So what is up? Guys gonna go through, um, some of the Colts keys? I think they're gonna be paramount for the victory.
Um, saying it's Miami Dolphins course.
Judge Kober set won't play.
Ah, Brian, where is gonna be starting? I don't see that much of a difference between the offenses.
I think Brian Hoyer pushed the ball downfield a little bit more.
Then then Jack Oliver said, Does, um I think Brian's a little bit more of a risk taker.
Um, of course we saw.
Last speaking, it's Pittsburgh.
Ah, he probably had He had the interception, of course in the red zone.
Push the ball downfield a couple times.
Hey, will take a few more ***.
Is he? He takes Axel Maurin decoy per set.
Does, um, he's more susceptible to going down first tackler than Jacoby is.
But I think the offense should be fine against a pretty bad Miami defense.
Um, see, I'm scared.
I'll go over first of 33 keys, I think for the offense, and I'll flip it over the defense.
So my first key, um, we gotta get back to run the football.
Specifically, moral Mac.
Um through the 1st 8 games this season.
So far, he's only got two games of over 90 rushing yards.
Ah, both of those happened week one against the Chargers.
We ran for our thing was 1/3 too.
We ran for about 1 40 then Week five against can see Chiefs, where he told me he had the ball for me had he ran it for 29 times.
Ah, for 132 yards.
I think it was thinking about We got to get back to run the ball more consistently with Marla.
Mac, Um, Miami has got a very bad rush. Defense.
They're bad over all around, but they're they're run.
Defense is their work.
Is the weaker end.
Um, that you could move off the line really easily? Um, just look at some of those stats.
Um, they're giving up 4.
7 yards per rush, the season as 27th in the NFL and their 30th in the iPhone rush yards allowed 150.
Of course. The Colts there still.
Ah, top 10 top top 10 rushing offense, averaging a Ron say about 120 130 rushing yards a game if they could get back.
Especially moral Mac, Um, for a cold sake and for my purse.
Personal safe? Because I have a fancy football.
Um, if we could get more low, Mac, um, toad in Iraq.
Well, and getting him to run the ball well, consistently getting about four, four and 1/2 5 yards.
Carrie, um, that'll be big.
Um, And of course, with Brian Hoyer in instead of Jack over set, the emphasis will be on the running game Colts A friend of all 47% of time this year.
Um, so I think that number's gonna be around 50%.
It might be up to 55%.
Um, but I trust Brian Hoyer.
I think you'll do fine that I think I figured to find this game.
Ah, but I think it's cold.
Steam is gonna rely heavily on the running game a second.
One thing that's killed a cold slice, two games and what's kept them in It's kept the opponents in the last two matchup matchups under splint play colds were ah, averaging only four penalties a game the 1st 5 or six games of the year.
They've had seven and 10 penalties and he's in each game.
Um, they can't commit costly turnovers and have understand play and penalties, not stuff.
Remember the Colts removing the ball? Well, Mill, third quarter and Marco is he has a holding call in the false start.
Backs up the offense.
Colts have the punt, they could just limit the penalties.
And the Miami Dolphins are actually first the NFL on penalties.
Um, they don't commit.
Ah, hola. Penalties are very disciplined. Team.
Don't expect them to commit a whole abilities in this game.
Or who exactly is Thea? Um the ref ref crude this week. This week.
I just know it's not Wall Anderson.
Absolutely. Hate Will Ryerson.
Um, maybe I just no costly penalties that killed drives.
You can't turn the ball over now.
You look at last week, colds had a term.
Um, you turn over in the red zone that could have led to at least three or seven points.
Um, it could give the cults of 13 a three or a 17 to 3 lead, and that probably would end of the game.
And then you think back two weeks ago against Denver, Colts were moving the ball around the 50 yard line trying to take the lead late in the game.
They end up from on the ball course.
They got the ball back, um, later in the fourth quarter and were able to get that win.
Ah, but yeah, if you could just limit turnovers, have known, Really, Um, I think a bit commit very few penalties, which I know is very hard.
It's very hard to d'oh.
It's easier said than done.
That'll be a big key.
Look into some stats, of course.
Miami is 31st Italy in turnovers.
Um, they have a negative 1.
9 turnover differential.
So they're basically losing a turnover differential by to every game.
They're committed two turnovers, tomb or turnovers in there than their opponent when they play.
Like I said, their first film penalties Um, only about five and 1/2 penalties.
So about five or six penalties a game, Uh, of course, that's best CFL, I guess.
If colts Keegan not commit costly turnovers and not commit Dr Killing, um, penalties a little big for the offense.
If they won't move the ball of course, once they get into the red zone.
Score touchdowns, too, Of course.
Um and that leads me in the last key For the offensive.
Least you guys stay headed down distance.
Can't get 1/3 long Cults of boy.
Barrett seems in third down.
Conversion rates around 43%.
That's about 10.
Best in the league for the last two weeks have been they have combined for 18 24 which is only 33%.
Um, course with a backup quarterback in, you're gonna have to stay headed down.
Assistance If you can run the ball effectively on first and second down, you're gonna be in those favorable third and 3 34 35 situations.
Well, your whole offenses is open.
Um, but if you're able to if you're not able to run the ball sorry for not able to run the ball effectively.
Um, um, yeah, just stay head down to since a while whole of ***.
The Dolphins will have a great pass rush.
They've got Christian Wilkins, who was the guy was high on coming out clumps in the draft.
Um, use pretty good talk with Charleston's and other guys.
Um, both of those guys will be after per set our Brian Hoyer.
But I think of Hoyer's able to get the ball out quickly, unbearable to run the ball.
They shouldn't get in a whole lot of third Long's, um, I want to say that Coulter about mill the pack maybe above the middle of the pack and conversion and third down and longs.
But they needed not mix today and make sure the nine of situations all on Sunday.
Um, cause I think if you're able to get it, if you're in third long as obvious past situations in the Colts won us staying this as favorable is a down and distances they can.
And, of course, if you're able to run the ball effectively on first and second down, then that leaves you and do, ah, some favorable third down situations.
We'll move into the defense keys real fast.
Sorry, where's the first ski I have down here? We gotta get to the quarterback.
Calls have been a lot better.
Get in the past, rusher.
Recently, Um, they were in the 1st 4 games.
They're really get there.
They had nine sacks.
Um, it's been kind of a different stories.
Last couple, but Justin uses a big key eyes going up against your Marcus Webb, former backup of the Colts and Evan Bayh, Mo.
Course, their backup center.
Then you call it.
They have to have big games today.
Houston's had a 2nd 4 straight games.
Had that sack fumble.
Ah, that results in a safety last week.
If he's able, they gotta get after Ryan.
Fitzpatrick is Fitzpatrick is a gun slinger.
He is gonna attack defense's downfield.
And if you're able to get, um, variable to get to him early, that's gonna force Cem.
Eric throws some bad, um, so you're gonna have to get after the quarterback and the Dolphins are bad at protecting quarterbacks.
Give up a sec about 10% of place, so one at every 10 place.
And that puts him around 30th in the NFL, which is not great.
The Colts are gonna have to get.
They have take advantage, this terrible offense line that is a front of Ryan Fitzpatrick.
And if a little romp inspectors sit back there, survey defense, he's been the league forever.
Um, if he sits back there and surveys the defense is gonna He's got pictures.
I don't see the Colts going in a manhole lot.
Um, especially against Devante.
Parker is a good man beater.
Um, I think the colts gonna sit back, play LA Zone like they did last week.
Force Ryan Pitts Fitzpatrick, uh, to throw into some tight windows.
And then, of course, with Thea the sacks, like I've mentioned, Fitzpatrick is a gun slinger, so he's going to take risk.
And if you're able to put pressure on them, that's gonna force up through bad throws. Like I said.
And that's Kelly's and said Key, which is getting us some takeaways.
Colts, of course, last week were able to get two takeaways.
Um, that was actually my bold prediction last week was two takeaways by the defense.
Um, I think if there they need to do that this week, they This is simple. A simple assistant.
Cults cannot come out or they cannot let the Miami Dolphins stay in this game.
They got it. End it as soon as they can.
Um, of course, if you're able to get the Ryan Fitzpatrick, I guess said to turnover margin for Miami is a negative 1.6.
Sorry about that.
Um, the average to give aways a game.
So this do this offense has had you can't get turnovers is offense.
But if you sit back in, the Conservatives owns and don't rush and don't pressure Ryan Fitzpatrick, he's gonna tear.
He's gonna tear his owns part.
And so the cold we're gonna have to get some takeaways.
Help Brian Hoyer in the offense, get some short fields.
Possibly there will do that last week against, um, against Pittsburgh at two short fields.
Um, for the offense results that I think it was six points or something like that s so if you're able to get some takeaways when it takeover battle, um, now be they'll help the offense and the defense both and the 3rd 1 Miami is not very good at getting is not good.
A sustaining long drives the Colts were able do this last week.
Gets pits, work make.
They were able to make Mason Rudolph go the long length.
It was a lot of dump down passes to the running back.
Um, a lot of short passes.
They had to go on long drives.
I think the Colts defense you take out the turnovers.
They only allowed nine points.
I think it's defense overall.
Has been playing a whole lot better these last five weeks.
Um, nothing gets credit to your boss here, come back and live.
This running defense has been a lot better.
They don't give a about 80 yards against the Pittsburgh Steelers last week on drives, you got to sit back in the zones.
It's Patrick and forced him to go on that 10 12 15 play, Dr.
Cause they're eventually gonna break down their 30 2017 NFL on third down conversion rate on Lee 33%.
So, you know, one out of every three, um, you're gonna have to force them to get you have to force him into third and long situations, and you're also just gonna have to force him to go.
Long drives can't allow a chunk.
Place cold has been pretty good at that the last couple weeks.
Um, to two or three chunk plays against Pittsburgh, um, allowed them to move the ball over easier if you're able to just make Ryan Fitzpatrick take all the shore underneath throws, UM, and don't be too a chunk place.
That's what the Raiders did when they came into our house.
I want to see his Week four.
They were able to get a lot of chunk plays in the running game on end around for a touchdown of the Colts are able to make Miami going the long drives.
Here's the one thing in Miami is good at their 13th in the NFL and scoring touchdowns in a red zone.
UM, 61% of time.
When they get into the red zone, they score touchdowns, which is a fairly good number, actually.
So the Colts, obviously once they get into the red zone and have stiffened up cold defense, has been doing a lot.
Barrett that, um forcing teams to kick field goals in the red zone.
I can't remember what they did against Pittsburgh last week, but against Houston, there were two of five.
Um, I think Denver was one of three or one of 41 of five.
Something like that.
It's defense has really stepped up in the red zone.
That's the key to a Tampa to zone defense is to allow everything outside the twenties.
But once you get inside the twenties in the red zone, that's when you stiffen up in force vehicles.
Um, see how those are just my three keys offense, defense, Of course.
Like I said, um, get more love, Matt.
Going again? Keep them in situational.
Um no. Under sorry.
Matt going again.
Don't allow in this one play.
Um, and don't get in the third and long situations keep be ahead there, um, down distance.
And, of course, on defense, like I said, gets to take ways.
Pressure Ryan Fitzpatrick and make them go a long way.
Long drives don't allow the chunk place.
Um, so with all that being said, Ah, like I said in this stream couple days ago after colts won 24 to 14 gets to be a little bit closer than what people think.
Um, I think Vegas has got us a 10 and 1/2 for 11 half point favorites.
So I think Miami covers that, um, be I just see this Colts defense could be playing elite level.
They're gonna force a couple turnovers.
His cold's office is gonna do just enough.
With Brian Hoyer under center, they're gonna be able to get the victory and goto six and three and retain first place in a F C South.
So that's all for the stream, guys.
Appreciate you guys coming on.
I hope you guys have a good rest today.