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00:00:01
go.
00:00:02
Besides everybody, I mean we brought to you by us.
00:00:06
Odds dot com Make sure you go to us.
00:00:08
Dash odds dot com and get all the info that you need to get yourself for weeks.
00:00:12
Seven of the NFL season.
00:00:14
As always, Join my poli parlays.
00:00:17
You could find him on Twitter Game day.
00:00:19
Fact.
00:00:20
You find myself out.
00:00:21
Walsh at 14 8 Walsh And of course I'm sure you follow the show on Twitter as well at taking Underscore Sides.
00:00:28
Pa.
00:00:29
Welcome into the Week seven Portal.
00:00:31
You New York Giants almost got the win there last night, but from what I understand, you may get on all fronts.
00:00:38
I had it perfect.
00:00:40
The Giants are perfect.
00:00:42
So I took Eagles money line.
00:00:44
So it was just It was It was so beautiful.
00:00:48
The Giants did everything they needed to dio to keep the game close, fun and exciting.
00:00:52
And then they do giant things and they lose.
00:00:55
It was just like that game was so recent New York football giants.
00:01:01
Eso I i even through a tweet out there last night like hey, if you know, you missed the football game tonight, uh, you know, it kind of went the way that this debate is going on last night and, of course I jinxed it out there for all the Giants fan.
00:01:16
So my apologies to you if you were looking to win the NFC East, but I know there's a lot of James guys fan out there, including my best friend.
00:01:25
You know, every time the Giants get scored on, it will go crazy.
00:01:29
You know, like a certain boss that we once had who did the same thing.
00:01:32
But how? How is it that you Giants fans out there can root against yourself? Well, you know, my like giants love, hatred thing.
00:01:41
Like I'm speaking for everyone after, like, Like, look how old this hat is.
00:01:46
That's how long I've been a giant.
00:01:49
I gotta Thanks.
00:01:50
Scotty Shapiro.
00:01:51
I stole it from his closet when I went and visited my parents e like, Why aren't you wearing it? He's like, I don't know.
00:01:59
It's old.
00:02:00
I'm like, I'll take it so so like, And then last night happens and I'm just like, Come on, man.
00:02:06
How is this what the Giants are? But that's where we are with them.
00:02:11
At this point, it's we're gonna be getting a top five pick again next year.
00:02:18
Hopefully, it works out.
00:02:19
Hopefully, this player is good and he fits in.
00:02:22
But I'm also hoping it's not Trevor Lawrence because Daniel Jones has it.
00:02:26
He also has ability to trip over his own feet on the way to an easy touchdown.
00:02:32
That was amazing.
00:02:33
Like, Come on, man.
00:02:35
He has it for 80 yards.
00:02:38
And then after that, he just doesn't have it anymore, but disappeared.
00:02:43
Good on Danny.
00:02:45
Wheels forgetting the Russian bet.
00:02:46
Prop in. Yeah.
00:02:49
You hit that right.
00:02:50
I did.
00:02:52
Uh, I actually hit all three of the parlays that I had last in the Thursday Night Football game.
00:02:59
Boston Scott going over 71 a half combined.
00:03:03
Russian receiving yards.
00:03:04
Greg Ward out of the slot for the Eagles.
00:03:06
Having a nice night.
00:03:07
Get himself over 34 a half receiving yards.
00:03:10
So all was well and dandy there in that profit, I did not touch the game, uh, in there.
00:03:16
I just I really could not bring myself to do it just these NFC East games a while, but I think it just goes to show that the Giants will never win a football game in Philadelphia ever again.
00:03:26
Like anything that can go wrong for this team in Philly.
00:03:29
It does.
00:03:31
Yeah.
00:03:32
I mean, even you do.
00:03:33
Shawn got knocked out of the game where I I assumed he was going to be a massive difference maker, you know, they got him involved immediately.
00:03:41
He was He touched the ball in the first two plays, and I was like, Oh, man, he looked spry.
00:03:45
And like, the decision of old who just kills the Giants over and over again, And then he got hurt.
00:03:52
And I'm like, uh, the Giants might actually win this.
00:03:54
No, the Giants aren't gonna win this game.
00:03:56
It was Come on.
00:03:59
That was just unbelievable.
00:04:01
Were also that fourth down play.
00:04:03
Um, by the Eagles.
00:04:05
That was a terrible call.
00:04:07
Where Logan Ryan, That was P I on fourth down.
00:04:10
That could have completely changed the game.
00:04:11
It did completely changed the game until the Giants were like, Hey, we're a Dumpster Fire.
00:04:16
We're gonna lose this game.
00:04:17
Even though it's been handed to us twice.
00:04:19
I am very excited to announce, by the way, that taking sides podcast is now available on Spotify.
00:04:27
So big round of applause for everybody involved there.
00:04:31
Spotify my computer myself.
00:04:33
I mean, it was just a real collaborative efforts.
00:04:36
Uh, I'm very excited about that.
00:04:38
What you're gonna do is you're gonna, you know, search for taking sides with our walls.
00:04:42
Holy parlays.
00:04:43
It should be one of the first couple that comes up.
00:04:45
Now, keep in mind we're not the marriage advice show Taking sides that, uh, way will also give you marriage advice if you want.
00:04:55
I feel like we need one of those guys that's been divorced, like, four times just to come on as, like a like a guest expert one day.
00:05:02
And then, you know, we'll just get the divorce.
00:05:04
A craft? Yeah, well, corner the whole taking sides market.
00:05:08
Paul, I'm fine with that.
00:05:10
Like, that would be great.
00:05:11
We also need need to thank us that God's for offering this show, getting us off the ground.
00:05:17
Um, and also giving us a landing page where you go to us.
00:05:23
Dash odds dot com forward slash taking dash sides.
00:05:30
You got that? Can you? Can you Can you Can you get that tongue twister going? Yeah, absolutely.
00:05:34
It's www dot U.
00:05:37
S.
00:05:38
dash odds dot com backslash Take it forward slash I'm saying backslash like it like that, but it's forward.
00:05:45
Slash way.
00:05:47
Have to send people to the right place.
00:05:49
They'll get there eventually.
00:05:51
I don't know if you noticed, by the way, but I've got my Tom Brady old school logo buccaneer shirt on today.
00:05:58
Well, I love it.
00:05:59
That's beautiful.
00:06:00
Yeah, when they actually sent it to me live the first time, there was a **** hole in the right sleeve.
00:06:04
So now I have one of these that I could wear to bed and then one of those that I could wear to formal events.
00:06:10
So Brady will be with me everywhere this season.
00:06:13
Now, we got to get into the Sunday games here before we do.
00:06:18
So you definitely want to go to better.
00:06:20
33 65.
00:06:22
Use the promo code sides.
00:06:24
Get yourself 100% deposit bonus when you deposit $100.
00:06:28
That's the max right there.
00:06:30
They've also got this gorgeous, gorgeous offer where you get paid out for winning.
00:06:35
Paul, you get a little bit for the people on that one.
00:06:37
Could you actually took advantage of this? Your stuff? You're talking about the about 3.
00:06:43
65 promo.
00:06:44
I sure as hell sorry.
00:06:47
I was I was making sure people know that we're on and I was putting a tweet out.
00:06:52
By the way, did you see that? We have the gorgeous picture there.
00:06:55
It's not us.
00:06:56
Like picking our noses on the live feed.
00:07:00
So, like, if you go if you go check it out on Facebook, it's actually the you and me.
00:07:04
The logo from the big chair at Citi Field.
00:07:07
Yeah.
00:07:08
No, no, that Z if you take our SportsCastr Um u r l the one that is for taking sides when that pops up, Gorgeous.
00:07:20
We're learning something new every day, folks.
00:07:23
Yeah, I could call us that that word, but I won't, um, s o the bet. 3 65.
00:07:30
NFL early payout promo Use promo code sides s I E.
00:07:35
S.
00:07:36
You get $100 in free bets and we've hit the last two weeks using the Pittsburgh Steelers where the way this works is if the team that you bet money line goes up by 17 points at any point in the game, you get paid out, no matter what.
00:07:50
Yes, the Steelers ultimately won both of those games.
00:07:53
But if you used our promo codes sides, you would have gotten paid out in the middle of the game when they went up by 18 17.
00:08:00
Whatever it waas eso, I'm going to record that probably again tomorrow.
00:08:05
I'll probably honestly, I'll should I give it.
00:08:07
Should I give it now, or should I make people tune in later? Yeah, So you'll you'll check us out on the U.
00:08:16
S. Stash odds Twitter.
00:08:17
They'll put the video out and, uh, you'll see which team I'm taking this week money line, but that I expect to go up by 17 points as, uh, as Tom Galanis over at, uh, I hope I pronounced the last name right, and he doesn't bash me.
00:08:31
But as Tom Galanis or US Odds loves to say, this promo is perfect for Falcons fans and betters alike.
00:08:39
Because you go up, you don't even gotta worry about Matty ice and the boys blowing that.
00:08:43
So definitely, definitely take advantage.
00:08:45
They finally won a game e I've seen dogs step in **** before, so you know it works.
00:08:52
Yeah, your dog, my dog does it all the time all the time.
00:08:56
I got a white.
00:08:57
The bottom is Paul with the **** pick, but never nevertheless.
00:09:01
All right, let's get into it.
00:09:02
By the way, folks, if you want to follow with us down the list of games, I'm just using the the order that draftkings has there.
00:09:09
So, you know, if you wanna go game by game with us, you could do so that way.
00:09:13
Let's start it off in our neck of the woods here where we got the Buffalo Bills.
00:09:16
12 point favorites against New York Jets on the road.
00:09:20
Money line here is a very, very zaftig, uh, minus 5 90 here for the bills.
00:09:26
If you think the Jets can pull the upset out right here, it's gonna be plus 4th 30.
00:09:31
Coming back your way on $100 bet.
00:09:33
Of course, we got a total of 45 points, which really doesn't lend a lot of optimism to the Jets pulling the upset here.
00:09:40
But I'm pretty sure we're gonna be on the same side of this, Paul.
00:09:43
But you back in the bills here massively.
00:09:46
I love the bills.
00:09:48
Uh, it's it's more of a bet against the Jets.
00:09:51
There and I'm okay.
00:09:54
Is the spread I saw the spread moved a bit.
00:09:56
Is it? Yeah.
00:09:57
Move down, move down, actually, in favor for us.
00:10:00
But I'm just like all right, Thanks.
00:10:02
Where I love the bills.
00:10:04
I will take them anywhere up to minus 13.5.
00:10:09
But I think it's around 12 on most books right now.
00:10:13
Um, and you know that I'm not big on these massive spreads.
00:10:17
I'm not big on three point spreads and two point spreads because I hate it when I pick a winner and they don't cover, they win, but don't cover the game.
00:10:25
Um, but I this this is I think this is the biggest spread of the week.
00:10:30
Um, you have a playoff team in the Bills taking on the worst team in football on the Jets.
00:10:35
Buffalo already beat the Jets by 10 and weak one.
00:10:39
I see no reason that they can't beat them by 13 14 at this point in the season where the Bills are improving and showing that they are a playoff team.
00:10:49
And that Josh Allen is he's in the M V P conversation.
00:10:53
While the Jets have their backup quarterback in, they've traded away all of their good players.
00:10:59
They've released all of their good players.
00:11:00
I mean, you and I are essentially playing tight end and running back for the New York Jets at this point.
00:11:05
I love the Bills minus 12. 13.
00:11:08
Whatever it ISS.
00:11:09
Yeah, by the way, I was just a absolutely tremendous red zone threat on my football team.
00:11:15
But yeah, you know, if the Jets want May, I'll be there.
00:11:18
I'll be there.
00:11:19
Josh Allen and Week one against the Jets looked absolutely fantastic.
00:11:24
Uh, 312 passing yards, two touchdowns added, 57 rushing yards and a touchdown against the Jephson Jets in that week.
00:11:32
One game right there.
00:11:34
But it's funny, Toto, look back at week one because you know the Jets.
00:11:38
I believe there were six point dogs in that one.
00:11:40
I actually back the Jets and that one unknowingly of how things were gonna go throughout the season.
00:11:45
But this is Ah, it's a huge step up in the spread, their right, like, yeah, Buffalo was a six point favorite at home.
00:11:52
Now there are 12 point favorite on the road in the same match up here.
00:11:56
So again, if anything, You know, I'm probably gonna wind up taking, you know, Buffalo maybe as, like, a throw in to, you know, like, a miniature parlay or something.
00:12:06
Uh, that, you know, just to kind of give yourself better odds.
00:12:09
But yeah, I don't think that there's I don't think that there is much reason to stay away from the Buffalo minus 12 but something is a little fishy there, but it coming down from 13.
00:12:18
5 to 12.
00:12:21
By the way, I don't know if you've looked ahead.
00:12:23
Uh, toe week eight yet, but did you see the spread for the Chiefs Jets game? Of course I did.
00:12:30
That's insane.
00:12:31
22 or something like that.
00:12:33
Yeah.
00:12:34
22 is gonna be the number here for, like, how that Z That's an NFL team versus high school team.
00:12:40
Yeah, but yeah, I think a lot of a lot of Sharps obviously wanna take the Jets in that situation just being, you know, we really don't see NFL numbers that high Eso I think people want to do that.
00:12:53
But when you get down to the nitty gritty of it, yeah, and you see, it's chiefs 45 to 3 at the end of the game, you're gonna be wondering which side you're back in there.
00:13:01
All right, so Paul and I both there on the bills in this one, and he anything with the total here because 45 seems a little low.
00:13:09
But you got to keep in mind, too.
00:13:11
I guess Joe Flacco is the quarterback for the New York Jets in the situation.
00:13:16
Well, I think that the number is just based on the week one contest they told with 44 points in week one.
00:13:23
Um, so that's that's where this number comes from.
00:13:27
Um, the way I look at it is, if you think the bills were gonna dominate the Jets, you can consider the over.
00:13:33
Otherwise, just stay.
00:13:34
Stay off of it.
00:13:35
Where? If you think it's going to be an utter annihilation, the bills we're going to cover, then I would be cool with the over.
00:13:44
I'm not touching the under.
00:13:46
Otherwise, I'm just I'm just straight up off off that sho nuff sho nuff.
00:13:51
All right, let's get to some actual football here.
00:13:54
We got the Green Bay Packers 3.
00:13:55
5 point favorites at the Houston Texans Packers ar minus 182 favorites there on the money line.
00:14:02
Texans think they could pull the upset plus 1 60 here on the money line.
00:14:06
Ah, very enormous.
00:14:08
57 point total here.
00:14:10
I absolutely like when I just saw this game without looking at the lines.
00:14:14
I was like, Oh, man! Green Bay bounce back spot.
00:14:16
Uh, Shawn Watson gonna have to play from behind all day.
00:14:19
I love the over here.
00:14:20
I still dio What say you on this game? Because I I really love the Packers.
00:14:25
I know, Anthony, this was his best better the week when we had him on on Wednesday.
00:14:30
I I definitely follow suit right behind him there.
00:14:33
What about you? But yeah.
00:14:34
You guys, you guys flip flop me on Wednesday.
00:14:37
Thanks.
00:14:38
Thanks to the rial NFL guru.
00:14:40
I'm sure he'll listen to this at some point on do you out? I'm not taking the minus the points, though.
00:14:46
I like Packer's money line, so I think it's gonna be a close enough game, Packers money line.
00:14:51
And like we said, um, this is gonna be in Erin Jones game.
00:14:55
And whenever it is an Erin Jones game verse, the two time NFL, M v P Aaron Rodgers.
00:15:02
Um, when it's an Erin Jones game, the Packers win like that's the best way to explain it.
00:15:08
They're controlling the clock.
00:15:09
They're controlling everything.
00:15:11
And it just makes life easier for Mr Aaron Rodgers.
00:15:15
Rogers will also bounced back against this not good Texan secondary.
00:15:21
Um, S O.
00:15:22
I like the Packers to win, but I'm not confident that they're going to cover the 3.
00:15:25
5 points.
00:15:26
So I'm taking package money.
00:15:27
One okay, again, Like I could certainly see a situation where you're absolutely right where they kind of come in and, you know, back, Doris us Packers better is there on, you know, on the on the spread.
00:15:40
But again, I'm pretty **** confident here in the Packers.
00:15:44
I just think, you know, when you're able to run the football and kind of control the pace of play, uh, you know, things are obviously gonna be looking up for you.
00:15:51
We're looking to defense is in this game.
00:15:53
Green Bay is clearly the better side.
00:15:55
I know last week that score in Tampa Bay was a little lopsided, but, you know, we talked about it.
00:16:00
Pick six for the bucks, they get another pick that puts him right at the doorstep.
00:16:04
The goal line right there, Toe.
00:16:05
Go up 14 to 10 on the Packers.
00:16:07
So there they are.
00:16:09
Not as bad as advertised last week again to men when you just get flat out.
00:16:14
Embarrassed like that, I guess we can consider that a national game, Right? There were only two games on at the time, the other one being Jets, Dolphins.
00:16:21
This is the one that everybody was watching.
00:16:22
So everybody, you know, saw that.
00:16:24
And I don't think the Packers are gonna wanna have that happen again.
00:16:27
I I really love the over right.
00:16:29
So I'm gonna probably try one of these same game parlay bets and go with that where I'm gonna bring it down to packers minus three on.
00:16:38
Go with the over there.
00:16:39
Maybe try to bring that down 56 or something like that.
00:16:43
Just be careful on the over.
00:16:45
Like we said, it's an Erin Jones game.
00:16:47
So that's gonna eat clock clock clock.
00:16:50
Which is why I wouldn't, you know, personally, you obviously you do what you want, But if it's an Erin Jones game, it's likely gonna be less points.
00:16:59
I could see that lets passing lots opportunities.
00:17:02
You know, the Texas Oh, thanks, Thio.
00:17:05
Knickerbocker Knickerbocker 15.
00:17:07
Liked up for 20 stars.
00:17:09
I like that.
00:17:11
Thanks, Nick. Bigger.
00:17:13
I appreciate I appreciate every single fan we got out there.
00:17:16
We don't have many, but **** it, we're gonna We're gonna get the one by one.
00:17:20
So absolutely appreciate and check out Paul.
00:17:23
Paul was revere.
00:17:24
I got a funny story about Paul Revere, but that's another story for another day.
00:17:29
**** it.
00:17:30
I hate when I get teased like that.
00:17:32
All right, So I'll tell you when we get to the Patriots game because we have to do with when I was in college and at Boston, I will do it during the Patriots.
00:17:41
I love Paulie. Parlay College Day stories.
00:17:43
They Oh, my God.
00:17:44
Come on, man.
00:17:45
Um, what was great? One thing to note here.
00:17:48
I know we talked about it on Wednesday with Anthony, but it's ah might not be as easy of a match up here for Davante Adams going against Bradley Roby.
00:17:56
Uh, you know, statistically maybe hasn't been at his best this season because of that defense is the whole is in shambles, but he's one of the better corners in the NFL.
00:18:05
So I might be shying off that big stack that I had in mind with Aaron Rodgers, Jones, UH, Davante Adams.
00:18:11
But Erin Jones will certainly be a part of all.
00:18:13
My DFS lineup builds this week, both shop.
00:18:16
All right, let's get to the next game.
00:18:18
We got the Carolina Panthers at the the New Orleans Safe states, or 7.
00:18:24
5 point favorites at the Superdome this week minus 3 35 on the money line plus 2 80 for the Carolina Panthers on the money line.
00:18:32
If you believe that they could pull the upset, we've got a total of 51 which I actually talked about earlier this week.
00:18:37
I kind of love the over here, I How do you say kind of love Now? I love the over and the all right.
00:18:43
I love thee under in this one.
00:18:45
Jeez, I can't talk to the slowest pace NFL teams we got in this matchup where we got the Saints in 2024.
00:18:53
Fastest pace. The Panthers there are 27.
00:18:55
So, uh, anything changed for you in terms of looking at this game because I got some dandy stats and this one they're gonna knock the socks off your feet, Paul.
00:19:05
All right, so I'll just give you quickie.
00:19:06
So quicky, uh, I think the Saints win, but I like the Panthers.
00:19:12
Plus 7.5.
00:19:13
Yeah, I'm with you.
00:19:15
So? So it's it's This is one of those toughie in betweens where Saints, I'm taking the Saints to win the game.
00:19:23
But I think this point spread is three points too much where that's why I love the Panthers.
00:19:29
Plus 7.5.
00:19:30
We still don't know the status of Michael Thomas, which can feasibly change things.
00:19:34
Um, but I'm feeling like a 24 20 game where either way, you know Panthers Panthers could feasibly upset upset the Saints.
00:19:45
I don't really see it happening, but I'm thinking Saints 24 20.
00:19:48
So that means panthers plus 7.
00:19:49
5 minus 1 15 because I'm not risking minus 3 80 or whatever it is on ST Moneyline.
00:19:56
So I had the thought that the Panthers can, you know, keep this game very close.
00:20:02
Drew Brees just doesn't scare me anymore.
00:20:04
And neither does the Superdome, right? Like we're getting, what, 7 8000 fans in there like Give me a break.
00:20:10
I kind of like what the Eagles did last night.
00:20:12
I was like, How the hell are they allowing so many people to sit close to one another? And it was actually fans sitting next to the cutouts that they had in the seats to kind of make it look like a packed audience there, which was really cool.
00:20:26
But, uh, you know, in this game, I found some gorgeous, gorgeous stats here.
00:20:32
Let everyone gather around the campfire for a second right here.
00:20:35
So this is Teddy Bridgewater over the course of his career.
00:20:39
Alright, So, uh, in all situations, he's 30 and 10 against the Spread as an underdog.
00:20:47
Throughout the course of his career, he is 20 and five against the Spread as a road quarterback.
00:20:54
In his career, he's 16 and three against the spread as a road underdog, 15 and two against the spread.
00:21:02
So you got to keep in mind, too, though that I mean, look, you could play either side of the coin here.
00:21:07
This is E.
00:21:08
I don't want to say it's a revenge game.
00:21:10
It's a Hey Hi.
00:21:11
How you doing? Game with Teddy Bridgewater as he was in the Saints quarterback room over the last two years.
00:21:17
Does that mean that Hey, he wants to show that he was better than breeze? Or does this mean that the Saints defense kind of knows his weaknesses and that they can kinda key in on that? So how do you feel about that? I think everything you're saying makes me feel happier about the Panthers.
00:21:33
Plus that I mean, how could it not? Yeah, that was, like, Check, check, check.
00:21:40
You know, the saints are gonna win by, like, 59.
00:21:43
No, that's what always happens.
00:21:47
But I totally feel you on that.
00:21:50
Where it's you're right, that it's Ah, it's not a revenge game.
00:21:54
It's a It's a Hey, How you doing, buddy game? Yeah, absolutely.
00:21:58
Andi? Yeah.
00:21:59
If I'm not mistaking states states coming off the bye. Correct.
00:22:04
Yeah.
00:22:05
Yeah.
00:22:06
All right. So yeah.
00:22:08
So, yeah.
00:22:09
So they've had extra time to prepare for a quarterback that they know very well also, um, but I think the biggest difference is if Michael Thomas plays or not.
00:22:17
The saints are a different team.
00:22:18
Whether he's in the lineup and when he's not in the lineup, eso I'm not gonna touch anything until I know his status for the week.
00:22:26
Yeah, I really wanted to kind of go bananas on Alvin Kamara props this week.
00:22:31
I didn't even write him up because this whole Michael Thomas situation is just absolutely bizarre, to say the least.
00:22:38
If you don't know, I guess he was held out of practice or the media portion of practice on Thursday.
00:22:44
And this comes after a game that, you know, the team held him out of the game was a healthy scratch because he was being a pain in the ass in practice.
00:22:51
Uh, you know, And you know, now who the hell knows what the deal is? I'm sure where you're going to get more information, you know, later in the day, we're doing this recording at, uh, noon on Friday, so we've still got to find out that information.
00:23:04
But when you look at the Panthers and just all the production that they've given up two running backs this season, especially receiving running backs to they're kind of like the Atlanta Jr of running back pass catching, running back production.
00:23:16
So this is obviously a nice little situation for him.
00:23:20
If you're in, you know, season long fantasy Latavius Murray could be an interesting choice.
00:23:25
Panthers.
00:23:26
They ranked 26 in the n f L D V O and run defense.
00:23:29
So you know I used lacks Murray one week in season long fantasy and that was the game against the Lions, which worked out really well.
00:23:37
But yeah, this this could definitely be a situation, especially if Michael Thomas doesn't play or is limited in any way this week.
00:23:44
So we definitely like a lot.
00:23:46
Um, Speaking of Camara, I found a prop that I love on points.
00:23:51
Bet Alvin Kamara to get 75 plus plus rushing yards plus 1 30.
00:23:57
Yeah, I was like I could get plus odds on Alvin Kamara doing anything.
00:24:02
Um, you know, he's averaging 4.
00:24:04
6 yards per carry coming off the bye week.
00:24:07
He's topped 75 rushing yards twice in the past four weeks.
00:24:11
Uh, he's facing this Panthers rush defense that has allowed, um, more than 100 rushing yards.
00:24:19
Thio, I'm tryingto get the number right, but until like a million backs and touchdowns in six games, so like Come on.
00:24:28
I love it.
00:24:29
Yeah, At the beginning, I made a very slight error.
00:24:32
It was actually Carolina ranking 24th and pacing the Saints, their 27th, but nonetheless to Grandpa is going at it, uh, to Grandpa.
00:24:41
Offense is going at it.
00:24:42
All right, let's get to the next game of the week here.
00:24:45
We've got the Browns.
00:24:46
Favorite bike three at the Cincinnati Bangles is gonna be a rematch.
00:24:50
A week to where we saw the Bangles crushed my heart on that 5.
00:24:53
5 point spread.
00:24:55
But feeling like the money line here, it's minus 1 59 for the Browns, plus 1 40 there for the Bangles.
00:25:01
We got a total of 50 points in this one.
00:25:03
Interesting to note, 80% of the money going towards the over 50 in this camp.
00:25:09
So I've actually I wrote about the running backs, uh, for profits in this article for us odds dot com, which you could go check out.
00:25:19
So I think the under that I'm kind of keying in on for a couple of profits here on Joe Mixon and for Korean Hunt.
00:25:27
And the reason that I say that is both guys still hold a questionable tag this late in the week.
00:25:33
Joe Mixon did not practice on Wednesday or Thursday.
00:25:36
Kareem Hunt kind of got a little bit of a nagging hamstring issue in this one.
00:25:41
So it kind of it is interesting, given that information that a lot of people are going towards the over.
00:25:47
So, uh, that kind of draws me into some pastors, um, pass catchers in this game.
00:25:52
Let's go.
00:25:53
Let's start with the game and then we'll get into some more props because there is a guy that I'm I'm declaring.
00:25:57
It's his weak and it hasn't been his weak and quite some time.
00:26:01
But at just at first on the game, what do you like in this one? Don't tease me.
00:26:10
I want to know who's game it.
00:26:11
ISS A J Green Week, pal. A.
00:26:15
J Green Week.
00:26:19
What's that? A J Green, right? Oh, it's It's an A J Green week.
00:26:25
It zone a J Green week, folks.
00:26:27
I thought I thought you were gonna It was gonna be in Austin Hooper week.
00:26:31
Hell, no. A J.
00:26:33
Green.
00:26:34
That was the first.
00:26:35
That was the first name that popped into my head.
00:26:36
What do you love about a J.
00:26:38
Green? Because this is one of those games where it's a divisional contest.
00:26:42
The Bangles, they're at home.
00:26:44
They're getting a couple of points.
00:26:45
Where I This is just a game that I'm off.
00:26:48
I have no lean.
00:26:49
I'm not gonna uh, maybe I'll play a couple props.
00:26:52
So tell me about about what you have and convinced me and all of our listeners Thio tell you this week I love a great conspiracy theory, right? Like, I'm not gonna believe it, But I'll absolutely listen to what you have to say on any sort of conspiracy theory.
00:27:09
It's just I love that kind of ****.
00:27:11
So in this game, don't keep in mind the NFL trade deadline is November 3rd, right? So I know a J.
00:27:18
Green has said, Oh, I want to stay with this team.
00:27:21
I like what they really got going.
00:27:23
The man's lying through his teeth, right? If he could get himself to a contender, he would absolutely do so I would not be surprised if Bengals management somebody is in Burrows here this week.
00:27:35
Sam.
00:27:37
Hey, you know you want some more assets for the future? Get that ball the A J this week and look.
00:27:42
The matchup makes sense right in week to a J.
00:27:46
Green saw a season high 13 targets on.
00:27:49
That's no, that's no miss take, right? Like the way that the Browns play defense, they try to clog up the middle.
00:27:56
That means things.
00:27:57
They're gonna be open a lot more on the outside and up top against these guys.
00:28:00
So in my opinion, I just I feel like this is another game where they should try to feed a J.
00:28:06
Green in order to beef up his trade value.
00:28:09
All the schematics line up behind it.
00:28:12
You know, last week against the Colts, he had a great game in terms of, you know, actually connecting on these targets.
00:28:18
What's funny about that game against the Browns and weak to is that he got targeted what? Something, I think 13 times.
00:28:24
And he only had three catches for 20 something yards.
00:28:27
That's that's an absolute misnomer if I've ever seen it.
00:28:31
There were a couple of plays.
00:28:32
I felt like he kind of got, you know, pass interfered with that.
00:28:34
They didn't call, um, you know, as somebody who's in a J.
00:28:39
Green season long owner.
00:28:40
That's These are the things that I kind of look out for, you know? So I just feel like this is a good opportunity for the Bangles to kinda increase his trade value.
00:28:49
I mean, you know whether anybody wants to believe it or not. A. J.
00:28:53
Green is still a top flight receiver in this league.
00:28:55
He's just a really bad situation this year.
00:28:57
And you know, again, if anybody's been in Burrows year saying, Hey, a couple more assets coming for you, I would listen.
00:29:08
Yeah, it was three catches for 29 yards and 13 targets.
00:29:13
That's that's that's insane.
00:29:15
Where if he gets that volume again, he's gonna have way more than 29 yards.
00:29:21
If, if not, we're crazy.
00:29:25
Yeah, And again to with with both, you know, started running backs not being at the top of their health, I mean that just lens optimism that there on the Baltimore So I think there are more than a few things working in his factor this week and again to like, doesn't that three point spread look kind of wacky, like the Brown should be favored by Mawr, but three just seems I guess.
00:29:47
You know, you could look at the game against Pittsburgh last week and everybody's gonna be down on them.
00:29:51
But whatever the case is, I think we're going to see points.
00:29:54
And I think we're going to see a very close game.
00:29:55
So a lot of lot of targets should be common.
00:29:58
Is what? Nevertheless, the Browns one by far.
00:30:02
I've at home.
00:30:03
So now it's on the road and it's three.
00:30:07
I think the spread is okay. It's fine.
00:30:09
It's just ill.
00:30:11
It's going to depend on which version of the Bangles shows up.
00:30:16
The Browns have been pretty consistent.
00:30:18
Um, you know, other than what? The with the Pittsburgh game last week.
00:30:22
But I saw that coming.
00:30:24
I still don't know how you didn't like I did.
00:30:28
I did.
00:30:29
It just took me a while, right? But But again, you made that are take a side which still cracks me up.
00:30:35
I'm just like, thank you on.
00:30:37
You texted me on Sunday, and we're like, I have to tell you something.
00:30:41
I'm like, what? Hey, goes, He goes, I'm with you on Pittsburgh now.
00:30:47
And I'm like you did it.
00:30:49
I'm very proud of you.
00:30:50
I was with you so much on Pittsburgh that I made them.
00:30:52
I d f s defense across every single line up that I had.
00:30:58
That was fantastic.
00:31:00
So what? What what? The truth is you took my side.
00:31:05
That's fair.
00:31:07
Uh, you know what kind of sucks to with this with this Cleveland brands Cincinnati Bengals situation with those injuries to the running backs? I mean, in William Hill, by the way, doing a fantastic job of the profits, they don't even have the player profits up yet.
00:31:23
That's how you know, big this injury to mixing and the cream hunt is right now, So I kind of I think it's probably a steel to and to get the total at 50 I mean, this was this Had what, like, 60 I want to say 64 69 points in that week to match up 65 65.
00:31:41
Yeah, so I mean, look, we've already 35.
00:31:45
Joe Burrow played his best game is as a professional, and that was even on a short week.
00:31:50
So now you're giving them the regular time.
00:31:51
So I think 50 going over on 50 right now is an absolute steal.
00:31:55
So that's where I'm at.
00:31:58
I like you there.
00:31:59
Yeah, I'm with you on the over here, so I don't know if I put any money on it, but I'll agree with you.
00:32:05
Alright, there. Enough.
00:32:07
Now we get to our take aside.
00:32:09
Better.
00:32:10
The week we got the Pittsburgh Steelers Tennessee site is, uh, Titans are one point favorites.
00:32:15
And that's not how it started.
00:32:16
Steelers opened as a point and a half favorites here.
00:32:19
We've got the, you know, the money line.
00:32:22
Pretty much the same for both sides.
00:32:24
50.
00:32:25
5 total.
00:32:26
In this one.
00:32:27
I will be going with the Steelers.
00:32:28
Paul will be going with the Titans.
00:32:30
Paul, take it away.
00:32:32
Titans plus two.
00:32:34
I get the extra point because that's when we took it.
00:32:36
You know, anyone who's been paying attention to the show knows that I have been hard core on the Steelers for the last forever.
00:32:48
Um, and now this week I look at everything and I'm like, Wait a second.
00:32:53
The Titans are at home getting points.
00:32:56
Love the Titans.
00:32:58
I love the Titans.
00:32:59
This week there's nothing I don't love about it.
00:33:03
And I love that you're now taking my my my black and gold Steelers.
00:33:08
I got plenty of reasons, folks.
00:33:10
Uh, not me.
00:33:11
Some reasons, obviously, the opening line for one right like that to me tells the biggest story of all.
00:33:17
Usually when we look at this tank is defense.
00:33:21
They're absolutely atrocious.
00:33:22
They're getting bailed out by Derrick Henry on a weekly basis.
00:33:26
The defense ranks in the bottom third of pretty much every advanced metric.
00:33:29
You could find their dead last in third down conversions and red zone defense.
00:33:33
Um, you know, when we look at the rest of the season, they had these lucky comeback wins against the Broncos.
00:33:39
The Jack, of course. The Vikings.
00:33:42
It's time that a good team, a good, solid five and o.
00:33:45
T very much like themselves comes in here and shows thes tightens a little bit of lessons.
00:33:50
I just you know, again, you're not gonna be coming back on these teams.
00:33:54
You have the lucky When there I forgot in those lucky comeback Wednesday against the Texans last week. So that's four.
00:34:00
You know, I just look, Cinderella, it's midnight, all right? We're not We're not dancing anymore.
00:34:05
Get your ass in the carriage.
00:34:06
Get your ass home.
00:34:07
grab your shoe.
00:34:08
Get in. Let's roll.
00:34:10
It's just it's not happening again for the Titans.
00:34:13
Thanks.
00:34:14
I just realized this is the co vid reschedule.
00:34:17
That's right.
00:34:18
Yeah, Yeah, I'm just I'm looking at the Titan schedule to see what you're talking about.
00:34:23
And I'm like, Oh, my God, This was supposed to be played in week for this'll was the first.
00:34:27
Like, oh, my God, moment of what we're going through.
00:34:30
Like what's happening? They're moving the game.
00:34:33
Wait, What? Um, I'm on the Titans.
00:34:37
I I understand where you're coming from, though the Titans have been a, you could say like a fictional five and O team.
00:34:44
They've won all these close games.
00:34:45
They've made all these comebacks, but they've done all that.
00:34:48
And Mike Vrabel has proven to be a fantastic coach where he's he's turned Ryan Tannehill into an M V P candidate.
00:34:58
He's leaning on Derrick Henry the way he should Onda.
00:35:02
We finally have a Bill Belichick disciple that knows what he's doing.
00:35:05
Yeah, that's an excellent point.
00:35:07
Did you know that this Tennessee Titan to the second team in NFL history to be five and O as a home underdogs? Now I dio, but their favorite.
00:35:16
I'm saying that their favorite on a couple books there.
00:35:18
Well, no, no, they are.
00:35:20
I mean, like at the open, you know, like the opening.
00:35:23
That's a great stat.
00:35:24
Say that again.
00:35:25
So? So everybody.
00:35:26
So they are this the second team in NFL history to be five and o as.
00:35:30
Ah, home underdog.
00:35:32
Do you know we know Dallas Cowboys against the undefeated Patriots that year? Oh, wow.
00:35:39
Yeah, that was That was Tony Romo was still the quarterback.
00:35:44
Then I would guess I want to say or was that early deck? No, I think that was from a promo adapted.
00:35:51
And what? That didn't come until, like, five years ago? Four years ago? Yeah, that's how he's still on the transition tag instead of having a long term deal.
00:36:02
Yeah.
00:36:03
So this Yeah, this was that. There's definitely wrong with them.
00:36:06
Tony Romo, that guy.
00:36:08
That guy coming from undrafted division two football, whatever it waas, then he just has it.
00:36:16
And Eastern Illinois show some respect.
00:36:18
Now he's a fantastic broadcaster.
00:36:22
E I like him as a broadcaster because as a Giants fan, I was like, Oh, no, the This guy is gonna beat us again.
00:36:28
Who is this guy? You know, the that the old saying from money line to where his girlfriends hot or his wife's hot.
00:36:38
The guys got confidence.
00:36:39
You know, like Moneyball.
00:36:41
You said money line.
00:36:43
But, hey, we're talking about betting.
00:36:46
Yeah, with the whole Billy Beane thing.
00:36:50
Yeah, he's got swag.
00:36:53
Yeah.
00:36:54
Interesting Thio note here to for the total.
00:36:58
Um, I was shocked to learn this eso Tannehill has started 15 games for the tight, and so far, 13 of those games have gone over the total.
00:37:08
So that I wouldn't think that you know what I'm saying? Where you have a team that relies on the run as much as they do, I would think we'd hit some under.
00:37:16
Well, I'm sure at the beginning of the Tannehill era in Tennessee, you probably had a bunch of low totals, you know, And he played well and, you know, was able to get it.
00:37:25
I could almost guarantee I didn't see the game by game breakdown of it.
00:37:28
But I can guarantee you that a good chunk of those came early in the It sure as hell wasn't Week one when God's Castillo is missing all the field goals.
00:37:37
That's for **** sure.
00:37:39
It was the end of the Marcus Mariana tenure and the beginning of Brian M. V.
00:37:46
P.
00:37:47
Tannehill, which is still unbelievable since he's taken over.
00:37:51
The only guy who has better numbers is Patrick Mahomes.
00:37:54
Yes, I did see that.
00:37:56
That's just fascinating, because you think it's rust or you think it's Lamar.
00:38:01
It ZMA homes and then Tannehill folks, you just getting fed with knowledge left and right, like you know, that that Mayweather gift for you handed out the else.
00:38:11
Now you're just getting handed out.
00:38:13
Info ****s.
00:38:14
Oh, man, just here's the thing.
00:38:17
Just get away from Adam Gays and you'll become a superstar.
00:38:20
You get all right, Let's go down to Landover, Maryland, where the Washington football team will be hosting the Dallas Cowboys.
00:38:28
Uh, it opened as Dallas is 2.
00:38:31
5 point favorites.
00:38:32
Massive shift here, all the way to the football team at minus one.
00:38:36
Money lines are essentially the same for both sides of minus 107 We've got a total of 46 in this game, so I know we talked a little bit about this.
00:38:46
I wasn't willing to make this my best bet, but I kind of, uh, now I'm in limbo.
00:38:51
Now I'm in limbo here where I think maybe Dallas could be okay, But I'm not as confident in this game as I once was on Wednesday.
00:39:02
I really liked Washington a lot, but, um, kind of kind of going back to what we just talked about with the Steelers and the Titans.
00:39:09
I see Dallas favorite at 2.
00:39:10
5, so that's kind of lingering in the back of my mind.
00:39:13
Still, what are your feelings on this game if you changed? I know you like Dallas at the outside.
00:39:21
I still like Dallas.
00:39:22
It's really tough.
00:39:23
Zack Martin's out now, so you know the best offensive lineman for Dallas is out.
00:39:29
But the reason that I like Dallas is I think Zeke comes out with, you know, on fire after what happened last week with those two fumbles on Monday night, I just think it's in Ezekiel Elliott game and they go back to that.
00:39:45
Let Zeke eat where, as long as he's not fumbling, he's gonna be the difference in this game.
00:39:50
Um, I think it's going to be a close game.
00:39:52
Obviously, you have to Not good offenses from the NFC East, Um, but seeks the best player on the field.
00:39:59
I'm gonna lean that way.
00:40:00
And if I could get Dallas plus money at this point, I love it even more.
00:40:05
Eso, As you mentioned with Zeke, I just I there was too much to delve into in terms of how to phrase it, but we'll just put it this way.
00:40:16
Five of his seven career games against the Redskins or the football team? Uh, he's got at least 23 draftkings points, right? So what that means guys racking up yards.
00:40:27
He's getting in the end zone.
00:40:28
He's getting these catches.
00:40:29
This is certainly a guy that you're gonna be looking to in fantasy builds this week.
00:40:33
And again, I'm interested to see kind of like what the ownership is on these draftkings and Fanduel sites where, yes, he looked so bad in primetime.
00:40:41
Are people gonna have enough balls to go back to him this week? I think I think very well you should, but we should also mention at the same time there's a much different Washington defense than we know in years previous.
00:40:52
Like Ron Rivera.
00:40:54
That's a specialty, you know, just getting these solid guys around his team, and they're but they're buying in While Chase Young didn't necessarily have a great game.
00:41:03
I guess the Giants last week, he's a guy that you gotta keep an eye on.
00:41:06
So again, I'm still in limbo here.
00:41:09
I have no idea what I'm gonna do with this game.
00:41:11
I might just let it go by the wayside, because I like a lot more stuff this week.
00:41:15
But, uh, you know, for me, this is kind of gonna be awash at this point unless something unless something pops up.
00:41:21
One thing I will say, though, uh, definitely.
00:41:23
Have you some Terry McLaren? I know he's gonna be absolute chalk in Daily Fantasy builds this week. That's okay.
00:41:29
You could still take advantage of it in the profits on William Hill.
00:41:32
I saw he's got a receiving yardage profit of 73 a half.
00:41:37
He should absolutely smash that.
00:41:38
He had 74 last week in a very tough match up against Bradbury of the Giants.
00:41:43
So this is this is one that he should absolutely dominate.
00:41:47
And believe me, if you got him in, uh, If you got him in daily fantasy, you will not be alone this week.
00:41:54
Yeah, like I said again.
00:41:56
So I think we're both in the same place where this is sort of like an off.
00:42:00
Maybe you'll throw it on in the back end of a parlay.
00:42:03
That's that's what I did with Dallas, where it's one of the five legs in a parlay, because it'll it'll, you know, help my out.
00:42:11
My output grow a bit.
00:42:13
I think I got him at at plus 100.
00:42:15
So even money, Um, but that's that's all I'm doing.
00:42:18
I'm very light here, but if I'm going one way or the other, if I'm taking a side, I'm taking Dallas.
00:42:24
All right, all right, let's get to the final game with one o'clock window.
00:42:28
It's the Detroit Lions at the Atlanta Falcons, Falcons 2.
00:42:31
5 point favorites at home in this one money line, minus 1 30 for their side, plus 1 14 for the Falcons.
00:42:38
A total of 55 in this one, which will be obviously one of the higher told games off the week here.
00:42:45
If I'm not mistaken, you you were pretty strong on one side.
00:42:49
I don't remember, But why don't you get this discussion kicked off for us to I love the Detroit Lions.
00:42:56
These words will never come out of my mouth ever again.
00:43:01
I think the lines, they're just the better team here and that we can get points.
00:43:06
I'm all over it where I love, um, Detroit Plus three, Detroit plus 3.5.
00:43:12
However you want to take it, I might even Sprinkle a little Detroit money line.
00:43:16
I just don't think the Falcons are a good team there.
00:43:20
Are they their favorite? Because of what? There is literally no metric here.
00:43:26
That explains to me why the Falcons should be the favorite in this game.
00:43:30
Other than that, they're at home.
00:43:32
But home field advantage isn't a thing right now.
00:43:35
Literally.
00:43:36
Everything that I see says the Stafford Lions should be favored.
00:43:44
They're not.
00:43:45
So I love them. Plus the points or money left.
00:43:47
Yeah, this is a situation I'm absolutely gonna be with you on.
00:43:51
Uh, you know, Detroit's weird.
00:43:54
Yeah, it's like Detroit is very weird in that Yes, they have unbelievable mismatches all over the place with their receivers against this Atlanta secondary.
00:44:05
But they're still going to try to run the football.
00:44:07
Like that's just that's kind of who this team is.
00:44:09
Uh, if they really wanted to uncork Stafford, I think that that would be a lot more beneficial.
00:44:14
But of course, you know, they got these three running backs that they're going to throw at you or they're going to run at you.
00:44:20
Um, I just I hope to God that Patricia, you know, saw what happened last week with with the Jags and when you take these mismatches what you could do with them.
00:44:31
But, you know, I really want to have a lot of different profits here for the Lions.
00:44:37
I think I'm going to stand firm on maybe a couple, but eso the two that I really like, obviously.
00:44:42
So DeAndre Swift will be back in his college state where he played his ball with the dog.
00:44:47
So the number that I have on him, uh, well, I don't have the number on it yet, but I am waiting on these swift profits.
00:44:56
Right.
00:44:57
So for the receiving end, we know that the Atlanta Falcons absolutely bleed targets to the running back position.
00:45:03
So I did write for this in the running back article on U.
00:45:06
S dot dot com.
00:45:07
What I have here is not necessarily a field day of targets to Swift because he's playing back in it in Atlanta.
00:45:16
Know what I have is that he might get a special play drawn up for him or a little bit of consideration.
00:45:22
Matt, Patricia, to me doesn't seem like the kind of guy that would be like, Oh, hey, DeAndre, uh, I know you're back in the state where you played your college ball, so I'm just gonna, you know, give you a massive workload.
00:45:34
No, that's not the case, But I do think that maybe like a nice little screen pass trick play something along those lines where he could get over on the receiving artist.
00:45:42
I definitely think that that's certainly in play.
00:45:44
Uh, the one thing to keep in mind, him and Adrian Peterson have really, you know, been right near that 50 50 range of of offensive snaps.
00:45:56
Now Swift did play tomb or offensive snaps than Adrian Peterson last week, so that's certainly looking good for Swift.
00:46:02
But we need pass catching running backs against the Falcons, and Swift is certainly that guy in the Detroit backfield, Alexander Madison was not ableto to produce in that spot last week.
00:46:13
But pretty much everybody else has played the Falcons as Yeah, I had the Madison prop it written down on my board, and then it just didn't show up where it was like one of those.
00:46:25
Oh, that was meant to be Where I didn't end up getting it in.
00:46:28
And I was like, I noticed that I would have lost that prop it.
00:46:31
Good thing it didn't show up.
00:46:33
And I was like, All right, I'm just gonna put my money somewhere else s one thing to know, too.
00:46:38
If you're playing fantasy this week, Matthew Stafford is in a nice spot.
00:46:41
The Falcons have allowed in average, Paul.
00:46:44
This is an average of 345 and a half passing yards per game.
00:46:48
Two opposing quarterbacks this season.
00:46:50
So Kirk Cousins was the latest one last week that I think he threw for, like 3 77 or something like that.
00:46:55
Every single starting quarterback, with the exception of mixed Robiskie, has thrown for over 300 yards against the Falcons this season.
00:47:02
Uh, now again, falls came in relief off travesty in that game, so every team has passed for over 300 yards against them.
00:47:11
Stafford has not passed for over 300 yards at this season, but this is certainly the game that he could do so.
00:47:16
And Falcons.
00:47:17
They ranked dead last in the NFL in terms of explosive pass plays allowed explosive pass plays, meeting 20 yards or more dead last in that.
00:47:26
So Kenny Golladay himself is just in an absolutely fantastic spot here, too.
00:47:31
Yeah, everything you're saying says lines where it you've made me feel even better about this one now.
00:47:37
Oh, I know, but I can't just say, Hey, I like the lines and move on toe.
00:47:41
Tampa Bay, Las Vegas.
00:47:42
I mean, I got an ad read I gotta do.
00:47:45
Yeah.
00:47:46
I mean, you can look, look, look, look at the jersey e didn't even realize that. That's amazing.
00:47:52
Mike.
00:47:53
Mike Williams Jersey, that is, that is the former USC.
00:47:58
I have no idea.
00:47:59
Andi just I buy the most random jerseys.
00:48:03
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00:48:06
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If you want a jersey, just just tell me and you could buy it for me.
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00:49:03
All right, let's get into the four o'clock window here.
00:49:06
We got the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
00:49:08
My Tampa Bay Buccaneers favored by three points here against the Las Vegas Raiders.
00:49:13
Uh, the game is currently off the board because I know the Raiders had four. Offensive lineman.
00:49:19
They had to go home and have a safety go home. Do the cove.
00:49:22
It, um how do you say that there co vid precautions, Covert precautions.
00:49:30
Not everybody had Kobe, but they're you know, they felt that they were in close contact toe one of the Raiders offensive lineman.
00:49:37
So that is pretty big when you're going up against one of the best defensive lines in the NFL.
00:49:42
Not to mention they're allowing the fewest yards per carry in the league.
00:49:46
And that's how the Raiders kind of start their offenses through the run game.
00:49:49
So keep that in mind.
00:49:51
We've got a total of 52 in this one.
00:49:54
Obviously, I'm gonna be a buck homer in this one.
00:49:56
I'll give you all the reasons why I am, but as an objective journalist, Paul uh, who do you like in this game? If this game gets played? I'm all over Tampa, where the Raiders are in the bottom third of the lead against the run.
00:50:13
I think Ronald Jones has a big game, but also all of these offensive linemen are uncovered protocols their whole.
00:50:21
The Raiders entire offensive line where that's what makes the Raiders run is that line.
00:50:28
And if they're not there, they can't practice together.
00:50:31
Can't get the reps in against a team that's arguably better than them in the Buccaneers.
00:50:36
I love the Buccaneers in this one.
00:50:38
Yeah, So I know a lot of people were kind of wondering So, um, this game, actually for DFS purposes, I know this game was actually moved into the main slate on a couple sites, so that's pretty cool.
00:50:53
You could get your Brady get your Ronald Jones, whoever, uh, in this matchup there.
00:50:58
But yeah, absolutely.
00:51:00
With, you know, not being able to pay practice and again that you absolutely need to practice in this one.
00:51:05
We've kind of seen it, though this season where where we think teams air gonna be, you know, kind of a mess of cluster, right with with these cove in things and they actually come out, they do better.
00:51:17
I don't know how the hell that works.
00:51:19
I don't know if the opposing team wants to touch them or anything, but it's been It's been interesting to say the least, so let's not also forget one of the big storylines in this game.
00:51:30
Jon Gruden against his former Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who won that franchise the only Super Bowl win there.
00:51:37
So a little bit of a nostalgia there, But yeah, it's interesting.
00:51:41
You know, I thought when I initially saw this with the NFL moving it to four o'clock, I was like, Oh, no, like, Come on, this is Ah, big game for the Bucks.
00:51:48
But it's in fact, they wanted toe put the Seahawks Cardinals in there.
00:51:53
So God forbid this game doesn't get played, they at least have a Sunday night football game so good on the NFL for making that decision.
00:52:00
That was actually, uh, that's very wise on their part.
00:52:03
So yeah, again.
00:52:04
I mean, I just think, you know, it really is going to depend on who's gonna be in for the Raiders on that offensive line if they're not able to play and you got backups going against guys like Madonna con Su, Yeah, it's gonna be an absolutely long day.
00:52:17
We just saw what the Bucks did to a very good Packers offensive line coming off a bye week.
00:52:23
Yeah, it will be a world of hurt there and again, I'll absolutely willing to take the under on every single Josh Jacobs rushing prop bet this week because it's not going to get going early.
00:52:35
The Raiders gonna have to go to the air.
00:52:37
And that is certainly not a good thing for Derek Carr and company.
00:52:41
So I own Jacobs and Jones on one of my fantasy teams.
00:52:45
I'm just work.
00:52:46
I'm just worried that the game doesn't get played because I have no replacements.
00:52:51
If this game gets canceled, I'm playing with eight guys instead of tendency.
00:52:55
Oh, come on.
00:52:57
Actually, actually, you know who I can plug in.
00:53:00
You know, he's on my bench.
00:53:01
Frank, Frank Gore and LaMichael p your eyes.
00:53:03
That's right.
00:53:04
That's gross.
00:53:06
Can't you can't go get somebody like a Geo Bernard or like a Mike Bono.
00:53:10
This is, uh, it's a it's Ah, it's a 12 team, expertly, where our rosters air super deep.
00:53:15
That's why I own the Jets backfield, where you're getting No.
00:53:20
One.
00:53:21
That the only two guys that got picked up this week where Antonio Brown and DeSean Jackson like that d Shawn was there was it was amazing because I picked up just engaged That's the level of player that that's on waivers because I had so many buys this week that I'm like, I just need a body.
00:53:40
So I got the third receiver on the Falcons starting at one of my flex spots.
00:53:45
Unbelievable on.
00:53:47
And, you know, again, it's gonna depend a lot what happens.
00:53:49
But, um, you know, in looking at the total in this game, you know, if it's gonna be just sort of this run into a brick wall kind of game up front for the Raiders than obviously it's gonna be, you know, a lot better for the for the total.
00:54:03
Going under the Bucks, you're able to establish this running game which has been prevalent over the last couple of weeks with Ronald Jones.
00:54:10
Is the Bell cow then? Yeah, Then I certainly can get down with the under in this game.
00:54:15
But again, we just there's a lot that we still need to learn on this game before we go ahead and dive into it headfirst.
00:54:24
Yeah, let's get an update on this before we're really gonna do anything.
00:54:27
But if the game is played, we both like the bucks on and keep in mind Thank you.
00:54:32
Mind, folks on our Twitter, you're gonna be able to see our best bets of the week on Sunday.
00:54:36
So, uh, you know, for me, that's 14 8 dot walls for Paul at game day, fax.
00:54:42
You know, you're gonna be able to check out our best bet.
00:54:44
So who knows that might, that might wind up on there.
00:54:46
So be be obliged.
00:54:49
All right, let's get to the next game.
00:54:50
We've got the Kansas City Chiefs favorite by 9.
00:54:52
5 at the Denver Broncos.
00:54:54
Chiefs huge Moneyline favorites there minus 4 35 Broncos at plus 3 60 in this.
00:55:02
Upon the total.
00:55:04
Very underwhelming.
00:55:06
46 in this game to May I feel like the Broncos.
00:55:10
We're gonna try to absolutely run the ball at the Chiefs as they very well should.
00:55:14
You know, the past.
00:55:15
The Chiefs past defense is in the top five while the run defense is in the bottom five.
00:55:19
So, statistically, that's just a smart play.
00:55:22
And they might have some success with it as the 46 total state.
00:55:25
So what say you in this one, Paul? You know I'm hardcore on the chiefs right now after they ruined me a few weeks ago.
00:55:34
I'm gonna stick to my guns and I like the Chiefs minus 9.5.
00:55:40
And this also just might be the game that I promo for the bed.
00:55:45
3 65 promo.
00:55:46
We'll see, but it's but it's in consideration.
00:55:49
I just think that the Chiefs offense is too much for the Broncos.
00:55:54
The Broncos? Yeah, they'll try to slow down the game and and make it take possessions off the board for Patrick Mahomes, which we we've seen does work.
00:56:03
But I just I love the Chiefs.
00:56:05
I love their offense.
00:56:06
I love everything about them.
00:56:08
Eso and left Bells.
00:56:10
First game, which I think they'll they'll drop some some big someplace for him, where, whether it's even just a goal line, carry or they just start feeding him.
00:56:20
I think Love Bell will will be involved this week, which stinks for Clyde Edwards, the Layer owners.
00:56:27
But but it's gonna be 60 30.
00:56:31
If anything, both these guys are still playable, you know, Don't don't bench Edwards aware that don't don't be crazy.
00:56:38
He still be an enormous part of its office.
00:56:41
One thing that really, I kinda you know, gaffed at at a two first with a lot of Bell sign like this guy is one problem.
00:56:52
Probably the best pass blocking running back in NFL history like he's amazing in that aspect of the game.
00:56:58
So you're gonna be given Patrick Mahomes, even Mawr, time to throw the football.
00:57:03
Good lock, opposition.
00:57:04
But so being the great investigative journalists that I am, I had to dig into why this total is sitting at 46.
00:57:12
We got a 25% chance of snow and this on so that could certainly hold the I feel like that would hold the Broncos back a little more We actually saw last year, and I remember this because it was during the fantasy playoffs.
00:57:23
But the Chiefs and the Broncos did play in the snow in Kansas City in Kansas City.
00:57:27
Absolutely walloped him over the head.
00:57:29
And this was in the height of the Drew lock, uh, you know, successful or whatever he was doing last year, I think it was something I want to say.
00:57:39
It was like 37.
00:57:40
I, like it was not close at all S o.
00:57:43
If history repeats itself, you know that that could very well.
00:57:46
Be a I just look at this from a couple different number, like the 46 total is there, and the Chiefs were favored by 9.
00:57:52
5, which would lead you to believe that the Chiefs could probably do a t******* in this game.
00:57:57
One interesting stuff that I found to drew lock the quarterback with the second most dropped passes this season.
00:58:04
Now, you could blame that a lot of injuries or whatever, but if we're going to see the snow, uh, in this game, it's gonna be not, You know, not gonna be any better there for the Denver pass catcher.
00:58:14
So I guys kind of talking through this a little bit.
00:58:17
I kind of find myself on the Chiefs a little more.
00:58:19
Uh, yeah, I feel like that game.
00:58:22
Didn't Tyreek Hill have a massive game? S o E.
00:58:28
I am remembering this correctly.
00:58:29
I have him on one of my fantasy teams.
00:58:32
E was like, I feel like he killed them last year.
00:58:36
It was Week 15.
00:58:37
It was Week 15.
00:58:38
I remember because my buddy and I were in the match up to see who goes to the finals and yeah, that was that one.
00:58:44
So it was you were 3rd, 3rd place Al Walsh last year I waas I waas uh, those were the worst.
00:58:50
Yeah, and I lost by, like, under a point thio in that in that matchup, I think Cooper cop had, like, a garbage time touchdown against the Cowboys.
00:58:58
And then it was that one where the Falcons beat the Niners outright and Julio just got over the goal line by, like, a millimeter or whatever the hell it waas.
00:59:08
Yeah, that'll happen to me within, like, two minutes and whatever.
00:59:11
We're still friends, Luckily, but you know, that's good.
00:59:15
That's important.
00:59:16
It's important not to take you seriously.
00:59:18
You know, I'm not I'm not going to be friends with you anymore because you beat me in fantasy football.
00:59:24
Sorry, dude.
00:59:27
Hey, you know, you know, Al, you know, you were in this taking sideshow and we yell at each other a lot, so we shouldn't We're I'm done with you.
00:59:37
You laugh, You laugh.
00:59:39
But arguments are breaking up America minute by minute, and it's just not good.
00:59:44
It's not All right, let's move on to Mawr.
00:59:47
Four o'clock games.
00:59:48
The NFL has gifted us with instead of two.
00:59:51
Like last week.
00:59:52
We got a whole friggin mini slate going here.
00:59:54
But let's talk about this one first.
00:59:56
Then we get to the better games.
00:59:57
But the Jacksonville Jaguars at the Chargers Chargers 7.
01:00:00
5 point favorites here, minus 3 45 on the money line, where we've got a total of 49 points in this one.
01:00:07
If you think Jacksonville could pull the upset little net you $300 on $100 bet.
01:00:12
So any interest Paul can the Jags Let's go out west and do it.
01:00:17
I think the Jags, they're gonna be in this one and that it's going to be a much closer game than the spread is.
01:00:23
So I love the Jags, plus the points.
01:00:26
Um, I actually did the betting preview on the game day dot com.
01:00:32
Boy, they really hooked you up with the marquee matchup, huh? I picked this one to be Oh, we're general blindfold on yada.
01:00:42
I pick.
01:00:43
I can't take all the good games.
01:00:46
So So I I knew that I liked the dog here.
01:00:49
I knew that I liked them plus the points.
01:00:50
So, you know I want to show off a little.
01:00:53
So my best bet on this game is Jaguars plus 7 7.5.
01:00:57
And so my lead in was this one might not make sense to my readers.
01:01:02
So, like like, that's that's how I'm talking about this.
01:01:06
Um, but listen to this stat you love you love when we when we throw some stats out there.
01:01:11
I love that.
01:01:12
Are you ready? Tell me that you're ready.
01:01:14
All right, hold on.
01:01:17
Taking a simple waters for all our Okay.
01:01:19
Good.
01:01:20
Spotify, listen. Okay, good. You got it.
01:01:22
Okay, I'm good.
01:01:23
So since Anthony Lynn is the head coach of the Chargers, the they are 12 18 and one against the spread in games when they're the favorite.
01:01:35
Interesting.
01:01:36
But they're 18 and 13 straight up in those contests.
01:01:40
So what does that say to me? That the Chargers will likely win this game, but there is no way they're covering the spread.
01:01:48
I love the Jaguars plus 7.
01:01:49
5 in this one.
01:01:51
I know the show is called Taking Sides, but I'm gonna hop on your side of Ken.
01:01:55
I'm gonna add one more to your Anthony Lynn thing.
01:01:58
Give me as as the Chargers head coach.
01:02:02
Road underdogs.
01:02:04
13 6 and one against this. Right.
01:02:07
Nice.
01:02:08
Yeah.
01:02:09
So and inhumane E a baby.
01:02:11
Yeah, I've even seen I've seen this line of different books. That charger.
01:02:15
I'm sorry, um, Jaguars plus eight plus 8.5.
01:02:20
So if you start around, you might be able to get the best possible line there.
01:02:24
And let's keep in mind charges coming off a bye.
01:02:27
You know, for most teams, that's a good thing, but could have Anthony Lynn screwed them up a little more.
01:02:34
Yeah.
01:02:35
I mean, who knows? But when I read that stat and I saw that in three years of football games that you're they're winning, um, it's like 60% of them, but they're only covering in 30%.
01:02:47
It says so much about the way that they're coached and you see it all the time with with Anthony Lynn. I understand.
01:02:55
And you have a rookie quarterback now.
01:02:57
It's not even Philip Philip Rivers there anymore.
01:02:59
You have Justin Herbert who just in the last couple weeks, Honestly, the charges should have one three more games.
01:03:06
Yeah, but they're just finding ways to lose.
01:03:10
Where there were clearly the better team here, so I think they win.
01:03:14
But it's just too many points.
01:03:15
Love the jacks, plus the points.
01:03:16
Absolutely also, you know, there's kind of this negative connotation of traveling coast to coast.
01:03:22
Since 2003 the East Coast teams have covered 55% of the games.
01:03:28
I know that that's not, you know, an overwhelming step, but it's just not, you know, you don't wanna box this Jags team into a corner Big old there on East Coast team coming west like they have been just fun.
01:03:38
You know, in fact, since, uh, since 2000 and three, the record is this sounds better than 55%.
01:03:44
It's 107 87 and eight that they are in that span.
01:03:50
So that sounds better than 55%.
01:03:52
Just saying, Let's not dismiss the Jags just because they're traveling across the country.
01:03:56
It does sound better.
01:03:57
It's because you're saying the word 100.
01:04:00
I'm and again that that's that is a little more specific.
01:04:04
It's actually East Coast teams traveling west for the afternoon game, not, you know, a prime time or a Monday night game.
01:04:11
So keep that in mind to.
01:04:13
All right, Uh, now we're coming all the way back across the East Coast.
01:04:16
You see what I did there for the San Francisco 40 Niners at the regular Patriots? Can Patriots two point favorites in this one minus 1 25 on the money line.
01:04:26
Niners Very small there.
01:04:28
Plus 1 10 on the money line.
01:04:29
We got a total of 44 a half in this game.
01:04:32
The big news.
01:04:33
The big story in this one is you actually alluded to last time.
01:04:35
I didn't even think about it.
01:04:36
But Jimmy G s long away to return to Foxboro.
01:04:39
Save our I'm sorry, Fox two Fox Borough, Gillette Stadium now, But they're coming off a very big win in prime time against the Rams on Sunday night.
01:04:49
The Patriots, meanwhile, losing that game against the Broncos at home last week.
01:04:54
So we saw them where they were favored at the onset of Week six.
01:04:59
They were favored all the way up as much as 9.
01:05:01
5 against the Broncos.
01:05:02
Drop down to 7.5.
01:05:04
Now there are only two point favorites here at home.
01:05:06
I guess the 40 Niners anything jump out to you from the stand.
01:05:11
The fact that the Patriots have lost back to back games coming into this game is what stands out to me.
01:05:17
They're they're coached by the best coach of all time in Bill Belichick.
01:05:22
I cannot see them losing three straight and two straight at at Gillette Stadium.
01:05:26
That's you have the 40 Niners traveling cross country for this one.
01:05:31
I like the paths to win.
01:05:32
I think it's gonna be a low scoring contest.
01:05:34
So I understand.
01:05:35
You know, two point spread, three point spread, whatever it is.
01:05:37
I like Pats money line.
01:05:39
It's only like minus 1 25.
01:05:41
That's beautiful for me that I just can't see the Pats losing Ah, third straight game and a second straight game.
01:05:47
In fact, if it happens, I will.
01:05:51
I don't know.
01:05:52
I don't know what I'll do, but I'll just shake my head and be like that. Doesn't make any sense.
01:05:57
If I like.
01:06:00
I'm probably going to stay away from this game.
01:06:02
I don't I just don't like it enough.
01:06:03
But the one thing that I can say is that the Niners won't have Raheem Mostert, and we saw last week.
01:06:08
Just how much of a different team they are against the Rams.
01:06:12
You know where you got Aaron Donald just creating havoc.
01:06:14
They came up with this great game plan.
01:06:16
It just absolutely take him out of the game.
01:06:18
And, you know, let's be honest when when the Niners have mostly, there's just a better team they are.
01:06:23
They run the football able to get the play action pass going.
01:06:27
What's really funny is this week Belichick had all this, or I think it's actually last week that he had all this praise for for great Kittel.
01:06:34
So just for George Kittle, just like George, he is going to be.
01:06:40
He's probably gonna have five guys on of the entire **** game because we know Belichick loves to take away the team's best offensive threat without most in the game.
01:06:48
That's gonna be Kittel, so this could be interesting on a number of different angles.
01:06:52
Um, you know, if you think you think the Patriots, uh, my force designers to throw the ball more since they don't have most er that could, you know, Patriots defense could be really interesting here against Jimmy J.
01:07:04
Don't forget, Belichick does know him well from his days there.
01:07:07
But to me, I just don't find I don't find any value in anything here.
01:07:11
I just think that this is gonna be well, as you said, just a very low scored, uh, kind of tight football game.
01:07:17
Possibly might see a defensive touchdown on the other side.
01:07:20
And and And we kind of go from there.
01:07:23
I'm just gonna watch. This one is a fan.
01:07:25
Sit back and, you know, catch a glimpse every now and again on the Red Zone Channel.
01:07:30
Yeah, I think if I'm, I'll probably I'll probably take the Patriots money line in in some parlay.
01:07:35
But I like like Deebo, Samuel Anytime. Touchdown.
01:07:39
And I like Cam Newton anytime. Touchdown.
01:07:42
I think that both of them get have rushing touchdowns in this game.
01:07:46
I would love that as a Deebo Samuel, season long owner.
01:07:49
So you got it, baby. I got you.
01:07:52
Thank you.
01:07:53
We finally found the end zone for the first time last week.
01:07:55
So, uh, let's keep that **** going.
01:07:57
Alright.
01:07:58
Biggest game of the full.
01:08:00
Actually, the Sunday slate.
01:08:01
Now it's the prime time game.
01:08:03
It's gonna be the Seattle Seahawks who are favored by 3.
01:08:05
5 at the Arizona Cardinals Seahawks minus 1 77 on the money line while the Cardinals sit at plus 1 55.
01:08:12
Very, very zaftig total of 56 a half on this game.
01:08:17
I like something on the total, which I think we can get to a little bit.
01:08:22
But what What say you on this game? Me too.
01:08:27
My best bet is the total.
01:08:29
Please tell me you're on the over because I'm on the over while I'm on the under.
01:08:33
Oh, no.
01:08:35
I like over 50.
01:08:37
56 a half.
01:08:38
Is that the number you have? Yeah, we could make it 56.
01:08:41
If you want to make this the best bet well are let me give you my let me give you so my explanation has nothing to do with anything.
01:08:48
So listen, you'll get it.
01:08:51
The Cardinals are the only team in the NFL that hasn't hidden over okay, their own six.
01:08:56
So I'm just playing the numbers and saying they'll hit it over for the first time this season.
01:09:02
Well, I was also playing the numbers, and that was part of that was part of it.
01:09:08
That Arizona has not hit in in over this season.
01:09:12
But one thing to it's a divisional game, right? Like there's lots of familiarity between the two teams.
01:09:17
I just don't think that there's a lot that the either hasn't seen yet at this point.
01:09:22
The last five Seattle Arizona games that have been played the big toaster, uh, they have gone under the total.
01:09:29
In addition to what you mentioned, all of the Arizona Games going under the total Seattle Games have gone under, uh, in nine of the last 11 as a road favorite.
01:09:38
So look, a lot of that is gonna be, you know, pure situation and what not? But fact of the matter is, Arizona is not just this very explosive team that I think we that stigma might be right.
01:09:54
Like Kyler, Murray is very exciting.
01:09:56
They have DeAndre Hopkins.
01:09:57
Yes, all that's great and dandy.
01:09:59
But there are a lot of plays that Kyler Murray kind of just gives up on it.
01:10:02
Instead of throwing it away, he'll fall down on the ground that runs clock.
01:10:06
There's a lot of short passes that air completed that runs clock, and I know it's absolutely terrifying to take the under with a game where Russell Wilson is right now.
01:10:16
But I just think that Arizona has sort of that dink and dunk style where that can work, and I wouldn't be surprised.
01:10:23
All of Seattle kind of just backs off and lets them do that.
01:10:27
I don't know the Like.
01:10:30
I said, I'm making this pick solely Just playing the numbers game.
01:10:34
If a team with that has a good offense, they're averaging, I think 25 a game.
01:10:39
Let me let me see this.
01:10:40
Yeah, Arizona is averaging 24 a half points a game.
01:10:43
That they haven't hit it over yet is just fascinating On their playing achieved, uh, Seahawks team that's averaging 35 a half points.
01:10:52
Put those together.
01:10:53
That's 60 which, which is clearly the over eso math.
01:10:58
Yea, very good. Very good.
01:11:02
Yeah, I think that's gonna What do you think on the actual game in this one? I know, 3.
01:11:06
5 kinda.
01:11:08
We talked about it on Wednesday, where I said, you know, the road team, getting that free off there, that that's kind of a strong statement.
01:11:15
Who you back in on that end? I like the Seahawks, but I like them.
01:11:20
Money line.
01:11:21
I think it's gonna be a close game.
01:11:22
I would not be surprised if Seahawks won by three and I wouldn't take the Cardinals.
01:11:29
Um, I don't wanna lose by that hook is really what I'm worried about because you get you get the cards plus 3.5.
01:11:36
Um, where That's why I'll take Seattle.
01:11:40
They're the better team.
01:11:41
Coming off a bye week.
01:11:42
The Cardinals are coming off a short week.
01:11:45
What that says to me is, Seattle wins this game.
01:11:47
I just don't know how many how many points they're gonna win it by.
01:11:50
Fair enough. Fair enough.
01:11:52
Yeah, I'd have to agree with you there and going with Seattle.
01:11:55
Uh, that Z probably not the way that I'm gonna go.
01:11:58
I just I'm definitely going to go with the under in this game.
01:12:01
I just I can't.
01:12:03
It's a tough day.
01:12:04
It's a divisional game, and we've seen the Cardinals play extremely well against the Seahawks.
01:12:09
You mentioned it last on.
01:12:10
Are you mentioned on Wednesday where they didn't even have Kyler Murray for the second half of that week? Jesus was that Week 16 last year were they won in Seattle.
01:12:21
So you know I can't do it.
01:12:25
I think Cliff Kingsbury is kinda proven himself to be a little better than I than I thought.
01:12:30
You know, he would be here in the NFL, and there's just I think at times you have to hide this Cardinals defense.
01:12:37
I know Buddha Baker is probably one of the best in the game, but just overall I know Dallas.
01:12:43
They They look fantastic in Dallas the other night, but as well they should have.
01:12:47
They were taken on a backup offensive line and anti dog so good on them.
01:12:51
But there's gonna be a lot tougher this week's again.
01:12:54
Let's let's go with the clock.
01:12:56
You in aspect here.
01:12:58
But if you like Paul, you go with his over two way going hashtag take a side.
01:13:03
Yeah, absolutely beautiful.
01:13:05
So we got we got to this week, one for the Sunday slate, and we'll have this.
01:13:09
This is Oh, this is Sunday night.
01:13:11
I was thinking this was Monday s Oh, yeah.
01:13:13
So we'll have one for the afternoon slate, which is the Titans and the Steelers.
01:13:18
And then we'll have one for Sunday night.
01:13:19
Just so we can bust each other's balls.
01:13:21
It'll be fun.
01:13:22
Yeah, ball busting.
01:13:24
Would you like to go over the Monday night game? Let's do it.
01:13:28
I have no thoughts on it to be totally honest, where it's like I look at the game and I'm bored by it.
01:13:35
They're like, weird.
01:13:37
They're weird in between teams that don't excite me where I'm putting all of my parlays.
01:13:45
They'll all end on this Seattle Arizona game instead of having anything Monday night, and I'll just sit back, relax and try to enjoy the Monday night game like Come on it Za bears and the Rams, right? Yes, yes, that is, like, That's That's my thought.
01:14:01
It's the Bears and the Rams.
01:14:02
Like I think that's who it is.
01:14:05
Um, Nick Foles and Jared Goff.
01:14:07
Just don't do it for me.
01:14:08
What about you? I mean, it's funny, like looking at a total of 45.
01:14:13
I couple sharp people that I would, you know, trust my money with at the betting window.
01:14:19
They all really like the under, but a lot of people got this.
01:14:22
I think earlier mawr more along the lines of 47 46 a half, you know, in that range.
01:14:28
So 45 you kind of lose some luster there.
01:14:31
But that's pretty interesting to note that the Rams it is the Los Angeles Rams who rank first and explosive pass rate.
01:14:40
So if you're going to get points against this team, you got to do it with something funky down the field like that.
01:14:46
Khalil Mack is a guy that can absolutely just ruined your entire day.
01:14:50
I think with the points, I think I feel a little more comfortable going with the Bears here.
01:14:55
Uh, even if we could try to kind of get that up somewhere near plus six, if that's available at some point, I would I would feel very good with that.
01:15:02
But yeah, I just I don't think that this is gonna be an exciting game.
01:15:06
It all I know.
01:15:07
The Rams want to try to move that ball down the field.
01:15:09
They've been doing a pretty good job with running the football as well.
01:15:12
But again, this is this just a Bears defense that has been very, very good this season, and I can't I can't go against that right now.
01:15:22
Yeah, sure, I think because I find the game boring.
01:15:26
Why wouldn't I take the under and root against points? E don't make it even even better.
01:15:33
Yeah, I could definitely get down with that, but that's gonna do it for us with the football portion of today.
01:15:39
I know we've got the World Series going on the Rays and the Dodgers are tied at one game apiece.
01:15:44
Uh, you know, the Dodgers getting off to that huge leading game one, never looking back.
01:15:49
And, you know, Tampa Bay kind of doing the same in Game two.
01:15:53
I know, Paul, you've got the Dodgers for the rest of the Siri's.
01:15:57
So obviously, I I'd love to see a hit that, but me, too.
01:16:01
I got some Tampa Bay allegiance.
01:16:03
I mean, obviously one where the other it's not gonna matter.
01:16:06
It's just gonna be a great year.
01:16:08
Tampa Bay sports.
01:16:09
But what kind of what went through your mind set there with the Dodgers win in the rest of this series? You know, in addition to winning 70% of their games over the regular stuff? Yeah, it could be that there just it could be that they're the best, even baseball.
01:16:22
That's why where so after Game one, their their odds to win.
01:16:26
The Siri's went all the way up to minus 4 20.
01:16:29
So what I said to myself at that point was, I'm almost hoping that they lose Game two so that the odds swing back where it won't hurt as much.
01:16:39
So I took them.
01:16:40
I doubled down on them at minus 200.
01:16:43
Um, just because those odds, I think those are the best odds.
01:16:46
We're going to get the rest of the way.
01:16:48
Obviously, a lot can change tonight.
01:16:50
You have two great pitchers on the mound.
01:16:52
Charlie Morton is one of the best playoff pitchers of our lifetime, Like he's getting into that. Like Bumgarner.
01:16:59
He's in that Bumgarner category, Um, and Walker Buehler is just awesome.
01:17:04
You know, he is the future of the Dodgers.
01:17:07
Tonight is going to be, ah, swing game as they like to call it.
01:17:11
But I do think that look, I'm on the Dodgers tonight.
01:17:14
I think they win the game.
01:17:16
But even if the Rays go up to one, I'll bet the Dodgers again with even better odds to win the series.
01:17:23
Interesting looking at the also important pendulum of where the money is swinging.
01:17:29
Things were looking good for you.
01:17:31
Dodgers are getting three quarters of the money tonight while, you know, getting 57 percent of the public bet.
01:17:40
So both sides really like them looking at the rusty trustee, uh, total chart here, though they did get a minus 0.
01:17:48
4 decrease and implied run total.
01:17:52
So we're looking at a 4.
01:17:53
1 for the Dodgers, 3.
01:17:54
5 for the Rays.
01:17:57
I would assume a lot of that has to do with Charlie more in getting a day arrest for the bullpen, which you know, which is very underrated.
01:18:04
You know, in these covert times, a lot of these, a lot of the previous pretty much all the previous Siri's had no days arrest in between.
01:18:10
So that is really big, too, because I I mean, look, we could make the argument.
01:18:15
Both teams have the best bullpens in baseball.
01:18:17
I'd give a little edge.
01:18:19
So the raise overall, even though you know, they have been beaten at times here.
01:18:23
But, I mean, look, I'm not gonna be surprised if we finally see a a one run game and finally in this Siri's.
01:18:29
But let Z Yeah, Let's hope that the Dodgers get it done for Paulie here.
01:18:35
You know, if the Rays win, all I get is yeah, a team from the city I used to live in one.
01:18:40
That's all I get and maybe some added motivation for the Bucks.
01:18:44
But that's really no monetary gain here.
01:18:48
Yeah, look, this is a My dad grew up a Dodgers fan, so when they moved out to L.
01:18:54
A, he remained a Dodgers fan myself growing up, I was a Yankee fan, but I always rooted for the Dodgers because that was my dad's team s.
01:19:02
Oh, so that's another reason that I'm on this where I've always followed them, you know, my whole life.
01:19:08
And now I can finally enjoy them in a world.
01:19:11
Siri's where I was a little too young when they were.
01:19:14
What was that? 1988 I think, is the last time they won e.
01:19:18
I was a baby and I don't remember that.
01:19:20
But, you know, you see the what? That Kirk Gibson home run still still famous.
01:19:26
I you know, I kind of skipped over it, thinking it, but the total did go from eight down to 7.5.
01:19:34
So with these implied run total or what? The implied run total chart is telling us that, you know, probably see a low scoring game tonight.
01:19:42
So I think if you could get that total of eight, maybe go under on that one.
01:19:45
That would be probably your best bet, but, uh, yeah, obviously, Dodgers going against more in and raise going against Guler today.
01:19:53
That's just a fantastic pitching matchup.
01:19:55
So I will be tuned into that.
01:19:56
You know what's funny? Friday night now with my girlfriend and I You're supposed to be date night and like, Like, now, now, phones, computers, things like that.
01:20:05
You know, I'm gonna have the computer with World Series game on.
01:20:09
So and I am calling for an early an early dinner tonight.
01:20:13
Chinese food on the menu, by the way.
01:20:16
Very nice. What? You're what you're going to order.
01:20:18
So I am a General Chow's with steamed chicken kind of guy.
01:20:22
Okay, I'm not a big fan.
01:20:23
So healthy, unhealthy Got You know what? You know.
01:20:27
You know what it is? It's the chicken that some places use.
01:20:29
It's not always the great like sometimes you look inside, it's like purple and blue.
01:20:33
I like I like just a nice way piece of chicken.
01:20:36
That's why go.
01:20:37
And then, of course, the spare ribs and the dumplings as, uh, sides slash leftovers for the next couple of days.
01:20:46
Spare ribs on white rice.
01:20:48
You don't get any better than that, folks.
01:20:50
I love you.
01:20:51
I'm coming over for dinner tonight.
01:20:54
What you're going to with Chinese.
01:20:56
Almost wanton soup dumplings.
01:20:59
Give me some spareribs.
01:21:00
Um, I like sesame chicken.
01:21:02
I like the sesame seeds, Which doesn't? It doesn't really.
01:21:05
It's the same. Exactly.
01:21:07
Andi.
01:21:08
I am.
01:21:09
I love lo mein, like whether it's pork or beef or shrimp, just depending on my mood.
01:21:15
But I love leftover lo mein.
01:21:17
I like it cold that day.
01:21:19
That's whenever a Brit, like obviously Chinese food's great for leftovers.
01:21:24
But one of my favorites is the cold lo mein the next day.
01:21:27
Oh, my girl likes Lome, too, so you better get that tonight fighting with her.
01:21:33
But that's the be a good man.
01:21:34
Get her some lo mein and you know you have a little fun tonight.
01:21:38
She gets whatever she wants that that happens.
01:21:40
All right, let's let's wrap it up here and make sure that you guys check us out on Twitter.
01:21:46
You can follow us at taking underscore sides.
01:21:49
You could follow Paul at game day.
01:21:50
In fact, you could find myself out at 14 a dot walls.
01:21:54
Make sure you go to us.
01:21:56
Dash odds dot com and check out all my profits on there for this week.
01:22:01
I got it separated by quarterbacks, running backs and wide receivers last night, three for three in the Thursday night games.
01:22:07
So hopefully we keep that good juju rolling into this week.
01:22:10
Paul.
01:22:11
Uh, I'm sorry.
01:22:13
It's the game day dot com where they could find your articles.
01:22:17
The game day dot com is where you'll find the betting previews.
01:22:19
I'm also gonna have my first Paulie parlays parlay on us dash odds dot com.
01:22:25
Yeah, it'll be up this weekend.
01:22:28
Check it out.
01:22:29
I got a nice three teamer for you guys, but you have to go to U S.
01:22:33
Dash odds or check out their Twitter or my Twitter in order to get that pick.
01:22:38
That's the definition of Clickbait folks right there, Right.
01:22:41
The also too.
01:22:43
Don't forget about the two promo codes that we got because you're an idiot if you're not taking advantage, to be quite honest and keep in mind this thing, this is your You're not intelligent.
01:22:52
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All right for me, Paul.
01:23:24
Us eyes and the rest of the interwebs We are gone.
01:23:29
Who's
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Taking Sides, presented by US-Odds.com | Twitter: Taking_Sides

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Taking Sides w/ Al Walsh & Pauly Parlays @Taking_Sides
Taking Sides Podcast

Transcript hideup

00:00:01
go.
00:00:02
Besides everybody, I mean we brought to you by us.
00:00:06
Odds dot com Make sure you go to us.
00:00:08
Dash odds dot com and get all the info that you need to get yourself for weeks.
00:00:12
Seven of the NFL season.
00:00:14
As always, Join my poli parlays.
00:00:17
You could find him on Twitter Game day.
00:00:19
Fact.
00:00:20
You find myself out.
00:00:21
Walsh at 14 8 Walsh And of course I'm sure you follow the show on Twitter as well at taking Underscore Sides.
00:00:28
Pa.
00:00:29
Welcome into the Week seven Portal.
00:00:31
You New York Giants almost got the win there last night, but from what I understand, you may get on all fronts.
00:00:38
I had it perfect.
00:00:40
The Giants are perfect.
00:00:42
So I took Eagles money line.
00:00:44
So it was just It was It was so beautiful.
00:00:48
The Giants did everything they needed to dio to keep the game close, fun and exciting.
00:00:52
And then they do giant things and they lose.
00:00:55
It was just like that game was so recent New York football giants.
00:01:01
Eso I i even through a tweet out there last night like hey, if you know, you missed the football game tonight, uh, you know, it kind of went the way that this debate is going on last night and, of course I jinxed it out there for all the Giants fan.
00:01:16
So my apologies to you if you were looking to win the NFC East, but I know there's a lot of James guys fan out there, including my best friend.
00:01:25
You know, every time the Giants get scored on, it will go crazy.
00:01:29
You know, like a certain boss that we once had who did the same thing.
00:01:32
But how? How is it that you Giants fans out there can root against yourself? Well, you know, my like giants love, hatred thing.
00:01:41
Like I'm speaking for everyone after, like, Like, look how old this hat is.
00:01:46
That's how long I've been a giant.
00:01:49
I gotta Thanks.
00:01:50
Scotty Shapiro.
00:01:51
I stole it from his closet when I went and visited my parents e like, Why aren't you wearing it? He's like, I don't know.
00:01:59
It's old.
00:02:00
I'm like, I'll take it so so like, And then last night happens and I'm just like, Come on, man.
00:02:06
How is this what the Giants are? But that's where we are with them.
00:02:11
At this point, it's we're gonna be getting a top five pick again next year.
00:02:18
Hopefully, it works out.
00:02:19
Hopefully, this player is good and he fits in.
00:02:22
But I'm also hoping it's not Trevor Lawrence because Daniel Jones has it.
00:02:26
He also has ability to trip over his own feet on the way to an easy touchdown.
00:02:32
That was amazing.
00:02:33
Like, Come on, man.
00:02:35
He has it for 80 yards.
00:02:38
And then after that, he just doesn't have it anymore, but disappeared.
00:02:43
Good on Danny.
00:02:45
Wheels forgetting the Russian bet.
00:02:46
Prop in. Yeah.
00:02:49
You hit that right.
00:02:50
I did.
00:02:52
Uh, I actually hit all three of the parlays that I had last in the Thursday Night Football game.
00:02:59
Boston Scott going over 71 a half combined.
00:03:03
Russian receiving yards.
00:03:04
Greg Ward out of the slot for the Eagles.
00:03:06
Having a nice night.
00:03:07
Get himself over 34 a half receiving yards.
00:03:10
So all was well and dandy there in that profit, I did not touch the game, uh, in there.
00:03:16
I just I really could not bring myself to do it just these NFC East games a while, but I think it just goes to show that the Giants will never win a football game in Philadelphia ever again.
00:03:26
Like anything that can go wrong for this team in Philly.
00:03:29
It does.
00:03:31
Yeah.
00:03:32
I mean, even you do.
00:03:33
Shawn got knocked out of the game where I I assumed he was going to be a massive difference maker, you know, they got him involved immediately.
00:03:41
He was He touched the ball in the first two plays, and I was like, Oh, man, he looked spry.
00:03:45
And like, the decision of old who just kills the Giants over and over again, And then he got hurt.
00:03:52
And I'm like, uh, the Giants might actually win this.
00:03:54
No, the Giants aren't gonna win this game.
00:03:56
It was Come on.
00:03:59
That was just unbelievable.
00:04:01
Were also that fourth down play.
00:04:03
Um, by the Eagles.
00:04:05
That was a terrible call.
00:04:07
Where Logan Ryan, That was P I on fourth down.
00:04:10
That could have completely changed the game.
00:04:11
It did completely changed the game until the Giants were like, Hey, we're a Dumpster Fire.
00:04:16
We're gonna lose this game.
00:04:17
Even though it's been handed to us twice.
00:04:19
I am very excited to announce, by the way, that taking sides podcast is now available on Spotify.
00:04:27
So big round of applause for everybody involved there.
00:04:31
Spotify my computer myself.
00:04:33
I mean, it was just a real collaborative efforts.
00:04:36
Uh, I'm very excited about that.
00:04:38
What you're gonna do is you're gonna, you know, search for taking sides with our walls.
00:04:42
Holy parlays.
00:04:43
It should be one of the first couple that comes up.
00:04:45
Now, keep in mind we're not the marriage advice show Taking sides that, uh, way will also give you marriage advice if you want.
00:04:55
I feel like we need one of those guys that's been divorced, like, four times just to come on as, like a like a guest expert one day.
00:05:02
And then, you know, we'll just get the divorce.
00:05:04
A craft? Yeah, well, corner the whole taking sides market.
00:05:08
Paul, I'm fine with that.
00:05:10
Like, that would be great.
00:05:11
We also need need to thank us that God's for offering this show, getting us off the ground.
00:05:17
Um, and also giving us a landing page where you go to us.
00:05:23
Dash odds dot com forward slash taking dash sides.
00:05:30
You got that? Can you? Can you Can you Can you get that tongue twister going? Yeah, absolutely.
00:05:34
It's www dot U.
00:05:37
S.
00:05:38
dash odds dot com backslash Take it forward slash I'm saying backslash like it like that, but it's forward.
00:05:45
Slash way.
00:05:47
Have to send people to the right place.
00:05:49
They'll get there eventually.
00:05:51
I don't know if you noticed, by the way, but I've got my Tom Brady old school logo buccaneer shirt on today.
00:05:58
Well, I love it.
00:05:59
That's beautiful.
00:06:00
Yeah, when they actually sent it to me live the first time, there was a **** hole in the right sleeve.
00:06:04
So now I have one of these that I could wear to bed and then one of those that I could wear to formal events.
00:06:10
So Brady will be with me everywhere this season.
00:06:13
Now, we got to get into the Sunday games here before we do.
00:06:18
So you definitely want to go to better.
00:06:20
33 65.
00:06:22
Use the promo code sides.
00:06:24
Get yourself 100% deposit bonus when you deposit $100.
00:06:28
That's the max right there.
00:06:30
They've also got this gorgeous, gorgeous offer where you get paid out for winning.
00:06:35
Paul, you get a little bit for the people on that one.
00:06:37
Could you actually took advantage of this? Your stuff? You're talking about the about 3.
00:06:43
65 promo.
00:06:44
I sure as hell sorry.
00:06:47
I was I was making sure people know that we're on and I was putting a tweet out.
00:06:52
By the way, did you see that? We have the gorgeous picture there.
00:06:55
It's not us.
00:06:56
Like picking our noses on the live feed.
00:07:00
So, like, if you go if you go check it out on Facebook, it's actually the you and me.
00:07:04
The logo from the big chair at Citi Field.
00:07:07
Yeah.
00:07:08
No, no, that Z if you take our SportsCastr Um u r l the one that is for taking sides when that pops up, Gorgeous.
00:07:20
We're learning something new every day, folks.
00:07:23
Yeah, I could call us that that word, but I won't, um, s o the bet. 3 65.
00:07:30
NFL early payout promo Use promo code sides s I E.
00:07:35
S.
00:07:36
You get $100 in free bets and we've hit the last two weeks using the Pittsburgh Steelers where the way this works is if the team that you bet money line goes up by 17 points at any point in the game, you get paid out, no matter what.
00:07:50
Yes, the Steelers ultimately won both of those games.
00:07:53
But if you used our promo codes sides, you would have gotten paid out in the middle of the game when they went up by 18 17.
00:08:00
Whatever it waas eso, I'm going to record that probably again tomorrow.
00:08:05
I'll probably honestly, I'll should I give it.
00:08:07
Should I give it now, or should I make people tune in later? Yeah, So you'll you'll check us out on the U.
00:08:16
S. Stash odds Twitter.
00:08:17
They'll put the video out and, uh, you'll see which team I'm taking this week money line, but that I expect to go up by 17 points as, uh, as Tom Galanis over at, uh, I hope I pronounced the last name right, and he doesn't bash me.
00:08:31
But as Tom Galanis or US Odds loves to say, this promo is perfect for Falcons fans and betters alike.
00:08:39
Because you go up, you don't even gotta worry about Matty ice and the boys blowing that.
00:08:43
So definitely, definitely take advantage.
00:08:45
They finally won a game e I've seen dogs step in **** before, so you know it works.
00:08:52
Yeah, your dog, my dog does it all the time all the time.
00:08:56
I got a white.
00:08:57
The bottom is Paul with the **** pick, but never nevertheless.
00:09:01
All right, let's get into it.
00:09:02
By the way, folks, if you want to follow with us down the list of games, I'm just using the the order that draftkings has there.
00:09:09
So, you know, if you wanna go game by game with us, you could do so that way.
00:09:13
Let's start it off in our neck of the woods here where we got the Buffalo Bills.
00:09:16
12 point favorites against New York Jets on the road.
00:09:20
Money line here is a very, very zaftig, uh, minus 5 90 here for the bills.
00:09:26
If you think the Jets can pull the upset out right here, it's gonna be plus 4th 30.
00:09:31
Coming back your way on $100 bet.
00:09:33
Of course, we got a total of 45 points, which really doesn't lend a lot of optimism to the Jets pulling the upset here.
00:09:40
But I'm pretty sure we're gonna be on the same side of this, Paul.
00:09:43
But you back in the bills here massively.
00:09:46
I love the bills.
00:09:48
Uh, it's it's more of a bet against the Jets.
00:09:51
There and I'm okay.
00:09:54
Is the spread I saw the spread moved a bit.
00:09:56
Is it? Yeah.
00:09:57
Move down, move down, actually, in favor for us.
00:10:00
But I'm just like all right, Thanks.
00:10:02
Where I love the bills.
00:10:04
I will take them anywhere up to minus 13.5.
00:10:09
But I think it's around 12 on most books right now.
00:10:13
Um, and you know that I'm not big on these massive spreads.
00:10:17
I'm not big on three point spreads and two point spreads because I hate it when I pick a winner and they don't cover, they win, but don't cover the game.
00:10:25
Um, but I this this is I think this is the biggest spread of the week.
00:10:30
Um, you have a playoff team in the Bills taking on the worst team in football on the Jets.
00:10:35
Buffalo already beat the Jets by 10 and weak one.
00:10:39
I see no reason that they can't beat them by 13 14 at this point in the season where the Bills are improving and showing that they are a playoff team.
00:10:49
And that Josh Allen is he's in the M V P conversation.
00:10:53
While the Jets have their backup quarterback in, they've traded away all of their good players.
00:10:59
They've released all of their good players.
00:11:00
I mean, you and I are essentially playing tight end and running back for the New York Jets at this point.
00:11:05
I love the Bills minus 12. 13.
00:11:08
Whatever it ISS.
00:11:09
Yeah, by the way, I was just a absolutely tremendous red zone threat on my football team.
00:11:15
But yeah, you know, if the Jets want May, I'll be there.
00:11:18
I'll be there.
00:11:19
Josh Allen and Week one against the Jets looked absolutely fantastic.
00:11:24
Uh, 312 passing yards, two touchdowns added, 57 rushing yards and a touchdown against the Jephson Jets in that week.
00:11:32
One game right there.
00:11:34
But it's funny, Toto, look back at week one because you know the Jets.
00:11:38
I believe there were six point dogs in that one.
00:11:40
I actually back the Jets and that one unknowingly of how things were gonna go throughout the season.
00:11:45
But this is Ah, it's a huge step up in the spread, their right, like, yeah, Buffalo was a six point favorite at home.
00:11:52
Now there are 12 point favorite on the road in the same match up here.
00:11:56
So again, if anything, You know, I'm probably gonna wind up taking, you know, Buffalo maybe as, like, a throw in to, you know, like, a miniature parlay or something.
00:12:06
Uh, that, you know, just to kind of give yourself better odds.
00:12:09
But yeah, I don't think that there's I don't think that there is much reason to stay away from the Buffalo minus 12 but something is a little fishy there, but it coming down from 13.
00:12:18
5 to 12.
00:12:21
By the way, I don't know if you've looked ahead.
00:12:23
Uh, toe week eight yet, but did you see the spread for the Chiefs Jets game? Of course I did.
00:12:30
That's insane.
00:12:31
22 or something like that.
00:12:33
Yeah.
00:12:34
22 is gonna be the number here for, like, how that Z That's an NFL team versus high school team.
00:12:40
Yeah, but yeah, I think a lot of a lot of Sharps obviously wanna take the Jets in that situation just being, you know, we really don't see NFL numbers that high Eso I think people want to do that.
00:12:53
But when you get down to the nitty gritty of it, yeah, and you see, it's chiefs 45 to 3 at the end of the game, you're gonna be wondering which side you're back in there.
00:13:01
All right, so Paul and I both there on the bills in this one, and he anything with the total here because 45 seems a little low.
00:13:09
But you got to keep in mind, too.
00:13:11
I guess Joe Flacco is the quarterback for the New York Jets in the situation.
00:13:16
Well, I think that the number is just based on the week one contest they told with 44 points in week one.
00:13:23
Um, so that's that's where this number comes from.
00:13:27
Um, the way I look at it is, if you think the bills were gonna dominate the Jets, you can consider the over.
00:13:33
Otherwise, just stay.
00:13:34
Stay off of it.
00:13:35
Where? If you think it's going to be an utter annihilation, the bills we're going to cover, then I would be cool with the over.
00:13:44
I'm not touching the under.
00:13:46
Otherwise, I'm just I'm just straight up off off that sho nuff sho nuff.
00:13:51
All right, let's get to some actual football here.
00:13:54
We got the Green Bay Packers 3.
00:13:55
5 point favorites at the Houston Texans Packers ar minus 182 favorites there on the money line.
00:14:02
Texans think they could pull the upset plus 1 60 here on the money line.
00:14:06
Ah, very enormous.
00:14:08
57 point total here.
00:14:10
I absolutely like when I just saw this game without looking at the lines.
00:14:14
I was like, Oh, man! Green Bay bounce back spot.
00:14:16
Uh, Shawn Watson gonna have to play from behind all day.
00:14:19
I love the over here.
00:14:20
I still dio What say you on this game? Because I I really love the Packers.
00:14:25
I know, Anthony, this was his best better the week when we had him on on Wednesday.
00:14:30
I I definitely follow suit right behind him there.
00:14:33
What about you? But yeah.
00:14:34
You guys, you guys flip flop me on Wednesday.
00:14:37
Thanks.
00:14:38
Thanks to the rial NFL guru.
00:14:40
I'm sure he'll listen to this at some point on do you out? I'm not taking the minus the points, though.
00:14:46
I like Packer's money line, so I think it's gonna be a close enough game, Packers money line.
00:14:51
And like we said, um, this is gonna be in Erin Jones game.
00:14:55
And whenever it is an Erin Jones game verse, the two time NFL, M v P Aaron Rodgers.
00:15:02
Um, when it's an Erin Jones game, the Packers win like that's the best way to explain it.
00:15:08
They're controlling the clock.
00:15:09
They're controlling everything.
00:15:11
And it just makes life easier for Mr Aaron Rodgers.
00:15:15
Rogers will also bounced back against this not good Texan secondary.
00:15:21
Um, S O.
00:15:22
I like the Packers to win, but I'm not confident that they're going to cover the 3.
00:15:25
5 points.
00:15:26
So I'm taking package money.
00:15:27
One okay, again, Like I could certainly see a situation where you're absolutely right where they kind of come in and, you know, back, Doris us Packers better is there on, you know, on the on the spread.
00:15:40
But again, I'm pretty **** confident here in the Packers.
00:15:44
I just think, you know, when you're able to run the football and kind of control the pace of play, uh, you know, things are obviously gonna be looking up for you.
00:15:51
We're looking to defense is in this game.
00:15:53
Green Bay is clearly the better side.
00:15:55
I know last week that score in Tampa Bay was a little lopsided, but, you know, we talked about it.
00:16:00
Pick six for the bucks, they get another pick that puts him right at the doorstep.
00:16:04
The goal line right there, Toe.
00:16:05
Go up 14 to 10 on the Packers.
00:16:07
So there they are.
00:16:09
Not as bad as advertised last week again to men when you just get flat out.
00:16:14
Embarrassed like that, I guess we can consider that a national game, Right? There were only two games on at the time, the other one being Jets, Dolphins.
00:16:21
This is the one that everybody was watching.
00:16:22
So everybody, you know, saw that.
00:16:24
And I don't think the Packers are gonna wanna have that happen again.
00:16:27
I I really love the over right.
00:16:29
So I'm gonna probably try one of these same game parlay bets and go with that where I'm gonna bring it down to packers minus three on.
00:16:38
Go with the over there.
00:16:39
Maybe try to bring that down 56 or something like that.
00:16:43
Just be careful on the over.
00:16:45
Like we said, it's an Erin Jones game.
00:16:47
So that's gonna eat clock clock clock.
00:16:50
Which is why I wouldn't, you know, personally, you obviously you do what you want, But if it's an Erin Jones game, it's likely gonna be less points.
00:16:59
I could see that lets passing lots opportunities.
00:17:02
You know, the Texas Oh, thanks, Thio.
00:17:05
Knickerbocker Knickerbocker 15.
00:17:07
Liked up for 20 stars.
00:17:09
I like that.
00:17:11
Thanks, Nick. Bigger.
00:17:13
I appreciate I appreciate every single fan we got out there.
00:17:16
We don't have many, but **** it, we're gonna We're gonna get the one by one.
00:17:20
So absolutely appreciate and check out Paul.
00:17:23
Paul was revere.
00:17:24
I got a funny story about Paul Revere, but that's another story for another day.
00:17:29
**** it.
00:17:30
I hate when I get teased like that.
00:17:32
All right, So I'll tell you when we get to the Patriots game because we have to do with when I was in college and at Boston, I will do it during the Patriots.
00:17:41
I love Paulie. Parlay College Day stories.
00:17:43
They Oh, my God.
00:17:44
Come on, man.
00:17:45
Um, what was great? One thing to note here.
00:17:48
I know we talked about it on Wednesday with Anthony, but it's ah might not be as easy of a match up here for Davante Adams going against Bradley Roby.
00:17:56
Uh, you know, statistically maybe hasn't been at his best this season because of that defense is the whole is in shambles, but he's one of the better corners in the NFL.
00:18:05
So I might be shying off that big stack that I had in mind with Aaron Rodgers, Jones, UH, Davante Adams.
00:18:11
But Erin Jones will certainly be a part of all.
00:18:13
My DFS lineup builds this week, both shop.
00:18:16
All right, let's get to the next game.
00:18:18
We got the Carolina Panthers at the the New Orleans Safe states, or 7.
00:18:24
5 point favorites at the Superdome this week minus 3 35 on the money line plus 2 80 for the Carolina Panthers on the money line.
00:18:32
If you believe that they could pull the upset, we've got a total of 51 which I actually talked about earlier this week.
00:18:37
I kind of love the over here, I How do you say kind of love Now? I love the over and the all right.
00:18:43
I love thee under in this one.
00:18:45
Jeez, I can't talk to the slowest pace NFL teams we got in this matchup where we got the Saints in 2024.
00:18:53
Fastest pace. The Panthers there are 27.
00:18:55
So, uh, anything changed for you in terms of looking at this game because I got some dandy stats and this one they're gonna knock the socks off your feet, Paul.
00:19:05
All right, so I'll just give you quickie.
00:19:06
So quicky, uh, I think the Saints win, but I like the Panthers.
00:19:12
Plus 7.5.
00:19:13
Yeah, I'm with you.
00:19:15
So? So it's it's This is one of those toughie in betweens where Saints, I'm taking the Saints to win the game.
00:19:23
But I think this point spread is three points too much where that's why I love the Panthers.
00:19:29
Plus 7.5.
00:19:30
We still don't know the status of Michael Thomas, which can feasibly change things.
00:19:34
Um, but I'm feeling like a 24 20 game where either way, you know Panthers Panthers could feasibly upset upset the Saints.
00:19:45
I don't really see it happening, but I'm thinking Saints 24 20.
00:19:48
So that means panthers plus 7.
00:19:49
5 minus 1 15 because I'm not risking minus 3 80 or whatever it is on ST Moneyline.
00:19:56
So I had the thought that the Panthers can, you know, keep this game very close.
00:20:02
Drew Brees just doesn't scare me anymore.
00:20:04
And neither does the Superdome, right? Like we're getting, what, 7 8000 fans in there like Give me a break.
00:20:10
I kind of like what the Eagles did last night.
00:20:12
I was like, How the hell are they allowing so many people to sit close to one another? And it was actually fans sitting next to the cutouts that they had in the seats to kind of make it look like a packed audience there, which was really cool.
00:20:26
But, uh, you know, in this game, I found some gorgeous, gorgeous stats here.
00:20:32
Let everyone gather around the campfire for a second right here.
00:20:35
So this is Teddy Bridgewater over the course of his career.
00:20:39
Alright, So, uh, in all situations, he's 30 and 10 against the Spread as an underdog.
00:20:47
Throughout the course of his career, he is 20 and five against the Spread as a road quarterback.
00:20:54
In his career, he's 16 and three against the spread as a road underdog, 15 and two against the spread.
00:21:02
So you got to keep in mind, too, though that I mean, look, you could play either side of the coin here.
00:21:07
This is E.
00:21:08
I don't want to say it's a revenge game.
00:21:10
It's a Hey Hi.
00:21:11
How you doing? Game with Teddy Bridgewater as he was in the Saints quarterback room over the last two years.
00:21:17
Does that mean that Hey, he wants to show that he was better than breeze? Or does this mean that the Saints defense kind of knows his weaknesses and that they can kinda key in on that? So how do you feel about that? I think everything you're saying makes me feel happier about the Panthers.
00:21:33
Plus that I mean, how could it not? Yeah, that was, like, Check, check, check.
00:21:40
You know, the saints are gonna win by, like, 59.
00:21:43
No, that's what always happens.
00:21:47
But I totally feel you on that.
00:21:50
Where it's you're right, that it's Ah, it's not a revenge game.
00:21:54
It's a It's a Hey, How you doing, buddy game? Yeah, absolutely.
00:21:58
Andi? Yeah.
00:21:59
If I'm not mistaking states states coming off the bye. Correct.
00:22:04
Yeah.
00:22:05
Yeah.
00:22:06
All right. So yeah.
00:22:08
So, yeah.
00:22:09
So they've had extra time to prepare for a quarterback that they know very well also, um, but I think the biggest difference is if Michael Thomas plays or not.
00:22:17
The saints are a different team.
00:22:18
Whether he's in the lineup and when he's not in the lineup, eso I'm not gonna touch anything until I know his status for the week.
00:22:26
Yeah, I really wanted to kind of go bananas on Alvin Kamara props this week.
00:22:31
I didn't even write him up because this whole Michael Thomas situation is just absolutely bizarre, to say the least.
00:22:38
If you don't know, I guess he was held out of practice or the media portion of practice on Thursday.
00:22:44
And this comes after a game that, you know, the team held him out of the game was a healthy scratch because he was being a pain in the ass in practice.
00:22:51
Uh, you know, And you know, now who the hell knows what the deal is? I'm sure where you're going to get more information, you know, later in the day, we're doing this recording at, uh, noon on Friday, so we've still got to find out that information.
00:23:04
But when you look at the Panthers and just all the production that they've given up two running backs this season, especially receiving running backs to they're kind of like the Atlanta Jr of running back pass catching, running back production.
00:23:16
So this is obviously a nice little situation for him.
00:23:20
If you're in, you know, season long fantasy Latavius Murray could be an interesting choice.
00:23:25
Panthers.
00:23:26
They ranked 26 in the n f L D V O and run defense.
00:23:29
So you know I used lacks Murray one week in season long fantasy and that was the game against the Lions, which worked out really well.
00:23:37
But yeah, this this could definitely be a situation, especially if Michael Thomas doesn't play or is limited in any way this week.
00:23:44
So we definitely like a lot.
00:23:46
Um, Speaking of Camara, I found a prop that I love on points.
00:23:51
Bet Alvin Kamara to get 75 plus plus rushing yards plus 1 30.
00:23:57
Yeah, I was like I could get plus odds on Alvin Kamara doing anything.
00:24:02
Um, you know, he's averaging 4.
00:24:04
6 yards per carry coming off the bye week.
00:24:07
He's topped 75 rushing yards twice in the past four weeks.
00:24:11
Uh, he's facing this Panthers rush defense that has allowed, um, more than 100 rushing yards.
00:24:19
Thio, I'm tryingto get the number right, but until like a million backs and touchdowns in six games, so like Come on.
00:24:28
I love it.
00:24:29
Yeah, At the beginning, I made a very slight error.
00:24:32
It was actually Carolina ranking 24th and pacing the Saints, their 27th, but nonetheless to Grandpa is going at it, uh, to Grandpa.
00:24:41
Offense is going at it.
00:24:42
All right, let's get to the next game of the week here.
00:24:45
We've got the Browns.
00:24:46
Favorite bike three at the Cincinnati Bangles is gonna be a rematch.
00:24:50
A week to where we saw the Bangles crushed my heart on that 5.
00:24:53
5 point spread.
00:24:55
But feeling like the money line here, it's minus 1 59 for the Browns, plus 1 40 there for the Bangles.
00:25:01
We got a total of 50 points in this one.
00:25:03
Interesting to note, 80% of the money going towards the over 50 in this camp.
00:25:09
So I've actually I wrote about the running backs, uh, for profits in this article for us odds dot com, which you could go check out.
00:25:19
So I think the under that I'm kind of keying in on for a couple of profits here on Joe Mixon and for Korean Hunt.
00:25:27
And the reason that I say that is both guys still hold a questionable tag this late in the week.
00:25:33
Joe Mixon did not practice on Wednesday or Thursday.
00:25:36
Kareem Hunt kind of got a little bit of a nagging hamstring issue in this one.
00:25:41
So it kind of it is interesting, given that information that a lot of people are going towards the over.
00:25:47
So, uh, that kind of draws me into some pastors, um, pass catchers in this game.
00:25:52
Let's go.
00:25:53
Let's start with the game and then we'll get into some more props because there is a guy that I'm I'm declaring.
00:25:57
It's his weak and it hasn't been his weak and quite some time.
00:26:01
But at just at first on the game, what do you like in this one? Don't tease me.
00:26:10
I want to know who's game it.
00:26:11
ISS A J Green Week, pal. A.
00:26:15
J Green Week.
00:26:19
What's that? A J Green, right? Oh, it's It's an A J Green week.
00:26:25
It zone a J Green week, folks.
00:26:27
I thought I thought you were gonna It was gonna be in Austin Hooper week.
00:26:31
Hell, no. A J.
00:26:33
Green.
00:26:34
That was the first.
00:26:35
That was the first name that popped into my head.
00:26:36
What do you love about a J.
00:26:38
Green? Because this is one of those games where it's a divisional contest.
00:26:42
The Bangles, they're at home.
00:26:44
They're getting a couple of points.
00:26:45
Where I This is just a game that I'm off.
00:26:48
I have no lean.
00:26:49
I'm not gonna uh, maybe I'll play a couple props.
00:26:52
So tell me about about what you have and convinced me and all of our listeners Thio tell you this week I love a great conspiracy theory, right? Like, I'm not gonna believe it, But I'll absolutely listen to what you have to say on any sort of conspiracy theory.
00:27:09
It's just I love that kind of ****.
00:27:11
So in this game, don't keep in mind the NFL trade deadline is November 3rd, right? So I know a J.
00:27:18
Green has said, Oh, I want to stay with this team.
00:27:21
I like what they really got going.
00:27:23
The man's lying through his teeth, right? If he could get himself to a contender, he would absolutely do so I would not be surprised if Bengals management somebody is in Burrows here this week.
00:27:35
Sam.
00:27:37
Hey, you know you want some more assets for the future? Get that ball the A J this week and look.
00:27:42
The matchup makes sense right in week to a J.
00:27:46
Green saw a season high 13 targets on.
00:27:49
That's no, that's no miss take, right? Like the way that the Browns play defense, they try to clog up the middle.
00:27:56
That means things.
00:27:57
They're gonna be open a lot more on the outside and up top against these guys.
00:28:00
So in my opinion, I just I feel like this is another game where they should try to feed a J.
00:28:06
Green in order to beef up his trade value.
00:28:09
All the schematics line up behind it.
00:28:12
You know, last week against the Colts, he had a great game in terms of, you know, actually connecting on these targets.
00:28:18
What's funny about that game against the Browns and weak to is that he got targeted what? Something, I think 13 times.
00:28:24
And he only had three catches for 20 something yards.
00:28:27
That's that's an absolute misnomer if I've ever seen it.
00:28:31
There were a couple of plays.
00:28:32
I felt like he kind of got, you know, pass interfered with that.
00:28:34
They didn't call, um, you know, as somebody who's in a J.
00:28:39
Green season long owner.
00:28:40
That's These are the things that I kind of look out for, you know? So I just feel like this is a good opportunity for the Bangles to kinda increase his trade value.
00:28:49
I mean, you know whether anybody wants to believe it or not. A. J.
00:28:53
Green is still a top flight receiver in this league.
00:28:55
He's just a really bad situation this year.
00:28:57
And you know, again, if anybody's been in Burrows year saying, Hey, a couple more assets coming for you, I would listen.
00:29:08
Yeah, it was three catches for 29 yards and 13 targets.
00:29:13
That's that's that's insane.
00:29:15
Where if he gets that volume again, he's gonna have way more than 29 yards.
00:29:21
If, if not, we're crazy.
00:29:25
Yeah, And again to with with both, you know, started running backs not being at the top of their health, I mean that just lens optimism that there on the Baltimore So I think there are more than a few things working in his factor this week and again to like, doesn't that three point spread look kind of wacky, like the Brown should be favored by Mawr, but three just seems I guess.
00:29:47
You know, you could look at the game against Pittsburgh last week and everybody's gonna be down on them.
00:29:51
But whatever the case is, I think we're going to see points.
00:29:54
And I think we're going to see a very close game.
00:29:55
So a lot of lot of targets should be common.
00:29:58
Is what? Nevertheless, the Browns one by far.
00:30:02
I've at home.
00:30:03
So now it's on the road and it's three.
00:30:07
I think the spread is okay. It's fine.
00:30:09
It's just ill.
00:30:11
It's going to depend on which version of the Bangles shows up.
00:30:16
The Browns have been pretty consistent.
00:30:18
Um, you know, other than what? The with the Pittsburgh game last week.
00:30:22
But I saw that coming.
00:30:24
I still don't know how you didn't like I did.
00:30:28
I did.
00:30:29
It just took me a while, right? But But again, you made that are take a side which still cracks me up.
00:30:35
I'm just like, thank you on.
00:30:37
You texted me on Sunday, and we're like, I have to tell you something.
00:30:41
I'm like, what? Hey, goes, He goes, I'm with you on Pittsburgh now.
00:30:47
And I'm like you did it.
00:30:49
I'm very proud of you.
00:30:50
I was with you so much on Pittsburgh that I made them.
00:30:52
I d f s defense across every single line up that I had.
00:30:58
That was fantastic.
00:31:00
So what? What what? The truth is you took my side.
00:31:05
That's fair.
00:31:07
Uh, you know what kind of sucks to with this with this Cleveland brands Cincinnati Bengals situation with those injuries to the running backs? I mean, in William Hill, by the way, doing a fantastic job of the profits, they don't even have the player profits up yet.
00:31:23
That's how you know, big this injury to mixing and the cream hunt is right now, So I kind of I think it's probably a steel to and to get the total at 50 I mean, this was this Had what, like, 60 I want to say 64 69 points in that week to match up 65 65.
00:31:41
Yeah, so I mean, look, we've already 35.
00:31:45
Joe Burrow played his best game is as a professional, and that was even on a short week.
00:31:50
So now you're giving them the regular time.
00:31:51
So I think 50 going over on 50 right now is an absolute steal.
00:31:55
So that's where I'm at.
00:31:58
I like you there.
00:31:59
Yeah, I'm with you on the over here, so I don't know if I put any money on it, but I'll agree with you.
00:32:05
Alright, there. Enough.
00:32:07
Now we get to our take aside.
00:32:09
Better.
00:32:10
The week we got the Pittsburgh Steelers Tennessee site is, uh, Titans are one point favorites.
00:32:15
And that's not how it started.
00:32:16
Steelers opened as a point and a half favorites here.
00:32:19
We've got the, you know, the money line.
00:32:22
Pretty much the same for both sides.
00:32:24
50.
00:32:25
5 total.
00:32:26
In this one.
00:32:27
I will be going with the Steelers.
00:32:28
Paul will be going with the Titans.
00:32:30
Paul, take it away.
00:32:32
Titans plus two.
00:32:34
I get the extra point because that's when we took it.
00:32:36
You know, anyone who's been paying attention to the show knows that I have been hard core on the Steelers for the last forever.
00:32:48
Um, and now this week I look at everything and I'm like, Wait a second.
00:32:53
The Titans are at home getting points.
00:32:56
Love the Titans.
00:32:58
I love the Titans.
00:32:59
This week there's nothing I don't love about it.
00:33:03
And I love that you're now taking my my my black and gold Steelers.
00:33:08
I got plenty of reasons, folks.
00:33:10
Uh, not me.
00:33:11
Some reasons, obviously, the opening line for one right like that to me tells the biggest story of all.
00:33:17
Usually when we look at this tank is defense.
00:33:21
They're absolutely atrocious.
00:33:22
They're getting bailed out by Derrick Henry on a weekly basis.
00:33:26
The defense ranks in the bottom third of pretty much every advanced metric.
00:33:29
You could find their dead last in third down conversions and red zone defense.
00:33:33
Um, you know, when we look at the rest of the season, they had these lucky comeback wins against the Broncos.
00:33:39
The Jack, of course. The Vikings.
00:33:42
It's time that a good team, a good, solid five and o.
00:33:45
T very much like themselves comes in here and shows thes tightens a little bit of lessons.
00:33:50
I just you know, again, you're not gonna be coming back on these teams.
00:33:54
You have the lucky When there I forgot in those lucky comeback Wednesday against the Texans last week. So that's four.
00:34:00
You know, I just look, Cinderella, it's midnight, all right? We're not We're not dancing anymore.
00:34:05
Get your ass in the carriage.
00:34:06
Get your ass home.
00:34:07
grab your shoe.
00:34:08
Get in. Let's roll.
00:34:10
It's just it's not happening again for the Titans.
00:34:13
Thanks.
00:34:14
I just realized this is the co vid reschedule.
00:34:17
That's right.
00:34:18
Yeah, Yeah, I'm just I'm looking at the Titan schedule to see what you're talking about.
00:34:23
And I'm like, Oh, my God, This was supposed to be played in week for this'll was the first.
00:34:27
Like, oh, my God, moment of what we're going through.
00:34:30
Like what's happening? They're moving the game.
00:34:33
Wait, What? Um, I'm on the Titans.
00:34:37
I I understand where you're coming from, though the Titans have been a, you could say like a fictional five and O team.
00:34:44
They've won all these close games.
00:34:45
They've made all these comebacks, but they've done all that.
00:34:48
And Mike Vrabel has proven to be a fantastic coach where he's he's turned Ryan Tannehill into an M V P candidate.
00:34:58
He's leaning on Derrick Henry the way he should Onda.
00:35:02
We finally have a Bill Belichick disciple that knows what he's doing.
00:35:05
Yeah, that's an excellent point.
00:35:07
Did you know that this Tennessee Titan to the second team in NFL history to be five and O as a home underdogs? Now I dio, but their favorite.
00:35:16
I'm saying that their favorite on a couple books there.
00:35:18
Well, no, no, they are.
00:35:20
I mean, like at the open, you know, like the opening.
00:35:23
That's a great stat.
00:35:24
Say that again.
00:35:25
So? So everybody.
00:35:26
So they are this the second team in NFL history to be five and o as.
00:35:30
Ah, home underdog.
00:35:32
Do you know we know Dallas Cowboys against the undefeated Patriots that year? Oh, wow.
00:35:39
Yeah, that was That was Tony Romo was still the quarterback.
00:35:44
Then I would guess I want to say or was that early deck? No, I think that was from a promo adapted.
00:35:51
And what? That didn't come until, like, five years ago? Four years ago? Yeah, that's how he's still on the transition tag instead of having a long term deal.
00:36:02
Yeah.
00:36:03
So this Yeah, this was that. There's definitely wrong with them.
00:36:06
Tony Romo, that guy.
00:36:08
That guy coming from undrafted division two football, whatever it waas, then he just has it.
00:36:16
And Eastern Illinois show some respect.
00:36:18
Now he's a fantastic broadcaster.
00:36:22
E I like him as a broadcaster because as a Giants fan, I was like, Oh, no, the This guy is gonna beat us again.
00:36:28
Who is this guy? You know, the that the old saying from money line to where his girlfriends hot or his wife's hot.
00:36:38
The guys got confidence.
00:36:39
You know, like Moneyball.
00:36:41
You said money line.
00:36:43
But, hey, we're talking about betting.
00:36:46
Yeah, with the whole Billy Beane thing.
00:36:50
Yeah, he's got swag.
00:36:53
Yeah.
00:36:54
Interesting Thio note here to for the total.
00:36:58
Um, I was shocked to learn this eso Tannehill has started 15 games for the tight, and so far, 13 of those games have gone over the total.
00:37:08
So that I wouldn't think that you know what I'm saying? Where you have a team that relies on the run as much as they do, I would think we'd hit some under.
00:37:16
Well, I'm sure at the beginning of the Tannehill era in Tennessee, you probably had a bunch of low totals, you know, And he played well and, you know, was able to get it.
00:37:25
I could almost guarantee I didn't see the game by game breakdown of it.
00:37:28
But I can guarantee you that a good chunk of those came early in the It sure as hell wasn't Week one when God's Castillo is missing all the field goals.
00:37:37
That's for **** sure.
00:37:39
It was the end of the Marcus Mariana tenure and the beginning of Brian M. V.
00:37:46
P.
00:37:47
Tannehill, which is still unbelievable since he's taken over.
00:37:51
The only guy who has better numbers is Patrick Mahomes.
00:37:54
Yes, I did see that.
00:37:56
That's just fascinating, because you think it's rust or you think it's Lamar.
00:38:01
It ZMA homes and then Tannehill folks, you just getting fed with knowledge left and right, like you know, that that Mayweather gift for you handed out the else.
00:38:11
Now you're just getting handed out.
00:38:13
Info ****s.
00:38:14
Oh, man, just here's the thing.
00:38:17
Just get away from Adam Gays and you'll become a superstar.
00:38:20
You get all right, Let's go down to Landover, Maryland, where the Washington football team will be hosting the Dallas Cowboys.
00:38:28
Uh, it opened as Dallas is 2.
00:38:31
5 point favorites.
00:38:32
Massive shift here, all the way to the football team at minus one.
00:38:36
Money lines are essentially the same for both sides of minus 107 We've got a total of 46 in this game, so I know we talked a little bit about this.
00:38:46
I wasn't willing to make this my best bet, but I kind of, uh, now I'm in limbo.
00:38:51
Now I'm in limbo here where I think maybe Dallas could be okay, But I'm not as confident in this game as I once was on Wednesday.
00:39:02
I really liked Washington a lot, but, um, kind of kind of going back to what we just talked about with the Steelers and the Titans.
00:39:09
I see Dallas favorite at 2.
00:39:10
5, so that's kind of lingering in the back of my mind.
00:39:13
Still, what are your feelings on this game if you changed? I know you like Dallas at the outside.
00:39:21
I still like Dallas.
00:39:22
It's really tough.
00:39:23
Zack Martin's out now, so you know the best offensive lineman for Dallas is out.
00:39:29
But the reason that I like Dallas is I think Zeke comes out with, you know, on fire after what happened last week with those two fumbles on Monday night, I just think it's in Ezekiel Elliott game and they go back to that.
00:39:45
Let Zeke eat where, as long as he's not fumbling, he's gonna be the difference in this game.
00:39:50
Um, I think it's going to be a close game.
00:39:52
Obviously, you have to Not good offenses from the NFC East, Um, but seeks the best player on the field.
00:39:59
I'm gonna lean that way.
00:40:00
And if I could get Dallas plus money at this point, I love it even more.
00:40:05
Eso, As you mentioned with Zeke, I just I there was too much to delve into in terms of how to phrase it, but we'll just put it this way.
00:40:16
Five of his seven career games against the Redskins or the football team? Uh, he's got at least 23 draftkings points, right? So what that means guys racking up yards.
00:40:27
He's getting in the end zone.
00:40:28
He's getting these catches.
00:40:29
This is certainly a guy that you're gonna be looking to in fantasy builds this week.
00:40:33
And again, I'm interested to see kind of like what the ownership is on these draftkings and Fanduel sites where, yes, he looked so bad in primetime.
00:40:41
Are people gonna have enough balls to go back to him this week? I think I think very well you should, but we should also mention at the same time there's a much different Washington defense than we know in years previous.
00:40:52
Like Ron Rivera.
00:40:54
That's a specialty, you know, just getting these solid guys around his team, and they're but they're buying in While Chase Young didn't necessarily have a great game.
00:41:03
I guess the Giants last week, he's a guy that you gotta keep an eye on.
00:41:06
So again, I'm still in limbo here.
00:41:09
I have no idea what I'm gonna do with this game.
00:41:11
I might just let it go by the wayside, because I like a lot more stuff this week.
00:41:15
But, uh, you know, for me, this is kind of gonna be awash at this point unless something unless something pops up.
00:41:21
One thing I will say, though, uh, definitely.
00:41:23
Have you some Terry McLaren? I know he's gonna be absolute chalk in Daily Fantasy builds this week. That's okay.
00:41:29
You could still take advantage of it in the profits on William Hill.
00:41:32
I saw he's got a receiving yardage profit of 73 a half.
00:41:37
He should absolutely smash that.
00:41:38
He had 74 last week in a very tough match up against Bradbury of the Giants.
00:41:43
So this is this is one that he should absolutely dominate.
00:41:47
And believe me, if you got him in, uh, If you got him in daily fantasy, you will not be alone this week.
00:41:54
Yeah, like I said again.
00:41:56
So I think we're both in the same place where this is sort of like an off.
00:42:00
Maybe you'll throw it on in the back end of a parlay.
00:42:03
That's that's what I did with Dallas, where it's one of the five legs in a parlay, because it'll it'll, you know, help my out.
00:42:11
My output grow a bit.
00:42:13
I think I got him at at plus 100.
00:42:15
So even money, Um, but that's that's all I'm doing.
00:42:18
I'm very light here, but if I'm going one way or the other, if I'm taking a side, I'm taking Dallas.
00:42:24
All right, all right, let's get to the final game with one o'clock window.
00:42:28
It's the Detroit Lions at the Atlanta Falcons, Falcons 2.
00:42:31
5 point favorites at home in this one money line, minus 1 30 for their side, plus 1 14 for the Falcons.
00:42:38
A total of 55 in this one, which will be obviously one of the higher told games off the week here.
00:42:45
If I'm not mistaken, you you were pretty strong on one side.
00:42:49
I don't remember, But why don't you get this discussion kicked off for us to I love the Detroit Lions.
00:42:56
These words will never come out of my mouth ever again.
00:43:01
I think the lines, they're just the better team here and that we can get points.
00:43:06
I'm all over it where I love, um, Detroit Plus three, Detroit plus 3.5.
00:43:12
However you want to take it, I might even Sprinkle a little Detroit money line.
00:43:16
I just don't think the Falcons are a good team there.
00:43:20
Are they their favorite? Because of what? There is literally no metric here.
00:43:26
That explains to me why the Falcons should be the favorite in this game.
00:43:30
Other than that, they're at home.
00:43:32
But home field advantage isn't a thing right now.
00:43:35
Literally.
00:43:36
Everything that I see says the Stafford Lions should be favored.
00:43:44
They're not.
00:43:45
So I love them. Plus the points or money left.
00:43:47
Yeah, this is a situation I'm absolutely gonna be with you on.
00:43:51
Uh, you know, Detroit's weird.
00:43:54
Yeah, it's like Detroit is very weird in that Yes, they have unbelievable mismatches all over the place with their receivers against this Atlanta secondary.
00:44:05
But they're still going to try to run the football.
00:44:07
Like that's just that's kind of who this team is.
00:44:09
Uh, if they really wanted to uncork Stafford, I think that that would be a lot more beneficial.
00:44:14
But of course, you know, they got these three running backs that they're going to throw at you or they're going to run at you.
00:44:20
Um, I just I hope to God that Patricia, you know, saw what happened last week with with the Jags and when you take these mismatches what you could do with them.
00:44:31
But, you know, I really want to have a lot of different profits here for the Lions.
00:44:37
I think I'm going to stand firm on maybe a couple, but eso the two that I really like, obviously.
00:44:42
So DeAndre Swift will be back in his college state where he played his ball with the dog.
00:44:47
So the number that I have on him, uh, well, I don't have the number on it yet, but I am waiting on these swift profits.
00:44:56
Right.
00:44:57
So for the receiving end, we know that the Atlanta Falcons absolutely bleed targets to the running back position.
00:45:03
So I did write for this in the running back article on U.
00:45:06
S dot dot com.
00:45:07
What I have here is not necessarily a field day of targets to Swift because he's playing back in it in Atlanta.
00:45:16
Know what I have is that he might get a special play drawn up for him or a little bit of consideration.
00:45:22
Matt, Patricia, to me doesn't seem like the kind of guy that would be like, Oh, hey, DeAndre, uh, I know you're back in the state where you played your college ball, so I'm just gonna, you know, give you a massive workload.
00:45:34
No, that's not the case, But I do think that maybe like a nice little screen pass trick play something along those lines where he could get over on the receiving artist.
00:45:42
I definitely think that that's certainly in play.
00:45:44
Uh, the one thing to keep in mind, him and Adrian Peterson have really, you know, been right near that 50 50 range of of offensive snaps.
00:45:56
Now Swift did play tomb or offensive snaps than Adrian Peterson last week, so that's certainly looking good for Swift.
00:46:02
But we need pass catching running backs against the Falcons, and Swift is certainly that guy in the Detroit backfield, Alexander Madison was not ableto to produce in that spot last week.
00:46:13
But pretty much everybody else has played the Falcons as Yeah, I had the Madison prop it written down on my board, and then it just didn't show up where it was like one of those.
00:46:25
Oh, that was meant to be Where I didn't end up getting it in.
00:46:28
And I was like, I noticed that I would have lost that prop it.
00:46:31
Good thing it didn't show up.
00:46:33
And I was like, All right, I'm just gonna put my money somewhere else s one thing to know, too.
00:46:38
If you're playing fantasy this week, Matthew Stafford is in a nice spot.
00:46:41
The Falcons have allowed in average, Paul.
00:46:44
This is an average of 345 and a half passing yards per game.
00:46:48
Two opposing quarterbacks this season.
00:46:50
So Kirk Cousins was the latest one last week that I think he threw for, like 3 77 or something like that.
00:46:55
Every single starting quarterback, with the exception of mixed Robiskie, has thrown for over 300 yards against the Falcons this season.
00:47:02
Uh, now again, falls came in relief off travesty in that game, so every team has passed for over 300 yards against them.
00:47:11
Stafford has not passed for over 300 yards at this season, but this is certainly the game that he could do so.
00:47:16
And Falcons.
00:47:17
They ranked dead last in the NFL in terms of explosive pass plays allowed explosive pass plays, meeting 20 yards or more dead last in that.
00:47:26
So Kenny Golladay himself is just in an absolutely fantastic spot here, too.
00:47:31
Yeah, everything you're saying says lines where it you've made me feel even better about this one now.
00:47:37
Oh, I know, but I can't just say, Hey, I like the lines and move on toe.
00:47:41
Tampa Bay, Las Vegas.
00:47:42
I mean, I got an ad read I gotta do.
00:47:45
Yeah.
00:47:46
I mean, you can look, look, look, look at the jersey e didn't even realize that. That's amazing.
00:47:52
Mike.
00:47:53
Mike Williams Jersey, that is, that is the former USC.
00:47:58
I have no idea.
00:47:59
Andi just I buy the most random jerseys.
00:48:03
You know, I just thought it looked cool and I was like, All right, I want this one.
00:48:06
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00:49:03
All right, let's get into the four o'clock window here.
00:49:06
We got the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
00:49:08
My Tampa Bay Buccaneers favored by three points here against the Las Vegas Raiders.
00:49:13
Uh, the game is currently off the board because I know the Raiders had four. Offensive lineman.
00:49:19
They had to go home and have a safety go home. Do the cove.
00:49:22
It, um how do you say that there co vid precautions, Covert precautions.
00:49:30
Not everybody had Kobe, but they're you know, they felt that they were in close contact toe one of the Raiders offensive lineman.
00:49:37
So that is pretty big when you're going up against one of the best defensive lines in the NFL.
00:49:42
Not to mention they're allowing the fewest yards per carry in the league.
00:49:46
And that's how the Raiders kind of start their offenses through the run game.
00:49:49
So keep that in mind.
00:49:51
We've got a total of 52 in this one.
00:49:54
Obviously, I'm gonna be a buck homer in this one.
00:49:56
I'll give you all the reasons why I am, but as an objective journalist, Paul uh, who do you like in this game? If this game gets played? I'm all over Tampa, where the Raiders are in the bottom third of the lead against the run.
00:50:13
I think Ronald Jones has a big game, but also all of these offensive linemen are uncovered protocols their whole.
00:50:21
The Raiders entire offensive line where that's what makes the Raiders run is that line.
00:50:28
And if they're not there, they can't practice together.
00:50:31
Can't get the reps in against a team that's arguably better than them in the Buccaneers.
00:50:36
I love the Buccaneers in this one.
00:50:38
Yeah, So I know a lot of people were kind of wondering So, um, this game, actually for DFS purposes, I know this game was actually moved into the main slate on a couple sites, so that's pretty cool.
00:50:53
You could get your Brady get your Ronald Jones, whoever, uh, in this matchup there.
00:50:58
But yeah, absolutely.
00:51:00
With, you know, not being able to pay practice and again that you absolutely need to practice in this one.
00:51:05
We've kind of seen it, though this season where where we think teams air gonna be, you know, kind of a mess of cluster, right with with these cove in things and they actually come out, they do better.
00:51:17
I don't know how the hell that works.
00:51:19
I don't know if the opposing team wants to touch them or anything, but it's been It's been interesting to say the least, so let's not also forget one of the big storylines in this game.
00:51:30
Jon Gruden against his former Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who won that franchise the only Super Bowl win there.
00:51:37
So a little bit of a nostalgia there, But yeah, it's interesting.
00:51:41
You know, I thought when I initially saw this with the NFL moving it to four o'clock, I was like, Oh, no, like, Come on, this is Ah, big game for the Bucks.
00:51:48
But it's in fact, they wanted toe put the Seahawks Cardinals in there.
00:51:53
So God forbid this game doesn't get played, they at least have a Sunday night football game so good on the NFL for making that decision.
00:52:00
That was actually, uh, that's very wise on their part.
00:52:03
So yeah, again.
00:52:04
I mean, I just think, you know, it really is going to depend on who's gonna be in for the Raiders on that offensive line if they're not able to play and you got backups going against guys like Madonna con Su, Yeah, it's gonna be an absolutely long day.
00:52:17
We just saw what the Bucks did to a very good Packers offensive line coming off a bye week.
00:52:23
Yeah, it will be a world of hurt there and again, I'll absolutely willing to take the under on every single Josh Jacobs rushing prop bet this week because it's not going to get going early.
00:52:35
The Raiders gonna have to go to the air.
00:52:37
And that is certainly not a good thing for Derek Carr and company.
00:52:41
So I own Jacobs and Jones on one of my fantasy teams.
00:52:45
I'm just work.
00:52:46
I'm just worried that the game doesn't get played because I have no replacements.
00:52:51
If this game gets canceled, I'm playing with eight guys instead of tendency.
00:52:55
Oh, come on.
00:52:57
Actually, actually, you know who I can plug in.
00:53:00
You know, he's on my bench.
00:53:01
Frank, Frank Gore and LaMichael p your eyes.
00:53:03
That's right.
00:53:04
That's gross.
00:53:06
Can't you can't go get somebody like a Geo Bernard or like a Mike Bono.
00:53:10
This is, uh, it's a it's Ah, it's a 12 team, expertly, where our rosters air super deep.
00:53:15
That's why I own the Jets backfield, where you're getting No.
00:53:20
One.
00:53:21
That the only two guys that got picked up this week where Antonio Brown and DeSean Jackson like that d Shawn was there was it was amazing because I picked up just engaged That's the level of player that that's on waivers because I had so many buys this week that I'm like, I just need a body.
00:53:40
So I got the third receiver on the Falcons starting at one of my flex spots.
00:53:45
Unbelievable on.
00:53:47
And, you know, again, it's gonna depend a lot what happens.
00:53:49
But, um, you know, in looking at the total in this game, you know, if it's gonna be just sort of this run into a brick wall kind of game up front for the Raiders than obviously it's gonna be, you know, a lot better for the for the total.
00:54:03
Going under the Bucks, you're able to establish this running game which has been prevalent over the last couple of weeks with Ronald Jones.
00:54:10
Is the Bell cow then? Yeah, Then I certainly can get down with the under in this game.
00:54:15
But again, we just there's a lot that we still need to learn on this game before we go ahead and dive into it headfirst.
00:54:24
Yeah, let's get an update on this before we're really gonna do anything.
00:54:27
But if the game is played, we both like the bucks on and keep in mind Thank you.
00:54:32
Mind, folks on our Twitter, you're gonna be able to see our best bets of the week on Sunday.
00:54:36
So, uh, you know, for me, that's 14 8 dot walls for Paul at game day, fax.
00:54:42
You know, you're gonna be able to check out our best bet.
00:54:44
So who knows that might, that might wind up on there.
00:54:46
So be be obliged.
00:54:49
All right, let's get to the next game.
00:54:50
We've got the Kansas City Chiefs favorite by 9.
00:54:52
5 at the Denver Broncos.
00:54:54
Chiefs huge Moneyline favorites there minus 4 35 Broncos at plus 3 60 in this.
00:55:02
Upon the total.
00:55:04
Very underwhelming.
00:55:06
46 in this game to May I feel like the Broncos.
00:55:10
We're gonna try to absolutely run the ball at the Chiefs as they very well should.
00:55:14
You know, the past.
00:55:15
The Chiefs past defense is in the top five while the run defense is in the bottom five.
00:55:19
So, statistically, that's just a smart play.
00:55:22
And they might have some success with it as the 46 total state.
00:55:25
So what say you in this one, Paul? You know I'm hardcore on the chiefs right now after they ruined me a few weeks ago.
00:55:34
I'm gonna stick to my guns and I like the Chiefs minus 9.5.
00:55:40
And this also just might be the game that I promo for the bed.
00:55:45
3 65 promo.
00:55:46
We'll see, but it's but it's in consideration.
00:55:49
I just think that the Chiefs offense is too much for the Broncos.
00:55:54
The Broncos? Yeah, they'll try to slow down the game and and make it take possessions off the board for Patrick Mahomes, which we we've seen does work.
00:56:03
But I just I love the Chiefs.
00:56:05
I love their offense.
00:56:06
I love everything about them.
00:56:08
Eso and left Bells.
00:56:10
First game, which I think they'll they'll drop some some big someplace for him, where, whether it's even just a goal line, carry or they just start feeding him.
00:56:20
I think Love Bell will will be involved this week, which stinks for Clyde Edwards, the Layer owners.
00:56:27
But but it's gonna be 60 30.
00:56:31
If anything, both these guys are still playable, you know, Don't don't bench Edwards aware that don't don't be crazy.
00:56:38
He still be an enormous part of its office.
00:56:41
One thing that really, I kinda you know, gaffed at at a two first with a lot of Bell sign like this guy is one problem.
00:56:52
Probably the best pass blocking running back in NFL history like he's amazing in that aspect of the game.
00:56:58
So you're gonna be given Patrick Mahomes, even Mawr, time to throw the football.
00:57:03
Good lock, opposition.
00:57:04
But so being the great investigative journalists that I am, I had to dig into why this total is sitting at 46.
00:57:12
We got a 25% chance of snow and this on so that could certainly hold the I feel like that would hold the Broncos back a little more We actually saw last year, and I remember this because it was during the fantasy playoffs.
00:57:23
But the Chiefs and the Broncos did play in the snow in Kansas City in Kansas City.
00:57:27
Absolutely walloped him over the head.
00:57:29
And this was in the height of the Drew lock, uh, you know, successful or whatever he was doing last year, I think it was something I want to say.
00:57:39
It was like 37.
00:57:40
I, like it was not close at all S o.
00:57:43
If history repeats itself, you know that that could very well.
00:57:46
Be a I just look at this from a couple different number, like the 46 total is there, and the Chiefs were favored by 9.
00:57:52
5, which would lead you to believe that the Chiefs could probably do a t******* in this game.
00:57:57
One interesting stuff that I found to drew lock the quarterback with the second most dropped passes this season.
00:58:04
Now, you could blame that a lot of injuries or whatever, but if we're going to see the snow, uh, in this game, it's gonna be not, You know, not gonna be any better there for the Denver pass catcher.
00:58:14
So I guys kind of talking through this a little bit.
00:58:17
I kind of find myself on the Chiefs a little more.
00:58:19
Uh, yeah, I feel like that game.
00:58:22
Didn't Tyreek Hill have a massive game? S o E.
00:58:28
I am remembering this correctly.
00:58:29
I have him on one of my fantasy teams.
00:58:32
E was like, I feel like he killed them last year.
00:58:36
It was Week 15.
00:58:37
It was Week 15.
00:58:38
I remember because my buddy and I were in the match up to see who goes to the finals and yeah, that was that one.
00:58:44
So it was you were 3rd, 3rd place Al Walsh last year I waas I waas uh, those were the worst.
00:58:50
Yeah, and I lost by, like, under a point thio in that in that matchup, I think Cooper cop had, like, a garbage time touchdown against the Cowboys.
00:58:58
And then it was that one where the Falcons beat the Niners outright and Julio just got over the goal line by, like, a millimeter or whatever the hell it waas.
00:59:08
Yeah, that'll happen to me within, like, two minutes and whatever.
00:59:11
We're still friends, Luckily, but you know, that's good.
00:59:15
That's important.
00:59:16
It's important not to take you seriously.
00:59:18
You know, I'm not I'm not going to be friends with you anymore because you beat me in fantasy football.
00:59:24
Sorry, dude.
00:59:27
Hey, you know, you know, Al, you know, you were in this taking sideshow and we yell at each other a lot, so we shouldn't We're I'm done with you.
00:59:37
You laugh, You laugh.
00:59:39
But arguments are breaking up America minute by minute, and it's just not good.
00:59:44
It's not All right, let's move on to Mawr.
00:59:47
Four o'clock games.
00:59:48
The NFL has gifted us with instead of two.
00:59:51
Like last week.
00:59:52
We got a whole friggin mini slate going here.
00:59:54
But let's talk about this one first.
00:59:56
Then we get to the better games.
00:59:57
But the Jacksonville Jaguars at the Chargers Chargers 7.
01:00:00
5 point favorites here, minus 3 45 on the money line, where we've got a total of 49 points in this one.
01:00:07
If you think Jacksonville could pull the upset little net you $300 on $100 bet.
01:00:12
So any interest Paul can the Jags Let's go out west and do it.
01:00:17
I think the Jags, they're gonna be in this one and that it's going to be a much closer game than the spread is.
01:00:23
So I love the Jags, plus the points.
01:00:26
Um, I actually did the betting preview on the game day dot com.
01:00:32
Boy, they really hooked you up with the marquee matchup, huh? I picked this one to be Oh, we're general blindfold on yada.
01:00:42
I pick.
01:00:43
I can't take all the good games.
01:00:46
So So I I knew that I liked the dog here.
01:00:49
I knew that I liked them plus the points.
01:00:50
So, you know I want to show off a little.
01:00:53
So my best bet on this game is Jaguars plus 7 7.5.
01:00:57
And so my lead in was this one might not make sense to my readers.
01:01:02
So, like like, that's that's how I'm talking about this.
01:01:06
Um, but listen to this stat you love you love when we when we throw some stats out there.
01:01:11
I love that.
01:01:12
Are you ready? Tell me that you're ready.
01:01:14
All right, hold on.
01:01:17
Taking a simple waters for all our Okay.
01:01:19
Good.
01:01:20
Spotify, listen. Okay, good. You got it.
01:01:22
Okay, I'm good.
01:01:23
So since Anthony Lynn is the head coach of the Chargers, the they are 12 18 and one against the spread in games when they're the favorite.
01:01:35
Interesting.
01:01:36
But they're 18 and 13 straight up in those contests.
01:01:40
So what does that say to me? That the Chargers will likely win this game, but there is no way they're covering the spread.
01:01:48
I love the Jaguars plus 7.
01:01:49
5 in this one.
01:01:51
I know the show is called Taking Sides, but I'm gonna hop on your side of Ken.
01:01:55
I'm gonna add one more to your Anthony Lynn thing.
01:01:58
Give me as as the Chargers head coach.
01:02:02
Road underdogs.
01:02:04
13 6 and one against this. Right.
01:02:07
Nice.
01:02:08
Yeah.
01:02:09
So and inhumane E a baby.
01:02:11
Yeah, I've even seen I've seen this line of different books. That charger.
01:02:15
I'm sorry, um, Jaguars plus eight plus 8.5.
01:02:20
So if you start around, you might be able to get the best possible line there.
01:02:24
And let's keep in mind charges coming off a bye.
01:02:27
You know, for most teams, that's a good thing, but could have Anthony Lynn screwed them up a little more.
01:02:34
Yeah.
01:02:35
I mean, who knows? But when I read that stat and I saw that in three years of football games that you're they're winning, um, it's like 60% of them, but they're only covering in 30%.
01:02:47
It says so much about the way that they're coached and you see it all the time with with Anthony Lynn. I understand.
01:02:55
And you have a rookie quarterback now.
01:02:57
It's not even Philip Philip Rivers there anymore.
01:02:59
You have Justin Herbert who just in the last couple weeks, Honestly, the charges should have one three more games.
01:03:06
Yeah, but they're just finding ways to lose.
01:03:10
Where there were clearly the better team here, so I think they win.
01:03:14
But it's just too many points.
01:03:15
Love the jacks, plus the points.
01:03:16
Absolutely also, you know, there's kind of this negative connotation of traveling coast to coast.
01:03:22
Since 2003 the East Coast teams have covered 55% of the games.
01:03:28
I know that that's not, you know, an overwhelming step, but it's just not, you know, you don't wanna box this Jags team into a corner Big old there on East Coast team coming west like they have been just fun.
01:03:38
You know, in fact, since, uh, since 2000 and three, the record is this sounds better than 55%.
01:03:44
It's 107 87 and eight that they are in that span.
01:03:50
So that sounds better than 55%.
01:03:52
Just saying, Let's not dismiss the Jags just because they're traveling across the country.
01:03:56
It does sound better.
01:03:57
It's because you're saying the word 100.
01:04:00
I'm and again that that's that is a little more specific.
01:04:04
It's actually East Coast teams traveling west for the afternoon game, not, you know, a prime time or a Monday night game.
01:04:11
So keep that in mind to.
01:04:13
All right, Uh, now we're coming all the way back across the East Coast.
01:04:16
You see what I did there for the San Francisco 40 Niners at the regular Patriots? Can Patriots two point favorites in this one minus 1 25 on the money line.
01:04:26
Niners Very small there.
01:04:28
Plus 1 10 on the money line.
01:04:29
We got a total of 44 a half in this game.
01:04:32
The big news.
01:04:33
The big story in this one is you actually alluded to last time.
01:04:35
I didn't even think about it.
01:04:36
But Jimmy G s long away to return to Foxboro.
01:04:39
Save our I'm sorry, Fox two Fox Borough, Gillette Stadium now, But they're coming off a very big win in prime time against the Rams on Sunday night.
01:04:49
The Patriots, meanwhile, losing that game against the Broncos at home last week.
01:04:54
So we saw them where they were favored at the onset of Week six.
01:04:59
They were favored all the way up as much as 9.
01:05:01
5 against the Broncos.
01:05:02
Drop down to 7.5.
01:05:04
Now there are only two point favorites here at home.
01:05:06
I guess the 40 Niners anything jump out to you from the stand.
01:05:11
The fact that the Patriots have lost back to back games coming into this game is what stands out to me.
01:05:17
They're they're coached by the best coach of all time in Bill Belichick.
01:05:22
I cannot see them losing three straight and two straight at at Gillette Stadium.
01:05:26
That's you have the 40 Niners traveling cross country for this one.
01:05:31
I like the paths to win.
01:05:32
I think it's gonna be a low scoring contest.
01:05:34
So I understand.
01:05:35
You know, two point spread, three point spread, whatever it is.
01:05:37
I like Pats money line.
01:05:39
It's only like minus 1 25.
01:05:41
That's beautiful for me that I just can't see the Pats losing Ah, third straight game and a second straight game.
01:05:47
In fact, if it happens, I will.
01:05:51
I don't know.
01:05:52
I don't know what I'll do, but I'll just shake my head and be like that. Doesn't make any sense.
01:05:57
If I like.
01:06:00
I'm probably going to stay away from this game.
01:06:02
I don't I just don't like it enough.
01:06:03
But the one thing that I can say is that the Niners won't have Raheem Mostert, and we saw last week.
01:06:08
Just how much of a different team they are against the Rams.
01:06:12
You know where you got Aaron Donald just creating havoc.
01:06:14
They came up with this great game plan.
01:06:16
It just absolutely take him out of the game.
01:06:18
And, you know, let's be honest when when the Niners have mostly, there's just a better team they are.
01:06:23
They run the football able to get the play action pass going.
01:06:27
What's really funny is this week Belichick had all this, or I think it's actually last week that he had all this praise for for great Kittel.
01:06:34
So just for George Kittle, just like George, he is going to be.
01:06:40
He's probably gonna have five guys on of the entire **** game because we know Belichick loves to take away the team's best offensive threat without most in the game.
01:06:48
That's gonna be Kittel, so this could be interesting on a number of different angles.
01:06:52
Um, you know, if you think you think the Patriots, uh, my force designers to throw the ball more since they don't have most er that could, you know, Patriots defense could be really interesting here against Jimmy J.
01:07:04
Don't forget, Belichick does know him well from his days there.
01:07:07
But to me, I just don't find I don't find any value in anything here.
01:07:11
I just think that this is gonna be well, as you said, just a very low scored, uh, kind of tight football game.
01:07:17
Possibly might see a defensive touchdown on the other side.
01:07:20
And and And we kind of go from there.
01:07:23
I'm just gonna watch. This one is a fan.
01:07:25
Sit back and, you know, catch a glimpse every now and again on the Red Zone Channel.
01:07:30
Yeah, I think if I'm, I'll probably I'll probably take the Patriots money line in in some parlay.
01:07:35
But I like like Deebo, Samuel Anytime. Touchdown.
01:07:39
And I like Cam Newton anytime. Touchdown.
01:07:42
I think that both of them get have rushing touchdowns in this game.
01:07:46
I would love that as a Deebo Samuel, season long owner.
01:07:49
So you got it, baby. I got you.
01:07:52
Thank you.
01:07:53
We finally found the end zone for the first time last week.
01:07:55
So, uh, let's keep that **** going.
01:07:57
Alright.
01:07:58
Biggest game of the full.
01:08:00
Actually, the Sunday slate.
01:08:01
Now it's the prime time game.
01:08:03
It's gonna be the Seattle Seahawks who are favored by 3.
01:08:05
5 at the Arizona Cardinals Seahawks minus 1 77 on the money line while the Cardinals sit at plus 1 55.
01:08:12
Very, very zaftig total of 56 a half on this game.
01:08:17
I like something on the total, which I think we can get to a little bit.
01:08:22
But what What say you on this game? Me too.
01:08:27
My best bet is the total.
01:08:29
Please tell me you're on the over because I'm on the over while I'm on the under.
01:08:33
Oh, no.
01:08:35
I like over 50.
01:08:37
56 a half.
01:08:38
Is that the number you have? Yeah, we could make it 56.
01:08:41
If you want to make this the best bet well are let me give you my let me give you so my explanation has nothing to do with anything.
01:08:48
So listen, you'll get it.
01:08:51
The Cardinals are the only team in the NFL that hasn't hidden over okay, their own six.
01:08:56
So I'm just playing the numbers and saying they'll hit it over for the first time this season.
01:09:02
Well, I was also playing the numbers, and that was part of that was part of it.
01:09:08
That Arizona has not hit in in over this season.
01:09:12
But one thing to it's a divisional game, right? Like there's lots of familiarity between the two teams.
01:09:17
I just don't think that there's a lot that the either hasn't seen yet at this point.
01:09:22
The last five Seattle Arizona games that have been played the big toaster, uh, they have gone under the total.
01:09:29
In addition to what you mentioned, all of the Arizona Games going under the total Seattle Games have gone under, uh, in nine of the last 11 as a road favorite.
01:09:38
So look, a lot of that is gonna be, you know, pure situation and what not? But fact of the matter is, Arizona is not just this very explosive team that I think we that stigma might be right.
01:09:54
Like Kyler, Murray is very exciting.
01:09:56
They have DeAndre Hopkins.
01:09:57
Yes, all that's great and dandy.
01:09:59
But there are a lot of plays that Kyler Murray kind of just gives up on it.
01:10:02
Instead of throwing it away, he'll fall down on the ground that runs clock.
01:10:06
There's a lot of short passes that air completed that runs clock, and I know it's absolutely terrifying to take the under with a game where Russell Wilson is right now.
01:10:16
But I just think that Arizona has sort of that dink and dunk style where that can work, and I wouldn't be surprised.
01:10:23
All of Seattle kind of just backs off and lets them do that.
01:10:27
I don't know the Like.
01:10:30
I said, I'm making this pick solely Just playing the numbers game.
01:10:34
If a team with that has a good offense, they're averaging, I think 25 a game.
01:10:39
Let me let me see this.
01:10:40
Yeah, Arizona is averaging 24 a half points a game.
01:10:43
That they haven't hit it over yet is just fascinating On their playing achieved, uh, Seahawks team that's averaging 35 a half points.
01:10:52
Put those together.
01:10:53
That's 60 which, which is clearly the over eso math.
01:10:58
Yea, very good. Very good.
01:11:02
Yeah, I think that's gonna What do you think on the actual game in this one? I know, 3.
01:11:06
5 kinda.
01:11:08
We talked about it on Wednesday, where I said, you know, the road team, getting that free off there, that that's kind of a strong statement.
01:11:15
Who you back in on that end? I like the Seahawks, but I like them.
01:11:20
Money line.
01:11:21
I think it's gonna be a close game.
01:11:22
I would not be surprised if Seahawks won by three and I wouldn't take the Cardinals.
01:11:29
Um, I don't wanna lose by that hook is really what I'm worried about because you get you get the cards plus 3.5.
01:11:36
Um, where That's why I'll take Seattle.
01:11:40
They're the better team.
01:11:41
Coming off a bye week.
01:11:42
The Cardinals are coming off a short week.
01:11:45
What that says to me is, Seattle wins this game.
01:11:47
I just don't know how many how many points they're gonna win it by.
01:11:50
Fair enough. Fair enough.
01:11:52
Yeah, I'd have to agree with you there and going with Seattle.
01:11:55
Uh, that Z probably not the way that I'm gonna go.
01:11:58
I just I'm definitely going to go with the under in this game.
01:12:01
I just I can't.
01:12:03
It's a tough day.
01:12:04
It's a divisional game, and we've seen the Cardinals play extremely well against the Seahawks.
01:12:09
You mentioned it last on.
01:12:10
Are you mentioned on Wednesday where they didn't even have Kyler Murray for the second half of that week? Jesus was that Week 16 last year were they won in Seattle.
01:12:21
So you know I can't do it.
01:12:25
I think Cliff Kingsbury is kinda proven himself to be a little better than I than I thought.
01:12:30
You know, he would be here in the NFL, and there's just I think at times you have to hide this Cardinals defense.
01:12:37
I know Buddha Baker is probably one of the best in the game, but just overall I know Dallas.
01:12:43
They They look fantastic in Dallas the other night, but as well they should have.
01:12:47
They were taken on a backup offensive line and anti dog so good on them.
01:12:51
But there's gonna be a lot tougher this week's again.
01:12:54
Let's let's go with the clock.
01:12:56
You in aspect here.
01:12:58
But if you like Paul, you go with his over two way going hashtag take a side.
01:13:03
Yeah, absolutely beautiful.
01:13:05
So we got we got to this week, one for the Sunday slate, and we'll have this.
01:13:09
This is Oh, this is Sunday night.
01:13:11
I was thinking this was Monday s Oh, yeah.
01:13:13
So we'll have one for the afternoon slate, which is the Titans and the Steelers.
01:13:18
And then we'll have one for Sunday night.
01:13:19
Just so we can bust each other's balls.
01:13:21
It'll be fun.
01:13:22
Yeah, ball busting.
01:13:24
Would you like to go over the Monday night game? Let's do it.
01:13:28
I have no thoughts on it to be totally honest, where it's like I look at the game and I'm bored by it.
01:13:35
They're like, weird.
01:13:37
They're weird in between teams that don't excite me where I'm putting all of my parlays.
01:13:45
They'll all end on this Seattle Arizona game instead of having anything Monday night, and I'll just sit back, relax and try to enjoy the Monday night game like Come on it Za bears and the Rams, right? Yes, yes, that is, like, That's That's my thought.
01:14:01
It's the Bears and the Rams.
01:14:02
Like I think that's who it is.
01:14:05
Um, Nick Foles and Jared Goff.
01:14:07
Just don't do it for me.
01:14:08
What about you? I mean, it's funny, like looking at a total of 45.
01:14:13
I couple sharp people that I would, you know, trust my money with at the betting window.
01:14:19
They all really like the under, but a lot of people got this.
01:14:22
I think earlier mawr more along the lines of 47 46 a half, you know, in that range.
01:14:28
So 45 you kind of lose some luster there.
01:14:31
But that's pretty interesting to note that the Rams it is the Los Angeles Rams who rank first and explosive pass rate.
01:14:40
So if you're going to get points against this team, you got to do it with something funky down the field like that.
01:14:46
Khalil Mack is a guy that can absolutely just ruined your entire day.
01:14:50
I think with the points, I think I feel a little more comfortable going with the Bears here.
01:14:55
Uh, even if we could try to kind of get that up somewhere near plus six, if that's available at some point, I would I would feel very good with that.
01:15:02
But yeah, I just I don't think that this is gonna be an exciting game.
01:15:06
It all I know.
01:15:07
The Rams want to try to move that ball down the field.
01:15:09
They've been doing a pretty good job with running the football as well.
01:15:12
But again, this is this just a Bears defense that has been very, very good this season, and I can't I can't go against that right now.
01:15:22
Yeah, sure, I think because I find the game boring.
01:15:26
Why wouldn't I take the under and root against points? E don't make it even even better.
01:15:33
Yeah, I could definitely get down with that, but that's gonna do it for us with the football portion of today.
01:15:39
I know we've got the World Series going on the Rays and the Dodgers are tied at one game apiece.
01:15:44
Uh, you know, the Dodgers getting off to that huge leading game one, never looking back.
01:15:49
And, you know, Tampa Bay kind of doing the same in Game two.
01:15:53
I know, Paul, you've got the Dodgers for the rest of the Siri's.
01:15:57
So obviously, I I'd love to see a hit that, but me, too.
01:16:01
I got some Tampa Bay allegiance.
01:16:03
I mean, obviously one where the other it's not gonna matter.
01:16:06
It's just gonna be a great year.
01:16:08
Tampa Bay sports.
01:16:09
But what kind of what went through your mind set there with the Dodgers win in the rest of this series? You know, in addition to winning 70% of their games over the regular stuff? Yeah, it could be that there just it could be that they're the best, even baseball.
01:16:22
That's why where so after Game one, their their odds to win.
01:16:26
The Siri's went all the way up to minus 4 20.
01:16:29
So what I said to myself at that point was, I'm almost hoping that they lose Game two so that the odds swing back where it won't hurt as much.
01:16:39
So I took them.
01:16:40
I doubled down on them at minus 200.
01:16:43
Um, just because those odds, I think those are the best odds.
01:16:46
We're going to get the rest of the way.
01:16:48
Obviously, a lot can change tonight.
01:16:50
You have two great pitchers on the mound.
01:16:52
Charlie Morton is one of the best playoff pitchers of our lifetime, Like he's getting into that. Like Bumgarner.
01:16:59
He's in that Bumgarner category, Um, and Walker Buehler is just awesome.
01:17:04
You know, he is the future of the Dodgers.
01:17:07
Tonight is going to be, ah, swing game as they like to call it.
01:17:11
But I do think that look, I'm on the Dodgers tonight.
01:17:14
I think they win the game.
01:17:16
But even if the Rays go up to one, I'll bet the Dodgers again with even better odds to win the series.
01:17:23
Interesting looking at the also important pendulum of where the money is swinging.
01:17:29
Things were looking good for you.
01:17:31
Dodgers are getting three quarters of the money tonight while, you know, getting 57 percent of the public bet.
01:17:40
So both sides really like them looking at the rusty trustee, uh, total chart here, though they did get a minus 0.
01:17:48
4 decrease and implied run total.
01:17:52
So we're looking at a 4.
01:17:53
1 for the Dodgers, 3.
01:17:54
5 for the Rays.
01:17:57
I would assume a lot of that has to do with Charlie more in getting a day arrest for the bullpen, which you know, which is very underrated.
01:18:04
You know, in these covert times, a lot of these, a lot of the previous pretty much all the previous Siri's had no days arrest in between.
01:18:10
So that is really big, too, because I I mean, look, we could make the argument.
01:18:15
Both teams have the best bullpens in baseball.
01:18:17
I'd give a little edge.
01:18:19
So the raise overall, even though you know, they have been beaten at times here.
01:18:23
But, I mean, look, I'm not gonna be surprised if we finally see a a one run game and finally in this Siri's.
01:18:29
But let Z Yeah, Let's hope that the Dodgers get it done for Paulie here.
01:18:35
You know, if the Rays win, all I get is yeah, a team from the city I used to live in one.
01:18:40
That's all I get and maybe some added motivation for the Bucks.
01:18:44
But that's really no monetary gain here.
01:18:48
Yeah, look, this is a My dad grew up a Dodgers fan, so when they moved out to L.
01:18:54
A, he remained a Dodgers fan myself growing up, I was a Yankee fan, but I always rooted for the Dodgers because that was my dad's team s.
01:19:02
Oh, so that's another reason that I'm on this where I've always followed them, you know, my whole life.
01:19:08
And now I can finally enjoy them in a world.
01:19:11
Siri's where I was a little too young when they were.
01:19:14
What was that? 1988 I think, is the last time they won e.
01:19:18
I was a baby and I don't remember that.
01:19:20
But, you know, you see the what? That Kirk Gibson home run still still famous.
01:19:26
I you know, I kind of skipped over it, thinking it, but the total did go from eight down to 7.5.
01:19:34
So with these implied run total or what? The implied run total chart is telling us that, you know, probably see a low scoring game tonight.
01:19:42
So I think if you could get that total of eight, maybe go under on that one.
01:19:45
That would be probably your best bet, but, uh, yeah, obviously, Dodgers going against more in and raise going against Guler today.
01:19:53
That's just a fantastic pitching matchup.
01:19:55
So I will be tuned into that.
01:19:56
You know what's funny? Friday night now with my girlfriend and I You're supposed to be date night and like, Like, now, now, phones, computers, things like that.
01:20:05
You know, I'm gonna have the computer with World Series game on.
01:20:09
So and I am calling for an early an early dinner tonight.
01:20:13
Chinese food on the menu, by the way.
01:20:16
Very nice. What? You're what you're going to order.
01:20:18
So I am a General Chow's with steamed chicken kind of guy.
01:20:22
Okay, I'm not a big fan.
01:20:23
So healthy, unhealthy Got You know what? You know.
01:20:27
You know what it is? It's the chicken that some places use.
01:20:29
It's not always the great like sometimes you look inside, it's like purple and blue.
01:20:33
I like I like just a nice way piece of chicken.
01:20:36
That's why go.
01:20:37
And then, of course, the spare ribs and the dumplings as, uh, sides slash leftovers for the next couple of days.
01:20:46
Spare ribs on white rice.
01:20:48
You don't get any better than that, folks.
01:20:50
I love you.
01:20:51
I'm coming over for dinner tonight.
01:20:54
What you're going to with Chinese.
01:20:56
Almost wanton soup dumplings.
01:20:59
Give me some spareribs.
01:21:00
Um, I like sesame chicken.
01:21:02
I like the sesame seeds, Which doesn't? It doesn't really.
01:21:05
It's the same. Exactly.
01:21:07
Andi.
01:21:08
I am.
01:21:09
I love lo mein, like whether it's pork or beef or shrimp, just depending on my mood.
01:21:15
But I love leftover lo mein.
01:21:17
I like it cold that day.
01:21:19
That's whenever a Brit, like obviously Chinese food's great for leftovers.
01:21:24
But one of my favorites is the cold lo mein the next day.
01:21:27
Oh, my girl likes Lome, too, so you better get that tonight fighting with her.
01:21:33
But that's the be a good man.
01:21:34
Get her some lo mein and you know you have a little fun tonight.
01:21:38
She gets whatever she wants that that happens.
01:21:40
All right, let's let's wrap it up here and make sure that you guys check us out on Twitter.
01:21:46
You can follow us at taking underscore sides.
01:21:49
You could follow Paul at game day.
01:21:50
In fact, you could find myself out at 14 a dot walls.
01:21:54
Make sure you go to us.
01:21:56
Dash odds dot com and check out all my profits on there for this week.
01:22:01
I got it separated by quarterbacks, running backs and wide receivers last night, three for three in the Thursday night games.
01:22:07
So hopefully we keep that good juju rolling into this week.
01:22:10
Paul.
01:22:11
Uh, I'm sorry.
01:22:13
It's the game day dot com where they could find your articles.
01:22:17
The game day dot com is where you'll find the betting previews.
01:22:19
I'm also gonna have my first Paulie parlays parlay on us dash odds dot com.
01:22:25
Yeah, it'll be up this weekend.
01:22:28
Check it out.
01:22:29
I got a nice three teamer for you guys, but you have to go to U S.
01:22:33
Dash odds or check out their Twitter or my Twitter in order to get that pick.
01:22:38
That's the definition of Clickbait folks right there, Right.
01:22:41
The also too.
01:22:43
Don't forget about the two promo codes that we got because you're an idiot if you're not taking advantage, to be quite honest and keep in mind this thing, this is your You're not intelligent.
01:22:52
When if you don't sign up for these, so and keep in mind, folks, this is signing up for a new account.
01:22:57
So do so. At bet 3 65.
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But folks, they're important.
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01:23:22
So do so.
01:23:23
All right for me, Paul.
01:23:24
Us eyes and the rest of the interwebs We are gone.
01:23:29
Who's

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