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00:00:35
Hello, everyone.
00:00:36
Welcome.
00:00:37
Two NFL Kickoff Live This'll Week fantasy segment.
00:00:42
Uh, my name, Kyle Center.
00:00:43
It's been a couple weeks, Uh, since I've been on, but, uh, good to be back.
00:00:50
Hopefully you to answer some questions today s oh, I feel for you join the chat in the chat.
00:00:55
Just any sits start questions go through, go through my process, be the best possible answer Way confined.
00:01:06
So yeah, so I mean, there's a few things Thio look out for.
00:01:10
Injury wise, I guess there's a few games to look out for because of potential co vid related reasons.
00:01:18
So, uh, a lot to look out for news wise.
00:01:21
So, uh, do the best on that and other food, you know, to pressing things.
00:01:25
Erin Jones, Robert Tony into question of players for the Packers.
00:01:29
That's well, obviously we'll find out this morning towards the end of this.
00:01:35
They're least expecting around 12 noon if not by 12.
00:01:39
30.
00:01:40
When I do log off what we should have answers on both those players, Um, you know, just as a Packers fan and just someone who pays attention to the NFL.
00:01:50
You see that there, You know, they this year.
00:01:53
Really recent history, being really patient with players returning, who are injured, not rushing anyone.
00:01:59
It's a big picture.
00:02:00
It's a it's a full season and belief in the team.
00:02:02
So I am leaning on the side of Erin Jones being out.
00:02:06
So we'll see.
00:02:07
If that's in fact the case just and just in general, any type of players added to the injury report late like, uh, this case Friday, it was clear Wednesday, Thursday, so it didn't seem like it was an issue.
00:02:18
So added means injured in practice, Some house.
00:02:22
This is so, uh, happening that close.
00:02:26
Not really sure that the full extent yet they probably don't want to risk him.
00:02:30
You tend to see that with a lot of players who I'm gonna have that those late injury report adds, if it's someone who's been dealing with an injury, okay, you're not sure going to Friday? I mean, you know, they may just be resting them, getting them ready to play someone like Robert Tanyon right s.
00:02:44
So they'll be the opposite where I think Tanya has a better chance to play because, you know, he was injured in the game against the Buccaneers.
00:02:51
but he it didn't seem like it hindered him enough to not be on the field.
00:02:57
Maybe it hindered.
00:02:58
I mean, that whole game, the entire offense was hindered.
00:03:01
Not a Packers show, but clearly a Packers fan.
00:03:02
So, yeah, but if he was healthy enough to kind of keep playing and he didn't practice until Friday, believe limited practice participation it was.
00:03:12
And I don't know exactly what that means.
00:03:14
So there's a chance both could be out.
00:03:16
But I see taunting is a better chance of playing than Jones, just for what that's worth.
00:03:21
And I mean, Jamison Crowder is listed as doubtful.
00:03:24
We don't even know who the quarterback for the Jets really will be.
00:03:26
E think the expectation is Donald, but we're not entirely sure, uh, could still be ruled out.
00:03:35
Um, but we'll find out.
00:03:38
So just getting through and again lineup decisions this week.
00:03:44
I feel a lot of them hinge for myself personally on on whether players or in or out one league, where trying to look for replacement for Crowder.
00:03:53
If he is, the expectation is that he'll be out my best option.
00:03:57
I mean, I could go Breshad Perriman, but I have looked at.
00:04:03
My best option appears to be Scotty Miller, however, again for covert related reasons.
00:04:08
Actually, both those games, uh, you know, included teams where players have tested positive.
00:04:14
Um, certain position groups and players and close contacts have isolated.
00:04:19
And from all accounts, it seems like the game is gonna go obviously any positive test this morning.
00:04:23
I think, at the very least, postpones the game.
00:04:26
We'll find out long term what that means.
00:04:29
Uh, there's any effects beyond this week for in terms of just scheduling.
00:04:34
So, uh, keep a close eye on that as we as we find out, um so really, and I think with the Bucks game being being later, there's a chance we were not going to know for sure for sure before one o'clock.
00:04:48
So my thing is, yeah, Scotty Miller has the best chance.
00:04:52
Alright has the best.
00:04:53
I think upside potential toe.
00:04:55
Give me the most points over Perriman against the really tough bills defense, Especially if if he is identified as the main guy, Troy Davis White not may not play, but it's still being that extra attention and coverage goes towards him and the overall upside of that offense, I think, is so little that even the number one guy may not perform that well.
00:05:14
So I feel like Scott Miller's where I'm gonna go.
00:05:18
Andi, I do have a couple players playing Monday night. Van Jefferson.
00:05:22
Josh Reynolds.
00:05:23
If Robert Woods if we knew Robert Woods was out, they might.
00:05:27
Either of them might have some decent upside.
00:05:29
Uh, so again, I think the answer there is that Well, no, if Crowder's inter out obviously first.
00:05:36
But regardless, I feel like I still want more information.
00:05:40
So I'm definitely not gonna play Perryman and just wait till four o'clock.
00:05:43
Some of these decisions are gonna have to come down toe four o'clock.
00:05:46
Not so much now, before one o'clock.
00:05:49
So, uh, just, you know, that's an example of how I'm working through. Okay.
00:05:53
What happens if Crowder's out? Like how? I'm not necessarily gonna because the obvious thing is overcrowded.
00:05:57
I don't just play Perriman, right? But I don't necessarily want to just you find this the easy solution I wanna look through and find what I think is the best.
00:06:05
So another one and this will be a later one again.
00:06:08
This is how, uh getting out all the information.
00:06:11
But Justin Jackson? I've got him going in a couple spots.
00:06:15
Uh, there's one league in particular where, uh, it's not so obvious, you know, a few leagues where I've got okay, if he's out, I'm putting this player in like I've kind of identified that as there's only one clear option.
00:06:28
There's one league where it's a tight end premium, and, uh, it's a pretty significant premium. Like it.
00:06:33
Sometimes that's that's what gets talked about fantasy, right? What's you know what? Oh, Thailand's get extra point.
00:06:37
But at what extent does it make a tangible difference? Um, and I think it's It's all based on, not even necessary with the tight ends get.
00:06:45
But it's relative to other positions.
00:06:46
What what makes it the premium? How much of a premium? You know, if you're talking, you know an extra half point even that is, you need the context of where you going from.
00:06:57
So let's say it's full point.
00:06:59
PPR tight ends get a next a half 0.
00:07:02
0.1 point five.
00:07:04
That's a you know, that's a 50% upgrade for tight ends every time they catch the ball.
00:07:09
So yes, that does kind of it doesn't make a difference, but if you're going up from half point for for running backs wide receivers up an extra half point that same you make that same edition.
00:07:21
But you're going up to a full point.
00:07:22
Suddenly you're doubling it.
00:07:23
So just that alone kind of shows Okay, well, if it's if it's half point to full point that the tight end, it goes up by, uh, to a full point.
00:07:32
And that's more significant because it doubles it as opposed to.
00:07:36
If you're starting at at one full point for everyone going up that half point to 1.
00:07:40
5 to get that same impact, you have to go up to two point PPR to get that double eso You know what that will do? Is it makes you know if you go, let's say everything's half point DPR and the tight ends get get double that, which is a full point.
00:07:57
It doesn't necessarily make them more valuable than, say, workhorse running backs, getting China carries and the opportunities you're gonna kind of lead that way anyway.
00:08:04
But it it makes tight ends more valuable than wide receivers.
00:08:07
If it's you know, one for one, especially in leagues where you don't have.
00:08:12
If you don't like, if you only have to start one of each position and there's a ton of flex positions suddenly, you know, tight end in that in that type of situation does increase the one thing I have.
00:08:21
It's kind of it's It's where the tricky middle ground is.
00:08:24
Um, you have to start three wide receivers on Lee.
00:08:28
One tight end, but, uh, tight ends get 2.
00:08:31
75 points per reception, whereas wide receivers only get one point per reception.
00:08:38
So not only you're doubling in your almost tripling it, um, and so it's Ah, pretty interesting scoring settings, I shouted Thio Josh Nelson of the Smoke show podcast.
00:08:50
He's the commissioner of this and fun league, you know, a lot of has done towards charity and stuff.
00:08:55
So shout out to him for for organizing that and because tight ends get the edge.
00:09:01
I'm debating Gerald Everton DeMarcus Robinson again.
00:09:03
If Justin Jackson's out, I do think if he's in, I'd like to see if he gets enough carries, uh, to make again.
00:09:11
And this is where really it's tricky because because when you're getting that many points per reception.
00:09:15
It's great.
00:09:16
But is Gerald really gonna catch that many passes? Um, and so just trying to see it because it's a difficult matchup against the Bears.
00:09:25
If Robert Woods is in her ouch, It's tough to know, um, does seem like the ones about the various or maybe vulnerable is too tight ends then what Gerald effort is the case has been getting targeted some games yet in this scoring setting with the 2.
00:09:40
75 point per reception, you had a 20 point game, but he has zero red zone targets this year.
00:09:45
He has one red zone carry.
00:09:48
When he scored on it, that's his only red zone work.
00:09:50
So it's not being used in the traditional sense of a tight end.
00:09:54
That seems like it is more Higby tas getting those red zone attempts.
00:09:59
Really, the Rams are just a run heavy team in the red zone because he'd be only has four beds own targets on the year, which ties for the team lead with Cooper Cup and Darryl Henderson.
00:10:10
Uh, but you know Henderson's run it 23 times in the red zone.
00:10:14
Malcolm Browns running 10 times in the red zone, so they seem like, you know, when they get there.
00:10:18
And I mean, Robert Woods, a pair of rushing attempts coughs carried it a couple times as I mentioned Gerald Everett.
00:10:23
So there, you know, it does seem like the Rams are a bit more run heavy team in the red zone, which, unfortunately, limits the touchdown upside of these tight ends like Higby.
00:10:32
An effort, if they're not getting, you know, consistent targets again.
00:10:36
The the bonus is nice for tight ends, but the other thing, too, is they need to be catching passes for that for them to make it worth it.
00:10:44
You know, if you're if you're still just going on touchdown dependent tight ends, then thes premiums aren't necessarily helping you, because if they're only gonna catch two passes, you get those extra points there.
00:10:54
But it really is the touchdown you're looking for.
00:10:56
I don't know that efforts touchdown upside.
00:10:58
Is that great against the Bears? Yes, DeMarcus Robinson against the Broncos.
00:11:03
And so that's why I'm kind of I still think, you know with Austin Heckler out, Josh Kelley fumbling a couple times before the bye week.
00:11:11
Let's see if that gets worked on.
00:11:12
But it seems like Justin Jackson got a lot of work if he's healthy and in.
00:11:16
And I'm glad that this is a decision that all these players play at four o'clock Gerald efforts case Monday night.
00:11:21
But if I am decided between Jackson Robinson, at least get clarity that I'll know if Jackson's in her out before having to decide if I want Robinson or not.
00:11:31
So, yeah, so those air again.
00:11:32
Some things to look out for again this morning we're really gonna focus on is the Jets Find out if Sam barrels the quarterback.
00:11:37
Obviously, it's a tough match against the Bills.
00:11:40
Regardless, I'm not sure if it really effects that much for that many people.
00:11:43
But, uh uh, still good to know, I think so.
00:11:51
He's going to see if there's anything on here in Jones right now, because that's that's the probably the biggest, uh, person to pay attention to.
00:12:00
Um, yeah, so let me just take a look here and again.
00:12:11
Anyone have any questions? Feel free.
00:12:14
Uh, start sits.
00:12:16
I walk through my process.
00:12:17
I had a couple decisions.
00:12:18
I want to get through later in terms of explaining how I do my process, but yeah.
00:12:22
So if you have any questions again, feel free again.
00:12:32
Just gonna look through.
00:12:34
See if we can find anything on Erin Jones.
00:12:38
Uh, again, a little early.
00:12:40
Now, I figure expected this more around 12.
00:12:43
New, But I'm just gonna look through again.
00:12:46
I subscribe to Jeff Lambert's list of NFL beat writers.
00:12:50
So that's at Jeff Lambert, 77 on Twitter.
00:12:53
Um, it's a good source.
00:12:55
It's just he's collected hundreds of beat writers on all teams and just yeah, gonna look through.
00:13:04
That's where a lot of times where the they're the ones getting while these information that they're being retweeted by the big names.
00:13:11
So this is where they get it from.
00:13:39
Yeah. Sorry about this. Yeah.
00:13:40
Scrolling through a list.
00:13:41
That's that's the interesting commune thing.
00:13:42
Yeah, about multitasking, too. Apparently.
00:13:46
So, yeah, I'm gonna look through any Aaron Joan news again.
00:13:50
I'm I'm leaning on.
00:13:52
Jones is probably not gonna play, I think.
00:13:57
Yeah, it seems like everyone's everyone's doing the same boat trying to wait for it.
00:14:01
Uh, I mean, you know, in the full press Dynasty League, anyone was listening to the podcast this week uh, knows that Kale and I were playing each other and, uh, you know, anyone remembers a little early.
00:14:15
I trade away my first to get Jonathan Taylor.
00:14:17
So without my first I'm two and four right now and looking outside the playoff spot.
00:14:24
I love Matt Duckworth's duck.
00:14:26
He's a great guy, but trading my first.
00:14:29
I don't want to give him a top four pick right now, so I wanna I wanna win some games, get to the playoffs, make that first is late as possible.
00:14:38
Hopefully compete for a championship I know of.
00:14:41
I'm up there in points scored.
00:14:43
I've had a really tough matchups and Kayla's, I believe, first in the league right now and in the standings and also in points scored.
00:14:50
As you know, anyone listens to the podcast for the last year knows Kale is a great fantasy mind, so that that shouldn't be any surprise there.
00:14:57
So it's gonna be tough.
00:14:59
Um, and I I might throw a J Dillan out if Erin Jones is out there, just cause I, you know, expect that they're going to try and you run the football a lot, especially after last week.
00:15:14
Uh, nice.
00:15:16
I got a little bit of an edge with Boston Scott doing well, scoring a touchdown, producing what? We've got close to 90 yards from scrimmage.
00:15:25
Uh, Kayla also had devante Freeman, and, uh, he left with an injury.
00:15:30
So, uh, one of her flex spots did got a 0.8 points.
00:15:34
Right? So a little bit of an edge there, uh, again against a great team like with Kayla's Got, uh, Derrick Henry patch from homes.
00:15:41
Allen Robinson. Of course.
00:15:43
She's right. One.
00:15:45
We're definitely one of the most rostered players.
00:15:47
You know, In order to go up against a team like that, you need every edge I could get, so a J Dillan might be able to get that edge.
00:15:54
Uh, this is interesting.
00:16:01
Packers wire.
00:16:02
Kind of did a story on.
00:16:04
All right, Erin Jones is definitely down, You know, USA Today sports packers wired.
00:16:09
Check them out.
00:16:10
They're good source.
00:16:11
All the, you know, especially pay attention to the Packers won as a fan.
00:16:15
But you know, all the team wires air good, really good sources of information.
00:16:20
So many good articles.
00:16:22
They're good writers at all those at all the sites.
00:16:24
So apparently he explained uh, that, you know, his his calf felt tight during practice practice.
00:16:35
Uh, I guess Thursday and then Friday, take a look at it and said Okay, well, we're not gonna risk anything.
00:16:44
It's just a Friday practice is supposed for a Sunday game.
00:16:47
Thursday is probably the heavier practice install of everything that they want him most.
00:16:53
So Friday practice likely walk through? Uh, yeah, keep him out.
00:17:00
So maybe there's a chance Jones play plays.
00:17:04
Hey, says I e feel like I'm confident I can play, but I know our trainers and doctors have the team.
00:17:09
The players best interest in mind.
00:17:11
Yeah, 40 and slipped there.
00:17:13
But yeah, I wanted everything my power to make sure I could get on the field.
00:17:16
But it's up to the team doctors.
00:17:18
So again, knowing that how patient the Packers like to be with their players.
00:17:24
No.
00:17:25
And again, this is there.
00:17:27
Yeah, even the NFC championship game last year.
00:17:29
This is a team that has Super bowl aspirations.
00:17:31
This is a marathon, not a sprint.
00:17:33
Got to do what's good for the team in the player.
00:17:36
Long term.
00:17:38
For Jones, long term only means the season, but a team from the Packers perspective, but yeah, so, you know.
00:17:47
And if he's in, I probably won't.
00:17:49
I mean, I'll take a J Dillan out, you know, in that particular league.
00:17:52
I also have Robert Tony in, so it's you pay attention to both, but I have got up options ready? Uh, actually, it's another league where I'm kind of waiting on on Justin Jackson.
00:18:03
So three questionable players? Well, e well to questionable players and, you know, ah, third player.
00:18:10
That's whose Value in A. J.
00:18:12
Dillan is really affected by another player, Aaron Jones.
00:18:14
So if you know if all three goes, you know Erin Jones is active, Robert Tanya isn't in Justin Jackson's out.
00:18:21
I've got, uh, another legal I brought to Marcus Robinson.
00:18:25
I believe I picked him up specifically because, Okay, four o'clock start.
00:18:29
So I'll get to know because, you know, at least with Tony, it's one o'clock.
00:18:33
We'll know that soon again.
00:18:35
I'm thinking within the next half hour to 45 minutes, we're gonna get confirmation whether Tanyon and Erin Jones play.
00:18:41
Um, so I've got to Marcus Robinson set in case, uh, because he's an easy pivot out for either a swell As for Justin Jackson.
00:18:51
So James White as well.
00:18:54
Another four o'clock starts.
00:18:55
So I've got players.
00:18:56
I've got options.
00:18:57
So, uh, go with, I think are the best options.
00:19:01
I suppose of Tawny is not 100% not needing to play a tight end, because again, Well, yeah, that's the key There.
00:19:07
He's in my flex spot, not in the tight end designations designated spot.
00:19:12
So I can put in a guy like DeMarcus Robinson, which is important again, you know, depends on the title, right I got this is another week.
00:19:22
I have Johnny Smith, which is Ah, lot of cases.
00:19:24
I think for those truly tight ends, you're willing to kind of risk it and hold them.
00:19:29
But any other tight end that's questionable.
00:19:31
I'd rather not playing in a one start. It's okay.
00:19:34
They have enough upside to be a flex spot.
00:19:37
Um, heavy by weeks, maybe there are some leagues where this particularly we have, I think six flex spots.
00:19:45
Uh, you know, heavy starters just wanted toe make a deep, deep rosters or key.
00:19:53
I think it's 12. Start.
00:19:54
So, uh, with a lot of flex, you can usually, you know, sometimes get too tight ends in there.
00:19:59
Um, yeah.
00:20:01
So that's again looking for.
00:20:04
We'll look for some clarification on all the questionable players.
00:20:10
A few things we do know.
00:20:12
We do know that Joe Mix has been ruled out.
00:20:15
So Geo Bernard is expected to get most of the work things.
00:20:20
That has been the case in previous years.
00:20:22
We'll see if that's continues to be the case now.
00:20:25
Um, there's also okay.
00:20:29
Uh, well, yeah, There's John Brown.
00:20:32
Who's out So more work towards Cole Beasley.
00:20:34
Stuff on digs.
00:20:36
Gabriel Davis.
00:20:37
I mean more work towards Giggs.
00:20:38
Maybe not.
00:20:39
But I did mention this in my Yahoo DFS article for going for to that so far, the one game that John Brown missed stuff on Jigsaw 16 targets that game.
00:20:49
So I don't know if the passing game is gonna be to be that potent.
00:20:53
We're gonna have to throw that many times against the Jets.
00:20:55
But still expect high efficiency from all those receivers.
00:20:58
Uh, you know, Chef, good big faith in Cole Beasley.
00:21:02
And then, uh, I think you know, Singletary might be a really good play to just because if they are up there, probably give more work towards running backs, and he's been the healthiest.
00:21:11
Not sure again about fully at about Zach.
00:21:14
Boss, I I think there is one league where I've got I'm starting him.
00:21:19
Uh, just because again, if he is, it doesn't end up healthy.
00:21:23
And the and the bills.
00:21:24
Aaron scoring positions.
00:21:25
Often before his injury, he was the goal line back, and it seemed like the they were even targeting him there as well.
00:21:33
Not just for goal line.
00:21:35
Carries red zone targets.
00:21:36
And, uh, Singletary's taken on that now since Mosses injury.
00:21:40
But it did seem like right off the bat, that's that was clear with who they wanted that to be.
00:21:45
So, uh, if Moss returns healthy and they decide this is the game toe, use them in that mold against the Jets.
00:21:50
I believe he scored two receiving touchdowns against the Jets Week one.
00:21:54
So, you know, if they have that edge, maybe they use that again.
00:22:01
So, uh, yeah, but again, we'll get e think we I think we're still waiting for confirmation of that game is even gonna happen.
00:22:08
Uh, which I feel like when games have been postponed.
00:22:14
We've kind of found out about it more.
00:22:16
Okay.
00:22:17
So the isolated again.
00:22:19
I think it's all gonna depend on tests this morning.
00:22:21
I'm not sure about the exact timeline of when they said it.
00:22:27
When? When they will announce any tests, results at all or when they administer and even test results this morning.
00:22:40
Yeah.
00:22:41
Just gonna look at that again.
00:22:42
This beat reporters list.
00:22:44
Uh, okay.
00:22:45
By Jeff Lambert at Jeff Lambert, 77 on Twitter.
00:22:48
I used the creator our you know, our fearless leader at that going for you.
00:23:08
Apparently, there's some violations involving the Giants that air.
00:23:12
It seems like the NFL isn't really investigating teams.
00:23:14
They're telling teams just do.
00:23:15
But, uh, she's like, no actions being taken on teams violate any rules.
00:23:20
Its's all, apparently team to team discipline players if they dio violate any rules.
00:23:26
So, yeah.
00:23:35
Um, sometimes CBS I know.
00:23:42
Keep God.
00:23:45
I wrote a while wire as well.
00:23:48
Well, sometimes have these early inactives come out so so far.
00:23:55
Nothing yet.
00:23:56
Um and yeah, it's still 11.
00:23:58
30.
00:24:00
So, uh, once again, lineup decisions, I think if anyone has any said, start questions feel free.
00:24:08
Uh, right here in the live channeling SportsCastr or also you can tweet me on Twitter at Center says Happy toe.
00:24:17
Answer anything.
00:24:18
Eso What? What is the process behind lineup decisions? It Sometimes I work through things differently.
00:24:28
Um, so, you know, league dependent in terms of how you view certain players, right? With one other scoring settings.
00:24:38
I've already talked about your extreme tight end premiums.
00:24:42
Um, one league were a little bit easier to kind of grasp the concept.
00:24:47
Eo grasp.
00:24:49
The concept, I should say, is, uh, just a little easier to contextualize toe normal league scoring, conventional league scoring, uh, half point PPR half point for first down.
00:25:01
So again, really the edges just players running backs or anyone who gets a rushing or receiving first down.
00:25:08
This is, uh, quarterback first downs.
00:25:11
Don't count in this one.
00:25:12
I know some leagues will were passing first downs.
00:25:14
We'll also count.
00:25:15
This is not one of those is simply just the ever gets the receiving and rushing first down on also touchdown.
00:25:21
So, technically, a touchdown in these first out leagues were actually in this case because it's 45 6.
00:25:27
5, because every time a touchdown does take into account as a first down.
00:25:31
Um, so you still give kind of a You're credence to those red zone guys.
00:25:36
Um, just looking at my final flex spot knowing that.
00:25:40
Okay, the first down maybe does favor a bit of the running backs because, okay, short yardage situations.
00:25:46
You got Chase Edmunds.
00:25:47
Right? But and you know, Chase Edmunds has five red zone carries on the year, but only one carry from inside the five.
00:25:53
And as much as he, you know, his teammate hasn't necessarily been the most efficient with touchdowns, as he was last year, Kenyan Drake still is five attempts inside the five based almost once a week.
00:26:03
Kaehler has three Kyler Murray.
00:26:05
So, in terms of who's getting the ball more of the goal line, Chase Edmunds actually third on the Cardinals, however, he leads the team in Red Zone targets.
00:26:14
So, in a sense, mhm in this league, like in this type of setting, he doesn't necessarily get the edge that most running backs would in that you know that extra point for first downs again.
00:26:27
It's a short yardage guy, so you know eso as the pass catching back again.
00:26:34
A projected shootout against Seattle does seem like okay, He does get a bit of unhedged there.
00:26:40
Uh, three other options.
00:26:42
So about three receivers that I could also put in that flex spot.
00:26:44
Cole Beasley, McColl, Hardman, Marcus Valve.
00:26:47
The scaling bills were playing the Jets chiefs.
00:26:50
They're playing the Broncos, and then the Packers are playing the Texans.
00:26:54
All those on the road.
00:26:55
Actually, Hedman's is the only home player.
00:26:58
Eso What do I look at? So I look at production, right, and we're six weeks in, so we do have a bit of a scope of production of what these players are capable of, both low and high end on.
00:27:09
Right now, the clear floor is really obvious.
00:27:11
Cole Beasley has scored at least 8.
00:27:12
8 fantasy points in every game this season.
00:27:16
Of these three players, the next highest floor from what we've seen so far this year is Chase Edmunds, his worst game this year. 3.3.
00:27:22
That's less than half.
00:27:24
So when we talk about safe options, it's very clearly Beasley, so he gets the edge for what I want as a secure no, you're gonna get a certain amount of points.
00:27:33
Unfortunately, in terms of what he's produced, this year.
00:27:35
He also has the lowest ceiling.
00:27:36
15 points is his best game in this scoring format.
00:27:39
Whereas actually Chase Edmunds, believe or not, out of these three players at 19.
00:27:43
7 a game, he scored a touchdown.
00:27:45
Uh, he ends up as the highest ceiling.
00:27:50
Technically, Andi, I mean, he could achieve that again against Seattle, so it does kind of give them reasonable.
00:27:56
So, you know, it s so maybe go with the backup running back there.
00:28:00
So unhedged toe Edmonds, You look at the offensive line right now.
00:28:06
The chiefs of the best offensive line adjusted sack rate and McColl Hardman as a receiver, especially receiver who? I mean, he's not just a deep that, but that is part of his game is Thio get open.
00:28:17
Uh, you know, deep down the field uses speed to his advantage to get past players.
00:28:22
Those types of plays for them to go off necessitate good protection.
00:28:26
So from an offensive line standpoint, McColl hardman actually gets the edge here, especially because, you know, you might give it to the Packers, who, you know, were number one entering last week.
00:28:36
And unfortunately, you know how that happened against the Bucks.
00:28:39
Uh, David Bakhtiari being out, though I think, is there right now.
00:28:42
They're ranked ninth and adjusted sack rate dropped eight spots that might be closer than real ranking.
00:28:47
So, yeah, I think the offensive line edge here has to go to the Chiefs.
00:28:50
Um, now the matchup.
00:28:52
Eso the d v o A.
00:28:54
The Broncos are least again league average. Negative 2.4.
00:28:58
At least, football outsiders are saying so.
00:29:00
They have the toughest matchup now.
00:29:02
Who's the easiest matchup? It's It's not as obvious.
00:29:06
Jets at 5.
00:29:07
8, Seahawks at 7.
00:29:08
6 and the Texans at 9.4.
00:29:11
So you would technically say it's the Texans.
00:29:12
So Marquez Valve, the scamming actually does the best d v o a matchup here, but it's so close, not necessarily giving him the edge fully over.
00:29:21
You know, Edmonds Air Beasley.
00:29:23
If anything, it just It kind of works against Hardman.
00:29:24
So, yes, they have the best offensive line, but they probably are facing the toughest pass rusher.
00:29:29
Be looking, You know, Jets, Seahawks, Texans, Texans probably could, you know, contend there to, uh but I think overall front seven Linebacking corps. Hello.
00:29:39
Secondary.
00:29:40
Maybe, Uh, they seem like the Broncos or the toughest matchup.
00:29:43
So it almost negates the fact that the offensive line is the best for the Chiefs, right? So what it boils down to is, you know, you almost argue Beasley is the best matchup because the offensive line anything adjusted sack rate taking the higher with the Packers air right now against the Jets.
00:30:04
But is it almost too good for matchup where they, you know, they could just run the football lot? So when you're looking at the offensive line and the D v o A, it's tough to kind of given edge anywhere s okay.
00:30:14
I'm looking back to production.
00:30:15
Beasley versus Edmonds, uh, defensive ranks.
00:30:19
And for this is, you know, fantasy production points allowed Thio each position in this case wide receiver for the for the three receivers and course running backs toe Edmonds.
00:30:28
According to this league scoring settings, the best match up in that regard is Valda Scantlin against the Texans.
00:30:35
Funny enough, even though they have the worst TV away, the next best is Michael Hardman against the Broncos.
00:30:40
Uh, whereas it's funny, you think the Seahawks good matchup, but they've allowed the 12 fewest points to running backs.
00:30:47
Now chase them into the past catching back, so I don't necessarily disregard it too much.
00:30:52
But still, think again, probably giving the edge to Val this scaling here.
00:30:57
So so far we've given an edge toe easily because of his floor.
00:31:02
Edmunds, because of the ceiling of what he's shown, if you in game scripts, where pass catching is more important.
00:31:09
And again, he is the leading red zone target for the Cardinals so far through, uh, through six weeks.
00:31:14
So maybe that streak continues, so give him the edge.
00:31:17
That and then look at the defense rankings.
00:31:20
Val, the scaling gets the edge.
00:31:22
Uh, you know, hardly had the edge in offensive line, but also the matchup against the Broncos kinda nullifies that edge, and then you look at the game.
00:31:30
Now the Packers are projected to score the most.
00:31:32
There implied total was 35 at least according to the U. S.
00:31:35
Are.
00:31:37
Next up is the Bills, a 28.
00:31:38
5, followed by the Chiefs of 26.
00:31:40
5, and then so it's a Vegas is kind of saying tough matchup there, or at least tough defense.
00:31:46
Lower scoring game for the Chiefs and then, uh, Cardinals, actually, last 25.
00:31:50
75 So not the greatest type of scenario for the past catching back.
00:31:57
So maybe edge develop the scanning.
00:31:58
Also the edge in the game script because, uh, actually has the highest over under the Texans Packers game.
00:32:04
So I'll, 57 points a lot of points scored.
00:32:07
Likely a lot of pass attempts against a vulnerable secondary.
00:32:11
Val.
00:32:12
The scaling kind of gets a bit of an edge there.
00:32:15
So giving him the edge, kind of in terms of how that game was just gonna go and how the point they're gonna be scored.
00:32:21
Because as much as you know, Beasley 28.
00:32:23
5, it's only two points implied less than what the Packers have.
00:32:27
But the 46 combined over under.
00:32:29
So yeah, big total for the Bills.
00:32:31
But is that a game where they could run the football more so how the game scripts going give the edge to Val This canceling their, um, looking at the red zone work because again, Red zone not only important here, but also important because the first down, um, Visalia six red zone targets on the season valve.
00:32:45
The Scanlon has four in one fewer game has already mentioned Chase Edmunds.
00:32:50
Five. Red Zone carries.
00:32:51
Four Red Zone targets.
00:32:52
Michael Hartmann. Only one.
00:32:54
So e.
00:32:55
I mean, I'm looking at this.
00:32:56
That the Chiefs have got that game is the lowest combined over under 44 a half.
00:33:02
Again, talk about the DVD away.
00:33:05
I mean, McColl, Harbin last week with Sammy Watkins out, had a zero.
00:33:08
So that's that's the thing.
00:33:09
That's a low floor, right? Could because doesn't seem like he was hurt.
00:33:15
That was a game where the Chiefs just ran the ball so much that there just weren't any pastimes to go around.
00:33:20
Broncos do.
00:33:21
It seems like a tougher run defense thin the Bills.
00:33:24
So, you know, maybe that doesn't happen.
00:33:27
But there's still a lot of a lot of things going against Nicole Hardman.
00:33:31
So the first thing I did hear actually decided was kind of decided.
00:33:35
Hartmann's the guy I'm not gonna play and then kind of narrow it down from there.
00:33:37
So between Beasley, Edmonds invalidates canceling again.
00:33:43
He usually is a safer floor.
00:33:46
You could argue Edmonds is the higher scene, but it could also give it to battle this scandal so that would almost get split.
00:33:51
Take me the Beasley is the better offensive line.
00:33:53
But again, Packers air close but without box er I would give that edge.
00:33:56
Thio Beasley, the D V away, the defense kind of say Valdez Scantlin.
00:34:01
So another edge to him there edge in the game.
00:34:05
Scripts and offensive line kind of is is equal.
00:34:09
So, really, the numbers are almost telling me Valdes scanning.
00:34:13
But I am feeling going Beasley simply because a lot of these games aren't necessarily accounting for the fact that John Brown has been out.
00:34:20
We're looking at his production, right? It's only happened once s so far Where, uh, Beazley's bid out there somewhere.
00:34:29
John Brown's been out.
00:34:32
And actually let's look at what Beasley did that game that maybe give some context as well.
00:34:40
Um, anyway, so this this was all to kind of this.
00:34:44
This explains what I look at right and get get offensive line info and TV away stuff from football outsiders.
00:34:51
Um, the Vegas stuff I get from the U. S.
00:34:55
R.
00:34:56
And then red zone work I get from NFL savant.
00:34:59
So this is all stuff people can look up, but glad to kind of share, uh, into that process.
00:35:05
You know those resources as for like, you know, with the defense ranks and the player point score.
00:35:12
And that's all Ah, lot of your you know, I think every league form and I have has player profile pages for each player on your on your roster where you could see what they've scored every week.
00:35:21
So that's where I get that stuff from eso.
00:35:23
Because again, every everything on that is based on, you know, exact scoring settings I was talking about cages.
00:35:29
Doesn't have first downs or not, because that does make a bit of a difference. I know, e.
00:35:33
I was looking at it.
00:35:34
Uh, Cole Beasley has the most first downs.
00:35:36
Um, but uhh.
00:35:40
He You know, Val, the scanning again played what has played one fewer game with his bye week.
00:35:44
So per game, they're essentially equal.
00:35:47
Uh, 10.
00:35:48
3 points for Beasley.
00:35:49
When John Brown was out, those game against the Titans Bills only scored 16 points.
00:35:55
Um, actually, the scored 17 next week against the Chiefs, But that was last week. You need to score a touchdown.
00:36:01
There So it's kind of you kind of banking on the touchdown.
00:36:04
And it's funny, actually, against the Jets, he only had 8.
00:36:06
5 points, which has been his worst game this year.
00:36:09
So, yeah, I think what I think again, that's it's pretty solid floor.
00:36:17
Because of how this canceling he had a game with one fantasy point.
00:36:21
Yeah, one catch for five yards.
00:36:24
And it wasn't for a first down, was he would have won five.
00:36:27
So uhh, it was against the Saints in what should have been a good matchup for him.
00:36:33
I remember it first, too.
00:36:35
E remember it for You know, at first he was locked up with Marshawn Lattimore.
00:36:40
But then, as Alan Lazard kept going off, Lattimore kind of crept towards that side and you figured he'd have a chance against Jenkins.
00:36:45
But, you know, obviously wasn't the case.
00:36:48
Uh, but still one touchdown Week one and, uh, no.
00:36:53
19 fantasy points that week.
00:36:56
He's the next three weeks.
00:36:59
He got less than that combined in all three.
00:37:03
Finally, 5.
00:37:04
7 last week has been able to eclipse 19 in four games, but just barely, uh, so you know, he hasn't really been that consistent.
00:37:14
And eso I think Withdrawn brownout, given the chance of Beasley, you know, the safer floor.
00:37:19
A zoo.
00:37:20
Muchas valid scanning. Probably does have a high ceiling.
00:37:23
Yeah, this is my last last flex spot.
00:37:26
Guys like a.
00:37:27
J.
00:37:29
Brown, D. K. Metcalf, Patrick Mahomes, some high upside plays.
00:37:31
So I'm thinking safety for that last spot more than anything.
00:37:34
So that's why I'm leaning towards Beasley.
00:37:36
If I was really feeling like being aggressive and needed to score points.
00:37:41
Oh, man, this other team is really out.
00:37:43
Matching me I really need is much as I can probably go about the scanning, but, uh, looking at the team records about three and three.
00:37:49
Uh, you know, I do have some players on bye weeks, maybe.
00:37:53
No, it's not my necessarily my my full team, but it's I think it's still safety is sort of the where I'm gonna go with that last flex spot I want I want guarantee points.
00:38:05
But I think that I've got other players on my roster that can can hit that high ceiling.
00:38:13
Alright, so uhh getting close to Yeah, I'm getting close to the time when injury reports, maybe start coming out again. Big news.
00:38:36
Two teams were really looking for the Jets and the Packers.
00:38:40
Okay, so we got some early inactives.
00:38:42
Now that's 11 38.
00:38:45
Good time.
00:38:46
Um, so, as we already knew, knew John Brown out. T.
00:38:53
J Yeldon is inactive for the bills, so that's saying they have faith in Moss. Probably.
00:39:01
They feel he's pretty healthy that I mean, Yeldon was inactive last week.
00:39:04
I believe to you.
00:39:05
So not a special teams player.
00:39:07
So he's really gonna play when either Moss or Singletary's out.
00:39:11
Or if they if they really fearing Mosses, health could activate a third running back just because but looks like mostly find agreement.
00:39:20
I am starting in one league, the middle of the Panthers.
00:39:24
We know Joe mixes out John Ross inactive again against the Browns, I think.
00:39:30
Fire up Tee Higgins, Fire page a green.
00:39:33
If you want Drew samples, a tight end.
00:39:35
If you're you need a tight end, you can there for the lions.
00:39:40
Quintus Cephus is inactive.
00:39:43
It seems like the rookie has not necessarily been playing the par Marvin Hall and and Jamal Agnew are getting more playing time.
00:39:58
It seems like so the rookie inactive Zack Martin inactive for the Cowboys on.
00:40:08
He's a guard, but he's the last I'll pro they have on that offensive line.
00:40:12
It's now not what it used to be, so I don't I I fear guy like Michael Gallup, Maybe more than anybody has.
00:40:18
It seems like he never plays in the slot.
00:40:20
He's always on the outside, those types around.
00:40:23
It's tough to develop if there's not time behind it.
00:40:27
So you guys like CD Lamb and Cooper, who moved the slot, maybe get early separation more easily.
00:40:32
Quicker passes? Uh, probably not necessarily benefit from this, but won't be.
00:40:37
It's heard is bad, but yeah, I even dropped out on that one thing. I was talking about that line of decision.
00:40:42
I originally lineup decision was between five players, and then eventually I thought, You know what? I don't think gallops could do that.
00:40:48
Well, this week I'll drop him.
00:40:49
I dropped him, I think yesterday or I believe it yesterday late Friday, to the point where he wasn't gonna clear waivers until after the game time, so no one would be able to pick him up this weekend.
00:41:00
If he does, I expected performs poorly this week.
00:41:04
He's probably going to that highly sought after I'd be able to get him back.
00:41:07
I think I did it more because I needed extra tight end.
00:41:10
I also wanted to keep Michael Hardman just in case.
00:41:13
I feel like the upsides.
00:41:14
They're better, uh, could have cut either one.
00:41:16
I just I think I believe in Hartmann's upside more this week, where he'll be more sought after after a big week than Gallup.
00:41:22
Well, maybe I'm wrong on that.
00:41:23
Maybe I should have stuck with Alright, drafted.
00:41:25
But they got D K.
00:41:28
Metcalf a J Browns back team where I'm more solid receiver.
00:41:32
Where, uh, yeah, so not so worried there.
00:41:36
But yeah, I think I think Gallup is probably gonna suffer the most from the lack of offensive line and lack of I say Andy Dalton support with Dak Prescott and playing really well so really, definitely better.
00:41:48
Quarterback, I think Erin Jones and active Here we go.
00:41:51
So that's as we expected.
00:41:53
Or at least as I expected.
00:41:55
Erin Jones won't be playing Jamal Williams fired up where you have them again.
00:41:59
I've got a J Dillan, only one league, and I'm gonna play in that league.
00:42:02
Uh, again, it hinges on a few players later.
00:42:06
Uh, not seeing Robert taunting on this inactive list Not necessarily confirmed that he's active yet.
00:42:11
They that might beam or a true game time decision.
00:42:14
This seems like it's a little early.
00:42:16
Uh, so yeah, E uh
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FPC Fantasy Kickoff

19195 views
Oct 25, 2020
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19,195 Views
Full Press Coverage @FPC

Transcript hideup

00:00:35
Hello, everyone.
00:00:36
Welcome.
00:00:37
Two NFL Kickoff Live This'll Week fantasy segment.
00:00:42
Uh, my name, Kyle Center.
00:00:43
It's been a couple weeks, Uh, since I've been on, but, uh, good to be back.
00:00:50
Hopefully you to answer some questions today s oh, I feel for you join the chat in the chat.
00:00:55
Just any sits start questions go through, go through my process, be the best possible answer Way confined.
00:01:06
So yeah, so I mean, there's a few things Thio look out for.
00:01:10
Injury wise, I guess there's a few games to look out for because of potential co vid related reasons.
00:01:18
So, uh, a lot to look out for news wise.
00:01:21
So, uh, do the best on that and other food, you know, to pressing things.
00:01:25
Erin Jones, Robert Tony into question of players for the Packers.
00:01:29
That's well, obviously we'll find out this morning towards the end of this.
00:01:35
They're least expecting around 12 noon if not by 12.
00:01:39
30.
00:01:40
When I do log off what we should have answers on both those players, Um, you know, just as a Packers fan and just someone who pays attention to the NFL.
00:01:50
You see that there, You know, they this year.
00:01:53
Really recent history, being really patient with players returning, who are injured, not rushing anyone.
00:01:59
It's a big picture.
00:02:00
It's a it's a full season and belief in the team.
00:02:02
So I am leaning on the side of Erin Jones being out.
00:02:06
So we'll see.
00:02:07
If that's in fact the case just and just in general, any type of players added to the injury report late like, uh, this case Friday, it was clear Wednesday, Thursday, so it didn't seem like it was an issue.
00:02:18
So added means injured in practice, Some house.
00:02:22
This is so, uh, happening that close.
00:02:26
Not really sure that the full extent yet they probably don't want to risk him.
00:02:30
You tend to see that with a lot of players who I'm gonna have that those late injury report adds, if it's someone who's been dealing with an injury, okay, you're not sure going to Friday? I mean, you know, they may just be resting them, getting them ready to play someone like Robert Tanyon right s.
00:02:44
So they'll be the opposite where I think Tanya has a better chance to play because, you know, he was injured in the game against the Buccaneers.
00:02:51
but he it didn't seem like it hindered him enough to not be on the field.
00:02:57
Maybe it hindered.
00:02:58
I mean, that whole game, the entire offense was hindered.
00:03:01
Not a Packers show, but clearly a Packers fan.
00:03:02
So, yeah, but if he was healthy enough to kind of keep playing and he didn't practice until Friday, believe limited practice participation it was.
00:03:12
And I don't know exactly what that means.
00:03:14
So there's a chance both could be out.
00:03:16
But I see taunting is a better chance of playing than Jones, just for what that's worth.
00:03:21
And I mean, Jamison Crowder is listed as doubtful.
00:03:24
We don't even know who the quarterback for the Jets really will be.
00:03:26
E think the expectation is Donald, but we're not entirely sure, uh, could still be ruled out.
00:03:35
Um, but we'll find out.
00:03:38
So just getting through and again lineup decisions this week.
00:03:44
I feel a lot of them hinge for myself personally on on whether players or in or out one league, where trying to look for replacement for Crowder.
00:03:53
If he is, the expectation is that he'll be out my best option.
00:03:57
I mean, I could go Breshad Perriman, but I have looked at.
00:04:03
My best option appears to be Scotty Miller, however, again for covert related reasons.
00:04:08
Actually, both those games, uh, you know, included teams where players have tested positive.
00:04:14
Um, certain position groups and players and close contacts have isolated.
00:04:19
And from all accounts, it seems like the game is gonna go obviously any positive test this morning.
00:04:23
I think, at the very least, postpones the game.
00:04:26
We'll find out long term what that means.
00:04:29
Uh, there's any effects beyond this week for in terms of just scheduling.
00:04:34
So, uh, keep a close eye on that as we as we find out, um so really, and I think with the Bucks game being being later, there's a chance we were not going to know for sure for sure before one o'clock.
00:04:48
So my thing is, yeah, Scotty Miller has the best chance.
00:04:52
Alright has the best.
00:04:53
I think upside potential toe.
00:04:55
Give me the most points over Perriman against the really tough bills defense, Especially if if he is identified as the main guy, Troy Davis White not may not play, but it's still being that extra attention and coverage goes towards him and the overall upside of that offense, I think, is so little that even the number one guy may not perform that well.
00:05:14
So I feel like Scott Miller's where I'm gonna go.
00:05:18
Andi, I do have a couple players playing Monday night. Van Jefferson.
00:05:22
Josh Reynolds.
00:05:23
If Robert Woods if we knew Robert Woods was out, they might.
00:05:27
Either of them might have some decent upside.
00:05:29
Uh, so again, I think the answer there is that Well, no, if Crowder's inter out obviously first.
00:05:36
But regardless, I feel like I still want more information.
00:05:40
So I'm definitely not gonna play Perryman and just wait till four o'clock.
00:05:43
Some of these decisions are gonna have to come down toe four o'clock.
00:05:46
Not so much now, before one o'clock.
00:05:49
So, uh, just, you know, that's an example of how I'm working through. Okay.
00:05:53
What happens if Crowder's out? Like how? I'm not necessarily gonna because the obvious thing is overcrowded.
00:05:57
I don't just play Perriman, right? But I don't necessarily want to just you find this the easy solution I wanna look through and find what I think is the best.
00:06:05
So another one and this will be a later one again.
00:06:08
This is how, uh getting out all the information.
00:06:11
But Justin Jackson? I've got him going in a couple spots.
00:06:15
Uh, there's one league in particular where, uh, it's not so obvious, you know, a few leagues where I've got okay, if he's out, I'm putting this player in like I've kind of identified that as there's only one clear option.
00:06:28
There's one league where it's a tight end premium, and, uh, it's a pretty significant premium. Like it.
00:06:33
Sometimes that's that's what gets talked about fantasy, right? What's you know what? Oh, Thailand's get extra point.
00:06:37
But at what extent does it make a tangible difference? Um, and I think it's It's all based on, not even necessary with the tight ends get.
00:06:45
But it's relative to other positions.
00:06:46
What what makes it the premium? How much of a premium? You know, if you're talking, you know an extra half point even that is, you need the context of where you going from.
00:06:57
So let's say it's full point.
00:06:59
PPR tight ends get a next a half 0.
00:07:02
0.1 point five.
00:07:04
That's a you know, that's a 50% upgrade for tight ends every time they catch the ball.
00:07:09
So yes, that does kind of it doesn't make a difference, but if you're going up from half point for for running backs wide receivers up an extra half point that same you make that same edition.
00:07:21
But you're going up to a full point.
00:07:22
Suddenly you're doubling it.
00:07:23
So just that alone kind of shows Okay, well, if it's if it's half point to full point that the tight end, it goes up by, uh, to a full point.
00:07:32
And that's more significant because it doubles it as opposed to.
00:07:36
If you're starting at at one full point for everyone going up that half point to 1.
00:07:40
5 to get that same impact, you have to go up to two point PPR to get that double eso You know what that will do? Is it makes you know if you go, let's say everything's half point DPR and the tight ends get get double that, which is a full point.
00:07:57
It doesn't necessarily make them more valuable than, say, workhorse running backs, getting China carries and the opportunities you're gonna kind of lead that way anyway.
00:08:04
But it it makes tight ends more valuable than wide receivers.
00:08:07
If it's you know, one for one, especially in leagues where you don't have.
00:08:12
If you don't like, if you only have to start one of each position and there's a ton of flex positions suddenly, you know, tight end in that in that type of situation does increase the one thing I have.
00:08:21
It's kind of it's It's where the tricky middle ground is.
00:08:24
Um, you have to start three wide receivers on Lee.
00:08:28
One tight end, but, uh, tight ends get 2.
00:08:31
75 points per reception, whereas wide receivers only get one point per reception.
00:08:38
So not only you're doubling in your almost tripling it, um, and so it's Ah, pretty interesting scoring settings, I shouted Thio Josh Nelson of the Smoke show podcast.
00:08:50
He's the commissioner of this and fun league, you know, a lot of has done towards charity and stuff.
00:08:55
So shout out to him for for organizing that and because tight ends get the edge.
00:09:01
I'm debating Gerald Everton DeMarcus Robinson again.
00:09:03
If Justin Jackson's out, I do think if he's in, I'd like to see if he gets enough carries, uh, to make again.
00:09:11
And this is where really it's tricky because because when you're getting that many points per reception.
00:09:15
It's great.
00:09:16
But is Gerald really gonna catch that many passes? Um, and so just trying to see it because it's a difficult matchup against the Bears.
00:09:25
If Robert Woods is in her ouch, It's tough to know, um, does seem like the ones about the various or maybe vulnerable is too tight ends then what Gerald effort is the case has been getting targeted some games yet in this scoring setting with the 2.
00:09:40
75 point per reception, you had a 20 point game, but he has zero red zone targets this year.
00:09:45
He has one red zone carry.
00:09:48
When he scored on it, that's his only red zone work.
00:09:50
So it's not being used in the traditional sense of a tight end.
00:09:54
That seems like it is more Higby tas getting those red zone attempts.
00:09:59
Really, the Rams are just a run heavy team in the red zone because he'd be only has four beds own targets on the year, which ties for the team lead with Cooper Cup and Darryl Henderson.
00:10:10
Uh, but you know Henderson's run it 23 times in the red zone.
00:10:14
Malcolm Browns running 10 times in the red zone, so they seem like, you know, when they get there.
00:10:18
And I mean, Robert Woods, a pair of rushing attempts coughs carried it a couple times as I mentioned Gerald Everett.
00:10:23
So there, you know, it does seem like the Rams are a bit more run heavy team in the red zone, which, unfortunately, limits the touchdown upside of these tight ends like Higby.
00:10:32
An effort, if they're not getting, you know, consistent targets again.
00:10:36
The the bonus is nice for tight ends, but the other thing, too, is they need to be catching passes for that for them to make it worth it.
00:10:44
You know, if you're if you're still just going on touchdown dependent tight ends, then thes premiums aren't necessarily helping you, because if they're only gonna catch two passes, you get those extra points there.
00:10:54
But it really is the touchdown you're looking for.
00:10:56
I don't know that efforts touchdown upside.
00:10:58
Is that great against the Bears? Yes, DeMarcus Robinson against the Broncos.
00:11:03
And so that's why I'm kind of I still think, you know with Austin Heckler out, Josh Kelley fumbling a couple times before the bye week.
00:11:11
Let's see if that gets worked on.
00:11:12
But it seems like Justin Jackson got a lot of work if he's healthy and in.
00:11:16
And I'm glad that this is a decision that all these players play at four o'clock Gerald efforts case Monday night.
00:11:21
But if I am decided between Jackson Robinson, at least get clarity that I'll know if Jackson's in her out before having to decide if I want Robinson or not.
00:11:31
So, yeah, so those air again.
00:11:32
Some things to look out for again this morning we're really gonna focus on is the Jets Find out if Sam barrels the quarterback.
00:11:37
Obviously, it's a tough match against the Bills.
00:11:40
Regardless, I'm not sure if it really effects that much for that many people.
00:11:43
But, uh uh, still good to know, I think so.
00:11:51
He's going to see if there's anything on here in Jones right now, because that's that's the probably the biggest, uh, person to pay attention to.
00:12:00
Um, yeah, so let me just take a look here and again.
00:12:11
Anyone have any questions? Feel free.
00:12:14
Uh, start sits.
00:12:16
I walk through my process.
00:12:17
I had a couple decisions.
00:12:18
I want to get through later in terms of explaining how I do my process, but yeah.
00:12:22
So if you have any questions again, feel free again.
00:12:32
Just gonna look through.
00:12:34
See if we can find anything on Erin Jones.
00:12:38
Uh, again, a little early.
00:12:40
Now, I figure expected this more around 12.
00:12:43
New, But I'm just gonna look through again.
00:12:46
I subscribe to Jeff Lambert's list of NFL beat writers.
00:12:50
So that's at Jeff Lambert, 77 on Twitter.
00:12:53
Um, it's a good source.
00:12:55
It's just he's collected hundreds of beat writers on all teams and just yeah, gonna look through.
00:13:04
That's where a lot of times where the they're the ones getting while these information that they're being retweeted by the big names.
00:13:11
So this is where they get it from.
00:13:39
Yeah. Sorry about this. Yeah.
00:13:40
Scrolling through a list.
00:13:41
That's that's the interesting commune thing.
00:13:42
Yeah, about multitasking, too. Apparently.
00:13:46
So, yeah, I'm gonna look through any Aaron Joan news again.
00:13:50
I'm I'm leaning on.
00:13:52
Jones is probably not gonna play, I think.
00:13:57
Yeah, it seems like everyone's everyone's doing the same boat trying to wait for it.
00:14:01
Uh, I mean, you know, in the full press Dynasty League, anyone was listening to the podcast this week uh, knows that Kale and I were playing each other and, uh, you know, anyone remembers a little early.
00:14:15
I trade away my first to get Jonathan Taylor.
00:14:17
So without my first I'm two and four right now and looking outside the playoff spot.
00:14:24
I love Matt Duckworth's duck.
00:14:26
He's a great guy, but trading my first.
00:14:29
I don't want to give him a top four pick right now, so I wanna I wanna win some games, get to the playoffs, make that first is late as possible.
00:14:38
Hopefully compete for a championship I know of.
00:14:41
I'm up there in points scored.
00:14:43
I've had a really tough matchups and Kayla's, I believe, first in the league right now and in the standings and also in points scored.
00:14:50
As you know, anyone listens to the podcast for the last year knows Kale is a great fantasy mind, so that that shouldn't be any surprise there.
00:14:57
So it's gonna be tough.
00:14:59
Um, and I I might throw a J Dillan out if Erin Jones is out there, just cause I, you know, expect that they're going to try and you run the football a lot, especially after last week.
00:15:14
Uh, nice.
00:15:16
I got a little bit of an edge with Boston Scott doing well, scoring a touchdown, producing what? We've got close to 90 yards from scrimmage.
00:15:25
Uh, Kayla also had devante Freeman, and, uh, he left with an injury.
00:15:30
So, uh, one of her flex spots did got a 0.8 points.
00:15:34
Right? So a little bit of an edge there, uh, again against a great team like with Kayla's Got, uh, Derrick Henry patch from homes.
00:15:41
Allen Robinson. Of course.
00:15:43
She's right. One.
00:15:45
We're definitely one of the most rostered players.
00:15:47
You know, In order to go up against a team like that, you need every edge I could get, so a J Dillan might be able to get that edge.
00:15:54
Uh, this is interesting.
00:16:01
Packers wire.
00:16:02
Kind of did a story on.
00:16:04
All right, Erin Jones is definitely down, You know, USA Today sports packers wired.
00:16:09
Check them out.
00:16:10
They're good source.
00:16:11
All the, you know, especially pay attention to the Packers won as a fan.
00:16:15
But you know, all the team wires air good, really good sources of information.
00:16:20
So many good articles.
00:16:22
They're good writers at all those at all the sites.
00:16:24
So apparently he explained uh, that, you know, his his calf felt tight during practice practice.
00:16:35
Uh, I guess Thursday and then Friday, take a look at it and said Okay, well, we're not gonna risk anything.
00:16:44
It's just a Friday practice is supposed for a Sunday game.
00:16:47
Thursday is probably the heavier practice install of everything that they want him most.
00:16:53
So Friday practice likely walk through? Uh, yeah, keep him out.
00:17:00
So maybe there's a chance Jones play plays.
00:17:04
Hey, says I e feel like I'm confident I can play, but I know our trainers and doctors have the team.
00:17:09
The players best interest in mind.
00:17:11
Yeah, 40 and slipped there.
00:17:13
But yeah, I wanted everything my power to make sure I could get on the field.
00:17:16
But it's up to the team doctors.
00:17:18
So again, knowing that how patient the Packers like to be with their players.
00:17:24
No.
00:17:25
And again, this is there.
00:17:27
Yeah, even the NFC championship game last year.
00:17:29
This is a team that has Super bowl aspirations.
00:17:31
This is a marathon, not a sprint.
00:17:33
Got to do what's good for the team in the player.
00:17:36
Long term.
00:17:38
For Jones, long term only means the season, but a team from the Packers perspective, but yeah, so, you know.
00:17:47
And if he's in, I probably won't.
00:17:49
I mean, I'll take a J Dillan out, you know, in that particular league.
00:17:52
I also have Robert Tony in, so it's you pay attention to both, but I have got up options ready? Uh, actually, it's another league where I'm kind of waiting on on Justin Jackson.
00:18:03
So three questionable players? Well, e well to questionable players and, you know, ah, third player.
00:18:10
That's whose Value in A. J.
00:18:12
Dillan is really affected by another player, Aaron Jones.
00:18:14
So if you know if all three goes, you know Erin Jones is active, Robert Tanya isn't in Justin Jackson's out.
00:18:21
I've got, uh, another legal I brought to Marcus Robinson.
00:18:25
I believe I picked him up specifically because, Okay, four o'clock start.
00:18:29
So I'll get to know because, you know, at least with Tony, it's one o'clock.
00:18:33
We'll know that soon again.
00:18:35
I'm thinking within the next half hour to 45 minutes, we're gonna get confirmation whether Tanyon and Erin Jones play.
00:18:41
Um, so I've got to Marcus Robinson set in case, uh, because he's an easy pivot out for either a swell As for Justin Jackson.
00:18:51
So James White as well.
00:18:54
Another four o'clock starts.
00:18:55
So I've got players.
00:18:56
I've got options.
00:18:57
So, uh, go with, I think are the best options.
00:19:01
I suppose of Tawny is not 100% not needing to play a tight end, because again, Well, yeah, that's the key There.
00:19:07
He's in my flex spot, not in the tight end designations designated spot.
00:19:12
So I can put in a guy like DeMarcus Robinson, which is important again, you know, depends on the title, right I got this is another week.
00:19:22
I have Johnny Smith, which is Ah, lot of cases.
00:19:24
I think for those truly tight ends, you're willing to kind of risk it and hold them.
00:19:29
But any other tight end that's questionable.
00:19:31
I'd rather not playing in a one start. It's okay.
00:19:34
They have enough upside to be a flex spot.
00:19:37
Um, heavy by weeks, maybe there are some leagues where this particularly we have, I think six flex spots.
00:19:45
Uh, you know, heavy starters just wanted toe make a deep, deep rosters or key.
00:19:53
I think it's 12. Start.
00:19:54
So, uh, with a lot of flex, you can usually, you know, sometimes get too tight ends in there.
00:19:59
Um, yeah.
00:20:01
So that's again looking for.
00:20:04
We'll look for some clarification on all the questionable players.
00:20:10
A few things we do know.
00:20:12
We do know that Joe Mix has been ruled out.
00:20:15
So Geo Bernard is expected to get most of the work things.
00:20:20
That has been the case in previous years.
00:20:22
We'll see if that's continues to be the case now.
00:20:25
Um, there's also okay.
00:20:29
Uh, well, yeah, There's John Brown.
00:20:32
Who's out So more work towards Cole Beasley.
00:20:34
Stuff on digs.
00:20:36
Gabriel Davis.
00:20:37
I mean more work towards Giggs.
00:20:38
Maybe not.
00:20:39
But I did mention this in my Yahoo DFS article for going for to that so far, the one game that John Brown missed stuff on Jigsaw 16 targets that game.
00:20:49
So I don't know if the passing game is gonna be to be that potent.
00:20:53
We're gonna have to throw that many times against the Jets.
00:20:55
But still expect high efficiency from all those receivers.
00:20:58
Uh, you know, Chef, good big faith in Cole Beasley.
00:21:02
And then, uh, I think you know, Singletary might be a really good play to just because if they are up there, probably give more work towards running backs, and he's been the healthiest.
00:21:11
Not sure again about fully at about Zach.
00:21:14
Boss, I I think there is one league where I've got I'm starting him.
00:21:19
Uh, just because again, if he is, it doesn't end up healthy.
00:21:23
And the and the bills.
00:21:24
Aaron scoring positions.
00:21:25
Often before his injury, he was the goal line back, and it seemed like the they were even targeting him there as well.
00:21:33
Not just for goal line.
00:21:35
Carries red zone targets.
00:21:36
And, uh, Singletary's taken on that now since Mosses injury.
00:21:40
But it did seem like right off the bat, that's that was clear with who they wanted that to be.
00:21:45
So, uh, if Moss returns healthy and they decide this is the game toe, use them in that mold against the Jets.
00:21:50
I believe he scored two receiving touchdowns against the Jets Week one.
00:21:54
So, you know, if they have that edge, maybe they use that again.
00:22:01
So, uh, yeah, but again, we'll get e think we I think we're still waiting for confirmation of that game is even gonna happen.
00:22:08
Uh, which I feel like when games have been postponed.
00:22:14
We've kind of found out about it more.
00:22:16
Okay.
00:22:17
So the isolated again.
00:22:19
I think it's all gonna depend on tests this morning.
00:22:21
I'm not sure about the exact timeline of when they said it.
00:22:27
When? When they will announce any tests, results at all or when they administer and even test results this morning.
00:22:40
Yeah.
00:22:41
Just gonna look at that again.
00:22:42
This beat reporters list.
00:22:44
Uh, okay.
00:22:45
By Jeff Lambert at Jeff Lambert, 77 on Twitter.
00:22:48
I used the creator our you know, our fearless leader at that going for you.
00:23:08
Apparently, there's some violations involving the Giants that air.
00:23:12
It seems like the NFL isn't really investigating teams.
00:23:14
They're telling teams just do.
00:23:15
But, uh, she's like, no actions being taken on teams violate any rules.
00:23:20
Its's all, apparently team to team discipline players if they dio violate any rules.
00:23:26
So, yeah.
00:23:35
Um, sometimes CBS I know.
00:23:42
Keep God.
00:23:45
I wrote a while wire as well.
00:23:48
Well, sometimes have these early inactives come out so so far.
00:23:55
Nothing yet.
00:23:56
Um and yeah, it's still 11.
00:23:58
30.
00:24:00
So, uh, once again, lineup decisions, I think if anyone has any said, start questions feel free.
00:24:08
Uh, right here in the live channeling SportsCastr or also you can tweet me on Twitter at Center says Happy toe.
00:24:17
Answer anything.
00:24:18
Eso What? What is the process behind lineup decisions? It Sometimes I work through things differently.
00:24:28
Um, so, you know, league dependent in terms of how you view certain players, right? With one other scoring settings.
00:24:38
I've already talked about your extreme tight end premiums.
00:24:42
Um, one league were a little bit easier to kind of grasp the concept.
00:24:47
Eo grasp.
00:24:49
The concept, I should say, is, uh, just a little easier to contextualize toe normal league scoring, conventional league scoring, uh, half point PPR half point for first down.
00:25:01
So again, really the edges just players running backs or anyone who gets a rushing or receiving first down.
00:25:08
This is, uh, quarterback first downs.
00:25:11
Don't count in this one.
00:25:12
I know some leagues will were passing first downs.
00:25:14
We'll also count.
00:25:15
This is not one of those is simply just the ever gets the receiving and rushing first down on also touchdown.
00:25:21
So, technically, a touchdown in these first out leagues were actually in this case because it's 45 6.
00:25:27
5, because every time a touchdown does take into account as a first down.
00:25:31
Um, so you still give kind of a You're credence to those red zone guys.
00:25:36
Um, just looking at my final flex spot knowing that.
00:25:40
Okay, the first down maybe does favor a bit of the running backs because, okay, short yardage situations.
00:25:46
You got Chase Edmunds.
00:25:47
Right? But and you know, Chase Edmunds has five red zone carries on the year, but only one carry from inside the five.
00:25:53
And as much as he, you know, his teammate hasn't necessarily been the most efficient with touchdowns, as he was last year, Kenyan Drake still is five attempts inside the five based almost once a week.
00:26:03
Kaehler has three Kyler Murray.
00:26:05
So, in terms of who's getting the ball more of the goal line, Chase Edmunds actually third on the Cardinals, however, he leads the team in Red Zone targets.
00:26:14
So, in a sense, mhm in this league, like in this type of setting, he doesn't necessarily get the edge that most running backs would in that you know that extra point for first downs again.
00:26:27
It's a short yardage guy, so you know eso as the pass catching back again.
00:26:34
A projected shootout against Seattle does seem like okay, He does get a bit of unhedged there.
00:26:40
Uh, three other options.
00:26:42
So about three receivers that I could also put in that flex spot.
00:26:44
Cole Beasley, McColl, Hardman, Marcus Valve.
00:26:47
The scaling bills were playing the Jets chiefs.
00:26:50
They're playing the Broncos, and then the Packers are playing the Texans.
00:26:54
All those on the road.
00:26:55
Actually, Hedman's is the only home player.
00:26:58
Eso What do I look at? So I look at production, right, and we're six weeks in, so we do have a bit of a scope of production of what these players are capable of, both low and high end on.
00:27:09
Right now, the clear floor is really obvious.
00:27:11
Cole Beasley has scored at least 8.
00:27:12
8 fantasy points in every game this season.
00:27:16
Of these three players, the next highest floor from what we've seen so far this year is Chase Edmunds, his worst game this year. 3.3.
00:27:22
That's less than half.
00:27:24
So when we talk about safe options, it's very clearly Beasley, so he gets the edge for what I want as a secure no, you're gonna get a certain amount of points.
00:27:33
Unfortunately, in terms of what he's produced, this year.
00:27:35
He also has the lowest ceiling.
00:27:36
15 points is his best game in this scoring format.
00:27:39
Whereas actually Chase Edmunds, believe or not, out of these three players at 19.
00:27:43
7 a game, he scored a touchdown.
00:27:45
Uh, he ends up as the highest ceiling.
00:27:50
Technically, Andi, I mean, he could achieve that again against Seattle, so it does kind of give them reasonable.
00:27:56
So, you know, it s so maybe go with the backup running back there.
00:28:00
So unhedged toe Edmonds, You look at the offensive line right now.
00:28:06
The chiefs of the best offensive line adjusted sack rate and McColl Hardman as a receiver, especially receiver who? I mean, he's not just a deep that, but that is part of his game is Thio get open.
00:28:17
Uh, you know, deep down the field uses speed to his advantage to get past players.
00:28:22
Those types of plays for them to go off necessitate good protection.
00:28:26
So from an offensive line standpoint, McColl hardman actually gets the edge here, especially because, you know, you might give it to the Packers, who, you know, were number one entering last week.
00:28:36
And unfortunately, you know how that happened against the Bucks.
00:28:39
Uh, David Bakhtiari being out, though I think, is there right now.
00:28:42
They're ranked ninth and adjusted sack rate dropped eight spots that might be closer than real ranking.
00:28:47
So, yeah, I think the offensive line edge here has to go to the Chiefs.
00:28:50
Um, now the matchup.
00:28:52
Eso the d v o A.
00:28:54
The Broncos are least again league average. Negative 2.4.
00:28:58
At least, football outsiders are saying so.
00:29:00
They have the toughest matchup now.
00:29:02
Who's the easiest matchup? It's It's not as obvious.
00:29:06
Jets at 5.
00:29:07
8, Seahawks at 7.
00:29:08
6 and the Texans at 9.4.
00:29:11
So you would technically say it's the Texans.
00:29:12
So Marquez Valve, the scamming actually does the best d v o a matchup here, but it's so close, not necessarily giving him the edge fully over.
00:29:21
You know, Edmonds Air Beasley.
00:29:23
If anything, it just It kind of works against Hardman.
00:29:24
So, yes, they have the best offensive line, but they probably are facing the toughest pass rusher.
00:29:29
Be looking, You know, Jets, Seahawks, Texans, Texans probably could, you know, contend there to, uh but I think overall front seven Linebacking corps. Hello.
00:29:39
Secondary.
00:29:40
Maybe, Uh, they seem like the Broncos or the toughest matchup.
00:29:43
So it almost negates the fact that the offensive line is the best for the Chiefs, right? So what it boils down to is, you know, you almost argue Beasley is the best matchup because the offensive line anything adjusted sack rate taking the higher with the Packers air right now against the Jets.
00:30:04
But is it almost too good for matchup where they, you know, they could just run the football lot? So when you're looking at the offensive line and the D v o A, it's tough to kind of given edge anywhere s okay.
00:30:14
I'm looking back to production.
00:30:15
Beasley versus Edmonds, uh, defensive ranks.
00:30:19
And for this is, you know, fantasy production points allowed Thio each position in this case wide receiver for the for the three receivers and course running backs toe Edmonds.
00:30:28
According to this league scoring settings, the best match up in that regard is Valda Scantlin against the Texans.
00:30:35
Funny enough, even though they have the worst TV away, the next best is Michael Hardman against the Broncos.
00:30:40
Uh, whereas it's funny, you think the Seahawks good matchup, but they've allowed the 12 fewest points to running backs.
00:30:47
Now chase them into the past catching back, so I don't necessarily disregard it too much.
00:30:52
But still, think again, probably giving the edge to Val this scaling here.
00:30:57
So so far we've given an edge toe easily because of his floor.
00:31:02
Edmunds, because of the ceiling of what he's shown, if you in game scripts, where pass catching is more important.
00:31:09
And again, he is the leading red zone target for the Cardinals so far through, uh, through six weeks.
00:31:14
So maybe that streak continues, so give him the edge.
00:31:17
That and then look at the defense rankings.
00:31:20
Val, the scaling gets the edge.
00:31:22
Uh, you know, hardly had the edge in offensive line, but also the matchup against the Broncos kinda nullifies that edge, and then you look at the game.
00:31:30
Now the Packers are projected to score the most.
00:31:32
There implied total was 35 at least according to the U. S.
00:31:35
Are.
00:31:37
Next up is the Bills, a 28.
00:31:38
5, followed by the Chiefs of 26.
00:31:40
5, and then so it's a Vegas is kind of saying tough matchup there, or at least tough defense.
00:31:46
Lower scoring game for the Chiefs and then, uh, Cardinals, actually, last 25.
00:31:50
75 So not the greatest type of scenario for the past catching back.
00:31:57
So maybe edge develop the scanning.
00:31:58
Also the edge in the game script because, uh, actually has the highest over under the Texans Packers game.
00:32:04
So I'll, 57 points a lot of points scored.
00:32:07
Likely a lot of pass attempts against a vulnerable secondary.
00:32:11
Val.
00:32:12
The scaling kind of gets a bit of an edge there.
00:32:15
So giving him the edge, kind of in terms of how that game was just gonna go and how the point they're gonna be scored.
00:32:21
Because as much as you know, Beasley 28.
00:32:23
5, it's only two points implied less than what the Packers have.
00:32:27
But the 46 combined over under.
00:32:29
So yeah, big total for the Bills.
00:32:31
But is that a game where they could run the football more so how the game scripts going give the edge to Val This canceling their, um, looking at the red zone work because again, Red zone not only important here, but also important because the first down, um, Visalia six red zone targets on the season valve.
00:32:45
The Scanlon has four in one fewer game has already mentioned Chase Edmunds.
00:32:50
Five. Red Zone carries.
00:32:51
Four Red Zone targets.
00:32:52
Michael Hartmann. Only one.
00:32:54
So e.
00:32:55
I mean, I'm looking at this.
00:32:56
That the Chiefs have got that game is the lowest combined over under 44 a half.
00:33:02
Again, talk about the DVD away.
00:33:05
I mean, McColl, Harbin last week with Sammy Watkins out, had a zero.
00:33:08
So that's that's the thing.
00:33:09
That's a low floor, right? Could because doesn't seem like he was hurt.
00:33:15
That was a game where the Chiefs just ran the ball so much that there just weren't any pastimes to go around.
00:33:20
Broncos do.
00:33:21
It seems like a tougher run defense thin the Bills.
00:33:24
So, you know, maybe that doesn't happen.
00:33:27
But there's still a lot of a lot of things going against Nicole Hardman.
00:33:31
So the first thing I did hear actually decided was kind of decided.
00:33:35
Hartmann's the guy I'm not gonna play and then kind of narrow it down from there.
00:33:37
So between Beasley, Edmonds invalidates canceling again.
00:33:43
He usually is a safer floor.
00:33:46
You could argue Edmonds is the higher scene, but it could also give it to battle this scandal so that would almost get split.
00:33:51
Take me the Beasley is the better offensive line.
00:33:53
But again, Packers air close but without box er I would give that edge.
00:33:56
Thio Beasley, the D V away, the defense kind of say Valdez Scantlin.
00:34:01
So another edge to him there edge in the game.
00:34:05
Scripts and offensive line kind of is is equal.
00:34:09
So, really, the numbers are almost telling me Valdes scanning.
00:34:13
But I am feeling going Beasley simply because a lot of these games aren't necessarily accounting for the fact that John Brown has been out.
00:34:20
We're looking at his production, right? It's only happened once s so far Where, uh, Beazley's bid out there somewhere.
00:34:29
John Brown's been out.
00:34:32
And actually let's look at what Beasley did that game that maybe give some context as well.
00:34:40
Um, anyway, so this this was all to kind of this.
00:34:44
This explains what I look at right and get get offensive line info and TV away stuff from football outsiders.
00:34:51
Um, the Vegas stuff I get from the U. S.
00:34:55
R.
00:34:56
And then red zone work I get from NFL savant.
00:34:59
So this is all stuff people can look up, but glad to kind of share, uh, into that process.
00:35:05
You know those resources as for like, you know, with the defense ranks and the player point score.
00:35:12
And that's all Ah, lot of your you know, I think every league form and I have has player profile pages for each player on your on your roster where you could see what they've scored every week.
00:35:21
So that's where I get that stuff from eso.
00:35:23
Because again, every everything on that is based on, you know, exact scoring settings I was talking about cages.
00:35:29
Doesn't have first downs or not, because that does make a bit of a difference. I know, e.
00:35:33
I was looking at it.
00:35:34
Uh, Cole Beasley has the most first downs.
00:35:36
Um, but uhh.
00:35:40
He You know, Val, the scanning again played what has played one fewer game with his bye week.
00:35:44
So per game, they're essentially equal.
00:35:47
Uh, 10.
00:35:48
3 points for Beasley.
00:35:49
When John Brown was out, those game against the Titans Bills only scored 16 points.
00:35:55
Um, actually, the scored 17 next week against the Chiefs, But that was last week. You need to score a touchdown.
00:36:01
There So it's kind of you kind of banking on the touchdown.
00:36:04
And it's funny, actually, against the Jets, he only had 8.
00:36:06
5 points, which has been his worst game this year.
00:36:09
So, yeah, I think what I think again, that's it's pretty solid floor.
00:36:17
Because of how this canceling he had a game with one fantasy point.
00:36:21
Yeah, one catch for five yards.
00:36:24
And it wasn't for a first down, was he would have won five.
00:36:27
So uhh, it was against the Saints in what should have been a good matchup for him.
00:36:33
I remember it first, too.
00:36:35
E remember it for You know, at first he was locked up with Marshawn Lattimore.
00:36:40
But then, as Alan Lazard kept going off, Lattimore kind of crept towards that side and you figured he'd have a chance against Jenkins.
00:36:45
But, you know, obviously wasn't the case.
00:36:48
Uh, but still one touchdown Week one and, uh, no.
00:36:53
19 fantasy points that week.
00:36:56
He's the next three weeks.
00:36:59
He got less than that combined in all three.
00:37:03
Finally, 5.
00:37:04
7 last week has been able to eclipse 19 in four games, but just barely, uh, so you know, he hasn't really been that consistent.
00:37:14
And eso I think Withdrawn brownout, given the chance of Beasley, you know, the safer floor.
00:37:19
A zoo.
00:37:20
Muchas valid scanning. Probably does have a high ceiling.
00:37:23
Yeah, this is my last last flex spot.
00:37:26
Guys like a.
00:37:27
J.
00:37:29
Brown, D. K. Metcalf, Patrick Mahomes, some high upside plays.
00:37:31
So I'm thinking safety for that last spot more than anything.
00:37:34
So that's why I'm leaning towards Beasley.
00:37:36
If I was really feeling like being aggressive and needed to score points.
00:37:41
Oh, man, this other team is really out.
00:37:43
Matching me I really need is much as I can probably go about the scanning, but, uh, looking at the team records about three and three.
00:37:49
Uh, you know, I do have some players on bye weeks, maybe.
00:37:53
No, it's not my necessarily my my full team, but it's I think it's still safety is sort of the where I'm gonna go with that last flex spot I want I want guarantee points.
00:38:05
But I think that I've got other players on my roster that can can hit that high ceiling.
00:38:13
Alright, so uhh getting close to Yeah, I'm getting close to the time when injury reports, maybe start coming out again. Big news.
00:38:36
Two teams were really looking for the Jets and the Packers.
00:38:40
Okay, so we got some early inactives.
00:38:42
Now that's 11 38.
00:38:45
Good time.
00:38:46
Um, so, as we already knew, knew John Brown out. T.
00:38:53
J Yeldon is inactive for the bills, so that's saying they have faith in Moss. Probably.
00:39:01
They feel he's pretty healthy that I mean, Yeldon was inactive last week.
00:39:04
I believe to you.
00:39:05
So not a special teams player.
00:39:07
So he's really gonna play when either Moss or Singletary's out.
00:39:11
Or if they if they really fearing Mosses, health could activate a third running back just because but looks like mostly find agreement.
00:39:20
I am starting in one league, the middle of the Panthers.
00:39:24
We know Joe mixes out John Ross inactive again against the Browns, I think.
00:39:30
Fire up Tee Higgins, Fire page a green.
00:39:33
If you want Drew samples, a tight end.
00:39:35
If you're you need a tight end, you can there for the lions.
00:39:40
Quintus Cephus is inactive.
00:39:43
It seems like the rookie has not necessarily been playing the par Marvin Hall and and Jamal Agnew are getting more playing time.
00:39:58
It seems like so the rookie inactive Zack Martin inactive for the Cowboys on.
00:40:08
He's a guard, but he's the last I'll pro they have on that offensive line.
00:40:12
It's now not what it used to be, so I don't I I fear guy like Michael Gallup, Maybe more than anybody has.
00:40:18
It seems like he never plays in the slot.
00:40:20
He's always on the outside, those types around.
00:40:23
It's tough to develop if there's not time behind it.
00:40:27
So you guys like CD Lamb and Cooper, who moved the slot, maybe get early separation more easily.
00:40:32
Quicker passes? Uh, probably not necessarily benefit from this, but won't be.
00:40:37
It's heard is bad, but yeah, I even dropped out on that one thing. I was talking about that line of decision.
00:40:42
I originally lineup decision was between five players, and then eventually I thought, You know what? I don't think gallops could do that.
00:40:48
Well, this week I'll drop him.
00:40:49
I dropped him, I think yesterday or I believe it yesterday late Friday, to the point where he wasn't gonna clear waivers until after the game time, so no one would be able to pick him up this weekend.
00:41:00
If he does, I expected performs poorly this week.
00:41:04
He's probably going to that highly sought after I'd be able to get him back.
00:41:07
I think I did it more because I needed extra tight end.
00:41:10
I also wanted to keep Michael Hardman just in case.
00:41:13
I feel like the upsides.
00:41:14
They're better, uh, could have cut either one.
00:41:16
I just I think I believe in Hartmann's upside more this week, where he'll be more sought after after a big week than Gallup.
00:41:22
Well, maybe I'm wrong on that.
00:41:23
Maybe I should have stuck with Alright, drafted.
00:41:25
But they got D K.
00:41:28
Metcalf a J Browns back team where I'm more solid receiver.
00:41:32
Where, uh, yeah, so not so worried there.
00:41:36
But yeah, I think I think Gallup is probably gonna suffer the most from the lack of offensive line and lack of I say Andy Dalton support with Dak Prescott and playing really well so really, definitely better.
00:41:48
Quarterback, I think Erin Jones and active Here we go.
00:41:51
So that's as we expected.
00:41:53
Or at least as I expected.
00:41:55
Erin Jones won't be playing Jamal Williams fired up where you have them again.
00:41:59
I've got a J Dillan, only one league, and I'm gonna play in that league.
00:42:02
Uh, again, it hinges on a few players later.
00:42:06
Uh, not seeing Robert taunting on this inactive list Not necessarily confirmed that he's active yet.
00:42:11
They that might beam or a true game time decision.
00:42:14
This seems like it's a little early.
00:42:16
Uh, so yeah, E uh

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