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Cuyahoga Falls, OH
NFL Week 3 Picks (Spread and Straight-Up)
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00:00:00
coming live.
00:00:01
Here it is. Thursday.
00:00:03
Just turned 3 57 3 57 in the afternoon on the east.
00:00:09
Do it some NFL picks.
00:00:10
I didn't. Week one picks.
00:00:11
Um, Ms Week two is pretty busy with work.
00:00:14
I'm trying to find a way to get less glare in my glasses right now, so let's do this.
00:00:19
Turn it this way.
00:00:20
Little better.
00:00:21
Not perfect anyway.
00:00:24
Did some weak one picks did pretty well, um, not that I reported that I'm here, but just in terms of how I did, general, So want to do some week three picks before I get started with everything.
00:00:36
I want to share some stuff in here because anyone who joins now or later we'll see these.
00:00:43
So the first thing is my twitter handle, and then I'm gonna throw in a link because this is where, um, as the landscape and company outside my place gets going again.
00:00:56
Um, this link here is where my spread pixar for this week.
00:00:59
I'm in some hardwood in hollywood dot com, a website I've written for the past a little bit.
00:01:05
Um, just where they're located, along with some other pickers as well.
00:01:09
My straight up.
00:01:11
Hicks are just in a CBS league, which I will not be sharing the link to because it's private link.
00:01:17
So you couldn't get in there anyway, So reposition this here a little bit to get away from the Claire.
00:01:25
Actually, do this.
00:01:27
Hang with me when we do some live adjustments to the camera.
00:01:32
Oh, not gonna do it.
00:01:33
Doesn't matter anyway.
00:01:35
Getting into the pics right now through two weeks straight up, I am 24 8 Pretty excited about that.
00:01:42
Well, I guess there's been some There was a tie.
00:01:45
Um, but I guess, overall, you know, that's a lost 24 8 Not gonna count it as a tie against the spread.
00:01:52
I am 1912 and one which in the hardwood in Hollywood League puts me second.
00:02:00
Another picker who is 2011 and one.
00:02:02
So I'm winning.
00:02:03
So far, I'm doing While straight up picks have been easy, but this week is a little tricky.
00:02:09
Um, give you a quick preview before I get in the room.
00:02:12
I have How many home teams do I have this week? I'll just do road team to have one to road teams.
00:02:19
The rest I have every single home team straight up, so that's always risky.
00:02:24
Against the Spread course, it's different, Um, still getting a lot of home teams, but not nearly as many.
00:02:32
No real simple picks this week.
00:02:34
I'd say there's a few consensus in the hardwood and Hollywood group.
00:02:38
Um, I'll get into these the Cardinal Seahawks, um, some division amongst the Browns game.
00:02:45
So even someone taking the Jets and the Dolphins in this league so very interesting.
00:02:51
So be sure to jump in and say hi, I'm gonna get going right now.
00:02:55
I just want to get in the proper order here.
00:03:00
Of course, starting with the Thursday night game, I have I have a consensus on the Thursday night game in terms of straight up and spread.
00:03:10
I am going with the JAG wires with Gardner Minshew Fun name to say, Um, they are And the spreads I'm going off, by the way, will be the ones in the linkup provided the hardwood in Hollywood picks. So we have.
00:03:25
The Jags is on point and 1/2 underdogs, So take a point halfway from the Titans.
00:03:30
I'm still going, Jack's.
00:03:31
Like I said, I have the JAG straight up a swell.
00:03:34
I think they are gonna win the night.
00:03:36
They have been playing well with Guard Dimension.
00:03:38
Of course, coming in once Nick Foles went out, they are oh into over underst 38 which is interesting.
00:03:47
I think they're gonna take it.
00:03:48
They lost by one point to the Texans last week, going for to kind of, ah, questionable play.
00:03:57
Uh, didn't seem like it was the best one, but they did it.
00:04:00
And then we won against the chief's office, 40 to 26.
00:04:04
But that's something considered Nick Foles went down.
00:04:09
Garner Minshew came in, wasn't expected to play it off. Of course he is.
00:04:12
Looks like a true Florida man.
00:04:14
Um, on ESPN, Renowned says with Swagger.
00:04:17
And that stash Minshew mania engulfs Jacksonville.
00:04:21
So other Jacksonville News Before we talk about the Titans really quick, Jalen Ramsey is playing today, which helps their odds. Of course.
00:04:31
Um, seems you know, there's a trade talk and says, Oh, these teams were interested in Jalen Ramsey.
00:04:37
Well, I think every team is interested in jail under A M.
00:04:39
C right now, So you're gonna see rumors popping up people, I mean, plays well or bad tonight.
00:04:46
It doesn't matter.
00:04:47
He's still gonna be, you know, hot commodity.
00:04:50
Big going.
00:04:51
Jax.
00:04:52
I personally witnessed the Titans. Absolutely.
00:04:55
Destroy the Browns.
00:04:56
Week one.
00:04:57
I was at that game.
00:04:58
It was miserable.
00:04:59
I had a horrible time, but they are coming off a loss against the Colts at home.
00:05:06
And, you know, the Colts are gonna be miserably bad without Andrew luck.
00:05:09
But I don't think they're gonna be that good.
00:05:11
I'm so kind of Ah, questionable loss from the Titans.
00:05:14
Another week, one went against the Browns.
00:05:17
I'm kind of a desolate.
00:05:18
It wasn't 15 to 13 game.
00:05:20
I'd like everyone to remember that.
00:05:23
And it just totally collapsed 43 to 13.
00:05:26
Still upset about that one.
00:05:27
But, you know, I don't have much faith in them coming into the season.
00:05:33
I was like a week one.
00:05:34
Browns are gonna totally destroy the Titans 43 13.
00:05:39
The final score.
00:05:40
Not good.
00:05:41
But this week I still think the Jags have it in them.
00:05:44
But if they lose this game, this might be the last time.
00:05:46
I'm really going with them because they'd be only three.
00:05:48
Doom would be setting in.
00:05:50
I think Jalen Ramsey and others would be more vocal about requesting trades.
00:05:55
So move on from that.
00:05:56
When I got Jags, I'll throw it in here.
00:05:58
Let's see.
00:05:59
We'll go Jags Street and against spread.
00:06:06
So we have.
00:06:07
That is the 1st 1 And then next we'll go in order. I have I'm here.
00:06:12
We have the Broncos at the Packers.
00:06:17
I You know that Packer spread is minus 7.
00:06:21
5, going with the Broncos against the spread.
00:06:27
Straight up, of course.
00:06:29
Ah, Who Green Bay? Um, Broncos Week One I mean and weak to really tough start for them.
00:06:37
I think last week they did get a wind stolen from them.
00:06:40
That bear ended that Bears Broncos game, of course.
00:06:43
Um a really phantom roughing the passer call on Bradley Chop tackle and manners own Midst.
00:06:48
Risky. So big fan of him.
00:06:50
But you get that call and then travesty throws complete pass.
00:06:55
Cluck essentially runs out one second.
00:06:58
Love.
00:06:59
He's calling time out the award in the time out, even though I don't think he truly had it.
00:07:02
Um, then Pinero comes in.
00:07:04
It's a game winning kick for the Bears.
00:07:06
They're kicking. Woes are over for now.
00:07:08
Um so the Bronco's our own, too, But it's kind of a deceptive owing to really played well against the Bears or scoring against that defense is pretty difficult.
00:07:19
But minus 7.
00:07:20
5, I still I mean, I guess with that, Big said, I like them with the minus 7.
00:07:25
5 against the, uh, Packers, Um, Packers are, too.
00:07:31
And now Aaron Rodgers is rolling, although I do have offered up in my dynasty league because I have Patrick Holmes is my starters.
00:07:40
I'm offering up there and rockers doesn't mean I don't have faith in Aaron Rounders, but they are to know.
00:07:44
Like I said, of course, we quite against the Bears.
00:07:46
Very sloppy win 10 to 3.
00:07:49
That defense, which the Broncos just saw very difficult for against, but even last week, Packers 21 to 16 over the Vikings. Goodwin.
00:07:58
Not a crazy, convincing win.
00:08:00
I mean, when you're only looking at the final score seven and 1/2.
00:08:04
I mean, I like to account for garbage time as well, so anything over a touchdown is always tricky because it's okay.
00:08:10
Well, the defense is up.
00:08:12
Teams up 10.
00:08:13
Give him a few ago late, doesn't really matter.
00:08:15
No onside kick.
00:08:16
So I'll put this in here as well.
00:08:19
So, of course, Packers straight up Optical Broncos against the spread.
00:08:26
There you go.
00:08:28
So right now we have Jags and Packers straight up to home teams.
00:08:31
Which is, I mention, it's kind of the theme for these pics, Um, and then Jags against the spread Broncos against spread Joe Flacco, the Broncos.
00:08:39
I don't think his job's in danger for the entire year.
00:08:42
I mean, if they're like Oh, and 10 then maybe, but he's got kind of a raw deal.
00:08:47
1st 2 games has been playing.
00:08:49
Not terrible.
00:08:52
I mean, 560 yards, two touchdowns.
00:08:57
He doesn't have the best offense with them, but they're still silent.
00:09:01
I don't think that win.
00:09:02
Of course, we're going Packer straight up, but should be close.
00:09:05
Oh, and three for them.
00:09:07
Kind of sinks motivation, chances with the Chiefs of the Chargers also in that division.
00:09:11
But so long season we'll see what happens.
00:09:13
So next up we're gonna go the Lions at the Eagles Eagles minus six and 1/2.
00:09:19
And this is an interesting pick for me because I do have Philadelphia straight up another home team, but against spread.
00:09:25
I'm going with the lions.
00:09:26
Who I completely down to the start the year.
00:09:27
I think they're gonna be terrible.
00:09:29
Um, they're not.
00:09:30
They haven't lost a game.
00:09:31
They do have a tie on the season.
00:09:32
So there, one own one.
00:09:35
Of course.
00:09:36
Tied.
00:09:37
Um, tied the Cardinals Week one.
00:09:39
They should have won the game, so they should be to an hour.
00:09:41
But then they beat the charges last week.
00:09:43
13 the 10.
00:09:45
So you're taking out a good Chargers team? You're going against the Eagles.
00:09:49
But, you know, the Lions have played well.
00:09:53
Um, he goes, of course, have played well, too.
00:09:56
But they are one in one, So I'm seeing on ESPN right now.
00:09:59
Eagles mind of six.
00:10:00
But once again, I'm going minus six and 1/2 loss of the Falcons last week on Sunday football.
00:10:07
I kind of blew it late.
00:10:08
Almost came back with a insane pass de Pasin.
00:10:11
Carson once played the game.
00:10:15
I just get scared of those big spreads, which, of course, I'll get to later when I'm talking about the Patriots and the Cowboys games, But but that kind of spread six and 1/2 gonna go lions.
00:10:27
I just I don't see any reason to doubt them.
00:10:31
With that point spread right now, they have played well.
00:10:35
And like I said something, anything against the Eagles.
00:10:37
It's just that the Lions right now, there's no reason that doubt that that much So I'll throw in.
00:10:41
Here we go.
00:10:42
Philly straight up, which I think is probably a common pick.
00:10:45
Um, all the lines against spread Like I said, my spread records been pretty good this year so far.
00:10:51
So just that one tie so moving on from that one.
00:10:56
Not much for me to say.
00:10:57
I just I just think it's gonna be It's too tough toe put money that the Eagles are gonna cover six and 1/2.
00:11:04
So moving on to the next game, we have Baltimore, Kansas City.
00:11:08
This is another really tough pick against spread, so it's minus six and 1/2 Kansas City straight up.
00:11:16
Once again, it's upset 10 times.
00:11:18
I'm going with the home team.
00:11:19
I'm going with the chief's another home, another home pick straight up.
00:11:24
But against the spread ongoing Ravens six and 1/2 the Chiefs have been rolling put up 40 week one last week.
00:11:32
They come out, put up all 28 1/4 against the Raiders.
00:11:35
The chief's defense, of course, shut down the Raiders, which isn't too difficult.
00:11:40
They only allowed a total of 36 points this season, but they're going against Lamar Jackson, who's been tearing it up.
00:11:45
And this is gonna be really his proven game because the chief's defense.
00:11:50
It's not like they're going against the Bears.
00:11:52
But it is a big game.
00:11:53
It is a game where it's all right, but Patriots of probably the top team in the NFC right now, or saying Who's number two? Chiefs or Ravens? Straight up, I'm going Chiefs.
00:12:02
I don't see any reason to go against the Chiefs in any game this year.
00:12:07
They do play the Patriots, though, so we'll get to that later on when it arrives in the season.
00:12:12
But at least right now, I don't see any reason to bet against the Chiefs straight up.
00:12:17
At least, um, Ravens been playing well.
00:12:21
I'm scared as a Browns fan from the grounds by the Ravens next Sunday in Week four, Um, they have come out, you just They beat the Dolphins so bad the 11 Dolphins players wanted to be traded.
00:12:34
Um, course of dolphins are truly terrible, so I don't know if that's a good benchmark to judge.
00:12:39
How you know how good they really are? Are the Ravens, That is.
00:12:43
Last week they beat the Cardinals 23 to 17.
00:12:47
So not a convincing them.
00:12:48
But once again, how good are the Cardinals? We don't know.
00:12:52
I think the Ravens will step up this week.
00:12:54
I don't think they're gonna win, but I think it should be a shootout game.
00:12:59
Don't see why they can't cover six and 1/2 keeping a close if it's, ah, 13 point deficit late or 12 point. Whatever. 10.
00:13:07
I think they'll get a touchdown.
00:13:09
Keep it close.
00:13:10
But once again, I don't think they are going to pull off a victory straight upstairs.
00:13:13
Okay, see? Straight up And ravens against the spread.
00:13:21
Chummy game sits in for four.
00:13:22
On that note.
00:13:23
I am going to shut these blinds, so hang with me for two seconds while I switch this to get the glare off of my glasses.
00:13:33
This is what you do in your streaming.
00:13:35
You gotta just so anyway, that's what you do when you don't have a good studio set, so that helps a little bit.
00:13:42
Um, now we just have to hope that cat doesn't jump up. So still, get some player.
00:13:45
But that's what you wear.
00:13:46
Glasses. That's gonna happen. Anyway.
00:13:48
Back to the pics.
00:13:51
We have a personal favorite of mine, Um, Cincinnati at the Buffalo Bills.
00:13:57
The bills are personal favorite of mine because I did cover them for about 16 months.
00:14:02
I'm a buffalo down in the fan side of network.
00:14:06
Um, I'm a Browns fan forever about covering the bills and you cover any team.
00:14:10
I'm kind of a lovable loser team as well.
00:14:14
You're gonna You're gonna get attached.
00:14:16
So I like the bills.
00:14:17
So straight up home buffalo, you know, Baltimore dependent poplar.
00:14:22
Cincinnati came out week one.
00:14:25
Played the Seahawks really tough.
00:14:26
Probably should have won that game.
00:14:28
Um, and that had people really riding high on them, saying Zack Taylor is turning around down there, their own to you now.
00:14:36
They didn't get absolutely destroyed by the 40 Niners s, which who I thought, you know, in my straight up pick him, Lee.
00:14:44
A lot of people went bangles, and I was like, I think the 40 Niners are going to be pretty good this year.
00:14:48
They expose the Bangles Bengal Zone two at the bottom of that division with this dealer's, of course, both teams dealing with the trees stealer Shelby more so than the Bangles.
00:14:58
But after a loss like that, I mean, they're going into Buffaloes.
00:15:02
Buffaloes home opener.
00:15:05
They've taken on both New Jersey teams.
00:15:07
Not New York teams as Josh Allen pointing out last week, Um, I just don't see why the Bills would lose.
00:15:14
You know, the Giants stink.
00:15:16
Um, the Jets Week one had Sam Darnold.
00:15:18
They think now, huh? Bills beat him.
00:15:23
I don't think the bangles air.
00:15:24
I think they're gonna be a top eight pick team.
00:15:27
They're not very good.
00:15:28
I'm sending some more changes down there just straight up.
00:15:31
I am going buffalo.
00:15:33
But to completely contradict myself against the spread, I am going bangles on the on.
00:15:38
Lee won in my spread league, which I shared earlier.
00:15:41
What hardwood in Hollywood going with the bangles, who we have marked at, uh, six point underdogs.
00:15:49
You know, they get some points for being at home.
00:15:52
They did get killed by the 40 Niners.
00:15:54
But the Bills are not gonna run you out of the stadium with points.
00:15:58
I think their defense will hold the bangles and check, but it should be close.
00:16:03
They've kept it close.
00:16:05
I mean, Josh, Alan, I really think is pretty good quarterback.
00:16:10
I think he's very underrated because of the city's he's in.
00:16:13
If he was in even Cleveland or on the Giants or Jets, maybe he'd be getting more publicity.
00:16:20
I mean, they beat the Jets by one point with a nice comeback to beat the Giants by 14.
00:16:27
I think it'll be close enough to go with the Bangles here.
00:16:30
I still think the Bills won't win.
00:16:32
Um, some put this in here.
00:16:33
We'll go bills straight up in bangles against spread.
00:16:37
This is one remark as confident in against the spread.
00:16:40
Um, of course, in the hardwood and Hollywood pickup league, I'm the only one taking the bangles, and it looks like out of all the games, that's the only one where I'm the single out liar.
00:16:51
So that was almost consensus.
00:16:53
Everyone going bills.
00:16:55
But you see, the bangles got killed last week, but then they nearly beat the Seahawks on the road in Week one.
00:17:00
So it's another scenario.
00:17:01
Who is this team? What is their identity? We don't really know for sure yet.
00:17:05
So that's where I'm kind of coming from there.
00:17:08
It's always tough to pick early in the season, but it's especially tough when a team comes out does so well.
00:17:15
And then they lay an egg that followed.
00:17:17
You don't really know who's who.
00:17:20
Just yes, I don't think the Bangles are good, but then again, maybe the bill stink.
00:17:24
Uh, maybe just be too bad.
00:17:26
Teams in New Jersey, Um, and that's that's will move on those air not to teach to him.
00:17:34
Highlight reel teams so far.
00:17:37
Next game.
00:17:39
Another tricky one for me.
00:17:41
So Falcons of the Colts, the Colts come in is pointing 1/2 favorites, Which is surprising to me.
00:17:47
They did win last week there with that Andrew Luck, but I think the Falcons are better than they're getting credit for.
00:17:55
You know, they did take down the Eagles on Sunday Night Football straight up.
00:17:59
This is my one of my two road picks, so it isn't Indianapolis.
00:18:04
I'm going with the Falcons straight up and then against the spread.
00:18:08
I'm also going with the Falcons? Uh, point me, have favorites, but I just think they're gonna win.
00:18:13
All right? So as underdogs doesn't matter.
00:18:17
I don't see why the Colts are getting, you know, they are at home.
00:18:22
Falcons did struggle Week one, but I just don't think the cold, sir, that good? Um, you know, lost of the Chargers. Week one.
00:18:31
Kept it close.
00:18:32
Darius Leonard is still out with a concussion right now.
00:18:36
You know, All pro defender as a young player.
00:18:40
Him being out hurts.
00:18:42
They're going up against you know, any time you go up against Julio Jones is gonna be a struggle.
00:18:47
Didn't beat the Titans last week.
00:18:48
But once again, Titan's, um there reputation might be inflated by the fact that they woke the Browns week one of the game.
00:18:56
That kind of fell apart at the end for Cleveland.
00:18:59
So I'll throw it in here right now.
00:19:00
I'm still talking about it.
00:19:01
We'll do Falcon straight up and against the spread.
00:19:05
I just think the Colts had, you know, hi.
00:19:07
His hot start to the season without Leonard, that's gonna be difficult.
00:19:12
Get some spring in around champ here.
00:19:14
So I think without him That'll be tough.
00:19:16
Of course, that's still as of right now.
00:19:18
It could change.
00:19:20
Just don't don't see all of the Colts height.
00:19:24
I know a writer, fellow writer of mine.
00:19:27
I read it. Believe in ball covering the Indians.
00:19:30
It's a Colts fan, and you know, he has been going through all the emotions every Colts fan has gone through so far about losing Andrew Luck and jump around.
00:19:37
The true B percent trained.
00:19:38
But I just think that the Falcons, after taking down the Eagles, should be big favorites in this, Um, but apparently they're not, so we'll move on to the Raiders game.
00:19:52
Raiders at Minnesota Raiders, lost last week to the Chiefs, just struggled throughout.
00:19:59
They're eight and 1/2 point underdogs, and in our Pickem league, every single team went Raiders and eight and 1/2.
00:20:06
But straight up, as you can imagine, I'm taking the fight kicks with this friend like that.
00:20:11
Raiders Week one got the exciting wind took down the Broncos on the second Monday Night Football game.
00:20:18
Vikings are a little better.
00:20:19
Um, that's so that all the teams intersect right now.
00:20:23
They beat the Falcons 28 to 12 weeks one made the Falcons look like garbage.
00:20:27
Then last week they lose the Packers 2116.
00:20:30
So which team are we getting there? Not going crazy on offense.
00:20:34
The defense has done well so far, but with that big of a point spread, the was eight and 1/2.
00:20:45
I I think the Viking should easily win 678 points.
00:20:49
Brown thing is gonna go over that.
00:20:51
I mean, you're looking at the Raiders.
00:20:52
You're saying, Oh, well, they lost us.
00:20:54
We give it rough games against the Chiefs.
00:20:56
She's put up.
00:20:57
You know, I think my home spit up like legendary numbers in the section quarter.
00:21:01
Demoralizing.
00:21:02
It's tough.
00:21:03
You're probably going in Not gonna beat the Chiefs.
00:21:06
Um, so I think this week, different mindset completely.
00:21:11
They should keep it close.
00:21:14
They could even win it.
00:21:15
I don't think they will, but they certainly do have the town.
00:21:18
They showed a weak one against the Broncos team that is struggling.
00:21:23
But of course, as I said, could be too No, although they are open to currently, um, just seems odd to me that it's that high.
00:21:30
Of course, the oddsmakers are usually pretty spot on.
00:21:33
Um but this one I don't really I don't get entire Least let me throw this in here.
00:21:39
So I'm gonna do Vikings straight up Raiders against the spread.
00:21:44
It just seems to hide of me.
00:21:46
Um, as of right now, that's why I think it is a consensus pick in our hardwood in Hollywood. Pick in weeks.
00:21:53
So now we get to move on to the two fun games that I always I always said doing pick him, pools, everything.
00:22:00
A three touchdown spread I usually try to avoid.
00:22:03
But the 1st 1 we're talking here, his Jets Patriots.
00:22:07
So the Browns just beat the Jets by 20 points in a game.
00:22:11
They played horrible in grounds.
00:22:15
Probably would have lost most games Monday night when they beat the Jets because Trevor seeming was out there and 10 Miles Garrett crunched him.
00:22:23
Um, he left with an injury.
00:22:25
Looked worse.
00:22:26
I think it is, but, um, I was able to walk up.
00:22:28
That was nice.
00:22:29
Luke Falk came in.
00:22:31
It stood no chance.
00:22:32
So we're talking a 22 and 1/2 spread in favor of the Patriots.
00:22:39
This is one of those games were at the start.
00:22:40
If it's going slow.
00:22:42
And you bet on the Jets were going Oh, my God, This is gonna work out.
00:22:45
But I don't think I think it's gonna be a total disaster for New York.
00:22:51
Um, the Patriots, by the way, have on Lee dominated to start the season.
00:22:56
So they, of course, open up with a 33 to 3 win over the Steelers.
00:23:01
Follow that up with a 43 to nothing victory over the Dolphins.
00:23:06
Once again making Dolphins players want to be traded.
00:23:08
The Patriots schedule, by the way, is just far too easy.
00:23:13
So they have this game against the Jets.
00:23:14
Would stay should absolutely destroy them.
00:23:15
Then they have the bills, which is, you know, the Bills were playing better, but still, Patriots could be favored.
00:23:20
Nothing at the Redskins Giants Jets again.
00:23:24
So they may be putting up 30 point wins in all those games.
00:23:27
Then they have the Browns and then the Ravens and Eagle.
00:23:30
So it gets tougher at the second half of the season.
00:23:31
But 1st 7 games Oh, my.
00:23:34
They might have this type of point spread several times.
00:23:37
One forward.
00:23:38
The Jets are I don't even know if the Jets are going to score any points in this game, and that's something saturation with Luke folk out there.
00:23:47
He's gonna have a whole week to prepare.
00:23:48
But it's the Patriots were talking about, so I did something out of character for myself.
00:23:54
As we have guessed, this is not the time character part.
00:23:57
I took the Patriots straight up against a spread with a 22 and 1/2.
00:24:01
I'm going patriots in my pick and linguine one person Go, Gents.
00:24:04
I believe he is a Jets fan, though, so he has a little extra belief.
00:24:09
But there should be no reason why this is within 30 points.
00:24:13
And sometimes you say, Oh, well, maybe, you know, maybe it'll be close because you're not gonna run up the score, But they're so good that they're just gonna keep putting in touchdowns again.
00:24:26
It's a division game, too, so they're not gonna ease up at all.
00:24:30
Uh, let me throw this in here.
00:24:31
This is just It's when I don't like to do with that big of a point spread, but it's just it's gonna be miserable.
00:24:41
It's not having fun.
00:24:42
The launch, especially if you're a Jets fan, just gonna be bad all around.
00:24:49
So moving on to another huge sprint, we have Miami and Dallas.
00:24:56
Miami comes in is 21 a half point underdogs.
00:24:59
Oh, boy.
00:25:01
Course they lost 59 10 and then, So they've essentially that.
00:25:06
They've played two of the three best teams in the NFC to start the season.
00:25:11
I got killed by the Ravens.
00:25:14
I got killed by the Patriots, and now they get to take on the Dallas Cowboys.
00:25:20
So they've scored 10 points this season.
00:25:23
Their defense has allowed you to do some quick math average Arliss see? So it's 100 to 102 points so far, that's an average of 52 or 51 per game.
00:25:36
Josh Rosen is starting that news just dropped to nine minutes ago.
00:25:40
I feel bad for Josh Rosen.
00:25:43
He's kind of has a bathroom.
00:25:45
I'm have to start with the Cardinals last year gets traded than Miami, who is one of the worst teams we've seen in a long time since I was 16 Brows.
00:25:53
But even the old 16 rounds didn't get absolutely destroyed, like the Dolphins have so far.
00:25:58
So there's a little um, good news of your Browns fan holding up a reputation, um, of years past.
00:26:05
But they're going against the Cowboys, who are very good, that type of spread.
00:26:11
I'm more comfortable taking Cowboys in this one than I am Patriots and the other one, which may sound backwards to some fans.
00:26:18
But the Dolphins are just horrible.
00:26:21
You know.
00:26:22
The Cowboys had 18.
00:26:23
1 week one against the Giants won by 10 last week against the Redskins.
00:26:27
But so the Redskins and the Giants are bad, but the Dolphins are a whole new level.
00:26:31
They trade just traded. Make a Fitzpatrick.
00:26:33
They're getting rid of all their talented players.
00:26:35
No one wants to play there through the young guys do because they're getting a shot.
00:26:39
But it's just really bad.
00:26:41
Bad. The sea.
00:26:42
The Cowboys Cowboys were at home in this one, but there's not even much ****ysis needed in general from anyone that Dolphins were just terrible.
00:26:53
So we'll do Cowboys straight up and against the spread, so they've put up 10 points all season.
00:27:02
Now they've got against two good teams, but just pick sixes from Fitz Magic.
00:27:07
Disastrous defense.
00:27:08
Terrible on offense.
00:27:09
It's got to be. I don't know how they prepare.
00:27:11
You have a first year head coach Brian Flores, who's just inherited a terrible situation.
00:27:16
I want to say I feel bad for him, but at the same time, you know he is NFL coach, so I'll feel bad if they fired kind.
00:27:24
Like what? Steve Wilkes on Arizona.
00:27:26
Never really stood a shot, um, to do much out there, which is never good.
00:27:31
Like, why you hiring someone just to fire them? Because they didn't do good when you were tearing down the team, so I was kind of bizarre to me.
00:27:42
When that happens, eh? So those are the two big spread games going with the favorites in those which I usually try to avoid.
00:27:48
So moving on to some more competitive pigs, we have 12347 months.
00:27:55
So just over halfway with the two crazy blowouts that we expect, So next game is kind of a toss up in terms of art.
00:28:03
My pick of Leak here it's Giants at the box.
00:28:06
Of course, Daniel Jones is getting the start for the Giants.
00:28:10
The Bucks are six and 1/2 point favorites there, another confusing team.
00:28:14
But I am going with the Bucks in this one.
00:28:16
I'm going with them both against the Spread and straight up.
00:28:21
Daniel Jones is making his first start, and it's very possible he comes out and dominates sake.
00:28:26
Want Barclay is a big game, which I think he will anyway.
00:28:30
Just depends if him.
00:28:31
His big game is complemented by a big passing game for the Giants, which is always the issue.
00:28:37
But I just can't give him.
00:28:38
I just don't have confidence in him right now because we haven't seen anything from him.
00:28:42
And if you're betting, it's kind of tricky to go with someone like that, we haven't seen a single game from accept pre season, which is totally different.
00:28:50
We're talking about a Bucks team.
00:28:53
They're 14 point loss in week one to the 40 Niners.
00:28:56
Looks a bit better now.
00:28:57
After we saw how big will, when the 40 Niners had, um, we two against the Bangles.
00:29:03
The Bucks did pull off a win last Thursday night against the Panthers are coming off that extra rest, going against a giant steam that it's just torpedoing towards the top of the draft.
00:29:15
I think this is a game where it's not a you know Maybe the Giants were ketchup on garbage time.
00:29:20
I think it's gonna be a rough game for Daniel Generalists.
00:29:23
The Bucks gonna bring a ton of pressure all game long.
00:29:25
He's gonna be throwing a lot of dump off passes sake. One. Barkley.
00:29:31
He even if he plays well, I don't think it's gonna be in a winning effort unless the only way is if Jameis Winston comes out and just throws three pick sixes or something crazy like that, which I don't think what happened is totally within his character to dio.
00:29:45
But I do not foresee that happening.
00:29:47
So I'm going to go with the bucks in this straight up AM against Spread.
00:29:53
See, I just have no faith in the Giants right now.
00:29:56
Even if, of course, if Eli was so starting, certainly wouldn't have faith McDaniel.
00:30:01
John's going to see what happens, See if have fancy right to boom during the draft or if he's gonna prove them wrong.
00:30:08
You're moving on from that one, that one.
00:30:10
Like I said, that was, uh, five people in my, uh, spread pickem laying with three with the bucks.
00:30:16
To what? The Giants next one is a consensus pick in a bit of a surprising fashion.
00:30:20
It's the Panthers at the Cardinals, and at the time of when we had our pick submitted course, this is gonna be changed.
00:30:29
We had the Cardinals were two and 1/2 point underdogs.
00:30:33
Now that has completely flipped where the Cardinals are favorites.
00:30:37
By that margin, I'm going off them as the underdogs, which makes it a lot easier.
00:30:43
But even with them is two and 1/2 point favorite.
00:30:46
I still do like the Cardinals in this one because we don't have Cam Newton.
00:30:50
So not only did Canyon and the Panthers lose the Bucks last Thursday night, but he is out now.
00:30:57
He's out for this game.
00:30:58
Kyle Allen is in.
00:31:00
And of course, there's a kind of a goofy graphic on Twitter that the Panthers made.
00:31:05
So if I have to go in, I'll be ready.
00:31:07
Chi on, Um, you know, really hoping he does well.
00:31:12
But the Cardinals have looked pretty good time.
00:31:16
The Lions Week one.
00:31:18
That was kind of an odd game, and I was watching it, you know, and a bar after the Browns game, I was sulking.
00:31:24
Um came back in time that one did lose the Ravens last week was only 23 to 17.
00:31:30
I'm going up against one of the best teams in football now.
00:31:32
You're going up against a team.
00:31:33
We just lost. Two. Starting quarterback.
00:31:35
The offense is kind of built around Cam Newton, of course, as a quarterback, but his running ability as well with them as underdogs, Cardinals easy pick with them was two and 1/2 point favorites.
00:31:47
I still think it's an easy pick because no matter how good the Panthers defense is, their offense is not gonna be moving the ball.
00:31:55
I couldn't move it with Newton.
00:31:57
I don't think they're gonna really move it with Adam.
00:32:00
It stinks because the Panthers already owing to um, of course, it lost to the Bucks week when they lost the Rams in a 30 27 game.
00:32:10
It's just not good.
00:32:12
Um, I wish they were better there.
00:32:16
A fun team, especially Cam Newton's healthy.
00:32:18
But like I said, this is game in the pickup league where everyone's going.
00:32:21
Cardinals on these pics were submitted before the Newton injury was announcer.
00:32:26
We still had cardinals already.
00:32:28
Now we have cardinals with them as the favorites, so with this in here.
00:32:33
It's kind of weird taking the Cardinals after the year they had last year.
00:32:39
But Carla Murray's looked solid.
00:32:42
Of course, Does Larry Fitzgerald out there is old, reliable David Johnson, who is a either a fancy star.
00:32:48
Fancy does depending if week to week I'm gonna how they use them.
00:32:51
But that's an easy straight up pick.
00:32:54
I think, Um, sometimes you look at an Owen to team and say, What are the Panthers really gonna fall? I own three.
00:33:00
If Cam Newton was playing, I'd say no.
00:33:02
But with Kyle on out there and I don't think they really stand a chance and if you're betting on it certainly should not that guy making to start like that, have a spot start.
00:33:12
So moving on, we have another consensus pick because we have yet another quarterback who's out and I'm looking mother picks.
00:33:20
I kind of have a silly picking here.
00:33:22
We'll get to that a second, Um, which I knew I did. It was an accident.
00:33:26
But anyway, with another consensus pick, its New Orleans at Seattle, Seattle minus four.
00:33:31
Um, the Saints, they're gonna have Teddy Bridgewater starting this game.
00:33:36
I would like to see more taste that mail.
00:33:37
Honestly, um, you're paying Teddy so much money.
00:33:42
So we get to it here.
00:33:44
Seahawks Onley minus four.
00:33:45
Because, I mean, that shows a lot of faith.
00:33:47
Either it shows the faith that oddsmakers have in the stands with Bridgewater or a lack of faith in the Seahawks.
00:33:54
So for me, this was an easy one.
00:33:56
Straight up, I think the Seahawks spread. I took the Seahawks.
00:34:00
Teddy Bridgewater has not really played meaningful football off, aside from last week in almost four years are gonna seasons.
00:34:08
Um, they can get a little bit screwed over against the Rams.
00:34:13
Us.
00:34:14
We get a touchdown call on them.
00:34:16
Should have been a touchdown.
00:34:17
Play was blowing dead.
00:34:18
I saw this happen to the Browns last year.
00:34:20
Very frustrating when this happens.
00:34:22
Um, but still, the final scores 27 to 9.
00:34:26
They did beat the Texans, weak one, but it was because the Texans totally collapsed at the end of the game on defense.
00:34:33
Should have stop the saints.
00:34:35
Answer.
00:34:36
Scoring a big touchdown from to Shawn Watson.
00:34:39
They blew it.
00:34:40
So there is to say it.
00:34:41
Really, Um, I don't I don't have confidence in the Saints minus four, especially on the road against Seattle.
00:34:48
Seattle's to know they did beat the Bangles Week one at home.
00:34:52
Week two.
00:34:53
They beat the Steelers, 28 26 in a close game.
00:34:55
So maybe that is where the fear comes in.
00:34:58
The civil Mason Rudolph was in for the Steelers Have this ****s all the win by two.
00:35:03
I mean, Mason would have played well, and you don't really have the chance of game plan against him.
00:35:07
You know the running plays that worked well for him.
00:35:10
Big Ben. So putting a little bit.
00:35:12
So, you know, for me, that's the Seahawks.
00:35:15
Get the benefit of taking on another team that's missing its quarterback.
00:35:19
Teddy Bridgewater has been good in the past, but we don't know how good he is now.
00:35:24
And I can't give faith in a four point favorite.
00:35:27
Are four point spread in one of the toughest places to play for a guy who's barely played, um, past several years.
00:35:35
So punches in here, Seahawks straight up against the Spread, which is a common theme for me this week, which, you know when I see my straight a picture I'm taking mostly home teams.
00:35:47
Let's give me a lot of spread favorites as well.
00:35:51
So right now, the only difference is we have.
00:35:53
I have the Broncos against the spread with the Packers straight up, I have the Lions against this friend with really straight up.
00:36:00
I guess there's not too many differences.
00:36:01
Just been as a plate bangles against us.
00:36:04
Fred Bill. Straight up. Ravens against spread.
00:36:06
Casey Straight up.
00:36:08
Um, Viking.
00:36:09
Straight up traitors against the Spread.
00:36:11
I've just been my last 12345 picks have all been the same, so you know it's gonna happen.
00:36:18
And I'm almost at my second, um, second, other road pick.
00:36:26
But it's actually more than a football, so we get to that in a minute.
00:36:29
So right now, every game except the Falcons are the Falcons beating.
00:36:34
Where am I here? Falcons beating the Colts? That's not one road team who I have favored straight up.
00:36:41
We'll get to the other one, just one inevitable.
00:36:44
But for now, we just have the Seahawks.
00:36:45
Next game is one that was almost a consensus in my Pickem league.
00:36:49
It's the Texans at the Chargers Chargers who aren't really You don't have a home field advantage.
00:36:55
Um, are three point favorites Straight up is you may have guessed I have the Chargers.
00:37:00
You know, Houston should have one week One.
00:37:03
They played well, A I mean, they didn't get screwed over at all.
00:37:09
They just got a late touchdown, and then the defense that Well, let's get close enough for a field goal.
00:37:14
I mean, it was still pretty far, but no real excuse for that.
00:37:20
Um, so they lose that one difficult loss, but they bounce back, But with only a 13 the 12 win over the Jaguars.
00:37:29
I'm Gardner Men shoes in.
00:37:30
You mean the Jacks? You have a good defense.
00:37:32
Of course, my change of Jalen Ramsey is on the way out, but 13 12 win over that team isn't too inspiring.
00:37:42
So you're taking out of Chargers team that, you know, for me? I don't think of them as an A F C favorite.
00:37:50
I would put the Patriots chiefs and ravens ahead of them, but in a lot of predictions, you see the Chargers as a favorite to win the conference.
00:37:57
Um, I guess I should say a lot.
00:37:59
But you see, some, um I don't think they're that good.
00:38:04
But of course, awesome.
00:38:05
Claire is tearing it up, which I keep trying to trade for him and fancy leagues.
00:38:10
And no normal bunch.
00:38:12
But the Chargers last week 13.
00:38:13
The 10 lost against the Lions.
00:38:15
Week 1 30 24 Win against the Colts.
00:38:18
Of course, without Adrian. Look.
00:38:19
So charges coming is preseason hotshots.
00:38:24
Tough loss last week, But once again, I think that Lions are gonna be better than maybe some outside of Detroit expected.
00:38:30
I thought they'd be the worst team in their vision.
00:38:33
It doesn't look like that's going to the case.
00:38:35
Looks like it's just gonna be a really tough division.
00:38:37
The Bears might end up being the worst team out of that division.
00:38:40
Should already be on, too, if not for some help in Denver.
00:38:43
So I guess my point is I'm sticking with head preseason prediction.
00:38:48
I'm going Chargers against the spread.
00:38:50
I'm going charges straight up at home.
00:38:53
The Texans have not given me any indication that they are a true contender.
00:39:00
I mean, even in their own division, it's still up in the air.
00:39:04
I mean, if the Jaguars get a win tonight and they're one and two.
00:39:07
They're right back in the race, Um, Colts Air.
00:39:10
Still looking good enough to compete for now.
00:39:14
Titans get that big win over the Brown, so you don't know who's who in that division.
00:39:19
Texans still need to prove that they're the dominant team, if they even are.
00:39:24
But against the Chargers, I don't see that happening with a spread this close.
00:39:29
Gonna favor the home team Got a favor? The team that has the veteran quarterback and Rivers? Um, I don't trust Bill O'Brien's teams ever.
00:39:37
We'll never bet on him, especially on the postseason.
00:39:40
But moving on this is a pick where I didn't slip up.
00:39:45
I think I forgot in general.
00:39:47
How good of 40 Niners and look, It's Pittsburgh at San Francisco, San Francisco minus six and 1/2.
00:39:53
I took the 40 Niners straight up the way they've been playing Ben Roethlisberger out for the Steelers.
00:40:00
James Connor banged up.
00:40:01
I should be playing with banged up going with the 40 niner straight up, but against the spread, I have the Steelers and as I look now ago, maybe I should have changed that, but I know where I was coming from.
00:40:14
Mason Rudolph nearly love the Steelers children against Seahawks.
00:40:18
The Niners have had, you know, they took on the bangles who looked good Week one, you know? How good are they? We're not too sure.
00:40:29
Um, I like Jimmy Garoppolo on the Niners, but I think I might just have kind of a PTSD of the Steelers.
00:40:39
No matter who's quarterbacking.
00:40:40
Always beating up the Browns.
00:40:42
So six and 1/2.
00:40:43
I think Mason Rudolph is better than we take him to be right now.
00:40:46
He's feeling in for Ben Roethlisberger.
00:40:48
You're automatically gonna go.
00:40:49
How is this gonna go? You know it's gonna go poorly, but they're gonna have a game plan for him.
00:40:54
He was drafted to be our office burgers successor.
00:40:58
They took him when Roethlisberger was considering retirement.
00:41:00
Which he does like every year.
00:41:02
Um, but six and 1/2 against the 40 Niners team. That's unproven.
00:41:07
No, of course last year is tough to count because Grandpa went out with that injury, season ending knee injury.
00:41:15
I need to see this Steelers look bad before I really think look bad against a team like a Niners.
00:41:21
They looked terrible against the Patriots, but the Patriots might be even better than they've ever been this year.
00:41:28
So that's tough to gauge.
00:41:31
The 40 Niners are more even match up to say, Okay, are the Steelers with basing it off? Gonna be untrue rebuild mode? Or is she going to keep them playing well enough to maybe scrounge up 89 wins, maybe fight for a wild card spot? So, for me, let's do 40 Niners switch Tosu on straight up to give a simple and Steelers against the spread.
00:41:54
Tricky game.
00:41:55
I'm the only one of the hardwood in Hollywood pics pull to make that pick with the Steelers, but there have been so good for so long.
00:42:03
I need to see some actual events and have my black and go then, um, not for the Steelers, but I'm just a separate shirt, so I want to see how bad they look or how bad they don't have a good look before I can really say, Oh, they're done.
00:42:19
So moving on to the Sunday football game Oh, board you may have guessed from my pig is, huh? As Rams of Brown's Rams air on Lee three point favorites.
00:42:33
I'm a homer.
00:42:34
This is a straight homer.
00:42:35
Pick Brown straight up rounds against Spread.
00:42:38
They have shown nothing to warrant this.
00:42:40
I'll admit that they did.
00:42:42
I mean, they do have the 20 point win over the Jets, and I've fallen in the trap of going.
00:42:46
Oh, well, they looked bad, but the Browns never get 20 point wins.
00:42:50
That's one of the most rip things in sports.
00:42:52
Is the Browns getting 20 point wins? The Rams haven't looked great.
00:42:59
They are coming off a Super Bowl.
00:43:01
So there's the tricky thing.
00:43:02
Oh, that pesky Subaru all, Um, I'm gonna discard the Browns Week one game, you know, They played terrible, too.
00:43:12
Hyped up.
00:43:14
All the above.
00:43:15
It was 15.
00:43:16
The 13 on one point should have been 15 14 because of this extra point, but 15 to 13 total collapse.
00:43:23
Wheels fall off 43 to 13 to find score.
00:43:26
Baker start picks defense, and they make it 15 to 13.
00:43:30
And then the next place like an 80 yards three touchdowns to Derrick Henry.
00:43:34
Just a disaster.
00:43:36
So we're describing that there went against the Jets very difficult to gauge how good they were in that because the Jets are so bad.
00:43:43
So I'm taking them like I said straight Homer pick.
00:43:47
But also, you know what? It's only a three point spread, so I don't think that it's that crazy of a pick.
00:43:53
Um, straight up.
00:43:56
That's where it's tricky.
00:43:58
Although you see this, that even the odds makers were going, Hey, we're not sure who this Brown scheme is.
00:44:03
So for right now, we want to say, OK, Rams eight point favorites on the Browns come out smoke.
00:44:10
So I'm obviously doing this as a straight homer pick.
00:44:13
Like I said, Um, but how could I know? I love my brands so we get to the final game of the week, and this is my only second road team I have straight up.
00:44:25
It's Bears at Redskins.
00:44:27
I'm going bear straight up.
00:44:29
Um, they were gifted a win last week against the Broncos, but still a win's a win.
00:44:35
It counts.
00:44:36
So they're one on one, um, offense look like garbage Week one against the Packers, but sort of the Packers offense.
00:44:42
So Thursday Night Football week.
00:44:44
One team's looking bad. Something with the Browns.
00:44:47
Who is this team? Really? I, uh I don't know how good the Redskins are.
00:44:55
I mean, record wise not good.
00:44:57
They are open to, but they're not playing, I guess is bad is some other hood. Two teams.
00:45:06
They've had a tough schedule that a five point loss to the Eagles to start the season.
00:45:10
Another divisional lost.
00:45:11
10 point loss of the Cowboys.
00:45:14
Two very good teams.
00:45:16
Keeping it close.
00:45:17
I think this one will be a close game.
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Um, but the Bears we have a mark is three and 1/2 point favorites.
00:45:26
I think the wind by like a touchdown.
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Their defense is just too good.
00:45:31
The Redskins are not gonna get anything moving against this defense.
00:45:35
I haven't put up more than 27 points in a game yet.
00:45:38
Case Keenum has been starting.
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I would like to see Dwayne Haskins out there.
00:45:43
Maybe this game will change them.
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Um, Adrian Peterson, for some reason, is hated.
00:45:51
He's hated by Jay Gruden.
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They're running games.
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Bizarre. Geiss is out with another injury.
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Grudin, like, doesn't want to play Peterson.
00:45:59
It makes no sense from what the deal is there.
00:46:01
Um, bizarre stuff happened there.
00:46:03
That team is always a mess, which is kind of my focus of what I'm going with.
00:46:07
The bears, the Bears are still NFC contenders.
00:46:10
NFC Championship contenders.
00:46:12
So until they take a sinister until the Bears start losing games left and right, I just have a tough time going against them.
00:46:22
I can't take the words straight up, okay? You know, Tough 1st 2 weeks, but you escape one on one.
00:46:30
Same thing with the Browns.
00:46:31
Your one on one Doesn't matter, Guardia.
00:46:32
One win.
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Doesn't matter how it happens.
00:46:34
So gonna go the Bears.
00:46:36
There's that's where all my picks took 46 minutes.
00:46:38
How exciting.
00:46:41
So a quick run down my straight up picks.
00:46:45
We have Jacksonville, Atlanta, Philly, Dallas, Minnesota, Buffalo, New England, Green Bay, Kansas City, Arizona, Tampa Bay, Seattle, L A.
00:46:59
Chargers, 40 Niners, the Browns and the Bears.
00:47:03
My tiebreaker score for Monday Night Football is 37 points.
00:47:07
So I'm trying to go under like Price is right here at the Monday night score.
00:47:10
So 37 points there, my spread picks.
00:47:13
We have Jaguars, Broncos lines, Ravens, bangles, Falcons, Raiders, Patriots, Cowboys, Bucks, Cardinals, Seahawks, Chargers Surprise picked stealers.
00:47:30
Brown's Bears.
00:47:32
So I see it.
00:47:33
My Steelers pick against the spread is when they're really kind of you about this pick of the week.
00:47:38
I'm going to 14 home teams in the straight up picks.
00:47:42
Jacksonville tonight is probably the only one where I had real trouble picking.
00:47:46
Um, it's an easier week with all the quarterbacks out.
00:47:49
I'm not as much talent as we like to see out there.
00:47:53
The most exciting game mean for me is gonna be the brands Brown's ramps. I'm ready for it.
00:48:00
Um, yeah, that does it.
00:48:02
So I wanna drag on too long. I'm gonna throw.
00:48:05
I have a patron link, which I started for fun.
00:48:09
Um, just for, you know, tam for anyone watching me throw this in here.
00:48:13
Such is on there.
00:48:15
Patri and link.
00:48:16
I'm just looking for, like, a dollar.
00:48:19
Whatever.
00:48:20
Trying to some eventually get some new equipment.
00:48:22
Um, you know, new microphone stuff like that.
00:48:28
Um, some better.
00:48:29
Better computer, maybe one day.
00:48:30
But just do it, SportsCastr Fun.
00:48:32
Basically.
00:48:34
I say, Hey, I'm gonna be sitting reading Deadspin articles for an hour.
00:48:37
How about I do this and status is just, you know, get the old practice streaming.
00:48:42
Talking about sports.
00:48:43
That was fun.
00:48:44
Um, so if you've been watching or you're watching a replay, Thanks for watching.
00:48:48
Appreciate it.
00:48:49
I've become a fan of me on here at Steve from C l E.
00:48:52
Do you want to send you some more pics and stuff Have switched jobs so less of Ah, now working 60 hours a week.
00:48:58
So that's nice.
00:48:59
Um, yeah, my picks. Right now.
00:49:02
My record, as I said in straight up, is 24 8 He kind of ties that loss.
00:49:09
And then against the spread of 1912 and one so open that record gets better this week.
00:49:15
If you've been watching, you said thank you.
00:49:16
I'm gonna head off here and I will be back next time.
00:49:20
Let me start my twitter handle in one more time And my long goodbye usually tweet about if I'm gonna be jumping for different things.
00:49:27
So thanks for watching.
00:49:28
And be sure to join me next time

NFL Week 3 Picks (Spread and Straight-Up)

104 Views
Steven Kubitza @SteveFromCLE

Transcript hideup

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coming live.
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Here it is. Thursday.
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Just turned 3 57 3 57 in the afternoon on the east.
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Do it some NFL picks.
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I didn't. Week one picks.
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Um, Ms Week two is pretty busy with work.
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I'm trying to find a way to get less glare in my glasses right now, so let's do this.
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Turn it this way.
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Little better.
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Not perfect anyway.
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Did some weak one picks did pretty well, um, not that I reported that I'm here, but just in terms of how I did, general, So want to do some week three picks before I get started with everything.
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I want to share some stuff in here because anyone who joins now or later we'll see these.
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So the first thing is my twitter handle, and then I'm gonna throw in a link because this is where, um, as the landscape and company outside my place gets going again.
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Um, this link here is where my spread pixar for this week.
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I'm in some hardwood in hollywood dot com, a website I've written for the past a little bit.
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Um, just where they're located, along with some other pickers as well.
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My straight up.
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Hicks are just in a CBS league, which I will not be sharing the link to because it's private link.
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So you couldn't get in there anyway, So reposition this here a little bit to get away from the Claire.
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Actually, do this.
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Hang with me when we do some live adjustments to the camera.
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Oh, not gonna do it.
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Doesn't matter anyway.
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Getting into the pics right now through two weeks straight up, I am 24 8 Pretty excited about that.
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Well, I guess there's been some There was a tie.
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Um, but I guess, overall, you know, that's a lost 24 8 Not gonna count it as a tie against the spread.
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I am 1912 and one which in the hardwood in Hollywood League puts me second.
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Another picker who is 2011 and one.
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So I'm winning.
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So far, I'm doing While straight up picks have been easy, but this week is a little tricky.
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Um, give you a quick preview before I get in the room.
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I have How many home teams do I have this week? I'll just do road team to have one to road teams.
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The rest I have every single home team straight up, so that's always risky.
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Against the Spread course, it's different, Um, still getting a lot of home teams, but not nearly as many.
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No real simple picks this week.
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I'd say there's a few consensus in the hardwood and Hollywood group.
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Um, I'll get into these the Cardinal Seahawks, um, some division amongst the Browns game.
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So even someone taking the Jets and the Dolphins in this league so very interesting.
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So be sure to jump in and say hi, I'm gonna get going right now.
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I just want to get in the proper order here.
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Of course, starting with the Thursday night game, I have I have a consensus on the Thursday night game in terms of straight up and spread.
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I am going with the JAG wires with Gardner Minshew Fun name to say, Um, they are And the spreads I'm going off, by the way, will be the ones in the linkup provided the hardwood in Hollywood picks. So we have.
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The Jags is on point and 1/2 underdogs, So take a point halfway from the Titans.
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I'm still going, Jack's.
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Like I said, I have the JAG straight up a swell.
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I think they are gonna win the night.
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They have been playing well with Guard Dimension.
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Of course, coming in once Nick Foles went out, they are oh into over underst 38 which is interesting.
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I think they're gonna take it.
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They lost by one point to the Texans last week, going for to kind of, ah, questionable play.
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Uh, didn't seem like it was the best one, but they did it.
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And then we won against the chief's office, 40 to 26.
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But that's something considered Nick Foles went down.
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Garner Minshew came in, wasn't expected to play it off. Of course he is.
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Looks like a true Florida man.
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Um, on ESPN, Renowned says with Swagger.
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And that stash Minshew mania engulfs Jacksonville.
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So other Jacksonville News Before we talk about the Titans really quick, Jalen Ramsey is playing today, which helps their odds. Of course.
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Um, seems you know, there's a trade talk and says, Oh, these teams were interested in Jalen Ramsey.
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Well, I think every team is interested in jail under A M.
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C right now, So you're gonna see rumors popping up people, I mean, plays well or bad tonight.
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It doesn't matter.
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He's still gonna be, you know, hot commodity.
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Big going.
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Jax.
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I personally witnessed the Titans. Absolutely.
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Destroy the Browns.
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Week one.
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I was at that game.
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It was miserable.
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I had a horrible time, but they are coming off a loss against the Colts at home.
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And, you know, the Colts are gonna be miserably bad without Andrew luck.
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But I don't think they're gonna be that good.
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I'm so kind of Ah, questionable loss from the Titans.
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Another week, one went against the Browns.
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I'm kind of a desolate.
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It wasn't 15 to 13 game.
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I'd like everyone to remember that.
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And it just totally collapsed 43 to 13.
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Still upset about that one.
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But, you know, I don't have much faith in them coming into the season.
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I was like a week one.
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Browns are gonna totally destroy the Titans 43 13.
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The final score.
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Not good.
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But this week I still think the Jags have it in them.
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But if they lose this game, this might be the last time.
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I'm really going with them because they'd be only three.
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Doom would be setting in.
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I think Jalen Ramsey and others would be more vocal about requesting trades.
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So move on from that.
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When I got Jags, I'll throw it in here.
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Let's see.
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We'll go Jags Street and against spread.
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So we have.
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That is the 1st 1 And then next we'll go in order. I have I'm here.
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We have the Broncos at the Packers.
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I You know that Packer spread is minus 7.
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5, going with the Broncos against the spread.
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Straight up, of course.
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Ah, Who Green Bay? Um, Broncos Week One I mean and weak to really tough start for them.
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I think last week they did get a wind stolen from them.
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That bear ended that Bears Broncos game, of course.
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Um a really phantom roughing the passer call on Bradley Chop tackle and manners own Midst.
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Risky. So big fan of him.
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But you get that call and then travesty throws complete pass.
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Cluck essentially runs out one second.
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Love.
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He's calling time out the award in the time out, even though I don't think he truly had it.
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Um, then Pinero comes in.
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It's a game winning kick for the Bears.
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They're kicking. Woes are over for now.
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Um so the Bronco's our own, too, But it's kind of a deceptive owing to really played well against the Bears or scoring against that defense is pretty difficult.
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But minus 7.
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5, I still I mean, I guess with that, Big said, I like them with the minus 7.
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5 against the, uh, Packers, Um, Packers are, too.
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And now Aaron Rodgers is rolling, although I do have offered up in my dynasty league because I have Patrick Holmes is my starters.
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I'm offering up there and rockers doesn't mean I don't have faith in Aaron Rounders, but they are to know.
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Like I said, of course, we quite against the Bears.
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Very sloppy win 10 to 3.
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That defense, which the Broncos just saw very difficult for against, but even last week, Packers 21 to 16 over the Vikings. Goodwin.
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Not a crazy, convincing win.
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I mean, when you're only looking at the final score seven and 1/2.
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I mean, I like to account for garbage time as well, so anything over a touchdown is always tricky because it's okay.
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Well, the defense is up.
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Teams up 10.
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Give him a few ago late, doesn't really matter.
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No onside kick.
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So I'll put this in here as well.
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So, of course, Packers straight up Optical Broncos against the spread.
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There you go.
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So right now we have Jags and Packers straight up to home teams.
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Which is, I mention, it's kind of the theme for these pics, Um, and then Jags against the spread Broncos against spread Joe Flacco, the Broncos.
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I don't think his job's in danger for the entire year.
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I mean, if they're like Oh, and 10 then maybe, but he's got kind of a raw deal.
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1st 2 games has been playing.
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Not terrible.
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I mean, 560 yards, two touchdowns.
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He doesn't have the best offense with them, but they're still silent.
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I don't think that win.
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Of course, we're going Packer straight up, but should be close.
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Oh, and three for them.
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Kind of sinks motivation, chances with the Chiefs of the Chargers also in that division.
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But so long season we'll see what happens.
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So next up we're gonna go the Lions at the Eagles Eagles minus six and 1/2.
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And this is an interesting pick for me because I do have Philadelphia straight up another home team, but against spread.
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I'm going with the lions.
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Who I completely down to the start the year.
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I think they're gonna be terrible.
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Um, they're not.
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They haven't lost a game.
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They do have a tie on the season.
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So there, one own one.
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Of course.
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Tied.
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Um, tied the Cardinals Week one.
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They should have won the game, so they should be to an hour.
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But then they beat the charges last week.
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13 the 10.
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So you're taking out a good Chargers team? You're going against the Eagles.
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But, you know, the Lions have played well.
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Um, he goes, of course, have played well, too.
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But they are one in one, So I'm seeing on ESPN right now.
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Eagles mind of six.
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But once again, I'm going minus six and 1/2 loss of the Falcons last week on Sunday football.
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I kind of blew it late.
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Almost came back with a insane pass de Pasin.
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Carson once played the game.
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I just get scared of those big spreads, which, of course, I'll get to later when I'm talking about the Patriots and the Cowboys games, But but that kind of spread six and 1/2 gonna go lions.
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I just I don't see any reason to doubt them.
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With that point spread right now, they have played well.
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And like I said something, anything against the Eagles.
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It's just that the Lions right now, there's no reason that doubt that that much So I'll throw in.
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Here we go.
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Philly straight up, which I think is probably a common pick.
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Um, all the lines against spread Like I said, my spread records been pretty good this year so far.
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So just that one tie so moving on from that one.
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Not much for me to say.
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I just I just think it's gonna be It's too tough toe put money that the Eagles are gonna cover six and 1/2.
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So moving on to the next game, we have Baltimore, Kansas City.
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This is another really tough pick against spread, so it's minus six and 1/2 Kansas City straight up.
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Once again, it's upset 10 times.
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I'm going with the home team.
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I'm going with the chief's another home, another home pick straight up.
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But against the spread ongoing Ravens six and 1/2 the Chiefs have been rolling put up 40 week one last week.
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They come out, put up all 28 1/4 against the Raiders.
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The chief's defense, of course, shut down the Raiders, which isn't too difficult.
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They only allowed a total of 36 points this season, but they're going against Lamar Jackson, who's been tearing it up.
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And this is gonna be really his proven game because the chief's defense.
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It's not like they're going against the Bears.
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But it is a big game.
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It is a game where it's all right, but Patriots of probably the top team in the NFC right now, or saying Who's number two? Chiefs or Ravens? Straight up, I'm going Chiefs.
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I don't see any reason to go against the Chiefs in any game this year.
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They do play the Patriots, though, so we'll get to that later on when it arrives in the season.
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But at least right now, I don't see any reason to bet against the Chiefs straight up.
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At least, um, Ravens been playing well.
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I'm scared as a Browns fan from the grounds by the Ravens next Sunday in Week four, Um, they have come out, you just They beat the Dolphins so bad the 11 Dolphins players wanted to be traded.
00:12:34
Um, course of dolphins are truly terrible, so I don't know if that's a good benchmark to judge.
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How you know how good they really are? Are the Ravens, That is.
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Last week they beat the Cardinals 23 to 17.
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So not a convincing them.
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But once again, how good are the Cardinals? We don't know.
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I think the Ravens will step up this week.
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I don't think they're gonna win, but I think it should be a shootout game.
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Don't see why they can't cover six and 1/2 keeping a close if it's, ah, 13 point deficit late or 12 point. Whatever. 10.
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I think they'll get a touchdown.
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Keep it close.
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But once again, I don't think they are going to pull off a victory straight upstairs.
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Okay, see? Straight up And ravens against the spread.
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Chummy game sits in for four.
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On that note.
00:13:23
I am going to shut these blinds, so hang with me for two seconds while I switch this to get the glare off of my glasses.
00:13:33
This is what you do in your streaming.
00:13:35
You gotta just so anyway, that's what you do when you don't have a good studio set, so that helps a little bit.
00:13:42
Um, now we just have to hope that cat doesn't jump up. So still, get some player.
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But that's what you wear.
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Glasses. That's gonna happen. Anyway.
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Back to the pics.
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We have a personal favorite of mine, Um, Cincinnati at the Buffalo Bills.
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The bills are personal favorite of mine because I did cover them for about 16 months.
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I'm a buffalo down in the fan side of network.
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Um, I'm a Browns fan forever about covering the bills and you cover any team.
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I'm kind of a lovable loser team as well.
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You're gonna You're gonna get attached.
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So I like the bills.
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So straight up home buffalo, you know, Baltimore dependent poplar.
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Cincinnati came out week one.
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Played the Seahawks really tough.
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Probably should have won that game.
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Um, and that had people really riding high on them, saying Zack Taylor is turning around down there, their own to you now.
00:14:36
They didn't get absolutely destroyed by the 40 Niners s, which who I thought, you know, in my straight up pick him, Lee.
00:14:44
A lot of people went bangles, and I was like, I think the 40 Niners are going to be pretty good this year.
00:14:48
They expose the Bangles Bengal Zone two at the bottom of that division with this dealer's, of course, both teams dealing with the trees stealer Shelby more so than the Bangles.
00:14:58
But after a loss like that, I mean, they're going into Buffaloes.
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Buffaloes home opener.
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They've taken on both New Jersey teams.
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Not New York teams as Josh Allen pointing out last week, Um, I just don't see why the Bills would lose.
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You know, the Giants stink.
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Um, the Jets Week one had Sam Darnold.
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They think now, huh? Bills beat him.
00:15:23
I don't think the bangles air.
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I think they're gonna be a top eight pick team.
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They're not very good.
00:15:28
I'm sending some more changes down there just straight up.
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I am going buffalo.
00:15:33
But to completely contradict myself against the spread, I am going bangles on the on.
00:15:38
Lee won in my spread league, which I shared earlier.
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What hardwood in Hollywood going with the bangles, who we have marked at, uh, six point underdogs.
00:15:49
You know, they get some points for being at home.
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They did get killed by the 40 Niners.
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But the Bills are not gonna run you out of the stadium with points.
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I think their defense will hold the bangles and check, but it should be close.
00:16:03
They've kept it close.
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I mean, Josh, Alan, I really think is pretty good quarterback.
00:16:10
I think he's very underrated because of the city's he's in.
00:16:13
If he was in even Cleveland or on the Giants or Jets, maybe he'd be getting more publicity.
00:16:20
I mean, they beat the Jets by one point with a nice comeback to beat the Giants by 14.
00:16:27
I think it'll be close enough to go with the Bangles here.
00:16:30
I still think the Bills won't win.
00:16:32
Um, some put this in here.
00:16:33
We'll go bills straight up in bangles against spread.
00:16:37
This is one remark as confident in against the spread.
00:16:40
Um, of course, in the hardwood and Hollywood pickup league, I'm the only one taking the bangles, and it looks like out of all the games, that's the only one where I'm the single out liar.
00:16:51
So that was almost consensus.
00:16:53
Everyone going bills.
00:16:55
But you see, the bangles got killed last week, but then they nearly beat the Seahawks on the road in Week one.
00:17:00
So it's another scenario.
00:17:01
Who is this team? What is their identity? We don't really know for sure yet.
00:17:05
So that's where I'm kind of coming from there.
00:17:08
It's always tough to pick early in the season, but it's especially tough when a team comes out does so well.
00:17:15
And then they lay an egg that followed.
00:17:17
You don't really know who's who.
00:17:20
Just yes, I don't think the Bangles are good, but then again, maybe the bill stink.
00:17:24
Uh, maybe just be too bad.
00:17:26
Teams in New Jersey, Um, and that's that's will move on those air not to teach to him.
00:17:34
Highlight reel teams so far.
00:17:37
Next game.
00:17:39
Another tricky one for me.
00:17:41
So Falcons of the Colts, the Colts come in is pointing 1/2 favorites, Which is surprising to me.
00:17:47
They did win last week there with that Andrew Luck, but I think the Falcons are better than they're getting credit for.
00:17:55
You know, they did take down the Eagles on Sunday Night Football straight up.
00:17:59
This is my one of my two road picks, so it isn't Indianapolis.
00:18:04
I'm going with the Falcons straight up and then against the spread.
00:18:08
I'm also going with the Falcons? Uh, point me, have favorites, but I just think they're gonna win.
00:18:13
All right? So as underdogs doesn't matter.
00:18:17
I don't see why the Colts are getting, you know, they are at home.
00:18:22
Falcons did struggle Week one, but I just don't think the cold, sir, that good? Um, you know, lost of the Chargers. Week one.
00:18:31
Kept it close.
00:18:32
Darius Leonard is still out with a concussion right now.
00:18:36
You know, All pro defender as a young player.
00:18:40
Him being out hurts.
00:18:42
They're going up against you know, any time you go up against Julio Jones is gonna be a struggle.
00:18:47
Didn't beat the Titans last week.
00:18:48
But once again, Titan's, um there reputation might be inflated by the fact that they woke the Browns week one of the game.
00:18:56
That kind of fell apart at the end for Cleveland.
00:18:59
So I'll throw it in here right now.
00:19:00
I'm still talking about it.
00:19:01
We'll do Falcon straight up and against the spread.
00:19:05
I just think the Colts had, you know, hi.
00:19:07
His hot start to the season without Leonard, that's gonna be difficult.
00:19:12
Get some spring in around champ here.
00:19:14
So I think without him That'll be tough.
00:19:16
Of course, that's still as of right now.
00:19:18
It could change.
00:19:20
Just don't don't see all of the Colts height.
00:19:24
I know a writer, fellow writer of mine.
00:19:27
I read it. Believe in ball covering the Indians.
00:19:30
It's a Colts fan, and you know, he has been going through all the emotions every Colts fan has gone through so far about losing Andrew Luck and jump around.
00:19:37
The true B percent trained.
00:19:38
But I just think that the Falcons, after taking down the Eagles, should be big favorites in this, Um, but apparently they're not, so we'll move on to the Raiders game.
00:19:52
Raiders at Minnesota Raiders, lost last week to the Chiefs, just struggled throughout.
00:19:59
They're eight and 1/2 point underdogs, and in our Pickem league, every single team went Raiders and eight and 1/2.
00:20:06
But straight up, as you can imagine, I'm taking the fight kicks with this friend like that.
00:20:11
Raiders Week one got the exciting wind took down the Broncos on the second Monday Night Football game.
00:20:18
Vikings are a little better.
00:20:19
Um, that's so that all the teams intersect right now.
00:20:23
They beat the Falcons 28 to 12 weeks one made the Falcons look like garbage.
00:20:27
Then last week they lose the Packers 2116.
00:20:30
So which team are we getting there? Not going crazy on offense.
00:20:34
The defense has done well so far, but with that big of a point spread, the was eight and 1/2.
00:20:45
I I think the Viking should easily win 678 points.
00:20:49
Brown thing is gonna go over that.
00:20:51
I mean, you're looking at the Raiders.
00:20:52
You're saying, Oh, well, they lost us.
00:20:54
We give it rough games against the Chiefs.
00:20:56
She's put up.
00:20:57
You know, I think my home spit up like legendary numbers in the section quarter.
00:21:01
Demoralizing.
00:21:02
It's tough.
00:21:03
You're probably going in Not gonna beat the Chiefs.
00:21:06
Um, so I think this week, different mindset completely.
00:21:11
They should keep it close.
00:21:14
They could even win it.
00:21:15
I don't think they will, but they certainly do have the town.
00:21:18
They showed a weak one against the Broncos team that is struggling.
00:21:23
But of course, as I said, could be too No, although they are open to currently, um, just seems odd to me that it's that high.
00:21:30
Of course, the oddsmakers are usually pretty spot on.
00:21:33
Um but this one I don't really I don't get entire Least let me throw this in here.
00:21:39
So I'm gonna do Vikings straight up Raiders against the spread.
00:21:44
It just seems to hide of me.
00:21:46
Um, as of right now, that's why I think it is a consensus pick in our hardwood in Hollywood. Pick in weeks.
00:21:53
So now we get to move on to the two fun games that I always I always said doing pick him, pools, everything.
00:22:00
A three touchdown spread I usually try to avoid.
00:22:03
But the 1st 1 we're talking here, his Jets Patriots.
00:22:07
So the Browns just beat the Jets by 20 points in a game.
00:22:11
They played horrible in grounds.
00:22:15
Probably would have lost most games Monday night when they beat the Jets because Trevor seeming was out there and 10 Miles Garrett crunched him.
00:22:23
Um, he left with an injury.
00:22:25
Looked worse.
00:22:26
I think it is, but, um, I was able to walk up.
00:22:28
That was nice.
00:22:29
Luke Falk came in.
00:22:31
It stood no chance.
00:22:32
So we're talking a 22 and 1/2 spread in favor of the Patriots.
00:22:39
This is one of those games were at the start.
00:22:40
If it's going slow.
00:22:42
And you bet on the Jets were going Oh, my God, This is gonna work out.
00:22:45
But I don't think I think it's gonna be a total disaster for New York.
00:22:51
Um, the Patriots, by the way, have on Lee dominated to start the season.
00:22:56
So they, of course, open up with a 33 to 3 win over the Steelers.
00:23:01
Follow that up with a 43 to nothing victory over the Dolphins.
00:23:06
Once again making Dolphins players want to be traded.
00:23:08
The Patriots schedule, by the way, is just far too easy.
00:23:13
So they have this game against the Jets.
00:23:14
Would stay should absolutely destroy them.
00:23:15
Then they have the bills, which is, you know, the Bills were playing better, but still, Patriots could be favored.
00:23:20
Nothing at the Redskins Giants Jets again.
00:23:24
So they may be putting up 30 point wins in all those games.
00:23:27
Then they have the Browns and then the Ravens and Eagle.
00:23:30
So it gets tougher at the second half of the season.
00:23:31
But 1st 7 games Oh, my.
00:23:34
They might have this type of point spread several times.
00:23:37
One forward.
00:23:38
The Jets are I don't even know if the Jets are going to score any points in this game, and that's something saturation with Luke folk out there.
00:23:47
He's gonna have a whole week to prepare.
00:23:48
But it's the Patriots were talking about, so I did something out of character for myself.
00:23:54
As we have guessed, this is not the time character part.
00:23:57
I took the Patriots straight up against a spread with a 22 and 1/2.
00:24:01
I'm going patriots in my pick and linguine one person Go, Gents.
00:24:04
I believe he is a Jets fan, though, so he has a little extra belief.
00:24:09
But there should be no reason why this is within 30 points.
00:24:13
And sometimes you say, Oh, well, maybe, you know, maybe it'll be close because you're not gonna run up the score, But they're so good that they're just gonna keep putting in touchdowns again.
00:24:26
It's a division game, too, so they're not gonna ease up at all.
00:24:30
Uh, let me throw this in here.
00:24:31
This is just It's when I don't like to do with that big of a point spread, but it's just it's gonna be miserable.
00:24:41
It's not having fun.
00:24:42
The launch, especially if you're a Jets fan, just gonna be bad all around.
00:24:49
So moving on to another huge sprint, we have Miami and Dallas.
00:24:56
Miami comes in is 21 a half point underdogs.
00:24:59
Oh, boy.
00:25:01
Course they lost 59 10 and then, So they've essentially that.
00:25:06
They've played two of the three best teams in the NFC to start the season.
00:25:11
I got killed by the Ravens.
00:25:14
I got killed by the Patriots, and now they get to take on the Dallas Cowboys.
00:25:20
So they've scored 10 points this season.
00:25:23
Their defense has allowed you to do some quick math average Arliss see? So it's 100 to 102 points so far, that's an average of 52 or 51 per game.
00:25:36
Josh Rosen is starting that news just dropped to nine minutes ago.
00:25:40
I feel bad for Josh Rosen.
00:25:43
He's kind of has a bathroom.
00:25:45
I'm have to start with the Cardinals last year gets traded than Miami, who is one of the worst teams we've seen in a long time since I was 16 Brows.
00:25:53
But even the old 16 rounds didn't get absolutely destroyed, like the Dolphins have so far.
00:25:58
So there's a little um, good news of your Browns fan holding up a reputation, um, of years past.
00:26:05
But they're going against the Cowboys, who are very good, that type of spread.
00:26:11
I'm more comfortable taking Cowboys in this one than I am Patriots and the other one, which may sound backwards to some fans.
00:26:18
But the Dolphins are just horrible.
00:26:21
You know.
00:26:22
The Cowboys had 18.
00:26:23
1 week one against the Giants won by 10 last week against the Redskins.
00:26:27
But so the Redskins and the Giants are bad, but the Dolphins are a whole new level.
00:26:31
They trade just traded. Make a Fitzpatrick.
00:26:33
They're getting rid of all their talented players.
00:26:35
No one wants to play there through the young guys do because they're getting a shot.
00:26:39
But it's just really bad.
00:26:41
Bad. The sea.
00:26:42
The Cowboys Cowboys were at home in this one, but there's not even much ****ysis needed in general from anyone that Dolphins were just terrible.
00:26:53
So we'll do Cowboys straight up and against the spread, so they've put up 10 points all season.
00:27:02
Now they've got against two good teams, but just pick sixes from Fitz Magic.
00:27:07
Disastrous defense.
00:27:08
Terrible on offense.
00:27:09
It's got to be. I don't know how they prepare.
00:27:11
You have a first year head coach Brian Flores, who's just inherited a terrible situation.
00:27:16
I want to say I feel bad for him, but at the same time, you know he is NFL coach, so I'll feel bad if they fired kind.
00:27:24
Like what? Steve Wilkes on Arizona.
00:27:26
Never really stood a shot, um, to do much out there, which is never good.
00:27:31
Like, why you hiring someone just to fire them? Because they didn't do good when you were tearing down the team, so I was kind of bizarre to me.
00:27:42
When that happens, eh? So those are the two big spread games going with the favorites in those which I usually try to avoid.
00:27:48
So moving on to some more competitive pigs, we have 12347 months.
00:27:55
So just over halfway with the two crazy blowouts that we expect, So next game is kind of a toss up in terms of art.
00:28:03
My pick of Leak here it's Giants at the box.
00:28:06
Of course, Daniel Jones is getting the start for the Giants.
00:28:10
The Bucks are six and 1/2 point favorites there, another confusing team.
00:28:14
But I am going with the Bucks in this one.
00:28:16
I'm going with them both against the Spread and straight up.
00:28:21
Daniel Jones is making his first start, and it's very possible he comes out and dominates sake.
00:28:26
Want Barclay is a big game, which I think he will anyway.
00:28:30
Just depends if him.
00:28:31
His big game is complemented by a big passing game for the Giants, which is always the issue.
00:28:37
But I just can't give him.
00:28:38
I just don't have confidence in him right now because we haven't seen anything from him.
00:28:42
And if you're betting, it's kind of tricky to go with someone like that, we haven't seen a single game from accept pre season, which is totally different.
00:28:50
We're talking about a Bucks team.
00:28:53
They're 14 point loss in week one to the 40 Niners.
00:28:56
Looks a bit better now.
00:28:57
After we saw how big will, when the 40 Niners had, um, we two against the Bangles.
00:29:03
The Bucks did pull off a win last Thursday night against the Panthers are coming off that extra rest, going against a giant steam that it's just torpedoing towards the top of the draft.
00:29:15
I think this is a game where it's not a you know Maybe the Giants were ketchup on garbage time.
00:29:20
I think it's gonna be a rough game for Daniel Generalists.
00:29:23
The Bucks gonna bring a ton of pressure all game long.
00:29:25
He's gonna be throwing a lot of dump off passes sake. One. Barkley.
00:29:31
He even if he plays well, I don't think it's gonna be in a winning effort unless the only way is if Jameis Winston comes out and just throws three pick sixes or something crazy like that, which I don't think what happened is totally within his character to dio.
00:29:45
But I do not foresee that happening.
00:29:47
So I'm going to go with the bucks in this straight up AM against Spread.
00:29:53
See, I just have no faith in the Giants right now.
00:29:56
Even if, of course, if Eli was so starting, certainly wouldn't have faith McDaniel.
00:30:01
John's going to see what happens, See if have fancy right to boom during the draft or if he's gonna prove them wrong.
00:30:08
You're moving on from that one, that one.
00:30:10
Like I said, that was, uh, five people in my, uh, spread pickem laying with three with the bucks.
00:30:16
To what? The Giants next one is a consensus pick in a bit of a surprising fashion.
00:30:20
It's the Panthers at the Cardinals, and at the time of when we had our pick submitted course, this is gonna be changed.
00:30:29
We had the Cardinals were two and 1/2 point underdogs.
00:30:33
Now that has completely flipped where the Cardinals are favorites.
00:30:37
By that margin, I'm going off them as the underdogs, which makes it a lot easier.
00:30:43
But even with them is two and 1/2 point favorite.
00:30:46
I still do like the Cardinals in this one because we don't have Cam Newton.
00:30:50
So not only did Canyon and the Panthers lose the Bucks last Thursday night, but he is out now.
00:30:57
He's out for this game.
00:30:58
Kyle Allen is in.
00:31:00
And of course, there's a kind of a goofy graphic on Twitter that the Panthers made.
00:31:05
So if I have to go in, I'll be ready.
00:31:07
Chi on, Um, you know, really hoping he does well.
00:31:12
But the Cardinals have looked pretty good time.
00:31:16
The Lions Week one.
00:31:18
That was kind of an odd game, and I was watching it, you know, and a bar after the Browns game, I was sulking.
00:31:24
Um came back in time that one did lose the Ravens last week was only 23 to 17.
00:31:30
I'm going up against one of the best teams in football now.
00:31:32
You're going up against a team.
00:31:33
We just lost. Two. Starting quarterback.
00:31:35
The offense is kind of built around Cam Newton, of course, as a quarterback, but his running ability as well with them as underdogs, Cardinals easy pick with them was two and 1/2 point favorites.
00:31:47
I still think it's an easy pick because no matter how good the Panthers defense is, their offense is not gonna be moving the ball.
00:31:55
I couldn't move it with Newton.
00:31:57
I don't think they're gonna really move it with Adam.
00:32:00
It stinks because the Panthers already owing to um, of course, it lost to the Bucks week when they lost the Rams in a 30 27 game.
00:32:10
It's just not good.
00:32:12
Um, I wish they were better there.
00:32:16
A fun team, especially Cam Newton's healthy.
00:32:18
But like I said, this is game in the pickup league where everyone's going.
00:32:21
Cardinals on these pics were submitted before the Newton injury was announcer.
00:32:26
We still had cardinals already.
00:32:28
Now we have cardinals with them as the favorites, so with this in here.
00:32:33
It's kind of weird taking the Cardinals after the year they had last year.
00:32:39
But Carla Murray's looked solid.
00:32:42
Of course, Does Larry Fitzgerald out there is old, reliable David Johnson, who is a either a fancy star.
00:32:48
Fancy does depending if week to week I'm gonna how they use them.
00:32:51
But that's an easy straight up pick.
00:32:54
I think, Um, sometimes you look at an Owen to team and say, What are the Panthers really gonna fall? I own three.
00:33:00
If Cam Newton was playing, I'd say no.
00:33:02
But with Kyle on out there and I don't think they really stand a chance and if you're betting on it certainly should not that guy making to start like that, have a spot start.
00:33:12
So moving on, we have another consensus pick because we have yet another quarterback who's out and I'm looking mother picks.
00:33:20
I kind of have a silly picking here.
00:33:22
We'll get to that a second, Um, which I knew I did. It was an accident.
00:33:26
But anyway, with another consensus pick, its New Orleans at Seattle, Seattle minus four.
00:33:31
Um, the Saints, they're gonna have Teddy Bridgewater starting this game.
00:33:36
I would like to see more taste that mail.
00:33:37
Honestly, um, you're paying Teddy so much money.
00:33:42
So we get to it here.
00:33:44
Seahawks Onley minus four.
00:33:45
Because, I mean, that shows a lot of faith.
00:33:47
Either it shows the faith that oddsmakers have in the stands with Bridgewater or a lack of faith in the Seahawks.
00:33:54
So for me, this was an easy one.
00:33:56
Straight up, I think the Seahawks spread. I took the Seahawks.
00:34:00
Teddy Bridgewater has not really played meaningful football off, aside from last week in almost four years are gonna seasons.
00:34:08
Um, they can get a little bit screwed over against the Rams.
00:34:13
Us.
00:34:14
We get a touchdown call on them.
00:34:16
Should have been a touchdown.
00:34:17
Play was blowing dead.
00:34:18
I saw this happen to the Browns last year.
00:34:20
Very frustrating when this happens.
00:34:22
Um, but still, the final scores 27 to 9.
00:34:26
They did beat the Texans, weak one, but it was because the Texans totally collapsed at the end of the game on defense.
00:34:33
Should have stop the saints.
00:34:35
Answer.
00:34:36
Scoring a big touchdown from to Shawn Watson.
00:34:39
They blew it.
00:34:40
So there is to say it.
00:34:41
Really, Um, I don't I don't have confidence in the Saints minus four, especially on the road against Seattle.
00:34:48
Seattle's to know they did beat the Bangles Week one at home.
00:34:52
Week two.
00:34:53
They beat the Steelers, 28 26 in a close game.
00:34:55
So maybe that is where the fear comes in.
00:34:58
The civil Mason Rudolph was in for the Steelers Have this ****s all the win by two.
00:35:03
I mean, Mason would have played well, and you don't really have the chance of game plan against him.
00:35:07
You know the running plays that worked well for him.
00:35:10
Big Ben. So putting a little bit.
00:35:12
So, you know, for me, that's the Seahawks.
00:35:15
Get the benefit of taking on another team that's missing its quarterback.
00:35:19
Teddy Bridgewater has been good in the past, but we don't know how good he is now.
00:35:24
And I can't give faith in a four point favorite.
00:35:27
Are four point spread in one of the toughest places to play for a guy who's barely played, um, past several years.
00:35:35
So punches in here, Seahawks straight up against the Spread, which is a common theme for me this week, which, you know when I see my straight a picture I'm taking mostly home teams.
00:35:47
Let's give me a lot of spread favorites as well.
00:35:51
So right now, the only difference is we have.
00:35:53
I have the Broncos against the spread with the Packers straight up, I have the Lions against this friend with really straight up.
00:36:00
I guess there's not too many differences.
00:36:01
Just been as a plate bangles against us.
00:36:04
Fred Bill. Straight up. Ravens against spread.
00:36:06
Casey Straight up.
00:36:08
Um, Viking.
00:36:09
Straight up traitors against the Spread.
00:36:11
I've just been my last 12345 picks have all been the same, so you know it's gonna happen.
00:36:18
And I'm almost at my second, um, second, other road pick.
00:36:26
But it's actually more than a football, so we get to that in a minute.
00:36:29
So right now, every game except the Falcons are the Falcons beating.
00:36:34
Where am I here? Falcons beating the Colts? That's not one road team who I have favored straight up.
00:36:41
We'll get to the other one, just one inevitable.
00:36:44
But for now, we just have the Seahawks.
00:36:45
Next game is one that was almost a consensus in my Pickem league.
00:36:49
It's the Texans at the Chargers Chargers who aren't really You don't have a home field advantage.
00:36:55
Um, are three point favorites Straight up is you may have guessed I have the Chargers.
00:37:00
You know, Houston should have one week One.
00:37:03
They played well, A I mean, they didn't get screwed over at all.
00:37:09
They just got a late touchdown, and then the defense that Well, let's get close enough for a field goal.
00:37:14
I mean, it was still pretty far, but no real excuse for that.
00:37:20
Um, so they lose that one difficult loss, but they bounce back, But with only a 13 the 12 win over the Jaguars.
00:37:29
I'm Gardner Men shoes in.
00:37:30
You mean the Jacks? You have a good defense.
00:37:32
Of course, my change of Jalen Ramsey is on the way out, but 13 12 win over that team isn't too inspiring.
00:37:42
So you're taking out of Chargers team that, you know, for me? I don't think of them as an A F C favorite.
00:37:50
I would put the Patriots chiefs and ravens ahead of them, but in a lot of predictions, you see the Chargers as a favorite to win the conference.
00:37:57
Um, I guess I should say a lot.
00:37:59
But you see, some, um I don't think they're that good.
00:38:04
But of course, awesome.
00:38:05
Claire is tearing it up, which I keep trying to trade for him and fancy leagues.
00:38:10
And no normal bunch.
00:38:12
But the Chargers last week 13.
00:38:13
The 10 lost against the Lions.
00:38:15
Week 1 30 24 Win against the Colts.
00:38:18
Of course, without Adrian. Look.
00:38:19
So charges coming is preseason hotshots.
00:38:24
Tough loss last week, But once again, I think that Lions are gonna be better than maybe some outside of Detroit expected.
00:38:30
I thought they'd be the worst team in their vision.
00:38:33
It doesn't look like that's going to the case.
00:38:35
Looks like it's just gonna be a really tough division.
00:38:37
The Bears might end up being the worst team out of that division.
00:38:40
Should already be on, too, if not for some help in Denver.
00:38:43
So I guess my point is I'm sticking with head preseason prediction.
00:38:48
I'm going Chargers against the spread.
00:38:50
I'm going charges straight up at home.
00:38:53
The Texans have not given me any indication that they are a true contender.
00:39:00
I mean, even in their own division, it's still up in the air.
00:39:04
I mean, if the Jaguars get a win tonight and they're one and two.
00:39:07
They're right back in the race, Um, Colts Air.
00:39:10
Still looking good enough to compete for now.
00:39:14
Titans get that big win over the Brown, so you don't know who's who in that division.
00:39:19
Texans still need to prove that they're the dominant team, if they even are.
00:39:24
But against the Chargers, I don't see that happening with a spread this close.
00:39:29
Gonna favor the home team Got a favor? The team that has the veteran quarterback and Rivers? Um, I don't trust Bill O'Brien's teams ever.
00:39:37
We'll never bet on him, especially on the postseason.
00:39:40
But moving on this is a pick where I didn't slip up.
00:39:45
I think I forgot in general.
00:39:47
How good of 40 Niners and look, It's Pittsburgh at San Francisco, San Francisco minus six and 1/2.
00:39:53
I took the 40 Niners straight up the way they've been playing Ben Roethlisberger out for the Steelers.
00:40:00
James Connor banged up.
00:40:01
I should be playing with banged up going with the 40 niner straight up, but against the spread, I have the Steelers and as I look now ago, maybe I should have changed that, but I know where I was coming from.
00:40:14
Mason Rudolph nearly love the Steelers children against Seahawks.
00:40:18
The Niners have had, you know, they took on the bangles who looked good Week one, you know? How good are they? We're not too sure.
00:40:29
Um, I like Jimmy Garoppolo on the Niners, but I think I might just have kind of a PTSD of the Steelers.
00:40:39
No matter who's quarterbacking.
00:40:40
Always beating up the Browns.
00:40:42
So six and 1/2.
00:40:43
I think Mason Rudolph is better than we take him to be right now.
00:40:46
He's feeling in for Ben Roethlisberger.
00:40:48
You're automatically gonna go.
00:40:49
How is this gonna go? You know it's gonna go poorly, but they're gonna have a game plan for him.
00:40:54
He was drafted to be our office burgers successor.
00:40:58
They took him when Roethlisberger was considering retirement.
00:41:00
Which he does like every year.
00:41:02
Um, but six and 1/2 against the 40 Niners team. That's unproven.
00:41:07
No, of course last year is tough to count because Grandpa went out with that injury, season ending knee injury.
00:41:15
I need to see this Steelers look bad before I really think look bad against a team like a Niners.
00:41:21
They looked terrible against the Patriots, but the Patriots might be even better than they've ever been this year.
00:41:28
So that's tough to gauge.
00:41:31
The 40 Niners are more even match up to say, Okay, are the Steelers with basing it off? Gonna be untrue rebuild mode? Or is she going to keep them playing well enough to maybe scrounge up 89 wins, maybe fight for a wild card spot? So, for me, let's do 40 Niners switch Tosu on straight up to give a simple and Steelers against the spread.
00:41:54
Tricky game.
00:41:55
I'm the only one of the hardwood in Hollywood pics pull to make that pick with the Steelers, but there have been so good for so long.
00:42:03
I need to see some actual events and have my black and go then, um, not for the Steelers, but I'm just a separate shirt, so I want to see how bad they look or how bad they don't have a good look before I can really say, Oh, they're done.
00:42:19
So moving on to the Sunday football game Oh, board you may have guessed from my pig is, huh? As Rams of Brown's Rams air on Lee three point favorites.
00:42:33
I'm a homer.
00:42:34
This is a straight homer.
00:42:35
Pick Brown straight up rounds against Spread.
00:42:38
They have shown nothing to warrant this.
00:42:40
I'll admit that they did.
00:42:42
I mean, they do have the 20 point win over the Jets, and I've fallen in the trap of going.
00:42:46
Oh, well, they looked bad, but the Browns never get 20 point wins.
00:42:50
That's one of the most rip things in sports.
00:42:52
Is the Browns getting 20 point wins? The Rams haven't looked great.
00:42:59
They are coming off a Super Bowl.
00:43:01
So there's the tricky thing.
00:43:02
Oh, that pesky Subaru all, Um, I'm gonna discard the Browns Week one game, you know, They played terrible, too.
00:43:12
Hyped up.
00:43:14
All the above.
00:43:15
It was 15.
00:43:16
The 13 on one point should have been 15 14 because of this extra point, but 15 to 13 total collapse.
00:43:23
Wheels fall off 43 to 13 to find score.
00:43:26
Baker start picks defense, and they make it 15 to 13.
00:43:30
And then the next place like an 80 yards three touchdowns to Derrick Henry.
00:43:34
Just a disaster.
00:43:36
So we're describing that there went against the Jets very difficult to gauge how good they were in that because the Jets are so bad.
00:43:43
So I'm taking them like I said straight Homer pick.
00:43:47
But also, you know what? It's only a three point spread, so I don't think that it's that crazy of a pick.
00:43:53
Um, straight up.
00:43:56
That's where it's tricky.
00:43:58
Although you see this, that even the odds makers were going, Hey, we're not sure who this Brown scheme is.
00:44:03
So for right now, we want to say, OK, Rams eight point favorites on the Browns come out smoke.
00:44:10
So I'm obviously doing this as a straight homer pick.
00:44:13
Like I said, Um, but how could I know? I love my brands so we get to the final game of the week, and this is my only second road team I have straight up.
00:44:25
It's Bears at Redskins.
00:44:27
I'm going bear straight up.
00:44:29
Um, they were gifted a win last week against the Broncos, but still a win's a win.
00:44:35
It counts.
00:44:36
So they're one on one, um, offense look like garbage Week one against the Packers, but sort of the Packers offense.
00:44:42
So Thursday Night Football week.
00:44:44
One team's looking bad. Something with the Browns.
00:44:47
Who is this team? Really? I, uh I don't know how good the Redskins are.
00:44:55
I mean, record wise not good.
00:44:57
They are open to, but they're not playing, I guess is bad is some other hood. Two teams.
00:45:06
They've had a tough schedule that a five point loss to the Eagles to start the season.
00:45:10
Another divisional lost.
00:45:11
10 point loss of the Cowboys.
00:45:14
Two very good teams.
00:45:16
Keeping it close.
00:45:17
I think this one will be a close game.
00:45:20
Um, but the Bears we have a mark is three and 1/2 point favorites.
00:45:26
I think the wind by like a touchdown.
00:45:28
Their defense is just too good.
00:45:31
The Redskins are not gonna get anything moving against this defense.
00:45:35
I haven't put up more than 27 points in a game yet.
00:45:38
Case Keenum has been starting.
00:45:40
I would like to see Dwayne Haskins out there.
00:45:43
Maybe this game will change them.
00:45:44
Um, Adrian Peterson, for some reason, is hated.
00:45:51
He's hated by Jay Gruden.
00:45:53
They're running games.
00:45:54
Bizarre. Geiss is out with another injury.
00:45:57
Grudin, like, doesn't want to play Peterson.
00:45:59
It makes no sense from what the deal is there.
00:46:01
Um, bizarre stuff happened there.
00:46:03
That team is always a mess, which is kind of my focus of what I'm going with.
00:46:07
The bears, the Bears are still NFC contenders.
00:46:10
NFC Championship contenders.
00:46:12
So until they take a sinister until the Bears start losing games left and right, I just have a tough time going against them.
00:46:22
I can't take the words straight up, okay? You know, Tough 1st 2 weeks, but you escape one on one.
00:46:30
Same thing with the Browns.
00:46:31
Your one on one Doesn't matter, Guardia.
00:46:32
One win.
00:46:33
Doesn't matter how it happens.
00:46:34
So gonna go the Bears.
00:46:36
There's that's where all my picks took 46 minutes.
00:46:38
How exciting.
00:46:41
So a quick run down my straight up picks.
00:46:45
We have Jacksonville, Atlanta, Philly, Dallas, Minnesota, Buffalo, New England, Green Bay, Kansas City, Arizona, Tampa Bay, Seattle, L A.
00:46:59
Chargers, 40 Niners, the Browns and the Bears.
00:47:03
My tiebreaker score for Monday Night Football is 37 points.
00:47:07
So I'm trying to go under like Price is right here at the Monday night score.
00:47:10
So 37 points there, my spread picks.
00:47:13
We have Jaguars, Broncos lines, Ravens, bangles, Falcons, Raiders, Patriots, Cowboys, Bucks, Cardinals, Seahawks, Chargers Surprise picked stealers.
00:47:30
Brown's Bears.
00:47:32
So I see it.
00:47:33
My Steelers pick against the spread is when they're really kind of you about this pick of the week.
00:47:38
I'm going to 14 home teams in the straight up picks.
00:47:42
Jacksonville tonight is probably the only one where I had real trouble picking.
00:47:46
Um, it's an easier week with all the quarterbacks out.
00:47:49
I'm not as much talent as we like to see out there.
00:47:53
The most exciting game mean for me is gonna be the brands Brown's ramps. I'm ready for it.
00:48:00
Um, yeah, that does it.
00:48:02
So I wanna drag on too long. I'm gonna throw.
00:48:05
I have a patron link, which I started for fun.
00:48:09
Um, just for, you know, tam for anyone watching me throw this in here.
00:48:13
Such is on there.
00:48:15
Patri and link.
00:48:16
I'm just looking for, like, a dollar.
00:48:19
Whatever.
00:48:20
Trying to some eventually get some new equipment.
00:48:22
Um, you know, new microphone stuff like that.
00:48:28
Um, some better.
00:48:29
Better computer, maybe one day.
00:48:30
But just do it, SportsCastr Fun.
00:48:32
Basically.
00:48:34
I say, Hey, I'm gonna be sitting reading Deadspin articles for an hour.
00:48:37
How about I do this and status is just, you know, get the old practice streaming.
00:48:42
Talking about sports.
00:48:43
That was fun.
00:48:44
Um, so if you've been watching or you're watching a replay, Thanks for watching.
00:48:48
Appreciate it.
00:48:49
I've become a fan of me on here at Steve from C l E.
00:48:52
Do you want to send you some more pics and stuff Have switched jobs so less of Ah, now working 60 hours a week.
00:48:58
So that's nice.
00:48:59
Um, yeah, my picks. Right now.
00:49:02
My record, as I said in straight up, is 24 8 He kind of ties that loss.
00:49:09
And then against the spread of 1912 and one so open that record gets better this week.
00:49:15
If you've been watching, you said thank you.
00:49:16
I'm gonna head off here and I will be back next time.
00:49:20
Let me start my twitter handle in one more time And my long goodbye usually tweet about if I'm gonna be jumping for different things.
00:49:27
So thanks for watching.
00:49:28
And be sure to join me next time

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