 99.
00:52:16
Actually, um, it's almost doubled their quarterback props Drew lock to speak of the Devil to 16.
00:52:24
5 is yards total homes at 2 72.5.
00:52:29
Passing touchdowns.
00:52:30
Mahomes over 1.
00:52:31
5 is paying a dog.
00:52:32
45 Drew lock passing touchdowns over one half.
00:52:36
Paying $2.
00:52:37
61 rushing Props.
00:52:38
We got Melvin Gordon at 48 a half.
00:52:40
He's back C E H at 63 a half Patrick Mahomes at 22 a half Levy on ballot.
00:52:46
23 a half Phillip Lindsay at 36 a half Cloud Edward Teller rushing and receiving an 85 a half lady on Bell at 36 a half rushing.
00:52:56
Receiving Melvin Gordon at 63 a half rushing. Receiving.
00:53:00
Um yeah, Jerry Judy Receiving wise 42 a half Terry Killed 64 a half Kelsey 66 a half Tim Patrick at 43 a half CH at 19 a half.
00:53:12
Maybe I'm ballot.
00:53:13
10.5 yards.
00:53:14
DeMarcus Robinson 34 a half of Cole Harmon, 26 a half, and Melvin Gordon, 12.
00:53:20
5, Noah Fant, at 37 a half.
00:53:23
So tons of props there.
00:53:25
So, like in glass over, I already met the healthy over another parlay.
00:53:31
I like healthy.
00:53:33
Over 66 a half.
00:53:34
Denver has been just forever bad against tight ends.
00:53:39
Um, just looking at the D V.
00:53:41
L A.
00:53:42
Right now, it's actually pretty good against the past.
00:53:45
They're one of the better.
00:53:46
Defense is so far in the lead, their sixth in defense of DB away their ninth against the pass and fifth against the run.
00:53:53
So, um, any thoughts on those player props? Yeah, Travis County receiving yards.
00:53:59
He's been a staple in this in this passing attack.
00:54:02
I think that's probably the best move.
00:54:05
66 a half? Yeah, it's 66 a half.
00:54:08
He's only not hit that, uh, twice and last last week when he missed it, he missed it by two yards, so it wasn't.
00:54:17
He's always within that range, if not higher.
00:54:20
So yeah, I think That's a smart player here.
00:54:22
Yeah, all right.
00:54:23
We'll go. We'll go with Kelsey.
00:54:25
I think you know, there's some other ones that you could probably dabble with their with, like the bells and stuff.
00:54:29
They're very low.
00:54:30
Um, you know, if he gets a couple checks, sounds for each of Billy at 10 yards, But, um, yeah, I think that's Ah, nice way to go there.
00:54:39
So we'll move on from Can't see Chiefs and Denver Broncos.
00:54:43
We've got the Jacksonville Jaguars and the Chargers.
00:54:45
Jacksonville Jaguars are paying $4 on Moneyline underdog charges pending dog 25 as the home favorite, Jacksonville is getting 7.
00:54:53
5 points in this game.
00:54:55
Um, the total is at 49.
00:54:58
What are your thoughts on this one? That good, huh? No, I just think like I want to go with the Chargers of spread up, like, just straight up.
00:55:15
But I just think that that Miller, that Menchu Miller Lite I shotgun and weak one is probably still like in my body because I still have some kind of feeling towards this bread with them, but yeah, give me the chargers with spread.
00:55:29
I know it's the ones over a touchdown.
00:55:31
For a team like this might be kind of tough.
00:55:33
And and the Chargers air are always gonna charger.
00:55:35
But give me the Chargers would spread.
00:55:40
Yeah, this one's interesting things is Ah, prime tease candidate.
00:55:44
I think doing a six point teas and taking six points, um, away here and adding it somewhere else.
00:55:51
So I would take the chargers, you know, 1.
00:55:52
5 and had the six Thio, You know, a team like the Panthers, you know? Then you know they get 13 rather than the seven.
00:56:02
So, um, that's something I would look at.
00:56:05
But I like the charges in this game.
00:56:07
I think they win the seven half.
00:56:09
They should cover that.
00:56:10
I think that Jay was just pretty terrible at the moment.
00:56:14
Um, they lost the Houston double digits.
00:56:17
They lost to Detroit by double digits.
00:56:19
So, um, yeah, I could see the chargers blowing these guys out.
00:56:23
That being said, player props, we got Justin Herbert passing year that to 65 a half minutes.
00:56:28
You at 2. 65 a half.
00:56:30
I think the jags are one of the worst passing defense that they're the worst defense in the league to 65 a half, You said, Yeah, he literally Onley missed last week by two yards.
00:56:42
And besides that, he's been in the to 93 hundreds.
00:56:46
Well, it's just lock that in now then, because they're the worst defense in the league.
00:56:51
Yeah, right now is the worst defense in the league as well, so we don't need toe dabble too much into that.
00:56:58
But yeah, there's there's tons of props on their guys.
00:57:01
Um, I'll do my props later on Twitter.
00:57:06
I see money 52 but yeah, and we'll move on from that one.
00:57:11
We got our play for the power parlay.
00:57:14
We'll go to the San Francisco 40 Niners at my New England Patriots Patriots of paying a dollar 66 as a Moneyline favorite.
00:57:21
San Francisco 40 Niners of paying $2.
00:57:23
23 now getting three points on the handicap.
00:57:28
Um, so that's moved back a little bit.
00:57:31
Um, this is one of the biggest movers and the last since since the part, but now it's back to three.
00:57:40
I think it started out 5.5.
00:57:42
So what are your thoughts on this game? Okay, Yeah.
00:57:49
I like the Patriots Patriots with the spread.
00:57:51
I think the Patriots bounce back after, you know, having Cam kind of get the rust off of him.
00:57:57
Uh, covert rust off him and 40 40 Niners or without Raheem Mostert.
00:58:03
He's gonna go on IR and Jerick.
00:58:05
McKinnon hasn't been handling the workload very well.
00:58:08
I guess he's not had the burst he's had.
00:58:10
So I just I just think the 40 Niners, you're gonna get bits of Super Bowl hangover for the entire year.
00:58:18
I think this game that kinda dropped the ball pages of spread to move here.
00:58:23
Get that.
00:58:24
Get that plus odds.
00:58:26
Yeah, I like the patriots, obviously, in this one little home.
00:58:29
Or is, um, Cam Newton passing yards up to 11? What a little a little Jimmy crap to 37 a half built.
00:58:39
If any team knows Jimmy G s limitations, it's the Patriots.
00:58:44
Um, Jimmy G is at 2.
00:58:45
37 half passing yards.
00:58:48
Oh, something's happening here. All right.
00:58:50
Sorry. E swear.
00:58:52
I saw an article from you, like, five years ago, saying that Jimmy G is gonna be the future Joe Montana.
00:58:57
No, I never came out.
00:59:00
Uh, grapples at 1.5.
00:59:05
Cam Newton's at 1.5.
00:59:07
Um, rushing props.
00:59:09
We got Damian Harris at 37 a half.
00:59:11
Jerrick McKinnon at 52 a half.
00:59:13
Cam Newton 47 a half Rexburg had 18 a half Jake McKinnon combined market rushing.
00:59:19
Receiving that 76 a half Kendrick Born 28 a half My Guy Deebo, Samuel 48 a half Brandon A.
00:59:27
34 a half Um, George Killah, 65 a half and MacKinnon, 21 a half.
00:59:34
And then you got these. Terrible.
00:59:36
We don't wanna have receiver props for the Patriots because they don't have any receivers.
00:59:40
Now it's Dimier Bird at 43 a half and then write his girls at 13.5.
00:59:47
You don't make your book.
00:59:49
No, I don't have Harry.
00:59:50
Oh, no, I don't have Harry yards. I have Harry receptions.
00:59:54
If it's not 1.
00:59:55
5, I don't wanna look at it right now.
01:00:00
E 1.5.
01:00:03
No faith in your boy.
01:00:05
It's just It's just been brutal.
01:00:08
I honestly thought he was gonna have a really great year So I'm right there with you and believing in him.
01:00:13
Yeah.
01:00:14
Yeah, I really wanna bet.
01:00:17
I wanna look at George Kittle under, but I feel like it built out.
01:00:25
Just gonna do one thing.
01:00:26
It's gonna take away George Cable.
01:00:30
Do you want to do that? Okay.
01:00:33
I kind of feel like my what's his receiving here is that 65 a half, Like, I know the Patriots with Kelsey sometimes get a little bit, um, burnt on that one.
01:00:50
But that's because there's so many other weapons.
01:00:53
Um, like we watched the Patriots play against the Raiders, and Waller did absolutely zilch.
01:01:02
Um, they locked him down, they took him away.
01:01:05
And that was a big part of the game plan.
01:01:07
I don't see how taking Kittel away is not part of the game plan.
01:01:13
Well, if you want to go with a made up trend, I'm gonna make right now he's 4483 44 109 He's due for Ah, for a little bit of a roller coaster on the stats.
01:01:26
So no.
01:01:27
And honestly, the way they just just Darren Waller, like, unusable for the Raiders.
01:01:33
I think we see some of that here with George Kiddo on the 49 or so and then with Debo bag.
01:01:39
I could e mean he's had, I think, more than seven, um, targets a game.
01:01:46
So I'm pretty sure they'll probably just lean on Devo on getting him the ball in space if they shut down. Kid.
01:01:53
Also, I'm down to right? If you are.
01:01:57
I mean, I mean, I'm country born as well.
01:02:00
That's a bit one e no, that's just biased at that point.
01:02:06
No, I mean, he's got 44 yards.
01:02:07
33 63 wait.
01:02:10
28 a half.
01:02:11
Wait. 20.5? Yeah.
01:02:14
Oh, lock that one in.
01:02:15
He has not gone under that at all this.
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CmoneyUSN is broadcasting live!

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Corey Easley @CmoneyUSN

Transcript hideup

00:00:00
most.
00:00:01
Corey easily. Nice to meet you guys.
00:00:03
And Perry is always with Alex Valadez.
00:00:06
How's it going, Alex? I am exhausted.
00:00:11
Gambling hasn't been the kindness to me this week.
00:00:13
I'm hoping our power, part of, you know, gets our kids college funds filled.
00:00:17
So cheers, Thio, choose to us.
00:00:23
Yeah.
00:00:24
I mean, the power power line did not come through for us last week.
00:00:29
Um, and you know, it is Ah, lottery ticket at the end of day.
00:00:33
So we just keep plugging along, try again this week, and we'll go from there.
00:00:40
Um, so just looking here at, you know, week seven, um, we're gonna start with the Buffalo Bills and New York Jets.
00:00:51
The Buffalo Bills are 10.
00:00:52
5 point favorites in this one.
00:00:54
New York Jets are paying $5.
00:00:57
30 on the money lining thing that can pull off some kind of weird upset.
00:01:02
But the jets are all in six against the spread so far this year.
00:01:08
Um, does the trend continue? They might as well be.
00:01:13
Oh, in six against teaser.
00:01:14
The teaser added with it too. Yeah.
00:01:18
No, I I am so against, uh, the jets and I think the bills.
00:01:23
Even though I know we have our thoughts on the bills.
00:01:25
The team, This is the perfect balance.
00:01:28
Back after a two game skid, give me the spread for the bills.
00:01:32
Even with no tight end rostered at the moment.
00:01:38
Yeah, definitely.
00:01:40
Um, I like the bills in this one.
00:01:42
I think the bills will cover the spread.
00:01:44
I think that, you know, uh huh.
00:01:50
The jets will do what they can by the end of the day.
00:01:53
I think buffaloes in a perfect smash spot here, Um, coming off.
00:01:58
Ah.
00:01:59
Couple tough, tough games for them.
00:02:01
And, you know, they're gonna be looking to get right in this game.
00:02:05
Um, as far as Claire, props go.
00:02:10
And things like that, um, you know, anytime.
00:02:12
Touchdown scores.
00:02:14
As you can see there, um, we're gonna go to some player props here.
00:02:20
Your quarterback prop markets.
00:02:22
Sam.
00:02:23
Donald.
00:02:24
I'm not putting anything Has has to do with Sam Donald right now.
00:02:28
Jack Allen's passing years that to 78 a half, um, his passing TDs.
00:02:34
That one half, which is only paying a dollar 45.
00:02:37
Um, Josh on a throw, interceptions.
00:02:40
Paying a dollar 68 in Donald Throw interceptions Opinion taller. 35.
00:02:46
Now I'm so, uh, the books.
00:02:49
You know, they think that that he will throw all interception.
00:02:53
Um, pretty confidently.
00:02:55
They're rushing props.
00:02:57
Um, Frank or he's at 42 a half.
00:03:00
Devin Singletary.
00:03:01
57 a half.
00:03:02
Josh Allen at 27 a half.
00:03:05
That's interesting on then.
00:03:08
Receiving.
00:03:09
Obviously, he talks about how the bills have no tight ends this week.
00:03:12
So Cole Beasley over 56 a half is interesting stuff on digs at 78 a half.
00:03:18
Gabriel Davis at 45 a half.
00:03:20
Um, would be interesting as well.
00:03:24
Anything that jumps out right away, you got, like, just receivers I'm staying away from.
00:03:29
Um So is there anything that you see there? That but you particularly like, um, in this one.
00:03:42
What was called Beazley's at, uh, Beazley's at 56 a half, I think.
00:03:49
Alright, he's he's on.
00:03:52
Lee hit that in the first part of the first three weeks of the season when they were far better.
00:03:59
Uh, I mean catches.
00:04:01
Has he had the last two games in the last two games? Uh, he's had six receptions and four against Kansas City on 16. 7 targets.
00:04:14
It's over on it for receptions is 4.
00:04:15
5 e.
00:04:18
Kind of like that.
00:04:19
I think John Brown is out.
00:04:22
Yeah, I think you're right on that one as well.
00:04:24
You know, John Brown know tight ends.
00:04:27
I think that might be our pick right there so easily over 4.
00:04:31
5 receptions.
00:04:34
**** it in.
00:04:35
Lock it in.
00:04:36
All right, Sweet.
00:04:39
So that takes care off that awful game.
00:04:45
You want the bill spread on this one too, Or just the cold easily won.
00:04:48
I like the bill spread is as well, but we can't parlay those, so Okay, Mom.
00:04:55
I mean, for everyone else out there, um, take the bills minus 10. Enough.
00:05:00
I'll be doing that as well.
00:05:02
The next game, your your team, the Pittsburgh Steelers versus the kind of the writing.
00:05:10
Um, the Pittsburgh.
00:05:12
It was our underdogs in this on getting one half points.
00:05:15
They're paying 202 on the money line.
00:05:18
Um, with that being said, the Titans are paying a dollar 79 as a favorite on the money line, and there's this is gonna be a great matchup What do you What? Do your thoughts on this once Steelers friend? Obviously, I'm gonna try to keep my biases out of this.
00:05:36
But I really do think that Steelers defense neutralizes this passing game, which I know.
00:05:42
Uh, a J.
00:05:43
Brown just recently had got hit with a questionable tag, which I think might just be precautionary, something to look at their.
00:05:49
But the big story is gonna be how the Steelers handle Derrick. Henry.
00:05:53
I definitely think there run defense is stout enough to keep even Henry and check.
00:05:57
So give me the give me the plus odds.
00:05:59
Give me stealing money line.
00:06:02
Yeah, I like Steelers money line here as well, so I don't know if that's a good thing or a bad thing.
00:06:07
Um, way both agree on this one, but yeah, I like the Steelers money line and this one as well.
00:06:15
Um, I do think, uh, about all of attrition here with Devin Busch being out and Taylor Lewan being out which team kind of can, you know, survive the most with those losses.
00:06:31
Those were both key losses.
00:06:33
Um, it'll be interesting to see how the Steelers shut down this run game.
00:06:39
I'm not worried about the passing games.
00:06:40
The Steelers have been very good against past the issue will be the Titans defense and the Titans defense is one of the worst in the league.
00:06:49
I think their 22nd on D v O a.
00:06:53
Um, they've just been holding on, but, you know, for dear life, as the Titans offense has been absolutely, you know, road grading, everyone in scoring, tons of points.
00:07:04
So I'm a little bit worried about this Titans defense.
00:07:09
But, um on I think that's the reason why I like Steelers in this in this game.
00:07:15
I know that a lot of people, especially the sharp bettors, are on the under in this game because Steelers on the road traditionally don't score a ton of points.
00:07:26
But I think it's to stay away at 15.
00:07:28
5 points.
00:07:30
Um, just because the Titans have been, you know, so efficient on offense.
00:07:35
Um, it's kind of ah, scary place to be, especially with us, the way the Steelers have been playing as well.
00:07:41
So I wouldn't I would I would stay away from the total.
00:07:46
Um, yeah, on that one.
00:07:48
Tough quarterback props, So yeah, been run off this burger passing urine to 75 a half.
00:07:55
10 allowed to 68 a half rather burgers TDs at 1.
00:07:59
5 over is paying a dollar.
00:08:01
50.
00:08:02
The under paying to 47 Tannehill passing TDs over 1.
00:08:06
5 is paying a dollar.
00:08:07
54 Roths Burger.
00:08:10
Past attempts is at 38 a half.
00:08:12
10 hills at 32 a half uh, rushing props.
00:08:15
James Connors at 68 a half That's paying a dollar.
00:08:18
88 for the over Derrick Henry is at 84 a half Tannehill's at 14 half rushing yards.
00:08:26
Um, I kinda really like that needed.
00:08:29
Can you check while I go through these King? Check Tannehill's rushing stats.
00:08:33
Last few games.
00:08:34
Uh, Derrick Henry is rushing attempts is at 22 a half.
00:08:39
Uh, a couple of other ones here.
00:08:43
I mean, Derrick Henry rushing and receiving yards is that 95 a half? I kind of really like that.
00:08:49
Just because if he gets a screen and he goes for 30 you know anyone you know, he rushes for 60 70 yards.
00:08:55
Easy win.
00:08:56
Um, considering the fact that his rushing yards over Under is at 84 a half.
00:09:01
Um, you know, getting a couple screens here and let them rumble for 10 15 yards really helps that that total rushing and receiving.
00:09:11
Uh, receiving wise juju.
00:09:12
Smith Schuster is at 48 a half super low.
00:09:15
Eric, you brought up 35 a half.
00:09:17
Thes Titan receivers.
00:09:19
I'm going to stay away from Claypool is at 50.
00:09:23
5 Deontay Johnson 47 half James Washington 29 a half John Smith at 40.5.
00:09:31
Anything that jumps out at you with those I mean, we've got receptions as well.
00:09:37
So if you just certain choir that you think we'll catch them balls, let me know.
00:09:42
One for me is, um I know Deontay Johnson was hurt last couple of weeks, but his receptions are at 4.5.
00:09:52
And when healthy, he has double digit target share.
00:09:55
And again, could the emergence of Claypool effect that possibly But I think Dion today's report with Big Band Hill he will get at least five receptions in this game and they're at plus odds is plus odds.
00:10:09
Um, well basically plus 1 15 $2 15 years for him as well.
00:10:17
Like that.
00:10:18
I like you like yardage for him as well.
00:10:21
Yeah, he's a 47.5.
00:10:27
James Connor rushing here at 68 a half was tempting to me to He's gone over the century mark a few times this season already for Tannehill.
00:10:36
What, do you want me to look up his rushing yards? All right.
00:10:40
In the last three games, he's had four carries for 944 carries for 42 then in the game against Houston, no carries.
00:10:51
Oh, okay.
00:10:52
No, we're staying away from that one. Yeah.
00:10:57
So you like the O Which one? Uh, which other ones? That I besides when I mentioned kind of caught your eye.
00:11:05
Oh, e mean Ebron over 3.
00:11:09
5 receptions is interesting.
00:11:12
Um, it's just I think we gotta be.
00:11:18
We really don't know what How the distribution is gonna look like.
00:11:22
Especially now that Claypool has emerged.
00:11:24
And now Dante's back.
00:11:26
They basically have, you know, four guys there.
00:11:28
Um, you know, five guys.
00:11:31
Really, um, that they could get the ball to.
00:11:33
So, like, do we believe that You know this.
00:11:38
If if I believed that this game probably goes under like I want to say and you know, the Titans probably try to run the ball ton is this game, you know, a lot slower.
00:11:51
Do they play a lot of plays like I find it really risky.
00:11:55
Um, with all these little bit as's faras yardage goes.
00:12:00
But, um, I mean, I could see it.
00:12:05
It's just Yeah, I think it's a little bit more risky.
00:12:08
Um, taking, especially deante, um, and his such injury history.
00:12:15
So far, this year hasn't been great.
00:12:17
So what's Johnny Smith status? Um, right now he is probable, says Smith, the part of the last contest with the ankle sprain, but it's anticipated that he will face the Steelers on Sunday.
00:12:32
Right now, I'm looking him up in a few articles.
00:12:35
Say he's not on the injury report and a human A.
00:12:39
J. Brown are both good to go.
00:12:41
What about John Who? Smith.
00:12:42
3.5 receptions.
00:12:44
Just look his stats up.
00:12:49
Yeah, that's not That's not bad, I would say in his last few games, he said, 55 and then one because of an injury but he's had minimal four receptions with that, with at least five targets every game except the game. He got hurt.
00:13:07
Yeah.
00:13:09
Um, I like that one.
00:13:11
Okay.
00:13:12
John Smith.
00:13:13
Over 3.5 catches, we're gonna have receptions.
00:13:17
All right, That's the second one.
00:13:20
All right, we're off and running.
00:13:24
What's the next game? Is Dallas Cowboys at Washington football team? Basically, it's even, um, there is one point Washington getting one point at the moment.
00:13:36
But $2.
00:13:37
90 years you'd see screen, um, had had their tough, tough, tough game. The handicap.
00:13:47
The over is 44 a half over under, with the over appearing in dollar 86.
00:13:53
I kind of like the over, um, but that's about it.
00:13:56
I don't know about the sides.
00:13:58
If I had to choose like you're like, you have to choose one.
00:14:02
I would choose Dallas spot you like I said, it's don't love it.
00:14:09
Yeah, I would probably I'd probably lean with Dallas as well.
00:14:13
Um, if you do get the one point, I would take it just in case.
00:14:17
At this point, I don't know, Uh, what? I just don't think it could get worse for them.
00:14:24
It's just It's so weird.
00:14:26
Like, I mean this Andy Dalton gets the keys to this offense.
00:14:30
I I just can't see him having a bad game against the Redskins.
00:14:33
Which, Excuse me, the Washington football team, which I know as a ferocious front.
00:14:37
But I just It's hard time for me to pick the football team without some more competent play from the quarterback position.
00:14:48
Yeah, we got a question from that.
00:14:50
Um, screw Matt, Do you guys think it would be good to take the Cowboys plus one over Washington football team if you're gonna take the plus? Oh, they're not plus one anymore.
00:14:58
There, minus one.
00:15:00
Um, depending on your book.
00:15:01
Obviously, if you could get plus one, I don't think it matters that much.
00:15:05
I think at that point you just take the money line.
00:15:08
Um, and, you know, live with it.
00:15:11
So I would go cowboys Moneyline If that's why you're leaning, Um, that's that's your prerogative, But yeah, I think, rather than taking just the one, just grab the extra few cents and take take cowboys on the mainland.
00:15:30
So as's faras props go, we got quarterback markets.
00:15:35
Andy Dalton, Kyle Allen.
00:15:37
Do you really wanna do that again, That, uh All right, we'll move on from there.
00:15:42
Rushing props got Elliott 81 a half.
00:15:45
Antonio Gibson at 50.5.
00:15:47
My boy J D McKissic, at 17.5.
00:15:51
Came through with me for me last week.
00:15:53
Tony Pollard at 12.5.
00:15:55
Um, J d McKissic rushing and receiving that dollar 80.
00:16:00
Um, sorry. 48 a half of dollar.
00:16:02
88 for the over 10.
00:16:04
Gibson's at 74 a half rushing and receiving yards.
00:16:07
Um, the over paying down anyone The underpinning dollar 86.
00:16:12
Uh, receiving prop markets.
00:16:14
Amari Cooper that 65 a half City Lamott 61 a half Terry McLaren 82 a half which is very high.
00:16:20
Logan Thomas at 30.
00:16:21
5, Elliott at 28 half Gallup 40.
00:16:25
5, Dalton Schultz at 31 a half, Antonio Gibson at 22 a half and J.
00:16:31
D McKissic at 27 half.
00:16:35
Oh, wait.
00:16:36
My cousins receiving is that 27 a half? Yes.
00:16:41
Oh, that's that's the lock right there.
00:16:44
Yeah, he's check down city.
00:16:47
Yeah, in the last three games, 88 and six targets, respectively.
00:16:52
And he had 766 And even if you go back toe from week 32 weeks, six minimum of 37 yards receiving.
00:17:00
Yeah, I don't know what's going on with the odds on McKissic, because his receptions at 3.5.
00:17:07
Oh, is it? Yeah.
00:17:11
All right, man.
00:17:12
Since this is your boy you can pick Which one of those to you wanna roll with? I think it's broken.
00:17:18
I'm taking the receptions.
00:17:20
I'm taking receptions and I'm going over that span.
00:17:23
Dollar $88.
00:17:24
98.
00:17:25
Um, the overall nine yards is only paying a dollar 90 so I'll take the extra eight cents.
00:17:30
Thinks, um, and run with that one.
00:17:34
I mean, Antonio Gibson's at 3.
00:17:36
5 receptions as well.
00:17:37
I like that over.
00:17:38
Um, Just a Muchas paying $2.
00:17:41
12? Um, but McKissick been ah, lock over 3.5.
00:17:46
Catch is pretty much all season.
00:17:49
That's such Is that true? What's McKissick? Reception's been like last five games.
00:17:56
So his last five games, So against Arizona, he didn't have any, but he didn't have.
00:18:02
He didn't even get a target that game.
00:18:04
Following following that game four targets.
00:18:07
Three receptions, eight targets, seven receptions, eight targets, six receptions and then last week, six targets.
00:18:13
Six receptions.
00:18:14
Yeah, so since cow Allen's been in the game pretty much, he's been the kind of the outlet.
00:18:20
Hey, actually played, Um, you know, he's playing just as many snaps, if not more than Antonio Gibson.
00:18:26
So I like that one.
00:18:28
I like J D McKissic over 3.
00:18:30
5 receptions in that in that game, so we'll move on.
00:18:34
From there.
00:18:35
We go to Carolina and New Orleans Saints.
00:18:37
Very interesting game.
00:18:39
Carolina Panthers paying $3.
00:18:40
42 on the money line.
00:18:41
The New Orleans Saints paying a dollar 32 states are seven point favorites at home.
00:18:47
Um, obviously, I think there's gonna be a few fans for this game.
00:18:51
I think I heard right because I know New Orleans did petition to get some of their games at l s u um, this year, but that they said that probably won't happen till week 11 s so they could get more fans.
00:19:04
But apparently they worked out a deal so that there will be some fans at this one.
00:19:08
Obviously, it's gonna be a very small number.
00:19:10
Um, it's not gonna be sold out or anything, but, um, the Saints minus seven they got all kinds of drama going on there.
00:19:18
What are your thoughts on this game? Yeah, you know, with the news of Mike Thomas not playing this week.
00:19:25
Have you even heard the rumors that supposedly Mike Thomas is also going to be on the eye's gonna be open a t least able to be discussed in trade talks.
00:19:34
That's that's astounding.
00:19:36
Thio even here and then imagine, E.
00:19:41
I really do hope New England gets ah, receiver.
00:19:44
Only because I mean a J green is available.
00:19:46
Um, yeah, yeah, I think there's, ah lot, a lot.
00:19:52
A lot of teams that should be moving players, especially if you look at their cap caps situation like the Saints are gonna be in capital next year.
00:20:03
Anyway.
00:20:04
So, um, yeah, some of these teams need toe.
00:20:07
Think about moving on from some of these guys.
00:20:09
So it will be interesting nonetheless.
00:20:11
Yeah, I'm going with the under 50.5.
00:20:13
I just think which is, you know, it's it's it's a tough one, but I'm sure the numbers don't necessarily support that, because I did look a little bit at how both these teams have done in terms of scoring and allowing points.
00:20:27
I I like the under 15.5.
00:20:30
I just think this Saints offense like they're going to kind of be a one trick pony.
00:20:34
And I know your boy Deontay Harris is going to get some extra looks this week, but I just I don't know if he can compensate for what Mike Thomas is and what Emmanuel Sanders has shown.
00:20:45
I know Alvin Kamara still the the main guy there, but I'm not expecting things to be a high scoring game.
00:20:53
And if it is, it's just strictly on the Panthers side.
00:20:58
Yeah, I think I like the Panthers plus seven in this one, Um, but I think I think the Saints somehow pull this one out.
00:21:09
I do think it's gonna be close.
00:21:11
I think you know, either come on, it makes it close late or they're just there the whole game and I think they do have a slight chance to win this game out right as well.
00:21:21
It wouldn't be totally surprising.
00:21:24
So you see with underdogs.
00:21:25
I like toe.
00:21:26
Bet them, you know, But they're better handicap.
00:21:29
Yes, but if I, you know on Li about the teams that you think have a legitimate chance to win the game is well, so, um yeah, I don't mind that at all.
00:21:41
Just looking here at some of the player props.
00:21:46
We got quarterback markets.
00:21:51
Teddy Bridgewater at 2 68.
00:21:52
5 passing yards.
00:21:53
I like the over on that one.
00:21:55
Drew Brees at 2.
00:21:56
69 a half.
00:21:57
Um, passing touchdowns.
00:22:00
Teddy Bridgewater, over 1.
00:22:01
5 is paying a dollar 70.
00:22:03
Drew Brees over 2.
00:22:04
5 is paying $2.
00:22:07
47 the under paying dollars.
00:22:09
50.
00:22:10
Um, it's a little bit interesting.
00:22:12
I think that's a bit high.
00:22:14
Um, rushing props here.
00:22:16
We got Mike Davis.
00:22:17
He's at 58 a half.
00:22:19
Elven Camara's at 65 a half.
00:22:21
Teddy Bridgewater 14.
00:22:22
5 Taysom Hill a 12.
00:22:23
5 Octavius Murray, 38 a half.
00:22:27
Alvin Kamara rushing and receiving that 1 26.
00:22:29
5 and Mike Davis's out.
00:22:31
91 a half of rushing and receiving yards So, um, keep that mind when you're betting these ones.
00:22:37
Robby Anderson at 72 a half D.
00:22:39
J.
00:22:40
Moore 68 a half album Come Are Receiving errands that 60.
00:22:42
5 track on Smith.
00:22:44
47 a half Jared Cook 45 a half Mike Davis Receiving yards 34 a half He really crushed just last week.
00:22:52
He did not catch many balls at all.
00:22:54
Marquez Callaway Um no.
00:22:58
De Anza Harris Props.
00:22:59
What is going on? The disrespect like that.
00:23:04
32 a half Mike Davis told receptions at 4.5.
00:23:09
Uh, no, thank you.
00:23:10
We're not doing that again Tomorrow.
00:23:12
Is that 6.5 receptions.
00:23:14
Tracon Smith at 3.5.
00:23:16
Jared Cook also at 3.5.
00:23:18
Um, anything on this game that jumps out here? Nothing that just jumped at me.
00:23:26
Jumped out at me like that.
00:23:28
Um, what do you think about Drew Brees interceptions? Mhm.
00:23:36
I don't know. I kind of like it's $2.
00:23:38
37 $2.
00:23:40
27.
00:23:41
He's been intercepted in three of the last five games.
00:23:45
Yeah, I feel like he could be forcing some stuff.
00:23:48
Certain places.
00:23:49
So casting e mean, he's He touched 47 last week.
00:23:54
38 36 is Well, uh, yeah, I just I don't I don't I think Drew Brees with with only Alvin Kamara being his main target.
00:24:04
And, you know, obviously Jared Cook is, uh, Might might be forcing it a bit, too.
00:24:08
Some of the other gentleman.
00:24:09
So it's an interesting one.
00:24:12
How many rushing attempts did Camara have last the last couple of games? Because 13.
00:24:19
5 seems low He has had in the last.
00:24:25
I'm gonna go in order from the week 12 now.
00:24:28
12 13 6, 1911.
00:24:32
Okay, Yeah.
00:24:34
I just feel like in this game because they don't have tons of, you know, receivers out there that his rushing attempts were at 13.
00:24:47
5 is rushing.
00:24:52
Yeah, it's at 13.5.
00:24:53
He's only gone over that once.
00:24:55
Apparently. So.
00:24:56
Yeah, it's a bit dicey.
00:24:58
Oh, um, is rushing yards at 65 a half.
00:25:03
He has only hit that twice.
00:25:05
Mhm.
00:25:06
Right.
00:25:07
So I think if you believe that this thing is gonna come out here trying to run the ball, and tomorrow is going to go over that 13.
00:25:14
5 and you would go over the yards as well.
00:25:17
Um, but if you think they're gonna come out tryto pepper these guys to death, then you're probably looking elsewhere.
00:25:27
So trick on Smith.
00:25:29
47 half? No, thanks.
00:25:33
I've tried to pick him up a few times in fantasy over the years. No, thanks.
00:25:38
I kind of I kind of do like the rush yards.
00:25:42
I know the the previous game statistics don't really, you know, give that much validity.
00:25:48
But I think the way that this team is going to be set up and and, you know, I don't think they want Drew Brees Kinda forcing it.
00:25:56
Like the way he's kind of had to last couple of weeks, I I think they're gonna let you know, album market, run the ball a little bit.
00:26:01
I think Latavius Murray is gonna get involved to look at his numbers real quick because they're definitely gonna gonna put an emphasis on the running game.
00:26:09
And if they don't, I don't know what the hell they're doing, but in terms of, I mean, rush attempts.
00:26:15
I mean, he's I wouldn't say.
00:26:18
He's been, uh, more using the rushing attack, But he's definitely no slouch.
00:26:24
Let me see.
00:26:26
What his The Latavius Murray.
00:26:28
Uh, I'm looking at Carolinas Devi away.
00:26:31
Um, against the rush.
00:26:34
Their 26th in the league.
00:26:37
Um, currently, their past defense is 13th.
00:26:40
So, um, they're not great against the run.
00:26:44
So Latavius Murray is at 38 a half, which he has hit three times and missed it by five yards last game.
00:26:53
But it's always hard to go with the second fiddle in and off in in this kind of parlay.
00:26:58
Honestly, I This could be kind of a risky one, but Camara I mean, what was that with those rushing attempts? I do think he'll go over that rushing attempts.
00:27:07
You don't wanna go yards for going with the attempt.
00:27:15
The yards should theoretically make sense then, right? It should.
00:27:20
And then you have a bailout with the yards because you're not relying on game script.
00:27:28
You you know, if he has a big play, you know, runs for 40 yards first carry.
00:27:33
Feeling pretty good.
00:27:35
See receiving.
00:27:37
You're going to see if it if it shows me the longest catch by uh, by Camara.
00:27:45
I have it. It's at 17.5.
00:27:47
No, I mean, like on his stats.
00:27:49
And I'm looking at pro football football.
00:27:50
I'm trying to see if I can see what his like.
00:27:53
We're not doing longest catch.
00:27:55
We're not alright with rushing yards tomorrow over 65 a half.
00:28:06
Well, then come on over.
00:28:08
A 65.5.
00:28:10
Cool with that? Yep.
00:28:13
All right. Moving on Script.
00:28:14
Oh, Packards, Texans Packers are dog 54 on the money line.
00:28:19
Texans are $2.
00:28:21
50 Green Bay Packers are three point favorites in this game on the road, The total This game is 57.
00:28:28
That's a pretty high total.
00:28:29
So I'll start your Packers.
00:28:30
Start your Texans in this one.
00:28:33
Both defense's are not great.
00:28:37
What are your thoughts on this Packers? Houston mean? I like the Packers with spread on this one.
00:28:45
A little bounce back game after kind of getting completely dismantled by your boy Tom Brady in that ferocious Buccaneers defense that awoke from its from its slumber.
00:28:55
Um, yeah, I definitely don't think he's going to get that kind of fight from this Texas defense, so I definitely see the Packers getting back on track.
00:29:07
Yeah, I like the Packers in this game as well.
00:29:09
Um, just I don't trust Romeo C**** as far as I could throw him.
00:29:15
S o.
00:29:16
I think the packers are the play here.
00:29:19
Um, looking at the injury report.
00:29:23
I know there's been talk about Erin Jones.
00:29:25
Probably are, you know, very questionable in this one.
00:29:31
Um, he said that he could play, but e don't know what's gonna happen there.
00:29:37
Um, if he does play, I really liked his.
00:29:41
His prospects in this one.
00:29:42
The Texans have the 28th ring defense against the run and D v o A.
00:29:47
The Packers are 25th in both passing and rushing.
00:29:52
D v O a.
00:29:53
So, um you know, like I said, start your Texans, start your start your packers in this one.
00:29:59
Um, looking here at some of the player props we got to Shawn Watson at 291 and a half passing yards now.
00:30:10
Aaron Rodgers at 2 87.5.
00:30:14
Aaron Rodgers passing touchdowns 2.
00:30:16
5 over is paying $2.
00:30:17
11 The understanding dollars. 68.
00:30:19
Shawn Watson passing TDs at 2.
00:30:21
5 a swell, Um, Shawn Watson passing and rushing yards combined.
00:30:27
312 and a half Rogers.
00:30:30
Throw a pick That's not happening.
00:30:32
Probably $2.
00:30:34
63? Yes, that Shawn Watson.
00:30:36
Dollars.
00:30:37
64. Yes.
00:30:38
Rushing props.
00:30:39
David Johnson at 65 a half.
00:30:41
Aaron Rodgers at 10.5.
00:30:42
We got that over last time and we pretty sure from which one Aaron Rodgers rushing yards.
00:30:48
Think he went over last.
00:30:49
Last time you did.
00:30:50
Yeah, he did go over.
00:30:52
That was one of our ones that did hit.
00:30:54
Thank goodness Shawn Watson at 20.5.
00:30:59
Um David Johnson Rush attempts at 15 half.
00:31:02
David Johnson rushing and receiving at 82 a half Receiving props.
00:31:07
Will Fuller 70 half, Cobb 43 a half Revenge game.
00:31:12
Um cooks 64 half Davante Adams 88 a half MVS at 44 a half Darren Fells at 37.
00:31:20
Half credit for saying Randall Cobb.
00:31:23
Revenge came with a straight face.
00:31:25
David Johnson at 15.
00:31:27
5 receiving yards.
00:31:30
What's David Johnson's? Receiving them? That Z must be must be not doing very well received.
00:31:38
E will tell you.
00:31:40
I wish he was a little bit more involved in receiving as a fantasy owner.
00:31:44
Uh, he's getting about Max.
00:31:46
Four targets a game, 2 to 3 receptions a game.
00:31:49
It's not the the Arizona Cardinal, uh, David Johnson that we all knew and miss, um, but low.
00:32:00
I had him that one year that he was amazing.
00:32:02
In the next year.
00:32:03
I was so bummed I didn't get him.
00:32:04
And then I was like, All right, this guy's to stay away.
00:32:06
Um, but, yeah, he's receiving thes yards, Air targets, receptions and yards.
00:32:14
Yards.
00:32:15
What is it at, By the way, Just about 15.5.
00:32:20
Oh, wow.
00:32:21
He's hit that in four.
00:32:24
In the first four games he hit that last two games.
00:32:27
He is seven and 12.
00:32:29
Mm.
00:32:31
So, uh, the last 32 games, he's had four targets to catches and then last week to targets. One reception.
00:32:40
Before that, he was getting minimum three max.
00:32:44
Four.
00:32:46
Mm, yeah, Seems a little bit dicey.
00:32:49
His receptions at 2.5.
00:32:51
That's paying to 18 for the over.
00:32:52
So two and a half.
00:32:55
He's only gotten over that once, uh, depressing.
00:33:00
I don't wanna do that.
00:33:01
You're not gonna sit there watching that Packers Texans game helping him, Frank.
00:33:06
They don t o Shawn Watson, and just let him know the importance of this bet.
00:33:12
Just check it down.
00:33:13
Three times came over first drive.
00:33:18
Um, Aaron Rodgers passing touchdowns.
00:33:20
He's hit that in three of the last five.
00:33:24
And if Erin Jones is hindered, which is it is it is sounding that he's gonna be hindered.
00:33:30
I mean, he's had 4234 and then, obviously, he had the stinker at against Tampa Bay.
00:33:39
All right.
00:33:40
I mean, if you want for that, what other one were you looking at? Just we can kinda Yeah, obviously.
00:33:47
My boy cooks.
00:33:48
It's been on fire.
00:33:51
Um, 64 a half yards.
00:33:53
Um, it is interesting.
00:33:55
Um, his receptions.
00:33:57
That 4.5, You don't get the value.
00:34:00
It's $2.
00:34:01
70 but I think he goes over there.
00:34:02
I think he has five or six catches in this game or they're not gets the yards is dicey.
00:34:07
I know.
00:34:08
Um, I got there late last game.
00:34:11
I mean, he had nine catches last game.
00:34:13
So, um, like, other than that you're looking at like Aaron Rodgers in because that's plus size and he's e definitely.
00:34:25
I definitely think he's gonna come out with the vengeance.
00:34:27
And then Erin Jones being hurt definitely kinda pushes that, uh, and that pushes out in a good direction, by the way, which, by the way, for those of you who are interested, Ballenger has been switched to D.
00:34:40
H tonight because of back tightness from carrying this team.
00:34:45
Just kidding.
00:34:49
Yeah, that being said, I do.
00:34:51
Kind of like the rushing props for both these guys.
00:34:54
So, um, Rogers over 10.
00:34:56
5 rushing yards and Watson over 20.5.
00:35:00
Uh, I think you're right.
00:35:02
We'll go.
00:35:03
We'll go with Aaron Rodgers passing touchdowns over 2.
00:35:06
5 that's paying $2.
00:35:09
11.
00:35:10
So it almost feels a little safer, too, because it's plus odds.
00:35:13
He's hit that in three of the last five games.
00:35:15
Erin Jones might be like I said, I keep on harping on that Erin Jones thing, but I e definitely think we see, uh, then get a little aggressive with the passing game this game.
00:35:25
So should I add that Yep, at it and go nuts.
00:35:30
Alright, Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals Brown's paying in dollars.
00:35:34
53 on the money line.
00:35:35
Cincinnati Bengals paying $2.
00:35:37
51 Cleveland Browns are 3.
00:35:38
5 point favorites in this game.
00:35:42
What say you about this Cleveland Cincinnati game? Do I have to pick one? I I feel like that with the Browns.
00:35:52
I want my my like my heart wants to say, Yeah, I just go with the Browns.
00:35:55
One spread.
00:35:57
That should be easy.
00:35:58
But then again, the Bengals, which I know they blew it against the Colts last week.
00:36:03
I mean, they can when they get going.
00:36:06
I mean, there they they stay.
00:36:08
They stay with these teams, so it makes it mixing.
00:36:14
Don't know, makes him no.
00:36:16
Oh, you could have just told me that already.
00:36:18
Browns, browns and four.
00:36:22
Yeah.
00:36:23
No mixing.
00:36:24
Um g o will be the running back.
00:36:28
Uh, God **** question.
00:36:32
Is Giovanni Bernard's mustache and mustache one? Definitely a mustache. One.
00:36:39
Um, maybe maybe the goat. My stash.
00:36:44
Would you ever consider growing? Went out for the for the show? E would not.
00:36:52
Definitely not Cleveland Browns minus 3.5.
00:36:56
Seems like a nice play, even though I do think, um, Joe Brown's gonna be checking around this one.
00:37:03
So looking at the props here, Joe Burrow over 283 and a half yards is painted 88.
00:37:10
The under his pain.
00:37:11
Dollar, 88 as well may feel at 2 30 a half.
00:37:14
Mayfield passing touchdowns at one half.
00:37:17
Joe Burrow pass touchdowns at 1.
00:37:18
5 rushing prop.
00:37:20
Markets Geos at 49 a half.
00:37:22
Kareem Hunt at 86 a half. That's a lot.
00:37:25
Joe Burrows out 11.
00:37:26
5 yards rushing, which is interesting because this pass rush is pretty good from Cleveland.
00:37:31
I could see him trying to run around a little bit more.
00:37:34
Um, cream hunt.
00:37:35
Rushing attempts at 18.
00:37:36
5 shell Bernard's rushing attempts at 13.
00:37:39
5, geo rushing and receiving yards combined is that 75 a half on the hunt is at 102 and a half.
00:37:49
Receiving props wise, you got Landry at 50.
00:37:51
5 Odell Beckham at 16.
00:37:52
5, Tyler Boyd 63 a half a J.
00:37:55
Green, 50.
00:37:56
5 tee Higgins at 59 a half.
00:37:58
Hunt at 19.
00:37:59
5, and you're gonna drill Bonnie Bernard at 28 a half receiving yards.
00:38:08
So anything out of those? Oh, with deep sigh? Yeah.
00:38:21
We're gonna have to get a wee bit creative in this one, you see? See what's gonna look at? Yeah, I was looking at cream hunts once, but they're not looking so friendly.
00:38:33
Um, has he not gone over his yards in receiving, uh, maybe two games? I think I saw it.
00:38:44
Hasn't been.
00:38:45
It hasn't been what we've thought in a game.
00:38:48
Another seat in a receiving he The most he's ever had is 21.
00:38:53
Yeah.
00:38:55
I don't know why I e think I'm just remembering the Kansas City days when he would just bust the bus the long one out.
00:39:03
Oh, when I got a previous the last game.
00:39:08
Green Base plan is for Aaron Jones not to play.
00:39:11
So there you go, but locked at 2.
00:39:15
5 in pretty soon before they started dropping that down.
00:39:19
Um, see, e, I was I was really going to go with a J.
00:39:24
Green under, but he got 11 targets receptions last game.
00:39:28
So I don't know if he, like, bullied Joe Burrow into passing the ball.
00:39:33
Well, his tolerance seconds at 4.5.
00:39:36
If you wanna live that life.
00:39:38
No, no. Get me the hell away from a J.
00:39:40
Green. I've avoided him.
00:39:41
Fantasy draft.
00:39:42
I don't would prefer our power partly not be destroyed by him.
00:39:46
Um, what was Joe Burrows rushing here? Was Joe Burrows at? I like his rush yards at that 10.
00:39:57
5 or 11.5.
00:40:00
He has hit that twice, and I was only in weeks one and 20 but But it was.
00:40:06
But it was against the Cleveland Browns, where he had 19 on seven rushing attempts.
00:40:14
E don't know, man.
00:40:16
It's a tough one.
00:40:20
We got Odell over 60.5.
00:40:23
I would probably stay away from Odell on our power.
00:40:26
Probably Odell Odell threw his helmet and then proceeded to argue with fans with Steelers fans during that game.
00:40:35
So I don't know if I would touch Odell's props this week.
00:40:41
Maybe, but, um, I don't know, man.
00:40:44
What are you feeling? E Like Higgins Tee Higgins over 59 a half Tee Higgins.
00:40:50
Let me just I like it.
00:40:51
I really dio I'm really glad I have him in a few leagues.
00:40:54
Let's see t Higgins.
00:40:55
He 50.5.
00:40:57
He has hit that in three straight games.
00:40:59
Exactly what's right.
00:41:01
Let's ride the wave.
00:41:03
Alright.
00:41:04
So, Tee Higgins, what's the official? 59 a half over 59 Have could always just take the Browns My 3.
00:41:15
5.
00:41:16
But I'm sorry e don't know even without Joe Mix and I just e don't know that's okay after my my are undefeated. Amazing.
00:41:30
Our undefeated amazing Steelers team.
00:41:32
You know, just dismantle the Browns.
00:41:34
I don't know how they're gonna play this next game.
00:41:37
Yeah, there's like he's all messed up.
00:41:39
They can no Hell, yeah.
00:41:41
They can't come back from it. It's impossible.
00:41:43
Baker Mayfield said they Yes, I know.
00:41:46
They felt like their own sakes or something.
00:41:48
Yeah, when your quarterback feels like that, it just doesn't make you wanna doesn't have any confidence.
00:41:55
Exactly.
00:41:56
All right.
00:41:57
Moving on Detroit lines at the Atlanta Falcons.
00:42:00
What a game.
00:42:01
This will be just kidding.
00:42:02
Um, Detroit Lines paying $2.
00:42:04
7 on the money line.
00:42:06
Falcons paying $8.
00:42:07
76.
00:42:08
The Detroit lines are now down to 1.
00:42:09
5 point.
00:42:11
Underdogs.
00:42:12
It was 2.5.
00:42:13
Um, it's certainly moving towards the lines favor, which is probably the right way.
00:42:18
I like the lines in this game toe win outright.
00:42:21
I did like 2.
00:42:23
5, but now it's down one half.
00:42:25
I was just taking the money line.
00:42:26
Shot seven.
00:42:28
What do you like? What side do you like on this game? Yeah, I like the lions to, uh I did jump on this one.
00:42:36
I'm just a single bet.
00:42:37
Um, when I was at 2.5.
00:42:39
So, yeah, 1.5.
00:42:41
You might as well just go with the money line and just pony up on get with that one.
00:42:44
So, yeah, I'm sure for the Falcons, it was a nice story last week to get their first victory post. Dan Quinn.
00:42:51
But don't get used to it. Atlanta fans.
00:42:53
You guys got a long road ahead of you.
00:42:56
Yeah, I think you know, the total became 54 a half a swell, so I kind of like that as well.
00:43:02
So, um, I bet theon there last week against the Falcons.
00:43:06
And that did not help when they scored, like, 20 seven points combined.
00:43:11
Oh, yeah, that was beautiful.
00:43:14
I love I love when that happens.
00:43:15
Um, so, yeah, I don't mind taking me over there either.
00:43:20
So as faras player props go, we got Matt Stafford at 287 and a half and we got Matt Ryan at 307 and a half.
00:43:32
Matt Ryan passing touchdowns at 2.5.
00:43:35
Stafford that one A half Russian crops with Adrian Peterson? No, thank you.
00:43:40
Uh, tell eagerly.
00:43:41
At 63 a half DeAndre Swift at 32 a half rushing yards.
00:43:45
That's weird.
00:43:46
Um, did a swift rushing and receiving at 55 a half is this is this riel 55 a half he has on Lee.
00:43:56
Hit that twice weeks to one week six and weak.
00:43:59
60 exploded for 116 yards.
00:44:02
Uh, gonna move like give him more opportunities.
00:44:08
I don't I think they do.
00:44:10
I really like that.
00:44:11
DeAndre Swift.
00:44:12
32 a half.
00:44:13
I think that's a really low ceiling for him.
00:44:15
So let's I mean, no way we could talk about receivers here.
00:44:20
Um, holidays at 18.5.
00:44:22
Jones is dead to me.
00:44:24
Hopkinson is at 39 a half really is at 78 a half.
00:44:28
Let me talk about dropping.
00:44:29
Marvin Jones was hilarious, by the way.
00:44:34
Yeah.
00:44:35
Yeah.
00:44:36
I'm so out of Marvin Jones.
00:44:38
I'm funny.
00:44:39
Julio is at 80.
00:44:40
5 Russell Gauge at 34 a half.
00:44:43
DeAndre Swift at 25 a half.
00:44:45
Receiving yards.
00:44:46
Hayden Hurst at 34 a half and Amendola at 33 a half.
00:44:51
Uh, yeah.
00:44:53
D'Andre swift.
00:44:54
I don't even know.
00:44:55
I almost don't want even e.
00:44:57
I mean, is there another receiver? You want to risk it on? Marvin Jones under Julio Receptions.
00:45:05
5.5.
00:45:07
Mm.
00:45:09
You don't think down there. So it's a little safer.
00:45:11
Oh, I don't think anything safe about these two teams, but let's go Swift over 32 a half yards rushing.
00:45:18
So I think they have to have to give him the ball, right? Yeah.
00:45:23
I mean, or do we or do we go rushing and receiving over 55 a half extra 10 cents.
00:45:34
Oh, it's an extra 10 cents for that.
00:45:36
Yeah.
00:45:38
I mean, this past game.
00:45:40
I mean, in the last two games, he's had at least four targets and four and three receptions, respectively.
00:45:47
30 yards in a week before seven this week.
00:45:50
This past week.
00:45:54
You could make that decision since you were.
00:45:58
So we're such a wildly fantasy vet and picked up DeAndre so have combined over 55 a half combined.
00:46:09
Corey made this pick rushing in receiving.
00:46:16
Blame him if you don't make it. Okay. Yep.
00:46:19
Perfect.
00:46:20
Alright.
00:46:21
Next game got the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the No offensive line.
00:46:26
Las Vegas writers, Um, Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
00:46:28
They're paying a dollar 42 in the money line.
00:46:30
The bank of graders are paying $2.
00:46:32
88 bucks are 4.
00:46:33
5 point favorites in this one, and the total is at 51 a half.
00:46:40
Maas Vegas is 40 and one towards the over so far this year.
00:46:45
So, um, what say you about this game? Bucks and Raiders? Because I did like the Raiders coming in at plus 4.
00:46:53
5, but now I'm a bit skittish.
00:46:57
I thought their offensive land cleared to play.
00:47:00
Yeah, they might be cleared.
00:47:01
Apply. But I'm still worried.
00:47:04
Uh, I I would probably stay away from this one because I think last week, you know, you didn't make your sentiments known that you did like the Raiders.
00:47:14
Possibly an upset on this one.
00:47:17
I might go with the under. I don't know.
00:47:19
I don't I just have a weird feeling that this game is not gonna be, uh, yeah, e just I just I know Derek Carr has quietly had a very M v p where the season.
00:47:31
I know Tom Brady is probably like it.
00:47:35
I was trying to find a funny term, a funny phrase to say, but I couldn't figure I couldn't think of it on the spot.
00:47:40
But I'm sure Brady is probably like to the moon right now.
00:47:43
He's on cloud nine right now that he got a B as well as my Kevin's and Chris.
00:47:48
God went in two weeks.
00:47:49
I'll have all three of them barring injuries, um, buying lawsuits, lawsuits to which which I actually heard the NFL was considering extending, extending his suspension.
00:48:01
So yeah, that's interesting.
00:48:06
Yeah, by the way, if you follow Caleb Skinner on Twitter? Don't listen to him.
00:48:11
They didn't win the Super Bowl yet.
00:48:12
Just e don't know what he's what he's on there.
00:48:15
They didn't win Superboy yet.
00:48:17
You know, Tom Brady goes there and all of a sudden campaign license away.
00:48:22
Uh huh.
00:48:23
On you know, camp a razor in the world.
00:48:26
Siri's like, What's What's going on it, Ziff Late gate.
00:48:34
They're all deflating their pucks in baseball's to, uh, deflate.
00:48:39
It's a funny one way.
00:48:42
Should have a talk about Patriot scandals and really talk about how they weren't that big of a deal.
00:48:46
Uh, watch.
00:48:49
Watch that.
00:48:50
Hey, comments Come in.
00:48:51
God, I wonder if Connie is on the Patriot side on that one.
00:48:56
I think I think he is.
00:48:57
He's Oh, baby, let's go high five High 555 Let's go! Justin Turner home runs and back to back games.
00:49:08
Let's go Dodgers! What? What's the drawer? What? What's the score? 100 settle down.
00:49:19
Oh, glory.
00:49:21
Let me have this.
00:49:22
First of all, I didn't even get to Razzie for this chop chop on.
00:49:26
Oh, all right. We'll stop. We'll stop.
00:49:35
Oh, all right, all right.
00:49:40
Anyway, back to football.
00:49:41
Back to the patio quarterback Pop markets Tom Brady to 71 a half Your car to 73 a half.
00:49:50
Ronald Jones at 66 a half Josh Jacobs at 65 a half Mike Evans, 51 a half on 66 a half rugs 44 a half Renfro 41 a half We don't have tons of markets here because of the cove it issues.
00:50:04
Obviously, we don't have receptions and things like that.
00:50:07
So what are you going here? We don't have lots to play with you.
00:50:10
So do you know where the Raiders defense ranks In terms of rushing rushing defense? Because I really like the Ronald first.
00:50:21
Oh, my God.
00:50:23
Ronald Jones, man, He's hit the century mark in, like, in the last three games.
00:50:28
Yeah.
00:50:29
Give me Ronald Jones.
00:50:30
The true RB number one at me.
00:50:32
Lenin for net.
00:50:33
Done.
00:50:35
Yeah, I just think that's that's just too thio.
00:50:41
Maybe your book updated, and as soon as we end the stream and you submit it, it'll all go up like a girl.
00:50:47
Like 15 yards.
00:50:48
Yeah, probably the case.
00:50:51
Um, moving on Kensi chiefs at the Denver Broncos.
00:50:54
The Chiefs are a dollar 27 Moneyline favorite Broncos paying $3.
00:50:58
82 as a dog.
00:51:00
The Chiefs are seven a half point favorites in this one, um, division game.
00:51:05
The totals at 44.
00:51:08
What do your thoughts on this Chiefs Broncos game? It's gonna be snowing.
00:51:14
Apparently, if I remember correctly, that doesn't mean anything to me.
00:51:19
It doesn't no.
00:51:20
Whenever I think of Snow and Snow games, I think of that Patriots game like, uh, eight years ago when they played the Tennessee Titans and they won like 59.
00:51:31
Yeah, it's just It's just a big not big Ben.
00:51:35
It's just Drew Brees and Peyton Manning who have that stigma of cold weather games, right? Yeah, well, yeah, The chief should be ableto like they play in bad weather a lot, so I think the homes would be five.
00:51:49
That was the case.
00:51:51
Honestly, as much as my heart for luck, like wants to give him a chance in this game.
00:51:58
Give me the Chiefs.
00:51:59
I just Trulock has truly drew Lock has been anything but a lock this week this year, so I'm gonna have to start eating some of those words.
00:52:09
It's okay. It happens.
00:52:11
Um, with Chiefs are like the chief that mind.
00:52:14
Seven half Well, that's paying Dog 99.
00:52:16
Actually, um, it's almost doubled their quarterback props Drew lock to speak of the Devil to 16.
00:52:24
5 is yards total homes at 2 72.5.
00:52:29
Passing touchdowns.
00:52:30
Mahomes over 1.
00:52:31
5 is paying a dog.
00:52:32
45 Drew lock passing touchdowns over one half.
00:52:36
Paying $2.
00:52:37
61 rushing Props.
00:52:38
We got Melvin Gordon at 48 a half.
00:52:40
He's back C E H at 63 a half Patrick Mahomes at 22 a half Levy on ballot.
00:52:46
23 a half Phillip Lindsay at 36 a half Cloud Edward Teller rushing and receiving an 85 a half lady on Bell at 36 a half rushing.
00:52:56
Receiving Melvin Gordon at 63 a half rushing. Receiving.
00:53:00
Um yeah, Jerry Judy Receiving wise 42 a half Terry Killed 64 a half Kelsey 66 a half Tim Patrick at 43 a half CH at 19 a half.
00:53:12
Maybe I'm ballot.
00:53:13
10.5 yards.
00:53:14
DeMarcus Robinson 34 a half of Cole Harmon, 26 a half, and Melvin Gordon, 12.
00:53:20
5, Noah Fant, at 37 a half.
00:53:23
So tons of props there.
00:53:25
So, like in glass over, I already met the healthy over another parlay.
00:53:31
I like healthy.
00:53:33
Over 66 a half.
00:53:34
Denver has been just forever bad against tight ends.
00:53:39
Um, just looking at the D V.
00:53:41
L A.
00:53:42
Right now, it's actually pretty good against the past.
00:53:45
They're one of the better.
00:53:46
Defense is so far in the lead, their sixth in defense of DB away their ninth against the pass and fifth against the run.
00:53:53
So, um, any thoughts on those player props? Yeah, Travis County receiving yards.
00:53:59
He's been a staple in this in this passing attack.
00:54:02
I think that's probably the best move.
00:54:05
66 a half? Yeah, it's 66 a half.
00:54:08
He's only not hit that, uh, twice and last last week when he missed it, he missed it by two yards, so it wasn't.
00:54:17
He's always within that range, if not higher.
00:54:20
So yeah, I think That's a smart player here.
00:54:22
Yeah, all right.
00:54:23
We'll go. We'll go with Kelsey.
00:54:25
I think you know, there's some other ones that you could probably dabble with their with, like the bells and stuff.
00:54:29
They're very low.
00:54:30
Um, you know, if he gets a couple checks, sounds for each of Billy at 10 yards, But, um, yeah, I think that's Ah, nice way to go there.
00:54:39
So we'll move on from Can't see Chiefs and Denver Broncos.
00:54:43
We've got the Jacksonville Jaguars and the Chargers.
00:54:45
Jacksonville Jaguars are paying $4 on Moneyline underdog charges pending dog 25 as the home favorite, Jacksonville is getting 7.
00:54:53
5 points in this game.
00:54:55
Um, the total is at 49.
00:54:58
What are your thoughts on this one? That good, huh? No, I just think like I want to go with the Chargers of spread up, like, just straight up.
00:55:15
But I just think that that Miller, that Menchu Miller Lite I shotgun and weak one is probably still like in my body because I still have some kind of feeling towards this bread with them, but yeah, give me the chargers with spread.
00:55:29
I know it's the ones over a touchdown.
00:55:31
For a team like this might be kind of tough.
00:55:33
And and the Chargers air are always gonna charger.
00:55:35
But give me the Chargers would spread.
00:55:40
Yeah, this one's interesting things is Ah, prime tease candidate.
00:55:44
I think doing a six point teas and taking six points, um, away here and adding it somewhere else.
00:55:51
So I would take the chargers, you know, 1.
00:55:52
5 and had the six Thio, You know, a team like the Panthers, you know? Then you know they get 13 rather than the seven.
00:56:02
So, um, that's something I would look at.
00:56:05
But I like the charges in this game.
00:56:07
I think they win the seven half.
00:56:09
They should cover that.
00:56:10
I think that Jay was just pretty terrible at the moment.
00:56:14
Um, they lost the Houston double digits.
00:56:17
They lost to Detroit by double digits.
00:56:19
So, um, yeah, I could see the chargers blowing these guys out.
00:56:23
That being said, player props, we got Justin Herbert passing year that to 65 a half minutes.
00:56:28
You at 2. 65 a half.
00:56:30
I think the jags are one of the worst passing defense that they're the worst defense in the league to 65 a half, You said, Yeah, he literally Onley missed last week by two yards.
00:56:42
And besides that, he's been in the to 93 hundreds.
00:56:46
Well, it's just lock that in now then, because they're the worst defense in the league.
00:56:51
Yeah, right now is the worst defense in the league as well, so we don't need toe dabble too much into that.
00:56:58
But yeah, there's there's tons of props on their guys.
00:57:01
Um, I'll do my props later on Twitter.
00:57:06
I see money 52 but yeah, and we'll move on from that one.
00:57:11
We got our play for the power parlay.
00:57:14
We'll go to the San Francisco 40 Niners at my New England Patriots Patriots of paying a dollar 66 as a Moneyline favorite.
00:57:21
San Francisco 40 Niners of paying $2.
00:57:23
23 now getting three points on the handicap.
00:57:28
Um, so that's moved back a little bit.
00:57:31
Um, this is one of the biggest movers and the last since since the part, but now it's back to three.
00:57:40
I think it started out 5.5.
00:57:42
So what are your thoughts on this game? Okay, Yeah.
00:57:49
I like the Patriots Patriots with the spread.
00:57:51
I think the Patriots bounce back after, you know, having Cam kind of get the rust off of him.
00:57:57
Uh, covert rust off him and 40 40 Niners or without Raheem Mostert.
00:58:03
He's gonna go on IR and Jerick.
00:58:05
McKinnon hasn't been handling the workload very well.
00:58:08
I guess he's not had the burst he's had.
00:58:10
So I just I just think the 40 Niners, you're gonna get bits of Super Bowl hangover for the entire year.
00:58:18
I think this game that kinda dropped the ball pages of spread to move here.
00:58:23
Get that.
00:58:24
Get that plus odds.
00:58:26
Yeah, I like the patriots, obviously, in this one little home.
00:58:29
Or is, um, Cam Newton passing yards up to 11? What a little a little Jimmy crap to 37 a half built.
00:58:39
If any team knows Jimmy G s limitations, it's the Patriots.
00:58:44
Um, Jimmy G is at 2.
00:58:45
37 half passing yards.
00:58:48
Oh, something's happening here. All right.
00:58:50
Sorry. E swear.
00:58:52
I saw an article from you, like, five years ago, saying that Jimmy G is gonna be the future Joe Montana.
00:58:57
No, I never came out.
00:59:00
Uh, grapples at 1.5.
00:59:05
Cam Newton's at 1.5.
00:59:07
Um, rushing props.
00:59:09
We got Damian Harris at 37 a half.
00:59:11
Jerrick McKinnon at 52 a half.
00:59:13
Cam Newton 47 a half Rexburg had 18 a half Jake McKinnon combined market rushing.
00:59:19
Receiving that 76 a half Kendrick Born 28 a half My Guy Deebo, Samuel 48 a half Brandon A.
00:59:27
34 a half Um, George Killah, 65 a half and MacKinnon, 21 a half.
00:59:34
And then you got these. Terrible.
00:59:36
We don't wanna have receiver props for the Patriots because they don't have any receivers.
00:59:40
Now it's Dimier Bird at 43 a half and then write his girls at 13.5.
00:59:47
You don't make your book.
00:59:49
No, I don't have Harry.
00:59:50
Oh, no, I don't have Harry yards. I have Harry receptions.
00:59:54
If it's not 1.
00:59:55
5, I don't wanna look at it right now.
01:00:00
E 1.5.
01:00:03
No faith in your boy.
01:00:05
It's just It's just been brutal.
01:00:08
I honestly thought he was gonna have a really great year So I'm right there with you and believing in him.
01:00:13
Yeah.
01:00:14
Yeah, I really wanna bet.
01:00:17
I wanna look at George Kittle under, but I feel like it built out.
01:00:25
Just gonna do one thing.
01:00:26
It's gonna take away George Cable.
01:00:30
Do you want to do that? Okay.
01:00:33
I kind of feel like my what's his receiving here is that 65 a half, Like, I know the Patriots with Kelsey sometimes get a little bit, um, burnt on that one.
01:00:50
But that's because there's so many other weapons.
01:00:53
Um, like we watched the Patriots play against the Raiders, and Waller did absolutely zilch.
01:01:02
Um, they locked him down, they took him away.
01:01:05
And that was a big part of the game plan.
01:01:07
I don't see how taking Kittel away is not part of the game plan.
01:01:13
Well, if you want to go with a made up trend, I'm gonna make right now he's 4483 44 109 He's due for Ah, for a little bit of a roller coaster on the stats.
01:01:26
So no.
01:01:27
And honestly, the way they just just Darren Waller, like, unusable for the Raiders.
01:01:33
I think we see some of that here with George Kiddo on the 49 or so and then with Debo bag.
01:01:39
I could e mean he's had, I think, more than seven, um, targets a game.
01:01:46
So I'm pretty sure they'll probably just lean on Devo on getting him the ball in space if they shut down. Kid.
01:01:53
Also, I'm down to right? If you are.
01:01:57
I mean, I mean, I'm country born as well.
01:02:00
That's a bit one e no, that's just biased at that point.
01:02:06
No, I mean, he's got 44 yards.
01:02:07
33 63 wait.
01:02:10
28 a half.
01:02:11
Wait. 20.5? Yeah.
01:02:14
Oh, lock that one in.
01:02:15
He has not gone under that at all this.

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